Latest / The Learning Corner by Precursor / Episode #43: Two Silicon Valley Modalities, Are VCs Independent Thinkers?, 20 Somethings Swarming SF
Transcript
- 0:00We anoint winners sometimes and people stop paying attention to the market, and then things
- 0:04change.
- 0:04And you come back five years later, like, oh, I thought that company was gonna win.
- 0:07And somebody came out of nowhere or somebody who had been working with a different thesis
- 0:11was ultimately proven right.
- 0:12And you're like, who knew?
- 0:13It's the week of August 4.
- 0:16Welcome to the Learning Corner, a Precursor Ventures podcast.
- 0:24Welcome to the Learning Corner by Precursor.
- 0:26I'm Mia Farnam, and I'm joined by RGP and managing partner, Charles Hudson, where we will
- 0:30be talking through the articles and Goodreads that caught our team's attention over the past
- 0:35week.
- 0:36Our first piece is a LinkedIn post written by Aditya Agarwal, GP at South Park Commons, who
- 0:42walks through two current modalities of competition when building in Silicon Valley
- 0:46today.
- 0:47So essentially, archetypes of startups plus the spaces they choose to build in and the
- 0:51resulting competitive strategy.
- 0:53The first modality involves founders working on something legible, where success depends on out
- 0:58executing everyone else.
- 1:00These are spaces where what you're building isn't necessarily contrarian yet, but you'll
- 1:04face multiple competitors.
- 1:06The strategy here is to win as quickly as possible with speed itself becoming the moat.
- 1:12The second modality is working on something completely illegible and contrarian.
- 1:17Aditya notes that some people should absolutely laugh at your approach, and that's a good
- 1:21thing.
- 1:22The upside is that you can take more time in the early days to build thoughtfully and avoid
- 1:26prematurely drifting into modality one.
- 1:29I have a few questions teed up here, but wanted to know how you felt about the post since it
- 1:34does echo a lot of our internal conversations we've been having on the team.
- 1:38Specifically, I feel like a lot of investors will say that they wanna see modality two
- 1:42companies, these out there contrarian concepts, but really be creating more of a frenzy around
- 1:47modality one companies.
- 1:48Oh, yeah.
- 1:49I mean, I I really like this post because I've been thinking about, particularly with these AI
- 1:53companies, how do you think about which bucket you're in?
- 1:56And it feels to me that there's one pattern I'm observing over and over.
- 2:01And I think about these companies on two dimensions.
- 2:04One dimension is the obviousness of the idea, and we'll we'll stick with AI.
- 2:08How how obvious is the application of AI?
- 2:10And how famous and well connected the founder.
- 2:13And I meet people and I'm like, okay.
- 2:15Well, my assumption is obvious ideas where AI can be applied are going to attract really well
- 2:20connected, well pedigreed founders who gonna have lots of access to capital.
- 2:23So think about Bret Taylor Sierra.
- 2:25I could name, like, a bunch of other companies where I'm like, oh, wow.
- 2:27That's a very well known founder going after a big, but I would describe as obvious
- 2:32application of AI.
- 2:33So there's that model.
- 2:34And that to me is like the world of big seed funds.
- 2:36And if you're gonna do a big obvious problem like that, there's gonna be a lot of
- 2:39competition, not just in number, but they're gonna be well capitalized competitors.
- 2:43And you have to go into it knowing that that's the case.
- 2:45And it seems like right now, for those modality one companies, the moat seems to be like your
- 2:50willingness to do nine nine six and, like, the speed at which you can execute.
- 2:53I don't know that those are great moats, but it seems like those are the only ones people have
- 2:57expressed to me on a regular basis.
- 2:59And I think if you think about this two by two of how famous the founders are and how obvious
- 3:04the idea is, The companies that I think have the hardest time raising are the somewhat naive
- 3:08founders who are doing an obvious idea with no particular advantage in terms of expertise,
- 3:13insight, or access to capital.
- 3:15I just assume, unfortunately, that many of those people are gonna face far more
- 3:19competition than they realize even if they don't know who those competitors are.
- 3:23And for me, the interesting companies are the ones where the founder doesn't have sort of all
- 3:28that access to capital and where the idea isn't intrinsically interesting or obvious or
- 3:32consensus good.
- 3:33And we do those companies all the time.
- 3:36And I find, to your point, Mia, everyone's like, I wanna see the things that are weird and
- 3:40wonderful and different.
- 3:40And then you show them, and they're like, oh,
- 3:42but Not that weird.
- 3:43Not not that weird.
- 3:44Not that different.
- 3:45And so I think pick your problem.
- 3:46If you're modality one, it's brutal competition.
- 3:49You might have other people with very similar or inferior products who raise a lot more money
- 3:54who are going to really, really make the landscape difficult.
- 3:59And not just the operating landscape, the fundraising landscape becomes difficult.
- 4:03Or you can have an idea where you work on it for a while, potentially in obscurity, where
- 4:07people don't get what you're doing, but with significantly less competition.
- 4:10And I think those modality two companies are great for first time founders because it gives
- 4:15you time to figure out the surface area of the problem, and it gives you a chance to maybe
- 4:19learn how to operate a company without the, like, brutal pressure of competing in a hyper
- 4:25competitive market.
- 4:26And so, I don't know, I'd say we do a lot of modality two companies, but I think the
- 4:30challenge as an investor is you don't get quick markups on those companies.
- 4:33You know, we have three astro witchy companies, and in every case I've made one of those
- 4:37investments, people have, like, made fun of me.
- 4:39And I'm very happy to be an investor in all three of companies, but you have to be willing
- 4:43to sit with that weirdness for a while and it has to, like, not bother you.
- 4:46And I think there's some investors who they want the good cocktail party conversation.
- 4:50They wanna be in the hot deal, or they wanna be in the thing that sounds, like, intrinsically
- 4:54interesting to people.
- 4:55You feel like there's a stage for those modality two companies that we've mentioned of
- 4:59which they suddenly become the cocktail party companies?
- 5:02I think usually one of two things has to happen for that to be the case.
- 5:07One is something shifts in the macro, and the thing that you're doing suddenly becomes way
- 5:12oh, you know, there were a lot of remote work tools before the pandemic, but the pandemic
- 5:16sort of shone a light on those and made those things really useful.
- 5:20Now some of those things went up and came right back down.
- 5:22But I think, like, that was a a moment that took things that felt obscure and made them
- 5:26feel important.
- 5:27I think the other thing that happens is problems that people thought were small or
- 5:32uninteresting, it turns out that they are much larger and more interesting than initially
- 5:37understood to be.
- 5:38I'm thinking about all the book companies too that we've been spending time with across our
- 5:41portfolio.
- 5:42I think if you weren't looking in those corners, you'd be like, this is a very small
- 5:45market and there's a cap on bookish I guess it depends where you're spending time.
- 5:49Question for you, I guess, how different are these modalities today from modalities that you
- 5:54saw in, I guess, ten years ago, fifteen years ago across venture?
- 5:58Have they changed that much?
- 6:00Yes.
- 6:01I think as the venture industry has gotten bigger, if you're gonna do a modality one
- 6:05company, there are just going to be more competitors in the beginning because I think a
- 6:10lot of people are like, oh, this is a big obvious category.
- 6:12I wanna have play.
- 6:13Like, we'll take an example, like, expense management.
- 6:16There were a ton of companies that were created there.
- 6:17Now it feels like Ramp and Brex have been the two on the startup side and maybe Nirvana on
- 6:22travel that have really broke out on the end.
- 6:23But, like, there were a lot of experiments that were funded because it was a big category.
- 6:27And I think what you see is capital concentration around the perceived winners.
- 6:31I emphasize perceived winners because the the customers decide in the end who really wins.
- 6:36And just the scale that the private winners can raise now is much bigger than it was ten or
- 6:41fifteen years ago.
- 6:42And I think also the pressure within venture to anoint, declare, or identify the winners
- 6:47earlier has gone up, which I think ironically is gonna create a lot more false positives with
- 6:52people saying like, well, this is the one that's all lined up behind this company.
- 6:55I'm curious to see how that plays out.
- 6:56And is the need to anoint these companies earlier coming from people wanting to validate
- 7:01the amount of money that's being put in them, or where is that need coming from from your
- 7:04perspective?
- 7:05I think there's an investor desire sometime to just, like, sort out the market so that you can
- 7:10move on and spend time on other stuff.
- 7:11And if you're like, okay, we already know who's gonna win in expense management.
- 7:15I don't have to spend any more time on that category.
- 7:17It's these three or four companies.
- 7:19They've raised all the money.
- 7:20The perception is they're gonna win.
- 7:21That's a settled category.
- 7:23I can now go spend my time on other categories that are less settled.
- 7:27And I think especially if you're trying to put large amounts of money to work and you're
- 7:31trying to find category winners, once you've identified the winners, you can kinda move on.
- 7:36And I think what ends up happening is we anoint winners sometimes and people stop paying
- 7:40attention to the market, and then things change.
- 7:42And you come back five years later, oh, I thought that company was gonna win.
- 7:45You're like, oh, we all did, and then something changed, and somebody came out of nowhere, or
- 7:49somebody who had been working with a different thesis was ultimately proven right.
- 7:52And you're like, who knew?
- 7:53Well, it's a good talent for our next topic.
- 7:55It's a piece from PitchBook written by Rosie Bradbury who shares data that challenges the
- 8:00commonly held belief that VCs are independent thinkers.
- 8:04According to one PitchBook analysis, the top 20 US firms as ranked by PitchBook collaborated
- 8:09with at least one peer in that top 20 list in an average of 38% of their deals.
- 8:14That's nearly two out of every five deals.
- 8:17This figure has increased over the past few years, and there is a wide range in how
- 8:21inclined firms are to co invest, with some collaborating on as many as 55% of their deals,
- 8:27while others do so in just 19%.
- 8:30I think there's a lot of ways to interpret this data from Yeah.
- 8:33Specific strategies of funds wanting to syndicate deals together, growing fund sizes
- 8:37requiring larger ownership, to growing round size requiring just more folks involved and
- 8:42more.
- 8:42Any other things that came to your mind looking at this data?
- 8:46Yeah.
- 8:46I think there's two things.
- 8:47But the data is like, one, was like, oh, I know specific people at that pair of funds who
- 8:51really like each other and enjoy working together.
- 8:54And I think it's important to remember that, at least for now, this is a human business.
- 8:57Individuals are making the decision.
- 9:00And these are all firms where, in addition to investing capital, you're gonna take a board
- 9:04seat, and you're gonna work on this company for eight to ten years.
- 9:07And I think a lot of people are like, I really care who else is around that table if I'm gonna
- 9:11sign up and do that.
- 9:13And there are certain individuals at certain firms who have a real affinity for working with
- 9:17other people, and I think that shows up in the data.
- 9:19I think the other thing is taste.
- 9:21And I think a lot of the larger firms are essentially looking for the same types of
- 9:26companies, and they're looking in the same places, and they're looking for the same type
- 9:30of people.
- 9:30So it's not that surprising to me that they end up in the same companies because they're
- 9:34looking for the same things.
- 9:36I think the interesting thing is, like, to your point, as fund sizes increase, it gets harder
- 9:40and harder to invest in the same round in the same company, but also it becomes more
- 9:44imperative to get into the winners.
- 9:46So I think you will continue to see these companies where one firm was fortunate enough
- 9:51to win the deal at the a, somebody else comes in at the b.
- 9:54Because if you did the a, as much as you might wanna hoard ownership, it is also nice to have
- 9:57a new person come in and price it and, you know, as long as you can continue to maintain
- 10:01ownership.
- 10:02And then you might have another really high profile firm come in at the sea.
- 10:05Like, I think a good example, like, this week was Clay.
- 10:07We saw, you know, GV came in and led the sea, and, like, they'd had some really good
- 10:12investors previously.
- 10:13And so I think, again, as you continue to see capital concentration in smaller number of
- 10:18names in venture, I think you're gonna see more and more of the top firms needing or wanting to
- 10:23be on the cap tables of those companies.
- 10:25And it's gonna look like, oh, wow.
- 10:27How did Sequoia, blah blah blah, these five firms all end up even just look at Figma.
- 10:31Figma has most of the great venture firms.
- 10:34In on their cap table, Index got in first and made the most money.
- 10:37And others, Kleiner, Sequoia, also did fine too.
- 10:41But if you look at that cap table, you're like, wow.
- 10:42These are all blue chip top tier names co investing together.
- 10:46But the amount of money that they will make from those investments is a function of how
- 10:49early they got in and the total number of dollars they put to work.
- 10:53For listeners who are checking out the reading, you'll see like an interesting heat graph that
- 10:57shows the percentage of collaboration from across these top 20 firms.
- 11:01I was thinking it would be interesting to see I don't even think you could do this because I
- 11:04don't think the data is there.
- 11:05But basically, that same heat graph applied to sub 300,000,000 in AUM funds across the board
- 11:11because, I mean, this is something that happens all the time with Preseed is new funds come out
- 11:16every single year who have great competitive edge of being able to find founders.
- 11:20And so I find we definitely have our friends that we love to collaborate with.
- 11:25But I will say there's always new funds that introduce new founders and have interesting
- 11:30access to deals.
- 11:31So that percentage is always shifting in our landscape.
- 11:34Yeah.
- 11:34And I and I think the big funds are in a much competition world with each other than we are
- 11:40with other pre seed and seed funds.
- 11:42And there's also just more companies.
- 11:44So I think it's more common, I find, that, you know, we'll go on a run.
- 11:48We'll we'll do a bunch of investments with a given firm because we're meeting the same
- 11:52people at the same time, and we have a like, know, think about Bloomberg beta.
- 11:54We do a ton with them.
- 11:55Yeah.
- 11:56And I think it's because we tend to like the same type of founder.
- 11:59We tend to meet them at the same stage.
- 12:00And there are other firms that are like, I'd love to do more with with those folks, but
- 12:03they're looking at a different founder profile than we are, and it's less likely that we're
- 12:07gonna we're gonna find the same things interesting.
- 12:10The piece also included a quote from Kelly from Sandana claiming that LPs do wanna see that GPs
- 12:16can see around the corner and have unique perspective and access that other fund managers
- 12:20don't.
- 12:20I feel like this is a widely discussed concept amongst VCs, especially in smaller fund manager
- 12:26circles that you want to illustrate access and relationship to funds that LPs clearly
- 12:30recognize on paper Yeah.
- 12:31While also showing the classic proprietary deal flow that makes their strategy unique.
- 12:36What seems to matter more from your perspective?
- 12:39I think we live in a world where it takes twelve or fifteen years to figure out if you've
- 12:44really made a great investment.
- 12:46I mean, you look at Figma's first five years, that wasn't really that impressive in terms of
- 12:51observable external performance separate from management's execution, same thing for Clay.
- 12:56The first few years were kind of like being in the woods from what I know from my friends who
- 12:59were involved in that company.
- 13:00I think most people's dream pitch would be, I do all of these seed rounds and Sequoia and
- 13:05Andreessen do all of my a's.
- 13:07And there are there are people who can credibly make that claim.
- 13:10Think about Rompton at Abstract and other people.
- 13:12And I think that is an easy heuristic for LPs to understand because if the things that you
- 13:17fund early end up being interesting to those funds, on average, those big funds have very
- 13:22good judgment and see the whole market.
- 13:24So if they're picking your companies, you're doing something right.
- 13:27I think what's harder for LPs is if you're like, hey.
- 13:29I'm picking these great companies, but none of the people leading the a are firms that you
- 13:33know or have heard of.
- 13:34It doesn't mean that those companies aren't good.
- 13:37It just means that it takes more work to understand why they're interesting.
- 13:40And then the sort of reflexive questions, if they're so great, why didn't one of the great
- 13:44multistage firms do the a?
- 13:46And oftentimes, there's a good reason why they didn't do it.
- 13:48They didn't find it interesting.
- 13:49The TAM wasn't that interesting to them in the moment.
- 13:52There can be lots of reasons why they don't do it, but I think if you want the easy path as a
- 13:57fund manager, it's to show that the companies you fund the next I think if you're like, hey,
- 14:01we invest alongside these people all the time at the CDNA, then I don't think that's as
- 14:06compelling a story as, like, we're finding things that those folks find interesting later,
- 14:10but we're finding them first.
- 14:11And I guess there is some, but not like a clear correlation of those funds jumping in, which
- 14:16means longevity wise, those companies will succeed.
- 14:19I'm thinking also about companies within our portfolio who found their series a investors
- 14:22as, like, family offices who are the best in class at this small niche area that's extremely
- 14:28important in unlocking for a portfolio.
- 14:30If you were an LP, you would never recognize those names.
- 14:32But they're extremely important to the future success of the company because they have the
- 14:37expertise and entire verticalized supply chain knowledge on the exact space that they're in.
- 14:42And so I would have probably picked that family office or that investor over a better known
- 14:48investor any day of the week because for the specific portfolio company, it's going to
- 14:53change the game for their long term success.
- 14:55But that's hard to storytell to LPs at scale, I think.
- 14:59It's super hard.
- 15:00And I think the other thing is, and I've seen this in our portfolio, venture tends to move as
- 15:05a herd when it comes to interest in categories.
- 15:07And so if you want to get the maximum number of markups from the big series a firms, you need
- 15:13to be making investments today that will be in categories that they will find interesting in
- 15:17the next twelve to eighteen months, which right now means you should only be doing AI.
- 15:20Yep.
- 15:21But I don't think AI is the totality of where all of the interesting companies are being
- 15:24created at the moment, but it's where all of the energy is being focused.
- 15:28So if you have the bravery or naivete, whatever term you wanna use, to invest outside of AI,
- 15:34you have to accept that you're gonna have companies that are gonna be less interesting to
- 15:37big multistage firms today because all of their energy and attention is focused on AI or
- 15:42defense tech or whatever whatever the theme is of the moment.
- 15:45I think you have to have the courage over conviction that, like, if it's a good company,
- 15:48you will find somebody in the ecosystem who will also see in the company what you see if it
- 15:52executes well.
- 15:53And my experience at Precursor has been that's the case.
- 15:55Even when sectors are really out of favor, if the company's doing really well, you can find
- 15:59somebody who believes in that company.
- 16:01And I think about, like, all the consumer fintech companies that kinda had a really rough
- 16:05go in '21, that category is kinda back now.
- 16:09Yeah.
- 16:09And if you were able to ride it out as a company and continue to operate, competition
- 16:13went down, capital was hard to get, those businesses probably got better.
- 16:16And now people are open to looking at those again.
- 16:18Our last topic of the week is a good one.
- 16:21It's a piece from the New York Times titled, the 20 are swarming San Francisco's AI boom,
- 16:27talking about the massive wave of young talent flocking to the Bay Area to start their AI
- 16:31companies.
- 16:32Companies like Scale AI, Cognition, Cursor, all started by young college aged founders are
- 16:38examples of what success looks like for most of today's college students.
- 16:41With some folks rushing in right after they graduate, there are some founders who are even
- 16:46in their teens, both building and getting funded by large venture capital funds.
- 16:50For folks who dropped out of their undergraduate colleges, their argument was
- 16:53simply around the fact that they couldn't afford to not take advantage of the opportunity
- 16:58that is building in today's AI market.
- 17:00One notable quote from an undergraduate Stanford student was, quote, it's kind of this
- 17:04AI inflection point where it felt like almost everyone I knew at Stanford was dropping out to
- 17:09cofound a company.
- 17:10Charles, I wanted to get your honest opinion about this massive wave of younger founders
- 17:14opening up shop in SF and also see if it resembled any sort of boom during the February,
- 17:19or does this feel palpably different?
- 17:21No.
- 17:22It feels the same.
- 17:23Well, the funny thing is Marina and I were talking about this earlier this week because I
- 17:28was a college student during the Internet one point o boom at Stanford, and my classmates
- 17:33were dropping out of school to start companies.
- 17:36I lived in a house with a bunch of guys, and we thought about dropping out of school to start a
- 17:40company, and we decided not to do it.
- 17:42We had eight COFA.
- 17:43We had over six COFA.
- 17:44It would it wouldn't have worked for a bunch of reasons.
- 17:47But there were people in my class who did decide to drop out, including some of my very
- 17:51good friends, to pursue ideas that they were excited about.
- 17:53And the logic was the same.
- 17:54It was okay.
- 17:55This Internet thing is happening.
- 17:56This feels like a once in a lifetime boom.
- 17:59And if I stay in school, I'm gonna miss my window.
- 18:02And my sense as an undergrad was this was even more pronounced at the business school, at the
- 18:06GSB.
- 18:06Like, it was even more pronounced.
- 18:08People were dropping out to start companies.
- 18:10And on average, none of those companies mattered.
- 18:12You could say, oh, Mark's like a birk at Facebook.
- 18:14Facebook.
- 18:14The the of course, there are examples of, like, where this worked out.
- 18:17On average, most of the people I know, the thing they dropped out of school to do did not
- 18:21turn out to be Yahoo, Facebook, Google.
- 18:24That doesn't mean it wasn't a great experience for them to raise money and try out most of
- 18:28many of those people have become life lifelong entrepreneurs as a result.
- 18:32And I think I feel really awkward saying this, but I'll say it anyway.
- 18:35I think some of these people, these these entrepreneur students are also being, like,
- 18:40ruthlessly cynical, and they're like, listen.
- 18:42It's not as important that I graduate from Stanford as it is that I got in in the first
- 18:46place.
- 18:46Some of my friends who dropped out to do startups eventually came back and finished
- 18:50their degrees, graduated.
- 18:51Others were just like, I got in and I attended and I didn't get kicked out.
- 18:55I dropped out.
- 18:56Being a Stanford dropout is not a huge liability if I'm pursuing a career in venture
- 19:01capital.
- 19:02Now if I wanna, like, try a startup and then maybe go into consulting, maybe the stigma of
- 19:06being having not completed your degree, I mean, you would know better than I would about, like,
- 19:10that world.
- 19:10But my hunch is there are worlds where it's a stigma, but not in entrepreneurship.
- 19:13Ironically, I think this ties back to some of these articles about these really
- 19:17entrepreneurial students being mad that they weren't accepted by top colleges.
- 19:20And they're like, well, maybe the top colleges read your essays and also concluded you weren't
- 19:24really coming there to learn.
- 19:25You were coming there to start a company, and they're not incubators or startup studios.
- 19:29They're universities.
- 19:29And so I hope that many of these people are more successful than the late nineties
- 19:35entrepreneurs were who dropped out and started companies.
- 19:38And I hope for many of these people that they discover entrepreneurship as a lifelong career
- 19:43path.
- 19:44I also worry that some of them are gonna miss out on a really amazing social and
- 19:47developmental experience.
- 19:48For a lot of people I know, including myself, a lot of your maturation starts in college.
- 19:53You're on your own.
- 19:54You're outside of your house.
- 19:55You're meeting new people.
- 19:56You kinda only get a chance to do that once.
- 19:59Yeah.
- 19:59And I hope these people aren't making a trade that they someday regret.
- 20:03Yeah.
- 20:03Also, like, the Valley has always been obsessed with, like, young Wunderkind geniuses and, like
- 20:08That's not new.
- 20:09That's not new.
- 20:09Me and Marina talk about it a lot too.
- 20:11Mark Zuckerberg is an anomaly.
- 20:13I was wondering, anomaly.
- 20:14Yes.
- 20:15They are young, but that's only a small factor of why they are wonderful founders.
- 20:19And I think sometimes people are confusing, I guess, being young with being successful and
- 20:24excited.
- 20:25And again, I meet really wonderful and very impressive young founders all the time.
- 20:29I do think about and I do wonder what things will you miss out on if you do drop out of
- 20:33school for the wrong reasons.
- 20:34Yeah.
- 20:34So to your point, if a lifelong career in entrepreneurship is what you would like to do,
- 20:38then I can more so understand it.
- 20:40One trend I am seeing a lot for a large majority of these companies started by younger
- 20:45founders, and I wonder if this is a difference between what you saw in the two thousands.
- 20:49Is this massive social media and marketing presence
- 20:51Oh, yeah.
- 20:52Which the article also talks about.
- 20:53Like, I'm talking really flashy ads, loud and wildly colorful Instagram accounts dedicated to
- 20:58almost like meme content.
- 21:00And the purpose seems to be solely to grab the attention of users, whether it is for positive
- 21:05or negative reasons.
- 21:06I think they think about that value add equally.
- 21:09Any thoughts on how this feels different from generations prior?
- 21:12I do think a lot of this has to do with AI where, like, a grab for customers is extremely
- 21:17important in the beginning.
- 21:18So having this sort of virality on the platforms that already exist because those
- 21:22rails exist today is available.
- 21:24I think it clearly is probably the big example I can think of.
- 21:27I think the ability to break out from the noise of AI and this the dim of start up like, people
- 21:33who can break out from that noise, that is a skill.
- 21:36And I think a lot of investors say, the group of people who can do that have probably a good
- 21:39chance at succeeding when it comes to distribution and GTM.
- 21:43That's a big problem, especially in a world where a lot of these products feel commoditized
- 21:47or similar.
- 21:47People who can make a marketing splash, mean, it's obviously it's different because we didn't
- 21:51have this stuff twenty five years ago.
- 21:52Like, these channels didn't exist.
- 21:54And it was more like the Whisper Reputation Network.
- 21:56Oh, this person in our class is gonna be a good founder.
- 21:59That somehow bubbled its way back up to Conor Perkins or whatever venture firm.
- 22:02That was kind of more how it worked.
- 22:04There was no harmonic.
- 22:05There were no tools to mind Twitter.
- 22:07But I also think some of these founders have gotten smart, and they know, but, like, VCs are
- 22:10looking for these signals on Twitter or TikTok or whatever.
- 22:13So if I create these signals, I will be found, which is separate from whether or not I'm
- 22:16creating anything of value or of interest.
- 22:19So I think we have this feedback loop where founders now understand that creating content,
- 22:24creating signal creates the opportunity to get the attention of investors, and that attention
- 22:28of investors gives you the chance to to get in front of them.
- 22:30And I think we're gonna continue to see people who fund them, I think, like, you the Dollar
- 22:34Shave Club ad was, like, a big Yeah.
- 22:36Breakthrough moment.
- 22:37At a certain period of time on the Internet, you have these flashpoint things that happen,
- 22:41and then and then you get people are like, oh, I wanna copy that too.
- 22:44And I'm like, it kinda worked for a bunch of reasons that are hard to recreate.
- 22:47Like GoDaddy, Arby's, etcetera.
- 22:50Like, any other sort of viral moments.
- 22:51And it also feels like this younger group of founders is driving the rebirth of September
- 22:55culture too.
- 22:56Oh, yeah.
- 22:56Which also is not new.
- 22:58Like, that that existed in the February.
- 23:00I think I'm trying to figure out nine nine six, like, works for younger generations.
- 23:03Why would you not wanna be around the people that you work with all day, that you are like
- 23:07minded with, that you're excited to create with?
- 23:09Again, like all more things that I'm excited to watch, and again, that people are in it for the
- 23:14right reasons.
- 23:15And then I also hope that VCs are also exploring relationships with those young
- 23:19founders for the right reasons as well.
- 23:21Yeah.
- 23:21That I think about a lot.
- 23:22The last piece is the one that gives me a little ick, which is I worry about people
- 23:27encouraging people to drop out.
- 23:29My view is like if you've been building something and it's starting to get momentum,
- 23:33and you're like, I'm having a hard time keeping up with school and keeping up with my startup,
- 23:37that's a different framing than I wanna drop out of school to do a startup that has no
- 23:41momentum, that's an idea, and I wanna be able to work on it.
- 23:44To me, that's like a very different calculus.
- 23:46And I worry that I've met some people who've been encouraging people to drop out.
- 23:50And I'm like, that person's not yet at a place with that idea or business where more time
- 23:54spent on it is going to accelerate progress.
- 23:57I like asking the investors, are you prepared to be their safety net for some of those kids
- 24:00who do not have any financial safety net Yeah.
- 24:03And worked all their life to get to x y and z's college, and that's the pinnacle for their
- 24:07entire family's generation of seeing their child be there.
- 24:10So I'm having more conversations about that with our friends and always curious to kinda
- 24:14see their different perspectives.
- 24:15We are all out of time today.
- 24:16Thank you, Charles, for stopping in.
- 24:18We are taking the week off next week, but we will be back the following.
- 24:22Thank you to all of our listeners for jumping in.
- 24:24Please like and subscribe, and we will talk with you all in a couple weeks.
- 24:27Thank you.
- 24:27Bye.