Latest / Pod Save America / Trump's Dangerous War Games
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Thanks for watching!
- 0:20Speaker 2: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 0:22Speaker 1: I'm Dan Pfeiffer.
- 0:23Speaker 2: On today's show, we'll talk about the White House's big
- 0:25Speaker 2: post-State of the Union messaging push, starring J.D. Vance and
- 0:29Speaker 2: a hysterical Stephen Miller. We've also got new details about
- 0:32Speaker 2: the administration's strategy to use Americans as bait to sell
- 0:36Speaker 2: their war with Iran. We'll also talk about the huge
- 0:39Speaker 2: news that the Justice Department made a few Epstein files
- 0:42Speaker 2: disappear that included allegations of sexual abuse against Donald Trump.
- 0:48Speaker 2: And we'll get into why Pete Hegseth is threatening an
- 0:50Speaker 2: AI company unless they let the government use their products
- 0:52Speaker 2: for unmanned weapons and mass surveillance. Then, as Democrats get
- 0:56Speaker 2: some good midterm news, Tommy talks to Shelly Jackson, an
- 1:00Speaker 2: organizer with Instituto, one of the organizations that Vote Save
- 1:03Speaker 2: America is partnering with to recruit people just like you
- 1:06Speaker 2: to run in down-ballot races in Arizona. Not just like you, Dan,
- 1:10Speaker 2: because you don't live in Arizona.
- 1:11Speaker 1: Yeah, I would be a bad Arizona candidate. I would
- 1:13Speaker 1: be a bad candidate generally, but particularly in a state
- 1:15Speaker 1: in which I don't have eligibility.
- 1:17Speaker 2: It's not what Chris Coons thinks. He's worried. Reminder before
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- 2:00Speaker 2: under control of the Ellisons.
- 2:03Speaker 1: They're few and far between these days. But more on
- 2:06Speaker 1: that later, yes.
- 2:07Speaker 2: Yeah, right as we started recording, we found out the
- 2:09Speaker 2: news that Netflix has given up because Paramount made a
- 2:13Speaker 2: bigger offer. And so now Warner Brothers Discovery is going
- 2:17Speaker 2: to be owned by Paramount. The Ellisons got another one.
- 2:19Speaker 1: Which means, which means Barry Weiss is in the Situation Room.
- 2:25Speaker 2: But it also means that you should subscribe to be
- 2:28Speaker 2: a friend of the pod subscriber. Cricket.com slash friends to
- 2:31Speaker 2: our pro-democracy independent media company, not owned by David Ellison
- 2:35Speaker 2: and not run by Barry Weiss and not under the
- 2:38Speaker 2: thumb of Donald Trump. All right, let's get to the news.
- 2:41Speaker 2: We're all still tired from Trump's nearly two-hour State of
- 2:44Speaker 2: the Union address. And the president must be, too, since
- 2:46Speaker 2: the White House sent out their newly minted fraud czar, J.D. Vance,
- 2:51Speaker 2: to amplify the speech instead of Trump. The VP announced
- 2:55Speaker 2: on Wednesday that the federal government would unilaterally cut off
- 2:58Speaker 2: $ 259 million in Medicaid funding for the people of Minnesota
- 3:04Speaker 2: as collective punishment for some individuals supposedly committing fraud. Vance
- 3:10Speaker 2: then traveled to Wisconsin on Thursday to keep pushing the
- 3:13Speaker 2: fraud message while charming voters with his signature charisma. Let's
- 3:17Speaker 2: take a listen.
- 3:18Speaker 3: When you go to the polls in November, I don't
- 3:20Speaker 3: want you to just think about all the great things
- 3:23Speaker 3: that we've accomplished, all the great things that we've talked about.
- 3:26Speaker 3: I don't want you just to think about no taxes
- 3:28Speaker 3: on tips and lower gas prices. I want you to
- 3:30Speaker 3: think Who is going to protect my money from fraudsters?
- 3:34Speaker 3: The job of your government is not to open your
- 3:37Speaker 3: borders and allow fraudsters to come in and take advantage
- 3:40Speaker 3: of you. The job of your government is to shut
- 3:43Speaker 3: the border and shut off the fraud.
- 3:45Speaker 2: Kelly said that I'm the coolest vice president in American history.
- 3:48Speaker 2: And I said, Kelly, that is a low standard. That
- 3:53Speaker 2: is a very low bar.
- 3:54Speaker 3: But I do think that I clear that bar.
- 3:57Speaker 2: No, no, you did not. Not even close. did not
- 4:01Speaker 2: clear the bar.
- 4:03Speaker 1: I have a lot to say. I don't have to
- 4:04Speaker 1: say it today, but at some point about why J.D.
- 4:08Speaker 1: Vance is an absolutely miserable presidential candidate and that the
- 4:12Speaker 1: Democrats should spend the next two years making sure that
- 4:15Speaker 1: everyone understands what a fucking gooper he is.
- 4:17Speaker 2: I mean, I don't think we have to work too
- 4:21Speaker 2: hard at that. I don't think anyone needs a message
- 4:24Speaker 2: memo or anything like that. I think we just need
- 4:26Speaker 2: to make sure everyone sees him.
- 4:27Speaker 1: Right, but we have.
- 4:28Speaker 2: Or J.D. Vance.
- 4:29Speaker 1: That's right. We have to show people J.D.
- 4:31Speaker 2: Vance.
- 4:31Speaker 1: We have to... You don't even really have to meme-ify
- 4:33Speaker 1: him because he is a walking meme.
- 4:35Speaker 2: The J.D.
- 4:35Speaker 1: Vance meme is actually cooler than the J.D. Vance himself.
- 4:39Speaker 1: But it's just... He makes Ron DeSantis look smooth.
- 4:48Speaker 2: Also, leading with his chin a bit there, you want
- 4:52Speaker 2: to think about who let the fraudsters in. I don't know.
- 4:56Speaker 2: There's a couple in the White House. One or two?
- 4:59Speaker 2: The president has actually been convicted of fraud.
- 5:02Speaker 1: Many, many times, yes. He's been convicted of fraud. He
- 5:05Speaker 1: has been accused of fraud. Many fraudsters in the administration. Yeah.
- 5:11Speaker 1: Someone say that J.D. Vance himself is a fraud?
- 5:13Speaker 2: J.D. Vance is also a fraud. Donald Trump is actually
- 5:16Speaker 2: just stealing taxpayer money himself, just suing his own government
- 5:21Speaker 2: and then deciding in favor of himself. He's going to
- 5:24Speaker 2: try this with the IRS. He's trying this with the DOJ.
- 5:26Speaker 2: So he's stealing some money. He's pardoning some fraudsters. Lots
- 5:29Speaker 2: of people who bilked a lot of Americans out of
- 5:31Speaker 2: a lot of money now will not have to pay
- 5:33Speaker 2: restitution because they got a pardon from Donald Trump because
- 5:35Speaker 2: they paid for it. Fraudsters. Fraudsters. It does seem like
- 5:41Speaker 2: they are gearing up to make this whole election about fraud.
- 5:44Speaker 2: What do you make of that? What do you make
- 5:46Speaker 2: of that? Are we taking this too lightly?
- 5:49Speaker 1: I don't really know, John. I would say in preparation
- 5:53Speaker 1: for this pod, which I was going to take deadly seriously,
- 5:55Speaker 1: I went back and read The State of the Union
- 5:56Speaker 1: because I couldn't watch it again. It is less coherent
- 6:00Speaker 1: in written form by far. And the fraud section is
- 6:04Speaker 1: particularly incoherent. It starts with Somalia, goes to Minnesota, quick
- 6:11Speaker 1: pivot to a tragic story about a car accident, then
- 6:14Speaker 1: a new policy proposal on commercial licenses for undocumented people.
- 6:18Speaker 1: And that's the whole thing. That's the narrative. That's the message.
- 6:21Speaker 2: Well, it does show that they're really trying hard to
- 6:24Speaker 2: combine the anti-immigrant agenda with or conflate, not combine, with fraud, right?
- 6:31Speaker 2: And so they know that people don't like their tax
- 6:33Speaker 2: dollars being wasted, particularly on government programs that aren't going
- 6:38Speaker 2: to people who actually deserve them. And who deserves them
- 6:41Speaker 2: less than murderous immigrants who are here illegally?
- 6:46Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I guess I kind of sort of
- 6:49Speaker 1: understand what might possibly resemble a strategy here, which is
- 6:55Speaker 1: to basically take Ronald Reagan's welfare queen strategy of the
- 7:01Speaker 1: 80s and then marry it with immigration. But it's not
- 7:05Speaker 1: to be done in a particularly coherent way. And most
- 7:08Speaker 1: people don't really know what they're talking about. Those are
- 7:11Speaker 1: things that are not necessarily connected to each other. It's
- 7:14Speaker 1: more sort of like– and you can really see this
- 7:16Speaker 1: when you read the speech. It is just a series
- 7:19Speaker 1: of comments on viral stories in the right-wing media stitched
- 7:24Speaker 1: into a speech masquerading as something of a message. And
- 7:27Speaker 1: this is one of them, right? They're fascinated by it.
- 7:29Speaker 1: Nick Shirley was at the State of the Union, I believe.
- 7:31Speaker 1: The guy who originally had the reporting– and I'm doing
- 7:35Speaker 1: air quotes for the audio listeners– about this. And so
- 7:38Speaker 1: I don't– this is– they don't have a particularly strong
- 7:42Speaker 1: hand to play with. I don't think this is better
- 7:44Speaker 1: than the other things they're doing, but I think this
- 7:46Speaker 1: is probably something that J.D. Vance wants. I think that's
- 7:50Speaker 1: why Trump gave it to him. I think that's why
- 7:51Speaker 1: he's here. Maybe he thinks it's good for the Republicans,
- 7:55Speaker 1: but I think he thinks it's probably good for himself
- 7:56Speaker 1: because the Minnesota fraud, immigrant fraud, bullshit narrative they spin
- 8:02Speaker 1: is a thing that excites the right-wing media people and
- 8:06Speaker 1: the far-right podcasters and megatypes that J.D. Vance is trying
- 8:09Speaker 1: to persuade to be on his side in a presidential race.
- 8:11Speaker 1: So I think that's kind of how we got here.
- 8:14Speaker 2: Yeah, because I was going to say, I think the
- 8:15Speaker 2: fatal flaw in their plan is they're forgetting that they're
- 8:19Speaker 2: the ones in power that control the White House and Congress.
- 8:22Speaker 2: And so if there are people who are worried that
- 8:25Speaker 2: their tax dollars are being wasted and that's why they
- 8:30Speaker 2: can't afford anything, instead of just making speeches about it ostensibly,
- 8:35Speaker 2: they would have the power to make sure that people's
- 8:37Speaker 2: tax dollars are actually being used properly and that people
- 8:42Speaker 2: can afford things.
- 8:43Speaker 1: I mean, theoretically, I guess.
- 8:47Speaker 2: It's not Joe Biden and the White House anymore that
- 8:48Speaker 2: are running against him. They're the ones who they've had
- 8:51Speaker 2: a year now. Later, J.D. Vance said to the pool,
- 8:54Speaker 2: I think he said something like, some of this stuff,
- 8:56Speaker 2: some of these economic policies, it just takes a while
- 8:58Speaker 2: to work through the system.
- 9:00Speaker 1: I heard him say, someone said the other day, some Republican,
- 9:04Speaker 1: that once the plants are built and the people start working,
- 9:08Speaker 1: then we'll see the golden age.
- 9:10Speaker 2: Once the plants are built, what are they building? I
- 9:13Speaker 2: don't know.
- 9:14Speaker 4: J.D.
- 9:14Speaker 2: Vance said to the Bulls, some of this is that
- 9:15Speaker 2: the policies we've already put in place take a little
- 9:17Speaker 2: bit of time to work their way through the system.
- 9:20Speaker 1: Is the car in the ditch, John?
- 9:22Speaker 2: Let's start with the car in the ditch. That was
- 9:25Speaker 2: our midterm message in 2010. Did not work.
- 9:29Speaker 1: We lost 63 seats.
- 9:30Speaker 2: Did not work. You know, I never liked a car
- 9:34Speaker 2: in the ditch, and I didn't know that Obama didn't
- 9:36Speaker 2: know that I didn't like it. But then he wrote
- 9:39Speaker 2: in his book, That I looked at him like I
- 9:41Speaker 2: hated it.
- 9:42Speaker 1: And I.
- 9:45Speaker 2: Was like, I guess I did not have a good
- 9:48Speaker 2: poker face on that one.
- 9:49Speaker 1: But also it was terrible and it got longer with
- 9:52Speaker 1: every speech because it was a very elaborate metaphor, which
- 9:55Speaker 1: with every speech, there'd be a new element of how
- 9:57Speaker 1: the car got in the ditch, how the car was
- 9:58Speaker 1: getting in the ditch. how dirty the ditch was.
- 10:01Speaker 2: By the way, in case you guys missed this part
- 10:04Speaker 2: back in 2010, the Republicans are the ones who drove
- 10:07Speaker 2: the car into the ditch. And now, and we're trying
- 10:11Speaker 2: to get the car out of the ditch.
- 10:12Speaker 1: It's not out yet because our policies take time.
- 10:14Speaker 5: It's not out yet.
- 10:15Speaker 2: Right, but we want to put the car in drive
- 10:18Speaker 2: to get out of the ditch, and the Republicans want
- 10:19Speaker 2: to put it in R to go back into the ditch.
- 10:23Speaker 1: That was where he lost me, because that was a
- 10:26Speaker 1: Tom Daschle, Evan Bayh classic, too. The DNR. That's been
- 10:31Speaker 1: said by one million Democratic politicians at Jefferson Jackson and
- 10:34Speaker 1: Dinners for 50 years.
- 10:36Speaker 2: Not our greatest moment.
- 10:37Speaker 1: We should probably edit this part out of the podcast, honestly.
- 10:39Speaker 2: No, no, I think we should keep it in. Well, J.D.
- 10:41Speaker 2: Vance had something similar today, which is he's like, Democrats
- 10:44Speaker 2: talking about affordability is like, you know, the arsonist complaining,
- 10:48Speaker 2: burn down the house or something like some dumb shit
- 10:50Speaker 2: like that. So anyway, bad cliches, bipartisan. Why do you
- 10:55Speaker 2: think they're having Vance out there doing this instead of Trump?
- 10:58Speaker 2: This is really a.
- 10:59Speaker 1: Great question because normally the president goes out the day
- 11:03Speaker 1: after the State of the Union, does a bunch of events,
- 11:06Speaker 1: you know, will often travel for the whole week of
- 11:08Speaker 1: the State of the Union back in, you know, a
- 11:09Speaker 1: different media age, they travel for two weeks. It's just,
- 11:13Speaker 1: Donald Trump loves attention. I'm sort of mystified by this.
- 11:16Speaker 1: He loves attention. You are guaranteed to get attention the
- 11:18Speaker 1: day after the State of the Union. My only guess
- 11:21Speaker 1: is he's tired.
- 11:23Speaker 2: Tired and busy planning a war, maybe.
- 11:26Speaker 1: We are undertaking at least one and maybe two wars
- 11:29Speaker 1: in the coming days.
- 11:31Speaker 2: Yeah. Could be that. But I don't think that's it.
- 11:34Speaker 2: It could be some of the bigger warmongers in the
- 11:36Speaker 2: administration are happy to get J.D. Vance out of there
- 11:38Speaker 2: because J.D. Vance... in some instances, isn't as quick to
- 11:42Speaker 2: go to war.
- 11:43Speaker 1: You think they sent him into Milwaukee so that they
- 11:44Speaker 1: could bomb Iran faster?
- 11:46Speaker 2: That's a good thing.
- 11:47Speaker 6: Who knows?
- 11:48Speaker 2: Crazier things have happened.
- 11:49Speaker 1: No, no, I'm not saying you're wrong, but you know
- 11:50Speaker 1: he's in a signal chat, so he could respond.
- 11:52Speaker 2: That's true. That's true. Well, it's not like he's making
- 11:54Speaker 2: the decision in those signal chats anyway.
- 11:56Speaker 7: No, no, he is.
- 11:57Speaker 1: He speaks until Stephen Miller tells him to stop speaking.
- 12:03Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know. Maybe he's tired. Maybe he just
- 12:05Speaker 2: doesn't give a shit.
- 12:06Speaker 1: Or maybe that speech was so long, even Donald Trump
- 12:08Speaker 1: is sick of hearing Donald Trump talk.
- 12:10Speaker 2: I mean, that would be something. That would be something.
- 12:12Speaker 2: As for the State of the Union itself, we don't
- 12:14Speaker 2: have final numbers yet, but it looks like ratings were
- 12:16Speaker 2: down from last year, about 12%. Regardless, the White House
- 12:20Speaker 2: and some Republicans are excitedly telling reporters the speech was
- 12:23Speaker 2: a home run that will reverberate through November. Here's two
- 12:28Speaker 2: representative headlines. One from Politico. The so-to moment that Republicans
- 12:33Speaker 2: hope saves the midterms. Wow. And this is one from
- 12:37Speaker 2: the Washington Post. Republicans think they laid an immigration trap
- 12:42Speaker 2: ahead of the midterms. These headlines are referring, of course,
- 12:45Speaker 2: to this moment now captured in a Republican super PAC ad.
- 12:48Speaker 7: If you agree with this statement, then stand up and
- 12:52Speaker 7: show your support. The first duty of the American government
- 12:56Speaker 7: is to protect American citizens, not illegal aliens. These people
- 13:12Speaker 7: are crazy.
- 13:17Speaker 2: You got us. And with the old Republicans are for you.
- 13:20Speaker 2: Democrats are for them. They're reprising the 2024 message, you know.
- 13:26Speaker 2: So we were, I know I was, a rather cavalier
- 13:30Speaker 2: about this moment when we did our post State of
- 13:34Speaker 2: the Union response pod. Were we too cavalier? Is this
- 13:37Speaker 2: the magic bullet that's going to save the midterms for
- 13:40Speaker 2: the Republicans?
- 13:41Speaker 1: I'm actually more cavalier today than I was on Tuesday night.
- 13:44Speaker 2: More cavalier.
- 13:44Speaker 1: More cavalier. After having seen that ad, it shows why
- 13:48Speaker 1: the idea that this is some moment that is going
- 13:50Speaker 1: to shape the midterms is idiotic. It is pure stenography
- 13:55Speaker 1: from reporters talking to Republican operatives. It doesn't translate into
- 13:59Speaker 1: an ad. That ad sucks. It's not really clear what's happening.
- 14:02Speaker 1: No one knows the context for it. And even if
- 14:05Speaker 1: they did– It would not matter that much because this
- 14:09Speaker 1: is not Donald Trump of 2024. This is Donald Trump
- 14:12Speaker 1: of 2026 when his immigration approval rating is 12 to
- 14:16Speaker 1: 15 points underwater. He is not the efficacy of a
- 14:20Speaker 1: message is intrinsically tied to the credibility of the messenger
- 14:23Speaker 1: and Trump and the Republicans no longer have credibility on immigration.
- 14:26Speaker 1: Democrats don't either. Like now we're almost basically tied between
- 14:30Speaker 1: with Trump on who you trust in immigration, but that's
- 14:32Speaker 1: a gigantic win for us compared to previous years. And
- 14:35Speaker 1: so this is not going to matter in any way, shape,
- 14:39Speaker 1: or form. I don't care. It is a dumb person's
- 14:41Speaker 1: idea of a clever idea. And it is just like,
- 14:44Speaker 1: it's not, it's really not a thing.
- 14:47Speaker 2: Yeah, I was trying to think about it just to
- 14:49Speaker 2: sort of- I really tried for your- I did too. Well,
- 14:52Speaker 2: and a few people, a few people were like, oh,
- 14:53Speaker 2: was it smart? Ask me genuinely, like, was it smart
- 14:56Speaker 2: that he did that? Or was it weird that the
- 14:58Speaker 2: Democrats didn't stand up? And again, it's like, like you said,
- 15:03Speaker 2: maybe it makes people some people, I guess, think, well,
- 15:07Speaker 2: what are Democrats up to? I don't know about that.
- 15:09Speaker 2: It does not help Donald Trump at all. It does
- 15:11Speaker 2: not because that's not what people, people are angry about ICE. Again,
- 15:16Speaker 2: he did not say ICE once during the whole speech.
- 15:18Speaker 2: It wasn't a, it wasn't a stand up and show
- 15:19Speaker 2: your support for ICE. That's for sure. I also think
- 15:22Speaker 2: that most people see, I think you can see through
- 15:24Speaker 2: the obvious setup here. I mean, even the, if you
- 15:28Speaker 2: agree with this statement, stand up and show your support. Like, yeah.
- 15:32Speaker 2: So you know, Democratic president could have been like, if
- 15:35Speaker 2: you agree with this statement, stand up and show your support.
- 15:39Speaker 2: The first duty of the American government is to protect
- 15:41Speaker 2: American citizens, not Jeffrey Epstein and Donald Trump. Oh, Republicans
- 15:46Speaker 2: didn't stand.
- 15:48Speaker 1: I mean, that would have been a good idea.
- 15:52Speaker 2: You know, Republicans wouldn't stand for it. They wouldn't be
- 15:54Speaker 2: able to stand, right? No, I mean, it, And then
- 15:57Speaker 2: what would we be led to believe? That they want
- 16:00Speaker 2: to protect pedophiles?
- 16:01Speaker 1: Wait till you put it in a mediocre ad.
- 16:05Speaker 2: Also, it's like, of course the Democrats didn't stand. Of
- 16:07Speaker 2: course they weren't going to stand for a bunch of shit.
- 16:09Speaker 2: He tried to arrest several of them in the audience.
- 16:13Speaker 2: What are we doing? This is not a normal state
- 16:14Speaker 2: of the union. You're not going to stand for this shit.
- 16:17Speaker 1: It's the whole thing. The conversation around it is stupid.
- 16:20Speaker 1: It really is Republicans desperately trying to spin something, spin a,
- 16:25Speaker 1: find a win in this really incoherent speech that was
- 16:30Speaker 1: terrible politics in every other way, shape or form. And
- 16:33Speaker 1: some credulous reporters kind of like giving them a place
- 16:35Speaker 1: to air their last hopes and dreams for the midterms.
- 16:40Speaker 2: Of course, the government's first priority is to protect American citizens. Obviously,
- 16:44Speaker 2: it's the highest priority of the American government. Obviously, we
- 16:46Speaker 2: know that. This government hasn't even done that. It killed
- 16:49Speaker 2: two American citizens.
- 16:50Speaker 5: Exactly.
- 16:51Speaker 1: In the service of trying to go after undocumented people,
- 16:54Speaker 1: it killed, sort of quasi the service of trying to
- 16:57Speaker 1: do that, it shot and killed two Americans in the
- 17:00Speaker 1: street and then lied about it.
- 17:02Speaker 2: It has illegally detained, the government has illegally detained at
- 17:05Speaker 2: least 170 American citizens. Those are just the ones we
- 17:09Speaker 2: know about. And that was as of October of 2025.
- 17:13Speaker 2: And that was before Minnesota. It's probably a lot more now.
- 17:17Speaker 2: So they have locked up American citizens in jail illegally
- 17:21Speaker 2: for weeks at a time in horrifying conditions, killed two
- 17:24Speaker 2: American citizens. Yeah, I don't think their priority is protecting
- 17:26Speaker 2: American citizens.
- 17:27Speaker 1: I don't think people believe it either.
- 17:30Speaker 2: Here's another related headline that I want to ask you about, Dan,
- 17:33Speaker 2: from the Daily Beast. Stephen Miller melts down in eight-hour
- 17:37Speaker 2: Twitter beef with Jon Favreau. My question to you is,
- 17:43Speaker 2: do you feel pride, shame, or pity... I want to
- 17:47Speaker 2: talk to you about this.
- 17:49Speaker 1: I want to talk about this. I think... I don't
- 17:51Speaker 1: want this to come across as an intervention because it's
- 17:54Speaker 1: not yet. I don't want it to come across as
- 17:58Speaker 1: me being critical of you because I'm not. I'm genuinely inquisitive.
- 18:03Speaker 2: I just want to say that the photo of me
- 18:05Speaker 2: in the piece, the caption is, John Favreau got embroiled
- 18:08Speaker 2: in an eight-hour social media spat with Stephen Miller. Not
- 18:12Speaker 2: a great look for the host of Offline.
- 18:14Speaker 1: No, I would... As I try to tell you, you
- 18:17Speaker 1: need to start telling people that offline's title is ironic
- 18:20Speaker 1: at this point.
- 18:21Speaker 2: Always has been. Always has been. Yeah.
- 18:23Speaker 1: It didn't start that way. You were genuinely concerned about
- 18:25Speaker 1: people being online. And the product of doing that podcast
- 18:27Speaker 1: for years was be more online. But here's the thing.
- 18:31Speaker 1: We were in the White House. I once told Barack
- 18:34Speaker 1: Obama that you had the most common sense of anyone
- 18:37Speaker 1: on his team. And that if we brought an idea
- 18:40Speaker 1: to you– And the end execution of that is always
- 18:48Speaker 1: a speech.
- 18:49Speaker 2: Always.
- 18:49Speaker 1: And then like me or Axelrod or David Plouffe, we'd
- 18:52Speaker 1: go to your office and we would say, John, here's
- 18:54Speaker 1: the idea. And you would always be mad that someone
- 18:57Speaker 1: assigned a speech without talking about it, which was a
- 18:59Speaker 1: very fair point on your part. But if you thought
- 19:01Speaker 1: the idea was crazy, I would really question whether– like
- 19:05Speaker 1: I was like, oh, that's like a good check. And
- 19:09Speaker 1: I generally think you have excellent judgment. So what is
- 19:14Speaker 1: going on here? I, I feel great about this one.
- 19:18Speaker 2: I'm not just in general.
- 19:19Speaker 1: Let's let's like, you are, you wake up in the
- 19:22Speaker 1: morning and you're on a mission for Twitter fights with
- 19:24Speaker 1: certain people. And I know you are because you're tagging them.
- 19:27Speaker 1: Like you don't have to tag them.
- 19:28Speaker 2: No. Okay. Sometimes I do. I did not tag him
- 19:31Speaker 2: at all on this.
- 19:32Speaker 1: You quote, in this case. Yeah.
- 19:34Speaker 2: Quote tweeted him. Uh, it was about the topic that
- 19:36Speaker 2: we're discussing now. And, and specifically because, um, he, he tweeted,
- 19:42Speaker 2: and this was, he tweeted on the night of the
- 19:43Speaker 2: state of the union. That the seated Democrats and the
- 19:47Speaker 2: the the operative line here is um it was a
- 19:50Speaker 2: moment that chills to the bone which will live for
- 19:54Speaker 2: a thousand years yeah i mean that's an insane yes
- 19:57Speaker 2: so it's like okay if you're good so i as
- 20:00Speaker 2: we all heard that night thought that the And so
- 20:04Speaker 2: I quote tweeted that and said, I think it's genuinely
- 20:06Speaker 2: funny how hard they're all trying to make this a thing.
- 20:08Speaker 2: And like I just used Miller because he was the
- 20:10Speaker 2: most ridiculous one. And then, you know, then he replied
- 20:14Speaker 2: to me Wednesday in the afternoon and said, you know,
- 20:19Speaker 2: Democrats leapt, clapped, hollered and cheered for raising taxes, but
- 20:22Speaker 2: their legs, hands and voices froze in icy contempt as
- 20:26Speaker 2: they glowered at the parents of slain children. So that's
- 20:31Speaker 2: what he said back to me. Then it just, you know,
- 20:34Speaker 2: like when he tweets back, what do you think, I'm
- 20:36Speaker 2: just going to leave it there? No, no, I understand.
- 20:38Speaker 2: The most powerful government official, more powerful than any of
- 20:42Speaker 2: the cabinet members, tweets at me. What, am I supposed
- 20:45Speaker 2: to just sit there? And he's also the most repulsive.
- 20:49Speaker 2: If he was out there running, if he was the
- 20:52Speaker 2: face of the midterms, I think we would all be
- 20:54Speaker 2: quite happy.
- 20:55Speaker 1: Is that your strategy, to make him the face of
- 20:56Speaker 1: the midterms?
- 20:57Speaker 2: Yes.
- 20:57Speaker 1: To use your Twitter account to do it?
- 20:59Speaker 2: Have I not said on this podcast that if Donald
- 21:01Speaker 2: Trump loses the midterms, that it's going to be the
- 21:03Speaker 2: fault of Stephen Miller? No, no, no. Which was such
- 21:05Speaker 2: a great point that you then made it a message box.
- 21:07Speaker 1: Yeah, I credit you for it.
- 21:09Speaker 2: You know, you did. I know you did. But so, yeah,
- 21:11Speaker 2: that is my strategy. And look, I think when I
- 21:17Speaker 2: told him I found him, he thought that I found
- 21:19Speaker 2: the whole thing funny. And I told him I found
- 21:21Speaker 2: him hilarious. And then he told me that I was
- 21:24Speaker 2: a textbook sociopath, which is, you know, again, leading with
- 21:28Speaker 2: the chin. And then he asked if I have any,
- 21:33Speaker 2: if I grieve.
- 21:35Speaker 1: He asked if you grieve for the families and you said,
- 21:37Speaker 1: I grieve for your family.
- 21:38Speaker 2: He said, John, one more time. Do you grieve for
- 21:40Speaker 2: these families? And I told him I certainly have sympathy
- 21:43Speaker 2: for his. Yeah.
- 21:45Speaker 1: I just, how did you feel at the, like in general,
- 21:48Speaker 1: at the end of these Twitter battles, do you feel fulfilled, happy?
- 21:52Speaker 1: Do you feel like you accomplished a goal? Like, cause
- 21:55Speaker 1: I think you have a goal here.
- 21:57Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 21:57Speaker 2: My goal was to, to, Well, he has not responded
- 22:01Speaker 2: because I asked him. I said, I grieve for anyone
- 22:04Speaker 2: who's lost anyone. Of course I do because I'm not
- 22:07Speaker 2: a fucking textbook sociopath. And why hasn't the president called
- 22:12Speaker 2: the families of Alex?
- 22:13Speaker 1: It was a great tweet.
- 22:14Speaker 5: We were in a meeting together.
- 22:16Speaker 1: I was sitting in the meeting. You were on your
- 22:18Speaker 1: phone typing a tweet. I was on my phone looking
- 22:21Speaker 1: at Twitter and I saw your tweet. Sorry, Prod Save
- 22:24Speaker 1: America production team. But let me ask this other question
- 22:27Speaker 1: because many people have asked me this because people bring
- 22:29Speaker 1: up your Twitter fights to me a lot.
- 22:32Speaker 2: Sure, sure.
- 22:33Speaker 1: How does your wife feel about this?
- 22:36Speaker 2: Not as great.
- 22:37Speaker 1: Yeah, that was the question. That was the question. Because
- 22:40Speaker 1: my wife is not married to you, but likes you
- 22:43Speaker 1: a lot. She does not feel great about it either.
- 22:45Speaker 2: No, Emily thought it was, I got home. I sent
- 22:48Speaker 2: her the whole exchange ahead of time before I got
- 22:52Speaker 2: in the car to go home. And then when I
- 22:53Speaker 2: got home, she's like, first of all, a little nervous again.
- 22:57Speaker 2: Another fight with Stephen Miller. I don't know if I
- 22:59Speaker 2: like this that much. She's like, but I did laugh
- 23:01Speaker 2: pretty hard at the sympathy for his family. She's like,
- 23:04Speaker 2: so good. There are some that I, like, whatever, I
- 23:07Speaker 2: forget what we were fighting over. I fought with Megyn
- 23:09Speaker 2: Kelly about something a couple months ago.
- 23:11Speaker 1: Several times you've fought with Megyn Kelly.
- 23:13Speaker 2: And I left that one. I'm just like, what was
- 23:15Speaker 2: the use of that? Because it's Megyn, like, who cares?
- 23:16Speaker 2: It's Megyn Kelly. So that kind of shit, I'm like, eh.
- 23:19Speaker 2: Any fight that I've ever gotten in with J.D. Vance
- 23:21Speaker 2: or Stephen Miller... Feel great afterwards.
- 23:23Speaker 1: Okay. Look, if you were finding personal fulfillment here and
- 23:26Speaker 1: you end this happier, because time is not a renewable resource.
- 23:29Speaker 2: Other right-wing influencers, you should stop me. Not so much.
- 23:33Speaker 2: Not great. High-ranking White House officials, I'm not.
- 23:37Speaker 1: As long as you feel fulfilled, then I am okay
- 23:40Speaker 1: with this. Because everyone needs a hobby.
- 23:42Speaker 2: And if this is your hobby- I wouldn't say it
- 23:43Speaker 2: was as fulfilling as then going home and hanging out
- 23:46Speaker 2: with my family.
- 23:47Speaker 1: Of course not.
- 23:48Speaker 2: Finally going to bed early for one night. Those things
- 23:53Speaker 2: were much more fulfilling.
- 23:54Speaker 1: Generally, you do these Twitter fights on work hours. You're
- 23:59Speaker 1: not doing it from the zoo with your children. So
- 24:00Speaker 1: I think that's a positive. If that starts, we'll have
- 24:03Speaker 1: another on-camera intervention here.
- 24:05Speaker 2: Anyway, still waiting for Stephen's response. When is the president
- 24:09Speaker 2: going to call? Because I thought he grieves for American
- 24:12Speaker 2: citizens and I thought that the government's first role is
- 24:14Speaker 2: to protect american citizens but apparently it is not all
- 24:30Speaker 2: right let's turn to a lighter topic the peace president's
- 24:33Speaker 2: next war topic than your twitter fights with a fucking
- 24:36Speaker 2: loser yeah what is what is that It's war. It's war, Dan.
- 24:41Speaker 2: Real estate bozos Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met with
- 24:44Speaker 2: Iranian officials in Geneva on Thursday to negotiate a new
- 24:47Speaker 2: nuclear deal and possibly stave off military intervention. Spoiler alert,
- 24:52Speaker 2: didn't go well. No agreement was reached after the first
- 24:56Speaker 2: day of negotiations. This comes after Politico reported that the
- 24:59Speaker 2: administration is toying with the idea of having Israel, not
- 25:03Speaker 2: the U.S. military, launch the first strike against Iran. Why?
- 25:08Speaker 2: Here's what a source familiar with the discussions told Politico. Quote,
- 25:12Speaker 2: there's thinking in and around the administration that the politics
- 25:15Speaker 2: are a lot better if the Israelis go first and
- 25:18Speaker 2: alone and the Iranians retaliate against us and give us
- 25:22Speaker 2: more reason to take action. I don't know. What do
- 25:28Speaker 2: you make of the White House wanting to use American
- 25:30Speaker 2: lives as bait to sell the rest of the country
- 25:33Speaker 2: on a war with Iran?
- 25:36Speaker 1: It seems like it should be a gigantic scandal that
- 25:38Speaker 1: they would like to do this.
- 25:40Speaker 7: Right?
- 25:40Speaker 1: Seems like it should be a big deal. It's not.
- 25:42Speaker 1: There's a lot happening today. It's not to even make
- 25:44Speaker 1: the A block of this podcast. It literally came after
- 25:47Speaker 1: an online feud you had.
- 25:50Speaker 2: About the State of the Union. It was an offshoot.
- 25:53Speaker 1: Yeah, I understand. There's a reason it fell to where
- 25:55Speaker 1: it did in the lineup. But it does speak to
- 26:01Speaker 1: how impossible this war is to sell to the American people.
- 26:05Speaker 1: They cannot do it in any sort of normal way.
- 26:09Speaker 1: It's why they're not even trying to do it. They're
- 26:11Speaker 1: so desperate for a rationale for a war that the neocons,
- 26:15Speaker 1: of which Trump is now one of them apparently, have
- 26:18Speaker 1: wanted for decades and decades and decades. They're so desperate
- 26:23Speaker 1: to create a pretext for this war that they are–
- 26:27Speaker 1: one of the ideas on the whiteboard is let's get
- 26:30Speaker 1: some Americans killed so that Americans will be mad and
- 26:32Speaker 1: want to go to war with Iran. Seems bad.
- 26:35Speaker 2: Let's, yeah, I mean, let's let Israel go first. So, because, again,
- 26:42Speaker 2: the Israeli government, very popular here. Let's let the Israeli
- 26:46Speaker 2: government go first, and then Iran will retaliate and, what,
- 26:51Speaker 2: maybe hit an American military base, I guess? And, you know,
- 26:55Speaker 2: we're hoping that our defenses will hold and no one
- 26:58Speaker 2: will get hurt. But, you know, who knows? Because maybe
- 27:01Speaker 2: if an American service member is killed or wounded... Then
- 27:05Speaker 2: American people will be like, well, Iran attacked us and
- 27:08Speaker 2: killed Americans. And so now we have to attack Iran.
- 27:10Speaker 2: And like, honestly, the worst part of it is I
- 27:13Speaker 2: could see it working.
- 27:14Speaker 1: I don't think it would work. I really don't. I
- 27:18Speaker 1: think that the Trump people think the American people are
- 27:21Speaker 1: stupid and they're not. If Israel attacks Iran and then
- 27:25Speaker 1: Iran attacks an American base, I do not think the
- 27:29Speaker 1: American people are then want to sign up for a
- 27:31Speaker 1: protracted war in the Middle East.
- 27:34Speaker 2: I certainly hope not. I certainly hope not. I talked
- 27:36Speaker 2: about this earlier, but I think, I can't remember which
- 27:39Speaker 2: podcast I said this on, but the polling was at
- 27:42Speaker 2: like 20% of Americans support any kind of action against Iran.
- 27:46Speaker 1: We talked about this in an actual private conversation that
- 27:49Speaker 1: wasn't recorded.
- 27:50Speaker 2: There we go.
- 27:51Speaker 5: It's wild.
- 27:52Speaker 2: But then the CBS poll that dropped the day of
- 27:56Speaker 2: the State of the Union asked it with, would you
- 27:59Speaker 2: support military action in Iran to prevent them from getting
- 28:03Speaker 2: a nuclear weapon? And when you add nuclear weapon, then
- 28:05Speaker 2: it was 47 percent approve, 53 percent disapprove. So you
- 28:09Speaker 2: can start you basically you can just start seeing their
- 28:13Speaker 2: house of lies that they're building this this case on,
- 28:16Speaker 2: you know, ballistic missiles that may reach the United States soon.
- 28:21Speaker 2: And oh, now what if Iran attacks America as a
- 28:25Speaker 2: retaliation for Israel? Oh, now what if there's a nuclear
- 28:28Speaker 2: weapon and they're a week away? Like, they're just, you know,
- 28:32Speaker 2: it's all the greatest hits from Iraq without any of
- 28:34Speaker 2: the effort, really. But, you know, everything's gotten dumber since then, somehow,
- 28:39Speaker 2: and the information environment's gotten a lot more awful.
- 28:44Speaker 1: But American people have gotten a lot more skeptical of
- 28:46Speaker 1: foreign interventions. And that question in the CBS poll, I think,
- 28:51Speaker 1: in people's minds, is a military strike like Midnight Hammer,
- 28:56Speaker 1: or whatever we call it, the other thing.
- 28:58Speaker 2: Right.
- 28:58Speaker 1: An actual protracted conflict that could cost American lives, could
- 29:04Speaker 1: lead to attacks on the homeland or on Americans abroad,
- 29:07Speaker 1: could likely lead to a giant spike in oil prices
- 29:12Speaker 1: and just general chaos in the world. And just remember,
- 29:16Speaker 1: this is a president at 38% approval who is underwater
- 29:22Speaker 1: on every single issue, including national security and foreign policy,
- 29:26Speaker 1: who may launch United States into a war. He has
- 29:28Speaker 1: not explained to a single person why it's happening. And
- 29:31Speaker 1: so I think, I just think there's people do not
- 29:33Speaker 1: want to go to war and they really don't want
- 29:34Speaker 1: Donald Trump to take.
- 29:35Speaker 2: Them to war. Yeah, that's, that's true. All right. I'm
- 29:39Speaker 2: holding out hope, holding out hope. Although, I mean, I
- 29:42Speaker 2: guess hope for public opinion, but I mean, while you're,
- 29:44Speaker 2: by the time you're listening to this, by the time.
- 29:47Speaker 1: You listen to this, it is quite possible that the
- 29:50Speaker 1: strike happened because the, the gating issue was they were
- 29:54Speaker 1: going to get through these talks on Thursday. We're recording
- 29:57Speaker 1: this on Thursday. The talks are over. So at any
- 29:59Speaker 1: point something could happen, I would not be surprised if
- 30:02Speaker 1: it happened over the weekend or overnight. We don't know.
- 30:05Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 30:06Speaker 2: So House Democrats are also planning to hold a war
- 30:08Speaker 2: powers resolution vote next week that would force the president
- 30:11Speaker 2: to seek congressional authorization before carrying out any military strikes
- 30:14Speaker 2: in Iran. Democrats already have the support of Thomas Massey,
- 30:18Speaker 2: who sponsored the bill with Ro Khanna. And on Thursday morning,
- 30:21Speaker 2: Representative Warren Davidson, a Republican from Ohio, threatened to support
- 30:24Speaker 2: the resolution if the White House didn't brief Congress on
- 30:27Speaker 2: its justification for the war. The White House, unsurprisingly, is
- 30:31Speaker 2: already whipping votes to defeat the resolution. And I think
- 30:34Speaker 2: we Democrats have already lost at least Josh Gottheimer and
- 30:40Speaker 2: Jared Moskowitz, I think, on this one. So, you know,
- 30:43Speaker 2: I don't think we have the votes currently, but I
- 30:45Speaker 2: don't know. What do you what do you think? Do
- 30:46Speaker 2: you think Democrats there's a chance that Democrats can get
- 30:49Speaker 2: enough votes to pass this thing? I don't know.
- 30:51Speaker 1: I think it's hard for Republicans to vote to him
- 30:55Speaker 1: in the president on a national security issue. So we'll see.
- 30:59Speaker 1: You guys got to rant about this on Tuesday. I
- 31:02Speaker 1: would like to reclaim my time for a second.
- 31:05Speaker 2: Please. Yes, go.
- 31:06Speaker 1: What Jared Moskowitz and Josh Gottheimer are doing here is disgusting.
- 31:12Speaker 1: Even if you believe against all evidence that Iran is
- 31:16Speaker 1: an imminent threat to the United States that demands military action,
- 31:19Speaker 1: the idea that you would let this president, this corrupt president,
- 31:24Speaker 1: tin pot dictator surrounded by yahoos including a military commanded
- 31:29Speaker 1: by a fox news host.
- 31:31Speaker 2: Who's drunk who's probably with a reported drinking problem maybe.
- 31:35Speaker 1: Wage war in iran without going to congress that you
- 31:38Speaker 1: would give up your responsibility your power to try to
- 31:44Speaker 1: influence how that war would take place because you want
- 31:47Speaker 1: to show yourself to be tough on iran or friendly
- 31:51Speaker 1: with Israel or whatever else is just, it is immoral.
- 31:55Speaker 1: It's unpatriotic. It is truly, truly disgusting. Like we can
- 32:00Speaker 1: disagree about the merits of military action in Iran. You
- 32:04Speaker 1: cannot credibly argue that Donald Trump without Congress on his
- 32:08Speaker 1: own should unilaterally launch a war with Iran. That is
- 32:12Speaker 1: an insane position for a Democrat.
- 32:14Speaker 2: Like, I think, I think striking Iran in a war
- 32:17Speaker 2: is insane, but like, Let's say that you just genuinely
- 32:20Speaker 2: believe it's the right thing to do, right? Well, then, like,
- 32:23Speaker 2: what are you afraid of taking it to Congress where
- 32:26Speaker 2: you work, where you have been elected to represent people
- 32:31Speaker 2: and having the debate there and making a decision as
- 32:33Speaker 2: a Congress as the Constitution intended? Yeah.
- 32:37Speaker 1: All that War Powers Resolution is doing is saying Donald
- 32:38Speaker 1: Trump has to come to Congress first. There is not
- 32:43Speaker 1: an imminent threat here. And if there was, then the
- 32:45Speaker 1: president has the power to act. But there is not one.
- 32:49Speaker 1: We know this because Donald Trump told us quite recently
- 32:51Speaker 1: that they obliterated the nuclear program in Iran.
- 32:55Speaker 2: And you can, I mean, you know, I yelled about
- 32:57Speaker 2: this before, but you can tell that it's bullshit from
- 33:00Speaker 2: the line in Godheimer's statement that it's like, you know, this,
- 33:04Speaker 2: doing this would show weakness.
- 33:06Speaker 1: What are we in fucking 2003 here?
- 33:08Speaker 2: Yes. I mean, it's also like, Josh, you were there.
- 33:12Speaker 2: You were there. We went through this. He was on
- 33:14Speaker 2: the Kerry campaign with me. We went through John Kerry
- 33:16Speaker 2: voting for the fucking war in Iraq. Everyone gave President
- 33:20Speaker 2: Bush the authorization for the same reasons. We don't want
- 33:23Speaker 2: him in the president. We want to give him the
- 33:25Speaker 2: authorization for war. I mean, this isn't even that.
- 33:29Speaker 1: If you want to vote to authorize the war, I
- 33:32Speaker 1: think that is an insane position. But that is a vote.
- 33:35Speaker 1: That is you putting your name in and saying, I
- 33:37Speaker 1: support this. I'm giving my power from a co-equal branch
- 33:41Speaker 1: to authorize this military conflict to try to block the
- 33:47Speaker 1: vote from ever happening. to somehow burnish your national security
- 33:51Speaker 1: bona fides is disgusting.
- 33:54Speaker 2: It's insane. I do not understand it. Well, Dan, good news.
- 33:59Speaker 2: Sometime in the near future, our government's wars of choice
- 34:02Speaker 2: may not require humans to fight them. I talked about
- 34:05Speaker 2: this on Offline last week, but the Department of Defense
- 34:08Speaker 2: is threatening Anthropic because the AI company won't let the
- 34:11Speaker 2: government use Claude, their AI model, for mass surveillance on Americans,
- 34:16Speaker 2: or for firing weapons without human involvement. Axios reported on
- 34:20Speaker 2: Wednesday that the Pentagon has taken its first steps toward
- 34:23Speaker 2: designating Anthropic a, quote, supply chain risk, which would mean
- 34:27Speaker 2: that no company that works with the Department of Defense
- 34:29Speaker 2: could also work with Anthropic. The Pentagon typically reserves the
- 34:33Speaker 2: supply chain risk penalty for companies that are based in, like,
- 34:38Speaker 2: countries that are U.S. adversaries, like China's Huawei. Even more alarming...
- 34:43Speaker 2: Elon Musk's XAI signed a deal with the Department of
- 34:46Speaker 2: Defense this week that agreed to the standard. Anthropic rejected.
- 34:51Speaker 2: So the government's murderous surveillance drones may someday run on grok.
- 34:58Speaker 2: And Anthropic in a statement, right, as we were starting
- 35:00Speaker 2: to record, said that they in good conscience cannot agree
- 35:04Speaker 2: to this. And so they're holding strong. Dan, is this
- 35:06Speaker 2: what people voted for? For murderous surveillance drones that can
- 35:11Speaker 2: run on grok?
- 35:11Speaker 1: To be commanded by Pete Hickseth? No, I don't think
- 35:13Speaker 1: it's what people voted for. I mean, this should be
- 35:15Speaker 1: honestly one of the biggest stories in the country because
- 35:18Speaker 1: it tells us two things. One, it speaks to all
- 35:21Speaker 1: of the massive ethical and policy dilemmas that come with
- 35:26Speaker 1: the very rapid emergence of AI. It also reveals that
- 35:31Speaker 1: the Department of Defense, because I will call it that,
- 35:34Speaker 1: not the Department of War, under Donald Trump, would like
- 35:37Speaker 1: the power to do mass domestic surveillance.
- 35:40Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 35:41Speaker 1: And then just on top of that, at the same
- 35:43Speaker 1: time this story comes out, what they want– the Department
- 35:47Speaker 1: of Defense argues we want Anthropic to let us do
- 35:51Speaker 1: everything we're legally allowed to do. There are only two
- 35:54Speaker 1: rules from Anthropic here. No mass domestic surveillance and no
- 35:59Speaker 1: autonomous weapons that don't involve humans actually mean they want
- 36:02Speaker 1: to make decisions. The latter is technically legal, although quite irresponsible,
- 36:08Speaker 1: and I'll get to why it's even more dangerous in
- 36:09Speaker 1: a second. But mass domestic surveillance, not legal. And why
- 36:15Speaker 1: do they want that? There should be some follow-up questions
- 36:17Speaker 1: on that.
- 36:18Speaker 2: Well, I'm sure it's only going to be mass domestic
- 36:20Speaker 2: surveillance if they go to the FISA courts and they
- 36:24Speaker 2: get Article III courts and they get the warrants properly
- 36:27Speaker 2: because that's how they've been doing things in the Trump administration.
- 36:30Speaker 1: And that's also not mass. Those are individual things. Although, obviously,
- 36:35Speaker 1: the Bush administration did do it. with metadata at a
- 36:37Speaker 1: very high, high level. And that continued for many years
- 36:40Speaker 1: after that. But the other thing is there's this study
- 36:43Speaker 1: that came out the other day where they were having
- 36:46Speaker 1: all of the AI models play war games against each other.
- 36:49Speaker 1: And the big takeaway was AI models are very quick
- 36:54Speaker 1: to use tackler nuclear weapons in war games.
- 36:59Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 36:59Speaker 2: I mean, because they're not hindered by the moral qualms
- 37:03Speaker 2: of it.
- 37:03Speaker 1: And it is a way, like it is the fastest
- 37:06Speaker 1: way to domination. And this is like the big takeaway
- 37:09Speaker 1: is that this is what they do. And now we
- 37:10Speaker 1: want to give them the keys to the arsenal. Like
- 37:14Speaker 1: it just, it is insane. Also, just on this, it's
- 37:19Speaker 1: not just, Pete Hexhead is such a fucking moron. In
- 37:21Speaker 1: the meeting with the CEO of Anthropic the other day,
- 37:26Speaker 1: he threatened them with two things when they refused. One
- 37:29Speaker 1: was what you mentioned, blacklisting the supply list. The other
- 37:32Speaker 1: one is that they would use the defense production act
- 37:35Speaker 1: who sees control of anthropics AI model. Now those things
- 37:39Speaker 1: are in, are in complete conflict with each other. If
- 37:42Speaker 1: you are subject to a defense production authors act, uh, acquisition,
- 37:46Speaker 1: it's because what you have is so essential national security.
- 37:49Speaker 1: The government needs it right now. And the other one
- 37:52Speaker 1: in the blacklisting is that you're so dangerous that no
- 37:55Speaker 1: one who does business with you can be in contact
- 37:58Speaker 1: with the government.
- 37:59Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah. I don't know that, um, I don't know
- 38:04Speaker 2: that consistency is.
- 38:06Speaker 1: What they're going for. This is the future we are
- 38:10Speaker 1: living in, and I don't think any of these AI
- 38:14Speaker 1: companies are covered in glory. Anthropic, to their credit in
- 38:20Speaker 1: this instance, but Anthropic exists, and I just read an
- 38:23Speaker 1: incredible book about this called Emperor of AI, which is
- 38:26Speaker 1: about open AI. But Anthropic exists because the CEO and
- 38:31Speaker 1: the heads of Anthropic and that team are left OpenAI
- 38:33Speaker 1: because they thought Sam Altman was abandoning the original mission
- 38:37Speaker 1: of OpenAI, which was to guard against risk. Now, they've
- 38:39Speaker 1: also commercialized on running a $ 380 billion company right now,
- 38:44Speaker 1: but there are a lot of other people who are
- 38:46Speaker 1: going to do, like Elon fucking Musk, who are going
- 38:48Speaker 1: to do the things that Anthropic.
- 38:50Speaker 2: Will not do. I know, and we were talking about this.
- 38:53Speaker 2: I mean, Anthropic could be the best actors ever, just
- 38:57Speaker 2: in a pretend scenario, that they're only out there. They
- 39:00Speaker 2: don't even care as much about making money and they're
- 39:03Speaker 2: only there for good.
- 39:04Speaker 1: The people who gave them $ 380 billion probably hope they care.
- 39:06Speaker 2: About making money. Right, but I'm saying just for the
- 39:08Speaker 2: sake of argument, the problem is we're in a very
- 39:11Speaker 2: competitive environment and a free market system and there's going
- 39:13Speaker 2: to be other companies and whether they're U.S. companies or
- 39:17Speaker 2: bad actors overseas and foreign companies, whatever they may be,
- 39:20Speaker 2: someone's going to figure out a way to do this,
- 39:21Speaker 2: which is why you can't just fucking make a bet
- 39:25Speaker 2: on a company being made up of good people. You
- 39:28Speaker 2: have to fucking regulate it. it, which this administration is
- 39:31Speaker 2: not doing. There is no scenario here where it is
- 39:34Speaker 2: not absolutely necessary to regulate artificial intelligence. There's just no scenario.
- 39:41Speaker 1: And with statutes, with legislation. Like, yes, the administration, whose
- 39:45Speaker 1: current philosophy is no regulations at all, and they're trying
- 39:48Speaker 1: to ban... regulations at the state level. But Congress needs
- 39:53Speaker 1: to get involved here. And that is dangerous because most
- 39:55Speaker 1: of them are still using their AOL accounts. But the
- 40:00Speaker 1: fact that AI cannot do mass surveillance and automated weapons
- 40:05Speaker 1: should be in law. That's something that should be in
- 40:08Speaker 1: law and written. in a way that prevents it. So
- 40:11Speaker 1: it's not up to the goodwill of CEOs of multi-billion
- 40:16Speaker 1: dollar companies to hold the.
- 40:18Speaker 2: Line against this. And the only sliver of good news
- 40:23Speaker 2: here is that they can't automatically fire the weapons yet.
- 40:28Speaker 2: They don't have that capability yet. I think they don't
- 40:30Speaker 2: have the mass surveillance capability yet either, but they're all
- 40:33Speaker 2: pretty close.
- 40:34Speaker 1: But they are using AI to go through intelligence and
- 40:37Speaker 1: do decision-making matrixes. God knows when Elon Musk get the
- 40:42Speaker 1: X AI on there, but I'm sure that could be
- 40:44Speaker 1: greenlit by Donald Trump any day now.
- 40:47Speaker 2: Yeah, well, he's too busy making sure that AI can
- 40:50Speaker 2: undress images of random people online. So that's what he's
- 40:54Speaker 2: focused on. All right. We should also talk about the
- 41:10Speaker 2: latest developments in the Epstein scandal.
- 41:11Speaker 1: Man, what a pod this is. Honestly, now I'm sort
- 41:14Speaker 1: of regretting spending seven, eight minutes on your Twitter habits.
- 41:17Speaker 1: Apologies to the listeners.
- 41:20Speaker 2: Which is in the news today because the House Oversight
- 41:23Speaker 2: Committee took a field trip to Chappaqua, New York, for
- 41:26Speaker 2: a closed-door deposition with Hillary Clinton. Bills is scheduled for Friday.
- 41:31Speaker 2: Hillary said she had no memory of meeting Epstein, no
- 41:33Speaker 2: knowledge of his crimes, and briefly paused the deposition at
- 41:37Speaker 2: one point after Lauren Boebert snapped a pic. and leaked
- 41:39Speaker 2: it to Benny Johnson because, of course, Hillary later came
- 41:43Speaker 2: out and told the press the same thing that she
- 41:47Speaker 2: said in her statement, but that also towards the end
- 41:50Speaker 2: of the deposition, they started asking her about UFOs and Pizzagate.
- 41:54Speaker 2: So that's how the Republicans were using their time in Chappaqua.
- 41:58Speaker 2: Stay tuned tomorrow for part two with Bill Clinton. But
- 42:02Speaker 2: the much bigger Epstein news this week is that Trump's
- 42:04Speaker 2: Justice Department appears to have removed FBI notes from from
- 42:10Speaker 2: three interviews that agents conducted in 2019 with a woman
- 42:14Speaker 2: who accused Jeffrey Epstein and Donald Trump of sexually abusing
- 42:19Speaker 2: her in 1983 when she was just 13 years old.
- 42:25Speaker 2: We know this because the DOJ did release the FBI's
- 42:28Speaker 2: initial interview with the woman where she only accused Epstein
- 42:31Speaker 2: of abusing her in that initial interview and because they
- 42:34Speaker 2: released a summary of the allegations against Trump that just
- 42:38Speaker 2: happened to be in an FBI presentation about the Epstein
- 42:41Speaker 2: files from last summer. Allegations that were also referenced in
- 42:45Speaker 2: an evidence list the prosecutors provided to Ghislaine Maxwell's attorneys,
- 42:49Speaker 2: which was also released on the DOJ website. So the
- 42:54Speaker 2: existence of those two documents reveals that there were these
- 42:57Speaker 2: three interviews that the FBI conducted with the woman where
- 43:00Speaker 2: she had made allegations against Donald Trump. But the notes
- 43:03Speaker 2: for those three interviews have disappeared from the website. This
- 43:07Speaker 2: was first reported by the journalist Roger Sullenberger, and then
- 43:10Speaker 2: confirmed by NPR and other outlets. On Wednesday, the Justice
- 43:14Speaker 2: Department said it would take another look to see if
- 43:16Speaker 2: any documents were improperly tagged and will release anything they
- 43:20Speaker 2: find that falls under the requirements of the law. On Thursday,
- 43:23Speaker 2: Oversight Chairman James Comer said the committee would be looking
- 43:26Speaker 2: into it as well. What do you think, Dan? It's
- 43:29Speaker 2: just pretty stunning.
- 43:30Speaker 1: What are the odds that the documents we mislabeled would
- 43:34Speaker 1: be the ones that included allegations about Donald Trump. Just like,
- 43:40Speaker 1: what are the odds?
- 43:42Speaker 2: What are the odds? What are the odds? But also,
- 43:44Speaker 2: what are the odds that they are still incompetent enough
- 43:47Speaker 2: to leave a couple documents in there that reveal the
- 43:50Speaker 2: existence of these allegations?
- 43:53Speaker 1: We are dealing with criminals. We are not dealing with
- 43:54Speaker 1: criminal geniuses. Yeah, that's true. This is the thing that
- 43:59Speaker 1: people said about the Epstein files, which is, you know,
- 44:04Speaker 1: it's very possible or real that Pam Bonney, Cash Patel,
- 44:08Speaker 1: some other person who works for Trump could go in
- 44:10Speaker 1: there and take out the Trump stuff. And people kind
- 44:12Speaker 1: of said that you, that's crazy. That's conspiracy theory. No,
- 44:14Speaker 1: it was like, this is, these guys lie and cheat
- 44:17Speaker 1: in every way, shape or form. And they did it here.
- 44:19Speaker 1: They're just really bad at it. But if they were
- 44:21Speaker 1: slightly better, if they had like third grade competency in criminality,
- 44:26Speaker 1: then like no one would ever know this happened.
- 44:29Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 44:29Speaker 1: And it's, the documents are currently not, we don't know
- 44:32Speaker 1: where they are. And I think, uh, the oversight ranking member,
- 44:35Speaker 1: Congressman Garcia, went to go find him, hasn't seen them yet. Like,
- 44:40Speaker 1: have they been destroyed? Like, these are fair questions to ask.
- 44:43Speaker 2: Yeah, it also seems like this one is not going
- 44:46Speaker 2: away because you assume that the victim is out there,
- 44:52Speaker 2: the person who made the allegations. She also made allegations
- 44:55Speaker 2: against Jeffrey Epstein. They're more substantiated than the allegations against
- 44:58Speaker 2: Donald Trump. We should say, of course, they're unsubstantiated so far.
- 45:02Speaker 2: But like, You may have to imagine she's out there.
- 45:04Speaker 2: Her lawyers are out there. People who know her out there.
- 45:06Speaker 1: Like I just, people who conducted the interviews are out there.
- 45:08Speaker 2: People who, yeah, the FBI agents are probably out.
- 45:10Speaker 7: Right.
- 45:10Speaker 2: So it's like, I don't think this is, I don't
- 45:12Speaker 2: think this is the last we've heard of this one.
- 45:14Speaker 1: Like this is just, it speaks to the volume of
- 45:18Speaker 1: insane news in Trump's presidency that we have talked about
- 45:23Speaker 1: a war with Iran. We have talked about a, the
- 45:27Speaker 1: Fox news host defense secretary trying to use killer robots, um,
- 45:32Speaker 1: And now we are talking about a potential– like the
- 45:35Speaker 1: Department of Justice going illegally. This is illegal what they
- 45:38Speaker 1: did if this was done intentionally.
- 45:40Speaker 2: Illegal.
- 45:40Speaker 1: It violates the law that was passed requiring disclosure of
- 45:44Speaker 1: the records. Went into illegally hide, steal, or destroy records
- 45:51Speaker 1: that implicate Donald Trump in a child sex trafficking ring.
- 45:56Speaker 1: Like that is what it is. Like whether those allegations
- 45:59Speaker 1: are real or not, we don't know. But the cover-up.
- 46:02Speaker 1: the attempt to protect him from those allegations is a massive,
- 46:06Speaker 1: massive scandal.
- 46:08Speaker 2: Also one that like this was known, the NPR story
- 46:11Speaker 2: hit the day of the State of the Union because
- 46:14Speaker 2: we first talked about this on Jimmy Kill Alive. Yeah.
- 46:17Speaker 2: Because there was a question about the Epstein files. And
- 46:20Speaker 2: so we brought it up there too. But like, it's
- 46:22Speaker 2: wild that then the whole State of the Union happens
- 46:24Speaker 2: and we're just like, okay.
- 46:26Speaker 1: That's so true of like so many other things. Like,
- 46:28Speaker 1: I mean, this just, There's just a different world with
- 46:31Speaker 1: a different president, a different media environment where this is
- 46:32Speaker 1: all we've talked about for a year and a half now,
- 46:34Speaker 1: every single day.
- 46:36Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 46:36Speaker 2: I mean, it is wild that, I mean, it's still
- 46:39Speaker 2: in the news. I mean, it is a gigantic scandal,
- 46:42Speaker 2: like you said, but it is one of the few
- 46:43Speaker 2: stories that has sustained itself.
- 46:46Speaker 5: For all these months.
- 46:47Speaker 1: Yeah, this all kicked off last summer, really.
- 46:48Speaker 2: Yeah, for sure. So I know we've talked about Trump's
- 46:51Speaker 2: plans to steal the midterms quite a bit recently, but
- 46:53Speaker 2: there's a new development on that front we should also mention.
- 46:56Speaker 2: The Washington Post reports that, quote, pro-Trump activists who say
- 46:59Speaker 2: they are in coordination with the White House are circulating
- 47:02Speaker 2: a 17-page draft executive order that claims China interfered in
- 47:05Speaker 2: the 2020 election as a basis to declare a national
- 47:09Speaker 2: emergency that would unlock extraordinary presidential power over voting. So
- 47:15Speaker 2: that's fun. One lawyer who's pushing the EO told the
- 47:18Speaker 2: Post it would empower Trump to ban mail ballots and
- 47:22Speaker 2: voting machines, among other things. So... They're going to use
- 47:25Speaker 2: this fake finding that China interfered in 2020 to justify
- 47:30Speaker 2: a national emergency, to justify taking the power to run
- 47:33Speaker 2: elections away from the states, which is, of course, constitutionally mandated.
- 47:39Speaker 2: How real do you think this is? And what's your
- 47:42Speaker 2: gut on how the court might respond?
- 47:44Speaker 1: There are definitely lunatics outside the White House working on this.
- 47:50Speaker 1: There are definitely lunatics inside the White House who are
- 47:52Speaker 1: helping them do this. Whether Trump signs it or not,
- 47:56Speaker 1: or actually comes out, open question. I really struggle to
- 47:59Speaker 1: see what the legal basis for any of this is.
- 48:03Speaker 1: As you mentioned, it's in the Constitution. They are, ironically enough,
- 48:07Speaker 1: relying on the same statute that the tariffs were used for,
- 48:11Speaker 1: the emergency power statute, which has no specific discussion of
- 48:19Speaker 1: elections or any of these things. There is no statutory
- 48:22Speaker 1: power the president has. even in an emergency over elections.
- 48:28Speaker 1: And there is no evidence of foreign involvement. This is
- 48:32Speaker 1: based entirely on an intelligence report that Beijing considered, but
- 48:37Speaker 1: then decided not to get involved in the 2020 election.
- 48:43Speaker 2: That's it. And also, the remedy for Beijing considering But
- 48:48Speaker 2: deciding not to get involved in the 2020 election is
- 48:51Speaker 2: to ban the mail ballots and voting machines?
- 48:54Speaker 1: In the 2026 election. There is some weird thing about
- 48:57Speaker 1: how they were– like one of the conspiracy theories is
- 48:59Speaker 1: they were going to make driver's licenses, fraudulent driver's licenses
- 49:03Speaker 1: for people to vote by mail. But the point is
- 49:05Speaker 1: it makes no sense. I can't imagine– like I don't
- 49:09Speaker 1: put a ton of faith in the judiciary and the
- 49:11Speaker 1: Supreme Court, but this seems quite– like– If you thought
- 49:15Speaker 1: their interpretation of the law on the terrorists was absurd,
- 49:19Speaker 1: this is like... 10,000 times more absurd than that.
- 49:23Speaker 2: I agree with you. And if I were a conspiracy
- 49:28Speaker 2: minded myself, I might say that one of the reasons
- 49:32Speaker 2: that Trump flew off the fucking handle with that Supreme
- 49:36Speaker 2: Court decision, why he was so angry at the Supreme
- 49:38Speaker 2: Court and said such crazy shit like they've betrayed their
- 49:42Speaker 2: families and they're disloyal and all that shit is because
- 49:45Speaker 2: someone told him that that 6-3 majority in that case
- 49:51Speaker 2: is probably what you'd get in a case where he
- 49:54Speaker 2: tried to declare a national emergency and take over the elections. Yeah,
- 49:58Speaker 2: that seems possible.
- 50:00Speaker 1: If I was conspiracy-minded, I would also think about that.
- 50:03Speaker 2: Yeah. But you're right that, like, even if that wasn't
- 50:06Speaker 2: going through Trump's mind, I do think that the reasoning,
- 50:10Speaker 2: if you look at that case, the reasoning that Roberts
- 50:13Speaker 2: and Barrett and the liberals signed on to, and Gorsuch,
- 50:17Speaker 2: and the liberals all signed on to, is like, it's like,
- 50:21Speaker 2: you can do major questions doctrine, you can use president, like,
- 50:24Speaker 2: there's just, you can't, you can't usurp Congress's power that
- 50:30Speaker 2: is prescribed to explicitly in the Constitution with a fucking
- 50:34Speaker 2: executive order just because you say there's a national emergency.
- 50:36Speaker 1: It's literally the exact same thing, right?
- 50:38Speaker 2: It's the same reason.
- 50:39Speaker 1: Power to administer elections. In this case, states, you're taking
- 50:42Speaker 1: power from the states, which is explicitly designated in the Constitution.
- 50:45Speaker 1: You can't do that. You couldn't do it with a law.
- 50:47Speaker 1: You can't do it with an executive order, just like
- 50:50Speaker 1: the tariffs. I think this is, like, what is more
- 50:53Speaker 1: disturbing about this is the mentality and the lengths to
- 50:55Speaker 1: which this administration is willing to consider to try to
- 50:59Speaker 1: avoid what they believe to be a significant ass-whipping coming
- 51:03Speaker 1: in November.
- 51:05Speaker 2: Yeah, you can see why rigging the election feels important
- 51:08Speaker 2: to them because here's Mike Johnson on Tuesday threatening us
- 51:12Speaker 2: with a good time. If we lost the midterms, heaven forbid,
- 51:15Speaker 2: if we lost the majority in the House, it would
- 51:17Speaker 2: be the end of the Trump presidency in a real effect.
- 51:20Speaker 2: Hell yeah, it would be.
- 51:23Speaker 1: If that is not in a DCCC fundraising video right now,
- 51:28Speaker 1: I mean. And do not text me with it. Do
- 51:30Speaker 1: not text me with it. If I get a fucking text,
- 51:32Speaker 1: I'm going to say stop. So do not text me
- 51:34Speaker 1: with a DCCC. But if you put it in a
- 51:37Speaker 1: YouTube pre-roll, that's pretty good.
- 51:39Speaker 2: How do fucking Republicans pitch every dumb reporter in D.C.
- 51:43Speaker 2: that the moment of the Democrats sitting in the State
- 51:47Speaker 2: of the Union, it's going to save the midterms, and
- 51:50Speaker 2: then they got the ad out already, and they got
- 51:52Speaker 2: all the stories about the bullshit ad that's terrible anyway. And, like,
- 51:55Speaker 2: Mike Johnson says that, and we can't make something of that? Yeah, yeah,
- 51:59Speaker 2: I mean... Anyway, we also have a new Washington Post-ABC
- 52:04Speaker 2: News Ipsos poll that found a 14-point enthusiasm gap working
- 52:08Speaker 2: in Democrats' favor for the midterms. 79% of Democrats said
- 52:12Speaker 2: they were certain they would vote in the midterms. Only
- 52:14Speaker 2: 65% of Republicans said the same thing. That said, the
- 52:17Speaker 2: generic ballot in this one is only a two-point Democratic lead.
- 52:20Speaker 2: Didn't love that part. But what do you think is
- 52:22Speaker 2: going on here? Or do I have to wait till
- 52:24Speaker 2: the next episode of Polar Coaster? Because I am a subscriber,
- 52:27Speaker 2: which you can be too, at crooked.com slash friends.
- 52:29Speaker 1: Actually, John, I hate to do this to you, but
- 52:30Speaker 1: you have to wait till the next message box to
- 52:33Speaker 1: come out, which you can be a subscriber to at crooked.com
- 52:35Speaker 1: slash yes, we did.
- 52:37Speaker 5: There we go.
- 52:37Speaker 2: Look, I think.
- 52:38Speaker 1: I'm not worried about the generic ballot in here. The
- 52:40Speaker 1: generic ballot average is about six or seven, depending on
- 52:42Speaker 1: which site you look at. But this is a– the
- 52:46Speaker 1: Post reveals what is obvious in the electoral data we've
- 52:50Speaker 1: seen so far this year. Democrats are incredibly fired up.
- 52:53Speaker 1: Republicans are depressed. And swing voters are looking for Democrats.
- 52:57Speaker 1: That is what we saw in that special election in Texas.
- 53:00Speaker 1: And if you don't want to believe a Post-ABC Ifsos poll,
- 53:04Speaker 1: just look at what's happening in Texas right now in
- 53:06Speaker 1: the early vote. So there's a day or two left
- 53:08Speaker 1: in early voting. As of Wednesday night, in the Democratic primary,
- 53:16Speaker 1: early votes cast are 163% of what they were in
- 53:19Speaker 1: the 2022 election, Democratic primary. Now, you may say to yourself,
- 53:23Speaker 1: I don't remember a particularly competitive Democratic election in 2022
- 53:26Speaker 1: in Texas. I don't either. But here's what I will
- 53:29Speaker 1: tell you. There is an incredibly contested Republican primary happening
- 53:32Speaker 1: right now, which has had tens of millions of dollars
- 53:35Speaker 1: spent in the air. I think there's been There might
- 53:36Speaker 1: have been $ 100 million spent in that race already. And
- 53:40Speaker 1: Democrats have cast– in Texas, a state Donald Trump won
- 53:43Speaker 1: by almost 14 points. Democrats have cast 140,000 more early
- 53:47Speaker 1: votes than Republicans.
- 53:48Speaker 5: As of Wednesday.
- 53:50Speaker 2: Do you think some of that is just behavior, like
- 53:53Speaker 2: Democrats vote early and Republicans don't though?
- 53:56Speaker 1: Maybe, but the Republicans are also trailing their pace from–
- 54:00Speaker 1: So you can look at this.
- 54:01Speaker 2: The comparison of 2022 is instructive, right? Right.
- 54:04Speaker 1: So you can compare now to 2022. Democrats are doing well.
- 54:07Speaker 1: The Republicans are not. Or you can compare Democrats to
- 54:09Speaker 1: Republicans right now, and Democrats are doing better. But even
- 54:11Speaker 1: if Democrats do better, it's a state with more Republicans.
- 54:13Speaker 1: So they should be doing better, and they are not.
- 54:15Speaker 1: So Democrats are fired up. Like, we know Republicans are
- 54:18Speaker 1: more same-day voters, all of that. But there is plenty
- 54:20Speaker 1: of evidence that Democrats are very, very fired up, and
- 54:22Speaker 1: that is good news.
- 54:24Speaker 2: Too big to rig. That's what we got to do.
- 54:26Speaker 2: Just got to have more people voting. So it's too
- 54:29Speaker 2: hard to declare national emergency and take the voting machines. Sure.
- 54:34Speaker 1: Yeah, that makes sense.
- 54:37Speaker 5: Oh, that's right.
- 54:38Speaker 1: I forgot you said this. We need the voting machines
- 54:39Speaker 1: to be so full of ballots that little Kash Patel
- 54:42Speaker 1: can't carry them out of the Fulton County.
- 54:44Speaker 2: Yeah, we did say that. Again, I forget what I
- 54:47Speaker 2: say off mic and on.
- 54:49Speaker 7: All right.
- 54:49Speaker 2: Speaking of the midterms, when we come back from the break,
- 54:51Speaker 2: you'll hear Tommy's conversation with Shelly Jackson about why we
- 54:53Speaker 2: need to feel the Democrat in every down ballot race,
- 54:56Speaker 2: especially in states like Arizona. where we need to build
- 54:59Speaker 2: more electoral power. We'll be right back.
- 55:12Speaker 5: My guest today is doing absolutely essential work in Arizona,
- 55:15Speaker 5: recruiting and supporting candidates for office. Shelly Jackson, welcome to
- 55:19Speaker 5: Pod Save America.
- 55:20Speaker 4: Thank you so much for having me. I'm so grateful
- 55:22Speaker 4: to be here.
- 55:23Speaker 5: We are grateful to you for the work you're doing.
- 55:25Speaker 5: So you We have a lot to talk about. You
- 55:27Speaker 5: ran for school board and you flipped a seat when
- 55:29Speaker 5: you were 24. We need more people like you. Now
- 55:31Speaker 5: you run an organization called Instituto, which is doing recruiting, training,
- 55:35Speaker 5: ongoing support for people who want to run for office
- 55:38Speaker 5: or who organize around really important issues. Instituto is also
- 55:41Speaker 5: a key partner, I should say, for our friends over
- 55:43Speaker 5: at Vote Save America, who launched this first of its
- 55:46Speaker 5: kind candidate recruitment pilot program to get candidates to run
- 55:50Speaker 5: for down ballot races in Arizona, North Carolina, and Texas. Now,
- 55:54Speaker 5: The filing deadlines in Texas and North Carolina have already passed.
- 55:57Speaker 5: But in Arizona, I believe you have until March 23rd
- 56:01Speaker 5: if you want to run for office. So go to votesaveamerica.com
- 56:04Speaker 5: slash run if you want to learn more. Also, I
- 56:07Speaker 5: think the filing deadline has not yet passed in about
- 56:09Speaker 5: half of the country. So if you're listening and you're
- 56:12Speaker 5: inspired to take the plunge, check out your deadline in
- 56:15Speaker 5: your state. But let's start with Instituto. What are the
- 56:18Speaker 5: gaps that you guys are filling to help candidates run
- 56:20Speaker 5: for office and then, more importantly, to be successful once
- 56:23Speaker 5: they win?
- 56:24Speaker 4: Yeah, I love this question.
- 56:25Speaker 6: And yes, also shout out to the Vote Safe America
- 56:28Speaker 6: team and the Pipeline Fund. It's been so incredible to
- 56:30Speaker 6: have this partnership. Here in Arizona, a lot of the
- 56:34Speaker 6: times when candidates are running for office and probably all
- 56:36Speaker 6: across the country as well, they're doing it with very
- 56:39Speaker 6: little support. They're going in, maybe excited to help their community,
- 56:43Speaker 6: but don't know where to start and end up missing
- 56:45Speaker 6: a lot of gaps along the way. But aside from
- 56:48Speaker 6: like the logistical pieces of running for office, For women,
- 56:52Speaker 6: for people of color, there's also these pieces around funding, right?
- 56:56Speaker 6: Having a support system that are also super essential to
- 56:59Speaker 6: making sure a candidate can win and that they also
- 57:02Speaker 6: have the morale they need to move things along the way.
- 57:05Speaker 6: And so at Institute, though, we do a couple of things.
- 57:08Speaker 6: We help identify candidates. So we are always on the
- 57:10Speaker 6: search and we're always looking to find new people who
- 57:13Speaker 6: want to get involved.
- 57:14Speaker 4: And sometimes just tapping people on the shoulder is needed.
- 57:17Speaker 6: A lot of the times people don't even see themselves
- 57:19Speaker 6: as someone who.
- 57:20Speaker 4: Can make change.
- 57:21Speaker 6: And even for myself, let me tell you, I did
- 57:24Speaker 6: not have on my bingo card that I was going
- 57:26Speaker 6: to run for office. Someone asked me and then they
- 57:28Speaker 6: asked me again and again. And so being able to
- 57:32Speaker 6: have someone actually tap you on the shoulder is super essential.
- 57:35Speaker 6: So that's one of the things that we do is
- 57:36Speaker 6: we just straight up ask people. And then after that,
- 57:39Speaker 6: we are supporting them with trainings. making sure they have
- 57:42Speaker 6: the skills needed to run, making sure that we're also
- 57:44Speaker 6: talking through with them. How are you thinking about your finances?
- 57:48Speaker 6: If you're running for school board, you don't get paid.
- 57:50Speaker 6: If you're running for the state legislator, I believe the
- 57:53Speaker 6: most they make is about.
- 57:55Speaker 4: $ 27, 000. And that's a really hard job, right?
- 57:58Speaker 6: So we have the conversations and we provide the resources
- 58:00Speaker 6: for people to make informed decisions. And then once they
- 58:03Speaker 6: get into office, we also have a co-governance fellowship. And
- 58:07Speaker 6: this really helps support the now elected thinking through what
- 58:12Speaker 6: does it look like to govern? What does it look
- 58:14Speaker 6: like to do this job well? And what does it
- 58:15Speaker 6: look like to do it with community to make sure
- 58:18Speaker 6: that we're also not moving on our own and being
- 58:20Speaker 6: harmful once we get into office?
- 58:22Speaker 5: That's great. I mean, so Turning Point USA is also
- 58:25Speaker 5: based in Arizona. Folks probably heard of it. It's the
- 58:28Speaker 5: organization started by Charlie Kirk. It funds a ton of
- 58:32Speaker 5: grassroots youth activism to bring people into the MAGA movement. Now, obviously,
- 58:36Speaker 5: I disagree completely. politically with them on like everything, but
- 58:40Speaker 5: I am very impressed by the work they have done.
- 58:43Speaker 5: What kind of support do you think Turning Point is
- 58:45Speaker 5: providing on the Republican side that Democrats are missing on
- 58:49Speaker 5: the progressive side?
- 58:51Speaker 4: Ooh, I love this question.
- 58:54Speaker 6: Also cringing at the fact that they started in Arizona.
- 58:59Speaker 4: Don't love that. But you know what?
- 59:02Speaker 6: One thing I think that they are doing that we
- 59:05Speaker 6: can think about more on our side is creating low.
- 59:08Speaker 4: Barriers of entry.
- 59:09Speaker 2: Hmm.
- 59:10Speaker 6: A lot of the times on our side, we start
- 59:12Speaker 6: to do purity tests. We start to create these really
- 59:15Speaker 6: high bars just for people to get involved. And sometimes
- 59:18Speaker 6: we just end up pushing people away instead of inviting
- 59:21Speaker 6: them in. And I do think at Turning Point, They
- 59:24Speaker 6: are on campuses. They are all over. And they're welcoming
- 59:28Speaker 6: any and everyone. And then once they get into the door,
- 59:30Speaker 6: I think they push them. I think they share this
- 59:34Speaker 6: ideology and this narrative that they have. And the more
- 59:38Speaker 6: people are there, the more they start to adopt it.
- 59:40Speaker 6: But I think sometimes on our side, we forget about
- 59:43Speaker 6: that or we expect people to be at a certain
- 59:45Speaker 6: place right away. And that's just not where most people are.
- 59:49Speaker 5: That is such a good point about the barrier to entry.
- 59:51Speaker 5: Because In a lot of ways, the barrier to entry
- 59:53Speaker 5: for a turning point event is like going to a
- 59:55Speaker 5: big event that feels like a party where everyone is
- 59:58Speaker 5: welcome and they bring you in this giant funnel. And
- 1:00:00Speaker 5: then eventually they could try to get you to run
- 1:00:02Speaker 5: for office or be an activist or whatever it might be. Now,
- 1:00:05Speaker 5: Arizona is a really important swing state in like every
- 1:00:08Speaker 5: single election. One would like to think that, you know,
- 1:00:11Speaker 5: National Democrats, the National Democratic Party, maybe big donors are
- 1:00:14Speaker 5: just chucking resources at you guys. Is that happening? Do
- 1:00:18Speaker 5: you hear from like the DNC, Super PACs, anybody?
- 1:00:21Speaker 4: You know what?
- 1:00:22Speaker 6: This year is actually really interesting in Arizona when it
- 1:00:25Speaker 6: comes to the funds, because this will be the first year,
- 1:00:27Speaker 6: I think, in about 14 years that we haven't had.
- 1:00:31Speaker 4: We won't have a Senate race. Right.
- 1:00:33Speaker 6: So for the last few cycles, we've had a really
- 1:00:35Speaker 6: big top of the ticket race that has been helpful
- 1:00:38Speaker 6: to garnering support. We know that when we get big
- 1:00:41Speaker 6: funds like that, it really helps other candidates that are
- 1:00:44Speaker 6: down ballot as well. But this year we don't have
- 1:00:46Speaker 6: a Senate race or anything like that. So I think
- 1:00:48Speaker 6: we are already starting to see some differences. The money
- 1:00:52Speaker 6: is not flowing in the way that it has in
- 1:00:54Speaker 6: the past. I'm still trying to hold out hope that
- 1:00:57Speaker 6: it is coming and it is on its way because,
- 1:00:59Speaker 6: as you know, we have other races that are still
- 1:01:01Speaker 6: important here.
- 1:01:02Speaker 4: In our state.
- 1:01:03Speaker 5: Yeah, absolutely. So back to you. You ran when you
- 1:01:06Speaker 5: were 24. You ran for school board. You flipped a seat.
- 1:01:10Speaker 5: You said you had to be asked and asked and
- 1:01:11Speaker 5: asked again. I mean, what made you want to run
- 1:01:13Speaker 5: for office? And what did you learn from that experience
- 1:01:15Speaker 5: that might inspire or just inform listeners who are thinking
- 1:01:19Speaker 5: about doing the same thing?
- 1:01:20Speaker 4: Yeah. So you know what?
- 1:01:21Speaker 6: I'm someone who never thought I was going to be
- 1:01:23Speaker 6: in politics, in social justice. So I definitely never thought
- 1:01:27Speaker 6: I was going to run for office. So we can
- 1:01:28Speaker 6: just start there. I never saw myself like that. I
- 1:01:32Speaker 6: grew up thinking I was going to be a nurse
- 1:01:34Speaker 6: because my grandma was a nurse. I wanted to be
- 1:01:36Speaker 6: just like her. And I got to my.
- 1:01:39Speaker 4: Senior year of high school and realized that I like
- 1:01:42Speaker 4: taking care of her.
- 1:01:42Speaker 6: I don't think I would actually like taking care of
- 1:01:45Speaker 6: other people.
- 1:01:45Speaker 1: Yeah, that's fair. Yeah.
- 1:01:47Speaker 6: So I was in this crossroads, but I had a
- 1:01:50Speaker 6: dance teacher who was like, look, Shelly, you've danced your
- 1:01:52Speaker 6: entire life. Why don't you become a dance teacher? And
- 1:01:55Speaker 6: I said, Sounds like a plan. So I went to
- 1:01:59Speaker 6: school for.
- 1:01:59Speaker 4: Dance and dance education.
- 1:02:01Speaker 6: And during that time, I actually had the opportunity to
- 1:02:04Speaker 6: teach dance all over Arizona, working with an organization. And
- 1:02:08Speaker 6: that was really eye-opening for me and was my entry
- 1:02:11Speaker 6: point to really critically thinking about systems and resources. And
- 1:02:16Speaker 6: I started to wonder why when I'm in Scottsdale or
- 1:02:19Speaker 6: when I'm in Chandler, these students get X, Y, and Z.
- 1:02:22Speaker 6: But when I'm on the South side in the neighborhood
- 1:02:24Speaker 6: I grew up in, We actually don't have as much
- 1:02:26Speaker 6: as many accesses to after school programs or the arts
- 1:02:29Speaker 6: or these other essential pieces that I was seeing in
- 1:02:32Speaker 6: other places. And so that had already kind of like
- 1:02:35Speaker 6: opened up my mind. And that's how I started to
- 1:02:38Speaker 6: get into organizing. I was really lucky that a former
- 1:02:41Speaker 6: teacher of mine at the time was now a state representative.
- 1:02:44Speaker 6: And he had posted on Facebook one day. I'm looking
- 1:02:46Speaker 6: for young black organizers to get involved. And I was like,
- 1:02:49Speaker 6: I don't know what that means, but I'm there. And
- 1:02:51Speaker 6: I started organizing on all the things. And so to
- 1:02:55Speaker 6: fast forward, 2020 comes around.
- 1:02:59Speaker 4: It's the pandemic.
- 1:03:01Speaker 6: Candidates all over are struggling to get on the ballot, right?
- 1:03:04Speaker 6: Because in order to get on the ballot, you have
- 1:03:06Speaker 6: to get signatures. A lot of the times people get
- 1:03:08Speaker 6: signatures by standing outside of a grocery store, right?
- 1:03:11Speaker 4: Asking, can you sign this thing? Or knocking on someone's door.
- 1:03:15Speaker 6: But people didn't have the ability to do that because
- 1:03:18Speaker 6: everyone was staying inside. So then we end up getting
- 1:03:21Speaker 6: to a place in my district in Roosevelt where we
- 1:03:24Speaker 6: had three open seats, but only one person had actually
- 1:03:27Speaker 6: made it on the ballot, which was just wild. So
- 1:03:30Speaker 6: in that situation, people can now start to run as
- 1:03:34Speaker 6: a write-in. And I didn't think anything of it. I
- 1:03:37Speaker 6: was watching what was happening and I was hoping for
- 1:03:40Speaker 6: the best. But what ended up happening was MAGA folks
- 1:03:43Speaker 6: in our neighborhood said, hey, this is an easy way
- 1:03:46Speaker 6: for us to be on this district. So they started
- 1:03:48Speaker 6: running as writing candidates. And at the time, they were
- 1:03:51Speaker 6: the only ones. So we were going to end up
- 1:03:53Speaker 6: in a place where we now had a majority MAGA district.
- 1:03:56Speaker 6: And people started calling me. And I was ignoring their
- 1:04:00Speaker 6: calls because I had a feeling. I had a feeling
- 1:04:02Speaker 6: what they were going to ask. And then I started
- 1:04:04Speaker 6: to answer. And folks kept saying, hey, we're in this moment.
- 1:04:08Speaker 4: We need you.
- 1:04:09Speaker 6: You're from here. You taught in the district, right? You
- 1:04:11Speaker 6: have an education background.
- 1:04:13Speaker 4: And I said no. And I said no for a
- 1:04:15Speaker 4: couple of weeks.
- 1:04:16Speaker 6: And it really got to a point where I was like,
- 1:04:20Speaker 6: am I going to be okay with whatever happens if
- 1:04:23Speaker 6: I'm not there? Am I going to be okay with
- 1:04:27Speaker 6: students missing out on more resources? Am I going to
- 1:04:30Speaker 6: be okay with this ideology being pushed that's also going
- 1:04:33Speaker 6: to show our black and brown students that they don't
- 1:04:34Speaker 6: belong in their own neighborhoods? And then I said, no,
- 1:04:37Speaker 6: I'm not okay with that. And I finally ended up
- 1:04:39Speaker 6: saying yes. So I'm really grateful that people kept pushing me.
- 1:04:43Speaker 6: And we were able to do really great things. Two
- 1:04:46Speaker 6: years in, I became the board president. So I spent
- 1:04:48Speaker 6: my last two years actually leading the district and working
- 1:04:51Speaker 6: on the ground with really great people. But it was
- 1:04:54Speaker 6: hard to see myself in that position because I had
- 1:04:57Speaker 6: never thought of it for myself. To your point, I
- 1:04:59Speaker 6: was also 24 years old. And I did hear a
- 1:05:02Speaker 6: lot of rhetoric around well, young people can't do this, right?
- 1:05:05Speaker 6: Or we need more qualified people. But I'm lucky that
- 1:05:08Speaker 6: I had finally got to a place of, no, me
- 1:05:11Speaker 6: being young is exactly why I am qualified, right?
- 1:05:15Speaker 4: These are actually things that make me ready. They're not
- 1:05:19Speaker 4: barriers to doing the work.
- 1:05:21Speaker 5: That's an amazing story. I mean, yeah, I'm sure you've
- 1:05:23Speaker 5: noticed that a lot of the elected Democrats are super old.
- 1:05:26Speaker 5: A lot of them pay lip service to the idea
- 1:05:28Speaker 5: of this next generation of leaders, but it's not clear
- 1:05:30Speaker 5: they're doing much about it. What kind of things do
- 1:05:32Speaker 5: you think are keeping young people from running? And like,
- 1:05:35Speaker 5: what do they need to get over those hurdles and
- 1:05:38Speaker 5: take the plunge like you did?
- 1:05:39Speaker 4: Yeah, you know what?
- 1:05:40Speaker 6: I think that a lot of it is apathy. I
- 1:05:43Speaker 6: think if you're a young person and you're looking at
- 1:05:44Speaker 6: what's happening, you're kind of like, well, this is just
- 1:05:47Speaker 6: how things are. And this is how things have been
- 1:05:50Speaker 6: in a really long time. And so that may be
- 1:05:53Speaker 6: a reason why folks don't even want to get involved,
- 1:05:55Speaker 6: let alone running for office. I think something that young
- 1:06:00Speaker 6: folks should remember is that if we see things as
- 1:06:03Speaker 6: they are as not.
- 1:06:04Speaker 4: Working, it's because we're not at the table.
- 1:06:07Speaker 6: Because the people who have been in office are the
- 1:06:10Speaker 6: ones continuing to make the rules. And the conditions show
- 1:06:14Speaker 6: that it's not changing material conditions for everyday people. The
- 1:06:17Speaker 6: conditions show that cost of living continues to rise and
- 1:06:21Speaker 6: that they need fresh voices, fresh people who are ready
- 1:06:25Speaker 6: to provide a different perspective and like really shake things up.
- 1:06:28Speaker 6: What I hope is that young people start to see
- 1:06:31Speaker 6: their apathy as like a superpower. I don't think apathy
- 1:06:34Speaker 6: actually has to mean we do nothing, right? I don't
- 1:06:37Speaker 6: think apathy means that we kind of just sit and
- 1:06:40Speaker 6: watch things go. I think it's, actually a nudge towards like,
- 1:06:44Speaker 6: I'm not feeling it. And in order to be able
- 1:06:47Speaker 6: to have a different outcome, I actually have to do
- 1:06:50Speaker 6: something and investigate what is that something?
- 1:06:52Speaker 4: Is it running for office?
- 1:06:53Speaker 6: Is it organizing? You know, is it joining a protest?
- 1:06:57Speaker 5: That's great. I love it. Last question for you. So,
- 1:07:00Speaker 5: you know, you've done all this work sort of finding
- 1:07:02Speaker 5: these candidates, recruiting them, training them, helping them succeed when
- 1:07:05Speaker 5: they get there. Are there any like stories or people
- 1:07:07Speaker 5: you've met that really inspired you or that, you know,
- 1:07:09Speaker 5: I don't know, maybe open your eyes that like, about
- 1:07:12Speaker 5: how different someone could be for running or like how,
- 1:07:15Speaker 5: just like the range of places people are coming from
- 1:07:17Speaker 5: to run for office because of your organization.
- 1:07:19Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 1:07:20Speaker 6: So many amazing people that are coming up. One person
- 1:07:23Speaker 6: that I want to highlight that's not from this season,
- 1:07:26Speaker 6: if you will, but has just won a city council seat.
- 1:07:29Speaker 4: Her name is Ana Hernandez.
- 1:07:30Speaker 5: I love it. This season, this season on running for office.
- 1:07:33Speaker 3: Exactly.
- 1:07:34Speaker 4: Exactly. Um, I think a lot about Ana Hernandez.
- 1:07:38Speaker 6: Uh, she is someone who first ran, um, for a
- 1:07:41Speaker 6: state Senate seat in a very democratic district, but she
- 1:07:45Speaker 6: had an incumbent who had been there for a really
- 1:07:47Speaker 6: long time, but he was very status quo. He wasn't
- 1:07:50Speaker 6: getting things done. He wasn't holding the line on different issues.
- 1:07:53Speaker 6: And she came in and everyone said that she had
- 1:07:56Speaker 6: no chance of winning and.
- 1:07:57Speaker 4: She won and she won by a lot.
- 1:07:59Speaker 6: And while she was there, she led the charge against
- 1:08:02Speaker 6: the abortion fight that we were having in the state
- 1:08:04Speaker 6: of Arizona and was able to make a ton of
- 1:08:07Speaker 6: different change. And now she's at the city council fighting
- 1:08:10Speaker 6: And she is someone who is loud. She's like super authentic.
- 1:08:14Speaker 6: She brings her family everywhere. And I think it is
- 1:08:17Speaker 6: just so beautiful to see. And I think so against
- 1:08:20Speaker 6: status quo. So I mentioned her a lot, but someone
- 1:08:23Speaker 6: I actually want to highlight who's from the VSA program.
- 1:08:26Speaker 4: She came through the pipeline. She heard you all on
- 1:08:29Speaker 4: the podcast and she said, Oh, I'm interested. Her name
- 1:08:32Speaker 4: is Caitlin.
- 1:08:33Speaker 6: And she is from New York, now living in Arizona
- 1:08:36Speaker 6: and has an education background and was watching what we're
- 1:08:39Speaker 6: seeing across the country on authoritarianism and the attacks on democracy,
- 1:08:44Speaker 6: heard the podcast and was like, well, maybe I can
- 1:08:46Speaker 6: do something about it.
- 1:08:48Speaker 4: She reached out to our team.
- 1:08:49Speaker 6: We had several conversations with her and she shared with
- 1:08:52Speaker 6: us more about the district she was living in. She's
- 1:08:56Speaker 6: in a school district where they have appointed a lot
- 1:08:59Speaker 6: of seats. So that's a fun fact, right? People don't
- 1:09:01Speaker 6: know that when there's not a seat, like let's say
- 1:09:04Speaker 6: a seat goes uncontested or someone steps down from the seat,
- 1:09:08Speaker 6: then someone else appoints that seat. And Arizona, specifically in
- 1:09:12Speaker 6: Maricopa County, we have a county superintendent.
- 1:09:15Speaker 4: Her name is Shelly Boggs. I don't claim her, A
- 1:09:18Speaker 4: different Shelly. It's spelled with an I. Okay.
- 1:09:21Speaker 2: Not a fan.
- 1:09:21Speaker 5: Not a fan.
- 1:09:22Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 1:09:22Speaker 4: Mine is spelled with an EY.
- 1:09:24Speaker 6: But Shelly Boggs has been appointing MAGA folks to school
- 1:09:28Speaker 6: boards all across the state. And so now she's in
- 1:09:30Speaker 6: a district that's actually very blue, but a good chunk
- 1:09:33Speaker 6: of her school board members representing her are MAGA red.
- 1:09:37Speaker 6: And so once she heard the podcast and talked to us,
- 1:09:39Speaker 6: she actually decided, yeah, I can do this and I
- 1:09:41Speaker 6: can change my district and I can put students first.
- 1:09:44Speaker 6: And now she's running for office and we're really excited
- 1:09:46Speaker 6: about her.
- 1:09:47Speaker 5: God, I love that story. That is such a great story.
- 1:09:49Speaker 5: And your point about them appointing people to these seats
- 1:09:53Speaker 5: if no one runs is why we have to run
- 1:09:55Speaker 5: people everywhere in every election all the time, especially this
- 1:09:58Speaker 5: year when, fingers crossed, things might go well. So again,
- 1:10:01Speaker 5: if you're in Arizona, you still have until March 23rd.
- 1:10:04Speaker 5: If you want to register, go to votesaveamerica.com slash run. Shelley,
- 1:10:09Speaker 5: where can people learn more about Instituto or Chippin to
- 1:10:11Speaker 5: help you guys out?
- 1:10:12Speaker 4: Oh, that's a great question.
- 1:10:13Speaker 6: So folks can go to instituto.io to both donate and
- 1:10:18Speaker 6: learn more about our trainings. Everything is on that website.
- 1:10:21Speaker 6: And from there, let's talk. Let's figure out how we
- 1:10:23Speaker 6: can get you running and support you along the way.
- 1:10:26Speaker 5: Well, Shelly, thank you for the work you're doing. Thanks
- 1:10:27Speaker 5: for doing the show. And I hope to talk to
- 1:10:29Speaker 5: you again soon.
- 1:10:30Speaker 4: Thank you so much. I appreciate it.
- 1:10:37Speaker 2: That's our show for today. Thanks to Shelly Jackson for
- 1:10:39Speaker 2: coming on. If you're interested in running in Arizona... Head
- 1:10:42Speaker 2: to votesaveamerica.com slash run to get more info. I'll be
- 1:10:46Speaker 2: back in the feed on Sunday with a conversation with
- 1:10:48Speaker 2: Maine Senate candidate Graham Plattner.
- 1:10:50Speaker 5: Bye, everyone.
- 1:10:52Speaker 2: If you want to listen to Pod Save America ad-free
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