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The Math of AI Risk & The Engineering Audit

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When leading frontier AI researchers estimate a greater than 10% chance of human extinction from artificial intelligence within this decade (p(doom) > 0.10), standard corporate risk management breaks down. Host Will breaks down the decision-theoretic mathematics of existential risk, audits AI failure probabilities against regulatory safety thresholds in aviation, nuclear power, and pharmaceuticals, and outlines three concrete institutional mechanisms needed to solve the Multipolar Prisoner's Dilemma driving the AI race.

Episode Timestamps & Highlights

- Cold Open & Intro…

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