Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NFL Conference Championship Slate | Start/Sit, DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Picks, Plays & Process

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NFL Conference Championship Slate | Start/Sit, DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Picks, Plays & Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:00
  Yeah, all systems going clear the left up? What's up? Everyone?
• 0:37
  Tyler Tambaline here aka Totagging Tambo back for the Conference Championships edition of the NFL
• 0:44
  Playoffs. Here, we've got two great games. Gonna be breaking all things
• 0:47
  down, two games. Slate over on DraftKings, maybe talk a little showdown
• 0:51
  FanDuel, et cetera throughout, But we got my guys, hoop title here
• 0:54
  with me as always, gotta shut out first in our guy ross k Let's
• 0:57
  go ship a nation. Happy to see you guys all here supporting, helping
• 1:00
  us out. We appreciate it. Hit that like button on the way in
• 1:03
  subscribe to the channel. We're almost at five point five k. We're trying
• 1:07
  to get to six k fastest possible. Gonna do some giveaways when we get
• 1:10
  to that, but Hoopster, bring you in. We got a shot,
• 1:12
  my friend, we got a shot. We made it all the way this
• 1:15
  season. And if anybody who's been watching all season remembers back, Hoop mentioned
• 1:19
  at one point it was right before around the Lions Ravens game. He's a
• 1:23
  Lions fan, I'm a Ravens fan. He said, who would you rather
• 1:26
  have in the Super Bowl? Golf or Lamar Jackson. I went with my
• 1:30
  guy. We won thirty eight to six. But now we have a chance
• 1:34
  at least to see these two guys and see who you would like in the
• 1:38
  in the super Bowl. Hoop, I'll bring you in. What's going on,
• 1:40
  man, how you doing? Yeah, there is a chance, there's
• 1:42
  no doubt about it. You know, I'd take it. You know,
• 1:46
  get the Ravens Lions in that Super Bowl and then we can see you know,
• 1:49
  the talk is pushed aside. Your little thirty six to seven shot you
• 1:53
  had to take there, that's out the window at that point. Whatever the
• 1:57
  hell. It is close enough, all right, close enough, So if
• 2:00
  they both get there, we'll see, you know. But yeah, it's
• 2:01
  been a fun ride. And then we've we've joked all the titles. Team
• 2:05
  always got the job done. Last week as well, that would have been
• 2:07
  even even more ironic if we get all three of at the games into the
• 2:10
  final. Huh you would have been at the game, would have been at
• 2:14
  four time? Yes, yeah, that would have been my preferred option for
• 2:19
  the squad playing at home against the Packers instead of on the road against San
• 2:22
  Francisco. We'll obviously get into too the games and kind of talk about how
• 2:25
  we see it all playing out. But for fantasy purposes, prize pools are
• 2:30
  massive, I mean as always. And you know, we had a good
• 2:31
  week last week. One I was one one pass away or one rushing touchdown
• 2:37
  away from another. Milly didn't go my way, finished fifteenth in that puppy.
• 2:40
  It's all right, it's gonna happen this week though. Feeling good.
• 2:43
  The momentum is starting to build. Uh yeah, We're gonna go through talk
• 2:46
  some scenarios, talk some roster construction, talk about the games, talk about
• 2:51
  the positions, get you covered on all angles, so you know, you
• 2:53
  get that opportunity to maybe ship something tomorrow. It's gonna be fun both games.
• 2:58
  Looking forward to it and looking forward to talking through the slight with you
• 3:00
  guys today. Yeah, because of golf. Sweats today too, so excited
• 3:04
  about that. Golf always ends early on this week, so tomorrow we can
• 3:07
  focus on the football. But got to bring in the man, the myth,
• 3:09
  the million dollar mullet title. What's going on? Man? What's happening
• 3:14
  over there? How you doing? You're saying I'm gonna win the million baker
• 3:15
  tomorrow because I I mean, I got the mullet. If the mullets getting
• 3:19
  worked on, I'll take the million though, no doubt about that. I
• 3:22
  wish my team was in it. I mean, I'm at this point of
• 3:25
  my life. I wouldn't even say I'm as Hoop loves the Lions a lot
• 3:29
  more than I like the Packers. I'm more like you now, Tambo.
• 3:31
  I grew up a diehard Packer fan. Money definitely surpassed that and not cheer
• 3:36
  for that a lot more. But man, it would have been nice to
• 3:38
  see the Packers and the Lions. It was a great game. No devo
• 3:42
  I think did help. We'll get into the games. I'm on both favorites.
• 3:46
  I wouldn't be surprised if we see like fourteen twenty one point games.
• 3:49
  I like the Ravens, I like the Niners. But yeah, it would
• 3:53
  have been cool seeing the Packers talk about my bullets, appreciate that I'm working
• 3:57
  on it, and I definitely will definitely want a million dollars tomorrow. So
• 4:01
  I hope he talked in existence are you gonna play the Millionmaker tomorrow? Yeah?
• 4:05
  At least I'll play at least like twenty. Usually I've been like around
• 4:09
  like the twenty forty rain something like that, so I'll be live. I
• 4:12
  already very reference right where you're just tell me you go ahead, Tamba,
• 4:15
  you wasted. I'll just collect cash and as I passed, go every single
• 4:20
  week. Hoop. Give Bradley, Yeah, that's why I'm sweating today.
• 4:24
  Give me something. You got a sweat? Okay, yeah, well I
• 4:27
  don't have a sweat, but I just Bradley Okay, okay, okay,
• 4:31
  hoop. I'll bring you in again, man, just talk to me first
• 4:33
  here before we bring up. We are going to do some screen sharing.
• 4:35
  We'll show you guys our projections updated as of last night, all everything,
• 4:40
  it looks pretty clean cut as far as like you know, Shanahan was talking
• 4:43
  about Debo already being in good shape, ready to go with that shoulder.
• 4:46
  We know Mark Andrews back in the mix. P Checko already making fun of
• 4:49
  people making fun of him that are saying he runs like a zombie. He
• 4:53
  seems good to go. And then Tony is it was back at practice.
• 4:56
  So we'll see if anything else pops up. But as of right now,
• 4:59
  it seem pretty clean and clear on that stuff. But give me your first
• 5:01
  thoughts here, hoop on how did these two games play out because I got
• 5:05
  some thoughts, but honest thoughts, no bias. What do you think happens
• 5:09
  in these two games before we get into the position by position the Ravens Chiefs
• 5:15
  game, what's the spread up to? It's Raven's now favored by four,
• 5:18
  I believe, And man, I don't know, like I got honest.
• 5:23
  I know a lot of people are just kind of assuming it's the Ravens.
• 5:26
  And we talked about the chief situation that first round of the playoffs. I
• 5:30
  mean, they looked like crap rolling into the playoffs. But I was like,
• 5:31
  man, this team just finds a way and can they turn it on
• 5:35
  when the playoffs start? And that's kind of what happened. Still a little
• 5:40
  bit worried about the squad and the options that they have out there. Even
• 5:44
  despite Kelsey having the good game last week, he does not look like the
• 5:46
  Kelsey of last season. They still have not solidified like a wide receiver number
• 5:53
  two outside of Rice. I mean, Rice is phenomenal again, he has
• 5:56
  that good connection with Patrick Mahomes. But I just think they have a very
• 6:00
  narrow path to win this game. Everything would would probably have to go their
• 6:04
  way to beat the Ravens. Can they do it? Absolutely? I mean
• 6:08
  there's something magical about Patrick Mahomes. There's no denying it. I mean I
• 6:12
  just saw what he has, the sixth most playoff wins by a quarterback and
• 6:15
  he's like twenty six. That's absolutely insane. He gets to these games and
• 6:20
  he finds a way to win. Do I think they can find a way
• 6:23
  to win this game? Absolutely? So for me, I'm still going to
• 6:27
  pick the Ravens to advance to the Super Bowl, but I think the Chiefs
• 6:31
  are definitely live. I don't think it's an absolute slam dunk at the Ravens
• 6:34
  beat him. There's just something about the Patrick Mahomes thing where he just finds
• 6:38
  a way to win. Andy Reid is I think one of the best coaches
• 6:42
  that I've seen in the last like ten years. So they're live. But
• 6:45
  I will pick the Ravens. And then on the forty nine Ers Lions game.
• 6:48
  Obviously, it's been a great run for the Lions. But one thing
• 6:51
  you should know, if you've watched my content over the years, you know
• 6:55
  I'm a realist. I'm a realistic guy, and you know I definitely thought
• 6:58
  they could beat the Rams. Definitely thought they could beat the Bucks got the
• 7:00
  job, and this is a brutal, brutal spot for the Lions. I
• 7:03
  think there's a pretty decent chance that they get absolutely blown out in this game.
• 7:08
  So what I like them advanced to the Super Bowl? Yes, absolutely,
• 7:12
  I'd love it. I mean, it would be the most exciting thing.
• 7:14
  I remember as a kid waking up every morning watching Lions on Sundays,
• 7:17
  sat there on the couch. I'd watched every single second the game. They
• 7:20
  got their ass kick basically every single week, and it was terrible. And
• 7:25
  you get a little bit older and you're like, man, why am I
• 7:27
  still rooting for this team? Like they continue to get their ass kicked?
• 7:30
  They're just making the wrong decisions. So for a while there, you know,
• 7:32
  I kind of, you know, bailed and went elsewhere because I like
• 7:35
  football. I just didn't want to watch a team just get destroyed every single
• 7:39
  week. This is the you know, first you know, last couple of
• 7:43
  years, obviously we saw some hope with Dan Campbell. It's the first opportunity
• 7:46
  for them to get there. I'm pulling for him, there's no doubt,
• 7:47
  Like I obviously want them to win, but again, I'm very realistic and
• 7:53
  I'm very realistic with my money, uh and I think that the Niners could
• 7:57
  put up a big number and beat the hell out of the Lions. Now,
• 8:00
  you know, if the Lions do win this game, I think it
• 8:01
  would be like a close, competitive back and forth game. But for me,
• 8:05
  the most likely scenario I think is the Niners to beat the hell out
• 8:09
  of them tomorrow. Unfortunately, it's tough to say, but again, that's
• 8:13
  that's kind of where I'm at on that one. Andrew our guy said,
• 8:16
  should I cash this out as Lions Ravens. Yes, I'm cashing it out.
• 8:22
  I mean, you got to, you gotta factor in the odds.
• 8:24
  I'm sure the cash out number is probably not great, probably more. I'll
• 8:28
  definitely let that ride. Title. Do you have any different thoughts or anything
• 8:31
  else to add to that, like, how do you see these two games
• 8:33
  playing out tomorrow. I've got some thoughts that I'll add at the end,
• 8:35
  but I want to get your take here first. I'm on Ravens to cover
• 8:39
  four, Niners the cover seven. I agree with Hoop and a lot of
• 8:41
  the standpoints. I feel better with the Niners because Mahomes he's a winner.
• 8:46
  There's there is no doubt about that, but man, the weapons he has,
• 8:48
  Like I've talked about it before the playoffs, he keeps finding a way
• 8:52
  to do it. He's played great football as Mahomes, but this Ravens defense
• 8:56
  is incredible. Lamar's legs just think they have more outs to win, So
• 9:00
  I mean it's gonna be rocking in there. I do a lot more confident
• 9:03
  the Niners covering seven than I am Baltimore covering four though, but thefs and
• 9:09
  it's a whole different ballgame DFS than like what I see these games going,
• 9:11
  as we talk about all the time. So I hope oops lines wins.
• 9:15
  We'll talk about golf. But I think the Lions are very interesting at low
• 9:20
  ownership on this two gamer. Yeah, we're gonna get to that in a
• 9:22
  second. Obviously, that's part of this. In two games slates, it
• 9:24
  is kind of like a showdown slate where you're breaking it down or you want
• 9:26
  to be building your lineups on what you think is going to happen. And
• 9:30
  that's where my take is. So I actually think hoops take is probably and
• 9:33
  here's what's similar to it anyway, title, But I think hoops take is
• 9:35
  what the general public is kind of feeling right, like they think the forty
• 9:39
  nine Ers smash the Ravens, maybe win, but I haven't. I see
• 9:43
  more than enough people that are on the Mahomes, the Taylor Swift stuff that
• 9:46
  Andy Reid and Mahomes. There's no way, the jokes and the conspiracies and
• 9:50
  oh you know, Mahomes has never lost the playoff road game because he played
• 9:54
  his first one ever last week and won it. So it's like little things
• 9:58
  like that you see people throw out. Yet it did go to four.
• 10:01
  I actually see it the other way, So I mean, this is no
• 10:03
  bias. I'm obviously a Ravens fan, but it just this one stood out
• 10:07
  to me. I threw it in our discord the other day. Tell me
• 10:09
  I'm an idiot in the chat if you want, I don't mind. But
• 10:11
  the Ravens smashed the forty nine Ers in what was like the biggest game of
• 10:15
  the entire season leading up to that point. It was like the two top
• 10:18
  seeds, this is gonna be a thing. It's only a month ago that
• 10:20
  this game happened. The Ravens smashed them despite CMC rushed for one hundred deeb
• 10:26
  or Ayuk and Kittle both caught over one hundred and ten yards. Obviously,
• 10:30
  Perdy had the bad game, but the Ravens still smash got the job done
• 10:33
  there. Then they put up fifty six on Miami. Then they lost to
• 10:35
  the Steelers with their second group by seven points. They didn't even play their
• 10:39
  guys obviously in that game. Then they go on and put thirty four on
• 10:43
  Houston after a slow start. None of that stuff really matters to me.
• 10:46
  The look aheadline for the Super Bowl, and to Hoop's point of what the
• 10:50
  general public thinks is San Francisco's gonna smash and if they get there, they're
• 10:54
  like a three or four point favorite over Kansas City in the Super Bowl.
• 10:58
  So that's just what I don't get. Like, if the Ravens smashed them
• 11:01
  and then that's what people are seeing. If they get there against Kansas City
• 11:05
  after Kansas City beats them, then they're the underdog to that. Like,
• 11:07
  I just don't understand how some of that stuff works. So I actually think
• 11:11
  the Lions play a close game. I like our guy Whaler who's been with
• 11:16
  us since day one. He won the first ever annual membership to ship at
• 11:18
  Nation dot com. So congrats to Whaler. Still riding it riding the whale,
• 11:22
  the wave. But let's be really said, uh oh, where's it
• 11:26
  at? That's not the first one right here, Lions don't have it same
• 11:28
  person. However, if there will ever be a team, it's gonna be
• 11:33
  this one or never, he says, or never. But I do think
• 11:35
  this is definitely the squad. A that's aggressive. If that's aggressed, I
• 11:37
  mean they got the young team. Dan Campbell's a really good coach. Like
• 11:41
  five hundred years later. Lions so winless in the Supero. So to be
• 11:46
  clear, the round of my take alternate lines ravens minus nine and a half.
• 11:50
  And I don't I don't think the other game is gonna be the blow,
• 11:54
  and I think the other game is gonna be closer. It could still
• 11:56
  be the forty nine ers pulling it out in the end, but that's that
• 11:58
  would be my And if everyone remembers last week, I will take a little
• 12:01
  victory lap those four game parlays. Everyone got them wrong, but I got
• 12:05
  them right. I had all four. I had. My one was the
• 12:07
  Chiefs that I went the other side. The other three were good. So
• 12:11
  we'll keep riding this heater. See. I had a good Saturday last weekend.
• 12:15
  We got to keep this thing rolling. Didn't play that, you didn't
• 12:18
  play the guy's play remember that guy, Jake, Jake, where you at
• 12:24
  Jake? Come on? But yeah, I think where Ravens finally show what's
• 12:26
  up. They get the job done. It's nothing against obviously, no one's
• 12:30
  gonna be surprised if Mahomes and Andy Reid figure it out again. But they're
• 12:33
  missing some stuff. That old lineman they're down to. I forget that Thuny
• 12:35
  or whatever like that. They got some stuff going on over there that I
• 12:39
  just hope and think that the Ravens come through and get the job done.
• 12:41
  So that move into four I like that, And there's my man shout out
• 12:46
  to Jakes is a true one that comes back and says it is what it
• 12:50
  is and rides that. So let's get into this. I'm gonna get this
• 12:54
  thing shared. Who anything you want to add on that or any extra thoughts.
• 12:56
  WI, I'm pulling this stuff up and we'll get into the slate here.
• 13:00
  Yeah. I mean, it's fun to obviously talk about it, talk
• 13:01
  through the scenarios, and now it's time to take those thoughts and scenarios and
• 13:05
  apply them to some dfs lineups and we'll go through, we'll talk through the
• 13:09
  positions, we'll do some you know, roster construction stuff which we you know,
• 13:13
  had started doing the show, which I think is very helpful for people
• 13:15
  when they go in and start building lineups on their own. So we want
• 13:18
  to do a little more of that stuff. And yeah, again it's it's
• 13:20
  a good slight. It's gonna be fun. Yeah. Quick note, if
• 13:22
  you guys still want to get in on the action, there's lots of stuff
• 13:24
  still going on. Remember, and while NFL is winding down, we've got
• 13:28
  NBA in full swing. Projections ownership, PGA. We still have the PGA
• 13:33
  only packages more than half price of most of the other sites in the industry.
• 13:37
  Having huge success just three weeks in. Our guy Mark f who won
• 13:41
  the Millie in NFL showdown just a few weeks back, ended up winning a
• 13:43
  Fantasy Golf World Championship seat, and he won the Big two K tournament yesterday
• 13:48
  as well. We've got MMA, it's just on a short break this week.
• 13:50
  Then I think it's back for six in a row or something like that.
• 13:52
  NHL and then MLB's coming back soon. But if you want to get
• 13:56
  in, go to join the Nation. The prices are all there, but
• 14:00
  the code PGA ten is not just for PGA only. It gets you ten
• 14:03
  percent off any of the monthly, six month annual packages as well, if
• 14:07
  you guys want to check that out, So you guys can get it on
• 14:09
  the action over at ship at nation dot com. Let's go back here.
• 14:13
  We're gonna use our partner, the Solver. In the solver, you'll see
• 14:16
  our projections right here loaded. They were updated late last night, so these
• 14:20
  are pretty accurate going into it. We are going to go position by position.
• 14:24
  Let me know in the chat though, while we're doing this, who
• 14:26
  do you guys got winning these games? Who are the two winners? If
• 14:30
  you want to throw spreads in there, whatever you guys want to do,
• 14:31
  throw it into the chat, but whoop, start with you man. Let's
• 14:35
  break down some of these quarterbacks you were talking about. Purdy is definitely popping
• 14:39
  the most from our projections, Lamar Goff mahomes sort of how the value rates
• 14:45
  out? What are you doing here at the quarterback position on tomorrow's two games?
• 14:46
  Slate million dollars up top. Yeah, so the first thing that obviously
• 14:52
  stands out is like Lamar Jackson. Then you've needed him the last what two
• 14:56
  weeks essentially, or or you're done. I mean he's gone off back to
• 15:00
  back games thirty nine thirty nine. And you know, it's crazy too,
• 15:03
  because if you think Lamar Jackson is going off for thirty nine fantasy points,
• 15:09
  you would assume that he's just rushing it a ton. And he did rush
• 15:11
  eleven times last week, but only six the week before and had the or
• 15:16
  yeah, it was the week before that he had the six. Yeah,
• 15:18
  the game before that that he played with it. Yeah, yeah, So
• 15:22
  okay, sorry, this was the sorry, yeah, I'm mess to start
• 15:26
  here, but okay, so this was their first game of the playoff last
• 15:28
  week, and he absolutely went off. You needed him, you needed the
• 15:31
  thirty nine fantasy points. He clearly has the highest ceiling on the slid.
• 15:35
  Andy gets Mark Andrews back as well, so you know, he is a
• 15:39
  little more expensive if you are going to play a lot of Christian McCaffrey.
• 15:45
  If you're going to play him with McCaffrey, does start to add up pretty
• 15:48
  quick in terms of the salary you get. You know, let's see,
• 15:50
  if you do that, you got Lamar, you have McCaffrey, and then
• 15:54
  you plug in like a Chief Defense or whatever it's plug in on defense,
• 15:56
  You're immediately at fifty one hundred, So does it does dry up relatively quickly,
• 16:02
  But man, Lamar Jackson can clearly just absolutely nuke the slate and be
• 16:07
  the guy that you need, especially on a two game slate. So I
• 16:11
  definitely want to exposure to him. Now that the problem when you are playing
• 16:14
  Lamar, it's not necessarily a problem, but it's you know, who do
• 16:15
  you pair him with? Do you need to pair him with anyone? And
• 16:19
  now it gets a little more complicated with Mark Andrews back in the mix as
• 16:22
  well, because there is a chance that you know, it could be all
• 16:26
  Mark Andrews, it could be Mark Andrews and likely mixing it in. So
• 16:30
  that is one dynamic that I think is pretty interesting on the slate, which
• 16:33
  we you know, we'll talk about a little bit more at the tight end
• 16:36
  position. But getting exposure to Lamar I think is a necessity on this two
• 16:38
  game slate. You watch that three Eastern game and he goes off and you
• 16:44
  don't have them. It's a laptop closer, closing sort of afternoon. You
• 16:48
  don't want that. So definitely interested in a lot of Lamar. We have
• 16:52
  a pretty aggressive projection on Brock Purty, which fine with I mean, that's
• 16:56
  what kind of we're all about here. You go around the industry, everyone's
• 17:00
  going to have the same shit, the same numbers for the same guys within
• 17:03
  you know, one or two. We have an aggressive number. And I
• 17:04
  like this because I do think that the Niners can absolutely smash in the spot.
• 17:10
  I mean, the projectors score twenty nine points. The Lion's defense has
• 17:12
  not been great. It's given up some pretty big plays. So I'm good
• 17:17
  with the aggressive number. I'm purty. You know, we're probably three to
• 17:19
  four points, i'd say higher than the industry. So many options, and
• 17:25
  now Debo comes back and sounds to be pretty close to one hundred percent,
• 17:29
  So I'm definitely good with a lot of Purty as well, in a lot
• 17:33
  of different ways to pair him. You compare them obviously with McCaffrey, Ayuk,
• 17:38
  Debo, and Kittle. I wouldn't mess with any of the secondary pieces.
• 17:41
  Now that Debo is back, the next guy I want to talk about
• 17:45
  it is Mahomes because it does get I mean, those are the two that
• 17:48
  everyone thinks we'll get their offensively. Lamar Jackson and because we're going to show
• 17:52
  it while we goes, I just want I'm gonna go to him for you.
• 17:55
  I just want to show it. Like you mentioned this scenarios, I
• 17:56
  want to bring this up, like Lamar, if you go Lamar Odell Andrews
• 18:02
  with Rice on the runback, you can still have almost five K left over
• 18:06
  for your last three spots with CMC and forty nine ers. So just keep
• 18:11
  that in mind. I just show that up now, go ahead on your
• 18:12
  take with the home side of it, and we can talk through that one.
• 18:15
  Yeah. So after those two, I mean again, those are the
• 18:18
  ones that people think have a chance to their teams have a chance to score
• 18:22
  a lot of points and win the games. The Rock Purty and Lamar Jackson,
• 18:27
  Patrick Mahomes again similar to what I said with the team, where I
• 18:32
  think everything has to go the Chiefs way in order for them to win.
• 18:37
  That's kind of my take with Patrick Mahomes. I think a lot would have
• 18:40
  to go his way in order for him to be the quarterback that you need
• 18:45
  on the slate tomorrow. Is that sixty nine hundred, So it is a
• 18:48
  pretty big price at this Ravens defense at home is no freaking joke. And
• 18:52
  this could just be a really nasty ugly type situation for the Chiefs, and
• 18:57
  the game could be nasty ugly as well, which does not for me,
• 19:00
  bode well for Patrick Mahomes. And you're not getting much of a break either.
• 19:04
  Sixty nine hundred. It's tough. I mean I will have some because
• 19:08
  I mean it's a two games slate, but I am not interested in getting
• 19:11
  like way overweight on Mahomes. Again, he doesn't have the options. I
• 19:15
  mean, if he's doing anything, it's three ways, it's got to be
• 19:19
  essentially on the ground, which he's not going to run a ton. It's
• 19:22
  got to be too Kelsey, and it's got to be too rice. I
• 19:26
  mean, outside of that, the options are just so so bleak. I
• 19:30
  will have some, but probably underweight. And then the last guy, Jared
• 19:34
  Goff, to me, it's the most worrisome spot. Obviously we think he
• 19:40
  could be playing from behind. I don't know if that's necessarily a good thing
• 19:41
  for him though, because he's had a really bad track record going to San
• 19:47
  Francisco. He's like oh and five in San fran and like not good statistics,
• 19:52
  like really bad statistics. It could get ugly for the Lions. I
• 19:56
  think think in a hurry, So I just don't love him, and it
• 20:00
  is a potential fade spot for me, to be honest with you, just
• 20:03
  fully fade golf and hope he's not the guy, which I think it's very
• 20:06
  unlikely he's the guy that you need tomorrow, which pains me. Again,
• 20:10
  definitely pains me. But this is a bad, bad spot for him.
• 20:15
  The forty nine ers do a really good job of taking taking away the stuff
• 20:18
  in the middle of the field, and that's where he has all his success.
• 20:22
  I mean, just think about the plays the Lions have had recently.
• 20:25
  It's like over the middle to the Porta, over the middle to Monras.
• 20:27
  Saint Brown has been over the middle to Josh Reynolds too, He's had some
• 20:32
  big plays over the middle of the field. Then the Niners do better than
• 20:37
  anyone in the NFL of taking those plays away. So I just think it
• 20:40
  could be a very tough offensive situation for the Lions today and tomorrow and golf.
• 20:45
  It scares me with golf, so yeah, I'll most likely be focusing
• 20:48
  on Purty in Lamar Jackson and then hoping those are the two that we kind
• 20:52
  of need on the slate tomorrow. Yeah, I gotta see when we get
• 20:56
  to We'll get to defense at the end and go through it some some good
• 21:00
  life lessons in here. Guy Jakes says, we back real DFS players own
• 21:03
  their loss. I think that's in life. People that own their mistakes and
• 21:06
  just realize that not everybody's nobody's perfect, can make mistakes and move on.
• 21:08
  I love our guy. Could be Travis keeping all the money in Canada,
• 21:11
  like he always says. But if we don't win, we learn. The
• 21:14
  more you learn, the more you earn. Philosophy over at shibbnation dot com.
• 21:18
  Definitely something we're all about. Even if you didn't have the best NFL
• 21:21
  season, it's not really what it's about. It's some of the lessons you
• 21:23
  picked up on that put you there in the future to have success with those
• 21:27
  little tidbits that you picked up on along the way. It's not my first
• 21:30
  year playing DFS. It's a lot of the stuff combining to have success over
• 21:34
  the years of being able to put it together. Mark f is in the
• 21:37
  building. We talked about him earlier. Congrats again on the big day yesterday,
• 21:41
  Mark, And then we'll get to some stuff here I'm assuming right here
• 21:45
  because I'm gonna go to Title in a second. On I'm assuming Big Rob
• 21:48
  means that quarterback because CMC definitely has that upside on this slate, so I'm
• 21:52
  thinking he means that. But then he says, fade CMC. We'll get
• 21:55
  there in a second with a question mark, so we'll have to see.
• 21:56
  But Title, give me your thoughts at quarterback, others, you know,
• 22:00
  other angles on these guys that you might have. I'll start with Mahomes.
• 22:03
  You say never, Mahomes, Let's ride that train. I mean, dude's
• 22:07
  box score has been awful, even in games that they're winning, that he's
• 22:11
  playing good eighteen eighteen, thirteen, seventeen, twenty, fourteen fourteen, I
• 22:15
  mean two months ago twenty, which is his highest score. I got to
• 22:19
  cross off dudes. Mahomes is getting crossed off. Start there, four down
• 22:25
  to three. I'll go golf next. All right, hoop, he's been
• 22:29
  bad in San Franz. He grew up as a Cali boy, though high
• 22:32
  school, played college at Cal were sixteen because of Joe Montana. Grew up
• 22:37
  a Niners fan. The dude's gonna be what ten percent on at the end
• 22:41
  of the day. It's just a two games lay. I'm good buying in
• 22:44
  on the lowest owned stack. And you know when you do stack him,
• 22:47
  you know it's amen Ra or Laporta, or you get the Jamison Williams who's
• 22:51
  already gonna be popular, so you use him in a different way, Josh
• 22:53
  Reynolds. So it's it is concentrated, but it isn't. But I mean
• 22:59
  you can get away with it pretty cheap, I will say, just to
• 23:02
  add on, yeah, just to add on to your point, it is
• 23:04
  the probably the easiest stacks of the slate. I mean, you have two
• 23:10
  cheap wide receivers. You have an alpha wide receiver in Saint Brown. The
• 23:15
  two cheap guys are Jamison and Josh Reynolds. You have a viable tight end
• 23:18
  in Laporta, and you have a pass catching running back in jamieer Gibbs.
• 23:22
  So and it's going to be the full stack is going to be relatively low
• 23:26
  on to the rest of the stuff on the slate because people are not going
• 23:30
  to want to play golf. So to your point, you know, I
• 23:33
  think you can get there in a lot of different ways with golf, a
• 23:37
  lot of different builds, a lot of different roster construction types. And it's
• 23:41
  easy to make it happen too, because you have the cheap quarterback, you
• 23:42
  have the cheap wide receivers, and you can get some of the studs on
• 23:45
  the slate. So that's just one point I want to add. This is
• 23:48
  like title real quick, and I'll let you keep going. But this is
• 23:52
  like your lineup right here, right just to show it up, you can
• 23:53
  build a golf Even though I took out Williams, I think the overstack would
• 23:56
  make some sense to get us back up to almost five k. But you're
• 24:00
  against Mahomes. You crossed him right off. You know McCaffrey. We're gonna
• 24:03
  talk about him in a second when we get the running back potential lock button
• 24:06
  on this slate. We'll get to the reasoning in a second. And then
• 24:08
  golf a Monra you get the best dudes, Laporta. If you want to
• 24:11
  overstack it, you don't mind, because at least now you're putting a guy
• 24:15
  that can double down with you in your Jamison Williams play here with the quarterback,
• 24:19
  and then you still have four point eight case. So continue on.
• 24:22
  I just wanted to show that off as we go along. Keep it dynamic.
• 24:25
  What else do you got? No for sure, and like he might
• 24:27
  the higher the stakes, the small lower the entryes like he's ten percent even
• 24:32
  single digits and some stuff on a two game slate like I do like the
• 24:36
  Niners a lot. I think they jump ahead, so he will have to
• 24:38
  throw more. Yeah, golf at the ownership definitely is something I'll be playing
• 24:44
  and instead of just being underweight Mahomes, I'll just use that for some golf
• 24:47
  ownership because I will be playing Perty, I will be playing Lamar. I
• 24:51
  will say big rop. I mean, Mahomes is a winner, like he's
• 24:53
  in the Tom Brady boat right now. There's nothing bad to say there.
• 24:56
  But DFS wise, I just I'll take these other guys at their ownership really
• 25:02
  at all. Brod Purty's gonna be the chalkiest quarterback on the slates. Him
• 25:04
  and Kittle will probably be the most popular pairing on the slate. I mean
• 25:10
  you can add McCaffrey kind of in there as well. I like all of
• 25:12
  them. Debo's gonna be low owned. You can go that UK route.
• 25:15
  It's concentrated. The pricing's fine, They're implied for a lot of points.
• 25:21
  Like there's nothing bad to say about it, But ownership's like the higher dollar
• 25:26
  less people in it, the higher parties. Ownership is going to be compared
• 25:30
  to the smallers or compared to like the flagship stuff like that. So I'll
• 25:33
  be playing three quarterbacks, no mahomes. Even if you play twenty percent golf,
• 25:37
  you're overweight. I do like golf, though. The tough thing with
• 25:41
  Lamar I love him because he just has that slate breaking upside. And I
• 25:45
  guess I kind of throw this back to you on this tangent. Are you
• 25:47
  gonna allow to allow playing him naked on the two game slate? Because man
• 25:52
  is an a Gelar? Is it Bateman? Obj likely Justice Hill. That's
• 25:57
  the really hard part about Lamar is nailing who is gonna be there. But
• 26:00
  you also can use that in a good way. You said in the beginning,
• 26:03
  Tambo, it's like Showdown, like it's like a fifty to fifth Showdown
• 26:07
  or two games slates like maybe sixty forty Showdown, and not because you play
• 26:11
  the dupe game. You play like the combinations, et cetera. But I
• 26:15
  guess to that point, it's good that there's so many options because if you
• 26:18
  get the lower own options, and it's all spread out, you have a
• 26:22
  better chance at solo shipping. So yeah, three quarterbacks, long story short,
• 26:26
  all good, no great breakdown. I think that was good And I
• 26:27
  like that you tossd to me on the Lamar one because that would be my
• 26:30
  piece about this. For sure, I'm going to embrace the heart. I
• 26:33
  forget what coach said. It was like a college coach or whatever said nothing
• 26:37
  in life comes easy. It's true. It's like you won't remember it if
• 26:40
  it wasn't hard. And that's the point with the Lamar set up. We
• 26:42
  like on a two game slate like this where it is hard to figure out
• 26:45
  who to pair them with. But you got to think of a couple angles.
• 26:48
  One, what do you think the Chiefs are gonna do. They're gonna
• 26:49
  send Chris Jones and these dudes and just try and do it. So what's
• 26:52
  gonna happen? More than likely he's gonna scramble a bunch and pick up some
• 26:56
  yards on the ground, And yes, anything can happen when you get to
• 26:59
  the end zone. It's not quite as bad as what we had to deal
• 27:00
  with all season with Jalen Hurts, where you just got to the one every
• 27:03
  single time and knew that the brotherly shove or the Toushbush was coming in.
• 27:07
  But I think that you could find some of these checkdowns to some of these
• 27:11
  dudes and let these guys in motion go with it. So I like that
• 27:14
  it's sort of Zey Bateman, Agalore Beckham. I do wonder what they do
• 27:18
  with Zay with Snead because Snead has been real and been doing his thing,
• 27:22
  so maybe that's a possibility. I don't know, but I like mixing up
• 27:25
  the Bateman Agalore Beckham. It's too bad we don't have those Agalore incentives still
• 27:30
  on the line, but it seems like he's better when the incentives are gone
• 27:32
  and done. So maybe he's a guy you could mix in as well.
• 27:34
  But like the Lamar lineup, if you can just get off Zay and say
• 27:40
  forget him and go to uh Risha Bateman, or let's just use Beckham,
• 27:45
  because I think more people would use Beckham here. That's they're all gonna be
• 27:47
  low owned. That's the great like, they're all right, you can do
• 27:52
  this, let me just keep it going here. We're gonna continue with this
• 27:53
  strategy. We're gonna get Rice, who seems to be pot This is the
• 27:56
  popular version of not saying to roll this out there, but right back to
• 28:00
  that four point seven that we were at earlier with Hoop there, it was
• 28:03
  pretty close to this, I think that we built up and that's kind of
• 28:06
  the same as the other ones we looked at were four point six between five.
• 28:11
  Also to Rants's point air shout out, the Rants says last week was
• 28:14
  Lamar solo, not this week. I think that's possible as well. Again,
• 28:17
  you can see it, So, yeah, what's your take on that,
• 28:19
  Tamba. You definitely can, there's no doubt can. I know you
• 28:25
  will. I probably not. Yeah, I'm like again, I think it's
• 28:27
  a lot of recency bias based off of last week, and I think it's
• 28:30
  just people now are even more so scared to try and find who you comebom
• 28:36
  with. It's two game slate, though it's not like a main slite when
• 28:38
  I say never Mahomes, which ties into this as well where I'm going in
• 28:41
  a second, But it's not like the main site. The never Mahomes on
• 28:44
  a main slite is there's usually twenty five other or more quarterbacks you can play,
• 28:48
  and there's a lot more condensed stacks when you have twenty five other spots
• 28:52
  to go. On a two game slate, there's only four spots. So
• 28:56
  yeah, we know that the Detroit side is easy. Yeah we know that
• 28:59
  the same Francisco side is easy. But that doesn't mean it's gonna be what
• 29:02
  gets you there. And we've seen it before where it's one thing goes wrong
• 29:04
  within that, then you've got a problem on this two game slate. I'm
• 29:07
  more than likely going to and that's not upon and we'll talk about likely later
• 29:11
  on, but I'm more than likely going to make sure I have Lamar with
• 29:15
  at least one, if not more. I would actually like to see it
• 29:18
  play out a little bit heavier where I can really get it to pay off
• 29:22
  if they do what again I said earlier, I expect and hope both that
• 29:26
  they do is win this game by ten points or more and make it so
• 29:29
  that there is no phantom flags and people winding about refs for mahomes. I
• 29:33
  want to see the stop down. I want to see it over said and
• 29:36
  done, the MVP gets the job done and shakes it out that way.
• 29:40
  I probably like Goff the least just because he is the easiest. Again,
• 29:44
  I just like title said, I'm playing the dupe game obviously. That's it
• 29:47
  took me all season till last week to get the showdown to ship at four
• 29:49
  ways. It was good. I was happy for it, thanks to everybody
• 29:52
  that reached out, But it's hard to get the non dupes up to the
• 29:55
  top. And I'm still gonna try it tomorrow. With a million bucks up
• 29:57
  top, it makes it all the while work. So Lamar mahomes my two
• 30:03
  favorites in the game that probably people think is the least likely to go way
• 30:06
  over and then probably Perty just because of some of the uncertainty around the ayuk
• 30:11
  or debo or do I go with the Juwan Jennings or something like that,
• 30:15
  So I'm gonna probably play it out that way. Hoop any other thoughts there
• 30:18
  if you could take us into these running backs and start with the CMC lock
• 30:22
  button conversation. Yeah, running back, I'd say is probably the toughest position
• 30:30
  on the slate to figure out. Obviously, we know McCaffrey is the phenomenal
• 30:34
  play I mean he is. I mean he started out slow last week.
• 30:37
  I saw a lot of people on Twitter, Oh, here's the week that
• 30:41
  CMC boss blah blah blah, and then he goes out and gets thirty two
• 30:44
  fantasy points. Like he is just the safest source of fantasy points outside of
• 30:48
  the quarterback position. And the price is just the price is not nice.
• 30:55
  It's like way too cheap. It should be ten K, ten point five
• 30:57
  k whatever. Bring him in at nine K. It's like, man,
• 31:03
  it's gonna be massively owned. The position is weak. I would never recommend
• 31:07
  fading his ass. I think you got to get overweight, and getting overweight
• 31:12
  means you probably got to come close to like some sort of lock button scenario
• 31:15
  or into the eighty percent range. It's just a bad price. The position,
• 31:19
  I think is pretty Every other guy at this position has i'd say relatively
• 31:23
  high bus potential, like pretty high bus potential. You go to Pacheco.
• 31:27
  He's the next guy that people are looking at. But in that spot against
• 31:32
  the Ravens, like it could Ravens defense again at home is very very legit.
• 31:37
  I could see him just getting bottled up in this game. We have
• 31:41
  the next guy. I'm just kinda gonna sort it by projections and go down
• 31:45
  the list. The next guy is Gibbs. I think he is in a
• 31:49
  pretty good spot if the Lions are getting beat which we all kind of think
• 31:53
  that the forty nine ers gonna get the job done. Could see a lot
• 31:56
  of dump offs to Gibbs. Sixty four hundred guarantee, Like, it is
• 32:01
  no guarantee that he gets the job done at sixty four hundred in a trailing
• 32:06
  game script. We were talking about it before the show. We've seen them
• 32:08
  in trailing game Stritch and they're jumping it off to David Montgomery instead of Gibbs.
• 32:13
  So it's definitely not a guarantee with Gibbs that if they are trailing,
• 32:16
  he gets all these dump offs Montgomery at fifty six. At fifty six,
• 32:22
  you know he is basically with eight hundred dollars cheaper than Gibbs, and then
• 32:25
  nine hundred dollars cheaper than Pa Checko. If the Lions do happen to get
• 32:30
  it down the field and he punches it in from the three or four yard
• 32:32
  line, and maybe it's like one of their only touchdowns of the day.
• 32:36
  Eleven at running back could be enough, Like if he somehow musters up eleven
• 32:40
  fantasy points or twelve fantasy points, that could be enough if you are playing
• 32:45
  McCaffrey. So if Montgomery is your second running back and he gets eleven twelve
• 32:50
  could be enough. And then we have the situation in Baltimore where Justice Hill
• 32:53
  got more work than Gus Edwards. Everyone kind of anticipated that it would be
• 32:58
  Edwards over Hill going into the playoffs. Hill got a lot of work forty
• 33:02
  eight hundred. I think he ends up getting a good chunk of ownership on
• 33:06
  this. Slike because people are gonna play McCaffrey and they're gonna say, you
• 33:08
  know what, all these other guys are pretty similar to me. I'll just
• 33:10
  take the cheapest guy. With Justice Hill at forty eight hundred, I want
• 33:15
  to get some Gus Edwards because I could see them flipping it right back to
• 33:19
  Gus Edwards this week and saying, all right, he's the guy, especially
• 33:22
  if you think that the Ravens, you know, beat the hell out of
• 33:25
  the Chiefs, it could go right back to Gus Edwards. But really,
• 33:30
  for me, this position can be summed up pretty quickly. It's McCaffrey.
• 33:32
  You need to get a lot of them, and all these other guys to
• 33:36
  me, are pretty big question marks in terms of their production, their role,
• 33:40
  how their games play out. I could see any of them bust.
• 33:45
  But the one thing that definitely stands out. I just don't see massive upside
• 33:49
  with anyone else outside of McCaffrey. Like, I just think they're all capped
• 33:52
  to some extent. I think the RB two position could be one again with
• 33:58
  like eleven or twelve fantasy point. So who do you think is most likely
• 34:00
  to get like eleven or twelve out of those other guys? Is how I'm
• 34:04
  viewing this position. And then again with all these other cheapies. If you
• 34:07
  want to say, all right, it's not gonna be Pachucko, maybe it's
• 34:09
  Everards Laire. There's just not enough of a price discount forty five hundred dollars
• 34:15
  for a backup running back. It's just there's just not enough. It's just
• 34:19
  not enough of a discount. So I get why they do it in the
• 34:22
  regular season, it makes sense, But in the playoffs, I'd like to
• 34:24
  see them bring down these backup running backs, bring their price down to like
• 34:28
  three k or something to entice us to play these guys. But that's a
• 34:31
  conversation for another story. It's McCaffrey, and then to me, it's a
• 34:35
  bunch of question marks after McCaffrey. Yeah, we'll get to some of the
• 34:37
  other questions after all that title, go ahead, But like, what was
• 34:40
  I seeing here? Just a bad day for Nicks, Nick cat, I
• 34:44
  mean, who cares about the rest? If we're gonna wind about that shit
• 34:46
  all season log average, that's what everyone says. Mahomes is gonna get all
• 34:50
  the calls. Mahmes, we're gonna stamp them. It's not gonna be a
• 34:52
  problem. There's not gonna be calls to be had. If you're up two
• 34:53
  touchdowns, it don't matter when it's that late. So that's gonna be the
• 34:57
  key there. That's my take on that one. And then where's the other
• 35:01
  one down here? Like Nick goes from three K, we'll get there,
• 35:06
  but he goes, oh, who's the three K guy gonna be? And
• 35:07
  that's like, oh, who's the someone from thirty five hundred? Yeah,
• 35:10
  it's all chiefs. There's literally only chiefs and one San Francisco guy. So
• 35:15
  make sure you get some chief scrubs into your pool. If you're looking for
• 35:16
  a three point five K wide receiver title, I'll kick it over to you,
• 35:21
  man. McCaffrey just seems the running back positions is so bad on the
• 35:24
  slate. You only have to play two, you don't have to put a
• 35:27
  third in the flex if you don't want to, so there could be a
• 35:30
  spot. He already projects for twenty five to thirty around the industry. Projection
• 35:34
  is just a projection, just a part of the puzzle. But if he
• 35:37
  scores like fifteen sixteen with how bad this pool is, there is a chance
• 35:39
  that he's still the guy. So what are you doing here at the running
• 35:43
  back position tomorrow? Yeah? First of all, I love it. Coach
• 35:45
  tampbo fired up. I liked it. It was like you were a coach
• 35:47
  right there. I'm ready, come on, Ravens. They're gonna run.
• 35:52
  They're gonna run through a brick wall for coach Tambora. Yep, that's all.
• 35:55
  That's how I felt like. I'm like, man, let's do this.
• 36:00
  Yeah. I mean, so fourteenth on the slate, three really good
• 36:02
  defenses, Sam Frank k C Baltimore Detroit by far is the worst defense.
• 36:07
  So purty at his price, McCaffrey, I mean, what is DK doing.
• 36:12
  We've been OOP and I in the cash Show. I've been saying this
• 36:14
  since like week eight. FanDuel phenomenal job. He's still going to be popular
• 36:19
  at eleven K on FanDuel. I mean but good for them. You actually
• 36:22
  have to make decisions. It's a game theory fade at the end of the
• 36:24
  day, like there's no holes to poking, and by any means, he's
• 36:28
  minus three sixty five to score. Everyone else is I mean the next best
• 36:32
  if you're fading, not to cut you off, but if you're fading,
• 36:35
  is asked, you're just hoping he gets hurt on the first drive, honestly,
• 36:37
  I mean that's that's literally, that's literally you're out if you're fading McCaffrey
• 36:42
  tomorrow on the slate, like you hope that you're you're literally rooting for the
• 36:45
  guy to get hurt. Yeah, I mean if you win a million dollars.
• 36:49
  Hey, we saw a squirrel patrol do it on a two game play
• 36:52
  with Nick Chubb earlier in the year, So it's a game theory fade.
• 36:54
  It's gonna be getting injured though. That's what I said. That's literally the
• 37:00
  play. Yeah, no, no, right, I'm just clarifying titles so
• 37:02
  the people no title knows for sure he was witnessing it. I'm saying if
• 37:06
  everyone doesn't know, like he faded Chubb and Chubb got injured, and Chubb
• 37:10
  was like, what eighty percent that slate because it was so obvious and it
• 37:14
  just ended up being his backup that gets all the work. So obviously that
• 37:16
  helps you can play that angle. It's just that is to hoops point what
• 37:20
  you're kind of hoping for. Sorry, go ahead, tidle. No,
• 37:22
  Yeah, for sure, there's not really strong takes. There's six running backs
• 37:27
  I'll have in my pool. I think it's really clear. C Mac but
• 37:30
  Chacko gives Montgomery Hill Gus Edwards. I'm not playing ch or anything. I'm
• 37:35
  not making any rules on a two game slate, Like if you play gives
• 37:37
  a Montgomery together, that's a way to get different. The likelihood of that
• 37:42
  working maybe not much, but I'm not going to necessarily group away that stuff.
• 37:45
  I will. I do like Baltimore's backfield of good bits in non Lamar
• 37:49
  lineups because Gus Edwards. I mean, I like Justice Hill because forty eight
• 37:53
  hundreds cheap on a slate where value is not great, and he out touched
• 37:58
  Gus Adwards. I think he's better run, he looks better four point favorites.
• 38:01
  If I'm not playing Lamar, maybe he falls in the box one touchdown,
• 38:06
  You're good, And I like playing Gus Edwards because he's more expensive.
• 38:08
  You get leverage off of Justice Hill, and if Gus Edwards falls in the
• 38:13
  box, you look at the props plus one thirty firm to score isn't bad
• 38:16
  at all Justice Hills plus two ninety five. And obviously Justice Hills does a
• 38:21
  lot of his work in between the twenties and PPR, etc. But Gus
• 38:25
  falls in once or twice, Lamar doesn't get there, etc. So I
• 38:30
  like these Baltimore running backs in non Lamar teams. I like Pacheco a lot.
• 38:34
  They're gonna run the football. He's been good, the volume good is
• 38:37
  good. At six to five, Montgomery's still gonna be lower on than gives
• 38:40
  and the prices started to get a little farther part at eight hundred. I
• 38:44
  still like Gibs because I think they're gonna be trailing, and I like him
• 38:46
  more with golf. But again, Montgomery's like Gus Edwards, leverage off a
• 38:51
  chalkier guy on the same team, and they're both goal line backs that could
• 38:53
  fall in. Like their props to score plus one twenty gives plus one thirty
• 38:58
  Montgomery, the ownership could be half or something like that. So yeah,
• 39:02
  six running backs to play CMC, I'll probably be almost one hundred percent though.
• 39:06
  Yeah, CMC thing is just what we said. We already went through
• 39:08
  it enough. I like this guzz call, like you guys mentioned. First
• 39:10
  of all, if it's my thoughts for the game, it's a guy that
• 39:13
  can get you two or three touchdowns. Definitely. He won me one hundred
• 39:15
  k over on FanDuel earlier this year during this three touchdown game. So you've
• 39:21
  got opportunity with a guy like him on this slate where he could be the
• 39:23
  other one that you need. Most people will have the Detroit guy, one
• 39:28
  of Gibbs or Montgomery or maybe a Pachecko paired with CMC. So you already
• 39:31
  know people are going CMC. So a couple things. One, get a
• 39:35
  Baltimore guy with CMC. Two, play CMC with the Detroit d because even
• 39:39
  if Perdy makes mistakes and I, like I said, if Detroit does keep
• 39:43
  this game a little bit closer, it could be off of party mistakes or
• 39:46
  drop balls or things like that, But that doesn't mean CMC doesn't stay involved.
• 39:51
  I mean that just means he gets more checkdowns. He's getting pumped twenty
• 39:53
  thirty times. Like this is the thing where I'm just looking for ways to
• 39:57
  get different. I like these setups for sure, and then the Justice Hill
• 40:00
  thing. As a Ravens fan, I don't love it, but I will
• 40:04
  say this if you want to if you don't play them a bunch in DFS,
• 40:06
  so you play a limited number of lineups and don't get there, I
• 40:08
  would definitely hedge if you wanted with the prop for the over longest reception for
• 40:15
  Justice Hill, because that's definitely how it's gonna happen. It's a Chris Jones
• 40:17
  coming at Lamar, a flick up over the top Justice Hill out to the
• 40:22
  right for twenty yards or something and goes down. Everyone that has them at
• 40:25
  high ownership for his price is all excited. Could be all he does,
• 40:29
  though, and then that prop really smashes and you still get everything else you
• 40:31
  want, So try and win both of those in that spot. I definitely
• 40:35
  think that's an angle to approach it from. I do also like this lineup.
• 40:39
  I like where you have a lineup where it's just Montgomery and the forty
• 40:44
  nine ers D, because then what I'm saying is the forty nine ers D
• 40:46
  still do what Hoop said, they smash, they get the job done,
• 40:50
  but it ended up being Montgomery and not Gibbs, who maybe just got a
• 40:52
  touchdown and thirty yards on the ground. It's just something that you needed based
• 40:57
  on how bad the other side of it did, or Gibbs didn't come through
• 41:00
  on the checkdowns, things like that. So I do think you could still
• 41:02
  do it with Gibbs obviously. I'm just saying I think you're gonna see Montgomery
• 41:06
  with a little bit lower ownership when it comes to that spot. Not much
• 41:09
  else. You guys did a good enough job breaking it down. We can
• 41:12
  keep it moving here and go to wide receiver title. I'll start with you
• 41:15
  this time. I'll sort it by our value. The reason I want to
• 41:17
  say that is because, look, it's already bringing up all the dudes.
• 41:21
  You can just fill it out from basically that side of the game completely.
• 41:24
  So talk to me about this wide receiver position. Yeah, I think it
• 41:27
  was easiest if I just go team by team. But just how you did,
• 41:30
  click it by value, like the second game, so much better the
• 41:34
  Lions and Niners when it comes to receivers. So starting on the Chiefs,
• 41:37
  I mean, Rachie Rice is the only guy that I'm looking to play.
• 41:40
  I'm not playing Mahomes. Rahie Rice has definitely been very good scantling Watson,
• 41:45
  Hardman, and looks like Tony will be active. All these guys mix a
• 41:50
  match. They all sting I'm not on Mahomes, I'm not on these guys
• 41:53
  Rashie Rice or bus there easy Ravenside's tough because I don't really love any of
• 41:59
  us individually. Like tough matchup for Zay, He's pretty up there in price.
• 42:05
  Baban played a lot of snaps at the expense of OBJ. I wouldn't
• 42:07
  be surprised if that went back a little bit though, So I don't know.
• 42:12
  It's kind of murky in that receiver room. I'll be playing them when
• 42:15
  I'm playing Lamar, just hoping to get who's gonna fall in the box.
• 42:17
  It was Eglar last week. He's three point a k. None of them
• 42:22
  excite me though, so really just with Lamar's stuff, hoping to get the
• 42:24
  right pairings. Detroit by far the best. Josh Reynolds, Jamison Williams.
• 42:30
  Jameson Williams will be one of the higher own players on the slate just because
• 42:32
  the lack of value we have. Reynold's a good play. I'll be playing
• 42:37
  both of them, and that is also why I'm playing some golf. He's
• 42:39
  cheap, they're low own, and it's just easy to go know what pieces
• 42:43
  to go to. I'm and Rod Gray play too seven to nine, like
• 42:46
  if he's somehow out scored McCaffrey or we're gonna get to Debo in this game
• 42:51
  too, Deebo at seven to three. There's just not really spend ups on
• 42:53
  the slate. I mean, that's how we see a solo shipper. If
• 42:57
  one of those guys somehow to score, you can lead money on the table.
• 43:00
  Just different roster construction there, Devo with the injury and stuff. I
• 43:04
  Yuke's gonna be way higher owned for four hundred dollars cheaper if Debo's one hundred
• 43:08
  percent, like we think, I'll be buying into the unknown. I guess
• 43:13
  a little bit trying to win a million bucks there. I like Ayyuk on
• 43:15
  that side, I don't know. I'll let you talk about Jawan Jennings.
• 43:19
  That's your boy. Now. I haven't seen a Jersey on yet, Tamba,
• 43:22
  but I was expecting one. But yeah, that's the receiver breakdown.
• 43:25
  Yeah, it came through in the clutch. He's the only guy down there
• 43:29
  though that would you know he Richie James is down there. I guess at
• 43:30
  the low end, Juwan Jennings is now. I was just trying to see
• 43:34
  something quick before I go to that. Juwan Jennings is now forty six hundred
• 43:37
  with debo back again. Another guy we'll talk about. I'll talk about him
• 43:40
  in a second, but just to note it, like this is what we
• 43:43
  need to embrace. Rand said it twice. So so nice he said it
• 43:46
  twice. Casey wide receiver is so random outside and then not nice gross Casey
• 43:52
  wide receiver. Gross. So do we know this? But this is a
• 43:54
  slate you want to play rule at on, Like that's how it's gonna happen,
• 43:58
  right, the Ravens, We've seen it in the past. It was
• 44:00
  I think the Ravens versus the Patriots a few years back. It was the
• 44:02
  same thing. It's like they'll have one laps in the game and it will
• 44:06
  be one of these guys, whether it's Watson, NBS, Hardman, who
• 44:09
  knows, maybe even Tony that end up doing the job and getting it there.
• 44:13
  So I think you are gonna have they That means they got to catch
• 44:15
  it though they got Tony. You didn't watch the game last week roping him
• 44:22
  in. Yeah, wait till that big one streaking down sixty yards for the
• 44:25
  super Bowl and the dude off the tips. This guy can justin Watson,
• 44:30
  I don't mind him. He can catch it hardman. We've been trying to
• 44:35
  make work. People might be done with him now, so could definitely be
• 44:37
  something that we see there. But uh, one thing I'll say about Jennings
• 44:40
  that I'll kick it to you just a note like, not because he won
• 44:43
  me money last week or anything. But I think it's interesting with Jennings and
• 44:46
  with likely when we get to tight end, is these guys have still been
• 44:51
  in the game flow already doing some stuff and it's not I know, it's
• 44:54
  the chance to go to the super Bowl, so this, that and the
• 44:57
  other. But we see Pete coaches make different decisions all the time, but
• 44:59
  they're ready to go based on maybe Deebo doesn't play, maybe Andrews isn't healthy
• 45:05
  enough. Still now they both are and I know this, as does everybody
• 45:07
  else, But that makes that basically to me says most people go off of
• 45:12
  those other guys, but we've still seen them be ready. We had it
• 45:15
  happen with the Bengals, and it ain't in a conference championship the game,
• 45:19
  but when Jamar Chase was supposed to be out and then he ended up playing,
• 45:22
  everyone moved off of all the value plays, and you still saw guys
• 45:25
  like Trent Irwin and I E. Evosis and these guys come in. They
• 45:29
  were practicing all week getting their plays. The play was still in the tank
• 45:31
  ready to be used. Why not use it when it's a place people don't
• 45:35
  expect for a chance to go to the Super Bowl. We see that all
• 45:37
  the time. So who I'll kick it to you on that note, What
• 45:39
  are you doing here at the wide receiver position? Yeah, So one thing
• 45:43
  that definitely stands out if especially if you're building like a lot of teams,
• 45:46
  if you just go in and hit optimize for one to fifty, you are
• 45:50
  going to get a lot of Josh Reynolds and Jamison Williams. Four K for
• 45:54
  Reynolds, thirty seven hundred for Jamison Williams, Like they are the two that
• 45:59
  just that pop and you're gonna get a ton of So I'd be a little
• 46:01
  careful there with how you build those teams. I'm not opposed to grouping those
• 46:07
  out so you don't get that combination because the odds of both of them getting
• 46:10
  there, I think are somewhat unlikely. So that's one thing that stands out.
• 46:14
  Another big talking point I think is what you do with Debo and as
• 46:17
  a you know, prior to the reports yesterday, people are going to be
• 46:22
  scared to play them. If he was in, well, then you get
• 46:23
  the good coach talk and the good talk from him where good to go,
• 46:28
  no restriction, They're going to use him in full capacity. So I think
• 46:31
  there's an opportunity to take advantage of that situation and make sure to get over
• 46:36
  the field on a guy like Deebo, who is, you know, one
• 46:38
  of the most dynamic wide receivers in the NFL, and the price is seventy
• 46:43
  three hundred, so I mean he's the second second most expensive wide receiver.
• 46:49
  That could scare people away a little bit. I think taking an overweight stance
• 46:53
  on Deebo makes a lot of sense on this late That's one way, you
• 46:57
  know, if there's no injury concerns it all coming into this week. He
• 47:00
  had a good game last week, he'd probably be one of the highest owned
• 47:05
  wide receivers on the slate. Well, he had the injury thing. It
• 47:07
  didn't look terrible either. I want to be big on Deebo tomorrow. So
• 47:12
  those are a couple things that stand out. A Monra, you know what
• 47:15
  you're getting with him. You know, the potential for a lot of targets,
• 47:16
  a lot of receptions, difficult matchup, forty nine ers, take away
• 47:21
  the stuff in the middle of the field, AUK, phenomenal play at sixty
• 47:24
  nine hundred. You know, if Debo is limited in some capacity, which
• 47:30
  I don't think is the case, he has the potential for a really big
• 47:32
  game. Rashid Rice is basically the only guy I think you can play with
• 47:37
  the Chiefs. I mean, I will mix in some Watson, I will
• 47:39
  gosh, maybe play some Harmin mvs, but it's going to be small amounts
• 47:45
  of those guys like I would not be going overboard. I mean, we're
• 47:47
  talking to two games slates, so there are are pass where if a wide
• 47:51
  receiver goes out and gets eight, nine to ten, that's what you'll need
• 47:54
  on the slate. So I think it's okay to embrace some of the risks
• 47:58
  with these cheaper guys, hoping that you need Lamar, you need CMC,
• 48:02
  and you need like a Kelsey or something at tight end, and then like
• 48:07
  these these cheap wide receivers, if they get seven, eight, nine fantasy
• 48:09
  points, have the chance to be the guy that you know makes everything work.
• 48:15
  On the Baltimore stuff, yeah, it's tough. I mean Ze Flowers,
• 48:19
  Bateman, Aguilar Beckham. The nice thing is, I can't remember one
• 48:23
  of you guys brought up, but they're all coming in at pretty low ownership.
• 48:25
  None of those guys are gonna be like high owned plays on this two
• 48:29
  game slate. Yeah, you're gonna have to just play some of those guys.
• 48:34
  There's just no way around it. Again, if you want to take
• 48:36
  the overweight approach on CMC, you want to take the overweight approach on Lamar
• 48:39
  Jackson, you're just gonna have to embrace the risk of some of these cheap
• 48:44
  guys. Now, the nice thing with the Baltimore stuff, like we said,
• 48:47
  is they're all pretty cheap and not a ton of owners ship. So
• 48:50
  that's a good good combination. Yeah, But for me, the two main
• 48:55
  talking points are if you just go in and run teams blindly, you're going
• 49:00
  to get a ton of Reynolds and Williams, And I prefer Williams over Reynolds
• 49:04
  by pretty not a super wide margin, but I think Williams is the guy
• 49:08
  that could get with with the forty nine ers taken away the middle of the
• 49:12
  field stuff like I always take my chances on a bomb to Jamison, maybe
• 49:15
  converts, like if they're trailing, they'll throw them at least one or two
• 49:19
  bombs down the field and see if it works. I'll just take my chances
• 49:22
  on that sort of play over Reynolds getting like six catches or something like that.
• 49:25
  So give me Williams over Renolds. And then Debo. Yeah, I
• 49:30
  don't know. It's hard to gauge what sort of ownership Debo is gonna have
• 49:32
  tomorrow. I don't think anyone really knows, but I'll make sure to be
• 49:36
  overweight on Deebo. So those are my two main points at wide receiver position.
• 49:40
  Yeah, it's definitely hard to see people getting to Debo heavily. I
• 49:44
  mean, obviously he's gonna fit in, optimizers are gonna start to put him
• 49:45
  in eventually all that stuff, But overall, I don't think he's gonna be
• 49:49
  very high hol just because people would rather go to AYUK. You've already got
• 49:52
  CMC in there. You've got Kittle CMC's ownership so high, usually using debo
• 49:55
  to leverage that. So got to keep those things in mind when you're doing
• 49:59
  it. I talked to little bit earlier, like the Watson, Hardman,
• 50:01
  NBS, Tony type group, not playing a bunch of them, but like
• 50:05
  if you mix them, matching them in, those would be the guys where
• 50:07
  you just got to hope that it goes your way, mentioned Jennings already,
• 50:10
  I'm in on Bateman, Bateman, and Aglore. I mentioned it for the
• 50:15
  Ravens, but if the if anybody gets locked down for the Ravens, I
• 50:17
  think it would be Ze. I think it's gonna be Andrews opening things up
• 50:21
  over the middle, likely still in the mix. And so you've got a
• 50:23
  spot where if they just want to shut down Zay, that's fine. You
• 50:28
  these guys. I feel better about Bateman, Aglore and Beckham catching balls than
• 50:34
  someone like the Watson's and Tony's and MBS's. And it's not quite the exact
• 50:38
  same price, but it's in that similar range where I'm definitely comfortable with that.
• 50:43
  And then some of the builds, like if you look if you go
• 50:45
  goff with Reynolds and Williams, and you probably got CMC in there. You've
• 50:51
  got about twenty seven thousand left over. If you swap it out and go
• 50:55
  to Lamar, Bateman and and Agalore, it's only like a thousand off Beckham,
• 51:05
  it's a little bit off even more, but still it's like that's because
• 51:07
  of Lamar though. But again, if someone said it you need the thirty
• 51:09
  five upsides, it's probably Lamar and CMC. So if you just look at
• 51:13
  it from that perspective, you still have five k. You can still get
• 51:15
  other guys into these lineups. I think it's very, very doable, so
• 51:20
  keep that in mind. Obviously, up top, I'll definitely tell you right
• 51:22
  now, I'll have less of definitely a manra or sorry not a manra Ayuk
• 51:29
  Reynolds and Williams, and more of a manra Rashi Rice, And then going
• 51:32
  down to these guys like Debo, the Bateman's, the Agalore's, the Watson's,
• 51:37
  all the Jennings. I'll be more on the Casey Baltimore side of things
• 51:40
  when it comes to wide receiver, because we already know quarterback and running back
• 51:45
  are pretty clear cut. Guess what spoiler alert, We're about to get to
• 51:47
  tight end. It gets pretty clear cut too. Even when you think you
• 51:51
  know the secret punt, it's the same secret punt everybody wants. So we'll
• 51:53
  talk about him when we get there too. But shout out to my guy
• 51:57
  Nick. Hopefully tomorrow, January twenty eighth is a spec day. That's all
• 52:00
  I'll say. And my Ravens could go on and he played some dfs.
• 52:04
  But the two v two Swapero is a bet. Actually I said it earlier.
• 52:07
  A lot of people are teasing the Chiefs up and teasing the forty nine
• 52:13
  ers down. I like just taking it as is. The two spreads parlam
• 52:15
  together Ravens minus four, Detroit plus seven and a half. That's the Swapero
• 52:20
  go the opposite of what everybody thinks is happening in the betting world tomorrow.
• 52:22
  I think the Lions can play a close game. I think the Ravens win,
• 52:27
  even if they only win by seven. And you say I was wrong.
• 52:29
  It wasn't a two touchdown win. It win is a win. It
• 52:30
  beats the four number title. Go to you here, man, Kelsey Kittle
• 52:36
  Laporta, and then you got I mean, it's all it's laid right out.
• 52:38
  It's literally laid out like it's supposed to be right. It's it's gonna
• 52:42
  be Kittle, it's gonna be Kelsey. People will play Laporta and then Andrews
• 52:45
  and then it's Noah gree as the chief punt everyone thinks is gonna eat Kelsey's
• 52:50
  lunch. Yeah, that's a good break down. I will say, I'm
• 52:52
  gonna add a little Justin Watson, who mentioned them and you mentioned them multiple
• 52:57
  times. He will be my other casey receiver with Rashi Rice down there as
• 53:00
  well. So as far as tight end, I mean, you said clear
• 53:05
  cut, and I think to an extent, but there's a lot of options
• 53:07
  at tight end, and I will say, like two tight end is gonna
• 53:10
  be very popular. Running Back isn't great, Receivers tough. A lot of
• 53:15
  good tight ends here for very affordable. I wanted to start with Noah Gray
• 53:20
  because yeah, that's the guy that you're hinting at that Oh the cheap value
• 53:23
  that I mean is projected, Okay, I guess, but he's twenty five
• 53:28
  hundred the mid price for running back and receiver. Don't go all the way
• 53:30
  down that far. Noah Gray gets some targets he's on the field, but
• 53:35
  zero is very much in the range of outcomes for him, which is not
• 53:38
  going to win you a million maker. More than likely, I'm probably good
• 53:43
  just exing him. I don't know. I want to hear what your thoughts
• 53:45
  are too. I don't really like Kelsey that much either, though. If
• 53:47
  I'm fading the homes, my stance is, I just don't like much of
• 53:51
  these KC guys. I like Rice because I think he's by far the best,
• 53:54
  and you talk me to little Watson is cheap down there at thirty three
• 53:58
  hundred, but I'm I don't like these KSE guys much. Kittle's just a
• 54:01
  monster. I'll be playing them a bunch. I like him in two tight
• 54:06
  end builds. I like him with Purdy. I just I think Kitt'll absolutely
• 54:08
  nukes in the spot again. Gonna be the most chalky tight end. The
• 54:13
  Lions defense is by far worse than all these other three defenses. So yeah,
• 54:16
  I'm gonna be playing some niners in my team's Laporta. I think he's
• 54:22
  solid too. I like him in golf stacks as well. I prefer him
• 54:24
  in golf stacks, but I think he's fine as a one off. Andrews
• 54:29
  is the interesting talking point. I mean he's practicing full all week. I
• 54:35
  mean, I think he's probably good to go. Is he gonna play one
• 54:37
  hundred percent of snaps? Probably not. Is he gonna play more than fifty?
• 54:40
  I guess it's all guestwork at the end of the day. But he's
• 54:43
  gonna be pretty low owned. I like Lamar, I'll be playing a lot
• 54:46
  of Lamar and Mark Andrews stuff there. I like Mark Andrews a lot more
• 54:51
  when I'm playing Lamar than I do as a one off. But again,
• 54:53
  I think he's fine in a way to get different is using Andrews as a
• 54:57
  one off. I don't love the Life Likely stuff as much, but he's
• 55:00
  gonna be low on at forty three hundred two. So my breakdown, Kittle
• 55:05
  by far my favorite. I like Mark Andrews a lot more in Lamar stuff
• 55:08
  good with Laporta. Those are, by far my three favorites. I'll be
• 55:12
  Underway, k C stuff, Graham Kelsey that is likely he's gonna be what
• 55:17
  five percent? Maybe I don't know them much, but I'll let you talk
• 55:21
  about him. Yeah, I was gonna say too for a clear cut I
• 55:22
  mean, like I think we know where people are going. What actually happens.
• 55:25
  I'm with you. I don't feel like it's as clear cut. You're
• 55:28
  kind of mixing things in with your stack and doing it as you go along.
• 55:30
  But my take I likely was like the Jennings one. I just think
• 55:34
  for you know, the guy's been in the mix. He's been a great
• 55:36
  target for Lamar, and everyone says, oh, they won't trust them because
• 55:38
  it's the super Bowl on the line and all this. The trust is there.
• 55:42
  Lamar trust his guys. He's going with them, and Andrews can be
• 55:45
  out there and he's gonna be involved too. I think there's a chance Andrews
• 55:47
  could actually smash. But I'm just saying, you know, there's not gonna
• 55:51
  be much ownership on Isaiah likely tomorrow, and I don't see why they just
• 55:53
  completely phase the guy out that's been fine for them and really helping the team
• 55:58
  out, moving them along as they need him all season with Mark Andrews out
• 56:01
  for the part that he was out for. So I think that the other
• 56:05
  thing I'll say about no, bra I will not be exing him. So
• 56:07
  I'm gonna go back at what title measage they want to hear our thoughts.
• 56:08
  I will not ex him I'll actually look to use him in some two tight
• 56:13
  end builds versus just use him to make all the wide receivers work. Like.
• 56:16
  I could see a world like this where people are trying to do different
• 56:20
  things here and again, they may pop one of these guys down. Let's
• 56:22
  say it's probably more likely we keep using this one, but it's more likely
• 56:27
  this is what people set it up like. But I could see this,
• 56:30
  for example, because you still have almost that magic five K number we talked
• 56:35
  about. And I don't know how many of these will turn into two tight
• 56:37
  end builds, but something like this, you're still in really good shape.
• 56:42
  So I don't mind that. But I will play some Noah Gray. I'm
• 56:45
  just gonna try and use them differently. I also wouldn't hate if you think,
• 56:47
  I know that the chat was talking about it earlier that they think.
• 56:51
  You know, they're talk about how good Baltimore is between the numbers and they're
• 56:53
  gonna have to throw outside again. That's what everybody thinks. That's what everybody
• 56:57
  knows. What if they just Pepper Elsey and Noah Gray all day and try
• 57:01
  and do it that way, and that's what it sets up like, and
• 57:04
  you end up calling them a little combo pack, right, sixty six hundred
• 57:07
  and twenty five hundred, get that thing rolling. There's definitely a possibility for
• 57:10
  that. So give me your thoughts here, Hoop, what what else you
• 57:13
  got at tight End before we move up wrapping this thing up. Yeah,
• 57:15
  I'm pretty closely aligned with with title, and I'll start the same way he
• 57:21
  did, like the Noah Gray thing. I guess I just don't get it,
• 57:23
  Like I'm not taking them out of my player pool, Like I get
• 57:27
  what twenty five hundred dollars tight End can do for your teams, but you
• 57:32
  know, in terms of him being the second tight End, if I'm playing
• 57:36
  double tight end teams, I think that's what a lot of people will do.
• 57:39
  When you just blindly run the optimizer. You're gonna get a lot of
• 57:43
  double tight end with Noah Gray, especially if you're playing like Lamar and CMC.
• 57:47
  I know we keep using that that combination. But if you're playing both
• 57:51
  those guys, you're gonna get a lot of Noah Grad and you're gonna get
• 57:52
  a lot of Noah Gray double tight end teams. So I don't know,
• 57:57
  Like, again, I'm not gonna actually two secon do you really you run
• 58:00
  your optimizer right now. I just did. Man, I get like fifty
• 58:05
  percent no Gray without changing anything like fifty percent Noah Gray and really pulled up
• 58:10
  those teams and a lot of them are double tight end with Yeah, if
• 58:14
  you're getting fifty percent, you are. I just don't believe it's crazy at
• 58:16
  three points. Yeah again, well I do, I do, as Okay,
• 58:22
  I guess I do have some stuff in there to make sure I have
• 58:23
  a good chunk of Lamar and CMC. So maybe it's pushing it a little
• 58:28
  bit more. I haven't you know fully ran teams or anything, but I
• 58:30
  just sorry, it's I'm not against your thought here. The reason I brought
• 58:32
  it up, though, is because anybody that's going the Purty sorry or the
• 58:35
  Jared Goff route does not need that. They can easily fit like the Kelsey
• 58:38
  kittles. And that's what I'm saying. So like the Lamar CMC teams,
• 58:42
  you're gonna get a lot of Noah Gray, Like you just are going to
• 58:45
  get a lot of Noah Gray double tight end teams if you go that route.
• 58:47
  I just don't I guess I just don't understand why he's gonna be like
• 58:52
  twenty five percent, Like I just I'm or twenty percent or whatever it is.
• 58:54
  It's looking like a big number no matter where you go. A guy
• 58:58
  that's projected to get like three and very likely to end up with zero fantasy
• 59:02
  points on the slate. And again I'm not saying I'm axing them out,
• 59:06
  but I just cannot see myself getting to that that ownership number, and I
• 59:09
  feel pretty good about it, like there's a very high likelihood that he gets
• 59:13
  zero, one or two fantasy points on the slate. The one I want
• 59:17
  to embrace is Mark Andrews. I'm gonna take my chances that it's Mark Andrews
• 59:22
  that is fully back and when he's one hundred percent. His connection with Lamar
• 59:27
  Jackson is absolutely phenomenal. The ownership numbers looking pretty low on Mark Andrews no
• 59:32
  matter where you're going. And if I do like titles calling this as well,
• 59:37
  where I really like him on the Lamar teams, like if he goes
• 59:40
  out there and gets you at the you know, seventy yards and two touchdowns,
• 59:45
  probably need Lamar as well, So I really like pairing those two together
• 59:49
  on the slate. I will include some likely though as well, just because
• 59:52
  I think there is a chance that there is some sort of a split.
• 59:55
  We really haven't gotten any information, but I want to embrace the risk of
• 1:00:00
  that situation more than some of these other spots. So gonna be big on
• 1:00:04
  Andrews. I will have some likely Laporta. I mean, I think I
• 1:00:09
  want Kelsey over Laporta. That's the one spot where we differ a little bit.
• 1:00:15
  If they are struggling, if they are playing from behind the Chiefs,
• 1:00:19
  it could just be Mahomes just forcing it to Kelsey and get some of those
• 1:00:22
  plays where they get it to him behind the line of scrimmage and he just
• 1:00:27
  bowldozes forward for like ten to fifteen yards. So you know, Kittle,
• 1:00:32
  Kelsey, Andrews likely. And I'm not as high on like Laporta, and
• 1:00:37
  definitely not as high on Gray. Yeah, and this is the note.
• 1:00:40
  Remember the start of that game. I brought this game up earlier, being
• 1:00:44
  that big one of the season that was on paper at least the first game
• 1:00:46
  that would sort of playoff ESK going like what people were calling a Super Bowl
• 1:00:50
  preview and all that. Remember it was like a seventy yard I think it
• 1:00:52
  was like seventy five yards in the first drive, for Kittle like he just
• 1:00:54
  got slammed right away, and it happened that way. Whop you brought it
• 1:00:58
  up. I guess the thing for three, four, one, five,
• 1:01:00
  he once hit ten. But it's to what you said, like that three
• 1:01:04
  or four may not even be needed and at that ownership. We've seen again,
• 1:01:07
  played a lot of dfs in my time. There's one thing I'm certain
• 1:01:10
  that happens when the twenty, when the cheap whether it's a wide receiver or
• 1:01:15
  tight end gets super popular, like that, you leverage it and pivot at
• 1:01:21
  the same time to the cheap wide receiver. In this case, if it's
• 1:01:24
  gonna be Noah Gray getting all that ownership, you're waiting around for your four
• 1:01:29
  to six points. Meanwhile, it takes one catch for Justin Watson. Is
• 1:01:32
  really the nuts. That's what I got out of this show. Justin Watson
• 1:01:37
  million dollars because look, the six is the eights. The seven's the same
• 1:01:42
  as Noah Gray. Happened all the time. But there's a sixteen spike.
• 1:01:45
  There's a fourteenth stike. You need to play for the spike, it's a
• 1:01:49
  million dollars up top to more and nothing the second almost, So that's the
• 1:01:52
  whole point where you make it all work you think it does. I like
• 1:01:55
  Noah Gray in Showdown. I like Noah Gray anytime touchdown, maybe over longest
• 1:02:00
  reception, something that they get away with. I like him in higher stakes,
• 1:02:06
  smaller field where like I'm talking one hundred people or less, where you're
• 1:02:09
  trying to really build up the floor ceiling combo where you're thinking you can get
• 1:02:14
  like a manra CMC Lamar and something else in there, and then you kind
• 1:02:19
  of need just Lamar to connect with the guys you chose, and that could
• 1:02:22
  really boost it up. But in the millimaker it can be tougher for that
• 1:02:25
  to happen. Not saying it won't, but like Hoop said, probably way
• 1:02:28
  underweight compared to the field. If I was, I just don't get it
• 1:02:31
  though, lot. But is it just because he's like the only twenty five
• 1:02:35
  hundred dollars guy? Yeah, yeah, right, it means so, yeah,
• 1:02:38
  let's just play a guy because he's because his price tag, not that
• 1:02:42
  you know he has a twelve production at other positions that literally you cannot click
• 1:02:46
  a button that low one could. Yeah. I was shocked when I saw
• 1:02:50
  the ownership number and I started looking around and everyone has it there, so
• 1:02:52
  I'm, you know, believing that it's going to be the case. It
• 1:02:55
  just does not add up to running running back sucks. No wants to play
• 1:03:00
  golf. It's only a limited cheap receiver options like double tight end and him
• 1:03:05
  being though earlier. You need money. That's why everyone's playing CMC's gonna be
• 1:03:08
  seventy percent owned or more so. That right out of the gate puts you
• 1:03:12
  at five point one k nobody, and then it's this part. Nobody wants
• 1:03:15
  to click these guys. Yeah, nobody wants to play anyone below Jamison,
• 1:03:17
  Williams, Bateman, NBS Watson is all I want to play them. Yeah,
• 1:03:22
  you and five percent or eight percent or yeah, we're we're doing it.
• 1:03:24
  We are going there. We're playing Justin Watson tomorrow. But I'm saying
• 1:03:28
  is that it's that's why it just becomes the natural click. And then for
• 1:03:32
  building up ceiling in lineups like this, you can get Kittle in there.
• 1:03:37
  You can get brock Purdy, you can get Ayuk, you can get Rice
• 1:03:43
  Still, you can probably still get the cheap D in people. Maybe people
• 1:03:46
  don't want to go against their d. Let's say it's the Ravens d still
• 1:03:50
  have five point one K. You can pick your Detroit running back and something
• 1:03:53
  else like again, you can get to it. So that that's the reason
• 1:03:57
  why on Gray probably want to play those thirty five, five hundred guys or
• 1:04:00
  the four K guys that actually can get there. So I like that call.
• 1:04:04
  Anything defense is defense. We always say title, but anything you got
• 1:04:09
  to add on defense. I talked a little bit about ways you could play
• 1:04:11
  them differently. Earlier. Ownership will be higher on the k C. Baltimore
• 1:04:15
  game, the first game, the lower total obviously, what is it sitting
• 1:04:17
  now? Forty four forty four and a half k C Baltimore, fifty one
• 1:04:23
  and a half Detroit San Franz. So ownership will follow, no strong take,
• 1:04:27
  kind of just painted game scripts like handbuilding stuff. Whatever that game script
• 1:04:30
  comes out to you in your head. I'll try and pick what leave money
• 1:04:33
  on the table, stuff like that, play them against your quarterback. Little
• 1:04:38
  stuff like that can win a million dollars. Yeah, and big, big
• 1:04:40
  time games on the line. Here. I would say this's my favorite week
• 1:04:43
  of the year every single year because it's again everyone dreams when they're a kid
• 1:04:46
  of being in the Super Bowl. These players I'm talking about. You hear
• 1:04:49
  about it, interviews, all that stuff that I immerse myself within them talking
• 1:04:53
  about it's always the dream of playing at the super Bowl. You hear them
• 1:04:56
  talking about not again. They want to win it. In their dreams,
• 1:04:59
  they win it, but it's such a big deal to get to. And
• 1:05:00
  it's like in DFS, trying to get to your first live final. A
• 1:05:03
  lot of people go through that, right Like, I just would like to
• 1:05:05
  get to a live final. I just want to get to one. It's
• 1:05:09
  part of that. It's the hardest part is getting to the event. And
• 1:05:12
  so this thing there canna be a lot of mistakes made. And that's going
• 1:05:15
  back to defense. Now, where if these quarterbacks make mistakes along the way.
• 1:05:18
  Obviously guys like Mahomes been there, but the other guys that want to,
• 1:05:21
  you know, get there, make mistakes along the way. You can
• 1:05:24
  see these defenses against quarterbacks be even more popular than usual because it's yes,
• 1:05:30
  they make a few mistakes, but then they find their way back, and
• 1:05:32
  that clawback is where all the fantasy points aligned with on the offensive side of
• 1:05:36
  things. But the defense still did their job, so more so than ever,
• 1:05:40
  I got no problem playing defense against quarterback. It's always the small slate
• 1:05:43
  thing. It's not rocket science, but just to bring it up. Part
• 1:05:45
  of the reasoning, why is that hoop defense? And then anything else to
• 1:05:48
  add on this slate that you've got for your side. Yeah, for defense,
• 1:05:53
  I really want a good chunk of the forty nine ers. I mean
• 1:05:56
  they're the most expensive, and the Ravens are kind of projecting a little bit
• 1:06:00
  better. But man, when things go south for golf, it's turnovers,
• 1:06:03
  it's just nasty stuff going. So again all the projections kind of like the
• 1:06:09
  Ravens over the forty nine ers. I like the forty nine ers defense over
• 1:06:13
  the Ravens, just for the fact that mahomes can escape some of the stuff
• 1:06:16
  golf. We'll sit back there, take sacks, turnovers, fumbles, interceptions.
• 1:06:21
  It could go south in a hurry for golf in the Lions offense,
• 1:06:26
  So I definitely want to make sure I have a good chunk of forty nine
• 1:06:29
  ers. Outside of that, I'm good with like whatever. And then yeah,
• 1:06:31
  overall mindset on the slate. I mean, I think we did pretty
• 1:06:34
  good jobs. Different roster, construction types, different pivots. The key you
• 1:06:40
  know, for me is definitely gonna be maybe the Debo situation, the Mark
• 1:06:44
  Andrews situation, that sort of thing, and then you know, probably be
• 1:06:46
  an underround a guy like Noah Gray. Yeah. Title, any final thoughts
• 1:06:50
  from you, Mike Breton before we get out of here. Yeah, it
• 1:06:53
  sounds like Justin Lawson's the winner. Noah Gray stinks. Listen, that's the
• 1:06:57
  world of the story. But hey, good luck everybody out there. A
• 1:06:59
  million bucks, good luck to your lions, good luck to your ravens.
• 1:07:01
  And yeah, le's with some money. The answer might be to play both.
• 1:07:04
  We'll try that after we get off the show here, I'll I'll check
• 1:07:08
  it out. But want to let everybody know if if you just want to
• 1:07:10
  get in for the action on this week, you can get in on the
• 1:07:12
  weekly package. You just don't get into the discord. But if you do
• 1:07:15
  want to get in on the monthly package, it's gonna still You're gonna get
• 1:07:17
  the NBA stuff, the PGA stuff in full swing, the MMA stuff coming
• 1:07:20
  back next week, I believe, for six weeks in a row. NHL
• 1:07:24
  going on MLB back soon, projections, ownership, the tools, the rankings,
• 1:07:29
  all the stuff for each one, the ceialing rankings for NBA, the
• 1:07:30
  correlation sheet and golf. We've got the core fit rankings have been absolutely crushing
• 1:07:34
  every single week so far. So we've got all kinds of good stuff going
• 1:07:39
  on. If you want to get the on the monthly use code PGA ten.
• 1:07:42
  It works out to about sixty dollars. Sixty two dollars works out to
• 1:07:45
  about two dollars a day. That's gonna do it for this one, guys.
• 1:07:47
  Thank you guys so much for watching all the support throughout the season.
• 1:07:50
  We will have a Super Bowl showdown show that we'll be back for but for
• 1:07:55
  title for WOP and for myself to Tech and tambo let Ship its hens mother
• 1:08:16
  no names, n's mother my Mons