Latest / The Learning Corner by Precursor / Episode #81: Does Your Boss Have AI Brain?, Career Bets That Compound, Too Much Is Happening Too Fast
Transcript
- 0:00You want the cocktail party safety of a job that's easy to reference, that's high status,
- 0:06that people will recognize, but you also want the adventure of a startup.
- 0:10One of those things is the more powerful force.
- 0:12And just be honest, I tell people, do you wanna be in a startup, or do you wanna be the kind of
- 0:16person who'd wanna be in a startup?
- 0:18It's the week of May 25.
- 0:20Welcome to the Learning Corner, a Precursor Ventures podcast.
- 0:25Welcome to the Learning Corner by Precursor.
- 0:28I'm Mia Farnam, and I'm joined by RGP and managing partner, Charles Hudson, where we'll
- 0:32be talking through the articles and Goodreads that caught our team's attention over the past
- 0:36week.
- 0:37We're definitely in much better digs than we usually are.
- 0:41Our friends over at AngelList opened up the doors to their recording studio at AngelList
- 0:45Studio right around the corner from us, right in the heart of Jackson Square.
- 0:49AngelList builds software for investors to back world changing startups, and we are so proud to
- 0:54have them as a portfolio company and precursor.
- 0:56Our first piece this week is from Rachel Carton Substack titled, Does Your Boss Have AI Brain?
- 1:04Rachel spent weeks talking to marketers about what it's actually like to work for leadership
- 1:08that is fully AI obsessed.
- 1:10The core problem she services is not that companies are using AI, but that almost none of
- 1:15them have a real strategy for how.
- 1:17With a recent Gallup poll finding that while 44% of employees say their organization has
- 1:22begun integrating AI, only 22% say leadership has communicated a clear plan for doing so.
- 1:28The result is that the fun, judgment heavy parts of the job, the brainstorming, the
- 1:32writing clever copy, are the exact things getting handed to AI first.
- 1:36While the tedious work stays with the team, one quote that stuck with me was from a marketer
- 1:41who said, it sometimes feels like their job is just training their replacement because the
- 1:46meeting notes and campaign data their bosses are feeding into AI tools today is the exact
- 1:51context that internal agents are being built to act on tomorrow.
- 1:54Rachel closes with a quote, unless organizations develop clear strategies, AI in
- 1:58the workplace becomes a bull in a china shop with those who never even wanted it tasked with
- 2:04cleaning up the mess.
- 2:05This piece focused on AI within the marketing world Yeah.
- 2:09Which, for me, I feel like is a space where creativity reigns above all, and judgment and
- 2:14taste, all those things are at the forefront.
- 2:17One quote to me stood out, so much of good marketing is instincts.
- 2:21Seeing the signs before anyone else, translating a spark into a smart campaign,
- 2:25knowing the line between brilliance and brash.
- 2:28With AI, we're watching decision makers run big ideas through a machine that finds the median.
- 2:33We've talked a lot about the importance of upskilling across different industries Yep.
- 2:37And knowing, you know, how much effort to be placed to showcase to your boss that you're
- 2:41taking hold of these tools.
- 2:42But one question I kept on coming back to is, are there just full industries that really
- 2:45should just know their place of how much benefit and value they're gonna extract from
- 2:50these tools and then leave the rest of it for where true judgment and taste really bleeds
- 2:53through?
- 2:53I read that article and was like, this is so sad.
- 2:56If someone told me just run it through AI, be like, well, why do you need me?
- 3:00Why don't you just run it through AI?
- 3:01Right.
- 3:01I'll go do something else.
- 3:02And at the funny moment, like and the person gave it a meme and was like, is this funny?
- 3:06Bad.
- 3:07So bad.
- 3:07Usually when I read these things, I'm like, have I seen something like this before?
- 3:10And the closest analogy I can think of is when website AB testing started.
- 3:14Everyone was like, oh, we're just gonna AB test everything.
- 3:17And there's a lot of internet memes and old jokes about all AB testing pretty much ends up
- 3:21in the same place in adult content.
- 3:23Because you end up figuring out what people click on and it's Right.
- 3:25It's not the most inspiring stuff.
- 3:27And I think there was an era where it was like, well, all you have to do is AB test stuff, and
- 3:31let the winner of the AB test, this whole like data driven, we just like test, test, What we
- 3:36learned in that era is two things.
- 3:37One, tests are pretty good at eliminating obviously bad things, but maybe not helping you
- 3:41discover good things.
- 3:42And second, what you test and what you put into the top of funnel is maybe as important as the
- 3:48testing methodology.
- 3:48And so I think this idea that like, oh, you no longer need judgment or taste.
- 3:51We're just gonna throw a bunch of stuff against the wall and see what sticks.
- 3:54It's not a very inspired way to do marketing.
- 3:56I also don't think it's a very successful way to do marketing.
- 3:59And I suspect the same thing will happen in AI, is that there will be a lot of median, boring,
- 4:04not slop, more like milquetoast content that gets produced that's neither inspiring nor
- 4:10terrible, and will do nothing for your brand from a copy standpoint.
- 4:14And the people who can think outside of the box, who can be creative, will get rewarded.
- 4:17And look at my inbox, and I get all these emails.
- 4:19Precursor Ventures, commitment to invest in like AI spam Right.
- 4:22Next.
- 4:23Based on your previous investments in x y z companies, and your focus on AI spam next, it
- 4:28doesn't help.
- 4:29It really doesn't help.
- 4:30I also feel like that manager who's probably telling their subordinate, run this to AI, is
- 4:35maybe getting the same message from their boss, is maybe getting the same message from their
- 4:39boss, is getting the message from the CEO, who's getting the message from the board.
- 4:42And so at some point, somebody has to say enough.
- 4:44Here's how we're gonna use these things to make ourselves better, and here's the things we're
- 4:47not gonna ask AI to do.
- 4:49I like how the article focuses on the fact that we, right now, in this market are constantly
- 4:54talking about these are the specific jobs that are gonna be eliminated with AI.
- 4:57Yeah.
- 4:57This piece focuses on, well, what about the people who currently have to live in these jobs
- 5:01today?
- 5:01Like, what is it like?
- 5:02What are the recommendations for people if their boss is this person who has AI brain,
- 5:07who's really constantly just demoralizing them by saying everything must hit Claude before it
- 5:13hits me.
- 5:13Someone had a good point in the article too.
- 5:15It's sort of like, well, if that's the case, I'm like, why do you exist as a leader?
- 5:18The realist answer is not leave your job and go find something different.
- 5:21I think people today more than ever are just, wanna hold on and and preserve what I can.
- 5:25But how can you live in that environment and push back in a way that feels appropriate?
- 5:29I think people are gonna just start lying.
- 5:31Oh.
- 5:31We put it on a copilot page.
- 5:33We make it look like it went through copilot.
- 5:35I'm like, I think at some people point me, we're just gonna start lying, Bill.
- 5:38Yeah.
- 5:38I put it to Cloud.
- 5:39Okay.
- 5:39This is great.
- 5:39Cloud must really help.
- 5:40Uh-huh.
- 5:41Just kidding.
- 5:41I did it myself.
- 5:42I don't think you can do overt resistance.
- 5:45I don't think you can say, I'm not gonna use this.
- 5:47You'll probably get fired.
- 5:48But I think people are gonna find subversive ways to, like, comply with AI mandates to still
- 5:54feel like a human who has value.
- 5:55And I think we have hit this point where, at least in, like, the tech industry, it is low
- 6:00brow to just say that I passed something through Claude.
- 6:02I just took the output.
- 6:03That's not acceptable within tech.
- 6:05But in other industries, I don't think that they've gotten there as quickly of being like,
- 6:09these are the levels of what's acceptable and what looks good.
- 6:11And that does come from leadership.
- 6:12Rachel, she makes a point that I think it's lost in a lot of the broader job displacement
- 6:18conversation, which for marketing, feedback and approvals have always been frustrating.
- 6:22That's just inherently part of the job.
- 6:24But at least when there is this mutual understanding that your manager was actually
- 6:28taking the time to review your
- 6:29work.
- 6:29Mhmm.
- 6:30And that feedback came back from that experience no matter how broken down it felt.
- 6:34It feels like maybe the real cultural loss here could be that the humans potentially are not
- 6:40part of that review process at all, especially for a place, again, like marketing.
- 6:44Do you think that companies are underestimating how much of employee trust and satisfaction and
- 6:48growth comes through that experience of just being able to have to run to another person,
- 6:53walk things through, and present them in that manner.
- 6:56I do.
- 6:57And I think people are just really focused on efficiency.
- 7:00And it's interesting.
- 7:01I use Claude a lot when I write things sometimes, and I'll ask for ways this could be
- 7:05improved.
- 7:06Or I'll say, this is the point I'm trying to make.
- 7:08Does this come through clearly?
- 7:09The same way I would ask a human editor.
- 7:11But also, in the same way I might have a human editor who says, you should change this.
- 7:14I might say, no.
- 7:15I actually like it the way that it's written.
- 7:17This sounds more like me, and this is the way I wanna communicate this point.
- 7:21And other times, I give the feedback and I'm just like, wow, that is you are right.
- 7:25I didn't really make that point as clumsy as I thought I had upon reflection.
- 7:28But to your point, I would never just like, okay, wrote this thing, I ran it through, is
- 7:31this good?
- 7:31It also wants to agree with you.
- 7:33That's right.
- 7:33Sick infancy is real.
- 7:35And so I just think we're going to make a lot of mistakes because this is one of those
- 7:39technologies that looks so powerful and perfect out of the box.
- 7:42A lot of people are gonna say, just take the output and deal with it.
- 7:45I hope we get past that very soon.
- 7:47Well, next piece is Mkharnadir's sub sack title, The Career Bets That Compound and the
- 7:52Ones That Don't.
- 7:53Opens with a clarifying framework.
- 7:55Most people think of a career as a series of jobs with titles and pay packages.
- 7:59But the better way to see it is an accumulation of four kinds of capital, including skill,
- 8:05network, reputation, and optionality.
- 8:07He outlines six bets that compound.
- 8:09Going deep on one specific thing, joining a company at the right stage before it wins,
- 8:14building one durable network through actual work, maintaining a public presence around a
- 8:19specific area of expertise, earning legible reputational wins, and investing in mentors who
- 8:23become peers over time.
- 8:25On the flip side, he is equally pointing out six bets that look like they're compounding but
- 8:29aren't.
- 8:30Things like title chasing, brand chasing, comp driven lateral moves, optimizing decisions for
- 8:35the wrong audiences, and generalist drift, and conference networking over real collaboration.
- 8:40Peace closes with what he calls the ten year question, a simple forcing function that asks
- 8:44you to project yourself forward and ask which version of the next move makes more sense to
- 8:50you who's looking back.
- 8:52I mean, I I brought this piece up and wanted to talk about this beat because something that's
- 8:55coming up a lot in conversations with people in my age group, in SF in New York City, this
- 9:00feeling of, especially if you're in tech right now, you work at one of the big companies.
- 9:03You're like, how is it that I am in this ecosystem and so close to all of the
- 9:09opportunity, but I didn't get a piece of it?
- 9:11And the conversation that then spirals of like, had I only learned about OpenAI five years ago
- 9:16and channeled the right people and made that switch.
- 9:18Had I only done x, y, and z?
- 9:20Had I only like, had I not done investment banking or consulting and gone to a startup
- 9:23right out of college, then I would have been in a different situation.
- 9:27And I feel like that conversation is happening a lot.
- 9:29I think it's happening for founders as well.
- 9:31Was having a conversation with a great founder yesterday who was just like, you could do this
- 9:34all day with yourself.
- 9:35Constantly looking around and being like, have I made this move or presented in this way?
- 9:40I'd be in a different spot.
- 9:41All this advice is really helpful, but how much of it do you feel like it's actually
- 9:45actionable?
- 9:46Like, you can actually truly plan this out and make all these specific steps in the hopes of
- 9:50reaching this perfect place ten years from now?
- 9:52I think my big takeaway from the article is it'd be great if life worked that way.
- 9:57I always tell people, ironically, it will all make sense when you tell it in reverse because
- 10:02you'll be at the endpoint.
- 10:03And then everything will make sense, but it might not make sense in the moment.
- 10:07But I have a lot of these conversations with people, and I like this framework because I've
- 10:11used a version of it, but it's less organized.
- 10:13But I usually ask people like, what are you optimizing for here?
- 10:16And usually I tell them, do you want certainty or do you want an adventure?
- 10:19And I don't mean an adventure like a fun adventure.
- 10:21An adventure is like a risky journey.
- 10:23So sometimes people are like, well, you know, I want the freedom and autonomy of a startup, but
- 10:28I want the pay package and job security of being at a safe company.
- 10:31A lot of people would like that.
- 10:32That is not a combination that really exists.
- 10:35So which of those two things is most important to you?
- 10:38And oftentimes, when I find people trying to make a career trade off or decision, you just
- 10:42ask them, like, what else are you considering?
- 10:44Well, I'm looking at Amazon, Adobe, and Google.
- 10:47So you wanna be at a big tech company.
- 10:49You should just pick the one of those companies where you think you will be the most successful
- 10:52and where you'll have the best experience because that will create the best reputation
- 10:55and the best, like, track record because functionally, all big tech companies are kind
- 11:00of the same.
- 11:00If someone tells me, hey.
- 11:01I'm thinking about a three person startup and Microsoft, I'd say, well, you're not clear in
- 11:06your mind about what you want because you can't be equally interested in those two things
- 11:10because they're literally the opposite.
- 11:12And so sometimes I meet people where I'm you want the cocktail party safety of a job that's
- 11:18easy to reference, that's high status, that people will recognize, but you also want the
- 11:23adventure of a startup.
- 11:24One of those things is the more powerful force.
- 11:26And just be honest, I tell people, do you want to be in a startup or do you want to be the
- 11:30kind of person who'd want to be in a startup?
- 11:31Right.
- 11:31I meet a lot of people who want to be the kind of person who'd want to be in a startup.
- 11:35I think this is a good framework, and I oftentimes do meet people, particularly in high
- 11:39prestige places, who are thinking, well, how's it gonna look if I do ThingX?
- 11:42Well, it depends how ThingX turns out.
- 11:44I had a bunch of friends who left Goldman in 2002 or 2003 to go to Google, and they weren't
- 11:50thrilled about it because Google was the one place that was hiring, and we were still on the
- 11:53back end of the .com bus.
- 11:55And it ended up being a transformative professional experience for them.
- 11:58Made a lot of money, they met a lot of people.
- 12:00And I think about my own career, and there are jobs I had where I'm like, wow, I didn't know
- 12:04at the time the network I built at that company ended up being hugely valuable.
- 12:08For example, my first real startup job, I took it because I'm like, I just wanna be exposed to
- 12:13more risk.
- 12:14I wanna be in a team where there's not five levels.
- 12:16And I joined a BD team where it was me and one other guy, it was me and the VP.
- 12:19That was our team, and he's like, this is it.
- 12:22There's no cavalry.
- 12:23Like, and
- 12:23you have to feed and it was some of the most impactful growth experiences I had in my
- 12:29career.
- 12:29But it's not a company that most people would recognize if I mentioned it.
- 12:32And I think so many times, particularly MBAs, graduates I meet, or people who've mostly
- 12:38succeeded in life, I want network capital, and I wanna build a reputation, and wanna be great
- 12:42at this function, and I wanna make a lot of I'm like, wow.
- 12:44These are a lot of compound goals.
- 12:46Hope you can get these all in one job, but maybe pick one.
- 12:49Also, think one thing that wasn't discussed as deeply in the article was just the value of
- 12:54sometimes just being patient
- 12:56Mhmm.
- 12:56And just time being the thing on your side.
- 12:59I have found in a majority of cases, it's the people who've just stayed and been patient,
- 13:04wrote it out in the highs and lows.
- 13:06It's paid off, but it's certainly not a sexy story to say.
- 13:10And how crazy is that?
- 13:11Like, in today's world, it's just like not cool to say, I've been at the same job for fifteen
- 13:14years.
- 13:14I mean, two things I'll say is, I left Google in late o seven, and I was hanging out with
- 13:19someone I used to work with, and he joked, he's like, do know how much money would we have made
- 13:23if we just stayed at Google for the last thing?
- 13:25I'm like, a lot.
- 13:26I've never done Yeah.
- 13:27Math a a lot.
- 13:28But that isn't what I was optimizing for.
- 13:30Right.
- 13:30I wanted a life that was different.
- 13:32And I'm very happy with the choices I've made.
- 13:34I think the other thing that that does really track me up is I had a bunch of friends going
- 13:39back to Google who were at Google, and they were there for their requisite time, and they
- 13:42saw Facebook.
- 13:43And like, well, this is pretty clearly most likely the next Google.
- 13:47So they all went over early, well before the world knew, but after insiders.
- 13:52Yeah.
- 13:53And then they were there and then some of them went to Quora and some of them went to
- 13:56Pinterest and some of them went to Twitter.
- 13:58I do have a set of people who are like in this ring of information where they know like, hey,
- 14:03I'm gonna treat this like a portfolio.
- 14:05I'm gonna spend three to four years vest most of my options at these companies.
- 14:09And while I'm there, I'm gonna keep my eyes out for what I think will be the next lily pad that
- 14:13looks like the thing when I joined it.
- 14:15And those people are really they move in little packs and groups.
- 14:18Yeah.
- 14:18And you see them moving through companies.
- 14:20I would probably go on a limb and say those people aren't optimizing for success.
- 14:24They probably just love the challenge of finding what's the next thing and helping build
- 14:28that.
- 14:28And when I ask those people, they're like, it was cool being at Twitter when we launched the
- 14:32retweet.
- 14:33And it was cool being at Google when this thing happened.
- 14:35It was cool being at and it's more the experiences of the people.
- 14:39Because at some point, they don't have enough money.
- 14:41And at some point, it's like, I just wanna be a part of these iconic companies in important
- 14:45moments.
- 14:45I helped work on, like, v one of x, y, and z, and it's it is a special experience.
- 14:51Also, these people grind.
- 14:53It's not like I think when people describe these stories, they're like, and then I was
- 14:56there.
- 14:56They were probably working around the clock Mhmm.
- 14:58Five months at a time.
- 14:59And so when I think people paint out this version of what they wanted their career to
- 15:03look like, I think they forget that a lot of it comes with sacrifice in one.
- 15:07You can't have it all in every single way.
- 15:09Yeah.
- 15:09I mean, for me, probably this one of the single most helpful things that happened in my life in
- 15:14this dimension was when I was a sophomore in college at Stanford, and we heard from a bunch
- 15:18of very successful professors about their entire career.
- 15:21And they were the ones who were like, this will all make sense at the end of the day.
- 15:25And they told us, oh, I graduated, and I was looking for a job, and I did this.
- 15:28And instead of telling it backwards, they told it Yes.
- 15:31Forward, but you knew the end.
- 15:32And they were pretty honest.
- 15:33I took this job.
- 15:34I didn't realize how important, or I met this person when the time I didn't realize it was
- 15:38gonna be.
- 15:38It'd be nice if these things were linear and deterministic.
- 15:41I think you should make informed choices.
- 15:42That's how always tell people.
- 15:43Just know what you're expecting to get out of the next thing you do.
- 15:46One last piece here that I felt like I had a little bit of pushback on, so I'm curious about
- 15:50your perspective.
- 15:51You said basically, generalist drift is a non compounding bet.
- 15:54So saying that if you're a generalist, that will always be something that's lower tier than
- 15:58being hyper specialized.
- 16:00I think that's changed right now in this era.
- 16:03I was just in a conversation with somebody who works at one of our portfolio companies, does
- 16:07really well.
- 16:07And we were talking about how generalists who can move the ball and understand where to go
- 16:12upskilled with AI, you can execute in ways that is very rare, and that's just, like, such a
- 16:17good skill to have.
- 16:19Didn't know if you feel similarly or if you have perspective.
- 16:21I do think we're reentering a world.
- 16:24I used to draw this picture for people.
- 16:25All startups can usually benefit from a generalist really early because there's a bunch
- 16:29of these jobs that don't require a full time person but are meaningful.
- 16:33Someone's gotta set up the HR system, and someone's gotta set up the ticketing system,
- 16:37and someone's gotta be the first product manager until you have a full product manager.
- 16:40Then someone's gotta work with the bookkeeper to close the books.
- 16:42There's all of these jobs that exist for a moment in time where if you're good at process
- 16:46or problem solving, and then at some point, you get specialists, and then the specialists get
- 16:50rigid, you're like, God, I need another generalist person here.
- 16:52Mhmm.
- 16:52Like, work on special projects, or work on new initiatives, or start something new.
- 16:56And there's this wave pattern of whether you need generalists.
- 16:59I think we're about to go through a major generalist way because I think generalists are
- 17:03gonna be far more empowered than ever.
- 17:05And I think the risk of being specialized right now is that AI might make the value of
- 17:10specialty knowledge far less special.
- 17:12I will say that if you're a hyperspecialist, one of one, you'll never be replaceable because
- 17:17what models can never pick up on is how you think and process information through your own
- 17:22lived experiences.
- 17:23But it is interesting to kind of think about the rise of the generalist.
- 17:26When I was coming up in college, I think people were, like, pick a specialization and, like,
- 17:30figure it out.
- 17:30And if you don't have one, probably lie and just say that you do because, god forbid,
- 17:34you're this person floating around with nothing but a good attitude.
- 17:38Our last piece is from The Atlantic written by Charlie Warzall titled Too Much Is Happening
- 17:43Too Fast.
- 17:44He makes a case that it is not just the technology itself making people uneasy, but the
- 17:48pace of the conversation around it, a relentless whipsaw of breakthroughs, reversals,
- 17:52apocalyptic framing that he calls AI malaise.
- 17:55He points to a Gallup poll showing only 18% of Gen Z feels hopeful about AI.
- 18:00It's a 9% drop in a single year and notes that the industry's own messaging is a big part of
- 18:05the problem with executives warning that everything will change while offering really no
- 18:09coherent positive vision of what actually comes next.
- 18:12A line that stuck out the most to me was his observation that the most common feeling about
- 18:17AI right now is somatic.
- 18:18It's a low grade of difficult to place anxiety from loud people constantly suggesting that the
- 18:25near future will look very little like the present.
- 18:28This framing that's being actively produced by inside the industry is obviously not just a
- 18:35response to the technology itself.
- 18:36It's just the conversation that's swirling.
- 18:38I live in it a lot.
- 18:40We obviously talk about it on this podcast all the time.
- 18:42But we do live in SF in New York City.
- 18:45Yeah.
- 18:45So I wondered how much of the, not panic, but constant is the appropriate level if you had
- 18:52just taken yourself out of these markets and placed yourself somewhere else that feels a
- 18:56little bit more middle of the ground.
- 18:58I keep thinking about, like, Ashley from Coalition's piece.
- 19:00We have a marketing problem on
- 19:01our end.
- 19:02Yes.
- 19:02Every time I hear people talk to AI, it's super powerful.
- 19:05It's gonna wipe out all these jobs.
- 19:06And no one has anything uplifting.
- 19:09If you're on the capital side, this is great.
- 19:11I'm gonna get so much more work out of the people who work for me.
- 19:14There'll be fewer of them.
- 19:15They'll be more productive.
- 19:16I'll make more profit.
- 19:16It's a very ownership oriented view.
- 19:19Yeah.
- 19:19If you're the bottom, you're like, oh, all of that's gonna happen
- 19:21to me.
- 19:22To me.
- 19:22And no one's telling me what's in it for me.
- 19:25I think these data center protests, whether they're about electricity or this whole water
- 19:29thing, or just in general people being like, I don't want more of this.
- 19:32Protesting this data center in my backyard is one way to kinda stop this from happening even
- 19:38though I know it just means they're gonna build the data center somewhere else.
- 19:42I don't think most of the things I read about AI offer a lot to people who aren't already
- 19:47winning.
- 19:47If you're the owner of a company or you're a VC or like, well, portfolio companies are gonna
- 19:52make a lot more money.
- 19:52These are good things, but like, they're gonna make more money by hiring fewer people and
- 19:56swapping humans for GPUs.
- 19:58And I find it really interesting because I live mostly in a world of AI enthusiasts.
- 20:01Like, why don't other people why?
- 20:03I'm so excited.
- 20:04It's great.
- 20:04I have five agents doing these things where I was like, people see this and they're like,
- 20:07that's the sound of my job going away Yeah.
- 20:10With no real sense what will replace it.
- 20:12Don't worry.
- 20:13Technology is creative destruction.
- 20:14It always creates new jobs.
- 20:15People like, well, what are the new jobs?
- 20:17Tell me what they are.
- 20:18Yes.
- 20:18I'd like to prepare myself for them.
- 20:19Right.
- 20:19Everyone's like, well, we don't know what those are yet.
- 20:21Well, this is the problem.
- 20:22That's a great point.
- 20:23I think when people rebut with there will be new jobs.
- 20:25Great.
- 20:26But like, when?
- 20:26Am I gonna live with a five year gap between no job and the new jobs?
- 20:30And am I in line to get the new job?
- 20:32Or is it just people with different skills?
- 20:34That part has not been flushed out at all.
- 20:36And I have a lot of friends whose kids did really well in high school, go to top elite
- 20:40colleges, started studying computer science four years ago, and they're like, did my kid
- 20:44make a mistake?
- 20:45Maybe in this mini instant right now, it feels like it.
- 20:49I don't think we're gonna need fewer people
- 20:51Yeah.
- 20:52Writing software going forward.
- 20:54I think more people will write software.
- 20:56Fewer of them will be trained computer scientists.
- 20:58We haven't yet figured out exactly what to do, and I think this is something I've been
- 21:02thinking about a lot.
- 21:02Even if AI doesn't destroy jobs, it's gonna create displacement.
- 21:06It's gonna mean like, hey, if you were a customer support rep, you might find a new job
- 21:11post AI, but there's gonna be a journey to go through to find to either reskill yourself,
- 21:16find a new industry.
- 21:17And for people, those transitions aren't seamless.
- 21:20And to your point, people have to live through that transition.
- 21:22It can be traumatic.
- 21:24I think it's just this bridge that doesn't exist yet that I think people are looking for.
- 21:27What's the off ramp life raft that exists for me when you've made all the right choices?
- 21:32I do think that for the folks who went through college in the past couple years and were
- 21:36software engineers, it does allow you to kind of be like, wait, do I actually wanna do this
- 21:39role?
- 21:40Because if I'm gonna emerge out and stay in this role, have to be the best and be really
- 21:43good.
- 21:44And it gives that something that I actually am passionate about doing, or should I start
- 21:47looking elsewhere and exploring those opportunities.
- 21:49And I think it is one of my I don't know.
- 21:51Not to get on my education soapbox.
- 21:53But it's your podcast.
- 21:54At a hand.
- 21:55Well, our podcast.
- 21:56The one thing I do worry about is this sits to me the downside of careerism in higher
- 22:01education, is if you orient all of your studies and goals towards the job you wanna get, And
- 22:07and you have very little connection to the work or subject matter other than its economic value
- 22:13as a first job out of school.
- 22:14If that first job doesn't materialize, then you're like, what did I just do?
- 22:18And I think this is part of the undercurrent of this conversation we're having about higher ed
- 22:23is people are just it wasn't worth it.
- 22:24I'm like, well, it's because you made it a pre professional transactional experience focused
- 22:30on studying things that would help you get a job out of school.
- 22:33If you'd instead said, I came here to do some personal exploration, learn a broad set of
- 22:37skills in sciences, technology, arts, communications, I wanna have a breadth of
- 22:44experiences, I wanna come out a better person than I came in.
- 22:47Yeah.
- 22:48Maybe you'd feel differently.
- 22:49And I think part of what you're seeing is like, it used to be go into economics or, you know,
- 22:53do finance or do consulting or do computer science.
- 22:56These are safe, stable jobs.
- 22:58Schools reoriented their curriculum around these pre professional careers, and now they
- 23:02can't deliver because, like, the labor market changed.
- 23:04And I think it's I hope it causes people to reflect on this balance between getting the
- 23:09skills that will help make you employable, but also learning the things that will make you a
- 23:13better human and citizen.
- 23:14I wonder if colleges will start to figure out what's a format that works to almost replicate
- 23:19what a gap year looks like, but at their school.
- 23:21Take a bite of everything.
- 23:22And I know people say that, oh, the core is like that, your your first year.
- 23:25And I'm like, it's not, though, because you have to pick an adviser month four, and you're
- 23:29like, I guess it's business.
- 23:31What if it's not?
- 23:31And you have a whole year to explore that.
- 23:33In some schools, you applied directly into a school.
- 23:35Yeah.
- 23:35So I do think most things have to get really broken before they get fixed in
- 23:38a month.
- 23:39And I think higher education might be reaching one of those points where the model becomes so
- 23:43unsustainable, and parents will want something different for their children.
- 23:47And there will be new models that emerge, I hope.
- 23:49My last question here is in the article he describes, like, the jagged frontier of AI,
- 23:54where AI is gonna be really unexpectedly great at some things and horrifically bad at others,
- 23:58and people are gonna have to live through that to basically figure out where they net out.
- 24:02I think for a lot of people, AI feels so intangible, especially if you don't live in the
- 24:05geographies that we live in.
- 24:07Do you think that the potential of some of these larger companies going public will allow
- 24:11people to get a little bit closer to what they are because you get to own a piece of it?
- 24:15I don't know.
- 24:15I mean, I feel like a lot of people I know who are very anti UBI are suddenly like, maybe the
- 24:20answer is we have to take some of the profits from AI and distribute them back to the people
- 24:24who are displaced.
- 24:25Wow.
- 24:25That's quite the about face.
- 24:26I don't know if that's the right thing to do or not.
- 24:28I do think what it seems to me is the people who are benefiting from AI right now and are
- 24:34optimistic, you gotta have faith.
- 24:36This is all gonna work out and it's going to be good for you.
- 24:39I can't tell you exactly how, but this is a good thing.
- 24:42And most people are like, well, if you can't tell me how, why should I believe you?
- 24:46I know why you're telling me this because you're making boatloads
- 24:48of Right.
- 24:48Right.
- 24:49Right.
- 24:49Off of this.
- 24:50So of course you wanna see it continue, but what's in it for me?
- 24:53There's a really good interview on Platformer that just came out today with Boris from VOD,
- 24:57who's one of my favorite followers on Threads, talking about, hey, like, the reality is many
- 25:01more people are gonna write software, but we'll probably have fewer computer scientists and,
- 25:05like, software development as a job.
- 25:07Yeah.
- 25:08We'll probably go away in the same way that we have many in the and now do they the person in
- 25:12in the article uses we have many more people who make a living off of the photos that they
- 25:16take with their phone who are not professional photographers.
- 25:19Yes.
- 25:20And it's very possible that part of being a white collar professional going forward will be
- 25:25having some facility in building and writing software to help In you do your the same way
- 25:30that you have to know Excel and PowerPoint.
- 25:32You have to know it more to be a banker or a consultant than you do but, like, everybody's
- 25:35expected to know how to use those tools.
- 25:37And market yourself.
- 25:38I think, like, productize your skills.
- 25:40One of my good friends who she worked at Slack, like, a bunch of years and then just she's
- 25:43wanderlust, So she decided to start her own Slack consulting business Yep.
- 25:47Moved to Nairobi and keep the same clients that she had worked before, basically take home the
- 25:51direct pay on it.
- 25:52And when she would talk to people about the business, again, to our last conversation
- 25:56around, like, what if floats better in cocktail stories, everyone was like, what?
- 25:58What is this weird job you have?
- 26:00Allows you flexibility, but you're not really climbing the ladder anymore.
- 26:03You're in tech but not really in a tech.
- 26:04Fast forward now.
- 26:05She's been doing this for, like, seven years.
- 26:07She has major Fortune 500 clients, and she's learned how to productize and market her skill
- 26:12set, which is really her as the brand of it.
- 26:15And I think that a lot of white collar workers will have to learn how to do that and maybe
- 26:19perhaps pick up projects here and there at different clients and learn how to do that.
- 26:23But that's not a skill set that you had to do five, six years ago.
- 26:26Networking, if you already had the job and weren't looking, was not something you had to
- 26:30do.
- 26:30I also just think there's a lot of people for whom work is a tool.
- 26:34This is how I earn money to support my family.
- 26:37I don't have a deep attachment Yeah.
- 26:39To this job.
- 26:40This job serves a purpose, which is it allows me to provide for my family.
- 26:43And the job of the job is to be there, so that Monday through Friday when I come in, there's
- 26:48work to be done.
- 26:49I do the work.
- 26:50This is an exchange.
- 26:51I come in.
- 26:52I do what you ask me to do.
- 26:53You give me my money.
- 26:53I go home.
- 26:54If I went to bed there hustling, running my own business, I'd be an entrepreneur.
- 26:57And everyone's like, everyone's gonna be coming out of room.
- 26:59Like, what if they don't Yeah.
- 27:00Want to?
- 27:00Being entrepreneur is risky.
- 27:01There's a set of people who are just like, I will trade the upside and freedom.
- 27:05I want the nine to five.
- 27:05I want the
- 27:06nine to five.
- 27:06I want that.
- 27:06I want someone to tell me this is what you gotta do when you're done with You're done when
- 27:10I leave.
- 27:10I don't have to take my work home with me.
- 27:12Like, that is a very respectable way to live.
- 27:15I think telling people, well, we're just gonna take that option off the table.
- 27:17It it isn't satisfying for people who are like, this fits really nicely into the Wi Fi design.
- 27:21It doesn't land in the majority of geos, I would say.
- 27:23We're all out of time today.
- 27:25Thank you, Charles, for joining me in the studio.
- 27:28Thank you, Angel List, for opening up your doors.
- 27:31This is such an awesome place to host, and I hope that we get to do it more.
- 27:34Thank you so much for everyone who joined the podcast.
- 27:36Please like and subscribe and share with others.
- 27:39We will talk with you all next week.
- 27:41Thank you.
- 27:42Bye.