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NCAAB Best Bets 1/31/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's what I'm gonna
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: start off this show. Horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: that have not had a good season, Man with wookends
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: slump that I'm on. The slump continues. I've reached a
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: new peak. Actually, I'm gonna burn my browins hack Man,
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: arch hape? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know what day is anymore. But I don't
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have. Im
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: back with you as I always am until I die
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five. The worst month
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore. Slump,
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: Toad back with you with Toadstool Sports. This is the
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: college Basketball Show. It's uh for January thirty, Yeah, January
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: thirty first, although it is January thirtieth. Currently, I feel
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: like I need to, like, I don't know, I need
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: to maybe change my camera or something. I don't know.
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: I don't want to look slumped over in my chair.
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: Maybe I have to adjust my chair, fix the back,
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: get the back all the way up, because the back's
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: way back here. I'm like, oh man, I don't know.
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: I feel like I'm sitting forward. Stresses me out, makes
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: me more tired, I don't know. Whatever. Let's get into
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: college basketball. I'll talk about the NBA that happened today
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: that didn't go particularly well, except the Celtics did win
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: for us, so we did get that one. But we'll
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: talk about that in the morning. Do the recap. We
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: gotta get it going. Man, we gotta get the college
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: basketball stuff going and done. It's gonna take forever, you
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: know how it is. At least I got the handicapping
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: done by midnight this time. I started at like nine
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: thirty my time, so that's probably why. Let's get into it, man.
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: We got a lot of stuff. Hopefully I'm picking the
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: right games here. I'm gonna talk about I got a
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: number of liens that I have. I'm gonna give about
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: six plays. I have like thirteen means that I have
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: that are alternate, well not alternate, but like leans that
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: I was considering. I guess close to making my card.
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: And then I'm gonna talk about the big games. Of course,
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: people that follow me, you know the drill. Let's just
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: get into it, man. ESPN Noon number four Duke is
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: at Virginia Tech. Big game to start out the slate here, Man,
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: we have a few pretty big games at noon, as
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: is usually the case. Duke. They're legit. They're one of
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: the top few teams in the country. They were coming
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: off absolutely embarrassing Louisville though, so they could be maybe
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: feeling a little bit high on themselves after absolutely obliterating Louisville,
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: and I wish that they had this North Carolina game
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: up next to because then they'd be in a sandwich
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: and then I think we would have a play on
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech. But because they have BC interfering with what
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: we want to do here up next, I don't know.
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: I'll I'll hold back a little bit with it. I
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: would still lean to Virginia Tech in this one, though,
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: although I don't think Virginia Tech is as good as
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: their record looks. Duke is going to be a big
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: favorite in this one, even though they're on the road.
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: But I think it's just gonna be a bigger game
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: for Virginia Tech. They got Duke coming to their place.
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: It's always a big deal. Virginia Tech needs to do
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: something to try to pad their tournament resume, to try
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: to get into the tournament for the first time since
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: I think when they snuck in like a few years
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: ago as an eleven seed and then they were over
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: hyped and then they lost to Texas right away. My
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: bracket auts. As I'm coming back here at Virginia Tech,
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: they're coming up a pretty ugly game what's clicked the
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: wrong one against Georgia Tech here. So this is the
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: last game of Virginia Tech had. They were nine and
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: a half point favorites, and they kind of escaped against
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tach. We can kind of explain why. I think
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: it was because Virginia Tech was looking ahead to this
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: duke game. Virginia Tech had this game in hand, though,
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: they were pretty much blowing Georgia Tech out, and then
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: all of a sudden, Georgia Tech got to within one
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: score in the final minute. I think Virginia Tech just
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: took their foot off the gas too whirling, but they
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: did get a scare. Not that they need any more
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: motivation to face Duke here, but yeah, I was I
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: lean to Virginia Tech plus the points in this one.
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: It's not really a strong opinion. Duke up from eleven
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: and a half to twelve here, so you're getting double
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: digits with Virginia Tech as the dog here. Do with
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: that information what you want to, as I always say,
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: although again I think Virginia Tech's record looks too good,
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: but of course their acc record is not very good.
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: They just face pretty weak out of conference schedule. But
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: still I would imagine the public is pretty much going
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: to be coming in on the duke side because that's
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: what they do. That's what they duke, all right. Next
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: game up on Fox, same time noon, Cincinnati at number
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: ten Houston in the Big twelve Houston Ken Bomb still
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: has them as the sixth best team, so he's still
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: got Houston as pretty much an elite team here. They're
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: certainly better than Cincinnati. And these two teams actually already played,
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: and Cincinnati played Houston to within seven at Cincinnati, So
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: maybe that means Houston will actually take Cincinnati, sirius, because
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati almost caught them the previous time. Now, Cincinnati will
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: obviously try to show up for this game as well.
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: They just ended a losing streak with a home win
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: over Baylor. Cincinnati is definitely better at home, though, Like
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: if you look at what they've done on the road
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: in conference, I think they've lost every conference road game.
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: They lost to UCF West, Virginia, Arizona. Of course they
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: lose that game Arizona State. So I believe Cincinnati's own
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: four on the road, although of course Houston is gonna
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: be laying a huge number of points here. But I
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: might have to lean to Houston and this one. Cincinnati,
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: you know, again, of course they will show up. They
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: did just beat Baylor, but that's not looking very good
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: because Baylor is not playing well whatsoever. Houston, again, they
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: might take Cincinnati seriously because they didn't play that well
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: at Cincinnati. Houston had a nice bounce back after that
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: lost to Texas Tech, where I thought maybe it would
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: hang them over into the next game, but they still
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: actually covered at TCU, although they did not do it
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: by much. Now they're back home where I believe they've Yeah,
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: they haven't lost a conference game at home because their
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: only conference loss was to the road one to Texas Tech.
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: So they're back home where they're undefeated. But of course
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: you're asking them to win by margin here. But they
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: really just don't have this game surrounded my much their
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: next games against UCF. So this game I think is
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: Houston or pass. Houston's up from thirteen to fourteen, though,
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: so you are laying a huge price with them, and
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: we know they slow the game down. Both these teams
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: play real ugly, but Cincinnati they're just very very ugly offensively,
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: so I can imagine Cincinnati having a lot of trouble
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: scoring in this game. Total is low at one thirty
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: four and a half, and yeah, I mean I don't
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: like laying double digits with a total that's that low.
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati under their team total could potentially be worth a
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: looking this game, I guess as well for maybe another
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: way of looking at the game. But those are my
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: thoughts on it. All right, Texas Tech number eleven at UCF,
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: this is a play. Let's get into it. Man. We
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: got one play right out of the gate at noon
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: best bet. Let's do it. I know I'm not doing
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: all the best bets at the end of the show,
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: although I will reiterate all of them at the end
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: of the show, but I don't know. I mean, you
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: guys have kind of I don't know. You guys have
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: waited in and you've said that you like either way,
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. But of course, if somebody goes
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: back and they want to watch this, they won't be
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: able to just skip to the end for the best bets,
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: you know, because we're giving them out chronologically, so you
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: have to kind of find them. I do have dscript
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: give me like the chapters here, so but it doesn't
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: always like say, hey, this is the best bet right here,
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: go check this out. But this is the number eleven.
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech at unranked of course you sevel. You see,
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: they're not a horrible team that were ranked earlier in
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: the season. They're probably not a top twenty five team,
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: but they're not bad. ESPN two has this game, so
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: you can watch. You can watch your money here and
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: hope that it hope that it wins. This is I
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: have two like major sandwich games today in big conferences,
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: and this is one of the two. And I feel
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: like I have a better read on the big conferences,
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: So this is one of my favorite plays of the day.
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: UCF plus five is the play here. Now, these numbers
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: might be a little bit off because I put them
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: into the system whenever, like a couple hours ago, and
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: I don't know if the line has changed a little
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: bit this one. Probably no rush on this one because
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: the public's gonna come in on Texas Tech. So I
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: don't really imagine this line really dropping Texas Tech. It's
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: somewhere around five to five and a half here, But
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: looking at the situation, I mean, this is a horrible
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: spot for Texas Tech. They're coming up that win over Houston,
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: so they haven't played since then, which also means they
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: have extra time off and they have a five game
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: win streak going on. So I think that's also bad
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: because I don't think it's good when you get extra
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: time off and you have a win streak going and
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: you're sitting on the biggest win that you had all season.
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: I think it just kind of compounds itself and you
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: just keep thinking about it more and more and that's
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: your last game. Oh yeah, this is awesome. Now Texas
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: Tech has to go to Florida, to Orlando, which is
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: not a particularly familiar venue for these Big Twelve teams
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: to have to go to because UCF's new to the
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: Big Twelve. But to make matters even worse, in two days,
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech hosts Kansas, which is gonna be a huge
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: game against a ranked Kansas team, a blue blood team Kansas.
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: So this is pretty clearly a sandwich spot here against UCF.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: I like UCF a lot in this one. And for UCF,
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: they're coming off not so great performance. After they came
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: back home. They went out on the road for two games.
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: Iowa stayed in Colorado, had to play in elevation. They
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: came back home, they got the win against Arizona State,
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: but I believe they did not cover. So they just
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: kind of barely got by Arizona State. They might have
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: started looking ahead to Texas Tech already, but I think
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: that's better because they just didn't have a great game,
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: so that might just give them even more focus. Here,
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: Texas excuse me, UCF is the play here if we
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: look at kenbum real quick, here, let me see real quick.
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, obviously Texas Tech is the better team, but
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: it's not by that much. Where does he have Central Florida.
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: He's got Central Florida and forty fifth Texas Tech eighteenth.
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: He's got Texas Tech pretty lucky though fifty fourth in luck.
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: U SEF is lucky as well, though tenth. So both
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: teams are lucky, but I'm not gonna be too worried
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: about that when it's not like a huge luck disparity.
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: Both teams have somewhat overperformed. According to Kenbam, Texas Tech
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: usually notice more of a defensive team. Recently, they're not
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: really this year though, they're a top ten offensive team
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: and they're outside of the top forty defensively. You SEF
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: is not very good defensively either. But these teams are
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: kind of just mirror images of each other. It's just
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech's a little bit better on both sides of
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: the ball. But Texas Tech does play slower. They're in
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: like the slower half of tempo, and U see F
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: is almost in the top one hundreds, so you see
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: F might try to run the floor a little bit,
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: speed things up a little bit, and maybe throw Texas
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: Tech out of their home in a little bit. But
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: either way, even if Texas Tech is gonna try to
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: slow it down a bit, you're asking him to cover
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: as a road favorite here in that situation I just described. Again,
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: this one's mostly about the situation. But yeah, Central Florida
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: is the play in that one. Even though the ken
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: Bomb numbers don't quite the Ken Bomb numbers don't look
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: great in that one, but I believe if you drow
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: into it. By the way, again, as I always say,
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: I recommend buying ken Bomb because it's like thirty bucks
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: a year or whatever, and you get all this extra information,
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: all of his data, you know he's still the best,
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: even though there are some other sites that do it
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: well as well. But I think he has this line
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: somewhere pretty close to the five. I think it might
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: be a little bit less than five based on his
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: projections so that's what we're going with there. ACC Networking Doon.
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh is at number twenty two. Clemson Pittsburgh. They just
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: broke a three game loser street streak with a win
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: over wake Forest, fine win, and I think that might
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: prepare held them into this game. They're not going to
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: overlook Clemson, obviously. They actually already lost at home to Clemson.
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: So really Clemson might overlook them because Pit's near the bottom.
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: They're in the pits, they're near the bottom of the ACC.
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: They haven't been playing well. Clemson already went into their
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: place and beat them, So this game it's one where
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: I'm definitely gonna be leaning towards pitt in this one.
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: It's not on my card or anything, but Pittsburgh did
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: just break that losing streak. Like I said, they're going
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: to Clemson here. Clemson has been having a good season.
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: They only got one loss in conference so far. Clemson
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: is coming off a win over Georgia Tech, so the
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: spot's not exactly awful for Clemson. They do play Stanford next.
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: They have to go out to California, so they might
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: start looking ahead to that trip Stanford to call. I mean,
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: those teams do a better records than Pitt. Very easy
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: to overlook Pitt. Again, when they're near the bottom of
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: the conference, you already beat them in their place. So
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: that's basically the handicap their Pitt might have some new
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: momentum off that win they got in their last game.
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: Clemson is a twelve point favorite, and it's also a
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: low to total here at one thirty five and a half. Clemson,
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: they're a team that kind of slows the game. I mean,
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: they do slow the game down and play defense. So
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: it's the type of game where it's gonna be difficult
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: for them I think to cover by double digits there.
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: So I would lean towards taking the points with Pitt
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: in that game. All right, And if you want me
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: to talk about any of these other games that I'm skipping,
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: I can do that as well. Let's see Peacock. At noon,
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: we do have Marquette at Seaton Hall. Here. Marquette is
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: coming off a nice win over Creighton. They kind of
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: crushed Creighton by twenty four points. Creighton I thought was
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: in a little bit of an iffy spot there. I
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: liked Marquette and that one I was correct on. That
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: one wasn't on my card, but we did get it
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: right Now Marquette's having to go to Seaton Hall. They
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: did lose at home already Seaton Hall, so I don't
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: really see Marquette overlooking Seaton Hall, even though Marquette of
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: course is coming up a pretty big win over a
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: decent team in the Big East. But the worry is
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: that they're gonna be like tire or something, or maybe
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: feeling well. I don't know if they're gonna be tied
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: because it was just such a blowout. I think the
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: worry would be they're just feeling too high on themselves.
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: But I don't think that's gonna really be the case. Again,
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: because Seaton Hall already beat them at their place. It
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: might be the case of Seton Hall might overlook them.
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: Seaton Hall did just break a four game losing streak
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: beat Xavier. We had the win with Xavier. I've been
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: reading Seaton Hall pretty well on the show this year.
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: We did get the win with them against Xavier. But
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: the problem was with the spot for Seaton Hall here
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: is even though yes they broke along losing streak, a
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: four game losing streak, sometimes that does give you momentum,
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: but they're playing this ugly Marquette team. It's at the
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: bottom of the standings pretty much where they already beat
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: on the road, and they have bigger games up next. Man.
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: Seaton Hall's got Villanova and Creighton up next, and they
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: lost to Villanova at home, so it's gonna be a
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: little bit of a revenge game against Villanova as well.
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: Seaton Hall did beat Creighton, but still those are bigger games.
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: So even though Marquette's coming up a pretty nice win,
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: they were only a small underdog in that game, and
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: the game was pretty pretty much done early on, so
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: I would lean to taking the points with Marquette in
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: this one. The line movement seems like it's a green
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: Seaton Hall down from nine to seven and a half,
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: pretty low total in this one to and a half
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: Seaton Hall. They don't score very well and they play
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: defense and they slow the game down, so they're not
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: really the type of team built to cover by margin
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: at home. Marquette does try to speed it up, though,
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: so Seaton Hall slowing it down might make Marquette a
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: little bit uncomfortable, but that would be my lean in
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: that one. Dirty Sock, what's up man? Thanks for hanging
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: out all right, we have all these big conference games.
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: Man Georgetown at Butler at Noone on TNT. This game,
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: Georgetown's on a two game win street. They beat Providence
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: in DePaul, not impressive wins, but they beat some teams,
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: so they do have some momentum coming to this game
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: against Butler. I don't believe they played Butler yet, know
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: they played them again later in the season. Georgetown does
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: have Creightton on deck, which is a pretty big game.
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: But Georgetown near the bottom of the pack. I don't
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: know if they're gonna overlook Butler because Butler is another
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: team that is ahead of them in the standings. Butler,
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: they just got pretty much destroyed by Saint John's on
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: the road. They lost by twenty two. Coming back home here,
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're in a spot where they might show
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: up as well. But they did just lose the three
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: game win streak prior to that, and that was a
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: big game against Saint John's. At the very least, I
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: think got Providence up next to john don't think is
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: a very big deal. So this is a difficult handicap
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: from a side perspective this one. I don't really have
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: a strong opinion on Butler. Did drop from six and
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: a half to five and a half here, so some
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: initial live movement towards the Georgetown side. I don't really
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: disagree with it, but I don't have a strong lean
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: at all. I mean, I guess that would be my
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: very very slight lean towards Georgetown plus the points there,
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: but yeah, not a strong opinion at all. I don't
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: even really love it at all. The other ones that
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: I talked about. I think everyone that I talked about
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: so far is probably a stronger feel than that one,
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: especially the play that I gave out already for Dirty
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: SoC I already gave out a noontime play on UCF
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: plus the points. We got Texas Tech in a huge
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot man acc Network at noon has a Battle
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: of North Carolina, not the Battle of North Carolina, but
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: a battle NC State has to go to wake Forest.
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: Wake Forest pretty much I think considers itself to be
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: the little brother to all of these big teams to
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: NC State, North Carolina and Duke. Wake Forest is always
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: like that fourth team there. So they're gonna show up
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: for a game against ends State. NC State's on a
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: roll right now, three wins in a row. They just
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: beat Syracuse beat them by twenties. They might be feeling
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: pretty good about that, and they do have SMU on deck,
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: so it's possible they're looking ahead because Wake Forest not
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: doing too well this season. SMU is up close to
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: NC State in the standings and having a pretty good season,
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: and we're ranked. NC State also already beat wake Forest
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: by thirteen at NC State, so it's gonna be probably
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: pretty easy for them to overlook Wake here. It is
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: also gonna be a third road game in four games
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: for NC State, so that doesn't make it that easy either.
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: Even though this game is within the state of North Carolina.
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: Wake just lost at Pitt Now they're coming back home.
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: They have lost three games in a row, and last
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: time they were at home they lost to SMU, so
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: they're probably gonna be looking for a win here man,
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: needless to say, so, I think it's Wake Forest or
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: passing this one for me again, I like when teams
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: lost their last game at home and they're coming back home,
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: because I think that's a good spot. Like when you
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: lost that last game on your home floor, it usually
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: focuses you when you come back home. You want to
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: redeem yourselves. So and because they're coming up those other
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: laws that they just faced on the road, and of
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: course one of them was to Duke. I mean, yeah,
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: they're gonna show up for a game he gets Dupe.
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: But are you gonna blame them for losing on the
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: road to Duke? Probably not. NC State is already actually
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: up from four to six here. But I do not
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: agree with that line move. I would take the points
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: with Wave Forrest and that one if I was gonna
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: play it all right, Ball stayed at Toledo MAC action here,
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: maction this one. I considered it. I considered ball stayed
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: in this one. Maybe I don't know the balls for it,
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: but I don't really love the spot for Toledo. Toledo
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: just went to Akron and lost the game Akron. Of course,
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: as I keep saying, there's still the best team in
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: the MAC. I mean, say what you want about Miami Ohio.
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: I know they beat Akron in Miami Ohio, but Akron
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: power ratings wise, they're still the better team. Akron would
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: still be favored against Miami Ohio on a neutral probably
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: by a few points. Acron's very good, and if you
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: look at how this game played out, Toledo was in
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: this game. Man, they were still within six points. How
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: late is that in the final minute and a half
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: of the game. So Toledo, even though they lost by ten,
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: they were kind of in this game late in the game.
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: And they're winning the game at halftime too, So Toledo
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: played really well on the road. Is twelve and a
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: half point underdogs at Akron. Now they're coming off of that.
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: I think they could be in a pretty bad hangover
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: spot after that. And to make matters worse, they got
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: Kent State up next, who they already lost to once
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: and that's another Ohio rival. So they're in an Ohio
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: sandwich here. I don't know what sandwiches they even eat
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: in Ohio, but that's what they're in here. So they
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: have this game sandwich imagery two of their Ohio rivals.
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: It's a bad spot for Toledo, There's no doubt about it.
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: Ball State, they're a pretty bad team. Ball State's coming
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: up a pretty ugly performance against Northern Illinois, but they won,
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: so that will give them some momentum coming into this game.
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: Not I think Ken Bomb's numbers were the reason why
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: I kind of kept this off my card here because
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: I like ball State in this one man. The fact
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: they have a few wins in a row, I think
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: is good. They'll come into this with momentum. Toledo's down
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: from ten to nine and a half. Year total is
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: not very high at one forty six and a half,
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: so the market Reid looks like, at least initially, the
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: line move is towards ball State. I agree with that.
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: I think ken Bum, yeah, I mean, I think this
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: is where I was kind of like, yeah, I don't know,
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: ken Bum's got ball State not even in the top
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: three hundred. They're really bad on both sides of the ball,
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: both sides of the ball. They play slow, really slow.
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: They're kind of I don't know. They're in the middle
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: of ken Bum's luck Index, so he's telling you they're
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: actually not even as good as they look. Toledo is
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: the significantly better team, so it does worry me a bit.
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: Toledo does crack the top one hundred offensively. They're not
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: going to defense though, so laying points of the bad
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: defense maybe not the greatest idea. They're lower in the
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: luck index though, and they play fast, so they might
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: speed it up and maybe throw ball State out of
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: their element. And I believe leave ken Bum does have
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: Toledo winning this game by more than the nine and
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: a half. So I don't know. This game is not
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: on my card, but it does look like it is
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: pretty much a sandwich spot that Toledo is in here
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: and that Kent State game is gonna be big again.
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: It's a rivalry. They're up above Toledo and the standings
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: in third place there in the standings. So yeah, definitely
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: ball State or pass in that game, but that one
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: is not on my card. Charles, what's up? Thanks for
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: hanging out air Ball State. Yeah, they probably do throw
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: up a bunch of those. They're a really bad team.
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: And again I would say by ken Bum because you know,
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: I feel like I show like enough of his stuff.
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: Although the main page here is actually free, but if
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: I dig into his projections and stuff, that's the part
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: of it that it's not free. All right. We have
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: in the Colonial Campbell at William and Mary on CBS
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: Sports at noon, still in the noon slate here cam.
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: They're on a pretty atrocious losing streak five losses in
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: a row, but the first three of those are on
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: the road. They lost on the road to Elon by one.
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: UNC Wilmington by three and Charleston by four. Those are
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: not bad losses. Those are all to the top teams
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: in the conference kind of except Elon, not really, but
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: Charleston and UNC Wilmington. Yes, then Campbell at maybe suffered
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: a bit of a hangover spot. They're coming back home
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: against Monmeth. I don't know what that was. But then
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: they lost a Stony Brook after that, So Campbell has
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: lost two straight games as favorites. Now they're going back
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: out on the row, and I know they have Well,
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: they've actually been better on the road than at home
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: over that stretch of five games. They actually played really
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: competitively in all those games on the road, so they
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: might be able to do that here again. Maybe they
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: started already looking ahead to William and Mary. I don't know.
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: I don't believe that these teams have played yet. They
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: might not play again this season. Actually, I think this
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: might be the only matchup between the two teams this season.
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: But coming off two bad losses at home to worse teams,
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: I kind of expect Campbell to show up in this game.
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: William and Mary having a good season. Man, they did
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: just take a loss to Elon in a close game,
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: and Willim and Mary was on a three game win
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: streak before that, including beating UNC Wilmington and Hastra, who
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: I still think is one of the better teams in
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: this conference, even though they've been underperforming a conference play.
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: But it could be a little bit of a hangover
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: man when you lose a win streak like that. I
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: think William and Mary was an underdog in this game
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: at Elon. Small underdog. Oh no, William and Mary is
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: actually a small favorite, my mistake, so whatever, yeah, I mean,
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: whatever the case may be. They lost to win streak there.
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: It was a tough game against Elon, and they have
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: UNC Wilmington again up next, so that could be a
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: look ahead as well. So looking a little bit sandwiche there.
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: So I like Campbell in this one. Campbell, you're getting
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: seven and a half now William and Mary. They are
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: up from six to seven and a half. Here. Looks
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: like the initial line move was on Willim and but
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: I do not agree with that. I would take the
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: points again or leave it alone. It is looking like
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be a high scoring game, though. I think
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: William and Mary likes to play fast. So yeah, they're
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: seventh in the Country and Tempo. Oh, man, a little
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: bit too fast for my liking, but it might, you know,
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: help them cover as a favorite. Here. Oh, I think
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: my leg is bleeding. That's awesome. I think it's a mosquito.
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: It can't be a mosquito by during the winter. I
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: don't know what is this. I don't know what I'm
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: even looking at here. I don't know something going on
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: my leg anyway, all right, it's all right, man, this
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: is we're in sports man, it's coladatorial combat, all right,
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: What other games I want to talk about here? Valpo
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: and Indiana State. I mean, this is a battle of
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: two Indiana teams, So I do think Valpo does consider
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: consider themselves to be a little brother to Indiana State,
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: usually because it's still Indiana State. I mean, you know,
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: it's Larry Bird. They had Robbie Avila not that long
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: ago whatever. But Valpo is ahead of Indiana State in
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: the standings now, although I still think Valpa won't really
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: overlook Indiana State. But Valpo is coming off a big game. Man.
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: They played Belmont for the second time, and for the
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: second time they almost beat Belmont. They lost to Belmont
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: both times, and they played them really well both times
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: in Belmont. As I keep saying, they are the best
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: team in the Missouri Valley and they are atop the
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: conference right now. That was a huge game for Valpo
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: and they fell just short. Now they go on the
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: road to Indiana State. I don't believe they played them
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: yet this season, but they do it. Bradley on deck,
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: and maybe Valpo will overlook Indiana State because they're just
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: having a really bad season. Bradley is up in the
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: top four in the conference right now as well. Bradley's
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: been one of the top teams in the conference over
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: the last few years, so it is possible that Valpo's
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: kind of in a sandwich spot here. Man for Indiana State,
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: I would lean their way in this game, but they
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: are coming off a tough loss at Illinois Chicago. Illinois Chicago,
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: I believe it was actually favored in that game. They
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: must have been. Illinois Chicago's playing surprisingly well this season,
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. So Indiana State. I don't love
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: the fact that they're coming off a very good performance
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: as a dog on the road there, But I would
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: have to lean to Indiana State if I was gonna
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: play this one back at home. They've lost four games
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: in a row, but three of those games are on
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: the road, so we are still talking about an Indiana
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: State team that did beat Illinois State at homes that
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: was a good win, and they beat Belmont at home
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: as well, So Indiana State has beaten a couple of
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: the best teams in the conference at home, so they're
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: not horrible at home. Although they did have a really
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: bad loss to Evansville at home as well, so they're
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: kind of a mixed bag, but they do have the
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: ability to kind of beat anybody at home. Osbegers are
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: telling you Valpos actually the slightly better team, but I
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: would lay it with Indiana State in this one. I
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: think Valpo's in a sandwich spot to minus two one
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: Indiana State in that one. For what that's worth, no
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: one mentioned Larry bird Well, I don't know. I mean,
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know because they well they the writers redeemed
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: themselves after that in like the one of the last episodes,
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: I forget what it might have been, the second to
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: last episode, the worst episode of all time. The military
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: dudes were listening to the Indiana Pacers. If you didn't
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: catch that, they were talking about Reggie Miller so they
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: did put that in there. I don't know. I mean,
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: we're talking about like the late eight Like, do you
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: think people in Indiana were still talking about Larry Bird
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: at that point. He was on the Celtics at that point,
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. I mean maybe, but it's not
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: like we were talking about the college days anymore there.
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: But there was an Indiana Pacers mentioned in the in
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: the show. All Right, holy Cross at Army, I'm gonna
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: talk about it just because there was maybe a little
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: bit of an angle here. Holy Cross coming off a
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: pretty good performance at Colgate where they fell just short
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: as pretty big underdogs. Presumably Colgate is still one of
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: the better teams in this conference. Yeah, holy Cross is
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: not good. They were ten and a half point dogs
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: in that game and they almost pulled off the upset.
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: So when a team does that, I like to look
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: to fade them more often than not in the next game.
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: It is also a fourth road game in five games
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: for them. That's not easy either. They actually they already
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: beat Army. Well not actually Army sucks, but holy Cross
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: did already beat Army so at home, and so they
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: might it's pretty easy for them to overlook Army, I think,
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: and they do face bu next, so they do have
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: a Massachusetts battle next. Even though both those teams are bad,
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: that still is probably a bigger game to them than
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: Army is at this point because it's still their Massachusetts
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: sort of rival in this conference with Boston University up next.
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: So I prefer Army in this one. Army did just
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: beat Lehigh, so they've actually been playing a little bit
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: better recently, so you know, I mean Army, They're not like,
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: they're not a total dormat in the conference. Let's say,
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: they've actually moved up a little bit in the conference standings,
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: so they have a little bit of momentum. I guess
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: the problem with Army here is they do have Coalgate next,
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: so there is the potential that they look ahead here,
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: but I don't really see them overlooking holy Cross, who
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: they did lose to on the road. So I think
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: Army is the right side in this one. Army up
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: from two and a half to three, so you actually
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: have a lay points with this really bad Army team.
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: Not on my card, needless to say, but that is
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: a lean for me. I do have that on my
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: my additional leans here that didn't make my card so far,
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: Ball State, Indiana State, and Army so far You miss that? Yeah,
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: well that probably is a good thing because that means
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: you didn't watch that episode, because that episode is not
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: worth it just for that one part of it. Oh,
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: I guess the episode would The episode wouldn't have been
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: horrible if it wasn't for the the Will coming out scene.
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: Like if that wasn't in there, the episode would have
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: been I don't know, like mediocre at least. All Right,
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: CBS at one pm, we have a huge Mountain West game.
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: Doesn't get any bigger in the Mountain West than this.
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: San Diego State at Utah State, two really good teams.
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be a bit of a pacing
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: contrast here because San Diego State likes to slow things
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: down Utah State likes to go fast. Yep, that is
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: the case, So it is a bit of a pacing
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: collision here. I don't believe these teams have played yet.
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: I know they play again later the season. San Diego
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: State they're on a two game win streak. They got
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: some momentum coming into this. They were playing a third
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: road game in four games though, so that does make
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: it a little bit difficult for them and going into elevation,
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: although I know they're used to going into elevation because
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: they play in the Mountain West, but they themselves don't
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: play in elevation, so the venue, of course, does give
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: Utah State a little bit of an edge here. Utah
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: State also bounce back from having two losses in conference.
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: They're on a two game win streak as well. Not
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: really impressive wins or anything, but although they did blow
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: out Wyoming, but Wyoming's not that good. Both teams are
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: gonna show up focus here, but I'm gonna give the
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: lean to Utah State as the better team and the
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: team that may be able to control the pace here.
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: Oddsmakers have them lined as a six point favorite, and
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: people might take a look at this and think that
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: maybe the six is like a little bit high, given
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: that they know that both they know both these teams
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: my name, especially San Diego State, the records are not
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: that far off from each other, So I don't know
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: the public. To me, it seems like they might have
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: a tendency to think this line is a little bit
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: too high. But sometimes I don't gauge the public correctly.
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: I think I do more often than not, but I
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: don't know exactly they're gonna think about this game, but
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: I also think it is side and total correlated. The
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: total is pretty low though, and won forty four, so
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are kind of telling you that they think
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: San Diego State might be able to slow it down
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: a little bit. And yes, it is easier to slow
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: the game down, like usually the better team and home
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: team has the ability to control the pace, but if
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: the road team is the slow down team, they might
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: be able to kind of interfere with that and slow
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: the game down a little bit. But I do think
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: probably side and totally correlated here. I think San Diego
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: State in the under likely correlated because they're the slower team.
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: Utah State over probably correlated as the faster team. Ken
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: Bum doesn't have these teams separated by a whole lot.
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: He's got Utah State thirtieth, san Diego State forty third,
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: and actually he has San Diego State is actually more
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: of a mid tempo team this year, which seems odd
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: to me. But I think part of the reason why
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: the total is low is that these teams are not
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: deficient defensively, especially San Diego State is the better de
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: defensive team. But Utest State's not that bad defensively either.
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: UTAs State is the better offense though, for sure. But
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: San Diego State does classify as the or qualify I
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: guess I should say as the better defense getting points.
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: And you know sometimes I do like that angle the
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: underdog as the better defense or the better defense as
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: the underdog, I should say. To Paul at Xavier at
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: Fox Sports one one pm Eastern Big East match up
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: here not the greatest Big East matchup though. De Paul
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: did just lose at Georgetown after they had a nice
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: win over Seaton Hall. They took the loss to Georgetown
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: third road game in four games. Now for them, in
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: a second straight road game. They already beat Xavier at home,
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: by the way, so it's possible they overlooked the Xavier team.
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: It's not playing that well, and De Paul does have
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: Saint John's on deck in a couple of days, so
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: that is a pretty big game, I believe. Yeah, they
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: already lost to Saint John's once as well, so the
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: spot might set up a little bit better for Xavier
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: in this one. Xavier three losses in a row, but
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: they lost close games to Crate and Saint John's. So
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: those were not bad losses. We faded Xavier because they
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: played so well in those two games. I thought they
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: were just gonna be in a really tired spot, basically
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: a hangover spot. Off of that against Seaton Hall. We
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: got Seaton Hall correct in that one. Now Xavier's back home,
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: they do a view coon on decks that might be
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a concern. Then maybe they'll be
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: a look ahead, But I don't really think you start
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: looking ahead when you've lost three games in a row
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: and you're playing a DePaul team that you already lost
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: to this year or two, and you're coming off an
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: ugly loss. So I prefer Xavier in this one. They
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: are minus four and a half here, so the oddsmakers
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: are actually telling you Xavier is kind of the better
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: team here, even though the record is worse. So the
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: public probably is not gonna want Xavier, just based on
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: recency bias and the line looking a little bit weird,
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: the slightly worse record team laying points. You know, all
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: right in the horizon we have Robert Morris at ipf W.
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: It's kind of an addressing game. These are two decent
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: teams in the conference. Robert Morris just beat IU Indy.
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: Not a big deal there, but this is gonna be
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a revenge game for Robert Morris
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: because they did lose at home to IPFW earlier in
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: the season, so they might want some revenge going out
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: on the road trying to get this win here. They've
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: been so so on the road in conference. I think
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: they've been about a five hundred team on the road,
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: So not really anything to really see there, but there
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: is a concern maybe they're looking ahead to Write State,
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: although I don't know if they're gonna overlook again an
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: IPFW team it's above them in the standings that already
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: beat them, just because they do have Right State up next.
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: It's two big games, so I do think they will
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: show up for this game against IPFW. The Mastodons good
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: band massed on an rip to Brent Hines right. It
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: was him, that's the masst On member who died shortly
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: shortly after he left the band. He died in like
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: a motorcycle accident or something like that. It's crazy, dude,
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: and dude, I saw him mask it on Live with
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: him still in the band, like not that long ago.
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: A couple of years ago. That's crazy. I love Masking
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: On though they're an awesome band, dude. But anyway, I PFW.
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: They did just lose a five game win streak. These
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: postponed games are kind of getting in the way of
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: trying to figure out, like we're the momentum lies, you know.
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: I hate these postponements. Plus these postponing games in the weather.
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: There are some games tomorrow that are being postponed as
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: well because the Southeast is getting slammed by a bomb
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: cyclone that I guess is gonna somewhat miss us up here.
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: It's gonna come in up here like around midnight Tomorrow
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: night Saturday into Sunday. But I guess we're not gonna
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: get that much snow out of it. The self is
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: gonna get blasted with ice and whatever. So I don't know,
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: and I don't meet the government agency, but I PFW
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: did take a loss in a tough game against Oakland.
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know if the game is exactly that close,
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: but big game and losing a five game win streak
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: could hang you over a little bit. Robert Morris, the
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: team they already beat once. Although I know Robert Morris
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: did win this conference last year, but I think I
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: lead to Robert Morris in this one where I just
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: leave the game alone. Of course I am leaving it alone,
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: but lean Robert Morris here. IPFW up from two to
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: two and a half though with jus so some early
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: movement on IPFW, but I do not agree with that. Okay,
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: s he'sc network. At one pm, we have LSU in
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: South Carolina. This is this has turned into a pretty
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: ugly one man. LSU looked good out of conference beinus
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: conference plays started, they have been really bad. They're on
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: a three game losing streak here. They just got annihilated
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: at home by Mississippi State. And I'm pretty sure LSU
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: was like a seven and a half point favorite in
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: that game, but they were coming off big games against
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: Florida and Arkansas, and they played pretty close against Arkansas,
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: so I think they were coming off kind of a
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: hangover or they were in a hangover spot coming up
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: that game against Arkansas. But when you lose horribly to
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: a team it's not even good Mississippi State, I think
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: you're gonna more often than not probably bounce back from that.
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: It is a third road game in four games, which
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: I don't exactly love, and they do have Georgia and
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: then revenge against Arkansas and Deck, so there is still
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: the Warrior. Maybe they don't take South Carolina totally seriously,
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: but they probably should because South Carolina already beat LSU
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: at LSU, so this is actually a road revenge angle
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: for LSU as well, and coming off an ugly loss
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: as a big favorite, so things do line up for
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: LSU in this game looking at South Carolina, though, I
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: don't think South Carolina's gonna overlook this game either though.
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: I mean, they just lost ninety five to forty eight
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: to Florida. I know Florida is good, but come on, man,
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: you lose ninety five to forty eight, you lose by
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: almost fifty on your home floor to end you buddy,
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: I think you will show up in your next game.
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: So that's the hesitation I have with this. I like
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: LSU in the game. I like how it sets up
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: for LSU, but they did drop from three to two here,
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: so the line movement came in or early on South Carolina.
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: I kind of lean LSU in the game because I
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: think it is kind of a heavier bounce back spot
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: for them based on the fact that they just lost
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: as a huge favorite and it's road revenge for them,
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: so I kind of lean that way, especially because they
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: lost as a huge favorite at home in the first game.
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: I think so Lean and LSU, but not on my
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: Card or anything like that. Mason On I already covered
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: like basically the only song that I think I can cover.
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: Their songs are like impossible to cover. I mean they're
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: like progressive metal, like both most of them are impossible
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: to translate to you, like it's not even close. Like
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: I can't even find the chords for any one of
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: those songs. That's not like one of the more simple ones.
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: I have a cover of Show Yourself. I think it's
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: out there. It's on YouTube. I'm pretty sure that's the
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: only one I could really do, though, and it's one
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: of their lamest songs, so I don't know. I'm sure
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: you can find it on YouTube. They lied last week,
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: Like a lot of the celt didn't get anything last week.
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: Some did, but I know, like areas in like Kentucky,
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: Tennessee didn't really get hit that hard. They didn't lie.
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: Up here. We got like twenty inches of snow last
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: weekend up here, and we're looking like we might get
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: like another half foot, although in New England a half
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: foot is like nothing. Twenty inches is kind of just
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: like eh. I don't know, like it happens once a
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: little while up here. Texas A and M at Georgia.
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: This is an interesting one because Texas A and M
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: is in first place in the SEC. Still I don't
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: know how, because they're not really as good as that.
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: Overall records between these two teams look similar, but Texas
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: A and M won loss in conference so far, so
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: that makes it so maybe a little bit weird that
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: Georgia is the favorite here although they are at home.
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: Georgia was ranked at one point here, so the osbagers
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: are telling you the teams are close to about even
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: power ratings wise. For the situation, Texas A and M
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: easy win, easy couple of wins that they're coming off
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: of against Mississippi State and South Carolina. Don't really see
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: them overlooking Georgia here, although they do have Alabama next.
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: But I don't know if they're gonna overlook a Georgia team.
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: It's playing pretty well. Alabama is barely ahead of Georgia
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: and the standing, so I don't know too Alabama does
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: have more name recognition though. Georgia coming off two straight losses.
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: They are coming off a pretty tough game though against Tennessee,
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: so that was a more difficult game for Georgia against Tennessee.
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, man, this game is a difficult read.
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: Georgia is sitting at three and a half point favorite.
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: It looks like the line is ticked down a little
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: bit on them, and I think I kind of agree,
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: even though I think Texas A and M is not
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: the best team in the SEC by any means. Think
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: guy would probably lean towards taking the points to Texas
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: A and M. The over probably makes sense in this
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: game too. The total is a very high one to
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: seventy three, and that's because both these teams play really fast,
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: especially Georgia, so you're probably looking at a very high
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: scoring game in that one. Just you know, for what
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: that's worth of Virginia at Boston College, Number seventeen, Virginia.
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: This is on the CW network. Virginia just had a
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: close call against Notre Dame. Man, but you can kind
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: of see why because Virginia is coming off playing Louisville
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: SMU and then lost a close one, even though they
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: were a favorite, they lost a big game to North
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: Carolina ended along win stream for them, So I think
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: Virginia was kind of hung over in that Notre Dame game,
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: and it was a third road game in four games,
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: so it was not an easy spot for Virginia. Now
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: they're playing a fourth road game in five games, though,
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: so that still doesn't make it easy. And the fact
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: that the Notre Dame game did go to doubble overtime
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: the other night, that does mean Virginia has had to
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: play more basketball. So even though it was a close call,
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: and I usually liked teams to bounce back, like when
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: teams play poorly as a favorite and they just escape
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: like Virginia did against Notre Dame, I usually liked them
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: to play better in the next game. But because it
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: went into double overtime because of all the travel they're
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: doing here might not be the greatest spot. And I
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: don't know if I want to lay double digits with
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: a slowdown team like Virginia on the road either. Although
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: BC is definitely a bad team, there's a reason why
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: they were double digit dog here. BC did just lose
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: on the road to Notre Dame and I think BC
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: was actually a pretty big underdog in this one. Yeah,
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: they were seven and a half point dogs, and they
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: actually played fairly well against Notre Dame, only lost by four,
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: came close to winning that one. So now that BC
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: is coming up a big performance themselves, I do think
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: the leen has to kind of be Virginia in this one,
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: just because of what these teams just did. You have
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: a team that was a favorite that escaped versus a
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: team that was an underdog and almost pulled off the upset.
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: Kind of the classic handicap there has been leaning Virginia,
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: but the travel spot I think is better for BC.
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: And yeah, I mean that's a I guess that's uh.
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: And the worry is that, of course BC will show
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: up with a team like Virginia coming into their place.
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: You're not gonna overlook a ranked team like Virginia coming in,
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: So that's the other concern there. And then of course,
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: as I already mentioned, Virginia being a slow down team
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: is a concern as well. Totals at one thirty nine
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: and a half, so it's a fairly low total. Virginia
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: dropped from thirteen and a half to thirteen, but I
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: still think I would probably lean towards laying it in
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: that one. Don't love it though, just an opinion on
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: that one. Twenty inches yet would destroy the entire state
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: of North Carolina. All Right, we have the Battle of Arizona,
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: Part two, number one, Arizona at Arizona State on TNT.
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: Interesting that this game is in the afternoon, I'm used
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: to Arizona games being later in the day. Arizona's still undefeated.
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: We're down to just Arizona and Miami Ohio as the
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: undefeated remaining teams here. Arizona is coming off a big
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: win though over BYU. Although Arizona won the game by
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: more than it looks like. BYU made a like really crazy,
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: very late comeback where I think Arizona just kind of
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: took their foot off the gas and then BYU made
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: it real close. At the end, Arizona pretty much had
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: them put away, but that's still a big win on
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: the road against a ranked BYU team. Now, Arizona's got
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: Arizona State, but maybe Arizona will take them seriously because
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: Arizona State played them to within seven at Arizona and
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: Arizona was like a twenty something point favorite in that game.
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: So Arizona might take them seriously for that reason. They
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: do have Oklahoma State and then Kansas up next, so
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't even really know they're gonna look
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: ahead to Oklahoma State. The Oklahoma State just hasn't been
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: that good in conference. But I think at the very
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: least you could would make the argument it's a letdown
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: spot for Arizona here Arizona State. You know they're gonna
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: get up for Arizona. They always do. They're coming off
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: a loss at UCF, though that was a kind of
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: a tough spot, have a tough travel spot at least
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: to have to go out to UCF there. They played
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: pretty well in that game and almost pulled off the upset.
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: Now they're back home again. I don't really think they're
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook Arizona though. So this is not an easy
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: handicap from a side perspective either. But I think the
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: main part of it is still that Arizona's coming off
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: a huge win over BYU, so I would probably still
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: need to taking the points of Arizona State, even though
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: they did cover the other game against Arizona. Arizona's down
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: from fifteen to fourteen. But again, you do have it
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: going for you that Arizona State pretty much always gets
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: up to play their big brother, especially when there's a
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: huge gap between the two teams like there is this year.
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: So those are my thoughts on that one lean towards
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: taking the points of Arizona State North Carolina. I forget
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: he's on in the chat yet right number sixteen North
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: Carolina at Georgia Tack where he has talked about how
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: North Carolina doesn't play that well at Georgia Tech. This
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: is two o'clock PM ACC Network North Carolina. As he
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: did mention, they've been off for a week, so they've
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: been sitting on this pretty nice upset win over Virginia
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: for a week. I don't love that. And they went
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: into that break on a two game win streak, so
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: I think that week off can kind of function as
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: a bye and can kind of disrupt your momentum. So
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: I don't like that. Man. As far as North Carolina
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: haven't been off for a week and coming up a
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: big game like that, that worries me a little bit.
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: Now they're playing a fourth road game in five games, too,
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: so that is a bit worrisome. If they had Duke next,
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: it would be pretty much an automatic play on Georgia
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: Tack here as a sandwich spot. But unfortunately North Carolina
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: does play Syracuse next and they're not that good, but
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: probably they're gonna at least attract more of your attention
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: than Georgia Tack will Georgia Tech coming into the game
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: off of good performance though Georgia Tech went to Virginia
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: Tech as I mentioned, and they almost pulled off the
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: upset as a pretty big underdog there at Virginia Tech.
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: So I worry about Georgia Tech as a side for
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: that reason, although they're not going to overlook North Carolina,
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: so I do think the spot is worse for North
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: Carolina for all those reasons, so I would lean to
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech. Here. Looks like the line has moved up
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: on North Carolina, though at least early we don't have
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: any of the market reads yet tho, which is why
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: I do the final market read in the morning North
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: Carolina from nine and a half to ten and a
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: half here. So the line has moved on the North
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: Carolina side, but I lean towards taking the points in
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: that one. SMU at number twenty Louisville SMU is coming
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: off a pretty bad game where they were like a
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: twelve point favorite, I think against Florida State and they
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: almost lost the game. So I think SMU might show
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: up with more focus here. Of course, they should be
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: focused for a game against Louisville because Louisville is one
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: of the best teams the conference, so they might have
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: been looking ahead already when they played that game against
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: Florida State, and maybe that's why they didn't play that well.
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: In that game. They cut Florida State in a bad spot.
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: For Florida State though off upsetting Miami, So I don't know.
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know what happened to SMU in that one.
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: But now they are coming off a game where they
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: almost lost as a huge favorite, so I think they're
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: gonna show up with a better performance here against Louisville.
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: But Louisville's gonna show up as well. Louisville is coming
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: off that embarrassing performance against Duke, losing by thirty one.
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, nobody wants to lose by thirty one, so
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: I expect Louisville to show up in this game as well.
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: So that is the problem. Louisville's up from an eight
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite to a nine and a
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: half point favorite. You know, the oddsmakers are kind of
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: telling you something here with Louisville being that big of
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: a favorite, Like the public might come in and think, oh,
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: these teams have similar records, like how is SMU getting
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: this many points, So even though SMU could be in
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: the better bounced back because they're coming out that game
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: where they almost loss, is a big favorite, I kind
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: of lean towards Louisville here. Louisville's a high variance team though,
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: so they're hard to predict because they take a ton
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: of three pointers. So it's like they're either are gonna
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: blow out teams or they're gonna get blown out, so
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: we'll see. But for me, yeah, I would slightly lead
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: towards Louisville. I think the public might actually maybe maybe
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: come in on this SMU side here thinking that the
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: line looks way too big. So those are kind of
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: my thoughts on that. The Tarios, I'm not a huge
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: fan of them. I prefer them to Duke though, definitely
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: not a fan of Duke at all. And I liked
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: Michael jordan Man back in the day and he went
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: to UNC, so at least there's that I don't know.
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: Duke just seems like they're like the They're the elitist
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: school that's down there. Man. I prefer NC State over
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: both of them, though, obviously, But yeah, I don't know.
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: Do is kind of like the college where all the
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: like Northeast liberals, they all go down and they go
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: to Duke, you know what I mean? I think North
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: Carolina is a more like actual southern school. All right, Colgate,
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: don't tell that. Don't tell the Duke fans. Colgate like
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: Coal Coal Colgate, Colgate. As I said, they're coming up
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: that bad performance, so they almost lost to holy Cross.
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: Now they're playing Lehigh. They did lose to Lehigh at home,
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: by the way, so there are definitely some reasons why
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: Colgate should show up focused in this one. Having lost
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: at home, is presumably a pretty big favorite to Lehigh.
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: A little bit of road revenge here for Colgate. Plus
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: they're coming off kind of a weak performance against a
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: pretty bad holy Cross team at home, so I kind
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: of like Colgate in this one. Lehigh did just lose
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: to Army, though that's an ugly loss, so I don't
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: think LEI is gonna overlook Colgate, even though they did
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: already beat them once. I mean, you don't really overlook
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: one of the best teams in the conference and the
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: team it's kind of dominated the conference over the last
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: several years. So I like Colgate in the game, but
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: it doesn't make my card or anything. But the mine
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: has moved on them. They're up from one and a
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: half to three and a half, so it looks like
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: there is agreement with me on the Colgate side, for
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: what it's worth there, all right, Fordham at George Washington
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: here at two pm. Fordham, they barely got us that
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: win against lasal Man. They did not play that well.
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: They covered I think on free throws at the very
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: end of the game. We got a little bit lucky
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: on that one. I thought it was a good spot
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: to fade lsal and to take Fordham there. But the
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: good thing about Fordham here is that at least they
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: did just break a losing streak. They got a win
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: that's not that impressive against LaSalle I think maybe they
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: were looking maybe they were looking ahead to George Washington.
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: Unfortunately for us, well, we still got the wins or whatever.
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: But I think they will show up in this game
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: against George Washington because They're one of the better teams
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: in the conference right now. Fordham just ended a losing streaks.
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: They got some momentum. They just beat a bad locale
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: team and not gonna be overconfident. They didn't play that
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: well in that game. For George Washington, I think this
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: is a huge hangover spot because we saw what they
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: just did. They just went to Saint Louis. Who We
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: saw Saint Louis tonight blow another opponent out, which was
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: who did Saint Louis play tonight? I don't know. They
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: annihilated another team tonight, man, I don't remember who it was.
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: I think it was like a decent team in the
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: conference too, it was Dayton. I'm pretty sure Saint Louis
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: just wrecked them. This Saint Louis team is legit, man.
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: But George Washington, they just went to Saint Louis's big
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: underdogs and they lost to them on a buzzer beat.
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: So I see this being a pretty major hangover for
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: George Washington here. So I think it's just it's kind
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: of a simple handicap. But I think that is the handicap.
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: I like Fordham plus the points just because George Washington
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: had such a close call. Almost pulled off that big
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: upset there. George Washington is down for twelve and a
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: half to twelve. I agree with that move. Fordham would
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: be the play. That one is almost on my card. Hopefully, again,
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: as I always say, hopefully I'm picking the right ones. Man,
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: this one just didn't have I don't know enough components
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: to it, I guess, but I don't know. I do
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: like it. Hold on, let me just take a look
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: here real quick. GW ken bumb does have. GW is
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: one of the unluckiest teams in the country though, in
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: sixty sixth overall, so that is a little bit worrisome.
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: And they play fast and Fordham does play really slow.
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: So Fordham, I know it's easier for the weaker team
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: to slow the game down, but George Washington might be
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: able to throw them out of their element and speed
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: it up a little bit. He does have both teams
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: is being unlucky though, so that's not bad. Yeah, I
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: don't know. I mean, I think the number was a
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: little bit high ken Bum. I think had the number
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: a little bit higher than what this number is too,
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, but yes, I lean towards Fordham.
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: And that one towards the ram, not to be confused
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: with the VCU rams multiple rams in this conference, Duke Lacrosse, Yeah, obviously,
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: I don't. What do you mean? Wait? The North Carolina
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: chicks they're not hot? What are we talking about. I
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: don't think they're as bad as Duke. No way, NC
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: State preferable to both, though, I'm tempted to add ford them, man,
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: I'm very tempted to do it. Hold on, let me
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: just I'm gonna open it in a different window. Let
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: me just let me just make sure. What does ken
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: Bom have this number at for this game? He's got
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: it at thirteen? I don't know, man, George Washington only
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: has Saint Joe's up next though, So yeah, I mean
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: it's not a big look ahead for them because they
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: have Saint Joe's up next. But that was such a
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: brutal way for George Washington to lose that game, man,
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: against Saint Louis. Hold On, let me just look at
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: the flow real quick in the game. Yeah, George Washington was, man,
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: I mean they had a huge lead in this game.
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: Do they had Saint Louis on the ropes the whole time?
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: You know what? Let's do it. Let's elevate it to
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: a play seven plays to a fourdham plus the twelve.
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: That's my second play of the day. Man. Uh yeah,
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: hopefully they can get it done for us. I don't
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: know if the line's actually gonna remain that way, but
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: we'll see what the lions are, you know, tomorrow morning. Like,
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know if there's that much a rush to
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: get on most of these overnight. Some of them will move,
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: but four of them plus twelve, there you go. We're
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. We're gonna be on the rams and
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: hope that they could slow the game down enough in
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: this one. The total's not high, so that's goods in
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: the one forties. So I think George Washington actually isn't
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: a very good offensive team, even though they do play fast.
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, no they are. That's bizarre. They are a
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: better offensive in the defensive team. So I don't know
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: what the deal is. Total very very low though interesting. Okay,
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: Ohio State at Wisconsin on Fox at two pm. Interesting game,
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: big game. I think both teams will show up for it.
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: I think Ohio State might need the game a little
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: bit more and they're gonna be the underdogs, So when
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get focused underdog that's looking for something to
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: try to pad their resume, because they're kind of a
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: bubble team right now. Is Wisconsin's more solidly in the
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: tournament right now, maybe Ohio State will be the way
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: to look here. Ohio State just barely got by a
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: very very ugly Penn State team that's been awful in conference.
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: Ohio State barely got by them, and I think you
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: can kind of see why Ohio State covered against Michigan
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: the game before that. They had this Wisconsin game deck.
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: I think they did not take Penn State seriously at all,
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: and they didn't play well, only winning by six. So
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: I think you will get an effort here out of
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: Ohio State. O Wisconsin is coming off kind of a
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: lackluster game too though at home against Minnesota as a
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: pretty big favorite. They almost lost the game, So it
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: should be a focused spot for both teams here. I
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: will slightly lean towards Ohio State, though Wisconsin is moving
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: up though up to four with juice, but I do
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: think I slightly lean towards Ohio State. Like I said,
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: even though they are having to travel here, I think
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: as the dog that kind of just needs the win
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: just a little bit more for the tournament resume. I
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: think that's the way I would lean in there, but
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: I don't have a strong opinion at all in that one.
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: All right, Radford at Presbyterian, this one, Presbyterian's coming up
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: a huge performance against high Point where they almost won
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: at high Point, they only lost by three. That's a
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: huge performance from Presbyterian. Man, although if you look at
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: the game flow, I mean, I don't know it says
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: percentage wise they were not a high percentage to win
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: this game, but the game was, I mean even towards
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: the end, but the game was close. They were within
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: three points in the final minute of that game, so
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: it definitely felt close. Now they're coming up of that now,
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: I don't really think they're gonna overlook Radford though, as
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: they already lost to Radford on the road by almost
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: twenty points. So coming back home, I think if they can,
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: they should still get up for this game. So there
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: shouldn't be like an emotional like let down to a
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: huge degree, but a huge degree excuse me, it maybe
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: a physical letdown for sure. I mean that was a
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: huge game against high Point, no question about it. How
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: big underdogs were they in this game? Fourteen and a half?
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: So again a huge underdog like that. Yeah, I think
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: it could be a bit of a hangover spot here, man,
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: as far as Radford is concerned. Radford did just beat
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: Charleston's Southern. The problem with the Radford side here as
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: they're playing a third road game in four games, and
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: they got a revenge game against Winthrop on deck and
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: then high Point right after that. So they're playing the
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: up two teams in the conference in the next two games,
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: and those are both in season revenge games too. So
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: that is the warrior with Radford, as they might overlook
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: Presbyterian and look ahead because they already smashed Presbyterian already
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: some or earlier this year. I mean, so that is
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: the problem there, Aileen Radford, because I think Presbyterian, I
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: mean just that was a crazy game for them, but
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: the money is coming on Presbyterian on the Blue Hose.
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: They're up from two to three here with juice. But
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: I slightly leaned towards Radford in that one. Towards yeah,
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: the Highlanders. That's the Highlanders against the Blue Hose. That's
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: just wild, man, Like both teams are like Scottish references.
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: I don't know Yukon women versus Xavier, I didn't see it. Well,
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: that's not what the books are. The books set in
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: the line of fifty nine and a half, you come
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: one by fifty eight. The book's aim is to they're
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: not trying to predict the score. They're trying to split
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: the action. So that's what they're trying to do. But
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: I do think that the sports are just rigged because
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: I think certain people get their money involved in the
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: game and then the game just gets rigged for a
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: certain outcome. So I think that is true, but it's not. Yeah,
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: it's not the books setting a perfect line. Again, like
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: the books, Yeah, they're trying to split the action. That's
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: what they're trying to do. Just they're not saying this
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: team is gonna win by this match, although it is
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: one of the better like indicators of who should win
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: the game sort of and by how much. But yeah,
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: I mean their goal is to split the action, like,
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: so they're gonna have to like they might think that
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: like Duke is gonna win by ten points, that they
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: have to put the line out of twelve because they
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: know the public is gonna be heavy on the duke side,
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: so they're trying to induce action on the other side
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: to even it out so that the books make money
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: either way. But I think there are certain people that
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: have their money involved in the game and then the
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: game gets rigged. No, it is not. This is college basketball.
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: That is not the biggest spread in college basketball, even
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: this season. It's not. If you're not familiar with women's
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: college basketball. No, there is no parody in women's college basketball.
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: Like Yukon has probably been a sixty plus point favorite
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: multiple times this year already, I would guess that's women's basketball.
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: It's the way that it is. There is absolutely zero parody.
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: But I've definitely seen like lines like of like sixty
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: four in women's basketball already this year. But I don't
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: do any anything with women's basketball. And then I do
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: fill out a tournament bracket. But that's it, alright. Where
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: was I did? I want to talk about Ohio and Buffalo?
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I forget Ohio. I mean they just
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: lost to Akron and Kent State. Those are both big
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: games for Ohio, but they weren't close. So now they're
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: having a second straight road game here going to Buffalo,
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: Ohio already beat Buffalo by the way at home, so
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: it is still possible they kind of overlook Buffalo here.
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: Ohio is still coming off of those big rivalry games
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: against Akron in Kent State, the Ohio rivalry games here,
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: Buffalo gonna be probably in revenge mode. Hero though I
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: don't think Buffalo's as good as their overall record looks.
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: As I was saying, they faced a really weak out
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: of conference schedule, so they haven't been playing very well
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: in the MAC. But they did just break a long
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: losing streak, and they lost to most of the good
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: teams in the MAC during that losing streak, So like
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: Kent Ohio, Miami, Ohio, Akron, yeah, so Ohio twice. Excuse yeah,
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: Kent Ohio, yeah, Akron in Miami, Ohio. Yes. So now
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: that they did get a win, that will break the
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: losing streak for Buffalo. But this was an upset. I'm
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: pretty sure I had Powling Green. Yeah, it was a
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: seven and a half point upset. So that's kind of
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: a problem. I don't love playing on teams that are
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: coming off a huge upset like that. But they did
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: break that losing momentum, so at least there is that
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: coming into this game. It is a little bit of
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: a revenge spot. But the other problem with it is
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: it's also kind of a sandwich spot because they have
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio on deck and that's a huge game as well,
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: and it's a little bit of revenge. Buffalo played them
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: really well on the road, So this is a really
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: tough handicap. Like, it is revenge on the side of
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: Buffalo here, but it is also a sandwich spot. So
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: all that being said, I think I probably have to
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: lean to Ohio in that one, even though they you
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: don't want to just blindly play revenge, man, And I
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: think the sandwich spot that Buffalo is in makes it
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: a bit worse for them. Buffalo is down for four
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: and a half to three here on the line money
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: coming in towards Ohio. I will agree with that. Those
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: are my thoughts on that one. You don't pay attention
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: to women's Yeah, I neither do. I that's probably a
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: good thing because it's it's completely boring basketball man. Like again,
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: there's just no parody like the like absolute top teams,
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: they can kind of compete against each other, but yeah,
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: there's just a steep drop off between the good and
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: the bad and the good, the bad and the ugly,
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: which is that Crooks chick on Iowa State that we
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: keep seeing. It was like the fattest women's basketball player
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: I've ever seen. I don't know how she's one of
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: the best players in the league or in Division one
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: or whatever you want to call it, but whatever. All right,
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: two p We're still in the two pm slate. Oh god,
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: Long Island is at Central Connecticut. I don't know why
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: this game gets a TV slot on ESPNU, but it does.
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: This is in the Northeast Conference. At the very least,
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: there are two teams that are in the top half
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: of the conference. Long Island is definitely the best team
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: in the conference. Long Island just got their revenge against Lemoyne, though.
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: That was a pretty big win over lamoy and Leamoye
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: was one of the team's closest to Long Island in
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: the standings, and again Long Island. Lemoyne was the only
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: team that beat Long Island in conference place so far,
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: so that was a pretty big revenge win for them.
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: They did already beat this Central Connecticut team, although only
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: by six at home, But is it possible they still
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: overlooked them. Maybe. Now Central Connecticut did cover against them
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: by a half point. So sometimes when a team was
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: a huge home favorite in that first conference matchup and
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: they didn't play that well, someis that will focus them
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: in the second game. But in this spot, I don't
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: really know. I think it could be a little bit
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: of a letdown for Long Island and they may very
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: well overlook Central Connecticut. Here. Central Connecticut they just ended
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: a three game losing streak with a win over Wagner,
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: who's a not a good team this year. Pretty unimpressive
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: win there. But now they're back home after they had
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: to play five road games in a span of six games.
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: That's brutal. So Central Connecticut's probably gonna be pretty happy
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: to be back home. And they actually lost last time
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: they were at home to Fairleigh Dickinson. But there are
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: other home games they won in conference against New Aven
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: and Stonehill, so they have been better at home for sure.
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: So I have to probably lead a Central Connecticut in
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: this game. Not a play, but Long Island looks like
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: they took the money early up from two to now
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: almost four. But I would be leading towards taking the
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: points of Central Connecticut in that one loose like it's
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: gonna be kind of an ugly game too, with a
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: total in the one forties. But that would be my
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: opinion in that one. I don't know if I had
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: any thoughts on some of these some of these other
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: games here, man, If you want me to talk about
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: some of these other games, I guess it will I do.
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: I do still have to consult my sheet here. I
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: have an opinion on NCA and t at Drexel, believe
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: it or not, even though these teams are not good
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: in the colonialm NCAT is coming up of pretty big
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: run of games, man, where they beat Hofstra, who I
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: still think is one of the better power rated teams
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: in this conference. Then they beat Thousand, Then they went
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: on the road and they played well again and lost
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: by two to Monmouth. And they were a big underdog
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: in this game against Monmouth nine and a half point dogs,
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: and they took Monmouth to ot. So NCNAT played well
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: in that game. And again I will say, when I'm
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: big underdog, either pulls out the outright upset or they
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: fall just short. I think they can be flat in
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: the next game. And what makes this worse for them
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: here in this one is that they have Charleston up next.
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: So Charleston is of course one of the top teams
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: in this conference, so they have a pretty major look
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: ahead at part of this as well. So I think
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: it's a sandwich spot that they're in here against Drexel.
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: Drexel coming into this game, I believe of some weak performance.
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: Let me see what did they do? They only beat
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: Hampton by seven at home. I'm not a great performance,
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: so it will give the momentum coming into this game.
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: They did actually cover. They're only small favorite in that one.
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: But I like Drexel in this game, and I think
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: the spot sets up nice, nice leap for them and
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: not very well for nc A and T. I think
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: n C A T is in a sandwich spot, so
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: Drexel's staying at home here with a little bit of momentum. Uh,
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 1: I lean Drexel in this one. They did drop from
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: eight to seven and a half, although not really a
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: huge move there. Total is low in the one thirties.
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: But I would lay it with Drexel if I was
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: gonna play the game. Uh, n C aat not a
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: very good team. Like again, they're a one man show.
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: That Lewis guy. Whatever, his name is. If you stop him,
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: you pretty much stop their entire team, although he is
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: a very good player. No, she does Crooks. She she
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: has like some of the best She has like the
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: best stats. She's the best player in women's Division one
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: basketball right now. She has like the best statistics out
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: of all of Division one. I'm not I'm not kidding.
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know how that's the case, uh, but it is.
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Maybe like just because the other women
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: can't get closer or whatever, she's able to box them
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: all out and get all these rebounds and just put
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: the ball in really close to the basket. Hampton at thousand,
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: I actually have an opinion on this game too. I
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: don't like the spot for thousand. Thousand was on a
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: nice win streak, and I know we've I've given up
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: some opinions on thousand because I do think they're a
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: little bit underrated, just because their defense is actually fairly good,
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: but they're not good at scoring. And in this game,
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: they're gonna have to score to cover it because they're
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: a big favorite here. But they're coming up a big
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: game against UNC Wilmington Man tousand, there were only one
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: they're actually one that pay favorite in the game. Actually,
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: so it was a very strange line in this one
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: where Tusand was actually favored against the team with the
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: way better record, and I pointed that out when the
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: game happened. I liked thousand in the game, but they
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: didn't win. They lost my nine, but it was a
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: close game. Down the stretch, Man, A thousand is coming
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: up almost beating the top team, you know, the top
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: team in the conference record wise. I apologize for all
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: this acid reflux that I have. Man, I don't know
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: what to do about it. I'm not to do it.
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: I'm not even eating like garbage food today or whatever.
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: Like all I've had is like I do the Factor.
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 1: They should sponsor me, man, Factor, because what do you expect.
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: I'm a single guy that does like sports, gambling and podcasting.
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: Like I just I want some like good quality food
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: that I can just throw in the microwave, you know
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: what I mean. I eat it quick and it doesn't
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: taste bad. So yeah, I do the Factor. That's all
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: I've eaten today, A couple of those. So I don't know. Thousand, yeah,
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: coming up a huge game and they got Hofstra on deck. Man,
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: So I think this is a Sandwich spot and they
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: did lose at home to Thousand already, so it is
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: gonna be a revenge game against Hofstra a Hofstra. The
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: one of my worries is that there is the potential
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: that they don't care as much about that Hostra game,
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: because even though Hofstra is good power ratings wise in
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: this conference, they've dropped way down to the standings, so
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: that worries me a little bit. And the other thing
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: that worries me is that Tousand actually lost at Hampton already,
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: so this is technically a little bit of a revenge
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: game for teusand but I still think it's gonna be
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: really difficult for them to bounce back from that UNC
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: Wilmington game. For Hampton, Hampton just lost that game at Drexel.
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: Like I said, it wasn't a good performance for them,
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: So I think they will show up at least in
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: this next game. And you can kind of see what
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: happened in that game. Hampton was coming off a close
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: game against UNC Wilmington prior to that themselves, so I
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: think they were kind of hung over after that game.
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: So yeah, all that being said, I do like Hampton
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: in this game. The line moved up from a thousand
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: at seven and a half to eight and a half.
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: But it would be for me Hampton plus the points
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: or stay away from that one. I did not get
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: Taco Bell today. I've had them a couple of times recently. Man.
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: It's like, if they bring out like new menu items
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: that I'm interested in, I'll get them. But I already
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: did it. I got the chicken nuggets, you know, although
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: I should give them a chance to redeem themselves because
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: they totally screw them up with bad fry or oil
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: as I mentioned, So maybe I should get the nuggets
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: one more time, let them redeem themselves. When they first
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: brought them out, they were good, so I have had
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: good chicken nuggets from them as well. Their chicken strips
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: aren't as good as the nuggets though, for whatever reason.
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: But then I already had like the other the big
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: items that they have out right now are the case
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: of Rito and the volcano case of Rita, and I've
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: already had those in this run that they have. So
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: that's what I do Makecause Taco Bell it's cheap, man.
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 1: And if you want these specific, like crazy menu items
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: that are only out for a limited time, just fuck it, man,
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: just load up, just order like half of them, meet
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: them in one sitting, and then go back one more time,
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: you know, a week later, and do it again with
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: the other ones. She looks like shrack. Yeah, no, no,
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: I'm not allergic to anything. Man. Well, I am allergic
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: to some things, but not food. I have zero food allergies.
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: I expose myself to every type of food, so I
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: avoid the allergies that way. I think if I was
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: allergic to something, it would be uh, I'd be like
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: breaking out in hives or something. I don't know. I
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: think it's just I think it's part of it is
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: because I keep talking, because I keep chugging water. I
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, I might have just take a break.
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: Like halfway through here, were almost halfway through? Actually, how
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: close are we to halfway through? I don't even know, dude.
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: Oh man, I mean this it's gonna be like an
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: almost three hour show again here trying to get through
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: all this. Let me see what else do I have here?
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: All right, Old Dominion at Texas State, this game I
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: considered as well, Old Dominion. I do not like to
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: spot they're in at all. They're coming off two huge
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: games against Troy, who's at the top of the unbelotier
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: and Old Dominion was a pretty big underdog in that one,
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: and they almost pulled off the upset against Troy, and
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: then they bounced right back from that and they beat
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: Arkansas State on the road. Now, my concern, I guess
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: is that maybe that doesn't feel like a big win
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: to them because Arkansas State's in the middle of the standings.
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: But that was a big win. Arkansas State was a
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: big favorite in that one, and they are one of
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: the better teams in the Sun Belt. That was a
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: nine and a half ten point upset for Old Dominion there.
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: Now they're playing a look at this schedule, man, what
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: is the schedule. They're playing a sixth road game in
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: the last seven games. I mean, that's just completely insane,
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: Like they might just have nothing left at this point
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: with all this travel. So I like Texas State in
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: this one. Texas State coming off beating Marshall, that was
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: a decent win. I think that was actually an upset.
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: So that's you know, I have a little bit of
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: a concern about that because I don't know Marshall is
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: at least above them in the standings. But staying at home.
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: They ended a lost street there. This game's got to
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: be Texas State or pass. So those are my feelings
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: on that one. Texas State has moved up a little
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: bit from a one point favorite to one with juice.
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: The oddsmakers are telling you that old Dominion is still
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: the better team here, but they're in a really really
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: bad spot. So I like Texas State in that one.
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: It is not on my card, but yeah, that's an
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: opinion there. ESPN two, we have the basketball edition of
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: the Red River Shootout. I'll still call it the shootout
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: Texas at Oklahoma. I think the spot might set up
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: a little bit worse for Texas because they've had a
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: nice run of games recently. Man, they had a big
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: look at all these big games they played. They beat
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: Alabama on the road, they beat Vandy, they played close
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: against Texas A and M. But though Texas actually lost
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: as a favorite in that game. They played close at Kentucky,
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: they beat Georgia handily, and then they came close to
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: Auburn in the last game in Auburn was like a
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: six and a half point favorite there. Texas just came
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: in within the number there to cover that spread. Now
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: they're playing a third road game of four games, another
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: road game here, it's possibly they kind of run out
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: a little run out of a little bit of gas here. Man,
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: with that run of games. That's the worry that I
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: would have with Texas here. They're definitely the better team.
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: Texas is a lot better than the record looks ken
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: bam As them is one of the unluckiest teams in
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: the country. So Texas is way better than the record looks.
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma is not that good, but Oklahoma is coming off
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: a difficult game, man. I mean, they almost pulled off
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: the home upset against Arkansas. They had Arkansas pretty much
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: on the ropes. Man, Oklahoma probably should have won that game,
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: and then they wound up losing by four. So that's
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: kind of a brutal loss. So you know, all that
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: being said, I actually probably am gonna have to lean
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: towards Texas here just because that Oklahoma lost I think
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: was a little bit more brutal and Texas just kind
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: of snuck in in the back door there against an
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: Auburn team that hasn't really been doing that well this year,
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: whereas Oklahoma just almost pulled off the upset of John
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: Calipari's Arkansas team man, even though they were only about
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: a two point underdog. I think that just feels like
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 1: a bigger game. You know, Oklahoma did move up from
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: a pick him to a one point favorite, but I
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: think I lean towards Texas. I think the spot's a
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: little bit worse for Oklahoma. Texas is the better team,
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: which is what the osmagers are telling you as well,
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: but I think it's a little bit considerable. Again, Ken
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: Bom has I'm very unlucky, so they've underperformed quite a bit.
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: Texas is lopsided though they're very good offensively, and they're
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: not that good defensively, so we'll see what happens. But
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: he does have them like thirty ranking spots higher than
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma almost so, and Oklahoma is not very good defensively either.
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm that's I don't really have much else
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: to say about that, but yeah, that's that's that game,
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: all right. Let me see, I'm looking at what I
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: have for my notes here. Man Lipscomb at North Florida,
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: I mean Lipscomb. They're coming up an ugly loss to Jacksonville. Man,
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: so it's possible they bounce back from that, But the
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: problem is Lipscomb did lose a five game win streak there,
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: and sometimes when you lose a win streak, it'll hang
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: you over to the next game. And the other problems
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: here are that they already beat North Florida, which is
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: who they're playing now, although they did not cover, so
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: we have conflicting angles here as well. Lipscomb were eighteen
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorites last time they played in
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: North Florida at home, and North Florida did cover. So sometimes,
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: as I talk about, when a team is the better
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: team and they were a home team and they didn't cover,
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: sometimes they will actually show up focus for the next
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: game against somebody. In this case, I just don't see it. Man.
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: Even though Lipscomb did just take an ugly loss, I
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: worry that that ended their momentum and the maybe bigger
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: Warriors that they have a huge game against Austin p
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: on deck and that's pretty much gonna determined first place
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: in the conference. So that is a big game, man.
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: Even though Lipscomb did beat Austin p once already, they're
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: behind Austin being the standings, so that's gonna be a
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: big game for them. So I worry about that as
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: I worry about it being a bit of a look
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: ahead spot for North Florida. THEYD you just lose at
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: home to Stetson, not a great win there. Of course,
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: North Florida is coming off that ridiculous overtime game, high
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: scoring game against Bellerman the game before that, so it
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: was kind of a bad spot for them. Just maybe
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: they just were fatigued after that, maybe they were looking
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: ahead to Lipscomb. I would have to lean towards North
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: Florida on this one if I was gonna play it.
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: Lipscomb did drop from twelve to eleven and a half
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: here on the line. It is a high total, though,
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: I think both teams kind of like to go fast.
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: So just do with that information what you want to.
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: Man Ken Bump's luck index, I don't know exactly how
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: he calculates it, but the basically it's it's telling you
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: the team it's more unlucky, means that they've been like
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: on the wrong side of like coin flip like results.
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: Basically they've lost like a lot of close games, so
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: it's like like the variance is basically not gone in
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: their favor, so they're they're better than they look, if
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: that makes sense. The team it's very lucky looks better
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: than they actually are. On the other hand, I don't
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: know if that makes sense, but like usually like that
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: team it's really lucky probably is one in like misleading
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: fashion a lot they've probably won, like a lot of
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: close results that could have gone either way. The team
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: it's unlucky probably's lost a lot of close games that
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: could have gone either way, something like that, If that
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: makes sense. That part of it isn't situational like that.
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: Part of it is like a numbers thing. So I
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: just add that as part of the handicap. I combine
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: the situational and the numbers with college basketball, where I
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: don't really do that in the other sports except baseball,
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: although baseball I do more numbers than anything else because
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: that's just the type of sport that it is. A
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: USA network for some reason has Saint Jose and LaSalle.
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: I don't know who's gonna want to watch this game,
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: except for maybe Jeffrey. It is a Philadelphia rivalry, But
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: these are bad teams. Man, you want to talk about luck,
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: Saint Jose is probably pretty high in the luck index.
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: Let's find them. Yeah, they're thirty third in luck. I
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: knew it, man. The Saint Joe's team, they're nowhere near
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: as good as their record looks. They've won a lot
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 1: of close games, as you can see here, winning by two,
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: by one, by you know whatever. Like in conference play,
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: they've had all these close games, winning by two, by four,
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: seven on, you know whatever. So Saint Jose is definitely
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: a little bit overrated. I think LASAL probably does consider
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: themselves to be a little brother in the city of Philadelphia. Here.
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: They play again later in the season, I'm pretty sure. Yeah,
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: the last game of the season, so they haven't played yet.
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: Saint Jose is coming up beating Loyal Chicago, which is whatever.
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: Everybody beats Loyal in Chicago, the Loyal in Chicago. I
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: had the game on for a little while. They were
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: out to a huge lead tonight early on against VCU,
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: But of course VCU still won the game. They didn't cover,
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: but they won by a decent margin. Loyal Chicago just
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: hard times, man, But that's what Saint jos is coming
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: off of. So it's not really a horrible game. But
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: they do have the Georgia's up next, George Washington, George Mason,
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: so it is possible maybe they're gonna look ahead here
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: because Lasal is just not having a great season. Obviously
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: Lasal's coming up that pretty ugly loss at Fordham. I
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: kind of prefer Lasal in this one. I mean, I
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: don't really have a strong opinion on this one. Saint
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: Jose has gone up from a one point verit to
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: a two point favorite, but I would probably take the
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: points with the sal in this one. I think the
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: game probably means a little bit more to them, as
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: like the little Brother sort of in the situation sets
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: up maybe a little bit better for them, So that
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: would be my opinion there, Yes, sir, as I belch
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: into the microphone. Ah, man, I hate it, man Ah,
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I feel like I'm being a dick
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: tonight too, But I don't know. High Point, as I
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: pointed out, they're coming off that really close call against Presbyterians,
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: so as I tend to mention when a team was
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: a huge favor and they almost lost, they tend to
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: play better. These uniforms are pretty cool, by the way,
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: high Point going with these purple uniforms there, the purple,
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: the purple Panthers. No, I don't know. Usually they have
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: like kind of a deep purple smoke on the water,
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: but I don't know they were doing these this light
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: purple thing in this one. I don't know. I thought
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 1: that was kind of cool, real men were in purple man,
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: but high Point I don't know that. I guess they
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: didn't feel cool enough because they almost lost the game
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: in a Presbyterian. So maybe they will show up for
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: Longwood here, although I guess the problem with that is
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: that they did already beat long Wood by double digits
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: earlier this season, and they do have Charleston Southern on deck,
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: and Charleston Southern actually gave them more problems they only
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: beat them by two, So I guess maybe there's the
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: warrior that they won't pay attention to long Wood in
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: the look ahead. But Longwood is in fourth in the standings, though,
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: so maybe they will kind of take them seriously, and again,
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: just because they're coming up that bad performance against Presbyterian,
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: who's behind long Would in the standings, Maybe maybe high
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: Point will just show up regardless of who their opponent is.
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: Long Would did just take a loss at USC Upstate.
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: Maybe they were looking ahead to this high Point game,
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. Longwood's not exactly in a bad spot.
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: Obviously they're gonna show up for a game against the
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 1: best team in the conference, high Point. But I think
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: I would probably lay the points with high Point just
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 1: because they are coming up that really close call. They're
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: a ten point favorite here on the road, which you know,
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 1: with the team like high Point, it makes more sense
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: to maybe lay it because they're probably gonna successfully speed
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: the game up, and that's what they do so long.
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: It's not really that slow tempo of a team either,
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: So I don't know not much else about that, but
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: that's that's what I have for that one. Finally, we
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: get to another play that I have. Actually, this is
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: gonna be the third play that I have best bets.
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: We're gonna take Southern Miss in this one against James Madison.
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss plus the one and a half year. Really,
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: this is a fate of James Madison being in a
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: letdown spot is really what we got going on here.
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: I know Southern Miss is slightly above them in the
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: standings right now, but and James Madison is the better team,
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: as the oswigers are telling you, but I think the
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: spot is just really bad for them. They're playing a
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: second straight road game, they just pulled of an upset
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: of Troy. And this is really the whole crux of
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: the handicap. This is a big upset for James Madison.
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: There were nine and a half point underdogs in this game,
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: and Troy was the team that eliminated James Madison from
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: the Sun Belt Conference tournament last year. JM, you had
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: won the conference tournament the prior season, I'm pretty sure,
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: and I think they were. I think they got a
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: bye to like the semifinals last year or something, or
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: maybe the quarterfinals, whatever it was in the tournament last
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 1: year in the Sun Belt and they lost to Troy.
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 1: So this is a huge win for them to go
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: on the road and beat Troy. So I think simply
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: this is a letdown spot for them coming into this
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 1: game against Southern Miss. Maybe the handicap is a little
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: bit too simple, but that's what it is in this one.
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: They unfortunately don't have a bigger game up next. It's
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: just against Old Dominion. But well, the other side of
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: the handicap is that Southern Miss didn't play well in
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: their last game against app State at home. Southern Miss
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: weren't They were not a favorite, though I would like
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: it better if they were a favorite and they did
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: it well. But they're you gotta think they're gonna show
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: up kind of desperate for a win though, because they've
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: lost five straight games. That was the first game coming
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: back home. Although it's not the NBA, so it's not
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: really a bad spot necessarily when you return back home.
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: But they were just coming off I don't know what
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: it was, man just maybe just because of all the
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: travel they had to do. But they've had four straight
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 1: road games prior to that. Now they're settled back in
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: at home, so I think the spot does set up
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: better for them here now. They have been a little
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: bit better at home as well. I think they had
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: one of their losses at homes to Arkansas State. I mean,
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: that's explainabley Arkansas State is a good team, and then
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: their other home losses that weird one. Yeah, I getst
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: app State in the return home. So but again, maybe
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: it's just because of the travel. I don't know. But
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: they've won all their other home games against Louisiana, although
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: they're not very good Louisiana Monroe, I know they're terrible,
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: and then Texas State not really that great either, but
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: they have won all the rest of those home games,
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: so at least there is that Southern Miss is better
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: at home. But yeah, it is a letdown spot, so
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: we're on it. James Madison is up from one to
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: one and a half here. Looking at ken BAM's numbers,
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: I think this might have put me over the edge
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: with it. I'm trying to remember what I was thinking, man,
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: James Madison. They're really bad defensively, almost not even within
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: the top three hundred, so that's not good. They're not
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: exactly a good team. They're a little bit lucky in
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: one twenty seven in the luck Index, and they play slow.
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: As far as Southern Miss. Southern Miss, I believe they
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: are the better defensive team. Is that right? Yes, so
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 1: Southern Miss is worse offensively but better defensively. They don't
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: really play slow. They're more of a mid tempo team.
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: They're kind of middle of the pack luckwise, but they're
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 1: still less lucky than James Madison is. But I think
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: part of it was just that Southern Miss is technically
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 1: the better defense getting points here as well, and they're
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: in the better spot here, so I like that aspect
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: of it too, So we're gonna go with Southern miss
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 1: in that one. It's kind of supposed to be an
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: uglier game to total in the mid one forties. So
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: not that that really matters when it's basically just a
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: pick the winner type of spread, but that's what we're
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: going with there. But again, I think because that upset
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: for James Madison was not only against the top team
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: in the conference, but it was revenge, I think that
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 1: kind of that also put me over the edge for
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: that one. Now, I like Florida Gulf Coast against Jacksonville.
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 1: As I already talked about, Jacksonville just pulled off that
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: upset of Lipscomb, although it was at home, so Jacksonville
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 1: wasn't a huge underdog, but still big game. And when
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 1: you beat Lipscomb, who's been one of the better teams
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: in the A Sun for years, basically on end. They
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: won it last year as well. That was also in
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: season revenge because Jacksonville lost to Lipscomb earlier in the
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: season at Lipscomb in kind of a blowout. So that
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: was a big win for them. Man, And they got
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 1: Queens on deck, and I don't believe they have I
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: don't believe they played queens yet. No, they have excuse me,
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: Austin home to Queens, so that's gonna be a revenge
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: game as well. They lost at home to Queens, and
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 1: Queens is still near the top of the Sandys as
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: well here the Queens Royals. So I think Jacksonville is
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: kind of in a sandwich spot here, man, and I
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: believe they Yeah, they have not played Florida Golf Coast yet,
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 1: they played them again later this year. That's what they're
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 1: playing here. But I think it is a sandwich spot
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: between two of that's op teams in the conference, both
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: being in season revenge games as well. I just don't
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: know if it makes my car just because Jacksonville wasn't
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: a huge dog in that game against Lipscomb Florida Golf
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: Coast excuse mely they're coming off an easy win over
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: not an easy win, but a win over a bad
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 1: North Alabama team. But the fact that it's a third
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: road game in four games, with the other two having
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 1: been Austin p and Lipscomb, that does worry me a
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: little bit that it's a little bit of a tricky
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: like travel spot for Florida Golf Coast, although at least
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 1: this time they're staying in the state of Florida at
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: the very least. So though they're crossing Florida, I think
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: they're going from Fort Myers all the way up to Jacksonville,
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: so that is a bit of a hike there. But yes,
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: I like Florida Gulf Coast. In the game, Jacksonville's flipped
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 1: from a one and a half point dodge a one
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: point favorite. I disagree with that initial move. I think
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: again it's a bad spot for them. I think it's
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot. I think maybe the Numbers guys are
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 1: coming to Jacksonville in this one. I don't know. I
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: think something with Ken Bump didn't really jive for me
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 1: on this one. But I like Florida Gulf Coast and
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 1: that one. If I was gonna play it based on
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 1: the situation and not the Jersey Shore guy, I gotta
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: make that joke every time man at some point during
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: the show. Maybe it should be if somebody gives, you know,
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 1: like hide it in the show, and then the first
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: person that gives me the time stamp from it after
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: the show is over. I don't well, I don't know
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 1: because anybody who's watching it live and might just remember
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 1: it still, I don't know. I could give somebody a
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: prize for it, I don't know. But what do I
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 1: have to give? I don't know. All right, in northern
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 1: Illinois at Miami Ohio, who's ranked twenty fourth in the country,
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 1: and we know that that is not accurate. There's still yeah,
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 1: eighty ninth ac Cordy to Kent Palm eleventh in his
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 1: luck Index. By the way, on they face a pretty
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 1: weak schedule too, So this is Miami Ohio team. Sure,
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: they're probably the second best team in the Max to Akron,
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: but they're nowhere near as good as people think they are. However,
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: I think this is a good spot for them here
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 1: because they just didn't do well against U. Mass. And
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 1: I talked about that spot how I thought U Mass
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: was the right side in that one, and that was correct.
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 1: UMass covered. It wasn't a play or anything, but Miami
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: Ohio was coming up that huge game at Kent State,
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: which is an Ohio rivalry. It was a big game.
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 1: The game went into overtime, they got the win, and
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: then I think they had a bunch of time off
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: so it kind of disrupted their momentum, I think, and
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 1: then they almost lost. They're having all these near los
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 1: like again. They have all these close results, man, these
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: near losses against you know, Akron, Buffalo, Kent State, you Mass.
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: It's crazy. But now that they're coming up that close
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: call is a pretty big favorite against you, Mass. I
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: think they show up with more intensity against Northern Illinois here,
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 1: although I don't love laying points with an overrated team
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 1: like Miami Ohio. And also Miami Ohi. Ohio does play
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 1: Buffalo next again, and Buffalo is one of the teams
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 1: that gave them a scare not that long ago, so
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: they might actually look ahead a little bit to Buffalo
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 1: there for giving them that scare at home. Man. So
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but because Miami Ohio did come up
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: that scare against you, Mass, I think I probably lean
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 1: towards laying the points here. This Northern Illinois team is
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 1: pretty bad as well. I mean, sure they'll try to
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 1: get up for a game against Miami Ohio. They are
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: coming off a twenty point win over another bad team,
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: Western Michigan. But yeah, I mean, if Miami Ohio shows
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: up focus, they should be able to win this game
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 1: pretty easily. Of course, they're a huge favorite, but the
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: initial money has come in on Miami Ohio looks like
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: up from fifteen and a half to seventeen and a half,
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 1: you're with juice. So it does look like the initial
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 1: money has come in that way, and I don't disagree
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: with it. I think it is kind of a refocused
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 1: spot for them. But again, yeah, I don't really want
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 1: anything to deal with it. Mister Pinsey, what's up? Man?
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. I did not talk about Marshall. No,
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: I can Nebraska Illinois. I did not get to that
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 1: game yet. What's up, Nate? Wait? Uh, Nebraska Illinois is
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 1: not No, what that's Sunday, isn't it. I don't know.
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: I don't think Nebraska Illinois is today. Hold on, No,
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: it's not me off man. Yeah, Nebraska Illinois is not
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: on the on the board here. I'm pretty sure it's
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 1: a Sunday game or something, all right, although I can
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: already tell you Illinois is the right side in that game,
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: and it will. There's a decent likelihood it's gonna be
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: on my card. Yeah, Illinois, I can tell you right now,
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 1: because Illinois is coming off that non cover against Washington.
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 1: I took the reason I gave out Washington was because
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: Illinois was going a sandwich spot. I thought they'd be
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to Nebraska. But Nebraska also upset Illinois in Illinois,
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: and Illinois is a huge favorite in that game, so
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: it's a revenge spot for Illinois road reversal revenge. Illinois
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 1: is coming off a bad game against Washington and Nebraska
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: is coming off that monster game against Michigan. So yeah,
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: there's almost no question I'm gonna be on Illinois in
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 1: that one. UNLV, what's up? Man? Thanks for hanging out, Marshall.
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: Did I skip that one? Oh Man? I'm all over
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: the place here now? Too much going on here? Oh man,
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: I scrolled way down. Let me see where's Marshall at?
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 1: Oh I skipped that one. I don't know. This is
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: actually a decent game. Marshall at Arkansas State. I don't know.
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 1: I don't really have much of an opinion on it.
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: Marshall did just lose at Texas State. I think that
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: was kind of an ugly loss. I think they were
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 1: favored in that game. Maybe they were looking ahead to
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 1: Arkansas State. These teams I don't believe have played yet
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 1: this season. They might only play once on the season.
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: For Arkansas State. I do think Arkansas State is better
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 1: than their record looks though, so that's probably gonna be
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 1: what happens with this handicapped Arkansas State is probably the
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: better team here, even though they're below Marshall in the standings.
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 1: Arkansas State, well, Arkansas State is coming out that ugly
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 1: game against Old Dominion that I just talked about too, right,
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: Old Wait wait what was I talking about? Yeah, we're
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 1: oh yeah yeah Old Dominion row right, yeah, Old Dominion
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: pulled off that upset at Arkansas State. Right, So I
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 1: like Texas State, I like fading Old Dominion off of this,
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: But yes, Arkansas State should be in a bounced back
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 1: spot off of this ugly loss as nine and a
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 1: half point ten point favorites or whatever against Old Dominion there.
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: So I think they were looking ahead as well here.
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: Looking at the line here, I don't think the public's
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 1: gonna really want to lay points like this with a
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 1: team that has a slightly worse looking record. Arkansas State
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 1: oswigers are telling you they are the better team. The
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: line is about four and a half here. I would
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 1: lean to Arkansas State in this one. They're up from
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 1: three and a half to four here. It looks like
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be a bit of a highest scoring game.
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 1: I think Arkansas State does play fast as well, So yes,
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 1: I like Arkansas State in that one. Southern Miss. I
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: don't know if it's canceled some of these games. I
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: don't know. Some of these games are probably gonna be
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 1: postponed because of the weather, but probably not a game
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be in Southern Miss though the weather should
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 1: not affect that game. It's at end on Well, I
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 1: don't think I could say any of the sports books.
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 1: My channel is not big enough to get that to
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: get nuked over that though, I don't think. But who knows?
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: All right, SEC Network at three thirty pm Eastern Mississippi
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 1: State at Missouri. Holy shit, we're almost We're closing in
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 1: on two hours here, man, this is insane now. Mississippi State,
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 1: they did just break along losing streak five losses in
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 1: a row. And I talk about on when a team
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: gets a win, sometimes it breaks that losing momentum gives
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 1: them new momentum. But the problem is it wasn't upset.
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State pulled off an upset at LSU. Maybe it
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 1: didn't feel like it was that big of an upset
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 1: because I was use them playing pretty poorly, but they
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 1: were like seven point underdogs in that one. And now
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be a third road game in four
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 1: games from Mississippi State, and they do have Arkansas next,
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 1: although it's not for a week. But there is the
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 1: potential that maybe they're looking ahead a little bit here.
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 1: So I don't love the spot for Mississippi State. Missouri
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 1: they're coming off getting absolutely housed at Alabama. So they're
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 1: coming off a very ugly loss. They almost lost by
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 1: thirty points. I know it was Alabama. They're good, but
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 1: Missouri they might be a bit of a bounce back
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 1: mode here. Back at home. They've been better at home.
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 1: I they have four conference wins, and how many of
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 1: them are at home? Let me see, they beat Auburn
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 1: at home, they beat Oklahoma at home, they beat Florida
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 1: at home, and then they did have one road win
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: in conference at Kentucky. And their only home loss was
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 1: a very close loss to Georgia. So this is a
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 1: Missouri team that has not lost by more than two
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 1: points on their home floor in SEC play. But they're
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 1: gonna be a favorite in this one. They're up from
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 1: five and a half to seven. It looks like some
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 1: of the initial money has come in on that side
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 1: on Missouri, but I don't disagree with it. I think
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State is kind of in a sandwich spot there,
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 1: so I do lean to Missouri in that one as well.
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 1: And you know, if they're gonna if they're gonna speed
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 1: the game way up, it might throw Mississippi State out
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 1: of what they want to do because I think Missouri
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 1: likes to play fast and Mississippi State does not. I
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 1: don't know, I'm wrong about that, dude. I always it
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 1: throws me off when these teams like completely change their
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 1: like style from one season to the next. So my
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 1: my apologies, Missouri's Missouri is actually kind of a slow
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 1: paced team. Never mind, Yes, get every book available to
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 1: you is my recommendation, so you can line shop, all right.
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 1: We got to Norfolk State and Howard on espn U why,
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Espn U has got some real low
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 1: tier games tomorrow, man, nobody, Nobody's gonna want to watch
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 1: these espn U games. They're not gonna have good ratings tomorrow.
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 1: I mean, these are at least two of the better
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 1: ish teams in the MIAC, even though it doesn't look
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 1: like it based on the records, but it is the
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 1: case both teams are coming off horrible losses at home
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 1: to Morgan State. Morgan State is not good at all.
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 1: Norfolk State I think we're like six six and a
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 1: half boy favorites and they lost that game, and it
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 1: was even worse for Howard. I'm pretty sure Howard, I
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 1: think is actually the best team in this conference, believe
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 1: it or not, Power Rainnings wise, I think they were
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 1: double digit favorites in this game against Morgan State and
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 1: they lost a game. Each of these teams just lost
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 1: by one. Yeah, they were fourteen and a half way favorites.
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I think Howard that puts them in
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 1: the bigger bounce back Spider. It looks like they've had
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 1: a little bit of extra rest because they had a
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 1: postponed game against Coppin State. Norfolk State did not have
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 1: a postponement there. Both teams should be in a bounce
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 1: back mode here. Both teams should show up, but Howard
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 1: is the better team here. I think I would probably
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 1: lean towards Howard in this one. They did drop from
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 1: six and a half to five and a half though,
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 1: so it looks like the initial line move did not
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 1: agree with me on that. But I think they're coming
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 1: off the worst of the two losses. Man, But I
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 1: mean laying points of these MEAC teams could get ugly
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 1: totals not that high in the one forties. ESPN two
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 1: at four pm, Baylor is at West Virginia. Baylor on
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 1: a four game losing stream. Man, Baylor has just been
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 1: awful in conference, man, Like they're pretty much their season
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: is over this point. I mean, one conference win, this
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 1: is bad. But when you're having a bad season, I
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 1: mean maybe you're still gonna show up for a game
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 1: like this. You're going to West Virginia, who's having an
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 1: okay season. Baylor coming off another loss. I mean it
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: is a second straight road game, but the trip from
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati to West Virginia is not that big. West Virginia's
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 1: coming up being in Kansas stateough, that's not a big
• 1:46:01
  Speaker 1: win for them either though, so at home, and you
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 1: know they didn't beat them by margin or anything either,
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 1: So I don't even know what I would want to
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: do with this game. West Virginia is up from two
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 1: to three here, so the money has coming on West Virginia.
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: I think both these teams actually don't have good enough
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: resumes to be close to the tournament right now, I
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 1: don't think Baylor is maybe a little bit closer, believe
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 1: it or not. At least I think I have them
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 1: as the last of the next four out in my
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 1: last bracketology, but they're probably gonna be out completely now
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 1: of like even the picture. But yeah, for what it's worth,
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 1: the money has coming on West Virginia a little bit,
• 1:46:40
  Speaker 1: driving them up about a point. I'm not going to
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 1: really disagree with it, but maybe Baylor is the more
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 1: desperate team and they're getting well. Actually, you know what,
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 1: maybe I don't lean towards West Virginia because I think
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 1: Baylor might be the more desperate team to get some
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: wins here, and the fact that West Virginia is only
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 1: like a two and a half three point favorite, the
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 1: osvick are actually telling you Baylor is actually the better
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 1: team power in whose wise, believe it or not, which
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 1: is ridiculous. It almost looks too easy to play West Virginia. Cee.
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 1: You know what, I think, maybe I do actually lean
• 1:47:10
  Speaker 1: towards Baylor in that one, but I want nothing to
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 1: do with it really, all right, Arkansas Pine Bluff. I
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 1: did notice that they're coming off a big upset, believe
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 1: it or not, at Southern. Southern is one of the
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 1: better teams in the Swack Conference. That was a nine
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 1: and a half point upset from Pine Bluff. Now they're
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 1: on the road again, going to play the Mississippi Valley
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 1: State Delta Devils. Man the worst team in Division one
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 1: and it's not even close. But maybe the Delta Devils
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 1: will cover a game here. They just lost to Southern
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 1: as well. They're still looking for their first win. That's
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 1: not against the Mississippi College for Women, But I mean,
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 1: do we really want to play this? Dude? We don't
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 1: even know like how bad Mississippi Valley State even really
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 1: is because they're the worst in Division one and we
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 1: don't even know what that gap really is. I mean,
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 1: where are they here or is it MS Valley or something?
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 1: Come on, I hate pregame there. It is Miss Valley
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 1: State sounds like sounds like a beauty pageant. It's here,
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 1: she is Miss Valley State. I would lean towards taking
• 1:48:24
  Speaker 1: the points, though, as ugly as that is with Mississippi
• 1:48:26
  Speaker 1: Valley I don't think Arkansas Pine Bluff is really that
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 1: good and they're coming off a big upset win So
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 1: those are my thoughts on that. It's stupid, but there
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 1: you go, acc Network. At four pm, Cal is at Miami.
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 1: Now col is already in Florida. They just lost at
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 1: Florida State, which is a fairly ugly loss. But they
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: were having to adjust to going out to the Eastern
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 1: time zone. That's not that easy to do. Now they
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 1: are adjusted. Maybe they were already looking ahead because Miami
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 1: is a better team than Florida State, so maybe we
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 1: get a better effort out of Cal in this one.
• 1:48:58
  Speaker 1: Miami did just beat Stanford in kind of a similar spot,
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 1: having a flyout east. Decent win from Miami. There don't
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 1: have a whole lot to go on in this game. Really,
• 1:49:09
  Speaker 1: Miami is at least staying at home here. But for me,
• 1:49:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man. I mean, the money looks like
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 1: it's coming in on Miami. They're up from eight and
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 1: a half to ten and a half. But how do
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 1: I have a slight lead towards you know? I don't know,
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 1: because if it becomes more of a numbers play here,
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 1: if you think both teams are gonna show up. I
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 1: don't know though, because maybe Miami being feeling a little
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 1: bit high up of beating Stanford because they're okay at
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 1: least in Cal coming up an ugly loss. I think
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 1: I do kind of have to lead towards Cal situationally.
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 1: But the fact this is a ten and a half
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 1: point number, and people are gonna look at this and
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 1: probably think that's too high based off of what the
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 1: team's records look like like, the overall records are not
• 1:49:48
  Speaker 1: that far off, so that line almost does look too high.
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 1: So yeah, it's a fairly difficult handicap in that one. Obviously,
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be nowhere my card? All right? What are
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 1: the games that I want to talk about here? All right? Well,
• 1:50:08
  Speaker 1: do we do have another? Actually, hang on, let me see.
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 1: I want to make sure that I hit all the
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 1: liens that I have here at the very least, okay, yeah,
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 1: and then hit my plays. I gave out three plays,
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 1: I have four left. The next one is coming up
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 1: right now, and then I still have four more liens
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 1: I guess that I haven't talked about as well that
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 1: are on my almost list. All right, let's go, let's
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 1: do it. Next best bet. This one is a sandwich spot,
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 1: and we're going back to our buddies that treated us well.
• 1:50:47
  Speaker 1: I think the one other time we played them this
• 1:50:49
  Speaker 1: year in the Pyramid Long Beach State, We're going plus
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 1: the points here with them. I think it's about seven
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 1: and a half here. We're fading Hawaii. And I know
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 1: the last time I tried to fade Hawaii on the
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 1: Maine Lend and taken an underdog, it didn't work out
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 1: well with UC riverside. But we're gonna do it here
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 1: because I think Hawaii is in a really bad spot here. Hawaii.
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 1: They flew back out to the mainland and they did
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 1: a huge game against UC Ravine, and that game basically
• 1:51:15
  Speaker 1: it was sorted to determine who's the top of the
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 1: Big West. I mean it was, and Hawaii took the
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 1: loss in that game in overtime, even though it looks
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 1: crazy because they lost by eleven, but this was an
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 1: overtime game. Man, it was a huge game. It was
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 1: a big game for both teams. I think you see
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 1: Irvine was like a two point favorite, yet one and
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 1: a half whatever. It was a close game, huge game.
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 1: And now Hawaii's coming off that and having to play
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 1: Long Beach. I don't love it for them. Man. They
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 1: haven't played Long Beach yet this year, so there's no
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 1: second meeting. But I do think it's also a sandwich
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 1: because Hawaii is then not gonna have to travel back
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 1: to the Islands. They're gonna go back to Hawaii and
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 1: they have to play UC San Diego, who is still
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 1: one of the better teams in this conference and one
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 1: big West last year, and they beat Hawaii at you
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 1: see San Diego, so that is gonna be a revenge game,
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 1: and you see Irvine actually just got revenge on Hawaii,
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 1: so interestingly, But yeah, I think it's a sandwich spot.
• 1:52:13
  Speaker 1: That was a huge game against you see a revine
• 1:52:15
  Speaker 1: for top place in the conference. You see San Diego
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 1: on deck, which is a revenge game against one of
• 1:52:19
  Speaker 1: the better teams in the conference. I don't see them
• 1:52:22
  Speaker 1: having full focus against Long Beach here, who's not having
• 1:52:25
  Speaker 1: a great season. Long Beach coming off three straight losses,
• 1:52:29
  Speaker 1: though two of them are on the road. They just
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 1: lost pretty ugly at Riverside. I think that was a
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 1: bad spot. As I mentioned, I mentioned that game on
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 1: my show. I liked Riverside in that one, even though
• 1:52:39
  Speaker 1: they let me down against Hawaii. Riverside did, but Long Beach,
• 1:52:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, look at what they did, They played you
• 1:52:44
  Speaker 1: see Santa Barbara really close to the game before then,
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 1: and with Hawaii and you see San Diego on deck,
• 1:52:49
  Speaker 1: that was a pretty clear sandwich spot and they had
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 1: already beaten. You see a Riverside. I don't know why
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: I left that off my card. Riverside got an easy
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 1: win in that one, but we could see why Long
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 1: Beach is in a really bad spot. Now they're back
• 1:53:03
  Speaker 1: at home, I think they will show up focus here.
• 1:53:05
  Speaker 1: Now it's Hawaii's turn to be in the bad spot,
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 1: so we're on Long Beach plus the points. Don't think
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 1: I have anything? Oh well, yeah we do have Ken Pom.
• 1:53:15
  Speaker 1: I guess we gotta consult Kent Bomb for all these
• 1:53:19
  Speaker 1: plays here Manaii. I think both teams are actually a
• 1:53:22
  Speaker 1: little bit unlucky Hereaii. They're not very good offensively, man
• 1:53:26
  Speaker 1: so they're not really a team that's equipped to like
• 1:53:29
  Speaker 1: beat these large points spreads on the road. They're outside
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 1: of the top two hundred offensively, but they're very good
• 1:53:34
  Speaker 1: defensively twenty seventh and they also play fast. Oddly enough,
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 1: Long Beach is a bit more of a mid tempo team,
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 1: so they might slow the game down quite a bit here,
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: and they're lower in the luck index, I believe than
• 1:53:47
  Speaker 1: Hawaii is. Actually no, they're pretty close. No, no, no, Long
• 1:53:52
  Speaker 1: Beach is slightly above them. But whatever the luck is,
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 1: they're both in the bottom like third of luck, so
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 1: it doesn't really matter. But Long Beach might slow this
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 1: game down to try to throw Hawaii out of their
• 1:54:03
  Speaker 1: element because Long Beach is more of a mid tempo team.
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 1: And yes, I know Long Beach is very very bad defensively,
• 1:54:09
  Speaker 1: but offensively they're almost as good as Hawaii. Hawaii is
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 1: just that imbalanced. But again, a defense oriented team that
• 1:54:18
  Speaker 1: doesn't score that much in a terrible spot, laying points
• 1:54:21
  Speaker 1: on the road, Yeah, we gotta do it. Long Beach
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 1: is the play. The total is not that high in
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 1: the one forties, so taking the points seems a little
• 1:54:28
  Speaker 1: bit better in a game like that too. Well, yeah,
• 1:54:33
  Speaker 1: that's our lucky seven. Yeah. I don't want to tie
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 1: myself to having seven plays every single time though, because
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 1: usually it depends. Man. I mean I've had six before,
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 1: I've had eight before, I've had nine, you know, whatever
• 1:54:45
  Speaker 1: the case may be. All Right, what other games that
• 1:54:51
  Speaker 1: I want to talk about here? Some of these games
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 1: are not really that interesting. CBS Sports has Western Kentucky
• 1:54:56
  Speaker 1: at Middle Tennessee, still in the four pm slate, Man,
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 1: already almost at a two hour show. Let me die,
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky. You're playing a third road game in a row,
• 1:55:07
  Speaker 1: which is not easy. They just played pretty close as
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 1: like a six point underdog at Kennesaw, so they're coming
• 1:55:13
  Speaker 1: off of that. That was a fairly big game. Now
• 1:55:15
  Speaker 1: they gotta go to Middle Tennessee here. Now, Middle Tennessee
• 1:55:18
  Speaker 1: just had a big game against Liberty, but they fell
• 1:55:21
  Speaker 1: way short at home. Man, I thought Middle Tennessee had
• 1:55:24
  Speaker 1: a decent shot in that game, and yeah, that didn't happen.
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 1: They didn't play particularly well in this game. Game was
• 1:55:31
  Speaker 1: pretty much over for most of the game. So I
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 1: think the spot might be better for Middle Tennessee in
• 1:55:37
  Speaker 1: this one. Man, I still think they're a lot better
• 1:55:40
  Speaker 1: than the record looks. At least the oddsmakers are gonna
• 1:55:42
  Speaker 1: tell you that. The power ratings as will tell you
• 1:55:44
  Speaker 1: that Western Kentucky with all these road games, coming off
• 1:55:47
  Speaker 1: a close call as an underdog. I just yeah, I mean,
• 1:55:51
  Speaker 1: I think the spot does set up better here. I
• 1:55:53
  Speaker 1: don't think it's a second meeting or anything, but I'm
• 1:55:54
  Speaker 1: just making sure. Yeah, I think the spot sets up
• 1:55:57
  Speaker 1: better for what I think is an undervalued Middle Tennessee team,
• 1:56:00
  Speaker 1: and looking at these teams records, who's gonna want to
• 1:56:02
  Speaker 1: lay seven and a half with an almost five hundred
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 1: team against another team with a close record to theirs.
• 1:56:08
  Speaker 1: Nobody's gonna want to do that. I know the total
• 1:56:11
  Speaker 1: is low. Middle Tennessee does play some ugly, ugly games,
• 1:56:14
  Speaker 1: so it's not on my card or anything like that,
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 1: but I do lean to Middle Tennessee in this one,
• 1:56:19
  Speaker 1: and seems like the early money has come that way
• 1:56:22
  Speaker 1: up from six to seven there. So all that for
• 1:56:26
  Speaker 1: what it's worth. Man, next game up is a big game.
• 1:56:29
  Speaker 1: But let me let me take a brief intermission here,
• 1:56:33
  Speaker 1: and I'm gonna restock on water again. This is crazy.
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 1: I'm running out of water so faster and my lip sir,
• 1:56:42
  Speaker 1: very very dry. Man College Basketball Show. This is the
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 1: worst show that I do by far. It's just so
• 1:56:48
  Speaker 1: difficult to do. I don't know what I want to
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 1: even put this on. I mean, I guess I can
• 1:56:54
  Speaker 1: bring up the next game we're gonna talk about BYU
• 1:56:56
  Speaker 1: and Kansas year. I'll be right back. Yeah, I just
• 1:58:55
  Speaker 1: saw the Yokis actually came back tonight from the Nuggets.
• 1:58:58
  Speaker 1: That was not expected. I don't know so interesting. I
• 1:59:03
  Speaker 1: guess that that made it a reverse injured player spot,
• 1:59:07
  Speaker 1: but I think they might have covered anyway, so it's
• 1:59:09
  Speaker 1: a good thing I didn't know about it all right.
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 1: BYU in Kansas. ESPN gets this one at four thirty
• 1:59:15
  Speaker 1: pm Eastern. It's a big game, obviously, number thirteen ranked BYU,
• 1:59:19
  Speaker 1: number fourteen ranked Kansas BYU. They're coming off that really
• 1:59:25
  Speaker 1: tough game against Arizona or BYU made a huge rally
• 1:59:28
  Speaker 1: late to try to win that game, and they fell
• 1:59:30
  Speaker 1: just short. So I think the spot is worse for
• 1:59:33
  Speaker 1: BYU here. Now they gotta go out on the road.
• 1:59:36
  Speaker 1: They got to play another step up game here against Kansas.
• 1:59:39
  Speaker 1: Kansas is coming off winning their rivalry game against Kansas State.
• 1:59:43
  Speaker 1: But man, Kansas State is down this year, so Kansas,
• 1:59:46
  Speaker 1: they're staying in the state of Kansas year. God, I
• 1:59:49
  Speaker 1: think they will show up for this, So I like
• 1:59:51
  Speaker 1: Kansas in this one. BYU, I mean, obviously they'll show up,
• 1:59:55
  Speaker 1: but I think it's gonna be difficult for them coming
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 1: off that huge Arizona game. So Kansas this is my
• 2:00:00
  Speaker 1: preferred side here. They're up from three and a half
• 2:00:03
  Speaker 1: to four and a half. So the initial move there
• 2:00:06
  Speaker 1: seems to agree with me. There, I would lay it
• 2:00:08
  Speaker 1: with Kansas if I was gonna play it. USA Network
• 2:00:12
  Speaker 1: at four thirty pm, Davidson at Richmond. A ten action here,
• 2:00:18
  Speaker 1: Davidson coming off a couple of close calls ish against
• 2:00:21
  Speaker 1: VCU and George Mason, big games, and they got Saint
• 2:00:25
  Speaker 1: Louis on deck. You know, looks like a sandwich spot here.
• 2:00:30
  Speaker 1: I don't believe these teams have played yet this year.
• 2:00:32
  Speaker 1: I think they might only play once. Oh no, they
• 2:00:34
  Speaker 1: play again February eighteenth. My mistake, But yeah, this does
• 2:00:37
  Speaker 1: look a little bit of a sandwich spot here, depending
• 2:00:39
  Speaker 1: on how close Davidson really was to George Mason there.
• 2:00:42
  Speaker 1: I think it wasn't that close towards the end. But
• 2:00:45
  Speaker 1: still when you just played VCU and pretty close then
• 2:00:48
  Speaker 1: George Mason and then you got Saint Louis on deck, yeah,
• 2:00:51
  Speaker 1: I think it's a difficult spot. But Richmond just went
• 2:00:56
  Speaker 1: to VCU and they played well, and that was a
• 2:00:58
  Speaker 1: huge game for Richmond because these two teams are both
• 2:01:00
  Speaker 1: in Richmond. VCU probably considered to be the bigger brothers
• 2:01:04
  Speaker 1: of Richmond in Richmond, and Richmond did not go away
• 2:01:08
  Speaker 1: in this game, Like they cut it back to four
• 2:01:10
  Speaker 1: points in the final minutes of the game here, So Richmond,
• 2:01:14
  Speaker 1: they're at a bad spot too. I think maybe the
• 2:01:18
  Speaker 1: spot is a little bit worse for Davidson here, So
• 2:01:23
  Speaker 1: I guess I probably need towards Richmond. They have gone
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 1: up a little bit from two to probably basically about
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 1: two and a half here. But yeah, I mean both
• 2:01:34
  Speaker 1: teams are in really bad spots, so I gotta stay
• 2:01:36
  Speaker 1: away from that. Yeah, the seventy six Ers, dude, we
• 2:01:45
  Speaker 1: need other NBA teams need more, need better songs, man, Like,
• 2:01:51
  Speaker 1: why why is it the Sixers? Why do they have
• 2:01:53
  Speaker 1: to have the best song? I don't know, Man, it
• 2:01:56
  Speaker 1: feels like it's an ABA, like the old ABA style,
• 2:02:02
  Speaker 1: like seventies, I don't know, like soul whatever, whatever it is,
• 2:02:07
  Speaker 1: that type of stuff. It feels like it belongs in
• 2:02:09
  Speaker 1: like semi pro if you've seen that movie underrated movie
• 2:02:13
  Speaker 1: for sure with Will Ferrell Woody Harrelson as the fake
• 2:02:20
  Speaker 1: Flint Tropics but in the real ABA. All right, Uh,
• 2:02:27
  Speaker 1: that Morgan State team, I mean this is like, this
• 2:02:31
  Speaker 1: is as ugly as it gets. Morgan State at Coppon State,
• 2:02:34
  Speaker 1: but I leaned towards Coppin State in this one. Morgan
• 2:02:37
  Speaker 1: State's won four games in a row, one of them
• 2:02:39
  Speaker 1: was a non D one team, though I don't know
• 2:02:42
  Speaker 1: how they pulled off these back to back upsets against
• 2:02:45
  Speaker 1: Howard and then coming off of that upset in Norfolk
• 2:02:48
  Speaker 1: State as well, third straight road game now fourth road
• 2:02:52
  Speaker 1: game in five games. I think they got to run
• 2:02:54
  Speaker 1: out of steam here, man, and they got Maryland Eastern
• 2:02:56
  Speaker 1: Shore and next where the only undefeated team left in
• 2:02:59
  Speaker 1: the media Act. Although I don't even think they're that good,
• 2:03:02
  Speaker 1: but that is still the case. They're in first place.
• 2:03:05
  Speaker 1: So this is like a sandwich spot from Morgan State here. Man,
• 2:03:10
  Speaker 1: I think it's a bad spot. I yeah, I was
• 2:03:14
  Speaker 1: gonna say, I don't believe they played Coppon State yet.
• 2:03:16
  Speaker 1: Coppon State is really bad though. They're so bad that
• 2:03:20
  Speaker 1: Morgan State is actually favored on the road against them.
• 2:03:23
  Speaker 1: That's how bad Coppon State is. The Coppon State just
• 2:03:25
  Speaker 1: played in Norfolk State and got destroyed by almost forty points.
• 2:03:30
  Speaker 1: Now they're coming back home here. That that actually extra
• 2:03:33
  Speaker 1: time off because of a postponed game against Howard, so
• 2:03:38
  Speaker 1: extra time off might help break their losing momentum of
• 2:03:41
  Speaker 1: four games here. So yeah, I like Coppin State in
• 2:03:45
  Speaker 1: this one, plus the points you're getting two and a
• 2:03:47
  Speaker 1: half now it's up from two. Disagree with that initial
• 2:03:51
  Speaker 1: line move there. I think it's a sandwich spot for
• 2:03:55
  Speaker 1: Morgan State here, man, So I know how ugly that is.
• 2:03:58
  Speaker 1: This is hilarious. We're looking at Coppon State is the
• 2:04:01
  Speaker 1: second worst team in Division one according to ken Baum,
• 2:04:04
  Speaker 1: and we're we're a Morgan State at Yeah, Morgan State's
• 2:04:09
  Speaker 1: the eleventh worst team, so that's what we're looking at here.
• 2:04:12
  Speaker 1: But Morgan State is high up in as luck and deck,
• 2:04:15
  Speaker 1: so they're actually even worse than they look. Coppon State
• 2:04:19
  Speaker 1: is not quite as high if I mean, yeah, probably
• 2:04:23
  Speaker 1: the ugliest game on the board, but that is my opinion.
• 2:04:26
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards Coppin State in that one, and
• 2:04:28
  Speaker 1: I considered making that a play. I mean, hmm, man, yeah,
• 2:04:36
  Speaker 1: all right, n j T at Vermont. Vermont coming into
• 2:04:41
  Speaker 1: this game off a pretty big game against UMBC. Man
• 2:04:44
  Speaker 1: UMBC really the only threat at all to America, to
• 2:04:48
  Speaker 1: Vermont and the American East here, so maybe could set
• 2:04:52
  Speaker 1: them up for a little bit of a let down here,
• 2:04:54
  Speaker 1: although nj T is still right behind them. Although nj
• 2:04:57
  Speaker 1: T they're really not as good as the rec looks,
• 2:05:00
  Speaker 1: and that's kind of the problem I have here. NJT
• 2:05:02
  Speaker 1: also a third straight road game, which isn't that easy,
• 2:05:05
  Speaker 1: although you gotta think they will show up for a
• 2:05:07
  Speaker 1: game against Vermont, who is pretty much the dominant team
• 2:05:11
  Speaker 1: of this conference every single year except for last year.
• 2:05:16
  Speaker 1: Vermont is a thirteen point favorite, and they are for
• 2:05:18
  Speaker 1: a reason. I mean, you're gonna look at the standings
• 2:05:20
  Speaker 1: and think that that line's way too high. So that's
• 2:05:23
  Speaker 1: kind of the worry I have, because I do think
• 2:05:25
  Speaker 1: Vermont's in a letdown spot of of that winner verm UNBC.
• 2:05:29
  Speaker 1: But maybe because NJT is close to them in the standings,
• 2:05:32
  Speaker 1: maybe Vermont will still show up. The line is this
• 2:05:35
  Speaker 1: high for a reason. Like I said, Vermont is significantly
• 2:05:38
  Speaker 1: better than NJIT. JIT is not anywhere near as good
• 2:05:41
  Speaker 1: as the record looks. I guess I would have to
• 2:05:45
  Speaker 1: lay the points, But I don't love it. Man, write
• 2:05:51
  Speaker 1: a yuke song for the Celtics, I don't know, Man,
• 2:05:56
  Speaker 1: I want like that, like seventy style, and the yuk
• 2:05:59
  Speaker 1: is just not that it's not the right instrument. Apps
• 2:06:04
  Speaker 1: stayed at Troy. App State is of course, like I said,
• 2:06:07
  Speaker 1: they're on a three game win street, but they're coming
• 2:06:09
  Speaker 1: off that winerver Southern miss second straight road game. But
• 2:06:12
  Speaker 1: really this would just be you'd be playing on Troy
• 2:06:15
  Speaker 1: to bounce back from a bad loss to James Madison
• 2:06:19
  Speaker 1: where they should have won the game. Obviously they were
• 2:06:21
  Speaker 1: a big favorite in the game didn't win. But the
• 2:06:23
  Speaker 1: problem with that is that Troy might be hung over
• 2:06:25
  Speaker 1: a little bit because they lost a five game win streak,
• 2:06:28
  Speaker 1: and sometimes that will hang you over into the next game.
• 2:06:32
  Speaker 1: They played Georgia State next. Georgia State is in fifth
• 2:06:36
  Speaker 1: place in the conference right now, so they're up there.
• 2:06:39
  Speaker 1: But I don't think Troy overlooks app State because app
• 2:06:41
  Speaker 1: State's in third in the conference. So I do think
• 2:06:45
  Speaker 1: it is more of a bounce back spot for Troy here.
• 2:06:48
  Speaker 1: That's probably the way I would lean. Let me see
• 2:06:52
  Speaker 1: Troy hovering around eight and a half eight with juice,
• 2:06:55
  Speaker 1: so I don't know, not really much movement on that
• 2:06:57
  Speaker 1: one lean towards Troy, though the pogues that would be
• 2:07:03
  Speaker 1: like you'd need like a mandolin or something. Probably I
• 2:07:09
  Speaker 1: don't know what else they gonna talk about Eastern Kentucky
• 2:07:14
  Speaker 1: at Central Arkansas Central Arkansas. They just pulled off that
• 2:07:18
  Speaker 1: upset of Queens, I think, I'm I don't know, I
• 2:07:20
  Speaker 1: don't know if I mentioned that or not, but yes,
• 2:07:22
  Speaker 1: they pulled off an upset of Queens. That was a
• 2:07:24
  Speaker 1: pretty big upset for them. Now they get Eastern Kentucky.
• 2:07:28
  Speaker 1: I don't believe these seams were played yet, No, they did.
• 2:07:31
  Speaker 1: Actually Central Arkansas lost at Eastern Kentucky. So yeah, it
• 2:07:35
  Speaker 1: is a little bit of a revenge spot for Central Arkansas,
• 2:07:37
  Speaker 1: but I think it could be a letdown spot off
• 2:07:39
  Speaker 1: of beating Queens, who I believe was undefeated in the
• 2:07:43
  Speaker 1: conference until then. Or no, they have two losses now
• 2:07:46
  Speaker 1: in conference in my mistake, but whatever, still a big
• 2:07:48
  Speaker 1: win over Queens Eastern Kentucky. They might overlook Central Arkansas though,
• 2:07:54
  Speaker 1: because they did already beat Central Arkansas. They're coming up
• 2:07:56
  Speaker 1: a game against Austin p although this game wasn't exactly
• 2:08:00
  Speaker 1: that close, although they did make it close in the
• 2:08:02
  Speaker 1: last like I don't know, they cut it to fifteen
• 2:08:05
  Speaker 1: or to fifteen, they cut it to five. Dude, I
• 2:08:08
  Speaker 1: need sleep. I'm so out of it now. They cut
• 2:08:09
  Speaker 1: it till like five, but it was way too late.
• 2:08:12
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, man, it's a it's a difficult handygup.
• 2:08:16
  Speaker 1: I think the biggest part of the handy gap is
• 2:08:17
  Speaker 1: Central Arkansas is in a letdown spot. So I lean
• 2:08:22
  Speaker 1: to Eastern Kentucky in that one. Central Arkansas up from
• 2:08:24
  Speaker 1: six and a half to seven, but I would probably
• 2:08:27
  Speaker 1: take the points in that one. But again, I'm just
• 2:08:30
  Speaker 1: going through my thought process here and whatever. These games
• 2:08:33
  Speaker 1: are not strong opinions or anything. All Right, we got
• 2:08:39
  Speaker 1: a Indiana at UCLA. This is an interesting one on
• 2:08:43
  Speaker 1: Peacock at five pm Big Ten Action. My first instinct was, well,
• 2:08:48
  Speaker 1: Indiana is in a bad spot because they just beat Purdue.
• 2:08:51
  Speaker 1: That's a huge win. Not only is it against Purdue,
• 2:08:54
  Speaker 1: who I actually think is under ranked right now. Purdue
• 2:08:56
  Speaker 1: is one of the top teams in the country. It's
• 2:08:58
  Speaker 1: one of the top teams in the conference. They're also
• 2:09:01
  Speaker 1: basically the big brother to Indiana at this point in
• 2:09:04
  Speaker 1: the state of Indiana. So Indiana they're gonna get up
• 2:09:07
  Speaker 1: for a game it gets Purdue for a whole bunch
• 2:09:09
  Speaker 1: of reasons. That was a huge win for them. Now
• 2:09:11
  Speaker 1: they're gonna go play on the Pacific coast, they gotta
• 2:09:15
  Speaker 1: cross time zones, and I guess luckily for Indiana, it's
• 2:09:18
  Speaker 1: not a really late game. It's at five PM, so
• 2:09:20
  Speaker 1: they don't have to worry about their biological clock too much.
• 2:09:24
  Speaker 1: But still having to travel out their third road game
• 2:09:27
  Speaker 1: in four games in a potential letdown spot. It's not
• 2:09:30
  Speaker 1: a good spot for Indiana. UCLA just got an easy
• 2:09:34
  Speaker 1: win over Oregon. They really only have this Indiana game
• 2:09:38
  Speaker 1: to focus on. Man, So yeah, I like UCLA and
• 2:09:42
  Speaker 1: this one. There's not a whole lot else to it.
• 2:09:47
  Speaker 1: UCLA isn't from three to three and a half here.
• 2:09:49
  Speaker 1: That's what I would do. I would lay the points
• 2:09:50
  Speaker 1: to the UCLA if I was gonna play it. It's
• 2:09:53
  Speaker 1: not on my card. I don't even I don't even
• 2:09:55
  Speaker 1: think I have it on my extra leans here. I
• 2:09:57
  Speaker 1: don't know what I was doing, but yeah, I don't know.
• 2:10:01
  Speaker 1: It's not on my card, but it is I think
• 2:10:04
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot for Indiana. I think when I looked
• 2:10:06
  Speaker 1: at the I think it was the Ken Bomb rankings
• 2:10:09
  Speaker 1: that kind of threw it off here. Yeah, because Indiana
• 2:10:11
  Speaker 1: he actually has is the better team over UCLA. But
• 2:10:13
  Speaker 1: I know the line has to factor in the situation,
• 2:10:17
  Speaker 1: and if the factors in the situation too much, you know,
• 2:10:20
  Speaker 1: maybe you can't really play it. Ucla should slow this
• 2:10:23
  Speaker 1: game down a bit of the Indiana likes to play
• 2:10:25
  Speaker 1: slow as well. Yeah, I mean Ucla is a slightly
• 2:10:30
  Speaker 1: better defense, Indiana is a much better offense. I don't know.
• 2:10:33
  Speaker 1: There's not a whole lot else to see here. Indiana
• 2:10:35
  Speaker 1: is slightly less lucky than Ucla. I don't know. I
• 2:10:38
  Speaker 1: think when I dove into this, I think Ken Bomb
• 2:10:43
  Speaker 1: only at UCLA winning the game by like maybe two
• 2:10:46
  Speaker 1: points or something, because they're he has Indiana as the
• 2:10:48
  Speaker 1: better team there, So I do worry about that a
• 2:10:50
  Speaker 1: little bit. But situationally, yeah, I like Ucla in that game.
• 2:10:56
  Speaker 1: I would like it better if UCLA didn't play well
• 2:10:58
  Speaker 1: in Oregon in the last game though, But yes, I
• 2:11:01
  Speaker 1: think it is a pretty major letdown spot that Indiana's
• 2:11:04
  Speaker 1: in there. Although Indiana was not a huge underdog against Purdue,
• 2:11:08
  Speaker 1: but obviously that is a huge win over Purdue. All right,
• 2:11:12
  Speaker 1: As I clean my glasses here, I hope that these
• 2:11:16
  Speaker 1: leans don't hit while my actual plays. Yeah, like, if
• 2:11:20
  Speaker 1: these Lians hit and then my actual plays don't, I'm
• 2:11:22
  Speaker 1: gonna be pretty unhappy about it. Montana State and Portland
• 2:11:27
  Speaker 1: State is a good game in the Big Sky. Montana
• 2:11:31
  Speaker 1: State just lost to Sacramento State. That was an ugly loss,
• 2:11:34
  Speaker 1: not a good team. Sacramento State and Montana State had
• 2:11:37
  Speaker 1: won four games in a row prior to that, and
• 2:11:39
  Speaker 1: maybe they were looking ahead to Portland State. I don't know,
• 2:11:43
  Speaker 1: but this is gonna be a big game for them.
• 2:11:46
  Speaker 1: It could be a hangover because they lost a win
• 2:11:48
  Speaker 1: streak there, but I think the reason they lost that
• 2:11:50
  Speaker 1: game was because they were looking ahead. I think they
• 2:11:52
  Speaker 1: will show up for this game against Portland State. Portland
• 2:11:56
  Speaker 1: State's still sitting atop the conference with only one loss here,
• 2:11:59
  Speaker 1: but that was we want to talk about losing a
• 2:12:01
  Speaker 1: win streak, Yeah, Portland State just did. They just lost
• 2:12:03
  Speaker 1: a seven game win streak. That was their first conference
• 2:12:06
  Speaker 1: loss in a big game to Montana And again, sometimes
• 2:12:10
  Speaker 1: a loss like that DAK could definitely hang you over
• 2:12:13
  Speaker 1: the first conference loss, So I think the hangover spot
• 2:12:15
  Speaker 1: is definitely worse for Portland State here. So I like
• 2:12:18
  Speaker 1: Montana State in this one, even though yes, we know
• 2:12:21
  Speaker 1: that Montana State has been one of the better teams
• 2:12:23
  Speaker 1: in this conference recently, both teams should get up for it,
• 2:12:26
  Speaker 1: but I would take the points if I was gonna
• 2:12:27
  Speaker 1: play it. Portland State up from three and a half
• 2:12:29
  Speaker 1: to four here, But yeah, I think it's take the
• 2:12:32
  Speaker 1: points or leave it alone in that one. Uh, New
• 2:12:36
  Speaker 1: Mexico State at Kenesaw State. New Mexico State. I don't
• 2:12:40
  Speaker 1: know what keeps happening in this New Mexico State team. Man,
• 2:12:42
  Speaker 1: they're one of the most underrated teams, one of the
• 2:12:44
  Speaker 1: most unlucky teams probably in the country. It seems like
• 2:12:48
  Speaker 1: they just keep getting fouls called against them. Man, Like
• 2:12:51
  Speaker 1: they have the highest opponent like rate of attempted free
• 2:12:57
  Speaker 1: throws in the entire nation. I think like the those
• 2:13:00
  Speaker 1: free throws have been attempted against New Mexico State. It's
• 2:13:03
  Speaker 1: insane how lopsided that is. They just lost again as
• 2:13:06
  Speaker 1: big favorites to Delaware, who's not good at all this year.
• 2:13:10
  Speaker 1: So now New Mexico State's coming up losing as a
• 2:13:12
  Speaker 1: thirteen and a half point favorite, ridiculous. It was revenge
• 2:13:16
  Speaker 1: for Delaware because they'd embarrassed Delaware on the road the
• 2:13:20
  Speaker 1: other time they played them. But I think New Mexico
• 2:13:23
  Speaker 1: State's gonna show up for this game against Kennesaw. After
• 2:13:26
  Speaker 1: a horrible performance like that, I expect them to show
• 2:13:29
  Speaker 1: up and they're way under the radar right now. For Kennisaw, Yeah,
• 2:13:33
  Speaker 1: they just had that win over Western Kentucky. That was
• 2:13:35
  Speaker 1: a close call though, so they're probably not gonna overlook
• 2:13:38
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State. So that is the problem. But if
• 2:13:41
  Speaker 1: we look at the line here, Kennisau is only a
• 2:13:43
  Speaker 1: two point favorite here, So the Olazcas are telling you
• 2:13:45
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State's actually the better team even though they
• 2:13:48
  Speaker 1: have the worst records. So I think if the public
• 2:13:51
  Speaker 1: looks at this, they're not gonna want New Mexico State.
• 2:13:54
  Speaker 1: But like I said, New Mexico State is an extremely
• 2:13:58
  Speaker 1: unlucky team. Let me see what hen Bom has to
• 2:14:00
  Speaker 1: say about that. He has them as the fourth unluckiest
• 2:14:03
  Speaker 1: team in the country. Yeah, so like I said, things
• 2:14:07
  Speaker 1: are just yeah, not going their way when statistically they've
• 2:14:10
  Speaker 1: played a lot better than their record looks. So yeah,
• 2:14:13
  Speaker 1: I like New Mexico State and that one, uh plus
• 2:14:17
  Speaker 1: the points to bounce back off of that horrendous loss.
• 2:14:21
  Speaker 1: SEC Network at six pm. Ol Miss at number eighteen.
• 2:14:24
  Speaker 1: Vandy Ole Miss not a good team this year. They
• 2:14:29
  Speaker 1: did just lose at Kentucky. I think this game might
• 2:14:31
  Speaker 1: have been fairly close though. Yeah, Ole Miss was really
• 2:14:35
  Speaker 1: hanging in there against Kentucky. Man, so that was a
• 2:14:37
  Speaker 1: big game for Old Miss. There were big underdogs in
• 2:14:40
  Speaker 1: this game, eleven and a half point underdogs. So Ole
• 2:14:42
  Speaker 1: Miss is coming off of a really big game against
• 2:14:45
  Speaker 1: Kentucky and now they have to try to turn around
• 2:14:48
  Speaker 1: play another road game here at fourth road game in
• 2:14:50
  Speaker 1: five games. I know you're gonna get up for a
• 2:14:52
  Speaker 1: game against Vandy, but I just don't know what Old
• 2:14:55
  Speaker 1: Miss is gonna have left in the tank after that. Man,
• 2:14:57
  Speaker 1: Vandy coming off a easy went over Kentucky, though, Man
• 2:15:01
  Speaker 1: it was a win that was such a blowout though,
• 2:15:03
  Speaker 1: that they might be feeling a little bit too high
• 2:15:05
  Speaker 1: on themselves off that win. So I worry about that
• 2:15:08
  Speaker 1: a little bit. But I do think the spot's a
• 2:15:09
  Speaker 1: little bit worse for All Miss because they are having
• 2:15:13
  Speaker 1: to play again after that big performance. So I probably
• 2:15:17
  Speaker 1: leaned Vandy here, But the line has moved in the
• 2:15:19
  Speaker 1: opposite direction down from thirteen to eleven and a half.
• 2:15:23
  Speaker 1: Excuse me, So the line movement seems to disagree with
• 2:15:28
  Speaker 1: me on that one. So again I guess to do
• 2:15:31
  Speaker 1: with this information what you want to Holy crap, are
• 2:15:35
  Speaker 1: already over two hours, man, At least I started this
• 2:15:37
  Speaker 1: a little bit earlier. We're not gonna go to three
• 2:15:39
  Speaker 1: am this time. I was really in a weird state
• 2:15:44
  Speaker 1: last week where I couldn't sleep. Bradley at Drake on
• 2:15:47
  Speaker 1: CBS Sports Network. This is the rematch of last year's
• 2:15:51
  Speaker 1: Mountain Valley or Mountain Valley Missouri Valley. Why do I
• 2:15:54
  Speaker 1: keep saying Mountain because of the Mountain West Missouri Valley.
• 2:15:57
  Speaker 1: This is the rematch of the Missouri Valley final from
• 2:15:59
  Speaker 1: last year, which Drake won, so it should be a
• 2:16:02
  Speaker 1: pretty big revenge spot for Bradley. Though of course Drake
• 2:16:05
  Speaker 1: is a completely different team this year because those guys,
• 2:16:08
  Speaker 1: you know, the coach and took some of his players.
• 2:16:10
  Speaker 1: They all went to Iowa, so that's what's going on there.
• 2:16:14
  Speaker 1: This game is at six pm on CBS Sports. Bradley
• 2:16:18
  Speaker 1: coming to this game off losing at home to Illinois Chicago,
• 2:16:21
  Speaker 1: kind of an ugly loss. Bradley probably favored in that game.
• 2:16:24
  Speaker 1: Even Illinois Chicago has been all right this year, but
• 2:16:27
  Speaker 1: maybe they were even looking ahead. I don't know, but
• 2:16:29
  Speaker 1: this isn't really that much of a revenge spot anymore though,
• 2:16:32
  Speaker 1: because my mistake, Bradley already got that revenge. They crushed
• 2:16:35
  Speaker 1: Drake at home earlier this year, so it's actually revenge
• 2:16:38
  Speaker 1: for Drake now. But Bradley is coming up that ugly
• 2:16:42
  Speaker 1: loss to Illinois Chicago, so they might show up in
• 2:16:45
  Speaker 1: this game as well. Drake coming up a pretty ugly
• 2:16:49
  Speaker 1: game against Evansville though, But Drake has Belmon on decks.
• 2:16:54
  Speaker 1: That is a pretty big look ahead, man. But I
• 2:16:56
  Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna overlook Bradley because Bradley stomped earlier
• 2:17:00
  Speaker 1: this year, so I do think Drake will actually show
• 2:17:02
  Speaker 1: up here. So there's a lot going on in this game.
• 2:17:06
  Speaker 1: Not a game that I like. The handicap really Drake
• 2:17:11
  Speaker 1: down from two to one here, so the line has
• 2:17:13
  Speaker 1: moved against Drake, but I don't know. I kind of
• 2:17:17
  Speaker 1: lean towards Drake in the revenge for getting totally embarrassed
• 2:17:21
  Speaker 1: earlier in the season, even though they do have a
• 2:17:24
  Speaker 1: look ahead to Belmont. I know both teams seem like
• 2:17:27
  Speaker 1: they're kind of in bounced back spots of a not
• 2:17:29
  Speaker 1: performing well in the last game, so it's a tough
• 2:17:32
  Speaker 1: handicap looks like the market movement is kind of against
• 2:17:34
  Speaker 1: me in that one. ESPN two has Oklahoma State at
• 2:17:38
  Speaker 1: Utah a big twelve game, and for this game, I
• 2:17:41
  Speaker 1: mean Utah even though they're nine and eleven and they
• 2:17:45
  Speaker 1: have one conference win, they're favored against fourteen and six
• 2:17:48
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma State, although Oklahoma Stine only has two conference wins.
• 2:17:51
  Speaker 1: So what this is telling you is that Oklahoma State
• 2:17:54
  Speaker 1: is not that much better than Utah. But the public's
• 2:17:56
  Speaker 1: probably gonna see that line and think it looks so
• 2:18:00
  Speaker 1: easy to take Oklahoma State, Like, how good Oklahoma State
• 2:18:02
  Speaker 1: being an underdog with a record like that? Right, Well,
• 2:18:04
  Speaker 1: I've been saying it all year. Oklahoma State played really
• 2:18:07
  Speaker 1: easy out of conference schedule, so they're not really that good.
• 2:18:12
  Speaker 1: So that has been looking towards Utah in this game,
• 2:18:17
  Speaker 1: just based on the number and whatever. Oklahoma State's coming up.
• 2:18:19
  Speaker 1: A game against Iowa State was a big game. Well
• 2:18:22
  Speaker 1: it wasn't a game that was really that close, but
• 2:18:24
  Speaker 1: they do also have BYU and Arizona coming up on decks,
• 2:18:28
  Speaker 1: so they could definitely overlook this Utah team. It's just
• 2:18:31
  Speaker 1: not having a good season at all. Utah is coming
• 2:18:34
  Speaker 1: off Holy Warm Part two against BYU, but the game
• 2:18:37
  Speaker 1: wasn't that close at BYU, so now back at home
• 2:18:40
  Speaker 1: or they did win their last game against CCU, but
• 2:18:44
  Speaker 1: Utah that's their only conference win. But at least they
• 2:18:47
  Speaker 1: are better at home. I guess the home advantage. I mean, obviously,
• 2:18:51
  Speaker 1: home advantage is decently strong in college basketball for most
• 2:18:56
  Speaker 1: of the Big Conference teams. Utah did drop from minus
• 2:18:59
  Speaker 1: one and half to one, but I would only lean
• 2:19:00
  Speaker 1: towards Utah and this one. I mean, the line just
• 2:19:02
  Speaker 1: looks so ridiculous, and I think the spot is a
• 2:19:05
  Speaker 1: little bit better for them with Oklahoma State being in
• 2:19:08
  Speaker 1: a look ahead Yeah, hate the drake. All right, where
• 2:19:16
  Speaker 1: are we? Acc Network? Six pm? Stanford at Florida State.
• 2:19:21
  Speaker 1: Stanford already out on the East Coast now, they just
• 2:19:23
  Speaker 1: played a pretty tough game at Miami, so this looks
• 2:19:27
  Speaker 1: like a little bit of a difficult spot here. They
• 2:19:28
  Speaker 1: got to play Florida State, who's not very good, and
• 2:19:31
  Speaker 1: then Stanford. When they come back home, they play Clemson,
• 2:19:34
  Speaker 1: So could be a little bit of a sandwich spot here.
• 2:19:37
  Speaker 1: Though the game against Miami wasn't that close. Florida State
• 2:19:40
  Speaker 1: they just beat cal but Florida State was actually the
• 2:19:43
  Speaker 1: favorite in that game. Believe it or not, callen Stanford
• 2:19:46
  Speaker 1: not as good as their records look. So the spot
• 2:19:49
  Speaker 1: to me looks cleaner for Florida State here. I think
• 2:19:51
  Speaker 1: that that is the side I would look towards. Also,
• 2:19:54
  Speaker 1: people are gonna see Florida State it's a favorite, just
• 2:19:56
  Speaker 1: like they were against Cal and think that that looks
• 2:19:59
  Speaker 1: ridiculous because look at the team's records, Like Stanford has
• 2:20:02
  Speaker 1: a way better record. How could Florida State be a
• 2:20:05
  Speaker 1: favorite here? Right? Well, the ad because are telling you
• 2:20:07
  Speaker 1: there's not that much of a difference between these two teams.
• 2:20:10
  Speaker 1: Power ratings wise, power ratings wise, power rating wise, and again, yeah,
• 2:20:16
  Speaker 1: I think Stanford in the worst spot here. I would
• 2:20:18
  Speaker 1: lay it with Florida State if I was gonna play
• 2:20:20
  Speaker 1: it either a two and a half way favorite, not
• 2:20:22
  Speaker 1: a whole lot of movement on that. Minneapolis or Flint, Michigan.
• 2:20:31
  Speaker 1: And Islamic College has to face off against a Christian school,
• 2:20:35
  Speaker 1: that would be Yeah, that would be a holy where.
• 2:20:36
  Speaker 1: I mean there are already Islamic colleges, there's not in
• 2:20:39
  Speaker 1: Division one. Probably, I don't know. I have no idea,
• 2:20:45
  Speaker 1: but I don't I don't even want to see that happen.
• 2:20:47
  Speaker 1: I don't want to see the day Notre Dame at
• 2:20:50
  Speaker 1: Syracuse c W network, Dearborn. Yeah, that's a shitty place.
• 2:20:55
  Speaker 1: And I don't think there's any d one college Deerborn.
• 2:21:01
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame at Syracuse. Oh best bet, Yeah, yeah, you
• 2:21:11
  Speaker 1: better believe that this is the best bet. This is
• 2:21:15
  Speaker 1: I think the This is the no. I have two favorites.
• 2:21:18
  Speaker 1: This is one of the two favorites that I have
• 2:21:19
  Speaker 1: and this is the other mega big conference sandwich spot.
• 2:21:22
  Speaker 1: We're gonna lay the points with Syracuse in this game.
• 2:21:25
  Speaker 1: This is a horrible spot for Notre Dame. Syracuse is
• 2:21:29
  Speaker 1: about four and a half. Let me see they're up
• 2:21:32
  Speaker 1: to five. Now, hopefully you get four and a half
• 2:21:34
  Speaker 1: or five on this Notre Dame. They just had a
• 2:21:40
  Speaker 1: huge game against Virginia and they probably should have won
• 2:21:43
  Speaker 1: this game. Notre Dame had the lead throughout a lot
• 2:21:46
  Speaker 1: of this game, and they look at this game. They
• 2:21:47
  Speaker 1: were dominating the game. They had the lead throughout the
• 2:21:49
  Speaker 1: entire first half almost all of regulation, lost the lead,
• 2:21:55
  Speaker 1: got it back, then blew it again at the end,
• 2:21:57
  Speaker 1: and then they wound up going to double overtime, where
• 2:22:00
  Speaker 1: they finally wound up losing by three to Virginia. That
• 2:22:02
  Speaker 1: was a monster game and it was only a few
• 2:22:04
  Speaker 1: days ago. And now Notre Dame coming off of that game,
• 2:22:08
  Speaker 1: they got to go up to Syracuse. It just hasn't
• 2:22:10
  Speaker 1: been playing that well. And then they got to turn
• 2:22:12
  Speaker 1: around in a few days and play Louisville next after that,
• 2:22:15
  Speaker 1: so that it's a huge sandwich spot. Man. I don't
• 2:22:17
  Speaker 1: believe they played Louisville yet this year, but yeah, huge
• 2:22:21
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot. Man, A ranked sandwich here, having to go
• 2:22:24
  Speaker 1: up to the Carrier Dome, whatever. I don't think it's
• 2:22:27
  Speaker 1: gonna be a great I don't think it's a great time.
• 2:22:30
  Speaker 1: It's not gonna be a great time for Notre Dame
• 2:22:32
  Speaker 1: in this one, man, Syracuse. They're coming off a twenty
• 2:22:35
  Speaker 1: point loss on the road to NC State. They've lost
• 2:22:37
  Speaker 1: four games in a row. When they were back at home,
• 2:22:40
  Speaker 1: they lost the last couple of home games, but only
• 2:22:42
  Speaker 1: by two to Virginia attack and four. No excuse me,
• 2:22:45
  Speaker 1: can't do matt nine to Miami. But those teams are
• 2:22:49
  Speaker 1: all right better than Notre Dame is. So I expect
• 2:22:54
  Speaker 1: to bounce back from Syracuse here. I know they do
• 2:22:56
  Speaker 1: have North Carolina up next. There's a little bit of
• 2:23:00
  Speaker 1: concerned about a look ahead. But when you've lost four
• 2:23:02
  Speaker 1: games in a row and you're back home and you
• 2:23:04
  Speaker 1: lost by twenty in your last game, I don't think
• 2:23:06
  Speaker 1: you're overlooking anybody, man. And this spot is just horrendous
• 2:23:09
  Speaker 1: for Notre Dame here. So Syracuse is the play ken
• 2:23:14
  Speaker 1: Bum as these teams really close power ratings. Why Syracuse
• 2:23:17
  Speaker 1: two ranking spots higher? I think he has this line
• 2:23:20
  Speaker 1: only at around three or four, but we're still doing
• 2:23:23
  Speaker 1: it because the spot is just so ridiculous. These teams
• 2:23:27
  Speaker 1: are actually really similar. Syracuse might try to speed the
• 2:23:30
  Speaker 1: game up a little bit more of both teams are
• 2:23:32
  Speaker 1: unlucky Creta kem Bum. They're both better defensively than offensively,
• 2:23:36
  Speaker 1: and they're both pretty similar in that regard. But Syracuse
• 2:23:40
  Speaker 1: might play a little bit faster and try to speed
• 2:23:42
  Speaker 1: the game up a little bit, and hopefully they do
• 2:23:44
  Speaker 1: and get us to cover there. But yeah, Notre Dame
• 2:23:47
  Speaker 1: horrible horrible spot, sandwich spot all right, U Mass hosting
• 2:23:54
  Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan here. Obviously, the first thing that I remember
• 2:23:57
  Speaker 1: about this is that you Mass just owns beat Miami,
• 2:24:00
  Speaker 1: Ohio as big underdogs. That would have been a huge
• 2:24:03
  Speaker 1: win from you Mass there, they almost pulled off the upset.
• 2:24:07
  Speaker 1: Now after that they got to play Eastern Michigan back
• 2:24:10
  Speaker 1: at home. Looks like it should be a bit of
• 2:24:11
  Speaker 1: a hangover spot for you Mass, although they did already
• 2:24:15
  Speaker 1: lose at Eastern Michigan, so maybe there is one reason
• 2:24:17
  Speaker 1: why they might still show up for this game because
• 2:24:21
  Speaker 1: that was an ugly loss at Eastern Michigan. But again,
• 2:24:24
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna be asking you Mass to cover
• 2:24:26
  Speaker 1: as a favorite here and they're coming off that big
• 2:24:28
  Speaker 1: game as an underdog, So I don't like how it
• 2:24:30
  Speaker 1: sets up for you Mass. For Eastern Michigan. They just
• 2:24:34
  Speaker 1: got absolutely drilled by Central Michigan in a Michigan rivalry game.
• 2:24:39
  Speaker 1: But they lost that game one hundred to sixty five.
• 2:24:42
  Speaker 1: I mean, come on, man, you're coming off a game
• 2:24:44
  Speaker 1: like that, I think you're going to show up in
• 2:24:46
  Speaker 1: the next game. They do have Akron up next, which
• 2:24:49
  Speaker 1: is a little bit of a concern. Maybe there's a
• 2:24:50
  Speaker 1: look ahead component to this, and maybe they overlook you
• 2:24:54
  Speaker 1: Mass just because they already beat you Mass once. So
• 2:24:56
  Speaker 1: those would be my concerns. But a team coming off
• 2:24:59
  Speaker 1: a just a horrendous looking blowout loss up against a
• 2:25:02
  Speaker 1: team that almost pulled off a massive upset. Pretty much,
• 2:25:06
  Speaker 1: I have to lean to Eastern Michigan in this one.
• 2:25:10
  Speaker 1: Your mass is sitting at around seven and a half.
• 2:25:12
  Speaker 1: It's gone up a little bit to seven and a
• 2:25:13
  Speaker 1: half with juice, but this is one of my stronger leans.
• 2:25:16
  Speaker 1: The only way I could play that is Eastern Michigan.
• 2:25:22
  Speaker 1: Justin what's up man? Which oh the boys slob? Yeah?
• 2:25:27
  Speaker 1: Those P four teams, Well I'm on one of them
• 2:25:31
  Speaker 1: in that Syracuse and Notre Dame game in the worst
• 2:25:34
  Speaker 1: Big Conference teams. There rating sandwiches around New England, that's true.
• 2:25:41
  Speaker 1: We could call it, yeah toad sandwich spot. That's a
• 2:25:44
  Speaker 1: good name for it. Yeah, dude, there are a lot
• 2:25:48
  Speaker 1: of good sandwiches around. As I've talked about, the I mean,
• 2:25:53
  Speaker 1: the main sandwich all the people don't even really know
• 2:25:55
  Speaker 1: about is the North Shore roast beef sandwich is kind
• 2:25:59
  Speaker 1: of the New England sandwich. I think if there is any,
• 2:26:02
  Speaker 1: it's a very good sandwich when it's done right, And
• 2:26:04
  Speaker 1: a lot of the places do do it right. Not Kelly's.
• 2:26:08
  Speaker 1: They've gone way downhill. They were the originators supposedly at least,
• 2:26:11
  Speaker 1: but uh, they sold out and whatever. They've just gone
• 2:26:15
  Speaker 1: big corporate whatever, lack of quality. Now I've talked about
• 2:26:20
  Speaker 1: it on the show before. Yeah, the North Shore roast
• 2:26:23
  Speaker 1: Beef three way is an excellent sandwich. It's a you
• 2:26:28
  Speaker 1: want it to you want it to be on like
• 2:26:30
  Speaker 1: a thick like sort of onion roll. It's gotta be
• 2:26:32
  Speaker 1: an onion roll. That's the classic way to do it.
• 2:26:34
  Speaker 1: And then it's thinly sliced rare roast beef so it's
• 2:26:38
  Speaker 1: pink and warm. And then it's got American cheese on it.
• 2:26:42
  Speaker 1: James River barbecue sauce. That's the specific barbecue that's a
• 2:26:46
  Speaker 1: little bit tangy, little bit sweet, not too much of either.
• 2:26:50
  Speaker 1: That's from this area as well. And then it has
• 2:26:52
  Speaker 1: mayo on it too. That's that's the three way, very
• 2:26:56
  Speaker 1: very good sandwich. And you want that cheese used to
• 2:27:00
  Speaker 1: kind of like melt on it a little bit. You
• 2:27:03
  Speaker 1: want it to be like a warm sandwich. Portillo's Portillos.
• 2:27:11
  Speaker 1: I don't think that I have. I I forget where
• 2:27:15
  Speaker 1: they're located. I don't know. I probably should because I
• 2:27:17
  Speaker 1: don't know. I'm Italian. Are they an Italian sandwich spot? Sandwich? Yeah,
• 2:27:22
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot. I don't know, dude, I gotta get out
• 2:27:24
  Speaker 1: of here too. This is gonna go three fucking hours.
• 2:27:27
  Speaker 1: I can't deal with this shit the next game up.
• 2:27:30
  Speaker 1: But I'm gonna talk about Northwestern State at New Orleans
• 2:27:33
  Speaker 1: at six pm. Oh yeah, that's why I haven't had it. No,
• 2:27:36
  Speaker 1: I stay away from Chicago, man, I don't want to
• 2:27:40
  Speaker 1: get shot. Next game up. This is another best bet
• 2:27:43
  Speaker 1: whatever New Orleans minus the points. This is the other
• 2:27:46
  Speaker 1: favorite here. Ken Bom actually has this line at like seven,
• 2:27:50
  Speaker 1: so I don't know if there's some like personnel difference
• 2:27:53
  Speaker 1: or something. Now. I don't know why he has the
• 2:27:54
  Speaker 1: line at seven, but we're gonna do this mostly because
• 2:27:57
  Speaker 1: Northwestern State is in a horrible spot. I think they're
• 2:28:01
  Speaker 1: coming off a game where they played Steven F. Austin
• 2:28:05
  Speaker 1: to the y or Man huge games. Steven of Austin
• 2:28:08
  Speaker 1: is atop the standings in the Southland Conference zero though
• 2:28:10
  Speaker 1: I think MacNeice still is the better team power rating wise,
• 2:28:14
  Speaker 1: but Northwestern States not very good. They were fourteen and
• 2:28:17
  Speaker 1: a half point underdogs and they almost upset Steven of Austin.
• 2:28:21
  Speaker 1: That was a huge game for them. Now they're playing
• 2:28:24
  Speaker 1: a fourth road game in their last four games actually,
• 2:28:28
  Speaker 1: because they had one game postponed in the middle there
• 2:28:30
  Speaker 1: and they got Nichols up next, and Nichols is near
• 2:28:34
  Speaker 1: the top of the conference as well, so that might
• 2:28:36
  Speaker 1: be a bit of a look ahead spot. They actually
• 2:28:37
  Speaker 1: already lost to Nichols, so it's an in season revenge
• 2:28:41
  Speaker 1: spot as well. And this game is in season revenge
• 2:28:44
  Speaker 1: spot for New Orleans because Northwestern State beat New Orleans
• 2:28:48
  Speaker 1: at home already, and New Orleans was actually a road
• 2:28:51
  Speaker 1: favorite in that game because they're that much better. And
• 2:28:54
  Speaker 1: now if New Orleans is one and a half on
• 2:28:56
  Speaker 1: the road, how are the only four and a half
• 2:28:58
  Speaker 1: at home? You know, it seems like there's a lot
• 2:29:00
  Speaker 1: I value here. It seems like it's a horrible spot
• 2:29:02
  Speaker 1: for Northwestern State. A lot of things line up on
• 2:29:05
  Speaker 1: this one. Man. I like it. It's in season revenge
• 2:29:09
  Speaker 1: plus line value. It looks like plus horrible hangover spot
• 2:29:12
  Speaker 1: for Northwestern State, sandwich spot for Northwestern State. Now for
• 2:29:16
  Speaker 1: New Orleans, they did just mean Nickels in their last game,
• 2:29:20
  Speaker 1: so that is the concern. They pulled off an upset
• 2:29:22
  Speaker 1: I think on the road of Nichols here. Four and
• 2:29:25
  Speaker 1: a half point upset, pretty big win. So that is
• 2:29:28
  Speaker 1: the one concern here, but they don't really have anything upcoming.
• 2:29:31
  Speaker 1: I just don't think they're gonna overlook a team that
• 2:29:33
  Speaker 1: they lost to here. And it's just such a horrible
• 2:29:35
  Speaker 1: spot for Northwestern State. And again it looks like we're getting,
• 2:29:39
  Speaker 1: at least according to Kenbam, we're getting a lot of
• 2:29:41
  Speaker 1: live value here. Again, maybe there is some injury or something,
• 2:29:45
  Speaker 1: but he's got Northwestern State outside of the top three
• 2:29:48
  Speaker 1: hundred on defense. They don't play defense, which is good
• 2:29:51
  Speaker 1: when we're laying points against them. It means New Orleans
• 2:29:54
  Speaker 1: should be able to score a Northwestern State also likes
• 2:29:56
  Speaker 1: to play slow, believe it or not. They're not high
• 2:30:00
  Speaker 1: up in the Luck Index though, and they're an okay
• 2:30:03
  Speaker 1: offensive team. But New Orleans is actually better on both
• 2:30:06
  Speaker 1: offense and defense. And ken bum has in like eighty
• 2:30:09
  Speaker 1: ranking spots higher I think is what that was? So
• 2:30:14
  Speaker 1: or no seventy or so. So I don't know what
• 2:30:16
  Speaker 1: we have going on with this line, why it's this short.
• 2:30:18
  Speaker 1: Maybe there's an injury or something, but I don't even
• 2:30:20
  Speaker 1: know if that would even cause the line to beat
• 2:30:23
  Speaker 1: like this. Yeah, New Orleans is a little bit higher
• 2:30:25
  Speaker 1: than the Luck Index, but they play faster, they should
• 2:30:28
  Speaker 1: speed the game up a little bit. They're better on
• 2:30:30
  Speaker 1: both offense and defense. If they're able to speed the
• 2:30:34
  Speaker 1: game up, it should make it more likely they're gonna
• 2:30:39
  Speaker 1: be able to cover a spread like this. The line
• 2:30:41
  Speaker 1: has gone up a little bit from four to four
• 2:30:43
  Speaker 1: and a half totals in the one fifties, so it's
• 2:30:46
  Speaker 1: not a high total, but it's not a low total either.
• 2:30:49
  Speaker 1: That is the play New Orleans minus the points. All right,
• 2:30:55
  Speaker 1: Kentucky at number fifteen, Arkansas ESPN six thirty pm Eastern.
• 2:31:00
  Speaker 1: This game, big game in the SEC. Now, I think
• 2:31:04
  Speaker 1: both these teams are excuse I think Kentucky, excuse mely,
• 2:31:07
  Speaker 1: is still probably a little bit underrated of the fact
• 2:31:10
  Speaker 1: that they're not ranked and they're actually the way more
• 2:31:13
  Speaker 1: balanced to these two teams. Believe it or not, Kentucky
• 2:31:15
  Speaker 1: is the better defense, So Kentucky is the better defense
• 2:31:18
  Speaker 1: getting points here. Arkansas is like very lopsided towards offense,
• 2:31:24
  Speaker 1: but they're gonna try to speed it up here. Let
• 2:31:28
  Speaker 1: me see as far as ken bumb shows this, yere
• 2:31:32
  Speaker 1: Arkansas very fast, not that good defensively. Kentucky more of
• 2:31:36
  Speaker 1: a mid tempo team. But I don't think the speed
• 2:31:38
  Speaker 1: should really hurt them that much. I'm used to Kentucky
• 2:31:41
  Speaker 1: being kind of a fast paced team, but they might
• 2:31:43
  Speaker 1: want to try to slow it down a little bit
• 2:31:45
  Speaker 1: to frustrate Arkansas. Now, as far as the spot, Kentucky
• 2:31:50
  Speaker 1: just got murdered by Vandy eighty to fifty five. And yes,
• 2:31:53
  Speaker 1: that did end a win streak, so they lost a
• 2:31:56
  Speaker 1: five game win streak with that. But I think they're
• 2:31:59
  Speaker 1: gonna bounce back. I mean, they're not gonna overlook Arkansas.
• 2:32:02
  Speaker 1: That was a horrific loss, like they lost in such
• 2:32:04
  Speaker 1: a blowout that you got to think they're gonna fix
• 2:32:07
  Speaker 1: a bunch of things refocused. This Kentucky team has been
• 2:32:10
  Speaker 1: very jeck and hide, I know, but they also kind
• 2:32:13
  Speaker 1: of need this game more. Kentucky needs to pad their
• 2:32:15
  Speaker 1: resume to make sure they even get into the tournament
• 2:32:18
  Speaker 1: at this point, whereas Arkansas is almost definitively in already.
• 2:32:23
  Speaker 1: Arkansas actually second in the SEC right now, I believe
• 2:32:25
  Speaker 1: it or not. Arkansas they're coming out of a close
• 2:32:28
  Speaker 1: call themselves, though they are a close call, not themselves
• 2:32:31
  Speaker 1: because Kentucky. Kentucky got blown out, but Arkansas did just
• 2:32:34
  Speaker 1: almost lose at Oklahoma and now they're coming back home
• 2:32:38
  Speaker 1: off a bit of a scare, although I don't know it.
• 2:32:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know Oklahoma's not good, but Arkansas was only
• 2:32:44
  Speaker 1: a two point favored in that one, So I don't
• 2:32:47
  Speaker 1: know what we want to do with this game, really, man,
• 2:32:49
  Speaker 1: look at the market read Arkansas. I did go out
• 2:32:51
  Speaker 1: from six and a half to seven, although not really
• 2:32:53
  Speaker 1: much of a move there really actually because the seven
• 2:32:56
  Speaker 1: is listened with plus money on it, so it wasn't
• 2:32:59
  Speaker 1: really much to a move. I kind of lean towards
• 2:33:03
  Speaker 1: the better defense with Kentucky getting points in the fact
• 2:33:06
  Speaker 1: that they got blown out in their previous game, in
• 2:33:08
  Speaker 1: the fact that they probably like they just should be
• 2:33:12
  Speaker 1: a little bit more motivated in this one in my opinions,
• 2:33:15
  Speaker 1: so I would lean towards Kentucky, but I don't have
• 2:33:17
  Speaker 1: a strong opinion on that. US Saying Network has George
• 2:33:20
  Speaker 1: Mason and Saint Bonaventure another A ten matchup, and I
• 2:33:24
  Speaker 1: don't think Saint Bonaventure is as bad as their record looks. Man.
• 2:33:27
  Speaker 1: People are gonna look at this is think that there's
• 2:33:29
  Speaker 1: a huge gap between these two teams. George Mason one
• 2:33:33
  Speaker 1: loss in conference, two losses on the season. Saint Bonaventure
• 2:33:36
  Speaker 1: six conference losses and eight losses on the season. Yet
• 2:33:39
  Speaker 1: Saint Bonaventure is favored in this game. Well why would
• 2:33:43
  Speaker 1: that be, right, Like, this line looks absolutely insane. Why
• 2:33:47
  Speaker 1: would St. Bonaventure be favored? Well, again, the oddsmakers are
• 2:33:50
  Speaker 1: telling you there's not that much of a disparity between
• 2:33:53
  Speaker 1: these two teams. It's not women's basketball, so it just
• 2:33:58
  Speaker 1: looks so easy played. George Mason. Oh my god, the
• 2:34:01
  Speaker 1: team with the way better record is getting all these
• 2:34:03
  Speaker 1: points here. I think I would have to lean in
• 2:34:06
  Speaker 1: the other direction, George Mason. It's not a horrible spot
• 2:34:09
  Speaker 1: for them though. They just beat Davidson. Fine, you know,
• 2:34:13
  Speaker 1: that'll probably just give them some momentum coming into this one.
• 2:34:16
  Speaker 1: They got Ducaine up next, not really a big deal either,
• 2:34:19
  Speaker 1: so the spot isn't really anything here. Saint Bonadventure just
• 2:34:23
  Speaker 1: beat Ducaine on the road. I think they probably pulled
• 2:34:26
  Speaker 1: off an upset in that one. Let me see, Yeah,
• 2:34:30
  Speaker 1: there were three and a half point underdogs and that
• 2:34:32
  Speaker 1: was so they did pull off a little bit of
• 2:34:33
  Speaker 1: an upset there. But they're gonna show up for a
• 2:34:36
  Speaker 1: game against George Mason. But overall, just because the line
• 2:34:39
  Speaker 1: looks so ridiculous in this one, Like it looks so
• 2:34:42
  Speaker 1: easy to take George Mason. I would have to lean
• 2:34:44
  Speaker 1: towards Bonadventure in this one, but I don't have a
• 2:34:46
  Speaker 1: situation to really bolster it for me. Here Saint Bonaventure
• 2:34:52
  Speaker 1: up from pick him to a one point favorite in
• 2:34:53
  Speaker 1: that Onessouri State in Jacksonville State. That's right, justin does
• 2:35:02
  Speaker 1: the Missouri State games? Where's that game at? Did I
• 2:35:06
  Speaker 1: skip it? Or have I not found it yet? Where's
• 2:35:10
  Speaker 1: that game at? I might have skipped it? Oh yeah,
• 2:35:14
  Speaker 1: I skipped it. It's a three PM. I don't know.
• 2:35:18
  Speaker 1: Let me see Jacksonville State. I don't really think. I
• 2:35:22
  Speaker 1: don't know if Jacksonville State's as good as their record
• 2:35:24
  Speaker 1: looks right now. I mean, they're up near the top
• 2:35:26
  Speaker 1: of the conference, but I don't really know how good
• 2:35:27
  Speaker 1: they really are. Throughout a three game win streak. They
• 2:35:30
  Speaker 1: did have a pretty good winning against Middle Tennessee in
• 2:35:32
  Speaker 1: the middle They're they're coming off a sweep of Florida International,
• 2:35:37
  Speaker 1: just beat them on the road. Now they are I'm
• 2:35:38
  Speaker 1: gonna go from Florida to Missouri, which might be a
• 2:35:41
  Speaker 1: little bit of a weird travel spot. Especially because I
• 2:35:43
  Speaker 1: think Missouri State is new to this conference, if I'm
• 2:35:47
  Speaker 1: not mistaken. So it's a little bit of a weird
• 2:35:49
  Speaker 1: travel spot. Second straight road game for Jacksonville State Missouri
• 2:35:53
  Speaker 1: State here. They just took a loss of Sam Houston.
• 2:35:57
  Speaker 1: Sam Houston is definitely better than they look. Missouri State
• 2:36:01
  Speaker 1: staying at home at least here. But the worry with
• 2:36:03
  Speaker 1: Missouri State here is they got Liberty on deck. It's
• 2:36:05
  Speaker 1: not for a week, but that could be a pretty
• 2:36:07
  Speaker 1: major look ahead to Liberty here. I don't think these
• 2:36:11
  Speaker 1: these teams haven't played yet right this season. They might
• 2:36:13
  Speaker 1: only play once. I don't even know. My apologies if
• 2:36:17
  Speaker 1: I get that wrong, by the way, but yeah, I
• 2:36:22
  Speaker 1: would worry about Missouri State having a look ahead here.
• 2:36:24
  Speaker 1: So I think there are some bad aspects to both,
• 2:36:28
  Speaker 1: you know, to the setup for both teams here. Missouri
• 2:36:31
  Speaker 1: State is a four point favorite, though, so I think
• 2:36:35
  Speaker 1: you know the fact they're coming off a loss, they're
• 2:36:37
  Speaker 1: at home. I mean, based on the team's records, it
• 2:36:40
  Speaker 1: doesn't really look like one team should be favored by
• 2:36:42
  Speaker 1: that much over the other. I guess I'll lean to
• 2:36:45
  Speaker 1: Missouri State, but minus the points. But I have no
• 2:36:49
  Speaker 1: strong opinion on that whatsoever, Like, I barely have an
• 2:36:54
  Speaker 1: opinion on it at all. Missouri State fire, What do
• 2:37:01
  Speaker 1: you mean they're travel partners? F IU was already in
• 2:37:05
  Speaker 1: that conference. Let me see Conference USA parody. Yeah, I mean,
• 2:37:19
  Speaker 1: it's it's just it's just not a good conference. I
• 2:37:22
  Speaker 1: don't even think Liberty is actually really that good. Rutgers
• 2:37:26
  Speaker 1: at USC Peacock seven pm. Rutgers has lost a bunch
• 2:37:32
  Speaker 1: of games in a row. They've lost four games in
• 2:37:34
  Speaker 1: a row. Now they're having to travel out to the
• 2:37:36
  Speaker 1: West Coast though, and this is a bad spot for
• 2:37:39
  Speaker 1: Rutgers though, because Rutgers they just took Michigan State to
• 2:37:43
  Speaker 1: overtime in their last game, even though they lost by nine,
• 2:37:45
  Speaker 1: this is a huge performance from Rutgers almost pulling off
• 2:37:48
  Speaker 1: the upset against Michigan State. So now they're coming off
• 2:37:51
  Speaker 1: of that, which could set up a hangover spot. But
• 2:37:53
  Speaker 1: they're having to travel out to the West Coast, not
• 2:37:56
  Speaker 1: play a really late game, but still West Coast game
• 2:37:59
  Speaker 1: might a little bit late for their biological claw could
• 2:38:02
  Speaker 1: be a hangover spot. They might actually even look ahead
• 2:38:04
  Speaker 1: to UCLA the other game on the road trip, because
• 2:38:06
  Speaker 1: they're a little bit better than USC. So this is
• 2:38:09
  Speaker 1: a pretty bad spot for Rutgers here looks like a
• 2:38:13
  Speaker 1: pretty major hangover spot. The problem is USC. They're coming
• 2:38:17
  Speaker 1: off a huge game as well, where we unfortunately did
• 2:38:19
  Speaker 1: not get the cover here. And actually, if you look
• 2:38:21
  Speaker 1: at this game, I'm pissed about this, Like, look at this,
• 2:38:25
  Speaker 1: iowall lead that they blew in this game. Man, I
• 2:38:27
  Speaker 1: was blowing USC out of this game. They still had
• 2:38:30
  Speaker 1: a fifteen point lead with five minutes left, and they
• 2:38:33
  Speaker 1: didn't cover the nine and a half. I'm pissed that
• 2:38:36
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't cover that. It was a tail of two halves.
• 2:38:39
  Speaker 1: And then USC came all the way back and actually
• 2:38:41
  Speaker 1: took the lead near the end, So I'm pissed that
• 2:38:44
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't cover that. But that does set up a
• 2:38:47
  Speaker 1: bad spot for USC here. Now they are having to
• 2:38:49
  Speaker 1: travel back home, although at least for them, they're used
• 2:38:51
  Speaker 1: to playing on the Pacific coast. But both these teams
• 2:38:54
  Speaker 1: are in a horrible spot. So I don't even know
• 2:38:56
  Speaker 1: what I would do here. USC's got Indiana next to
• 2:38:59
  Speaker 1: They're basically in a sandwich spot. But Rutgers coming off
• 2:39:02
  Speaker 1: the game that they're coming off of. This game is
• 2:39:04
  Speaker 1: just terrible. Man, I think over would be the way
• 2:39:07
  Speaker 1: I would lean in this game. The totals up from
• 2:39:10
  Speaker 1: one forty five and a half to one forty six.
• 2:39:12
  Speaker 1: Both teams could be just gassed, you know, which might
• 2:39:15
  Speaker 1: affect their deepfense. So yeah, I mean that's about the
• 2:39:19
  Speaker 1: size of it. Money's coming on USC. It looks like
• 2:39:21
  Speaker 1: up from twelve to thirteen and a half. I guess
• 2:39:25
  Speaker 1: just because of the unfamiliar the unfamiliar travel spot, unfamiliarity
• 2:39:29
  Speaker 1: to the venue, plus Rutgers coming off that close game
• 2:39:32
  Speaker 1: where they almost beat a very ranked Michigan State team,
• 2:39:36
  Speaker 1: it does probably set up Rutgers to be in a
• 2:39:38
  Speaker 1: worse spot here. So I will, I guess, agree with
• 2:39:40
  Speaker 1: laying it with the USC, but no strong opinion there.
• 2:39:45
  Speaker 1: Harvard is playing Yale. I know I haven't talked about
• 2:39:48
  Speaker 1: any of the Ivys here. I think all the IVY
• 2:39:50
  Speaker 1: League teams are playing back to backs. I think they
• 2:39:52
  Speaker 1: all play tonight and they're all playing tomorrow, which actually
• 2:39:55
  Speaker 1: happens quite a bit in college basketball down the stretch.
• 2:39:58
  Speaker 1: This is a big game, but I think both teams
• 2:40:00
  Speaker 1: are gonna show up for it. Harvard is on the
• 2:40:02
  Speaker 1: road though, going from Brown to Yale whereas Yale is
• 2:40:05
  Speaker 1: staying at home. Yale is definitely the significantly better team
• 2:40:08
  Speaker 1: to Uh. Yale just beat Dartmouth tonight. Harvard won on
• 2:40:12
  Speaker 1: the road at Brown. No big deal for any of
• 2:40:14
  Speaker 1: those games, but Yale is the way better team. Yale's
• 2:40:17
  Speaker 1: staying at home. The spot probably is better for them.
• 2:40:20
  Speaker 1: Don't see a line on this yet, but I probably
• 2:40:22
  Speaker 1: really nutrients Yale. But I just don't know what the
• 2:40:25
  Speaker 1: line is gonna be yet. On this. Yale is gonna
• 2:40:28
  Speaker 1: be a pretty substantial favorite, I think, though Missouri State
• 2:40:34
  Speaker 1: and FI your wild geographically, I don't understand what this means.
• 2:40:44
  Speaker 1: Utube in New Mexico State, Like those two teams being
• 2:40:48
  Speaker 1: in the same conference makes sense, but these teams being
• 2:40:50
  Speaker 1: spread all across the southern United States doesn't make any sense.
• 2:40:55
  Speaker 1: Have it? Yeah? Have it? Yead all right, last play
• 2:41:03
  Speaker 1: of the day, last best bet, and then I got
• 2:41:05
  Speaker 1: to talk about some of these other games. This fucking
• 2:41:10
  Speaker 1: three hour show Man Albany is my last play of
• 2:41:13
  Speaker 1: the day. Let me make sure I didn't miss any
• 2:41:15
  Speaker 1: uh no by talking about Eastern Michigan. Yeah, so I
• 2:41:19
  Speaker 1: only have one more lean to so lean to huh
• 2:41:22
  Speaker 1: So we're almost done here. My last opinion is one
• 2:41:26
  Speaker 1: of the later games here. Hopefully I could skip some
• 2:41:28
  Speaker 1: of these fucking games. What was I talking about? Oh yeah, Albany. Uh,
• 2:41:34
  Speaker 1: this is a bad spot for UNBC, dude. UNBC just
• 2:41:37
  Speaker 1: played Vermont, huge game, it determined who's it's off the
• 2:41:41
  Speaker 1: American East. But always Vermont's like always the team that
• 2:41:44
  Speaker 1: you're trying to beat in this conference. And UNBC just
• 2:41:47
  Speaker 1: played them actually pretty close, even though they lost by nine.
• 2:41:51
  Speaker 1: They were at Vermont, They had chances to win this game.
• 2:41:54
  Speaker 1: They were within two points in the final couple of
• 2:41:56
  Speaker 1: minutes of the game, so and then they just never
• 2:41:59
  Speaker 1: scored again. Big game for UNBC. It's gonna be a
• 2:42:03
  Speaker 1: deflating loss. I think now they're gonna play another game
• 2:42:06
  Speaker 1: on the road at Albany. I don't believe that they
• 2:42:10
  Speaker 1: played Albany yet. No, they played them again later this season.
• 2:42:13
  Speaker 1: But still I think it's a bad spot, man, just
• 2:42:15
  Speaker 1: because they're coming off that game against Vermont that was
• 2:42:17
  Speaker 1: a huge game, determining top place in the American East.
• 2:42:21
  Speaker 1: Right now, almost beat Vermont, and again it's a little
• 2:42:24
  Speaker 1: bit bigger just because again Vermont is just so dominant
• 2:42:27
  Speaker 1: in this conference, except for the fact that they didn't
• 2:42:31
  Speaker 1: win it last year, but they seem to always win it.
• 2:42:33
  Speaker 1: Allbody looks like they were dude, I hope they wear
• 2:42:35
  Speaker 1: these uniforms again. What the fuck is this? They're wearing
• 2:42:37
  Speaker 1: these neon green uniforms even though they're a purple team
• 2:42:42
  Speaker 1: usually very very weird the Great Danes. I don't know
• 2:42:46
  Speaker 1: they should do that again here though, But Albany is
• 2:42:48
  Speaker 1: coming off a bad loss. It was to NJ and
• 2:42:51
  Speaker 1: I know NJT is above them in the standings, but
• 2:42:54
  Speaker 1: allbody was favored of this game, dude. So yeah, the
• 2:43:01
  Speaker 1: fact that Albany was favored in this game and they lost,
• 2:43:03
  Speaker 1: that would have me leaning towards Albany in this game.
• 2:43:06
  Speaker 1: And I know I haven't looked at any of the
• 2:43:08
  Speaker 1: I know some of these games are We're also looking
• 2:43:10
  Speaker 1: at like wild like kind of statistical anomalies in the
• 2:43:14
  Speaker 1: previous games too, it I know, just because I don't
• 2:43:17
  Speaker 1: have time for all this, I am not talking about it.
• 2:43:19
  Speaker 1: But Albany was a five and a half point favorite
• 2:43:21
  Speaker 1: in this game and they lost, So I like how
• 2:43:24
  Speaker 1: it sets up for Albany, Like when the teams have
• 2:43:26
  Speaker 1: favored and they lose badly. I think it sets up
• 2:43:29
  Speaker 1: a lot better for them. They're staying at home. They're
• 2:43:31
  Speaker 1: getting UNBC in what I think is a bit of
• 2:43:33
  Speaker 1: a hangover spot here. And for Albany, they've been way
• 2:43:36
  Speaker 1: better at home in conference. If you look at what
• 2:43:38
  Speaker 1: they've done in conference, they beat Bryant, Binghamton. I know
• 2:43:41
  Speaker 1: Binghamton is terrible, Bryant's way down this year, but they
• 2:43:44
  Speaker 1: annihilated them, and they beat Vermont at home. So this
• 2:43:48
  Speaker 1: Albany team has been good at home. That NIT game
• 2:43:51
  Speaker 1: was the first game that they lost on their home floor,
• 2:43:53
  Speaker 1: so they've been difficult to beat at home. They're three
• 2:43:56
  Speaker 1: and one at home. And for UNBC, they have not
• 2:43:59
  Speaker 1: been very good on the road in conference. They lost
• 2:44:02
  Speaker 1: at Bryant, beat Binghamton on the road, but Binghamton's awful,
• 2:44:06
  Speaker 1: and then of course they lost to Vermont, and of
• 2:44:08
  Speaker 1: Vermont's of course Vermont is good. But yeah, and then
• 2:44:12
  Speaker 1: I thought there was another one. Maybe there wasn't another one.
• 2:44:14
  Speaker 1: So yeah, they're one and two on the road, I
• 2:44:15
  Speaker 1: guess in conference, but still they haven't played that many
• 2:44:21
  Speaker 1: road games yet either, So whatever, I like Albany in
• 2:44:24
  Speaker 1: the game. And also, if people are gonna look at
• 2:44:26
  Speaker 1: this the line just looks wrong, right Like, why would
• 2:44:29
  Speaker 1: you NBC only be a one and a half point
• 2:44:31
  Speaker 1: favorite when they have a twelve and eight record, five
• 2:44:33
  Speaker 1: and two in conference Albany seven and fifteen and three
• 2:44:37
  Speaker 1: and four in conference. Right Like, the line looks way
• 2:44:39
  Speaker 1: too easy to play UNBC to just win the game.
• 2:44:42
  Speaker 1: We're not gonna do that. We're gonna take all many
• 2:44:44
  Speaker 1: plus the points, or if you get a better number
• 2:44:47
  Speaker 1: on the money line, I think that's fine as well.
• 2:44:49
  Speaker 1: In the Battle of the Dogs, the Retrievers against the
• 2:44:52
  Speaker 1: Great Danes, let's get it done. Man, We're gonna be
• 2:44:56
  Speaker 1: on Albany there on. As far as the market read,
• 2:44:59
  Speaker 1: I guess yes. Let's see, the line flipped on UNBC
• 2:45:05
  Speaker 1: from plus one to minus one, so that's a little
• 2:45:08
  Speaker 1: bit of a concern. I guess that the line flipped.
• 2:45:10
  Speaker 1: But there isn't a whole lot to take away from
• 2:45:12
  Speaker 1: that right now. So yeah, I like Albany. That's my
• 2:45:15
  Speaker 1: final play. Number two. Yukon at Creighton at eight pm
• 2:45:19
  Speaker 1: on Fox Yukon coming up. Another kind of close call
• 2:45:22
  Speaker 1: against Providence. Man, now they're going on the road, though,
• 2:45:25
  Speaker 1: they gotta go out to Omaha to play Creighton here.
• 2:45:30
  Speaker 1: These teams I guess did not play yet this season.
• 2:45:34
  Speaker 1: Maybe a little bit of a weird travel spot for Yukon,
• 2:45:36
  Speaker 1: but it's not surrounded by any big games though. For Creighton,
• 2:45:41
  Speaker 1: they're coming off a real ugly loss to Marquette Man
• 2:45:44
  Speaker 1: and Creighton's staying in the Midwest region here and Yukon
• 2:45:48
  Speaker 1: is gonna be laying points on the road here. I
• 2:45:51
  Speaker 1: think I probably would have to lean towards taking the
• 2:45:53
  Speaker 1: points with Creighton. I mean, Yukon, they're a slow down team.
• 2:45:56
  Speaker 1: They're not the second best team in the country. Kenbum
• 2:45:58
  Speaker 1: has them thirteen, so they're actually overrated. They're not that
• 2:46:02
  Speaker 1: good offensively. Really, they're very good defensively, but they're very
• 2:46:06
  Speaker 1: lucky according to kembull on twenty first in luck. So
• 2:46:09
  Speaker 1: this Yukon team definitely overrated at twenty and one. They're
• 2:46:13
  Speaker 1: very good defensively, but that's not enough for laying points
• 2:46:16
  Speaker 1: on the road. You know, a slow based team that
• 2:46:19
  Speaker 1: doesn't score particularly well. Yeah, down from seven to six
• 2:46:23
  Speaker 1: and a half with juice, I would lean towards taking
• 2:46:25
  Speaker 1: it with Creighton. Their total is in the mid one
• 2:46:28
  Speaker 1: forties in that one, so not a very high total.
• 2:46:31
  Speaker 1: CBS Sports has probably the two best teams in the
• 2:46:35
  Speaker 1: Missouri Valley. Just in your other conference here the Missouri Valley,
• 2:46:40
  Speaker 1: Murray State and Belmont facing off. For Murray State, I
• 2:46:44
  Speaker 1: feel like they've moved conferences repeatedly now Murray State, these
• 2:46:50
  Speaker 1: two teams I don't think have faced off yet this season.
• 2:46:52
  Speaker 1: They're the best two teams in the conference. I believe
• 2:46:54
  Speaker 1: Murray State's on a three game losing streak, but they
• 2:46:59
  Speaker 1: were kind of difficult at Drake. Maybe not so much
• 2:47:01
  Speaker 1: because Drake is not that good this year, but they
• 2:47:04
  Speaker 1: took that loss, and I think they got maybe kind
• 2:47:06
  Speaker 1: of hung over from that to the next game. But
• 2:47:08
  Speaker 1: Northern Io was not as bad as they look. Murray
• 2:47:11
  Speaker 1: State lost that game, but partially probably because it was
• 2:47:14
  Speaker 1: a hangover because they hadn't lost in such a long time.
• 2:47:17
  Speaker 1: Then they had to go to they had to come
• 2:47:19
  Speaker 1: back home and they played Illinois State and they lost
• 2:47:21
  Speaker 1: that game too. Illinois State is a pretty solid team
• 2:47:24
  Speaker 1: as well in this conference, though, But that does mean
• 2:47:26
  Speaker 1: Murray State's coming up some big games coming into this
• 2:47:29
  Speaker 1: game against Belmont. Even though this game is even bigger
• 2:47:33
  Speaker 1: for Bellmont, I think the spot does set up better
• 2:47:35
  Speaker 1: for them because they just barely won at Valparaizo, so
• 2:47:38
  Speaker 1: that was not a good game for them. It was
• 2:47:40
  Speaker 1: barely it was gonna escape, barely a win for them.
• 2:47:45
  Speaker 1: So I think the spot does set up better for
• 2:47:47
  Speaker 1: Belmont here, and I think they're the better team. I
• 2:47:50
  Speaker 1: think if people look at this, they're gonna see the
• 2:47:52
  Speaker 1: records being really close and whatever and think that four
• 2:47:54
  Speaker 1: and a half might be a little bit too high
• 2:47:56
  Speaker 1: on Belmont, But I don't think so. I would lay
• 2:47:59
  Speaker 1: it with Belmont. It's down from five to four and
• 2:48:01
  Speaker 1: a half though, so the linelet's think it has moved
• 2:48:03
  Speaker 1: against them. But I think because Belmont's coming off a
• 2:48:06
  Speaker 1: scare and I think they are actually the better team,
• 2:48:09
  Speaker 1: that is the way I would lean in that game.
• 2:48:12
  Speaker 1: ESPN two at eight pm, South Florida at Temple. South
• 2:48:18
  Speaker 1: Florida coming off a win over Tulane, not a big
• 2:48:21
  Speaker 1: deal there, but they're having to travel now from Tulane
• 2:48:24
  Speaker 1: in Louisiana all the way up to Temple in the
• 2:48:27
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia area. Maybe not that easy of a spot here
• 2:48:31
  Speaker 1: for South Florida to have to travel like that. Temple's
• 2:48:33
  Speaker 1: not as good as their record looks though, though Temple
• 2:48:36
  Speaker 1: is staying at home coming off a loss to Charlotte.
• 2:48:39
  Speaker 1: Maybe they were looking ahead. They should probably be focused
• 2:48:42
  Speaker 1: on this one though Charlotte is actually a top the
• 2:48:44
  Speaker 1: American the American Conference standings, believe it or not, which
• 2:48:48
  Speaker 1: I don't think that's gonna last. I think South Florida
• 2:48:52
  Speaker 1: is better than they are, at least Temple. I mean,
• 2:48:55
  Speaker 1: I think they will show up though for a game
• 2:48:57
  Speaker 1: against South Florida. We have what does the market look like?
• 2:49:02
  Speaker 1: South Florida is a seven and a half point road favorite, though,
• 2:49:07
  Speaker 1: so I don't know, man, because I think maybe the
• 2:49:09
  Speaker 1: line does look a little bit high to be laying
• 2:49:11
  Speaker 1: points like that on the road. I think Temple is
• 2:49:13
  Speaker 1: nowhere near as good as a record looks, so from
• 2:49:15
  Speaker 1: that respect, I think, yeah, maybe South Florida does kind
• 2:49:19
  Speaker 1: of make sense, but the travel spot seems worse for them.
• 2:49:22
  Speaker 1: So I go back and forth on It's a very
• 2:49:26
  Speaker 1: difficult game. I really have no opinion on it. Maybe
• 2:49:30
  Speaker 1: just still a slightly towards taking the points with the
• 2:49:33
  Speaker 1: home dog, but I mean you have to, I mean,
• 2:49:35
  Speaker 1: we could consult Ken Bomb, but I can't be here.
• 2:49:38
  Speaker 1: I'm already gonna be here until fucking three am. So
• 2:49:42
  Speaker 1: UAB at North Texas eight PM and ESPN U. There
• 2:49:45
  Speaker 1: are just too many TV games too, man, maybe I
• 2:49:48
  Speaker 1: should just skip some of these games. UAB is coming
• 2:49:52
  Speaker 1: off playing UTSA and actually did not do well in
• 2:49:54
  Speaker 1: this game. UAB was a pretty big favorite twelve and
• 2:49:57
  Speaker 1: a half away favorites in this game, and they almost
• 2:49:59
  Speaker 1: lost the game actually, even though they won by ten.
• 2:50:02
  Speaker 1: But if you look at what happened in this game,
• 2:50:04
  Speaker 1: UTSA was in this game basically right until the end
• 2:50:07
  Speaker 1: they had. They were in a tied game with a
• 2:50:10
  Speaker 1: couple of minutes to go, and then UTSA fell behind
• 2:50:14
  Speaker 1: and then cut the lead all the way back to
• 2:50:15
  Speaker 1: four late. So UAB did not play well in that game,
• 2:50:19
  Speaker 1: so they might bounce back from that. They do have
• 2:50:22
  Speaker 1: Memphis up next, so I don't know if they're gonna
• 2:50:24
  Speaker 1: really overlook North Texas from Memphis just because when they
• 2:50:28
  Speaker 1: had an escape like that against UTSA. I think they
• 2:50:30
  Speaker 1: will show up for a game here against North Texas,
• 2:50:34
  Speaker 1: and Memphis just hasn't really been playing that well this
• 2:50:37
  Speaker 1: year though. I think they won yesterday, which I got
• 2:50:39
  Speaker 1: correct on North Texas coming off a loss to Tulsa
• 2:50:42
  Speaker 1: where they kind of got blown out at Tulsa and
• 2:50:45
  Speaker 1: now they're coming back home from that. I'm looking at
• 2:50:47
  Speaker 1: what the line looks like in this game. North Texas
• 2:50:51
  Speaker 1: is a one point favorite here. I think I probably
• 2:50:53
  Speaker 1: slightly lean to UAB. They are the better team and
• 2:50:56
  Speaker 1: they should be in a very focused spot after almost
• 2:50:58
  Speaker 1: losing as a big favorite, So that would be my opinion.
• 2:51:01
  Speaker 1: There eight pm on Big ten Network, Washington at Northwestern.
• 2:51:07
  Speaker 1: We're almost done. Washington coming up a pretty big game
• 2:51:12
  Speaker 1: against Illinois where they hung in there. Man, I think
• 2:51:14
  Speaker 1: they were actually not covering at one point at the end.
• 2:51:16
  Speaker 1: I thought they had a wire to wire, but I
• 2:51:18
  Speaker 1: think they were actually down fourteen at one point right
• 2:51:21
  Speaker 1: near the end. They were not covering, and thankfully they
• 2:51:25
  Speaker 1: still got the cover because I think we were right
• 2:51:27
  Speaker 1: about the game. It was still it should have been
• 2:51:30
  Speaker 1: an easier cover than it was at the end, but
• 2:51:32
  Speaker 1: they did wind up cutting it back to nine. But
• 2:51:36
  Speaker 1: now that was a big game for Washington. Now they're
• 2:51:38
  Speaker 1: coming up that game against Illinois. They got to play
• 2:51:40
  Speaker 1: this Northwestern team that just doesn't look good record wise,
• 2:51:44
  Speaker 1: and then Washington does have Iowa UCLA up next, so
• 2:51:48
  Speaker 1: back on the Pacific coast. So this does look like
• 2:51:52
  Speaker 1: kind of a sandwich spot for Washington here of a
• 2:51:55
  Speaker 1: Northwestern They just beat Penn State whatever. Penn State's awful. Now.
• 2:52:00
  Speaker 1: The worry about Northwestern is they got Illinois on deck, man,
• 2:52:03
  Speaker 1: So that is the problem. That's a huge game. It's
• 2:52:06
  Speaker 1: revenge already for Illinois beating them at Northwestern earlier this year.
• 2:52:11
  Speaker 1: But those two teams they don't like each other. Man,
• 2:52:13
  Speaker 1: They're both Chicago area rivals, their geographic rivals. So the
• 2:52:17
  Speaker 1: worry here is that Northwestern has a look ahead spot here.
• 2:52:20
  Speaker 1: But I do think the spot is worse for Washington,
• 2:52:23
  Speaker 1: so I do lean to Northwestern. As I pointed out
• 2:52:26
  Speaker 1: with Northwestern when we played them against USC, I think
• 2:52:29
  Speaker 1: Northwestern is actually a little bit under the radar. Man,
• 2:52:33
  Speaker 1: although I think in this case both these teams are
• 2:52:36
  Speaker 1: Washington in Northwestern. But according to Kembum, Northwestern is like
• 2:52:40
  Speaker 1: a very unlucky team. I think right now it should
• 2:52:42
  Speaker 1: be a lot better than their record looks. Northwestern is
• 2:52:45
  Speaker 1: a one and a half way favorite. They've gone up
• 2:52:47
  Speaker 1: a little bit to one and a half with juice
• 2:52:50
  Speaker 1: for what that's worth. All Right, you see San Diego
• 2:52:53
  Speaker 1: at cal State Northridge, you see San Diego has a
• 2:52:58
  Speaker 1: few conference losses here, but I believe the first one,
• 2:53:01
  Speaker 1: or no, it wasn't the first one, but they did
• 2:53:02
  Speaker 1: lose at home to Cal State Northridge, So this might
• 2:53:05
  Speaker 1: be a little bit of a revenge spot here for
• 2:53:07
  Speaker 1: you see San Diego man for losing to them at
• 2:53:11
  Speaker 1: home already. If you see San Diego is coming up
• 2:53:13
  Speaker 1: an ugly loss where they only scored forty eight points
• 2:53:16
  Speaker 1: at home against you see Santa Barbara. And I know
• 2:53:18
  Speaker 1: you see Santa Barbera's pretty good in this conference, but
• 2:53:21
  Speaker 1: that's an ugly loss when you score that little on
• 2:53:24
  Speaker 1: your home floor. But you see San Diego is coming
• 2:53:27
  Speaker 1: off that you see Irvine game that was a huge game,
• 2:53:30
  Speaker 1: two point game, and they did have this revenge game
• 2:53:32
  Speaker 1: against Northridge on Dacko. I don't know that they really
• 2:53:35
  Speaker 1: would overlook Santa Barbara, but to me, this does look
• 2:53:38
  Speaker 1: like a bounce back spot here for you see San Diego.
• 2:53:42
  Speaker 1: Cal State Northridge just beat you see Davis handily. They're
• 2:53:45
  Speaker 1: not gonna overlook you see San Diego. But I do
• 2:53:47
  Speaker 1: think you see San Diego will have the adjustments to
• 2:53:51
  Speaker 1: make and have made them, and they're the better teams still,
• 2:53:55
  Speaker 1: So I prefer you see San Diego here, although the
• 2:53:57
  Speaker 1: live drop from three to two, so it looks like
• 2:53:59
  Speaker 1: it's just agreeing with me. But I would probably lay
• 2:54:02
  Speaker 1: it with UC San Diego if I was gonna play it.
• 2:54:07
  Speaker 1: ESPN at eight thirty PM Auburn at Tennessee. Now, this
• 2:54:12
  Speaker 1: is SEC Tournament revenge because Tennessee did knock Auburn out
• 2:54:16
  Speaker 1: of the SEC tournament last year. But I don't know
• 2:54:18
  Speaker 1: if Auburn really cares that much about that, because Auburn
• 2:54:22
  Speaker 1: seemed to just not care that much about that SEC
• 2:54:24
  Speaker 1: tournament last year because they already had the one overall
• 2:54:27
  Speaker 1: one seed wrapped up in the actual NCAA tournament. So
• 2:54:33
  Speaker 1: I don't know that they're gonna care that much about
• 2:54:35
  Speaker 1: revenge here now looking at the spot, Auburn did just
• 2:54:40
  Speaker 1: win and not cover against Texas, so in a way,
• 2:54:44
  Speaker 1: you might say, well, they'll focus more on Tennessee here
• 2:54:46
  Speaker 1: because of that. But they also have Alabama on deck,
• 2:54:49
  Speaker 1: and that is a huge look ahead Spottle though it's
• 2:54:51
  Speaker 1: not for a week, but Auburn Alabama, it's a big
• 2:54:53
  Speaker 1: Alabama rivalry. Those teams obviously hate each other, so that
• 2:54:57
  Speaker 1: is a big look ahead for Tennessee. They're just not
• 2:55:00
  Speaker 1: playing as well this season, coming off a win over Georgia.
• 2:55:04
  Speaker 1: It was a close win, but still they're coming off
• 2:55:07
  Speaker 1: pretty big games against Alabama. Georgia got those two wins.
• 2:55:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know, it's possible they don't really totally take
• 2:55:15
  Speaker 1: Auburn seriously though. The last time Tennessee was at home,
• 2:55:18
  Speaker 1: they lost as a favorite to Kentucky, So maybe they
• 2:55:21
  Speaker 1: do want to redeem themselves for that reason. So I
• 2:55:24
  Speaker 1: don't know what to do with this game. Tennessee did
• 2:55:27
  Speaker 1: drop from six to five and a half. It looks
• 2:55:29
  Speaker 1: like here, I've heard some professional opinions on the Tennessee
• 2:55:32
  Speaker 1: side here. I just don't know if I agree. I think,
• 2:55:36
  Speaker 1: you know, maybe the maybe the revenge is a little
• 2:55:40
  Speaker 1: bit of a factor here for Auburn. Maybe just the
• 2:55:42
  Speaker 1: fact that they're playing Tennessee is a bit of a thing.
• 2:55:45
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. I think I would slightly
• 2:55:48
  Speaker 1: make towards taking the boys with the Auburn in that one,
• 2:55:50
  Speaker 1: but I don't have a strong opinion on it at all.
• 2:55:53
  Speaker 1: All right, what else do we have here? Fox Sports
• 2:55:58
  Speaker 1: won nine. This is not a very interesting game. Unfortunately.
• 2:56:03
  Speaker 1: Mountain West, Colorado State, who looks like they're having a
• 2:56:06
  Speaker 1: down year against Wyoming, who's not very good either. Colorado
• 2:56:10
  Speaker 1: State just lost to Utah State close, but then they
• 2:56:13
  Speaker 1: lost way worse to San Diego State, probably in a
• 2:56:16
  Speaker 1: bit of a hangover spot after a big performance against
• 2:56:19
  Speaker 1: Utah State. Now they're having to go from San Diego
• 2:56:22
  Speaker 1: State all the way up to Wyoming though, so a
• 2:56:24
  Speaker 1: little bit of a weird travel spottle, though maybe they's
• 2:56:27
  Speaker 1: somewhat used to it playing in the Mountain West. Wyoming
• 2:56:31
  Speaker 1: coming in off getting blown out at Utah State, They're
• 2:56:34
  Speaker 1: coming back home and they do of San Diego State
• 2:56:36
  Speaker 1: on deck. Don't know if that's really going to be
• 2:56:38
  Speaker 1: a look ahead. These two teams have not played each
• 2:56:40
  Speaker 1: other yet. I don't even know what to do with
• 2:56:43
  Speaker 1: this game. The situation doesn't look like it's that bad
• 2:56:45
  Speaker 1: one way or the other. Wyoming dropped from two to
• 2:56:47
  Speaker 1: one here. I mean, I guess I'll agree with that
• 2:56:51
  Speaker 1: move towards Colorado State because they are the better team,
• 2:56:54
  Speaker 1: but I don't really have any opinion on that. Ten PM. Finally,
• 2:56:59
  Speaker 1: we're in the very degenerate hours here to finish this off.
• 2:57:02
  Speaker 1: CBS Sports New Mexico at San Jose State in the
• 2:57:06
  Speaker 1: Mountain West. San Jose State one of the worst teams
• 2:57:08
  Speaker 1: in the Mountain West. Their only win is against Air
• 2:57:11
  Speaker 1: Force in the conference, so that's not good. But the
• 2:57:14
  Speaker 1: spot's not particularly good for New Mexico here. I don't
• 2:57:16
  Speaker 1: think they just beat Nevada and then beat UNLV on
• 2:57:20
  Speaker 1: the road. They're only an OK team, but they might
• 2:57:23
  Speaker 1: just look right past San Jose State, who they already
• 2:57:28
  Speaker 1: beat by the way by twenty three points at New Mexico,
• 2:57:30
  Speaker 1: so they just might really not pay attention to them.
• 2:57:33
  Speaker 1: And they got Utah State, Boise, and Grand Canyon all
• 2:57:36
  Speaker 1: up in a row on decks, so those are all
• 2:57:38
  Speaker 1: bigger games, so looks like a bit of a look
• 2:57:41
  Speaker 1: ahead here, So I think they could look right past
• 2:57:43
  Speaker 1: the San Jose State team. San Jose State just took
• 2:57:46
  Speaker 1: an embarrassing loss at home to Boise, losing by thirty
• 2:57:50
  Speaker 1: one points. I mean, nobody wants that, so I think
• 2:57:52
  Speaker 1: you've got to expect to at least come with a
• 2:57:54
  Speaker 1: better effort this time and get New Mexico at least
• 2:57:57
  Speaker 1: not in the greatest spot. New Mexico's up from thirteen
• 2:58:00
  Speaker 1: to fourteen. But I don't agree with that line move.
• 2:58:03
  Speaker 1: I would take the points with San Jose State in
• 2:58:05
  Speaker 1: this one. The totals in the high one forties, so
• 2:58:08
  Speaker 1: it's not exactly a high total either. And then to finish,
• 2:58:13
  Speaker 1: finish the whole thing off, we have the huge game
• 2:58:16
  Speaker 1: in the in the West Coast Conference at ten thirty pm.
• 2:58:21
  Speaker 1: Of course, it is the game Saint Mary's at number
• 2:58:24
  Speaker 1: six Gonzaga. Gonzaga maybe a little bit over ranked as
• 2:58:27
  Speaker 1: Kembom has them at tenth. They're only in the top
• 2:58:30
  Speaker 1: twenty in both offense and defense. Even I think they're
• 2:58:33
  Speaker 1: a very good team. They're very balanced this year, a
• 2:58:36
  Speaker 1: little bit or very lucky though according to Kembom at
• 2:58:38
  Speaker 1: fifteenth in lock and they do play too fast in
• 2:58:41
  Speaker 1: my opinion, but that's probably good for Gonzaga in this
• 2:58:44
  Speaker 1: game because Saint Mary's tries to play really slow. So
• 2:58:48
  Speaker 1: this is I mean, it's a classic matchup. These teams
• 2:58:50
  Speaker 1: play each other multiple times every year. I think the
• 2:58:54
  Speaker 1: home team is a pretty significant advantage in this matchup,
• 2:58:56
  Speaker 1: and it has been the case in this conference this year.
• 2:58:58
  Speaker 1: The home team, I think it's had the biggest advantage
• 2:59:01
  Speaker 1: in this West Coast Conference out of all the conferences
• 2:59:04
  Speaker 1: in basketball this year. But it's even more pronounced in
• 2:59:07
  Speaker 1: this matchup because the pacing contrast is so drastic with
• 2:59:11
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary' who wanted to play really slow, Gonzaga wanted
• 2:59:14
  Speaker 1: to go really fast. So Gonzaga will probably try to
• 2:59:17
  Speaker 1: do that again. Now, this is gonna be revenge for
• 2:59:21
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's, I think, because I believe Gonzaga beat them, yeah,
• 2:59:24
  Speaker 1: to win the conference last year. Gonzaga actually lost to
• 2:59:28
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's in both regular season matchups though, but then
• 2:59:31
  Speaker 1: beat them in the conference final. So it is revenge
• 2:59:34
  Speaker 1: for Saint Mary's for that though. And I don't believe
• 2:59:37
  Speaker 1: these teams have played yet because the you know, the
• 2:59:39
  Speaker 1: schedule makers, they make these teams play at the very
• 2:59:41
  Speaker 1: end of the season every year. So yeah, so this
• 2:59:47
  Speaker 1: is gonna be the first time they're playing this year. Now,
• 2:59:48
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's is actually in a positive situational spot because,
• 2:59:52
  Speaker 1: as I talked about, why the reason why we faded
• 2:59:54
  Speaker 1: Portland the other night against Pacific is because Portland played
• 2:59:59
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's. Really it's tough in Portland, so Saint Mary's
• 3:00:02
  Speaker 1: might have been looking right past them to this Gonzaga game.
• 3:00:05
  Speaker 1: So Saint Mary's played pretty poorly, almost lost as a
• 3:00:08
  Speaker 1: huge favorite at Portland. So for that reason, yeah, they
• 3:00:12
  Speaker 1: should show a focus here, they should bounce back from that.
• 3:00:15
  Speaker 1: But Gonzaga is in a very similar situation where they
• 3:00:18
  Speaker 1: almost lost at home to say Francisco, So they were
• 3:00:21
  Speaker 1: huge favorites in that game and they almost took the loss.
• 3:00:24
  Speaker 1: So that kind of negates that. And I think the
• 3:00:26
  Speaker 1: fact that Gonzaga is at home, they're they're the better
• 3:00:29
  Speaker 1: of the two teams. Ken Bum I think has Saint
• 3:00:32
  Speaker 1: Mary's somewhere in the thirties ranking wise. Yeah, they're both
• 3:00:35
  Speaker 1: gonna be tournament teams most likely again because that's just
• 3:00:38
  Speaker 1: the way that it is. Gonzaga definitely will be, but
• 3:00:42
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards Gonzaga in this one. I think
• 3:00:44
  Speaker 1: being able to speed it up, not having to travel,
• 3:00:49
  Speaker 1: I just think it sets up better for Gonzaga. Man,
• 3:00:52
  Speaker 1: the home advantage I think is a bit strong in this.
• 3:00:55
  Speaker 1: In matchups like this, the line move seems to disagree.
• 3:00:58
  Speaker 1: It dropped from ten to nine and a half and
• 3:01:00
  Speaker 1: the total is not very high in the one forty,
• 3:01:02
  Speaker 1: So the market seems to be thinking that Saint Mary's
• 3:01:05
  Speaker 1: might be able to successfully slow this thing down quite
• 3:01:08
  Speaker 1: a bit. And yes, it is easier for the lesser
• 3:01:10
  Speaker 1: team to slow the game down. But I don't know.
• 3:01:13
  Speaker 1: I think it's Gonzaga pass for me in this one.
• 3:01:16
  Speaker 1: Of course, Gonzaga they still might have a little bit
• 3:01:18
  Speaker 1: of revenge mode of themselves because the last time they
• 3:01:20
  Speaker 1: played Saint Mary's in this arena they lost last year.
• 3:01:25
  Speaker 1: So that conference final that Gonzaga won was in Vegas
• 3:01:29
  Speaker 1: in a neutral site game, so uh yeah, Gonzaga may
• 3:01:32
  Speaker 1: remember that. So that's gonna do it. Man. Once again,
• 3:01:36
  Speaker 1: my plays for tomorrow are UCF plus the points, all
• 3:01:40
  Speaker 1: college basketball here Fordham plus the points, Southern Miss plus
• 3:01:45
  Speaker 1: the very small amount of points, Long Beach State plus
• 3:01:48
  Speaker 1: the points, Syracuse minus the points, New Orleans minus the points,
• 3:01:53
  Speaker 1: and Albany plus the very small amount of points. And
• 3:01:58
  Speaker 1: that's gonna do it. I gotta get these Instagram videos
• 3:02:00
  Speaker 1: out in the morning, which is gonna be annoying. So wait,
• 3:02:03
  Speaker 1: how many plays did I have? Seven? All right, that's right,
• 3:02:06
  Speaker 1: I was gonna have six. I added one more. All right, fine,
• 3:02:09
  Speaker 1: I gotta get some sleep, man. Thanks for hanging out, everybody.
• 3:02:12
  Speaker 1: Learn its on on Instagram, learn it tone on Twitter,
• 3:02:15
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• 3:02:20
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• 3:02:24
  Speaker 1: appearances on I think the name of the channel. You
• 3:02:27
  Speaker 1: saw the guy come into my chat like a couple
• 3:02:29
  Speaker 1: of weeks ago. Uh, whatever his name. What's his name again,
• 3:02:34
  Speaker 1: John Demand or something like that, whatever his name is.
• 3:02:37
  Speaker 1: Those guys on just Win Baby Sports or whatever, you
• 3:02:41
  Speaker 1: can find it. Uh, it's something like that you'll be
• 3:02:43
  Speaker 1: able to find on YouTube. I'm gonna be making some
• 3:02:45
  Speaker 1: appearances on their shows, I guess in the near future,
• 3:02:48
  Speaker 1: so be on the lookout for that. But yes, like,
• 3:02:50
  Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel here, man, we need to boost
• 3:02:52
  Speaker 1: this thing. Listen on an audio as well. That helps
• 3:02:56
  Speaker 1: me out. Review on audio Apple Spotify covered in you
• 3:02:59
  Speaker 1: because my channel on YouTube and check that out. Trying
• 3:03:03
  Speaker 1: to get that up to date. I did update some
• 3:03:04
  Speaker 1: of the Patreon feed Spotify. There's a Spotify yuke feed
• 3:03:09
  Speaker 1: that you can get on patreonon patreon dot com, slash
• 3:03:12
  Speaker 1: learn to toad plus you can get some requests in
• 3:03:14
  Speaker 1: there as well. I know I'm lagging behind. I'm probably
• 3:03:17
  Speaker 1: not gonna do all of them, but I've done requests
• 3:03:20
  Speaker 1: for Charles and for harry Balls, so there you go.
• 3:03:25
  Speaker 1: And of course the Loser Cast. You can check that
• 3:03:28
  Speaker 1: out every Tuesday night, the Comedy Podcast, and I'm on.
• 3:03:30
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. I appreciate it, guys, Thank you, sir.
• 3:03:34
  Speaker 1: I appreciate it. People keep coming back even though don't
• 3:03:38
  Speaker 1: have enough viewers. I am way too long winded on
• 3:03:43
  Speaker 1: the show and I'm gonna ask. So that's it. That's
• 3:03:47
  Speaker 1: gonna do it for now. I'll be back in the morning, unfortunately,
• 3:03:49
  Speaker 1: because I'm gonna have had no sleep. But that's gonna
• 3:03:52
  Speaker 1: do it. It'll be at least somewhat short of board tomorrow.
• 3:03:56
  Speaker 1: There's a lot of hockey tomorrow though, so I gotta
• 3:03:59
  Speaker 1: do all that and more learning. But that's hopefully there's
• 3:04:01
  Speaker 1: not that much NBA. But that's gonna do it. Peace MHM.