Latest / Balance of Power / Trump Farm Aid Raises Midterm Doubts; Romania Says Russia Escalating War in Ukraine
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- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios.
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- 0:25Speaker 5: Fascinating headline just crossing the terminal. Traders are no longer
- 0:28Speaker 5: fully pricing in a Fed rate hike. this year, pull
- 0:32Speaker 5: up the WIRP function on your Bloomberg terminal world interest
- 0:35Speaker 5: rate probability. And it would tell you the probability of
- 0:37Speaker 5: an interest rate in October is basically zero.
- 0:39Speaker 6: Hmm.
- 0:41Speaker 5: The probability of an interest rate hike in December now
- 0:44Speaker 5: only at 66 percent. The market's only pricing in about
- 0:47Speaker 5: 71 basis points in terms of higher rates. Joe, fascinating
- 0:51Speaker 5: to see that, though, on a day when oil prices
- 0:53Speaker 5: are once again on the march higher. We know the
- 0:55Speaker 5: Fed likes to look through as much as it can
- 0:58Speaker 5: energy shocks. But if these higher prices and diesel prices
- 1:01Speaker 5: in particular continue to filter through the rest of the economy,
- 1:04Speaker 5: it could create problems. Bit of an inflationary challenge.
- 1:06Speaker 2: A little scary to see Brent back to 112 today.
- 1:10Speaker 2: And WTI is starting to kick higher again. It is
- 1:12Speaker 2: now up over 2% and above $ 99 a barrel. We
- 1:16Speaker 2: could have triple-digit oil on both sides of the Atlantic
- 1:19Speaker 2: here by the end of the day. Interestingly, oil stocks
- 1:22Speaker 2: are not well. The XLE is down over 1%. You're
- 1:25Speaker 2: looking at the likes of Exxon and the rest heading
- 1:28Speaker 2: lower here in this interest rate scenario is really something.
- 1:31Speaker 2: How things have changed. in the throes of an earnings
- 1:34Speaker 2: reporting season and a market with a lot of volatility
- 1:36Speaker 2: and 12 days out from an election. You see John
- 1:38Speaker 2: author's column this morning, recalling the midterms in 2018, the
- 1:43Speaker 2: Christmas Eve massacre that followed with a change in majority
- 1:47Speaker 2: and traders are in potentially for some bumps in the
- 1:50Speaker 2: next couple of weeks.
- 1:51Speaker 5: Yeah, I think the prevailing wisdom in financial markets is
- 1:53Speaker 5: that divided government can be a good thing. The question,
- 1:57Speaker 5: of course, is going to be just how divided government
- 1:59Speaker 5: will be when the ballots are counted after 12 days
- 2:03Speaker 5: from now. The president, of course, is doing his very
- 2:05Speaker 5: best to make sure that he has a united Republican
- 2:07Speaker 5: government still behind him as he continues his tour in
- 2:09Speaker 5: support of Republican candidates.
- 2:11Speaker 1: Today, he goes to Iowa.
- 2:12Speaker 7: Yep, it's on to Iowa. And W-I-R-P, go, right?
- 2:15Speaker 2: Everyone wishes they could get a terminal lesson from Kayleigh Lyons.
- 2:19Speaker 2: I get one on a daily basis just by sitting here.
- 2:21Speaker 2: Let's go to the White House. Bloomberg White House correspondent
- 2:24Speaker 2: Josh Wingrove is standing by as the president gets ready
- 2:26Speaker 2: for the flight to Sioux City. And Josh, it's interesting
- 2:30Speaker 2: that he'll be back in Iowa knowing that the farmer's
- 2:33Speaker 2: as we were discussing a bit earlier, are very concerned.
- 2:36Speaker 7: This is a new poll.
- 2:37Speaker 2: The April Farm Journal survey, nearly 40% of farmers considering
- 2:42Speaker 2: voting for Democrats because of all the reasons that we
- 2:45Speaker 2: just outlined. Can the president message to them this evening?
- 2:50Speaker 8: I think he's going to try to. He has been
- 2:52Speaker 8: in past... The rallies here, Joe, saying basically things will
- 2:56Speaker 8: cool down after the election in terms of energy prices.
- 2:59Speaker 8: It's just not clear that there is a lot of
- 3:01Speaker 8: evidence to support that. And part of the problem is
- 3:03Speaker 8: that in some states, these farmers don't have to vote Democrat.
- 3:07Speaker 8: They can, of course, go home or just stay home.
- 3:09Speaker 8: But there are a lot of states where there are
- 3:12Speaker 8: third party candidates running, including in Texas, where there's a
- 3:15Speaker 8: libertarian running in the Senate race. Nebraska, where the vice
- 3:18Speaker 8: president is, has an independent candidate running effectively as a Democrat,
- 3:21Speaker 8: but still isn't independent. Other races have Libertarians, too, that
- 3:25Speaker 8: could squeeze away some of those votes. And so as
- 3:27Speaker 8: we've seen states where some gubernatorial races are splitting from
- 3:31Speaker 8: the Senate races with one party leading in one and
- 3:34Speaker 8: the other, the question has kind of been, will those
- 3:36Speaker 8: kind of collapse in on each other and get a
- 3:38Speaker 8: little narrower? Because as a general rule, American voters have
- 3:42Speaker 8: been moving away from the notion of splitting their ticket.
- 3:44Speaker 8: But this This cycle, it feels like a lot of
- 3:46Speaker 8: them might. In particular, whether it's energy prices or if
- 3:49Speaker 8: they have problems with a particular candidate, certainly in Texas,
- 3:52Speaker 8: the controversies around Attorney General Paxson are fueling questions about
- 3:55Speaker 8: that as well.
- 3:58Speaker 5: Well, speaking of splitting, obviously, Ashley Hinson has been trying
- 4:01Speaker 5: to create a bit of a split or at least
- 4:03Speaker 5: some distance between herself and President Trump. She's done so
- 4:07Speaker 5: in appearances on the debate stage. It'll be interesting to
- 4:09Speaker 5: see how she threads that needle when she's alongside him
- 4:12Speaker 5: in Sioux City today. Josh, it's one thing for Ashley
- 4:15Speaker 5: Hinson to be seen with President Trump. What about if
- 4:18Speaker 5: a Canadian diplomat were to be seen with Ashley Hinson or, frankly,
- 4:21Speaker 5: any other candidate running? in this election cycle. You have
- 4:25Speaker 5: some new reporting on this for us.
- 4:27Speaker 8: They've got to run for the door. Hit the floor.
- 4:29Speaker 9: Get away.
- 4:30Speaker 8: So our reporting is that on Tuesday, Prime Minister Mark
- 4:34Speaker 8: Carney's government issued a new order basically banning any Canadian
- 4:38Speaker 8: diplomat from coming within, you know, 10 feet of anyone
- 4:43Speaker 8: running for office in America. They're not allowed to be
- 4:46Speaker 8: in the same room as them. They're not allowed to
- 4:48Speaker 8: schedule meetings with them. They can meet, if they have to,
- 4:52Speaker 8: with people who are elected officials but aren't running for elections.
- 4:55Speaker 8: In other words, two-thirds of the Senate or whatever, governors,
- 4:58Speaker 8: you know, pick your poison. But in all cases, even
- 5:01Speaker 8: if they're not running, they don't want them taking photos
- 5:03Speaker 8: with it. So the Canadians are calling this a very
- 5:05Speaker 8: risk-averse approach. That's, I think, accurate, putting a mild spin
- 5:11Speaker 8: on it. But I think it just goes to show
- 5:13Speaker 8: right now that the sort of eggshells factor in U.S.-Canada
- 5:17Speaker 8: relations after the collapse of those talks in August. And
- 5:20Speaker 8: the question is, will these talks wrap up again in
- 5:22Speaker 8: the lame duck period? There have been ongoing sort of
- 5:25Speaker 8: simmering allegations from the Americans about that the Canadians were
- 5:29Speaker 8: sort of trying to put their thumb on the scale
- 5:31Speaker 8: in the elections or this or that. And in fact,
- 5:33Speaker 8: this week, a day after this edict went out, the
- 5:37Speaker 8: American ambassador in Ottawa put out a list of grievances.
- 5:39Speaker 8: It was pretty thin gruel, but, you know, sort of
- 5:43Speaker 8: illustrating that they were keeping their eye on things. And so...
- 5:46Speaker 8: The Canadians, of course, or at least a lot of
- 5:47Speaker 8: people back in Canada would say, hey, the president is
- 5:49Speaker 8: talking about 51st statehood and leaning on Canada all the time.
- 5:52Speaker 8: Basically got Carney elected in the first place. What, you know,
- 5:55Speaker 8: if you want to talk election interference, then let's talk.
- 5:57Speaker 8: But what Carney is doing, I think, is trying to
- 5:59Speaker 8: just basically leave no room for misinterpretation, leave no room
- 6:03Speaker 8: for error. And that's what this is about. But I
- 6:04Speaker 8: do think we're going to see the potential for those
- 6:07Speaker 8: talks to restart because, of course, remember, the president has
- 6:09Speaker 8: threatened a new round of tariffs on Canada come January 1st.
- 6:13Speaker 8: And so in that lame duck congressional period, these talks
- 6:15Speaker 8: will be ongoing. And we'll see if the Canadian diplomats
- 6:18Speaker 8: take a similarly wide berth during that period as well.
- 6:23Speaker 5: All right, Josh Wingrove, great reporting from the White House
- 6:26Speaker 5: North Lawn today, Josh. Thank you so much. Of course,
- 6:29Speaker 5: trade with Canada and with China gets back to one
- 6:31Speaker 5: of the root of the issues that farmers are dealing with.
- 6:34Speaker 5: It's not just about higher costs, but about their ability
- 6:37Speaker 5: to sell crops into other markets as well in a
- 6:39Speaker 5: trade war situation. on a number of fronts, has been
- 6:41Speaker 5: disruptive to that, which is maybe one of the reasons
- 6:44Speaker 5: why President Trump is promising more aid to come to
- 6:48Speaker 5: the farm community. He might say the same on stage
- 6:51Speaker 5: in Iowa this evening, but he also announced it in
- 6:54Speaker 5: Kansas earlier this week.
- 6:56Speaker 10: The Department of Agriculture. We'll be launching a new harvest
- 7:01Speaker 10: fuel relief program, providing our farmers with $ 8 billion in
- 7:06Speaker 10: support to offset diesel costs during this harvest season. And
- 7:11Speaker 10: Roger Marshall is the leader who fought for that to happen.
- 7:16Speaker 10: When the Republicans win, we will pass even more funding
- 7:19Speaker 10: for our farmers.
- 7:20Speaker 9: We love our farmers.
- 7:23Speaker 5: So let's get into this now. with our political panel.
- 7:26Speaker 5: John Seaton is back with us, Republican strategist and founder
- 7:29Speaker 5: and CEO of Echo Canyon Consulting, alongside Democratic strategist Hannah Moldavin,
- 7:34Speaker 5: Vice President of Political Communications at Fortius Global. Welcome to
- 7:38Speaker 5: you both. John, I'll begin with you. He already announced
- 7:41Speaker 5: the farmer's aid on Monday. Does he need to come
- 7:44Speaker 5: with more in hand to Iowa this evening?
- 7:46Speaker 1: I don't know more in hand.
- 7:48Speaker 11: I mean, I think that it's a strong kind of
- 7:50Speaker 11: closing argument. It's obviously extremely important to appeal to ag
- 7:55Speaker 11: voters and farmers as we head into the final stretch here.
- 7:58Speaker 11: They've been hit very hard by rising fuel prices. I
- 8:01Speaker 11: do think that they are still culturally very much with
- 8:04Speaker 11: the president. And in polling, I've seen folks who voted
- 8:07Speaker 11: with the president in 2000 and 2004 are sticking with
- 8:11Speaker 11: him still. But it's very important for him to turn
- 8:14Speaker 11: out every last Republican vote, which is kind of explains
- 8:16Speaker 11: his travel.
- 8:16Speaker 7: Over the last 12 days.
- 8:19Speaker 2: What's the Democratic answer to this messaging when you're actually
- 8:23Speaker 2: in farm country, when you're surrounded by John Deere vehicles
- 8:27Speaker 2: that are fueled by diesel and you're at the tail
- 8:31Speaker 2: end of harvest here? What is the message to voters
- 8:36Speaker 2: and can you promise to fix it?
- 8:38Speaker 12: Well, the message to voters is too little too late
- 8:41Speaker 12: for Donald Trump to fix this. I think that this
- 8:44Speaker 12: band-aid approach, which is what we're hearing some of these
- 8:47Speaker 12: farmers say that this money that Donald Trump promised in
- 8:50Speaker 12: Kansas was, is not enough. And I think that no
- 8:55Speaker 12: farmer wants to be given just money. They want the
- 8:59Speaker 12: structural issues that allow them to do good work and
- 9:03Speaker 12: sell their produce and to be in place. And so
- 9:06Speaker 12: it's more than just giving money to put a Band-Aid
- 9:08Speaker 12: on the situation. It's how are we going to solve this?
- 9:11Speaker 12: And I think where Republicans have hurt now is credibility.
- 9:14Speaker 12: So Donald Trump said he would do these things, but
- 9:16Speaker 12: now we're talking about tariffs with Canada, China, Kayla, you mentioned,
- 9:21Speaker 12: with the soybean farmers specifically. There's fertilizer that is an
- 9:25Speaker 12: issue here. The Farm Bill hasn't been reauthorized in a
- 9:28Speaker 12: long time. So there are more issues than just throwing
- 9:31Speaker 12: money at the problem. I do agree with John that
- 9:33Speaker 12: farmers are a solid voting block for Republicans. So the
- 9:36Speaker 12: question is, are those folks going to stay home? Are
- 9:39Speaker 12: they going to look at the really good candidates I
- 9:41Speaker 12: think that Democrats have put up in places like Iowa?
- 9:45Speaker 12: So obviously Rob Sand, who's running for governor, I think
- 9:47Speaker 12: he'll take that. He's doing really well. And then Josh Turek,
- 9:50Speaker 12: who's running for Senate, an incredible candidate as well, who
- 9:53Speaker 12: provides a different answer than what Republicans have been and
- 9:58Speaker 12: I think show that they're good candidates for Iowa as well,
- 10:00Speaker 12: talking about lowering costs, talking about helping farmers in a
- 10:04Speaker 12: more structural way than just throwing money at them.
- 10:08Speaker 5: Obviously, as we're talking about farmers being a reliable Republican
- 10:11Speaker 5: voting bloc and Iowa being a reliably red state, John,
- 10:14Speaker 5: it actually did vote for a Democrat in the not
- 10:17Speaker 5: so distant past. I mean, this was a state that
- 10:19Speaker 5: voted for Obama two times. And I wonder if you
- 10:22Speaker 5: still think that Iowa exists. How red is it really?
- 10:28Speaker 11: What I know about Iowa and Quite possibly, like Hannah,
- 10:30Speaker 11: I've had the opportunity as an operative to spend quite
- 10:32Speaker 11: a bit of time there during presidential years. These are
- 10:36Speaker 11: professional voters. These are very, very discerning voters. They really
- 10:39Speaker 11: do their homework. They really want to hear from the candidates.
- 10:43Speaker 11: They really want to make sure that they're making the
- 10:45Speaker 11: right decision, not just for themselves and their families, but
- 10:47Speaker 11: also for the country. And so I do think that,
- 10:50Speaker 11: you know, the president is going to have a very
- 10:51Speaker 11: receptive audience in northwest Iowa. Sioux City is exceptionally red.
- 10:55Speaker 11: And I think that he's going to, you know, have
- 10:58Speaker 11: an adoring crowd there. But I do think that, yeah,
- 11:00Speaker 11: Iowa is not reliable for anybody because I think that
- 11:03Speaker 11: Iowa voters kind of by their very nature are skeptical.
- 11:07Speaker 1: They want to have their questions answered.
- 11:10Speaker 11: They have trended very conservative as of late, and I
- 11:12Speaker 11: do expect, while the governor's race does look like it's
- 11:14Speaker 11: favoring the Democrat, the Senate race is certainly a toss-up,
- 11:18Speaker 11: and I think that Congresswoman Hinson is probably marginally favored
- 11:22Speaker 11: in that race.
- 11:24Speaker 2: New York Times went back in time this morning to
- 11:28Speaker 2: find that President Trump has the lowest approval rating for
- 11:31Speaker 2: any president before a midterm since Harry Truman and the
- 11:34Speaker 2: Democrats were routed in 1946. The president tells voters to
- 11:40Speaker 2: pretend he's on the ballot. Does that give all of
- 11:43Speaker 2: the candidates he is trying to stump for in places
- 11:47Speaker 2: like Iowa and South Carolina the same approval rating?
- 11:51Speaker 1: You know, it's tough.
- 11:52Speaker 12: You can't have your cake and eat it too. And
- 11:54Speaker 12: that's what Donald Trump is trying to do. He's trying
- 11:56Speaker 12: to say to his MAGA voters, who historically have come
- 11:59Speaker 12: out for him, but not necessarily during the midterms. During 2018,
- 12:04Speaker 12: Democrats won the midterms during Trump's first term. So he's
- 12:08Speaker 12: trying to get those voters out, those MAGA voters that
- 12:10Speaker 12: really support him. The problem is that when you have
- 12:13Speaker 12: such an unpopular president, Turning people out to support Donald
- 12:17Speaker 12: Trump isn't a good strategy. Midterms are still a referendum
- 12:20Speaker 12: on the president. The economy's not doing really well, right?
- 12:23Speaker 12: We're seeing that inflation is rising the highest it has
- 12:26Speaker 12: in five months. Wages are not keeping pace with that.
- 12:30Speaker 12: So people are really feeling this. And with such a
- 12:32Speaker 12: low approval rating, I don't know if it's the best
- 12:34Speaker 12: strategy to say, pretend I'm on the ballot. Because if
- 12:37Speaker 12: he does, I don't think the result is going to.
- 12:39Speaker 2: Be what Republicans want. You know what the mantra is, though?
- 12:41Speaker 2: I keep hearing Joe Biden's name. at all of these
- 12:43Speaker 2: rallies and in all of these interviews, J.D. Vance and
- 12:46Speaker 2: so forth, Joe Biden is the one Democrats got us here.
- 12:48Speaker 2: It's going to take us a little longer to dig
- 12:51Speaker 2: ourselves out.
- 12:53Speaker 1: Joe Biden isn't on the ballot, right?
- 12:54Speaker 12: He wasn't even on the ballot in 2024. I think
- 12:58Speaker 12: it shows a little bit how desperate Republicans are to
- 13:01Speaker 12: find a scapegoat for the bad economy that they have
- 13:05Speaker 12: right now.
- 13:06Speaker 5: Well, we know that economic issues are front of mind
- 13:08Speaker 5: and for a lot of different voting groups. John, just quickly,
- 13:12Speaker 5: I wonder about the Maha coalition, if you will, because
- 13:15Speaker 5: Politico just reported that Callie Means, a senior advisor to
- 13:18Speaker 5: HHS Secretary RFK Jr., just resigned today over frustrations that
- 13:22Speaker 5: the Maha agenda has stalled inside the administration. I note
- 13:26Speaker 5: that Iowa passed its own Make America Healthy Again Act
- 13:30Speaker 5: that was signed into law by Governor Reynolds earlier this May.
- 13:33Speaker 5: I don't know how big the Maha movement in Iowa is,
- 13:36Speaker 5: but it obviously is a driving force in large pockets
- 13:40Speaker 5: of the country. Does the president and the Republican Party
- 13:43Speaker 5: risk losing that part of the electorate as well?
- 13:47Speaker 11: Look, I think that the Maha movement, just like activists
- 13:50Speaker 11: since time immemorial, are learning that it is a very
- 13:53Speaker 11: different thing to campaign than to govern, and it is very,
- 13:56Speaker 11: very difficult to govern, and you don't always get 100%
- 13:58Speaker 11: of what you want once you're in office. I do
- 14:01Speaker 11: think that this president and this HHS secretary have been
- 14:04Speaker 11: far more responsive to the concerns of the Maha movement
- 14:07Speaker 11: than certainly their Democratic counterparts would have been.
- 14:10Speaker 1: Will it cost them votes? I'm not sure.
- 14:12Speaker 11: I do think, again, that when you look at where
- 14:14Speaker 11: the president is campaigning and how He is kind of
- 14:16Speaker 11: rocket fuel for turnout for Republicans in places like northwest Iowa.
- 14:20Speaker 11: I do think that it is a sound political strategy. But, yeah,
- 14:24Speaker 11: it is very different to campaign on something than actually
- 14:27Speaker 11: when you're expected to deliver, actually get it done. Governing
- 14:30Speaker 11: is hard, and I think that MAHA voters are learning
- 14:33Speaker 11: that kind of in real time.
- 14:36Speaker 2: Nice to spend some time with two operatives who have
- 14:38Speaker 2: been there. Big thanks to John Seaton, Echo Canyon Consulting,
- 14:42Speaker 2: and Hannah Moldaven with Fortius Global, our Democratic strategist. Appreciate
- 14:47Speaker 2: your insights, as always, with just 12 days out. We're
- 14:50Speaker 2: going to have much more ahead as we turn. to geopolitics.
- 14:54Speaker 2: Oil prices on the rise today. Many are looking at
- 14:56Speaker 2: Ukraine and Russia as the reason for that. And of course,
- 14:59Speaker 2: it's more complicated. But we're going to get into this, Kayleigh,
- 15:03Speaker 2: with the president of Romania, the future of NATO, and
- 15:06Speaker 2: the threat from Russia straight ahead.
- 15:08Speaker 7: Stay with us on Balance of Power. We'll have much
- 15:10Speaker 7: more coming up after this.
- 15:15Speaker 4: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch
- 15:18Speaker 4: us live weekdays at noon and 5 p.m. Eastern on
- 15:22Speaker 4: Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app.
- 15:25Speaker 4: You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our
- 15:28Speaker 4: flagship New York station. Just say Alexa, play Bloomberg 1130.
- 15:34Speaker 5: Lots going on indeed, especially when you look at what's
- 15:36Speaker 5: happening in the bond market and what's happening in oil.
- 15:39Speaker 5: As Charlie mentioned, a lot of that, yes, has to
- 15:41Speaker 5: do in terms of energy prices with what's happening in
- 15:44Speaker 5: the Middle East. But President Trump would point the finger
- 15:46Speaker 5: at what's happening between Ukraine and Russia and Ukraine's ongoing strikes.
- 15:51Speaker 5: against Russian refineries, though Russia continues to strike Ukrainian energy
- 15:55Speaker 5: infrastructure as well. President Trump says that is the big
- 15:58Speaker 5: reason why diesel prices are higher, and it is one
- 16:00Speaker 5: of the reasons why he is pressuring Ukraine to reach
- 16:03Speaker 5: a deal with Vladimir Putin. The president's envoy, Steve Witkoff,
- 16:07Speaker 5: of course, met with Putin in St. Petersburg just yesterday,
- 16:10Speaker 5: and he announced that Russia and the U.S. and Ukraine
- 16:12Speaker 5: would be holding trilateral technical talks sometime soon to end
- 16:16Speaker 5: the war. The question is whether those talks will be
- 16:19Speaker 5: fruitful and what the end of the war would look like,
- 16:21Speaker 5: how much of its ambitions Russia is able to achieve
- 16:24Speaker 5: in Ukraine and what that would mean for the rest
- 16:27Speaker 5: of Europe. This is actually something that our colleague Francine
- 16:30Speaker 5: Lacroix spoke about with the German Chancellor Friedrich Merz earlier
- 16:33Speaker 5: this week, the risk he sees Russia posing to Europe
- 16:36Speaker 5: more widely.
- 16:37Speaker 9: Listen.
- 16:38Speaker 13: My biggest concern is is the underestimated Russian impact on
- 16:45Speaker 13: our societies, which has to do with the war in Ukraine.
- 16:50Speaker 13: But this is only a part of the picture. The
- 16:55Speaker 13: big picture is that Russia is on the way to
- 16:57Speaker 13: destabilize the entire political order of our European continent. And
- 17:04Speaker 13: this is obviously underestimated by many people in my country
- 17:10Speaker 13: as well.
- 17:12Speaker 2: That was just days ago. And it's with that thought
- 17:15Speaker 2: that we begin our conversation. with the president of Romania.
- 17:19Speaker 2: Nicușo Dan is joining us live from Bucharest, where he
- 17:22Speaker 2: was once the mayor of that great city.
- 17:25Speaker 7: And Mr.
- 17:25Speaker 2: President, we welcome you to Bloomberg TV and radio. Thank
- 17:28Speaker 2: you for joining us. I wonder if you agree with
- 17:30Speaker 2: Chancellor Mears that Europe is underestimating the threat by Russia.
- 17:35Speaker 9: Yeah, I totally agree with Chancellor Merz. We usually agree
- 17:39Speaker 9: during the European Council. So, yes, we have the Ukrainian war,
- 17:43Speaker 9: the Russian aggression and the collateral damages like drones that
- 17:49Speaker 9: are falling on our territory. But on the other side,
- 17:53Speaker 9: we can see the whole situation.
- 17:56Speaker 1: Hybrid war that.
- 17:57Speaker 9: The Russians are doing for all the European countries, meaning
- 18:01Speaker 9: cyber attacks, sabotages, disinformation. And of course, that affects our societies.
- 18:09Speaker 9: And to be honest, we have not been prepared to
- 18:13Speaker 9: such hybrid war.
- 18:18Speaker 5: Well, let's talk more about preparedness, especially as you mentioned, Mr. President,
- 18:22Speaker 5: the drone incursions that have crossed over your sovereign territory.
- 18:26Speaker 5: I know you've discussed this with NATO over the past
- 18:29Speaker 5: many days, specifically Russia's escalating drone attacks in the Black
- 18:33Speaker 5: Sea off of the coast of your country, as well
- 18:35Speaker 5: as the coast of Bulgaria. What is the strategy to
- 18:39Speaker 5: counter that escalation without risking direct engagement with Russia?
- 18:45Speaker 9: Yes, first of all, so it began to happen one
- 18:51Speaker 9: and a half year ago to have drones on our land,
- 18:54Speaker 9: on the territory. Yes, and we could sort it incidentally. Yes,
- 18:58Speaker 9: there have been attacks to the Ukrainian ports at the
- 19:02Speaker 9: Danube and some of them can arrive to our territory.
- 19:07Speaker 9: But now on the Black Sea, it is not an incident.
- 19:13Speaker 9: In order that a drone hit a ship, the ship
- 19:19Speaker 9: must be targeted because the space is so big. So
- 19:24Speaker 9: what we did one year ago, of course, we have
- 19:30Speaker 9: not been prepared for that kind of event. First of all,
- 19:37Speaker 9: we order inside the European SAFE program, we order a
- 19:41Speaker 9: lot of capabilities. And during that time, we have asked
- 19:45Speaker 9: for our allies to some temporary equipment, some of them
- 19:50Speaker 9: helped us. And we are doing the same. There have
- 19:54Speaker 9: been a NATO meeting last week, and we did the
- 19:58Speaker 9: same again, asking for some temporary capabilities inside the NATO,
- 20:03Speaker 9: and we obtained some support. That's the technical point.
- 20:10Speaker 1: And the big.
- 20:11Speaker 9: Picture is that Russia is trying to escalate this Ukrainian war,
- 20:19Speaker 9: trying to provoke the other European countries. We do not
- 20:22Speaker 9: want to escalate. We want to keep calm and shut
- 20:26Speaker 9: down the drones that arrive to our territory or territorial waters.
- 20:32Speaker 1: Okay.
- 20:33Speaker 7: You wonder how long that can last.
- 20:34Speaker 14: Mr.
- 20:35Speaker 2: President, I'm looking at the numbers provided by your government.
- 20:38Speaker 2: A list of incidents reported in Romania by Russia since
- 20:42Speaker 2: the start of the Ukraine war. Attacks near the border
- 20:45Speaker 2: have totaled 164. You've scrambled aircraft 112 times. Unauthorized access, 54.
- 20:53Speaker 2: Drone shot down, 6. Drone and identified fragments falling, 81.
- 20:58Speaker 2: At what point do these trigger an Article 5 violation?
- 21:04Speaker 9: So in fact, as I said before, the Russians are
- 21:11Speaker 9: trying to escalate to provoke all the European countries. And
- 21:15Speaker 9: we do not, my point of view is that we
- 21:19Speaker 9: do not have to go in this escalation process. So
- 21:24Speaker 9: we had our weekly meetings inside NATO, and more frequently
- 21:29Speaker 9: it is necessary. And we became more equipped in order
- 21:34Speaker 9: to answer to this provocation and stay calm and prepare
- 21:42Speaker 9: better for next month and for next years.
- 21:46Speaker 4: That's my answer.
- 21:48Speaker 9: And continue, of course, supporting Ukraine.
- 21:52Speaker 5: Well, so let's talk more about the support for Ukraine,
- 21:55Speaker 5: because the United States' ongoing support for Ukraine is very
- 21:58Speaker 5: much in question. I'm sure I don't have to tell you, Mr. President,
- 22:02Speaker 5: about the Ukrainian allegations of Starlink service being slowed, of
- 22:05Speaker 5: intelligence sharing being paused, though that has resumed. I'm sure
- 22:09Speaker 5: you've seen some of President Trump's statements recently where he
- 22:12Speaker 5: is pressuring Ukraine to make a deal with Russia. How
- 22:16Speaker 5: much do you fear that a peace deal that Ukraine
- 22:19Speaker 5: has pushed to accept on Russian terms? And what should
- 22:22Speaker 5: Europe's response be?
- 22:25Speaker 9: So first of all, there have been an American support
- 22:29Speaker 9: for Ukraine from the beginning of that war. Secondly, of course,
- 22:36Speaker 9: it is more a European affair than a United States affair.
- 22:42Speaker 8: So it's.
- 22:44Speaker 9: Logically, that financially the European had to support more the
- 22:48Speaker 9: Ukrainian side. On the question of peace, of course, every
- 22:53Speaker 9: one of us wanted to have a peace because it
- 22:58Speaker 9: affects not only the countries in conflict, but also the
- 23:02Speaker 9: region and economically, as you mentioned, the global economy. But
- 23:08Speaker 9: the peace process in Ukraine must involve the Ukrainian people,
- 23:13Speaker 9: of course. So that's our statement.
- 23:17Speaker 2: It's been a large story, of course, in Ukraine involving
- 23:21Speaker 2: recently its access to Starlink service. And there has been
- 23:26Speaker 2: a back and forth here in the United States about
- 23:28Speaker 2: who was responsible, Elon Musk, President Trump or someone inside
- 23:32Speaker 2: the Pentagon. for throttling or in fact shutting off that service.
- 23:38Speaker 2: We understand Romania has an active contract with Starlink, Mr. President,
- 23:43Speaker 2: with a telecommunications authorization and a large subsidiary in Bucharest.
- 23:47Speaker 2: Would you consider renegotiating or ending that contract because of
- 23:52Speaker 2: what happened in Ukraine?
- 23:55Speaker 3: Not at all.
- 23:58Speaker 9: The contract we have is respected from both sides. I
- 24:05Speaker 9: do not have a technical answer of what happened between
- 24:11Speaker 9: the three parties, Ukraine, Elon Musk, and the U.S. administration.
- 24:18Speaker 9: But as regarding Romania, everything is okay.
- 24:23Speaker 5: Well, those three parties are in question. What about a
- 24:26Speaker 5: different three parties? It has been floated that Russia, China,
- 24:30Speaker 5: and the U.S. could all have a trilateral summit in
- 24:34Speaker 5: part to discuss, President Trump says, denuclearization, but the fate
- 24:37Speaker 5: of Ukraine also, I would imagine, would be a factor
- 24:40Speaker 5: in that. Though Russia now says it's open to trilateral talks,
- 24:43Speaker 5: Ukraine included, how important would it be for Ukraine to
- 24:47Speaker 5: be at that negotiating table? Can the fate of Ukraine
- 24:50Speaker 5: be decided without Ukraine's consent?
- 24:55Speaker 9: No, as I said, Ukraine, so as concerned the war
- 25:00Speaker 9: in Ukraine and the end of it, Ukraine must be
- 25:03Speaker 9: part of negotiation. I understand that Ukrainians are ready for,
- 25:08Speaker 9: they said publicly for years, that they are ready to
- 25:13Speaker 9: have a proper negotiation. I do not feel that the Russians,
- 25:20Speaker 9: they really want to have an end of this war
- 25:23Speaker 9: in this very moment.
- 25:27Speaker 7: Do you believe that President Trump does?
- 25:32Speaker 9: I think he does, yes. But the question is, when
- 25:36Speaker 9: you have many parties, they all have to agree. I
- 25:39Speaker 9: don't know how far we are for that moment.
- 25:43Speaker 2: Do you believe that this war can end as long
- 25:45Speaker 2: as Donald Trump is the president of the United States?
- 25:50Speaker 8: Sorry?
- 25:50Speaker 7: Do you believe this war will end?
- 25:55Speaker 2: While the president, while Donald Trump is president of the
- 25:58Speaker 2: United States, can this war end?
- 26:01Speaker 9: I hope, yes, because there are two and a half.
- 26:04Speaker 1: More years, yes.
- 26:05Speaker 9: I hope that the war will end soon. But the
- 26:12Speaker 9: two parties have to agree, and I do not see
- 26:16Speaker 9: Russia in this very moment to like it.
- 26:21Speaker 7: Mr.
- 26:21Speaker 2: President, we appreciate your time today, joining us late from Bucharest,
- 26:25Speaker 2: Dikusha Dhan, live on Bloomberg TV and radio. And a
- 26:30Speaker 2: fascinating conversation, Kayleigh, as we consider the throes that we
- 26:34Speaker 2: have heard recently here in the United States when it
- 26:36Speaker 2: comes to Starlink service, when it comes to sharing of
- 26:38Speaker 2: intelligence and the future trajectory of this war, the President
- 26:41Speaker 2: said would end on day one.
- 26:42Speaker 5: And of course, the president says Russia wants to end it.
- 26:45Speaker 5: The Romanian president just told us he sees Russia trying
- 26:48Speaker 5: to escalate the conflict. We'll stay on this story right here.
- 26:52Speaker 7: Stay with us on Balance of Power. We'll have much
- 26:54Speaker 7: more coming up after this.
- 26:59Speaker 4: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch
- 27:03Speaker 4: us live weekdays at noon and 5 p.m. Eastern on
- 27:06Speaker 4: Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app.
- 27:10Speaker 4: Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts or watch
- 27:13Speaker 4: us live on YouTube.
- 27:16Speaker 7: Stocks set for the worst day since.
- 27:19Speaker 2: July, as traders pour money into bonds, we want to
- 27:22Speaker 2: have a little more on this with Nora Melinda, Bloomberg's
- 27:26Speaker 2: markets correspondent, who is also live at world headquarters in
- 27:30Speaker 2: New York. You see interest rates start to tumble like this, Nora,
- 27:34Speaker 2: and you wonder what's going on. Why are traders so upset,
- 27:38Speaker 2: if nothing more than earnings reporting season?
- 27:41Speaker 15: Well, what a day we're seeing here on Wall Street.
- 27:44Speaker 15: As you mentioned, you're seeing a lot of investors going
- 27:46Speaker 15: toward the bond market. Treasury's really being restored as a
- 27:49Speaker 15: safe haven trade. And, you know, all of this, as
- 27:52Speaker 15: you mentioned, this is in the backdrop of tech earnings,
- 27:56Speaker 15: and they've really landed in a pretty sensitive moment. And
- 27:59Speaker 15: really the main report that a lot of investors are
- 28:01Speaker 15: dissecting is Meta. And what we saw from that report
- 28:04Speaker 15: really is that it was a pretty strong report. We
- 28:06Speaker 15: did see a strong business, but we also did see
- 28:09Speaker 15: its credit risk hitting an all-time high. And then also
- 28:12Speaker 15: the fact that Zuckerberg saying that he intends to spend
- 28:15Speaker 15: even more money, spending more aggressively on artificial intelligence. So
- 28:18Speaker 15: right now in this moment, there's not any questions really
- 28:21Speaker 15: in the market as to whether or not there is
- 28:23Speaker 15: AI demand. We know that there is AI demand, but
- 28:25Speaker 15: the question really is how much these companies are actually
- 28:28Speaker 15: willing to spend, how much they're going to have to
- 28:29Speaker 15: spend to actually get there.
- 28:33Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 28:33Speaker 5: And whether or not there's a bubble in the works,
- 28:35Speaker 5: it was interesting to see John Gray from, Blackstone suggesting
- 28:39Speaker 5: there is not a bubble after Ken Griffin had told
- 28:42Speaker 5: Danny Berger earlier this week that he thought there definitely
- 28:44Speaker 5: was one. That's all what's happening in large part in stocks. Nora,
- 28:48Speaker 5: can I just quickly ask you why we're seeing oil
- 28:50Speaker 5: higher today and yields plummeting? And by plummeting, I mean,
- 28:54Speaker 5: we're down by double digits in terms of basis points,
- 28:57Speaker 5: pretty much across the curve. What's going on?
- 28:59Speaker 15: I mean, what a move we're seeing in the treasury market,
- 29:01Speaker 15: just given the fact that we were seeing yields hitting
- 29:03Speaker 15: multi-decade highs. We've been seeing such a surge when it
- 29:06Speaker 15: comes to yields over the past few weeks. And as
- 29:08Speaker 15: you mentioned, the two-year yield right now currently down about
- 29:11Speaker 15: 16 basis points. We know that tends to be more
- 29:13Speaker 15: policy sensitive when we got the Fed meeting coming up
- 29:16Speaker 15: just around the corner here. But we also do have
- 29:19Speaker 15: an eye on oil because, of course, with all the
- 29:21Speaker 15: geopolitical tensions in focus, we did see that there were
- 29:24Speaker 15: those deadly attacks in Saudi Arabia that really pushing oil higher,
- 29:27Speaker 15: but it seems as though we're seeing the bond market
- 29:30Speaker 15: really disregarding, I should say, what's happening in the oil
- 29:34Speaker 15: market and the surge that we're seeing with Bright Crew
- 29:36Speaker 15: currently sitting at about $ 112 a barrel. And we're seeing
- 29:40Speaker 15: traders looking for any form of safety in this moment.
- 29:43Speaker 15: So maybe it's just those riskier assets right now. If
- 29:45Speaker 15: you look at any risky asset in the market, I'm
- 29:47Speaker 15: also taking a look at Bitcoin, currently lower right now
- 29:50Speaker 15: by about 4%. So all those risky assets, you're seeing
- 29:54Speaker 15: investors not really wanting to put themselves in those spaces.
- 29:57Speaker 15: And they're going to the only place that they know
- 29:59Speaker 15: that they might find some sense of safety. And right now,
- 30:01Speaker 15: that is the bond market, despite all the volatility and
- 30:03Speaker 15: all the angst that we're seeing right now in this market.
- 30:05Speaker 5: All right. The Haven Trade at play today, even despite
- 30:09Speaker 5: higher oil prices. Nora Melinda in New York, thank you
- 30:12Speaker 5: so much. Of course, those higher oil prices are prices
- 30:16Speaker 5: that the president continually contends are going to come down
- 30:18Speaker 5: as soon as the war with Iran is over, though
- 30:21Speaker 5: we hear frequently on this program that something else could
- 30:23Speaker 5: help bring prices down on a long-term, more sustainable basis.
- 30:27Speaker 5: Permitting reform. making it easier to get new energy infrastructure
- 30:31Speaker 5: projects up and running in the United States. We know
- 30:33Speaker 5: this has been an ongoing conversation here in Washington. In fact,
- 30:36Speaker 5: a permitting reform deal was struck just before Congress and
- 30:39Speaker 5: the Senate left town for their election recess. It's an
- 30:42Speaker 5: issue they may take up when the lame duck session begins.
- 30:46Speaker 5: And it's one we've been talking about frequently here on
- 30:48Speaker 5: Balance of Power.
- 30:49Speaker 8: Listen.
- 30:50Speaker 6: We just can't build refineries in this country anymore. We
- 30:52Speaker 6: haven't built one since 1977. So we need to do
- 30:56Speaker 6: more to build more here in the United States. We're
- 30:58Speaker 6: hopeful that we can put enough pressure on the Senate
- 31:01Speaker 6: and the House to come back to pass a permitting
- 31:03Speaker 6: bill before the election. That is one thing that members
- 31:06Speaker 6: of Congress and senators could take home today and say,
- 31:09Speaker 6: I did something about the affordability crisis in this country.
- 31:12Speaker 3: Having too much pipeline capacity here is not good for
- 31:15Speaker 3: the big pipeline company, but it's great for the public.
- 31:18Speaker 3: Industry is speaking with one voice, and it's starting to
- 31:20Speaker 3: become something that's not just a nerdy guy like myself
- 31:24Speaker 3: that's been focused in the energy space, been focused on
- 31:27Speaker 3: the American public starting to really understand what a lack
- 31:31Speaker 3: of infrastructure does to their utility bills.
- 31:33Speaker 1: There's about $ 7.
- 31:34Speaker 12: 9 billion in permitting and basically projects on the sidelines.
- 31:40Speaker 1: It's costing American businesses and corporations out.
- 31:42Speaker 7: There, the transmission lines. It takes... Four years.
- 31:46Speaker 14: If those transmission lines go over state lines, it takes
- 31:48Speaker 14: 10 years. We've never produced more than we are right now.
- 31:51Speaker 14: Oil and natural gas. Yet, despite that, Americans' energy bills
- 31:55Speaker 14: are up over 40%. That's a head-scratcher. How can that happen?
- 31:58Speaker 14: It's because political forces blocked market forces. We need to
- 32:01Speaker 14: get back to building infrastructure. And the solution is going
- 32:04Speaker 14: to Unfortunately, it's going to take some political force to
- 32:06Speaker 14: get us back in line.
- 32:07Speaker 16: This would be, think of the Ezra Klein abundance Democrats
- 32:11Speaker 16: working with Republicans who've long held that we need to
- 32:15Speaker 16: be able to build big things unfettered from environmentalists slowing
- 32:19Speaker 16: down the process. The holdup here is the election. And frankly,
- 32:23Speaker 16: what we've seen since Labor Day in the Senate is
- 32:25Speaker 16: exactly what we will see every post-Labor Day of an
- 32:30Speaker 16: election year.
- 32:33Speaker 5: The voices there of Mike Summers, the American Petroleum Institute president,
- 32:36Speaker 5: Senator Alan Armstrong of Oklahoma, former Congressman Patrick Murphy and
- 32:39Speaker 5: Patrick Henry, who we just heard from, as well as
- 32:42Speaker 5: the CEO of EQT, Toby Rice. And now we add
- 32:45Speaker 5: another voice to the conversation as Emily Dominich joins us.
- 32:48Speaker 5: She is executive director of the Federal Permitting Improvement Steering Council,
- 32:53Speaker 5: and she's here with us. in our Washington, D.C.
- 32:55Speaker 8: Studio.
- 32:55Speaker 5: It's good to see you, Emily. Welcome back.
- 32:57Speaker 1: Great to see you, too.
- 32:58Speaker 5: To Bloomberg TV and radio. We're 12 days away from
- 33:01Speaker 5: the election. I believe we're 18 days away from the
- 33:03Speaker 5: lame duck session beginning. I know you negotiated the last
- 33:06Speaker 5: permitting reform deal. How optimistic are you that one is
- 33:09Speaker 5: there to be had in the lame duck?
- 33:11Speaker 1: I think there's a really good chance.
- 33:13Speaker 17: I give the Senate negotiators a lot of credit for
- 33:15Speaker 17: being willing to put this bill out there and take
- 33:17Speaker 17: criticism from both sides of the aisle and praise from
- 33:20Speaker 17: both sides of the aisle. It takes a lot of
- 33:23Speaker 17: guts to do that, and we're often discouraged from putting
- 33:25Speaker 17: bills out into the open until you're ready to vote
- 33:27Speaker 17: on them. I actually think this lame duck period has
- 33:29Speaker 17: been really positive for the prognosis on permitting reform because
- 33:32Speaker 17: you've seen folks from across the spectrum come out and say, hey,
- 33:35Speaker 17: we really do need to change our laws in order
- 33:38Speaker 17: to make it easier to build in America.
- 33:40Speaker 1: So I I think we've got a good chance.
- 33:41Speaker 17: We are certainly going to see Senate action on this
- 33:43Speaker 17: bill when they come back after the election. And then
- 33:46Speaker 17: it really, the devil's in the details on what the
- 33:48Speaker 17: House can do in that lame duck session. You know,
- 33:51Speaker 17: as a House girl myself, I know how hard it
- 33:52Speaker 17: can be.
- 33:52Speaker 7: Well, I hope you're impressed with how much we've embraced
- 33:56Speaker 7: this story.
- 33:57Speaker 2: As you can see, we've been talking about this for weeks.
- 33:59Speaker 7: I love it.
- 33:59Speaker 2: Going well back into the session because it's incredibly important
- 34:02Speaker 2: to our listeners and viewers. And you have experience when
- 34:05Speaker 2: it comes to negotiating permitting reform. As we look back
- 34:09Speaker 2: to the National Environmental Policy Act in 2023, that did
- 34:12Speaker 2: become law.
- 34:13Speaker 7: What are we about to endure?
- 34:15Speaker 2: What's the story that Kaylee and I will be telling
- 34:16Speaker 2: when it does go to the House and we have
- 34:18Speaker 2: two chambers knocking their heads together on this?
- 34:20Speaker 17: Yeah, so I was a part of the Fiscal Responsibility
- 34:23Speaker 17: Act reforms, which are the first ones in almost 50 years.
- 34:26Speaker 1: So it's not a law we change often.
- 34:29Speaker 17: And I think the big question mark here is, are
- 34:32Speaker 17: we going to be able to hold together a deal
- 34:34Speaker 17: that really– gets to the core issues that are important
- 34:37Speaker 17: to both sides. So for the White House and for
- 34:39Speaker 17: the administration, that's really reforms to judicial review. So how
- 34:43Speaker 17: do we stop frivolous lawsuits from taking down projects? And
- 34:45Speaker 17: how do we reform the Clean Water Act so we
- 34:47Speaker 17: don't have a system where states can really veto any project?
- 34:50Speaker 17: Those things have to stay in this bill. In order
- 34:52Speaker 17: for it to get to a place where it gets
- 34:53Speaker 17: to the president's desk and he's ready to sign it,
- 34:55Speaker 17: we can't really move on those issues. But we have
- 34:57Speaker 17: to be able to say, hey, can we get enough
- 34:59Speaker 17: Democrats to the table to vote on this bill?
- 35:01Speaker 1: And move it forward.
- 35:02Speaker 17: And is there any wiggle room to, you know, strengthen
- 35:04Speaker 17: some pieces and weaken other pieces and keep that coalition together?
- 35:06Speaker 17: So really keeping that coalition is the challenging part, particularly
- 35:10Speaker 17: in a House where, you know, we really don't know
- 35:11Speaker 17: who's going to be controlling the majority and who's going
- 35:13Speaker 17: to be running speaker races and all those other big
- 35:15Speaker 17: things that change the narrative as we get into the
- 35:17Speaker 17: lame duck.
- 35:18Speaker 5: Yeah, well, we'll find out soon enough. You talk about
- 35:20Speaker 5: the importance of getting a piece of legislation onto the
- 35:22Speaker 5: president's desk. So where is the line between what the president,
- 35:27Speaker 5: what the administration can do on its own in terms
- 35:29Speaker 5: of cutting red tape and some of the deregulatory push
- 35:31Speaker 5: we have seen undertaken versus what has to be codified
- 35:34Speaker 5: into law by Congress?
- 35:36Speaker 17: I think we really have gone almost as far as
- 35:38Speaker 17: we can with the executive authority we have. And we've
- 35:41Speaker 17: seen incredible growth and the ability to shorten timetables and
- 35:44Speaker 17: really get projects online in these first two years of
- 35:47Speaker 17: the Trump administration. And that's things like using categorical exclusions.
- 35:50Speaker 17: It's using nationwide permits. It's rewriting regs to be more
- 35:54Speaker 17: responsive to what Congress put in the law. It's using
- 35:56Speaker 17: things like the permitting council, which I lead, to help
- 35:58Speaker 17: to manage timetables for projects and ensure major infrastructure projects
- 36:02Speaker 17: get through the process in a predictable way. We are
- 36:04Speaker 17: using all of those tools every day to move projects
- 36:07Speaker 17: faster than ever before in the history of this country.
- 36:09Speaker 1: We're really excited to do it.
- 36:11Speaker 17: But at the end of the day, we can't fix
- 36:12Speaker 17: the litigation that often derails projects down the road. That
- 36:16Speaker 17: is something that Congress really does have to act on.
- 36:19Speaker 17: And so it's really, really critical that it's part of
- 36:21Speaker 17: this bill.
- 36:21Speaker 2: I can't imagine how busy you are. You're the general contractor, essentially,
- 36:24Speaker 2: of all these projects we're talking about. How much has
- 36:27Speaker 2: data center become part of your portfolio?
- 36:30Speaker 17: We've added our first data centers in the history of
- 36:32Speaker 17: the agency in this past year. We have a few
- 36:34Speaker 17: of them on the dashboard, but we also support all
- 36:37Speaker 17: of the infrastructure that goes into making those data centers possible.
- 36:41Speaker 17: That is your power lines, it's your gas lines, it's
- 36:44Speaker 17: power plants, it's the manufacturing that often comes online at
- 36:48Speaker 17: the same time in other heavy load spaces. We really
- 36:51Speaker 17: support the whole range of those projects. We also have
- 36:53Speaker 17: really revitalized American mining and mineral processing industries that feed
- 36:57Speaker 17: into the chips that make that supercomputing possible. So we
- 37:00Speaker 17: really are looking at, like you said, we are the
- 37:02Speaker 17: project managers for every large project that's navigating federal permitting.
- 37:06Speaker 17: And we are here responsive to industry to make sure
- 37:08Speaker 17: people want to build in America.
- 37:10Speaker 5: Well, on mining and critical minerals, how much of the
- 37:14Speaker 5: holdup on that, if you will, is simply just the
- 37:17Speaker 5: constraint on expanding production versus bottlenecks and refining and processing?
- 37:22Speaker 1: I think it's a little bit of both.
- 37:23Speaker 17: When we came in at the start of the Trump administration,
- 37:25Speaker 17: we looked at mining as sort of a forgotten industry.
- 37:27Speaker 17: It's one we really should have taken seriously in this country.
- 37:31Speaker 17: because of the vast natural resources that we are blessed with.
- 37:34Speaker 17: But we sort of left it by the wayside. So
- 37:36Speaker 17: we had a directive from my colleagues in the White
- 37:38Speaker 17: House to take our portfolio from one project to 50
- 37:41Speaker 17: in the first year. We now have 63 mining projects
- 37:43Speaker 17: on the dashboard, and we finished permitting on over 20
- 37:46Speaker 17: of them. So that finishing permitting number is way more important,
- 37:49Speaker 17: because it shows if we pay a little attention to
- 37:51Speaker 17: this industry, We can bring more projects online quicker. But
- 37:55Speaker 17: that sort of means that as we bring more of
- 37:56Speaker 17: those minds online, we've got to bring the processing online
- 37:59Speaker 17: here in America too. So if you look at our dashboard,
- 38:01Speaker 17: you'll see a shift where we're adding more and more
- 38:03Speaker 17: mineral processing projects going forward because we want to be
- 38:07Speaker 17: able to go to that next step in the supply chain.
- 38:09Speaker 17: We really got to start at the beginning and then
- 38:10Speaker 17: work our way to those more complex industries.
- 38:12Speaker 7: What's your timeline on that?
- 38:13Speaker 2: This stuff, to your point, has been neglected for a
- 38:15Speaker 2: long time and can take years to ramp up.
- 38:18Speaker 7: How long? Is it years to the next step or months?
- 38:20Speaker 1: It depends.
- 38:22Speaker 17: The law that we reformed in the Fiscal Responsibility Act
- 38:25Speaker 17: says it should take one year for an environmental assessment
- 38:27Speaker 17: and two years for an environmental impact statement. That means
- 38:29Speaker 17: the most robust environmental review should take two years In
- 38:33Speaker 17: the past, it's taken five to seven to 10 to
- 38:36Speaker 17: 15 years for these mining projects.
- 38:38Speaker 1: The law says two years.
- 38:39Speaker 17: So by simply following the law, we've been able to
- 38:41Speaker 17: take the number of days on our permitting dashboard from
- 38:44Speaker 17: 1,500 days on average down to around 400.
- 38:47Speaker 1: And that is really, again, just following the directives that Congress.
- 38:50Speaker 17: Gave us and ensuring that we are responsibly implementing environmental
- 38:54Speaker 17: laws without wasting a bunch of time in between. So
- 38:57Speaker 17: I really think that project management role is allowing us
- 38:59Speaker 17: to be able to say, OK, we can get a
- 39:01Speaker 17: major mining operation up and running in a year and
- 39:03Speaker 17: a half. That means I need to be thinking ahead
- 39:05Speaker 17: to getting their processing online two years after that so
- 39:08Speaker 17: they're ready to receive that product. So we really want
- 39:10Speaker 17: to right shore and reshore these industries to the United States.
- 39:13Speaker 1: We've got to be thinking long term.
- 39:15Speaker 5: Well, so how long term is it, as the president
- 39:17Speaker 5: promises and others in the administration say, permitting reform is
- 39:20Speaker 5: the key to bringing down costs for consumers when it
- 39:22Speaker 5: comes to energy specifically? What is the transmission time? Are
- 39:26Speaker 5: these things that can be realized while President Trump is
- 39:28Speaker 5: still president?
- 39:30Speaker 1: I think so.
- 39:30Speaker 17: I think, again, we've done everything we can to ensure
- 39:33Speaker 17: we're bringing projects online inside this administration right now with
- 39:36Speaker 17: no change in the law.
- 39:37Speaker 1: And we have a lot of projects to show for it, right?
- 39:39Speaker 17: Almost every timetable on the permitting dashboard, you can go
- 39:42Speaker 17: pull it up at permitting.gov and see that most of
- 39:44Speaker 17: them are finishing inside the window of the president's term.
- 39:47Speaker 17: That said, if we get this bill passed into law
- 39:50Speaker 17: or other permanent reforms passed into law, that gives us
- 39:52Speaker 17: not only the ability to move projects faster, but to ensure.
- 39:55Speaker 1: They can actually get built.
- 39:56Speaker 17: Because the litigation often stops a project from getting built
- 39:59Speaker 17: after it's been permitted. And that's why that judicial review
- 40:02Speaker 17: reform is so important and such an important part of
- 40:05Speaker 17: this proposal.
- 40:05Speaker 7: Did you have to do permitting for the ballroom? Is
- 40:07Speaker 7: that part?
- 40:08Speaker 17: I didn't work on that one, but somebody did. For
- 40:13Speaker 17: the Permitting Council, our projects are all brought to us
- 40:15Speaker 17: by developers.
- 40:16Speaker 1: It's an optional program. So we really serve.
- 40:19Speaker 17: It is either critical infrastructure projects that the White House
- 40:22Speaker 17: sends to me and says, hey, talk to this developer, Or, frankly,
- 40:24Speaker 17: we have people who come to us on their own
- 40:26Speaker 17: and say, hey, we think we've got a project that
- 40:27Speaker 17: meets the parameters of your work, and we want to
- 40:29Speaker 17: get the help of the agency.
- 40:30Speaker 1: So we are out here.
- 40:32Speaker 17: For everybody who's watching today, we'd love to work on
- 40:34Speaker 17: your project.
- 40:35Speaker 7: Amazing. Well, open for business.
- 40:36Speaker 2: We only have about 30 seconds left.
- 40:37Speaker 7: Just to be clear, does it matter to you?
- 40:39Speaker 2: If a permitting reform deal were passed in the lame
- 40:42Speaker 2: duck or in the new Congress, do you want to
- 40:44Speaker 2: see that.
- 40:44Speaker 7: Done in November when lawmakers return?
- 40:46Speaker 17: You know, I wanted to see permitting reform passed into
- 40:48Speaker 17: law five years ago. So, you know, I think the
- 40:51Speaker 17: sooner the sooner, the better. Particularly if there's a party change.
- 40:55Speaker 10: Certainly.
- 40:56Speaker 17: I think there's always going to be a coalition to
- 40:57Speaker 17: move this kind of a bill forward. But we can't
- 40:59Speaker 17: waste any time if we're going to beat China and
- 41:01Speaker 17: be the most robust economy in the world.
- 41:03Speaker 1: We've got to be able to build.
- 41:04Speaker 7: Well, let us know when you're running for office.
- 41:06Speaker 17: We look forward to the interview.
- 41:07Speaker 2: Emily Dominich, Executive Director, Federal Permitting Improvement Steering Council. Where
- 41:11Speaker 2: else are you going to hear an interview like that?
- 41:12Speaker 2: This is Balance of Power alongside Kaylee Lyons. I'm Joe Matthew.
- 41:18Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Balance of Power podcast. Make
- 41:21Speaker 2: sure to subscribe if you haven't already at Apple, Spotify,
- 41:24Speaker 2: or wherever you get your podcasts. And you can find
- 41:27Speaker 2: us live every weekday from Washington, D.C. at noontime Eastern
- 41:31Speaker 2: at Bloomberg.com.