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Lee Sterling - @paramountsports · The Sean O'Connell Show

• 0:05
  Speaker 1: You're listening to The Sean O'Connell Show, your source for
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: the best youth football coverage. Here's O.C. from the Murdoch
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: Hyundai Studio of ESPN 700 at 92.1 FM. Time to
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  Speaker 1: handicap the games of the week.
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  Speaker 2: We do it with the best in the business. His
• 0:25
  Speaker 2: name is Lee Sterling, Paramount Sports. 800-400-9741 or ParamountSports.com. He
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  Speaker 2: is red hot in college football. He is red hot
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  Speaker 2: in the combat sports in the UFC world.
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  Speaker 3: And he joins us now. Lee Sterling, welcome back to
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  Speaker 3: the show. How are you, sir?
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  Speaker 4: I'm good. I was great until Wednesday at 828 in
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  Speaker 4: the morning, and my phone started getting texts and emails
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  Speaker 4: and calls, the news about Malachi Tony. So, That's been
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  Speaker 4: pretty much the only damper on the week.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah, been rough news for the Miami Hurricanes contingent. And
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  Speaker 2: it is a monster weekend, which, of course, features the
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  Speaker 2: Miami Hurricanes against Notre Dame. We'll get to that one here. And,
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  Speaker 2: of course, in Salt Lake City, it's only about the
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  Speaker 2: Holy War. We'll get to that at the end. But
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  Speaker 2: let's start off. There's no bad games on the list
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  Speaker 2: this week, Lee. Ohio State-Oregon. Now, before the season began,
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  Speaker 2: we had this one circled as a potential national title
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  Speaker 2: preview type game. It hasn't worked out well for Oregon,
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  Speaker 2: and Ohio State are seven-point favorites here.
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  Speaker 3: How does it play out?
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  Speaker 4: So Luke Fahey's Ohio State debut quarterback went pretty much
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  Speaker 4: as expected. He wasn't great, but he didn't sink them either.
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  Speaker 4: So their defense, I mean, just couldn't get off the field,
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  Speaker 4: kept giving up big play after big play. You know,
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  Speaker 4: sometimes that happens when you travel. The time change has
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  Speaker 4: certainly affected many teams going east to west and also
• 2:00
  Speaker 4: west to east. I just think playing back at home
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  Speaker 4: in his second game here, you talk about the craziest swing.
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  Speaker 4: And I look at QBRs a lot, and usually the
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  Speaker 4: good quarterbacks are pretty consistent. You have one or two
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  Speaker 4: bad games. But if you look at what's going on
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  Speaker 4: with the Oregon quarterback, and I'm talking about Dylan Rayola,
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  Speaker 4: he's had a couple 75 and 83 QBRs, and then
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  Speaker 4: the next week, Five and three. So never seen a
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  Speaker 4: swing like that from one week to the next. I
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  Speaker 4: just can't trust Oregon here. I think Ohio State bounces back.
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  Speaker 4: No one can cover Jeremiah Smith here. I like Ohio
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  Speaker 4: State 35-21.
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  Speaker 2: Dan Lanning and the Oregon Ducks potentially staring in the
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  Speaker 2: barrel of another loss in what.
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  Speaker 3: Some people thought might be like an undefeated season. That's
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  Speaker 3: so crazy.
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  Speaker 2: Oh, man, preseason expectations, hard to live up to. All right,
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  Speaker 2: let's move on to the SEC. We've got a lot
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  Speaker 2: of ranked versus ranked in the big conference in college football. Georgia,
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  Speaker 2: three-and-a-half-point favorites against Ole Miss. Can the Rebels make this
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  Speaker 2: one interestingly?
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  Speaker 4: I think so. You know, I think it's an elimination
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  Speaker 4: game for them. They lose this game and they're out.
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  Speaker 4: And I went back and watched both games from last
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  Speaker 4: year because a lot of the same guys are still there,
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  Speaker 4: especially quarterbacks, key skill players. And Ole Miss was up
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  Speaker 4: by double digits mid-third quarter. And what did they do?
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  Speaker 4: And that game was at Georgia. They just got conservative.
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  Speaker 4: They went three straight possessions. Oh, see where they went? Run, run,
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  Speaker 4: and then passed on third and long and couldn't convert.
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  Speaker 4: Three possessions, they got conservative, three and out, and Georgia
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  Speaker 4: scored three straight touchdowns. They lost by 8, 43-35. Then
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  Speaker 4: they played at a neutral site game, the Sugar Bowl,
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  Speaker 4: part of the college football playoffs, and Ole Miss pushed
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  Speaker 4: the issue. They went hard. Their tempo was even faster.
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  Speaker 4: Didn't let up here. They caught Georgia. Their defense and
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  Speaker 4: some breakdowns here because they couldn't get set, and they
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  Speaker 4: won 39-34. I think they've got the better offensive skill
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  Speaker 4: talent here. Something's wrong with this Georgia passing game. Combination
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  Speaker 4: of Gunnar Stockton, also his receivers here. I'm going with
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  Speaker 4: Ole Miss here. Wrong team favorite. They stay alive, 38-35.
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  Speaker 2: Let's go. That helps out Utah potentially. We'll get to
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  Speaker 2: that here in just a second. Another ranked versus ranked. LSU, Alabama.
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  Speaker 2: And you could talk death, taxes, and the playoff committee
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  Speaker 2: loving Alabama just a little too much for my taste. Alabama,
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  Speaker 2: number five. On the road at Death Valley, LSU is
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  Speaker 2: number 14.
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  Speaker 3: How does it play?
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  Speaker 4: Well, this is one of the most underrated. You know,
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  Speaker 4: you hear about like Alabama and Auburn, maybe, you know,
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  Speaker 4: outside of Utah and BYU and back in the day, Miami,
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  Speaker 4: Florida State, maybe one of the most Underrated and clearly
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  Speaker 4: a top ten rivalry. In fact, I had a friend
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  Speaker 4: one time, he was dating a girl, started dating a
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  Speaker 4: girl from Alabama. He was from LSU, graduated from LSU.
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  Speaker 4: He just told me after a couple months, couldn't continue,
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  Speaker 4: couldn't do it, couldn't see that much red in his home.
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  Speaker 4: So that just shows you how much of a rivalry
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  Speaker 4: game this is here. Now, Bama's won and covered each
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  Speaker 4: of the last three meetings. But, big but, there's a
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  Speaker 4: new sheriff in Baton Rouge, and the Bayou Bengals have
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  Speaker 4: a different look now under Lane Kiffin. Since that Ole
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  Speaker 4: Miss game, no one's talking about them. They're under the radar,
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  Speaker 4: but Sam Levitt looks really comfortable here. Keelan Russell, good
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  Speaker 4: for Alabama, but this is still his fourth road start
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  Speaker 4: compared to Sam Levitt. He's in his mid-30s, and Alabama
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  Speaker 4: just doesn't want to run the ball. They just don't
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  Speaker 4: run the ball enough here. And you talk about havoc.
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  Speaker 4: Defense for LSU, top five in havoc. That's plays for
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  Speaker 4: loss and sacks. The Crimson Tide, not even in the
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  Speaker 4: top 100. LSU wins in covers by double digits, 34-23.
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  Speaker 4: All right.
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  Speaker 2: Notre Dame, six-point favorites. I've seen this number jumping up
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  Speaker 2: after the the news about Malachi Toney being out in
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  Speaker 2: this game. And obviously it's a highly anticipated, highly important
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  Speaker 2: matchup in college football. BYU fans are going to have
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  Speaker 2: a close eye on this one because if Notre Dame
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  Speaker 2: can get the win against Miami, it makes their win
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  Speaker 2: over Notre Dame look a lot better. And of course,
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  Speaker 2: if you're in the Big 12, you're hoping to... improve
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  Speaker 2: your strength of schedule and strength of record with that
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  Speaker 2: non-conference win. So, do the Fighting Irish help out everyone
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  Speaker 2: in Big 12 in Provo and get the win against Miami?
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  Speaker 4: Yeah, so I'm going to take a different approach here.
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  Speaker 4: The line is 7.5 in the total. It's 55.5. Without
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  Speaker 4: Malachi Toney, Miami has lost their heart and soul to
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  Speaker 4: their team. So they're going to try to run the
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  Speaker 4: ball more with Mark Fletcher here and Jevion Mallory. I
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  Speaker 4: think that's going to be tough. Notre Dame's defense giving
• 7:02
  Speaker 4: up just 13 points a game, 237 yards per game. Now,
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  Speaker 4: Notre Dame, you're saying, oh, well, they'll have success like
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  Speaker 4: North Carolina and also FSU. Well, maybe not as much
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  Speaker 4: because Miami's run defense is really good, giving up just
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  Speaker 4: 56 yards per game. Now, the pass defense has been leaky,
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  Speaker 4: giving up two 300-yard passing days over the last three games. But...
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  Speaker 4: Notre Dame likes to run and use the run to
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  Speaker 4: set up the pass. So here's the kicker, O.J. Pace
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  Speaker 4: of play. Miami 111th out of 138 teams. They walk
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  Speaker 4: up to the line. They wait until it's two, three
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  Speaker 4: seconds to go before they snap the ball. Notre Dame
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  Speaker 4: even slower, 120th out of 138 schools here. I think
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  Speaker 4: this is going to be a rock fight here. Why
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  Speaker 4: waste it and take a chance on your hard-earned money
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  Speaker 4: on like a backdoor touchdown or, or a team kicking
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  Speaker 4: a field goal to ice it with a minute. I'm
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  Speaker 4: not going to do that. I know Miami's gone over
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  Speaker 4: seven of the eight games on the total, but not
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  Speaker 4: this one. Love, don't like, love the under 55.5 total points.
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  Speaker 3: I feel the same way about that one, Lee.
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  Speaker 2: It makes me feel better because when you confirm it,
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  Speaker 2: you're a lot better at this than I am. We'll
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  Speaker 2: get to Utah, BYU to close it out, but your
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  Speaker 2: game of the week. is the Texas Tech Red Raiders
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  Speaker 2: against West Virginia. West Virginia can run the ball. They
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  Speaker 2: can't do much else. Does Texas Tech cover 17?
• 8:29
  Speaker 4: Well, that's going to be our game of the week.
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  Speaker 4: If they want to get that for free, just call 800-400-9741.
• 8:35
  Speaker 4: I like one side here a lot. Just call 800-400-9741.
• 8:36
  Speaker 4: I'll give them the game for free. Also, a lot
• 8:37
  Speaker 4: going on at Paramount Sports UFC. We went 5-0 last week.
• 8:49
  Speaker 4: We've won 19 of the last 24 cards. If we
• 8:51
  Speaker 4: win this week, we'll have won 20 of 25 cards.
• 8:55
  Speaker 4: Not many people can tell you they've won 80% of
• 8:58
  Speaker 4: the cards over a six-month period, and that's documented. And
• 9:01
  Speaker 4: then how about this? We normally charge $ 33 for three selections.
• 9:07
  Speaker 4: Super Sabre, three selections in the UFC, just $ 33. Hop
• 9:12
  Speaker 4: on the football specials. We have a 40-unit max wager
• 9:15
  Speaker 4: like our game of the week. Last week with Jacksonville
• 9:17
  Speaker 4: and the NFL. Check out all the football specials and
• 9:20
  Speaker 4: the UFC special. Three selections, just $ 3. ParamountSports.com.
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  Speaker 1: 800-400-9741.
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  Speaker 3: All right.
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: The best game of the year, the best week of
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  Speaker 2: the year, the best thing that happens on the sports
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  Speaker 2: calendar here in our state every single year is Utah
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  Speaker 2: versus BYU.
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  Speaker 3: Utah undefeated.
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  Speaker 2: One loss, BYU, for the first time in the history
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  Speaker 2: of this great rivalry, Lee. This is a top ten matchup. Utah,
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  Speaker 2: five and a half point favorites. I've seen this line
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  Speaker 2: slide back and forth as well. Of course, they are
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  Speaker 2: hosting it. Tell me that the Utes can win and
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  Speaker 2: cover here.
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  Speaker 4: All right, so here's how I got it. Both teams
• 10:01
  Speaker 4: combined 15-1, straight up 13-3 against the spread. This is
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  Speaker 4: by far the best defense that Utah's offenses face. BYU's
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  Speaker 4: offense put up 28 points versus the Notre Dame defense.
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  Speaker 4: As I mentioned, giving up less than 240 yards per game.
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  Speaker 4: I see this game as whoever has the ball last
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  Speaker 4: could pull it out. Both these quarterbacks, they are not
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  Speaker 4: NFL starting caliber, but they are great college football quarterbacks
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  Speaker 4: and leaders, and they don't give up. I do not
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  Speaker 4: see either team winning by a touchdown or more. I'm
• 10:40
  Speaker 4: going to say Utah wins 26-24, but BYU covers and
• 10:42
  Speaker 4: Utah stops them. on the four-yard line at the end
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  Speaker 4: of the game.
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  Speaker 3: Oh, that would be a Ute quake.
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: That would be one of those registers on the seismograph-type
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  Speaker 2: moments at Rice Echo Stadium, Lee. We're going to be
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: there bright and early. Do you think the 10 a.m.
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: kickoff affects things?
• 11:06
  Speaker 4: A little bit, yeah. This is just not right for
• 11:08
  Speaker 4: these kids. I mean, this should be at least a 1.30
• 11:13
  Speaker 4: kickoff or a night game, so... A little frustrating, but,
• 11:17
  Speaker 4: you know, it's all about ESPN, and they've got to
• 11:20
  Speaker 4: fit you into the window where they're going to get,
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  Speaker 4: they think, the most viewers for the entire day.
• 11:24
  Speaker 3: You're on the East Coast.
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: Are more East Coasters going to watch this game because
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: it's noon your time?
• 11:30
  Speaker 4: Absolutely, yeah, they will.
• 11:32
  Speaker 3: All right. Okay.
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: Well, silver lining there at least. Oh, man, can't wait
• 11:37
  Speaker 2: for it. And obviously we'll talk about it a little
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: bit next time we chat. Lee Sterling is the best
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: in the business. Visit him at ParamountSports.com, 800-400-9741. He did
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: say your Utes will win the Holy War game tomorrow.
• 11:52
  Speaker 3: Thanks, Lee.
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: Okay.
• 11:53
  Speaker 4: See you, buddy.
• 11:55
  Speaker 3: Great stuff, as always, from Lee Sterling.
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: He's got Utah winning, not covering, 4.5, 5.5, depending on
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: the sportsbook you're looking at.
• 12:04
  Speaker 3: That's where the line sits on this one.