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NCAAB + NBA + NHL + NCAAF Best Bets Wednesday 11/12/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's what I'm gonna start off this show,
• 0:12
  Speaker 2: horrible Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you above that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: slump continuing.
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. Own
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: four that have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with bookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm gonna burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: bruins hat Man. I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth, I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man's
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: I die at least oh and two.
• 1:04
  Speaker 2: Yesterday and yesterday did not go well for me. Own
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: five the worst month that I've ever had in my
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: Slump yesterdays, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: Toad back with you for Toadstool Sports Now Thursday, no Wednesday, Wednesday,
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: November twelve. Somebody gave me a down vote on the
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: on the show yesterday. Somebody doesn't like the new branding.
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: Well guess what, baby, We're rolling with it. Somebody must
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: just hate me.
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know what the deal is
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: with that. People gotta hate man.
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: My amount of views actually went down a little bit,
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: But we'll we'll continue with this. We'll see, hopefully I
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: get more SEO out of this. Yesterday, it was a
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: decent day on the show. I mean it was either
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: two one and one or three and one, depending on
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: which numbers you got.
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: We started off bad with Harvard, just Harvard just completely shit.
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: The bad I mean, what do you want like, what
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: do you want me to say? I mean that was
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: a bad play, bad call.
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: The money agreed with me.
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: I mean the market that line went off at like six,
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: so there was market agreement with me on that. Still
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: didn't even come close Illinois, depending on the number that
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: you got. I gave it out a four on the show,
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: but it was actually a three and a half throughout
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: like the later part of the day, So hopefully people
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: got a better number on that or played money line
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: or whatever. They probably should have covered both numbers. I mean,
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: they had like a double digit lead in the second half.
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: They let the whole thing slip away. I think Texas
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: Tech actually took the lead at one point, Illinois got
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: it back and then it got down the stretcher, thinking
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: all right, maybe they'll be able to cover this with
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: intentional fouls or fouls or whatever.
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: At the end, they won by exactly four, So that
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: either pushed or you.
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: Got the win with the three and a half because
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: three and a half was pretty predominant out there later
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: in the day.
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: So I mean on the show, I guess we have
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: to score it as a push.
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: But yeah, the three and a half's are out there
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: for quite a while, and then we did get a
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: win on the Washington Capital is easy four to one
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: win there. I haven't looked at the box score to
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: see if it was misleading or anything like that.
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: That was a win. And then we did get the
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: win in.
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: That ugly Mac game, or I was wrong about the
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: other Mac game, which should have been even uglier. Kent
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: State somehow pulled out a big win, but in the
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: game that mattered, Western Michigan pulled out the win. That
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: was a low scoring, ugly, back and forth game. But
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: if you want a Western Michigan in that game, you're
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: gonna have to expect more of a defensive battle in
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: that game.
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: They were able to do it.
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: They almost threw the game away with stupid clock management
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: at the end as they they basically like kneeled too early,
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: so they were to give Ohio like twenty seconds left
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: to do something with it. But it wound up not mattering.
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: But that was a little bit of stupid clock management there.
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: They should have been. I mean, they were probably gonna
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: wind up having to like give the ball back anyway,
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: like depending on how that worked out. But I mean,
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: you shouldn't just kneel at that point. I don't know
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: what that was. But Western Michigan still got it done.
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: They became Bowl eligible. They're still in the mix for
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: the MAC Championship game, which Ohio might done not be anymore.
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: Mister Pinzy, what's up man? Thanks for hanging out.
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: NHL.
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: I have two NHL plays that and one of them
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: is one of those. The other completely disagrees with one
• 4:43
  Speaker 2: of those, and I think I agree with the other two. Yeah,
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: and one of one of the other ones is almost
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: a play for me, and then.
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll talk. We'll talk about I have.
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: Ten plays today. Seven of them are college basssketball. Even
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: though it's not even a huge college basketball board. Today,
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: I see like a bunch of situations and I can't
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: restrain myself.
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: So hopefully we don't get into the territory of how
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: bad I was in college basketball last year.
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: But I think these situations are decent. They are a
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: bunch of favorites. Again here early season favorites. I'm gonna
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: have two NHL plays, like I said, one NBA play.
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: I don't love the NBA board. There's one play that
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: I like. Let's get into it. Man, as Dirty Sock
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: knows that I always mentioned, Oh yeah, I'm gonna try
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: to make this show go fast, and then I never do.
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: I will point out like right away.
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: In college basketball, I think Georgetown is in a sandwich spot,
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: so I will point that out. They just beat Maryland
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: on the road, pretty big win. I mean, Maryland probably
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: not as good this year as they were last year,
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: but that's a road win. It gets a Big ten team.
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: And then they do have Clemson up next in a
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: few days, so it's possible Georgetown kind of overlooks Binghamton here.
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: Binghamton not good though, and they might be outmatch here.
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: Binghamton is coming off a loss. I believe it's a
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: favorite at home to Niagara though. Yeah, they were a
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: small favorite in this game. Didn't have a good game.
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: They were still winning the game by seven late and
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: probably should have won the game.
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: They had a.
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: Really bad shooting performance in the game Binghamton did, so
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: I would take the points with Binghamton in this one
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: if I was gonna play it. Georgetown looks like they
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: took some money early though, and they're all the way
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: up from twenty four and a half to twenty seven
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: and a half, So maybe the market is disagreeing, or
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: maybe it was just setting up the number just to
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: get an even bigger number. All then, once you get
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: into numbers, in that range. It's like they're not really
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: key once you get up there. But I'll leave that
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: one alone just because they think it might be a
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: little bit of a mismatch. Number twenty Tennessee gets North Florida,
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: who is playing multiple big games in a row. They
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: did get blown out by Florida in their first game,
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: not really a good sign for North Florida.
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: Even though Florida is good.
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: Tennessee hasn't really been challenged yet, although North Florida might
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: not offer much of a challenge either. Tennessee is a
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: forty one and a half point favorite. They're the second
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: biggest favorite on the board today. They go out of
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: the games that atlied and the one that's the biggest
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: favorite is hilarious, and they'll never be that big of
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: a favorite again. So yeah, I mean I kind of
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: want to skip, like most of the rest of these games.
• 7:27
  Speaker 2: I just don't have a whole lot else to say
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: about a lot of these games. Just pointing out some
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: of the bigger teams that are playing today, I mean
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: getting into the well, those are like some six pm games,
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: some of those are getting to seven pm.
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: We do have I mean Vcus playing Saint Peter's VCU
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: is coming up a pretty big game against Utah State,
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: and they do have NC State up next, so could
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: be a little bit of a sandwich spot. They lost
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: to Utah State by three, and that was a neutral
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: site game in Texas, which I think the location favored
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: Utah State a little bit in that game. It's possible
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: VCU overlooks Saint Peter's a little bit here, even though
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: we remember Saint Peter's making that tournament run a few
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: years ago and making the tournament again not that long ago.
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: Saint Peter's played, I guess, respectably in a game on
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: the road at Seton Hall earlier, though Seaton Hall is
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: not really that good better than Saint Peter's. VC is
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: a twenty two point favorite here, but I mean if
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: you forced me to pick that game, I would probably
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: fade them. VCU kind of known for playing slower pace
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: as well. I don't know if that's still the case
• 8:33
  Speaker 2: this year, though apparently it's not. What did they get
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: Shaka Smart back their eighth and temple this year. That's
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: insane because they were one of the slower teams in
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: college basketball last year, so seems like a big time
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: style shift for VCU that I still got to get
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: used to what these teams are this year. Indiana's playing Milwaukee.
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: Indiana is gonna be a big favorite here as well.
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: They did just beat Marquette. Pretty satisfying when they're putting
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: up a hundred points against Marquette in an easy win.
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: So is it a letdown spot? I don't know.
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: Potentially, Indiana eighty nine percent of the tickets, only seventy
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: two percent of the cash on them as of right now,
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: even though they initially had the line driven up on
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: them from twenty two and a half to twenty five.
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: I would fade Indiana in that game as well, taking
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: the points if I was gonna play it, which I'm
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: not interested in. Saint Joe's is at Virginia Tech. Saint
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: Joe's coming off beating one of their Philadelphia little brothers
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: in Drexel, beating them by double digits.
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: Now, this is their first true road game of the season.
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: Although against Virginia Tech, you gotta think they're gonna least
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: at least get up for this game. It's a big
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: game against an ACC team, But Saint Joe's still tough
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: spot because their first true road game Virginia Tech, though
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: they're coming off a pretty big win over Providence. I
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: mean they beat a big East team, so it could
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: be a little bit of a letdown spot. And that
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: was a barn burner of a game where both teams
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: scored over one hundred points. So probably got a slightly
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: lean to Saint Joe in this one. The money seems
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: to kind of agree with that. Virginia Tech went up
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: a little bit to eleven and a half with juice,
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: but seventy three percent of tickets ninety five percent of
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: the cash on Saint Joe's. I'm not going to disagree
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: with that one either. Anything else of interest here, I
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: don't know. I mean I was looking to maybe fade
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: mercy Hurst because we know they pull off that upset
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: over Loyal Chicago, but they played another game in between
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: the two against the Division two team, so I'm not
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: as interested in looking to fade them here.
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: They're going to Canesius, who's.
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: Been pretty bad recently in the matt Act, although I
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: think when I look the money was indicating on Canesius anyway.
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: I mean, Mercyhurst is still not very good, and now
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: it looks like the line flipped in the other direction.
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: So it was indicating on Caneasias earlier and now it's
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: all the way on Mercy Hurst.
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: Pick them with juice.
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: Now, I mean, I just figured I would point that
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: out just because I had initial thoughts on it, but
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: I don't really have any good thoughts on it now.
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: It's kind of a it's like a lakes battle there
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: because Mercy Hearst is in Erie, Pennsylvania, on Lake Erie,
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: and then Canesius is in Buffalo, so just kind of
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: up the coastline of the lake there, basically Canesius. I mean,
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: it's not really a rivalry because Mercy Hearst joined Division
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: one recently and the Canesis their biggest rival is still
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: Niagara because they're in the same conference and they're close,
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: but that those games will happen later in the season
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: in conference play. Ugly total in that in that game though,
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: down to minus one thirty excuse me, down to one
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: thirty seven on the total. Houston, number one in the
• 11:37
  Speaker 2: country gets Oakland. Oakland has battle tested themselves.
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: They played on the road against Michigan and Purdue and
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: now Houston. Very very difficult to early schedule for Oakland,
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: and they actually played pretty close against Purdue. They came
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: to within ten of Purdue. I mean they started following
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: apart late in the game, but they were still within
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: striking range of Purdue at like six seven minutes left
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: in the game. So after a big effort like that,
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: they might be in a face spot here. So I
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: would probably look to lay it with Houston in this one,
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: although laying up they're up to twenty nine now twenty
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: six and a half, up to twenty nine lang twenty
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: nine points with Houston is definitely a bit of an
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: ask because they do play really, really slow, although they're
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: potentially the best team in the country. Although kent bumb
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: has Duke and then Gonzaga and then Houston right now,
• 12:28
  Speaker 2: I mean, these ken bomb rings are shifting all over
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: the place right now.
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: So not a ton to take away from that.
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: Sixty seven percent of tickets on Houston, ninety one percent
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: of the couch on Oakland though, so Stacks, what's up man,
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out. So the money is kind of
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: indicating against Houston right now, but I would probably lay
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: it with Houston if I was gonna play it. Vandy
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: is playing Eastern Kentucky. Vandy's gonna be a big favor here.
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: They're coming off beating UCF and scoring over one hundred,
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: which is a bigger game against a big twelve team.
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: Eastern Kentucky did just lose to Western Kentucky, which is
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: a big game for them to So I mean, I'm
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: not interested in this game at all. But Vandy up
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: from twenty seven and a half to twenty eight on
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: the line. Big favorite there, But you could potentially argue
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: Vandy's in a little bit of a letdown spot there
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: Eastern Kentucky.
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: This is their first true road.
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: Game, so not gonna be an easy ask for them.
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: The whole show's the best Bets segment. Man, let's get
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: into it now. This first one up is, this line
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: is already moving. Oral Roberts plus the points is gonna
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: be my first of seven college basketball plays. I did
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: not expect anywhere near seven today. It's just the way
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: that it worked out. And I don't know, maybe I'm
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: not restraining myself enough, but I don't want to get
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: into that situation where I'm just like, you know, like
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: last year, I just started sucking in college basketball.
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: I don't want that to happen. I am up in college.
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: Basketball this year, but yes, Oral Roberts plus the points here,
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: this line is already moving. It's already down to six
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: and a half from ten. It was nine and a half,
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: like basically forty minutes ago. I saw the number all
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: over the place. When I just look between like eight
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: and a half and six and a half, I think,
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: if you want to get it, you got to take
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: at least seven and a half, I would say, And
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: I think you'll probably find it out there because seven
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: is the key number. But the money seems to be
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: very much agreeing with me on Oral Roberts in this game.
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: First of all, this is against Tulsa, and Tulsa's not
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: that good, not that Oral Roberts is. But this is
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: a big game for Oral Roberts. It's a bigger game
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: for them than it is for Tulsa because Oral Roberts
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: is the little brother basically to Tulsa in the city
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: of Tulsa. Oral Roberts is also in Tulsa. So this
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: is always a huge.
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: Game for Oral Roberts, even more so than it is
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: for Tulsa. So to start, the handy guy, I usually
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: want to look to that little brother, especially if they're
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: getting points, because you know you're gonna get a big
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: effort out of them for the most part. Then I'm
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: looking at it and I'm like, well, Tulsa's two and zero,
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: what have they really done so far? They beat a
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: Division two team and then they beat Rhode Eye. I mean,
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: Rhode Island's had some decent years recently, but I don't
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: know how good Rhode Island really is this year. They're
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: in the Atlantic ten.
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: Ken Bum has them outside of the top one hundred,
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: so it doesn't really have them as a great team.
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: He has Tulsa eight ranking spots high and also.
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: Out of the top one hundred, So I don't think
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: there's much you can really take away from this. Tulsa
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: was an underdog and it was the Veterans Classic though,
• 15:22
  Speaker 2: so this game was in Annapolis, Maryland, so this was
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: like one of their Veterans one of the College of
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: Basketball Veterans Day weekend things basically, although this was on
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: November seventh, but they played at.
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: The Naval Academy. This is a big game, dude.
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: So Tulsa was an underdog. Like I said, somebody like
• 15:42
  Speaker 2: Rhode Island in the A ten. You're gonna consider that
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: to be a bigger opponent than Oral Roberts and obviously
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: it is Tulsa.
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: Pulled off the big win in this game.
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: If you look at what happened in the game, it
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: was definitely an outlier type of situation here, even though
• 15:54
  Speaker 2: Tulsa did out rebound ri Tulsa shown almost fifty two
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: percent from the field and fifty percent from three, while
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: Rhode Island was only forty five point eight percent from
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: the field and a little bit of a low thirty
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: three point three percent from three. Rhode Island also losing
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: the turnover battle. So Tulsa had an outlier shooting performance
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: in this one. You got to expect that to regress
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: a bit. So that's part of the handicap here as well.
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: I think they maybe won't do as well here. Now
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: they get Oral robertson who do they have next in
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: five days? Well, yeah, they have one big one Power
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: Conference opponent on their entire schedule this year, Tulsa does.
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: I don't think they have any other ones, and it's
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: their next game against Kansas State, so I think they're
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: gonna look ahead to that game against Kansas State as well.
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: So this looks like pretty much a sandwich to me
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: for Tulsa.
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: It is gonna also be their first true road.
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: Game of the season, even though hilariously it is in
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: their home city of Tulsa. It's at Oral Roberts Arena.
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: Although Tulsa, I.
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: Mean they're gonna get some fans showing up there, sure,
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: but I mean whatever, like every other part of this
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: has to be looking at Oral Roberts here. Or Roberts
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: took a loss, but it was on the road against
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma State and they played i would say respectably the
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: loss by twenty four. I mean, Oklahoma State, they're a
• 17:10
  Speaker 2: power conference team. They were over a twenty point favorite
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: in the game, so I'm not gonna really take much
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: away from that from Oral Roberts.
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: They didn't get completely embarrassed in the game.
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: They bounced back and got their first win of the
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: season against the Division two team or whatever. So now
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: they have a little bit of momentum coming into this game.
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: They're at home, and you know, this is gonna be
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: one of the bigger games on Oral Roberts schedule, man,
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: because again, Tulsa is still like their bigger brother in
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: the city of Tulsa. So we'll take Oral Roberts plus
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: the points here. I know, ken Bum has them ranked
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: very very poorly at three hundred second in the country,
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: so they're like almost two hundred ranking spots lower than Tulsa.
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: I get it, but we're getting a bunch of points
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: at home Oral Roberts at the very least.
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: I think we'll try to speed this.
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: Game up, which is also something at Tulsa I don't
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: think wants to do.
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: Tulsa's in like.
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: The slowest third paces of tempos, and or Roberts speeds
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: the game up, so that might throw Tulsa out of
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: their element a little bit as well. That's what we're
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: going with here, or Roberts plus the points. It's mostly
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: about the situation. And again I'm not restraining myself today.
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: Like I said that, one the money seems to really
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: agree with me. Minnesota is at Missouri. I think both
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: these teams are gonna get up for this game. This
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: is a pretty big game between a Big ten team
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: and an SEC team. This is gonna be Minnesota's first
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: true road game, and it is gonna be a pretty
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: tough environment and a place they don't usually go, Missouri,
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: and I think both teams don't really have any Yeah,
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: they haven't been battle tested at all yet. Really neither
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: team has. They're both undefeated, mostly playing bad teams. People
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: might like dock Missouri a little bit or knock them
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: for all not playing well against Southeast Missouri State or
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: the Southeast Missouri State. You know they're gonna get up
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: for a game against Missouri. I think Missouri probably just
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: took them very lightly. Uh, Simo is also one of
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: the better teams in their conference recently, at the very least,
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: Missouri bounced back nicely and blew out Va. My I
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: think you gotta think they're gonna be up for this game.
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: Both teams will be, but I'm probably gonna lean.
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: A laying it with Missouri.
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: Here they're up from six and a half to six
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: and a half or six from They're up from six
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: to six and a half with juice, although the money
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: looks like it's coming back towards Minnesota. I mean, maybe
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: maybe the line started hitting seven and some betters took
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: the seven because it is a key number. But I
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: would probably lay it if I was gonna play it. Uh,
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: fifty nine percent of tickets on Missouri fifty eight percent
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: of the cash of Minnesota. Again, I don't really have
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: much to that handicap other than it being the first
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: to road game from Minnesota. I think that adds the
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: edge to Missouri in that game, and that's really what
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: I could say about it. Next game on the slate
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: is another one of my players. We're gonna take the
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: one with UTSA at Texas State. I'm not even convinced
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: that UTSA isn't the better team here, and they're only
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: getting like, well, actually they are the better team because well,
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: Texas State has moved out from one to two now,
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: so you can actually get a better number on UTSA here.
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: So we're actually probably gonna end up calling this like
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: two or two and a half.
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: So whatever it's gonna be, hang on, we'll call it
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: two for now. Maybe it'll be two and a half.
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: I like it, even though the money looks like it's
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: coming in against against US on this, I think UTSA
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: is actually the better team for one thing, which ken
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: Bumb confirms as he has them at the one hundred
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: and ninety eighth ranking spot right now, though again these
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: rankings are in flocks, but he has Texas State down
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: at two hundred and forty second. I believe he actually
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: has UTSA better on both offense and defense.
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: He does, although the defenses are very close. UTSA has
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: a somewhat substantially better offense so far in Kent Bum's rankings.
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: Texas State does play slow though, that's the one thing.
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: They're in the bottom like sixty of ten BO and
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: UTSA tries to speed it up. So Texas State may
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: be able to slow it down and that will hurt UTSA.
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: But even so, I'm still looking for ut in this game.
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: I don't think Texas State is that good. And Texas
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: State they just played really tough on the road against Tulane,
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: and by the way, the results prior to that did
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: not look good for Texas State.
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: They got absolutely.
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: Destroyed at Bowling Green, although I think Bowling Green is
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: one of the more decent MAC teams right now, but
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: still losing eighty three to forty eight to Bowling Green
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: pretty bad. Texas State followed it up with a win
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: at home, which is their only win against the Division
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: two team. And yes, this is gonna be their first
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: home game against a D one school, but still, they
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: just went to Tulane.
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: This is a much bigger game.
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: Tulane was a twelve and a half point favorite, and
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: Texas State looked.
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: Like they were gonna win this game.
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: For a large portion of it, Texas State was absolutely
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: blowing them out of the building. Texas State was winning
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: this game by I think twenty points early in the game.
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: They still had a double digit lead into the second half,
• 21:53
  Speaker 2: lost the lead, took it back, and they still were
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: leading by small amounts in the final minutes of the game,
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: fell behind, basically caught all the way back up, got
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: back to it within one, and then fell just shortz
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: After a huge performance like that from Texas State, I'm
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: looking to fade a team that does that when they
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: play that well, almost pull off a big upset like that. Yeah,
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: we're gonna look to fade Texas State off of that.
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: As far as the the stats in this game, I mean,
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: Texas State also shot fifty from three point range. Yes,
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: they won the rebound battle, which is a good sign
• 22:26
  Speaker 2: for them, but fifty percent from three probably not really something.
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: It's that repeatable, So a little bit of an outlier there.
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: As far as UTSA is concerned. Clicked on the wrong team. Yeah,
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: I know this is their first tru road game, so
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: I do worry about.
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: This a little bit.
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: But UTSA just had an ugly game UH as a
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: favorite against SIU Edwardsville UTSA. They were an eight and
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: a half point favorite down to a six and a
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: half point favorite in this game, but they wound up
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: losing the game outright. And UTSA was abysmal shooting in
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: this game. Yes, they got out rebounded as well, which
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: I don't love, but twenty eight point two percent from
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: the field twenty four point one percent from three. They
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: won the turnover battle and still lost the game by seventeen.
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, they just could.
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: Not shoot at all in this game, and SIU E
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: shot forty three percent from three basically, so, but the
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: outliers are really here on UTSA. I mean, they lost
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: as a favorite, so I think they're gonna be super
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: angry here.
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: And they shot horribly in this game. You've got to
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: think that that's gonna regress or reverse regress progress back
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: to some sort of mean here.
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: So I still like the setup of this. The money
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: doesn't seem to agree with me right now. We're gonna
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: take the points with UTSA in that game.
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: Though.
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: Minnesota fifteen road unders in a row according to Jeffrey interesting,
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: all right, that's uh, that is something to note. Although
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: Missouri has been a really fast paced team recently, So
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: I don't know if i'd really want to go under
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: in a Missouri home game when they could.
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: Probably control the pace. Where are they at here?
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: Uh, they look a little bit slower relatively this year
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: at one hundred and eighth in tempo, but that's still
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: in the faster third, and they don't play good deepfense
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: at eightieth defensively.
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: So I don't know.
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: Man as far as Minnesota, I think the fact that
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: it's at Missouri, I would not really want an under
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: in that game because I think Missouri has the better
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: chance to control the tempo there. The total has already
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: gone up multiple points, up to one fifty seven. Yeah,
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: I don't agree with an under in that one. The
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: road Runners, Yeah, their hash to actually.
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: Be meet Meet all right.
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: That's probably my least favorite of every single one of
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: my players today. I'm almost tempted to retract it, but
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: we'll go with it.
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: Just because of the setup.
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: But the one thing I don't like is that it's
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: their first true road game, but it is still in
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: the state of Texas, so I mean it's it's not
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: like it's not a totally like out of bounds travel spot,
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean, It'll be in San Antonio.
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: Marquette gets Little Rock.
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: Marquette coming off that loss to Indiana, their first loss
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: of the season, and they do have a big ten
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: matchup up next against Maryland and then Dating after that,
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: so it looks like kind of a sandwich spawn.
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: And sometimes the team is a little bit hung over
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: after they take their.
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: First loss, so I would probably look to take the
• 25:15
  Speaker 2: points with Little Rock in this one. They did just
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: lose at Milwaukee, but now two games in a row
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: in the Milwaukee eras and now they're I assume they're
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: just staying in the area, so they're adjusted to the
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: area now at the very least for Little Rock. So
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: the setup to me looks like a Little Rock might
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: be the right way to go. You know, Marquette is
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: all the way up from a sixteen and a half point
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: favorite to a twenty one point favorite. I hate these
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: early college basketball market reads to me, honest, dude, Like
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: it is so difficult to read these games early because
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: you have the market moving a ton, and then there
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: might be like some takebacks. Sometimes you don't know like
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: what is actually causing that move.
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: Is it real? Is it not? Who knows.
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: You don't really see the percentages yet, so I try
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: to just rely on my situational handicapping. Texas State is
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: the better rebounding team. That is that is correct, that
• 26:05
  Speaker 2: is true, So we are fading that, which I don't
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: love fading the better rebounding team either, to be honest,
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: But I'm doing it anyway because of the situation will
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: set up there, all right. NC State gets UNC Greensboro UNC.
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: Greensboro obviously gonna be in kind of like a little
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: brother situation here in NC State does have VCU up
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: next and then Seaton Hall and Auburn, so they do
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: have bigger games coming up after this. NC State's all
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: the way up from twenty six to thirty two, with
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: juice eighty six percent, tickets eighty nine percent of the
• 26:38
  Speaker 2: cash on them.
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: I feel like it's almost.
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: Useless to talk about these, but I could see NC
• 26:42
  Speaker 2: State maybe being in a look ahead.
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: Greensboro probably will show up for this.
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: UNC G I should say they're also at own two
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: right now, but they lost at Kansas State. I mean,
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: you can't blame them for that loss, although they did
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: not play competitively and they did just lose as a
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: favorite at home to Elon, not Elon Musk, but Elon
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: beat them in overtime. Kind of an ugly loss for
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: UNC Greensboro than that one, because they should have won
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: the game. Basically, they were a home favorite, so they
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: were expected to win and.
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: Elon shot poorly.
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: It was just really the whole game was turnovers and
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: Elon did out rebound them at eleven to four. Turnover
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: edge for Elon in that game was kind of the
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: story of it. So kind of expecting a little bit
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: of a bounce back from uncg and I mean, they
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: won't be intimidated because they did already play Kansas State
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: on the road, so they're kind of used to it
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: by now. So I would take the points with UNC
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: Greensboro in that one of those.
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: They look like they might.
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: Not be as good as they were last year. Oklahoma
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: State gets Prairie View. Oklahoma State's gonna be a huge
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: favorite here. I mean, I don't know what else to
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: say about this. They're at thirty two as a favorite here,
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: not moving. They did just beat Texas A and M
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: thoughso that was a big win against an A and
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: M team that's been a tournament team the.
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: Last couple of years. And they beat them by twenty four.
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: That's a very satisfying win, so it could be a
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: letdown spot.
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: But Prairie View A and M is so bad.
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: That they might just get run out of the building,
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: So I just can't do it.
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: Texas is hosting Fairly Dickinson.
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: Texas bounced back after the loss in their opening game
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: to Duke, which can't really blame them for losing a Duke.
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: We know Duke is good.
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: Texas nice win over La fey Yette to bounce back
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: from it. Nothing really upcoming, so I wouldn't say this
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: is a terrible spot for Texas. Fairley Dickinson just played
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: decently at Saint Peter's as an underdog.
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: With those Saint Peter's actually did.
• 28:35
  Speaker 2: Cover that number. Texas is just sitting at a thirty
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: one and a half way favorite that one. I would
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: have less of a tendency to want to actually fade
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: Texas because the situational setup just doesn't look.
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: Enticing to me.
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: You team Martin at Bradley, I just bring up because
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: I messed up and I didn't realize U T. Martin
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: had pulled off an upset at New NLV in their
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: first game as sixteen and a half point underdog.
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: So my mistake.
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: I should have laid the points with UNLV coming off
• 29:04
  Speaker 2: of that bad loss. I think UNLV did bounce back
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: in a big way and win and cover their next game,
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: So I should have been on UNLV after that, and
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: I completely I don't know how I didn't see it,
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: but UNLV.
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: Yeah, my mistake.
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: As far as you Team Martin, Normally I would have
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: been saying, yeah, they're gonna They would have been in
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot for that big upset, but they played
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: some cupcake in their next game and gotta win, so
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: it wasn't a spot where they were gonna really be fatable.
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: But unfortunately I missed UNLV being in a very positive
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: spot after that loss.
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: U T.
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: Martin is now going to Bradley and then they do
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: a Florida State up next. I think Bradley is kind
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: of a big game though, because Bradley seems to always
• 29:41
  Speaker 2: be in the mix in the Missouri Valley. Bradley is
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: coming up a big game against Central Michigan, beating them
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: by thirty Well not a big game, but Central Michigan
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: is not good in basketball really, but thirty one point
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: win and they do have San Francisco up next.
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: It is possible Bradley takes this.
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: Game less seriously, might be feeling good about themselves after
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: a blaw a loss. They've not up to a fifteen
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: and a half point favorite from fifteen ninety two percent
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: of tickets ninety nine percent of the cash on Tennessee
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: Martin here, which I think, really there's no public involvement
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: in this game for the most part. I think that's
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: all just kind of professional money on ut Martin. I'm
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: not gonna disagree with it. Next up, next play for
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: me is gonna be Utah State. We're gonna lay the
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: twenty and a half with Utah State. They're already up
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: to twenty two. So again, dude, I try to do
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: these shows early, and the line moves so fast I've
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: got landscaping outside that's pissing me off. We're running through
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: this college basketball slate a little bit faster than yesterday
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: though they're already in the nine PM slate. But yeah,
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: I mean you'll probably still find like twenty one, twenty
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: one and a half out there right now. I hope
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: again it's get the best number that you can. Twenty
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: and a half was out there early. But when you
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: get up into those numbers, I mean, yeah, every possession matters,
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: so you want to get the best number, but it's
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: not really a key number.
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: But this is against Weaver State.
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: And yes, normally I would say Weaver State's in a
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: little brother situation because they're a Utah school, so you'd
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: want to potentially look to take the points with Weaver State.
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: But not so fast, because look at what Weaver State
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: just did on Saturday. Man, they were in a little
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: brother situation in that game too, and probably an even
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: bigger one against Utah because I think Utah is still
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: kind of considered to be the big boy in Utah
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: over Utah State, even though Utah State has been the
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: better basketball program recently. That was still a crazy game
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: for Weaver State, and the oddsmakers are telling you Utah
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: State's actually better than Utah. Utah was a fifteen and
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: a half point favorite in this game. Weaber State took
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: them into overtime in this game and fell just short,
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: losing by three in overtime. That is brutal, dude. That
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: was the game that Weaver State could have had.
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: They could have won this game.
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: They're winning late in the game, they were actually winning
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: for a huge portion, and they were winning for almost
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: the majority of regulation. Actually, they had a double digit
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: lead with eight minutes to go and fell They wound
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: up falling short and losing. That is brutal, Like, I
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: don't see how Weaver State gets back up off the
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: mat after that. Man, both teams didn't shoot well, but
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: Utah shot really poorly in the game. We were say
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: it actually out rebounded them, which is interesting. Utah shot
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: forty point three percent from the field and twenty eight
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: point one percent from three, So I'm expecting Utah State
• 32:22
  Speaker 2: to shoot better than that this game, needless to say,
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: so that was part of the reason why that happened.
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: But yeah, even though we were State ideally would like
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: to get up for this game. They put so much
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: effort into that game against Utah, I don't see how
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: they really show up with a huge effort here again
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: against Utah State, Utah State being better as well. I
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: had a little bit of a hesitation because I know
• 32:43
  Speaker 2: Utah State did have that pretty big win against VCU,
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: but that game wasn't even on primetime television. Man, it
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: probably should have been.
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: It was a good game. Utah State got the win
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: that was in Texas But.
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: Now this is going to be Utah State's first home
• 32:56
  Speaker 2: game against a D one team because they played a
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: home game to start the SEA against Westminster, Utah Division
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: two whatever and blew them out.
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: But whatever, this is gonna be.
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: I think they're actually gonna be focused on this because
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: it is their first Division one home game, even though
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: you couldn't say the same thing about Texas State.
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: I like it.
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: They have an extra day off compared to Weaver State, too,
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: so Weaver State played that big game and that was
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: on Saturday. Utah State's been off since Friday. Although yes
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: they're traveling further because Weaver State is just staying in Utah.
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: But still I like it for Utah State here a
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: little bit of extra time to recover from that win.
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: I don't think they'll really be in a letdown Spider.
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: I think the spot is so much worse for Utah
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: State that I expect, for excuse me, for Weber State,
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: that I expect them to get run out of the building.
• 33:44
  Speaker 2: Ken Bom has Weber State at two hundred and seventieth
• 33:46
  Speaker 2: overall just not good. He's got Utah State fortieth in
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: the country, so a legit team, needless to say, So.
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: That's the hand he got there.
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: And even though Weaver State did face Utah, he still
• 33:59
  Speaker 2: has Utah State is having faced the more difficult schedules
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: so far. So he is VCU as a better team
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: than Utah, which I agree with, although that's not really
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: necessarily the way to necessarily handicap it. But really the
• 34:12
  Speaker 2: crux of that handicap is Weaber State is just in
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: a horrific spot. It's like so bad that I think
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: you just got to almost blindly fade them.
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: So that's the handicap there.
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: You see, San Diego at Fresno is interesting because this
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: you see San Diego team won the Big West last year.
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: They're one of the staples of the Big West now
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: even though they're pretty new to Division One, but this
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: is their first tru road game. I know it's still
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: in California, but Fresno is actually I think a favorite
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: in this game. And you know Fresno is gonna be
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: up for this because they they just haven't been good recently.
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: Although actually it's flipped from Fresno being one point favorite
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: to you see San Diego being a one point favorite,
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: but sixty seven percent of tickets or ninety two percent
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: of the cash on Fresno. So the money's actually taking
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: it with Fresno. I think after what you see San
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: Diego did last year, the public is gonna have a
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: tendency to take them because Fresno has just been pretty
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: much useless.
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: In basketball for a while.
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: But the oddsmakers seemed to be telling you that Fresno
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: may not be that bad this year. Ken Bum as
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: the one hundred and seventy seventh, Maybe you see San
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: Diego might be a little bit down this year. Yeah,
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: ken Bum has them in one hundred and thirty sixth,
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: so he only has them slightly well not yeah, I
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: mean he has them about forty ranking spots higher, which
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: isn't that much over Fresno. So I just thought that
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: was interesting. You see, San Diego is definitely not as
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: good as they were last year. Let's just put it
• 35:30
  Speaker 2: that way. We're last year they were like a top
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: thirty team in the ken Bomb rankings.
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: Next up, we're in We're we're in favorite territory, and
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: we got all our favorites. We got the underdogs out
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: of the way. We got a ton of favorites here.
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: Now we're gonna lay it with Colorado State against Cal Pauli.
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: Colorado State actually went down from nineteen to eighteen. I
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: saw seventeen and a half out there. This one hasn't
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: moved a lot, so I don't know if that's a
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: good sign or not. Colorado State, I mean, I know
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: they're not as good as they were last year. Last
• 36:00
  Speaker 2: year they made a little bit of noise in the
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: tournament they wanted as a twelve seed, even though they
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: were actually a favorite against Memphis, who just wasn't that
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: good in head injury issues. I picked Colorado State in
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: my bracket there, but Colorado State did almost upset Maryland
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: in the tournament. Colorado State got hot at the right
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: time last year.
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: They're not as good this year.
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: But I don't think this is a good spot for
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: cal Poly at all. And cal Poly is still worse
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: than then Colorado State and worse than the record looks.
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, cal Pauly, they're two and one and
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: their only losses at USC so that's not a bad
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: resume so far. But look at what they just did
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: in their last game. They were in Seattle on Saturday.
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: Seattle was a ten and a half point favorite in
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: this game. And actually took the money. And if you
• 36:45
  Speaker 2: look at what happened in this game, I don't know
• 36:48
  Speaker 2: what happened in this game. Seattle was literally winning, like
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: after they were losing a one point early and then
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: another point later in.
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: The first half, Seattle took the lead back and.
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: They were winning for the entirety of the rest of
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: the game until the final seconds of the game when
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: cal Paly went up somehow escaping with a three point
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: or like right at the end of the game to
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: retake the lead right at the end and win. And
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: they were losing for almost the entire second half until
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: that last shot. I mean, that was a ridiculous escape
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: from cal Poly Or They pulled off that upset right
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: out of their ass. So I think they're gonna be
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: in like a letdown spot after that. Man, they shouldn't
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: have won that game, even though statistically I don't think
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: it was that crazy one way or the other. I
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: don't think it was really an outlier. Both teams actually
• 37:32
  Speaker 2: shot fairly.
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: Poorly in the game. A ton of turnovers on both sides.
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: Yeah, cal Paly did lose the turnover battle and they
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: won the rebound battle and won the game. But this
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: is gonna be a different animal Colorado State. I mean,
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: I think Colorado State's still better than Seattle, and this
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: is gonna be cal Pauly having to go into elevation.
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: So cal Poly has not left the Pacific time zone
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: yet the Pacific coast. Now they have to go into
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: high elevation. That could affect them a little bit. Colorado
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: State isn't going anywhere.
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: They're just staying at home. Yeah, they've beaten two cupcakes.
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: They haven't faced a difficult schedule yet. I get it.
• 38:05
  Speaker 2: But you only play who's in front of you at
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: this point in the season. And they're not a misleading
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: to one over really, I mean, it's just what they did.
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: They beat Omaha, who was a tournament team last year.
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: Though I talked about how overrated they are, but that's
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: what Colorado State's coming off of. They don't really have
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: anything upcoming, but they do play Loyola next on the road,
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: but I don't really think that's caused for a look ahead.
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: We're gonna go with Colorado State in this one. Man,
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: I just think the spot is really bad for.
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: Cal Pauly. Cal Poly also notoriously plays really fast and
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: don't play deep mensive. You see Colorado State here, they're
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: actually in the top. They're thirty second offensively in kem
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: BOM's rankings, although they're below one hundred depensively.
• 38:47
  Speaker 2: So Colorado State plays, they shoot well and they don't
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: play deepense. Even though they're actually a slow paced team.
• 38:53
  Speaker 2: They're in like the bottom fifty something in pace sixty
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: second overall, which isn't terrible according to ken bomb here,
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: although I don't love teams necessarily that profile. As a
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: slope paced team that doesn't play defense, I don't love that.
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: But cal Poly is like a fast paced team.
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: Yet they're third in the country in tempo, and they're
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: gonna have to go to Colorado State in a bad
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: spot already, and Colorado State is one of the bottom
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: sixty in tempo. So Colorado State is gonna try to
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: slow this down, which might throw cal Poly totally out
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: of their element. And yes, I know you don't necessarily
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: want to lay a ton of points with a slow
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: down team like this. I do preach against that, but
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: in this spot, I'm gonna make an exception. The number
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: isn't that high, and it's still I mean, this is
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: college basketball where a lot of points still get scored,
• 39:42
  Speaker 2: and the total is actually fairly high in this game
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: at one sixty seven, which does worrying me a little
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: bit because I think cal pally is absolutely correlated to
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: an over in this game. But even so, Yeah, we're
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: gonna do it. We're gonna take Colorado State. They're the
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: better team on both sides. They're way better offensively cal
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: Poly at two forty eight and kem Bum's rankings offensively
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: actually better defensively at two of three, although that's relative,
• 40:08
  Speaker 2: and they're the two hundred thirty third A team in
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: the country. We know Colorado State's the way better team,
• 40:13
  Speaker 2: so they are. They'll be the best team that cal
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: Poly's face so far. Seattle kim Bum has them in
• 40:18
  Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty seventh and really weak offensively, so
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: Colorado State's also gonna be a much better offense than
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: what cal Poly has faced so far.
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: We're gonna lay it with Colorado State.
• 40:30
  Speaker 2: Colorado State's coaches Farokma Nash whoa he's he's the guy
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: who hit the three pointer that busted up some of
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: my bracket in two thousand and nine.
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: Is that when it was way back in the day.
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: He hit that three pointer to knock Kansas out in
• 40:46
  Speaker 2: that nine v one might have been twenty eleven maybe
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: whatever it was, you know what I'm talking about, Dude.
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: I liked Colorado States coach though last year getting them
• 40:55
  Speaker 2: to the tournament.
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: What's his name? Where did he go? He's a good coach.
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: I don't know why I can't remember his name now.
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: The guy they had was a really good coach though.
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: But yeah, Forrokman Nash, I don't know how good of
• 41:05
  Speaker 2: a coach he is. We'll see, but yeah, I mean
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: that would warry me a little bit, especially if for
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: Rokman Nash is new to head coaching, because he's still
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: pretty young, right, like he wasn't in college that long ago.
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: If he's the guy I'm thinking of, which I think
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: he is, right he was on Northern Iowa. Yeah, interesting,
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: but yeah, I like how it sets up for Colorado
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: State in that one. So that's where my handicap leads
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: us there, or leads me. If you don't want to
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: play it, that's also fine. Okay, what other games we
• 41:39
  Speaker 2: got that are of note?
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: Here? We do have a tournament going on in Hawaii.
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: Hawaii like always hosts some early season tournament and it
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: seems totally random which teams are going out there, and
• 41:50
  Speaker 2: I think this year it's set up for Hawaii to
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: maybe win this tournament because the first game tonight is
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: Manhattan and Utah Attack.
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: I mean, those are not good teams.
• 42:00
  Speaker 2: Manhattan and having to go all the way from literal Manhattan,
• 42:03
  Speaker 2: they're in New York City all the way to Hawaii.
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: Utah Tech a little bit less of a travel spot
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: for them. Maybe that's why they're up from one to
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: two and a half here. Utah Tech getting some of
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: the early money but fifty seven percent of tickets on them,
• 42:15
  Speaker 2: only fifty six percent of the cash on Utah Attack now,
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: so maybe some of the money coming back on Manhattan.
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: Maybe some difference of opinion there. I think it's a
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: very weird spot for Manhattan though, so I'm.
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: Not gonna disagree with Utah Tech in that one. I
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: just don't really have a strong opinion. But it's interesting.
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: We got that Hawaii tournament going on, and the second
• 42:35
  Speaker 2: game of the night in that tournament is more hilarious
• 42:38
  Speaker 2: than that one. Next up, we're gonna go back to
• 42:41
  Speaker 2: the well on this and hopefully I don't get screwed again.
• 42:44
  Speaker 2: We're gonna go right back and we're gonna lay the
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: exact same number that we did the other time with
• 42:48
  Speaker 2: Oregon fifteen and a half coming up all the time. Man,
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: we're gonna do it. We're gonna get South Dakota State
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: this time. And yes, I know South Dakota State. I
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: think they're probably a better.
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: Team than Rice.
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: So little bit concerning soelth Dakota State's usually in the
• 43:02
  Speaker 2: mix in the summit, they're actually only one hundred and
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: sixty third so aroud only actually ten rankings spots higher
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: and kem Bum's rankings than Rice, so they're almost even,
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: which is probably why the spread.
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: Is almost even here. Celt Dakota State.
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: Speaking of Northern Iowa, Oh my god, everything's coming full
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: circle here. Celt Dakota State just played in Northern Iowa
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: as ten and a half point underdogs, and they almost came.
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: I mean, they came somewhat close to point off an
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: upset in this game, let's put it that way. They
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: played really competitively. They only lost by seven. As far
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: as the game flow, I mean, they were hanging in
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: this game. They were down five with seven minutes left,
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: they were down five with six minutes left. Actually, actually
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: they were down five in the final minute too, so
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: it was still a two possession game at that point.
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: So they played really, really tough in this game as
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: a double digit underdog. And now they have to go
• 43:52
  Speaker 2: out to the Pacific Coast for the first time. And
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: I know this handicapped didn't work when I did it
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: with Rice, but it's a similar spot here, and I'm
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: gonna do it again because I still I don't think
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: Oregon can be this bad right now. I mean, I
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: know they're probably down a little bit this year, but
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: I think they still have Dana Altman there. I mean,
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: I still think he's got to get his guys, you know,
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: like drill them and get them in like bounce back
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: mode focus mode here because well, again I don't like
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: the spot for celt Dakota State going out to the
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: Pacific Coast for the first time. It's gonna be difficult
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: as far as Oregon here. Oregon they played really badly
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: in their first two games now against Hawaii and Rice,
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: which is why I went with Oregon in this game.
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: And they did not cover.
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: It was never really that close to being a cover,
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: although they were up, they were almost up double digits
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: later in the game, so you know, they started kind
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: of pulling away but didn't.
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: But look at how bad Oregon was it shooting in
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: this game.
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: They won the rebound battle but and won the turnover battle,
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: but they shot thirty two point seven percent from the floor,
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: twenty five percent from three versus Rice forty point seven percent. Again,
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: I think those percent all pretty major outliers. Again, I
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: just don't think Oregon can continue to shoot this horribly.
• 45:07
  Speaker 2: And yeah, I know they have Oregon State up next,
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: and then Auburn and then San Diego State, USC UCLA.
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: Those are all big, big games, so I get it
• 45:15
  Speaker 2: this is their last cupcake. But I think they gotta
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: be focused here because again, they just played so poorly
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: in these first two games, and they're staying at home.
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: I think they're gonna be angry and realize that they
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: escaped in those first two games. And Oregon State, by
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: the way, that's still a bigger game for Oregon State
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: than it is for Oregon.
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: Oregon State's always.
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: Been the little brother to Oregon and now the Oregon
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: States in that they got kind of bastardized and now
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: they're in the WCC, whereas Oregon moved up to the
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: Big ten. I think that makes it more meaningful for
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: Oregon State as well.
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I like it. I like Oregon in this one.
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: I don't know what the number has been doing here.
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: Where are they at?
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: If I spell it right, They've gone up a little
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: bit from fifteen and a half to sixteen and a
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: half with juice now, So again it's a number that
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: it's moving up, So you kind of got to get
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: on this. Although sixty seven percent of tickets on them,
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: seventy percent of the cash on Celtic got to State
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: right now, Again, it's hard to read read into these percentages. Yes,
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: it's not a high total and one hundred and forty
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: two and a half and the total's gone down, but still,
• 46:17
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's still basketball and there's still a lot
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: of points to be had here, So I'm gonna still
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: go with it. As far as Oregon is concerned. Ken
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: Bum still has them at fifty sixth in the country,
• 46:26
  Speaker 2: which I know you don't want to read into these
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: rankings too much right now, but they're not bad.
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: He does have them as a better.
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: Defensive team than offensive team, though a mid tempo and
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: he does have them at fortieth in luck, which does
• 46:40
  Speaker 2: worry me slightly, I guess. But South Dakota State, Yes,
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: I know he has them as more of an unlucky team,
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: but they're just worse. They're one hundred and sixty third.
• 46:51
  Speaker 2: They're not good on offense or depense. He has Oregon
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: better in both. Oregon still plays a faster tempo than
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: selth Dakota State, does, I think, so Oregon will try
• 46:59
  Speaker 2: to speed them up a little bit here.
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: Yeah, and that's all I gotta say about.
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: I know I'm fading kemp Bum's luck index in this one,
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: which I don't love doing, but that's.
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: Just the way that it is.
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: Man cal Poly, by the way, I forgot to mention,
• 47:12
  Speaker 2: they're tenth in Kemp Bum's luck Index by the way,
• 47:15
  Speaker 2: So cal Poly has severely overperformed so far, and we
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: are fading them in their game against what was it
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: Colorado State? So yeah, Colorado State he has in the
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: middle of the luck index basically one hundred and thirty ninth.
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: So but back to Oregon, we're gonna lay it with Oregon.
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: There's still the better team. I still expect them to
• 47:36
  Speaker 2: play better.
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: Medved correct, oh medved is at Minnesota now, they should
• 47:40
  Speaker 2: actually improve then. I still like Missouri and that one today.
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: But yeah, Medved is a good coach man. Yeah, hell yeah,
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: that's right. I don't know how I forgot his name,
• 47:50
  Speaker 2: Nico Medved. Yeah, yeah, I like that guy, uh, especially
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: because I liked Colorado State. Colorado State was one of
• 47:57
  Speaker 2: my bets in the tournament as well, one of the
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: good said I had, and there weren't that many in
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: the tournament.
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: I apologize.
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: Our buddies Oregon State. By the way, we're playing against
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: North Texas. This is kind of an interesting game in
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: North Texas off to a three and oh start. They
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: had one good win so far against Loyola, which beat
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: us on the show barely because I had Loyola plus
• 48:19
  Speaker 2: one and a half in that game. This North Texas team,
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: they really like to ugly the game up, play slow.
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be I.
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: Think they're gonna be in the mix in the American
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: Athletic here. North Texas. I think they went from Conference
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: USA into this conference, I think, but I think they're
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: gonna be in the mix potentially to win this conference
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: this year. This is their first true road game, though,
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: and it's going to the Pacific Coast.
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: Off a pretty big.
• 48:41
  Speaker 2: Win over Loyola, and once they're out there, they do
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: have to play Saint Mary's next, So I think these
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: are all big games. But you could kind of make
• 48:48
  Speaker 2: the argument that Saint Mary's is a bigger game than
• 48:50
  Speaker 2: Oregon State because they're better than Oregon State, even though
• 48:53
  Speaker 2: Oregon State's the former Pac twelve school. So maybe there's
• 48:57
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a look ahead of the year
• 48:59
  Speaker 2: for North Texas. It's a difficult spot being the first
• 49:02
  Speaker 2: two road game for them. Oregon State's up from pick
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: them to two and a half already money coming in
• 49:06
  Speaker 2: on them, sixty one percent of the cash on Oregon State,
• 49:09
  Speaker 2: fifty percent of the tickets split evening.
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: I don't disagree with that one.
• 49:12
  Speaker 2: I would look to Oregon State as well in this one,
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: and I think it's actually better because Oregon State is
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: a six and a half point favorite in their last
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: game barely beat UIC Illinois Chicago, and Oregon State was
• 49:24
  Speaker 2: actually losing this game later in the game. They were
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: down two three points pretty late in the game and
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: had to come back and win, so they got a
• 49:31
  Speaker 2: bit of a scare here. Some pretty bad shooting performance
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: is kind of on both sides in that game, but
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: really the tail was even though Oregon State dominated the
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: rebound bout, they had twenty one turnovers and that's something
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: that you can clean up because turnovers are basically mental.
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: So they had a bad game. Maybe they're even looking
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: ahead to this, So I do agree with Oregon State
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: and that one. That one hasn't made my card, although
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: I kind of like it, even though I still think
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: maybe North Texas does still show up as well in
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: that game because it is I think still kind of
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: a big game for them, and they're not really I
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: don't consider them to really necessarily be off like a
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: huge game, even though it was a big win over
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: Loyola Chicago and it was a semi home game for
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: Loyola Chicago. Yeah, but yeah, the travel spot does suck
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: for North Texas and it is a bounce back to
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: spot for Oregon State. Next up is another play, another favorite.
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: We're gonna lay ten with Nevada in this one against
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: Southern Illinois. I think this is a bad spot for
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: Southern Illinois. They're two and oh to start the season,
• 50:35
  Speaker 2: but that's really misleading because their wins were against a
• 50:38
  Speaker 2: non Division one team McKendree, and then they beat um,
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: Kansas City or Kansas City.
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: Not a good team either.
• 50:45
  Speaker 2: And now this is gonna be the first true road
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: game for Southern Illinois and it's in Nevada, not an
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: easy place to play going into Reno. Nevada tends to
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: play pretty well there.
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: Southern Illinois.
• 50:56
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean again, they're a false two and o
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: basically so far. I mean not that they did anything wrong,
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: but they just haven't played anybody good. Sure they'll try
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: to get up for this game, but they're just not
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: as good of a team. And what puts me over
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: the top here with Nevada is they just played really
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: poorly at home against Pacific. Nevada was a thirteen and
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: a half point favorite in this game and they almost
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: lost the game outright. Uh So, I think that's gonna
• 51:19
  Speaker 2: scare them back into focus here, man. And if you
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: look at what happened in this game, Pacific shot forty
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: five point five percent from three major outlier there. Nevada
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: only twenty six point seven percent. I don't think Nevada
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: is as good this year, but still I think those
• 51:34
  Speaker 2: are like regression points there. Like, I don't think you're
• 51:37
  Speaker 2: gonna see another opponent shoot forty five point five percent
• 51:40
  Speaker 2: from three against Nevada. Nevada dominated the rebound battle in
• 51:43
  Speaker 2: this game.
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: By fifteen.
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: They were clearly the better team in the game, and
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: they escaped with the win after it was a back
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: and forth game, close game for the entire second half.
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: After Nevada was up early and maybe they just thought
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: it was gonna be easy and failed to put it away,
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: completely failed to put it away. They were actually down
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: five with six minutes to go, came back and barely
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: escaped by one. That's gonna be a spot where they're
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: gonna show up to play here. And I apologize because
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: this is another one where the line is way out
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: of control. These college basketball numbers, it's gone all the
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: way up from seven to twelve.
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: I never saw seven. I mean, seven would be.
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: Really really great to lay here because it's a key
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: number and that's when teams stop intentionally fouling.
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: But the best that I saw was ten.
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: I think if you can get anywhere between ten and eleven, whatever,
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: I think it's probably still worth doing, maybe for a
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: little bit less money than maybe some of the other ones.
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: I actually like this one more than some of the
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: other plays, though UTSA is my least favorite of these
• 52:38
  Speaker 2: today and I kind of want to even just take
• 52:40
  Speaker 2: it off my card. But eighty three percent of tickets,
• 52:43
  Speaker 2: ninety seven percent of the casual Nevada I like this one.
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: It's another one of those favorites. That's the better team.
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: I think they're going to be shocked back into focus there.
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: So that's the deal there. Ken Bum has them only
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: at ninety first. He does them as very lucky though
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: at thirteenth, so again I'm fading Bum's luck index here,
• 53:01
  Speaker 2: but so be it, I guess. And he does have
• 53:04
  Speaker 2: them as a slope a team, but I mean, this
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: Southern Illinois team, they're just I don't think they're that good.
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: He does have them in one hundred and twenty seventh though,
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: wait is it Southern Illinois? I guess it is, right, Yeah,
• 53:16
  Speaker 2: So I don't know, man, I mean, there's not that
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: much of a disparity in the ken Bom rankings, I guess,
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: which I don't know.
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: I don't know how I didn't notice that.
• 53:23
  Speaker 2: But he does have Nevada as the better team all around,
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: except that he has them the more lucky team right now, and.
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: He does have them extremely slow.
• 53:30
  Speaker 2: Where Southern Illinois in the top one hundred pace wise,
• 53:33
  Speaker 2: Southern Illinois also faced an unbelievably weak strength to schedule.
• 53:36
  Speaker 2: They have the seventh weakest schedule in all of basketball
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: so far, so they haven't faced anybody yet. And even
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: though Nevada hasn't had a difficult schedule yet, they're at
• 53:45
  Speaker 2: least two hundred and sixty first. He's straight the schedule,
• 53:48
  Speaker 2: so and if Nevada slows this game down, it's gonna
• 53:51
  Speaker 2: throw Southern Illinois out of their elements. So I do
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: like those pacing collisions, even though I don't love again
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: laying points with a slow down team, but it's not
• 53:58
  Speaker 2: that many points, so we're gonna do it.
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: The money seems to agree with that.
• 54:03
  Speaker 2: Yeah, the Salukis they're like greyhounds or something. And then
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: finally we are gonna have another play here, and it's
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: gonna be Seattle, who I just talked about a little
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: while ago. We're gonna lay points with Seattle in this one.
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: I know Seattle is a bad offensive team and a
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: good defensive team, and I think they play Slaw as well,
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: so they're not really a team that you want to
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: lay points with. But I think the spot just dictates this.
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: It's against Eastern Washington. The money is disagree with me
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: on this one. Even though initially the line moved up
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: from six and a half to eight, and it's through
• 54:35
  Speaker 2: the eight now in Seattle. Never saw it below the
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: seven though, so never saw seven, which again is a
• 54:41
  Speaker 2: key number.
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: So that would be ideal.
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: But sixty seven percent of tickets on Seattle, sixty six
• 54:46
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash coming back.
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: On Eastern Washington.
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: It's not a very high total at one hundred and
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: forty nine. I know with the Seattle team it's probably
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: not gonna be a high total, but I just don't
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: like the spot for Eastern Washington.
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: Man. I mean, they they have played.
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: I know they're very battle tested, so yes, they have
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: a very difficult strength to schedule. But look at what
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: they've done so far. They played UCLA to within six
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: to start the season. They went to Loyola Marymount and
• 55:12
  Speaker 2: only lost by eight, so they covered some of the
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: later numbers in that game. Then they went into high
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: elevation another road game, and they took Colorado into overtime,
• 55:21
  Speaker 2: a big twelve team, Colorado sixteen and a half point
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: underdogs in Eastern Washington. This is one of my losses
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: on the show too. Colorado never was able to do anything.
• 55:31
  Speaker 2: They got up by nine at one point early in
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: the second half, looked like they could have maybe started
• 55:35
  Speaker 2: pulling away. They never did, and Eastern Washington stayed in
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: the game for the entirety of the rest of the
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: game and sent it into overtime and wound up falling short.
• 55:45
  Speaker 2: So again, very similar to that Weaver State situation. I
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: think where you got a team now that just played
• 55:52
  Speaker 2: their guts out again in elevation. Now they're playing a
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: fourth road game. I know they don't have a win yet,
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: but they've just put in so much effort in these games.
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: Now they're gonna go out.
• 56:00
  Speaker 2: To Seattle, and yes, Seattle probably is the worst opponent
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: they'll be fasing so far. Yeah, they're worse than Loyola Marymount.
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: But even so, I just think I don't know how
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: they get back up off the mat after almost pulling
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: out that crazy upset. Seattle is one of the unluckiest
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: teams in the country right now, three out of forty
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: seventh really because of that cal Pauly win that just
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: never should have happened. But that's the main part of
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: this handicap. He aroun Yeah, Seattle is a top one
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: hundred defensive team at the very least, and there's certainly
• 56:32
  Speaker 2: better than Eastern Washington, who is down at a one
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: hundred and sixty eight. Then ken Bum's rankings, he's at
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: Eastern Washington horrible defensively at two hundred and fiftieth. He
• 56:41
  Speaker 2: does have them as a somewhat faster paced team at
• 56:43
  Speaker 2: one hundred and seventeenth. Someone unlucky, and they've played a
• 56:46
  Speaker 2: difficult schedule. I know, forty fifth, but even so, again,
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: I don't like the spot at all, and I think
• 56:52
  Speaker 2: it's a positive spot for Seattle because they were just
• 56:55
  Speaker 2: in home against cal Poly and they were ten and
• 56:58
  Speaker 2: a half boy favorites in this like I said, and
• 57:00
  Speaker 2: they had the lead for the entirety of the second
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: I look at this percentage graph here where Seattle was
• 57:06
  Speaker 2: like more than an eighty percent chance to win for
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: the entirety of the second half. Basically, somehow they lose
• 57:11
  Speaker 2: on a three pointer almost right at the buzzer, which
• 57:14
  Speaker 2: was the only point they were losing after they took
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: the lead in the early second half. Ridiculous. They never
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: should have lost this game. They're staying at home, and
• 57:22
  Speaker 2: you know, They're going to be in a foul mood here.
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be angry, So I expect focus from Seattle
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: on that one.
• 57:28
  Speaker 2: So that's the final college basketball play there. And then
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: at college basketball, we do have kind of an interesting
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: one between Stanford and Montana State here, Stanford and ACC team,
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: of course, even though they play in the PACIFICO. Stanford
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: just blasted Montana Montana State's biggest rival. There not a
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: whole lot to see from Stanford's side of things with
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: Montana State. They just lost to Denver at home as
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: a seven and a half point favorite. So Montana State
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: and may have been looking ahead to the Stanford game.
• 57:59
  Speaker 2: Bad game from Montana State in this one, and they
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: were winning the whole game. This is another one of
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: those where they were a high percentage to win this
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: game the entire way. They were up double digits early,
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: it was close later in the game, but they still
• 58:11
  Speaker 2: had the lead later in the game and they wound
• 58:14
  Speaker 2: up falling short completely. Denver out I mean Denver shot
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: out of their minds fifty eight point two percent from
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: the field, fifty percent from three, massive outlier situation, although
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: Montana State did also get out rebounded here Montana State
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: shot terribly from three twenty eight point six percent. After that,
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: I kind of expect more focus out of them here,
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: So I would lean to taking the points of Montana
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: State against a Stanford team that I don't think is
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: that good. Fourteen and a half is the line on
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: that one. Fifty percent of the tickets and nine to
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: nine percent of the cash on Montana State. Probably not
• 58:46
  Speaker 2: an accurate cash percentage, but I would lean to taking
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: the points of Montana State in that game. And then
• 58:54
  Speaker 2: the hilarious game that I was talking about the finale
• 58:56
  Speaker 2: in Hawaii at midnight Eastern or eleven to fifty nine
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: Easter or just so it can be considered to be
• 59:02
  Speaker 2: a game on this particular calendar day. Mississippi Valley State
• 59:08
  Speaker 2: probably the absolute worst team in all of Division one,
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: such that Hawaii is almost a forty two point favorite
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: here and I think the biggest favorite on the entire board.
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: Absolutely hilarious. It's Hawaii is not good kembo mess.
• 59:23
  Speaker 2: Hawaii actually in the top one hundred at the very least,
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: so there is that at least, but yeah, hilarious that
• 59:30
  Speaker 2: Hawaii is a forty two and a half point favorite.
• 59:33
  Speaker 2: You're never gonna see that again. I expect them to
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: win easily, but I don't know if they're gonna cover this.
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's Mississippi Valley State gets to go out
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: to Hawaii and play I mean Mississippi Valley State as usual.
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: Their only win is against the Mississippi College of Women,
• 59:49
  Speaker 2: which is the case every single year, and it's actually
• 59:51
  Speaker 2: a men's basketball team, believe it or not. Yeah, I mean,
• 59:55
  Speaker 2: Mississippi Valley State has the cool Delta Devil's logo, but
• 59:58
  Speaker 2: that's about it.
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: They are terrible. It's just I just thought I would
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: point it out because it's hilarious.
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: I don't really have an opinion on that game, but yeah,
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: let's move over to the NHL. Yeah, coke heads trying
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: to get their coke money back in that one. Yeah,
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 2: that's the That is a degenerate special for sure. Like,
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 2: I don't know why you would want to have money
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: on the spread in that game. I mean, no man
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: takes a special person to do that, I think, unless
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 2: you really have an angle on it. We only have
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 2: four games here in hockey. Uh, the first game up,
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 2: I won't waste time. First game up is gonna be
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: one of my plays where I disagree with dirty sock
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: more best bets whatever, let's put the icon.
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: Back out again.
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 2: We're gonna go with the New York Rangers here. You
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: know my rule with the New York Rangers. Their plus
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 2: one twenty five you're getting him is a pretty good
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: underdog here. The money is agreeing with this Tampa down
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 2: for minus one fifty one forty seventy six percent ticket,
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: seventy one percent of the cash, So less of the
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 2: money on a public Tampa Bay side.
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: That's getting more of the public tickets. You know my rule.
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: Rangers are on the road, So what do you want
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: to do? You want to be on the Rangers on
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: the road. The Rangers seven to one and one on
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: the road. And guess what what did they do in
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: their last game? Oh yeah, they finally won a home game.
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: It was their first home win. So I actually think
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: that's a positive momentum wise. It was against a Nashville
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: team that just never seems to win. Yeah, it figures
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: that Nashville would be the first team to lose to
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: the Rangers in Madison Square this year. Rangers, they finally
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: get that monkey off their back. Man.
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 2: They scored six goals after they were Yeah, they had
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 2: seven losses and seven tries at home, and they failed
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: to score a goal in five of those seven losses.
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: They finally got a blow and win a convincing win
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: at home.
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: I think that gets that monkey off their back and
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: now they get to go out on the road and
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 2: focus on hockey. I think it is a focused spot.
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: And again they've been really good on the road so far.
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 2: But I think that's gonna be good momentum wise. It's
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 2: probably gonna help them just start winning games at home
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 2: finally too, because finally they don't have to hear about
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 2: it anymore about how they can't win at home.
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be focused because Tampa Bay is pretty good.
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: Although Tampa Bay is actually not that good at home
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: for three and oh, I mean mediocre at home. Rangers again,
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 2: very very excellent on the road for whatever reason, just
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: I guess because it alleviates the distractions. Yeah, and Rangers
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: don't have anything upcomings. They're gonna be focused on this. Meanwhile,
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay, they've been multiple days off, They've been off
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 2: since Saturday, and I do not think that's a good thing.
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: They've won two games in a row against good teams
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: and They've won seven of their last eight games. I
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: think they're too hot right now. And you don't want
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: to have time off when you're hot, because that will
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 2: tend to cool you off a little bit. And they
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: just beat Look at these games that they that they
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: played recently. They beat Vegas in overtime, starting back on
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: October twenty six, they beat Nashville. That's the only whatever
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 2: winning here really. They beat that was on the road.
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: They beat Dallas back on home, you know, overtime, went
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: back out on the road, won in elevation against Utah,
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 2: came to within one goal of Colorado on the road
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 2: in elevation, went to Vegas in a revenge spot for
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 2: Vegas and beat them even bigger.
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: Six to three.
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: Came back home, which should have been a negative spot
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: on the return home spot. Nope, they won again against Washington,
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: another pretty big win. Even though I know I went
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: with Washington yesterday. Part of my handccapp was that they
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 2: might get overlooked last night. But I still think that's
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 2: a pretty big win. I still think the Rangers, I mean,
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 2: they're so mediocre this year that they do get overlooked.
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: And who does Tampa play next? Oh yeah, on Saturday, they.
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: Got the Florida Panthers, who are the returning champs. They're
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: also the team that eliminated Tampa Bay from the playoffs
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 2: last year, and Tampa Bay has not played them yet,
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: and there of.
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: Course Tampa Bay's geographic rivals.
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: So I don't think there's any overstating how big that
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 2: game is going to be against Florida for them. So
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: I think that's a major look ahead spot to Florida
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: for all of those reasons. And again, playoff revenge, of course,
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: is actually pretty huge. That was part of the Washington angle,
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 2: a big part of the Washington angle last night. But yeah,
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure, right, I'm right about that, right, Tampa
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: Bay was, Yeah, they got eliminated by Florida. Yeah, because
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 2: that was part of my bracket there. I had Florida
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: winning the whole thing. Yeah, that's gonna be a huge game.
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 2: The Rangers are the right side in this game. You
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: get them as a nice underdog Price. I think that's
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: the best hockey player on the board. New York Rangers
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 2: Edmonton at Philadelphia. Edmonton mediocre start to the season, man,
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 2: but they're coming up in an overtime win against Columbus.
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 2: They did bounce back from that horrendous nine to one
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: loss to Colorado, even though yes, Colorado is very good,
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 2: which I thought Colorado last two years. I thought Colorado
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: was like maybe even the best team in hockey. But
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 2: know they just don't win in the playoffs. What can
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: I say about Colorado. But still nice bounce back from
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: Edmonton to break a losing streak, so that is kind
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: of a positive ano They're going out on the road
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 2: with they think some new positive momentum, so I wouldn't
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 2: say it's a negative spot for Edmonton here in this one.
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: Who does Edmonton play next Columbus again, who they just beat,
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: So that's not really a look ahead either, So it's
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 2: not a negative spot for Edmonton here. For Philadelphia, they
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 2: did just return home from a quick road trip. There
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 2: was only a two game road trip, and they played
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 2: tough against Ottawa, lost in overtime. Now they've been multiple
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 2: days off though, so they do have some rest here,
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: having not played since Saturday, so they do have some
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: more rests here. It is a Ottawa I mean, excusely,
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: it is Edmonton coming in, so I think.
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: They will still be focused here though that was.
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: A big game against Ottawa. Which they lost. Probably gonna
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: get Vladidr back in net this time, so at least
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: for Philadelphia that is their top goaltender. The money is
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 2: saying Philadelphia here. I won't disagree with it, but I
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 2: don't don't think it's a bad spot for Edmonton. Edmonton
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: down for minus one forty one twenty seven on the
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 2: money line, fifty nine percent of tickets, ninety five percent
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: of the cash on Philly, so it's a pretty strong
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 2: market read on Philly. But situationally, I just don't really
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 2: see it. Again, I think it's actually a positive spot
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 2: for Edmonton. So I actually think the under might be
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 2: a better look in this game. When would I ever
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 2: say that in hockey? Right, But the money is agreeing
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: with that. Seventy one percent of tickets on the over,
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 2: sixty one percent of the cash on the under. Total
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: did flip from six juice to the over, to be
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: juice to the under.
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: I know, very very tricky to want to play an
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: under in a game with Edmonton, because.
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: They score a lot, they give up goals. Philadelphia and
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 2: not good. They're not good defensively or at goal to
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 2: any either. So it seems very very strange that you
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: want to play an under in this game. But I
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 2: think just because it's a focused spot for both teams,
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 2: that would kind of be my opinion there, Buffalo against Utah,
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: This one was close to being a play for me on.
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: Utah, I mean Buffalo or no. Exeriously, this one was
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: close to being a player on Buffalo for me, excuse
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: me on Buffalo.
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 2: I do not agree with Utah in this game. Buffalo
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 2: my mistake. Yeah, Buffalo. They're on this bad stretch right now.
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 2: They've lost three more games in a row. They've lost
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: six of seven. They've been kind of embarrassed, losing by
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 2: three goals in each of their last two games. And
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 2: by the way, prior to that game, they lost at
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 2: home to this Utah team. So this is gonna be
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: one of these quick revenge spots, and it is it's
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 2: road revenge, which I know in hockey the home revenge
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 2: is actually a little bit stronger, I think early in
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: the season. But I still think a quick revenge spot
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: is a good motivating factor and it means the other
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: team might overlook you a little bit because they just
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 2: beat you, especially when Utah knows that they just went
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 2: into Buffalo and beat Buffalo. They're not really gonna take
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: Buffalo seriously here. So yeah, I think Buffalo will get
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 2: up for this game because they did just loose at
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: home to this Utah team. Utah also not playing well
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 2: right now, losing five of six, but they're the team
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 2: that's returning over from a road trip. Buffalo's in the
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 2: Buffalo just started a road trip and they played one
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 2: game on the road trip so far. For Utah, they're
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: returning over from a road trip, and they started the
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 2: road trip by winning at Buffalo. Now the returning home
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: and I always talk about the return home spot.
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: It's a distraction spot.
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: You come back home, you have to get back to
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 2: family life, you got stuff to do. The last time
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 2: Utah was in that spot, they lost four to two
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 2: to Tampa Bay, So that spot kind of caught up
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: to them at that point. I know that was an
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 2: even weirder spot because they had to go back out
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 2: on the road. Although in this case, they only have
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 2: two games on this home stand. But if they're gonna
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: pay attention to one game on the home stand, it's
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: not gonna be Buffalo. Because they did just beat Buffalo again.
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 2: The Islanders have played a little bit better than Buffalo
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 2: this year, so I think it will be the Islanders
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: that they might have more focus on.
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I like Buffalo in this game.
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 2: The money seems like it agrees with it seventy nine
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets and only seventy percent.
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: Of the cash on Utah.
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: I kind of want to play this, to be honest.
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 2: Utah up from minus one eighty to minus one ninety. Now,
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 2: if we can make our own minus one puck line,
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 2: what does that look like.
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: On the fly? Here?
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 2: Let me see because I usually I like to fade
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 2: these spots, dude, let me see. We're looking at man,
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 2: we're really gonna have three hockey plays here? Am I
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 2: gonna have to put up this many fucking Instagram videos?
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: Let me see here? Yeah, Utah is very public.
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 2: We're looking at plus one sixty four on the money line.
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 2: It's a pretty big money line. And then as far
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 2: as the spread, we're looking at plus one and a
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 2: half at minus one fifty. You can make your own
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 2: plus one oh four odds on a plus one puck
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 2: line here.
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, fuck it. Three hockey plays whatever.
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 2: We're gonna have so many plays today, man, I think
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: we're gonna have eleven plays today. I don't know why,
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 2: but I dude, I just like these spots NHL. We're
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: gonna be on Buffalo plus one and a half of
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 2: minus one fifty and the other one was what plus
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 2: one seventy?
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: Is that what I said? Um, no, plus one sixty four?
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: Yeah, okay, So make your own uh puck line on
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 2: that one Buffalo, make your own plus one puck line.
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 2: It comes out to about to make this even, it
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 2: comes out to about one hundred eighty. Well, given that
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 2: I usually bet to win three hundred, so it'd be
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 2: one hundred and eighty out of the three hundred would
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 2: be on the minus one fifty uh puck line part
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 2: of it. So that's uh, whatever percentage of it that is,
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 2: that's sixty percent.
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: That's an easy split.
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 2: Sixty percent on the puck line, forty percent on the
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 2: money line is the way I would split that. That's
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 2: that play. Screw it man, We're we're we're going crazy.
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 2: And then finally New Jersey in Chicago. I do like
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: New Jersey in this one sixty five percent of ticket,
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 2: seventy seven percent of the cash on New Jersey, even
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 2: though they dropped a little bit from minus one fifty
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: five to minus one fifty at this price, I would say,
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 2: knock the price down and do New Jersey to win
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: in regulation at minus one oh five or so is
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 2: what I saw in DraftKings. Unfortunately, Action Network doesn't really
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 2: know how to track the three way hockey bets. They
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 2: gotta fix that shit, because I track all my stuff there.
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 2: If you want to play in New Jersey on the
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 2: money line, you could do that too. I would say
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 2: if it drops to below one fifty, I would actually
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: say maybe that's where you want to go, uh, because
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: I think that's in the price range that I just
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 2: like a.
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: Little bit more.
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 2: Let me see what are we looking at with the
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 2: devils here? I still don't see it. I see it
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 2: minus one fifty is the best still, so I'll still
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 2: recommend knocking it down to minus one oh five on
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 2: the regulation. Hopefully we get it done here. The odds
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 2: makers are telling you something, man. Even though Chicago has
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: a good record right now, New Jerseys is better. But
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 2: the odds makers are telling you Chicago is not as
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 2: good as the record indicates. They're telling you not to
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 2: buy into that. As far as New Jersey, they did
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: just lose to the Islanders. I know they've played three
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 2: straight overtime games. But losing at home, now you get
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 2: to go out on the road. I think it's a
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 2: positive spot to just get back to it go.
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: Out on the road.
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 2: It'll be Allen and that for them likely this time,
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 2: because they're just alternating between him and mark Strom, hasn't
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: really been a big difference between the two, so that's fine.
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 2: I think they'll be focused again. When you lose at
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 2: home and you go out on the road, you usually
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 2: want to kick off the road trip on the right foot.
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: So I like that.
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 2: And for Chicago, you know what I'm about to say,
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 2: this is a horrible scheduling spot for them in the
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 2: fact that they're returning home from a road trip that
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 2: they've been on since Thursday, October thirtieth, So they've been
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 2: away for close to two weeks on this road trip.
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 2: That's insane, dude, And now they're coming back home from that.
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 2: And not only that, but they finished the road trip.
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 2: But they five to one blowout win in Detroit as
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 2: a big underdog where I thought Detroit might be up
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 2: for that game. Detroit nice favorite in that one, and
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 2: so to blown was in net for Chicago in that
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: game too. Not Night Night is their top goalie. He'll
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: be back in net for this one. So not only
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 2: is it a return home spot, but I actually think
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 2: it's kind of a letdown spot, even though yeah you cannot.
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: You could argue that they'll be focused.
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 2: On New Jersey here too, but man, I mean, I
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 2: don't know about that, man, And they do have Toronto
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 2: up next to Toronto is always always pretty big man Toronto.
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 2: I mean also, that's an original six matchup between Toronto
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 2: and this is an original six sandwich, by the way,
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 2: because Chicago was one of the original six teams, so
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 2: was Detroit and so is Toronto. So this is an
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 2: original six sandwich right here. It's it's that's that's what
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 2: they should call it. A a subway the six inches. You
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: can go get Jared Fogel's original six inch man in
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 2: a conjugal visit. But yeah, I don't think it's a
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 2: good spot for them, man. I mean, as weird as
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 2: it is to say, it's possible that they take New
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 2: Jersey less seriously than the other two teams here. Again,
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 2: the return home spot tends to come with its distractions.
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 2: I know they've had a couple of days off, but
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 2: a couple of days off can also burn that winning
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 2: momentum they've had to.
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: I don't like this. I like New Jersey in this game,
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: bad spot for Chicago. We're gonna go with it.
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 2: The New Jersey Devils on the money line there and
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 2: the other original six teams by the way, of course,
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 2: my Boston Bruins and the New York Rangers gotta get
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 2: that right. So yeah, the Devils will be that play
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 2: the Sabers plus five and a half.
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: Laying eighty, laying eight.
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 2: Yeah, you have to lay eight thousand on it minus
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 2: eight thousands, so that means you have to lay What
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: that means you have to lay eight thousand to win
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 2: one hundred is out. That is oh my god. I
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 2: would not recommend that.
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: Let's just put it that way anyway.
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 2: All Right, NBA NBA is gonna be light for me today,
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 2: even though it's a bigger NBA slate.
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: There's only one game that I like.
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 2: You might be able to guess it, Maybe you can't,
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 2: maybe you can. All right, this video is probably gonna
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 2: be hopefully we can get it to under two hours.
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: We'll see.
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 2: As far as these games, some of these games, I
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 2: don't even know if I want to talk about them
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: because they're like, I just don't give a shit Milwaukee
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 2: at Charlotte. I mean, Milwaukee's a decent sized favor here.
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: They just won barely at Dallas. I don't know if
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 2: maybe that's gonna have Milwaukee maybe in more of a
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 2: bounce back mode here because Dallas hasn't been playing well
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 2: and that was kind of an ugly game for Milwaukee
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 2: there at Dallas.
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: Second straight road game here now for them.
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 2: Charlotte probably will get up for this game though against
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 2: the Bucks. But Charlotte did just play somewhat tough against
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 2: the Lakers, although it didn't cover in a game that
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 2: I think they should have covered. They didn't cover our
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 2: game against Miami the game before that either, but that
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 2: was a return home spot against the Lakers from a small.
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: Road trip, though a short road trip.
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 2: I still lean to Charlotte in that one, and then
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 2: now they're coming off that game, I still think Charlotte's
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 2: gonna be focused here.
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, the money is saying the Bucks here.
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 2: They're up from five to five and have sixty percent
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 2: of tickets on the Bucks excusely sixty percent of the
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 2: cash on the Bucks, seventy six percent of tickets on
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 2: the Hornets big time pros versus Joe's disparity in the
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 2: market right there. I mean, I guess I won't disagree
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: with it because Milwaukee is the better team and it
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 2: looks like they should be focused coming off an ugly game.
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 2: So I guess I'll agree with the market, but I
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 2: don't have a strong opinion. The next game is my
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 2: strong opinion. You could probably guess it. You could have
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 2: guessed it as the Pistons whisper after we got the
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 2: Pistons right going against them in the previous game. We're
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 2: gonna go with the Pistons, even though usually I'm good
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 2: taking the Pistons as an underdog. We're gonna take the
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 2: Pistons as a favorite in this one. Two and a
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 2: half here. Hopefully you can get the best number on
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 2: this that you can. If you want to take the
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 2: money line, you can.
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: Do that too.
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 2: The money's totally disagreeing with me on this, and this
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: is what I have to say to the market in
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 2: this one. Hey, look like it was agreeing with me earlier.
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 2: These early market reads are just ridiculous, dude. Pistons are
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 2: up from two to two and a half eighty nine
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets on them, sixty four percent of
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 2: the cash coming back on Chicago. I do not agree
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 2: with Chicago in this game, even though the public is
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 2: probably gonna be on Detroit because they have the much
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 2: better record. Chicago's just started to kind of regress, which
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 2: was kind of expected. Although we're looking at potentially Kate
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 2: Cunningham not playing in this game.
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: So something to keep in mind here.
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 2: Which that would I would actually like this, Like if
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 2: he doesn't play, you get a better number on Detroit
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 2: because of it. So Kate Cunningham, he did play forty
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 2: five minutes in that last game, but if he doesn't play,
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 2: it's gonna be an injured player theory spot because it'll
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 2: be the first game with Detroit without Kate Cunningham, right,
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 2: So he's a game time decision. Giddy is also a
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 2: game time decision. But I actually like that side of
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 2: it because Giddy didn't play in Chicago's most recent one
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 2: or two games, so if he comes back, that's gonna
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 2: be the reverse injured player spot on the side of Chicago's.
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 2: We have a lot of moving pieces here. I think
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 2: you could probably lay this now or lay Detroit money
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 2: line in this because I don't know if the price
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 2: is gonna drop on Detroit further.
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: Maybe it will, but you.
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 2: Got these conflicting factors here, and I actually think, regardless
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 2: of whether these guys play or not, even though it
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 2: will affect the line, I like the Chicago side because
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 2: if Cunningham doesn't play, it's gonna be an injured player
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: spot for Chicago, and that means you're gonna get more
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 2: value on them, which it looks like you might already
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 2: be because the line, if I mean think about this,
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 2: if Cunningham was gonna play in this game, I think
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 2: it was gonna be like a five and a half
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 2: point line on Chicago, which makes sense because excuse me
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 2: on Detroit, which makes sense because you saw Detroit. Part
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 2: of my handicap is gonna be what happened in the
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 2: first game of the season. Detroit was like a four
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 2: point favorite, I think, on the road at Chicago. So
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 2: how are they only two and a half year That's
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 2: got to indicate that they're expecting they're expecting Cunningham to
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 2: be out. There's no other way to read that line,
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 2: because Detroit really should be like a five and a
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 2: half point favorite in this game, and that is what
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 2: the line was going to be if Cunningham was gonna play.
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 2: I think cunning him in Giddy both played in the
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 2: first game of the season. Yeah, we see here they did,
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 2: so they were.
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: Both in there.
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 2: So that's how you can kind of you could kind
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 2: of compare this line to that line. Well, okay, if
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 2: Detroit was a four point favorite on the road with
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 2: both guys playing, then that means that if the line
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 2: is less than that at home, that must mean that
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 2: Giddy is expected to play, probably and Cunningham seems like
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 2: he's expected not to play. But I like that even
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 2: more because if Giddy is coming back, he's like the
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 2: bulls best player, and that's a reverse injured player spots.
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 2: That means maybe the Bulls will actually like kind of
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 2: take their foot off the gas a little bit. I
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: know they haven't played as well recently, but also so
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 2: they have to they have to work Giddy back in.
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 2: He has to get used to it again the Bulls.
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's almost like you can breathe a sigh
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 2: of relief with your star player back. They have to
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 2: build up that chemistry again. Whereas with Detroit, if Cunningham
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 2: is out and you know, you're gonna have to get
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 2: a good effort out of Detroit because their star player
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 2: is out. So if that's the case, you're gonna get
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 2: a good effort out of them. But on top of that,
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 2: I think you're gonna you're gonna get a good effort anyway,
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 2: because look at what Detroit just did. We know what
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 2: they just did. They just barely won against the Washington Wizards.
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 2: They got taken into overtime against the Wizards. And I
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 2: told you that was a bad spot. Washington was one
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: of my plays. We got that right, and Washington almost
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 2: won the game outright. So I think you've got to
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 2: expect focus from Detroit after that.
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: And that was a bad spot.
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 2: Detroit had beaten Philadelphia on the road the game before that,
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 2: it was a back to back, and they had this
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 2: game against Chicago up next. It was a sandwich spot.
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 2: They didn't play well in the game, they escaped to
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 2: the win. I think you're gonna get more focused out
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 2: of Detroit here for that reason as well. And you're
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 2: gonna get even more focused because Detroit only two losses
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 2: this season.
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: Guess who one of those losses was to, Yeah, it
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: was at Chicago.
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 2: Detroit lost by four in the opening game of the season,
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: so I think they're gonna remember that and they're gonna
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 2: want to show up for that reason too. Also, Chicago's
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 2: only one and three on the road, so they have
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 2: not been good on the road. Detroit four and one
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 2: at home, so Detroit has a fairly distinct home court
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: advantage early in the season.
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: So I like that too.
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: Chicago's also kind of in a tough spot here, man.
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 2: I mean, yes, ideally you're gonna want to get up
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 2: for Detroit, but they're playing four tough games in a row,
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 2: all in different venues. They were at Milwaukee, they lost
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 2: about double digits there, but then they played Cleveland to
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 2: within six on the back leg of a back to back.
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 2: They then played a third game in four days and
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 2: played really close against San Antonio.
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: Was off to a good start.
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 2: Now they're going out on the road again, which I
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 2: know usually you focus on your first game of a
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: road trip, but there's zigzagging all over the place here, man,
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 2: And now they're playing a what is that it's a.
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: Fourth game in six days.
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's not easy to do it all difficult
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 2: spot for them, man. I know Detroit is playing a
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 2: third game in four days as well here, but both
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 2: teams have a pretty pack schedule. They're playing a fourth
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 2: game in six days as well, But it's better for
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 2: them in my opinion, because they're at least staying at
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 2: home between these two games and should be in a
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 2: bounce back mode after that other loss there. So I
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 2: don't buy into this money percentage year. The spot to
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 2: me pretty much screams the pistons here, So pistons are
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 2: my only play in the NBA today. Yeah, piss pissed On?
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 2: You remember pissed On? The I think they were a
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 2: band in like the nineties.
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: They get overlooked.
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 2: They were kind of like post grunge. They had that
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 2: one big song called gray Flap, really really good song,
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 2: pissed On. They're still out there. I think they're released
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 2: an album like last year or something like that. You
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 2: can go check them out. They're actually a very underrated band,
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 2: under the radar.
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: Excuse me a fall, but it did something coageous. Thank
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: you for being so bold. If you remember that song.
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 1: Maybe maybe nobody knows that song. I don't know. I
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: like it.
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 2: Detroit City Edition, Jersey debut. That could go either way though,
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: with these uniforms. Man, I think it all depends on
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 2: how good the uniform looks. And it gets subjective because
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 2: if you look good in your uniform, you're gonna play better.
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 2: But if you look stupid, if you look bad, then
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 2: you're not gonna play as well. So it's hard to
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 2: read into that.
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 2: As far as the rest of the NBA, I don't
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 2: have any more plays today, By the way, I don't
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 2: like the College Football board with the maction. We do
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 2: have Orlando at the Knicks on ESPN at seven pm.
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: Big Game.
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's on ESPN. Orlando still has things to
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 2: figure out. They should be better than they are right now.
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 2: The Knicks have won five games in a row. We
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 2: know that Orlando has been struggling with their new tempo
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 2: that they're trying out.
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 1: Here, the Knicks.
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 2: Multiple blowout wins in a row, and they've scored over
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty points in three straight games. So
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 2: you gotta think they're a bit over valued here. They
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 2: blew out Memphis last night and now they're on a
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 2: back to back. They do play Miami next. Do they
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 2: really overlook Orlando here? I mean maybe, I mean you
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 2: got to think that there's no value on the Knicks
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: right now, at least because they've scored so many points recently.
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 2: Orlando had a day off yesterday and now they have
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 2: this one game road trip to New York. But you
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 2: got to think they're going to be focused on it
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 2: because it is against the Knicks, it is on ESPN,
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 2: it is it's a single game road trip, so those
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 2: can go either way. But to me, I kind of
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 2: think that it's going to be focused for the Magic here.
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 2: So I actually disagree with the money in this one too,
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 2: which is saying Knicks seventy two percent of the cash
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 2: and they're up from four and a half to four
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 2: and a half with juice fifty three percent of tickets
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 2: on the Magic.
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: I don't like that.
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't see how you could possibly be
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 2: getting value with the Knicks with the role that they've
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 2: been on.
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 1: So take from that what you will. I guess.
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 2: Memphis is playing at my Boston Celtics. Memphis played yesterday
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 2: and they're on a back to back and a third
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 2: game in four days, all in different cities. They lost
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 2: to the Knicks last night, they lost to ok See
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 2: the game before that. Yeah, they're gonna be looking for
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 2: a win, but they actually overlooked the Celtics potentially now
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 2: because the Celtics aren't that good right now. They're below
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 2: five hundred. Memphis has Cleveland next. I don't know man
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 2: Celtics sitting at five and seven. Celtics coming up a
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 2: big game though, and returning over from a road trip.
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 2: They're also on a back to back and they're playing
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 2: a third game in four days in different cities and
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 2: returning home from a road trip. Although they're staying on
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 2: the East Coast, they're only on the road trip since Friday.
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 2: A tough game. Again, the Celtics think they probably were
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 2: gonna win against Philadelphia and they lost. Celtics could be
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 2: three to zero against Philadelphia right now and they're one
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 2: and two. That's a brutal loss for the Celtics though,
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 2: off of that one, so I don't love the spot
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 2: that the Celtics are in here obviously. If anything, I
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 2: think the spot is actually better for the Grizzlies, and
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 2: the money is reflecting that, So I actually agree with
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 2: the market in this one. Celtics have from eight to
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 2: six and a half sixty take a seventy two percent
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the Grizzlies, although you missed out
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 2: on getting the plus seven if you do like the
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 2: Grizzlies there, which I slightly.
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: Lean that way. Cleveland at Miami, Cleveland, Uh, they're playing
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: Miami two games in a row. But so Cleveland lost
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: in overtime to Miami in the first game. So you'd think, well,
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: that means Miami is in a letdown spot. And while yes,
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 1: I agree, they're gonna be.
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 2: In a letdown spot, or at least it's a zigzag spot,
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 2: right because Cleveland lost at Miami, you gotta think, well,
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 2: they're gonna be the team to make the adjustments. However,
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 2: we're gonna look at the line in a minute and
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 2: you're gonna see why that is there. There's gonna be
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 2: a lot going on in this game that might you
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 2: might have to reanalyze it. Cleveland on a four game
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 2: win streak and they lost that four game win streak.
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 2: Sometimes losing a four game win streak will hang you
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 2: over a little bit. You had Miami last night, nice helly, Yeah, yeah,
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 2: I mean Cleveland was off beating Chicago at least a minute.
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 2: I didn't love the spot personally, but I think did
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 2: I lean to Miami in that game.
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: I probably did, but I don't know.
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 2: But if you look at this game today, Cleveland was
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 2: obviously a favorite.
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: In that game at Miami.
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 2: Miami is an injured team right now, Cleveland was a
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: seven and a half point favorite. Now if you look
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 2: at what's going on tonight, Miami is a six point favorite.
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: Well why, Well, it's pretty obvious.
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 2: The reason is Cleveland's just gonna rest like their entire
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 2: team pretty much tonight.
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: That's the only reason why.
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 2: So you're basically gonna get You're gonna get a battle
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 2: of backups in this game. Eighty four percent of tickets,
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 2: only seventy two percent of the cash on Cleveland, So
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 2: the money is actually indicating on the Heat because obviously
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 2: the public they don't know anything, and they're gonna see
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 2: this line and think there's value on the calves because
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 2: they're stupid.
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: But you gotta think, even if you're a recreational better,
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: you have to be.
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 2: Wondering why the Heat are a favorite here like this,
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 2: especially because the Heat are still without their best players
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 2: out of Bio still out, He's not coming back until
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 2: the next game. I think, uh Hero is still out
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 2: for a couple more games as well, So like, I mean,
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 2: there's something going on here quite obviously, and that that's it. Yeah,
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 2: Cleveland is resting everybody. Garland came back not that long ago.
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 2: He's not gonna play tonight. Mobley's not gonna play tonight.
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 2: So one of their big men is out, Donovan Mitchell,
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 2: Cleveland's best player.
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: You had to know that was gonna come. He's also out.
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 1: So they're not even hurt.
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 2: They're just all being rested on a back to back.
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 2: This is the new NBA man with these It's the
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 2: Greg Popovich a factor. These teams just rest everybody because
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 2: he was the one that started doing it and he's
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 2: a progressive moron but not wanting to get into politics here.
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 2: But I mean to me, that line has gotta be
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 2: an overreaction though, Like, yeah, I know Cleveland's resting all
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 2: those guys, you're gonna swing the line thirteen and a
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 2: half points based off of that. I mean to me,
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 2: I don't think that there's any line value in laying
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 2: the points that they heat So and Cleveland, you got
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 2: to think that at least the backups to get in,
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 2: they're gonna they're gonna actually be excited to get out
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 2: there and play That's the one thing which I forgot
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 2: to mention with like the Jets over the weekend, the
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 2: New York Jets, Like when you have a team where
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 2: like they in their case, they traded people away.
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: In this case, Cleveland's resting guys.
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 2: Sometimes when those backups they get a chance to actually
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 2: start and play, they get excited and they play well,
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean, even if they're not as good,
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 2: so you get effort at least sometimes out of them.
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 2: This total is totally crashed, by the way, by like
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 2: eleven and a half points on calves and heat, although
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 2: with some of these star players that it's got to
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 2: somehow affect the defense too, so probably an overreaction on
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 2: the total as well. I just don't see any value
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 2: in going under or in playing the heat in this game.
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 2: If anything, I would lean to taking the points with Cleveland,
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 2: even though I know it is the public side. It's
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 2: it's the Bell Curve situation right where you have the
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: complete idiots saying.
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: I'm saying, look, do is Miami six point favorite? Obviously
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: Cleveland's a better team. Then you have the midwits or no,
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: you have excuse, you have the dumb guys. The dumb
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: guys saying dumb you know Miami's favoritebody six, you know,
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: like that's just too many points. I don't know whatever,
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: whatever they're gonna say, you have the I think you have.
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 1: The idiots probably gonna be on on the side of
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: Wait what am I even saying? Now, I don't even
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: know what I'm saying.
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 2: The midwits would wind up being on the on the
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 2: Cleveland's side or yeah, no, the midwitch would be on
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 2: the uh yeah, on the Miami side here because they're
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 2: like too smart for the market.
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: Oh, let's fade the public market read here. But then
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: the the.
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 2: Absolute high IQ geniuses are actually on the same side
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 2: as the idiots, being like, no, actually.
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: Cleveland is the right Yeah, that's what I meant. Yeah,
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: Cleveland is the right side. Yeah.
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 2: So the idiots be like, oh, six is too many points,
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 2: obviously Cleveland. Then you have the midwits like reading too
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 2: much into the market, being like, no, guys, you got
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 2: a market read gotta you gotta lay the points to
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 2: the heat here. And then you have high IQ being like, no,
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 2: actually it is still an overreaction.
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: So take Cleveland. Yeah, something like that. I fucked that up.
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 2: But you get what I'm saying, it's Cleveland partying in Miami,
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 2: maybe prior to the first game.
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: Maybe I don't know. I mean, I don't really see that.
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: I mean that that's more of an effect in like college,
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 2: I go, this team is gonna party somewhere.
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 1: I mean, it depends, it kind of depends.
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 2: It becomes more of an effective if it's an environment
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 2: where you're just not used to playing, Like this isn't
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 2: gonna be one of those that Cleveland plays in Miami
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 2: every year and they're a professional team. I don't think
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 2: that happens. But like you, it happens in like bowl
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 2: games where teams go out to Vegas that are like
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 2: kind of disappointed in the bowl that they're in and
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 2: they just go out and party in Vegas. I think
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 2: it happens more in just situations that teams are not
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 2: usually in.
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that one's a very very we your game.
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 2: But I would probably take the points with the Calves
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 2: and that one if you forced me to pick a
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 2: side a Washington. Of course, after last night they played
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 2: really tough against Detroit, not last.
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: Night, two nights ago.
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 2: I think they were huge underdog and took Detroit into overtime.
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 2: So I don't think they can match that effort again
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 2: coming into Houston here. I think it's a bad spot,
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 2: even though they're gonna probably want to at the very
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 2: least try to match it.
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: I don't know if they'll be able to.
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 2: Houston though they were turning on from a road trip,
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 2: and they did beat Milwaukee to finish.
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: The road trip.
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 2: That's a big win at the very least, and they
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 2: might not take Washington seriously. And then a return home
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 2: spot where they've been away for a week, you know,
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 2: that could come with its distractions. So I don't like
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 2: the spot for either team in this one. The Rockets
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 2: are up from fifteen to seventeen. I would not lay
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 2: those points ninety percent of tickets, ninety percent of the
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 2: cash on them.
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: I would go over in this game if I was
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: gonna play it.
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 2: The total dipped a little bit down from two thirty
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 2: five and after two thirty four and a half. When
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 2: you have teams that might be tired and or not focused,
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 2: I tend to think it affects the deepfense more, although
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 2: the lack of focus can kind of make the offense
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 2: worse too. But yeah, I don't like the spot either
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 2: team is in.
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: In that one. Miami plays twice in New York after this.
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 2: M Yeah, I mean, the only thing I'll say is like,
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 2: generally they're not going to overlook Cleveland, but they might
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 2: overlook Cleveland when they're playing all of Cleveland's backups. After
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 2: they beat Cleveland last night, it is possible that Miami
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 2: overlooks them.
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: And or again with the kind of the zigzag factor that's.
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 2: Still in play, is that whatever worked for Miami last night,
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 2: if they try that again, it probably won't work this time.
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 2: So there's that that's kind of the zig zag factor,
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 2: or Miami doesn't have any adjustments to make. So yeah,
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 2: Portland is at New Orleans. Portland lost a couple of
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 2: games recently, They've lost three or four. They're five hundred
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 2: on the season now. They just lost at Orlando. Kind
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 2: of to me looks like maybe a bounced back spot here,
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 2: because they played tough against Miami the game before then.
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 2: That was after beating Okac and beating Denver and playing
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 2: close against the Lakers the games before that. This Portland team,
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 2: they've played well against some of the top teams in basketball,
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 2: including I think they're the only team to beat the
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 2: best team in basketball So this Portland team, they're definitely dangerous,
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 2: and I think in a bounce back spot here, they
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 2: might actually show up focused for this game, just because
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 2: I think that was kind of an ugly loss.
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: Against Orlando, who's just not playing well right now.
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 2: The Pelicans, while they're better than their two and eight
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 2: record would tell you, Pelicans are in a return home
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 2: spot here where they've been gone for a week. They
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 2: went out to only Dallas, San Antonio and Phoenix, not
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 2: exactly a long road trip, but it's a return home
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 2: spot and they do play the Lakers, Golden State, okay See,
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 2: and Denver all up next, so I think it might
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 2: be a distraction spot even though two and eight team
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 2: can't really afford to overlook anybody. But to me, I
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 2: mean it's a bad team and kind of a difficult
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 2: spot and they might be looking ahead still. To me,
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 2: I think Portland might be the right side and this one.
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 2: Zion Williamson is still out for another game, so the
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 2: Blazers are missing or excuse the Pelicans are missing him,
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 2: which is not great. Obviously, the Blazers are a very
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 2: very big favorite, though from six and a half to eight.
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 2: Pelicans getting very disrespected in the market. But the Blazers
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 2: being a five hundred team laying points like that on
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 2: the road almost looks strange, like why are they laying
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 2: that many points? Oddsmakers are telling you the Blazers are
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 2: actually a fairly good team. Nine tickets, nine to n
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash coming on the Blazers Celtics. I
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 2: don't know with that trade Holiday for Simons, Holiday is
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 2: the way better defensive player. I know he's older, Simons
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 2: is a scorer, but I still don't like.
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: It, you know me, I like defense.
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 2: Holiday definitely boosts the Blazers because the Blazers have this
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 2: young core and now they get this veteran like Holiday
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 2: in there. He definitely improves them in that respect too,
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 2: where now the young players have a veteran to look
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 2: to for like leadership there, and he's the guy that
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 2: runs the offense to ninety percent to take us nine
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 2: to nine percent of the cash.
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: On the Blazers. Can't really read into those numbers.
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 2: Sure they're gonna be public, but I mean I would
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 2: probably still lean to the Blazers. I'm not really jumping
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 2: out of my seat to lay that many points though.
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 2: New All Star format I hate that. I mean I
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 2: don't know it's gonna be like Country Base Now or
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 2: something like that. But I mean the the NHL one actually, well,
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 2: I don't know. The NHL one got a lot of
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 2: eyes on it with the four Nations or whatever. I
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 2: just think they should add more nations to it. I
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 2: mean the NBA All Star I just hate how they
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 2: do it anyway, though, I mean I kind of like
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 2: the three point contests and the dunk contests. I mean
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 2: used to be really cool in the nineties. It's not
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 2: really cool anymore. The All Star Game itself is terrible though,
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 2: I mean, guys just not wanting to get hurt. Obviously,
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 2: there's no deepfense. It's just stupid FanDuel Blazers eight and
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 2: a half. I mean, there's not really a difference between
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 2: eight and eight and a half. And I mean you
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 2: missed out on the seven though, Like if I was
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 2: gonna lay the points of the Blazers seven, it is
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 2: a key enough number that I probably wouldn't want to
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 2: go higher than that. I just think the numbers high,
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 2: although I agree with the Blazer side. Golden State is
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 2: playing who are they playing against?
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: San Antonio?
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 2: Golden State on a back to back third game in
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 2: four days, traveling from Oklahoma City to San Antonio. They
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 2: did get blown out in Oklahoma City last night, though,
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 2: and Draymond Green was saying some not pleasant things postgame,
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 2: saying that he thinks that the team is not committed
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 2: to winning, which I could see them motivating the team.
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's not what you want.
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 2: To hear and if you respect your teammate for saying that,
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 2: but he could also business teammates off.
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 1: I don't know, because I think Green is a bit
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 1: of a dick, So I don't know.
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 2: I'm not a Draymon fan. I think he's an ass.
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 2: I remember him back in the day in college on
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 2: Michigan State.
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: So in a way, I could see the.
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 2: Argument that there is a bounce back spot for some
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 2: of those reasons.
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 1: There was a blowout.
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 2: Loss last night, but it's still a back to back.
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 2: Curry first flagrant foul did not know that. But that
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 2: shows you there's frustration going on with the Warriors right now.
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 2: But the Warriors are also.
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 1: An aging team.
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 2: They got to get used to the fact that they're
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 2: not as good anymore. Man, this is not that dynasty anymore. Yeah,
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 2: they're playing a third game in four days. All in
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 2: different cities. It's not exactly an easy spot for them.
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 2: As far as san Antonio. Yeah, they're off to a
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 2: hot start, so I do think Golden State will still
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 2: try to show up focus for them. They've had a
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 2: day off and they're coming back home. Kind of a
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 2: weird spot where they went to Chicago for one game.
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 2: They beat Chicago, they barely covered. I mentioned I liked
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 2: san Antonio in that and I didn't give it out
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 2: as a play. I was close, and they did cover
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 2: the three and a half in that one, winning by four.
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 2: Now they're coming back home from a weird single game
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 2: road trip to Chicago, but they're more rested because they
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 2: had a day off prior to that game and after it.
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 2: I don't think they're going to overlook Golden State. So
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 2: this is a tough read, man. But then you got
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 2: to read into the fact.
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 1: That Spurs are up from a pick them to a
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: four point favorites, Like what happened?
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 2: Why did that line move like that? That wasn't just
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 2: all market action. We have a eighty five percent of tickets,
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 2: only sixty five percent of the cash on the Spurs,
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 2: so the market, Reid is actually saying come back and
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 2: take the points with Golden State. I mean, I think
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 2: both teams are gonna at least try to show up focus.
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 2: But you do have the fact that Golden State is
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 2: terrible on the road, one and six on the road,
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 2: all of their losses have come on the road, and
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 2: San Antonio is a perfect five and zero at home.
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 2: So I'm not really looking to fade san Antonio. Uh,
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 2: for some of those reasons. San Antonio. By the way,
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 2: I actually think they've rested some of their guys yesterday.
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 2: Let me look, cause I think okay see did yesterday
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 2: against Golden State.
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 1: But let me see. Oh no, san Antonio.
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 2: Then on the back to back, what am I saying,
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 2: Golden State, I'll look, I'll look into it. Now, did
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 2: Golden State rest? I meant Golden State, not san Antonio.
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 2: Do Golden State rest some of their players here in
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 2: this game? They might of? Let me see, because Oklahoma
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 2: City actually did. Oklahoma City only had two guys, They
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 2: only had one starter go at least thirty minutes, and
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 2: one of their bench players played thirty minutes.
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: So Golden State, excuse me, Oklahoma.
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 2: City actually rested a lot of their guys, and Golden
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 2: State actually did as well. Nobody on Golden State played
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 2: more than twenty four minutes in the game, so if
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 2: Golden State's guys arrested as well, so the back to
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 2: back has a little bit less of an effect. That
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 2: is something you got to look at on the back
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 2: to back as well. So but still I can't really
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 2: figure out why the line moved like this unless somebody
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 2: is out for Golden State, but the injury report doesn't
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 2: really show it. I mean, Horford has been injured recently,
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 2: but that's not going to move the line four points,
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 2: so like it makes it look like Curry is out
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 2: or something. So I don't know what's going on with
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 2: this line moving four points unless the pick them was wrong.
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 2: I mean, the market read is saying to take the
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 2: points with the Warriors. They did at least rest guys yesterday.
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 2: Maybe they'll be in a focused spot because of just
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 2: how ugly everything was last night.
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know.
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 2: I also tend to somehow like sometimes I don't want
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 2: to play a team that has that many frustrations.
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 1: That's a very difficult game. I don't know what I
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 1: would do.
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 2: Phoenix is above five hundred now and they're going to
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 2: this struggling Dallas team Phoenix off of a win over
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 2: the Clippers excusely over on New Orleans after they beat
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 2: the Clippers twice. Unfortunately. Actually, no, that wasn't one of
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 2: my plays. One of my players was.
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 1: Against the Hawks. One am. I saying, Phoenix going back
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 1: out on the road to Dallas. Don't really think it's a.
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 2: Spot where they're necessarily going to overlook Dallas though, I mean,
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 2: beating New Orleans is not really a big deal Indiana tomorrow.
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 2: I don't know if Indiana really draws your focus with
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 2: them being a really injured team right now, although a
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 2: lot of their guys have come back. Dallas lost five
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 2: of the last six games. They did just have a
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 2: close game on Monday against Milwaukee, though, So I do
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 2: think the spot is worse for Dallas for that reason
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 2: because they took Milwaukee basically to the limit and still lost.
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be kind of a hangover spot
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 2: for Dallas. H Dallas is down from one and a
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 2: half to a pick them. So the money he's agreeing
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 2: with me in this one on Phoenix seventy seven percent
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 2: of tickets, only sixty five percent of the cash on Dallas.
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 2: The public does like doesn't want Phoenix to the point
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 2: where they're actually playing on this Dallas team. I don't know, Yeah,
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 2: I don't agree with it. I would look towards the Suns.
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 2: Here still some injuries for both teams. Jalen Green is
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 2: still out for the Suns, so that's something to.
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 1: Note.
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 2: I mean, he was out for their first Like, he's
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 2: only played like three games this season, so he's the
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 2: guy they got in the Durant trade, but he just
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 2: hasn't been healthy.
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 1: He just hasn't played. So I don't think that's really
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 1: gonna cause like a shift really like he's been out
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 1: for a few games again.
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 2: Now for Dallas, they got to start getting some of
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 2: these guys back. Derek Lively is questionable, Anthony Davis is questionable.
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 1: They need these guys back. Davis hasn't played actually.
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 2: Since the twenty nine So Davis actually comes back because
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 2: he's a big deal. I actually think that's also a
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 2: reason to maybe look towards the Suns because he's the
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 2: MAVs best player. Basically, if he's healthy, even though he's older,
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 2: and he comes back into the lineup, he's gonna have
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 2: to take a little while to readjust the team's got
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 2: to readjust to him.
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 1: So I think that's bad actually for the MAVs. So
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 1: I would.
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 2: Still fade the MAVs in that case, and maybe the
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 2: line will move back up if ad is coming back,
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 2: and you'll get more value on the Suns if that happens.
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 1: So reverse injured players about if that happens.
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 2: Nico not as good as Nico Medved, they should get
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 2: him instead. Nico Harrison maybe should be fired. I'm rooting
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 2: against the MAVs just because Adelson is their owner, and
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 2: I don't think even though owners are these you know,
• 1:43:49
  Speaker 2: evil rich people for the most part, I mean, I
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 2: think she's like a new form of evil. Don't want
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 2: to get this channel nuked though. Lakers at Oklahoma City,
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 2: Big Game. This is on ESPN for a reason.
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 1: Obviously.
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 2: This is the second of the doubleheader. This is the
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 2: bigger of the two games. Nine to thirty pm Eastern.
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 2: The Lakers had a day off. They're coming in after
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 2: beating Charlotte, getting back on the winning side. It's not
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 2: a bad spot for the Lakers. Really, you know they're
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 2: gonna show up. But OKC is dominant, and even though
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 2: Oka se is on a back to back it was
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 2: an easy win for them yesterday, and again they rested
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 2: their guys because I think they realized that they were
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 2: playing this game today, so that's why they did that.
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 2: So their guys are not totally unrested here. Yes, they
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 2: played about half of their usual minutes yesterday for the
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 2: most part, and it is the third game in four
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 2: days for the Thunder, but they are staying at home.
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 1: They've been dominant at home over the last couple of seasons.
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 2: They're five and zero at home to start this season,
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 2: but the Lakers have been really good on the road
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 2: five and one, So I would actually probably take the
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 2: points with the Lakers here, but the money disagree is
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 2: sixty six percent of tickets ninety nine percent of the
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 2: cauch on the Thunder up from six and a half
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 2: to seven. I yeah, I would probably take the points
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 2: of the Lakers, though, I mean, they're good on the
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 2: road and they at least have more rest here. Though
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 2: I in Oklahoma City is not as unrested as they
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 2: could be Atlanta at Sacramento. Atlanta's still without Trey Young,
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 2: still without their best player, but they're actually playing pretty
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 2: well right now, so maybe looking to fade them when
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 2: he comes back in the first game, and he comes back,
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 2: they're already in California because they won against the Clippers.
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 2: That was the game that we lost on the show
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 2: on Monday, and now they're just traveling up to Sacramento.
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: Not really a terrible spot.
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 2: For Atlanto, though, I guess you could argue, well, they
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 2: just pulled off an upset on the road, so is
• 1:45:36
  Speaker 2: it a letdown spot?
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: Though I don't know.
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 2: They might not focus on Sacramento that much so because
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 2: Sacramento's playing pretty poorly right now.
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 1: But Sacramento's had a really.
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 2: Really difficult schedule too, So at this point, I don't
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 2: think they're as bad as they look. And Sabonus missed
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 2: a bunch of games that he's been back for two
• 1:45:51
  Speaker 2: games now.
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: I think, so he's gonna play. He's their best player.
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 2: But look at the recent stretch they've been on, man,
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 2: I mean there's been no let up here. I mean,
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 2: after they open the season with Phoenix and Utah, they
• 1:46:01
  Speaker 2: had to play Lakers, thunder Bulls, Bucks, Nuggets, Warriors, thunder Tea, Wolves, Nuggets.
• 1:46:09
  Speaker 2: I mean, they played the most difficult schedule in the
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 2: NBA right now.
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 1: So I think at this point.
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 2: They're probably undervalue, but they aren't a back to back
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 2: although they are staying at home. They lost to Denver
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 2: in a blowout last night, and I think they didn't
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 2: actually rest their guys. I think if you look, most
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 2: of their guys actually played like a full workload for
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 2: the Kings here.
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 1: Yeah, so a lot of the guys did.
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 2: Sabonis got a little bit less though, Actually so some
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 2: of their guys got a little bit of rest.
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: They dipped into their bench, a little bit their bench.
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 1: They actually have a decently deep team.
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 2: The Kings do with Westbrook, even though I don't think
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 2: he's a good team player. He's old now, but he's
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 2: coming off the bench as of now. It plays a
• 1:46:48
  Speaker 2: lot of minutes in Malik Monk also does so I
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 2: don't know, but yeah, I mean I would probably take
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 2: the points with the Kings in this one. The market
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 2: Reid says to do it the Hawks up from three
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 2: to three and a half. Fifty eight percent of the
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 2: tickets on the Hawks, but ninety eight percent of the
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 2: couch on the Kings. Don't love the back to back situation,
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 2: but I mean, I think there might be some value
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 2: in playing them as a home underdog.
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 1: At this point here.
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 2: Yes, Sacramento, they're not really their offense and their defense
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 2: have really not been that good, but I still think
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 2: they're better than they look right now. And then Nuggets
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 2: Clippers is the final game here. The public is gonna
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 2: be on the Nuggets at this one. I mean, they're
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 2: eight and two, they're obviously a legit team, but they're
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 2: on a back to back.
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 1: They had some rest prior to that.
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 2: But for them in that Sacramento game, do they play
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 2: everybody for their full minutes?
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 1: Yeah?
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 2: I mean for the most part, they played. Most of
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 2: their guys got big minutes. Jokic pretty much played a
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 2: full compliment of minutes, so did Murray Gordon as well.
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 2: So the Nuggets in kind of a true back to
• 1:47:53
  Speaker 2: back here. They got to travel down for Sacramento to
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 2: La staying in the same time zone. But they do
• 1:47:59
  Speaker 2: have Minnesota up next, just a big game of that.
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 2: They did already beat Minnesota once, but that's a big
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 2: game and there's a little bit of a rivalry there
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 2: at this point between those two teams, and I think
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 2: it was a playoff revenge for the Nuggets if I'm
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 2: not mistaken.
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 1: Let me see, no, not preseason postseason. No, I'm wrong.
• 1:48:19
  Speaker 2: They lost to Oklahoma City last year. Yeah, my mistake.
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 2: But the season before that, I think they lost to
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 2: Minnesota in the playoffs if I remember correctly. But whatever,
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's a big game against Minnesota up next,
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 2: So it's possible Denver in a back to back, feeling
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 2: pretty good right now, in five straight wins, they might
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 2: overlook the Clippers here with Minnesota up next. Excuse me not, Yeah,
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 2: I didn't want to click on Minnesota, but yes, Minnesota
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 2: is their next opponent. For the Clippers, they're on a
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 2: bad stretch right now, man three and seven, but the
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 2: fact still remains that they do have all three of
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 2: their wins at home. These are like two trains going
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 2: in opposite directions. But being the streakbuster, it might happen here.
• 1:49:00
  Speaker 2: I'm not giving it out as a play, but maybe
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 2: it will happen here for other Clippers here. Clippers, they
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 2: did get James Harden back, but he was I think
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 2: he's been back for two games now, so it wasn't
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 2: the reverse injured players about or whatever you want to
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 2: call it, because he missed one game for personal reasons,
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 2: which I think was the first game against Phoenix but
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 2: he's back for a couple of games now, like they
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 2: should start playing a little bit better here. They're staying
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 2: in home, and that was kind of an ugly loss
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 2: against Atlanta.
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 1: So I do like this.
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 2: And if Denver, if their win yesterday was bigger then
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 2: a win against Sacramento, I would probably go with the
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 2: Clippers here as a play.
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 1: I still agree with that side.
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 2: Nuggets up from two to three, sixty seven percent of
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 2: tickets and cash on the Nuggets. I would still take
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 2: the points of the Clippers if I was going to
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 2: do it. And let's go to college football, which is
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 2: all action before I get out here. With three games
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 2: here and the first game on the board is absolutely horrible.
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Clippers have lost five in a row. Nuggets have
• 1:50:08
  Speaker 1: won five in a row.
• 1:50:09
  Speaker 2: This might be the spot where the streaks get ended
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 2: all in one swoop. I would not be shocked if
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 2: the Clippers won first game up in match.
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 1: This is just pathetic, dude.
• 1:50:22
  Speaker 2: Northern Illinois at you Mass, and Northern Illinois is bad,
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 2: and you Mass is so bad that Northern Illinois an
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 2: eleven point road favorite here up from ten and a
• 1:50:33
  Speaker 2: half to eleven. U Mass is actually taking some of
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 2: the money, sixty percent of tickets, seventy four percent of the.
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 1: Ask me on you Mass.
• 1:50:39
  Speaker 2: It's also a low total sitting at forty three and
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 2: a half. These two teams are both really really bad
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 2: on offense. Northern Illinois, all they do is run the football.
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 2: They can't throw the ball you Mass can't do anything.
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 2: So probably expected that.
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 1: This game will I think an under kind of makes sense.
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 1: In this game.
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 2: You see sixty percent of tickets on the under, three
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the over.
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 1: But I just see this being a putrid game. We're again,
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 1: both these teams are just bad.
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 2: I would lean to taking the points with UMass as well,
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 2: just because there's no way I would lay a double
• 1:51:15
  Speaker 2: digit spread on the road with a team that doesn't
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 2: throw the football like they just don't really have the
• 1:51:22
  Speaker 2: ability to blow teams out.
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 1: Northern Illinois. I mean their only wins on the season.
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 2: I mean they did win by margin against ball State,
• 1:51:28
  Speaker 2: though that was at home and they were able.
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 1: To do it by fourteen.
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 2: Ball State also stinks, even though the record makes them
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 2: look a little bit better than they actually are. As
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 2: I mentioned last night, but this Northern Illinois team, their
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 2: only wins are at home, barely against Holy Cross and
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 2: then at home against Ball State. Yes, they did get
• 1:51:46
  Speaker 2: a cover for US against Maryland on the roads. They
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 2: actually played decently in that game, and they played pretty
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 2: well against San Diego State as well, so holding them
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 2: to six points. So Northern ILLINOI, I mean, they play
• 1:52:01
  Speaker 2: decent defense at the very least. They're coming off a
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 2: horrendous loss as Alito. Though Toledo's better than the record
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 2: looks though. They still might be the best team in
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 2: the MAC even though even though it doesn't show it
• 1:52:13
  Speaker 2: on the records, So maybe Northern Allinois is still in
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a bounce back spot after that
• 1:52:18
  Speaker 2: embarrassing loss. They don't have a whole lot left to
• 1:52:22
  Speaker 2: play for. Neither of these teams are going anywhere you
• 1:52:25
  Speaker 2: Mass is going out of Division one.
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 1: That's how bad they are.
• 1:52:29
  Speaker 2: Not only have they not won a game, but they've
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 2: only had one game where they were close to winning,
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 2: and it was against FCS Bryant at home, and they
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 2: couldn't even win that game, losing by one.
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 1: This U mass team.
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 2: Is like historically bad, Like they're the worst team in
• 1:52:44
  Speaker 2: FBS football and they're so bad that that they're losing
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 2: forty two to six to like the next worst team
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 2: basically just can't stay. Although I know we saw Kn't
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 2: State surprisingly win last night by.
• 1:52:54
  Speaker 1: A large margin.
• 1:52:56
  Speaker 2: U Mass is also coming off a BLAWT lost, and
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 2: I think they've had one extra day off because they
• 1:53:00
  Speaker 2: played on Tuesday against Akron.
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 1: They do get to host a.
• 1:53:05
  Speaker 2: Game on ESPNU at least this is gonna be their
• 1:53:07
  Speaker 2: first midweek primetime games.
• 1:53:10
  Speaker 1: So I mean both teams that they are gonna.
• 1:53:11
  Speaker 2: Try to save themselves from embarrassment here. I think the
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 2: under makes more sense, but as far as the side, yeah,
• 1:53:19
  Speaker 2: I would probably still take the points. I mean, you Mass,
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 2: it'll be as a member of FBS, this will be
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 2: their only isolated primetime game that they get to host
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 2: ever before they drop down to like, I think they're
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 2: dropping out of Division one entirely. I'm pretty sure I
• 1:53:33
  Speaker 2: think they're actually gonna drop all the way down to
• 1:53:36
  Speaker 2: Division three.
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 1: I heard is that even correct? I don't know.
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 2: I mean, that just doesn't seem right because you Mass
• 1:53:43
  Speaker 2: or Division one basketball program, and they're decently competitive, not
• 1:53:48
  Speaker 2: as much as they were when they had John cal
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 2: Perre as coach and Marcus cam Be there, but still yeah,
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 2: I mean I would take the points with them, but
• 1:53:57
  Speaker 2: I mean, that game is just I would not want
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 2: to have anything to do with it.
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 1: That game is horrible. Clippers are old.
• 1:54:03
  Speaker 2: Yeah, the Nuggets are somewhat old too, though, U mass Zach,
• 1:54:09
  Speaker 2: you like you mass. I don't know why they your
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 2: favorite team, but your favorite football team. That's really a
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 2: little bit crazy, JC, what's up? Thanks for hanging out?
• 1:54:18
  Speaker 1: All right?
• 1:54:19
  Speaker 2: The other two games here, These other two games are
• 1:54:21
  Speaker 2: a bit better. Toledo in Miami Ohio is probably the
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 2: best game in Toledo, up from a three and a
• 1:54:27
  Speaker 2: half point favorite to a four and a half point
• 1:54:28
  Speaker 2: favorite on the road with the public coming in on
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 2: the on the home underdog, and you know, I talked
• 1:54:33
  Speaker 2: about how that's a red flag when the public is
• 1:54:36
  Speaker 2: playing not only an underdog, which they don't usually do,
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 2: but a home underdog, and the money is saying otherwise,
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 2: there's something going on there. The odzwiks are telling you
• 1:54:43
  Speaker 2: Toledo is the better team over Miami Ohio by enough
• 1:54:47
  Speaker 2: that they're laying points on the road sixty eight percent
• 1:54:50
  Speaker 2: of tickets, only sixty percent of the cash on Miami Ohio.
• 1:54:54
  Speaker 2: So the cash again is saying Toledo here. And by
• 1:54:57
  Speaker 2: the way, I did forget to mention that Kent State
• 1:54:59
  Speaker 2: part of the re why they won tod othough it
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 2: actually went into overtime. Acron came all the way back
• 1:55:03
  Speaker 2: in that game. Kent State was blowing them up. But
• 1:55:05
  Speaker 2: that's actually a rivalry. I mean, so many of these
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 2: teams were in Ohio, but Kent State and Akron are
• 1:55:11
  Speaker 2: actually like some sort of rivalry there. So whatever Toledo.
• 1:55:15
  Speaker 1: Is also in Ohio, Miami Ohio is also in Ohio.
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 1: Though Miami Ohio is coming off of their biggest rivalry
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 1: I think against Ohio. I think that's kind of the
• 1:55:24
  Speaker 1: big deal there with those teams both don't like each other.
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio actually had a chance to get revenge for
• 1:55:32
  Speaker 1: last year's MAC Championship where Ohio blew them out, and
• 1:55:36
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio fell just short in this game and lost
• 1:55:39
  Speaker 1: a five game win streaking doing that. So I don't
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 1: love the spot from Miami Ohio here, even though there's
• 1:55:44
  Speaker 1: still one lost team and they could still make the
• 1:55:46
  Speaker 1: MAC Championship here and after last night, Ohio is actually
• 1:55:49
  Speaker 1: behind them. Miami Ohio does have a little bit They
• 1:55:52
  Speaker 1: have an extra day off at least because they played
• 1:55:54
  Speaker 1: on Tuesday. But I think it's gonna be difficult for
• 1:55:56
  Speaker 1: them to get back up off the mat after that
• 1:55:58
  Speaker 1: Ohio game.
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 2: It makes it a little bit difficult. Toledo is under
• 1:56:01
  Speaker 2: the radar man. Both teams are one win away.
• 1:56:04
  Speaker 1: From being Bowl eligible.
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 2: Though both these teams tend to make bowls more often
• 1:56:08
  Speaker 2: than not because so many teams make bowls and they're
• 1:56:10
  Speaker 2: usually some of the better teams in the MAC. Toledo
• 1:56:14
  Speaker 2: has one fewer day of rest than Miami Ohio does.
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 2: I don't think it really matters. They beat Northern Illinois
• 1:56:19
  Speaker 2: back on last Wednesday, and I don't think anybody cares
• 1:56:22
  Speaker 2: about that. This Toledo team, they're very, very underrated right now,
• 1:56:25
  Speaker 2: though I know they're Like their conference record looks bad,
• 1:56:29
  Speaker 2: they have two conference losses, but there's still I think,
• 1:56:33
  Speaker 2: actually the best team in the MAC, believe it or not,
• 1:56:35
  Speaker 2: Like power ratings wise. They had these weird losses on
• 1:56:37
  Speaker 2: the road to Western Michigan into Bowling Green. They were
• 1:56:40
  Speaker 2: a favorite in both games and they lost both of
• 1:56:43
  Speaker 2: them by one score. It's kind of weird. So it
• 1:56:46
  Speaker 2: makes Toledo look worse than they actually are. I mean
• 1:56:49
  Speaker 2: Toledo's had some other losses in there, and of course
• 1:56:51
  Speaker 2: they weren't expected to beat Kentucky, but they actually played
• 1:56:54
  Speaker 2: them tough.
• 1:56:55
  Speaker 1: On the road. And then.
• 1:56:58
  Speaker 2: Weird, kind of a lot weird just trying avil spot
• 1:57:00
  Speaker 2: going out to Washington State. I thought it was a
• 1:57:02
  Speaker 2: good spot for Toledo to beat Washington State because Washington
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 2: State was also coming all the way back from cross
• 1:57:08
  Speaker 2: country after having played a bunch of big games. Toledo
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 2: couldn't get it done there, but still they had to
• 1:57:12
  Speaker 2: go to the Pacific Coast, which.
• 1:57:13
  Speaker 1: Is always kind of weird.
• 1:57:15
  Speaker 2: But yes, I think Toledo is the right side here.
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 2: I think they are the better team, which again the
• 1:57:19
  Speaker 2: odds makers indicating that that's the case, even though the
• 1:57:22
  Speaker 2: records make it look completely the opposite, and the public
• 1:57:26
  Speaker 2: is the public is coming in on on the Miami
• 1:57:32
  Speaker 2: Ohio side.
• 1:57:33
  Speaker 1: I would fade the public in this one. I would
• 1:57:34
  Speaker 1: look towards.
• 1:57:35
  Speaker 2: Toledo and Toledo I don't know if they really have
• 1:57:38
  Speaker 2: a shot at the MAC title game right now, but
• 1:57:40
  Speaker 2: they could also spoil Miami Ohio's chance that I've been
• 1:57:43
  Speaker 2: winning this game. Both teams are gonna want to show up,
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 2: but I do think the spot's a little bit better
• 1:57:47
  Speaker 2: and the market reed says Toledo here.
• 1:57:49
  Speaker 1: That's what I would do.
• 1:57:50
  Speaker 2: I don't quite want to make it a play though,
• 1:57:52
  Speaker 2: And then Buffalo in Central Michigan. Public is on Central
• 1:57:58
  Speaker 2: Michigan eighty one percent of tickets and only six six
• 1:58:00
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on them, even though they went
• 1:58:01
  Speaker 2: up from one and a half to two. The money
• 1:58:05
  Speaker 2: is saying fade Central Michigan.
• 1:58:06
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 1:58:07
  Speaker 2: Central Michigan, they've played well this year, you know, like
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 2: kind of unexpectedly well. They could make a Bowl again
• 1:58:14
  Speaker 2: this year. I don't know when the last time they
• 1:58:15
  Speaker 2: made a ball was. They might have made one last year.
• 1:58:18
  Speaker 2: They're usually kind of like a middling MAC team Central Michigan, though,
• 1:58:21
  Speaker 2: I mean their offense is pretty bad, like all they
• 1:58:24
  Speaker 2: do is run the football, and sometimes they don't even
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 2: do that well. So the Central Michigan team, they're not
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 2: good at scoring points, I'll tell you that.
• 1:58:31
  Speaker 1: And they do have extra rest.
• 1:58:33
  Speaker 2: They last played on Saturday, November first, so they have
• 1:58:37
  Speaker 2: extra time off coming into this game, and they did
• 1:58:39
  Speaker 2: lose to one of their rivals, Western Michigan going into
• 1:58:42
  Speaker 2: that and losing by three points on the road, not
• 1:58:44
  Speaker 2: a bad result there, they're still going to become Bowl eligible,
• 1:58:47
  Speaker 2: which they may be able to do next week against
• 1:58:50
  Speaker 2: a bad Kent State team, so they'll probably be able
• 1:58:54
  Speaker 2: to get it done in one of those two games.
• 1:58:55
  Speaker 2: They probably won't beat Toledo in their final game, but
• 1:58:58
  Speaker 2: we'll see. I mean, it is at home very least,
• 1:59:00
  Speaker 2: so I don't think any of these teams are playing
• 1:59:02
  Speaker 2: their final home game today, like with Western Michigan last night,
• 1:59:05
  Speaker 2: which was part of the handicap last night Senior Night.
• 1:59:09
  Speaker 2: But Central Michigan, yeah, I mean, they have extra time
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 2: off to bounce back from that loss, so that's not
• 1:59:13
  Speaker 2: necessarily a negative. I do think Buffalo is the better team,
• 1:59:17
  Speaker 2: though Buffalo also sitting at five before Buffalo has a
• 1:59:20
  Speaker 2: shot to make the conference championship game, which Central Michigan
• 1:59:26
  Speaker 2: technically they do because they have two losses and there's
• 1:59:28
  Speaker 2: still this big cluster here, but I don't know if
• 1:59:32
  Speaker 2: they will, although it might motivate Central Michigan a little
• 1:59:35
  Speaker 2: bit more of the fact that they're facing Buffalo here.
• 1:59:37
  Speaker 2: Buffalo is coming off a win and they also had
• 1:59:40
  Speaker 2: extra time off, but because they're coming off a win,
• 1:59:42
  Speaker 2: I think it's kind of like that by situation where
• 1:59:45
  Speaker 2: you don't want to go into a bye on a
• 1:59:46
  Speaker 2: winning note like Buffalo did. Allo it was only a
• 1:59:48
  Speaker 2: winer for Bowling Green, which is not saying much, but
• 1:59:52
  Speaker 2: it was on the road, it was a blowout win.
• 1:59:54
  Speaker 2: So I think Central Michigan actually might be the team
• 1:59:56
  Speaker 2: to use the bye a little bit more to their
• 1:59:58
  Speaker 2: advantage here.
• 2:00:01
  Speaker 1: Interesting, So yeah, I mean to me, actually, yeah, I mean.
• 2:00:08
  Speaker 2: I think actually, if I if I would give a
• 2:00:10
  Speaker 2: side on this, I would actually probably lean against the
• 2:00:12
  Speaker 2: market and I would actually probably say Central Michigan. Actually,
• 2:00:16
  Speaker 2: even though I think Buffalo is the better team, I
• 2:00:18
  Speaker 2: think the spot with the way the buys set up
• 2:00:20
  Speaker 2: or whatever it was, I guess kind of a buye.
• 2:00:23
  Speaker 2: I don't know whatever it is. I think it was
• 2:00:24
  Speaker 2: a buye because didn't play this Saturday. Now this is
• 2:00:27
  Speaker 2: technically the next week. So I kind of actually would
• 2:00:30
  Speaker 2: lean to Central Michigan and Under I think is actually
• 2:00:34
  Speaker 2: we're the look in this one as well. I think
• 2:00:38
  Speaker 2: Under is actually maybe we're a look at all three games.
• 2:00:40
  Speaker 2: To be honest. The in the Toledo Miami, Ohio game,
• 2:00:44
  Speaker 2: it dropped to forty five and have juice to the
• 2:00:46
  Speaker 2: under with sixty seven percent of tickets only fifty eight
• 2:00:48
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the over in that one.
• 2:00:50
  Speaker 2: Could be more of like a playoff atmosphere in that one,
• 2:00:53
  Speaker 2: although those teams actually have pretty capable offenses, so I'm
• 2:00:57
  Speaker 2: less tempted on that one.
• 2:00:58
  Speaker 1: This game, Central Michigan offense.
• 2:01:00
  Speaker 2: Is one dimensional and it's bad, and Buffalo is good
• 2:01:03
  Speaker 2: at stopping the runs. That is a concern if you
• 2:01:05
  Speaker 2: do like Central Michigan is Buffalo's defense matches up pretty
• 2:01:09
  Speaker 2: well against them. Central Michigan's offense is pretty pathetic and
• 2:01:13
  Speaker 2: they don't really have good quarterback play at all, so
• 2:01:17
  Speaker 2: that is a concern. But Buffalo, I don't think they're
• 2:01:19
  Speaker 2: really prolific offensively either. Seventy six percent to take his
• 2:01:22
  Speaker 2: ninety six percent of the cash in the over, but
• 2:01:24
  Speaker 2: I would lean towards an under in that one. That's
• 2:01:27
  Speaker 2: gonna do it. You don't care about UMass okay? Was
• 2:01:33
  Speaker 2: my valedictorian speech? Controversial? It's online. I think we played
• 2:01:40
  Speaker 2: some of an on tower game, but it does docks me.
• 2:01:43
  Speaker 2: It was controversial in that the first draft of it,
• 2:01:46
  Speaker 2: I literally like basically wrote it as a comedy routine.
• 2:01:49
  Speaker 2: It was like all inside jokes pretty much and my
• 2:01:53
  Speaker 2: AP English teacher had to review all the speeches and
• 2:01:57
  Speaker 2: he rejected my speech. He was like, you have to
• 2:02:00
  Speaker 2: in something more serious here about teachers. And then I did,
• 2:02:03
  Speaker 2: and it was like very not seamless, like people loved
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 2: the speech, Like I had people in town that I
• 2:02:08
  Speaker 2: didn't I did not even know who they were coming
• 2:02:10
  Speaker 2: up to me in the like months and years following that,
• 2:02:13
  Speaker 2: being like I love that speech, dude. I was like, oh,
• 2:02:15
  Speaker 2: thank you, because most speeches are just horrendously boring and whatever,
• 2:02:19
  Speaker 2: and mine was not so at least there was that,
• 2:02:23
  Speaker 2: but I put in there was just stuff that just
• 2:02:25
  Speaker 2: seemed like it.
• 2:02:25
  Speaker 1: Didn't belong there.
• 2:02:26
  Speaker 2: So I'm like telling jokes at one moment, and then
• 2:02:28
  Speaker 2: I'm like, oh, yeah, by the way, you know, teachers
• 2:02:31
  Speaker 2: you know were able to like you know, like mold
• 2:02:34
  Speaker 2: our minds and whatever, like just some bs in there.
• 2:02:38
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 2:02:39
  Speaker 2: I mean it was not like offensive, but it was.
• 2:02:41
  Speaker 2: It was a bunch of inside jokes and some weird
• 2:02:45
  Speaker 2: stuff like about like all my nicknames and about I
• 2:02:48
  Speaker 2: had a posse of bodyguards when I was a freshman,
• 2:02:52
  Speaker 2: so they got a shout out in my speech. Some
• 2:02:55
  Speaker 2: weird stuff in my speech, but not like not offensive really.
• 2:03:00
  Speaker 2: You know, back then, politics weren't even really like a
• 2:03:03
  Speaker 2: thing that infiltrated anything back then, So back then you
• 2:03:05
  Speaker 2: could just be funny, kind of effortlessly and not really
• 2:03:08
  Speaker 2: have to think about.
• 2:03:09
  Speaker 1: What you were saying. So whatever. The chick who was
• 2:03:14
  Speaker 1: second place.
• 2:03:15
  Speaker 2: Who I think was, I mean, she's kind of cool now,
• 2:03:18
  Speaker 2: but like back then, I think she was kind of
• 2:03:19
  Speaker 2: upset about not being valedatorian. She had written her valedatorian
• 2:03:23
  Speaker 2: speech years prior, and she didn't she like put in
• 2:03:27
  Speaker 2: more effort I think at school than I did. She's
• 2:03:29
  Speaker 2: definitely a smart chick, though. I think she went to
• 2:03:32
  Speaker 2: some pretty good school and they've even been Harvard. I'm
• 2:03:35
  Speaker 2: not sure she went to some good school, though, I'm
• 2:03:37
  Speaker 2: pretty sure. I don't know what she's doing now exactly.
• 2:03:39
  Speaker 2: But I laminated my speech because we had our graduation
• 2:03:45
  Speaker 2: was outside, but it was in bad weather.
• 2:03:47
  Speaker 1: It was like it was like slightly raining a little bit.
• 2:03:50
  Speaker 2: It was a little bit misty, So I laminated my speech.
• 2:03:52
  Speaker 2: She didn't laminate hers, so hers was getting kind of
• 2:03:55
  Speaker 2: like rained on a little bit, which kind of messed
• 2:03:57
  Speaker 2: it up to and it was just way too serious
• 2:03:59
  Speaker 2: and boring and then the girl who came in third
• 2:04:02
  Speaker 2: in my class got banned from reading her speech because
• 2:04:05
  Speaker 2: the top three all get speeches. Her speech was about
• 2:04:08
  Speaker 2: how high school sucked.
• 2:04:10
  Speaker 1: Basically.
• 2:04:11
  Speaker 2: It was like like I'm pretty sure I actually saw
• 2:04:13
  Speaker 2: it because I think I talked to her. She was
• 2:04:16
  Speaker 2: It was a weird situation where she was really really
• 2:04:18
  Speaker 2: smart and she like basically was like high school is
• 2:04:22
  Speaker 2: not doing anything for me, and she like disappeared like
• 2:04:24
  Speaker 2: she she like stopped coming to school for like months,
• 2:04:28
  Speaker 2: like during his senior year or whatever.
• 2:04:30
  Speaker 1: Still came third in.
• 2:04:32
  Speaker 2: GPA and like, oh, you have to make a speech.
• 2:04:35
  Speaker 2: And her speech was like just all about how useless
• 2:04:38
  Speaker 2: high school is and stuff, and they didn't let her
• 2:04:40
  Speaker 2: read it. I'm like, oh, come on, like you gotta
• 2:04:43
  Speaker 2: let her read it. I'm pretty sure that I was
• 2:04:45
  Speaker 2: able to I think I talked to her.
• 2:04:46
  Speaker 1: I think I was. I think she.
• 2:04:47
  Speaker 2: Showed me and if I remember correctly and I read it,
• 2:04:49
  Speaker 2: I was like, you should have been able to read this.
• 2:04:51
  Speaker 1: I was like this.
• 2:04:52
  Speaker 2: I was like this is awesome, Like yeah, no, not
• 2:04:58
  Speaker 2: working bubblo wholes. I think she's like a social worker
• 2:05:01
  Speaker 2: or something like that, Like she she has like a
• 2:05:05
  Speaker 2: decent paying job. That chick was not an EMO chick.
• 2:05:10
  Speaker 2: She was just like, I don't know what she was, like,
• 2:05:13
  Speaker 2: I guess she was sort of one of those, Like
• 2:05:17
  Speaker 2: I don't want to call her an outcast, one of those.
• 2:05:19
  Speaker 2: She was one of those people that just really is
• 2:05:21
  Speaker 2: like just an individual like she she didn't fall into
• 2:05:24
  Speaker 2: any category really, Like she did not dress emo. I
• 2:05:27
  Speaker 2: don't think she listened to EMO or whatever. She dressed
• 2:05:29
  Speaker 2: like normally, Like I don't know, she didn't really. I
• 2:05:32
  Speaker 2: don't think she hung out with those with the emo
• 2:05:34
  Speaker 2: or goth crowd really either, Like I don't know, she
• 2:05:37
  Speaker 2: just I think she was just kind of like, yeah, she.
• 2:05:40
  Speaker 1: Just did her own thing.
• 2:05:41
  Speaker 2: And I knew like some of her brothers more than
• 2:05:44
  Speaker 2: I knew her because her brothers some of them are
• 2:05:46
  Speaker 2: in like the the band scene in town and so
• 2:05:50
  Speaker 2: was I, So I knew some of them from that.
• 2:05:55
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean, all right, that's gonna do it
• 2:05:57
  Speaker 2: all my place. And amen, ridiculous, we have a on
• 2:06:00
  Speaker 2: a college basketball We got Oral Roberts plus the points.
• 2:06:02
  Speaker 2: I know it was nine and a half when I
• 2:06:04
  Speaker 2: when I put it in the system, and now get
• 2:06:07
  Speaker 2: at least seven and a half on that man, I
• 2:06:09
  Speaker 2: would say, hopefully you can. I would probably not want
• 2:06:11
  Speaker 2: to do it at below seven, but that line is
• 2:06:13
  Speaker 2: tanking in agreement with me. UTSA plus two, which now
• 2:06:17
  Speaker 2: I kind of don't even like it anymore. So, crap
• 2:06:20
  Speaker 2: Colorado State minus the points, seventeen and a half something
• 2:06:23
  Speaker 2: in that range. Utah State minus twenty and a half,
• 2:06:25
  Speaker 2: although I know it's up to about twenty two now,
• 2:06:27
  Speaker 2: but hopefully you can get it decent and enough number
• 2:06:29
  Speaker 2: on that one point hopefully shouldn't matter that much, although
• 2:06:32
  Speaker 2: every point counts Oregon minus the fifteen and a half,
• 2:06:35
  Speaker 2: Seattle minus eight. I know I'm going overboard here, Nevada
• 2:06:39
  Speaker 2: minus ten. Unfortunately, we did not get the best number
• 2:06:42
  Speaker 2: on that hockey. We got the Rangers on the money line,
• 2:06:45
  Speaker 2: we got Buffalo Sabers split bet making your own plus
• 2:06:48
  Speaker 2: one puck line, about sixty percent of it on the
• 2:06:51
  Speaker 2: puck line, forty percent of it on the money line.
• 2:06:53
  Speaker 1: New Jersey devils in regulation.
• 2:06:55
  Speaker 2: Unless the price drops into the one forties range, then
• 2:06:58
  Speaker 2: I might just say money line on New Jersey and
• 2:07:02
  Speaker 2: one play whispering on the Pistons. In the NBA, We're
• 2:07:06
  Speaker 2: gonna go with the Detroit Pistons minus the points. Let's
• 2:07:09
  Speaker 2: get some wins today. I think we have eleven plays today,
• 2:07:12
  Speaker 2: which is just insane. Let's get it done, man, maybe twelve.
• 2:07:16
  Speaker 2: This is not gonna be a fun day of Instagram.
• 2:07:19
  Speaker 2: But I think all these games are at night, so
• 2:07:20
  Speaker 2: hopefully I can get them all out there in the
• 2:07:22
  Speaker 2: lines won't have moved too much because I usually put
• 2:07:24
  Speaker 2: them out in the afternoon at some point. It's a
• 2:07:26
  Speaker 2: lot for me to do, man, especially for me to
• 2:07:28
  Speaker 2: not get paid for it. I should put money on it.
• 2:07:30
  Speaker 2: Learn its own on Instagram, Learn its own on Twitter.
• 2:07:33
  Speaker 2: Go check it all out, like and subscribe to the
• 2:07:36
  Speaker 2: channel here. Leave me good review on audio and Spotify
• 2:07:39
  Speaker 2: and Apple. That helps me out. Give me good comments
• 2:07:41
  Speaker 2: here on YouTube as well. That helps me out. Covered
• 2:07:43
  Speaker 2: in Yuke on YouTube is my yuke channel and Patreon
• 2:07:46
  Speaker 2: dot com sash learned its towed some bonus yuke content.
• 2:07:49
  Speaker 2: There a Yuke feed that I don't treat the patrons well.
• 2:07:52
  Speaker 2: I apologize I don't keep it up to date. But
• 2:07:55
  Speaker 2: you can get requests for uke as well, which I
• 2:07:57
  Speaker 2: do do those. I put a couple of them up
• 2:08:00
  Speaker 2: for Charles, so I still got to get them up
• 2:08:02
  Speaker 2: on the Spotify feed, but they're up on YouTube and whatever.
• 2:08:05
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it for now, Let's have a good
• 2:08:07
  Speaker 1: day to day. I gotta eat. I'm hungry.
• 2:08:10
  Speaker 2: Thanks guys for hanging out this morning, and hopefully this
• 2:08:12
  Speaker 2: is good information and hopefully we get some wins and
• 2:08:15
  Speaker 2: then of course tomorrow and be back. We got NFL
• 2:08:18
  Speaker 2: resuming tomorrow with a game that I really don't like
• 2:08:21
  Speaker 2: on Thursday night. It's gonna start a week a weekend
• 2:08:24
  Speaker 2: of NFL games that I really dislike, but I'm gonna do.
• 2:08:27
  Speaker 2: I do a lot of NFL research and college football
• 2:08:30
  Speaker 2: research on Wednesdays, so that's what I'm gonna be doing today.
• 2:08:33
  Speaker 2: To some degree, I listened to some of the professionals
• 2:08:35
  Speaker 2: talk about some of the games and stuff.
• 2:08:37
  Speaker 1: The guys on wage or Talk Baby with the bet
• 2:08:39
  Speaker 1: on It show.
• 2:08:40
  Speaker 2: I do listen to that, and I love when they
• 2:08:42
  Speaker 2: agreement with me, especially Marco DiAngelo, my favorite guy, situational handicapper,
• 2:08:47
  Speaker 2: extraordinary and horse racing expert and owner of race horses,
• 2:08:53
  Speaker 2: and you guys have shouted out VR as well. Vegas
• 2:08:56
  Speaker 2: runner ace Gianni the Greek. I like him as well,
• 2:08:59
  Speaker 2: so he's on that show as well. He's very very
• 2:09:03
  Speaker 2: good at reading the market, and he has all the
• 2:09:04
  Speaker 2: inside information about who's betting what and like he runs
• 2:09:08
  Speaker 2: money for the syndicates that bet huge amounts on on
• 2:09:12
  Speaker 2: all these different like sides and totals and stuff, so
• 2:09:15
  Speaker 2: he talks about that stuff he knows, like what the
• 2:09:17
  Speaker 2: money is doing in the market and hosted by Kelly Stewart.
• 2:09:21
  Speaker 1: Kelly in Vegas Eye Candy Baby. No. I like Kelly though.
• 2:09:25
  Speaker 2: She was fun to hang out with. I mean she
• 2:09:27
  Speaker 2: as I mentioned she she definitely likes to drink.
• 2:09:30
  Speaker 1: I will say that, but she's she's fun. She's pretty funny.
• 2:09:34
  Speaker 2: She loves her dogs, so I have met her. Shout
• 2:09:38
  Speaker 2: out to all of them.
• 2:09:39
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Peace out until tomorrow, guys,