Latest / Nate's Daily Wager / Nate's NFL Conference Championship Sunday Wager with Cousin Vinny
Transcript
- 0:06Welcome to nature daily wager. I ain't picking winners but I am
- 0:10making wagers. Time to put my money where my
- 0:13mouth is. This is Nate's daily wager for
- 0:20January 25th, 2026, and I'm coming to you in the middle of
- 0:26the snowpocalypse. It's actually not that bad yet.
- 0:29I did get up early, shovel the back porch out to the to the
- 0:34yard so the dog had a spot to do his business, got the driveway
- 0:38done as well. And then I had to do it again
- 0:41all over. And then I just did the back
- 0:44part 1/3 time and it's coming down.
- 0:46But now it's just mainly sleet and I think we're heading to the
- 0:48ice storm portion of this, which is where I'm worried about us
- 0:53losing power. So hopefully it'll stay out and
- 0:55I'll actually get to watch these games today.
- 0:57That's my biggest worry. So last night, NBA continues to
- 1:01treat me like a baby treats a diaper, but we'll pick that up
- 1:04tomorrow. Today we got the football, we
- 1:07got NFC Championship, we got AFC Championship.
- 1:11Both of these games going to be fun to watch.
- 1:14Great storylines, storylines that nobody was expecting when
- 1:17we got to this point, but here we are.
- 1:20I like the totals on both of these.
- 1:22The 1:00 I'm going to take is the late game NFC Rams Hawks.
- 1:26It's currently sitting at 45 1/2.
- 1:28And here's what I'm thinking, right?
- 1:30Everybody's expecting Darnold to become Darnold at some point.
- 1:33We're also expecting Stafford to become MVP Stafford at some
- 1:37point, right? It's very possible that can both
- 1:39happen today or it's both. It's possible that both could
- 1:42just kind of do what they've been doing and then we get about
- 1:45average, right? So, but I think Stafford is
- 1:48going to kind of elevate his game a little bit.
- 1:50That's what he tends to do. He just does that.
- 1:53So yes, Seattle has a great defense.
- 1:55I think they have the best defense left and Denver's got a
- 1:58really good defense, but I think the Rams can overcome it more
- 2:01than other teams. So I think they're going to be
- 2:03able to get their points if needed.
- 2:05On the other side, I think Darnold is going to, you know,
- 2:08try to not Darnold it, to be honest.
- 2:10Look, he's been making me look bad all year.
- 2:12I know it's still there, it's still in the back of my head,
- 2:14but I think he'll also be able to move the ball against the
- 2:17Rams defense. It's not the Rams defense of
- 2:20old. So I think there's going to be
- 2:21some points scored. Currently sitting at 45 1/2.
- 2:24I think both of these teams can get to 24.
- 2:26So I think we're going to get over 40, 5 1/2.
- 2:29So that's that's where I'm going to go.
- 2:31That's what I'm going to do. So we're going to go over 45 1/2
- 2:35total points between the Seattle Seahawks and the Los Angeles
- 2:39Rams in today's NFCNFLNFC championship football action.
- 2:45Is there anything better than that?
- 2:46Pound it. That's my pick and I'm sticking
- 2:47to it. And Vinnie, give them what you
- 2:50got. And everybody, don't forget two
- 2:52weeks we got the Super Bowl. That means Saturday, two weeks
- 2:55from yesterday. Nate's daily wager?
- 2:57Super Bowl prop extravaganza. It's going to be huge this year,
- 3:01Vinny. Give them what you got.
- 3:03You, it's called Vinny. It's championship weekend Sunday
- 3:08and I'm here with your lock of the week.
- 3:11I hope everyone's staying warm out there, got their crock pots
- 3:15going, got plenty of TP and there's snow shovels ready.
- 3:20But good news is, you got a whole day of football to sit and
- 3:23watch while it's snowing or freezing or whatever it's doing
- 3:27where you live. So going into this day, I was
- 3:31fully prepared to sell you guys on taking the Rams in the late
- 3:34game. I was going to talk about Sean
- 3:36Mcveigh's haircut, Matthew Stafford's last push to solidify
- 3:41himself as a Hall of Famer, the fact that I don't trust Sam
- 3:45Darnold in a big moment, coupled with the fact that Seattle's run
- 3:48game is actually a little banged up.
- 3:51But but I did end up taking a little bit of a deeper dive into
- 3:55the early game and well, like all good Philadelphians, I sold
- 4:02myself on this backup quarterback situation.
- 4:05Jared Stidman, I didn't even know how to say his name.
- 4:08I had to watch a clip where they said his name.
- 4:10I still want to say Stidham, Stidham, but I think it's Jared
- 4:12Stidham. Let's go with that.
- 4:14And yeah, let's take a look at this guy.
- 4:17He went to Baylor, transferred to Auburn, where he led the
- 4:21Tigers to an SCC W title. He beat Alabama in the Iron
- 4:26Bowl, had 373 yards of five TDs. He was drafted.
- 4:32He was drafted by New England, which is a real interesting
- 4:35nugget to this whole story in the irony that he's now playing
- 4:38New England in the AFC championship game.
- 4:41He's also has all the kind of makings of a of a backup
- 4:44quarterback that you'd want to see, you know, practice legend,
- 4:48low drama guy. Well, like guy in the locker
- 4:51room, you know, there's, you know, son of a quarterback
- 4:56coach, kind of sneaky athletic. He worked for Belichick, Daniels
- 5:01and even Payton. Even Payton, he's just a
- 5:04textbook next man up, backup quarterback.
- 5:08And I think my last point I made about who he's worked for and
- 5:11who he's working for now, Sean Payton, Sean Payton's a heck of
- 5:14a coach. And Sean Payton's going to put
- 5:16this kid in every position to win this game.
- 5:20Amen. Do I hate the Patriots?
- 5:23And would I love this kid to pull it out and sink the
- 5:28Patriots season too soon for them to be relevant again?
- 5:32And maybe, maybe this kid comes out and blows it up.
- 5:35And, you know, we're asking ourselves tomorrow, maybe Bo Nix
- 5:40really isn't that good. Maybe it's the system that he
- 5:43was playing in his coach and the team around him.
- 5:46Maybe this is not that much of A drop off from Bo Nicks.
- 5:49I've never been sold on Bo Nicks.
- 5:52So cause of Bay is going to take a swing here, we're going with
- 5:56the home dog Denver Broncos, led by their backup quarterback at
- 6:03plus 181 to win outright against the Patriots.
- 6:09Games like today's game are why the NFL is so well liked,
- 6:14because a backup quarterback can get thrust into the spotlight
- 6:19and AFC championship game and go out there and tear it up.
- 6:24And this is a very well known script, just ask Nick Foles, Tom
- 6:28Brady, Kurt Warner, Jeff Hotsettler, Doug Williams.
- 6:34Backup quarterbacks have won a lot and one in very big moments.
- 6:39So all aboard the backup quarterback hype train and take
- 6:44that train to the bank and lock it up with the Broncos plus 181
- 6:50on the money line until the Super Bowl prop bet edition.
- 6:54This is Carlson Vinnie with your lock of the week.
- 7:04Don't forget to rate, review, subscribe, follow on Spotify,
- 7:08iTunes, or your favorite podcast application, and check out the
- 7:11show notes for some other great podcasts.
- 7:14Whether you're looking for general sports discussion,
- 7:16something team specific, or good old wrestling, you're sure to
- 7:19find something you'll love. Check them out and I'll see you
- 7:22tomorrow with another wager.