Latest / Money In Motion with Klaas Financial / The Power of Diversification
Transcript
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- 0:53Speaker 1: in the markets. Speaking of Class Financial and making contact
- 0:55Speaker 1: their telephone number six so eight four four two five
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- 1:01Speaker 1: appointment Deklass Financial, it will be complimentary to you again
- 1:04Speaker 1: their number six oh eight four four two five six
- 1:07Speaker 1: three seven and joining us this week CJ Class along
- 1:09Speaker 1: with Josh Stirling.
- 1:10Speaker 2: CJ.
- 1:11Speaker 1: How are you doing this morning?
- 1:13Speaker 2: I'm doing great. Sean, how are you?
- 1:14Speaker 1: I'm doing great? Also, great to talk with you, Josh,
- 1:17Speaker 1: welcome back to the program. Good to talk to you
- 1:19Speaker 1: as well.
- 1:20Speaker 3: Good morning, Sean, good to be back.
- 1:22Speaker 1: And we've we've got an exciting conversation ahead with CJ
- 1:25Speaker 1: and Josh. We're gonna be talking about really important topic
- 1:28Speaker 1: which is diversification, and we're going to get into a
- 1:31Speaker 1: lot of the details about and why it's so important
- 1:34Speaker 1: to be diversified with CJ and Josh. We'll do that
- 1:37Speaker 1: this morning on the program. Don't forget, as mentioned, phone
- 1:39Speaker 1: lines are open if you've got a question six oh
- 1:41Speaker 1: eight three two one thirteen ten. That's six oh eight
- 1:44Speaker 1: three two one thirteen ten. Our cool feature of the
- 1:46Speaker 1: program is the Class Quiz Question Week. Your chance to
- 1:49Speaker 1: win a fantastic prize this week, no exception, our friends
- 1:52Speaker 1: from Class Financial have provided a twenty five dollars gift
- 1:55Speaker 1: card to Jersey Mike's for the winner of the class
- 1:57Speaker 1: quiz question leak you'll tell it. We'll tell you all
- 1:59Speaker 1: the detail else on how you can win a little
- 2:01Speaker 1: bit later on in the program. Little tip, doell listen
- 2:03Speaker 1: closely oftentimes bolt the question and answer come up during
- 2:06Speaker 1: the program. And before we start talking diversification, let's actually
- 2:09Speaker 1: look back to last week's program CJ and get the
- 2:12Speaker 1: question answer to last week's show.
- 2:15Speaker 2: Yeah, well, thanks everyone for listening to the show on
- 2:17Speaker 2: a weekly basis. We hope you enjoy it and certainly
- 2:20Speaker 2: that you are learning things along the way. And we
- 2:22Speaker 2: do this little fun coloss Quist question of the week,
- 2:25Speaker 2: and we did one last week, and congratulations to our
- 2:29Speaker 2: winner from last week. It was actually Donna of Madison,
- 2:32Speaker 2: and she correctly answered the following true or false question.
- 2:36Speaker 2: In twenty twenty five, we will see the highest number
- 2:38Speaker 2: of Americans reaching the traditional retirement age of sixty five.
- 2:44Speaker 2: We asked was that true or false? And Donna was
- 2:47Speaker 2: correct in saying that is true. In twenty twenty five,
- 2:50Speaker 2: an estimated four point one to four point two million
- 2:52Speaker 2: Americans will be reaching the age of sixty five.
- 2:56Speaker 1: Pretty crazy, Wow, that is really cool. And we talked
- 2:59Speaker 1: quite a bit in depth. If you missed any part
- 3:00Speaker 1: of that program, don't think you can always listen back
- 3:03Speaker 1: at Cossfinancial dot Com. That's COSS k l a as
- 3:06Speaker 1: Financial dot Com. As mentioned today, we're going to be
- 3:09Speaker 1: talking about a critical topic for every investor in that
- 3:11Speaker 1: of course, is diversification. And if you've been, of course
- 3:15Speaker 1: watching the markets this year, you probably heard the news
- 3:17Speaker 1: of some sharp jobs. CJ and Josh, let's kind of
- 3:20Speaker 1: get into this. What can you tell us about the
- 3:22Speaker 1: recent market noise and how this relates to diversification.
- 3:27Speaker 2: Yeah, that's right, Sean. So there's been quite a bit
- 3:29Speaker 2: of a reaction in the markets here recently, well, I
- 3:32Speaker 2: should say just general volatility in the markets. Well, whether
- 3:35Speaker 2: it be linked to tariffs or now. I know this
- 3:38Speaker 2: morning we have the tax bill that passed the House
- 3:41Speaker 2: and I think it needs to go into the Senate now.
- 3:43Speaker 2: But this a lot of this just causes uncertainty and volatility,
- 3:47Speaker 2: and sometimes that uncertainty is good. We come to find
- 3:50Speaker 2: out that whether it be a tax bill or something
- 3:52Speaker 2: like that increases the expectation of corporate profits and other cases,
- 3:57Speaker 2: like in the case of tariffs, it was bad and
- 3:59Speaker 2: in the market dropped right away but we're going to
- 4:02Speaker 2: be talking today about when when we run into situations
- 4:05Speaker 2: like this and when we feel the market's trading, we
- 4:08Speaker 2: can often feel powerless, and it can make people feel
- 4:12Speaker 2: almost like investing is gambling. And that's dangerous because as
- 4:16Speaker 2: soon as you get in your brain the idea that
- 4:18Speaker 2: investing in the markets is like gambling at a casino,
- 4:21Speaker 2: you can quickly convince yourself that it's a bad idea, right,
- 4:25Speaker 2: because for those who don't know, gambling a lot is
- 4:27Speaker 2: a bad idea. And so we're really here to talk
- 4:31Speaker 2: about no, no, no, no, you aren't powerless against this. And
- 4:34Speaker 2: so there's a concept of personal risk tolerance. There's a
- 4:37Speaker 2: concept of financial capabilities and risk tolerance. And then what
- 4:40Speaker 2: Josh is really here to talk today to us today
- 4:43Speaker 2: about is one of the greatest ways to mitigate that
- 4:46Speaker 2: risk of uncertainty and the volatility in the markets is
- 4:49Speaker 2: through diversification. So for those who don't know, I mean
- 4:52Speaker 2: on the show Malia Quavis and I did this show
- 4:54Speaker 2: for the better part of a decade. Malia has kind
- 4:57Speaker 2: of slowly shifted out, and now Eric Schwartz, the one
- 5:00Speaker 2: who is kind of doing it with me on a
- 5:03Speaker 2: weekly basis for the most part, but every once in
- 5:05Speaker 2: a while we love digging into the well of the experience,
- 5:09Speaker 2: knowledge and talent of our team, and that is why
- 5:11Speaker 2: Josh is on today. Josh is a chartered financial analyst.
- 5:14Speaker 2: He is also our chief investment officer here at Class Financial.
- 5:18Speaker 2: He and his team oversee about seven hundred million dollars
- 5:21Speaker 2: of client assets and portfolio management, security selection, rebalancing, all
- 5:25Speaker 2: of that. So he is a wealth of knowledge and information.
- 5:29Speaker 2: But Josh, would you just kind of help us understand
- 5:33Speaker 2: what's going on here with the markets recently and what
- 5:35Speaker 2: insights do you have?
- 5:37Speaker 3: Yeah, thanks, c Jay and I agree. At the start
- 5:40Speaker 3: of the year, we saw a bit of turbulence as
- 5:43Speaker 3: the US stock markets went through kind of a volatile
- 5:46Speaker 3: time period, and we've been discussing this with clients. We
- 5:50Speaker 3: frequently remind them that their portfolios are not just invested
- 5:53Speaker 3: in the S and P five hundred, but are instead
- 5:55Speaker 3: fully diversified. And I mean at the beginning of the year,
- 5:59Speaker 3: you'd see all these headlin come out about the different
- 6:01Speaker 3: news pieces that CJ was talking about, and then those
- 6:03Speaker 3: would be followed by, oh, the Nasdaq is down a
- 6:08Speaker 3: three percent today, four percent today five percent, and we
- 6:11Speaker 3: had some of the most biggest drops in the market
- 6:14Speaker 3: in a one day time period, and then the very
- 6:17Speaker 3: next day you'd see it shoot right back up. And
- 6:20Speaker 3: this volatility just creates uncertainty not only for the markets,
- 6:23Speaker 3: but for individuals who are investing their money for their retirements.
- 6:27Speaker 3: I mean, you look into your four o one K
- 6:28Speaker 3: and you're worried that it's going to drop because the
- 6:31Speaker 3: news is telling you that it's going to be down.
- 6:35Speaker 3: But something really interesting happened this year, and it's really
- 6:40Speaker 3: about the power of diversification. These headlines are talking about
- 6:43Speaker 3: how down everything's going to be, but then you actually
- 6:46Speaker 3: you go look at your four oh one K, or
- 6:48Speaker 3: you call class financial, you take a look at what
- 6:50Speaker 3: your portfolio has been doing here to day, you might
- 6:53Speaker 3: be a little surprised. So, for example, during the first
- 6:57Speaker 3: four month period start to twenty twenty five, while the
- 7:01Speaker 3: SMP five hundred was down five percent, one of our
- 7:04Speaker 3: most popular portfolios that we have, which holds sixty percent
- 7:09Speaker 3: globally diversified equities and then forty percent fixed income, that
- 7:13Speaker 3: was actually up about one percent. And when we're talking
- 7:17Speaker 3: to individuals, they're shocked by that news because that's not
- 7:21Speaker 3: what they've been told, and it's really really helpful to
- 7:25Speaker 3: kind of have that power of diversification there. I mean,
- 7:28Speaker 3: even looking back during the worst time period that we
- 7:31Speaker 3: could pick out out of that four month time period
- 7:34Speaker 3: to start the year, the diversified portfolio at its worst
- 7:38Speaker 3: was only down five percent. We compare that to the
- 7:41Speaker 3: S and P five hundred, it was down nearly fifteen percent.
- 7:45Speaker 3: So we're going to dig into why this works, why
- 7:49Speaker 3: we believe in the power of diversification, as we kind
- 7:51Speaker 3: of dig in here exactly.
- 7:54Speaker 2: Yeah, and as Josh is saying, diversification is one of
- 7:58Speaker 2: the most powerful tools in investing. As a matter of fact,
- 8:01Speaker 2: some people in finance say it's the only free lunch
- 8:03Speaker 2: in investing. But I will just warn you for as
- 8:07Speaker 2: much as that is a hard truth, a hard fact,
- 8:11Speaker 2: it is just one of the most powerful tools in investing.
- 8:13Speaker 2: Is this idea of diversification. The number of articles that
- 8:17Speaker 2: I read that try to convince investors that that is
- 8:20Speaker 2: not true is mind boggling. You'll hear articles like the
- 8:25Speaker 2: death of the sixty forty, why the sixty forty doesn't
- 8:27Speaker 2: work anymore, and why bonds are a terrible investment and listen,
- 8:31Speaker 2: if you're deep into the academic side of this business,
- 8:34Speaker 2: like Josh and I are, you can understand the subtleties
- 8:37Speaker 2: of what people are getting at here. Right. If you're
- 8:40Speaker 2: a long term investor, stocks are going to win the
- 8:43Speaker 2: day over almost any ten year rolling time frame period.
- 8:45Speaker 2: End of story. But listen, most people aren't just long
- 8:50Speaker 2: term investors. They need some short term money. And then
- 8:52Speaker 2: other people can't tolerate the risk of the markets, and
- 8:55Speaker 2: so it is just so critical for you to work
- 8:59Speaker 2: with somebody or your to become educated on why diversification matters. So, Josh,
- 9:05Speaker 2: why don't we start with some definitions. What exactly is diversification?
- 9:09Speaker 3: Yeah, well, great question, Ceejay. Diversification is about spreading your
- 9:14Speaker 3: investments across different asset types to reduce risk. The securities
- 9:20Speaker 3: in exchange commission are known as the SEC defines it
- 9:24Speaker 3: as the practice of spreading money among different investments to
- 9:28Speaker 3: produce risk. It's like that old saying, don't put all
- 9:32Speaker 3: your eggs in one basket. The benefit of diversification is
- 9:36Speaker 3: the possibility of more predictable outcomes with less variation over time.
- 9:43Speaker 1: Talking this Morning with CJ. Closs and Josh Sterling. They
- 9:45Speaker 1: are our retirement planning professionals from Class Financially. I want
- 9:48Speaker 1: to ask you a little bit about more about that
- 9:50Speaker 1: in just a moment. But in the meantime, you having
- 9:51Speaker 1: a chance, check out the website classfinancial dot com. That's
- 9:55Speaker 1: coss Klaasfinancial dot com. Telephone number for Class Financial their
- 10:00Speaker 1: office right here in Madison, sixtoh eight four four to
- 10:02Speaker 1: two five six three seven. Don't forget no charge for
- 10:05Speaker 1: that initial gets to know your appointment dech loss Financial.
- 10:07Speaker 1: It will be complimentary to you again their number six
- 10:10Speaker 1: oh eight four four two five six three seven. So, Josh,
- 10:13Speaker 1: as you mentioned, you talk about diversification and how it
- 10:16Speaker 1: helps reduced risk, but let's talk about what exactly is
- 10:20Speaker 1: risk in the context of investing.
- 10:23Speaker 3: Yep, that's an excellent point, Sean, thank you. We should
- 10:26Speaker 3: define the other part of diversification, so risk in investing.
- 10:31Speaker 3: It's another really important concept. The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority
- 10:37Speaker 3: also known as FINRA defines risk as any uncertainty with
- 10:41Speaker 3: respect to your investments that has the potential to negatively
- 10:45Speaker 3: impact your financial welfare and in investing. Really, what that's
- 10:50Speaker 3: talking about is to invest in stocks or bonds, and
- 10:53Speaker 3: risk is the chance that that value goes down, or
- 10:57Speaker 3: they don't pay a dividend, or they don't pay you
- 10:59Speaker 3: back your interest payments, or your principle things like that.
- 11:03Speaker 3: And while risk within the context of investing can get
- 11:07Speaker 3: a little complex, we can all at least assess and
- 11:10Speaker 3: accept various risks in our everyday lives to kind of
- 11:14Speaker 3: provide a little correlation there. So, like the risk of
- 11:18Speaker 3: driving a car or even just simply walking across a
- 11:21Speaker 3: busy street, we accept that risk in our lives every
- 11:24Speaker 3: single day. But thankfully in investing we do have the
- 11:28Speaker 3: power to choose how much risk we want to take on,
- 11:32Speaker 3: and diversification is a critical part in managing that risk.
- 11:38Speaker 2: Yeah. No, And to Josh's point, you know, you think
- 11:40Speaker 2: about risk of driving a car and then you weigh
- 11:43Speaker 2: it against the benefits of getting to places faster, right,
- 11:47Speaker 2: And don't mishear me, Not everybody assesses this risk the
- 11:50Speaker 2: same way, but most human beings, at least when you
- 11:54Speaker 2: go out on the belt line, you would assume it's
- 11:55Speaker 2: most human beings who can drive choose to drive, even
- 11:58Speaker 2: though they know it is probablyrobably one of the most
- 12:00Speaker 2: risky things they do. Every single week. Let me repeat that,
- 12:03Speaker 2: probably one of the most risky things that adults do
- 12:07Speaker 2: every single week is get into their car and go
- 12:09Speaker 2: drive on the belt line. And it's dangerous. I mean, listen,
- 12:12Speaker 2: I don't know about you, but when I drive down
- 12:14Speaker 2: the belt line there's people sometimes going one hundred miles
- 12:16Speaker 2: an hour, you know, buy me on the left. I go, WHOA,
- 12:18Speaker 2: what is happening? So very risky, but I choose to
- 12:22Speaker 2: accept that risk because of the potential benefits. Listen, Investing
- 12:26Speaker 2: is no different. When you invest, it is not a guarantee.
- 12:29Speaker 2: Just like when I get in my car. It is
- 12:30Speaker 2: not a guarantee that I will show up at work safely.
- 12:33Speaker 2: It's a high probability, but it's not a guarantee. That
- 12:37Speaker 2: is the risk. So Josh, this kind of sets the
- 12:39Speaker 2: stage nicely. So diversification is essentially a way to help
- 12:43Speaker 2: reduce the sharpest edges of market volatility. But it's not
- 12:47Speaker 2: just about owning a mix of stocks and bonds. There's
- 12:49Speaker 2: diversification within each of those categories of stocks and bonds
- 12:53Speaker 2: as well. So starting with diversification in stocks, how does
- 12:57Speaker 2: that work within the stock market?
- 12:59Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely so. I think it's really important to just
- 13:03Speaker 3: break down what a stock is because I think sometimes
- 13:06Speaker 3: to your comment earlier, a lot of people look at
- 13:09Speaker 3: the stock market and think, oh, it's just gambling, that's
- 13:12Speaker 3: all it is. It's just a gamble. But that's not
- 13:15Speaker 3: really what it is. Owning a stock is as simple
- 13:19Speaker 3: as owning a small piece of a larger company. You
- 13:23Speaker 3: essentially then get the right to own dividends in the
- 13:27Speaker 3: future from that company, or if the company grows, you
- 13:31Speaker 3: get to have a part of that growth in the company,
- 13:35Speaker 3: and there is no obligation to pay you dividends or
- 13:39Speaker 3: return the money you invested. That's the risk of owning
- 13:41Speaker 3: a stock. But that reason again for investing, is the
- 13:47Speaker 3: trust in the company that that company is going to grow,
- 13:50Speaker 3: they're going to create profits, and they're going to grow
- 13:53Speaker 3: your value in ownership. And while we like to see
- 13:56Speaker 3: that individual stock level, we see that happening in the
- 14:00Speaker 3: overall stock market over the long run of time, over
- 14:04Speaker 3: and over and over again. Now, owning a single stock
- 14:09Speaker 3: is quite risky because you're essentially putting all your faith
- 14:12Speaker 3: into the success of just one company. But when you
- 14:16Speaker 3: then go and you own a diversified mix of these
- 14:19Speaker 3: companies ten one hundred or even thousands of stocks. You're
- 14:24Speaker 3: helping to spread out that risk significantly, that just one
- 14:27Speaker 3: company isn't going to completely derail your investing rationale and
- 14:33Speaker 3: all your planning. So globally, there are about fifty eight
- 14:37Speaker 3: thousand publicly traded companies. Over the long run, the global
- 14:42Speaker 3: stock market generally trends positively, but individual companies can absolutely
- 14:47Speaker 3: face setbacks or even fail, and diversification helps protect against
- 14:52Speaker 3: those outlayers. It's also important to consider the different types
- 14:57Speaker 3: of companies that you own. Some companies focus on reinvesting
- 15:00Speaker 3: their profits to drive long term growth. Think about technology
- 15:04Speaker 3: companies like Facebook or Meta. You've got Netflix, but others
- 15:11Speaker 3: might pay dividends. Those are going to offer a more
- 15:14Speaker 3: immediate but traditionally stable return. Think of it kind of
- 15:18Speaker 3: like an interest payment that comes out to you on
- 15:20Speaker 3: a quarterly basis. These different approaches help adds diversification directly
- 15:26Speaker 3: into your portfolio by having different types of companies in there.
- 15:32Speaker 1: Talking this morning with CJ. Closs and Josh Stirling, our
- 15:34Speaker 1: retirement planning professionals from Class Financial. You can learn more
- 15:37Speaker 1: online Class financial dot com. That's coss k l a
- 15:40Speaker 1: A S Financial dot com. They're teleph number six O
- 15:42Speaker 1: eight four four two five six three seven. No charge
- 15:45Speaker 1: for that initial get to know you appointment Tech Loss Financial.
- 15:47Speaker 1: It will be complimentary to you again that number six
- 15:50Speaker 1: oh eight four four two five six three seven. And CG.
- 15:53Speaker 1: I know, CJ. I know you want to You want
- 15:55Speaker 1: to get in on this as well, don't you.
- 15:57Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, no, obviously I love this topic. For those
- 15:59Speaker 2: who have listened for a while, we've we ever once
- 16:02Speaker 2: want to get to talk about investing and kind of
- 16:03Speaker 2: the importance of staying the course and so very passionate
- 16:06Speaker 2: about this. But Josh, you're just kind of talking about,
- 16:09Speaker 2: you know, value of diversification within different companies, so basically
- 16:13Speaker 2: increasing the number of stocks that I own inside of
- 16:16Speaker 2: my portfolio. But you know, correct me if I'm wrong.
- 16:18Speaker 2: But it's not just about the number of companies that
- 16:20Speaker 2: I own, but also about their size and the industries
- 16:24Speaker 2: that they represent. So like I don't want to be
- 16:26Speaker 2: all in banking or just all in technology, so I
- 16:29Speaker 2: would assume that diversification is about size and industry and
- 16:33Speaker 2: other things besides just the number.
- 16:34Speaker 3: Is that right, Yeah, that's that's right, That's exactly it.
- 16:39Speaker 3: There are so many different elements that come into diversification
- 16:43Speaker 3: within just the realm of stocks, and one of the
- 16:46Speaker 3: really important things that I think a lot of people
- 16:49Speaker 3: forget about is geographic diversification. The US is an incredible
- 16:54Speaker 3: force in the stock market, but there are international stocks,
- 16:58Speaker 3: both with developed countries like over Europe or developing countries
- 17:02Speaker 3: or emerging markets as well, and the US and international
- 17:07Speaker 3: stock markets often perform differently based on their economic and
- 17:12Speaker 3: political landscapes. For instance, the last twenty years have seen
- 17:16Speaker 3: this incredible US outperformance, but there absolutely have been periods
- 17:21Speaker 3: of time where international stocks have led the way multi years.
- 17:26Speaker 3: So looking at the S and P five hundred for
- 17:28Speaker 3: the US and then also looking at the MSCIEF Index
- 17:33Speaker 3: for the international stocks, both have had their own bouts
- 17:36Speaker 3: of strong returns and volatility, but at different times. When
- 17:41Speaker 3: we combine these different stocks, they can be a buoy
- 17:45Speaker 3: to the portfolio, as one may be more positive when
- 17:48Speaker 3: the others down, or vice versa. Looking at a simple example,
- 17:53Speaker 3: this is not the way that we would allocate our portfolios,
- 17:57Speaker 3: but just as a brief example, here the first ten
- 18:00Speaker 3: year annualized return since nineteen seventy for the S and
- 18:04Speaker 3: P five hundred alone was down about three percent, whereas
- 18:09Speaker 3: if we took a portfolio that's made up of fifty
- 18:11Speaker 3: percent SMP five hundred fifty percent that international market, well,
- 18:16Speaker 3: that would have only been down about one point seven percent.
- 18:20Speaker 3: That's almost a fifty percent reduction in poor performance during
- 18:24Speaker 3: a turbulent stock market. And when somebody is being invested
- 18:28Speaker 3: in these markets for a long, long period of time,
- 18:31Speaker 3: typically ten years or longer, the power of being able
- 18:34Speaker 3: to minimize the down markets, the pain that you might
- 18:37Speaker 3: experience being invested in the market is a big deal.
- 18:42Speaker 3: Combining these different markets really can help smooth out the
- 18:45Speaker 3: returns over a long period of time.
- 18:47Speaker 1: Great insight talking this morning with Josh Stirling and CJ. Closs.
- 18:50Speaker 1: They are our retirement binding professionals from Class Financial talking
- 18:54Speaker 1: this week about diversification. Talked about stocks will get into bonds.
- 18:57Speaker 1: I know there's a couple of people go on saying,
- 18:59Speaker 1: what about Well, we'll get into that in just a moment.
- 19:01Speaker 1: In the meantime, you've bent over to the website Class
- 19:03Speaker 1: Financial dot com. Head on over there now, or when
- 19:06Speaker 1: you get into the office that website COLSS financial dot
- 19:08Speaker 1: com that's k l aa S Financial dot com. They're
- 19:12Speaker 1: TELPHO number six o eight four four two five six
- 19:14Speaker 1: three seven. No charge for the initial gets to know
- 19:16Speaker 1: you appoinment tech COSS Financial. It will be complementary to
- 19:19Speaker 1: you again their number six oh eight four four two
- 19:21Speaker 1: five six three seven. We'll continto our conversation with CJ
- 19:24Speaker 1: and Josh and take your call next as Money in
- 19:26Speaker 1: Motion with COSS Financial continues right here on thirteen ten.
- 19:30Speaker 1: Wib I join this morning by CJ. Closs and Josh Stirling.
- 19:34Speaker 1: They are our retirement planning professionals from Class Financial. You
- 19:37Speaker 1: can learn more online the website class financial dot com.
- 19:40Speaker 1: That's COSS k l a A S Financial dot com.
- 19:43Speaker 1: TELPHO number six oh eight four four two five six
- 19:46Speaker 1: three seven. Don't forget no charge for that initial gets
- 19:48Speaker 1: to know you appointment tech Loss Financial. It will be
- 19:50Speaker 1: complementary to you again their number six oh eight four
- 19:53Speaker 1: four two five six three seven. Talking this week about diversification,
- 19:57Speaker 1: talking to those that first segment about stocks and let's
- 20:01Speaker 1: let's move over then to bonds. What do we need
- 20:03Speaker 1: to know their CJ.
- 20:05Speaker 2: Yeah, so, you know a lot of times people say,
- 20:08Speaker 2: how do you guys talk about investments when you can't
- 20:12Speaker 2: guarantee a return and truth be told. I mean, you
- 20:15Speaker 2: could buy a CD A certificate or deposit at a
- 20:17Speaker 2: bank and it's FDIC insured and you could know what
- 20:20Speaker 2: your return is going to be with a pretty high
- 20:22Speaker 2: degree of certainty. But I'll just be frank with you,
- 20:24Speaker 2: even nothing in life is guaranteed. Even even in like
- 20:28Speaker 2: CFP textbooks and different things that we study, they'll say, well,
- 20:31Speaker 2: there is this concept of the risk free rate, which
- 20:34Speaker 2: is often just linked to you know, like government treasuries
- 20:37Speaker 2: of the United States. But even then you go, but
- 20:39Speaker 2: what of the United States, like got wiped off the
- 20:41Speaker 2: face of the earth, is that then guaranteed? Listen, everybody,
- 20:45Speaker 2: if you don't know that, there's no guarantees. You know
- 20:49Speaker 2: in the world. You can get as close as you
- 20:52Speaker 2: possibly can through insurance companies or government products, but there
- 20:56Speaker 2: are no guarantees. So ultimately you have to think about
- 21:00Speaker 2: investing through the concept of expected returns. What is my
- 21:04Speaker 2: expectation of both risk aka volatility and return over long
- 21:09Speaker 2: periods of time. So the reason I bring this up
- 21:11Speaker 2: is because when you think of investing through expected returns,
- 21:14Speaker 2: the expected return of a globally diversified equity stock portfolio
- 21:20Speaker 2: is significantly greater than the expected return of any diversified
- 21:25Speaker 2: bond portfolio. I don't care what bonds you own. So
- 21:28Speaker 2: often people will say why would you ever invest in bonds?
- 21:32Speaker 2: That just seems silly, and to be quite frank, the
- 21:36Speaker 2: answer is because the variance of outcome year to year
- 21:39Speaker 2: in a bond is much tighter on average than the
- 21:43Speaker 2: variance in outcome of a stock. So said another way,
- 21:46Speaker 2: I may expect a nine percent return of stocks over
- 21:49Speaker 2: a ten year timeframe, but I could be up or
- 21:52Speaker 2: down thirty percent in any given year on that number,
- 21:55Speaker 2: Whereas I may only expect a return of five percent
- 21:58Speaker 2: on bonds, but my variance of outcome in any given
- 22:01Speaker 2: year might be more like, you know, eight to ten percent.
- 22:04Speaker 2: So you see the idea bonds provide more consistency, and
- 22:07Speaker 2: of course, given that we're a retirement planning firm, bonds
- 22:10Speaker 2: also offer consistent income because it's kind of like a CD.
- 22:14Speaker 2: You buy it over a period of time, and then
- 22:16Speaker 2: they make interest payments to you while you own that bond. Okay,
- 22:19Speaker 2: there's just kind of like a quick and dirty But
- 22:22Speaker 2: bonds are essentially loans that you, the investor, make to
- 22:26Speaker 2: companies or governments in exchange for regular interest payments and
- 22:30Speaker 2: the return of your principle. They come in many forms.
- 22:32Speaker 2: So there's US treasuries I mentioned before, there's corporate bonds,
- 22:35Speaker 2: there's mortgage backed securities. There's even things called high yield
- 22:39Speaker 2: or junk bonds, which are just lower rated bonds. They
- 22:41Speaker 2: also have different maturities kind of like a CD that
- 22:44Speaker 2: range from thirty days to thirty years. Yes I did
- 22:48Speaker 2: say thirty years. And these bonds certainly have their own
- 22:51Speaker 2: set of risks, like there's interest rate risk, there's reinvestment
- 22:54Speaker 2: rate risks, there's credit risks, but they generally provide more stable,
- 22:58Speaker 2: predictable returns and side which is why we often see
- 23:02Speaker 2: them inside of older clients' portfolios or retirees portfolios, or
- 23:06Speaker 2: more specifically portfolios that need to provide a payment in
- 23:11Speaker 2: the future, so whether it be income or like a
- 23:13Speaker 2: down payment on a home. And the stability from these
- 23:16Speaker 2: bonds really come from the obligation from the borrower. So
- 23:22Speaker 2: whether it be a company or government it they have
- 23:25Speaker 2: to make payments to you as somebody who supplied them
- 23:28Speaker 2: with the money. As a matter of fact, think of
- 23:29Speaker 2: it this way. Everybody a bond is much like a
- 23:32Speaker 2: company going to a bank and asking for money to
- 23:35Speaker 2: build a building, and the bank says, no, we'll give
- 23:38Speaker 2: you half the money, but we don't want to give
- 23:40Speaker 2: you the rest. And they go, okay, I'll just go
- 23:42Speaker 2: to the public and I'll issue them one hundred thousand
- 23:45Speaker 2: dollars pieces of paper. They give me one hundred grand,
- 23:47Speaker 2: I give them a piece of paper that says in
- 23:49Speaker 2: ten years, I'll give them back one hundred grand, and
- 23:51Speaker 2: I will give them interest payments. So when you are
- 23:54Speaker 2: purchasing bonds, you are purchasing the debt of either a
- 23:58Speaker 2: corporation or of a government entity or a municipality. So anyways,
- 24:04Speaker 2: the next time that the borrower tries to raise funds
- 24:07Speaker 2: for new projects or something like that, you can understand
- 24:09Speaker 2: it is often the bond that you are purchasing when
- 24:13Speaker 2: they're trying to raise funds from a borrower. So anyways,
- 24:16Speaker 2: there's a little bit of a primer on what are bonds,
- 24:19Speaker 2: But I know, Josh, you have more to say on
- 24:20Speaker 2: this topic.
- 24:22Speaker 3: Yeah. So the bonds, of course provide that more predictable income,
- 24:26Speaker 3: don't have the same types of risks as stocks. So
- 24:30Speaker 3: the reason why we engage these in the overall portfolio
- 24:33Speaker 3: is that power of diversification. Typically you'll hear about this
- 24:38Speaker 3: quite a bit that when stock markets are down, when
- 24:40Speaker 3: there's fear in the market, people will push money to
- 24:43Speaker 3: safer assets things like cash or bonds or US government treasuries.
- 24:48Speaker 3: Of course, so those typically will be a good booy
- 24:52Speaker 3: during down markets, and we find this when we're working
- 24:55Speaker 3: with clients. We always encourage individuals to work with us
- 24:59Speaker 3: over a law period of time in investing. And when
- 25:03Speaker 3: you have that long period of time in investing, that's
- 25:05Speaker 3: when you get the power diversification. When you're putting it
- 25:09Speaker 3: all together, so you can get the power of that
- 25:12Speaker 3: global stock market, that engine to the entire investment experience.
- 25:17Speaker 3: That's going to drive a ton of growth in your portfolio.
- 25:21Speaker 3: I mean, since nineteen thirty seven, in a sixty forty portfolio,
- 25:27Speaker 3: your equity part of it drives about eleven percent of
- 25:31Speaker 3: that return in your portfolio. And that's a powerful, powerful thing.
- 25:36Speaker 3: But not all of it is going to be inside
- 25:39Speaker 3: the stock market, because of course there's volatility there, and
- 25:42Speaker 3: so those bonds are there to help stabilize during those
- 25:45Speaker 3: down markets. And it's really powerful because your investment team
- 25:49Speaker 3: like COSS Financial, we come in and we help manage
- 25:53Speaker 3: that risk over time. When the stock markets down we
- 25:56Speaker 3: see an opportunity for rebalancing, we come in we provide
- 25:59Speaker 3: that assist since we help rebalance and make sure that
- 26:02Speaker 3: individuals have their right risk profile so that they have
- 26:06Speaker 3: the correct expected to return over time. And it's just
- 26:10Speaker 3: a really powerful thing when everything can come together to
- 26:13Speaker 3: work well give a more predictable and smooth experience for
- 26:18Speaker 3: our clients and retirees.
- 26:19Speaker 1: Well put in talking this morning with Josh Stirling and CJ. Closs.
- 26:22Speaker 1: They are our retirement planning professionals from Class Financial. The
- 26:25Speaker 1: website class financi dot com. That's Class klaas financial dot com.
- 26:31Speaker 1: Great website to learn more about Colss Financial. And I'll
- 26:33Speaker 1: sign up for the weekly market Pul's newsletter right online.
- 26:35Speaker 1: They're telphone number six oh eight four four two five
- 26:38Speaker 1: six three seven. No charge for that initial get to
- 26:40Speaker 1: know your appointment at Loss Financial. It will be complementary
- 26:43Speaker 1: to you again. They're number six oh eight four four
- 26:46Speaker 1: two five six three seven. We'll take it down the
- 26:48Speaker 1: home stretch and do the Class quiz question the week
- 26:50Speaker 1: next as money in Motion, we have Class Financial continues
- 26:53Speaker 1: right here on thirteen ten Do Wuiba talking about diversification
- 26:57Speaker 1: this week with CJ. Closs and Josh Sterling. Of course
- 26:59Speaker 1: they our retirement playing professionals from Class Financial website Class
- 27:03Speaker 1: financial dot com. That's coss k l as Financial dot com. So, Josh,
- 27:08Speaker 1: it sounds like kind of the diversification isn't just a
- 27:11Speaker 1: single strategy, but really a combination of strategies, whether it's
- 27:16Speaker 1: within stocks, bonds, other asset classes. Am I right, is
- 27:19Speaker 1: kind of really about managing risk while still participating in
- 27:23Speaker 1: kind of the overall market.
- 27:25Speaker 3: Absolutely, there's a lot of parts, a lot of pieces
- 27:28Speaker 3: to this, but just as we discussed earlier, kind of
- 27:33Speaker 3: the takeaway from this entire conversation, a well diversified portfolio
- 27:38Speaker 3: can lead to a smoother investment experience overall, and that
- 27:43Speaker 3: can help you stay the course even when we have
- 27:45Speaker 3: down or challenging markets.
- 27:49Speaker 2: Yeah, well, thanks, Josh, I appreciate you jumping on and
- 27:52Speaker 2: talking to talking to our listeners kind of about diversification.
- 27:56Speaker 2: And one final point I'll mention as it relates to
- 27:59Speaker 2: investing that we didn't have time to talk about today
- 28:01Speaker 2: is your time. Your time in the market really does matter,
- 28:06Speaker 2: So a lot of people get drawn to the markets
- 28:08Speaker 2: because they hear that something's going way up and it
- 28:10Speaker 2: sounds exciting and they want to get in on the deal.
- 28:14Speaker 2: But you really need to understand what certain money is
- 28:17Speaker 2: for and what your timeline is. Obviously, if you're young
- 28:21Speaker 2: and you have a retirement account or for one g
- 28:23Speaker 2: at work, you probably have a long time to invest.
- 28:26Speaker 2: But if you're just taking money that's in a checking
- 28:28Speaker 2: or savings account and dumping it in one stock and
- 28:31Speaker 2: you expect to have that money available for a down
- 28:33Speaker 2: payment on your first home you're going to buy in
- 28:35Speaker 2: two years, probably not a great idea. So that's where
- 28:39Speaker 2: we come in. This is where Josh and the investment
- 28:42Speaker 2: team comes in to really help us assess how much
- 28:44Speaker 2: risk can this person tolerate, both both quantitatively, so that's
- 28:49Speaker 2: the idea of like the stability of their finances and
- 28:52Speaker 2: then qualitatively in terms of their personal risk tolerance. So
- 28:56Speaker 2: thanks Josh for jumping on with us talking about risk
- 28:58Speaker 2: tolerance and kind of time horizons and everything, and thank
- 29:01Speaker 2: you everybody for listening.
- 29:02Speaker 1: That really good stuff and great to have both CJ
- 29:05Speaker 1: and Josh along this week. Good news, great news for
- 29:08Speaker 1: you if you've got questions. Class Financial makes it really
- 29:11Speaker 1: easy to start that conversation. Of course, you can learn
- 29:13Speaker 1: more online the website class financial dot com. That's closs
- 29:17Speaker 1: k l aas financial dot com. Even better, great day
- 29:20Speaker 1: to give them call a Class Financial telephone number six
- 29:22Speaker 1: oh eight four four two five, six three seven. No
- 29:26Speaker 1: charge for that initial get to know your appointment Tech
- 29:27Speaker 1: Loss Financial. It will be complimentary to you again their
- 29:30Speaker 1: number six oh eight four four two five six three seven.
- 29:33Speaker 1: You want to hold on to that telephone number now
- 29:34Speaker 1: because it's time for the class quiz question the week
- 29:37Speaker 1: works like this, just a moment to ask you the
- 29:38Speaker 1: class quiz question the week. You'll then have thirty minutes
- 29:41Speaker 1: from in today's program to call the Class Financial office
- 29:43Speaker 1: right here in Madison at six oh eight four four
- 29:45Speaker 1: two five, six three seven. If you are the first
- 29:48Speaker 1: call with correct answer to when, this week's prize which
- 29:50Speaker 1: is a twenty five dollars gift card to Jersey Mikes.
- 29:53Speaker 1: This week's class quiz question the week is this true
- 29:56Speaker 1: or false? Diversification is about spreading your investment across different
- 30:01Speaker 1: asset types to reduce risk. Is that true or is
- 30:05Speaker 1: that false? Telephone number six oh eight four four two five,
- 30:08Speaker 1: six three seven First call with correct Hanson win this
- 30:10Speaker 1: week's prize. Don't forget as well. That's class Financial office
- 30:13Speaker 1: right here in Madison again that number six oh eight
- 30:16Speaker 1: four four two five six three seven CJ Josh. Great
- 30:19Speaker 1: chatting with both of you, guys. Have a great day,
- 30:22Speaker 1: thanks Sean, Thank you Sean. Take care guys. Doctor Marty
- 30:25Speaker 1: Greer joins us next here on thirteen ten. Wuib I