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NCAAB + NBA + NHL + NCAAF Best Bets Saturday 11/8/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:23
  Speaker 2: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: Own four that have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with bookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new pink. Actually, I'm going to burn
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: my bruins hat. Man. I don't know what is going
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: on with the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what day is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the slumps, the slump discontinues, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up her? But it's sewed back with you?
• 1:35
  Speaker 2: Better off Ted, Saturday, November eighth, I'm gonna try to
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: bounce back for me shit day yesterday, which again you
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: can watch my rant about it last night on the
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: College Football edition.
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out, guys, that people who hung out
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: for that one.
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: I got five college football plays today that I gave
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: out on the show. Reiterate those at the end of
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: the show, which hopefully will not take that long.
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: We do have a lot today as well. I'm gonna
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: give out four college.
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: Basketball plays, uh, two hockey plays in one NBA game here,
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: So we're gonna have a lot on the board today.
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: I believe twelve plays in total. I mean, this is
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: what happens when you get into college basketball season, man,
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: with all these other sports going on. Jeffrey, what's up man?
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out, Charles, Thanks.
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: For hanging out. Yeah, it's just one of those days. Yeah, yeah,
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: it's it's it's all.
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: It's all about losing NBA on bullshit. Yeah, I think
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: I better quit having the having these betting slips because
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: because I'm gonna be leaving this earth.
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: Uh yeah, I don't know. I gotta get into today, man. Yeah,
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: well I'm just yeah.
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: Hopefully I'm just continuing doing what I usually do, man,
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: So hopefully this works out. College back, dude, I don't
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: feel great about college basketball, even though I started six
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: and oh this season.
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: I don't know, one and two yesterday doesn't feel great.
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: It's starting to feel like how it felt like I
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: couldn't get anything right in college basketball earlier this year.
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: So I don't know, we better get back on track.
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: I better have a gauge on these games today. We're
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: gonna get into it right now with college basketball.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: Maybe I should not talk about.
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: As many games as I did yesterday, but I'm gonna
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: try to run through these.
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: The first game off on in college basketball is a
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: big game with number fifteen Alabama at number five Saint John's.
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: This is at Madison Square Garden, which is Saint John's
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: second home basically, like it's not their actual home arena,
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: but they do play a bunch of home games at
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: Madison Square, so it's basically.
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: A home game for them, if you want to call it.
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: That isn't newon on Fox Sports one competing with college football,
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: though this one is going to be interesting.
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: I still think Alabama kind of has that air behind
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: them from the last couple of years and then then
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: that really really fast team under Nat Oates. They score
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: a lot, and that's what recreational betters tend to like
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: that more than what they see out of Saint John's,
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: which Saint John's plays fast, but they are not a
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: very good scoring team or they that's been the case
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: under that year with Rick Patino so far whatever or
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: is it two years now with them, I don't even remember.
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: But I do think that might put the public a
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: little bit too heavily on Alabama in this one, although
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: the money is coming in on Alabama here sixty three
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets on Saint John's seventy percent of
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: the cash coming in on Alabama, and Saint John's has
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: dropped from six and a half six point favorite to
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: a five and a half point favorites, so the money
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: is actually coming in on Alabama. That actually kind of
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: surprises me. There's nothing to really see about what these
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: teams have done so far. They're both coming off wins
• 4:49
  Speaker 2: over lesser teams. Although Saint John's played the better of
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: the opponents that each of these teams played in Quinnipiac. Quinnipiac,
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: I mean, they're not that bad of a team, So
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: Saint John's actually their win was more impressive than Alabama's
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: in their first game. Alabama does have Purdue up next,
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: but they're not gonna overlook Saint John's. But it is
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: their first road game of the season Alabama, for them,
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: it is, so I slightly do disagree with this. I
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: kind of like Saint John's in this one, but it's
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: not a strong opinion. So just some feelings on that.
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: Alcorn State of Minnesota. I'm gonna mention quickly because Alkorn,
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: they just played a difficult game against.
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: South South Alabama.
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: South Alabama was an eighteen and a half point favorite
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: and al Korn was actually winning this game late in
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: the game. Alcorn had a lead with like four minutes
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: left in the game, so they almost pulled off this
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: huge upset and now this is gonna be a third
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: straight road game for them. I think it's a bad
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: spot for them, having to go up into Minnesota now,
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: traveling all over the place after almost pulling.
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: Off that upset. Sure.
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: I mean, ideally you want to show up for a
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: game against Minnesota, but I don't think it looks good.
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: Minnesota just had one win at home, so.
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: There I think probably gonna be more rest and I
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: like Minnesota here. This one hasn't made my card, but
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: I would lay it with Minnesota if I was gonna
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: do it. They're up to a thirty point favorite, though
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: in Minnesota sometimes they do play fairly ugly and you
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: don't really want to lay like a massive number like that.
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: But I do think that they will run away with
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: that game.
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: I lean towards Minnesota, but it's mostly a one sided thing.
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: It would be a fade of Alcorn State and that one. Yeah,
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I have much else to say
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: about any of these games. Penn State, I kind of
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: lean towards them against new Haven Penn State in their
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: home open or they came close to losing to Fairfield,
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: who is not a very good team, and the Mattac
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: at least not recently, at the very least Penn State
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: was a fifteen and a half point favorite. I mean,
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: Penn State not the greatest Big Ten team right now,
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: but still they should have won this game more easily.
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: They wound up winning by eight, but this was a
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: close game. This is a tied game with two minutes left,
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: so I think Penn State's gonna come out of this
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: probably a little bit angry and with more focus here.
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: Going to New Haven, though it is a little bit
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: of a weird spot though it is their first road game.
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: They're going to this New Haven venue, which is maybe
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: a little bit weird because new Haven's new to Division One,
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: so Penn State probably has never played there, so that
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: would be my worry about laying a bunch of points
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: at Penn State on the road there.
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: I do think they're in a nice bounce back spot.
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: New Haven also did play yesterday, which I believe Penn
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: State did not, so that's another thing to watch today.
• 7:27
  Speaker 2: There are going to be a bunch of teams on
• 7:28
  Speaker 2: back to backs as well, but you see some of
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: the lines shifting quite a bit against some of those
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: teams that are on back to backs. Kind of for
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: that reason, back to backs are actually kind of rare
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: in college basketball, so typically I generally want to look
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: towards fading those teams.
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: So New Haven is in that spot.
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: Although they're not traveling, they're staying at home, still looking
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: for their first win, and they're probably going to try
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: to at least get up for it. Because it is
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: Penn State. New Aven is so new that pregame doesn't
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: even have them listed as a name. Here, the money
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: looks like it's come in early on Penn State, up
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: from fourteen and a half to sixteen. I still agree
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: with laying the points in that one, but it's not
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: really it's not a game that I'm particularly interested in.
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: Drexel in Saint Joe's is one of these early season
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia matchups here. I think Drexel probably considers themselves to
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: be like one of the most little brothers, one of
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: the littlest brothers in Philadelphia, so maybe a little bit
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: more motivation on the Drexel side. The money is coming
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: in on them, seventy five percent tickets, ninety five percent
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: of the cash on them, with Saint Joe's dropping.
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: From eleven and a half to nine and a half.
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: Though they are the better team, that's it is gonna
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: be one of those weird Philadelphia matchups. A lot of
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: times you do see like the little brother pull off
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: the upset in those early season Philadelphia matchups.
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: So something to watch there.
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: That's Jeffries Jeffries Area right there. The NCAA revoked six
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: what like, what did they do?
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: They like?
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: Like they like what those players got expelled or they're
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: not allowed to play anymore.
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: I'm assuming you're making those names up. Said Quavious and
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: Duke Wavian.
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: They're too busy studying yet that is not a concern,
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: which is why in college basketball. I do not consider
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: the return home spot to be a thing in college
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: college basketball, because like with the professional sports, these guys
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: do have families to get back to with college, returning
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: back to campus is not really that much of a
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: distraction because you know, these players, they're not really focused
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: on studying in grades. Okay, yeah, they might be focused
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: on the other distractions that come with being on campus,
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: but those exist on every campus. I think that's like
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: less of a thing depending on what the individual situation is.
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: A Duke is coming off their big win over Texas
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: to start the season, so I guess you could argue
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: it's a little bit of a letdown spot here, but
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: at home against Western Carolina, I don't know if you
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: could possibly trust Western Carolina. Duke is a huge favorite.
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: They've gone up from a thirty point favorite to a
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: thirty five and a half point favorite. Duke's still being
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: ranked sixth in the country. So I mean, just yeah,
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: I don't know a game to mention. I guess because
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: Duke is playing, but not really something going on there.
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: Fairfield and NJIT, these teams are both in really bad spots. Fairfield,
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: of course, as I just mentioned, they almost pulled off
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: the upset at Penn State, So initially I'm looking to
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: fade Fairfield after that because now they have another road game.
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: They're game up next to Seaton Hall, which that's a
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: big East team. So for a matt Ac team like this,
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: you know you're gonna get up for a big East team.
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: So this looks like a pretty big sandwich spot. The
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: Fairfield is in here, it looks like a spot where
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: they might just not pay attention to Njiit the New
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: Jersey Institute of Technology who used to be an independent
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: and unaffiliated team and now they're in the American East.
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: But NJIT, they went to Ford them and they were
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: fourteen and a half point underdogs and pulled off an
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: upset at fourd them, so they're kind of a bad
• 11:04
  Speaker 2: spot too.
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: They're in a letdown spot coming off to that, so I.
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: Don't love it as much, although it is their home opener,
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: so I'm still gonna lead to nj T.
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: Both teams in bad spots, though, the spots where I
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: would normally be looking to fade these teams, so I'm
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: gonna stay away. Fairfield is actually up from a three
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: and a half point favorite to a six point favorite.
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: I don't really agree with that move.
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: I would still be looking to fade Fairfield. I think
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: the spot is still worse for them than it is
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: for enj Ait Plus Fairfield, I mean, their game was
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: against Penn State, right, they fell short of Penn State.
• 11:37
  Speaker 2: That's a big ten team, so I think there is
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: more weight in that than NJIT beating an A ten team,
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: even though they were a big underdog there.
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: So those are my thoughts on that.
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: You went to Temple, Yeah, basketball players, Yeah, they had proxy.
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: You go to this class and take notes for me,
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: bro Yeah, it's kind of.
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: A crazy thing.
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: By the way, I will point out there was another
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: fairly major upset in college basketball. Guess which was Delaware
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: Wilmington beat their big brother Delaware yesterday. So Delaware Wilmington
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: not a Division one team, so might be looking to
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: maybe play on Delaware in their next game, which I
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: don't believe they're playing today, although let me make sure
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: of that.
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: No, Delaware State is, but not Delaware. All right, let me.
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: Run through, Hopefully I can run through these games quickly. Houston,
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: number two in the country, is hosting tousand. I mean,
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: there's not a whole lot to see here, just Houston
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: is an excellent team. They're twenty seven and a half
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: point favorite. Though we know Houston does tend to play
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: really defensive, low scoring games, so with Houston somewhat difficult
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: to lay huge points spreads with them, allthough the money
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: is actually coming in that way eighty percent of the tickets,
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: ninety five percent of the cash on them. I don't
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: love laying huge points with Houston, although in a game
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: that's more of a mismatch like this, their defense might
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: hold the opposing offense so far down that Houston still
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: might still wind up doing it and winning by that margin.
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: Don't want to make that a play Northern Kentucky at
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: number eighteen Tennessee.
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: There's not a whole lot to see here either.
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: I'm just pointing out these ranked teams that are playing
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: Tennessee just beat their little brother. I believe in the state.
• 13:16
  Speaker 2: I believe Mercer is in Tennessee. Or are they in Georgia?
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: Now?
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: I think they're in Georgia. Why do I keep thinking
• 13:20
  Speaker 2: they're in Tennessee. I think Mercer's in Georgia.
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: Whatever.
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: Tennessee had kind of a lackluster win against them, really
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: a fifteen point win, So maybe Tennessee will actually show
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: up with a little bit more intensity this time. Northern
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: Kentucky just put up over one hundred and twenty points
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: against Cansall. Who is this team, I don't know, Cincinnati, Claremont,
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man Cincinnati kind of a geographic like
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: I don't want to say rivalry, but maybe Cincinnati teams
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: are gonna consider themselves to be a little bit of
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: a geographic rival with these with Northern Kentucky, just because
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: they're close geographically. But I don't know how better to
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: put that. Tennessee is up to a twenty seven point
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: favorite in that one. Just calling out the teams that
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: are ranked here, basically Texas. You could argue maybe they're
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: in a little bit of my hangover spot because they
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: were pretty close with Duke into the second half. They're
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: only losing by single digits for a while. They're big
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: game for Texas to start the season. Now they're coming
• 14:19
  Speaker 2: off that game, and now they play Louise or excusely
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: not Louisiana Lafayette, just Lafayette from Pennsylvania.
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: The Duke game, I believe that was.
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that was a somewhat neutral site, but it was
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: in Charlotte, so that was kind of a road game
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: for Texas.
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: So this is actually Texas's.
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: Home opener, So I don't really want to go against
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: Texas in their first game in Austin. So I mean,
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: I'm leaving it alone obviously, but I would slightly lean
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: towards taking the points of La Fayette. Texas is up
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: to a twenty five point favor it looks like it's
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: getting higher.
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: But they're public ninety percent of.
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: The tickets, although that's pretty obvious that they would be
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: ninety four percent of the cash on them as well,
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: But I would probably be leaning towards face them. Let's
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: get one of my plays is gonna come up right
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: now because I'm just going in order.
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: Here. Red Panda, she's back. Hell yeah.
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: I've seen Red Panda several times because she's the halftime
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: act at the TD Garden in Boston a lot. I
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: saw her when I went to the NCAA Tournament games
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: a couple of years ago. She's done it for Celtics
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: games that I've been to recently as well.
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: She's good. Man. People talk about how she screws up.
• 15:27
  Speaker 2: I've seen her like seven times that she's never screwed
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: up when I've been there. I mean, she asked her
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: one thing and that's what she does. But she does
• 15:35
  Speaker 2: it really well, riding a unicycle and balancing like bowls
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: and plates on her head. You should go, man, go
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: to Saint Joe's. Yes, she was jerking off Andre Drummond.
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: Is he like the Deshaun Watson of basketball?
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: I don't even know.
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on with Drummond. All right,
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: here's a play for you guys, call her minus the points.
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: We're getting into the three pm slate here. Now, this
• 16:04
  Speaker 2: is Eastern Washington at Colorado. I'm gonna lay it with
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: Colorado here Eastern Washington. They're coming off two pretty big
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: games in a row on the road, where they actually
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: played UCLA really close to open the season. Is almost
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: thirty point underdogs at Eastern Washington. Put up a pretty
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: strong performance here, but they did shoot kind of out
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: of their minds fifty three point seven percent from the field,
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: so they had kind of an outlier shooting percentagehch is
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: why I thought that they were gonna maybe be in
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: line for a letdown against Loyola Marrymount the game after that,
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: and instead they actually covered at least the closing number
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: again and they actually played pretty well again as nine
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: and a half point underdogs at Loyola Marry Mount. So
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: now they play these two games in California. Now they
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: have a third straight road game, and I have to
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: go into elevation playing a third game is a big
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: underdog here after putting up big efforts in back to
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: back games.
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: I think this is a bad spot for them. Dude. Colorado,
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: Colorado's just sitting at one.
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: But their first game was very unimpressive with a win
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: back on Monday against Montana State, and I think maybe
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: Colorado just kind of getting their bearings a little bit.
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: Only they were an eleven and a halfway favorite, but
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: they only won by six.
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: This is a pretty bad game for Colorado.
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: Man, they're actually losing this game late in the game,
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: so they were losing in the final few minutes of
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: the game. So Colorado is coming off of an escape.
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: And you know, man, I like to play on teams,
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: and almost lost is a big favorite, and I like
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: to fade teams that performed really well as a big underdog.
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: So that's what we got going on here. It lines
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: up pretty well here in my opinion, Colorado. They at
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: least had a bad three point shooting game in the game,
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: and both teams actually.
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: Had good field goal percentages in this game.
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: Colorado a little bit bad from behind the arc, not
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: that they're necessarily known as a three point shooting team,
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: but I think Colorado comes out with a better performance
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: this time. Montana State has been one of the better
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: Big Sky teams recently. At the very least, they're not
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: like exactly the worst opponent there. We'll go with Colorado.
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: I don't know what the line has done here. It
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: looks like the money's somewhat agreeing with me. Now, Colorado
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: actually a fourteen and a half point favorite. Now will
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: maybe change that if it's a better number. Right now,
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: sixty seven percent of the tickets, eighty six percent of
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: the cash on Colorado. That's my first play in college basketball.
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: Lay it with Colorado.
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: All right, Let's see.
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: We do have this Virginia matchup between William and Mary
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: and Norfolk State.
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: That game, I don't even know which one.
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: Of those teams is considered to be the little brother
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: because Norfolk State's in a really bad conference, but they
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: dominate that conference basically the MEAC. William and Mary's in
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: a somewhat better conference in the what are they in
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: the Colonial which, yeah, they think the Colonial like, oh sorry,
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: it's the Coastal. They had to change their name because
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: you can't talk about colonialism. But they're one of like
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: the lesser teams in that conference. It's an interesting matchup though,
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: if you're you know, a fan of Virginia basketball, I
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: guess let me see, Norfolk State's gone pick them to
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: a one and a half point favorite. It looks like
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: some of the money's coming out of Norfolk State. Don't
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: really have much of a reason to disagree with that,
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: although I think the public's gonna kind of remember that name,
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: just because they seem to get into the tournament almost
• 19:11
  Speaker 2: every year, just because they win the MIAC every year.
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: So that's that. Vandy going to UCF.
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: This is an interesting one man, an SEC team against
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: a Big ten team. Vandy destroyed Lipscomb to open the season.
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: Lipscomb has been pretty good in the what is it
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: the A Sun recently they won the A Sun again
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: last year. Lipscomb has won it multiple times in the
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: last few years, so I think people kind of remember
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: that name at least a little bit. So Vandy putting
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: up over one hundred points and beating them by forty
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: something looks pretty good.
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: But now Vandy has.
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: Their first road game and they have to go down
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: to central Florida to Orlando where maybe they are not
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: really that familiar with playing in that environment there, So
• 19:55
  Speaker 2: it looks like kind of a weird spot for Vandy.
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: Maybe they're a little bit pumped up that for that
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: big win to open the season, although they're probably gonna
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: get up for a game against UCF. But UCF started
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: the season with a pretty ugly game against Hofstra. UCF
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: was an eight and a half point favorite when the
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: game went off, and they came close to losing the game.
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, they only won this game by four points.
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: One of the issues that I would have with this though,
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: is that UCF actually shot better than hoffs during the
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: game and they still almost lost, So that's maybe a.
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: Little bit of a red flag. They shot forty percent
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: from the field.
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: They did have a lot of turnovers UCF did, so
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: that's part of the reason why it was that close,
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: so they could definitely clean that up.
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: You see, F.
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: I mean this is a close game, man, Like, this
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: is a one score game in the final couple of
• 20:38
  Speaker 2: minutes of the game, so you SEF came pretty close
• 20:41
  Speaker 2: to losing as a favorite there, so that means I'm
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: gonna lean to UCF in this one. It's not one
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: of my plays, but Vandy has actually gone up from
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: a six point favorite to a nine point favorite, so
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: you're actually getting more value of you like UCF. You're
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: sixty seven percent of tickets in nine seventy six percent
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: of the cash, excusally on Central flo which I don't
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: think there's a lot of public involvement here in these
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: college basketball games early on, especially the ones that don't
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: involve like the really named teams. So I think most
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: of this is actually professional money coming in and taking
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: the points on UCF even though the line did initially
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: move up extra value. I don't know what's going on
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: with the personnel, if there's like an injury that might
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: have moved that line a little bit, but I would
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: lean to taking the boys at the UCF. That one's
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: not a play for me, but one that is a
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: play for me, which I should call this the best
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: bet segment already, Man, fuck it best bets. I don't
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: know if this should be considered a best bet, but
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: we're gonna lay the poys with Boise State minus twelve
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: and a half, even though I know Boise they're kind
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: of an ugly, slow based team where.
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: You don't really want to lay a ton of points.
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: At home with them, or you don't want to lay
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: a ton of points with them, I should say generally,
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: but I don't think this point spreat is really that
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: crazy high. And there's a reason why we're doing this.
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: The reason is that Boise is coming off that notorious
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: upset few back against Hawaii Pacific. Boise had a really
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: bad game, losing to a Division two team. They've been
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: basically Boise State has been the brunt of all these
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: jokes since then, because that was the first major upset
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: that happened, and that was one to a Division two team.
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: I think there have been three Division two upsets, which
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: I forget what the second one was because Delaware Wilmington
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: was last night. There was one other one in the
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: mix there, and I'm gonna have to remind myself what
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: it was. But this is embarrassing, man. I mean, Boise,
• 22:30
  Speaker 2: there wasn't even a line on this game. Obviously Boise,
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: the better team, should have won the game. Ken Palm
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: has Boise somewhere around like the fiftieth best team in
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: the country. Boise was bad in the game. They had
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: a really bad shooting game. They also lost the turnover battle.
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: Those are things that can be fixed, like the shooting
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: percentages tend to like regress back to some sort of mean.
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: Uh so they were below average in this one. I
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: think that's gonna get better. Turnovers.
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: You can fix that, you can clean it up. That
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: just kind of shows like lack of focus. It was
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: their first game of the sea, But now after they
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: lost that game like this, I think they're gonna be focused, man.
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: And they still got Andrew Meadow our favorite guy with
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: the goggles there he'll be. I mean, I'm assuming he's
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: playing here, so we got him. He could carry us
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: to victory. Man, and they're playing against Utah Valley, the
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: Charlie Kirk School, notoriously.
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: Utah Valley's coming off a winner.
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: They put up one hundred and sixteen points, and they
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: won their first game by eighty one points. So like,
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: who's gonna dude, Absolutely nobody is gonna want to lay
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: points with Boise State here right now.
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: Nobody is.
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: And yes, Utah Valley they might actually be the best
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: team in the whack now that Grand Canyon moved out
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: of that conference into the Mountain West. But come on, man,
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: I mean, Utah Valley beating West Coast Baptist by eighty
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: whatever points. West Coast Baptist they're not a D one team.
• 23:49
  Speaker 2: I mean, they're not a good team, I assume. So
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: you can't really read too much into this. West Coast
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: Baptist shot seventeen points seven percent from the field in
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: the game versus Utah Valley fifty six percent. I mean,
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: it was obviously just an absolute mismatch. Nothing to really
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: take away from that. Now, it's a first road game
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: of the season for Utah Valley, Boise State staying at
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: home where they got embarrassed. So Boise State's playing at
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: home again. You know they're gonna want to bounce back
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: from that. We're gonna lay the points with Boise here.
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: The money is disagreeing with me. By the way, Boise
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: down from thirteen to twelve. Seventy five percent of the
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: tickets on Boise, sixty two percent of the cash on
• 24:29
  Speaker 2: Utah Valley. I don't get it. Money's coming in a
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: little bit on the over it looks like so maybe
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: it'll make it easier for Boise State to get over
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: a number like this and cover as a favorite. I
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: don't really understand this, man, because the stock could not
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: be any lower on Boise right now, unless unless the
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: sense is just that Boise was completely miss ranked to
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: like start the season. But I'm not ready to say
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: that after one game that looks like it was an
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: outlier where you got to think that maybe it was
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: the first game. Boise probably just thought it was gonna
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: be easy whatever, and they got taken by surprise. I
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: mean that happens a lot in college basketball.
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: I don't think we're that far off on Boise here.
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: As far as like, I don't think Boise has like
• 25:10
  Speaker 2: a bunch of years in a row where they're quite good,
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: one of the better teams in this conference. Then they
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: just completely drop off when they have some of the
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: same guys there.
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: I don't think that's the case.
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: Yes, Utah Valley is a bit of an under the
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: radar team for sure, but still I like Boise here.
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: I think it's the spot is good for them. There's
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: still the better team until we see otherwise. Boise, Charlie Charles,
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: what's up, man, Charlie Charles, whatever your name is, Charles,
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: the Chiles Riva kid.
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: Austin P at air Force.
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: Air Force coming off playing at Belmont, kind of a
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: difficult game there from them, and now they got Austin P.
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: Austin P.
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: The money looks like it is coming in on Austin P.
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: They did just beat I don't know, Britain.
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: Who is this team?
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: Oh, Brian Tennessee, like, wait, there's a British team at
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: College of Basketball now, No, I don't know. So yeah,
• 26:01
  Speaker 2: it looks like Austin P is getting the money here though,
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: flipping through a two point dodge or two and a
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: half point favorite, except that there are sixty seven percent
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: of tickets on them seventy seven percent of the cash
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: on air force. So these market reads early at college basketball,
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: they can really kind of mess with your head. So
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: that's why I try to rely on like situational handicap anymore.
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: So I don't even know what I would do with
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: that game. Providence in Virginia Tech is a pretty big
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: game here. This game is actually not at Virginia Tech.
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: This game is for some reason at Mohegan Sun. So
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: we have some weird like neutral site games going on
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: here today too. So that's something to keep in mind.
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: Make sure that you.
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: Look at like where some of these games are, because
• 26:38
  Speaker 2: there are just these random games that are sometimes not
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: at these home venues.
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: Why is this a Mohegan Sun, I don't know, but.
• 26:45
  Speaker 2: That actually is a closer location to Providence because the
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: Mohegan Sun is in Connecticut, so it's like almost a
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: semi home for Providence here.
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: So pretty strange to see Virginia Tech being the quote
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: unqot quote home team in this matchup.
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: Both teams that they will get up for a Providence
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: actually didn't play well in their opener against holy Cross.
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: But you gotta think holy Cross got up for that
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: game because holy Cross is you know, they're one of
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: my boys out in a Wooster, mass is where holy
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: Cross is. So that's kind of a geographic like Little
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: Brothers situation where you gotta think holy Cross is gonna
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: get up for one of the bigger New England boys.
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: It was a twenty three and a half point line
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: on Providence there and they only won the game by ten.
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: It was never really a question if Providence was gonna
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: win the game though, like the game was never really
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: it wasn't ever actually close to holy Cross actually winning
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: the game, but they did cover by quite a bit.
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: So Providence coming up a bad performance, maybe they're gonna
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: show up for this game and play better. Virginia Tech
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: coming off a game over Charleston's Southern which I don't
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: think there's really anything you can really take away from that.
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: They blew them out, So maybe that makes Virginia Tech
• 27:57
  Speaker 2: look a little bit better. I would probably lean to
• 27:59
  Speaker 2: pro it's to bounce back a bit and this one,
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: and the money is agreeing with that, flipping them from
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: one and a half point dog to a.
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: Two point favorite.
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: Seventy one percent of the tickets eighty five percent of
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: the cash coming in on Providence, and the money is
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: agreeing on Providence here. I agree with that as well.
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: That's the way that I would look in that game.
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: That's actually one of the more interesting games on the
• 28:19
  Speaker 2: board today between two big conference teams. Yeah, old Man
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: River and Nate. What's up man, thanks for coming back,
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: thanks for hanging out modern moments.
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: What's up man, Oregon? You're talking about college football?
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: You like Iowa. I agree with taking the points with Iowa.
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: I would not be shocked if I was able to
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: pull off that upset. Iowa plays good defense. I think
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: they're going to be in that game. Yeah, it's not
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: one of my plays, but yeah, I do not disagree
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: with Iowa at least plus the points here.
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: Now, Unfortunately, we have like teams like New Orleans.
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: And Nurseyhears, who both pulled off big upsets in their
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: first games. They're playing D two teams, so there aren't
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: gonna be lines on these games, so there's nothing you
• 28:57
  Speaker 2: can really do about those games. Long Beach at Fresno.
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: Hopefully I'm gonna get through this quickly and up fear Man.
• 29:05
  Speaker 2: Fresno just lost at home to South Carolina Upstate USC Upstate,
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: which I think USC Trojans probably don't like South Carolina
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: Upstate calling themselves USC upstate. But yeah, this was a
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: ridiculous upset kind of basically because people don't know who
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: USC Upstate is. Although they've been like kind of a
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: decent team in the Big South for a while. Fresno
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: not a very good Mountain West team, so this wasn't
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: as huge of an upset as people really kind of
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: made it out to be. It was definitely an upset
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: though Fresno was a nine and a half point favorite
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: in this one.
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: They played pretty poorly.
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: They're actually winning a lot of the game, then they
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: lost the game late. Fresno was terrible from the field
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: in this game, thirty five point five percent from the field,
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: twenty three point three percent from three. They shot really,
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: really poorly, so you gotta think there is some regression
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: in store there.
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: They just shot horribly.
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: USC Upstate fifty, so there's got to be some regression
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: here Fresno.
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: I do worry about the fact that.
• 30:06
  Speaker 2: They still won the turnover battle by double digits and
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: still lost the game. That's not a great sign. And
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: they actually lost the rebound battle so that's.
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: Not a great sign. There are a few kind.
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: Of red flags there with Fresno, although I do think
• 30:18
  Speaker 2: they're in a bounced back spot after that they're facing
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: Long Beach State. Long Beach State got absolutely destroyed by
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: San Diego State, although I mean that's not that surprising.
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: San Diego State obviously the better team of those two.
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: A good history of San Diego State there.
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: So both teams are actually kind of in bounced back spots.
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: I just kind of think Fresno kind of a little
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: bit more embarrassed after what they did in their first game,
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: and they're staying at home, so there is that at
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: the very least of.
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: The Long Beach is just staying in the state of California.
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: The money seems to be agreeing.
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: Fresno's up from four point favorite to a seven point favorite.
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: Now was seven being a key number in basketball because
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: it's when teams stop potentially fouling when they fall behind
• 30:59
  Speaker 2: by three biz, So I feel like Fresno the line's
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: a little bit worse right now, but I do lean
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: that way. Eighty one percent of the tickets and seventy
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: eight percent of cash looks like you might be able
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: to get six now. So it looks like once it
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: hit seven, maybe some of the money started coming in
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: a Long Beach and driving the line back down. But
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: I would lay it with Fresno if I was gonna
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: play this, just because they were getting made fun of
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: after that ugly loss Long Beach. I mean, it was
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: more expected that they were gonna lose to US San
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: Diego State. Obviously eighty one percent of the tickets only
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: seventy eight percent of the cash on Long Beach. It
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: looks like the public is coming in and fading Fresno,
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: at least to the extent that the public gets involved
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: at these games. Our friends at IU Indianapolis formerly Iupuy
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: with that new Shaka smart esque havoc, full court press.
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: Deepfense, are going to Butler here. This is gonna be
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: a weird one, man. I mean, I you Indianapolis.
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: You know they're gonna get up for this game because
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: both these teams are in Indianapolis.
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: I talked about that.
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: It was part of the reason why I faded I
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: You Indy in their last game, because I thought this
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: was a big look. It was a big look ahead
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: to Spot to this game because they're the little brother
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: in this city. One of the little brothers in Indianapolis.
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: They're gonna want to get up for this game.
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: Butler.
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: They've already played a home game so far, I believe,
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: so it's not even their first home game. Maybe Butler
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: takes IU Indy a little lightly, though. You got to
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: think that they've heard the hype at this point, so
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: they're gonna try to do something.
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: Butler.
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: They don't exactly play slow, although Iupui plays ridiculously fast,
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: but Butler's not one of those teams that tries to
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: completely slow it down, so Butler might not be totally
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: thrown off by that. Although Butler might come out and
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: actually try to slow it down like a little bit,
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: because that would throw off IU Indy a little bit,
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: and Butler is still the better team here. What do
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: you want to do in this game? I don't know, man,
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: Butler's just sitting at a twenty one and a half
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: point favorite. I would, I guess slightly lean to Iupuy
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: there IU Indy, just because they are that little brother
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: there in that city. Dressing one Fau and Charleston is interesting.
• 33:04
  Speaker 2: This game is in Lynchburg, Virginia, so there's kind of
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: this tournament thing going on in Lynchburg right now, which
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: is hosted by Liberty.
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: I believe Charleston.
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: Is on a back to back because they played in
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: this thing yesterday. They lost to Liberty yesterday. Again, this
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: is Liberty's home floor. Though I'm pretty sure Charleston wasn't great.
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: They lost the game. They're on a back to back,
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: so that's not necessarily great. Obviously, FAU is the more
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: arrested team coming into this one. But FAU, I mean,
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: you could argue there maybe in a letdown spot because
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: they did beat Boston College, even though I know BC
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: hasn't been good for quite a while now in college basketball,
• 33:44
  Speaker 2: but they're still an ACC team, so I think FAU
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: could consider that to be a pretty big win, and
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: maybe they are gonna be in a little bit of
• 33:51
  Speaker 2: a letdown, although Charleston's been pretty good in their conference recently,
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: so maybe FAU will still get up for this game.
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: Charleston's on a back to back.
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: And FAU isn't, so FAU does have a little bit
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: of rest here. But there is kind of an advantage
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: to Charleston though, even though they did play yesterday, and
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: that's the fact that Charleston just played in this same arena,
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: So when teams are playing like a second straight game
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: in that same arena, they are used to it now,
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: they're used to the site lines, whatever second kind of
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: throw off, like a team like maybe FAU, they haven't
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: played there yet this year, they're coming in and playing,
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: coming in a little bit cold to have to adapt
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: to the arena again. Although I think this tournament does
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: happen every year though, and I think FAU is like
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: always in it though, so maybe that's a little bit
• 34:34
  Speaker 2: less of a factor because I think FAU does.
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: Play in it every year.
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: The money's coming in pretty strong, and FAU up from
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: two and a half to six, So if you like them,
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: definitely lost some value there on them, eighty three percent of.
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: Tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash coming in on them.
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: Some of it has to do with I think Charleston
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: playing yesterday though, and maybe it's a little bit of
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: an overreaction to Charleston not looking good yesterday. So I
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: have you know, I mean, this game it's very very
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: difficult to read. I mean, I don't love the game
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: one way or the other. Really, I'm not going to
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: really necessarily disagree with the line movement on FAU because
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: they are the more rested team, but obviously there are
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: definitely some hesitations there.
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: Another big game tonight.
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: Our other ranked matchup of the day is number fourteen
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: Arkansas with John cal Perry going up against Tom Is
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: twenty two Michigan State, seven pm on Fox.
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: Michigan State.
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: You know, they play a lot of big boys at
• 35:25
  Speaker 2: the beginning of the season. I think that's the only
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: other ranked matchup today. It'll be a good game. This
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: game is in east Lands and so it's at Michigan State.
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: Arkansas beat Southern to open the season. Nothing to really
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: see there. Michigan State looked a little bit more lackluster
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: in their opener at home, only beating Colgate by eleven
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: at home, so that's not a very impressive win. But
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: now Arkansas is traveling first road game of the season.
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: Michigan State's already played at home and they're staying at home,
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: so I think that is an advantage to Michigan State.
• 35:56
  Speaker 2: And they look bad in that opener, and you know
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: they're used to playing the big teams early on, like
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: that's what tom Izzo does. He usually gets like one
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: of the most difficult early season schedules scheduled for his team,
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: Like you can see they're gonna play Kentucky North Carolina, Duke.
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's the way that he wants it, man.
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: So I lean to Michigan State, and this one the
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: money is agreeing with that. They flip from one point
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: dog to to and a half point favorite here. And
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: that's another thing. Like you see Arkansas being the higher
• 36:24
  Speaker 2: ranked team. This is something I talk about in college
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: football and basketball. When you have the lesser ranked team
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: actually favored even though they're not quite getting home court here,
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: that's obviously something to take into account because the public
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: is gonna perceive value the other way. Oh, the higher
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: ranked team is getting points here. Let me take that.
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: But I think that that's not the way to look.
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: I think you want to do the opposite. Uh, because
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: the oswigers are telling you that basically the rankings are
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: not quite accurate.
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 36:51
  Speaker 2: Fifty tickets, seventy five percent of the cash on Michigan States.
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: The money is agreeing with Michigan State, and I do
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: not disagree with it. All Right, next up next for me,
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: Hopefully we're gonna get these plays today, man, because we
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: started off nice six and zero. We're now seven and
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: two in college basketball. We're gonna take Queens plus eighteen
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: and a half against Villanova.
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: I know this is at Villanova.
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: And Queens, I mean, they've already played at least they
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: haven't played a true road game yet, so I do
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: worry about that it's their first true road game. But
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: they did already play almost a road game at in
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: South Carolina against Winthrop, which Winthrop I think is close
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: to where that location was, so that alleviates that concern
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: to some extent. But also, you know, Queens, this is
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: one of their biggest games on their entire schedule.
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, they do have Virginia and.
• 37:41
  Speaker 2: Arkansas and Auburn later on, but this is their big,
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: like early season game against Villanova, so I think they're
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: gonna show up for it.
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's a big East team.
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: And I like the fact that after their opening loss
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: in that first game on the college basketball season, Queens
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: actually looked worse than they actually were, Like they shouldn't
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: have lost that game against Winthrop. Queens had the game
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: in hand and they fell apart at the end, and
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: then I think intentionally followed at the end, they played
• 38:05
  Speaker 2: better than the final score makes it look, and then
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: they had a nice bounce back against a D two team.
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: They got to win. I believe at homes that was good.
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: So I think that'll at least get that monkey off
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: their back or early. Okay, now we're not a winless team.
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: Let's go.
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: We have some momentum now. So I like that for Queens,
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: But I also think this is a big.
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: Let down for Villanova and Villanova's changing time zones here. Villanova,
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: they had that big spotlight game against BYU in Las
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: Vegas whenever.
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: That was a few days ago, and Villanova was close. Man,
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: they almost took out number eight ranked BYU. Villanova had
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: the lead late in the game and then they fell short.
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: I mean, I think they're gonna be in a bit
• 38:43
  Speaker 2: of a letdown spot here. I know, this is their
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: home opener, and most of the time I will not
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: want to play against the team in their home opener
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: or on a team that's playing their first true road game,
• 38:53
  Speaker 2: But in this situation, I think it's actually warranted. And
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: you're asking Villanova to lay a ton of points, and
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: we know, I mean, they've been kind of a mediocre
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: team in the Big East recently and they play very, very.
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: Slow, so Villanova.
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: Asking them to cover a large spread as a favorite
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: is not really something you want to do with a
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: team that plays a style like Villanova does, where again
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: they're defense oriented. They play very slow paced, so it
• 39:17
  Speaker 2: makes those points worth more. And you can see that
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: the oddsmakers are expecting that to be the case here,
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: because I think.
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: This is one of the lowest totals on the board. Oh, actually,
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: I'm wrong. It's at one hundred and fifty one and
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: a half. What am I saying? I thought it was
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: in the one thirties, So my mistake. Yeah, so that's
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: not great.
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: But it was like the line is ticked down a
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: little bit on the eighteen down to eighteen with a
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: little bit less juice, But I like it. I still
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: think the spot sets up for it. Everything else I
• 39:42
  Speaker 2: said is still in play here, I would say, I
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: mean Villanova, they still play a slower game. I think
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: the fact that the total is I I think is
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: kind of indicative of just Queen's wanting to play a
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: bit of a faster style. And yes, I know that
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: Villanova is gonna try to slow it down, and usually
• 39:58
  Speaker 2: the team that's the better team at home, we'll be
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: able to control.
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: The pace and slow it down.
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: But I'm okay with that because again, if Villanova does
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: successfully slow the game down, you're asking them to lay
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: a ton of points, so that doesn't really play into
• 40:13
  Speaker 2: them covering by a huge margin.
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: So I like it. We'll go with Queen's plus the points.
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: I haven't seen what ken Pom has on these games
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: by the way that I'm given out, but I think
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: ken Pom actually has all three of those that I've
• 40:26
  Speaker 2: given out, winning by a little bit less but whatever.
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: And then to finish it off, we have one more
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: game here.
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: We're gonna go Tarleton State. On the money line is
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: what this is? I mean you could I saw you could.
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: Only a couple of books.
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: Had this out right now, you could lay like one
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: and a half.
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: But as I pointed out, when a team's a one,
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: one and a half or two point favorite, it actually
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: is more advantageous to lay a money line price. And
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: I went to see what the money line where it was,
• 40:50
  Speaker 2: and you could just lay a pick them. So why
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: wouldn't you do that, like when you're having to lay
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: like almost minus one ten for the minus one and
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: a half. Anyway, if another book has the money line
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: at minus one, ten, and then all they have to
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: do is win the game. Yeah, I mean, it obviously
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: makes sense to do that instead.
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: That's what we're gonna do.
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: This is against Texas A and m CC, and I
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: think Tarleton State probably considers themself to be a little
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: brother here in the state of Texas versus A and
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: m CC because An MCC, I mean they're under the
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: Texas A and m band or they're in kind of
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: a better conference in the Southland here, whereas Tarleton State.
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: Is in the whack. I believe an mc C.
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: I mean they're coming up a pretty good game actually,
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: where they played pretty well against SMU two days ago.
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: That was a big step up game for A and
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: MCC and they lost by eleven. But this game was
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: actually somewhat closer. If you look at what happened in
• 41:38
  Speaker 2: this game A and m CC. They were tied in
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: this game with four minutes left, dude, or four and
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: a half minutes left or less than four and a
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: half minutes left.
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: It was a tied game.
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: So Texas A and MCC almost they were close to
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: pulling off an upset on the road at SMU as
• 41:54
  Speaker 2: a twenty three and a half point underdog, So they
• 41:57
  Speaker 2: almost pulled off that upset, and you know me, I
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: like to go against teams when that happens.
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: Now they're having to go down.
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: To basically the border in whatever this is, steven Veltexas
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: or wherever this is, it's right near the Mexico border.
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: They gotta go down and play Charleton State, and up
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: next on Tuesday they're gonna face They're gonna face Kansas and.
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: Then Oklahoma State.
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: You gotta think A and MCC might be looking ahead
• 42:18
  Speaker 2: to those games too, So this game is actually sandwiched
• 42:21
  Speaker 2: in between bigger opponents. Second straight road game, it's gonna
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: be difficult for them. Man, So Charlton State, even though
• 42:29
  Speaker 2: they're own two, you're just asking them to win the
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: game outright, And the line is basically saying that they're
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: not that much worse than A and MCC. They lost
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: to SMU by twenty in their opener. So the public,
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: if they look at this, they're gonna say, well, wait
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: a minute, A and MCC almost.
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: Beat SMU, who crushed Tarlaton both.
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: Games at SMU, So why would I want to take Tarleton.
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: We're just asking me to pick the winner. It looks
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: too easy to.
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: Play A and m Corpus CHRISTI here, but again I
• 42:55
  Speaker 2: wouldn't do that. ANMCC does have a win, but of
• 42:58
  Speaker 2: course that was against a non Division one team in Trinity,
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: Texas or whatever. Tarleton has played two really difficult games
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: against SMU and LSU. They have an extra day off here.
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: They weren't expected to win either of those games. Now
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: this is their home opener, and it's a winnable game.
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: I think they're gonna show up for it. Tarlton, Oh
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: holy shit, They're already up from two to three and
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: a half now, So my bat on that one. So
• 43:19
  Speaker 2: the money's definitely agreeing with it. I saw it as
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: at a Pickham price, a moneyline price of this. I
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: saw it at this money line price like a half
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: an hour ago, dude, so this is crazy. I would
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: still do it. I think you probably find about a
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: two out there. Still, I would still need to laying
• 43:35
  Speaker 2: the points of Tarleton here. Yeah, that's the way that is.
• 43:39
  Speaker 2: I think the spot sets up really well for them,
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: So maybe at that larger price I would put a
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: little bit less money on it, but I still like
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: that side.
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: Weaber states a little brother.
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: In the state of Utah, so just somebody keep in
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: mind there, maybe Weaver State, maybe we're a look plus
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: the points there, Utah coming up a bigger.
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: Game based gonna win over San Jose State.
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: Although Utah was probably a bigger favorite than that, and
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: they did, they did not really play that well in
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: that game, so somebody keep in mind there. I'm gonna
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: argue a little bit against holy Cross because they played
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: really close against well, not really close, but as I mentioned,
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: they at least came within ten of Providence in their
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: first game, and now they have to go out into
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: high elevation to play BYU. I don't think it's a
• 44:25
  Speaker 2: great spot for holy Cross, even though you could argue
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: BYU could be in a little bit of a letdown
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: after that spotlight win over Villanova, but they were expected
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: to win by more than that, so they actually didn't
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: cover and they're staying at home. So I would actually
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: probably lay it with BYU if I was gonna play it.
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: But they're already all the way up from thirty four
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: and a half to thirty nine here, so obviously I
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: don't love that, so that's.
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: Gonna be a stay away.
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: And then the other game late night, ten thirty pm,
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: last game of the board is actually a good game.
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma at Gonzaga.
• 44:57
  Speaker 2: It seems like these two teams seem to play early
• 45:00
  Speaker 2: he is in every year now, But I don't know
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: if that's gonna be that helpful to Oklahoma. Like do
• 45:05
  Speaker 2: they play at Gonzaga every year though? Do they alternate venues?
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: I don't know, because Oklahoma avenue to go up to
• 45:10
  Speaker 2: Spoke can Washington seems like a little bit of a trip,
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: which is not that great. Oklahoma blew out Saint Francis PA,
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: which whatever I mean.
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: You know, I went against Saint Francis.
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: PA with TCU and got an easy win with that one,
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: So that's not a very impressive winner that they did
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: blow them out. First true road game for Oklahoma here
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: a little bit difficult, I think for them to do this.
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: Gonzaga is ranked at twenty one in the country and
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: they think they're under ranked yet again, if anything, they
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: always seem to be under ranked. Gonzaga crushed Texas Southern
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: in their first game, and I think they're just staying
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: at home. Yeah, they got Creating up next, but Canzaga's
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: not gonna overlook Oklahoma.
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're an SEC team. You know, they'll get
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: up for this game.
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: The money's coming in in Oklahoma, though I don't really
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: agree with it. Gonzaga down for twelve to eleven and
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: a half, fifty three percent of tickets on them, seventy
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash coming into Oklahoma. I would probably
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: lean towards laying it with Gonzaga here. I mean I
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: think Gonzaga. I actually think they're being undervalued, as it
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: seems like they always are now, just for whatever reason,
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: because they're in a lesser conference or whatever. I think
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: still a little bit of a difficult locational spot and
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: travel spot for Oklahoma having to go play a West
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: Coast like not a West Coast game, but a Pacific
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: time zone game late, which can mess with their biological clocks.
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: So oh yeah, we're skipping it. Let's go to NHL.
• 46:33
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna have two plays in the NHL. We got
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: some in dressing games here. I mean, Pittsburgh is at
• 46:40
  Speaker 2: New Jersey. But if you look at these teams records,
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: they both have really good records. But New Jersey's been
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: excellent at home.
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: They're six and ohero in n at home.
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: They've won all their home games, so they're very very
• 46:51
  Speaker 2: good at home and the osbeagers are telling you something.
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: But the fact that even though both these teams have
• 46:55
  Speaker 2: good records, New Jersey's a minus one seventy five favorite,
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: although they drop from minus two hundred, But the oddspeakers
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: are telling you New Jersey is the better team. Lining
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: them is more than just a home ice favorite. Here,
• 47:06
  Speaker 2: fifty five percent of ticket, sixty six percent of the
• 47:08
  Speaker 2: cash can be in a New Jersey. The public might
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: come in and maybe perceive value on Pittsburgh, but I
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: would disagree with that. I would I would look towards
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: New Jersey and this one. Pittsburgh's coming up beating Washington
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: on Thursday too, that's a big win as well.
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: Yes, this is a big game, going to.
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: Play New Jersey, but they're gonna have to like step
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: up their level of game two games in a row.
• 47:30
  Speaker 2: Sometimes I don't love that New Jersey to just be Montreal.
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: So that was a big win for them too.
• 47:36
  Speaker 2: So I can kind of see an argument that both
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: teams are someone in letdown spots. That was a return
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: home spot for New Jersey though, and they still got
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: the job done, which that might have been a loss
• 47:46
  Speaker 2: for me on the show. I don't remember if it
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: was or if it wasn't, but that wasn't a great spot,
• 47:50
  Speaker 2: New Jersey still took care of business.
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: I think they still showed up focus for a game
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: against Montreal.
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: Now they're in the second game back home, which usually
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: is a better spot, but it's better when the team
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: doesn't do well when they first come back home, and
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: in this case, they did, so you could argue that
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: it's a letdown spot for both teams, but I would
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: lean in New Jersey in that one.
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: Ottawa at Philadelphia.
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: Ottawa coming off that overtime loss to my Bruins on Thursday,
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: they've played three overtime games in a row. But they're
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: probably gonna want to salvage the last game of this
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: road trip because they've lost both games on the road
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: trip so far.
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: I don't know if Olmark is gonna play in this
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: game or not, but they.
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: Had a lot of rest before the Boston game, so
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: I think he probably will play again here. I think
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: they're gonna try to get this win and again salvage
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: the road trip. Even though they did beat Philadelphia earlier
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: in the season at home. Philadelphia probably not as good
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: as their record looks at eight five and one. Philadelphia
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: coming off that win over Nashville, which I thought was
• 48:48
  Speaker 2: a bad spot, and Nashville just sucks.
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, what can you do? They blow?
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: Never want to play on them again. Basically, Philadelphia is
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: technically returning over from a road trip here, although they
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: only went on the road for two games, so it's
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: not really.
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: A huge road trip or turn spot. They weren't really
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: away for that long.
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: But I actually think the spot sets up a little
• 49:07
  Speaker 2: bit better for Ottawa.
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: The rout for minus one thirteen minus one eighteen. On
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: the money lines, the money is somewhat agreeing with me
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: on this.
• 49:14
  Speaker 2: Sixty five percent of the cash on them, sixty seven
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets on Philly, so.
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: The money coming in on Philly again.
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: I think the public's kind of looking at this and
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: seeing that Philadelphia has the better record right now.
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: And yes, they are fairly good at home, so there is.
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: That as well, But the oddsmakers are actually telling you
• 49:30
  Speaker 2: WATA is the better team. So it looks again like
• 49:34
  Speaker 2: the oddsmakers are telling you something that's different than what
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: the records say. So I would tend to lean towards
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: what the odds makers say. Dallas at Nashville, Dallas coming
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: into this game off of kind of an ugly loss
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: to Anaheim, although Anaheim's been playing really well this season,
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: so maybe you have to adapt and maybe start boosting
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: Anaheim in your power rais because they've beaten so many
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: good teams in a row now, kind of crazy. Dallas,
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: they were kind of in a letdown spot because they
• 50:02
  Speaker 2: had just beaten Edmonton in a shootout the game before that,
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: and they played three straight overtime games, so it wasn't
• 50:07
  Speaker 2: the greatest spot for them. So I actually think Dallas
• 50:10
  Speaker 2: probably does come in and bounce back off of that loss,
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: and they they did have Autinger backa net after two
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: games without him in net, so he's gonna probably play
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: again here. They do play Seattle tomorrow, but I don't
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: think that's really that much of a cause for a
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: look at. Although Nashville is bad, so it is maybe
• 50:27
  Speaker 2: a team that you would tend to overlook, but teams
• 50:30
  Speaker 2: should be overlooking them, and it seems like Nashville still
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: can't win against anybody. National's lost three games in a row.
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: They're staying at home, they should get up for a
• 50:38
  Speaker 2: game against Dallas. It's not really a bad spot for
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: Nashville here, but I can't do it. The money is
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: saying Dallas to some extending the other down for minus
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: won sixty five to minus one fifty one, sixty two
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: percent of the ticket, seventy six percent of the cash
• 50:52
  Speaker 2: on Dallas.
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: So money is kind of saying Dallas here. I'm not
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: gonna disagree with it, though.
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: Fuck Nashville for what they've what they've done to me?
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: What have they done to my boy?
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: You're driving to tesla level.
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: Well, hopefully it doesn't catch on fire, dude, Hopefully we
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: catch on fire today. Joel Quinneville, where's he at now?
• 51:13
  Speaker 2: I don't even know which team has him as a coach?
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: Now? Is he Dallas's coach? Now? I have no idea, dude.
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: I just remember him being with Chicago and then there
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: were those allegations that he was like abusing players or whatever.
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: My Boston Bruins are in an Original six matchup at Toronto.
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: I think both teams are going to show up for this.
• 51:34
  Speaker 2: The Bruins have been playing well recently.
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: They've been a streaky team. Man.
• 51:38
  Speaker 2: They're on a five game win streak right now. Just
• 51:40
  Speaker 2: got a nice revenge win over Ottawa. Second straight overtime
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: game they've played three overtime games in the last four games,
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: and beat Carolina in the not overtime game. So the Bruins,
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: you could argue that maybe they're gonna start to get
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: a little bit tired, although they've had days off between
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: all those games. Swayman will be back in net for
• 51:58
  Speaker 2: this one, most likely because Basalo played their last game
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: and they still won against Ottawa. Bruins on a nice
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: role right now, so they might actually be taking momentum
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: on the road with them for this game. A lot
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: of times when the team's rolling like this, they go
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: out on the road for road game, they do carry
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: that momentum with them. They're gonna be focused for the game.
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: I mean, I think Toronto will as well. Toronto's staying
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: at home, they've had a bunch of days off. Al though,
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: I'm not so sure that the days off will help
• 52:22
  Speaker 2: Toronto because you don't want days off when you're winning
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: like they are. They won three games in a row
• 52:28
  Speaker 2: and then they had to stop, and that could be
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: a momentum stopper Man, you don't really want that to
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: be the case. I don't think they're gonna overlook Boston,
• 52:36
  Speaker 2: even though they do have Carolina tomorrow. Bruins have been hot,
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: and again it's an original six game. Bruins seem to
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: always beat Toronto in the playoffs recently too, so Toronto
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: will get up for this, but that rest that they've
• 52:48
  Speaker 2: had could actually stop their momentum a little bit. In
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: Toronto's recent wins have actually been less impressive. They beat Calgary,
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: Buffalo in overtime, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, and Utah. I know, Utah, Pittsburgh,
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: they have good records right now. Utah probably is actually
• 53:03
  Speaker 2: fairly solid this year. Pittsburgh, I don't really think they are.
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: So Toronto's wins, actually, all their wins this season haven't
• 53:10
  Speaker 2: really been that impressive. Nashville, I mean, that's not impressive.
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: Beating the Rangers.
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: I mean the Rangers are good on the road at least,
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: so Toronto beat them in Toronto. But even so, I
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: mean Toronto, actually the resume is not very impressive so
• 53:24
  Speaker 2: far this year.
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: I don't think that they're a bad team, but.
• 53:28
  Speaker 2: Still I think the money coming in in Boston here,
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: I think I would agree with that Toronto's down for
• 53:33
  Speaker 2: minus one to ninety to minus one to eighty here,
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: fifty two percent of the tickets on Toronto, but sixty
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: five percent of the cash coming in on the Bruins.
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: So the money seems to be coming in on the Bruins.
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: I think they're maybe a little bit too big of
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: an underdog here, oddsmakers not really respecting the Bruins. And
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: while yeah, I don't think the Bruins are as good
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: as the recent win streak makes them look, I think
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: maybe they're not as bad as this line is really
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: indicating as either. So that's what I'll say about that
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: Utah in Montreal. Do you want should I just do
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: my plays in order here? Maybe because I've started doing that,
• 54:05
  Speaker 2: maybe I will. Yeah, the Mighty Ducks, Emilio Estevez is
• 54:09
  Speaker 2: coming out man and Just smoll Lett on their team,
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: which if you don't get that reference that Just smoll
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: Lett is in Mighty Ducks. He's he's one of the
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: I think they're like the two brothers on the team
• 54:22
  Speaker 2: or whatever. You can look it up and it is
• 54:24
  Speaker 2: him and in the Mighty Ducks. All right, Next up,
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: we'll give on one of my plays. We're gonna play
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: Utah on the money line wherever I have it there
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: they're around minus one oh two on the money line.
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: The money's coming in on them. They flip from plus one.
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: On five dogs now minus one twelve favorite, eighty three
• 54:41
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Utah on the mamoth against
• 54:44
  Speaker 2: Montreal and Montreal sixty percent of the tickets on Montreal,
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: So the public wants Montreal are the One thing that
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: you do have to worry about is Montreal is pretty
• 54:52
  Speaker 2: good at home for one and one. Utah has been
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: all right on the road though they're above five hundred
• 54:58
  Speaker 2: on the road, so that's not that bad. But I
• 55:00
  Speaker 2: think the spot is actually pretty good for Utah. Here, Utah,
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: the oddsmakers are actually telling you something. They're actually respecting
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: Utah by the way, making them as a road favorite
• 55:10
  Speaker 2: against Montreal, which looks kind of crazy, like Utah, I
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: mean they're formerly Arizona, Like, are they really this good? Well,
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: the odszekers are telling you that they're better than Montreal
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: at the very least, which is kind of insane. Montreal, though,
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: I mean Montreal has been a bad team for a
• 55:26
  Speaker 2: while now, and last year they showed signs of improvement,
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: but I think what the ozerekers are telling you that
• 55:31
  Speaker 2: they're still kind of in line with what they were
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: last year.
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: Utah has had multiple days off.
• 55:35
  Speaker 2: They haven't played since Wednesday, and I think they're gonna
• 55:38
  Speaker 2: want to try to get back to above five hundred
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: on the road trip. Is there one to one on
• 55:42
  Speaker 2: the road trip right now? They did just lose to
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: Toronto in their last game. Utah is gonna have Vamilka
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: back in Net here, and he's the better of their
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: two goalies, even though I don't even think vana Check
• 55:51
  Speaker 2: is really that bad either, but the record is better
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: with Vameilka in net. I think they're about five hundred
• 55:56
  Speaker 2: with Vanachek, so Vameilka, the two v's Vmeilka will be.
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: Back in net for this one. You're looking at a
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: pretty rested Utah team.
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: They're only traveling from Toronto to Montreal, which is not
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: a big travel leg, especially with all those days off.
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: It's Montreal. I think Utah is gonna be focused on
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: this Montreal. Yeah, the record looks good, nine three and two.
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: I think they're good, maybe not as good as the
• 56:17
  Speaker 2: record looks, but they last played on Thursday, so they
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: have fewer days off. They went to New Jersey and
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: took New Jersey into overtime. Big game for them, and
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: now they're actually having to return home off of that.
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: So I actually think the spot's not very good for Montreal.
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: They have less rest, more travel, played a bunch of
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: extra periods recently and that was a big game against
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: New Jersey too, us. I think it could hang them
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: over a little bit here. And I'm pretty sure it's
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: gonna be Montembau and Net again. I mean, we can
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: see what it says here.
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: It's not confirmed.
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: I think it's almost definitely the Milka for Utah, but
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: for Montreal, I do want this to be Montembau, though
• 56:53
  Speaker 2: here we don't know if it's going to be because
• 56:55
  Speaker 2: DoBeS has played a couple of games in a row,
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: usually when he goes out there. But they're kind of
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: alternating between the two. But Montreal has been worse with
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: Montemo and NET. Dude, like they lost again with Montamo
• 57:06
  Speaker 2: and Net last time out. What's the record with Montamo
• 57:09
  Speaker 2: and Net. I think they're like three and three. I mean,
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: not including the overtime. I mean that's listing the overtime
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: losses is just losses. But I think they're like, I
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: don't know, whatever they are. They're like five hundred with
• 57:21
  Speaker 2: Montamo and Net. But with Montamo and net. He's played.
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: Seven times and.
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: They've allowed four or more goals in five of those games,
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: even though some of them might have been empty nets
• 57:31
  Speaker 2: or whatever. That's not good that they're allowing a lot
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: of goals in his games. And since one of the
• 57:36
  Speaker 2: early games against Chicago where they won three to two
• 57:39
  Speaker 2: with him in net, he's allowed at least or the
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: team at least has allowed three or more goals in
• 57:44
  Speaker 2: every game since then, so they've been worse with Montabau
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: and net, even though he looked like he was this
• 57:48
  Speaker 2: up and coming goalie last year. So I'd prefer it
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: to be him in net, although I still like the
• 57:53
  Speaker 2: spot anyway, but I think it's better if he is
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: in net for Montreal. Even the last time I tried
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: to fade him was one of his That was the
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: game where they only allowed three goals, So that's unfortunate.
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: I thought Ottawa should have gotten us the win there.
• 58:08
  Speaker 2: But we're gonna go with it. We're gonna go with
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: Utah in that one. Yep, Utah got good as soon
• 58:13
  Speaker 2: as they left Arizona. Dude, Arizona. I mean it's a
• 58:16
  Speaker 2: warm weather place. I mean, they don't they.
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: Don't play hockey in Arizona. What the fuck?
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: So now you get to go to Utah. You get
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: to practice in cold weather in Utah. Man Emilio Estevez,
• 58:27
  Speaker 2: he's yeah, what is he? He's the brother of a
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: Charlie Sheen, Is that right.
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: Half brother? Maybe something like that.
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: Emilio Estevez is not his real name. Neither of them
• 58:37
  Speaker 2: use their real name or no, actually, Emilio ess might
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: actually be his real name. Charlie Sheen, that's not his
• 58:42
  Speaker 2: real name. He changed his name because he has such sheen.
• 58:47
  Speaker 2: Charlie Sheen probably has slept with the most women out
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: of anybody on earth. By the way, Genghis Sheen. Montreal
• 58:55
  Speaker 2: is good. Yeah, with Marty Saint Louis. I'm not disagreeing
• 58:59
  Speaker 2: that they're good, but I don't like the spot here.
• 59:02
  Speaker 2: The oddsmakers are telling you something with that line. So
• 59:07
  Speaker 2: whatever the Kachuk's, Matthews, whatever, Knees Thomson, them from Arizona
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: don't care. Arizona was not there were obviously were not
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: drawing fans there. They were not a good team when
• 59:18
  Speaker 2: they were in Arizona. They should never have left Winnipeg, really,
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: because they were the original Winnipeg Jets there's obviously a
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: reason why they had to leave Arizona, so I'm gonna
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: stick by what I said. Arizona is also a fucking
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: sweltering hot desert.
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: Never want to go there.
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: It's literal hell, all right, correct, Yeah that's me, toad con.
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: Let's try to get the rest of these done.
• 59:44
  Speaker 2: Washington at Tampa Bay is actually a pretty good match
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: up between two good teams. Washington doing a little bit
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: worse than they did last year, but I think they
• 59:51
  Speaker 2: might be a little bit underrated right now. They're coming
• 59:53
  Speaker 2: off somewhat of an ugly loss to Pittsburgh the other day,
• 59:56
  Speaker 2: so I think they're gonna be kind of in a
• 59:57
  Speaker 2: bounce back mode. They've been ugly recent losing five of
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: their last six games, so I think they're gonna at
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: least try to show up here in a bit of
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: bounce back Moire. Tampa Bay probably better than the record
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: looks as well. I think both teams are, although Tampa's
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: been the hudder of the two teams recently. Tampa's won
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 2: six of their last seven. But they're returning home from
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: a road trip, and they beat Vegas to finish the
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: road trip, so you know what, I'm about to say,
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: I don't like that spot. Even though it was only
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: a three game road trip, so it wasn't that long,
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: but your return on from a road trip, it's gonna
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 2: be a bit of.
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: A distracted spot.
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 2: However, I do think that they might still focus because
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 2: it is Washington who beat them at Washington earlier this
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 2: year in October, and we know Washington won well, they
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 2: had the best record in the conference last year, I
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: should say, so, I don't know if Tampa's necessarily gonna
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: be totally distracted here and they can play this game
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: and then worry about getting stuff done at home after that,
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 2: because they're staying at home and they have a bunch
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: of days off after this, so they.
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: Might still be focused.
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: But they're returning over from a road trip still that
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: took them into Elevation and then to Vage.
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: I guess they could be in a bit.
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 2: Of a distracted spot still, and it could be a
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: little bit of a letdown spot.
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: Because beating Vegas is big.
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: Vegas is pretty good, so the spot is definitely worse
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 2: in my opinion for Tampa. So I'm gonna lean to
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: Washington in this game. This almost made a play for me.
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: Man should I add it. I'm tempted to do it.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: Tampa.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 2: Bay's up for minus one forty five to minus one
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 2: forty seven, sixty percent of ticket, seventy nine percent of.
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: The cash now on Washington. So the money is agreeing
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: with me now on this one on the Washington side.
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: Should I do it or we gonna do it? Yeah? Yeah,
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: let's do it.
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 2: Fuck it, We'll out of hockey play on the fly
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: here and hopefully I can get this show done and
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 2: get out of here because I still have to talk
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: about NBA. Fuck dude, man, all right, let me see
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 2: what am I looking at, Capitals. Let's see what we
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 2: can get on the line here. Plus one twenty five
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: is an underdog.
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: You know.
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 2: I like taking these small ish hockey underdogs too that
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: I think I have a decent chance to win the
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 2: game outright, I think getting decent value team like Washington underdog.
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 2: Let's do it plus one twenty five Washington. We're gonna
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 2: add it as a play on the fly there, all right.
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: New York, New York is my final game here and
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 2: we're gonna go with the Islanders on the money line here,
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 2: which the money is also agreeing with this one. This
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: is the final Hockey Play Rangers down for minus one
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: sixty two one fifty three on the money line, eighty
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: three percent of the tickets on the Rangers, but seventy
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: six percent of the cash coming.
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: In on the Islanders side.
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 2: The money is agreeing with me on this one and
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 2: taking the Islanders even though the oddsmakers are telling you.
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: The Rangers are the better team.
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: And while I don't disagree, you know what I'm about
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: to say with the Rangers, man, We're just gonna continue
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: to do this until something happens. The Rangers have not
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 2: won at home this entire season. They're zero five and
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: one at home, and in six home games, they've been
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 2: shut out four times. They've been horrific at home. And
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not saying they're gonna get shut out here.
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 2: I mean I highly doubt that, but they've been unbelievably
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 2: bad at home. I think we've won at least once
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: fading them at home, which well we did the other
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 2: day with Carolina, And we've won on the Rangers multiple
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 2: times on the road, including in their last games. You
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 2: remember I was on the Rangers and on the Islanders
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 2: in their last two games, and what happened well, the
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 2: Rangers looked good in their last game. They went to
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 2: Detroit and they beat them. Of course because it was
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: a road game for the Rangers, so of course they
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: won that game. That was a big win for the Rangers.
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: Man that was yesterday. Both teams played yesterday. But the
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: Islanders have basically no travel here whereas New York the
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 2: Rangers the other New York had to go to Detroit,
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: so this is a bad travel spot for them. And yes,
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: I know Quick was in net for them yesterday, but
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: he's actually been pretty good. They've won their last three
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 2: games with Quick and nets, so he's very experienced.
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: He's still good.
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 2: So yes, they're going back to shastark and who is
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 2: their better goalie? But still you're looking at the Rangers
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 2: sucking ass at home on them back to back with travel.
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: Don't love it.
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 2: But even though yes, the Islanders are also on a
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: back to back with the travel is much more limited
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 2: for them, the Rangers could be in a little bit
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: of a letdown spot here again because that was a
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 2: big win. Detroit playing really well this season, big win.
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 2: Detroit did outshoot them, although the Rangers did outface off
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: and out hit them, So the Rangers did still basically
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 2: outplay them in the game. I think maybe some of
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: the shots were desperation for Detroit in that game, so
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 2: there was that aspect of it. But yeah, I mean
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 2: there wasn't an empty net goal in the game either.
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 2: Al though, this was a two to one game going
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 2: into the third period, so maybe it wasn't quite as
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 2: lopsided as maybe the final score looks. So right now,
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 2: the Rangers, the public's gonna probably be back on them
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: a little bit. The public just tends to never really
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 2: like the Islanders the little brother, but you know, the
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 2: Islanders are always a little bit more motivated against the
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: Rangers because the Islanders always play second fiddle in New
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: York and now the Islanders actually play in I believe
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 2: they play in Queens now, so they actually technically play
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 2: in New York City rather than playing Nasau County like
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: just outside of Queens, because I think they changed venues.
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 2: The Islanders have lost two in a row, but yesterday's
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: loss was ridiculous.
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 2: Yes, they're on a back to back, but they're only
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: traveling from home in Queens. They're only traveling from Queens
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 2: to Manhattan. Man, all they're doing is getting on the
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: fucking subway. Of course they're not literally doing that, but
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean. And of course they're not
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: gonna do that because they might get mugged and murdered
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 2: and stabbed on the New York subway or even shot
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 2: even though, oh but I thought it was a gun
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 2: free city. Minnesota just crushed the Islanders yesterday five to two.
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 2: That was It was not great for my play, obviously,
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: but this game, I mean, the score was a little
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 2: bit misleading. I mean, the Islanders did have more shots,
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 2: although it was kind of because they were losing the game,
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 2: but they actually out face off Minnesota again. Minnesota, the
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 2: final scorer made them look better than they actually were.
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: The game was very close statistically, so I think if
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 2: you look at yesterday's results, you can be a little
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 2: bit misled about what happened there. Islanders underdog money line,
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 2: let's do it. Not twenty plays, but I think it's
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 2: like thirteen. My Instagram is gonna be ridiculous today. I've
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: already got five of them out though. Yeah, Mom, Donnie correct.
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: The subway is definitely not safe for anybody. I've been
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 2: to New York repeatedly, and I've only been on the subway,
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 2: I think maybe even once. Like I never used the
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 2: subway in New York City. I use the subway in
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 2: Boston like every time. Don't want to do it in
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: New York, Man, I don't trust it. All right, A
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 2: Buffalo at Carolina, and there's nothing to really discuss here
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 2: in my opinion. I mean, the money's coming back in
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 2: on Buffalo. Carolina is a huge favorite. I don't know
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: what else you could really say about it. Carolina is
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 2: coming off a couple of decent wins against the Rangers
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: and Minnesota, so I guess you could argue maybe they
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 2: won't totally focus against a lesser team like Buffalo.
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: They do have to play.
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 2: Toronto tomorrow on the road, Carolina does, so I guess
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: I am in agreement with the money come in on Buffalo,
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 2: but I'm not gonna do it Seattle at Saint Louis.
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 2: What I will say about this is it looks pretty
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 2: strange to see Saint Louis as a favorite here of
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: minus one fifty five down for minus one sixty six,
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: but eighty five percent of the cash on Saint Louis
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 2: and sixty percent of the tickets on Seattle, So the
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: public's on Seattle, thinking there's value getting them as an underdog,
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: because like, why would Saint Louis, who's a far below
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 2: five hundred team right now, be a favorite like this
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 2: against Seattle, who's well above five hundred. Well, the odds
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: wickers are telling you Saint Louis is actually the better team,
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 2: like they're telling you that these records are misleading right now. However,
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: Seattle's in a pretty big bounce back spot.
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: Because they did just lose horrifically to San Jose.
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: So I do think Seattle is going to show up
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: pissed here and bounce back, so I don't necessarily love
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: the idea of fading them for that reason.
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis is returning home from a road trip, and.
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: Then they only went to Washington and Buffalo, so it
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 2: was a small road trip there. Washington, I never pronounced
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 2: the last, still like Washington. Whatever I slur it, I
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: cram it in together.
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: Man. Yeah, Saint Louis.
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: Technically they're returning home from a road trip, but I
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 2: don't think it's gonna be one of those like major
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 2: distraction spots in the return home because they were only
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: away for two games, so I don't really disagree with
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: the Saint Louis side here. I do think that the
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 2: oddsmakers are telling you something, but Seattle could be a
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: bounce back mode there. Colorado at Edmonton perhaps the biggest
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: game on the NHL Slay. Colorado still has only lost
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: once in regulation. They just return home for a game
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 2: against Tampa Bay. They've had multiple days off and now
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 2: they're traveling up to Edmonton. You know they're gonna get
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 2: up for this game, and both teams are gonna be
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: up for this. Colorado going to Edmonton, big game for
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: both teams. Colorado maybe carrying a little bit a bit
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: of momentum out on the road with them, although they
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: do have a little bit of rest, but I don't
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: think that's necessarily a problem in this case because they
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 2: didn't really have a win streak going on.
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: Edmonton has the same amount of rest.
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 2: They're returning home from a road trip, so that makes
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 2: the spot a little bit less good for them, I think.
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 2: Although it was only a two game road trip started
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: on Monday, they've had a bunch of days off since then.
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: Although sometimes the extra days off kind of let you
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 2: settle in at home and add to the distraction. But
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: when they're playing Colorado. I don't think they're gonna be distracted.
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 2: I mean, Colorado is like the.
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: Best record in hockey.
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 2: Edmonton has actually not been that good this year, though.
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 2: You know, Colorado is gonna be up for it, because
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 2: Edmonton has won the conference the last two years. Edmonton
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 2: they'll still be up for it as well, I think.
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 2: I mean, they've lost the last couple of games, and
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: that was a tough loss at Dallas. Dallas got their
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 2: playoff revenge in that game against Edmonton. So I don't know, man,
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: I mean, maybe Edmonton not quite as good this year.
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna lean to Colorado in this one slightly. I mean,
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 2: I do think it is somewhat the better spot. The
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 2: team's starting the road trip basically against the team coming.
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: Back from one.
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 2: The money is agreeing, and they've actually flipped Colorado from
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 2: plus one to one to minus one twenty five, so
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: you have Colorado actually in the market. The market is
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 2: saint Colorado is enough. They're better enough over Edmonton that
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 2: they're a favorite on the road at Edmonton, which is wild,
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: not Minnesota wild, it's actual wild. Eighty seven percent of
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 2: the cash on Colorado, seventy eight percent of tickets on
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 2: Edmond to the public.
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: They just love Edmonton, dude. They love the fact that
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: Edmonton scores.
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: They're coming in taking Edmonton as the dog here, but
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 2: the money's Saint Colorado.
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: I'll agree with that. You are correct about that, Nate.
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 2: Edmonton did start slow last year too, so I do
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: expect them to turn it on to some extent, but
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 2: we'll see. Yes, Toad riding the tee tee for Toad.
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 2: Columbus at Vancouver, I'm really gonna talk about every one
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 2: of these games. Vancouver in a return home spot, bad
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 2: spot for them. They got basically wiped out by Chicago
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 2: five to two.
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: Bad loss for Vancouver. It was a bad spot for them.
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 2: But if you look at the stats in this game,
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 2: Vancouver outshot Chicago by almost twenty and they out hit
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 2: the man out face off them. So Vancouver actually outstat
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 2: in Chicago and every stat. Granted, yes, they were losing
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 2: the game so they had to start putting up desperation
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: shots down four to nothing, but that only happened midway
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 2: through the third period, so they didn't have that much
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 2: time to be really putting up that many desperation shots.
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 2: So Vancouver actually outplayed Chicago in the game and it
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 2: was a bit misleading, And now that they had a
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: bad game in that return home spot, I actually think
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: the spot is better for them now to bounce back
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: having their second game back home. They got done when
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: they had to get done at home whatever. Columbus is
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 2: kind of in a bounce back spot too, though, because
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 2: they just took an ugly loss against col Calgary excuse me,
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 2: on Wednesday.
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: Calgary not a good team. Columbus still looking for the
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: first win on the road trip, so I expect focus
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: actually from.
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: Both teams here. The money's coming out of Vancouver, and
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 2: I do agree with it. Up for minus one to
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 2: fifteen to minus one sixteen fifty two percent of tickets
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: on Columbus. Public likes the way Columbus has been playing recently.
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 2: They kind of want to fade Vancouver even though they
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 2: were a big name. They're below five hundred right now.
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 2: Vancouver is not a great team, but I do think
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 2: the spot is still fairly positive for them at home
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 2: ninety three percent of the cash on them. I'll agree
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: with Vancouver, but I do think both spots are in
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 2: Both teams are in focus spots. Anaheim at Vegas, Anaheim
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 2: at nine three and one, Vegas only at seven three
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 2: and three. But as you can see, Oddsmaker's still not
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 2: totally buying Anaheim is Vegas is a minus two hundred favorite,
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: although the professional money seems to be buying Anaheim to
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 2: some extent because fifty seven percent of tickets on Vegas
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: only fifty two percent of the cash on them, so
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 2: the money is kind of fading Vegas here. Anaheim's really
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: really hot on a five game win streak, and they
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 2: just keep beating good teams Man Florida twice, Detroit, New Jersey, Dallas.
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 2: I mean, at some point you got to think there's
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: some letdown spot in here somewhere, but I don't know
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 2: when it's gonna come at this point.
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: That's what she said.
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 2: By the way, Anaheim just playing really well right now,
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 2: and I'm not sure that Anaheim is as bad as
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 2: we thought they were because they're doing this against good teams,
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 2: So what can I say? Vegas is another good team though,
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 2: so I'm not really necessarily wanting.
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: To fade Vegas here.
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 2: Vegas staying at home after a pretty ugly loss at
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 2: home to Tampa Bay, so I think the spot is
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 2: better for Vegas here.
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, Ana, I'm just beat.
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 2: Dallas on the road, so I don't really agree with
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 2: the money here. I'm probably slightly lean towards looking maybe
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: to have maybe to take Vegas to win this game
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 2: in regulation or something like that. Money seems to be
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 2: a little bit disagreeing with it though, But I think
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 2: the spot's a little bit better for Vegas. Then you
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 2: got Florida at San Jose. Florida just beat La on
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: the road, decent win. Maybe they overlook San Jose to
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 2: some extent here. They do a Vegas up next, so
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 2: Florida looks a little bit sandwiching in this spot, and
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 2: then Washington up when they return home, so they might
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 2: overlook San Jose a little bit here. San Jose they're
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 2: in a letdown spot two though. I mean they just
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 2: beat Seattle six to one on the road, came back
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 2: home and beat Winnipeg yesterday, so they're in a playing
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 2: a back to back in a third game in four
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: days off two big wins. Yeah, they'll get up playing
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 2: the returning champs Florida, but both teams in bad spots here.
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 2: I think you might actually have to to Florida on
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: this one man with both teams in bad spots, you
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 2: tend to want to actually go with the better team,
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: or I mean that's I don't want to say you
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 2: tend to it.
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: I think that's the better way to go.
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 2: Florida up for a mints two thirty to minus two
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 2: forty five on the money line, they're public sixty eight
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets, but seventy two percent of the cash,
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 2: and them's the money. Somewhat agreeing with Florida, if you
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 2: want to do that again, I would look to maybe
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 2: get the price way down and take Florida to winning
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 2: regulation or something like that. All right, NBA, and then
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 2: I'll do the final market read on my college football picks,
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 2: and then we'll be done.
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: A bunch of NBA games today. Do I really want
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: to talk about every one of these games? Not really?
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 2: Dallas at Washington, I mean Washington, They're just a team
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 2: I don't want anything to do with right now.
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: Though the money's coming into.
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 2: Washington for what it's worth, fifty two percent of the tickets,
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 2: seventy two percent of the cash. And then with Dallas
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 2: only a four and a half point road favorite, Washington,
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 2: I mean, they got absolutely destroyed last night Yeah, they're.
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: On a back to back, but I think Dallas is too.
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 2: A lot of these teams wait yesterday, Yeah, Dallas plaited
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 2: a little bit better at Memphis, still took a loss,
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 2: but Dallas is traveling. Washington is staying at home and
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 2: were more embarrassed last night, So I think the spot
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 2: is better for Washington. So I would lean to taking
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 2: the points with Washington again. Am I gonna do it?
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 2: Absolutely not. Toronto's on a back to back after kind
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 2: of a bullshit win, man, I'm gonna.
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lie.
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 2: Atlanta was winning almost that entire game against Toronto and
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 2: then Atlanta had a bad fourth quarter and lost the game.
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: Very pissed about that. Atlanta had a terrible shooting game.
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 2: I think that was an outlier. I don't think my
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 2: handicap was wrong in that game. It looked like Atlanta
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 2: was gonna win the game and then fell completely apart.
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: They outrebounded Toronto still lost the game, shot horribly again,
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 2: like an outlier field goal percentage from Atlanta there. So
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 2: I'm pissed about that, But it does mean that Toronto's
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 2: win was bullshit yesterday and they're on a back to back,
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 2: so not really the greatest spot for them here, but
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 2: they're on a four game win streak, so they do
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 2: have momentum. I guess they're probably still gonna be focused
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 2: to play Philadelphia here. But Philadelphia hasn't played since Wednesday,
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 2: although it was a big game against Cleveland. Yes, they're
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 2: returning over from a road trip, but it was only
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 2: a three game road trip where the furthest they went
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 2: with Chicago, so it's not exactly the worst road trip
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 2: return spot. So I actually think Philadelphia is the right
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 2: side side in this one, but the money's disagreeing with it.
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 2: But they're the more rested team here, man, So.
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: That's the way I would lean. And again I think
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: Toronto maybe looked better than they were yesterday.
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 2: Eighty percent of the ticket, sixty percent of the cash
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 2: on the Sixers sitting.
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: At a five and a half point favorite up from five.
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 2: I would lean to Philly, though, like I said, I
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 2: don't agree with the market percentages in that one. Atlanta
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 2: after letting me down yesterday, they're on the back to back,
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: they got the Lakers coming in now. They did have
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 2: a couple of days off prior to that, though, and
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 2: they had a bad game yesterday. Atlanta's without Trey Young though,
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 2: so they're a little bit thin roster wise right now.
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 2: You gotta think they're gonna show up with the Lakers
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 2: coming in though, Lakers off to a really good start
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 2: to the season.
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: Obviously, Lakers are starting a road trip with momentum though,
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: but multiple days off, I mean, sometimes you have multiple
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: days off, it can hurt that momentum a little bit.
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: But I do think they're gonna show up.
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 2: Focus because their next game is against Charlotte, so it's
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 2: not a look ahead. But the Lakers are coming off
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 2: a big win over San Antonio. Man, I mean that
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 2: turned into a big game and the Lakers had to
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 2: make a comeback in the game. They got the big
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 2: win against a good defensive San Antonio team.
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: So maybe a little bit of a letdown spot for
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: the Lakers.
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 2: You could argue they're definitely the more rested team, though
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 2: you could definitely argue the spot's a little bit better
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 2: for the Lakers. They're up from a two point favorite
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 2: to a three and a half point favorite, but the
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 2: money is kind of coming in against them at that
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 2: bigger number. Ninety one percent of tickets, only seventy nine
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the Lakers, so the money
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 2: seems to be kind of indicating on taking the points
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: with the Hawks. I mean, I don't really disagree with it,
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 2: even though they're on the back to back. I would
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 2: slightly do it. I think LA could be in a
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 2: little bit of a letdown spot. But do I want
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 2: to do it? Absolutely not, No way.
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: Chicago Bulls at Cleveland Calves.
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 2: Here the Oddsweakers are telling you something by lining the
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 2: Calves as an eight point favorite, because Chicago actually has
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 2: the better record at six and two.
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 1: I think Cleveland six and three.
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 2: Although the public is still slightly coming into the Calves
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: at fifty eight percent of the tickets, ninety one percent
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the Bulls, so the actual money
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 2: seems to be on the Bulls. Calves dever, May and
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 2: half to eight, which surprises me because I thought that
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 2: after Chicago's hot start to the season that the public
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 2: would actually think that this line is too high and
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 2: look to take the points. But it looks like they're
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 2: not doing that.
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: The Bulls haven't been that good on the road.
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 2: They're one and two on the road, Cleveland pretty good
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 2: at home at three and one, So you don't really
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 2: want to fake Cleveland at home the Bulls, Uh, what
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 2: kind of spot are they? And I think they played
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 2: last night, right, Yeah they did. They played at Milwaukee
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 2: last night, so they're having to travel from Milwaukee to Cleveland. Yeah,
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 2: they lost last night, but it is still a back
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 2: to back with travel.
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: Not the easiest spot for Chicago.
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 2: For Cleveland, they also played yesterday though, and they went
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 2: to Washington. They had an easy win, so they probably
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 2: actually put in less effort than Chicago did. It was
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 2: a blowout, so they might have started resting players at
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 2: the end of that game too. Yes, they're returning home
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 2: with travel, they're playing a third game in four days.
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 2: To me, I think the spot is actually a little
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: bit better for Cleveland though, Like I would actually lean
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 2: towards laying it with Cleveland in that game.
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: With then the money's disagreeing with it. But what do
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: I know.
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 2: Portland at Miami, Uh, Portland. I looked at this and
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 2: I said, you gotta fade Portland here because they're in
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 2: a huge letdown spot because they just played. They beat Denver,
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 2: then they played the Lakers close, and then they beat
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma City and delivered Oklahoma City their first loss of
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 2: the season.
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: All those games at home, big time win for Portland.
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 2: Now they're going out on the road, and yes, sometimes
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 2: you are focused when you start a road trip.
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: You want to be focused.
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 2: But I was like, that's got to be a letdown
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 2: spot for them coming off that game against Okay, see right,
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 2: and Portland. I mean, they've actually been pretty good on
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 2: the road, even though I tend to think they're better
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: at home and on in home of the Miami's under
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 2: excuse two and one on the road for Portland, but
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 2: Miami is undefeated and a home at three and zero. So yeah,
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 2: I mean, looking like maybe you wanta fae Portland here
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 2: because it looks like it is kind of a letdown
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 2: spot that Portland is in here.
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: But for Miami.
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 2: They played yesterday, Yeah they beat Charlotte, but Miami is
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 2: kind of in a bad spot. They're playing a third
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 2: game in four days, they playing a back to back.
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 2: They're actually playing a dreaded fifth game in seven days
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 2: because they played on Sunday, Monday, had Tuesday off, and
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 2: then they played Wednesday and Friday.
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean.
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: Fifth game in seven days is pretty difficult, man. So
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 2: the spot is really really it's like a jam schedule
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 2: for Miami here and they do play Cleveland a Monday,
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 2: so I could actually see Miami not doing well here.
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 2: And again that was one of my losses last night
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 2: was Charlotte. Charlotte was in that game later in the game,
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 2: and again Charlotte had a terrible shooting.
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: Game in the game.
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 2: I think the win was bullshit for Miami. Charlotte dominated
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 2: the rebounds in the game. Miami was without Bam out
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 2: of Bio. I mean, Miami couldn't really do anything on
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 2: the interior in that game, man, So I'm really really
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 2: pissed about that one. I thought it was the best
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: of the situational angles for my NBA last night, and
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 2: Charlotte statistically, at least rebound wise, they probably should have
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 2: won the game, but they just shot so badly in
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 2: the game. It was just this outlier, kind of like
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: Atlanta was.
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: Pissed me off.
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 2: I think I should have won both of those two plays,
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: not the Washington one, but I think the other two
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 2: games I should have won. So either way, though I
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 2: do think Miami. It made Miami look better than they
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 2: actually were in the game. I think the spot is
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 2: actually worse for Miami, believe it or not, and I
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 2: don't want to play the Portland I don't want to
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 2: play the Portland side, though what I think is still
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot. But the Oswegers were also telling you something,
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 2: lining Portland is a road favorite against the heat, Like,
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 2: at what point would you ever expect the Blazers to
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: be a road favorite against the heat. But it's without
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 2: out of bio, still for the heat. But still Oswekers
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 2: are telling you the Blazers are actually the better even
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 2: maybe with autobio in for the heat, like it looks
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 2: like the Blazers would still actually be lined as the
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 2: better team.
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: That's insane.
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 2: But sixty four percent of tickets, ninety seven percent of
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 2: the cash on the Blazers, who moved up from one
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 2: and a half point favorite to a three and a
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 2: half point favorite. I won't disagree with it, but I
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 2: don't love it at all, because there's no way I'm
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 2: gonna play a team after they upset the Thunder. So
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna skip Pelicans San Antonio because that is my
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 2: one play.
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: Indiana is going to Denver.
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 2: Indiana's off that ugly loss that I got right on
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 2: the show with Brooklyn, one of my wins, very very
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 2: embarrassing loss.
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: To lose to Brooklyn.
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 2: I think it was a bad spot because Indiana had
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 2: played Golden State in Milwaukee, two tough games the game
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 2: prior to games prior to that, and then they did
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 2: have this game against Denver coming up next, So going
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 2: out on the road might be a reset. Maybe you'll
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 2: see a focused Indiana team going to Denver. A though
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 2: Denver is always tough to play in their home arena,
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 2: Denver is kind of in a letdown spot, and they
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 2: played yesterday though they beat my me on Wednesday, and
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 2: then they beat Golden State yesterday, So I would lean
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 2: to Indiana in this game. Man, it's not a great
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 2: spot for Denver here.
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 1: Really.
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 2: I can't quite get there with this, but if I
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 2: added another play, it would be this one. The money
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 2: looks like it's somewhat coming in on the side of
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: the Nuggets now though the Nuggets are down from twelve
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 2: and a half to eleven and a half, but seventy
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 2: two percent of the tickets eighty four percent of the
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 2: cash on the Nuggets money kind of coming in on
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 2: the Nuggets side.
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 2: I don't agree with it, though, I would take the
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 2: points of Indiana if I was gonna play it. It's
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 2: just a little bit dicey, but again, Indiana has more rest.
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 2: They're in a bounce back spot. I think Denver's in
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 2: a bit of a letdown spot. If they had a
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 2: bigger game up next, I might actually be convinced to
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 2: play Indiana plus the points here. Denver has Sacramento up next,
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 2: which isn't that big of a game. They did just
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 2: beat Sacramento at home, although it was a close game.
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 2: I think that was the game that I gave out
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 2: Denver and lost that game. Denver actually had that game
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 2: in hand more than more than it looked on the scoreboard.
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 2: Denver almost could have covered that number. So I'm gonna
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 2: stay away, but it's close. And then we have an
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 2: ESPN Night game, Phoenix at the Clippers, which is this
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 2: is a zigzag spot where Phoenix to just beat the
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 2: Clippers at home on Thursday and now they're going to La.
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 2: So usually in a spot like that, I'm gonna look
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 2: for the team that lost the first game to make
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 2: adjustments and play better, because when you're the team that won,
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 2: you don't have any adjustments to make. Like Phoenix, you
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 2: won that game, what do you do? You don't have
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 2: anything to change because everything worked for you. By the way,
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 2: that was Phoenix's first game with Jalen Green, who they
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 2: got in the Kevin Durant trade. So you could have
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 2: argued that would have been like a weird chemistry shift
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 2: game there, and maybe they wouldn't play well right away
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 2: with Green, but they did play well beating LA. But again,
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 2: now they have to go to LA and LA is
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 2: gonna be the team that has the adjustments to make now,
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 2: So that would have me start looking towards other Clippers
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 2: in this game tonight. Now for the Clippers. Speaking of Durant,
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 2: he didn't even play in that game. So in what
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 2: should have been that like trade game, you know what
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 2: I mean, the trade matchup, which actually might have been
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 2: why Phoenix got up for that game, because I think, well, no,
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 2: it wasn't the trade matcher.
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: What am I saying? The trade matcher was Phoenix at Houston?
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: What am I saying? Yeah? What am I saying?
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 2: I'm thinking of James Harden, not not Kevin Durant. I'm
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 2: I'm an idiot, man, I've had no sleep. I'm an idiot.
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 2: Never mind scratched that. But yes, Green Wash, that was
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 2: his first game with the Suns. For the Clippers James Harden.
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 2: It did not play Harden, not Durant.
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: I get them.
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 2: Confused because they both I think they both kind of
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 2: killed team chemistry.
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: Harden really does.
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 2: At least Durant has won some championships with Golden State,
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 2: I think, all right, But anyway, Harden and Kawhi Letter
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 2: were both out for that game against the Suns there.
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 2: With the Clippers now coming into this game, I believe
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 2: Kawhi Letard is still hurt, so he's out, but Harden
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 2: was out for personal reasons, whatever that was. So I
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 2: think James Harden is coming back in this game, so
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 2: you don't have to worry about that being a little
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 2: bit of a chemistry shift again for the Clippers, even
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 2: though they're used to him being out in and out
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 2: of the lineup.
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: So I don't know how big of a deal that
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: really will be. I would still kind.
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 2: Of lean to the Clippers here, even though you have
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 2: to lay five now, which is indicating that Harden is
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 2: going to be back most likely, because I believe the
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: Suns were what were they like a one point favorite
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 2: I think in the game against the Clippers at home
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 2: something like that, So the line has shifted quite a bit,
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 2: but part of that is because Harden is coming back,
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 2: so you got to take that into account. Otherwise it
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 2: would have it would have shifted too much. But with
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 2: hard and back, I don't think it really did. Clippers
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 2: down to a five point favorite from five and a half.
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 2: Those seventy five percent of tickets on the Clippers, ninety
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Phoenix, so the money is
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 2: coming in on Phoenix here. Oh man, I gotta slow down. Man,
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 2: I feel like I'm shouting into the mic. I gotta
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 2: I don't know, dude, I just talked loud.
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 2: I gotta somehow because I'm killing my voice. I gotta
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 2: somehow tone it down. I don't know how to do it, man,
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 2: talking for hours like that. I gotta find some way
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 2: of doing it. Man, I just don't know how to
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 2: do it.
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: Anyway.
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 2: I would probably lean to the Clippers in the zigzag spot,
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 2: but it's not gonna be a play for me. The
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 2: final play of the day is the New Orleans Pelicans
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 2: plus the points against the San Antonio Spurs. The money
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 2: seems to agree with this one is the Spurs are
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: down from twelve to eleven, ninety percent of the tickets,
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 2: only sixty two percent of the cash on the Spurs
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 2: public all over the Spurs. But again, I think New
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 2: Orleans is being a little bit undervalued right now because
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 2: they're two and six. They've had probably the most difficult
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 2: schedule in basketball to start the season, and they did
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 2: have a little bit of lead up, and they got
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 2: some momentum now winning two games against not good teams
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 2: really in Charlotte and then on the road against Dallas.
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 2: But still they've got some momentum now for those two wins,
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 2: and they're only traveling within Texas here down from Dallas
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 2: to San Antonio, so not a bad travel spot. Necessarily,
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 2: They've had multiple days off here, so the spot doesn't
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 2: set up terribly for New Orleans here. I think they're
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 2: gonna show up and play well because, by the way,
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 2: it's a revenge spot as well, because they did lose
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 2: at home to San Antonio earlier in the season. I
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 2: think they will remember that, so I think it's a
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 2: little bit of an extra motivation. I mean, you don't
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 2: want to overrate that aspect of it, but still, when
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 2: a team lost at home to a team and now
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 2: they're playing them again, on the road. They do want
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 2: to deliver the you know, return the favor there, and
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 2: it might also cause san Antonio. The other the bigger
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 2: aspect of it is san Antonio might overlook New Orleans
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 2: because they did go in and beat them on the
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 2: road there. And by the way, I think Zion Williamson
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 2: played in that game as well, where he's out right now,
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 2: I believe so. Yeah, so I think because san Antonio
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 2: beat New Orleans with Williamson. Now New Orleans is without Williamson,
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 2: I think san Antonio is going to completely overlook New
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 2: Orleans here.
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: And san Antonio is in a bad spot, man.
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 2: I mean, look at what they've done recently. They just
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 2: went out to LA and they almost beat the Lakers.
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 2: Probably should have had that win in LA against the Lakers,
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 2: they fell just short. They came back home and what
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 2: could have been a bad spot for them, and what
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: did they do. They beat the Houston Rockets, where I
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 2: believe probably the best team out of the three Texas
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 2: teams right now. I think San Antonio is an underdog
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: in that game. Yeah, four and a half point underdog
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 2: and they still won the game. Huge win for san
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 2: Antonio there. So, coming off two big games now on
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 2: a back to back, by the way, because that was yesterday,
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 2: so it's three games in four days with some travel
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 2: between Wednesday and Friday across time zones. Now they play
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 2: this bad New Orleans team, and up next on Monday,
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 2: they got to play the Bulls, so we're off to
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 2: a good start. And then they got Golden State twice
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 2: after that. I think they're gonna look right past New
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 2: Orleans here, man, So I'm gonna take New Orleans plus
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 2: the points here. That is it for the plays today, man,
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 2: we pella can Yeah, I like that. Let's do it,
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 2: and then my plays one more time in college football.
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 2: If you missed the show last night, go see my
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 2: analysis on last night's show. We got Texas Tech minus
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 2: the points, Boston College plus the points.
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: We're going red Bandana.
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 2: You can see that reference with These videos are out
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 2: on Instagram too, by the way, so you can see
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 2: my anal.
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: Is there.
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 2: Two Yukon plus the points, Missouri plus the points. I
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 2: hopefully you can still get seven on Missouri. It's somewhere
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 2: between seven and six and a half. Seven is not
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 2: going to show up for us on the Auburn game.
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 2: I think it's down to six six and a half.
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 2: But Auburn plus the points as well. Those are the
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 2: college football plays. If we want to do a final
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 2: market read on those, just to see what's going on
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 2: with those, which I kind of like to do. Let's
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 2: see what Texas Tech is doing. Money is agreed, Texas
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 2: Tech's all the way up to thirteen and a half, man,
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 2: so hopefully you got it at the better number, although
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 2: as long as it's below fourteen, you're not really losing
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 2: that much value. Thirteen is a slightly key number, though,
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 2: so it's a little bit less value. I still like
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 2: Texas Tech, though, so do what you will with that.
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: Fifty four percent of tickets, sixty seven percent of the
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: cash on them.
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 2: Now, Auburn, one of my plays looks like they're still
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 2: getting the money. With Vandy very public, seventy four percent
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 2: of the tickets, only sixty percent of the cash on them.
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 1: So both those look good.
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 2: Oh hey, three of my plays all in a row
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 2: here man, the Texas A and M one. It looks
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 2: like the money is kind of agree with Missouri and
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 2: now it looks like you can still get seven on this.
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 2: Sixty three percent of the tickets, fifty eight percent of
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 2: the cash.
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: Now in A and M, so that one's looking good
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: as well as far as Connecticut is concerned.
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 2: That's not looking good for whatever reason. I don't know
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 2: what's going on.
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: They look like a public underdog here.
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 2: Even though the line dropped to seven and a half
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 2: seventy four percent of the tickets sixty nine percent of
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: the cash on Yukon. I don't like seeing that market
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: read there, but maybe it'll change because I don't.
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 1: I don't buy that at all. You'll see my analysis
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: on that. I just don't. I don't like it.
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 2: I like Connecticut and that one, and that is one
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 2: of my plays, and then Boston College was the other one.
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: SMU. I mean they're in public.
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 2: They still have a slight cash percentage on them for
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 2: now sixty eight percent of the tickets seventy percent of
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 2: the cash.
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: But I don't know.
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 2: I mean, I know the game's coming up in less
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 2: than an hour now, but it's only a slight cash dispairer.
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 2: And I still like the spot and we're fading the
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 2: public and that one still, So that's what we're doing.
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 2: That's the final market read on those games.
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: Again.
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 2: I apologize for Texas Tech. That line just getting totally
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 2: out of control. I would still probably lay it an
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 2: under two touchdowns though, to be honest, I think they're
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 2: gonna blow out BYU.
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: In that game. So that's it for those games. Man.
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out. Man, you couldn't stay up last night.
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 2: I'm surprised that I did. I'm always dead, especially after
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 2: eating that Baja Blast pie, and I still have some
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 2: of it left.
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: I ate like a big chunk of it the first day.
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 2: Ate a little bit more of it, which I shouldn't
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 2: have done because I'm feeling real bad. Get everything locked
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 2: in zoon and tic tac toad. Yeah, that's gonna do
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 2: it for now.
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 2: Yeah, thanks for hanging out guys. Dude, why did it
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 2: not shift back to me being full screen?
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 2: Very strange there anyway. Learn to toad on Instagram, learned
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 2: toad on Twitter. Of course, my scruff is back, so
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 2: I look better again. I don't look like a fat
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 2: baby anymore.
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: I like it obviously.
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 2: Like can subscribe here man and leave me good comments.
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 2: Let's boost the channel, boost the audio as well. In
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 2: spot if I and Apple give me a good review
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 2: over there.
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: Listen over there.
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 2: That helps. Everything helps, and then we got yuke stuff.
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 2: It covered in Yuke on YouTube is my Yuke channel
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 2: Patreon dot com, learn to tow and you get a
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 2: yuke Spotify feed and you get prioritize requests.
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Thanks guys for hanging out.
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 2: I gotta get this video up and get my college
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 2: football picks in line because I've been a couple of
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 2: money pools still and whatever.
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: So let's get it done. Let's go.
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out again, guys. I'll be back tonight
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 2: as usual with the NFL Show, and hopefully I'm not
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 2: gonna die because I gonna put how many Instagram videos
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 2: do I still have to put up?
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: Like eight?
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 2: Oh boy, at least they're all short, but and so
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 2: am I And I think none of those games started
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 2: until four pm Eastern, so I have time to do that.
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it piece for now, guys. Oh and
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 2: it looks like I forgot to mention it looks like
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 2: college game Day because I vs. College game Day actually
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 2: might actually be BYU Texas Tech.
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: Is that right?
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 2: So I actually think that's an extra motivating factor for
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 2: the home team there, so they get to host college
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 2: Game Day. Texas Tech doesn't usually get to do that.
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 2: So if that's the case, maybe a little bit of
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 2: an extra factor for Texas Tech there a little bit
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 2: extra alright, guys, Peace,