Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 462 - 2/25/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All Systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
- 0:14welcome to episode 462 of the All Systems Go sports betting
- 0:20podcast powered by Rhythm. I'm your host, Josh Applebaum.
- 0:29What's going on, everyone? Happy Wednesday.
- 0:31It's officially hump day. That means you're halfway
- 0:33through our work week, guys. Also happens to be the final
- 0:36week in the month of February. So if you're like me, today was
- 0:40a great day because you know what?
- 0:41It hit 40°. So all the snow that we've been
- 0:44getting recently, I can't remember the last time it's been
- 0:46this snowy of a winter, but I don't know, 40°.
- 0:50It feels like 80°. The snow was melting.
- 0:53My dog is happy because you know, it's tough trying to go
- 0:56poop and pee in the backyard when he got 3 feet of snow.
- 0:58But spring, it feels like spring is on its way.
- 1:01So once again, we're going to get right back to college
- 1:04basketball. Who loves betting college hoops?
- 1:07Raise your hand. I do, I do huge slate tonight
- 1:09guys. Wednesday slate 55 games
- 1:12overall. I got 3 for you.
- 1:14So once again, we're going to look at 3 money line short
- 1:16favorites and see if we can take advantage of some sharp mush
- 1:19edges as well as some rhythm Green Star recommended plays.
- 1:23I always love it when the betting market aligns with a
- 1:26data-driven play that I'm looking to get down on with, of
- 1:29course, the cherry on top of both rhythm or juice Reel or
- 1:32both in a perfect world, telling us that yeah, we're on the same
- 1:35side, so you might as well fire on that bet.
- 1:37So I'm looking forward to another three pack today guys.
- 1:40And again, going to try to focus on not only these data-driven
- 1:43plays, but also some revenge angles.
- 1:44We got some teams here that are looking to enact some revenge
- 1:47for us tonight. So hopefully that will be a
- 1:49benefit because you'd see that come through last night and as
- 1:52always trying to go 2IN1, eke out a winning night.
- 1:55Now looking for last night guys, bust out the brooms.
- 1:57I would have taken a two in one. We were free rolling there
- 2:00because we had both Miami and Coastal Carolina come through
- 2:04early. So when you have 3 bets and you
- 2:05go 2 and O, you say to yourself, OK, the hard work is done.
- 2:09We've guaranteed ourselves a winning night.
- 2:11But then I think it's OK to get get a little greedy, say hey,
- 2:14let's try to go 3 and O. And that's exactly what we did 3
- 2:16and O + 2.43 units. Nevada was the big one late.
- 2:21It was nip and tuck with New Mexico, but they outlasted the
- 2:23Lobos 167 to 60. Both Nevada and Miami had some
- 2:27really good sharp mush edges. That's why I try to highlight
- 2:30it. And again, if you're unfamiliar
- 2:32with the sharp mush, it's a really cool indicator that you
- 2:35get with the Juice Reel app, where the Juice Reel app, when
- 2:37you sync up your books, which I do it, you should do it too
- 2:40because it'll give you a report card, can track all your plays,
- 2:43and it just makes it much easier for bet tracking.
- 2:46But that really isolates, OK, we got people who have downloaded
- 2:49the app, synced up their books, we can track their performance.
- 2:52We're not going to tell you who's who, but we are going to
- 2:54say the majority of these winning betters are on this side
- 2:58versus the losing betters who are on the other side.
- 3:00And when they look for those discrepancies, that always makes
- 3:02me excited to know, hey, other sharp people who have a proven
- 3:05track record, they're with me. So a couple of sharp mushes came
- 3:08through and then Coastal was a nice one because they're up and
- 3:11then they kind of blew it and then they came back and won,
- 3:13which is great. But they had a really good
- 3:15rhythm green star recommendation.
- 3:17So I always love it when rhythm has a an official green star or
- 3:20smart signal, especially on a money line play.
- 3:22When you money line a short favorite and rhythm says, yeah,
- 3:24green star play. It gets me excited there.
- 3:27So 3 and O busting out the brooms plus 2.43 units.
- 3:31And we're going to see if we can try to go 2 and one and stay hot
- 3:34here to to start the week. With that being said, let's
- 3:37waste no further time and get right to it.
- 3:39Reminder I've had people reach out to me.
- 3:41Just want to say it again, MLB wind totals, they're coming
- 3:44guys. I had someone DM me yesterday
- 3:46saying who do you like for wind totals?
- 3:48And I said I don't know yet. I'm still doing my research.
- 3:50I want to get through some spring training, but don't
- 3:52worry, I'll have a few wind totals for you.
- 3:55I'm crossing my fingers at the both my Boston Bruins and my
- 3:59Boston Celtics cash their over points and wind totals here
- 4:02briefly or close I should say, because the Celtics are at 39
- 4:06wins. You might have played it with me
- 4:08over 40 1/2 or 41 1/2. So we're getting close to that
- 4:11one. And then the Bruins hockey
- 4:13returns tonight. Add them over 79 now.
- 4:15So it's so we can get a couple of those.
- 4:16And oh, by the way, I did notice our guy JB Bickerstaff, Coach of
- 4:20the Year, got him around plus 100 or plus 125.
- 4:23I forgot the number. I think he's now -300 So let's
- 4:26see if we can get that one as well.
- 4:28I would always love having futures because it just gives
- 4:30you a rooting interest and hopefully, you know, if you have
- 4:32some patience, you can still pad your bankroll with them.
- 4:34But anyway, let's get to what we love doing, looking at the
- 4:37board, having no predispositions or biases, who we want to bet,
- 4:41Let the board speak to us, tell us where our system matches are
- 4:44at. So first one on the board for
- 4:45me. Let's look at an early match up
- 4:47here in the A10 between George Mason and Saint Joe's. 7:00 PM
- 4:52Eastern Time tip. Let's set the stage.
- 4:53Talk, splits, line movement, system matches.
- 4:55I'll give you my play for this one.
- 4:57So George Mason comes in 21 and six on the year, but they have
- 5:00dropped for their last five. Just lost the Dayton 82 to 67,
- 5:05losing outright as a 2 1/2 point home favorite.
- 5:07Meanwhile, Saint Joe's 17 and 10.
- 5:10I'm going to date myself. I remember when Saint Joe's, if
- 5:12you're like me, I'm 38. Remember when they had Delonte
- 5:14West and Jameer Nelson? That was pretty awesome.
- 5:17I was a Celts fan. I love Delonte West, but Saint
- 5:19Joe's 17 and 10, they've won two straight.
- 5:22Just brushed aside Loyola Chicago 75 to 61 covered as a 9
- 5:271/2 point home favorite. So just sitting across the.
- 5:29Board for this one. Well, this one's kind of been
- 5:30back and forth because we opened this game with George Mason
- 5:35lists around A1 or 1 1/2 point Rd. favorite.
- 5:38And the public, they don't know what to do.
- 5:39They're basically 5050 right down the middle.
- 5:41So we always talk about 5050 line movement.
- 5:44Why is that important? Because in a vacuum, tickets are
- 5:47even, you would expect the line not to move at all.
- 5:49Well, when I wrote. The sharp before.
- 5:51Earlier this morning it was very clear that this line had flipped
- 5:54towards Saint Joe's. Saint Joe's went from a one
- 5:56point or 1 1/2 point home dog to a 1 1/2 point home favorite.
- 6:00And some shops got even as high as -2 or 2 1/2.
- 6:03So big dog to fave line move in favor of Saint Joe's.
- 6:07Told me smart money was on the Hawks in this one.
- 6:10I like the splits at circa Saint Joe's.
- 6:12Only 50% spread bets, but 78% of spread dollars to really good
- 6:17low bets, higher dollar split. So I was saying to myself, OK,
- 6:20let's go Saint Joe's here on the money line -130 that's the
- 6:24number that I got. I like the DK splits on the
- 6:27money line, 48% bets, 83% dollars.
- 6:31I also like that Saint Joe's has the better defensive efficiency,
- 6:3472nd in the country verse 110th for George Mason.
- 6:38Better free throw shooting, 96th versus 195th.
- 6:40And they hold their opponents to a better effective field goal
- 6:44percentage, 49th versus 91st Saint Joe's, 11 and three at
- 6:48home. They played well at home in
- 6:49Philly. George Mason four and four on
- 6:51the road, SO500 team. And as some revenge spots came
- 6:55through last night, this is a revenge spot for Saint Joe's.
- 6:57They lost to the George Mason Patriots 60 to 52 on the road
- 7:02back in early February. So the big, you know, adjustment
- 7:06here or you know, elephant in the room that I got to mention
- 7:08is that all that being said, I was take committed Saint Joe's
- 7:12-130 I'm still take committed with Saint Joe's.
- 7:14But we did see some buyback here.
- 7:16This surprised me. I'm starting to see some books
- 7:18go back to George Mason -1 or even -1 1/2.
- 7:22Now let's see if that stays that way.
- 7:24Let's see if that's a head fake. Let's see if this thing gets
- 7:27back down to a pick em or comes back towards Saint Joe's.
- 7:30But I was surprised that this line went back toward George
- 7:33Mason. So if you haven't bet the game
- 7:35yet, you can get plus 1 1/2 right now with Saint Joe's,
- 7:39which is what I would do. But because I already bet the
- 7:41money line. You might have heard me say this
- 7:43before. It's kind of a cute joke I like
- 7:45to make, but I dance with the one who rung me.
- 7:47If little Samantha at the 8th grade Sadie Hawkins Dance
- 7:51invites us to dance, we're dancing with her.
- 7:53We're not going to stand her up because some cuter girl who has
- 7:56ignored us all year asked us to dance.
- 7:57Nope, we stay with our commitments.
- 8:00So again, I think you can talk to different people and they're
- 8:02going to, they might give you different answers.
- 8:04You could cash out, you know, you could bet the other side,
- 8:07you could live bet it or wait for a better opportune number.
- 8:09That's all up to you. But I'm sticking with my bad
- 8:12Saint Joe's -130 money line. I do like the fact that there's
- 8:15a 30% still a 30% even with this line.
- 8:18Move back toward George Mason. 30% sharp mush edge on the money
- 8:22line on Saint Joe's from our friends at Juice Rail.
- 8:25And I have a rhythm model that says Saint Joe's should be as
- 8:27high as -3.4. So I'm surprised this line went
- 8:30back to George Mason. If you haven't bet it yet and
- 8:33you want to ride with me, you can get Saint Joe's plus 1 1/2,
- 8:36which is a pretty good edge if rhythms got it closer to -3 and
- 8:39there's a sharp mush on the money line.
- 8:41But if you're like me and you already bet it, I'm sticking
- 8:44with it. So I'm sticking with Saint Joe's
- 8:46on the money line. Again.
- 8:47I got a bad -130 If you look at the money line right now, then
- 8:50you can get something closer to, you know, minus one O 5 + 100 -,
- 8:54110. Let's see if Saint Joe's can
- 8:57still win this game outright, which is, of course, the goal.
- 9:00So Saint Joe's money line, but maybe you'll get a + 1 1/2.
- 9:03If you haven't got it yet and you want to ride next one for
- 9:05you, let's go to a 9:00 Eastern Time.
- 9:07Tip, go to the SECLSU visiting Ole Miss Now, LSU comes in 14
- 9:14and 13, but they've lost eight of their last nine.
- 9:16They've really struggled here. They just lost to Bama 90 to 83.
- 9:20But no shame in that. They did cover as a + 7 1/2 home
- 9:23dog. Similarly, Ole Miss 11 and 16,
- 9:26they've dropped nine in a row. So Ole Miss has lost nine in a
- 9:29row. LSU has lost eight of their last
- 9:31nine. Both these teams are struggling
- 9:33to say the least. Ole Miss just got routed by
- 9:35Florida 94 to 75, did not cover as a 13 1/2 point home dog.
- 9:39So. What do you see across the
- 9:41market here? Well.
- 9:42This one's interesting because it opened Ole Miss listed as a 1
- 9:451/2 point home favorite. Now, both teams are bad,
- 9:48recently lost nine in a row or eight of their last nine.
- 9:52But this kind of spoke volumes to me.
- 9:54Why did Ole Miss open as a 1 1/2 point home favorite?
- 9:56Yes, we have to apply homecourt advantage, but why is a team
- 10:00that's well below 511 and 16 favored over and above 500 team
- 10:05who's 14 and 13? So I always like it.
- 10:08Just a rule of thumb when you're open as a favorite and become
- 10:11more of a favorite when you have a losing record or a worse
- 10:13record against your opponent who's got a better record,
- 10:16because it doesn't make sense. It's fishy again.
- 10:18The old me, new to sports betting, would say LSU all day.
- 10:21They got a winning record, they're getting points and a
- 10:22story. But you kind of learn over time
- 10:24to embrace things that don't make sense.
- 10:26Fishy opportunities. What I like even better is that
- 10:30even though we open Ole Miss -1 1/2, this line isn't up to or
- 10:33it's not down to a pick or hopping the fence to LSU -1 no,
- 10:37it's gone further toward Ole Miss.
- 10:39So Ole Miss has been pushed up -1 1/2 up to -2 1/2.
- 10:43So the team with the losing record who struggled is now
- 10:46becoming more of a favorite against a team with a above 500
- 10:49record. So it makes me like Ole Miss
- 10:50even more than we get to the splits.
- 10:53Some pretty good ones here. You look at DK 70% bets, 80%
- 10:57dollars on Ole Miss, so low bets higher dollar Pro and Joe split
- 11:01I really like at circa 50% spread bets over 90% of spread
- 11:05dollars. So that tells me a lot of big
- 11:07money out in Vegas is also going with the Rebels here.
- 11:10And both books have that low bets higher dollar split.
- 11:13Now I played Ole Miss, you know me.
- 11:15Money line is short favorite. Protect ourselves.
- 11:16I'd hate to lay Ole Miss -2 1/2 then win by one or two and you
- 11:20lose your bet and you stay up all night and regret it.
- 11:22Nope, I'll pay a little more juice.
- 11:23So I got the money line here at -140 at the score.
- 11:27Shop around cuz some books I'm seeing are as high as -150 but I
- 11:30do like adk Ole Miss 63% money line bets over 80% money line
- 11:35dollars. So it tells me more of that big
- 11:38smart money is going with Ole Miss to win this game outright.
- 11:41Ole Miss has a few advantages that jumped out to me looking at
- 11:43the Ken Palm analytics. They have the better defensive
- 11:46efficiency, 80th versus 104th for LSU.
- 11:49They commit fewer turnovers on offense, so they protect the
- 11:51ball, take care of the ball better, 26th versus 71st for the
- 11:56Tigers. And they limit their opponents
- 11:57to a better three-point percentage to make it harder to
- 12:00shoot your threes. 175th in the country versus 276th for LSU.
- 12:05Little home Rd. edge, nothing crazy.
- 12:07But Ole Miss, even though they're 11 and 16 overall,
- 12:09they're seven and six at home. So above 500, LSU is just two
- 12:13and six on the road. So we have a fishy worst team,
- 12:17worst record opening as a favorite, becoming more of a
- 12:20favorite, good splits home Rd. And then also popped open Juice
- 12:24reel. 13% sharp mush edge on the Ole Miss money line.
- 12:29So 13% more of the sharper winning betters who have juice
- 12:32reel like you out there listening.
- 12:34Also going Ole Miss. So second play for me tonight,
- 12:37another money line I got Ole Miss, let's go Rebels win the
- 12:40damn game around -140 last bed of the night, staying up late.
- 12:45We have an 11:00 match up here, Utah State and San Diego State,
- 12:49little Mountain West late night action.
- 12:51So I like to make the joke and I tell you what guys, I was
- 12:54falling asleep halfway through the Nevada game last night just
- 12:57cuz I'm getting older. And it was like it was like, I
- 13:00don't know, midnight, 1:00 AM, but I made sure I I stayed awake
- 13:04and and watched that winner, which was worth it with Nevada
- 13:05coming up huge. So we'll see if I doze off in
- 13:08this one again, hopefully not hopefully get a winner here.
- 13:12So setting the stage, Utah State 23 and 4 having a great year,
- 13:15but they did just see their eight game win streak come to an
- 13:18end. They lost to aforementioned
- 13:19Nevada 80 to 77 lost outright as an as a 5 1/2 point Rd. favorite
- 13:24in that one. Meanwhile San Diego State, the
- 13:26Aztecs 18 and 8 but they have dropped two in a row.
- 13:30Just got tripped up by Colorado State 83 to 74 lost out right as
- 13:33a 3 1/2 point Rd. favorite. So we sit across the market
- 13:37here. Well, this game opened at a pick
- 13:39em. So what do we always talk about?
- 13:41Game opens at a pick. Where does the line move?
- 13:44It's very important to me. All line moves are important.
- 13:46They could be, you know, driven by injuries or the weather.
- 13:50Most often, you know, line moves are going to be driven not by
- 13:52the public, but by respected money coming in.
- 13:55The odds makers are going to move a number based on respected
- 13:57money, not average Joe $5 money. So when you open out a pick,
- 14:02where does the line move? Mentioned this yesterday.
- 14:05But when you open out a pick, this happened I believe in the
- 14:07Coastal Carolina game. You know, do the sharps who are
- 14:10thinking of betting this game, do they have the same exact
- 14:13number? If if the opener is a pick em
- 14:16and they have a pick em based on their power ratings and the the
- 14:18formulas that spit out their, their spread make adjustments,
- 14:21of course, homecourt, all that kind of stuff.
- 14:23If they also have a pick, they're not going to touch the
- 14:25game because there's no edge. Remember, wise guys are only
- 14:28betting if they feel like they have an edge or an advantage
- 14:30over the book. But there are cases where hey
- 14:33opens out a pick. You know, wise guys disagree.
- 14:36They say this team should be -2 -, 1 whatever the case may be,
- 14:40looks like here wise guys have said hey, San Diego State should
- 14:43be favored because we've seen the sign creep up in favor of
- 14:46the Aztecs. San Diego State went from a pick
- 14:49up to -1 1/2. So that's my first indicator
- 14:52that we got smart money going with San Diego State.
- 14:56Now it makes this even more sharper.
- 14:59I guess you could say with the Aztecs is that the Publix on
- 15:01Utah State, they're 23 and 4. That's a better record than San
- 15:04Diego State 18 and 8. So why not take Utah State?
- 15:07Again, better team, basically a pick em.
- 15:09So 54% of spread bats, not hugely lopsided, but a clear
- 15:13majority on Utah State. Yet the line is moved toward San
- 15:17Diego State. Pick em up to -1 1/2.
- 15:20So what is that what we like? What do you like to call that?
- 15:22A fade the trendy dog reverse line move.
- 15:24The trendy popular dog is Utah State.
- 15:27But the line ain't going to Utah State, it's going to San Diego
- 15:29State. So I like playing San Diego
- 15:31State in this spot as a contrarian.
- 15:34Reverse line move, fade the trendy dog play.
- 15:36I also like at Circa. So you look at DraftKings
- 15:39majority tickets on Utah State. But at Circa, which caters to
- 15:42the sharps, 80% of spread bets, over 90% of spread dollars are
- 15:46on San Diego State. Yeah.
- 15:48So it tells me, hey, you know the pros out there in the
- 15:51desert, they like San Diego State here as well.
- 15:53You know me, It's a money line play.
- 15:55I ain't laying 1 1/2 winning by 1.
- 15:57So I did play San Diego State on the money line I got -115 a
- 16:01little bit earlier today. You can now get them around -120
- 16:04So not a bad money line price at DK San Diego State, 52% money
- 16:09line bets, 75% money line dollars.
- 16:12So those bigger, sharper wagers look to be going with the Aztecs
- 16:16system match for you when 2 Mountain West teams face off in
- 16:19conference play. Take the home favorite.
- 16:21It's 44 and 688% straight up. It's a straight up money line
- 16:25system, 8% ROI this year. This also matched with Nevada
- 16:29last night as a short favorite in the Mountain West.
- 16:31So let's hope that San Diego State can continue this Mountain
- 16:34West home favorite streak. San Diego State has the better
- 16:37defensive efficiency. Again, we've known that for
- 16:39years. They play great.
- 16:40D 17th in the country versus 37th for Utah State and better
- 16:44free throw percentage. Big, big advantage here if this
- 16:46is a tight game. Got to make our free throws.
- 16:48They rank 62nd in the country and free throw percentage.
- 16:52Utah State ranks 200 and 41st. Lastly, I told you we had a
- 16:56revenge play tonight, which we like to see late in the year.
- 17:00This is our revenge play for the Aztecs.
- 17:01They went to Utah State, lost 71 to 66 back in late January.
- 17:06So they have an opportunity to repay the favor.
- 17:09So it reminds me a little bit of the Nevada play last night, late
- 17:12night Mountain West, short pick em or short favorite line move.
- 17:16Oh, by the way, there is a 15% sharp mush edge on the San Diego
- 17:20State money line from our friends at Rhythm or sorry, our
- 17:23friends are at Juice Rail. So I'm going Aztecs hopefully to
- 17:26finish off the night, late night sweat.
- 17:29We'll hopefully catch this one around 2:00 AM.
- 17:31Knock on wood, but Saint Joe's money line, that's what I got.
- 17:35You might be able to get a + 1 1/2 now.
- 17:37Ole Miss money line, San Diego State money line, 3 short money
- 17:40line favorites. See if we can get two out of
- 17:42three and and stay hot here, which is always the goal.
- 17:46So that about does it for episode 462 of the All Systems
- 17:50Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 17:52This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
- 17:55We always start first by saying thank you.
- 17:57Thank you for listening, Thank you for tuning in.
- 17:59Thank you for grinding in the arena with me every single day
- 18:02through the UPS and the downs, the good days, the bad days, the
- 18:05three and O sweeps, the O and threes, the two and ones, 1 and
- 18:08twos. Again, we're always grinding.
- 18:11So if you enjoy this pod and you want to let me know you
- 18:14appreciate the hard work that I put in putting this on each day.
- 18:17You know what I'd love for you, for you to do?
- 18:19You can pick from any of these things.
- 18:20I'm going to mention one you could give this podcast a five
- 18:22star review. Very, very easy listening on
- 18:25Spotify or iTunes. Five stars goes a long way
- 18:27helping us to continue to grow the pod.
- 18:29If you'd like to leave a nice comment under the review
- 18:31section, click the follow button that we get alerted as soon as
- 18:35the pod drops each day. Recommend the pod to a friend.
- 18:38Retweet the pod when I put it out each day at Josh under score
- 18:41insights. I'd very much appreciate one or
- 18:43all of those things. If you're going to do 1 five
- 18:46star review, that really helps. Next, if you enjoy the style of
- 18:49sports betting, data-driven, sharp, contrarian betting, we
- 18:52got no favoritism, no bias. We're going off with the market,
- 18:55the numbers, the money, the movement, the splits, what the
- 18:58numbers and the yeah, the numbers.
- 19:00What the data is telling us, not what our innate biases and
- 19:04opinions tell us. Even as hard as it is, we are
- 19:05human. We try to stick to the numbers.
- 19:08Stick to the numbers. You're going to be OK.
- 19:09You bet based on instinct, bias, gutted.
- 19:12What your gut is telling you. You're going to struggle.
- 19:14Just trust me, you might have to lose a lot before you realize
- 19:17that. But anyway, if you enjoy the
- 19:19style of betting and you want to learn more about data-driven
- 19:21betting, or you have someone in your life who could use some
- 19:24data-driven tips, or you have someone who you know, you know
- 19:27who loves to bet but really just has no, you know, grounding
- 19:31philosophy. They're, you know, throwing
- 19:32darts. You know, you should do.
- 19:34You should go to Amazon.com and type in one of two things,
- 19:37either the everything guide to sports betting or the NFL sharp
- 19:40betting playbook or both and pick up one or both of my books.
- 19:44Very proud of them. But if you want to grab one and
- 19:46and bring it to the sports book, guess what?
- 19:48My my, my car is plowed out so I I can get out.
- 19:51I can meet you at the book now. I'll meet you at the Nash, which
- 19:54is my closest book to me Nashville, New Hampshire.
- 19:56But grab them one or two of the books.
- 19:58Bring them the sports book. I'll sign them for you by EBA or
- 20:01ginger ale or maybe espresso martini.
- 20:03Keep us wide awake for San Diego State tonight.
- 20:07But anyway, Next up, do you have juice reel or rhythm?
- 20:11Have you downloaded one or both of the apps?
- 20:13Well, you should download both of them because we use them
- 20:15every day. They help me win.
- 20:16They're going to help you win. So Rhythm is great for their AI
- 20:18backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
- 20:22Reminder today's Wednesday. So tomorrow Thursday is our
- 20:25regular Rhythm rundown streamed live on Twitter 6:00 PM Eastern
- 20:28Time. So looking forward to that.
- 20:30Hope to see you guys there. But also Juice Reel.
- 20:32Juice Reel has some great features.
- 20:34First off, I'm going to pass the hat.
- 20:36If you enjoy the pod, it's free. It costs you nothing to listen.
- 20:38Hope you find the insights valuable.
- 20:40But if you would like to support your podcast or tip your podcast
- 20:44host, drop in a $5.00 bill. You can do it by getting the all
- 20:47systems go best bet picks from the juice Reel app sign up.
- 20:51You get them and you'll be off and running and you can tell
- 20:54Faye do what you like. But again, pods free tip your
- 20:57podcast host put in a $5.00 bill.
- 20:59We'll give you 1 cent back. It's $4.99, not four 99499.
- 21:05Nope, it's $4.99 a week for a week's worth of plays.
- 21:09They also have the sharp mush edges.
- 21:10The arbitrage plays shop for the best sign futures, all all
- 21:14located within the Juice Reel app.
- 21:16So download rhythm, download Juice Reel, give them a five
- 21:18star review in the App Store. Next you have a live odds page.
- 21:23If you don't have one, you need one and you don't really know
- 21:25you need it until you didn't have it.
- 21:26And then you realize, wow, it's really, really important because
- 21:30you got to be able to track the market.
- 21:31What did the line open at? Where is it now?
- 21:34What? You know, which book is giving
- 21:35me the best price? Pull up the line history.
- 21:37You know the openers -1 1/2. It's still -1 1/2, OK, but did
- 21:42it get up to two? Did it get down to a pic, pull
- 21:44up line history? You can answer those questions.
- 21:46You can identify Steam, get live in game wagering odds.
- 21:49You can do all of this with the Odds Logic live odds page.
- 21:52So I'd love for you guys to test it out, see if you like it.
- 21:54You can get a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first month if
- 21:58you use this special link. Ready for it?
- 22:00It's odds logic.com/josh 123 again, 7 day free trial, 50% off
- 22:06your first month. So that about does it for
- 22:08episode 462 of the ASG pod on a big Wednesday.
- 22:12Hump day here. Let's see if we can get a couple
- 22:14winners. Keep it going here on the
- 22:16college hoops hardwood. But as always, guys, two final
- 22:18thoughts. One, whether I see you at the
- 22:20Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
- 22:23Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
- 22:26Connecticut at the Encore in Boston, Plain Ridge Park,
- 22:28Casino, MGM Springfield, the Nash and my neck of the woods on
- 22:31the border of Massachusetts and New Hampshire, my local book.
- 22:35Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
- 22:37down, where Billy Walter sends his number runners, where the
- 22:39lowest juice possible is found at the South Point.
- 22:41Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
- 22:44swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
- 22:46Circa, you're going to find me on the sports book floor and
- 22:49we're going to knock, knock on the janitor's closet.
- 22:52We're going to grab a broom. We're going to do a little
- 22:54dance, do a little sweep, sweep dance because it was a nice
- 22:57three and O last night, which you love to see.
- 22:59And I think that's the key guys, when you have 3 bets, and I see
- 23:02this all the time on Twitter, let's go 3 and O, let's crush
- 23:05the books. No, you're setting yourself up
- 23:07for disappointment. When you have the realistic
- 23:10expectations of let's try to go 2 and one and then you eke out a
- 23:12three and O, it just makes it that more meaningful because you
- 23:15know what you're up against. You know, it's not easy, it's
- 23:18hard. So that way you can celebrate
- 23:20when you have a nice night. But either way, guys, you're
- 23:22going to walk up to me, show me a Nevada ticket, a Miami ticket,
- 23:26a Coastal Carolina ticket. First one's on me, next one's on
- 23:29you. We'll post about the book and
- 23:30get right back to Benton College hoops here tonight.
- 23:33So as always, guys coming off a three and O or an O and 3A2 and
- 23:37one or one and two. A great night, a terrible night,
- 23:39a hot streak, a cold streak, or we're just grinding.
- 23:42Hey, things going our way. That's great, but let's not get
- 23:44cocky. If we're struggling, having some
- 23:47losing days, let's we're not going to get down ourselves and
- 23:49quit or just say screw it, I'm putting it all in one game
- 23:52tonight because I know that sometimes you think that way,
- 23:55but Nope, you got to keep grinding.
- 23:56It's not sexy, but we got to stick to the model discipline
- 23:59with our bankroll management, play the system matches, avoid
- 24:02the games with red flags, find the games that fit our model
- 24:05against the public with the house, with the pros flat bet,
- 24:08avoid parlays and get that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
- 24:11to be successful sports bettors. So have a great Wednesday night,
- 24:14everybody. Let's try to get 2 out of three
- 24:16in college hoops tonight and I'll be right back at it
- 24:18tomorrow for a big almost said Friday, man, it's a big Thursday
- 24:22tomorrow. That'll be episode 463 of the
- 24:25All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 24:29Good luck everybody and have a great Wednesday night.