Latest / DarkHorse Podcast / The History of Vaccine Hesitancy: Jeffrey Tucker on DarkHorse
Transcript
- 0:00Hey, folks, welcome to the DarkHorse Podcast.
- 0:03This is going to be a good one.
- 0:05I am sitting with my friend Jeffrey Tucker, who is the president and is it fair to say founder of the Brownstone Institute, where I am a proud fellow.
- 0:17Before I say more about what I see at Brownstone and ask Jeffrey what he sees, Jeffrey, welcome to DarkHorse.
- 0:23Well, it's so nice to be here.
- 0:24Thank you so much for having me.
- 0:26I'm really looking forward to this discussion because I think I'm going to tell you some things that you don't know.
- 0:34Wow.
- 0:35You know, it would not be the first time.
- 0:36In fact, I would say I was thinking back in preparing for today's podcast.
- 0:43I don't think I've missed a gathering of Brownstone since the first one you invited me to.
- 0:49I can't remember exactly when that was.
- 0:51But I'm hooked because Brownstone is many things and describing it is not a simple matter, but I think it is the only institution of any size that I have been part of or witnessed from the outside that seems to function as intended.
- 1:13It's it's quite an accomplishment.
- 1:15Well, and that's a consequence of a lifetime of experience in seeing things go wrong.
- 1:22So right.
- 1:24So once you eliminate all the things that you know go wrong, then you're left with maybe an institution that could possibly function well.
- 1:34I'm going to knock on wood, but so far it's really I'm just thrilled.
- 1:38We have a tiny staff and you see what's happening to the separate clubs.
- 1:41We've got now 15 separate clubs.
- 1:43I think we're going on 20 all over the country.
- 1:45Most of them sell out every single week.
- 1:49We've got now we're working on our 20 second book.
- 1:54I'm putting the finishing touches right now on a book that I think you're just going to love.
- 2:00It's the first book on the Great Berenson Declaration.
- 2:05And and the book is edited by Martin Kulldorf and Jay Bhattacharya.
- 2:09And the purpose of the book is to just provide a thorough documentation of the declaration, the FAQs, the defenses of it, the attacks on it, the disputations, the debates, the disputes and everything that unfolded from that.
- 2:24And if you can believe it, this book is it's going to be I think we haven't done the index yet, but it it could be about 750 pages.
- 2:34All right.
- 2:34So this this I don't know how many in my audience will be well familiar with Brownstone.
- 2:40I think everybody will have encountered it somewhere and probably scratch their head as to what it is.
- 2:45And it's hard to put your finger on.
- 2:48It's part publishing house.
- 2:50It's part.
- 2:53You know, I would say it's a salon in the best sense of that term.
- 2:58You have gathered people from widely divergent backgrounds, many different walks of life.
- 3:08Maybe I'll name a few people who show up there.
- 3:14Ron Johnson and Thomas Massey, Robert Malone, Warner Mendenhall will be less well known, but he's kind of the the tip of the legal spear on fighting covid tyranny.
- 3:31And, gosh, there are so many fascinating people.
- 3:36And so the salon part, I will say you have.
- 3:41Wisely, you know, to go back to your point about avoiding all of the mistakes that you've seen, my favorite aphorism with my children, they're absolutely sick of me saying this, is that good judgment comes from experience and experience comes from bad judgment.
- 3:58And if you could just figure out all of the things you've seen that don't work and avoid them, you're you're well on your way to something that might work.
- 4:07And anyway.
- 4:10Brownstone works.
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- 8:45Bret, one of the things that I think you recognize from academia is that the intellectual world in general has a major problem that people get burrowed down in their specializations and don't end up communicating outside their specialty.
- 8:59And this is true ideologically too.
- 9:01It's like, okay, I'm a conservative here.
- 9:03My conservative friends have a liberal here, my liberal friends.
- 9:06I'm an economist.
- 9:07I like to be with economists.
- 9:08And so, um, I'm a monetary economist.
- 9:11So I like to be with other monetary economists.
- 9:13Trade of comments I don't care about.
- 9:15Right.
- 9:15So, uh, natural sciences, don't talk social sciences, lawyers don't talk to, don't talk to medical people.
- 9:22But for whatever reason, in 2019, we were a seriously intellectually segmented society where we just didn't have occasions for these, uh, masters of these various disciplines to share information with each other, which is to say they were not in a position to learn from each other.
- 9:42And I think this is a lot of the reason why the world broke.
- 9:46Right.
- 9:46So, um, so we had, uh, the micro microbial kingdom acting up and then the economists would say, well, I don't know anything about that.
- 9:57Lawyers, that's not really my area.
- 10:00You know, uh, preachers, uh, theologians, I don't know anything about viruses and how to control, you know, epidemiology.
- 10:07Nobody ever taught me about that.
- 10:08Um, so everybody just kind of bowed out to the entire intellectual world.
- 10:13Just said, well, that's what law let essentially Fauci cut, you know, handle this for us.
- 10:19Right.
- 10:20And, and it was tragic.
- 10:22People are scared to engage in areas that are not their area of codified certified specialization.
- 10:30And that left, uh, the world in the hands of fanatics who ended up, uh, launching a kind of a crazy tyranny.
- 10:40And we're all dancing around this crazy kabuki dance, uh, scripted by, by some wackos in Washington who had only one concern, which is to preserve the immunological naivety to this particular pathogen for as long as possible.
- 10:58In advance of deploying a, an inoculation and innovation on the, on the, on the, on the public to see how this new technology works.
- 11:09That was the agenda.
- 11:11And everybody else was just supposed to shut up and it kind of more or less worked.
- 11:16So when I started Brownstone, I really thought, you know, we need serious environments for all these different people to talk to each other so we can learn from each other.
- 11:26Um, the lawyers can learn from the medical doctors, medical doctors can learn from the economists and so on that.
- 11:33And also we have no ideological litmus test, right?
- 11:37I'm not demanding that people fly this flag or that flag.
- 11:41And as a consequence, I mean, you say how exciting these things are.
- 11:45This is why they're exciting because you've got collegial engagements with people who, who have a different, um, intellectual formation.
- 11:55They have different books that are their favorite books.
- 11:57They have a different apparatus in their minds and they're willing to share that with people, um, as a, and that forces us to talk in ways that are communicative and make sense.
- 12:10So it serves as a test of our own ideas against extremism, against dogmatism.
- 12:17Just to know you're sitting in front of a lot of really intelligent people who might not know anything about your field of study.
- 12:23So now you've got to make sense.
- 12:25That is a brilliant opportunity.
- 12:27I think that's why you like it so much is why I like it so much.
- 12:30Well, if I can add a one piece that I think it'll be obvious to you in retrospect, but this is the conundrum of being a broad-minded evolutionary biologist is that you're over in the biology wing of the academy, but cellular biology, the geneticists, the molecular biologists, they do not think in evolutionary terms.
- 12:58Why not?
- 12:59Well, it's a pure accident of history that their field developed when there wasn't a lot of opportunity to say very much about how it interacted with evolution.
- 13:09And so they sort of take evolution as, you know, the one sentence survival of the fittest, whatever they have in their minds.
- 13:16And so they assume, well, I don't understand why that's a field, but I can do that.
- 13:21I understand the basics.
- 13:23And they don't realize that actually evolution is the interdisciplinary glue that holds all of biology together.
- 13:33So when COVID happened, Heather and I were simultaneously not a specialist in any of the disciplines, but were as much as an evolutionist is specialized, specialized in the stuff that links all of the things under discussion.
- 13:51Everything from the human interactions to the evolution of the virus, to the impact on the immune system of an inoculation, all of these things are viewable from evolution.
- 14:02So yes, the fragmentation of the intellectual world is a disaster.
- 14:09It's a disaster.
- 14:09It's a lip service to interdisciplinary, but we don't do it well.
- 14:15And so, and I also think what you've described, I've often argued that peer review is not the same as review by peers.
- 14:25If it was, we'd all be for it.
- 14:27But what you're talking about is defining peers differently.
- 14:33When we say peer review, we're talking about your immediate competitors and friends in your tiny little corner of the discipline, right?
- 14:41That's not who, that's not the standard that we should judge whether your work is any good.
- 14:46We should, if you can't explain it to somebody in an adjacent discipline, you probably don't understand it very well if it's even true at all.
- 14:54So you've gathered people, you've very wisely set essentially no rules.
- 15:03You've purged all of the stuff that people don't like from your gatherings, which is jarring at first.
- 15:11It's like, there's not a lot of structure, but it leaves, as you say, the lawyers free to learn from the doctors and vice versa.
- 15:20And it's mind blowing what you come across because everybody, everybody is forced to speak in English, not jargon.
- 15:29And I learned things.
- 15:32I think the real test is people get up to go to the restroom during the conference, but nobody wants to be out of the room.
- 15:43People hurry back.
- 15:44If they have to go to the restroom, they don't feel good about having to leave.
- 15:48And so, you know, what conference have you ever been to where people are so eager to be in the room that, you know, everybody's there and nobody's taken an excuse to go outside and chat?
- 16:00Yeah, it's a little disorienting, I think, for people who are, have been socialized in the modern, modern economic life.
- 16:05You, you mentioned the segmentation within the field of biology.
- 16:08I'm just going to give you a quick example from economics.
- 16:10I mean, first of all, economics long ago separated itself from the other social sciences and social sciences from the national sciences.
- 16:18So we've already got a, an isolated group here.
- 16:21Well, they now, you know, broken down into tiny little groups.
- 16:24So, um, we have a major problem in this country with, with trade controversies that are, that are intersecting with the role of the dollar as, you know, a world reserve currency.
- 16:34Okay.
- 16:35So that requires at least two fields of economics, monetary economics and trade economics coming together to try to understand something.
- 16:43Well, those are completely separate fields and they don't talk to each other.
- 16:48Um, to trade people don't know anything about money or if they, if they do know, they don't feel like they have the right to talk about it.
- 16:56And the opposite is true too.
- 16:57And so as a result, we've just got, it's like, it's crazy chaos out there and it doesn't make any sense.
- 17:04So I just, I give that example just to affirm that this is true in every discipline, not just, uh, biology.
- 17:11So yeah, bringing people from all different, all these different fields together to learn from each other, you know, a lot of this grows out of when COVID happened, all our intellectual communities were shattered.
- 17:25I mean, we didn't, we didn't have them anymore.
- 17:27All the, the, the friends we used to know the institutions around which we once rallied the safety net, you know, the social infrastructure that we all depended on just sort of weirdly went away.
- 17:39Our friends betrayed us or institutions betrayed us.
- 17:42We found cowardice when the police expected it.
- 17:44Uh, we found people pursuing careerist, uh, uh, strategies for survival.
- 17:49We never would have expected that.
- 17:51So we came into 2021 without much.
- 17:56And during those, I started Brownstone, uh, over the course of the summer and the fall and then had the occasion to meet with, you know, Tom, Tom Harrington.
- 18:05And Tom comes from a completely different field of studies, humanities, uh, language professor and languages and Spanish language, Hispanic studies, uh, a man of the left for sure.
- 18:21Um, but just a really engaging kind of person.
- 18:25And he and I sat in my living room and we couldn't stop time.
- 18:31I mean, we would talk.
- 18:33I'm going to say like three or four nights a week, we would sit, he would sit on one sofa, I would sit on the other and we would talk for four and five hours at a time.
- 18:42And, and why were we doing this?
- 18:44We were both real.
- 18:46It's like the, it felt like the first time in years that we were in a position to share ideas with you, disagreeing on a top ton of topics in good faith, pushing back on each other.
- 18:59What about this?
- 19:00What about this?
- 19:01You should, you know, this thinker.
- 19:02I don't know that thinker.
- 19:03Tell me about that thinker.
- 19:04Well, he's this.
- 19:04Do you know this thinker?
- 19:05I don't know that thinker.
- 19:06Tell me about it.
- 19:07And so it was this magical evenings and they just went on for, I'm going to say like two months or a month or two.
- 19:16And then out of that experience, I thought everybody needs to see what this is like.
- 19:23Like if you care about ideas and you care about just understanding the world around you, you can't just do that in isolation, much less with just people who are agreeing on your, your dogmas, right?
- 19:35That's just not going to get you to where you want to go.
- 19:40Um, the progress in an understanding comes only through this confluence of, of differences put together in good faith without a lot of ego and at a burning passion to know what's true.
- 19:55So the separate clubs were founded with that idea and they're open to the public and they better keep going.
- 20:01And I try to keep a lid on them for a long time until they finally, at the end of this year, you know, they just went wild all over the country.
- 20:07So yeah, it's because we need this.
- 20:09That's it.
- 20:09We just need it.
- 20:11So, uh, again, I'm sort of focused on, on why your project works and, you know, if I try to reverse engineer what you've got a, when you see it and you experience it, it feels like the intellectual life that I think we all naively thought was widespread and occurring differently in all these institutions.
- 20:37And, you know, for, for those of us who've been in the academy, it's shocking how little of it there is.
- 20:43You know, I had a very good graduate lab that I was in that did have that characteristic, but it was very rare elsewhere that I could see.
- 20:55So you sort of get the sense that maybe it doesn't exist or it hasn't existed in a very long time.
- 21:02And then in the Brownstone context, I would say, if I'm to describe what I think you're doing, you're bringing people together who seem to have two characteristics, there are two fundamentals that you have to have.
- 21:17One is you have to bring something to the table.
- 21:21You have to understand something or have an approach to something that is generative and you have to play well with others.
- 21:31You have to be able to be a part of a good faith discussion.
- 21:35And what that means is there are lots of people who have something to bring to the table, but who are, you know, what you might call in computer terms, read only, you can hear what they have to say, but you can't affect them.
- 21:47They're not listening.
- 21:48Those people aren't there.
- 21:50Instead, you have people, you know, Ryan Cole would be, you know, it's amazing how many people who have been on DarkHorse are circulating in Brownstone.
- 22:00But, you know, what exactly is Ryan Cole?
- 22:03Well, he's obviously a pathologist, but he's also, you know, a philosopher and, uh, you know, a farmer with a million really difficult hobbies, like making musical instruments and things.
- 22:19Anyway, that's a rare mind and he doesn't come through the door as just, you know, a doctor expert on the pathology side of things.
- 22:28He comes through as a wise person who's seen some stuff that almost nobody else has.
- 22:35So anyway, the magic of gathering people who all, you know, very little ego, lots of interest in adding to the discussion, things that actually enhance it.
- 22:47Anyway, it's a more basic.
- 22:49So, Brad, one of the things that, um, it's so, you have to be willing to change your mind too, right?
- 22:55I mean, that's not, we don't have a form we have to sign, but that helps.
- 22:59So we had David Stockman, I remember at one retreat and there was, I guess it was Toby Rogers was raging against the BIDOL Act, you know, passed in 19, what, was that 80, 82?
- 23:10Um, which allows the NIH to share in patent royalties with pharmaceutical companies, right?
- 23:18And billions of dollars are shared in these patent royalties, which you look at that, you think, well, that's really corrupt.
- 23:24But we were talking about, well, it turns out David Stockman was in Congress at that time and he was sitting right there.
- 23:29He was Reagan's first budget director.
- 23:32And he spoke out and he said, you know, I can't believe it.
- 23:35I voted for this thing.
- 23:37Wow.
- 23:38What was I thinking?
- 23:40And so I said, well, David, what were you thinking?
- 23:42And he said, well, I think the attitude back in those days was that private enterprise was coming up with amazing innovations every day and bad government bureaucrats who are risk-averse were blocking them and stopping them from, you know, giving their great products to the country.
- 23:59So we were trying to find a way to break through the bureaucracy.
- 24:03So how about we give the rewards to the bureaucracy for when they approve drugs and then that those rewards, we contingent on the profitability of the product.
- 24:15It seemed to make sense to us.
- 24:20That is that is a wild story.
- 24:23I mean, and it makes sense on both sides, really.
- 24:28I mean, Toby Rogers, who has also been a guest on DarkHorse, is in his in his quadrant, he's a walking, talking red pill.
- 24:39Yeah, it's it's it's terrifying, actually, because much of what he has to say is.
- 24:46It's beyond horrifying about what we've done and what he's what he's unearthed.
- 24:51So anyway, amazing that Stockman is not defensive in light of this, but he's actually searching his own mind to figure out what his motivations were in light of Toby Rogers, presenting it in a context in which it's obviously insane.
- 25:05He's raging against himself.
- 25:07I can't believe I bought this.
- 25:09And another example of this was the 1986 Vaccine Injury Act or whatever, the thing that indemnified all all the vaccine companies against against liability for for harm, so long as they ended up on the schedule.
- 25:25So he explained that this one was a very similar situation.
- 25:29Recall that this was happened under under Republican Congress with the Republican president.
- 25:34Right.
- 25:35So Stockman said, if you think back those days, there was clearly a manufactured liability crisis.
- 25:43There were books coming out.
- 25:44Oh, what are we going to do about the liability crisis?
- 25:47The courts are being clogged up with these superficial lawsuits, frivolous lawsuits, frivolous lawsuits.
- 25:57We're going to destroy America.
- 26:00We they're going to destroy free enterprise because you can't make something in the famous example.
- 26:04The lady gets burned by the McDonald's coffee cup and the drive through.
- 26:09Susan McDonald's, oh, McDonald's now has to pay all these litigation costs.
- 26:12The judges are like, oh, there's another stupid lawsuit.
- 26:15The jury's are about to.
- 26:16You got this impression at the time in the mid 1980s that the entire world is collapsing because of frivolous.
- 26:23What turns out?
- 26:26It turns out there's only one industry that actually managed to use all that propaganda to its advantage.
- 26:32And that was the vaccine.
- 26:34They're like, yeah, that's a great point.
- 26:36There's too many frivolous lawsuits.
- 26:38You need to indemnify us against any lawsuit.
- 26:42So they end up being the only industry in the country that that has a complete ability to crank out product after product with absolutely no accountability from the public whatsoever.
- 26:54So now looking back at it, you know, to what extent was all that the crisis of liability actually generated by the industry that it benefiting from the crisis?
- 27:05Right.
- 27:06Very interesting.
- 27:07So Stockman is reflected on that too, saying this is a disaster.
- 27:09I can't believe I believe that at the time.
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- 29:32Yeah, it's amazing.
- 29:33The propaganda, you know, when you're in the line of fire, the propaganda is strangely compelling.
- 29:41But if you figure out where to stand outside of it, you realize, you know, a couple of things about the liability shield for vaccine manufacturers.
- 29:50One, it was specifically granted because vaccines are not safe.
- 29:57This is what the industry said.
- 30:00And they couldn't be made safe.
- 30:01And therefore the industry effectively threatened the Reagan administration saying, we're not going to produce them if we don't get this.
- 30:08So, you know, all of this safe and effective stuff that we've been told downstream of that is a direct contradiction to the reason that they have this immunity from liability.
- 30:17But the other thing is as an evolutionary biologist, if you tell me, here's what we're going to do, we have a reason, maybe it's even a good reason.
- 30:25We're going to give this industry immunity from liability.
- 30:30I can tell you what's going to happen.
- 30:32Wildly dangerous products for very simple reason.
- 30:35The fact is, if you're limited to only selling safe products, your profit is going to be X.
- 30:41And if you can sell any product and not suffer the cost of the harm you do to other people, you'll make vastly more.
- 30:47So even if there were companies that intended to sell good vaccines, they will be out competed by the ones that sell crappy vaccines and pretend they're good.
- 30:55So this was just a guaranteed evolutionary outcome of that piece of legislation.
- 31:00Any economist or any evolutionary biologist would have would have predicted that and now we're living under the consequences.
- 31:07And this is what got me into this very interesting industrial history of vaccines.
- 31:11How come this?
- 31:13This one industry keeps, which is arguably the most powerful industry in the world.
- 31:18I mean, what other industry was able to prevail upon 194 nations all at once to shut down their economies and destroy civil rights to wait for them to produce their product?
- 31:28I mean, like nothing like that has ever happened in human history.
- 31:31I conclude from that, that vaccine industry is the most powerful industry probably in the world.
- 31:35So what is it about this industry that makes it so mystically the benefactor of government privilege?
- 31:46And how long has this gone on?
- 31:49So I began to go back in history and landed in 1902 with the Biologics Control Act, which is a fascinating history.
- 32:02We can talk about that.
- 32:03But then through the origin of public health in the 1880s, why did vaccines get grafted onto that?
- 32:11That's very interesting because you think about public health.
- 32:14Public health is obviously a benefit to everybody.
- 32:17Right.
- 32:18So clean water benefits everybody, harms nobody.
- 32:22Clean air benefits everybody, harms nobody.
- 32:25Good sewage benefits everybody, harms nobody.
- 32:28Vaccine industry is like, hey, don't forget about us.
- 32:32Well, what do you bring into the table?
- 32:34A lot of benefit.
- 32:35Yeah, but I mean, a lot of harm, too, right?
- 32:37Yeah, it's utilitarian calculations show us that we produce more benefit than more harm.
- 32:45Okay, so that makes it a complete outlier in the suite of causes we consider to be public health.
- 32:53All the other causes, clean water, clean food, you know, a good sewage, refrigeration, whatever you want to talk about, clean streets, those are good for everybody.
- 33:04Vaccines kind of, you know, rode the coattails of public health to gain this industrial privilege, which they almost lost entirely after 1901, when about five cities simultaneously experienced a vast injury and death from the new diphtheria and tetanus vaccines.
- 33:26And there was massive public outrage.
- 33:30We're sick of these people.
- 33:32What do they think they're doing to us?
- 33:33We put up with this crap long enough.
- 33:36And so the vaccine industry went to Washington in 1902 and said, listen, you've got to do something.
- 33:43We're losing quickly, losing public support.
- 33:46You've got to declare it safe and effective by cracking down on bad vaccine manufacturers.
- 33:51Get rid of the riffraff out there and just codify good, safe vaccines from us.
- 34:00And the result was the Biologics Control Act, which is a complete product of industry lobbying.
- 34:06And that's what the was the beginning of what became the NIH.
- 34:12So it was an industry creation to rescue the industry from the consequences of its own failings.
- 34:19So now you've got government going, this is safe and effective.
- 34:22And people are like, oh, well, there's a lot of injury and death, but I guess they fix that.
- 34:27This just keeps happening.
- 34:29And so anyway, I traced it all the way back to the origins with Edward Jenner in 1776, who incidentally was not the inventor of the vaccines.
- 34:41That was invented by a farmer 20 years earlier named Benjamin Jesty, who never got the credit because he was a mere farmer, whereas Edward Jenner was a fancy scientist who became surgeon general to the King George IV.
- 34:58So the farmer gets no credit for cross immunity, but Jenner gets all that.
- 35:03Well, that's a very common pattern in the history of science.
- 35:07If you look at the great discoveries, it's amazing how frequently somebody had it who didn't have the skills to or the position to get the credit.
- 35:19And, you know, even in Darwin's case, where I will say Darwin is the right the right person to have gotten the credit.
- 35:28There are two things that are important to understand about how that happened.
- 35:32One, there is a very early.
- 35:38Somebody writes a paragraph in which he outlines the theory of natural selection.
- 35:46A hundred years earlier, I it's fascinating.
- 35:50I don't think Darwin ever saw it.
- 35:52So I think Darwin genuinely created the idea, but somebody was way ahead of him.
- 35:56But maybe even more to the point.
- 36:00Darwin did not have the features of character that would have allowed him to get the credit.
- 36:08He needed a bulldog.
- 36:10And the point is that de facto partnership between Darwin and Huxley is why we correctly record that Darwin was the inventor of this idea.
- 36:23What's more, in the first edition, maybe it's in all of them, but certainly in the first edition of The Origin of Species, Darwin does something that would be ludicrous in modern times, which is he pleads for the scientific community to take care of Wallace.
- 36:47So his direct competitor, who also independently had nailed the theory and had had to email, he wrote a letter to Darwin.
- 36:56It was not an email at the time, but wrote a letter to Darwin saying, Mr.
- 37:01Darwin, I understand you're working in this area.
- 37:04Could you take a look at my work?
- 37:05So he knew that Wallace was going to get the prize, which spurred him to finally complete his work.
- 37:13But Darwin, instead of trying to hide Wallace, actually pleads for him to be taken care of financially and otherwise, which anyway...
- 37:23That's very sweet.
- 37:25Yeah.
- 37:27Jenner never credited Benjamin Jeste.
- 37:30He was a poor farmer.
- 37:32You know, there's another funny thing about this, Bret.
- 37:35I've been wanting to talk to you about this, right?
- 37:38Because I think it's a little bit mysterious.
- 37:41When Edward Jenner came out, this is 1796, he did some experiments, so did Jeste, by the way.
- 37:47His experiments were just simply taking pus from cowpox, right, and applying it to open incisions.
- 37:56There weren't injections those days.
- 37:58So they're still doing the strategy of variolation.
- 38:01So you open up a couple of incisions in the wrist, rub the pus on there, and then test to see if you've created immunities to smallpox.
- 38:09The result was you have.
- 38:11OK, so Jenner somehow...
- 38:16Like, I don't understand how this happened, but just all throughout the Western world was celebrated, not just as a great discoverer, not just as a great scientist, but the prime example of what enlightenment values can achieve for the world.
- 38:35Enlightenment values, enlightenment strategies, enlightenment evidence-based testing, and so on.
- 38:43So to the point that Thomas Jefferson became a wild fan.
- 38:49And imagine writing a fan letter to a scientist from America to Britain, which he did in 1801 or something like that.
- 39:00So he's like president, but he writes a love letter to Jenner.
- 39:05What you have done is going to go down and history is the greatest thing.
- 39:08So there's something mystical about this.
- 39:11Like, first of all, Jenner's achievement here was not uncontroversial.
- 39:19In fact, the surgeon to the Princess of Wales, who hilariously is named John Birch, if you can believe it.
- 39:30But anyway, his name is John Birch, raged against the vaccine and went around the country chronicling vaccine injury, saying this vaccine is dangerous.
- 39:40You've got to stop it.
- 39:41Published monograph after monograph, ran polls.
- 39:43He tried to collect vaccine injuries stories, and he did.
- 39:47There's a publication in 1807, it was reprinted again in 1817, published and circulated all over the country.
- 39:54These were extremely controversial products.
- 39:58So I guess from the beginning, they were controversial, you know.
- 40:03So I just don't understand how it is that vaccines as a technology or as an insight across immunity and injections didn't come along to 50 years later.
- 40:14Why did they benefit so heavily from almost a mystical belief in them that that they represented the best that modernity had to offer?
- 40:27All right, I want to address that.
- 40:30But before I do, let's just say you've written a very concise piece describing this full history, including what you blazed through a few minutes ago, which is that although most of us think that the NIH was created with a noble purpose and then captured by industry.
- 40:51In fact, it was created by industry and it was sort of captured from the get go, which puts our modern circumstance in a very interesting.
- 40:59I definitely prove that in my article.
- 41:00Definitely.
- 41:01That took me a long time.
- 41:02So I'm very proud of that.
- 41:04Well, I mean, the article is mind blowing if you've been embedded in this battle.
- 41:10You know, like me, you've been waking up to not only, you know, initially, Heather and I woke up to the horror of the covid vaccines just based on the fact of how novel they were, how poorly tested they were and how incapable of doing the job they were supposed to do.
- 41:28They obviously were.
- 41:31But then, you know, once you.
- 41:34Start looking under that rock and you start thinking, well, what's under the other rocks and you look into the rest of the vaccination program, it's pretty scary that none of these things are tested against an inert placebo.
- 41:46They're required by government.
- 41:49There is a clear embedded transfer of well-being.
- 41:53You are taking a risk and it may not be you that you're trying to save.
- 41:59So there's there's a lot to be said.
- 42:01And I really appreciate that your article for the first time I'm aware of anybody doing it goes back and says, well, how far do all of these patterns that we now are fighting about go back?
- 42:13And it turns out that vaccine vaccine injury goes all the way back.
- 42:17Not surprisingly, the industry strong arming government goes back.
- 42:23The mythology that doesn't match the evidence goes all the way back.
- 42:28And it.
- 42:31I do think that there's a.
- 42:33There's a piece of this, which is a civilization's function based on mythology.
- 42:41And I'm not saying that in a pejorative sense.
- 42:43I'm not saying that it's lies.
- 42:45I'm saying that we tell ourselves stories that allow ourselves to function.
- 42:49And those stories get captured.
- 42:51So the point is, there's a mythology about the founding of the U.S. that.
- 42:58Isn't exactly true, but it's true enough.
- 43:01It allows us to understand.
- 43:03We love it.
- 43:04Yeah.
- 43:05And, you know, sometimes I say you can't write a myth, you can write a narrative.
- 43:09And if it's a good one, evolution will turn it into a myth over time.
- 43:15But anyway, the point is, what we're really talking about is the mythology that is necessary for us to function and what happens to it in the context of power players and money and things like that, where they capture the mythology and they convince us that we know who the good people are, the good people are the ones who go to the doctor and get the injection that makes us all safe from disease.
- 43:38And the bad ones are the crazies or the selfish ones who because there's some tiny little risk of something, aren't doing their part to protect the entire planet or whatever the thing is.
- 43:50And the point is, this mythology is somebody's position statement that they have lodged in a kind of religious place in the in the population.
- 44:00And of course, this would be the result of it.
- 44:05You know, why why is it?
- 44:06Why is it why is it vaccines in particular?
- 44:09Well, we never had this religious attachment to steam, steam ships or steam power or or the telegraph, you know, to get people to accept internal combustion.
- 44:23You know, didn't require an internal, an official internal combustion agent by the US government, but propaganda and demonization of people who are against it.
- 44:34This is very strange that vaccine as a product has always had this huge thing.
- 44:40One one of the things that's fascinating is there's always a vaccine agent.
- 44:43Right.
- 44:44So in the in the in the US case, it was James Smith, right?
- 44:48Who was considered to be the Edward Jenner of America.
- 44:51And he writes James Madison, a letter saying, you know what?
- 44:56We got it.
- 44:56We just had this terrible war of 1812.
- 44:58You know what that means.
- 44:59Wars means sickness and deaths, smallpox.
- 45:02So you need to appoint me the vaccine agent.
- 45:04I've got the stuff.
- 45:06Make me the sole vaccine agent for the country.
- 45:08And I will inoculate the population, especially the troops.
- 45:13And James Madison says, wow, excellent point.
- 45:17OK, so here you have a government that barely exists.
- 45:24I mean, what was the federal government even doing in 1813?
- 45:27Right.
- 45:29But now suddenly James Madison is rallying around a product to distribute to the American people for free and even mandating that the Pony Express has to deliver it if requested by a single monopoly provider named James Smith, who claims to be the Edward Jenner of America, because he's got all the vials in his lab.
- 45:54This actually happened.
- 45:56Why did this happen?
- 45:57What what is it?
- 45:59I don't know.
- 45:59It's just mystically interesting.
- 46:00And of course, the result was vast injury, vast death.
- 46:05At some point, he mixed up some vials.
- 46:06He started giving, you know, smallpox vaccinations, where you're meant to give cowpox vaccination, created a smallpox epidemic in like three cities.
- 46:17One, I think it's called the Tarboro Institute.
- 46:19I have it in my article.
- 46:20Finally, the public was just fed up and raging against these vaccines.
- 46:25And Congress repealed the act in 1822.
- 46:28We were done with it for a while.
- 46:29But anyway, I just I don't know.
- 46:32Maybe it maybe there's no answer to this, but why vaccination in particular?
- 46:38So I think you nailed it up top.
- 46:43Where?
- 46:46I mean, if you think about it, obviously early, well, maybe I don't have it because the early vaccinations weren't injections.
- 46:55Right.
- 46:55They were.
- 46:57They were not injections.
- 46:58Yeah.
- 47:00The only only innovation was the discovery of cross immunity from cowpox to smallpox, and that you could do this from an animal to a human and and improve the health of the human being.
- 47:15Yeah, that's the mythology.
- 47:16The mythology around this was that milkmaids were seemingly immune to smallpox.
- 47:24And because they had gotten cowpox, which is a nearly harmless disease that they pick up while they milk in cows.
- 47:33But OK, I still think we can we can rescue this.
- 47:38If you are living in an age where enlightenment is changing the landscape in palpable ways.
- 47:49And you are told.
- 47:52That all of the terrible misfortunes that come from pathogenic disease are actually addressable if we elegantly intervene in this way that we have discovered through, you know, experiment and observation, that the promise of that seems so great that the.
- 48:14The consumer, the citizen ends up.
- 48:19Doing.
- 48:21A lot of the work on their end, convincing themselves that it's true, talking themselves into the idea that this is elegant and all benefit.
- 48:32But again, something I learned from your article, which, you know, in retrospect, I should have expected it.
- 48:37But the idea that there was an anti vaccine sentiment from the beginning and that there were, you know, embarrassing cases in which massive harm was done to people.
- 48:50It's like, oh, well, of course, if this is the style of intervention you're going to do, you're you're basically yes, in principle, you can inform the immune system of something it should know ahead of time.
- 49:01That's that's that's a beautiful idea.
- 49:04But all of the ways that it can go wrong need to be in the calculus.
- 49:08And they aren't because, well, frankly, because of bad motives and self delusion.
- 49:15And confounding variables.
- 49:19Right.
- 49:20So like in the case of the Civil War, we had vaccine mandates for both sides, the North and the South both wanted their troops vaccinated, thoroughly vaccinated because they didn't want some epidemics of smallpox breaking out in the middle of a war that would guarantee that one side would lose.
- 49:35Right.
- 49:35So they wanted mass vaccination, which but in the pursuit of which they would go to the hospitals, find people who died from smallpox spots, scrape off their scabs and essentially reviving the old practice of variolation.
- 49:49Right.
- 49:51But the problem was that, yeah, the person might have died of smallpox, but they're carrying a lot of other diseases also because it's friggin wartime.
- 50:02So syphilitic infected smallpox scabs were very common.
- 50:08So the vaccination spread syphilis all over the North and the South.
- 50:13And we have huge records of vast injury and death from diseases other than smallpox because of the attempt to variolate against smallpox.
- 50:25So that's just one example.
- 50:26Like, well, hold on.
- 50:28Sorry, I don't I don't mean to keep interrupting you, but there's so many things.
- 50:31I'm sorry.
- 50:31This is going right here.
- 50:33But OK, so there's an error obvious in retrospect where, OK, you're trying to get.
- 50:42Effectively, an inoculant from sores of a person infected with smallpox.
- 50:49As far as the argument goes, that's sensible enough.
- 50:54But you're taking it from a human being and a human being is capable of harboring many different human pathogens.
- 51:05And this same.
- 51:06So the point is, you should expect what else am I bringing in along with this?
- 51:10It's an obvious question.
- 51:11But this mistake is then repeated with the polio vaccine, which has grown in monkey kidneys.
- 51:18And the point is, well, OK, yes, you're concentrating on the thing you're trying to do.
- 51:24I'm trying to grow polio virus in monkey kidney cells because it will grow there.
- 51:31OK, do those monkeys have anything that a human could get that you don't know about yet?
- 51:37This is what you know, this SV 40 promoter that's in the covid vaccines.
- 51:42This is where it came from.
- 51:45SV 40, simian virus 40 came accidentally from the cultivation of polio vaccine in monkey kidneys.
- 51:53They didn't know it was there.
- 51:55And so.
- 51:56The idea that, well, OK, I know what a vaccine is supposed to be.
- 52:01It's supposed to be a killed pathogen.
- 52:05It's supposed to be an attenuated pathogen or it's supposed to be fragments of a pathogen.
- 52:09That means I have to grow pathogen.
- 52:09The part they don't tell you is that they're going to have to grow it in something.
- 52:14And if they're going to have to grow it in something and it's a pathogen of people, it's probably going to be something close enough, relate closely enough related to people that they will have other pathogens in there that we've never even named or noticed.
- 52:27And we will discover after we have used this stuff that it wasn't perfectly Puorified out.
- 52:34And, you know, how many people have died of cancer because of SV 40 from a polio vaccine?
- 52:37And, you know, this probably also accounts for all the vaccine injury in the early 1800s that were carefully chronicled by John Birch.
- 52:48I mean, if you're even under perfect conditions where you've got cowpox from from the hand of a milkmaid and you scrape it off and you've got this vial of it.
- 53:00Well, there's there's there's other things you don't know.
- 53:03What other diseases was the milkmaid carrying besides the virus?
- 53:05What diseases was the milkmaid carrying besides the cowpox pus?
- 53:10What diseases was the cow carrying that she milked?
- 53:14So you're actually so it's very interesting.
- 53:16And John Birch makes this argument that you're spreading disease.
- 53:20You're not preventing disease.
- 53:21You're actually spreading it.
- 53:22So I don't think there's an obvious answer here.
- 53:24It could be one or the other.
- 53:25But as you said, there's so many varials, so many things that could go wrong.
- 53:30Yes.
- 53:31And, you know, boy, there's so many threads here, but.
- 53:37To go back to your very first point, I think, not only did the public health.
- 53:44Top officials take control of civilization and stage a coup against medicine.
- 53:52But they happen to be people who were also involved in creating the damn pathogen in the first place, the ultimate irony, right, that that Fauci had offshored bioweapons research to the Wuhan Institute for reasons I still have never heard properly explained.
- 54:10But the idea that the guy who screwed up and was doing work that was too reckless to be imagined caused a pandemic and then he's the guy in charge of saving us is ludicrous on its face.
- 54:23But the part of the story that you have to be, I think, evolutionarily aware, deeply aware to understand is that the bioweapons research is motivated.
- 54:40Bioweapons makers are bored with the very short list of weaponizable human pathogens.
- 54:48It's well explored.
- 54:49None of them work in a way that is suitable.
- 54:53But they are also aware that for the 16 or so weaponizable pathogens that they've found, there are millions of undiscovered pathogens in other creatures and they are eager to find ones that have the two characteristics that make them useful as a weapon.
- 55:16One characteristic is that they can infect a human and the other is that they can transmit between people.
- 55:23And I think the third characteristic of that can be something against which we can inoculate.
- 55:32Well, the third characteristic would be you can inoculate and then there's a whole thread about whether or not the bioweapons research with Covid and the vaccines actually turned the whole thing on its head because the vaccines, since they cause the body to produce IGG4 antibodies, actually paradoxically attenuate the immune response if you've had two or more of these shots when they are exposed to the spike protein.
- 55:58So I don't know quite what to make of that fact.
- 56:00It's very frightening that it seems to accomplish the goal of bioweapons makers.
- 56:06But if you reverse the two populations, the inoculated people were not immune.
- 56:10They're vulnerable.
- 56:12But anyway, so I think what happened is they found, because there were six miners in Yunnan province in China who got sick from a bat coronavirus, three of them died and none of them ever transmitted it to anybody else.
- 56:29But when they got news of that, they thought, aha, we've got a pathogen that knows the first trick and we know how to teach it the second one, which is how to jump between people, right?
- 56:43Gain a function.
- 56:45So the the point I'm trying to make is if you are interested in making human beings safer from pathogenic disease, the absolute worst thing you can do is give any pathogen that is not currently infecting people a route to start infecting people.
- 57:09So the idea that you're going to grow the substances you need for your vaccine in the tissues of some creature that isn't a person opens the door to things moving into humans that would never have gotten there in the first place.
- 57:24So it's insanity that you would do that.
- 57:27You would need a mechanism that didn't require you to run that risk for this to be even something worth contemplating.
- 57:37You were at the retreat, I think, when we had a very knowledgeable and important person at the stand.
- 57:47And I asked a burning question I've always had, which was, did they know that the vaccine wouldn't really be effective from the beginning?
- 58:00And that it might even be dangerous.
- 58:02And if you already knew that, why would you risk the sort of moral status or reputation of an entire industry by promising that you're going to use a shot to get out of the pandemic that that actually knew was not going to actually produce any public health benefit?
- 58:21Why would you do this?
- 58:22And the answer came to us a very credible answer that it was a test of a technology.
- 58:30Do you remember that moment?
- 58:33I sure do.
- 58:34You know, this is...
- 58:37Brownstone has many threads and many purposes, but it keeping the proper most important questions of COVID alive so that we ultimately come to understand what happened to us and why seems to be central.
- 58:51And I will say I'm still wrestling even with that answer because although it very much does feel that this was a test, not just of a technology, but of an entire program of control, a program that was previewed in Event 201 in 2019.
- 59:18So, you know, I've asked myself and asked publicly if there's something special, if they needed us inoculated for some reason, because if they didn't, first of all, they could run a test on a much smaller population.
- 59:37You didn't need to inoculate billions of people in order to test this.
- 59:42That could be done at a much smaller scale.
- 59:44Excellent point.
- 59:46And if they had given us shots that were basically empty, maybe technically contained something, but not enough to matter, then given the slight of hand they played with all of the data and the statistics, they could have pretended that it worked.
- 1:00:08They could have declared that it had ended the pandemic.
- 1:00:12The injuries that you and me and many others feared would emerge wouldn't have.
- 1:00:18And we would have looked like we had been worried for nothing.
- 1:00:22So I think they would have won if they had used shots that just didn't have an effect and pretended that they had saved us.
- 1:00:31And the fact that they didn't do that is still a head scratcher to me.
- 1:00:36You know, you make an excellent point.
- 1:00:38And I think all the research we have bears it out.
- 1:00:41We had achieved very high levels of seroprevalence by the late fall of 2020 before the shot release.
- 1:00:53And you've seen the studies of South Dakota were showing, you know, 50 and 60 percent seroprevalence before the vaccine was ever released.
- 1:01:04So you're right.
- 1:01:05If they had just come out with, you know, a sailing shot or just nothing, everybody would have we would have achieved intimacy regardless.
- 1:01:15Already probably had.
- 1:01:18Then you could have just said, look, see, we fixed it with the vaccine.
- 1:01:22They didn't do that.
- 1:01:24They didn't do that.
- 1:01:25And it is the reason that so much of the public is awake and they're not fully awake.
- 1:01:32They don't know what they're awake to.
- 1:01:33But a lot of people know that something terrible happened.
- 1:01:35A lot of people fear the shots that they themselves took.
- 1:01:39And that was that was either about something, either injecting people had a purpose that we don't know, or it was, you know, the greatest own goal in history because they revealed how ready they were to lie to us that their quality control didn't exist, that they didn't think twice about it, that they would inject people who stood to gain nothing from this, people who had natural immunity, as you point to people for whom the risk couldn't conceivably be justified, like pregnant women, young, healthy children.
- 1:02:17And the fact is the disease, as much as I think it's more dangerous than we now give it credit for is certainly not deadly.
- 1:02:29You know, the data shows that it killed very vulnerable people, people who were already either very old or very sick or both.
- 1:02:39Ready to be ready to die from something, which was right.
- 1:02:41It pulled them forward a few weeks.
- 1:02:44But if they had just let it run its course and, you know, run in front of the parade and pretended that they were leading it, then the fact is Covid would have ebbed and, you know, the evolution of the virus itself would have made it less dangerous, which maybe is what happened.
- 1:03:04People who were vulnerable would be eliminated from the population.
- 1:03:08So the vulnerability of the population drops.
- 1:03:10It looks like, you know, it looks like the vaccine campaign worked.
- 1:03:14And in fact, there's this question across many vaccines is the stuff that they're given credit for addressing was ebbing rapidly in the first place.
- 1:03:26And, you know, is this just case after case of this industry running ahead of the parade and pretending to lead it?
- 1:03:33The great promise of the M RNA platform was that it was going to finally win the race against mutations, which has been going on for 75 years.
- 1:03:43You know, the the 5758 flu pandemic, they developed an inoculation, but only after the thing became endemic, losers.
- 1:03:55Same thing happened. 6869 flu pandemic.
- 1:04:00There was an inoculation.
- 1:04:01By the time it came along, there wasn't a market for it.
- 1:04:06So the great, so the great industrial challenge then was we've got to speed up the process.
- 1:04:12We've got to get the shot up before national immunity makes it irrelevant.
- 1:04:18Right.
- 1:04:18So and you can you can imagine there's a thinking here that, well, in the past, we are always late to the by the by the time that we got shot out, the virus had mutated or is already endemic.
- 1:04:33So it was a loser.
- 1:04:34Well, if we can get the shot up really fast, then we can save a lot of lives.
- 1:04:39OK, that makes sense.
- 1:04:41And this was the time that they were going to deploy this great new technology, which is all about speed.
- 1:04:48And but they didn't quite make it right.
- 1:04:50They didn't make it out in time because there's logistical issues.
- 1:04:53There's all sorts of things.
- 1:04:54There are also political issues that delayed the release of the shot.
- 1:04:58They didn't want to come in out under Trump.
- 1:05:01Right.
- 1:05:02Eric Topol, in fact, argued to delay it, revealing that he didn't care about human life either.
- 1:05:10Yeah.
- 1:05:10Fauci sent Fauci sent Moderna back to the trials because they didn't have enough diversity, racial diversity in their trials.
- 1:05:17So, yeah.
- 1:05:20But the whole goal was to get ahead of the mutations, really, to outrun nature, essentially.
- 1:05:26But they didn't.
- 1:05:28But that was the goal.
- 1:05:29So but they tried.
- 1:05:31And it was the fastest vaccine that we have on record.
- 1:05:34Right.
- 1:05:34From from detection to inoculation, we reduced the time by what, a year or two or something like that.
- 1:05:43But it wasn't it wasn't fast enough, like I say, in domestic.
- 1:05:45It was probably here in November and December of 2020, which is a fact that is so mind blowing to me when you think about it.
- 1:05:55Oh, it's stunning.
- 1:05:57And it's hard.
- 1:05:59It's hard not to be cynical about it.
- 1:06:01You know, OK, so it is in its own way impressive that we have radically sped up the timeline for creating vaccine injuries.
- 1:06:11But I'm not sure that's a good thing.
- 1:06:14Frankly, I think a little slower would be better.
- 1:06:18It's a really interesting point.
- 1:06:19But you know, Bret, to a larger point, I hope you kind of get my theme here.
- 1:06:24As an economist, I'm very interested in the question of product viability.
- 1:06:29What is an innovation that has its own energy?
- 1:06:32You know, where where is it?
- 1:06:33Customer base, it's efficiently produced.
- 1:06:36You've got manufacturers can profit by making it.
- 1:06:38People benefit from it enough so they're willing to trade their own property exchange to get it like hamburgers or air conditioning or anything else you can think of.
- 1:06:47Right.
- 1:06:47So the question is, is this fact?
- 1:06:50Do vaccines qualify in the same way as any other consumer product?
- 1:06:54I think by looking at the history, going back 225 years, the answer is apparently.
- 1:07:01In question, we don't actually know because at every single stage of this, there's been some intervention that's sort of provided a subsidy, provided a mandate, provided some propaganda.
- 1:07:14Here's your agency.
- 1:07:15Here's your indemnification.
- 1:07:16Here's your wartime mandates.
- 1:07:18Here's your fancy philosophy called utilitarianism.
- 1:07:22It's been so much apparatus thrown at this one thing for two and a quarter centuries.
- 1:07:31You know, you at some point have to ask the question, you know, is this a really viable product in a normal society with a producer consumer relationship?
- 1:07:42And I don't have the answer to that, but I would like to find out the answer.
- 1:07:46One possible answer is that there has been an ongoing revolt.
- 1:07:52For more than two centuries that keeps being stamped down like one of the things that's interesting, you think about 19th century media, not very big, not a lot of newspapers.
- 1:08:03There certainly wasn't an Internet or even cable news shows.
- 1:08:08But when the newspapers of several cities would simultaneously get wind of a tremendous amount of vaccine deaths, they would run it on front page and then the public would panic.
- 1:08:21And then the industry had a problem.
- 1:08:22All right, what are we going to do now?
- 1:08:24So that's when they go to government.
- 1:08:25Various things happen.
- 1:08:27Or in the case of 1822, Congress just said, just stop this nonsense.
- 1:08:34This has got to stop.
- 1:08:35But so every time there's there's public interest, the industry gets set back, they panic, they regroup, they find a new strategy, a new philosophical justification.
- 1:08:46They buy out some more doctors, some more journalists over here.
- 1:08:49So this is this.
- 1:08:52This has been going on for all this time.
- 1:08:53So what what I'm wondering is if maybe this time they went too far.
- 1:09:01I think they did.
- 1:09:03And I think it's clear.
- 1:09:04And we have to consolidate our gains in revealing what they did.
- 1:09:10But a couple of points along the way.
- 1:09:13One, I'm convinced by your article that once again, what we have discovered is that pharma is vastly more sophisticated than we understand in its ability to pull one over on us.
- 1:09:29Because it is the product of a long running arms race that we only just started paying attention to.
- 1:09:36So the selective environment in the arms race has turned it into a ferociously capable bender of reality when we've only just woken up to the fact that reality is being bent.
- 1:09:48So we're playing catch up with a very sophisticated creature that is very well armed.
- 1:09:57But a long institutional knowledge there on how to get around.
- 1:10:01Long institutional knowledge.
- 1:10:02So I've given a couple of presentations at Brownstone and I've talked about it on DarkHorse about what I call the game of pharma.
- 1:10:10Right.
- 1:10:10What I learned dragged into thinking about pharma in a way that I never had before during Covid is that we saw a game play out in which treatments for Covid that were good.
- 1:10:27Were portrayed as bad and dangerous.
- 1:10:30Treatments that weren't any good were portrayed as effective and safe and effectively underneath pharma.
- 1:10:39Pharma is, I would argue, an intellectual property racket.
- 1:10:43The game is you own a piece of intellectual property that has some plausible connection to health.
- 1:10:50It doesn't have to be true.
- 1:10:51It just has to be plausible.
- 1:10:53And once you have that thing, now what you need to do is it's patented and you need to create some research that makes it look promising.
- 1:11:04You need some research that makes it look like it outcompetes what we've already got.
- 1:11:10You need to make it look safe enough.
- 1:11:12And then the higher levels of the game, you need to get it declared the standard of care so that doctors are afraid not to prescribe it and afraid to prescribe anything else.
- 1:11:22If you're really, you know, on your game, you get it mandated, you get it paid for by the government, etc.
- 1:11:29So the point is, it's levels of the game.
- 1:11:30And we all caught up to this during Covid.
- 1:11:33But the point is, no, this is 24-7, 365 pharma on every one of these things.
- 1:11:39They're playing these games.
- 1:11:40And no, no kidding, they're better than us.
- 1:11:42We're like novice tennis players.
- 1:11:44You just walked out into the court with pros.
- 1:11:47Well, you can imagine what what pharma's reaction is to something like RFK showing up at HHS or Jay Bhattacharya showing up at HHS.
- 1:11:56We are going to end the corrupt capture of this agency by industry.
- 1:12:05Oh, really?
- 1:12:06Are you going to do that?
- 1:12:08You think you're going to do that?
- 1:12:09Yeah, this could be a fun little game we can play.
- 1:12:13But that's what's going on.
- 1:12:16It's I mean, the hope is brilliant and it's dreamy.
- 1:12:21And I want it to happen.
- 1:12:23But I mean, would these agencies even exist apart from industry capture?
- 1:12:29That's what's not clear.
- 1:12:30It's so baked into the the institution of the agencies, of the journals, of the science, of of of the media.
- 1:12:42Of so many institutions in this country, it's just politics.
- 1:12:49I mean, Trump is trying to get some sensible reforms through, but he can't he can't even convince Republicans of them because they're all in the pay of the industry.
- 1:13:01They're all bought.
- 1:13:02Well, there is a great line maybe you can resurrect.
- 1:13:05There's a great line in your piece about the near impossibility of distinguishing between.
- 1:13:15Regulation and regulators on the one hand and.
- 1:13:23Some kind of cryptic competition where you point out that the meat packing reforms loom in the public mind.
- 1:13:31Is this great moment where industry was brought to heel.
- 1:13:35But in fact, it was industry was big industry stamping out their little competitors by using the government to make it impossible for them to survive.
- 1:13:44Yeah, it's a classic.
- 1:13:45So that was nineteen oh six.
- 1:13:47And everybody kind of knows about this.
- 1:13:48They don't have the story right.
- 1:13:49But the theory was the meat packers were poisoning everybody.
- 1:13:53So the government said, oh, stop doing that.
- 1:13:56And and and showed up and cracked down.
- 1:13:59And therefore we had safe meat from then on.
- 1:14:01You know, the actual history of that.
- 1:14:03And I didn't mention this, but meat got less safe after it started being regulated because they started because the government was typically using a shoddy, much less strict method of testing safety of meat than the industry had been previously using because they didn't like having to test all the meat for safety.
- 1:14:24The government they worked with government to lessen the cost of testing.
- 1:14:27So they had government agencies.
- 1:14:29This is a true history.
- 1:14:30They would they used what they called the poke and sniff method of finely rancid meat.
- 1:14:34They come in with a pole and go carcass by carcass like that.
- 1:14:38Pull it out, sniff it, pull it up, sniff it.
- 1:14:40This went on for decades.
- 1:14:42Pull it out.
- 1:14:42What's that going to do?
- 1:14:44It's going to spread it, spread it, which is exactly what happened to the meat.
- 1:14:49It was less safe after than before.
- 1:14:51It's unbelievable story.
- 1:14:53But my point is, and I think this might have been for me, this was a new discovery.
- 1:14:59This very same dynamic had happened four years earlier with the vaccine industry, with the biologics control act of of nitrogen O2.
- 1:15:07And you know, Bret, it's a very interesting thing because I suspected this.
- 1:15:12But it took me.
- 1:15:15Several days of reading and research to be able to prove it like I just knew the industry was involved here.
- 1:15:21If you know anything about the progressive era and what was going on and how government works at this point, I've got a very sort of dark world.
- 1:15:29You know, I thought, you know, I bet this is actually an industry racket.
- 1:15:33And it took me about three days.
- 1:15:34But I finally found it.
- 1:15:36And I put all the evidence in my article.
- 1:15:39This is an entire industry scam.
- 1:15:41But the great thing about doing this research is it enabled me to go through all the pharmaceutical journals of 1901 and 1902.
- 1:15:49Wow.
- 1:15:50Reading this crap that they're saying.
- 1:15:53What I'm telling Bret, I think I mentioned this to you already.
- 1:15:56There's a quote this in the article, very common belief in the vaccine pharmaceutical industry at the time that vaccines would grant, would end the problem, the real problem of human beings, the real flaw of biology, which is mortality.
- 1:16:14And, you know, one of the top guys in that quote in the article, he says, you know, if we can get the if we can get the vaccines right and mix these substances, the right way, there's no reason why we shouldn't have no reason why anybody should ever die.
- 1:16:30Yeah, I mean, let's give it its credit.
- 1:16:33That's a hypothesis.
- 1:16:35It's not.
- 1:16:37Likely, but it's I mean, in 2026, it's so obviously wrong.
- 1:16:43But at the time, it is a valid hypothesis to imagine that maybe all the degradation of the body is the result of pathogenic infections that we don't know.
- 1:16:54And so if we can focus on these things and knock them down one by one, voila.
- 1:16:59Sure.
- 1:17:00But but it is just a wild hypothesis and obviously not correct.
- 1:17:07But the idea that they work themselves into a lather selling this stuff and then I mean, if I can go back and just retell a piece of your story here with an evolutionary lens.
- 1:17:22The problem, as I argue everywhere, is that we.
- 1:17:31People with incomplete expertise, which is to say, all of us have a strong tendency to not distinguish between things that are highly complicated, which we don't understand and things that are truly complex, which we don't understand.
- 1:17:44And we don't realize that those two things are very, very different.
- 1:17:49And, you know, your computer is completely understood, if not by one person, by a collection of people.
- 1:17:55There's nothing unaccounted for going on in there.
- 1:17:57It's complicated.
- 1:17:58It's not complex.
- 1:18:00A complex system like the human body, which is actually many complex systems layered in on each other and then civilization is more complex systems, economic, social and otherwise.
- 1:18:09But the point is, any time you cross the boundary from complex, from complicated to complex, you have entered a realm which is fundamentally unpredictable.
- 1:18:21And so.
- 1:18:24That haunts the story that you're telling in so many places, because on the one hand, yes, great insight.
- 1:18:32Excellent point.
- 1:18:33You're you're injecting something into a human complex system.
- 1:18:35You do not know what it's going to do.
- 1:18:41If you're lucky, you'll get the thing that you were trying to do right.
- 1:18:44But all of the other things it will do, you're going to have to discover in the aftermath of having done it.
- 1:18:49And if you blind yourself, you won't discover them.
- 1:18:52But at the same time, this weirdly outlook, I'm a I'm a born I was born into a liberal family.
- 1:19:00I still have strong liberal sympathies. But. The liberal wants to prevent any harm.
- 1:19:09And the idea that we might release a product and then discover its harm is anathema.
- 1:19:14I still feel like it's a terrible idea.
- 1:19:16So I don't want to wait for lawsuits by harmed people to solve a problem in the market.
- 1:19:22But what you're describing is a system in which that mechanism has been removed.
- 1:19:26It becomes a system that is not a problem. The mechanism has been removed.
- 1:19:29It becomes impossible to settle these questions in the court.
- 1:19:34So the manufacturers don't live in fear of being ruined if they hurt people.
- 1:19:38I want them to live with that fear because it's the thing that keeps me safe, most safe of all.
- 1:19:43And so, you know, at the economic level, we've disrupted a complex system with strange interventions that break the magic that makes it work.
- 1:19:53At the physiological level, we're intervening in these complex systems in ways that are guaranteed to cause unintended consequences, which we then pretend we don't see.
- 1:20:02It's like how many different layers of the story are we going to make that same error?
- 1:20:09You know, and you think about that 1986 and the modification a century earlier, vaccines that already received a philosophical indemnification in the form of the utilitarian calculus, you have to break some eggs to make an omelet, right?
- 1:20:25So yes, some people will be harmed, but the overall good will be there.
- 1:20:29And we can figure out this through mathematics or whatever.
- 1:20:35It's a strange thing because that same philosophical justification was never there for like why we should have clean water, right?
- 1:20:46You didn't need that fancy pants rationale.
- 1:20:49You know, it's like, well, this is going to be a benefit.
- 1:20:52And so it is with like practically everything else, but vaccines uniquely require this philosophical indemnification that happened sometime in the 1780s, 1790s.
- 1:21:02And then in 1904, we got the ultimate thing.
- 1:21:05We got a Supreme Court decision that said, you got to take it, even if you don't want to.
- 1:21:13That was Jacobson, a decision worth reading over because it is entirely sort of codified into all this utilitarian calculation.
- 1:21:23You know, you've got to take one for the team.
- 1:21:28That's interesting.
- 1:21:29I think you're the funny thing is so during COVID, public health staged a coup against medicine.
- 1:21:41Doctors were not allowed to treat their patients based on what they saw, based on their best guess at what was causing it.
- 1:21:47They weren't allowed to pool their insights and discover what a protocol was that might properly treat a patient.
- 1:21:53They were told from above, here's what you do for COVID and you better.
- 1:21:59Right.
- 1:21:59If you don't, you're going to lose your career.
- 1:22:02So that coup of public health against medicine means that we have jumped from treating an individual, which is something we can do, to imagining a population level solution, which obviously if it's clean water that we can do, but not when we're talking about intervening in their individual physiologies.
- 1:22:29That's a whole different ballgame.
- 1:22:31But what I'm getting a new here is I've been railing against utilitarianism because although in general, you probably do want whatever does the greatest good for the greatest number at the...
- 1:22:42That's the best possible outcomes for the most possible people, of course.
- 1:22:46Right.
- 1:22:46But utilitarianism can be used to justify absolutely anything, including slavery, genocide, concentration camps, you name it.
- 1:22:56You can come up with a utilitarian reason for doing that and it doesn't make it acceptable.
- 1:23:01So I guess the point, what I'm seeing newly here is public health and utilitarianism have a direct connection, which is they're both population level.
- 1:23:14Individual utilitarianism doesn't make sense because it's the greatest good for the greatest number.
- 1:23:18It's already a population.
- 1:23:19It's baked into utilitarianism.
- 1:23:23So the utilitarians have taken over civilization.
- 1:23:27They literally shut it down.
- 1:23:31It's an amazing fact.
- 1:23:33That is an amazing fact.
- 1:23:37And so now we have the perfect demonstration of what's in practice extremely dangerous about this.
- 1:23:43Your point about the disregard for the doctors I think is extraordinary, right?
- 1:23:49So the people who actually have experience dealing with respiratory disease, who have vast knowledge on what kind of therapeutics are perfect for a coronavirus, were shut down in favor of the theoreticians on behalf of this new industry, shut down and denied the right to treat their patients.
- 1:24:15I mean, that is an incredible thing.
- 1:24:17And I guess your point is that the justification for that was like, it doesn't matter what happens to your individual patients.
- 1:24:25Like, yeah, I know you got somebody who wants my perspective.
- 1:24:28That hardly matters.
- 1:24:29We're dealing with a much bigger issue here.
- 1:24:32We're saving the world, right?
- 1:24:35Yeah.
- 1:24:36It's preposterous on its face.
- 1:24:40And you mentioned ivermectin, which the public still does not understand what was done to it over this drug.
- 1:24:46But the problem with ivermectin is that-- so if I can just juxtapose a couple of things.
- 1:24:53Hydroxychloroquine was taken off the map with a diabolical study in which people were wildly overdosed with hydroxychloroquine and people died.
- 1:25:02So it was made to look dangerous when it wasn't.
- 1:25:05You can't do that with ivermectin because it's not toxic enough.
- 1:25:10It's like literally almost impossible to give somebody enough to kill them.
- 1:25:15So they did other things.
- 1:25:17They ran studies in which they wildly underdosed.
- 1:25:20They treated very late.
- 1:25:21They had cryptic caps in the protocols that caused fat people who were the most vulnerable to COVID to be underdosed relative to the rest of the population in the study.
- 1:25:30Every trick in the book was played to make ivermectin look useless.
- 1:25:35But the real question is, why would they bother?
- 1:25:40If it's really useless, what's the harm in letting people try it?
- 1:25:45And I'm afraid that the answer to that question has to be something like the following.
- 1:25:52If you allow people to use ivermectin, they will discover how effective it is against COVID.
- 1:25:57Why?
- 1:25:58Because like hydroxychloroquine, it is actually generally useful over RNA viruses.
- 1:26:04It's not like it was briefly hopeful.
- 1:26:08It would be weird if it didn't work for COVID because it works on all the other RNA viruses.
- 1:26:13So if they let people experiment with ivermectin, doctors will quickly discover how useful it is.
- 1:26:19At the point you introduce the vaccine, nobody will want it because there's a safe alternative.
- 1:26:23And why would I take something that turns out to be a gene therapy?
- 1:26:27If there's an off-the-shelf drug that does it and it costs nothing.
- 1:26:31Brad, I'm pretty sure that this makes perfect sense.
- 1:26:36The idea is you have to keep the population panicked and focused on the single solution to everything.
- 1:26:43I am pretty sure that this explains a lot of things.
- 1:26:48I think it explains the panic over the Great Brantian Declaration.
- 1:26:51Because you're thinking about that.
- 1:26:52I couldn't understand why everybody was against it because you look at it.
- 1:26:55It looks like just a very plain statement about public health.
- 1:26:58But it had a phrase in there that drove Fauci and everybody crazy, which was, "We can get through this with natural immunity." Through exposure and recovery.
- 1:27:13So that document comes out like three weeks before the shot rollout.
- 1:27:21And that was the reason.
- 1:27:22They had to stop that.
- 1:27:23They had to eliminate every possible other avenue apart from injection as a possible solution.
- 1:27:33I mean, vitamin D, forget it.
- 1:27:35Good sunlight.
- 1:27:37How about if I hang around with my friends and say, "Oh, you don't want to do that?" They literally sent you home, which was the most likely place to get it.
- 1:27:46But I take something slightly different.
- 1:27:48So just in case it's not clear to people.
- 1:27:53You and Brownstone are at the core of the Great Barrington Declaration, right?
- 1:27:59You were there at the inception.
- 1:28:02Is that fair?
- 1:28:03Yeah, that's correct, yes.
- 1:28:06So here's what I take.
- 1:28:08The issue with ivermectin was about keeping people panicked, denying them a remedy.
- 1:28:16The issue about lockdowns, which is what the Great Barrington Declaration challenged, wasn't necessarily about panic.
- 1:28:25It was about motivation, keeping people locked down so they couldn't live a life and then saying,"Actually, there's a solution to this.
- 1:28:35It's in the form of a vaccine." And then I want to add one other piece to the puzzle, which as COVID was happening, this was also happening to Heather and me.
- 1:28:45And so we watched it very carefully.
- 1:28:47The BLM riots, the George Floyd-inspired riots, the weirdest thing happened in the midst of telling everybody you couldn't possibly have an excuse good enough to be allowed out into the world unless you're a so-called essential worker and even then only for your essential work.
- 1:29:09And then BLM happened.
- 1:29:11And instead of cracking down on the protesters and saying,"No, you can't do that.
- 1:29:16Too dangerous.
- 1:29:17There's a virus about," they decided to give some weird rationalization where they said, "Actually, the real pandemic is racism or something." And it was like total non sequitur.
- 1:29:28So here's my conjecture.
- 1:29:31They let the BLM riots happen when they were locking everybody else down because if they had told those people to stay home, it wouldn't have worked.
- 1:29:43But they were actually afraid of the BLM protesters revealing to us that this lockdown was paper thin.
- 1:29:51And if we just don't abide by it, it's gone.
- 1:29:56Yeah.
- 1:29:57What would you call this, like the safety valve theory of BLM?
- 1:30:00You know, that they knew that the public was, they couldn't keep this up for a bunch of longer?
- 1:30:06Yeah, the pressure release.
- 1:30:07Pressure release, yeah.
- 1:30:08Yeah.
- 1:30:09That kind of gas can you have to have a thing or something like that?
- 1:30:12And I do recall that people were going out of their minds by the time those riots came along.
- 1:30:21Lockdown just could not keep going.
- 1:30:24Every day, just like every other day.
- 1:30:25It was just like Camus describes in his book, "The Plague." It's like time just went in a sort of circular fashion.
- 1:30:32You wake up in the morning night, he was sure why he woke up.
- 1:30:35What are you here to do?
- 1:30:36I guess I have to scroll the internet.
- 1:30:38You get tired, so five o'clock comes.
- 1:30:40You hit the bottle, you pass out earlier, binge old movies, and you wake up the next day, what's that?
- 1:30:46This went on for months, right?
- 1:30:49Crazy.
- 1:30:50So they had to do something.
- 1:30:51Something had to give.
- 1:30:52Somebody had to do something.
- 1:30:54So yeah, it's a very interesting theory that you've got sort of ruling classes that says, "Look, people are pretty upset, so let's just pretend to sort of encourage this." I remember the newspapers were saying things like, "Well-masked protests." So this is why they're not...
- 1:31:16Remember that?
- 1:31:18They said, "They're not spending COVID because they're wearing masks." Well, some of them were, but...
- 1:31:24It's so crazy.
- 1:31:25You can't even believe it.
- 1:31:26Every day just seemed like, "I couldn't believe this was happening." But if you ride a motorcycle in South Dakota at whatever, that little festival thing that you're spending COVID and you hate grandma.
- 1:31:37You're killing grandmas along the entire route that you're riding.
- 1:31:43But if you're protesting Atlanta, Georgia, out in the streets with a mob of people, that's just not...
- 1:31:49You're killing the real virus, which is racism, but you're staying safe because you're wearing a mask.
- 1:31:53You're wearing a mask.
- 1:31:54Well, I mean, this was before you and I knew each other, but Heather and I were trying to unpack the raw information, not peer-reviewed, because there wasn't time.
- 1:32:05So there were all of these papers on the preprint servers, and the quality was rough because it was just whatever people thought they wanted to publish.
- 1:32:16However, it had not been filtered by peer-review for allowability.
- 1:32:26So there was lots of information in it.
- 1:32:28And we became very focused on the idea that this virus actually showed no capacity to spread outdoors.
- 1:32:41And that's a pretty odd because, you know, bats live outdoors.
- 1:32:49And somehow this virus, you know, it kind of suggested that maybe their gain of function experiment, which was definitely not done outdoors, had created an artificial condition for the spread of the virus, which was that it had to be indoors.
- 1:33:05So I still don't know if that's true, but I think it's a valid hypothesis.
- 1:33:09But in any case, if, you know, we have a saying here in the Pacific Northwest, there is no bad weather, only inappropriate equipment.
- 1:33:20And so the point was, if you could figure out how to live your life outdoors, you could do it perfectly safely.
- 1:33:26You'd go fall in love.
- 1:33:27You just got to, you know, figure out how to do it outdoors, gather with whoever you want, go to the beach at the same time that they were telling us, oh, the beach is closed.
- 1:33:36The hiking trails are closed.
- 1:33:38And it's like, well, this is the exact if you're trying to protect a population from a virus that spreads indoors and you're afraid that they're psychologically fragile because of the fear of the virus because of the disruption to their lives, encourage them to go outdoors is what you should be doing.
- 1:33:58And so we were shouting at the top of our lungs, like, what is this policy?
- 1:34:02Why would you close a beach?
- 1:34:04Like, let me ask you this, but do you remember that there was a inter-cirmal moment where the prevailing wisdom was that there's always this pretense of knowledge with this thing, like they knew where the COVID was, right?
- 1:34:17I mean, this is always, you know, we know where COVID is.
- 1:34:21We don't know that well.
- 1:34:22We have an intuition.
- 1:34:23There is a perception that the virus is outdoors, so everybody should go indoors.
- 1:34:29But at some uncertain moment, and I'm not sure when that was, there was a decision made that the virus is indoors, we should all go outdoors.
- 1:34:37Well, am I describing this more or less correct?
- 1:34:40You know, I will never know the answer to this question, but Heather and I were, I think, we were certainly at the beginning, and for a long time, we were singular in pointing out how strange it was that we were not focusing on this fact.
- 1:34:58And the connected fact that the environment you were in could be rendered much safer, even an indoor environment, if you understood that you were trying to change the effective volume of the space, right?
- 1:35:13So a room has a volume.
- 1:35:16If you open the window, the volume goes way up.
- 1:35:19And the point is, if you get to the infinite volume room that is the outdoors, the transmission goes to zero.
- 1:35:26So you should always be focused.
- 1:35:28If you have to get into an Uber during COVID, roll down the windows.
- 1:35:31I don't care that it's January, roll down the windows, right?
- 1:35:35So this was a thread for us.
- 1:35:37And I think it caught on, and it got so embarrassing that they were telling us, don't go to the beach, don't go hiking.
- 1:35:47And we're sitting there saying, there is nothing better you could do.
- 1:35:50Any minute you're hiking is a minute you're safer than any indoor place you would be.
- 1:35:55Why are you telling them this?
- 1:35:57So I think the point is, this is one in which we forced the change because what they were saying was too ridiculous.
- 1:36:06And it could just be said out loud.
- 1:36:08Why are you telling me not to go to the beach?
- 1:36:10That's where you should want me.
- 1:36:13So, Brad, what you're telling me is that it's your fault all New York restaurants had to build outdoor version of their indoors.
- 1:36:23I don't know.
- 1:36:24I'm sure some of this was not my fault, but I guess I'll take the hit on that.
- 1:36:32It's the strangest thing I've told you the story.
- 1:36:35But I was at a train station once, waiting to board a train or something.
- 1:36:41There was a place open.
- 1:36:43And I said, well, I'll have a glass of wine.
- 1:36:46And this plexiglass, the masked lady, whatever, the plastic cup, she shows the plastic cup.
- 1:36:52She said, drink it outdoors.
- 1:36:54But it was freezing cold.
- 1:36:56And right there was an entirely empty room that they would usually use for dining and sipping.
- 1:37:01I said, why?
- 1:37:06How about I just go in there?
- 1:37:08And she said, I can't let you do that because of COVID.
- 1:37:12And I said, do you think COVID is in there?
- 1:37:18And she said, yes.
- 1:37:26Well, it's funny.
- 1:37:28It is like a some kind of a not very well written ghost story.
- 1:37:36I mean, you know, I mean, what else are you going to do, really?
- 1:37:44Yeah.
- 1:37:45But, you know, I think your large point here is that I think it's a very beneficial force.
- 1:37:49That's part of what we're doing, Brad.
- 1:37:50So we're using what happened over these traumatic three, four or five years as a prism to understand the world in a more precise, truthful way, you know, because it just told us so much about so many things that we didn't know before.
- 1:38:07Agencies, medical journals, the cowardice of academia, the fragility of freedom.
- 1:38:17So many lessons that we learned or that we're still learning.
- 1:38:23No, it I sometimes say certain stories diagnose the system.
- 1:38:30And this story is the best chance we are likely to get in our lifetimes to understand the system that we live in because it took over everything.
- 1:38:39And it's not a pretty picture.
- 1:38:43But the worst part, and I give you tremendous credit for keeping this alive, is the urge.
- 1:38:51Everybody is so embarrassed about what they got wrong or what they allowed to happen that everybody wants to move on.
- 1:39:01And it's one thing to move on from the particular virus.
- 1:39:05It's another thing to try to move on from the lessons about everything from bioweapons to academic rot to regulatory capture to the subservient press delivering dangerous propaganda.
- 1:39:31All of it is captured in this story.
- 1:39:34And frankly, I don't I don't want to let anybody off the hook until they remember what role they played.
- 1:39:42As soon as they do that, I'm absolutely ready to welcome them back.
- 1:39:47But the point is, I would like a little bit of honesty about that.
- 1:39:49I would like a little bit of honesty about that.
- 1:39:51And I think we have I've been I've tried to be as honest about things I was wrong about.
- 1:39:56Like I thought testing was essential in the early days.
- 1:40:00We were at the test, get us our test.
- 1:40:03I think I was wrong about that.
- 1:40:06And I was wrong to believe our world and data that it had a perfect real time accounting of who's getting infected, you know, what level.
- 1:40:12So I believed all that stuff.
- 1:40:14So I tried to admit that.
- 1:40:15I think we all should.
- 1:40:16But you know, there's other things that keep lingering that upset me.
- 1:40:20And I truly tried to move on.
- 1:40:22You know, I don't want to get stuck here.
- 1:40:24But I was looking at beef prices yesterday.
- 1:40:27And you know, I'm looking at the hamburger for seven dollars a pound.
- 1:40:31I remember just three years ago was four dollars a pound.
- 1:40:35I went back and looked at industry data on what happened to groceries in general since 2019.
- 1:40:42They are up 41 percent.
- 1:40:46The reason, you know, the reason for that was that the Federal Reserve created six point five trillion dollars to fund the stimulus payments that Congress voted for because everybody had to be paid to stay home, stay home, be lazy for a few years.
- 1:40:59So everything's connected.
- 1:41:01And it was this amazing wealth transfer.
- 1:41:05There's another thing that overwhelms me is the role of class.
- 1:41:12Americans don't like to talk about class, but the role of class and the construction of policy.
- 1:41:20I mean, for for several years, we lived in a world designed and constructed by on behalf of the ruling class, the laptop class, and at the expense of everybody else.
- 1:41:31I never imagined a time in my life where I would see, you know, this this sort of the world, according to Marx, you know, full display for us.
- 1:41:45Well, it you mentioned the massive transfer of wealth, and I wanted to connect it back to what you were saying earlier about industry creating regulators to do away with their the little guy competition, right?
- 1:42:02Create regulations the little guy can endure.
- 1:42:04We saw a different version of that with the lockdowns that effectively, you know, they kept Wal-Mart open, but they clobbered the mom and pop shop down the street.
- 1:42:16And was that the plan?
- 1:42:19I tend to think it was probably somebody's plan.
- 1:42:23It had to be.
- 1:42:24Let me just give you one other example of that, which takes just a little bit of thought to realize it.
- 1:42:29Do you remember the reopening plans?
- 1:42:31They would say, OK, business can open, but but but but everybody has to be at half capacity, right?
- 1:42:38So you can only let half the normal number of customers in that you normally would.
- 1:42:42OK.
- 1:42:43All right.
- 1:42:46I live a little bit through the block away from a bakery that has about eight chairs in it.
- 1:42:52OK, they can only let have four customers.
- 1:42:55On the other hand, if you're the Olive Garden down at the suburban mall, you've got a capacity for a thousand.
- 1:43:03Now you can let 500 people in.
- 1:43:05So these capacity restrictions were designed as a well, I don't know if they were intended to be, but they became a massive industrial subsidy.
- 1:43:15Even during the reopening period, big business massively benefited from these capacity restrictions.
- 1:43:22That's the expense of small business.
- 1:43:24Yeah, no, it makes perfect sense and totally there's a way in which it felt, you know, I there's always a question about how much of this was intentional and how much of it was happenstance.
- 1:43:38But if you imagine that event to tell us that they knew this was coming, they had their plans, they were already they weren't scrambling the way they told us they were.
- 1:43:51They already had procedures that they were ready to deploy.
- 1:43:55They needed to bring in people from media and whatever to do their particular role.
- 1:44:01The question is how much did.
- 1:44:09Just simply how much of the.
- 1:44:14Game was.
- 1:44:16OK, we're going to turn civilization into a game of Simon Says.
- 1:44:23And the point is, there are certain authorities who are in a position to grant you rights and they can take away your rights.
- 1:44:30And if you don't listen to these people, you're a grandma killer.
- 1:44:34That's the penalty.
- 1:44:36So if you know, and many things worked like this, like the vaccine requirements in the military caused everybody to submit and those few who wouldn't submit were driven out, leaving a force that's much more compliant, the kind of force that is much more likely to act on immoral orders.
- 1:44:59Was that intentional?
- 1:45:01Was somebody planning to deliver immoral orders and they needed to go through a purge of people who would stand up and say no.
- 1:45:08A line of the same lines, academia purged of all the all the the true decidants, you like the people who didn't want to get shot, wouldn't get shot among faculty, administrators and among students.
- 1:45:22Yeah, I think you're not welcome here if you're not compliant.
- 1:45:27Which was insane for young people who stood to gain very little from the shot, even if it had worked because they just weren't vulnerable to covid in this way.
- 1:45:40So, you know, let's put it this way, it is unfortunate that when I put on my how much of this was about compliance rather than health, that it fits very well, that across elements of civilization, somebody was given the power to tell you that what to do, that you as they trained us not to be free people.
- 1:46:06Do you remember and there's so many industrial conspiracies here overlapping, not just pharma, but big tech, you know, the stimulus payments, who is spending their money on laptops and gaming platforms and everything.
- 1:46:18But you remember very early on, I'm going to I'm going to say like the first week of March, like maybe just after that, just about the time this 2020 when when we realized we were going to descend into total madness, the top most performing article translated into many languages called, do you remember this, the hammer and the dance, the hammer and the dance.
- 1:46:45Yeah.
- 1:46:45So it was a heavily statistical article with all sorts of models and the hammer is the crackdown.
- 1:46:52It's the closures.
- 1:46:54It's the lockdowns.
- 1:46:56And the dances that, you know, we're going to crack down the virus, flatten the curve, and then we're going to we're going to we're going to be happy as a result.
- 1:47:05All right.
- 1:47:06The author of that article is a guy named Thomas Pueblo.
- 1:47:11This thing received millions of views back when nobody could understand why this is happening.
- 1:47:16Here's a guy saying, it's the hammer and the dance.
- 1:47:18This article just went hundreds of millions of views translated and we're like, Thomas Pueblo is the CEO of an online learning platform.
- 1:47:29So let me understand what this this guy was putting out a hypothesis that we were being led to engage in a dance.
- 1:47:41But the real story is the hammer.
- 1:47:43Is that the.
- 1:47:44No, he said the hammer is the lockdowns.
- 1:47:46The dance is getting over as getting rid of the threat of the disease.
- 1:47:49But we're going to need the lockdowns to get over the threat.
- 1:47:52Oh, I see.
- 1:47:52This is an argument.
- 1:47:53We're going to we got we got to.
- 1:47:55Yeah, this is for the mainstream.
- 1:47:56And nobody could understand it.
- 1:47:58This Pueblo guy with lots of data and grass and fancy language said, look, it's just a hammer in the dance.
- 1:48:04But and the way these algorithms work, there's there's a reason this article went viral.
- 1:48:10But this guy had never written about any subjects of infectious disease in his life.
- 1:48:15Doesn't know anything about infectious diseases.
- 1:48:17He's a businessman who runs an online learning platform.
- 1:48:20All right.
- 1:48:22That he hoped to be used during lockdowns.
- 1:48:24So he becomes the author of this article that becomes that shapes the entire public narrative around what is about to happen at a time when nobody could understand it.
- 1:48:35So you see why I point.
- 1:48:36I mean, like he was probably tasked with this by somebody, but he was glad to take on the job because he had an online learning platform that he hoped would make bank very soon because of school closure.
- 1:48:51And he was right.
- 1:48:51Yeah, he was right.
- 1:48:52Because I looked at the data of his company.
- 1:48:54His company made billions of dollars.
- 1:48:56I draw a distinction between people who are actually working for those who are colluding and those who are freelancing.
- 1:49:08So if you are.
- 1:49:11An amoral person.
- 1:49:13Let's say you're a journalist.
- 1:49:16And.
- 1:49:16Anthony Fauci is.
- 1:49:22Consolidating power and deploying a control architecture of a civilization.
- 1:49:28If you try to figure out what's in Anthony Fauci's head, what what would he like said?
- 1:49:38And then you say it and then you get wealthier because it catches on unnaturally because it starts getting amped by the people who are in on whatever it is.
- 1:49:49You're not actually working for somebody.
- 1:49:52You don't.
- 1:49:52We've never met them.
- 1:49:53You don't know for sure that they are the reason that you're succeeding.
- 1:49:57But the point is, there's a hunt, a cryptic hunt for noises that if I make them, my life gets better.
- 1:50:04And I bet there's a lot of power over there.
- 1:50:07They're, you know, re-figuring civilization.
- 1:50:11I'm going to start saying the things that they want said.
- 1:50:14We'll see what happens.
- 1:50:15So this could be a case in which a guy with a platform that stood to make a lot during a lockdown, either he was deluded himself or he's cynical.
- 1:50:25But the point is not surprising that he would find himself saying things that just so happened to make his business more valuable.
- 1:50:32And it wouldn't be surprising if the power structure decided to reward him so that he would do more of the same.
- 1:50:37That's true.
- 1:50:38Well, you've heard Thomas Herrington talk about this a lot, but he says he says a lot of academic training and training in general for professional life, you know, to be to be an aspiring professional.
- 1:50:50Is learning what to believe at the right times, what to say at the right times?
- 1:50:56Learning how to, you know, extract the right information, an agenda from what's around you.
- 1:51:04That's a skill.
- 1:51:05You learn that.
- 1:51:06That's how the academia socializes you.
- 1:51:09You learn a language, but mostly you learn an instinct.
- 1:51:13You know, you get really good at finding out what you're supposed to say when.
- 1:51:18All right.
- 1:51:19I want to pick up on that thing.
- 1:51:22Let's imagine that that's a general architecture for all environments, but that what the environment, what you're supposed to say in the environment.
- 1:51:33Is a very different thing.
- 1:51:36So during COVID out in the social media world, there were very definitely things you were supposed to say and things you were not supposed to say.
- 1:51:45And if you said the things you weren't supposed to say, you got thrown off, you got demonetized, all the bad stuff happened to you.
- 1:51:51And if you said the things you were supposed to say, well, you were celebrated, elevated, all those things.
- 1:51:56But if we take Brownstone or the graduate lab that I was in many years ago, what are you supposed to say?
- 1:52:07Actually, you're supposed to say the thing that causes an upgrade in the model of the room, right?
- 1:52:14In a proper scientific environment, what you're supposed to say is the thing that others aren't seeing that causes the puzzle to be more tractable than you realized.
- 1:52:23Right.
- 1:52:23It's a good way to put it.
- 1:52:24I'm going to have you introduce our retreats from now on and say that very thing.
- 1:52:27Because that's exactly what I've been going for.
- 1:52:30That's what I was going to say is that is the ethos of the room.
- 1:52:33Right.
- 1:52:34You are rewarded for upgrading the conversation.
- 1:52:38And so I think the point is it's exactly the sort of friendly, competitive environment that you would want, where everybody is looking for what they can add that causes the conversation to get smarter.
- 1:52:48And it's like, well, what more could you want?
- 1:52:50That is what you want.
- 1:52:52Yeah.
- 1:52:52So you want to always work and sometimes we'll have presentations that didn't quite achieve that.
- 1:53:01And then there's a chance that, well, we'll be friends again during cocktail hour.
- 1:53:07But, you know, yes.
- 1:53:08Yeah.
- 1:53:09Right.
- 1:53:10But it's you know, it's a it's a culture is the thing.
- 1:53:12And so it's a culture of learning.
- 1:53:14So culture is kind of a standing wave.
- 1:53:17The people in the room aren't always the same people, but there is a thing that carries through one to the next where the idea is this is where we don't bludgeon each other.
- 1:53:28We do try to upgrade each other's model.
- 1:53:30We try to give proper credit where it's due and all of those things.
- 1:53:34We admit our mistakes, which is so crucial.
- 1:53:37It's painful, but it's way better than maintaining your mistakes.
- 1:53:42Yeah.
- 1:53:43You know, a lot of this, but I meant to say this earlier, I might as well just interrupt you and say this now.
- 1:53:48A lot of this comes out of what I imagine was true in interwar Vienna, say, 1930, 31, 30, 30, 31, 32.
- 1:54:00We had these circles and they would meet in salons all the time.
- 1:54:05So you had the positive circle that you had the legal circle that they would trade amongst each other so that you would have deductive sitting around next to positivist, you know, in casual and serious conversation, but disagreeing profoundly, but maintaining personal friendships and learning, learning from each other.
- 1:54:26And this was true across all disciplines.
- 1:54:28You know, this is this is the culture that created the greatest intellectuals of the 20th century.
- 1:54:35So I developed in my mind a model of how this works with my limited understanding of the of the empirical reality of what was going on in those coffee houses and clubs and restaurants and academic circles for those times.
- 1:54:48And I missed.
- 1:54:51I just yeah, I've always believed in that.
- 1:54:56Maybe it's a fantasy.
- 1:54:57Maybe, you know, some of it's certainly reality, but it is an ideal that I've always wanted to experience.
- 1:55:04From my own selfishly, I want to be there.
- 1:55:07Right.
- 1:55:07That that thing.
- 1:55:09Well, I will.
- 1:55:12From my perspective as a biologist who is fascinated by the very special animal that humans are.
- 1:55:21The key.
- 1:55:23The key features that make humans truly unique are our ability to plug our minds into each other in an almost literal fashion, that the ability to take an abstract idea and pass it off more or less faithfully from one mind to another parallel process, it pressure test, it hand it back and forth is a kind of superpower.
- 1:55:48And so those great minds that you're talking about are simultaneously what we understand them to be.
- 1:55:54And also, they are.
- 1:55:58A central node in a network that is highly vibrant.
- 1:56:03All right.
- 1:56:03It's very rare that one of these people is truly independent.
- 1:56:07Right.
- 1:56:08And that's not to take anything away from them, but it is to say that the quality of the.
- 1:56:15Immediate social environment is a catalyst for the highest quality thought.
- 1:56:22My adviser used to say that great evolutionary biologists rise in threes was just a pattern that he had noticed that they pushed each other around in a way that they exceeded what they would have done if they had worked.
- 1:56:32Alone.
- 1:56:34And so in any case, we we are breaking that dynamic.
- 1:56:41We are causing people either to be in an echo chamber, which does not cause that benefit or isolating them, which does not cause that benefit.
- 1:56:50And if the purpose was really for civilization to get smarter because we all end up.
- 1:56:56I hate using the term wealth, but loosely, we all end up wealthier.
- 1:57:01The better civilization runs and the smarter it is.
- 1:57:05It's it's just such a crime that we are sabotaging that basic human superpower over nothing.
- 1:57:12Let me ask you a question as an evolutionary biologist.
- 1:57:14What is the what is the point of being together physically?
- 1:57:20I sense that it's really important, but I'm not sure I know why.
- 1:57:24I've been wrestling with this, too.
- 1:57:27I think one of the things that you are clearly doing is following an intuition that meeting in person is just it's non-negotiable.
- 1:57:36And I know that you don't exactly know why that's your intuition, but it's your strong intuition.
- 1:57:40And I agree with you about it.
- 1:57:43Let's just notice a couple of things in the adjacent territory.
- 1:57:48One.
- 1:57:50There is.
- 1:57:51A tendency to moderate your own behavior in person.
- 1:57:59I take it to be the result of the fact that it's dangerous not to.
- 1:58:04Right.
- 1:58:05If so, we see online people saying the most vile things to each other and it's like you wouldn't say that if we were in the room together for one thing, you detect my humanity better.
- 1:58:16And for another thing, you'd be afraid I'd hit you.
- 1:58:18So there's accountability for what you said.
- 1:58:18There's accountability for what you say.
- 1:58:22There's a feedback.
- 1:58:23And so the point is the room will maintain it.
- 1:58:26You know, people will detect that something in that corner is getting loud and intense.
- 1:58:30So anyway, the benefit of us moderating, I think of us feeling that we are linked together, that our fates are linked together.
- 1:58:41The fact that we have extra cues that we can detect.
- 1:58:46And this is going to sound far afield, but there's this result that says that talking on a cell phone while driving is as dangerous as being drunk.
- 1:58:57But talking to the person next to you in the car isn't.
- 1:59:01It doesn't have a negative impact.
- 1:59:04Why?
- 1:59:05Well, in part because you're responsive to the same physical environment.
- 1:59:08So the point is you're in the same space.
- 1:59:10Whereas if I'm talking to you on the phone, my mind is partly in the room you're in.
- 1:59:16I'm imagining where you are and how you're seeing it.
- 1:59:19So there's something about just pooling minds that are really this is why Heather and I use the metaphor of campfire, that human beings gather around the campfire when they can't be productive out in the bush or farming or whatever they would do.
- 1:59:32And they use their amazing minds and tap into each other.
- 1:59:36But it's it's a physical place.
- 1:59:38And in fact, you're looking at each other around a circle at a campfire.
- 1:59:42So I think I didn't answer your question, but there was lots of stuff.
- 1:59:45I think you did.
- 1:59:46I think that's really interesting.
- 1:59:48And I sense I sense that that's true.
- 1:59:51The accountability aspect of things is interesting because when you're when you're surrounded, it can be an intimidate.
- 1:59:58It's it's wonderful, but it can be a little scary and stand in front of 30 other really intelligent people.
- 2:00:07And be physically there for them.
- 2:00:11You you watch you listen to yourself through their ears a little more carefully than you would if you were just talking on on the Zoom call or something like that.
- 2:00:21I mean, you people strive to make more sense to themselves so that other people can understand them better because you don't want to be negatively judged.
- 2:00:29And you as you say, you want to reward people with insight.
- 2:00:32That's the driving thing.
- 2:00:34That's what you really want to do.
- 2:00:35You want to cook up a glorious little dish of ideas that everybody's going to enjoy eating right then.
- 2:00:44Right.
- 2:00:44So that's very exciting.
- 2:00:46And if you don't do that, you you feel this.
- 2:00:50And so everybody's watching the cook, but you're watching yourselves in that physical space in which that doesn't happen.
- 2:00:57Nothing like that happens in the in the digital world.
- 2:00:59Yeah, I agree.
- 2:01:00It's not it's not really possible.
- 2:01:02And actually, there's a an analogous situation that I think would tell us something about this.
- 2:01:09There are.
- 2:01:11Live performances of.
- 2:01:16Certain I'm thinking of popular music, popular music of the modern era or 20 years ago, where the band.
- 2:01:28Not only nailed it, but they nailed it in a way in which the feedback from the audience was palpable to them.
- 2:01:36And so the point is, it was an electric moment.
- 2:01:39It happened once it was captured.
- 2:01:41But we can still hear that it happened.
- 2:01:45And the point is, it wasn't just that there was a band and these people happen to be lucky enough to be in the room.
- 2:01:50It's that the feedback, the band is detecting what the audience is hearing and they're feeding it.
- 2:01:55And vice versa.
- 2:01:57And I think the point is, I don't know what that is.
- 2:02:02I don't know how it works exactly, but that it exists.
- 2:02:05If you've ever experienced it where you're resonating with a room, you know, for you and me, it might be at the podium.
- 2:02:11But it's a real thing and it's very powerful.
- 2:02:15Let me just tell you very quickly about something.
- 2:02:18It's I find so Mahler composed nine symphonies and he was afraid to compose the ninth symphony because he was certain he would he would die just like Beethoven did.
- 2:02:28Right.
- 2:02:28But he went ahead anyway.
- 2:02:30But as the ending of the last move of the ninth symphony, he basically put the sound of the end of time as part of the music.
- 2:02:38So it's dramatic.
- 2:02:40It's brilliant.
- 2:02:40Maybe it's best symphony.
- 2:02:42But the ending last, like maybe 15 minutes of increasingly smaller sounds and less movement to the point that you can't really tell the difference between the music and the silence.
- 2:02:58And at some point, it just stops.
- 2:03:01And by tradition, the conductor is probably going on for 100 years.
- 2:03:04The conductor just holds a baton.
- 2:03:10And the violinist.
- 2:03:12So everybody's frozen in place for a surprisingly long time.
- 2:03:21OK, so I knew this.
- 2:03:25I knew this legend.
- 2:03:26And you could watch it on YouTube.
- 2:03:27Like, oh, that's great.
- 2:03:28You listen to it.
- 2:03:30But to be at the New York Philharmonic and be in the presence of whatever that is, fifteen hundred, two thousand people and a live presentation.
- 2:03:40I can't describe it to you.
- 2:03:42It was one of the most exciting moments of my life.
- 2:03:46To be sitting in this mob of people in the stillness of death, in the presence of what seemed like eternity.
- 2:03:56All together.
- 2:03:58Oh, yeah, I get it.
- 2:04:01Just from your description, I can imagine a room full of people that are like hanging on the tip of the the conductor's movement.
- 2:04:10And that the I mean, and you know, and the fact that it seems to allude to like the heat, not just death, but the heat death of the universe, you know, it's it's amazing.
- 2:04:23They say you got to be there.
- 2:04:26You got to be there.
- 2:04:28Well, but you know, and it also is like a transcendent.
- 2:04:33Insight that Mahler was apparently recognizing that although you go to the symphony and you watch, you know, some sort of awkward devices being wielded by people sitting in awkward chairs in an awkward half circle, you know, with a guy with his back to you, it's all very, you know, the point is the music, it's not the visual of it.
- 2:04:59But the idea that actually, no, there is something in the visual you could do that would stun the entire room simultaneously.
- 2:05:06They would be of one mind, all transported to the same place that they'd never been before.
- 2:05:12And in perfect silence, it's like, oh, my God, that's genius.
- 2:05:17The silence is the most magical music.
- 2:05:20I think maybe that's the message.
- 2:05:21I don't know.
- 2:05:23But anyway, that experience was was it's bred to be there.
- 2:05:29You don't want to breathe.
- 2:05:32Like you only breathe if you just have to.
- 2:05:37Right.
- 2:05:37The mob would turn on the guy you coughed.
- 2:05:41Yeah.
- 2:05:48All right.
- 2:05:49Maybe one last thing before we go.
- 2:05:53OK.
- 2:05:54One of the patterns that I think all of us who were in the wilderness as dissidents of some kind.
- 2:06:01Yeah.
- 2:06:03Many of whom you've gathered together at Brownstone.
- 2:06:07One of the things that we've observed is that we were embedded in communities.
- 2:06:15That wildly disappointed us.
- 2:06:18And I will say it's not the first time I've been there.
- 2:06:22That was not my first rodeo.
- 2:06:24In fact, 2017 at Evergreen, where a mob came after me for a false accusation of racism and my faculty colleagues almost to a person were silent.
- 2:06:38It's like, oh, I've been.
- 2:06:40I've been in this community of people and I needed to know this about them from the get go.
- 2:06:47It's not safe to feel that you've got a community that will literally say nothing when you're falsely accused of something.
- 2:06:54So anyway, the question I wanted to ask you is.
- 2:06:58You've spoken about communities that you were part of and you've gathered around ideologies or economic beliefs or whatever.
- 2:07:08And, you know, certainly the medical establishment as a whole seem to have failed spectacularly under the pressure test of Covid.
- 2:07:17And the ecclesiastical establishment.
- 2:07:19Yeah, I mean, imagine this.
- 2:07:21The Vatican had vaccine passports.
- 2:07:25How can you even is that?
- 2:07:28I mean, if you read the Bible, Jesus had this thing where he would just like hang out with the lepers all the time.
- 2:07:34Right.
- 2:07:34We could hear the sick.
- 2:07:36He was sick.
- 2:07:36I think that was part of his mission.
- 2:07:39Right.
- 2:07:40It's part of his ministry.
- 2:07:41And the Vatican closed to the unvaccinated.
- 2:07:45During during high holy days for like a year.
- 2:07:51Yeah, that is the great.
- 2:07:52That's the greatest, most ironic of examples.
- 2:07:56So something primordial was drawn upon to get almost everybody to snap into line.
- 2:08:04And it worked on people that you would imagine it would never work on.
- 2:08:09And the malleability of the rationalistic mind is.
- 2:08:14Alarming.
- 2:08:16So let me just tell a quick story about libertarians.
- 2:08:19So the idea of libertarianism is like people should be free and stuff like that.
- 2:08:22And the government shouldn't make you do stuff.
- 2:08:24So you think this is basically the idea.
- 2:08:26Right.
- 2:08:27So so you think of all the people in the world who would be raging against the public controls and libertarians about.
- 2:08:34I realize very early on that I was pretty much alone.
- 2:08:36I didn't know where my community was.
- 2:08:38I couldn't figure it out.
- 2:08:39Well, as the months went on and I began to poke around on on the intellectual leadership and the publications, the institution to find out what was going on, it turned out they were able to manufacture a rationale.
- 2:08:52And the rationale goes left to me like this.
- 2:08:53Well, there are.
- 2:08:57There are there are flaws in the market among which negative externalities, negative, negative.
- 2:09:05And so and so getting a disease is like a negative actionality, you know.
- 2:09:11And so if somebody if somebody gives you a disease, like if you cough, that's kind of a tort, a kind of an act of violence.
- 2:09:19So to the extent that government can can use the precautionary principle to prevent that from happening, it is in a way become an instrument of of social peace and reducing the level of violence in society and reducing the amount of negative externalities that are imposed upon each other.
- 2:09:40So in this in this rare, rare case, government is actually become the handmaiden of of exactly what we're going for, which is which is more liberty, more prosperity, more social flourishing in a nonviolent environment.
- 2:09:54So I'm listening to this rationale and thinking, you know, anything's possible.
- 2:09:59You know, I suppose if you're clever, you can come up with an apparatus to justify anything.
- 2:10:08Well, that's a fascinating tale.
- 2:10:12I agree with you.
- 2:10:13The failure of libertarians to show up on the right side of history with respect to covid is shocking precisely because they should have been allergic to all of the tyranny and warrant.
- 2:10:24I would say something I've become increasingly sensitive to.
- 2:10:30I would not call it a rationale.
- 2:10:34I draw a distinction between a rationale, which is the reason that you do something and a rationalization, which is something you impose in retrospect.
- 2:10:43And.
- 2:10:48To that point, I would say.
- 2:10:51This was not the only community that found itself turned exactly against that which had held most dear for reasons that.
- 2:11:03Sounded reasonable, but.
- 2:11:05At the end of the day, simply weren't.
- 2:11:07And I would say, I guess the old word, right?
- 2:11:10So exactly.
- 2:11:11Yeah.
- 2:11:12Yeah.
- 2:11:14So the rationalists failure on covid was, I thought, equally jaw dropping.
- 2:11:24Because it revealed the fragility of their method, which on any normal day, I would say it's a little overly formal, but it's it's a reasonable approach to the universe.
- 2:11:38You certainly do want to understand what is taking place and why and you want to use Bayesian reasoning so you don't fall into traps.
- 2:11:47But it became obvious.
- 2:11:51That there's assumptions built into it about.
- 2:11:56The weighting of how likely things that you're being told are actually true.
- 2:12:01In other words, you can't you can't do.
- 2:12:06Rationalism by algorithm, because at some point you're going to have to make a judgment call about what evidence to process and which to discount.
- 2:12:17And if you are if you are anything but a very high integrity person, you're going to end up doing that cherry picking badly.
- 2:12:25You want to you want to prioritize evidence that stands a high likelihood of being accurate.
- 2:12:33Not evidence that flatters your perspective.
- 2:12:36Right.
- 2:12:37That's the trap people fall into.
- 2:12:38But the fact that these folks ended up on the exact wrong side of this and got belligerent and mean over it rather than recognizing the possibility that this was not easily calculated and that they couldn't be certain of any of the things that they were so sure of.
- 2:12:55Are we talking about epidemiologists or no, no, rationalist community itself?
- 2:13:02These are people.
- 2:13:03What is that community?
- 2:13:04It is a community that people that aspires to.
- 2:13:11Be better and make the world better through.
- 2:13:16Unflinging.
- 2:13:19Exploration of the evidence.
- 2:13:23Processed by reasonable.
- 2:13:27Algorithms and updated based on the change of the Bayesian priors.
- 2:13:33And one outgrowth of this movement are the effective altruists who say, actually, there's a game theory problem that causes the world to be worse than it might be.
- 2:13:44And it's tractable.
- 2:13:46So we're going to.
- 2:13:48Look at what should happen, but won't because of the game theory and figure out how to rearrange things to make it happen.
- 2:13:53Frankly, the whole project is laudable at that level, but impossible and lends itself to utilitarianism and apparently lends itself to being propagandized into foolishness.
- 2:14:06So anyway, I don't want to dwell on any of these communities in particular.
- 2:14:10Rationalism, you think of rationalism as a camp of thought or a really existing community that sort of the successors to the purest form of enlightenment idealism.
- 2:14:22Yes, I mean, it is a real community.
- 2:14:25They do meet.
- 2:14:26I think a lot of their stuff is done is intermediated online, too.
- 2:14:31But no, it's a real group of people with intellectual leaders and all of that.
- 2:14:34And it just did so spectacularly badly in this puzzle that frankly, the ragtag fugitive fleet did pretty well.
- 2:14:44Like so, you know, the community of assembled at Brownstone proved this was not a puzzle you couldn't figure out.
- 2:14:52I don't think we have it all nailed, but we've certainly made great progress and hit well above our weight class.
- 2:14:58So why is it that these other groups that ostensibly are built to sort out what's true and what we should make of it and what it suggests about how we should act?
- 2:15:08Why did they fail so badly?
- 2:15:11You know, Bret, I've I've concluded very reluctantly over time that.
- 2:15:18I know you're not really asking me that question, but I'm going to offer this, that I do think that there was a big professional cost a social cost and a potential financial cost to being correct during these years.
- 2:15:35And it was just a lot easier.
- 2:15:39To go along and much better to yeah, to invent a rationalization for why all this stuff was justified in some way.
- 2:15:49I mean, that was that's where the social and fiduciary advantage is or.
- 2:15:53And I'm sorry to put it that way.
- 2:15:55I mean, it took me a long time to finally just say, this seems to be the driving thing, what I've called careerism, but really, it's just a survival instinct, right?
- 2:16:09I think you've nailed it.
- 2:16:10And I want to.
- 2:16:12Encapsulate it, see if I've got it right.
- 2:16:17There's something that, you know, I don't know if you know this, but Heather and I trained as field biologists, so we do science wearing rubber boots.
- 2:16:26Sometimes with a machete, it doesn't look it's not like a laboratory environment.
- 2:16:31And so we're comfortable with that.
- 2:16:32We know that science works in an environment in which you can't control all the variables.
- 2:16:37It does impact what you can know.
- 2:16:40But nonetheless, I think the problem is the communities in question.
- 2:16:45I have prioritized a certain precision and cleanliness and those things turned out they prioritized them, but they turned out to be much less important than courage, which is in very short supply.
- 2:17:03And I think this is this is a key lesson, actually, of Covid is I would much rather have courageous people confronting a puzzle like this than cowards.
- 2:17:16And I don't care how articulate or even smart the cowards are.
- 2:17:22The cowards aren't going to get it right because they're too easy to manipulate.
- 2:17:27And that's what happened.
- 2:17:29But can I ask you to fill out this word a little bit coward?
- 2:17:32Because I it's just sounds it sounds like just an insult.
- 2:17:37I wonder if there's a way we can reframe it.
- 2:17:41As a it's not an insult, but a rational impulse.
- 2:17:44So to not be cowardly during Covid meant, I think, at minimum, that you had to be willing to risk your social status and social circle and then possibly risk your financial well-being.
- 2:18:00All right.
- 2:18:00You had to be it wasn't a guarantee they're going to lose all things that everybody's going to hate your gods or you lose your community standing or you fall in cultural eyes or you attack by them.
- 2:18:10None of this was certain.
- 2:18:12But you had to be willing to hold out the possibility that this could happen.
- 2:18:19And that the willingness to do that is the act of courage.
- 2:18:25I would say.
- 2:18:27Love it.
- 2:18:29All right.
- 2:18:29Now, let me reflect this back at you and see if see if we've nailed something.
- 2:18:36We talked earlier about the problem of utilitarian calculus, and we talked about the fact that utilitarian calculus is inherently a population level phenomenon.
- 2:18:50I think what we're detecting where you don't like my use of the term cowardice, but we both see that there is a set of personality traits that makes you the pawn of an Anthony Fauci in a case like this.
- 2:19:05You know, Bret, just I'm an interrupting narrative here, but let me just be clear that I don't think anyone has a moral obligation to be heroic.
- 2:19:15Well, you know, look, I can I can agree with that.
- 2:19:18On the other hand, what we saw, the cowardice turned them into bullies on behalf of those who were out to oppress us.
- 2:19:28So it's one thing if you want to stand aside.
- 2:19:31It's another thing if you're going to become an agent of the oppressive force because you yourself don't want to pay a price.
- 2:19:40So I draw that distinction.
- 2:19:41If you stood aside and required, that's one thing.
- 2:19:44But I would say.
- 2:19:50What I'm calling cowardice.
- 2:19:53What you're calling an unwillingness to face substantial personal consequences or even the strong chance of them, I would say is what happens when you do utilitarianism at the individual level.
- 2:20:08That the people who failed were looking at their own lives and they were thinking, well, if I say this, then bad things are going to happen to me.
- 2:20:19And if I don't, in fact, if I say the thing that I'm being told all reasonable people say, then actually I don't I can sleep at night.
- 2:20:31So I would argue that that same failure of utilitarianism actually does exist at the level of the individual.
- 2:20:37We just don't call it utilitarianism.
- 2:20:40It's it's it's incentivism.
- 2:20:45Kind of.
- 2:20:46I don't know about you, but my feeling during covid and frankly, during the evergreen meltdown is like there wasn't really a choice.
- 2:20:55I don't know how I would say the wrong thing and then go on about my business.
- 2:21:03It would it would you would tear me up.
- 2:21:05Yeah.
- 2:21:05So I get that.
- 2:21:06And you find this you find that it's all great heroic intellectuals throughout the 20th century.
- 2:21:13I mean, you look at a person like Ludivi Mises, he had to say, but he was going to say, yeah, he got driven out of Vienna.
- 2:21:19Yes, he got driven out of Geneva.
- 2:21:22Yes, he landed in New York without a job at the age of 60.
- 2:21:24But he just had to say what was true from his point of view.
- 2:21:27The same thing was true of Freud.
- 2:21:28I'm not sure if you're a Freud fan.
- 2:21:30I am.
- 2:21:31And he was very courageous and and his his actions and.
- 2:21:39I'm not saying I'm courageous, but I will tell you that when covid hit, I just had to say I just and I knew God, I could tell you stories.
- 2:21:49But there were times when I knew that that that this is going to be a personal disaster for me.
- 2:21:55But you know, you just have to keep you have to keep going.
- 2:22:01That's courage.
- 2:22:03Well, you know, if if you have committed yourself to what we call the world of ideas.
- 2:22:11I don't know what we call it, but the intellectual world, your primary obligation is to say.
- 2:22:19Say what's true.
- 2:22:21As you see it, and if you're not going to do that, I think you should be doing something else.
- 2:22:27Learn how to install drywall.
- 2:22:30You know, something to get out and get out of the world of ideas.
- 2:22:37If you can't if you can't if you can't just say what's true.
- 2:22:42This is why we pay intellectuals.
- 2:22:44This is the whole point of them.
- 2:22:47All right.
- 2:22:48Now, maybe we should close this out on Brownstone, because I think this actually this is a great.
- 2:22:56Place to view what it is you're doing.
- 2:23:00So.
- 2:23:02When we are manipulated, we are manipulated based on insecurities, right?
- 2:23:11And they can be very real, like if you're financially insecure and somebody is in a position to threaten your career, it's not any of our business to say, oh, don't worry about it.
- 2:23:21In fact, I'm very careful not to tell people say the right thing and nothing bad will happen because I don't know that nothing bad will happen.
- 2:23:29You may have a family and kids you're protecting.
- 2:23:31So but the point is the thing that wants to control us cultivates our insecurity because that insecurity is useful to it.
- 2:23:43If you want people to behave honorably, to say the right thing, then cultivating security is the way to do it.
- 2:23:53And what I see, whether it was your intent or not in starting Brownstone, is that you have created an environment where at the very least it is safe to say what you see and to explore what it might mean.
- 2:24:10And.
- 2:24:11I think you've cultivated security in other ways, but that that seems to be if it's not the core mission, it's one of the main missions of the place is to create safety so that people do say what they need to say.
- 2:24:28And they do so in person, in a room where it elevates the conversation.
- 2:24:33And frankly, I think I think you've got the smartest crew anywhere because of of that instinct.
- 2:24:41And also not afraid to say, I don't know.
- 2:24:45And I just I don't know.
- 2:24:46And that you're not going to get degraded or miss it.
- 2:24:48But you know, a promotion because you don't know something.
- 2:24:54It's you're there to learn from other people.
- 2:24:57It takes a while for people to get used to the to the environment, as you know, right?
- 2:25:02The very first day.
- 2:25:04So the very last retreat you went to.
- 2:25:08I had to introduce it.
- 2:25:09I wanted to present my great research on what I think is really good research in the history of the vaccine industry.
- 2:25:16Right.
- 2:25:16Because I think it's all new and fresh.
- 2:25:18And I don't have a lot of time to speak at these things.
- 2:25:20And I don't want to abuse my position.
- 2:25:22And so that I got to present that paper.
- 2:25:25I stood up in the microphone.
- 2:25:26I thought, you know, I can't do that.
- 2:25:28I can't do that.
- 2:25:29I've got to like lay out a framework here that's going to determine, you know, help create a culture that's going to set the agenda for the next few days.
- 2:25:40Right.
- 2:25:41So that was what.
- 2:25:43So but yeah, so because it's so unusual, people are just not used to it.
- 2:25:49And it's a shock.
- 2:25:51And so often people come to me and think, I found my home.
- 2:25:54These are my people.
- 2:25:56I've never felt so free to think and learn as I as I do here.
- 2:26:00Isn't that sad?
- 2:26:02I mean, it's thrilling, but it's also sad.
- 2:26:04I mean, that's the whole purpose of academia was to be the way things are at Brownstone event.
- 2:26:11But it's fallen short of that.
- 2:26:14It's tragic.
- 2:26:15But at least we can present a model that maybe other people will pick up on the future.
- 2:26:21Well, I think it's sort of the phenomenon of keepers of the flame during a dark age, that this I've argued, this is a dark age.
- 2:26:29I think that's becoming more obvious.
- 2:26:31But the idea that in every dark age, there are those who maintain the the rights and belief structures and they keep track of how to do this work.
- 2:26:42And so this is the correct.
- 2:26:44If I can just bump back slightly, you're so intrigued me, but you're talking about this individual utilitarianism where a person speaking of rational, looking at their incentive structures and making a rational decision to be a power, to be heroic based on their individual self-interest.
- 2:27:00There's one thing there that is an interesting little confounding element to individualistic utilitarianism, which is the intertemporal consideration.
- 2:27:13Right.
- 2:27:13So so when Martin Kuldorf decided to speak out, he said repeatedly, repeatedly, repeatedly, constantly, implausibly, like a mantra, this pandemic will end and everyone will know that I was right.
- 2:27:33Yep.
- 2:27:34I mean, he said it with not it wasn't not as a forecast, right?
- 2:27:41But just as a truth, he knew it from the very first he knew it and he said it all the time.
- 2:27:49I don't know.
- 2:27:49He would say that to me.
- 2:27:50I think, I don't know.
- 2:27:53Can you are you sure?
- 2:27:55Yeah.
- 2:27:56Yeah.
- 2:27:57Well, that is, you know, back in in the.
- 2:28:03The heyday of gentlemen science, and I'm not defending gentlemen science because I'm glad that you no longer have to be rich to do science.
- 2:28:13But one of the good things about that era was that there was no point in talking yourself into lies or presenting those lies in the compelling way, because your your goal was to discover something so important that your name lasted longer than you did.
- 2:28:31That's not a bad, you know, it's not a perfect motivation, but it aligns pretty well with making discoveries that are actually true.
- 2:28:40And that's just not the ethos in science anymore.
- 2:28:45So anyway, it does fall to the keepers of the flame to keep that alive.
- 2:28:50And in that spirit, I would point out people have heard a lot about Brownstone in this conversation.
- 2:28:56And I want to encourage people.
- 2:28:58There are several different ways that you can tap into this community.
- 2:29:04You, among other things, Brownstone is a publisher, both of real physical books, but also of a great many very insightful articles.
- 2:29:15So we will link the website.
- 2:29:20There is the separate clubs that you mentioned, which are proliferating.
- 2:29:25They're a very good time.
- 2:29:28You can go and you can gather with other people who have been watching the world and reach some sort of similar sense that things might not be right, but there might be a way to figure out what is going on.
- 2:29:40It's a good time.
- 2:29:42We're going to have one in Seattle ish.
- 2:29:47Boy, if I was a better human being, I'd know when it was, but it's upcoming.
- 2:29:50I think I'm the speaker at it.
- 2:29:54There are conferences.
- 2:29:58The last one was in Salt Lake, one before that was in Pittsburgh.
- 2:30:04There's a very special conference, if that's even the right word, that you held at Polyface Farms this last year, where Joel Salatin is doing his heroic work on this very enlightened version of farming.
- 2:30:19And am I right that you're going to do Polyface again this year?
- 2:30:23Last year, we had a limit of 400 people and we had a waiting list of 400 more.
- 2:30:30So the form to register just went up with no content at all.
- 2:30:40Other than the fact that this is happening, we were already half sold.
- 2:30:46So yeah, listeners of this podcast, this is your chance because it's going to be the same thing as it was last time.
- 2:30:55Right.
- 2:30:55Just crazy demand and limited supply.
- 2:30:59It's great.
- 2:31:00It's not to be missed.
- 2:31:01Polyface Farms is in and of itself a marvelous thing.
- 2:31:05And you should definitely see it and get the tour that Joel gives.
- 2:31:09So you see how how he thinks about farming.
- 2:31:11It will change the way you see farming.
- 2:31:14It'll be cool if a lot of DarkHorse people sign up for this conference.
- 2:31:18We can have a little DarkHorse gathering.
- 2:31:21It just makes me laugh.
- 2:31:23When you think of the implausibility of Bret Winson and Jeffrey Tucker hanging out at an organic farm.
- 2:31:32Feels like home to me.
- 2:31:37But it's a great event.
- 2:31:39You should if you're listening to this and you're debating whether to do it, it's totally worth it.
- 2:31:44I will say I learned a very important lesson at the last one, which is you never want to follow Thomas Massey as a speaker.
- 2:31:54He was great.
- 2:31:57You were wonderful, though.
- 2:31:58Everybody loves you.
- 2:31:59You were fantastic.
- 2:32:00It was a great event.
- 2:32:02It was a great event.
- 2:32:03But anyway, I think this year's will be equally greater, even even greater.
- 2:32:06So anyway, between the the supper clubs, the polyface events, the annual conference and the stuff that you can find on the website, whether it's books or articles, there's a ton of ways to start tapping into the marvelous phenomenon that is Brown's done.
- 2:32:24Jeffrey Tucker, it's been a real pleasure.
- 2:32:26And I'm looking forward to the next event already.
- 2:32:30Thank you so much for having me, Bret.
- 2:32:32Great to be here.
- 2:32:33All right.
- 2:32:34Be well, everyone.