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The Favorites - Super Bowl LVII Betting Preview · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

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  Speaker 1: one eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: I am Schad Mellman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network.
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: We are in the opening week previewing Super Bowl fifty
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: seven between the a f C champion Kansas City Chiefs
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: underdogs to the NFC champion Philadelphia Eagles, the favorite team,
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: the passion point of this man's life. My co host,
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: my companion, Mike and Padre my BFF professional better Simon Hunter,
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: live from his native country, England. Hello Simon, how are
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: things in Manchester? Hello Chad, It's good. It's good living here.
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: Are you listening to Oasis? Are you listening to the Smiths?
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: Are you listening to who are you listening to right now?
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: No music? I can really mention. I feel like it's
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: all all my cousins listen to. Is that TikTok music?
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: But I have not stopped drinking since the moment. I've
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: landed and eating chocolate. I've definitely put on about ten
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: pounds of just chocolate. So it's been it's been a
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: rough twenty four hours, but it's it's a celebration. Then
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: watch the Eagles win in the airport. So I've literally
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: just been drinking for I don't know, going on four hours.
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: It's just been a fun, fun time right now in England.
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: Tell me for what we're going to get to all
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: the betting stuff in a second. We had an amazing week.
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: A couple of things I want to remind people of.
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: Number One, you must go subscribe to the Favorites feed specifically.
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  Speaker 1: There are bonuses when you subscribe to the Favorites Feed
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  Speaker 1: specific you get the podcast earlier. That means you're getting
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: our information earlier. Information matters, timeliness matters. Go subscribe to
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  Speaker 1: the Favorites Feed. It's the best way to listen to
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: the Favorites podcast. I know a lot of folks listen
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: to it directly from the Volume feed, which is great.
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: Subscribe directly to the Favorites Feed. Two, I want to
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: get to the betting stuff. We had a great week
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: for the Favorites podcast three and one in our four
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: selections before we do that, Give me your experiences as
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: a fan through that game. The Eagles pretty much had
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: it locked from the sixth play when Brock Purty blew
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: out his elbow. Give me your thoughts, give me you're
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: taking me your feelings, you know, trying to make sure
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: I wasn't just making the bet because I'm an Eagles fan.
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: That's always a struggle where it's like, am I really
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: overlooking this because it's so many program my year about
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: that for you owner's team, so flood of JFK. So
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: the drive up, I'm killing myself because I haven't slept
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: on because I was just so nervous bound which money
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: had on the Eagles. I kept trying to remind myself,
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: but I kept saying, on this show, no rookie has
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: ever won that game. And I kept saying to myself,
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: I'm getting what I think is by far the best
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: team and under under a field goal to win this game.
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: So that was arguably the longest drive up of my
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  Speaker 1: life to an airport just because of that. I'm just
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: killing myself the whole way, texting my runners, making sure
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: everything all my bets are all lined up because I
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: had just a lot of money bet out on the
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: Chiefs and the Eagles. I knew I was leaving as
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: soon as I got to the airport. I was literally
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: gonna turn off everything, like I don't want to hear
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: from people. I don't want to even know what's going
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: on because I planned for I honestly plan on not watching.
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: I kept saying to myself, I'm just not gonna watch,
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: like I'll find out once I land. And once I
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: got to the airport, I just saw the flash of
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: the Eagles green on the screen. I said, Ship, I
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: gotta sit down at this bar. So uh sat next
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: to a guy who was boozing and he had on
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: forts gear because I want to sit someone next to
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: someone I can talk ship too. That's the true, Philly,
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: And exactly what you said where not that I knew
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: right away, but that fourth down play with devote Smith
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: defected in challenge and we got seven on it. Just
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: as a gambler, I just know the math behind it
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: how important that is because we just got a free
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: seven right there, and in those kind of games and
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: those how talented these teams are. It kind of felt like, Okay,
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: now I can kind of relax, so booze celebrated obviously,
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: like not to bash the four now is too hard.
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: But I get their complain of if we had just
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: had our quarterback, that would have been a different game.
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: It's like the simplest argument being, well, if we just
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: had a punter, you guys never would even been in
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: the game from the get go, Like our punter kept
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: them in the game for that first half. So to me,
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: everything we said hung true of the Eagles front line.
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: I literally said this all the same exact stuff' about
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: to say now in August that one of the best
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: front lines in football on defensive line and the offensive
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: line in the game. What did you see? You saw
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: a d line kill that offensive line of the pot
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: Ninners team. It's not a flute. Dead Ford quarterbacks get
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: hurt this year. Okay, we want to talk about how
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: great they are as a team. They had weaknesses, and
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: that weakness was that offensive line. I know they have
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: all Pro at tackle, but the rest of the line
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: is not that good. It's the Shanahan system that makes
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: it so good. So that was as good as it
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: can get if you're a fan of the team. So
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: basically just been boozing since then. Got on the airplane
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: had the tail wins because we had some big storm
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: ripping through the northeast. So I got here actually five
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: and a half hours quickst flight i've ever had to
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: England once again. Can miss right now if you're just like,
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: everything's sitting right went through baggage claimed first bag. Can't
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: miss like it was. It's seriously is one of those.
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: My cousin was already waiting for me, had food for me,
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: picked me up, was kind enough to take me to
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: where I was staying, like because I basically told you
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: I'm meeting with clients that whole day. So she came
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: hung out this really nice swanky hotel with me and
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: like we got breakfast and I met with clients and
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: we all celebrate. Obviously was such a good weekend, Like
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: we're about to talk about really good time. And then
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: I met with this one pro who's from here. He's
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: really sharp, and it's just they're just different. Do you
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: know how different Brits are. So it's just been the
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: conversations have been hilarious. I mean, it's never any taking
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: the piss out of me. It's never ending jokes. Drinks.
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: I mean I literally have not stopped drinking it's been
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: forty hours of drinking, so it's been a real good time.
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: But I told Chad I wanted to get out of there.
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: I could feel myself not making this show. I really could.
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: I was just like, if I stay here, I'm not
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: gonna make it. And I wanted to make it just
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: because this is a celebration, like we had such a
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: good year to end it this way. Uh not that
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: we expect that just nail the super Bowl, but I
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: just had the confidence right now where it's like, I
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: feel like we're seeing things pretty good and a little
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: fun fact you can go back and listen joined Chad
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: and I claim to fame is I've never gotten the
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: spread round on the Super Bowl. So far. We are
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: three and now this would be four and now in
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: my career that maybe tenant now against the spread for
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: the super Bowl. So I'm feeling pretty high right now, Chad,
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: I'm ready to pick the super Bowl pick. But it
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: could change when I get home. But I literally ran
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: the numbers. I think I told everyone a week ago
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: what outside I was gonna be on, no matter what
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: I was gonna be on the NFC side spoiler alert,
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: So I think people knew, but I'll break it down
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: and tell people what I'm seeing why I like it.
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: But luckily I'm away. The amount of text calls not
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: not just about my Eagles team, but about people trying
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: to get money down. I think I took bets on
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: the Eagles within the first hour of that spread coming out.
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: These guys pounded the money line and took the plus number,
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: so I didn't get any down. Sadly, I was kind
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: of like in my own little world. I had been
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: boozing and been celebrating, kind of just sent it along
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: to other people, and then when I came to, I go,
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: why did I just take that plus number of the Eagles.
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: So that was the one negative of being delirious from flying,
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean? One of us did take
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: the plus number with the Eagles. I want to get
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: into this game. Remind people last week the exact decision.
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: Last week, I'm looking in the Action Network gap where
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: it's all listed the favorite podcast follow it under forty
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: seven and a half for the Bengals and the Chiefs.
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: That's what I was on for exact decision. That Cash
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: Kansas City minus one was the Simon says that was
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: bouncing around and in the end you were spot on
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: big balls. Was the Eagles minus two and a half.
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: That one had been making as nervous because of all
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: the wise guys whispering in your here. The foxhole was
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: the overt and a half. And the truth is, when
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: they scored that first touchdown, I thought, we're in a
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: good we're in good shape here. And obviously that game
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: changed dramatically. So that's the one. If the fort had
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: a quarterback that was probably gonna hit like the Eagles
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: wouldn't think in the foot off the gas and the
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: forty nine are Surprisingly they were moving the ball like
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: they had opportunities other than the Eagles d line just
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: dominating that game. The secondary had a couple of holes there.
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: So that was a really boring, horrible experience if you
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: had and if you had the Eagles, those are the
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: kind of bet you dream about. I mean, every little
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: thing got bouncing their way and they were up one
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: at half and still was a little nervous, right, I
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: think everyone was, because you're just like, I don't know,
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: the four yars are touchdown away. But in the end
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: and it's like, okay, that was just one team had peaked.
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: We already talked about the fort yards at that. Eventually,
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: you only can have a backup quarterback take you so far.
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: And it feels good doing that. That read was correct
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: because I'm not gonna lie. It was just never ending.
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: Every day I was getting big money bets coming in
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: guys back in this Ware's team. I just did not
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: get it. I just kept saying to you, do understand
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: that rookie has never done this. So that felt good,
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: and uh, the next game, I definitely felt lucky. I'll
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: be the first time I felt very, very lucky being
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: on the chief side and the sense that the refs
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: people BITI about the refs were definitely definitely helping out
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs in that game. Like if some of that
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: backs that we watched so much football, me, Chad will
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: be the first bitch with you be complained by the
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: refs all the time. They dictate too much games. You
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: can complain and say that the Chiefs that game got
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: dictated by the rest, but they still made the place.
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: So to me, yes, the refs helped them out in
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: search situations. But I felt like that game going into it,
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: we talked all the time the value was on the
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: chief that that number was three. The Bengals would have
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: been the play, and that's what we kept talking about
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: all week. It just felt like that was the smart
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: number at three. Shocked and Owen though it landed on three.
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: So Burrows beat him, Now, what was it? Burrow beat
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: him two times by three, and then he lost him
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: by three three times. So yeah, it's just we clearly
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: know what these two teams are there really when they
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: play each other for the rest of the time. If
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: me and chatter getting under a three or over a three,
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: that will probably dictate who we take on this side.
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: So I just felt like that was the right number.
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: Inside that game was insane. Obviously we can talk about
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: it for a minute, but um, yeah, uh look the
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: game opened at Cincinnati plus three. Uh, I don't remember
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: if you got it. I got it exactly three the
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: second it opened, and then it moved to two and
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: a half Kansas City. I took it again at Kansas
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: City plus two and a half, and then we were
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: just sort of trying to find the angle, and Kansas
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: City minus one felt like the angle. When we finally
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: knew what was happening with Patrick Mahomes, it was wild
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: roller coaster of a line in both total hand and
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: side um. It was one of those games where the
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: problem was when it comes to the refs. The problem
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: was it felt so much like New York was dictating
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: everything because it felt like so many calls were we're
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: going to okay, let's go to New York and get
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: the answer. And when that happens, even though I'm not
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: a big believer in you know that everything is planned
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: and dictated now, but when I say that, I am
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: you know, I know you're I know you're kidding, but
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: like people believe it, and like the Eagles was the worst,
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: the worst possible outcome from the sports books was the Eagles.
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: Chad talked about a nauseam. They were all the money
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: was on the Eagles and the killed so as much
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: as they we want to say, oh Vegas has this
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: rigg we just but it's not Vegas. It's not Vegas.
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: It's the league. And there's there's always going to be
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: people who believe the league is controlling what's happening on
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: the field with the refs. This was a game where
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: you could argue argue that you could you could make
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: evidence out of coincidence because so many things were happening
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: where they were calling the league for answers, and it
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: seemed like the league was giving the answer it needed
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: to keep one team or the other in the game,
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: likely Kansas City, and put them in a position to win. Um,
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: but look it's happened. Uh. The Super Bowl line opened,
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: I think Philadelphia. The I saw a plus one and
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: a half and I saw the total at forty nine
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: and a half. UM. I bet it Philadelphia plus one
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: and a half. Within minutes, it moved to Kansas City
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: plus one and a half. I bet Kansas City plus
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: one and a half. Then it was Kansas City plus
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: two and a half. I bet that total touched fifty
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: for a second, I bet the under four to nine
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: and a half. I'm saying what I bet you. I
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: want to get your response to all the US. Now
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: it's sort of settled in Philly minus two UM total
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: forty nine and a half. I'm looking at it right
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: now in the Action Network app. Hold on, I was
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: looking at it. Hold On, let me just look at
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: it right now. UM, get me out of this page here.
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: So yeah, fort to nine and a half UM consensus
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: well down to one and a half now Philadelphia, Yeah,
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: so getting interesting. The money can go all the way
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: in on Philly. Now I was starting to clawback on
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: Kansas City. Well, the public is will all the public
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: money will be the chiefs of my opinion. I know
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: the north, like the Eagles area of Philadelphia, Tri State area,
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: of course, that's gonna be Eagles money. But I think
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: the rest of the state they'll just be on the chiefs.
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: It's just there's a bunch of arguments about it. But
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: I feel like the simplest, simple man's argument will be
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: who have the Eagles played? And then they'll list all
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: the quarterbacks Eagles have faced. And my always my counter
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: to the people always be well, in your opinion that
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: there's probably five good quarterbacks in the whole league. Like
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: that's just how it is. So, yeah, the Eagles haven't
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: faced my Homes, they haven't faced Burrow, they haven't faced
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: Josh Allen, that they haven't faced Herbert, Like you can't
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: argue against that they haven't. But at the same time,
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: every week when people doubt them in these playoffs, what
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: have they done? They've blown these teams the funk out
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: like seven. Say what you want. It's like this team
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: is so good, and I just think, once again, it's
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: just gonna be the pros on the Eagles, and they'll
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: back this team just like they did with the Giants,
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: and the public will be all over the opposite team
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be a dog, which will be the chief
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: So coming into it, I knew it was gonna be
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: the Eagles, and it's simple thing we talked about in August.
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: I bet it's no secret. I've given you guys the
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: exact thing I look for. I look for a good
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: old line and a good defense. Coming into the year,
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: I had the Eagles graded as the top three defensive
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: line and then as my number one offensive line. The
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: number two offensive line was the Chiefs. There my second hight.
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: So to me, it's it's the dream here for me. Honestly,
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: like the Chiefs and the Eagles, I bet them both
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: to be one seed. Had big bets on them for
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. I didn't hedge Eagles because I just
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: never lost confidence and then beating the foreignercieres where I
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: did for my group, but personal wise, I didn't do anything.
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: I just let that ride. The Chiefs. I had huge
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: on the on Joe Burrow and that Bengals team because
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: I really did think this this, this might be a problem,
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: Like I I was worried about them Homes thing. Now,
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: if I that video of him hopping down those steps
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: at that press conference been coming out on Monday or Tuesday,
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: I probably wouldn't have bet as much on the Bengals team.
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: So basically, I took my eleven to one tickets I
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: had on the Chiefs from the summer, and now that's
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: down to six point five to one, so I'd be
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: I ate that. I mean, I'll own that. Where it's
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: like I just I should have hung in on my
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: my feeling on that Chiefs team, but I had so
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: much money and it's not just my money, it's like
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: my whole groups. I just had to make a decision
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: there Where, Um, the Eagles, if they win a chad,
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna be really well well off, like they're like
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: thirty five one and for most of the summer. So, um,
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: it's a dream here. It really is. Where the it's
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: it's really simple and basically what I'm telling you guys,
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: it holds true that if you have if the stress
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: of these teams are on the offensive line, and then
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: you have a guy like my Homes where it really
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: didn't matter you lost a Tyreek Kill. It really didn't
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: because this skill level is so high you can take
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: advantage of those situations. So it's just something we'll look
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: for in the future. Like we just got really lucky
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: this year. The public had overreacted to Denver, theyver reacted
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: to the Chargers, and we just got a crazy value
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: number on that Kansas City team. And on the flip
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: side of the the Eagles, we sit at NASA. They we
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: said they had the easiest schedule all year. So it
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: feels good come to this point knowing that I'm gonna
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: bet it. I was about to give a pick here,
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: but I just am very comfortable right now. Like that
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: was especially meeting with clients. Everyone's just feeling good where
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: it's like it never works this way. It's never this
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: easy that both teams you liked and you were high on,
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: that we're both one seeds make it to this point. So, um,
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know how you're feeling about this matchup, Chad.
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: I'm like, after I say what I'm gonna do, are
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: here your position, but it's scary, but I'm gonna go
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: against my homes. I look at this matchup and the
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: biggest thing to look for here is go through that
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: Chief's defense against run dominant teams. Look at how they
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: fared against teams that can run the ball. That's their
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: achilles hell and the biggest thing they have is my homes.
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: So to me, the Eagles could run for two hundred
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: and they can throw Mahomes off balance. That's the only
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: way they beat them. Because he's a killer. He's a
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: certified killer if you give him the same thing. If
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: they're tied going to that fourth quarter, it's dead that
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: it feels like that Eagles bedstead because I just can't
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: see my home is losing another super Bowl here like
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: that Tampa one. He's talked about it a lot. That's
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: really stuck with him. But we have the exact thing
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: we need here, Chad. We have our front four that
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: has killed two weeks in a row. They have killed quarterbacks.
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: And now they're getting against a gimpie Mahomes and an
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: offensive line that does give up hits. And we saw
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: in that game they needed a lot of holding told
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: off the Bengals defensive front that's not as good as
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: an Eagles defensive front. I promise you that. So early, early,
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: early thoughts right now is I've made a decent amount
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: of bets on these Eagles team. I've taken them, like
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: Chad to said, dropped the one and a half. I've
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: just been even today, even though I've been boozing, I'm
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: clear headed enough that I've been making the text and
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: making the call. It's just to get a nice starter
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: amount on this Egos team, because that's the position I
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: want to be on right now. If it if it
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: moves like it was going through the Chiefs to three,
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: that's my breaking point right now. I have this game
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: of minus three and I have a total of fifty
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: one and a half. So I'm an overbetter in this one,
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: and I like the Eagles side. That could change the
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: week goes alonger because I honestly have questions about Hurts.
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: His throwing didn't look that great in that game. I
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: think we all can agree on that he was overthrowing
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: guys who was throwing high on people. They eventually just
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: told him just to run it. And again against this
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: Chief's team, that's a huge, huge advantage. They don't like
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: running quarter x They've struggled against running quarterbacks historically, so um,
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: I'm waiting again, were info on that because every pro
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: in the world that's what they've text and talked to
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: me about there, like, what what do you think is
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: going on with Hurts? And I really don't know. I
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: do think the shoulder hasn't healed like we all played
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: it would, So it's hard to know because in the
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: Giants game he was making no throws and then the
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: guest sporting energy just wasn't. He made big throws like
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: they He kept them in that game early on when
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: it looked like it could go the other way. So um,
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: obviously I want more info. But yeah, for people in
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: my early early bets here, I mean, we're gonna be
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: talking about it for the next two weeks. But the
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: Eagles have so many advantages and matchuplies where the biggest
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: advantage for the Chiefs team is they're gonna be able
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: to throw the ball. I know the Eagles are ranked
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: on one past defense, but they will struggle against Andy
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: Reid offense. I've just I've seen the way their Eagles
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: run their scheme defensively, and he's gonna be able to
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: match up against it really well this team, so to me,
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be a high schooling back and forth game.
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: But I think the Eagles have the edge because of
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: that running the tab, they just they'll be able to
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: dominate against this Kansas City run defense. I have no
• 21:04
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• 21:06
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  Speaker 1: We went a lot together, and then Thursday, February nine,
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  Speaker 1: we have a Super Bowl Best Bets with Brandon Anderson,
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  Speaker 1: who's been crushing it with our Best Bets pot and
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: our Monday Action Network podcast. So, um, I'm sort of
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: all over the map right now. It's really tough. It's
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: only because I bet the Eagles is dogs. I bet
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs is dogs. We'll tell you this right now,
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: that BET's dead. There ain't no middles here the Super Bowl.
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: There ain't known medals. Brother, it's just we already talked
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: about it. I think it's happened one time that the
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: number in the whole history is landed under two, so
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: one game that's ever landed on that number. So I
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: would like a three game. I don't care. I don't
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: care who wins. Give me a n and a half games.
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: Don't do what he don't do what he's doing. People
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: don't try to middle this middle here. But so what
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to figure out right now, to be honest,
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: and I'm kind of playing the number here is and basically,
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: like you know, I bet a little bit more on
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: the Eagles that US one and a half then I
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: did on the Chiefs that plus two and a half.
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to figure out where I'm going to take
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: a stand. Uh. I want to take a stand on
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: the Eagles, even though I'm afraid of my homes. But
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: I'm also waiting for the number to come down because
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: I don't think I think two is the limit, and
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: I think it's going to be closer to pick as
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: we get closer to the game. It's fair. I just
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: have I have such a good pulse on both these teams.
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: I've just been all over them all season, and that's
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: why this feels a good dream snare because I know
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: exactly the strength of weakness of both teams, and it's
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: just this pick. It's scary once again because it feels
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: like last week for the Four, it feels like an
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: obvious easy pick. If the Four had won, I would
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: have been all over them because they would have ran
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: for two yards against this Chief's defense. It's the same
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: thing with this Egos team. It's both these teams are
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: built so perfectly against this Chief's team. But it's ugly,
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: that's born, that's not sexy. So everyone that's a public joe.
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: They're gonna take the generational best quarterback with the Chiefs.
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: It's just what they're gonna do. It's just a fun
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: What do you throw forward three hundred against the Bengals
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: and one freaking leg? Yeah I don't even think Hurts
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: broke a hundred yards. Team might have, but it felt
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: that way in that game where it's like they just
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: this team is so good they don't even need to
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: throw it, but it's there, like a j and DeVante
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: Smith were both open a lot. I guess who has
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: a really young, inexperienced secondary the Chiefs. So there's just
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: so many little matchups. I love it for the Eagles,
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: but The most exciting part for me is that the
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: Chiefs easily easily could blow out this Eagles team. You
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: saw hurts he those lights were a little bright there,
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: like early on you could just tell, like again, if
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: we didn't get like over, yeah, he was not he
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: was not playing well. By the way, for a hundred
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: and twenty one yards was yes. So it's say, I'm
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: praying it's Jitter's chat, Like I honestly wanted to be Jitters,
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: not the injury because they can hear that like that,
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: that that feeling he had. It feels like he worked
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: through it through the game as the game went along. There. Man,
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: you can't be having that against his Chiefs team. Like
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: my homes we we're gonna talk about he's the he's
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: the best quarterback of this generation. He's just that guy.
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, five straight conference championship games was mental. The
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: fact that he was able to do it and make
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: it back to the super Bowl after just a lot
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: of questions, I mean with like people don't remember, but
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: the tire kill thing was real. People are really questioning
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: this team in this offense, how different they were gonna be,
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: and how he was gonna struggle. They're like you know what,
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: maybe he was just as good as he was because
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: of Tyre Kill. No, both of them are the best
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: of the best. Like it didn't matter. Tyre Kill went
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: at his career year in Miami. My home was at
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: his career year this year with the you know, m
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: v P, I think he's I think it's everything you've
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: read from these writers, it seems like he is the
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: m v P. So he's winning the MVP. There's no doubt.
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: So that's another bonus to be an Eagles backer. People. Again,
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: I don't want to step on ed and I'm going
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: to try not to do the trends. Today. We waited
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: till our guy Evan tells us about the m v
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: P history of the league and how many Super Bowls
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: they've won. So I'm telling you, I'm fling good chat
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: about the Eagles. But I'm trying to stay calm because
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: we have a lot of time here and I've been
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: drinking for fourty hours. But the vibe highs they can
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: be right now. This team, it's incredible, how good of
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: a team, how he's built, and yet people will still
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: doubt like that after that four Irons game, you heard
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: all the doubt they said even Kittle, So it was
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: a bummer. We didn't have a quarterback out there. It's like, brother,
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: whoever you put back there was gonna get killed like that.
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: The Eagles were ten all Reddick had two strip sacks
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: in their first quarter. Would you think was gonna happen
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: the rest of the game. They clearly saw something on
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: film and we're abusing it attacking it. So um, there's
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: a reason the Eagles team has the most sacks in
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: the history of the NFL. Now, I believe through a season,
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: just because we had the extra game and they've just
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: been dominant these playoffs. I mean, Daniel Jones got abused
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: in his first game the Giants against US, and we
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: just saw the injured two quarterbacks. So I love Mahomes,
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: loved his Chief's team. The biggest edge right now, my
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: opinion is the Egos offensive line, Egos defensive line. They
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: both are better match up wise than the Chiefs have.
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: So Lane Johnson has been amazing, Like watching him defend
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: against Nick Bosa in that game. They had so many
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: highlights where he would just stand the guy up, he
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: was moving his feet. Nick Bosa could not get around him.
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: When two of your five starters on the offensive line
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: are bona fide Hall of famers um. And when you've
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: got all pro caliber players at every level of the defense,
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: it's so interesting because the Eagles become clearly the right side.
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: I'm only worried about Patrick Mahomes, Like, I just how
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: do you bet against Patrick Mahomes in this game? But
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: it isn't a very talent in the books make him
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: a dog. They didn't want to. They made him a favorite.
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: They let the pros dictate how that number it was
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: gonna swing, and they moved it quick, like literally, when
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: I'm getting these texts relaying them to people, it was
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: just hilarious. I sent it to him the number to
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: already moved from whatever it was plus one fifty now
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: is just a hundred even, And it was like, you
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: guys are too slow, Like these numbers are moving. People
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: are pouring money, and so the books are smart. They
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: limited it, like they didn't even get that much money.
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: Let that much money get down the Eagles as a dog.
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: But I don't think it'll be like last week. I
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: can't see this number of flipping three points again. I
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: think the movement's happened the worst. The lower cell get
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: maybe is that will pick um or you know, it
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: never knows. It could go back to where it open
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: that minus one Chiefs or whatever it was. Um. I
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: just I just can't see it happened. This feels like
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: the pros are gonna keep the Eagles as the favorite
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: because once once they move again to the dog, that's
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: where the value is going to be from most of them.
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I think, I think I think it gets
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: back to Pick. I do like the fact that it's
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: already Look it's Tuesday, Yeah, and the line has been
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: up for not even forty eight hours, and uh it's
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: gone from Eagles plus one and a half to Eagles
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: minus two now back down to Eagles might and half.
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: Like all of the public money is going to come
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: in on the Chiefs. It's getting back to pick. I'm
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: gonna wait. I want to I want to take a stand.
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: It's the super Bowl. You want to take a stand.
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: Part of me also wants to wait and see what
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: Raybond and Croner say about the props. The prop market
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: opened much sooner than than historically it has because maybe
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: the value wasn't playing these props instead of playing the
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: side you don't have to play a side in the
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: Super Bowl, you play where the best value is. Yeah,
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: I mean unless you're talking to a guy who's nine
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: and oh in Super Bowl against the spread. And I've
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: last three years, I got podcast people, we'll listen to me,
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: and Chad nailed the spread every year. So I just
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: I'm feeling good, Chad. This one feels easy. It feels
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: easy like the NFC, no matter what, was going to
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: be the side for me because even the bank is
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: is all the hype they're getting, they have major issues
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: that both the Eagles and the Foretners we're gonna be exploit.
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: I just thought that was gonna be the big advantage.
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: So feeling good, brother, I really am. I just feel
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: like they're just people are just so down in the NFC,
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: where that to me was the better conference all year.
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: They have the better teams, not the better quarterbacks. So
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: that's what public cares about. They just care about the
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: quarterback position. So before we get out of here, reminder
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: Trends with Freedman, Matt Freedman and Evan Abrams Thursday, February
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: two Props. Next Tuesday, week from Today with Ray Bond
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: and Croner. Best Bets with Brandon Anderson. I think we'll
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: give our exact decision, Simon says, foxhold big balls on
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: Thursday February nine, when we have more intel in the game,
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: markets are settling in, we've had more time to analyze.
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: I mean, clearly you're gonna be on the Eagles and
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: that's going to be something. Um but which last year
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: I think we um which I might do this year?
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: We went four and oh on sides and totals. We
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: did Rams first half, Bengals full game. Uh, under first
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: half and under full game last year, I believe, so
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: we'll maybe we'll do something like that again. I'll try
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: to do a first half and give a total first
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: half because people seem to enjoy that. Hey, by the way,
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: we also nailed Chiefs first half and Bengal second half. Yeah,
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: that was nice. Action Island this past week, we were
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: all over this game. Nailed it. Um uh. So that's
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: what That's when we'll give out sort of our best
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: bets is Thursday February nine. Unless we're starting to feel
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: like lines are moving in a way that we need
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: to give you the information immediately, which is why you
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: subscribe to the Favorites Feed. Subscribe to the favorites feed
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: get it all faster, um before I before we get
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: out of here, before you get back to your party
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: in ways in Manchester and you go to your all
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: star concert with the Stone Roses. Um, Uh, where do
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: you have this game power rated that right now? Uh?
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: What do you mean? Like? What do what do I
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: make the number? That's why I said, I make a
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: minus three and make I make the total fifty one
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: and a half. So that I'll tell you. I'll tell
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: you everyone else right now, every other one else I
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: work with at the Action, they got a power rated
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: towards the Chiefs right now, and they got a power
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: rated towards the Under. So once again I'm gonna I'm
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: gonna cheat takering and see if I'm way off and
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: update everything. Um, but it just seems like the Pros
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: they like, they like the Chiefs, they like the Under
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: and it's it's feeling a little interesting going into it
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: where it's just I just wance again to take these
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: people a under essuting the sequels team. So it's gonna
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: be fun having all these other people on the show
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: here what their opinions are, because I could sweat like
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: it's one of those things where Um, if I hear
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: enough right data and it matches what what I think
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs could do, I could move to that side.
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: But right now, I do think the Eagles should be
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: minus three. They're just a better team collectively. But I've
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: assu Ma Holmes is the X factor. He's gonna be
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: the best player on the field, So can you can't
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: ask for a better matchup. Both guys were in the
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: finals MVP voting. Hurts would have been right there with
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: him if he didn't get hurt and missed those games.
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: So you could say it's a pretty boring year, right
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: both one seed to make it, but I think everyone
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: agreed both these teams are the best team for both conference.
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: You can't really ask for much more than that. Gonna
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: be an amazing game. We're super excited about it, Simon,
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: I want you to have a grand old time being
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: being in England. Cheerio mate for the Favorites podcast, I
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: am Shad Millman. He is Simon Hunter, producer Matt Mitchell.
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: We're back for the next two weeks. Got a great
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: lineup of shows before the Super Bowl. UH Listen to
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: us on Spotify on Apple Podcasts, Rate Review, Subscribe, subscribe
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: to the fay Ritz feed. I'm telling you, people begging you.
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: Subscribe to the favorite feed. Until next time, I Love you.
• 36:13
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• 36:20
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