Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 4 Gambling Picks, Stinky Slate, Across The Pond, Miracle Covers

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NFL Week 4 Gambling Picks, Stinky Slate, Across The Pond, Miracle Covers · Three For The Money

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% off at checkout All right. Well, let's get
1:04
into it. First of all, I'd like to say that I
1:08
was at a wedding over the weekend. So It was
1:12
on a Sunday. So I couldn't really watch a ton
1:15
of ball But I've I picked up a few things here
1:17
and there but my perspective might be a bit off
1:21
off of off of what things happen. I didn't get
1:24
to watch a single second of the Titans game because
1:29
I was in another part of the country. So but
1:32
from what I've heard, it's sounds like a good
1:35
thing. But I'll just I'll wrap this up. Went
1:40
five and two last week won my surefire finally
1:43
Definitely really needed that I was able to find
1:46
a book that had the Chargers minus two and a
1:48
half rather than three so I didn't have to get
1:52
that push but Very thankful that that cash. I
1:57
didn't even I didn't see how that ended. It was
1:59
going horribly Towards the end and then the Chargers
2:03
pulled it out somehow If it's like any of the
2:06
other games that I that I saw clips from There's
2:09
probably a block field goal. I don't know, because
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that happened quite quite a bit to my to my to
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my knowledge. But, yep, five and two when they
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sure fire feeling good. I hate the slate. All
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these games. Well, there's some good games. Obviously,
2:24
we're going to talk about them. But we're not
2:26
going to talk about the two Monday night games
2:29
pretty in depthly here, because they're both
2:31
kind of booty. So moving on, Chris, how did you
2:36
do last week? Um, I was very okay. Went five
2:43
and five, but I won my sure fire. So up on the,
2:46
up on the weekend. Um, I also was, I had some
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obelose, uh, Sunday morning or Sunday afternoon,
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like early afternoon. So I didn't get to watch,
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but I didn't go watch any of the nude slate and,
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but, um, I was able to catch Most of the second
3:02
half of the Cowboys game and that didn't matter
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because Cowboys fucking suck. I had Cowboys money
3:07
line. But yeah, the Steelers money line, my surefire
3:11
was one of only two wins I had on Sunday. So
3:15
that was fun. Sundays continue to kick me in
3:17
the dick, but thankfully Thursdays and Mondays
3:20
are usually pretty good, but. Yeah, five and
3:22
five won my surefire for the second time this
3:24
season. So I guess I can't complain too much
3:27
because I mean, that's a profit. So we'll take
3:30
it. Yes, like this week's late. Not great. A
3:35
few good games sprinkled in. But yeah, the Monday
3:37
night is just it's double ass. Yes. But which
3:44
I guess isn't the NFL's fault. The Broncos bingles
3:47
should have been good, but. Joe Burrow is made
3:50
of tissue paper, so it's bad. But yeah, five
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and five, one minute surefire up on the week.
3:55
Sean, how did you do? Eight and five on the week
4:00
thanks to Monday night. Hit two touchdown scores
4:05
in the over in that Monday night game. Lost my
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surefire for the third straight week. I may not
4:11
win one of these this entire season. You got
4:14
it, buddy. You can do it. I believe in you. I
4:16
just get fucked. Jets back door covered on the
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on the bucks. It's like you did get fucked on
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that. I got fucked. That was that was the the
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Rams Eagles like Rams plus three and a half stole
4:30
that like the bad beat of the of the week award.
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But yeah, bucks minus six and a half was also
4:36
rough. Well, luckily I was on the the good beat
4:40
of the Eagles minus three and a half on that
4:43
side. So thank God. But Yeah, I went What I go
4:51
I went One in three in the noon slate and the
4:56
Chargers pushed But the on but the under hit
5:00
Cowboys Bears went over Chiefs Giants went under
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and then I was like, okay, I might be back Let's
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bet some touchdown scores on Monday night. I
5:08
had four but two of them hit so we up but Yeah,
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man, let's just get into this week. Let's leave
5:17
this Let's let's keep these good vibes rolling.
5:20
I mean, we're we're all above 500. So we're doing
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well So yes, we're at least 500. I think Chris
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said he was five and five Yeah, okay. Yeah, we're
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all at least 500. So let's just keep these good
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vibes rolling Yeah, I I might have made up for
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No, I didn't Made up for my my one in 10 week
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one start. Anyway, let's move on I've ever quite
5:51
made that one up yet, but But alright first game
5:56
Thursday night football the Seahawks at the Cardinals
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battle of the birds Cardinals home dogs by one
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and a half I will kick this one off at the risk
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of sounding like a bozo Because I didn't mean
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I didn't get to really watch much football this
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past week. So I'm going I'm going Cardinals plus
6:19
one and a half I might call me crazy call me
6:21
crazy, but I turned to the trend center app because
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I couldn't I couldn't really Kind of decide both
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of these teams pretty mediocre The Cardinals
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seem to be somewhat competent. They haven't really
6:33
played much of anyone the Seahawks, I mean they
6:37
played they beat the Steelers but Felt like the
6:41
Steelers kind of beat themselves in that game
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from from what I can remember So I'm picking
6:46
the Cardinals. I don't think Call of Duty is
6:48
coming out yet So I think I think we're still
6:51
learning out think it's already out. Well. Yeah,
6:54
so well, I'm not changing Turn to the Trends
6:57
Center What are the top trends of the week early
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divisional dogs? 126 61 and 6 against the spread
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I'm taking it. I'm taking Cardinals plus one
7:09
and a half. I know that James Connor Had a seasoning
7:13
injury, which is not good But I think their backup
7:16
is pretty good. Is that Trey Benson? Yes, sir.
7:20
Yeah, I think also call duty comes out November
7:23
14th. My apologies Okay, so we are good. We are
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good on the quality Yeah, that's I mean that's
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kind of all I got Seahawks I've there Fine right
7:38
now. They're pretty at that pretty average Cardinals
7:41
Have really beaten anyone with a pulse, but they
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do have a pretty sure they have a positive record.
7:46
I think they're yeah they do So yeah, I'm I'm
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taking Cardinals plus one and a half here the
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the home divisional dog in primetime Chris what
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do you think I? Hate this game. I don't think
7:59
either team is very good. I really I just I don't
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like the Seahawks at all. I don't think They're
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very good. I think they're incredibly mediocre.
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They've benefited from a soft schedule But I'm
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taking them Seahawks on the money line. I Looked
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at the trend center saw some very compelling
8:17
stats for both sides So that kind of put my mind
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even more in a pretzel than it already was But
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I did a stumble upon a few Stats elsewhere Kyler
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Murray. It's very bad and and divisional games
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in his career. He is he is 8 and 22 straight
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up Um, and even worse, at least percentage wise
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against the Seahawks two and eight straight up.
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Um, Arizona has also lost five straight games
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after they have played the 49ers, which obviously
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they played the 49ers last week. Um, and another
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one I found Seattle is eight and one on the road
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under Mike McDonald. Um, I don't think they're
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a good team. But I think they're going to win
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this game. And then honestly, I mean, I was fading
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them last week and they, they shoved it up my
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ass, but, um, I'm thinking I'm going to rhyme
9:14
this week and then just start fading them after
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this. Cause they're, they're not very good team.
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I don't know who they play after this. So maybe
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not, but yeah, for this week, at least Seahawks
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on the money line. I hate it so much, but sticking
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with it. Um, Sean, what do you think? Um, I'm
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going to go under 43 and a half, uh, just a smart
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divisional trend here. Also, both teams are pretty
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injury riddled, as we discussed. Yeah, losing
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James Connor sucks. But Marvin Harrison Jr. just
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has bricks for hands. And the Seahawks secondary
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is getting healthier and making long. They're
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working on it. They're doing well. They're doing
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well. They're minimizing the explosive plays.
10:02
But here's a little stat. Eight of their last
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12 meetings have gone under and yeah, so let's
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just slow grind it out Thursday night Sucks to
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have a your your week start out with an under
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but it's what we do. It's it's kind of like Three
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for the money's thing is that we bet on prime
10:24
time divisional game unders So we're just gonna
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keep that rolling It doesn't suck to bet an under
10:31
If you win. If it wins. I might double dip. That
10:36
was very nice. We'll see. I'll do it. I probably
10:40
will. For money. Yeah. I forgot the Kyla Murray
10:46
against the division stat. So I'm definitely
10:49
switching my pick here. I think that I made the
10:54
stat on our Trendcenter account about that. Hmm,
11:00
I think it should be under like at three for
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the money interest on trend center. I Remember
11:06
doing something like that Okay, well we will
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check that out later moving on next game Eagles
11:15
Bucks Bucks plus three and a half both these
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teams Well, the Eagles had a miracle cover the
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Bucks did not but they did it have they did end
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up winning that game In miracle like fashion
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both block field goals. So Chris, I'm gonna let
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you Let you take this one first All right. I'm
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going bucks plus three and a half Baker's electric
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this guy every week. It has just been I mean
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It's just been fourth quarter. All right, let
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me just go win this fucking game real quick.
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Not a big deal I think I don't know if they're
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gonna win this game outright, but Both the Tampa
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especially has been involved in a wild finish
11:58
every single week. So I think they're going to
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keep it close. Tampa Bay is six and one against
12:03
Philly since 2015 straight up. I like that a
12:08
lot. And a Hertz is just seven and seven on the
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road against teams above 500. So I was tempted
12:15
to take bucks money line, but I'm just going
12:19
to take three and a half and just because how
12:21
crazy. last week was they'll probably be some
12:23
sort of walk off field goal. So yeah, bucks plus
12:26
three and a half. I'm sure you brought the big
12:28
show until the wheels fall off. It's been fun
12:30
so far. So why not keep going? Will, what do
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you think? I like the over in this game over
12:36
43 and a half feels pretty low. When when you
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think about the scores of the last three games
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of both these teams, it feels like if either
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of them is down, they can come back win or Get
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scored on a bunch at the same time, so it feels
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like The defenses aren't that great even though
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the Eagles defense is very good. I don't know
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I like the over over 43 and a half feels kind
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of low But I'm taking it and I kind of love it.
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So that's kind of all I got For that game Sean.
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What do you think? I'm also on the over Both
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offenses built to score quick I think the Eagles
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will finally like feed AJ Brown this game It
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does suck that Mike Evans is most likely out
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for this game. He's very very doubtful, but Each
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of these teams are surpassing 20 plus points
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in each of their games so and Tampa's secondary
13:52
is vulnerable. So that just kind of goes off
13:54
the back of the AJ play. They're going to throw
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it deep to him. So I expect just piggybacking
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off of what Chris said about Bakers, like, oh,
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let me just go win this game real quick. Expect
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big plays and late game urgency to hit this over.
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So I like the over over 43 and a half. I think
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that's what it is. Yes. One of the books I took,
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I was Really thinking about writing that that
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you bucks have won six of the last seven against
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the Eagles or whatever But I was a bit frightful
14:31
Just because it does feel like I don't say the
14:35
Eagles team is different But in the last 17 games
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the Eagles have played they have won They have
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gone 17 and oh in their last 17 games, which
14:47
is insane when you think about it So it was tough.
14:53
But I mean, I feel like the over is a winner.
14:56
So I'm going with the over. Bucks could very
14:58
well take this one as well. But moving on next
15:01
game, Colts at Rams, Rams at home. Favored by
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three and a half Rams. Mean, I guess they succumb
15:14
to a miracle against the against the Eagles and
15:18
was on the losing end of that so I Don't know.
15:22
Do you factor that into your decision? Do you
15:25
factor in that Danny Dimes has finally arrived?
15:28
I don't know. What do we think Sean you go you
15:30
take this one first I'm gonna go over over 49
15:34
and a half here. This is just a classic shootout
15:38
setup both teams play very fast They're averaging
15:42
at least 30 points per game and neither defense
15:46
ranks above 20th in yards allowed So I mean the
15:51
Rams run game and the Colts break out passing
15:53
it like they're this is just gonna be a high
15:56
efficiency scoring just all around I think it's
16:00
gonna be the fourth straight week of odor overs
16:02
hitting in one of their matchups So let's just
16:05
keep the good times rolling. I think this is
16:08
also the highest total of the weekend Things
16:11
I'm not mistaken. So and I've taken those just
16:15
about every week and I think they've all hit
16:18
So I'm just gonna keep that trend going as well
16:22
Will what are you taking? Boys I hate to do it
16:28
I'm taking the Colts plus three and a half here.
16:30
It feels like this line There's a lot of value
16:33
in three and a half points less than a field
16:35
goal and I am going to ride this Danny Dimes
16:42
wave. I saw a TikTok on this earlier about how
16:46
some people are really seeing this not as a surprise
16:50
because you're seeing a number of these quarterbacks
16:54
leave their starting franchises into going to
16:58
a different franchise and actually flourishing.
17:02
Some people are not seeing it as a surprise,
17:04
but Moat I could I think I could say that most
17:07
people are just based on what we've seen from
17:10
Daniel Jones, but I think I think he's on this
17:15
he's riding this wave right now, and he doesn't
17:17
want Tony Richardson to take his spot so I'm
17:21
I'm on Colts plus three and a half here. Let's
17:23
let's make Danny dimes Danny dollars Chris, what
17:27
do you think? I'm also, I'm on the over. I'm
17:35
with Sean. I don't think the Colts are really
17:39
this good. I think they are hot right now. I
17:43
don't think they've played a defense worth a
17:45
fuck late there yet. And the Rams defense is
17:47
the best they'll play, but it's not anything
17:50
really right home about a good front, but really
17:52
other than that, that's about it. So yeah, I
17:54
like the over. good uh stat or on the trend center
17:57
for this one it's called late afternoon small
17:59
home favorite overs and it is an afternoon game
18:03
since 2009 when the home team is favored by or
18:07
is favored between three and a half and four
18:09
and a half points and the total is between 36
18:12
and 56 the over is 77 33 and three seven and
18:18
two seven two and one in the last 10 on a four
18:20
game winning streak so uh give me over 49 and
18:23
a half This is going to be a shootout. It's going
18:26
to be very entertaining. So, yes, over all day
18:28
long. All right. Thank you for bringing that
18:31
up. I was looking for that stat after I said
18:35
it because I was like, I know I have a stat for
18:37
this, but thank you for bringing that up. Of
18:39
course. All right. Next game, next afternoon
18:45
game, which, you know, at the beginning of the
18:50
season, you'd think, oh, this would be a really
18:53
good game. But the Chiefs are I Don't know they're
19:01
I was about to say frauds, but I mean they're
19:03
just losing so there's nothing to be fraudulent
19:05
about Only beat the Giants 9 to 22 yeah Chiefs
19:12
don't look very good right now, but it's Ravens
19:14
at the Chiefs Chiefs home dogs by two and a half
19:17
Very rare spot for my homes to be an underdog
19:21
especially at home The Derek Henry somehow just
19:27
keeps fumbling the ball It's very uncharacteristic
19:32
of him. I feel like he probably had more than
19:36
three fumbles when he was with the Titans, but
19:38
Seven years so probably Right, but I can't really
19:46
remember that many times that he fumbled if I'm
19:48
gonna be real so I mean, I got security is never
19:53
like it. It's one of his weaknesses, to be honest,
19:57
like he he doesn't hold the ball very well. It
20:01
is one of his weaknesses, but he has a lot of
20:03
strengths. Maybe it just slips out of his massive
20:07
arms. Yeah, maybe maybe that's it. But I mean,
20:13
I guess I'll I'll go first here. I I kind of
20:18
hate this game if I'm going to be real. It's
20:22
I turned to the trend center because I couldn't
20:24
really make a make a decision because it's like
20:26
I don't feel really good betting on the Chiefs
20:32
this game and like the Ravens Somehow just like
20:35
they just can't close out games The Chiefs do
20:39
have a pretty good defense though, and especially
20:41
at home. It's probably gonna be rocking but Got
20:46
to take I got to take the Ravens here minus two
20:48
and a half I kind of hate it, but it's it just
20:52
feels like I I'm gonna ride the the Chief's demise
20:55
until it's until it's no more and I Don't know
21:01
you ride the trends. That's how you that's how
21:04
you win at gambling you you ride it till it falls
21:05
off So I did check the trend center More the
21:11
majority of the trends were on the Ravens, so
21:13
I do feel good about that But I know that there
21:16
are a number of stats backing up the Chiefs as
21:19
well. Like, I mean, I don't know how many under
21:21
how many times the Chiefs have really been underdogs
21:23
since they've had Patrick Holmes. So but I'm
21:27
I'm taking the Ravens. Sean, what do you what
21:31
do you think about this game? I'm also on the
21:34
Ravens. I think that Baltimore does get a slight
21:37
edge here, just not the fact that, you know,
21:42
the Chiefs are kind of struggling, but I think
21:44
they're They're healthier and they're surging
21:47
on offense a lot more than the Chiefs are. So
21:51
this is a very sharp line movement for this side.
21:56
But I think the oddsmakers really like the Ravens.
22:01
So people see Chiefs plus two and a half and
22:04
they're like, but it's the Chiefs. It's a trap.
22:07
Don't fall for it. Chiefs are riddled with injuries.
22:11
They don't have anybody on wide receiver. They
22:14
don't have anybody, practically. But I think
22:18
the Ravens can get to my homes. I think they
22:20
can pressure them. I think they can exploit their
22:24
defensive holes. And this Ravens team is built
22:28
for these type of road wins. And I will say that
22:33
the Ravens, man, these first four weeks, they've
22:36
been running a gauntlet. I got the Bills, the
22:39
Lions, and now the Chiefs. Like, oh my. Like,
22:42
Jesus Christ. I think they have someone next
22:44
week, too. That's pretty good. It's the Texans,
22:47
but oh, never mind. OK. I mean, yeah, but they're
22:53
they're playing in the first place, you know,
22:55
schedule. So, I mean, it makes sense that but
22:58
these first four games, man, they're they're
23:00
testing them. And what are they? They're one
23:03
and two. Right. And they beat the Browns. Yeah.
23:06
Yeah. They they got to get a win or else. I mean,
23:11
Who's first in the division? Is it the Bengals?
23:16
Are the Bengals first in the division? Maybe
23:19
the Steelers are two and one. So are the Bengals.
23:23
Oh, are they? Yeah. Yeah. Are they two and up?
23:25
Yeah, they were because they won week one. Okay,
23:26
yeah. So the Bengals beat the Browns. Yeah, the
23:29
Bengals are ahead of the Steelers. That colossal.
23:36
Holy shit. But their point differential is minus
23:39
33. Cause they're even sick. That's crazy. That's
23:45
like the Vikings that one. I mean, granted we're
23:47
still very early in the season, but the Vikings
23:50
were like 10 and two and at a negative point
23:53
differential. Yeah. I forgot about that. Yeah.
23:57
Uh, Raven's got to get back on track and you
24:00
know, beating a team like the chiefs could get
24:02
them there. So, um, you know, let's just take
24:06
the Ravens minus two and a half. Chris, you in
24:08
a grants? Nope. Chiefs plus two and a half. Baltimore's
24:13
defense sucks. Like let's just call it spade
24:15
to spade. They're terrible. They're 31st in the
24:18
league in passing, which that's second to last
24:22
behind the Cowboys. The Chiefs offense looks
24:26
like they're kind of putting it together. I know
24:28
they're playing the lowly Giants, but Giants
24:30
secondary statistically is better than Baltimore's.
24:34
So what do we think about that? I don't know.
24:36
Tyquan Thornton looks pretty damn good as a deep
24:39
threat. And I think Xavier Worthy is possibly
24:44
coming back. I know he practiced today. He was
24:47
a limited practice participant in practice all
24:49
week last season, or last week, Jesus. So I think
24:53
that's turning towards him coming back. I think
24:58
Chiefs could kind of maybe start putting it together
24:59
here. I like him to keep it close. I just don't
25:04
think Baltimore is very good. I think they will
25:06
be fine. They're going to make the playoffs.
25:09
Um, they're probably going to win the division.
25:11
I just, their defense sucks. And unless they
25:15
tighten that up, I, I don't know. I don't know
25:18
how they're going to fare the rest of the way,
25:19
but, um, yeah, I'm taking the chiefs plus two
25:22
and a half. Um, I don't, I don't like it if I'm
25:25
being perfectly honest, but, um, I just, yeah,
25:28
after watching Baltimore just get torched last
25:31
night or a couple of nights ago, Monday night
25:33
football, I'm taking the chiefs. Okay. Derek
25:37
Henry has cost him two games this season, so
25:39
he could very well cost him a third. What a shame.
25:44
I mean, I do hate to see it. Well, I don't kind
25:48
of I mean, I I'm not losing sleep over it, but
25:51
yeah, his little little temper tantrum he threw
25:55
on the sideline on Monday. That was a little.
25:58
Weird. It is very unlike him. Yeah, for it like
26:02
it's. Definitely unlike him and unlike really
26:05
like a guy who's been in the league that long.
26:07
Like, yeah, I know it was your third straight
26:09
game with a fumble and second one that is going
26:12
to cost the team the game. But like he was like
26:15
losing his shit. Like it wasn't like, oh, like
26:18
if he was just sitting there like sad, just like
26:20
sitting by himself, that would make sense. But
26:21
he was like throwing his helmet, just kind of
26:24
stomping all over the place, getting up and being
26:25
like, oh my God, like it was very strange. Yeah,
26:31
rare tantrum. from the king yeah um travis kelsey
26:37
has cost his team two games that is true um that
26:42
one you really hate to see yeah so i mean uh
26:49
hopefully it's a good game um normally when you
26:53
see a quarterback matchup like that it's it should
26:56
be um but uh the chiefs this year No bueno, okay
27:02
moving on Sunday night football Packers at the
27:06
Cowboys Cowboys home dogs by seven and a half
27:10
points Cowboys Can't seem to Come back at all
27:18
from any sort of game their defense absolutely
27:22
trash. I mean Chris mentioned it briefly a minute
27:27
a moment ago. They have the the worst pass defense
27:30
in the league currently. So it seven is a lot
27:37
of points. Seven is a lot of points. I'll be
27:40
the first one to say that. I'm going to let Sean
27:43
take the lead on this one. Great, because it
27:47
is six and a half right now. Okay, well, whatever.
27:52
You still have to win by seven. But you don't
27:55
have to win by eight. Eight. Yeah. Yeah. You
27:59
just won by a touchdown. Yeah. It's much easier.
28:04
One position is a lot easier to do than two positions.
28:07
I'm just saying. But we're going with the Packers
28:10
minus six and a half. Green Bay is just historically
28:14
dominant in Dallas. They are 5 -0 against their
28:17
spread in their last five trips. Cowboys just
28:21
depleted. Both sides of the ball offense. No
28:25
CD lamb this week defense trade away Michael
28:28
future of Hall of Famer Michael Parsons Packers
28:32
revenge game not really but for my good it might
28:35
be The Packers have a top -scoring defense as
28:38
well and we'll just grind out these possessions
28:41
and keep Dallas off the scoreboard and most likely
28:44
just coasting just coasting to cover in a This
28:48
game is probably gonna be boring to be honest
28:51
It's probably going to suck, but we take the
28:54
Packers on the points when it's given to us like
28:57
this. So Chris, what do you got? Completely agree.
29:01
I agree with everything you said. Packers are
29:03
my six and a half. I don't think I can put money
29:05
on Dallas again for the rest of the season. Their
29:08
secondary is God awful. Really their entire defense,
29:12
but especially their secondary. Packers are pissed
29:15
after losing last week to the Browns. I think,
29:19
yeah, they just, they Probably cruise in this
29:22
game. They have like a stable of wide receivers
29:25
who like some, anybody on that team could score
29:28
multiple touchdowns on any given night. It's
29:30
wild. Um, so yeah. And you got off Michael Parsons.
29:34
Um, I might, I'll probably bet him to take it,
29:36
to get a sack. Uh, I think, yeah, this is all,
29:40
this is all Packers. Um, well, do we have a clean
29:43
sweep? Yes, sir. All right. Yes, the only notes
29:47
I have written down for this game is CD lamb
29:51
is doubtful Parsons will feast I Mean I really
29:55
don't have much to add to this it it this game
29:59
does kind of strike me as like a Packers only
30:03
get like nine points in in the first half Just
30:08
because just because that's the way that things
30:10
work it just feels like one of those games, but
30:15
They'll be up 9 -0. It's just I just feel like
30:19
there's nothing you can count on when it comes
30:21
to the Cowboys this year I mean except for uh,
30:25
who is it? Jovante Williams. They're they're
30:26
running back. Is that yeah, I mean he's yeah,
30:30
he's doing really well Yeah, so that is um That's
30:36
good for him Maybe he'll well great for him.
30:39
Yeah, great. I mean, they probably will get he
30:41
probably won't get too many touches depending
30:43
on how the game goes if they're getting blown
30:45
out but um but yeah I'm I'm also on the Packers
30:50
minus seven here um seven on one of my books
30:54
that I just used for this layout but uh yeah
30:57
that's uh that's Sunday Night Football and we're
31:00
not going to talk about Monday Night Football
31:02
quite in depth I I mean I'll have a pick for
31:05
it I'll have a pick for both of the games um
31:07
but uh not right now uh check the Twitter Always
31:12
check the Twitter always follow the Twitter Moving
31:16
on on to the surefire picks of the week and then
31:20
we'll get to the extra plays but I was very fortunate
31:24
to get minus two and a half on the Chargers Finally
31:28
got my first surefire one of the one of the season.
31:31
So we're looking to roll that in To this week
31:35
and it's a game that we have already talked about
31:37
It is the Eagles bucks over 43 and a half Both
31:42
of these teams have scored 20 or more points
31:45
in the last three weeks. So I'm very confident
31:50
that this will go over over 43 and a half I wish
31:54
I had some more stats, but it just kind of feels
31:58
like Each team will do what they need to do to
32:01
win From an offensive standpoint able to put
32:05
up points kind of at will depending um but i
32:10
uh i kind of i love this over and that's why
32:12
it's my surefire pick of the week um double unit
32:15
guaranteed not to lose um chris what is your
32:21
surefire pick of the week all right i'm going
32:24
to the team you backed last week in surefire
32:27
as well i'm going charges minus six against the
32:31
god -awful new york football giants um No Russ
32:34
this week for the Giants. Don't matter. Um, they
32:37
suck. Uh, Jackson Dart may be an improvement,
32:41
maybe over Russ. We'll see. It doesn't matter.
32:45
The charges are that good. Um, I, I mean, if
32:49
Taekwon Thornton and Juju can roast, uh, this
32:54
New York secondary, I think, uh, Quint Johnston
32:57
and Lad McConkey and Justin Herbert will be able
33:00
to do it too. Um, I think Sandy or sorry. Los
33:04
Angeles cruises in this one. And there is a stat
33:06
on trend center to back this one up called AFC
33:09
West versus NFC East. When the AFC West travels
33:13
to face an NFC East team, the spread is less
33:17
than nine and a half and the total is between
33:19
41 and a half and 55 and a half. The AFC West,
33:23
the Chargers in this case, obviously are 32,
33:25
seven and three against the spread, seven and
33:28
three in the last 10. Give me the bolts all day
33:32
long to win by Probably a couple touchdowns,
33:34
but we'll just stick. We'll play it safe. Do
33:37
a little minus six. So, uh, let's go three or
33:40
three and one on the season. Sean, what do you
33:44
like? I don't know. I do know, but guys are pleased
33:52
to really like, I mean, yeah, I have a pick.
33:57
It's just, you get to the point where you start
34:00
doubting yourself a little bit. I've lost three
34:03
of these things in a row. It's just three. I've
34:06
compromised. I compromised the parlay last week.
34:11
I think last year, it took me seven weeks to
34:16
get my first surefire win. If I'm remembering
34:18
correctly, it was either the last year or the
34:20
year before where I was heavily struggling. I
34:23
don't remember it was that long. Very well could
34:26
have been. I don't remember for sure, but it
34:27
took a while and yeah, I think we all kind of
34:30
struggled last year with sure. Yeah, I think
34:34
we yeah, I think we did. It just the point is,
34:38
is that they're they're guaranteed not to lose.
34:41
We're putting we're letting people down. And
34:44
I'm letting the boys down because we all ride
34:46
the parlay. So and you're going to hate me probably
34:51
for doing this. But my surefire double unit guaranteed
34:58
play not to lose is the Buffalo Bills minus fifteen
35:03
and a half versus the New Orleans Saints My reasoning
35:07
for this The Bills do not care who they play.
35:12
They are a powerhouse at home This matchup is
35:18
just a massive edge over the Saints. I mean and
35:23
this Saints team has just struggled in every
35:27
phase of the game. I mean, the Bills are averaging
35:31
more than 30 points per game. Saints are having
35:34
turnover after turnover, and they're issues.
35:38
They just can't seem to wrangle that in. And
35:45
they cannot stop explosive plays. Bills known
35:49
for explosive plays. So it's a big Big line.
35:55
And I'm scared of big lines. But I like this
35:58
big line. Enough to put two units on it. And
36:02
to tell you that it's guaranteed not to lose.
36:08
That's it. That's all I got. Okay. It's minus
36:10
15 and a half. All right. That is a big ass line.
36:17
Big ass line. It's a big ass line, homie. But
36:21
all right. There it is. It's in the parlay. Those
36:27
are our surefire guaranteed not to lose plays
36:29
of the week. The Bills, I mean, they really should
36:35
have blown out the Dolphins, but divisional matchups.
36:39
Things get crazy. This is I would say this one
36:43
quite comfortably. Like, yeah, that's the thing.
36:46
It's like that was a tight game for most of it.
36:49
They still won by 11. So like. And the Dolphins
36:53
are not dead, dead. The Saints are dead, dead.
36:58
The Saints were dead, dead before the season
37:00
started. So if the Bills can win by 11 in a game
37:04
that was, for the most part, competitive, I think
37:06
they can beat the shit out of the Saints. Yes.
37:09
Okay. Here we go. Trend from our friends at the
37:12
Trend Center. Just found it. It's just called
37:15
Big Spreads. It is 9 -1 in its last 10. The team
37:20
is favored to win. The team spread is more than
37:22
nine and a half. The team is at home. Nine and
37:27
one in the last 10, 53, 30 and one overall, uh,
37:30
64 and a half percent win rate like that over
37:35
the last 36 years. Like that, like that a lot.
37:41
Oh yeah. Um, and this is just a team that the
37:45
bills can just really flex on. So you even get
37:50
Mitch in there you get a couple touchdowns He
37:53
could he very well could I wish I could take
37:56
that Trubisky over one and a half snaps in this
37:58
game. I Mean check the books you might I'll check
38:04
I doubt I'll be able to find that but I'll check
38:06
It have to be like probably the day of I doubt
38:11
they'll be able but oh, yeah, I don't think they
38:13
will They might begin to the extra plays Did
38:18
want to say I checked like every book for Joey
38:22
slides like over one and a half field goals They
38:25
just didn't have it They only had points. Yeah,
38:29
they just had over his point. They didn't have
38:31
like tonight Titans over one and a half field
38:33
goals. No That's they just had points, but I
38:36
did take his points, which was nice But what
38:40
was it? It was six and a half points, which he
38:42
got let's go because he kicked two field goals
38:45
and an extra Few extra points, I think. I missed
38:50
the game. I didn't watch the game. I was kicking
38:51
myself too when I was getting score updates.
38:53
I was like, fuck, I forgot to take that Joey
38:56
slide thing. Yeah. I just couldn't find it. I
39:00
think the books got lies. They're trying to keep
39:03
us down, man. They're trying to keep us down,
39:05
man. And like over six and a half points was
39:08
still like minus like 120. And I was like, this
39:10
is crazy. I mean, it's not a lot. I mean, it's
39:12
two field goals an extra point. Like, yeah. I
39:14
mean, that line should be. And there was no like
39:17
alt lines that I could take you know, like I
39:19
don't like juice a man trying to keep us down
39:23
I Did just have a thought I know we're taking
39:27
a quick break here before the extra plays but
39:30
When you're kind of thinking about like how touchdown
39:34
scores used to be like plus 300 plus 400 at the
39:39
minimum like plus 250 I think Really big contributing
39:45
factor to why it's there. They're all going down
39:48
is because the amount of Of people gambling.
39:53
Oh, yeah for sure. Mm -hmm. Mm -hmm cuz like
39:56
it wasn't until I mean Well, like three or four
40:02
Probably like three years ago when it really
40:04
started like the the lines kept going down or
40:08
the odds kept going down because like That was
40:12
kind of the time where, you know, more books
40:14
are coming to more states and it's becoming more
40:16
readily available and more people are just betting
40:19
touchdown scores and lowering the odds kind of,
40:23
you know, it protects the books, you know, because
40:28
if, you know, a billion people, that's a big
40:31
number. If like a lot more people are are gambling
40:35
statistically, you have a bigger chance of losing.
40:40
So. Yeah, now that's not going to be like people
40:43
betting five bucks a game five or ten bucks a
40:45
game. But yeah and still Yeah, I mean that's
40:49
why you see these like, you know line switches
40:51
is because like for the Ravens Chiefs I think
40:54
the Chiefs opened up at one and a half favorites
40:57
and then the public just started hammering the
41:00
Ravens So the line just kind of switched on them.
41:05
So Vegas Does control the odds but we control
41:09
the odds more than Vegas does Vegas just Vegas
41:12
just readjusts the lines mm -hmm more or less
41:17
so we control what we Want to hurt that's a bad.
41:24
That's not right the people you know, I mean
41:26
the people move the lines Yeah Vegas just physically
41:30
moves. Yeah, exactly All right break over on
41:37
to the extra plays. I'm gonna throw it to Chris
41:42
first, because I'm sure he has more than me at
41:46
least. I've only got three so far. But I will
41:50
have to at least two for Monday night. So again,
41:54
like we'll said, check the Twitter, but we will
41:57
kick off extra plays. A couple of them pretty
41:59
stinky. We'll kick off with maybe the stinkiest
42:03
one is our beloved Tennessee football Titans
42:07
team total over 15 and a half. That's not bad.
42:12
I kind of like that. Okay. I kind of call a hand
42:15
kind of bye -bye. I'm not calling plays anymore.
42:18
Um, Dilla digging on this guy, Bo heart agree.
42:21
That's his name, right? Yeah. Heart agree. Um,
42:24
he was the guy. If you remember when Josh McDaniel's
42:27
got fired from the Raiders a couple of years
42:30
ago, who took over play calling and offense was
42:33
pretty damn good or for a bad team standards.
42:37
And we, I remember, if I remember correctly,
42:39
we all started betting the Raiders and they were
42:41
covering a lot of spreads. Um, that was, uh,
42:45
with Antonio Pierce, at least I was betting the
42:46
Raiders a lot. I don't know if y 'all were, um,
42:50
but so he, he was the play caller with Antonio
42:52
Pierce. Yeah. Oh, okay. He was, um, he called.
42:56
Yeah. He took over a play calling when Mcdangle's
42:58
got fired. Um, that first week that, um, after
43:03
McDaniel's the Raiders beat the Giants 30 to
43:05
9 and a couple weeks later it was when they bitch
43:09
slapped the Chargers on either Thursday or some
43:12
primetime game and they scored like 65 points
43:15
yeah oh yeah yeah it was legit it was like 63
43:18
to 7 or something legit bitch slap yeah so this
43:24
guy might kind of know what he's doing we'll
43:26
see so yeah i think Titans team total over 15
43:30
and a half. I mean, don't get wrong. This team
43:32
still blows, but if he could at least just provide
43:37
a spark, I think we'll, we'll get 17 points.
43:40
So I like that. Um, next one, another kind of
43:45
sticky one, the Cleveland Browns plus 10 against
43:48
the lions. Um, Cleveland's defense pretty damn
43:51
good. We found that out last week when they held
43:53
the, the Packers to just 10 points. Um, Detroit
43:58
coming off big, emotional, very, like they scored
44:02
a lot of points on Monday night. I think maybe
44:05
we get a little come back to earth spot against
44:07
very good defense, defense travels. I know it's
44:09
in Detroit, but it's a big number. I think, uh,
44:13
I think Cleveland, they will lose this game,
44:16
but I think they'll keep it single digits. And
44:18
then we're going across the pond to Dublin, Ireland
44:21
was in Dublin, right? Uh, yeah. The Minnesota
44:27
Vikings. Oh, yes. Yes. Money line against the
44:30
Pittsburgh Steelers. I don't think that I know
44:33
they came came through for me last week. I don't
44:36
think the Steelers are very good. They forced
44:38
five turnovers against the Patriots and they
44:42
still needed a late touchdown to win that game.
44:44
And the Patriots fucking suck. So I don't think
44:49
the Steelers are that get a football team. Carson
44:52
Wentz, could he be the latest rebirth in the
44:55
Kevin O 'Connell system? We'll see. He looked
45:00
fucking good last week too. I told you I should
45:04
have signed him. He would be hurt already if
45:08
he played for this team. Just as a backup. We
45:10
still would have had Cam, but just as a backup.
45:13
Yeah. I mean, shit, if he could play like this,
45:16
yeah, I'd definitely take him, but yeah. Vikings
45:20
money line. I, I hate this game just because
45:24
I hate betting sides and international as I usually
45:27
take totals, but it's like 40 and a half and
45:30
that could just accidentally go over. So I'm
45:33
taking the Vikings. I think there's 13 and that,
45:36
excuse me, that runs out the extra place for
45:38
now. Check the Twitter for the full card. Um,
45:42
Sean, what else you got? Yep, we're going across
45:45
the pond Viking Steelers under 40 and a half.
45:48
I know you just kind of shadow over it, but it's
45:51
alright I don't hate no, I know Sorry, I hate
45:55
it. It was just is so low. I didn't love it This
45:58
is like low -key like the two top defenses in
46:01
the league going head -to -head Vikings defense
46:04
is Insane right now. So that's basically the
46:10
only reason why I'm taking under 40 and a half
46:13
here other than it's you know international uh
46:18
game but whatever uh we ride the under uh next
46:23
game i got is nowhere to go i'm also on the chargers
46:31
at the giants minus six and a half just ditto
46:35
to what chris said um i'm also on the bears money
46:39
line against the las vegas raiders in Vegas.
46:46
I mean, the Bears, if you take public perception
46:50
out of it, I think they've shown clear improvement.
46:55
I mean, they scored four touchdowns last week.
46:58
I think they're starting to pick up steam a little
47:02
bit. And the Raiders defense, they remain really
47:06
inconsistent. So I think Chicago's offense is
47:10
peaking at the right time, small road dog, and
47:14
a suspect D gives a little solid value here.
47:18
So we're going to take Chicago Bears on the money
47:20
line. This was almost my surefire pick. But I
47:25
might switch it. Should I switch it? Do whatever
47:29
you want. No. We're not going to, we're going
47:32
to stick through. If you switch it, the bills
47:34
are going to win by five touch. I know we're
47:37
going to stick to our guns, stick to our guns.
47:39
I'm going to stand for something. Um, yeah, I
47:45
think that's it. That's all I got. What else
47:48
you got? What else you got? No, that's it. No,
47:52
it's not. It is. I was going through my notes
47:55
and I was like, okay, that is everything I have.
47:58
But I'm on FanDuel and looking at the lines and
48:00
I'm just like trying to see if there's like some
48:03
golden light that shines down on a spread or
48:06
total or something just in the moment. Yeah.
48:10
Panthers plus five? That one's kind of catching
48:15
my eye a little bit. Panthers just wants the
48:19
Falcons. I don't trust them. Yeah, you're right.
48:24
Might not touch that one. I'm not touching the
48:26
Browns Lions game that that game stinks that
48:30
game. I'm only so cheap. Yes Just 10 points 10
48:34
points is a lot for a good defense. Yeah, I know
48:38
Joe Flacco Yeah, and fuck you can still spin
48:41
it That's that message to the group me football
48:46
when Lamar got sacked like that eighth time You
48:50
know who won't be doing this twinkle -toes ball
48:53
hit Joe Flacco All right, well well, what do
48:59
you got place? All right I am adding chargers
49:04
minus six taking that straight up as well. I
49:08
Don't know why I didn't write that down before
49:11
But I'm taking that as well. And then I am going
49:14
against one of Sean's picks. I'm going over 40
49:19
and a half Viking Steelers. The last three weeks
49:23
in the three games that both of these teams have
49:26
played, they've either scored more than 20 points
49:30
or have let in more than 20 points. Let's see,
49:34
Steelers scored 34, 17, and 21. And the Vikings
49:40
have scored six 48 and 27 So I think I think
49:47
40 is super low like Chris said this could accidentally
49:50
go over I definitely see this game. I did not
49:54
know it was international. I definitely Should
49:57
have paid more attention to that But I like the
50:00
over in this game. I think I think we uh I think
50:04
we see an over in an international game for uh
50:07
feels like first time in a while. Or at least
50:10
I've always bet the under. And sometimes it wins.
50:13
Sometimes it doesn't. Sometimes it feels like
50:16
I feel like every time I've bet the under it's
50:19
accidentally gone over in the international game.
50:24
International unders are kind of they're kind
50:26
of coming back down less. Yeah. I mean, there's
50:29
like four every year. But I feel like it's about
50:33
it's been about a 50 50 split at least the last
50:35
couple years. Yeah, I think these teams are getting
50:38
more comfortable with having to you know travel
50:40
that kind of long distance while You know early
50:44
like when they first started doing but I mean
50:47
they've been doing these like London games for
50:49
What like 10 10 plus years now? Well, it's been
50:53
a while But you know they would only do that
50:57
like one or two times a season now they do international
51:01
games like four to six times maybe and it's like
51:05
Sometimes during Mexico and it's just like it's
51:08
really not that far Especially like a team like
51:11
yeah. Yeah, but like Like the Brazil I'd yeah,
51:16
really It's pretty like but but it's not like
51:21
It's time zones away. Yeah, I get that. Yeah,
51:25
it's not you don't suffer as much from like the
51:28
jetlag I guess but I mean These are professional
51:32
athletes and we have to remember that They don't
51:35
get tired. I mean, asking your body to play a
51:39
football game at like 6 a .m. your time could
51:43
be pretty rough. Yeah, but they're there now.
51:46
I mean, like, yeah, they're all there. They've
51:49
definitely gotten better with travel because
51:51
I remember it used to be like sometimes we get
51:53
a thing. It's like, oh, the Giants are just flying
51:55
out on Thursday. Oh, we're fucking hammering
51:58
whoever the hell else is playing. Yeah, but they
52:01
definitely got a lot better with that. Yeah,
52:03
and like in as these international games like
52:06
start to more and more expand and God, we're
52:10
probably gonna get 17 of them eventually before
52:13
our lifetime is up It's gonna be one a week probably
52:18
somewhere But I mean, they'll probably have a
52:20
team. They'll figure it out. Yeah, they'll probably
52:22
have a team in London or Germany or God forbid
52:28
Japan like That's that's fucking far I'll tell
52:34
you that's far. I mean, that's that's middle
52:37
of the night. That's 2 a .m. Yeah. Yeah Well
52:41
2 a .m. Football, I mean I'd set an alarm but
52:44
I Mean I'd be part of the problem cuz I would
52:47
watch That have to be that have to be like a
52:53
Saturday like a Saturday leading into like Sunday
52:56
like type thing. Yeah stay up for Hawaii, whoever
53:01
the hell. Flip it over to Pro Ball. Honestly,
53:05
that wouldn't be half bad. NFL marketing, we
53:10
are open to career opportunities on our LinkedIns.
53:16
So check those out. They'd do that and it'd be
53:20
like the fucking Jets and Dolphins. What are
53:24
we doing? It'd be like 13 to 10. Just get like
53:29
a expansion team over there just do it every
53:32
week Well, do you have any extra any other extra
53:36
place I do not Obviously I'll have two plays
53:47
for both the Monday night games, so Definitely
53:51
check the Twitter for those but back on the international
53:54
games. I feel like last year There was like eight
53:59
of them. It felt like for multiple weeks, like
54:05
a significant amount of of of weeks that we had
54:10
like an international game that was like just
54:13
in the morning. At least that's what it felt
54:15
like for me. Is he like that last year? What
54:20
was up? I mean, you're not. I don't remember
54:22
how many we had last year, but this year we got
54:24
seven. So. Yeah. I assume it was probably close.
54:28
We got another one next week. Yeah. And it's
54:33
also the Vikings. Are they staying? Are they
54:36
going? Surely they would stay. It's in London.
54:39
So I assume they would stay and travel. Which
54:45
that would be good. That would be a good like
54:48
betting edge. Who are the Vikings playing next
54:50
week? Browns. Yeah. And then it's. October so
54:57
and then the net the October 12th. So two weeks
55:01
from now is Broncos Jets and then Rams Jags on
55:07
the 19th and then November 9th is Falcons Colts
55:12
in November 16th is Manders Dolphins do all these
55:16
games suck Yeah, those matchups stink Falcons
55:23
Colts is in Germany uh, Mander's Dolphins is
55:27
Spain and the other three. Wow. All right. Spain.
55:35
Yeah, that could be a new one for that's a new
55:37
one. First NFL game in Spain, probably. Yeah.
55:41
And we already had the Brazil one. So yeah. Um,
55:47
where they go to next Australia, like the next
55:50
like probably expansion. That makes sense. Yeah,
55:55
Australia that's That's fucking far. That's I
56:00
mean, that's literally the other side of the
56:01
world That's literally like a day ahead Monday
56:07
night football Take off like 8 a .m. Their time.
56:12
Yeah, they played it like Monday morning. I get
56:15
on board some Monday morning football Like I
56:18
have there It's like 13 hours ahead, isn't it?
56:23
or 12 it is yeah it's 13 hours ahead from us
56:27
in central yeah it's eight o 'clock here it's
56:30
11 o 'clock in the morning in sydney australia
56:34
they're in the future they are in the future
56:37
it's crazy the toilets flush backwards they're
56:43
upside down they're like we're up here and they're
56:47
down here they're upside down gravity Thought
56:51
here if that's in the toilets rubs. I was yeah
56:54
That's how them spiders getting there You know
57:02
their spider problem All right, well, I mean
57:07
that's all I really got for my plays and and
57:11
kind of my takes I Know that uh John did you
57:16
watch the Titans game? I did not. I was, um,
57:21
house sitting for our friends and on their TV,
57:24
it said they had YouTube TV. Um, and they got
57:28
rid of it. So, um, I didn't really need to watch
57:35
really anything except for the Sunday night game,
57:38
which I logged into my Peacock for. Oh yeah.
57:43
This is on Peacock too. Yeah. Um, Was like this
57:47
is I feel like I'm a pilgrim in this house like
57:50
I was like I can't watch any of these games like
57:52
Should have gone out like bought an antenna or
57:54
something at least you could have watched them
57:57
gonna stuck like a Paperclip in the back of the
58:00
TV Just picked up like the the local channels
58:05
or something. Yeah Jesus which that's all you
58:09
need been yeah Yeah, I was hoping that one of
58:17
us would be able to watch the game and Be able
58:20
to have some sort of rant. I mean it it doesn't
58:23
take us watching the game To know that this dude's
58:29
got to go. I Mean, yeah, I was talking about
58:31
like specifics, but I will happen I will say
58:35
I know he's been getting a lot of shit for that
58:37
like end of half. I don't know if y 'all Saw
58:40
like read about what happened, like how he took
58:43
the delay a game when they were lining up for
58:44
the field goal after coming out of the timeout.
58:46
Apparently that was on like the ref. He didn't
58:49
put it, they didn't put it in the K balls. Um,
58:52
so, and even like the special teams coordinator,
58:56
I forget his last name, but I know his nickname
58:58
is bones and that's awesome, but he's like a
59:00
very respected coach in this league. And he was
59:03
like, I've never seen this happen before. We're
59:05
a ref just wouldn't let us get the kicking balls.
59:09
So if he's vouching for him, I'll, I believe
59:13
Callahan, but he's still a terrible head coach.
59:17
Yeah. And I will say, so, okay. Perfect. Chris,
59:26
you brought up the point yesterday in the group
59:28
chat that he'll get fired after Vrape's drops
59:31
50 on us. I think it'll be. Before I think it'll
59:36
be this week. I think it'll be after this week
59:38
That he gets like a Because we play the Patriots
59:42
in two weeks, correct? Yeah, I think we play
59:47
too. I thought we played two on the road and
59:49
then I Could be wrong, but I thought we played
59:52
two on the road and then it was New England at
59:55
home I know you're right if we play the Texans
59:58
Cardinals Raiders on the road and then at home
1:00:01
at the Patriots. I think I think Brian Kalahan
1:00:04
gets fired somewhere in between these three games.
1:00:09
I mean, if he got fired this week, that wouldn't
1:00:13
have surprised me. Like I was just saying, like
1:00:16
it would be the most titan's thing possible variable
1:00:18
comes in here and with his dog shit team, because
1:00:21
that team is awful and scores six or seven touchdowns
1:00:25
and then he gets fired. That would be just the
1:00:28
most titan's thing imaginable. Yes. My point.
1:00:33
Go ahead. Well, I was gonna say, do I think it
1:00:35
will happen? No. Like if we get boat race by
1:00:38
the Texans, yeah, he's gone. But, or, and you
1:00:42
can say the same thing about the Cardinals, but
1:00:43
I was just saying more so I'm just like, what's
1:00:46
the worst possible thing that could happen to
1:00:48
the Titans? That. That is true. That is true.
1:00:54
My point was that I was thinking back on to when
1:01:03
J -Brob, John Robinson, was still with the team.
1:01:07
We played the Eagles the year after we traded
1:01:10
A .J. Brown. A .J. absolutely torched us for
1:01:14
two touchdowns in like almost, what was it, like
1:01:17
almost 200 yards. It was like 180 -something,
1:01:21
like something nuts. It was right. Yeah, it was
1:01:25
bananas. It was a big fuck you And then John
1:01:30
Robinson got let go the next day so My point
1:01:36
was if they waited until after we lost to the
1:01:40
Patriots that would be Amy Adams The the owner
1:01:46
for people who don't know biggest mistake saying
1:01:48
that oh, I made the mistake. So I'm firing His
1:01:53
replacement essentially He just came in here
1:01:58
want us so I'm firing his replacement That's
1:02:04
that's my thought process behind I think he goes
1:02:06
before it gets to that point but Realistically,
1:02:10
he should have been gone after they fired ran.
1:02:12
They should have just clean slated it with with
1:02:16
cam It Whatever. I don't know a hundred percent.
1:02:21
And that was kind of, I think it was a point
1:02:22
I made last week, two weeks ago, where we're
1:02:24
going to get stuck in the bear cycle, where it's
1:02:27
one year after another, new quarterback, new
1:02:29
coach, new GM. And then someone gets fired. Someone
1:02:33
gets fired. Someone gets cut. New quarterback,
1:02:36
new coach, new GM. Someone gets fired. Someone
1:02:38
gets fired. Someone gets fired. And that's what
1:02:40
the bears have been. They've been stuck in that
1:02:43
cycle for years now. And the Titans are getting
1:02:47
close to being caught in that. So unless like,
1:02:51
yeah, we just magically turn around and win six
1:02:53
games, which ain't fucking happening. Yeah, Calvin's
1:02:58
gotta go. I mean, he's just not the guy like
1:03:00
you. We can all see it. We're just delaying the
1:03:03
inevitable. He's not at this point in his career,
1:03:08
ready to be an NFL head coach. And some guys
1:03:11
never are. And that's fine. You can still be
1:03:13
a fine coordinator in this league, which I think
1:03:15
he could be. But he's not head coach like variable
1:03:19
for what his faults were. You could tell like
1:03:22
he can be a head coach and he proved it, but
1:03:24
like just the way he carried himself. Callahan
1:03:26
is like, he looks like an idiot at these press
1:03:31
conferences. Like variable would be like a sour
1:03:33
person, like be mean to people, but Caroline
1:03:36
is just kind of a bitch sometimes. But, uh, yes,
1:03:39
well, what are you wanting to say? Uh, so before
1:03:42
we wrap up here, uh, I did I wanted to know how
1:03:46
quickly an NFL coach has been fired. Um, and
1:03:52
I want you guys to guess. I saw this tweet is
1:03:56
in modern day. It's four weeks, isn't it? Uh,
1:04:02
yes and no. I thought, I thought there was one
1:04:05
from like the fifties or something that was like
1:04:08
after three weeks, but like modern day, I thought
1:04:10
it was four. So the quickest and NFL coach has
1:04:13
been fired was just after two preseason games
1:04:17
in 1978. Oh The Los Angeles Rams let go of George
1:04:24
Allen That's the law you say the Los Angeles
1:04:34
Rams they were back in LA I didn't know that.
1:04:42
That's hilarious. In the modern era, the four
1:04:44
games you were referring to was Bill O 'Brien
1:04:48
in 2020. He got fired after four games, but I
1:04:50
think he was the coach for like a year or two
1:04:52
before that. Oh, you just meant like overall,
1:04:56
like their career, like their tenure at this
1:04:59
team. Yeah. Oh, I thought you meant like just
1:05:02
in the, like the individual season. Maybe I did.
1:05:09
I don't know. Anyway, but other notable quick
1:05:13
firings. Frank Reich in twenty twenty three.
1:05:17
The Carolina Panthers dismissed Frank Reich after
1:05:19
only eleven games. Urban Meyer in twenty twenty
1:05:25
one only after thirteen games was let go by the
1:05:28
Jacksonville Jaguars. So. That's a neat little
1:05:33
tidbit, because I wanted to I wanted to know
1:05:35
that I thought it'd be fun. Other issues, right?
1:05:41
Like Yeah, yeah, he was getting handsy with ladies
1:05:47
at bars in Cincinnati the kicker Yeah, yeah,
1:05:52
he was also just a general asshole. But yeah
1:05:55
And also not a good coach No, he's not he's not
1:06:00
really not a good coach more poorly like yeah.
1:06:03
Yeah But I don't know right to start after 11.
1:06:08
I thought it was Longer than that. I didn't know
1:06:12
shorter than Meyer Yep, I thought and I could
1:06:16
have swore that a Nathaniel Hackett lasted only
1:06:19
like half a season, but he he coached 15 games
1:06:23
And I'm like that seems way too many games Yeah,
1:06:28
that that's one where it's like if it's that
1:06:30
long just Guess let them have some dignity and
1:06:34
finish the season. Like what are you really gaining
1:06:36
from? Was it still two more games at the time
1:06:40
like who? cares right Yeah, I thought that'd
1:06:46
be fun Any any more notes before I before I wrap
1:06:51
it up No, I don't think so. Thanks. Oh, okay.
1:06:58
I'm gonna wrap it up Thank you so much for listening
1:07:01
and watching really appreciate it Please check
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should never pay for pics, but you should pay
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for data I'm gonna see if they'll coin that for
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me Because I think that's a good phrase But yes,
1:07:20
thank you so much Check the Twitter follow the
1:07:24
Twitter for updated picks I mean we'll probably
1:07:26
have more for Sunday as well as our picks for
1:07:30
both of the Monday night games this week that
1:07:33
are both pretty ass so But yes Thank you for
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