Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Bouncing Back with NFL Week 5

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Bouncing Back with NFL Week 5 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:09
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network.
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: I am Chad Milman. I am going to be joined
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: today as I am every week by Professional Better Simon Hunter. Simon, boy,
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: do I have a bone to pick with you? It
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: is gonna be contentious and very uncomfortable. So why don't
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: you just get the niceties out of the way, say
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: hello to your fans, and then get ready to defend yourself.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: Hello fans. A reminder. Last year Professional Better Simon Hunter
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: joined the pod, he offered season long pick up contest
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: advice every single week. This year, we are taking it
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: a step further. He joined the Draft Kings Pro Football
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: pick Up National Championship and every single week we are
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: going to decide together, optimum more together what picks he
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: should put in. He will also offer top nutch inside
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: and how professional betters breakdown games and what they look for,
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: because we're going to talk about every single game every
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: single week. But you will also get lessons in game theory,
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: strategies to outward opponents, etcetera. Here's the recap for last week, Simon,
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: Are you ready? We went two and three in the
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: contest two and three and it was a goddamn gut punch.
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: You know why our listeners may recall that on this podcast,
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: on this very podcast, I have to look at my
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: notebook this very podcast. You and I both decided there
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: were a bunch of teams that we loved. We loved
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: the Chicago Bears that didn't work out. We loved the
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins that didn't work out. We love the Baltimore
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: Ravens that one worked out. But we also loved the
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles, and we loved the Cleveland Browns. And yet
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: yet Sunday morning, I'm getting a text, there's no Browns,
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: there's no Eagles. We got the freaking Jacks, and they
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: also got the Bills, which was nice. The Bills make
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: me wanna what happened. And just so people know online,
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: I'm just trolling people when I said that Chad made
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: me put the Browns, I mean the Bears and over
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: the Browns. Like people think that you you're picking half
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: the slate, and it's it's honestly, it's just a mutual thing.
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: If if if Chad here says he likes the Bears
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: last week and I like them too, we're gonna have
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: him in. If he comes in and says he likes
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: the Dolphins. I think there's good value on that. We'll
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: put it in. They lost, and yeah it hurt, But
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: like Chad didn't make me put those in, I'm with him.
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: I agreed. I thought they were good lines. So, like
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: we talked Sunday morning, we were weighing options and we
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: just didn't feel like dealing with the Browns are the Lions,
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: so we left those two out. With the Eagles, I
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: did believe in it. I liked the number and I
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: had a lot of money on that number and the money,
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: like I talked about on the podcast last week, I
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: really thought that was a good spot for the Eagles.
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: But I out thought it and I thought to myself,
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: for the Jags are coming in here on ten days
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: rest against the team that's been on the road and
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: they're all beat up in the Bengals, And that was
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: on me. I I kind of stopped doubting Burrow Burro,
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: He's just a covering machine. He's four and own now covering,
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: which we talked last week. There's regression coming for a
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: lot of these teams, but it's not happening yet. So
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: it hurt last week. But like I said, if our
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: bad weeks are two and three. We'll be all right
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: as long as we have these winning weeks. And the
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: guy that's leading the competition right now, he's sixteen and four,
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: so we're literally four back of him, so I'm not
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: getting too right yet. If we were below five IB,
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: I'd probably be paniced a little bit right now. But
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: we got some cushion. We were consistent. We don't have
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: we have a bad week, it's not a terrible week,
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: So I'm excited for these next couple of weeks. Here.
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: Like me and you, we both we have a bunch
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: of games we love, and that's the hardest part is
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: getting down to five and not second guests on us
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: on our back our good reads and are bad reads.
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: So we missed on some last week, but that's what
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: this week we'll we'll bounce back alright. As a reminder,
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: as we do every single weekend, we're gonna do this.
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: At the end of this episode two, go to our
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: iTunes page and review the podcast using the phrase are
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: you ready Simon Simon says, I'm sorry. Use the phrase
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: Simon says, I'm sorry, And if we like your review
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: and it's a five star review, we will randomly choose
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: it and you will win a free Action Network pretty
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: We will announce last week's win winner at the end
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: of this show. And it's a doozy, Like it is
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: a doozy as a of a review. It brings in
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: everything that we love. It's got old time references, it's
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: got the catch phrase, the phrase that pays, It's got
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: comments about you, it's it's a bet might take up
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: the whole podcast. Here's the good news. Here's the good news.
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: Simon this Thursday night, as I look at the odds
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: at the Action Network, you can get all the data
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: everything I talk about it on the podcast Action Network app.
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: It's free downloaded Action Network dot com. Go to our
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: odds pages and everything that that everything you need to
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: get all the data, all the information, all the updated lines.
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: All right. Thursday night football, Tom Brady and the Tampa
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: Bay Buccaneers visiting the best three and one team in
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: the history of the NFL, the Chicago Bears. Bears are
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: three point underdogs at home. Let me remind you what
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: is the theory that we always go for that bad
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: teams at home in a short week when they're underdogs.
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at the update of line we got it
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: at five and a half for the Bears at home
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: five and a half, five and a half. Right now,
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: you're right at DraftKings. I apologize. So everyone is backing
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: the Buccaneers and Nick Foles laid a giant egg last week.
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: It's it's hard to defend the Bears because I watched,
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: like we both had that game and I was watching
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: a lot of it, and man, they had so many opportunities.
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: There's so many drop balls, There's just so many things
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: where they would put her out on third down. People
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: are gonna come in here. They're gonna be big, big
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: on the Buccaneers. And if you're you're telling me there's
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: a Thursday night team, a home dog that's got a good,
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: good quarterback, a good defense, and just headed down week
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: last week, I look a little rusty. I'm gonna take
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: the Bears here and I'm gonna take the five and
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: a half and I think by game time, this is
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: this number is gonna go down because I think the
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: sharps wren join me on that. You know what I
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: want to ask you about in this contest? Do we
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: lock in? So if you and I decide, okay, we
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: want to bet the Bears at five and a half.
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: Do we put that pick in now or do we
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: wait until Sunday? And like, how do we end up
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: getting this number? The way they've been doing is like
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: the old school, like the way the Super contest a
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: Circuit does it is it locks in. So after the
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: show or tomorrow morning usually they put the numbers out.
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: So that's why people could like complain they say, oh,
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: I don't get these lines. It's like, well, when we
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: do this show, these are the lines, and when they
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: put those lines out, those are the lines that are
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: on DraftKings, like they might get moved after they put
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: the lines up, but that's that's lowly. The lines we
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: play is the ones a hang when they put the
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: lines out. So I don't know how it works that
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: if we take the Bears. I don't think it would
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: lock in our whole slate. I think we'd still be
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: able to switch other teams in and out, but I'm
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: not sure because we haven't played with Thursday yet and
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: this is my only uh, this is my only ticket
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: in this competition, so it could be Riscue, but we
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: can put that on the side. But I do love
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: this Bear spot so much because in my opinion, Like
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: you said, the number should have been opened at three
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: or three and a half. That's what this game should be.
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: The Buccaneers are looking great. They should be favorite by
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: a field goal on the road here against the team
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: that puttered out last week. But we're getting really good
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: value here on the Bears. Yeah, I agree, we are
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: getting good value on the Bears. And the Bears defense
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: played pretty well. And Philip rivers here while we've been
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: ripping them all season long, like, he did well enough
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: to win that game, obviously, and played significantly better than
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: Nick Foles, who could not hit and out to save
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: his life. He was just so incredibly inaccurate. It was
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: just so frustrating. Wow, can we go in for a
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: Thursday night game? We'll consider that. Here's my other question
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: for you, that is a technical betting question. Right now,
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: do you feel like you're betting these games earlier in
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: the week or are you waiting longer? Our lines moving
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: more aggressively this season are better? Is more aggressive? Like?
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: Tell me about your philosophy here. So say in a
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: normal week, if I have a dred percent of like
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: what I know, I'm gonna bet that week on the
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: table and a normally I always take of that and
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: I'll bet all of that on Sunday and Monday. Those
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: are like the days I try to hit early lines
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: where I'm seeing value, I think the lines are gonna
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: move against it. For this season, I've switched it up
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: where um, I've been waiting for something to happened with
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: the COVID outbreak on the team, so I've been doing
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: a lot more teasers, a lot more to team teasers,
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: three team teasers. Oddly enough, on our last week, all
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: five of our picks hiding teasers. So like a lot
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: of people I talked to, I tell them the plays
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: they just played, two at a time, our picks together
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: and tease them and of course, like they've been hitting
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: for people, I think we only have two games out
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: of all of our picks that haven't hit on teasers
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: so far. I'll do two teamers. I'll do three teamers,
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: and this week depends on the books and off shore
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: books and legalized books. They took down the Chief's bets,
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: so like if I got really good value on the
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: Chiefs at six and a half and I got it
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: down to half a point, where I just took it
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: straight up. A lot of the books took it down
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: or they left the teaser up, but like gave me
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: worse juice. Same at with Pittsburgh I put out early
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: in the week. I like the Pittsburgh. It was like
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: eight and a half with the rams of five and
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: a half in the Bravens I think at five and
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: a half. And they took out the Pittsburgh and they
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: left up my bet with just those two teams in
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: it with the juice. So it's annoying. But they can
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: do that the books because it is technically a change
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: of date and time, and that's in the fine print.
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: Anything you get, it says pretty much of the change
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: the time, the date, the location, we can get rid
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: of the bet. So I'm trying to navigate it, but
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: I'm not putting nearly as much as I used to
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: early in the week. All right, let's get into the uh,
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: let's get into the early games. The first game on
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: the schedule for one o'clock the Bengals plus thirteen and
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: a half at Draft Kings. They are visiting the Ravens.
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: The Ravens who beat the Redskins by fourteen and probably
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: could have beat them by at least. They gave up.
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: They gave up ten garbage points. This is gonna be
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: one of those where like, this is gonna be a
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: public dog since he at this big of a number,
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: most people are at one on Joe Burrow, We're like
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: we talked about earlier. We liked Joe bro He's fun
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: to root for, He's a cool dude. When's it gonna
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: run out on their four and no right now against
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: the spread? So it's a tough spot where like me personally,
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet the Ravens here and try to fade
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: this rookie QB after winning at home and feeling good
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: all week where the Ravens just usually beat up on
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: crappy teams. It was the same logic last week where
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: I had no problem taking the Ravens and putting them
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: in a lot of parlays and bets together. So this
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: is another week where I'm gonna back the Ravens, and
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: I know we don't like taking these big, these big favorites,
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: so we can put them on the side by I
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: wouldn't hate come game time that we put them in.
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: So that's a tricky number, right because that game we
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: got it a twelve and a half, but by the
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: time it closed. It was at fourteen, so you pushed
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: if you ended up betting on the Ravens against the Redskins.
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: It's like that to the conversation we were just having.
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: You gotta be ready to bet when you see a
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: number that you like and you have a strong opinion.
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: I think I agree with you on this, and I
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: think I agree that I'm looking at the number right now,
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: like there's so much Bengals love, there's so much Joe
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: Burrow love. You almost have to break down who he's
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: done it against, right, and and the Ravens do not
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: play down to the level of their opponent. They play
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: incredibly well and then they got beat by a really
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: good team a couple of weeks ago. I think they
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: can destroy this team. I think they might actually kill
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: Joe Burrow. And I think it's like a another position
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: of the Bangs that if this number was fourteen and
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: a half, fourteen, I'd probably stay away, But if it
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: keeps coming down, people keep betting that we can get
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: it at thirteen twelve and a half, Like you're saying,
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: I don't mind taking that number because that gives us
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: some coverage if there is a chance of weird extra
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: miss like point or A lot of teams are going
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: for two now, so it just gives me more coverage. Yeah,
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: that's insane. By the way, how many teams are going
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: for two right now, like the Eagles opened up going
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: for two. By the way, of the bets so far
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: are on the Cincinnati Bengals, which is astonishing, which means
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: it honestly means, let's hope the number goes down. I'm
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: not gonna bet that. Yeah, I'm gonna wait for it
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: to go down a little right. We might get a
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: little lucky on that one. The Eagles going for two,
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: you know, right out of the gate the other night.
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: That just felt like Doug Peterson knows his team is
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: in dire straits. They got to get points on the board.
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: They got to get some confidence going. That's a guy
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: who's comfortable in his job and he's like, just screw it.
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: Let's let's be the best we can be right now.
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: But it is amazing how aggressive teams are being, how
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: much more often teams are going for and forth. There
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: is never a game that I'm I'm spewing everything that's
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: in my head right now. There's never a game that
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: it feels like your cover is safe. I've been doing
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: these bets for a long time. But you can bet
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: on a lot of sites for the first half. You
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: can bet if it's gonna be a tie, or you
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: can pick each side money line. Could you get better
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: odds on the money line. I've been doing that a
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: lot because a lot of times these teams are going
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: with weird numbers and missed extra points. That you can
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: cover these money lines by one point, like I did
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: with the Eagles in that game for the first half.
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: So that's something to be on the lookout for betting.
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: You can get good value on betting news. Second game
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: Panthers at Falcons. Falcons played last night, got beat up again.
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: They are it looks like three point favorites at home.
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: Mm hmm. It almost feels like a trap to me.
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: You know, I hate betting the Falcons, and I bet him.
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: I bet him Tuesday afternoon, I bet him last night
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: against the Packers. You know, I hate betting the Falcons,
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: and we've loved betting the Panthers so far this year.
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: But this feels a little bit trappy in me. I'm
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: walking too a fucking hornet's nest, all right, now, be
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: my companion yeah, it was good. Last week we talked
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: to the pot we had like the Cardinals, and as
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: a week went on, of course, my guys from Vegas
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: reach out and they go, you're stepping in it. I go,
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: all right, let me look at it again, and and
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: you do. Look at the numbers and the Cardinals they're offense.
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: I went back and I watched a bunch of their
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: games from weeks thirteen to seventeen. Last week. You can
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: see how they're doing weird. I don't know why he's
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: doing it, but he's throwing everything underneath underneath. Now they're
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: not really pushing it downfield. The run scheme is weird
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: in the sentence that he's running on downs like first
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: down all the time, which he wasn't really doing last year.
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: He was taking hypercentage downfield throws on first down the
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: Carolina that was definitely the right side. As we saw
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: the number kept coming down, we got scared off of it.
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: We moved off Carolina the Cardinals last week. So this
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: week the Panthers are now two straight wins on a
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: team that we know their defense isn't that good. They've
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: they've been playing well, but they're young and Quinn still
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: isn't fired, and the number was weird. We're opened at
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: three and a half, and I knew everyone's gonna be
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: on that number, so I was like, I'm just gonna
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: wait that the Falcon, especially after last night's loss. So
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: I would be with you here. I would take the Falcons,
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: but I would have to wait and see what the
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: deals with Julio because he went out last night. I
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: think he had like ten snaps or something like that
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: and he was done. And I don't know Calvin Ridley.
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: I love the kid, but he just he was gone
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: last night. He didn't do anything, and it makes me
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: a little nervous where he could be taken away, and
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: then what are we left with on the Falcons and
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: old Todd Gurley and a third receiver and Hurst that
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: tight end. So we can wait on that number. But
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: I do like the Falcons here. Yeah. Well there's a
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: couple of things here right. Number one a reminder if
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: you ever want to have job security, just go work
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: at home depot, because if Arthur Blank hasn't fired Dan
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: Quinn at this point, like, think of what you would
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: have to do at home depot to get fired. I
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: can't even imagine. We'll continue that theme throughout the year
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: until dan Quinn has actually let go number one. Number two.
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: Julio Jones did not look good. He was limping around.
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: I don't even they were bringing scrubs off the street
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: in the middle of the game to play against Aaron
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: Rodgers in the defensive backfield. That was terrible. Calvin Ridley
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: is very much on the path to being the Matt
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: Ryan of wide receivers. And what I mean by that
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: is he is a guy who only racks up big
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: numbers in games that don't mean anything, in times that
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: don't mean anything except they look amazing at the end
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: of the game. He is like going to go down
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: as the greatest Fantasy receiver of all time. So let's
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: stay away from that game for now, and let's wait
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: even then, even when the number gets good, we don't
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: want any part of that game. I'm with you. Uh,
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: let's see, Bill's Titans is not on the board yet.
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: We just don't know what's going on with the Titans.
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: We have good signs, a lot of negative tests, but
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: there's no uh, there's no number. So then we get
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: Las Vegas Raiders visiting the Kansas City Chiefs one PM
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: in Kansas City, three games in eleven days for the
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs that have a horrendous rushing defense going
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: up against Josh Jacobs, a tremendous passing defense against Derrek Carr,
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: who's he's done okay this year? Yeah, and you do.
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: I think it's it's one of these every year. I
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: always take the Raiders in the spot against my homes
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: because it's always a big number like this, and I
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: never recover. I might want a blue moon, but it's
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: not profitable taking teams against the Chiefs. And like last night,
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: I stared at that minus eleven and a half for
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: about an hour and I just said, all right, screw it.
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: I'm just gonna do the adjusted line and just bring
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: it down to six because I was just so scared
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: of Bilichick and how big of a number it was.
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: And I can't take the Chiefs here where Derek Carr like, yeah,
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: I know he didn't look great last week, but when
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: they're when they're healthy on offense, they're good and he's
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: not turning the ball over. The public is all gonna
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: probably end up on this Vegas number because it is
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: so big, and the Raiders hadn't looked terrible like last week.
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: I know you can think they looked terrible. They just
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: had injuries and it was just one of those where
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: snowball and like they went three and now Josh Allen
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: just taking down the field and score. So the Bills
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: are just humming. So we're gonna stay away from this one.
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: But I'll probably end up on the Raiders and hate myself.
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: What would it take you to bet the Chiefs here?
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: So like I had this in minus ten, so like
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: I would have taken the Chiefs if it was anything
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: around there this number, like, I don't mind taking the
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: Chiefs here. It's under two touchdowns and we've seen how
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: for these good teams, as long as you're under fourteen,
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: it's been all and true, and a lot of these
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: teams don't have them beginning back door. That's at that
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: big of a number. But just like with the Rams
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: last week, it makes me a little nervous taking these
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: big numbers against teams where they have a competable offense,
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: like the Raiders. They can score, So it just makes
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: me a little nervous on that number, that big. Yeah,
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: what is your number on the Bengals Ravens And what
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: is your number on the Bears box. So the Bears Bucks,
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: I had it at three, I had Tampa minus three,
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: and with the Ravens, I got it again at minus fourteen.
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: That's the only thing that makes nurse with the Ravens,
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: They're they're kind of getting me. They're trapping me in
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: there with that thirteen and a half. It's like, oh,
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: that's really nice to them give me that. So it
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: makes me a little nervous with that one. All right,
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: Eagles visiting the Steelers, stealers getting back on the field.
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: They are getting a lot of the bets. They're more
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: than touchdown favorite seven seven and a half getting a
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: lot of the bets right now, which makes sense like
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: people not yet buying into the Eagles, which which I
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: can believe. Let me see if I have an opinion
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: on this. Do I have a snap opinion on this game? Yes,
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: give me the Steelers and this is given me a
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: Joe's versus pros. This is like classic where the Steelers
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: are healthy, they just had a bye week. Eagles whole
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: offensive line has pretty much been replaced there at one point,
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: they're the only start they had left was the center.
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: So I can't not take the Eagles here at seven
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: and a half, and it's just such a letdown game
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: for the Steelers where they've had a week off. They're
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: gonna come out slow and and it's gonna come down
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: to the very end. And I could see the Steelers
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: covering seven. But I love the I love the extra
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: hook with the seven a half with the Eagles. No, no, no,
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: here's why this game probably should have been. If the
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: Steelers had played this past week, they're beating the Titans,
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: that's just me saying it. They'd be a much bigger
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: favorite over the Eagles at this point. And I feel
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: like you're you're getting a little bit of value, like
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: on the Steelers because the Eagles finally won a game
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: and it was in prime time and they beat up
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: on the Niners. You should what's your number here? You
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: should make this number nine. That's what it should be. No, honestly,
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: I had it at four and a half, and then
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: after the injuries to the Eagles on the Sunday night game,
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: I moved into six. I'm with you, like, this doesn't
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: easy to play. The Steelers should kill these guys, But
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: are like, are we still? Are we sure the Steelers
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: are good? Like? Who have they played, go through who
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: have they played. So that's one of those where I'm
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: gonna back to Eagles here and think I need to
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: see the Steelers prove it to me. They're not playing
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: the Giants, they're not playing Houston, they're not playing these
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: teams that we have already seen. They're not that good.
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna back to the Eagles here, and I'm
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: gonna let the public come in on the Steelers. All right, fin,
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: We'll take the Eagles. I just want to make the money.
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: I want to make the money. I don't have pride
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: of authorship here. I got opinions. If you tell me
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: I'm wrong, we're gonna go in the other direction. That's
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: all there is to it. Boy. The Rams, man, I
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: knew the Giants were the right side of that game
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: the other day, and I let somebody else talk me
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: into taking the Rams, and I'm like, well, this is
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: just dumb. Like the Rams are not the Chiefs, they're
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: not the Ravens, they're not the team that you can
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: bet a big number against. And sure enough, it's exactly
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: what happened. And now they're visiting Washington. The Washington football
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: team looks like they are at draft Kings eight and
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: a half point favorites. What's your number here, Yeah, it
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: seems like the publics with you. I had this game
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: at seven for the Rams. It opened at nine and
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: a half with the football team, and basically people back
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: in Washington or I think they're still believing in Haskins
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: and that they could keep this close. That the Rams
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: aren't as good as people think they are, and that
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: like that Giants game was just funky, Like it was
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: the same thing with Nick Foles. Nick Foles and missed
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: some wide open guys, so is golf. Golf was just
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: off in that game. So I'm gonna bet on a
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: bounce back spot here and keep fading the football team.
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: I'll take the Rams hopefully gets the seven. So like
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: a good value, but it's at seven and a half
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: right now, so we might want to put the Rams
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: in our list. Yeah, especially if the line keeps coming down.
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: Just for everything I've seen from Washington, they're they're banged
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: up on their interier and you can run on them.
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: And that's like the same reason I like the Rams
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: last week. They are running teams, so if you can
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: get if they get a turner on the ground, that's
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: when golf really takes off. So I'm gonna back them
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: here in this take this number, even though it's it's high.
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: It's a high number to be back in the Rams
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: on the road with especially coming across country. Let's wait
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: and see if it comes down a little bit. Yeah,
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: let's do that on Sunday morning. You and me, two
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: adults in partnership. Together, we're gonna make a collective decision
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: about whether or not the Rams or the Eagles end
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: up making our top five. I need another opinion. What
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: is your take on the rams new uniforms. I like them,
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: buying said, I've liked the Chargers uniforms better. Uh like
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: gone back to the classic the powder blues. So it's
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: it's tough competition with them there. But I don't hate
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: I know people hate on the logo. I don't mind it.
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: I like it all. I think their uniforms look great.
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: I think the new color blue in the helmet looks great.
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: I actually think the logo is fine. I'm a fan,
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: but it's becoming a contentious conversation in my house with
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: my fifteen year old son on who's you know running
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: the uniform code? Here? Cardinals visiting the New York Jets
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: six and a half point favorites. I mean, this is
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: a stay away from me. It's it's Kyler Murray. You
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: mentioned it earlier. He's kind of running around a lot
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: and seems to have lost some of the mojo that
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: made us so excited when he was a fourteen to one,
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: you know, when the odds were fourteen to one for
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: him to win the m v P. He did not
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: look good this past week against a very bad Lions team. Yeah,
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: and I know Vegas, they're trying to scare me off again.
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: I'm done being scared by them versus Jets team. I'm done.
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: I will take for the rest of the year. I
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: will take whatever team they're going against. I don't care
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: if it's the most public player of the week. I'm
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: done with the Jets everything I've seen. They're poorly coached.
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: Even when they're not giving up first downs on defense,
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: they're giving it up because they do stupid penalties. I
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: can't take the Jets anymore, so I don't care if
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: it's a trap. I'm gonna the Cardinals give it to
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: me six and a half. I'm happy with it. Yeah,
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: we keep out of competition because it's such a trap,
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: but I'm betting it. Well, here's a question for you.
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: Do you feel like you bet every game? It's like
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: it depends on the games, like like I talked about earlier,
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: like in Jersey. Now, that's why I think it's the
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: mecca of gambling. We have like twenty one or twenty
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: two apps on your phone you can do now, and
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: I can drive across the bridge and use another twelve
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: or thirteen apps and p a. So like I gave
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: about a bet last night on Twitter that I thought
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: was really safe. I probably did that on the bet
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: I gave out. Probably did on fifteen sites, and then
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: I went across the bridge. I did on tent sites.
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: So I'll just put a thousand on each one and
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: spread it around instead of just going on one setting
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: loading up and pop it up on their radar. Because
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: the more you win the books, they're gonna beat you off.
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: They're they're here to win. So that's what I do.
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: I just really spread it around. But when it comes
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: to every game and betting, it's like it's small. Certain
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: games like I barely even touch and I could be
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: dead wrong and be like mad at myself that I
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: had a perfect read in the game, but I'll just
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: stay away because it's things don't trust, Like that Houston
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: and uh Vikings game last week. I might have had
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: like total in that game because I didn't want to
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: even touch it. So there's certain games we're all I'll
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: bet on it just because then my system says there's
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: value there, and I just always want to make a
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: little profit here in there. But yeah, it's it's very
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: different where one game might be one percent and over
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: the game might be of my bank roll. So it fluctuates,
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: all right. So last night you just said that you
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: went around and out about fifteen or apps got a
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: thousand dollars each on the same game. It was a parlay,
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: so I didn't uh, I took the Chiefs down to
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: five and a half and I took Green Bay up
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: to four and a half. So I paid anywhere from
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: minus like the minus one fifty depending on the site.
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: So like what time I got the line at, Like, yeah,
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: I'm cool with putting a lot on that because in
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: my system, like when I put the numbers in, the
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: Chiefs not covering that by six points only had a
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: five percent chance of happening. The Green Bay losing by
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: more than four and a half points last night had
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: less than a three percent chance of happening. So like,
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: when I do those big bets, it's because I'm just
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: playing percentage that we're saying, you're getting crazy good value
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: here alternating these lines. That's why I'll take that value.
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: But like every week, I don't really load up on
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: bets like that, Like I like to spread it around
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: just in case I am reading it room. But then
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: you ended up having like a huge chunk of change
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: on those games last night, even if the odds weren't
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: that great mine fifty, but then you made a freak
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: load of money last night. Yeah, I try to. Like
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: people were saying that, they're like, oh, they're like, I'm strucked.
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: You do like the juice I hire the big dig
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: and it's like if I think I'm gonna win and
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: it's like crazy good value. Like if you come to
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: me and you said, hey, this team's money lines minus
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: two hundred zero chance they lose, I'll ride with you.
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: If it's like a great read and I agree with it,
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: Like I don't mind putting I don't know two thousand
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: out and one a thousand, that's no problem with me
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: as long as the winner, because I bet so many
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: dogs and money lines that it just eats away at
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: the juice of these numbers, especially long term. It's it's
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: one of those things I don't like mine because people
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: always ask me why I don't buy points. I don't
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: buy points because that's stupid way to lose money on
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: a big like instead of me, loo isn't a bed
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: where I took whoever plus three and a half or
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: minus three and a half and buying it down to three,
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: I just lose that one tent or one fifteen like
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: those do add up. That's why you should never buy numbers.
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: You should just play the number as is. Yeah. Look,
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: money management and sort of how to shop is one
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: of the most important things you can think about. Is better. Uh,
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: It's something that we talk about constantly at Action Network.
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: We have so many tools that make you think about that.
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: Our our entire site, our entire app is set up
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: to give betters in legal states the best opportunity to
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: shop for the best lines that are available everywhere. Right,
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: And like we talk all the time, you have the power,
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: you have the control. So when I'm on here saying
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: I'm been every game don't get it wrong. And there's
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: games I load up on. That's what makes me money,
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: is like I don't have the bed. The five games
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: were picked in this contest. I could just load it
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: up on the Bills and the Ravens. I had a
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: great weekend. So it's one of those where you pick
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: and choose your spots and you that's why it's so
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: important to have a system or something, because when you
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: see these big number discrepancies, gives you so much confidence
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: in making those bets, where if you don't, you've just
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: been the same unit every week. It's really hard to
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: grind out those wins because every week you're gonna have
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: bad weeks and you're not gonna have that many good ones.
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: So you really have to pick and choose people, all right.
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: So we're passing on the Jets in the Cardinals. I'm
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: looking at the next game here it's the Jags visiting
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: the Bill O'Brien less Texas. Last night last night, my uh,
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: my thirteen year old, we were watching the games and
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: he went to, uh the NFL memes handle on Instagram
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: and it was one of those four boxes. Yeah, it's
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: so cool when dudes stand in front of the stuff
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: they've destroyed, and it's got like, you know, Will Smith
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: in front of something he's destroyed, and then it's got
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: Bill O'Brien standing in front of the Texans a level.
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: I don't even want to tell you how much money
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: I lost, But I had three head coaches I bet
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: big on to be fired and it worked out where
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: I just needed one of them to hit and I
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: was gonna make a nice little profit. And it was
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: so stupid. I mean not to look at the schedule
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: and say, this guy, I'd start owing three on four
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: and he'll get fired. But I just didn't think like
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: the guy who's been letting the owner has been letting him,
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: like burn his team down, creating all their draft picks
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: and their best players away, and he never stepped in.
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: So I was like, no, there's no way Bill O'Brien
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: gets fired. And man, was I wrong, But you put
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: the money. I have a ton on Gaze, I have
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: a ton on Quinn. Last of all, I had a
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: bunch of McCarthy for the Cowboys. Yeah, because I really
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: thought earlier in the year, I was like, man if
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: if Jerry, if they started bad, Jerry is gonna get
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: rid of him. Quick and just give the keys to
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: Kellen Moore. And it's been going as playing. The offenses
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: look great and the rest of the team's from crap.
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: But I don't think I don't think it matters now
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: because I already lost that. But but yeah, for this game.
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: I like back in teams I just fired their head coaches.
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: It's usually one of those where the team bounced back
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: like they hated the coach. They feel more freedom, they
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: feel more loose. The coordinators taken over, and from what
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: we've seen from the Jags, they've been letting us down
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: that last week, that was a prime game that at
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: worst we should have covered that plus three and a half.
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: It came on the second half just flat and they
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: got bullied. And I'm looking at it here where it's
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: down to six and a half now for Houston and
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: the majority of the public bets are coming in on
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: the Jags, So that gives you even more confidence that
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: Houston is probably going to be the right side this week.
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: And that's a really good number to take with them
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: six and a half. Why do we like teams after
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: they fired their coaches? I agree with you. I always
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: love teams after they fire their coaches. I should go
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: into our bet labs and figure out, like what the
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: the precedent, historical precedent is on how teams do against
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: the spread the week that they fired their coaches. But like,
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: new quarterbacks and new coaches always give me a little
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: bit of a pause betting against I'm with you on that.
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know the exact numbers, but I feel like
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: that's just something embedded in the gamblers. It's like, oh,
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: a new head coach, take it. So I'm with you,
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: all right. Dolphins visiting the Niners. Dolphins look like eight
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: point underdogs. Boy boy boy, oh boy man, Like we've
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: put a lot behind Ryan Fitzpatrick's by this year. Real fits, magic, magic, matchic.
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: We have invested emotionally, we have invested spiritually, and we
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: have invested financially. And they don't have the same sort
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: of edge that they had last year. Like the value
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: is certainly not there that it was that was their
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: last year. But eight points against this forty Niners team,
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: there we go say that's value. It is. I hate
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: being the guy that's like, oh, we got unlucky on
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: our beds last week, but it's like, how are you
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: going to kick four field goals against Russell Wilson. What
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: are we doing here? If if my team is in
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: the red zone, I'm playing Russell Wilson. I'm either going
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: for it on fourth down to keep trying to get
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: touchdowns or I'm gonna just give it back to him
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: because three points does nothing against this guy. It was brutal.
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: He's he ripped our soul last week, Russell Wilson, because
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: the they had that, they had that back door all
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: lined up Miami and he just put a bomb down
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: the field and went down the field and scored and
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: our touchow. I'll go no, I'm Russell Wilson. I'm going
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: for m VP this year. You're not getting no backdoor
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: on me. So I would back Miami. I like that number.
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: That's a big number. I know that they could be
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: run on and that's what the four nineers do really good.
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: But just like what we saw with the Eagles, there's
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: just too many replacements, like yeah, kidlet Mike kill us,
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: and that's gonna hurt. We know what it is with
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: fits Magic, he's gonna have down weeks, he's up up weeks.
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: So I'll take this big number and I'll back the Dolphins.
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: But we can put them aside and don't have to
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: put them in right now for a competition. We'll make
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: a question about that. Do you feel like watching some
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: of these games and this This was definitely true on
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: Sunday in the last two minutes of the first half.
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: I felt like maybe four games had garbage points in
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: the final two minutes that ultimately had an impact on
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: the spread in the in a bad way for me. Yeah,
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: honestly though, that's normal, Like, especially the more you do this,
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: it's just it's just mathematical that the two minute drill
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: teams are tired at the end of the first half,
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: especially these teams with the no real preseason um I
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: saw some crazy stad Their car is like money and
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: the two minute drills. He scored on every two minute
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: drill possession he's had this year. So, like we said,
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: with the no fans and no crowd noise with these teams,
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: it's really been benefiting these offenses, like everyone's seen with
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: all these overs, and it's just another one of those
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: where these road teams, they're I'm starting to favor them
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: more because it really doesn't matter with no fans, these
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: silent counts, you can do whatever you want as an
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: offense on the road. It's it's really starting to factor
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: into a lot of these games. Uh, Cowboys Giants, Cowboys
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: favored by nine and a half. Dude, you have to
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: do it. Come on. That's a terrible idea. It is
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: a terrible idea that we need a new rule. We
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: need a new rule. Well that you can't bet. I'm
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: Danny Dimes. Let's hear it for Danny Dimes or because
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: he's just Danny Fumbles. How many times did he fumble
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: in this game? Even though he didn't lose the fumbles
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: Like every time red zone switched to Danny Jones, he
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: was getting sacked and the ball was falling out of
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: his hand and he happened to fall on top of it.
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: The problem with betting on these bad teams is we
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: are betting on such bad quarterbacks. It is like you
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: need to be perfect to win these games. I hate
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: doing it and I hate backing them here, but like
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: we talked last week, and the Cowboys they're losers, and
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: I know they played good teams here, and like maybe
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: that's what's catching me here, but I can't believe the
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: public are coming in. I guess I get it because
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: the Giants are so bad, but they're they're taking the
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: Cowboys minus nine and a half. It's it's blown my
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: mind here. It's like, who can this defense stop? I know,
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: I'm with you. I'm like, think about it now. The
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: Giants are so bad. I don't know why I love
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: this line so much, Like I have it at seven
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: seven and a half, So like, I'm getting a ton
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: of value here on the Giants in a divisional game
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: against the Cowboys. Who, Yeah, their offense is incredible, and
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: maybe that's what I'm misreading here, is that they're gonna
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: get scores and the Giants with terrible Daniel Jones, they'll
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: they'll just get stops themselves because they can't complete their
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: down passes. So I'm with you. We can stay away,
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: but I cannot bet the Cowboys minus not and a half.
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: You're gonna so you're gonna bet this game regardless. Yeah,
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: Like I'm gonna take the Giants money line. That's how
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: much I don't believe in this Cowboys team right now.
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: I think something's wrong with them. In a normal year,
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: if they had a pack house, this is a great
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: spot for the Cowboys. This is that they should kill
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: the Giants here. But I'm gonna trust that with the
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: sparse fans down in Dallas and the Giants been playing,
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: they played better on the road they do at home.
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: They've covered twice this year, and both times it's been
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: on the road. I'm I'm gonna ride that trend. I'm
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: gonna take the Giants here. You were going to take
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: the Giants who are school worrying about three and a
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: half points a game, with a with a quarterback who
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: can't convert a third down unless he's lucky enough to
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: fumble the ball forward. And you've got them going on
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: the road even in a seventeen thousand person you know,
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: fan capacity, against a quarterback who has thrown for more
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: yards in the first four games than any quarterback in
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: NFL history, who is against a team that is desperate
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: for a win, desperate and this Giants team is terrible defensively,
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: and you're telling me you will bet the money line
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: in this game. What is the money line on this
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: game right now? So it's nine a half, So I'm
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: guessing it's like that's off top of my head. But
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: this is like I I every week I do money
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: line parlays. And we talked about like I really like
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: the Browns and the Eagles last week, so I put
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: their money lines together. So you like those are you
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: getting sane odds on these big money lines. So I'll
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: put a grand it's to win ten grand, and then
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: I'll just wait live watching the game, like and Eagles,
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: and he just heads live. So say the Eagles, I
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: forget what point it was where they got up, Um,
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: I think it was a touchdown. That's when I just
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: take the forty nine years at seven and a half
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: or eight plut plus eight as a dog and try
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: to hit the middle. So with this week, we haven't
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: gotted the games yet, like the Vikings money line, with
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: like the Chargers money line, those are kind of things
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: like I'll stack those like you in your water stream
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: to go. There's no way the Charges will beat the Saints,
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: and there's no way the Vikings, you just got their
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: first one, are gonna beat Downbeaty Bo Russell Wilson. But
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: these are just games where the lines have gotten so
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: high because these teams are so undervalue that if I
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: just hit these kind of money line parlays just three
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: times in a season, I've doubled. I've doubled that original
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: bank roller tripled it, so I don't want to scare
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: people wrong here. I would not recommend to anybody listening
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: here to uh take the Giants money line, but this
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: is one of those where I think I'm getting an
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: extra two and a half numbers of value and that
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: goes into the money line. So I'm gonna take that
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: just because I think there's value on it. All right.
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: By the way, the number on the money line right
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: now is uh plus three fifty Giants plus three fifty.
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: All right. Let's the Broncos Patriots game is not posted
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: right now, so I cannot talk about that game. I apologize.
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: I got a couple of tweets from people saying, hey,
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: you gotta talk about all the games this one I can't.
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: There's no number up right now unless you're seeing something.
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: But I'm not seeing a number. Yeah, And like if
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: I get it like that, people want to talk about
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: these games, were like, what can we really do without
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: knowing who's playing? Without lines up? So I'm with all
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: on that. On Twitter, you can reach out to either
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: of us and we'll give you our opinions um later
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: in the week on it obviously, but for right now,
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: my only advice would be everyone's gonna take the under,
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: so I'll take the over, And I have nothing else
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: about that game. Both teams are banged up and hurt.
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: Whatever it opens that say, it's horrier standing at QB.
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: I'll probably end up on the Patriots after a bad
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: loss them to bounce back. But I can't. I can't
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: honestly tell you what to do with this game, all right,
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: I gotta give everybody reminder, go rate and review the podcast,
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: subscribe to the podcast, use the phrase that pays. Simon says, sorry,
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: and if we choose that very creative review, then you
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: will win. Next week a f reaction network couldy and
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: we will announce the winner of this week's reaction Network
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: couldie at the end of the show. Getting to the
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: end of this slate here in the last four games,
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: the last four game, we've got the Indianapolis Colts visiting
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: the Cleveland Browns culture three point favorites on the road.
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: Wait wow, sent of the money so far coming in
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: on the Colds, But of the bets so right now.
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: When you've got money on one side, reminder, money on
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: one side, bets on the other side, that tends to
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: mean pros on the one side, which in this case
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: is the Colts. Joe's on the Browns sign. Yeah, I
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: get what they're seeing here. The Pros are coming in
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: because the Cults have been good to them. They're a
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: well coached team, sold them both sides of the ball,
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: and Philip Rivers has kept together. And we're going against
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: the Cleveland team. Now, Who's I mean? That must be
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: their first back to back double digit wins in a
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: long time. Another Cowboys came back there and kind of
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: made it a game. And I don't know if if
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: if I'm just reading this wrong or if I'm overthinking it,
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: but I just I'm just waiting for the floor to
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: fall out on this Colts team. It's Rivers plays with fire.
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: Every time he throws the ball, his arm looks like
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: a noodle arm. And the other times he puts it
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: right on the dome on a guy up the sideline.
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: And I'm gonna back to Browns here. I'm not gonna
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: be happy about it. I'm gonna kick myself for it,
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: but I'm I'm gonna trust that the Browns can play
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: well at home. The Colts, after back to back road games,
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: are gonna lay in neck here well, Look, this is
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: a strength versus strength, right, I mean, even without Nick Chubb,
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: the Browns have a really great rushing offense, best in
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: football x X, best in football statistically, they're executing at
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: an incredibly high level. Yeah. And the Colts, meanwhile, they've
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: got the best rushing defense, and not just that, but
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: like the best scoring defense. So a Browns team that
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: has scored thirty points three straight weeks, first time in
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: fifty years, the Cleveland Browns have done that going against
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: a very very strong scoring defense and a very strong
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: rushing defense. I get why the professionals are back in
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: the Colts here, which is why it makes me incredibly
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: nervous that you like the Browns. Yeah, and I can
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: see that too, because historically the good run defense will
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: stop the good run offense. Yeah, I'm with you. We
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: can stay away, but yeah, I do. I just like
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: the Browns here because I'm banking on their offense being
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: able to outproduce the Colts. But with all the injuries
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: the brown secondary, I guess I guess you're right. I
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: guess we can just put this on the side. All right, Philly,
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: Right there, you sounded like you were directly from the
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: center of Philadelphia. The Browns offense Seahawks minus seven at
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: home against the Vikings, desperate fur a win, looking like crap.
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: Their defense talk about banged up. This is going to
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: be a stay away from me. You're gonna have to
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: convince me on this one because it's either for me.
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: It's either the Seahawks or to stay away because this
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: this Vikings defense isn't tatters. Yeah you're I'm with you
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: on that. And like, what I like about this game
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: is just the fact that Seattle is undefeated. They're undefeated
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: against the spread too, So I'm just playing the numbers
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: that they're due for a letdown. I thought we're gonna
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: get it last week. All the things were there for
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: it to be a letdown, but the Dolphins in capitalized.
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: So yeah, we can stay away about I'll play Minnesota
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: plus seven and a half. Well, I mean when you
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: say that, it's like, why would I not want to
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: be doing what you're doing with my money? Do you
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: know what I mean? Because, like I told you we're
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: in the podcast, I overthink our five picks like you
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: wouldn't believe it. Like I'm up Saturday night late, I
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: should be thinking about my clients and my own bets
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: when I'm like, yeah, these five are this are we
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: this is really the five are gone with So I'm
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: with you, man, this is like like there's other games
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: that are like you put your nuts on the table,
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: your big balls, like we don't have to do in Minnesota.
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: Like that's like, that's what I mean. That's why, like
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: last week I was second guesting the Dolphins one because
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: it's just I hate going against Russ and like I
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: hate being on the spot again where I'm trying to
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: do it for us again. So I'm with you, let's
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: just stay away. I don't want to put Minnesota. We
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: need Matt Mitchell, our producer. He is going to have
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: to create a big balls better the Week there game
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: where we are just putting our nuts on the table.
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: I think it's going to be the Giants. I think
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: in the spirit, in the spirit of the big balls
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: Better the Week, we might have to make it the Giants.
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: I might even put a little taste on the money
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: line in then that that are the Eagles. That the
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: because the Eagles is even more insane because like everyone
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: loves Pittsburgh right now and everyone is just like the
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: Eagles are banged up in their trash, so that might
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: be the biggest one alright. Meanwhile, the Saints apparently only
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: play in prime time because they're back on Monday Night.
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: There's seven and a half point favorites against the Los
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: Angeles Chargers, and Justin Herbert, I don't have a read
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: on this game. It's a weird number for me, kind
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: of not indicating anything. I don't see any value convinced
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: me otherwise. I hate back in rookies and primetime games,
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: especially uh, especially where it's back to back road games
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: for the Chargers. But I still you last week with
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: Drew Brees, I still have not seeing what I need
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: to see from him, and he still doesn't look right.
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: So we'll wait and we'll see what danger report is
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: if we even think about putting this one in. But
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: if Michael Thomas is out again and the Chargers are
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: full go, because right now the Chargers they might be down,
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: I want to say it's three offensive alignment. I want
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: to wait and see what the deals with their O line.
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: But I would take the seven and a half of
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: the Chargers. But I'm not gonna put this from the
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: competition yet, all right, So that's the slate right now.
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: And don't forget go rate and review the podcast. We're
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: gonna come back in a second. I am going to
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: announce the winner of last week's Phrase that Pays, this
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: week's phrase that pays to win a Free Action Network hoodie. Uh.
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: Simon says, I'm sorry for uh and he's apologizing to me,
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: which is gracious of him, considering he's giving us his
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: time and his advice and his wisdom for not putting
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: the Browns in our final five. And so right now,
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: in our final five, we have our first Thursday Night
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: pick of the week, the Bears plus five and a half.
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: We are considering we have to betting your balls picks
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: of the week right now, the Eagles plus seven against
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: the Steelers, the Giants plus nine and a half. We
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: might want to go money line against the Cowboys. So Bears, Eagles,
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: Giants to other games. Were considering Rams minus eight against
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: the Washington football team, Miami plus eight against the forty
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: Niners right now. Other games, other games we're thinking about.
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: We're thinking about Ravens is huge favorites against the Bengals.
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: I might love this game. I might fall in love
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: with it, but we're waiting for the number to move.
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: I think at some point we're going to talk about
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: the Ravens line moving and we're gonna want that one.
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: I bet Houston because we want to bet against. We
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: want to bet on new coaches, and maybe the Browns
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: as we get to it. But those are those are
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: the games, the Bears, Eagles, Rams, Dolphins, Giants, Ravens, Texans, Browns.
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: You can get all this in the Action Network cap.
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: Just go to the Action Network cap on Sunday morning.
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: Follow Simon Hunter. I will put all those picks there.
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: On Sunday, it's time for the phrase the pays winner.
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: Here we go. The phrase that pays This is from reminder,
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: Simon says, I'm sorry. Put that in the review that
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: you give us when you rate and when you subscribe.
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: We will choose the winner to get a free Action
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: Network putty. The winner this week is Frank a k
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: A Gambling Tank. We are still missing the best selling
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: author and bookmaker to the world, Bob Scucci. With that
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: being said, Simon Hunter, the professional gambler, not the British actor,
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: the guy that somehow got a job working on the
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: set of Jersey Shore, has stepped up and been a
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: pretty good replacement after going two and three. Two weeks ago,
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: Simon said we bounced back, which is true, but I'm
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: He also said the Reskins were the right side all
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: in all. If you like winning money, this is the
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: podcast for you. You feel like you know Simon and
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: Chad personally, Gambling Tank, Frank Listen, you gotta reach out
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: to Matt Mitchell Matt dot Mitchell at Action network dot
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: com so you can get your free hoodie. We gotta
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: make it grade this week. That's all I can say. Yeah,
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: and don't hate us. We as our bye week people. Yeah,
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: don't hate us, that's right. Don't hate us. If we
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: used by week, I'll still put picks in the app.
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: Don't worry for Simon Hunter. This has been the favorites
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: from the Action Network. Download from Spotify, from iTunes, wherever
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: you get your podcasts. Until next time, I Love you,