Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 188 - 12/23/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 188 - 12/23/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello, and welcome to episode 188 of the All Systems Go sports
• 0:25
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:27
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
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  Happy Monday, but more importantly, happy Christmas Eve
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  Eve. That's right, Santa's on his
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  way. Hopefully coming down your
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  chimney, dropping off a couple good gifts.
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  I want to wish everyone a great holiday season as well as those
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  of us, including myself, who celebrate Hanukkah, happy
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  Hanukkah as well, which weirdly kicks off right at the same time
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  as Christmas. Usually Hanukkah is much earlier
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  in December. So I was a little confused by
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  that. But anyway, happy holiday
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  season, everybody. I want to give you a little bit
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  of housekeeping real quick because once this pod is over, I
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  am jumping on an airplane with the wife, going to sunny San
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  Diego for Christmas, going to spend the holidays with the in
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  laws. So very much looking forward to
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  that. I will be writing sharp reports
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  over the next couple days because we do have some NFL
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  Christmas games. We got bowl games.
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  There's still a lot going on. So you can check out my sharp
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  reports that I write for visen.com.
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  They'll be available and I'll tweet them out every day as I
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  always do for my Twitter account at Josh under score Insights.
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  But no pods over the next couple days.
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  We'll be celebrating with the fam.
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  We back at it. Next episode of the ASG pod will
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  be on Thursday the 26th. So looking forward to that.
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  But just wanted to tell you guys that at the outset.
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  Now, a lot to get to for today. Hopefully get a good winning day
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  here to get us some momentum going into the holiday season.
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  But I do have a 5 pack of sweats for you, including two plays on
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  tonight's Monday Night Football game, Saints and Green Bay.
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  It's a big number. Does Green Bay blow him out or
• 1:59
  do the Saints lose by 14 or less?
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  That's the question. I got to play on the side.
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  I also have a play on a player prop here.
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  Hoping for a pass catcher to go over his receiving prop with a
• 2:09
  good rhythm edge. Then 2 plays in the NBA, we're
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  gonna see if we can get a big spread under for a total as well
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  as a good sharp dog to fave line move on a side in the NBA
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  tonight and then hopefully finish up with a winner in the
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  NHL. I got one bet for you late night
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  game looking, hoping for this one to go under the total.
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  So overall, 5 pack and we'll hit on it all on today's pod.
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  Now looking back toward the weekend guys, hope everyone had
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  a great weekend. Hope you're done with all your
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  Christmas shopping. But anyway, had a Good Friday.
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  I know it's been rough recently, but Friday was a good day. 4 and
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  1 + 2 point O 9 units on the pod.
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  We're able to get Longwood in Cincinnati and college hoops.
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  If you remember we bought low on that Bucks.
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  Cleveland over 220 1/2 in the NBA that came through Colorado.
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  Anaheim late night. That was an epic sweat because
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  their opportunities pull the goalie.
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  I was hoping they wouldn't score an empty net goal and thank God
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  they didn't. But we got the under 6 1/2.
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  The loser was Indiana plus seven and Oh my God, Kurt Signetti.
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  What a total fraud. Loser DB.
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  And again, I'm not one to call out coaches and players because
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  again, I'm a peanut gallery. Sports better.
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  I'm not out there, you know, coaching or playing.
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  But when you're Kurt Signetti and you get all these accolades,
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  what a great coach turned Indiana round.
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  I was getting ready and I was excited to sweat the the the
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  Hoosiers there plus the points. Signeti before the game says not
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  only do we beat top 25 teams, but we kicked our ass.
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  I'm a big tough guy. And then what does he do?
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  He punts. He doesn't go for it on his on
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  the opposing 50 yard line when you're down multiple scores in
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  the fourth quarter. So you my friend, are a fraud
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  and a total DB. You can tell that I obviously
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  lost with Indiana there Saturday.
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  Split took Houston plus 3 1/2 from the points.
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  Unfortunately, they couldn't cover against the Chiefs, but
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  did late with Baltimore minus 6 1/2.
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  That end up closing -7 good CLV and Baltimore That just kind of
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  screamed fade the trendy dog to me, even though you had all
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  those Mike Tomlin systems, and luckily it came through with
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  Baltimore covering that number. Only play that we made for the
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  pod going to Sunday's NFL slate was a Jacksonville, Cleveland or
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  Jacksonville, LA Las Vegas Raiders under or sorry, over 40.
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  And frustratingly enough, it closed 41 and a half, 1 1/2
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  points of CLV. What happens, the game goes
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  under. So that one was a little bit
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  frustrating, but you may have actually played the Raiders in
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  that one because that was a good sharp line move in their favor.
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  And I do want to thank everyone for tuning in to the Sunday
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  Sweats edition, which is again, every Sunday, noon Eastern or
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  11:00 AM Eastern Time to noon stream live on Twitter with
• 4:40
  rhythm. And we had a good show
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  yesterday, so I'm always excited to see some familiar names and
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  faces in the live stream again every Sunday, 11:00 to noon.
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  Now let's look at the slate for tonight because we got a 5 pack.
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  You guys know the drill. Can we find a way to scratch and
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  claw and get three or more and eek out?
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  Hopefully a winning night. So Saints and Green Bay Packers,
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  maybe not the sexiest game of all time, but an opportunity
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  hopefully to make some money. So set the stage, look at the
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  line movement, look at some system matches and percentages.
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  I'll give you my play on the side and a player prop to
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  consider as well. So going into this one, the
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  Saints are 5 and 9. Dropped two out of their last
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  three however, and did just come up short against the Commanders
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  20 to 19. They did cover though as a 7 1/2
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  point home dog. That was a weird one where
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  somebody stopped the clock, which again gave him a chance to
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  win it, which felt a little fishy to me.
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  Stood on 9 seconds for like 5 seconds if you know what I'm
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  talking about. But anyway, Packers 10 and four
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  having a great year. They've won four of their last
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  five. Just crushed the Seahawks 30 to
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  13, easily covering as a three-point Rd. favorite.
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  So what have we seen across the market here?
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  Well, this game open, big spread Green Bay -13 1/2 at home.
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  And we initially saw this line get all the way up to Green Bay
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  -14 1/2. But a lot of those 14 and a
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  halfs are now back down to 14. Now, there's still some hooks
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  out there which are it's going to be important here.
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  I will tell you in a second. But that told me, hey, under the
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  key #14 if Packers win by 14, there was some respective money
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  that laid it with Green Bay. But when it got to the hook 14
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  1/2, it didn't go through 14 1/2 and go to 15.
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  It actually came back down a little bit back down to 14 at
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  most shops. So you're looking at a lot of 14
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  1/2 fourteens right now. But the fact that it's not
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  painted 14 1/2, which means every books at 14 1/2, the fact
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  that you did see some lines come back down to 14, that told me
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  that there was some buy back there on the Saints 14 1/2 plus
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  the hook. Now we get the best splits
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  public play here on Green Bay when it comes to DraftKings,
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  which is the book that I like to use to gauge and use it as a
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  barometer for where the public is because it's a big public
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  book available in pretty much every legalized state and again,
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  caters to a lot of recreational betters.
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  But you're getting roughly 70% of spread bets here going with
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  Green Bay, laying it, saying Green Bay is going to blow him
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  out and win by, you know, 15 or more, 20 or more.
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  At Circa, though, it's a little bit different.
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  At Circa, 49% of bets are on the Saints, but they're also taking
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  into account nearly 60% of spread dollars.
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  So a little bit low bets, higher dollars, sharp bets, but there
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  in favor of the Saints. Now I'm taking the points here
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  with New Orleans for a couple reasons.
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  And again, it's very important here to grab the 14 1/2 the hook
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  because it is available at a couple shops.
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  So I got plus 14 1/2 for the Saints.
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  I know it sounds gross, but can you lose by 14 or less?
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  That's my bet here. First thing I like is mentioned
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  DraftKings contrarian opportunity. 70% of bets are on
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  Green Bay. Also that buyback a lot of
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  shops, 14 F down to 14. There's a couple other angles. 1
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  correlative betting value. You have a big dog here, Saints
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  plus 1414 1/2 and the total is only 43.
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  So think of it this way. Fewer amount of expected points
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  expected to be scored. It's going to be harder for that
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  favorite to cover the number unless Green Bay rolls like, you
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  know, 27 to 7 or something like that.
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  God forbid. Again, you like a big dog, you
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  like a low total, you like a small favorite, you like a high
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  total, which would be basically more expected points scored.
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  Theoretically easier for the favorite to cover, but then we
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  get into some system matches. The big dogs getting 14 or more,
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  They're two and two ATS this season, but since 2018, they're
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  55% against the spread, 36 and 30 ATS.
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  If you look at primetime dogs getting 14 points or more, it's
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  kind of rare. But since 2017, those primetime
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  huge dogs, those German shepherds, those Bernese
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  Mountain dogs, the Newfoundlands, those dogs are
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  actually 7 and O against the spread.
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  So primetime game, big points. Typically you should take the
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  points in that spot. Double digit favorites on Monday
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  Night Football, 13 and 32 ATS only 29% since 2003.
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  So in particular, Monday Night Football, huge favorites.
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  They pretty much always win, but they don't always cover because
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  it's a big price. This also gives me a lot of Deja
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  vu to the Patriots game. Yesterday, I got a little
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  nervous because my Patriots actually played very well to
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  start. They got up 14, nothing.
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  And you've heard me, you're probably sick of me saying it,
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  but I'm on the under 4 1/2 win total with the Patriots.
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  So I'm like, oh, this isn't good.
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  Are they going to find a way to beat Buffalo?
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  Luckily they didn't, but they covered the number.
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  And why is that important? Because this kind of line
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  movement reminds me a lot of that Patriots Bills game where
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  you had a bad team on the road with it was already eliminated
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  from playoff contention going up against on the road, a Super
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  Bowl contender and it kind of a let down spot.
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  Green Bay just had a big win against the Seahawks.
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  And remember, the Bills just had that big win against the against
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  the Lions. And what happened?
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  You saw a Buffalo -13 and half up to 1414, half Patriots
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  covered. So I'm hoping a similar thing
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  here happens with New Orleans. Now, I didn't play the total,
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  but if you like the over, I'm not going to argue with you.
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  It open around 42. It's up to around 43.
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  You'll see one or two shops 43 1/2.
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  And normally, I would say, hey, primetime unders, that's the way
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  to go historically, but it's been a weird year.
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  We have these Monday Night Football overs actually 12:00
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  and 7:00 this season. And when the total is 43 or
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  less, they're actually a perfect five.
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  And O to the over. Weather really shouldn't be a
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  factor at Lambeau. It's going to be cold, low 30s,
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  but really no wind, not much expected precipitation or snow
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  or rain or anything like that. And the bets, what's actually
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  pretty good on the over at DraftKings, 67% bets, 86%
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  dollars around the over. And at circa 70% bets, 80%
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  dollars around the over. So looks like to me a little bit
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  of over money came in there. Again, you're playing it now,
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  you are getting the worst of it. But I think to me, my one play
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  here, I know for a fact what I bet.
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  The only play I bet for side total is the Saints in the
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  points. By the way, our friends at
• 10:30
  Rhythm say that this game should be around Saints plus 10.8.
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  So it's a pretty good actual discrepancy.
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  If you're giving me 14 1/2 and Rhythm says it should be about a
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  10/11 point game, we can still be contrarian.
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  Hey, that's a good angle there with some good system matches.
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  So my first play is Saints. Can you not get blown out and
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  lose by 14 or less? That's the goal.
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  If you're playing Saints, you got to get the hook.
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  Plus 14 1/2, one prop for you. I'm going with a tight end on
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  New Orleans, not Jimmy Graham. Boy, were those the days with
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  Drew Brees, Marcus Colston, Jimmy Graham, remember those
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  times. But anyway, Foster Moreau over
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  21 1/2 receiving yards. Now, it's important to shop
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  around. I got over 21 1/2 -, 115 to the
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  over at Bet MGM. But if you look at Caesars,
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  they're 22 1/2. FanDuel is 23 1/2.
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  DraftKings is also 23 1/2 juiced up to the over.
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  So I don't need to tell you PTSD, you know, missing on a
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  player prop by 1/2 yard or a yard in every little yard
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  counts. So that's why I played it at Bet
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  MGM. But couple angles for Foster
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  Moreau, hopefully to get some receiving yards.
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  He has gone over this number in three of his last four games.
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  He's also had a bit of a connection with Spencer Rattler,
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  who's going to start tonight. Last game with Rattler at QB,
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  Last game against the Commanders, he had four catches
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  for 39 yards. Then he had two catches for 38
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  yards, 2 passes, 2 catches for 54 yards.
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  And there was one game early where yet I think no catches, no
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  yards and didn't he had one target.
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  But I'm thinking, hey, lot of injuries, no Olave, no, no album
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  Camaro, obviously no, no car here.
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  Who's Rattler going to throw it to?
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  To me, your big tight end security blanket could be the
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  guy that you target. Also, since you're a dog, a big
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  dog get down big. Probably have to throw the ball
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  here. Weather isn't that bad either.
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  As I mentioned before, pretty mild at Lambeau.
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  And the cherry on top, our friends at Rhythm are predicting
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  35.6 receiving yards. So I'm doing it guys.
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  I'm holding my nose taking New Orleans plus 14 1/2 and I'm
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  going to hopefully see if Foster Moreau can go over 21 and half
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  receiving yards. That's -115 at bet MGM.
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  Now over to the NBA. Couple NBA games here tonight.
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  I have a side and a total for you.
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  So let's start off with a total 8:00 game here tonight should be
• 12:53
  a blowout. Hopefully it goes under.
• 12:55
  I'm talking Wizards and Oklahoma City Thunder.
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  Now going to this one, we have OKC, a very big 17 1/2 point
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  home favorite. The total is the one, the angle
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  here that I'm going to target now Wizards are bad 4 and 22,
• 13:08
  Oklahoma City great 22 and five, obviously, But what's 1 angle
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  that we love to play? We love to play these big spread
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  unders because the whole thought process is, hey, you're a huge
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  favorite. Get up big, take your foot off
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  the gas, just kill, kill the clock in the fourth quarter.
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  Hopefully that road team is down big and they give up and again,
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  put in the scrubs and obviously the scrubs not as good
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  offensively. But anyway, this total did tick
• 13:31
  up a little bit. It opened at around 2:25.
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  It's up to 226 1/2. So it looks like there was a
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  little bit of over money there, but this is one of my favorite
• 13:39
  systems when you are a home favorite of 12 or more.
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  The under this year is 21 and 1264%.
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  It's also a bit of a contrarian play because you have roughly
• 13:49
  60% of bats taking the over in this one.
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  Now rhythm has a predicted total of 225.4.
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  So if we're able to get the high watermark 226 1/2.
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  And I'm, I'm hoping that maybe we see some some juice here, see
• 14:02
  one book juiced up a little bit to the under.
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  I'd love to, you know, hit that under 2 under 226 1/2 and see it
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  get down to 226, maybe get some CLV.
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  But here's what I like aside from the main point, which is
• 14:14
  the big spread under offense efficiency.
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  Wizards are dead last in the NBA. 30th OKC defensive
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  efficiency #1 so we have the best defense against the worst
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  offense. Hopefully that again leads to
• 14:30
  fewer points here. So I'm going to play the under
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  here guys. OK C is a great defensive team.
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  Huge favorite. Good system match here.
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  Give me the under. I got under 226 1/2.
• 14:41
  Then a injury. Play dog to fave line move.
• 14:44
  Bucks at the Bulls. If everyone's healthy, probably
• 14:48
  a pretty good game. Maybe you look toward a high
• 14:50
  scoring game, but this is a play where I'm going to go Bulls.
• 14:54
  And the main reason is both Giannis and Damian Lillard are
• 14:57
  out for this game. So when Giannis was expected to
• 15:00
  play Lillard, I think he was probably questionable because he
• 15:03
  missed the last game. But the Bucks open this game
• 15:06
  with a healthy Giannis around -2 -, 2 1/2 on the road.
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  Now it's flipped to bulls -2 at home.
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  So dog to fave line movement in favor of Chicago, obviously with
• 15:16
  no Giannis and no Lillard. Meanwhile Chicago fully locked
• 15:20
  and loaded. Everyone should be good to go
• 15:21
  for this game. Great bet splits on the Bulls at
• 15:25
  DraftKings. The Bulls are only getting 23%
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  of spread bets, so maybe the public hasn't caught on to the
• 15:31
  idea of Giannis being out. Or maybe they just say even
• 15:33
  without Giannis, give me the points of the Bucks because the
• 15:35
  Bulls aren't that good, but that tells me we got great reverse
• 15:39
  line movement. Dog to fave again, the Bulls
• 15:41
  only getting basically a quarter of bets, but yet the line
• 15:44
  flipped in their favor. DraftKings on the money line.
• 15:47
  So this is a play for me. Money line -130 I'd hate to see
• 15:50
  again. Maybe Bucks put up a fight and
• 15:52
  lose by one or two. You lay a 2 or 2 1/2 with
• 15:55
  Chicago and you lose the game. So I money line the Bulls at
• 15:58
  -130 but at DraftKings, 26% bets, 60% dollars on the Bulls
• 16:04
  money line. So a good low bets, higher
• 16:06
  dollars bet split. And then also at Circa again,
• 16:10
  caters to sharper betters out in Vegas, Great spread bets, spread
• 16:13
  percentages here for the Bulls. Bulls are only getting 60% of
• 16:16
  bets, a little bit more popular, but but 87% of dollars.
• 16:21
  So really good low bets, higher dollar split there with Chicago.
• 16:24
  So no Giannis, no Lillard. Bulls fully locked and loaded
• 16:29
  dog to fave line move toward Chicago, Great bet split.
• 16:32
  I'm going to bank on Chicago hopefully getting a win for us.
• 16:36
  If you can't beat the Bucks without Giannis and Dame, we got
• 16:38
  bigger problems in Chicago, but Bulls hopefully can get this one
• 16:42
  get this one home for us. I went Bulls money line at -130
• 16:48
  now last bit of the night. If you want to stay up late and
• 16:50
  sweat some hockey with me, I found one total again, it's been
• 16:54
  a weird year with money lines in hockey.
• 16:56
  I've had some systems that have basically printed money for me
• 16:59
  in the in in years past and this year they really haven't
• 17:02
  performed very well. So that's why I've kind of
• 17:04
  limited my my volume there with the NHL.
• 17:07
  But getting that last under win on Friday kind of got me
• 17:11
  thinking, hey, maybe we should target some totals in the NHL.
• 17:13
  Maybe we'll have some more success with totals versus money
• 17:16
  lines. So I landed on one total and it
• 17:18
  happens to be one of the same teams that we bet on on Friday
• 17:21
  night, Anaheim Ducks, Vegas, Golden Knights.
• 17:25
  Now, this is a late game. This one I believe is on ESPN
• 17:29
  Plus if you want to sweat it. But Anaheim comes in 13 and 15
• 17:34
  with four overtime losses or shootout losses, and Vegas comes
• 17:39
  in 22, eight and three. They've been great at home, 13
• 17:42
  and three. And again, Vegas flu, that was a
• 17:45
  system when it still holds true today.
• 17:48
  Again, the road, the road teams are visiting teams.
• 17:50
  Maybe they have a little bit too much fun in the casinos and stay
• 17:53
  up too late. But it was a great advantage for
• 17:55
  Vegas at home. And again, they're 13 and three
• 17:57
  overall. So it's like, hey, play Vegas,
• 18:00
  but they're -330 on the money line, that's a little bit too
• 18:02
  expensive for me. So I said, hey, we might have a
• 18:06
  hockey version of a big spread or big money line home favorite
• 18:10
  under. So I'm looking at the total.
• 18:13
  I'm going under here, guys. Now the total is 6 1/2.
• 18:17
  And what I like about the total is that it's painted under
• 18:19
  across the board. So open 6 1/2.
• 18:22
  There's some books that got down to six at times.
• 18:24
  Back up to 6 1/2 Now it's pretty much 6 1/2 really juiced under
• 18:28
  -115 -, 120 to the under. So it tells me, hey, they're
• 18:32
  making you, odds makers are making you pay a higher price to
• 18:34
  go under. What's the reason for that?
• 18:36
  Probably because there's good smart money on the under banking
• 18:39
  on a lower scoring game. So we got a juiced under, under
• 18:42
  6 1/2 Vegas, Golden Knights, Anaheim juiced everywhere to the
• 18:46
  under, great bet split at Circa. Circa is 67% bets, but 93% money
• 18:52
  on the under. So great low bets, higher
• 18:54
  dollars bet split. Now it's unconfirmed who's going
• 18:57
  to start for Anaheim. It could be John Gibson, it
• 18:59
  could be Dostall. I'm not really sure.
• 19:02
  But we do have confirmation on Vegas.
• 19:03
  It's going to be Aiden Hill 2.69 goals against, nine O 1 save
• 19:07
  percentage. And he's been really good in the
• 19:09
  month of December. 2.2 O goals against, 9/23 save percentage.
• 19:14
  Now Anaheim is the third lowest scoring team in hockey, only
• 19:17
  scoring 2.5 goals a game. Vegas is the 10th best defensive
• 19:21
  team in hockey. And if you look at how the Ducks
• 19:25
  overall, they're 2010 and two to the under 67 percent, one of the
• 19:30
  best under teams in the NHL. On the road they're 9, five and
• 19:33
  one to the under and I was also looking at some head to heads
• 19:36
  between these teams because this is the fourth match up this year
• 19:39
  and the unders 3 and O first game Vegas won three to one,
• 19:44
  then they won three to two, then they won four to 1.
• 19:47
  So can we get another lower scoring game here?
• 19:49
  We got a juiced under painted under across the board.
• 19:52
  We got a good bat split. We have bad offense for Anaheim.
• 19:55
  We have good defense for VGK. Is this a 5 to 1/4 to 2/3
• 20:01
  nothing type game? Now, hopefully that's what we
• 20:03
  see here. So I'm playing the under.
• 20:05
  I got under 6 1/2 at -112 that was the lowest juice I could
• 20:09
  find that was available at FanDuel.
• 20:11
  So 5 pack tonight, VGK Anaheim under 6 1/2 Bulls money line,
• 20:17
  Wizards OKC under 226 1/2, Foster Moreau over 21 1/2
• 20:21
  receiving yards, and dear God, can you please not get blown
• 20:25
  Outlet's go Saints plus 14 1/2. So that about does it for a
• 20:29
  Christmas Hanukkah edition of the ASG podcast on a big Monday
• 20:34
  before everyone gets ready to have some fun and get after it
• 20:38
  for the holiday season. But a few things I want to leave
• 20:40
  you with guys. Cuz again, as I mentioned, I'll
• 20:42
  be off for the pod for the next couple days and back out on
• 20:45
  Thursday. But as always, here's my here's
• 20:48
  my ending spiel. And it doesn't change on
• 20:50
  Christmas Eve #1 if you enjoy the pod, if you value the pod in
• 20:54
  the insights, obviously the results aren't quite what we
• 20:57
  want. Recently, it's just been a rough
• 20:58
  stretch here. But you value the insights, the
• 21:02
  data, the information. You enjoy listening to it each
• 21:05
  day. You look forward to the
• 21:05
  breakdowns, whether you tail fade, pick and choose, whatever.
• 21:09
  Just the fact you take the time out of your busy lives to listen
• 21:11
  to the pod, that means a lot to me.
• 21:13
  But if you really want to give me a Christmas present, all you
• 21:15
  have to do is give this podcast a five star review.
• 21:19
  Go to Spotify or iTunes, give it five stars rate in review.
• 21:23
  It'll mean a lot to me. Help us to continue to grow the
• 21:25
  pod as well as gain more listens and continue to rise up the
• 21:29
  charts, which would be fantastic.
• 21:31
  If you want to leave a good note or you want to click the follow
• 21:33
  button or recommend it to a friend, that'll also be also be
• 21:36
  great. Next, if you enjoy this pod and
• 21:40
  you're interested in data-driven, sharp, contrarian
• 21:42
  betting, betting games based on information and numbers, not
• 21:46
  based on your gut instinct and bias, or maybe you're scrambling
• 21:49
  and you need a last minute stocking stuff for a Christmas
• 21:52
  present for that person in your life, You know what you should
• 21:54
  do? You should go buy a book in a
• 21:56
  specific book, a book called the Everything Guide to Sports
• 21:59
  Betting. Just go to Amazon.com, type in
• 22:01
  the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
• 22:03
  Pick up a copy for you or a friend.
• 22:05
  It's got everything I've learned in the industry.
• 22:07
  How lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line
• 22:09
  movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place the bet in
• 22:12
  person or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up
• 22:15
  a bankroll management plan. It's all included in the
• 22:17
  everything guide to sports betting.
• 22:19
  Also, have you taken advantage of a 7 day free trial of Juice
• 22:22
  Reel or Rhythm yet? My two favorite sports betting
• 22:25
  apps. They help me win.
• 22:26
  I'm confident they'll help you win.
• 22:28
  So please go download Juice Reel and Rhythm.
• 22:30
  Rhythm is great for their AI backed models and predictions
• 22:33
  for game bets and player props and Juice Reel where all the all
• 22:36
  systems go best bet pics are located.
• 22:38
  You can all follow them. I tweet them out each day from
• 22:41
  my Twitter account at Josh under score insights.
• 22:44
  But you can always just go to social and search ASG under
• 22:47
  score podcast 499 a week. That's $4.99 just so you know
• 22:52
  and I consider that a tip jar. If you like the insights you can
• 22:55
  get the pics early and hopefully beat some closing lines.
• 22:58
  But also Juice Reel is great for the Robo Jackson best bet pics
• 23:01
  if you want to play those as well as arbitrage or sharp and
• 23:06
  mush indicator place. Those are also great as well.
• 23:10
  So that about does it. Another pod here in the books
• 23:12
  guys actually got to go get a haircut.
• 23:14
  I got an appointment to get my haircut because my wife said,
• 23:16
  you know what, we're going to see the family.
• 23:18
  You got to get a haircut, you got to get lined up.
• 23:20
  So that's what I got to do. And then we also have to drop my
• 23:23
  dog off at the, we call it kind of the animal in basically where
• 23:27
  you board your dog for a week. So I'm I'm sad to see metal for
• 23:31
  I go, but I have to drop her off as well.
• 23:32
  So busy times for everybody, I'm sure.
• 23:35
  But anyway, guys, hope you have a fantastic holiday as always,
• 23:38
  whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in
• 23:42
  Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
• 23:44
  Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge
• 23:47
  Park Casino or MGM Springfield in my neck of the woods in
• 23:50
  Massachusetts route in the desert where the true grinders
• 23:53
  get down, where Billy Walter sends his number runners with
• 23:56
  lowest juice possible. Start at the South Point or
• 23:58
  sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming
• 24:01
  pool. When you cash a big ticket at
• 24:02
  Circo, wherever it may be since Friday, you're going to show me
• 24:05
  a Longwood ticket. Cincinnati Bucks, Cleveland over
• 24:09
  Colorado, Anaheim under. How about Baltimore laying the
• 24:12
  points? Whatever you do, if you ever run
• 24:13
  into Curt Signetti, he owes us a beer or more.
• 24:16
  What a total fraud, Mr. Hardo there with Mr. Big Talk, and yet
• 24:21
  yet he punts down multiple, multiple possessions in the
• 24:23
  fourth quarter. Yeah, yeah.
• 24:25
  You're a big, tough guy, Mr. Signetti.
• 24:27
  You can tell I never met the guy.
• 24:28
  He's probably a good guy, but you can't be this this big Hardo
• 24:31
  on in, in one side and then on the other side, you know, act
• 24:34
  like a scared coach trying to limit the margin of loss.
• 24:37
  But anyway, guys, I hope you have a great Christmas, great
• 24:40
  Hanukkah again, I'll see you in a couple days.
• 24:42
  Enjoy the time with your family as always.
• 24:44
  Stay sharp, stay contrarian, bet against the public, place
• 24:47
  yourself on the side of the house, always be with the smart
• 24:50
  money, never against it. Will smart money win every time?
• 24:53
  No, it won't unfortunately. But guess what?
• 24:55
  It's going to win a majority of the time long term.
• 24:58
  So if we can find that sweet spot, that system match against
• 25:01
  the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid
• 25:04
  parlays, get that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
• 25:07
  to be successful sports bettors. So happy holidays everyone.
• 25:10
  I'll see you in a couple days. I hope you get everything you
• 25:13
  want for Christmas. Maybe the gambling Santa Claus
• 25:16
  will give us some victories. That would be nice.
• 25:18
  But seriously guys, enjoy your Christmas, your Hanukkah.
• 25:20
  I'll see you in a couple days and good luck.
• 25:23
  I'll see you back on Thursday the 26th and that'll be episode
• 25:28
  189 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by
• 25:32
  Rhythm. Good luck everybody and happy
• 25:34
  holidays.