Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 178 - 12/9/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 178 - 12/9/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello, and welcome to episode 178 of the All Systems Go sports
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Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
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I'm your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
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Happy Monday, a new week begins and we got a lot to get to on
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today's podcast. We have the final game of NFL
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week 14. That's right, Cincinnati
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Bengals, Dallas Cowboys. I have 3 plays on this one.
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I like a play on the side. I like to play on the total and
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I got a player prop for you. So let's see if we can get two
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out of these 3 eek out a winning night on Monday Night Football.
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That would be nice. And then college hoops to
0:59
college basketball plays for you guys.
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Both are low bet, obscure added game, extra game, line moves.
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The games that the public wants nothing to do with, can't even
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find on their app as we always talk about with the six digit
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rotation or Vegas ID number. Yet pros have it and cause line
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movement on. So A5 pack overall.
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See if we can grab, scratch and claw, grind, whatever you want
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to call it, get our way to three or more and eke out a winning
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night. And by the way, we need a
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winning night because it was a bad weekend, No way to sugarcoat
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it. Bad Friday.
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Last time we talked, remember Thursday was six and one, almost
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swept the board. Friday was O and four and boy
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was it brutal. Lost on Western Kentucky plus 4
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1/2. They lost 52 to 12.
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Also lost the UNLV plus 4 1/2. They lost 21 to 7.
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Remember, UNLV had multiple opportunities, their goal line
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plays where they could have scored, just never could get any
1:50
offense going. Georgia State and college hoops
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came up short on the money line. They lost by 4 at the end.
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And you know things aren't going your way when again with hockey.
2:00
It's been just a rough year and I might have to retire from
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hockey this year and maybe start next year because Dallas Stars
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last Friday night, they lose 3:00 to 2:00.
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But we got them with great closing line value.
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They close -1 or sorry, they we got got them at -120 they close
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-140 they lose the game. So O and four Golden sombrero on
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Friday, Saturday, not much better one and four.
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The only winner was Joshua Van in the UFC, which came through,
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which was nice. But Penn State +3 and half
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against Oregon lose by 7. Just could not get any stops
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against that Oregon offense. Texas money line, you know,
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making me think we have a chance.
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They're going into OT. They lose Miami, Ohio gets blown
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out, Iowa State gets blown out. And then Sunday, 1:00 and 1:00
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with our official bets, the Chargers Kansas City under did
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come through. We lost on the Cardinals.
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That was perplexing to me. Beat the closing line there
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again. And you might have added other
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plays like me. I was kind of, I don't want to
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do this and it's something you should never try to do.
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But I was on tilt a little bit. Just so frustrated by the
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previous day's results. I said screw it, which I
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shouldn't have done. I shouldn't have done.
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And I added the Bears plus 3 1/2.
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They get rolled. I added the Raiders +7.
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They don't cover the number did have Jalen Waddle who was able
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to go over his prop, but the Bryce Young this is a play that
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I talked about on Sunday sweats, which reminder Sunday sweats
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presented by Rhythm and Garage beer every Sunday from 11:00 AM
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Eastern Time to noon. This is when I knew it's like
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I'm just having a bad stretch here and sometimes this
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happened, happens, but Bryce Young, I had over 191 1/2
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passing yards. Guess what he landed at 191.
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So that was the coup de grace, the fact that we couldn't get
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one more yard. And there was a pass.
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If you watch late in that game, remember that was the game where
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somebody bet 3,000,000 on the money line to win like 400K on
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the Eagles. And the Carolina Panthers had an
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opportunity to win the game and beat that better.
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Who again, I, I think if there's anything in karma, in life,
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people who bet a ton to make a little, it's just a stupid bet.
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Yeah, he, he got the last laugh. He won.
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But there was a pass which would have won the Bryce Young over
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easily. Instead, Xavier Leget drops it.
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It would he would have had it at like first and goal to three.
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So when I lost the Bryce Young over 191 and half land and 191,
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I just said, you know what, we're beating closing lines,
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We're getting blown out. I'm betting dogs, they get
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crushed. I'm betting favorites, they're
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losing out, right. I said, you know what, it just
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isn't for me. It was a bad weekend overall.
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So sometimes that's going to happen.
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And I think the important thing when you're betting on sports, a
4:35
couple things. Sports betting is really easy
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when you're winning. It is not easy when you're
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losing. Because when you start losing, a
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lot of things happen. Number one, you start to
4:43
question yourself #2 you start to question line moves, analysis
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by paralysis. You talk yourself out of sharp
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bets, out of fear of losing more, and you talk yourself into
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bad bets because you want to get it back.
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So I think the most important thing is whether you're hot or
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cold. And in sports betting, we're
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going to go through epic hot stretches where it feels like,
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you know, we can't miss. And then they're going to be
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stretches like over the weekend where everything you touch, you
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know, turns to crap. And I think the, the important
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thing here is not to get too high when you're winning, not to
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get too low when you're losing. When we're going six and one,
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we're probably not quite as good as we think when we're going 2
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and 10 over the weekend, just embarrassing or not as bad as we
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think. So again, you just got to stick
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with it, stay the course. But I hope you had a good
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weekend. I had a rough weekend and the
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sharp line moves did not come through.
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But the beauty of sports betting, the silver lining is
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that you have a bad weekend Monday.
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The sun still rises, there's still games to bet on.
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There's opportunities to get it back.
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No one's going to say you're you had a bad weekend, therefore
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we're rescinding your sports betting card and you can no
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longer make any bets. No, we have an opportunity to,
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you know, let the sunrise get back in the arena, bet some
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sharp games and try to get it back.
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So there's the challenge of when you're winning, staying hot.
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There's the challenge of when you're struggling to get back in
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the green. And we have the second challenge
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here for today. But man, that weekend was not
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the weekend I was expecting. You're hoping for.
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But hey, sometimes it happens. Sometimes the betting gods can
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be very cruel and that's what happened this weekend.
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So so you can get it back and start a win streak for today.
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Now, I mentioned 5 pack three Monday Night Football bats, 2
6:22
college basketball bats. Remember all the best bets that
6:24
I mentioned on the pod are available on Juice Reel.
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So if you want to support the pod, you want to get access to
6:29
these plays a little bit earlier and get some better numbers, you
6:32
can always follow on the Juice Reel app.
6:34
I tweeted out each day for my Twitter account at Josh under
6:37
score insights. You can also go on the Juice
6:39
Reel app search, go to social search juicers and then look or
6:44
type in basically ASG under score podcast.
6:47
It's 499 a week. Again, I don't love that it
6:50
sounds like I'm touting, which I'm I'm not.
6:52
I'm the antithesis of a tout, but think of it as a way to let
6:57
me know you appreciate the pod again, if my insights help you,
7:00
obviously last week there this past weekend didn't help quite a
7:03
bit. But if you want to sport the
7:06
pod, you want to follow the plays, get them early.
7:09
You can sign up on juice real for 499 a week, which is
7:11
basically a cup of coffee now as I'm a little annoyed and I want
7:16
to get some units back after a weekend where and the other
7:18
thing about betting guys is when you're hot, you cannot wait to
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sweat the next game. When you're cold, it's like the
7:24
hole keeps getting deeper. But anyway, flat betting very
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important here when you're up or down.
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Let's talk about Monday Night Football because I like both the
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side, the total and a player prop in this game.
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So we got the Dallas Cowboys and the Cincinnati Bengals.
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Now going into this one, let's set the stage.
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Talk about how the market has moved and talk about some plays.
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Bengals come into this one, four and eight.
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They've dropped four of their last five.
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Just came up short against the Steelers, 44 to 38 lost outright
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as a three-point home favorite. Joe Burrows having a great year,
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but he's pretty much the only good thing that's happening with
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the Bengals. Meanwhile, the Cowboys five and
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seven, they've won two in a row, just took down the Giants 27 to
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20 on Thanksgiving Day. They covered as a four and a
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half point home favorite. So what have you seen across the
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market here? Well, this game actually opened
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early opener of Bengals as high as -6 1/2 on the road.
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And since that opener was posted, there's been nothing but
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one way movement in favor of the Cowboys.
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Like the Cowboys tonight, guys. And again, shop around because
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there's different numbers across the board.
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So try to get the plus 5 1/2. That's what I got with Dallas.
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But anyway, Bengals open minus 6 1/2.
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They get down to six, then 5 1/2.
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Now you're seeing on game day lines a lot of books getting
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down to five. I even saw one book as low as 4
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1/2. So it really tells you that this
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is a good shop for the best line opportunity.
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But it's been one way movement in favor of Dallas tells me
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smart, respected money is going on the Cowboys tonight.
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And also, I'm getting a lot of questions, especially from
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people who, you know, read my articles at V Sin, how to
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interpret the bet splits from DraftKings versus Circa.
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I think the important thing is to first start off by knowing
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what kind of book each book is. I've been trying to mention this
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on the pod because it can be a little bit confusing, but just
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think of DraftKings as a huge public book that's like your
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Walmart. It's everywhere.
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Pretty much it. It basically caters to, you
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know, average Joe bettors. Circa, on the other hand, based
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in Vegas, you got to get out there if you've never been.
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It's like Disney World for for sports betters.
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It's just awesome, whether it's stadium swim or sweating games
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in front of the big screen. But they cater more to
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professional betters. They take in big wagers.
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They have higher limits. So what I'm looking for is when
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I ask myself, where's the public?
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I'm looking at the DraftKings percentages and the public
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tonight. Surprisingly, I thought, you
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know, the public would maybe be a little bit wary of laying
9:36
points of Cincinnati because they've struggled this year.
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But no, 72% of bets at DraftKings are on Cincy.
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So DraftKings public book three out of four bets on Cincy tells
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me we have a good contrarian opportunity to take Dallas.
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Then let's go to Circa, who prides itself on taking in smart
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money. 47% of bets on Dallas, but 65% of dollars on Dallas.
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So that tells me a sharp book. It's a little bit more even
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still technically contrarian, your sub 50%, but good low bets,
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higher dollars, bigger share of dollars versus bets on Dallas.
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So that's how I use it. DraftKings tell me where the
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public is. Circa, I want low bets, higher
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dollars to tell me where the sharps are at.
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So we're contrarian with Dallas. We got smart money at Circa.
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We have a reverse line move lines going to Dallas.
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Then we layer in some betting systems.
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So prime time home dogs getting five points or more, they're 23
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and 12 against the spread 66% Twenty 6% ROI since 2020.
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So that's the spot Dallas is in tonight.
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Also like the Dallas has a rest advantage.
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They last played on Thanksgiving.
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Remember that was Thursday, November 28th versus Cincinnati
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who played on Sunday, December 1st.
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So a few extra days of rest rehab game plan for Dallas.
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I'll take that now can't deny the fact that since he's got the
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better offense, they're averaging 28 points a game
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versus 21 for Dallas. But here's where I think there's
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an opening for Dallas to cover this number.
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Both these teams are not very good defensively.
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They're allowing 28 points per game.
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But in the last three since he's giving up 38 a game versus
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Dallas giving up 27. So if you know, basically since
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he's going to score, we need Dallas to score to keep pace and
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the fact that since he is really pours defensively and they have
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a big injury, this is a big one for me.
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Logan Wilson, the really good linebacker who wears the green
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dot in his helmet, the communicator in the middle of
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that defense, he's on IR so he's out for the year.
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They have a bunch of other injuries for Cincinnati.
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The bad defense, hopefully of Cincy and then losing their
11:33
signal caller hopefully provides offense and a cover opportunity
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for Dallas. Oh, by the way, Cooper rush
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seven and three against the spread in his career.
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And then we go to our friends at Rhythm.
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I got 2 models here. One model says Dallas should be
11:47
plus 2.8. The other model says Dallas
11:49
should be plus 4.2. So even if you take the 4.2, if
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you can shop around and get that 5 1/2, I got plus 5 1/2.
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I want to say it was either at FanDuel or ESPN bet, but there
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are still a couple 5 1/2's out there.
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You're not going to get the 6th. I think that's long gone.
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But can you get the five and a half and have a good rhythm edge
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with a 2.8 or 4.2? That should be available to you.
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So my first bet for this game is Weedem Boys.
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Let's go Cowboys plus 5 1/2. My second bet for this game is
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I'm going to play the over. Now, I always worry a high
12:20
total, just two good, two good offenses, bad defenses play the
12:23
over. Typically there's an opportunity
12:25
to go contrarian and go the other way and take the under,
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But I got a lot of angles to this over.
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First off is there's been nothing but consistent over
12:32
money. So this opened at 44 1/2, a very
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low relative total. Now it's all the way up to 50 at
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DraftKings. 76% of bets, 74% of dollars on the over at circa,
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90% of bets, 98% of dollars on the over.
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So both DraftKings and Circa have both basically pro and Joe
12:52
bet splits, both heavy bets and dollars.
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That tells me that the public is saying let's go over because
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since he's catching a lot of overs.
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But wise guys aren't saying no just because public likes the
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over. I'm there for just out of, you
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know, pure fade, the public going to go under.
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No, they actually agree. Wise guys have hit this number
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and cause it to go over. Now Monday Night Football overs.
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Have you guys noticed? They've done really well this
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year. They're 12:00 and 4:00 to the
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over on Monday Night Football. 75% and these are two really
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good over teams. Since he is 9 and three to the
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over, that's third best in in the NFL.
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Dallas is 8 and two eight and four to the over, 5th best in
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the NFL. Also, this game we played in a
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Dome controlled environment, no weather.
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And then the other angle is you should be able to shop around
13:37
and find a 49 1/2. I was able to find 49 1/2.
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I took that over and a little cherry on top, our friends at
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rhythm have this total at 53. So again, I've never been one
13:48
who's been scared to play up, you know, a high total
13:50
contrarian under, but there's been nothing but over money.
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We have two good over teams. Monday Night Football overs have
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crushed it. Rhythm has a 53 so I'm going
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over if you can find that 49 1/2.
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That's what I got over 49 1/2 since the Dallas now player
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prop, there's an opportunity to buy low on a really good wide
14:09
receiver tonight, and that is CD Lamb.
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Now CD Lamb over 66 1/2 receiving yards.
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That's what I got at FanDuel. Shop around because some books
14:18
are as high as 69 1/2 now. It's a bit of a buy low on CD
14:22
Lamb because on Thanksgiving against the Cowboys or against
14:24
the Giants, he only had two catches for 39 yards.
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So I always kind of like buying low on a guy who maybe had a bad
14:31
game because like if CD Lamb put up 150 yards against the Giants
14:35
last week, the total isn't 66 1/2.
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It's probably in the 70s. So bit of a buy low.
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Then I also was noticing on rhythm and we'll get to the
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projection here in a second. A good one to the over that with
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the basically the chart or the graph, the line graph saw some
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really good green lines to the over in particular.
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When CD Lamb plays at home, his last 10 home games, he is he has
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gone over 66 and half receiving yards in eight of 10 games.
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So he's 8:00 and 2:00 to the over for this number, last 10 at
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home, last 20 at home. He's 15 and five to the over for
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this number. So he's really, you know, played
15:12
well at home since he by the way, giving up 241 passing yards
15:17
a game. That's 27th in the NFL.
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And in their last three, they've given up 326 passing yards dead
15:24
last. And of course, this is a Dome.
15:26
It's a high total expect offense and Dallas is a dog probably
15:30
have to throw the ball to keep pace with Joe Burrow Cherry on
15:32
top to end it all, Rhythm is predicting CD Lamb with 80.4
15:37
receiving yards. So we have a by low opportunity.
15:41
He's been great at home bad since he passed.
15:44
Defense dog indoors rhythm edge. I got CD Lamb over 66 1/2
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receiving yards. So I'm going with Dallas plus 5
15:53
1/2, the over 49 1/2 and CD Lamb over 66 1/2.
15:57
Again, different books have different numbers.
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Shop around, try to get the best price.
16:01
Now let's look over to college hoops because weirdly, there's
16:05
only five games in college basketball.
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Big night tomorrow, there's 24 or 25.
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But I landed on two games that caught my eye and they are right
16:14
in our wheelhouse with low bet added obscure sharp line moves.
16:17
So the first one, they're both at 7:00.
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Let's start with the first one, Charleston Southern, the
16:22
Buccaneers against South Carolina State, the Bulldogs,
16:26
this is game three O 659-530-6596.
16:30
Now Charleston Southern comes in three and eight.
16:33
They just lost their last game to who was that?
16:37
Davidson. Yeah, lost to Davidson snapped
16:40
A2 game-winning streak. South Carolina State, they
16:43
started, what was it? I want to say four and three,
16:49
but now they've lost three straight.
16:50
I just lost to Sanford. So both teams coming off a loss,
16:55
but what's the most important thing when we get to these added
16:57
extra games? Line movement.
16:58
Because even though the public doesn't care at all about
17:00
Charleston, Southern South Carolina State, they can't even
17:03
find it on their app. Wise guys have hit this number
17:06
and they've hit South Carolina State.
17:08
South Carolina State open as low as -1 -, 1 1/2.
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Now they're up to -2 -, 2 1/2. So we got a line move in a low
17:15
bed obscure game. I'm going money line here.
17:18
I was able to get South Carolina State on the money line at what
17:23
was it -130 and they have really good bets split on the money
17:26
line at DraftKings, 70% bets, 84% dollars.
17:30
Now, Ken Palm has South Carolina State winning by two.
17:33
So again, I'm not going to lay a 2 or 2 1/2.
17:36
Yes, I'll save some juice, but they win by one or two.
17:39
I push or I lose. So that's why I'm going money
17:41
line. But a lot of advantages here,
17:43
hopefully in favor of South Carolina state #1 they're only
17:47
shooting 64% from the free throw line.
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Pretty bad, right? But Charleston Southern is one
17:52
of the worst free throw shooting teams in college basketball.
17:54
They're only shooting 57%. So hopefully they missed their
17:57
foul shots. Better shooting from South
17:59
Carolina State, 46% versus 44%. Better defensive efficiency, 231
18:05
in the country versus 280. They're giving up 71 a game
18:09
versus nearly 80 for Charleston Southern.
18:11
And then home Rd. splits. Charleston Southern is only they
18:15
are one in five on the road. They've really struggled.
18:17
South Carolina State, they're two and one at home now.
18:21
Little cherry on top to added in to add or end the cap here.
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Our friends at Rhythm have South Carolina state -2.8 and -2.2.
18:31
So add it all up. Low bet added obscure, sharp
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line move. Good money line bet split.
18:35
Ken Palms got him winning by two.
18:38
Rhythms got him winning by two or three.
18:40
Better offense, better defense, home Rd. splits.
18:42
I'm going South Carolina State, the Bulldogs on the money line
18:47
at -130 and then last bit of the night for you. 7:00 another
18:51
added extra game. Hofstra visiting Norfolk State
18:56
now going to this one. Hofstra is 7 and three.
18:58
They've won two in a row and three of their last four.
19:00
Norfolk State is 6 and three and they've won two in a row.
19:04
So unlike the Charleston Southern, South Carolina State
19:07
losing records and have lost in games here you have two good
19:11
teams. So maybe a better product
19:12
visually or watching the game. But hopefully same result with a
19:16
home favorite winning. Now going in this one, we have
19:19
Norfolk State opening as around a 2 1/2 point home favorite.
19:23
And we've seen them get bet up now to -3 1/2.
19:26
Some looks even juice like they're going to four.
19:28
So right off the bat, we got a line move toward Norfolk State.
19:31
Now at DraftKings on the money line, Norfolk State is only
19:34
getting 68% of bets, but 83% of dollars.
19:38
So really good low bets, higher dollars bets.
19:40
What I was able to get Norfolk State on the money line at -164
19:44
some shops are a little bit higher.
19:46
I think that was FanDuel. Some shops are close to like
19:48
-175 now, but still a money line play.
19:52
Ken Palm has a winning by 5. He's got him ranked higher 144
19:55
in the country versus 169 and a lot of advantages here for
19:59
Norfolk State. Offensively, big advantage.
20:01
They're ranked 140th and offensive efficiency versus 238
20:05
for Hofstra. Better effective field goal
20:08
percentage 53%. Versus I can't even read my own
20:11
writing, 48% better free throw shooting 79% versus 70% more
20:18
experience, 2.2 years on average versus 1.4 for Hofstra Home Rd.
20:23
You know, we got to mention that Norfolk State 3 and O at home,
20:26
Hofstra one and two on the road, and then also offensively,
20:31
they're averaging nearly 80 a game versus around 70 for
20:33
Hofstra. So if you like South Carolina
20:36
State, I think you like Norfolk State.
20:37
Both are added extra game, obscure sharp line moves toward
20:41
the home team. And Rhythm, by the way, has
20:43
Norfolk State minus 3.6. So that's another money line
20:47
play for me. I got Norfolk State, the
20:49
Spartans at -164 so Norfolk State and South Carolina State
20:55
both on the money line. And that about does it for
20:59
episode 178 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast here
21:03
Powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod
21:06
where you wrap things up. And I start first by thanking
21:08
you, thanking you for taking the time out of your busy lives to
21:11
tune into the pod. I know it's a great listen when
21:14
you know we're winning and things are going well.
21:16
But in a way, I actually respect you guys more when you stick
21:19
with us when maybe we don't have a good day or have a bad weekend
21:22
like we just had. Again, I can't tell you much of
21:24
A disappointment this past weekend was, but again, that's
21:28
betting. If you bet long enough, you're
21:29
going to have weekends like that.
21:31
But First off, thank you for listening and then secondly, can
21:34
you do me a favor? Can you make me happy?
21:36
Let me know you appreciate the pod winning or losing.
21:39
Hopefully you appreciate the breakdowns because I'll be
21:42
honest, I search around constantly for other podcasts or
21:46
people who give you data-driven breakdowns and I really don't
21:48
hear it anywhere. I very rarely hear anyone.
21:51
Some people talk about line movement, but they never
21:53
mentioned percentages, bet systems, the stuff we talked
21:56
about. So hopefully you find this pod
21:58
unique and beneficial and you can let me know you find it
22:01
unique and beneficial by again giving it a five star review.
22:04
Whether you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, click that
22:07
rate and review. If you want to leave a nice
22:09
comment, that would be great, but five stars would go a long
22:11
way to continuing to help us grow the pod and reach more more
22:14
ears across the market. If you want to click the follow
22:18
button, that way you get alerted as soon as it drops each day.
22:20
That'll be awesome as well. Next, if you enjoy this podcast
22:25
in the breakdowns and you want to learn more about data-driven
22:28
sports betting or because it's the holiday season, you have no
22:31
clue what to get your dad, your son, your uncle, your nephew for
22:35
Christmas or Hanukkah or the holidays or their birthday.
22:38
I got an idea. It's less than 20 bucks.
22:40
It's not going to cost you much. Hopefully it'll it'll win you
22:43
more money long term. But you should buy that person
22:45
in your life. Maybe they're sports better.
22:47
Maybe they're looking to get into sports betting.
22:49
You should buy them a book called the Everything Guide to
22:52
Sports Betting. Just go to Amazon.com and type
22:54
in the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
22:56
That's my book, my baby. I poured everything I knew into
22:59
that thing and it's got everything that I've learned in
23:02
the sports betting industry. How lines are set, how and why
23:04
they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
23:07
action, how to place a bet in person or online, how to shop
23:10
for the best line, how to set up a bankroll management plan,
23:13
chapters in all the major sports.
23:14
It's all included in the Everything Guide to Sports
23:16
Betting. So again, makes a great stocking
23:19
stuffer if you're looking for a relatively cheap gift to get
23:22
that person who maybe should learn to avoid parlays.
23:26
Next. Have you taken advantage of a 7
23:28
day free trial of Juice Reel or Rhythm yet?
23:30
My two favorite sports betting apps because just like me, they
23:33
focus on data, not opinion, not bias, but what the numbers are
23:37
saying. So Rhythm fantastic for their AI
23:39
backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
23:43
Again, what other site is going to give you predicted lines for
23:45
Norfolk State and South Carolina state rhythms got all the
23:48
different games and the lines and predicted models and
23:52
predictions. And then juice reel where all
23:54
the ASG podcast best bets are now found.
23:57
But also you can follow the robo Jackson best bets.
24:00
The arbitrage plays the sharp mush indicators.
24:02
Shop for the best line is very quick and easy on juice reel.
24:06
And you can also sync your sports books and get a running
24:08
record of your performance. But both apps are free to
24:11
download. Give them a shot, see if you
24:14
like it like them. I think you're going to enjoy
24:16
them, but please start with a 7 day free trial and go from
24:19
there. So that about does it for
24:21
today's pod. Hopefully a bounce back after a
24:23
nightmare of a weekend. And hey, we we got to just, you
24:27
know, put 11 foot in front of the other and then try to get a
24:29
bounce back night here. But as always, thank you guys
24:32
for tuning in and grinding with me through the UPS and the
24:35
downs. But that about does it, of
24:37
course. So I'll leave you with a couple
24:39
file, you know, final statements, final thoughts.
24:41
One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
24:45
River in Rhode Island, the brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or
24:47
Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut, at the Encore in Boston or
24:51
Plainers Park Casino or MGM Springfield in my neck of the
24:54
woods in Massachusetts. And also, I might have to add
24:56
this to my little, you know, spiel at the end.
24:59
I live about 20 minutes from Nashua, NH, and I'm in
25:02
Massachusetts. But Nashua, NH is opening a new
25:05
sports book. It's called The Nash and it's
25:07
really nice. Actually drove by it this
25:09
weekend with my wife and it's under construction and it's
25:12
going to be like a three story sports book with bars and
25:15
restaurants and all kinds of stuff.
25:17
So that might be my new go to sports book, The Nash.
25:20
Looking forward to that opening. Or of course, out in the desert
25:22
where the true grinders get down, where Billy Walter sends
25:25
his number runners, where the lowest juice possible is found
25:27
at the South Point or sweat and Sharp and train plays, jumping
25:30
in the stadium swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
25:33
Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me
25:35
and you know what we're just we're going to take a shot,
25:38
maybe two shots, maybe three shots from a rough weekend and
25:41
we're going to try to get it back here for tonight.
25:43
Sweat some sharp contrarian plays together.
25:45
So that about does everybody as always, remember, stay sharp,
25:49
stay contrarian, bet against the public, place yourself on the
25:52
side of the house. Always be with the smart money.
25:55
Never against it. Will smart money when every
25:56
time. No, I could argue a lot of these
25:58
bets over the weekend where CLV plays sharp, smart money plays,
26:03
but gambling gods just, you know, took our money and laughed
26:05
at us. Sometimes that's going to
26:06
happen. But here's the thing, whether
26:09
it's a hot streak or a cold streak, always playing the long
26:12
game and if we can consistently make bets of their head and not
26:14
our heart against the public, with the sharps, with the pros,
26:18
flat bet, with the house, get closing line value, flat bet.
26:21
If we can do that, you know, these ups and downs will happen,
26:24
but we'll be able to profit long term.
26:27
So have a great money on everybody.
26:29
Let's see if we can bust out, you know, a bounce back night
26:31
here and we'll be right back at it for tomorrow, a big Tuesday.
26:35
Get ready for a lot of college hoops for tomorrow, which will
26:37
be episode 179 of the All systems Go sports betting
26:41
podcast powered by rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
26:45
great Monday night.