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Episode 282 - 5/20/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello, and welcome to episode 282 of the All Systems Go sports
• 0:25
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:28
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:37
  Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena,
• 0:40
  guys, as the early portion of our week rolls on and we got a
• 0:44
  lot to get to today. And usually I say that and
• 0:46
  again, we'll rattle off our three pack.
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  But you know what? I found a play here in the NBA
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  playoffs. I found a play in the NHL
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  playoffs. One side 1 total as well as
• 0:56
  again, another loaded slate of MLB action.
• 0:58
  So I actually have a 5 pack of sweats.
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  Count them, bust out your your left or right hand, count those
• 1:02
  fingers. Five overall, we'll see if we
• 1:05
  can get three or more eek out a winning day, but three MLB, one
• 1:09
  NBA and one NHL on a big Tuesday.
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  Now, that being said, looking back to our last night, guys,
• 1:15
  one of those brutal days, you know, again, some you win, some
• 1:18
  you lose, some you throw away. That was a throwaway night.
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  Just brutal. O and 3 -, 3 units.
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  Cubbies let us down. They were actually down early,
• 1:26
  clawed their way back. They actually had the lead and
• 1:28
  they were getting ready to end the game.
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  They were two outs, bottom of the ninth.
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  They brought in this young kid, Palacios.
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  So I was thrown like 100 miles an hour to close out the game
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  and get a win for us. He gets the first two outs.
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  Then was he? Do I believe he walked someone?
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  Maybe he walked another guy gave up a hit and then a game-winning
• 1:45
  hit by who was at De La Cruz. So a blown save from the Cubbies
• 1:49
  to start our night. Not good.
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  And then the Giants and the A's both let us down.
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  That the Giants game was kind of a great game.
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  It was nothing, nothing deep, deep, deep into that.
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  I think it was 7th or 8th inning and there's an opportunity for
• 2:00
  the Giants, couple guys on 2nd and 3rd lined into a double play
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  and then the next very next inning pass Cantino, the big
• 2:07
  lefty there for the royal set of Homer.
• 2:09
  So that was frustrating. Then the A's, A's lose as well.
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  You know what's even more annoying about that A's loss is
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  that they're going up against literally the worst bullpen in
• 2:18
  baseball. The bullpen ERA for the the Los
• 2:22
  Angeles Angel Angels 6.92 ERA, literally the worst in baseball.
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  And we have the A's losing 4 to 3.
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  Can't score a single run late in that game to give us the win
• 2:33
  there. So sometimes you win, sometimes
• 2:35
  you lose, sometimes no breaks go your way.
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  But we're not gonna get down on ourselves.
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  We're gonna continue to grind, scratch and claw.
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  See if we can eke out a winning day for today.
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  I want to start off with some NBA and NHL postseason action
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  because we've been grinding baseball pretty much every day.
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  But after last night, frustrating night.
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  They're going to get the second-half of the pod here
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  today. But I did notice 2 plays in the
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  postseason for NBA and NHL, one side, 1 total.
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  So let's just start talking about both of them.
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  Let's start off with the early game here today, 8:00 Eastern
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  Time, Florida and Carolina. Obviously this is the Eastern
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  Conference finals. We have game one here tonight,
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  8:00 in Carolina. One thing that was notable to me
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  is really a little bit of line movement, you know, toward
• 3:19
  Carolina. Carolina opened this game like
• 3:21
  -120 they're up to around -125 -, 130.
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  And there is a big rest advantage because Carolina's
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  been off since the 15th. Remember, they beat the Caps, I
• 3:31
  think it was 123456 games, whereas the Panthers went seven
• 3:35
  games against Toronto. They last played on the 18th,
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  but what I really focused on is the total here.
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  I'm looking for a lower scoring game now.
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  I played the under 5 1/2 in this one.
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  Couple things that brought me to this conclusion. 1 is just
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  looking at how the betting market is reacting to this one.
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  We open this game with a total of 5 1/2 low total, but it was 5
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  1/2 under like -115 -, 120. Now it's 5 1/2 under -130 -,
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  140. So big, big juice increase.
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  Basically the juice on the under, it's become more
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  expensive and pricey to play the under.
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  Tells me a lot of respected under money came in to force the
• 4:12
  odds makers to kind of make you pay that higher price.
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  But the juice going again from -115 to -130 shop around.
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  I got -130 I believe was either Caesar's or ESPN bet, but some
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  books are as high as -140. But aside from the juice
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  movement, the bet splits look pretty good.
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  If you look at DraftKings, 41% of bets and 58% of dollars are
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  on the under, and then at circa 85% of bets, 90% of dollars are
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  on the under. So we have low bets, higher
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  dollars under. We got under getting juiced up.
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  We also have two really good defensive teams.
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  You'll get both Florida and Carolina, really top, top
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  echelon defensive clubs here and their goaltending, knock on
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  wood, has been really good this postseason.
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  Bob Rovski for the Panthers, 2.31 goals against this
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  postseason, 9 O one save percentage and Frederick
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  Anderson, who's expected to start for Carolina, he's got a
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  1.36 goals against in the postseason, 916 save percentage.
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  It doesn't hurt that Carolina is a big under team.
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  They're seven and three to the under this postseason that is
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  tied for the best in the NHL. So even though again, it's kind
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  of nerve racking to, you know, you're going to have to bite
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  your fingernails with me to play this under and just hope for a
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  lower scoring game, but all the market indicators are telling me
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  to play this under. So that's what I'm going to do.
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  Again, juice on the under has gotten more expensive.
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  Great bet splits, 2 good defensive teams, 2 good
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  goaltenders. Carolina's been again tied for
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  your best under team in the NHL postseason.
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  I'm taking a shot on Florida. Carolina under 5 1/2.
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  Let's get a three to two Game 2 to one, Game 2, nothing game,
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  whatever it takes just five or less.
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  That's my play here, Florida and Carolina.
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  Now over to the NBA. We have game one of the Western
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  Conference Finals between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the
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  Oklahoma City Thunder. Now this one jumped out to me
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  for a couple different reasons. So it's an 830 game tonight.
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  Obviously it's a heavily bet primetime game.
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  OKC is the favorite at home. But what's notable is kind of
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  this liability on Minnesota Timberwolves in the points.
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  Now the bet splits didn't really jump out to me too much.
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  It was mostly 5050. Slight, slight majority on
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  Timberwolves plus the points. But what I noticed across the
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  betting market is really a lot of liability movement either
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  staying the same or moving toward the Timberwolves because
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  a lot of books open this game. Oklahoma City Thunder -7 or -7
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  1/2. A lot of these 7 1/2 are down to
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  seven. And I do know one book that's
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  actually down to 6 1/2. So it's notable that this line
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  never got up to 8 or 8 1/2 at either.
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  It was 7 1/2 staying 7 1/2 or 7 1/2 down to 7.
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  The other angle that jumped out to me with the juice is that all
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  the plus 7 1/2's are really getting juiced up -115 -. 120
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  telling us that again, maybe this thing closes at 7.
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  So I'm going to take the points with the T Wolves tonight.
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  Now we have the liability across the market getting juiced up and
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  moving toward Minnesota. I look at my rhythm splits here
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  or my rhythm predictions, and they're basically all telling me
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  Minnesota or nothing. I had one model that had
• 7:16
  Minnesota plus 7.4, another model 7.2 and then another model
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  6.5 S Basically, if you're getting the hook 7 1/2 and this
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  is important, you got to shop for the best line because those
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  7 halfs are available. I got Minnesota plus 7 1/2 at
• 7:30
  -114 at FanDuel. But again, rhythm is basically
• 7:34
  saying it should be a 6 1/2 to 7 1/2 point game.
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  You're getting 7 1/2. You're on kind of the the side
• 7:40
  that again hopefully will be covering this number.
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  But aside from the movement liability toward the T wolves
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  and rhythm telling us, hey, leaning T wolves on this one.
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  This to me is a big rest first tired system match because
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  there's a lot of data that kind of backs up the idea of fading
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  A-Team after A7 game series and it makes a lot of sense.
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  You got to go seven games. It's back and forth.
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  It's high intensity, high anxiety.
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  It's also physically taxing. You're just literally playing
• 8:08
  more playoff basketball. And the advantage here would be
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  to the T Wolves because Oklahoma City, yeah, Game 7 wasn't home
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  and they won that game. But that was just back on the
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  18th. So they only had, you know, a
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  couple days off here going to today's game.
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  But remember, the Timberwolves, they have been off since the
• 8:25
  14th. So the Timberwolves,
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  Timberwolves got rid of, you know, obviously the Warriors in
• 8:30
  a pretty short series and obviously Steph Curry got hurt.
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  But that is a big rest first tired advantage.
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  T Wolves have been off since the 14th.
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  OKC just played on the 18th and again, fading a game seven team
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  that had just had to go the distance versus A-Team that's
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  rested and ready to go. Especially, you know, kind of a
• 8:47
  veteran team, Conley and Randall and Gobert.
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  Obviously Anthony Edwards is a young guy, but some of those
• 8:53
  veterans getting those extra days off could be a benefit.
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  So we have basically line either staying the same, moving toward
• 8:59
  the Timberwolves. We got rhythm telling us it
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  should be as low as a 6 1/2 point spread.
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  We have a huge rest first tired advantage on the Timberwolves.
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  So add it all up here, guys. I'm going Minnesota in the
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  points, but here's the important thing, you got to get that 7
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  1/2. You got to find the hook.
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  I got plus 7 1/2 at -114 that is at FanDuel.
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  Now over to Major League Baseball, even though it was a
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  frustrating night last night. Hey, sometimes you get the walk
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  off win, other times you get walked off on.
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  Unfortunately that happened to us with the Cubbies last night.
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  But let me give you my 3 plays here for today.
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  You can again play these, pick and choose whatever you want to
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  do. But I am officially ticket in in
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  hand here for these three. So first one, Cincinnati Reds at
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  the Pittsburgh Pirates. This is a relatively early game,
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  6:40 PM Eastern Time. Let's set the stage talk line
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  movement and I'll give you my play for this one.
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  So the Reds are coming in 25 and 24 member they struggled early,
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  brought in Terry Francona as their manager and they've really
• 9:56
  played very well as of late. I believe they've won a few in a
• 10:00
  row here at this point. But anyway, Reds 25 and 24.
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  They just won the opener last night 7 to one over the Pirates
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  cruising as a - 115 Rd. favorite in the rematch here for tonight,
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  we got the Reds going with the ready Nick Martinez.
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  He's been pretty good two and four 3.66 ERA Pirates who are 15
• 10:17
  and 33. They're going to go with the
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  lefty Bailey falter. He's two and three four point O2
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  ERA. So what have you seen across the
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  market? Well, nothing but steam on Pete
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  Rose's red legs. Pete Rose sat on attack.
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  Pete Rose this game opens Cincinnati as low as a -, 120 -,
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  125 Rd. favorite. We've now seen Cincinnati get
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  steamed up -145 even as high as -150 or -155 S pretty good one
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  way movement in favor of the red legs.
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  Now I got Cincinnati -145 at bet MGM.
• 10:49
  You may still have bet MGM at that number.
• 10:51
  I think that's still might be available.
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  But again, shop around because other books are as high as -150
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  -, 155. But aside from the line move,
• 10:58
  pretty good splits here on the Reds. 80% of bets, 81% of
• 11:03
  dollars at at DraftKings. Then at Circa, this really
• 11:06
  caught my eye. 89% of bets, 99% of dollars.
• 11:10
  So heavy, heavy, lopsided one way action in favor of the Reds.
• 11:13
  Which on its own doesn't make me love the Reds.
• 11:16
  It's more of the line move because it tells me smart money
• 11:18
  came in on Cincinnati. But Reds do have some good
• 11:21
  correlative betting value. We have a favorite becoming more
• 11:24
  of a favorite with a low total of 8 and leave it even open. 8
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  1/2 got down to 8. Looks like there was some under
• 11:30
  money there and it's just up. Like it made me get down to
• 11:32
  seven and a half. A lot of these books are 8 under
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  -115 and aside from the line move, the splits, the
• 11:38
  correlative betting, we do have the Reds with the better bats.
• 11:41
  They're hitting 2:45 this year. 53 homers, 227 runs scored.
• 11:46
  Pirates, meanwhile, only hitting 21633 homers, 142 runs scored,
• 11:51
  and in particular last 10 games, they're swinging a pretty hot
• 11:54
  bat. We have Cincinnati hitting 258
• 11:57
  in their last ten, Pittsburgh's only hitting two O 7.
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  Lastly, our guy Nick Martinez hopefully pitches well tonight.
• 12:03
  He's got a 1.89 ERA and three May starts.
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  He's been pretty good, only giving up four runs and 19
• 12:08
  innings pitched. And the Reds do have the better
• 12:10
  bullpen as well, if we have to sweat this one in the later
• 12:12
  innings. 3.34 ERA versus 4.61 for the Pirates.
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  And oh, by the way, Cincinnati four and O straight up here
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  against the Pirates this year. So big steam move.
• 12:23
  You had me at the steam move. But we have some good splits.
• 12:27
  Good, good. Really not a ton of system
• 12:29
  matches, but good offensive advantages head to head.
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  Good pitching lately from Martinez and some better offense
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  here. So I'm going to ride Francona's
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  red legs. I got Cincinnati at -145 next
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  one for you. 7:40 PM Eastern Time, first pitch the Orioles
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  against the Milwaukee Brew Crew. Now going in this one we got the
• 12:51
  Brewers 23 and 25. They won that inter league
• 12:54
  series opener last night 5 to 4 cashing as a -, 115 home
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  favorite rematch. Tonight we got the O's who man
• 13:01
  they are bad. Hope they stay bad tonight
• 13:02
  because I'm going. Brew Crew of the Orioles are 15
• 13:05
  and 31. They're going to go with the
• 13:07
  lefty Keegan Aiken who's O&O 3.27 ERA.
• 13:10
  Meanwhile the Brewers are going to go with the righty Logan
• 13:13
  Henderson. He's 2 and O 2.45 ERA.
• 13:17
  So what do you see across the market here?
• 13:18
  Well, pretty good one way steam in favor of the beer makers open
• 13:23
  this game with Milwaukee listed as low as a -, 115 -, 120 home
• 13:28
  favorite. We've now seen Milwaukee get
• 13:30
  steamed up to -130 some shops even as high as -140 DraftKings
• 13:35
  Brewers 80% bets 81% dollars at circa 87% bets 90% dollars.
• 13:42
  So really, really good pro and Joe split there in favor of
• 13:45
  Milwaukee in this spot. A lot of system matches lighting
• 13:48
  up for me on Milwaukee. One would be the classic
• 13:50
  interleague favorite. So that lack of familiarity
• 13:52
  benefiting quote UN quote the better team.
• 13:54
  But we also have home favorites who made the playoffs the
• 13:56
  previous year, 153 and 7667 percent, 7% ROI.
• 14:02
  Non division home favorites off a win with Steam $0.05 or more,
• 14:06
  81 and 4067 percent, 6% ROI and when both teams are below 500,
• 14:12
  just take the favorite. Very simple system but that's 54
• 14:15
  and 2668% with a 9% ROI. We also have Milwaukee pitching
• 14:21
  better as of late last 10 games, 3.65 team ERA.
• 14:25
  Baltimore big reason why they're struggling.
• 14:27
  They just are not pitching well. Hopefully that continues tonight
• 14:30
  and Milwaukee gets to Aiken, but they have a 5.63 ERA in their
• 14:34
  last 10 games. Brewers in the spot in
• 14:36
  particular, they've been pretty good as a chalk favorite. 16 and
• 14:39
  770%. Nineteen percent ROI and home
• 14:43
  Rd. splits hopefully benefit Milwaukee.
• 14:45
  They are 14 and 9 at home this year.
• 14:47
  Baltimore only 7 and 16 on the road.
• 14:50
  So the Orioles have been bad again.
• 14:53
  I'm I'm I'm not one to be scared of backing a bad team if they're
• 14:55
  sharp, but it looks like smart money here is going Milwaukee.
• 14:58
  So I got the Brew Crew guys, got a -, 130 at BET MGM.
• 15:01
  I think they're still around -130 But shop around again some
• 15:04
  looks as high as -140 now a revenge game out in San Fran.
• 15:11
  Kansas City Royals, San Francisco Giants.
• 15:13
  San Fran let us down last night. Let's get a winner here tonight.
• 15:17
  9:45 PM Eastern Time. First pitch we have the Royals
• 15:20
  coming in 27 and 22. They won the opener last night 3
• 15:24
  to 1, cashing as a + 115 Rd. dog pitching matchup tonight,
• 15:28
  hopefully favoring San Francisco.
• 15:31
  They're going to go with the righty Hayden Birdsong.
• 15:33
  He's one and O 2.31 ERA. He'll be opposed by the Royals.
• 15:36
  Michael Lorenzen, he's three and four 3.76 ERA.
• 15:40
  What are we seeing across the market here?
• 15:42
  Well, good one way movement in favor of the G men.
• 15:46
  Giants open this game as low as a -, 130 home favorite.
• 15:50
  We've not seen the Giants get steamed up to -140 some shops
• 15:53
  now as high as -145 or -150. So just like Cincy and
• 15:58
  Milwaukee, good one way movement in favor of the G men.
• 16:01
  DraftKings has some pretty good splits on the Giants. 67% bets,
• 16:06
  81% dollars. And then at Circa this really
• 16:08
  jumped out to me. Only 55% of bets but 88% of
• 16:13
  dollars. Going here with San Francisco
• 16:17
  once it's the match that I like. A non division sweet spot
• 16:19
  favorite. So if you're between -135 and
• 16:22
  -160 and you're a non division matchup, those teams are 85 and
• 16:27
  5362 percent 4% ROI this year. The G men in particular, 15 and
• 16:33
  671 percent 15% ROI as a home favorite.
• 16:37
  So even though they even though they let us down last night,
• 16:39
  they have been pretty good when they're chalk favorite at home
• 16:42
  giants. Meanwhile, 12 and 763 percent
• 16:45
  13% ROI after a loss. So typically they bounce back,
• 16:48
  which again is probably why we're seeing some movement here
• 16:51
  on San Fran. Also we have the G men
• 16:54
  correlative betting favorite low total total.
• 16:55
  This one is 8. It's juiced under -115 -, 120.
• 16:59
  So again, line moving to the favorite and juice and movement
• 17:02
  toward the under fewer amount expected run scored more likely
• 17:05
  to come from quote UN quote that better team.
• 17:08
  The G men have the more explosive bats didn't prove last
• 17:10
  night, but they do have 50 homers, 223 runs scored versus
• 17:16
  Royals, 31 homers, 160 two runs. Lorenzen, listen to this for
• 17:20
  these home Rd. splits for these pitchers.
• 17:22
  Lorenzen at home has been incredible, 0.95 ERA, but on the
• 17:26
  road and he's on the road tonight, 5.35 ERA.
• 17:30
  Meanwhile, Hayden Birdsong 3.68 on the road, not terrible, but
• 17:34
  at home 1.69. So Lorenzen's been a fate on the
• 17:37
  road. Birdsong has been a a play at
• 17:39
  home. That's where they're at tonight.
• 17:42
  G men also 16 and eight overall at home.
• 17:44
  Royals 10 and 13 on the road. So we got some good, good steam
• 17:48
  revenge spot system matches, home Rd. splits.
• 17:52
  Let's see if the Giants can get us a win tonight after letting
• 17:54
  us down last night. I am on the G men got a -, 140
• 17:58
  again. Shop around because some books
• 17:59
  are as high as -145 -, 150. So Reds, Brewers, Giants, can we
• 18:04
  find a way to get two or more of those?
• 18:07
  That about does it for episode 282 of the All Systems Go sports
• 18:11
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 18:13
  Of course. This is the part of the pod
• 18:14
  where we wrap things up. And I start first by saying, as
• 18:17
  always, thank you. Thank you for taking the time
• 18:20
  out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
• 18:22
  the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdowns
• 18:25
  with me. When those are draw, we keep
• 18:27
  fighting every day. That's that's the name of a game
• 18:29
  when you're a grinder in a difficult market.
• 18:32
  But if you do enjoy the pod, you want to let me know you
• 18:34
  appreciate the insights each day.
• 18:35
  Please give this podcast a five star review on Spotify or
• 18:39
  iTunes. If you want to leave a nice
• 18:41
  comment under the review section, I'll take it.
• 18:43
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• 18:48
  as it drops each day. Next, if you enjoy the style of
• 18:52
  betting breakdown, tracking the market, reading the line
• 18:55
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• 18:58
  juice reel and Rhythm have for us each day.
• 19:00
  If this style of betting appeals to you and you want to learn
• 19:02
  more about data-driven betting, I would love for you guys to go
• 19:05
  buy my book, My first book. It's called the Everything Guide
• 19:08
  to Sports Betting. Just go to Amazon.com and type
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• 19:13
  Pick up a copy for you or for a friend.
• 19:15
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  person or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up
• 19:25
  a bankroll management plan, all included in the Everything Guide
• 19:29
  to Sports Betting. While you're on Amazon, stay on
• 19:32
  Amazon and then type in the NFL Sharp Betting playbook.
• 19:35
  My new baby comes out. What is it?
• 19:40
  August 12th. We're getting closer and closer
• 19:42
  each day but cannot wait to get that out to you guys cuz I'm
• 19:45
  really proud of it and working on it for over three years at
• 19:47
  this point. But if you want to pre-order a
• 19:50
  copy of the book, it'll get dropped by a drone at your front
• 19:53
  porch. August 12th right on cue.
• 19:55
  But you would make me happy and make my publishers happy and I
• 19:58
  think you didn't. You'd enjoy it cuz everything
• 20:00
  you hear me talk about and more is located especially from an
• 20:04
  obviously only NFL driven perspective.
• 20:06
  But pick up a copy of the everything guide in the NFL
• 20:09
  Sharp Betting Playbook and you know what you can do?
• 20:11
  You can bring them to the sports book.
• 20:13
  I'll buy you beer or ginger ale. We'll get some nachos.
• 20:16
  We'll sweat some games together. We'll have a good night next.
• 20:19
  Have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Real yet?
• 20:22
  My two favorite sports betting apps.
• 20:23
  They help me win. They're going to help you win.
• 20:26
  So Rhythm, of course. Fantastic for their AI backed
• 20:28
  models and predictions for game bets and player props.
• 20:31
  WNBA is live don't worry if you're WNBA better, we are going
• 20:35
  to hit on some WNBA this year just waiting to waiting to go to
• 20:38
  see a good system match light up.
• 20:40
  But also if you're playing NBA playoffs again, we got the all
• 20:44
  the predictions I mentioned earlier for this Minnesota OK C
• 20:47
  game, but also if you're a player prop person got all your
• 20:50
  player props listed there. Then of course Juice Reel where
• 20:53
  you can support the pod by signing up for the all systems
• 20:56
  go best bet picks, which will be available to you only and
• 20:59
  exclusively on the Juice Reel app costs $4.99 a week.
• 21:04
  You'll get all those plays and you'll be locked and loaded
• 21:07
  ready to go, hopefully beat some closing numbers.
• 21:10
  But also you're going to get the Robo Jackson best bet picks, the
• 21:12
  sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage plays, as well as
• 21:16
  syncing up your sports books and getting a report card of your
• 21:19
  action to keep you honest. And you'll learn hey, what
• 21:22
  sports I'm good at, what bet types I'm maybe need to work on
• 21:25
  a little bit more. But then you'll also get the
• 21:27
  actual betting dollar breakdowns for every game based on people
• 21:31
  who have synced up their sports books to the app.
• 21:33
  So download Rhythm and download Juice Reel.
• 21:36
  Give them a five star review in the App Store.
• 21:38
  You'll be off and running making data-driven plays each day.
• 21:41
  Next, do you have a live odds page?
• 21:44
  You need a live odds page. First off, what is a live odds
• 21:47
  page? It is a, a basically a website
• 21:50
  page that you go to that is constantly moving, changing and
• 21:54
  shifting as the betting market moves.
• 21:55
  And it gives you every game on the board. 1st is the better I
• 21:58
  got to know what can I bet on today?
• 21:59
  Gives you all the games, the start times, the live scoring,
• 22:02
  the live line odds. You're going to get the opening
• 22:05
  number column that never moves and then all the current updated
• 22:08
  prices to the right. You can shop for the best line.
• 22:11
  You can see your page get lit up in red as soon as the line
• 22:14
  changes. It really helps you to identify
• 22:16
  which direction the lines moving, where the smart money's
• 22:19
  at. You can pull up the line
• 22:20
  history. And the biggest important
• 22:22
  question to me is when to place your bet.
• 22:24
  You identify something that's sharp and you're like, Hey,
• 22:26
  should I bet it now because it's the best I'm going to get?
• 22:29
  Should I wait because maybe it'll move?
• 22:31
  Well, basically the the odds page is a great job of with the
• 22:34
  juice prices. And then when you see a big,
• 22:36
  big, you know, market setting global book like like Pinnacle
• 22:40
  or Chris or or Circa start to move, then you know, hey, the
• 22:44
  markets moving and my little old FanDuel or DraftKings or
• 22:47
  whatever, they're going to move soon.
• 22:48
  So I better hit them now before the market changes.
• 22:51
  But there are a lot of live odds pages out there.
• 22:53
  But you know what the best one is?
• 22:55
  Odds Logic, you got to go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
• 23:00
  Again, Odds logic.com/josh 123. Once you do that, you'll get a 7
• 23:05
  day free trial of the Odds Logic live odds page plus 50% off your
• 23:09
  first month of service. So give it a shot.
• 23:12
  Again, Odds logic.com/josh 123. So that about does it for
• 23:17
  episode 282 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
• 23:21
  powered of course, and always by rhythm.
• 23:24
  But as we wrap up the pod here, I'll leave you with a couple
• 23:26
  things, whether I see you at the board got it in Atlantic City,
• 23:29
  Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
• 23:32
  Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in
• 23:35
  Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino, REMG, Springfield or the
• 23:38
  Nash in Nashville, New Hampshire and my neck of the woods or of
• 23:42
  course, and I'll tell you, I'll just tell you this real quick.
• 23:45
  So I had my septic tank pumped out today for the first time.
• 23:48
  We moved into my house a little over three years ago and I won't
• 23:52
  get into the nitty gritty, but basically needed the septic tank
• 23:57
  pumped out called Lacombe. They're fantastic.
• 24:00
  If you're like me and live, you know, in the metro West north
• 24:03
  area outside of Boston, that's who you got to go with.
• 24:06
  But a 21 year old kid showed up. It was his 21st birthday.
• 24:10
  I pumped out my septic tank, just a great kid and I was like,
• 24:14
  hey, how you celebrating your birthday?
• 24:15
  Said I'm going to the Nash tonight betting legally for the
• 24:18
  first time. So I was talking sports betting
• 24:20
  and he was pretty cool dude. So shout out to my guy at
• 24:23
  Lacombe. Happy birthday and hope you hope
• 24:26
  you win some bets at the Nash tonight.
• 24:28
  But outside of there, of course, on the desert where the true
• 24:30
  grinders get down, where Billy Walter sends his number runners,
• 24:33
  where the lowest use possible is found at the South point where
• 24:36
  Sweat and sharp can train plays, jumping in the stadium swimming
• 24:38
  pool. When you catch a big ticket at
• 24:40
  circle, you're going to walk up to me.
• 24:41
  We're just going to shake our heads with blown saves and teams
• 24:45
  letting us down last night. Wash, rinse, repeat.
• 24:49
  Let's let's bounce back tonight, guys.
• 24:51
  First one's on me, next one's on you and we'll sweat some some
• 24:54
  winners here tonight at the book.
• 24:56
  But as always, guys, O and three, three and O, 1 and 2, two
• 25:01
  and one. Good night, bad night, great
• 25:03
  night, terrible night. Somewhere in the middle.
• 25:04
  We always got to keep grinding because we know they'll be days
• 25:07
  we sweep the board, they'll be days we get swept.
• 25:09
  That's just kind of the name of the game when it comes to sports
• 25:12
  betting. The margin of error is very,
• 25:13
  very thin. And hey, we need humans on the
• 25:16
  field to do what we want. And we know sometimes that's
• 25:18
  very difficult to do. But you know what, you know we
• 25:21
  got to continue to do? Just stick to the model, stick
• 25:23
  to the blueprint. Not get too high or too low,
• 25:26
  Stay even. Keeled.
• 25:27
  Marathon, not a Sprint, if we can stick to that model, betting
• 25:30
  games with our head and not our heart, against the public, with
• 25:32
  the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays, get that
• 25:36
  CLV. We can do that long term.
• 25:38
  I'm confident we're going to be successful sports bettors.
• 25:40
  So have a great night everybody. I will see you back tomorrow on
• 25:44
  a big Wednesday. That'll be episode 283 of the
• 25:47
  All Systems Go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
• 25:51
  Good luck everybody, and enjoy the baseball and the NBA and NHL
• 25:55
  postseason action Good luck.