Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 552 - 7/21/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

Transcript

Episode 552 - 7/21/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 All systems. Go with Josh.
• 0:08
  Applebaum starts now. Hello and welcome to.
• 0:15
  Episode. 552 of the all. Systems go sports.
• 0:19
  Betting podcast powered by. Rhythm I'm your.
• 0:23
  Host Josh. Applebaum, what's going on,
• 0:30
  everyone? Happy Tuesday.
• 0:32
  Another day here in the arena. Guys, the beat rolls.
• 0:35
  On with Major League Baseball. We're going to get right back to
• 0:37
  do what we love to do in the summer months as we await the
• 0:40
  return of football. That's right, grinding MLB.
• 0:43
  So I do have a three pack of sweats for you today guys all.
• 0:47
  Three pretty short money line favorites or ones kind of a pick
• 0:51
  them type price. But all.
• 0:53
  Three of them have a rhythm edge, two of them have a really
• 0:56
  good sharp mush edge from our friends at Juice Real, and one
• 0:59
  of these bets has not only three rhythm recommendations lighting
• 1:03
  up in their favor, but two of them are Green Star smart.
• 1:06
  Signal recommendations so the beauty of rhythm, who does a
• 1:09
  great job of powering this podcast and.
• 1:12
  Giving us these. AI backed.
• 1:13
  Models and predictions is that you know.
• 1:15
  You can kind of approach it in different.
• 1:16
  Ways a lot of people just want to say hey give me your best
• 1:18
  rhythm recommendations I'll tail them.
• 1:20
  You can pick and choose. What I like to do?
• 1:22
  If you might know by now. Is to start with the betting
• 1:24
  market, so I leave. Rhythm to the very end.
• 1:27
  Rhythm is kind of like my. Last box to check off.
• 1:29
  And if I can. Basically start off by.
• 1:31
  Looking at all the games that day, OK, which teams are taking
• 1:34
  in sharp line movement? OK, that's box #1 box. #2 What
• 1:37
  are the bet? Splits.
• 1:38
  I'm looking for low. Bets higher dollars.
• 1:40
  Ideally sharp, contrarian, ADK and circa in their favor.
• 1:44
  Then I have my own. System matches based on, you
• 1:46
  know, those specific set of parameters.
• 1:48
  Teams in that spot, how do they perform?
• 1:49
  Historically, other supplementary factors.
• 1:52
  Of course, but then the last angle.
• 1:54
  Is I pop open? Rhythm.
• 1:55
  And if rhythm is with me, that just gives me more confidence to
• 1:58
  fire on the bet. Rhythm is against me sometimes.
• 2:01
  I take a step back and say OK, am I?
• 2:03
  You know, overlooking something. Am I injecting my bias into the
• 2:06
  equation? What's?
• 2:07
  The deal, But it's great to see always.
• 2:09
  When you can have bets that you make.
• 2:11
  Based on the data-driven perspective, be backed up by
• 2:14
  rhythm, so 3. Bets Overall 2.
• 2:16
  NL teams, one AL team. We'll see if we can get.
• 2:19
  Two out of three. Eek out a winning night now
• 2:22
  looking. Back to our last night, guys.
• 2:23
  That's what we did. 2:00 and 1:00. +0. .52 units.
• 2:27
  I'm always going to mention this.
• 2:29
  We're always trying to grind. Out winning night.
• 2:30
  So if you go 2 and 1 you make a half unit.
• 2:33
  You should. Feel a sense of.
• 2:34
  Accomplishment. But there's sometimes where you
• 2:37
  go 2:00 and 1:00 and you're annoyed and I'm annoyed.
• 2:39
  By the Saint Louis. Cardinals because the Cardinals
• 2:42
  had a 2 to one lead going into the bottom of the ninth against
• 2:45
  I believe the worst team in baseball, the angels, if they're
• 2:48
  not the. Worst they're, you know, first,
• 2:50
  second or third worst. I think they are the worst
• 2:52
  though. But what?
• 2:53
  Happens. They bring in this guy O'Brien.
• 2:56
  Who? Unbelievably, I was dealing with
• 2:58
  my guy D'arouche and actually O'Brien, I guess.
• 3:01
  Is pretty decent. He made the All Star team
• 3:03
  although. A guy with a. 3.76.
• 3:05
  ERAI guess he's got the second most saves but a closer with an
• 3:08
  ERA of nearly. Four.
• 3:09
  That's not very impressive. But what does he do?
• 3:12
  He ends up going only 1/3 of an inning he gets.
• 3:15
  Mike Trout out up two to one. It's like, OK, one out, nobody
• 3:18
  on and then he. Proceeds to completely.
• 3:20
  Blow the save. So just pathetic puts guys on.
• 3:24
  And then when you had the. Bases loaded.
• 3:27
  In a three O. Count.
• 3:28
  It's like, OK, you know, you get throw right down the middle.
• 3:31
  You know, may you know, make make this interesting.
• 3:33
  You know the. Guy's not going to swing 3O.
• 3:36
  What does he do? He completely.
• 3:37
  Plunks the guy and just, you know, walk off, hit by pitch.
• 3:40
  So that was annoying when you're up two to one against one of the
• 3:43
  worst teams in the league and you get the first guy out and
• 3:45
  then you. Lose on a walk off hit by pitch
• 3:48
  that was freaking. Annoying.
• 3:50
  So the Cardinals. Brutal, brutal.
• 3:52
  That should have been a win. But as I mentioned.
• 3:54
  We got to got to take some satisfaction in a winning night,
• 3:57
  which is always the goal. Red Sox.
• 3:59
  Came up absolutely massive. 14 straight wins.
• 4:02
  Now the. Red Sox was back and forth.
• 4:04
  They're up, then they're tied, and they.
• 4:05
  Were down Massive. Massive.
• 4:07
  Homer by Caleb Durbin. To to get.
• 4:10
  The winner there and then Chapman and up, closing the
• 4:12
  door. It wasn't easy.
• 4:13
  Line drive to shortstop. Cheng made a great catch, but
• 4:16
  the Red Sox came through for us. Beating Baltimore and then the
• 4:19
  Nationals. Big winner there, 7:00 to.
• 4:21
  Three over Colorado. So 2 and one. +0. .52 units but
• 4:26
  again, there are nights where you go 2 and one and you scratch
• 4:28
  and claw and maybe at one point you're looking at like a.
• 4:30
  One and two. Or an O.
• 4:31
  And three and you're happy with. The two and one.
• 4:33
  Then there are those nights where.
• 4:34
  You're annoyed you didn't sweep the board?
• 4:36
  But again, we'll take that victory.
• 4:39
  For a winning night, we'll reinvest into today and see if
• 4:42
  we can produce another two and one.
• 4:45
  Which is always the goal with that being said.
• 4:47
  Let's waste no more time. Nothing but major.
• 4:49
  League Baseball here guys, so let's get right to it.
• 4:51
  I got a three pack for you. I want to mention.
• 4:54
  Real quick, the Red Sox. Because.
• 4:56
  You know, it's unbelievable what's going on with the Red Sox
• 4:58
  and I did not bet on them tonight and I'm going to tell
• 5:00
  you why now. They are just.
• 5:02
  So hot it's unbelievable. They might win anyway.
• 5:05
  But they're originally going to start Ranger Suarez because I
• 5:06
  had a bunch of people I tweeted about the Red Sox last.
• 5:09
  Night and again I hated this team the first half of the.
• 5:12
  Year because I really. Can't stand John Henry being a
• 5:15
  cheapskate. Owner you buy the Red Sox for I
• 5:17
  think like. 600 million. Now they're worth 5 billion and
• 5:21
  you refuse. To pay for players, you trade
• 5:23
  away Devers. To dump a contract you won't
• 5:25
  sign Bregman and I. Hated Craig Brezel the.
• 5:27
  GM obviously you know I'm a die. Hard Red Sox fan, so they're.
• 5:30
  They've won me over again. But people were Dming.
• 5:33
  Me saying hey you. Riding the red.
• 5:35
  Sox again today. I'm actually not, and I'll tell
• 5:37
  you. Why would I love?
• 5:39
  To bet them if they're sharp. Yes, but.
• 5:41
  There's too much unforeseen, you know, angles here tonight,
• 5:45
  number one it was. Supposed to be Kyle.
• 5:46
  Bradish against Ranger Suarez coming off the injured list.
• 5:49
  Suarez got scratched. And it's going to.
• 5:51
  Be this lefty Rivera. The Red Sox at the time were
• 5:55
  like -130 -, 140 Now it's like a pick em game.
• 5:59
  You look at the. Splits right now Red Sox getting
• 6:01
  85% bets, 78% dollars so. Kind of a red flag.
• 6:05
  Anytime you're getting more bets than dollars, never a good sign.
• 6:07
  That's kind. Of a public play that's at.
• 6:09
  DraftKings then over at Circa, they're getting 63% bets, only
• 6:13
  35% dollars. So if you tell me, like
• 6:16
  Baltimore, I'm not going. To argue with you, it could.
• 6:19
  Also be a rainy night at Fenway, so weather could be an issue.
• 6:22
  Either way guys. The went line went away from the
• 6:25
  red. Sox it could.
• 6:26
  Get rained out, you get a pitching change and.
• 6:28
  The bet splits actually look better on Baltimore.
• 6:30
  So no, I'm not. Riding the Red Sox.
• 6:32
  Although as a fan with no money on the line, just me being a
• 6:35
  fan, of course I'm rooting for them to win 15 straight.
• 6:38
  But I just want to mention that anyway, the games that.
• 6:41
  We do have bets. On SO, waste no further time and
• 6:44
  get. Right to it. 1st but on the
• 6:46
  board, 7:15 PM Eastern Time, first pitch.
• 6:49
  Let's go down to Hot Lanta, where the Atlanta Braves are
• 6:52
  hosting the San Diego. Padres, let's talk line moves.
• 6:55
  Bet split system matches. I'll give you my play for this
• 6:58
  one. So Braves come in 58 and 41 on
• 7:01
  the year. Took last night's series opener
• 7:03
  three to two. Hung on as a -, 135 home
• 7:06
  favorite and tonight's rematch. The Padres are going with the.
• 7:09
  Righty Walker Bueller. Padres, meanwhile, below 549 and
• 7:13
  51 now they've. Really slid.
• 7:16
  And they? Annoyed me with one of the worst
• 7:18
  losses of the year. This is a game.
• 7:20
  Over the weekend, I think it was a five in one weekend, or maybe
• 7:22
  it was Friday night. Either way, it was a.
• 7:24
  Few days ago, but they were down.
• 7:26
  They clawed their way back. And they had a three run lead in
• 7:28
  the 9th and blew it. So Padres, you, you owe me
• 7:32
  another loss today because you. Blew it for.
• 7:33
  Me the other day when I bet on you but anyway they're.
• 7:36
  Going to send out Walker Bueller the righty.
• 7:38
  Five and five 5.36 ERA Braves, meanwhile, going.
• 7:42
  With the ready Reynaldo Lopez. He's four and two with a 3.5 O
• 7:46
  ERA. What have we seen across the
• 7:48
  market here? Well, this game opened with the
• 7:51
  Atlanta Braves around a -, 135 home favorite, San Diego around
• 7:55
  a + 115 row dog and sharps. Sticking with the Braves.
• 7:59
  At home, we've seen this line move.
• 8:00
  Further up toward. Atlanta -135 up to -140 -, 145
• 8:06
  I'm seeing some shops I. Saw one shop.
• 8:08
  As high as like -150 -, 155. South all movement.
• 8:11
  Liability has been in favor of the.
• 8:13
  Braves that's. The first indicator to go Braves
• 8:15
  tonight, then we. Look at the splits.
• 8:17
  At DK, Braves are getting. 86% of money line bets 93% of money
• 8:22
  line dollars at circa 73% of bets 95% of dollars.
• 8:27
  So line move toward the Braves. In low bets, higher dollars.
• 8:30
  One way splits at both DK and Circa, also on Atlanta.
• 8:34
  Then we get into a system match. First one would be.
• 8:37
  Just classic non division favorite lack of familiarity
• 8:39
  typically benefiting quote UN quote the better team.
• 8:42
  But here's a system that I really.
• 8:43
  Like if you're a. Home favorite with a winning
• 8:45
  record you're minus. 150 or less and you missed the playoffs the
• 8:49
  previous. Season and you're taking in line
• 8:52
  movement. So no, it's a little bit wonky,
• 8:53
  but those parameters, if you meet those parameters, Braves
• 8:56
  would match. Those teams are 56 and 3661% win
• 9:00
  rate, 7% ROI this year. Braves have the better.
• 9:03
  Bats hitting 250. They've scored 492 runs.
• 9:07
  San Diego's hitting 228. They've scored 407 runs.
• 9:10
  And in particular we got 2. Righties on the bump.
• 9:13
  Braves are hitting 256 against righties.
• 9:15
  That's the fifth best in baseball.
• 9:17
  Padres are hitting 225 against righties.
• 9:19
  That is dead last, the worst in baseball.
• 9:21
  Lopez on the road? One and two 4.21 era not great,
• 9:26
  but at home 3 and O era of three.
• 9:29
  He's home tonight. Obviously I want to fade.
• 9:31
  Walker Bueller Bueller has posted Bueller Bueller.
• 9:35
  Has posted a 16.36 ERA in three July.
• 9:38
  Starts. He's given up 20 earned runs and
• 9:41
  11 innings pitched at home. 4.58 ERA.
• 9:44
  Not great, but on the road 6.5 O.
• 9:47
  So I want to back Lopez at home. I want to fade.
• 9:50
  Bueller on the road? Braves also 30 and 19 at home,
• 9:53
  42 and 27 in night games. So they're good at home, good at
• 9:56
  night, they're at home tonight. Meanwhile, the pods, 22 and 27
• 10:00
  on the road, 27 and 35 in night games.
• 10:04
  So we got. The line moving toward the
• 10:05
  Braves, we got good bat. Splits system matches.
• 10:08
  Hopefully better bats, hopefully we have.
• 10:11
  Lopez greater than Buehler and then lastly.
• 10:13
  Popped open Juice reel. Nothing.
• 10:16
  Huge but a 2. Percent.
• 10:17
  Positive. Sharp mush edge on Atlanta so
• 10:20
  the. Sharps who have downloaded
• 10:21
  juicer like you guys out there? Listening also leaning Atlanta,
• 10:24
  but then also one rhythm recommendation lighting up on
• 10:27
  the Braves so. First bet for me guys, I took
• 10:30
  the. Atlanta Braves I got a -, 140.
• 10:32
  At the Score shop. Around a lot of books now -145
• 10:36
  -, 150. Let's go.
• 10:38
  Bravos next bet. For you, let's go right back.
• 10:41
  To the Rocky Mountains, 8:40 PM Eastern Time, Washington
• 10:45
  Nationals visiting the Colorado Rockies, now the Nats.
• 10:48
  Came up huge for. US last night, 17 to three came
• 10:51
  through as a -, 130 road favorite.
• 10:54
  Meanwhile, the Nats tonight in the rematch are sending out the
• 10:58
  ready Miles Michaelis. He's three and seven with a 5.53
• 11:01
  ERA and the Rockies. Are going to go with the ready
• 11:03
  Michael. Lorenzen, he is 3 and 9 with a
• 11:06
  6.22 ERA. Now, what have we seen across
• 11:09
  the market? Well, this is very interesting
• 11:10
  because we actually opened this game with.
• 11:12
  Colorado as a short favorite. Colorado -115 at home,
• 11:17
  Washington around a -. 1 O 5 road dog and very clearly.
• 11:22
  We've gotten to. A pick em or even gone dog to
• 11:24
  fave in favor of Washington. So we've seen the sign flip in
• 11:28
  favor of the Nats Nationals went from a -1 O 5 road dog to now a
• 11:33
  -, 110 pick em or even a -, 115 road favorite.
• 11:36
  So we're looking. At a classic dog.
• 11:38
  To fave line move or dog to pick em.
• 11:40
  Either way. Line is moving toward Washington
• 11:43
  here tells me smart money on the Nats.
• 11:45
  DraftKings Nationals are taking in 74% of money line bets, but
• 11:50
  81% of money line dollars. Over at Circa.
• 11:54
  The Nats are getting 75% of bets, 93% of dollars.
• 11:58
  So low bets, higher dollars. Line move all in favor of the
• 12:01
  Nats. What?
• 12:02
  This is interesting too, when the line moves in favor of the
• 12:05
  Nationals when they're facing in a below 500 team.
• 12:08
  So they're playing a bad team, the lines moving in their
• 12:10
  direction, the markets with them.
• 12:12
  The Nats are 15 and 1060% win rate, 17% ROI this year.
• 12:17
  Going to bank on Washington's offense hopefully to show up
• 12:20
  once again tonight. They've scored 500.
• 12:22
  And 52 runs on the year. Colorado has scored. 400 and. 87
• 12:26
  runs you also. Have seen Michael Lorenzen.
• 12:29
  Really struggle here. On the road 5 point O 4 ERA.
• 12:32
  But at Coors Field. 7.78 ERA nationals, meanwhile 30 and 19
• 12:38
  on the road. That's the third best Rd. record
• 12:40
  in. Baseball.
• 12:41
  Meanwhile, the Rockies are 23 and 28 at home.
• 12:43
  That's the 6th. Worst.
• 12:45
  Home record in baseball. So open as Colorado favorite,
• 12:49
  we're now pick them. Or hop in the fence to
• 12:51
  Washington favored. We got good.
• 12:53
  Splits good system matches fade Lorenzen.
• 12:57
  And oh, by the way, popped open rhythm.
• 12:58
  And this was the game I was talking about.
• 13:00
  Rhythm really is high. In the Nats tonight, all three
• 13:03
  rhythm models are lighting up on Washington, and two of the three
• 13:07
  are Green Star smart signal recommendations.
• 13:10
  So that's really the best of the best, the AI model.
• 13:13
  Produces quote UN quote leans. Or, you know, fully go fire.
• 13:17
  Away, you know, recommended plays and two of those, all
• 13:20
  three are on the Nats, but two of those.
• 13:22
  Really high-powered plays. Are also on Washington.
• 13:25
  So shop around guys. I found the Nats -1 O eight kind
• 13:29
  of a short chalk number, a short pick em number definitely.
• 13:32
  Try to get that best price. Because a lot of books are -110
• 13:36
  even -115 let's go nationals. Last bit of the night, let's go
• 13:41
  out West Pacific Northwest. Last game of the night, 9:40 PM
• 13:45
  Eastern Time, where the Seattle Mariners are hosting the
• 13:48
  Cincinnati Reds. Now the Mariners come in. 51 and
• 13:52
  50. Dominated last night's
• 13:54
  interleague series opener 8 to nothing, cruising as a -, 150
• 13:57
  home favorite tonight's rematch. We got the Reds who are. 45 and
• 14:01
  54 going with the ready Chase burns 11 and one 2.54 ERA.
• 14:07
  Meanwhile, the Mariners. Are going with the.
• 14:08
  Ready. Luis Castillo.
• 14:10
  He's. Three and eight with a 4.93 ERA.
• 14:12
  Now, what have we seen across the market?
• 14:15
  Will this game open? Seattle around a -, 115 Home
• 14:18
  favorite Cincinnati around a -, 1 O 5.
• 14:20
  Road Dog, We just talked a second ago about Colorado. -115
• 14:24
  home favorite. We saw that line flip toward
• 14:26
  Washington. Well.
• 14:28
  This situation is intriguing because the public doesn't know
• 14:30
  what to do. Seattle.
• 14:31
  'S got the better record but Chase.
• 14:34
  Burns is a great. Pitcher.
• 14:35
  So where? We going with this one.
• 14:37
  If you look at DK. Tickets are right down the
• 14:39
  middle, the money line splits right down the middle, 5050.
• 14:42
  But what do we always talk about?
• 14:43
  5050 line moves in a vacuum. Theoretically, if the.
• 14:47
  Bets are even, really. The line shouldn't move at all
• 14:50
  because you would assume the odds makers set a perfect
• 14:52
  number. No need to bring it up or down
• 14:54
  they've got. Great two way action.
• 14:55
  So no matter what happens, they're going to come through
• 14:58
  winning with the juice. However, sometimes you got a.
• 15:00
  5050 ticket split yet you see a line.
• 15:02
  Move. That's really intriguing to me
• 15:04
  because it tells me even though the public doesn't know what to
• 15:06
  do, smart money is taking a position.
• 15:09
  And it looks. To be taking a position tonight
• 15:11
  on the Mariners, I'm going Mariners, guys.
• 15:13
  Because it's 5050 at DK, yet the.
• 15:15
  Yet this line did. Move up towards Seattle. -115 up
• 15:19
  to -120 I am now seeing one book at -125 I jumped on Mariners
• 15:24
  -115 at Bally Bet so try to get the best number you can.
• 15:28
  But while DK is. Right down the middle. 5050, you
• 15:31
  look. Over at circa in.
• 15:32
  Vegas a super super a super sharp that.
• 15:36
  Should be a new. Word Super a super sharp.
• 15:39
  Split on the Mariners, they're only getting 17% of money line
• 15:42
  vets, but 98% of money line dollars.
• 15:46
  That's a. Big, big low.
• 15:47
  Bets higher dollar split tells me the sharps out there in
• 15:49
  Vegas. Hard on Seattle tonight.
• 15:52
  System match on Seattle. If you're an interleague home
• 15:54
  favorite off a win -130 or less and you're taking in line
• 15:58
  movement so the Mariners would match.
• 16:00
  That system is 45 and 1970 percent. 29% ROI since 2025.
• 16:06
  So it spans 2 years at this point.
• 16:08
  Good system. Seattle is classic interleague.
• 16:12
  Favorite value Lack of familiarity historical
• 16:14
  historically benefiting the better team was expected to win,
• 16:17
  but then. Also correlative betting, we
• 16:19
  have Seattle as a favorite low total.
• 16:22
  Total this game is 7 1/2 so if your amount of expected run
• 16:25
  scored more likely to come from quote UN quote that better team
• 16:29
  Mariners. Also have the better bullpen.
• 16:31
  Edge here in the pen. 3.53 ER as a team.
• 16:34
  That's the 4th best bullpen in baseball versus 4.8 O for the
• 16:39
  Reds. That's 25th.
• 16:40
  So one of the worst pens since the against one of the best
• 16:43
  pens. Seattle Mariners.
• 16:45
  Also, knock on wood, play pretty good at home. 30 and 21 at home.
• 16:48
  That's the 7th. Best home record in baseball?
• 16:50
  Reds are. 23 and 20. 6 on the road.
• 16:53
  So 5050. Public doesn't want to do a DK
• 16:56
  but the lines. Creeping up towards Seattle,
• 16:58
  they got a really good sharp split at.
• 16:59
  Circo, we got some good system matches, correlative betting and
• 17:03
  then. Also if you pop.
• 17:05
  Open Juice Reel. This is your biggest.
• 17:07
  Sharp mush edge. 22% sharp mush edge.
• 17:10
  In favor of Seattle then I did. Also see one rhythm
• 17:14
  recommendation, also lighting up on Seattle.
• 17:17
  So stay. Up late with me.
• 17:19
  We'll, we'll get some some. I did it again.
• 17:22
  Sushi, Sushi sharp. Split.
• 17:24
  A super sharp split. Split.
• 17:26
  We'll get some sushi and and we'll sweat the Mariners here
• 17:30
  tonight. Guys, so I got.
• 17:32
  Seattle -115 at Valley Bet again, shop around.
• 17:35
  Most books now -120 -, 125. South, the Braves.
• 17:40
  The Nationals. The Mariners.
• 17:42
  Let's try to eek out Scratch and Claw get 2 out of these three so
• 17:48
  that about does it for episode. 552.
• 17:50
  Of the all systems go sports betting.
• 17:52
  Podcast powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod.
• 17:55
  Where we wrap things up and I always start first by saying
• 17:58
  thank you. Thank you for listening, thank
• 18:00
  you for tuning in. Thank you for grinding in the
• 18:03
  arena with me every single day through the UPS and the downs,
• 18:06
  the the great. Wins.
• 18:06
  The hard losses, the blown saves by O'Brien.
• 18:09
  I don't know how the hell that guy made.
• 18:10
  The All Star team. I'm still annoyed.
• 18:12
  By that. Isn't that the crazy thing about
• 18:14
  betting on sports? You go 2 and 1, you have a
• 18:15
  winning night. You're mad at the one loss
• 18:18
  that's. Just how we are as better as I
• 18:19
  guess. But either way, guys.
• 18:21
  Want to thank you all for the support and for listening.
• 18:23
  And if you would please. Help me grow this podcast.
• 18:26
  Just by doing something very simple if you haven't done it
• 18:28
  yet. Give this pod 5.
• 18:30
  Stars on Spotify or iTunes. It really helps the rating if
• 18:33
  you'd like to recommend the pod to a friend.
• 18:35
  Or retweet the pod. Or give it a.
• 18:37
  Like when I put it out on Twitter at Josh under score
• 18:40
  insights each afternoon. Any or all of those things would
• 18:43
  be very much appreciated. Next if you enjoy.
• 18:46
  This style of. Sports betting breakdown
• 18:48
  data-driven sharp contrarian betting focusing on line
• 18:51
  movement bets. Split system matches taking a
• 18:53
  contrarian approach. Trying to piece.
• 18:55
  Together the puzzle. Of what the numbers in the
• 18:58
  market is telling. Us If this style of betting has
• 19:00
  appealed to you, it's provided you a blueprint.
• 19:02
  To attack pretty much every sport now at this point, and
• 19:05
  you'd like to learn more about data-driven betting or you'd
• 19:08
  like to drop some knowledge on someone else, introduce them to
• 19:11
  the data-driven model, I would. Love for you.
• 19:13
  To go to Amazon.com and type in either the NFL Sharp Betting
• 19:18
  Playbook or the Everything Guide to Sports.
• 19:20
  Betting those are the 2. Books that I've written you.
• 19:22
  Can get them right off of Amazon.
• 19:24
  Bezos will drop them on your front porch with a drone and if
• 19:27
  you want to give them 5. Stars and a nice.
• 19:29
  Comment review on on Amazon you'd.
• 19:31
  Really. Be a hero.
• 19:32
  But then bring those. Books to the sports book.
• 19:34
  I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a.
• 19:35
  Beer. We'll sweat.
• 19:37
  Some more MLB together tonight. Next.
• 19:39
  Have you downloaded? Rhythm and juicer yet?
• 19:41
  Well. If you haven't, what are you
• 19:42
  waiting? For.
• 19:43
  There are two. Great sports betting apps that
• 19:45
  are just. Another box to check off when
• 19:47
  you're building a case. Trying to make a bet you have
• 19:49
  rhythm. Great for their AI backed models
• 19:51
  and predictions for game bets and player props.
• 19:53
  Then you have. Juice Reel.
• 19:55
  So many. Great features.
• 19:56
  You can sync up your sports books, get a running report card
• 19:58
  of your action. It'll give you a nice little
• 20:00
  calendar. Each day with your.
• 20:02
  One loss and your units won. So it keeps you honest.
• 20:05
  Great details. On on your performance, but then
• 20:07
  also you can get the robo Jackson best bet picks sharp
• 20:10
  mush indicators arbitrage. Plays shop for the.
• 20:12
  Best line futures all available on Juice Reel.
• 20:15
  And if you really want to be. A hero and you enjoy the pod you
• 20:18
  know it's. Free, right?
• 20:19
  Well, if you want to, you know, tip your.
• 20:21
  Podcast host. Contribute to my.
• 20:22
  Daughter's childcare. Fund, I would love for you to
• 20:25
  sign up for a week or more. Of the best bet picks, you'll
• 20:28
  get them directly. From Juice Reel as soon as I
• 20:31
  make the bet. My books are synced up, they get
• 20:33
  posted. To the ASG.
• 20:35
  Podcast page. You download Juice Reel.
• 20:37
  You click buy, sell bottom right corner, little search.
• 20:40
  Box type in ASG. Boom, you can do A7.
• 20:44
  Day free trial. Then you could do.
• 20:45
  A full week for $9.99 or a full month for $24.99.
• 20:51
  And you'll get those plays immediately, hopefully beat
• 20:53
  some. Closing lines but.
• 20:55
  Those of you who have already signed up or thinking about it,
• 20:57
  I appreciate you thank. You it really does mean a lot to
• 21:00
  me. So download Rhythm download.
• 21:01
  Juice Field give them both a five star review in the app.
• 21:04
  Store next. Do you have a live odds page?
• 21:08
  Well, if you don't, you need one.
• 21:09
  It's such a critical tool, honestly.
• 21:10
  I don't know how people bet without a live odds page because
• 21:13
  you got to. Know what's going on in the
• 21:15
  market? What did the line open at?
• 21:16
  If. If you're betting a game and you
• 21:18
  can't tell me what the line opened at or again, give me the.
• 21:21
  Book with the best. Number or hey, where?
• 21:23
  Do I find? Live in game wagering odds if
• 21:26
  you can't answer. Those questions you're really.
• 21:28
  Hurting yourself. You know betting is hard enough
• 21:30
  if you don't. Have the ability to.
• 21:31
  Track the market, identify steam, pick off the best
• 21:34
  numbers. You're only making it that much
• 21:36
  harder, so I really enjoy using odds logic if you.
• 21:39
  Need a live odds page? Maybe you have?
• 21:41
  One, and it's expensive. Or maybe you?
• 21:44
  Have one and it's. Free, but it's.
• 21:45
  Slow and you don't know where the data is coming from.
• 21:47
  It's unreliable. Either way, give Odds logic a
• 21:51
  shot. I have a special link for
• 21:52
  youoddslogic.com/josh 123. That's going to give you a 7 day
• 21:59
  free trial. And 50% off your first month of
• 22:01
  service. So that about does it for
• 22:03
  episode 5. 52 of the ASG pod. On a big Tuesday.
• 22:08
  As always guys 2. Final thoughts one.
• 22:10
  Whether I see you at the. Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
• 22:13
  River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, Brooklyn, New
• 22:17
  Hampshire, or of course in my neck of the woods in
• 22:19
  Massachusetts and the Encore in Boston, Plain Ridge Park,
• 22:22
  Casino, MGM Springfield or the Nash.
• 22:24
  Or out in the desert where the true grinders get down.
• 22:26
  Where Billy Walter sends his number runners with lowest juice
• 22:29
  possible is found at the South Point.
• 22:31
  Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays.
• 22:33
  Jumping in the stadium swimming pool when you cash a big ticket.
• 22:36
  At Circo, wherever it may be. You can walk up to me.
• 22:39
  Show me a red. Sox 14 straight ticket.
• 22:41
  Show me a Nationals ticket. Whatever you do.
• 22:45
  That freaking closer on the Cardinals blowing it.
• 22:47
  That just that annoys you guys? I'm sorry that just annoys you.
• 22:51
  Either way, we'll take. The winning night, we'll
• 22:52
  reinvest it to tonight. So coming off a two and one or
• 22:55
  A1 and 2A3 and O or an O and three, A winning night, a losing
• 22:58
  night, a hot. Streak.
• 22:59
  A cold streak. We just can't get too high when
• 23:01
  things are. Good or too?
• 23:02
  Low and things are bad. We got to stay the course.
• 23:05
  Think long term discipline with our bankroll management.
• 23:07
  Protect our units only get down when we find an edge, and we're
• 23:11
  looking for games that fit our model against the public.
• 23:13
  With the house with the pros flat bet Avoid parlays.
• 23:16
  And get that CLV if we can do that.
• 23:19
  We're going to be successful sports bettors, so I hope
• 23:21
  everyone. Has a great Tuesday night.
• 23:23
  Be right back at it for tomorrow.
• 23:25
  That'll be a big hump day edition.
• 23:27
  Episode 553. Of the all systems.
• 23:29
  Go sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 23:33
  Good luck. Everybody and have a great
• 23:35
  Tuesday night.