Latest / Sid & Friends In The Morning / John McLaughlin | Pollster Previews Sid's West Wing Meeting with Vice President JD Vance
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: John McLaughlin, the best pollster, him and his brother anywhere,
- 0:04Speaker 1: and Bibi is his client. So let's get right to it, John.
- 0:07Speaker 1: A week from today, Bibi's going to be here in
- 0:09Speaker 1: New York for the U.N. General Assembly, but he's got
- 0:12Speaker 1: his eyes on that election coming up. What are you
- 0:15Speaker 1: hearing out of Israel about two months before?
- 0:19Speaker 2: By the way, it's not unusual. It's 40 days till
- 0:21Speaker 2: the Israeli election on October 27th. And you got 47
- 0:25Speaker 2: days to the American election. And, you know, it's the
- 0:29Speaker 2: interesting part about Mayor Mondami. He'd like nothing else to
- 0:34Speaker 2: be able to see Didi lose. So he would, you know,
- 0:37Speaker 2: he's over here in New York, but he's doing what
- 0:39Speaker 2: he can to affect the media over there. But it's
- 0:42Speaker 2: a very close race because right now you have 15
- 0:45Speaker 2: parties may qualify. for the next Knesset. And the government
- 0:51Speaker 2: coalition is close where Likud or one of these other parties, Yashar,
- 0:57Speaker 2: could be battling for the lead party. And then they
- 1:01Speaker 2: make their coalitions and you need out of the 120 seats,
- 1:03Speaker 2: you need 61. So last time, It came around in
- 1:08Speaker 2: the end where it was pretty consistent that we were
- 1:10Speaker 2: going to get 62 to 64 seats in the coalition
- 1:13Speaker 2: with Cuba to be the major party. And now you've
- 1:16Speaker 2: got a similar kind of pattern. But, you know, if
- 1:20Speaker 2: Mayor Mondavi wants to interfere in the Israeli elections, let
- 1:24Speaker 2: him try. You know, it'll backfire. So, you know, in
- 1:28Speaker 2: the meantime.
- 1:29Speaker 3: Yeah, no, it's great.
- 1:29Speaker 2: We got a win over here.
- 1:30Speaker 1: I know, I know. You know, I was talking to
- 1:34Speaker 1: some of the people that help him every day, big people,
- 1:38Speaker 1: and BB's in his administration, and they were saying to me,
- 1:42Speaker 1: they were saying to me, hey, you know, maybe, just maybe,
- 1:45Speaker 1: you can arrange a trip, because I don't know if
- 1:48Speaker 1: people realize this, but if you live in New York,
- 1:50Speaker 1: for example, but you're Israeli... You can fly back to
- 1:54Speaker 1: Israel and vote for Bibi. So I think Bibi's people
- 1:58Speaker 1: really wanted me, I swear, to charter a plane or
- 2:01Speaker 1: do something and get a bunch of these New York
- 2:03Speaker 1: Israelis to go to Israel and vote for Bibi.
- 2:08Speaker 2: I'm sure they do. And by the way, BB, I've
- 2:12Speaker 2: worked with him all these years. In 03, I met
- 2:15Speaker 2: him in 95. And then in 03, I started working
- 2:20Speaker 2: for Ronald Lauder and some of our other friends had
- 2:23Speaker 2: me go over there. And he says, what do you
- 2:24Speaker 2: know about Jewish voters? And I said, I'm from New York.
- 2:28Speaker 2: So I was like, but he... He's been a winner
- 2:32Speaker 2: ever since, but he's a truly unique figure in history.
- 2:35Speaker 2: Like him and President Trump, in a way, they're different people,
- 2:38Speaker 2: but they're very much similar. And they've changed the world
- 2:41Speaker 2: for the better in many, many ways. And he's the
- 2:44Speaker 2: person that can best keep Israel safe and secure. I mean,
- 2:47Speaker 2: you're living in a small country. You've been there and
- 2:51Speaker 2: everyone around you. wants to kill you and take you
- 2:54Speaker 2: off the map.
- 2:54Speaker 3: Every one of them.
- 2:56Speaker 2: And they're under Bibi because he was prime minister and
- 3:00Speaker 2: then he was finance minister and then he was prime
- 3:01Speaker 2: minister again. Their economy has flourished. They're a very high-tech economy.
- 3:06Speaker 2: And their security... They're stronger than ever. They're the superpower
- 3:12Speaker 2: in the Middle East, and they're the only true democracy there.
- 3:15Speaker 2: So Bibi has led that for his country, and Israelis
- 3:19Speaker 2: have to decide who else can keep us as safe
- 3:22Speaker 2: and secure and as prosperous as Bibi has.
- 3:25Speaker 3: No one can. No one can.
- 3:26Speaker 1: And you know what? I'm about to meet with J.D.
- 3:28Speaker 1: Vance coming up in about seven hours. At the White
- 3:32Speaker 1: House in D.C., I've got a 1030 train. And not
- 3:35Speaker 1: only did he come out a couple of days ago
- 3:37Speaker 1: and talk about the U.S. being subservient, really stupid word,
- 3:41Speaker 1: really stupid word, talking about the relationship with Israel.
- 3:44Speaker 3: And I'm going to tell J.D.
- 3:45Speaker 2: That.
- 3:46Speaker 1: But he also came out and said that President Trump
- 3:50Speaker 1: has told him or has made it very clear that
- 3:52Speaker 1: he's ready to walk away from his relationship with Bibi,
- 3:55Speaker 1: that he's ready to, you know, move on from Bibi
- 3:58Speaker 1: because Israel represents America less and less. Now, I have
- 4:03Speaker 1: no idea whether that's true or not. Trump, who I'll
- 4:07Speaker 1: see today, never intimated that to me. What do you
- 4:10Speaker 1: think about those quotes from J.D.
- 4:12Speaker 2: Vance? Well, I don't want to contradict the vice president
- 4:17Speaker 2: because the most important thing he can do is endorse
- 4:19Speaker 2: you now for mayor of New York City. I mean,
- 4:26Speaker 2: the other thing, too, is the national Republicans need to
- 4:29Speaker 2: be helping Bruce Blakeman here in New York. Bruce Blakeman
- 4:32Speaker 2: is within a handful of points. of beating Kathy Hopel.
- 4:36Speaker 2: She's in worse shape than she was four years ago
- 4:38Speaker 2: when my other friend, Lee Zellman, nearly beat her. And
- 4:41Speaker 2: Bruce is, you know, we're 47 days out from that election,
- 4:45Speaker 2: 37 days out from early voting, and he's within a
- 4:48Speaker 2: handful of points. And most New Yorkers don't like her
- 4:50Speaker 2: and don't want her to be the governor again. And Bruce,
- 4:53Speaker 2: they like him. He's grown. We're winning upstate. We're winning
- 4:57Speaker 2: in the suburbs. He's getting 33 percent of the vote
- 5:00Speaker 2: in New York City. We need about 35 percent to win.
- 5:03Speaker 2: We're getting 18, 19 percent of the Democrat vote. We
- 5:06Speaker 2: need about 25 percent to win. His Democrats come to
- 5:09Speaker 2: Bruce every day, and he's defying the midterm gravity. So
- 5:14Speaker 2: the vice president and the Republicans in Washington, if they
- 5:16Speaker 2: want to pick up half seats here, in New York,
- 5:19Speaker 2: like in, in, in, uh, help, you know, Janine Driscoll, uh, help, uh, uh,
- 5:24Speaker 2: Michael Petri, uh, help reelect Mike Lawler and, and Malia
- 5:28Speaker 2: Takis and Meloda. If you want to help these members
- 5:30Speaker 2: of Congress, Republicans of Congress, the best thing they got
- 5:33Speaker 2: going in front of them is that, that Bruce Blatman beats, uh,
- 5:37Speaker 2: Kathy Hochul. And, uh, so when you talk to the
- 5:40Speaker 2: vice president to put that.
- 5:42Speaker 3: It's on the list. It's on the list. I taught.
- 5:45Speaker 2: But that's a prelude to you running for mayor.
- 5:50Speaker 1: Well, you know, what's funny about that is Bruce Blakeman
- 5:52Speaker 1: keeps bringing that up. I don't bring it up because
- 5:54Speaker 1: Danielle gets mad at me, but he brought it up
- 5:56Speaker 1: at the gala. He brought it up in Howard Beach
- 5:57Speaker 1: again a couple of days ago. And, you know, if
- 6:00Speaker 1: he said if I win, I got to have Sid.
- 6:02Speaker 3: But don't worry.
- 6:03Speaker 1: I'll talk to J.D. and Trump today about helping out
- 6:06Speaker 1: Bruce Blakeman in this. worthy cause and is one for governor.
- 6:11Speaker 1: The one thing I do get, and you know I
- 6:12Speaker 1: love Bruce as much as anybody, more than anybody.
- 6:14Speaker 3: We're very close, like you guys are.
- 6:16Speaker 1: I get a lot. Guy walks past my house last Saturday.
- 6:21Speaker 1: I'm sitting outside drinking.
- 6:22Speaker 3: A cup of coffee.
- 6:23Speaker 1: He's on a bike.
- 6:24Speaker 3: He stops. He goes, you're Sid, right?
- 6:26Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 6:27Speaker 3: Oh, you're really close to Blakeman? Yeah, very close. I
- 6:29Speaker 3: love him. He's going to be the next governor.
- 6:30Speaker 1: Well, I've got a friend in Brooklyn, okay, and he
- 6:34Speaker 1: tells me that his neighbor's They don't really.
- 6:37Speaker 3: Know who Bruce Blakeman is.
- 6:39Speaker 1: And a lot of the black population, a lot of
- 6:42Speaker 1: the Hispanic population, they.
- 6:44Speaker 3: Don't know who he is. I keep hearing this.
- 6:46Speaker 1: Now, I know for a fact, and I will fight
- 6:49Speaker 1: someone to the death, because I know better, that Bruce
- 6:53Speaker 1: does an amazing job. visiting all five boroughs. He's all
- 6:57Speaker 1: over the state of New York. He's upstate there all
- 6:59Speaker 1: the time.
- 7:00Speaker 4: Yet Republicans, not even Democrats, our own people, these pain
- 7:06Speaker 4: in the asses, are complaining that not enough people know
- 7:09Speaker 4: Bruce's name, that he's still kind of a stranger, and
- 7:13Speaker 4: he doesn't travel enough to all these districts.
- 7:16Speaker 3: As far as I know, that's not true.
- 7:20Speaker 2: Absolutely not true. I mean, he's definitely traveling. Saying, no,
- 7:27Speaker 2: I'm going to send you a couple hundred bucks after
- 7:29Speaker 2: I voted for or allowed 48 utility rate increases. And
- 7:35Speaker 2: so she's raised our utility bills in New York by thousands.
- 7:39Speaker 2: And she says, I'm going to send you back some peanuts,
- 7:40Speaker 2: a couple hundred bucks. They all cover that. She's the
- 7:43Speaker 2: governor and they give her lots of coverage on that.
- 7:46Speaker 2: And Bruce comes out and he says, I'm going to cut,
- 7:48Speaker 2: you know, I can reduce your utility bills in half.
- 7:50Speaker 2: And he's got a plan. We hardly get that kind
- 7:52Speaker 2: of coverage. So it's like there's a lot of media
- 7:57Speaker 2: in New York saying, that they really don't want to
- 7:59Speaker 2: see Bruce Blakeman win.
- 8:00Speaker 3: No, of course. They don't want him to win.
- 8:02Speaker 2: I know. All they do is give him the coverage.
- 8:04Speaker 3: I know that.
- 8:05Speaker 1: But with that said, then, do you think there is
- 8:08Speaker 1: an issue with name recognition?
- 8:10Speaker 2: Oh, it's yeah, it's definitely we're building. That's why people
- 8:14Speaker 2: have to go to his website, BlakeMuffinNewYork.com and go give money.
- 8:18Speaker 2: I mean, Bruce has been able to raise millions by himself,
- 8:21Speaker 2: but the governor has millions and we need just enough
- 8:24Speaker 2: to win. But that's why he's raising the money, because
- 8:27Speaker 2: if we don't, you know, you can go to Brooklyn,
- 8:29Speaker 2: you can you can be in Howard Beach and you
- 8:32Speaker 2: can be in Queens and you go to these places.
- 8:34Speaker 2: But it takes the TV ads and the digital ads
- 8:37Speaker 2: and the radio ads to be able to let people
- 8:41Speaker 2: know you're there because you can't rely on the mainstream.
- 8:44Speaker 2: I mean, she's only agreed to one debate on Spectrum TV.
- 8:47Speaker 3: That's it? One debate?
- 8:49Speaker 2: Oh, no.
- 8:50Speaker 1: Don't tell me that that fat, stupid, black, racist Errol
- 8:53Speaker 1: Lewis is going to moderate that. Please.
- 8:55Speaker 2: That's not my job. I just do the polling.
- 8:58Speaker 3: That's my job. So they're going to do one debate
- 9:01Speaker 3: so far? That's it?
- 9:02Speaker 1: One?
- 9:02Speaker 2: As far as I know. But that's up to her.
- 9:06Speaker 3: I know. She's a coward. She's a pussy is what
- 9:10Speaker 3: she is.
- 9:10Speaker 1: I'll say it. You can't, McLaughlin. And I'll say this, too.
- 9:13Speaker 1: Talking about money for commercials, all of our commercials are
- 9:16Speaker 1: the same.
- 9:17Speaker 3: It's never about.
- 9:18Speaker 1: My policies are better than Bruce's. I'm going to make
- 9:21Speaker 1: you richer. I'm going to keep you safer. I'm going
- 9:24Speaker 1: to make New York better. It's never about that. Every
- 9:27Speaker 1: one of her commercials is, you want to vote for
- 9:30Speaker 1: this guy? He's Donald Trump's friend.
- 9:33Speaker 3: Really?
- 9:33Speaker 1: That's your campaign? He's Donald Trump's friend? That's all she does.
- 9:38Speaker 2: Right. When she started those negative ads a month ago,
- 9:41Speaker 2: I said to Bruce, I said, either the governor's got
- 9:43Speaker 2: a bad poll or you pissed her off or both.
- 9:46Speaker 2: I think it's because for her to run after four
- 9:49Speaker 2: years to run on a negative campaign against Bruce, she
- 9:52Speaker 2: has nothing to stand for. And Bruce is telling people
- 9:55Speaker 2: he's offering them hope. He's gonna make things better in
- 9:57Speaker 2: New York. He'll fight crime, he'll lower our taxes, he'll lower,
- 10:01Speaker 2: make it more affordable, lower our utility bills. I mean,
- 10:04Speaker 2: people wanna hear that. And they know that she's waiting
- 10:07Speaker 2: with Mondami till after election day to pass billions in
- 10:11Speaker 2: tax increases. property tax hikes on homeowners in New York City.
- 10:15Speaker 2: I mean, raising income taxes. I mean, you can look.
- 10:18Speaker 2: It's a not well-kept secret. The Democrat Socialists of America,
- 10:23Speaker 2: their platform that Mondani wants to push, the tax increases
- 10:28Speaker 2: he's asked for, they put them on ice until after
- 10:31Speaker 2: election day. If Bruce doesn't win, it's going to cost
- 10:34Speaker 2: New Yorkers billions, and it could cost us a lot
- 10:36Speaker 2: of jobs, and they'll be shutting down Rikers Island on
- 10:39Speaker 2: top of that.
- 10:39Speaker 3: Oh, that's terrible, too.
- 10:40Speaker 1: I know.
- 10:41Speaker 3: That's terrible.
- 10:41Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 10:42Speaker 1: I need to ask you about the other midterms. I
- 10:44Speaker 1: know President Trump was out there in North Carolina yesterday
- 10:48Speaker 1: for Whatley. People may remember Whatley and President Trump's daughter-in-law,
- 10:53Speaker 1: Laura Trump, my good buddy. They ran the RNC and
- 10:56Speaker 1: did a great job and made sure that last election
- 10:58Speaker 1: was secure. But right now, at least, he's getting hammered
- 11:02Speaker 1: by Roy Cooper. He's down by about 12 points. And
- 11:04Speaker 1: usually when President... No, is that not true?
- 11:07Speaker 2: It's five or six. It was a Trafalgar poll that
- 11:09Speaker 2: had him down six.
- 11:10Speaker 3: Okay. All right.
- 11:11Speaker 1: Usually Trump goes out and he helps you. But Trump
- 11:13Speaker 1: said to me on this show Friday, literally less than
- 11:15Speaker 1: a week ago, he said, Sid, I got to do
- 11:18Speaker 1: 35 states, like 30 congressmen, five senators. He goes, to
- 11:21Speaker 1: be honest, maybe you'll come with me. You got so
- 11:24Speaker 1: much energy. Maybe you can do five states. How about
- 11:27Speaker 1: I'll do 30, you'll do five.
- 11:28Speaker 3: I said, sure.
- 11:29Speaker 1: But on a serious note, he's about to go out
- 11:31Speaker 1: there and campaign.
- 11:32Speaker 3: People go, President Trump's not on the ballot. No, you doofus.
- 11:36Speaker 3: He certainly is. He's going to be campaigning with all
- 11:38Speaker 3: these candidates.
- 11:41Speaker 2: What's more important is what they stand for. I mean,
- 11:44Speaker 2: our mayor in New York City, Mondami is the tail
- 11:48Speaker 2: wig and the dog. The Democrat Socialists, before the Dallas
- 11:52Speaker 2: Midterm Convention, we had the Republicans trailing nationally in a
- 11:55Speaker 2: generic ballot for Congress by five points, so it's close.
- 11:58Speaker 2: The Senate's got 13 Senate seats in play out of 100.
- 12:01Speaker 2: The House has got a handful of seats, maybe 15
- 12:08Speaker 2: to 20, that are going to decide who controls the House.
- 12:11Speaker 2: But the Republicans were down five in the generic. But
- 12:14Speaker 2: if we ask All things being equal, do you want
- 12:17Speaker 2: a free market capitalist Republican or a big government socialist Democrat?
- 12:21Speaker 2: Then the Republican goes ahead by seven. That's big government socialism.
- 12:26Speaker 2: We don't want it. It needs to be about these Democrats.
- 12:30Speaker 2: The taxes they want to raise, they want to have
- 12:33Speaker 2: open borders. They want to go back to where they're
- 12:37Speaker 2: telling you when you can go out, when you can't
- 12:40Speaker 2: go out. They want control of this. The whole battle
- 12:42Speaker 2: over AI is they want to control that. They want
- 12:45Speaker 2: to get campaign donations. It's corruption. They want to increase
- 12:48Speaker 2: the spending. We have to have an agenda that says.
- 12:54Speaker 2: Are these Democrats going to lower your taxes or raise
- 12:56Speaker 2: your taxes? And they're going to raise it. Every Democrat
- 12:59Speaker 2: running for election this year voted to repeal the Trump
- 13:02Speaker 2: tax cuts. He would have had a $ 4 trillion tax
- 13:05Speaker 2: hike that would have cost every American about $ 2, 000. So,
- 13:07Speaker 2: you know, so it needs, when President Trump's out there,
- 13:13Speaker 2: they need to be focused on these Democrats, whether it's
- 13:15Speaker 2: El Sayed or Tallarico. El Sayed, he sympathizes with terrorists.
- 13:20Speaker 2: He's hanging out with a guy who says 9-11 is
- 13:23Speaker 2: our fault. And now he's trying to run away from
- 13:25Speaker 2: the guy. I mean, these are the types of people
- 13:28Speaker 2: the Democrats have nominated. They're a disgrace. They don't represent
- 13:31Speaker 2: our values. And it'll cost us if they get elected
- 13:36Speaker 2: and they're in Washington.
- 13:38Speaker 3: I think you're right. Well, we're going to see, John.
- 13:40Speaker 1: This is going to be a very interesting couple of months.
- 13:43Speaker 3: I'll give the boss your regards today.
- 13:46Speaker 2: Yes. Tell him I'm working hard. I'm strapped to the
- 13:49Speaker 2: computers today looking at polls.
- 13:50Speaker 3: I'm going to tell him.
- 13:51Speaker 1: I said, that poor John hasn't left his house in weeks.
- 13:54Speaker 1: He's going to make sure you win every race.
- 13:57Speaker 2: Actually, I'm in the Washington area. I've got to fly
- 13:59Speaker 2: back to New York tonight. So I did it quick,
- 14:01Speaker 2: but then back to more Zoom calls.
- 14:03Speaker 3: Oh, you're in D.C.
- 14:04Speaker 1: Today?
- 14:05Speaker 2: Yeah, but I have to go back to New York tonight.
- 14:07Speaker 3: What time are you leaving?
- 14:09Speaker 1: Because I'll be there at 2.30.
- 14:13Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 14:13Speaker 3: Just in case you want to run by the White
- 14:15Speaker 3: House naked or something.
- 14:16Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 14:16Speaker 2: No, no, no, no. We don't do that. Too many
- 14:20Speaker 2: secret service there. Don't do that.
- 14:22Speaker 3: No, I'm not going to do that. I got I
- 14:24Speaker 3: got a very important couple of meetings.
- 14:26Speaker 1: I love you, John. You're the best pollster. You and
- 14:28Speaker 1: your brother in the country are a great New Yorker,
- 14:30Speaker 1: a great American. And all these guys, Blakeman, Trump, Bibi,
- 14:34Speaker 1: they're all very lucky to have you. And you're a
- 14:36Speaker 1: great friend, John. You really are.
- 14:37Speaker 3: Thank you so much.
- 14:38Speaker 2: Thank you. It's a battle this year, Sid. Keep fighting.
- 14:41Speaker 2: Tell them they got to help us in New York.
- 14:43Speaker 3: I'm going to walk out with a big check. How
- 14:45Speaker 3: about that?
- 14:46Speaker 1: And I'm going to tell them. I'm going to tell J.D.
- 14:48Speaker 1: and President Trump, not to help Bruce Blankman. We need
- 14:51Speaker 1: money here in New York. I promise you I'll make
- 14:54Speaker 1: that plea coming up later on today. The great John McLaughlin,
- 14:57Speaker 1: best pollster anywhere in the world, him and his brother.
- 15:00Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to Sid and Friends in the Morning.
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- 15:29Speaker 4: What the heck is going on here?