Latest / Space Nuts: Astronomy Insights & Cosmic Discoveries / Jupiter's Cosmic Blueprint, White Dwarf Feasts & Chiron's Evolving Rings
Transcript
- 0:00Andrew Dunkley: Hello, thanks for joining us. This is Space
- 0:02Nuts. My name is Andrew Dunkley, and we're
- 0:04here to talk astronomy and space science. And
- 0:07on this episode, we are going to look at a
- 0:09study into Jupiter's role in shaping
- 0:12our solar system. What shape is that?
- 0:15It's rhomboid. No, we don't know. we're also
- 0:18going to look at a, white dwarf star that's
- 0:21chowing down on a planetesimal. Sounds
- 0:24appetizing. observing a rapidly
- 0:26developing ring system, and it's not far
- 0:28away. And if we've got time, an exoplanet
- 0:31that in inverted commas may
- 0:34be a life candidate. That's all coming up on
- 0:37space nuts. 15 seconds. Guidance is
- 0:40internal. 10, 9.
- 0:43Ignition sequence start. space nuts. 5, 4,
- 0:463, 2. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 5,
- 0:494, 3, 2, 1.
- 0:50Jonti Horner: Space nuts.
- 0:52Andrew Dunkley: Astronauts report it feels good. And it's
- 0:54good to have Jonti Horner back with us again.
- 0:56Professor of astrophysics at the University
- 0:59of Southern Queensland. Hi, Jonti.
- 1:01Jonti Horner: Good evening. How are you going?
- 1:02Andrew Dunkley: I am well. Good to see you.
- 1:05Jonti Horner: Oh, it's good to be back. Although I'm
- 1:07admittedly a bit of a zombie, so I warn
- 1:09everybody, I've had less sleep than I should
- 1:10have done in the last couple of days because
- 1:12of the weather. we had some weather happen on
- 1:15Sunday, which led to the power here being
- 1:17knocked out for 24 hours during a mini heat
- 1:20wave. So I didn't get much sleep then. And
- 1:22then this morning I've got a colleague from
- 1:24Japan visiting, so I had to pick him, his
- 1:25wife and their two lovely daughters up from
- 1:27Brisbane Airport. So I've had six hours of
- 1:30driving today off the back of two nights of
- 1:32not much sleep. So if I seem less coherent
- 1:34than normal, and I appreciate I'm normally
- 1:36not that coherent to begin with, you know
- 1:38why, of course.
- 1:40Andrew Dunkley: Yes, we've all been there. we've had dreadful
- 1:42weather here too. But it hasn't been the
- 1:44extreme heat, it's been the extreme wind.
- 1:47I got woken up, last night about
- 1:501am by the Fly, screens rattling. It
- 1:53was so windy. Yes, they, they were just
- 1:55shuddering. And I thought, I can't live with
- 1:57this.
- 1:57Jonti Horner: So I went outside.
- 1:58Andrew Dunkley: It was freezing cold, supposed to be late
- 2:01spring here, and I
- 2:04just jammed some wood chips
- 2:07into the. I just went off to the
- 2:10garden and grabbed some mulch and shoved it
- 2:12in the wind in, in the fly screens to stop
- 2:15them rattling.
- 2:15Jonti Horner: It worked.
- 2:16Andrew Dunkley: I've done it better during the day, but,
- 2:18well, that's just Been ridiculous.
- 2:20Jonti Horner: I know your parents. I mean having said that
- 2:22we had heat wave conditions and couldn't
- 2:23sleep because of the heat, I'm happ confess
- 2:26that I've had the wood serve on today because
- 2:27having had 36, 38 degrees so
- 2:30that's around 100 for our American friends
- 2:34last few days. Today has been a toasty kind
- 2:36of 15 degrees. and we've got a rain event
- 2:39happening. so we've had everything in the
- 2:42last week we've had kind of almost tornadic
- 2:45storms, we've had hailstones the size of your
- 2:47fists, we've had under a kilometer an hour
- 2:49gusts and now we've got random cold that
- 2:52makes me feel like I'm back in the uk. So
- 2:54yeah, all happening. And this is why
- 2:56Australia is an interesting place to live
- 2:57even to the extent that with the
- 2:59thunderstorms. We had got an email through
- 3:01yesterday that our wonderful observatory,
- 3:03Queensland's only professional astronomical
- 3:05observatory in Mount Kent was closed
- 3:07yesterday. We weren't allowed to go there
- 3:09because there was a bushfire within 10km of
- 3:12it that had been sparked by the lightning
- 3:14from the storms and fanned by the heat wave
- 3:16in a place that got lightning but no rain. So
- 3:19ah, it's all happening here.
- 3:21Andrew Dunkley: Yes, dry storms are not uncommon where I am.
- 3:24We we do get quite a few storms every year
- 3:27with lightning and thunder and nothing else.
- 3:30and they, yeah, they're very well known for
- 3:32sparking bushfires.
- 3:33Jonti Horner: Yeah.
- 3:34So while we're on the diversion of the
- 3:35weather, actually I'll apologize for Maya the
- 3:37dog chirping in the background but my
- 3:39partner's just got home. But we're also
- 3:41sitting here with an incredibly heartbreaking
- 3:43record, record breaking storm in the
- 3:46Caribbean. Yes, I know she's just come
- 3:49home. Thank you for joining me with the
- 3:51podcast Happy Dog. but yeah, there's
- 3:54borderline record breaking storm in the
- 3:56Caribbean which is going to be a Category 5
- 3:58hurricane hitting Jamaica and doing a, ah,
- 4:01hell of a lot of damage. And it's one of
- 4:03these that from a scientist point of view,
- 4:05fascinating watching it looking at the radar
- 4:07footage and all the satellite footage and on
- 4:09one hand you've got this thing of incredible
- 4:11exceptional beauty and on the other hand the
- 4:13devastation it's going to cause. So the
- 4:16people in the, in the firing line for that.
- 4:18Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, I saw the satellite images this
- 4:19afternoon. It is enormous.
- 4:21Jonti Horner: Yeah, you look at the false color one
- 4:24with the color of the clouds which is an
- 4:26indication of the severity of the storm and
- 4:27the shape and it's the kind of thing that you
- 4:29only see with the strongest storms we've ever
- 4:32seen, typically in the Pacific. So for this
- 4:34thing to not only be happening in the
- 4:37Atlantic, which is less common, but
- 4:40to be, you know, crosshairs on Jamaica,
- 4:42which has had a bit of a charmed life with
- 4:45some sacks of the high mountains that tend to
- 4:46bounce and go around a bit. This one looks
- 4:49like it's not so much going to bounce a
- 4:50splat.
- 4:51Andrew Dunkley: So yeah, when we were in Panama earlier
- 4:54this year, we did the Panama Canal and
- 4:56they were saying that they never get
- 4:58hurricanes ever.
- 5:01Jonti Horner: Too equatorial is my understanding. You need
- 5:04to be far enough away from the equator to get
- 5:06enough spin so. So it's very rare that you
- 5:08get storms getting right up to the equator
- 5:10because coriolis force and things like that.
- 5:13Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, yeah, it's interesting, isn't it?
- 5:14Very interesting. Okay, we better get
- 5:17on with what we came here to get on with. And
- 5:20we're going to start with a study
- 5:23that's been released into Jupiter's role in
- 5:25shaping the solar system. Now I do recall
- 5:27Fred mentioning that Jupiter, if
- 5:30Jupiter didn't exist we wouldn't. And this
- 5:33study basically adds a lot of fuel to that
- 5:36claim.
- 5:37Jonti Horner: It does. Now where Fred said,
- 5:39Fred and other people talk about if Jupiter
- 5:42didn't exist then we probably wouldn't. Ties
- 5:44into something that's a pretty big
- 5:47myth in science communication, Ansel in
- 5:50science papers and stuff, which is the idea
- 5:52of Jupiter shielding us from impacts. And
- 5:55my most favorite piece of research I ever did
- 5:58in my career is proving that to be a lot of
- 6:00cobblers and it's actually a lot more
- 6:02complicated. Jupiter throws things at us as
- 6:04well as protecting us. So I've always got a
- 6:06bit of an eye on any study that says, hey
- 6:08guys, if Jupiter wasn't there, neither would
- 6:10we. But this is a really interesting one that
- 6:13looks an entirely different aspect of
- 6:15Jupiter, which is the role that Jupiter
- 6:18played on the formation and evolution of the
- 6:20early solar system, the formation of the
- 6:22planets. And I've actually been teaching
- 6:24planet formation this week to my undergrad
- 6:26students. I've just, prior to recording this,
- 6:29had a two hour tutorial with them where I've
- 6:31been talking about planet formation and
- 6:33brought this story up because it
- 6:36really highlights the fact that when we
- 6:39often see in documentaries and the stuff we
- 6:42get taught at school, we get the impression
- 6:44that everything's solved, that we know the
- 6:47answers, that we know full well how the
- 6:49planets formed in microscopic detail and
- 6:51we've got everything figured out and the
- 6:53Reality is that we haven't. We have a really
- 6:55good broad picture and we're getting better
- 6:58and better at understanding the processes
- 7:00that went on. But there's still a lot to
- 7:02learn. And part of that is that while we've
- 7:04known the solar system since the year dot,
- 7:06we've only known other planetary systems for
- 7:08the last 30 years. And in reality we're still
- 7:11learning an awful lot about the planetary
- 7:13systems we find elsewhere. And learning about
- 7:16them is cool and all, but it also gives us
- 7:18insights that help us better understand our
- 7:20planetary system and how it formed. And that
- 7:22ties into this because the more we
- 7:25study those other planetary systems, the more
- 7:27we're getting observations of really
- 7:29beautiful things like planetary systems that
- 7:32are in formation, where you've got a
- 7:33protoplanetary disk. And we're getting these
- 7:35gorgeous images from things like the
- 7:38ALMA array, the Ataccama Large Millimeter
- 7:41Array that shows disks of planet
- 7:43forming material around stars with gaps in
- 7:46them and ripples in them and bands in them,
- 7:48and all these beautiful structures. And some
- 7:51of these have been previous astronomy.
- 7:52Picture of the days where this ties into the
- 7:55solar system is if you imagine that kind of
- 7:57stereotypical image of a
- 8:00protoplanetary disk, a disk of gas and dust
- 8:02around a young star like the sun, where
- 8:05material is feeding in through that disk to
- 8:07the star. So while the gas and dust is
- 8:09orbiting the star, there is this kind of
- 8:11sense of inward motion where the stars kind
- 8:13of nominating at the inner edge of the disk,
- 8:15materials falling in, and more material from
- 8:17outside flowing in to replace it. Yeah, and
- 8:20some of the models of the formation of the
- 8:22solar system struggle to make the terrestrial
- 8:24planets as a result of that. Because the
- 8:27material in the inner solar system is
- 8:29destined to fall onto M the star. And how do
- 8:31you stop that happening to let that material
- 8:33hang around to actually form into planets?
- 8:37Now it's been pretty well established for a
- 8:39long time that the first planet that formed
- 8:41in the solar system and got to a good size
- 8:42was Jupiter. And there's good reasons for
- 8:45that. It formed far enough away from the sun
- 8:47that the temperature was cold enough that the
- 8:50disk was rich in ice, which at, the
- 8:53distance the Earth is from the sun, all that
- 8:55ice would be gas. when you're forming solid
- 8:57objects, you need solid objects to feed from.
- 8:59And so when you've got a lot of ice, you've
- 9:01got a lot more solids. So things grow
- 9:03quicker, there's a lot more to eat. And it's
- 9:06only when you get to about 10 or 12 times the
- 9:08Mass of the Earth that You're massive enough
- 9:09to effectively start gobbling up the gas as
- 9:12well. So Jupiter formed beyond this point
- 9:14called the snow line, where there's a lot
- 9:16more solid material. It got to grow really
- 9:18quickly. It grew quicker than things further
- 9:21out because the further out you go, the
- 9:23slower things happen. So Jupiter was very
- 9:24much in the sweet spot, grew really quickly
- 9:27and eventually got big enough that it started
- 9:29clearing the gas and the dust it could gather
- 9:31the gas as well. And it opened up a gap in
- 9:33the disk. And that's very analogous to what
- 9:36we're seeing with these beautiful images from
- 9:37ALMA places like this. So the team of
- 9:40researchers behind this work have run some
- 9:43really in depth computer modeling of the
- 9:45formation of the solar system formation of
- 9:47Jupiter, and showed that when Jupiter opens
- 9:50up the gap in the disk, its gravity will
- 9:53also have an impact on the inner solar
- 9:55system. It'll effectively create the
- 9:57gravitational equivalent of speed bumps,
- 9:59creating areas where the dust that's
- 10:01spiraling inwards can pile up and be
- 10:04stopped from traveling further in.
- 10:07Effectively. It also creates
- 10:09a gap between the in run out of solar system
- 10:12that nothing crosses because if anything gets
- 10:14in that gap, Jupiter noms on it. And that's
- 10:17really interesting because some studies that
- 10:19have looked at primordial material we've
- 10:21found from in the solar system suggests that
- 10:23there is a bit of a chemical difference
- 10:25between material that formed in the inner
- 10:26solar system and material that formed in the
- 10:29outer solar system. So this gap
- 10:31dividing the two gives a natural way for that
- 10:34to happen. But the really big exciting result
- 10:37from this is really that modeling of
- 10:40the structure that Jupiter would have imposed
- 10:42on the inner solar system. These kind of pile
- 10:44up regions where you get more m dust and
- 10:46debris than normal, the structures that, that
- 10:48would carve out ripples in the disk
- 10:51effectively and how that would then
- 10:53contribute to the formation of the
- 10:54terrestrial planets. and therefore suggesting
- 10:57that not only did Jupiter help the
- 10:59terrestrial planets form by creating sweet
- 11:01spots where material could pile up, but it
- 11:04may also have had a really strong influence
- 11:05on the architecture of the inner solar system
- 11:08by setting where the planets would form,
- 11:10which then would go through a bit of a
- 11:13randomization phase as everything collides
- 11:15with each other. But it kind of possibly set
- 11:17the blueprint for the inner solar system. And
- 11:20therefore, if Jupiter hadn't formed where it
- 11:22did and how it did, the Earth would look
- 11:24very, very different and we might not be
- 11:26here.
- 11:26Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, it's truly fascinating. And
- 11:29when you look at other systems that
- 11:32we've discovered, exoplanet solar systems,
- 11:35ours is starting to look a little bit more
- 11:38unusual than normal.
- 11:41and Jupiter may be the reason.
- 11:43Jonti Horner: It could well be. And it's one of those
- 11:45things, I'm reminded of the Monty Python
- 11:47thing. I think it's in Life of Brian, where
- 11:49you've got that thing of we're all
- 11:50individuals. Yes, we're. No, we're not. I'm
- 11:52not. Every
- 11:55planetary system is going to be unique
- 11:57because it is influenced by
- 12:00such a wide variety of things going on. Even
- 12:03the stars that form in the local
- 12:05neighborhood, whittling it away from the
- 12:06outside, it all starts going on. But what
- 12:09we're seeing is there's a commonality among a
- 12:11lot of the planetary systems that we find
- 12:13that look very different to ours.
- 12:16The thing that gives us a little bit of pause
- 12:18though, is that we have these observational
- 12:19biases that make us more likely to find
- 12:21systems that are different to ours than we
- 12:24are to find systems like ours. And so you've
- 12:26always got that question of do we look
- 12:29unusual because we are unusual,
- 12:32or do we look unusual because we're not yet
- 12:33very good at finding places that look like
- 12:35home? and that's where colleagues of mine,
- 12:37like professor, Rob Wittenmayer, my colleague
- 12:39at unisq, have done really interesting
- 12:42work where what they
- 12:45do is look at what we found, but work
- 12:48out what doesn't exist
- 12:51based on what we haven't found yet. So they
- 12:54can start getting an estimate of how common
- 12:56our, ah, planetary systems like ours based on
- 12:59the fact we haven't found them yet. And it's
- 13:01a really kind of weird type of science where
- 13:04the absence of finding thing places limits on
- 13:07how common that thing is. So if you said
- 13:10that every star had a planet exactly like the
- 13:12Earth, on an orbit that's one year long that
- 13:14is exactly the same size as us and all the
- 13:16rest of it, then we can work out
- 13:18statistically, based on how good our
- 13:20telescopes are and our techniques are, how
- 13:23many of those planets we would have found.
- 13:25And we wouldn't have found anywhere near all
- 13:26of them because it's really hard to do. But
- 13:28we'd have found X amount. And the fact that
- 13:30we've only found a very small number smaller
- 13:32than that places an upper limit on how common
- 13:35things can be. So you get this perverse
- 13:38science where you get the observations
- 13:41that tell us what we found and what we've
- 13:42seen, but you can also put inferences on
- 13:45what isn't there and what is there based on
- 13:47what we haven't found yet, which allows you
- 13:50to put limits on how common things are that
- 13:51you couldn't really find very easily. Which,
- 13:54if that makes your head hurt. it makes my
- 13:56head hurt a little bit as well. But it's a
- 13:58really kind of clever use of the data we get
- 14:01to extrapolate further and draw more
- 14:03conclusions. And the net result of that is
- 14:06that the solar system is not hugely rare, but
- 14:09it's not common either. It's usual.
- 14:12And, that's really cool. And that probably
- 14:13extends to everything. Like I say, we're all
- 14:15individuals. The Earth, even though it's
- 14:18peeing it down outside at the minute, the
- 14:20Earth's actually a very dry planet. If you
- 14:22took all the water off the Earth and made a
- 14:24little blob of it next to the Earth, that
- 14:25blob would be fairly tiny. And everybody
- 14:28views the Earth as being very wet, but I view
- 14:29it as being very dry because water is such a
- 14:32common compound in the universe. It's made of
- 14:35the first and third most common atom. You put
- 14:38them together. Yet water waters everywhere.
- 14:40So for the Earth to be as dry as it is is
- 14:42telling you a lot about the uniqueness of the
- 14:44solar system. And maybe that's partially
- 14:47because of Jupiter. Not, necessarily
- 14:49shielding us from impacts, but preventing
- 14:50that icy material spiraling in, preventing
- 14:53us from becoming an ocean world. It's also
- 14:56partly down to the moon forming impact. The
- 14:58moon forming impact would have stripped a lot
- 15:00of the primordial Earth's water away because
- 15:02it walked as light and sits near the surface.
- 15:05So a lot about our Earth and a lot about the
- 15:07solar system is down to the random nature of
- 15:10the events around us. When we formed the moon
- 15:13forming impact, a nearby star going
- 15:15supernova and lacing our solar system with
- 15:18radioactive aluminium. Things like this.
- 15:20There's all these oddities that made our
- 15:21solar system unique, but if those
- 15:24hadn't happened, other things would have
- 15:26happened and we'd have still ended up with
- 15:27something unique because of other random
- 15:29things happening.
- 15:30It's all fascinating and I just love this
- 15:32stuff.
- 15:33Andrew Dunkley: Yeah. And it adds more and more weight to the
- 15:35theory that we are just a freak accident.
- 15:38Jonti Horner: Yes.
- 15:39Andrew Dunkley: And probably a one off in the universe.
- 15:42That's one argument. So, yeah,
- 15:44who knows if, if we find a
- 15:47solar system just like ours, with a planet
- 15:49just like ours, orbiting a
- 15:52star just like ours. That would be
- 15:56the, you know, one of the greatest
- 15:59discoveries in astronomical history, I
- 16:00imagine. But no, we do that.
- 16:03Jonti Horner: We would have to get in touch with the planet
- 16:05builders at Magrathea and demand that money
- 16:07back. Because we thought we had a limited
- 16:08edition.
- 16:09Andrew Dunkley: Yes, yes. weren't they the white mice? Was
- 16:11that the white mice?
- 16:12Jonti Horner: Yes, it was.
- 16:13Andrew Dunkley: Yeah. All right, if you want to read all
- 16:15about it, you can find, the paper,
- 16:18which was published in the journal Science
- 16:21Advances.
- 16:25Jonti Horner: Roger, your labs are here. Also space nuts.
- 16:28Andrew Dunkley: now, Jonti, let's move on to our next story.
- 16:30And this one is about a planetismal,
- 16:34that appears doomed. According to the, paper
- 16:37I'm reading, it's a white dwarf that's
- 16:39chowing down very, very hungry, hungry
- 16:42individual is this one.
- 16:44Jonti Horner: It is. So just to remind the audience, a
- 16:46white dwarf is the kind of little husk
- 16:49that's left after a cell like our sun comes
- 16:51to the end of its life, burns all its
- 16:53hydrogen, becomes a red giant, and then
- 16:56eventually blows off its outer layers. And it
- 16:58leaves a big chunk of the star's mass
- 17:00compressed into an object about the size of
- 17:02the Earth. That whole process will
- 17:05have a fairly hefty impact on the
- 17:08planetary system that star's got around it.
- 17:10And of course, as we just discussed, we now
- 17:12know that pretty much every star has planets.
- 17:14The expectation is that when the sun reaches
- 17:16this stage, unfortunately it's in about 7
- 17:18billion years, so nothing to worry about.
- 17:20Immediately it will swell up and it will
- 17:23chow down on Mercury and chow down on Venus.
- 17:25They'll just be swallowed up and gone. Yeah,
- 17:28There is some debate over whether the Earth
- 17:30will be swallowed up or will survive. Just
- 17:33all the models of star, evolution suggest
- 17:35that the sun will swell up to be about the
- 17:37radius of the Earth's orbit. But whether the
- 17:40Earth is there to nominal or not is still
- 17:41open for debate. It may be that the loss of
- 17:44mass from the sun in the time before may just
- 17:47mean that the Earth nudges far enough away to
- 17:49survive as a burnt husk rather than be
- 17:51devoured. It still would be ideal
- 17:53to be around when that wouldn't be pleasant.
- 17:55I mean, that said, the Earth is going to
- 17:57become uninhabitable a lot sooner than that
- 17:59because the Sun's getting brighter and the
- 18:01Earth's oceans will boil and it'll all go
- 18:04downhill. But after all that process
- 18:07happens when the sun sheds its outer layers,
- 18:09that'll have a pretty cataclysmic event on
- 18:11the planets and the debris that are left. So
- 18:14suddenly the sun goes on the ultimate kind of
- 18:16weight loss kick loses mass. And that
- 18:19will mean that all of the objects going
- 18:21around the sun will be held less strongly.
- 18:23And so therefore their orbits will move
- 18:25outwards because the gravity pulling them in
- 18:28gets weaker. Now, if you suddenly Press the
- 18:31button and vanished half of the mass of the
- 18:33Sun. What had happened is that the speed that
- 18:36any of the objects are going in their orbit
- 18:38will be too quick for that orbit to be
- 18:40circular. So at that instant, at that
- 18:43point, they'd now be at their new perihelion,
- 18:45they'd be at their closest point to the sun,
- 18:47and they'd all move out onto much more
- 18:48elongated orbits with a longer orbital
- 18:51period, but orbits that would then cross one
- 18:53another. So if you imagine you lose half of
- 18:56the Sun's mass, Jupiter moves onto an orbit
- 18:58where its perihelion is 5 au from the sun,
- 19:01but its aphelion could be 15 au from the Sun.
- 19:03Saturn at the same time would have perihelion
- 19:06at 10 au and aphelion at say 20 au. And I'm
- 19:08making the numbers up a bit here. So suddenly
- 19:11Jupiter and Saturn are on orbits that
- 19:13cross one another. Their orbits
- 19:16will probably still have the same ratio of
- 19:19orbital periods, so 12 years to 29 years. But
- 19:21they'd scale up to be something like, I don't
- 19:23know, 30 to 70 or something like that,
- 19:26because they've both moved out by the same
- 19:28amount. But suddenly you've got these planets
- 19:30that are on orbits that cross each other and
- 19:32therefore can really strongly interact. They
- 19:34can stir everything else up because all of
- 19:36the objects in the asteroid belt, all of the
- 19:38objects beyond Neptune, this happens to
- 19:39everything. Now the mass loss is a bit more
- 19:42gradual than that in actuality. So what
- 19:44happens is you get the orbit spiraling out,
- 19:46but getting perturbed, being made more
- 19:48eccentric. You've also got these objects
- 19:51moving through the headwind of possibly half
- 19:53a solar mass of material being blown
- 19:55outwards. That provides friction and so
- 19:58causes them possibly to spiral inwards a bit.
- 20:01Causes Jupiter potentially to gather mass as
- 20:03it numbs on all that gas that's going out. At
- 20:05the same time, its atmosphere is probably
- 20:07being blasted away by all this wind blowing
- 20:09past. All of this complexity means
- 20:12that you couldn't predict with absolute
- 20:14certainty what the solar system would look
- 20:16like at the end of this, but certainly
- 20:19there'd be a period of chaos. A lot of stuff
- 20:21would survive, but it would survive on orbits
- 20:24that are now much more unstable. So you get a
- 20:27lot of material flung inwards and, some of
- 20:29that will be flung inwards far enough for it
- 20:31to impact on the Earth sized object in the
- 20:33middle and, for the white dwarf to get a
- 20:36snack. Now all that's expected to happen
- 20:38really early on. And over time everything
- 20:41stabilizes out, things get flung around and
- 20:44clean up happens a bit like the
- 20:46solar system. You know, we were talking early
- 20:48on about the early stages of planet
- 20:49formation. Everything gets flung around and
- 20:51by the time you get to now, four and a half
- 20:53billion years down the road, it's fairly
- 20:55quiet. There's a bit going on, but most of
- 20:57the drama's finished. So the
- 21:00expectation is you'd see white dwarfs that
- 21:02are very young occasionally eating things
- 21:05because things get flung in and they get a
- 21:07bit of a snack. And the material from that
- 21:09snack will be spattered over the surface of
- 21:11the white dwarf and be visible in its
- 21:13spectrum as anomalous added
- 21:16solid material, heavy elements.
- 21:19But that signal would only last a short time
- 21:21because the outer layer of the white dwarf is
- 21:23kind of a hydrogen soup and heavier elements
- 21:26would sink down. So any given time you'd eat
- 21:29something. The evidence for that meal would
- 21:32only remain for a few tens of thousands of
- 21:34years, SOPs before it goes away. Okay, so
- 21:37the fact is we've seen some white dwarfs
- 21:39which have these anomalous heavy element
- 21:41readings in their atmospheres. We can tell
- 21:43they're eating stuff, but typically they're
- 21:45young. So you'd expect that.
- 21:48The quirky thing here is that this white
- 21:50dwarf, which goes by the name of
- 21:52lspm, which I think is a survey name,
- 21:55m followed by
- 21:56J020733331.
- 22:00So that's a coordinate on the sky. So that's
- 22:02telling you where in the sky this is. It's
- 22:04catalog number. Yeah, this thing is an old
- 22:07white dwarf. It's thought to be about 3
- 22:08billion years old. So in other words, the
- 22:10star that formed it died 3
- 22:13billion years ago and it's been sitting there
- 22:16minding its own business. That's old enough
- 22:19that you'd expect everything to have calmed
- 22:20down around it. But what the new
- 22:23observations have shown is evidence of
- 22:2613 different heavy elements,
- 22:29including carbon, chromium,
- 22:32strontium, titanium, a lot of these different
- 22:34elements, roughly in the kind of abundance as
- 22:37you'd see on the Earth, added, to this white
- 22:40dwarf's atmosphere. So it's
- 22:43obviously just had a meal and we know it's a
- 22:45case of just had a meal rather than it's been
- 22:47a leftover from a long time ago, because this
- 22:50stuff will sink and disappear over the next
- 22:51few tens of thousands of years. So what
- 22:54that means is that this white dwarf
- 22:57has just had a snack. Now it might have had
- 23:00that snack 30,000 years ago, or it
- 23:03may still be in the process of eating as
- 23:05we speak. Now what the team have been able to
- 23:08do is look at the amount of material you'd
- 23:11need to give the strength of signal you've
- 23:12got in the spectrum of the star. And, what
- 23:14they've calculated is that to get this amount
- 23:17of material you'd need to eat an asteroid
- 23:20about 200 kilometers in diameter.
- 23:23So that's comparable to some of the larger
- 23:25asteroids in the asteroid belt, but not the
- 23:27largest by any means. It's within the bounds
- 23:29of possibility of what we see here at home.
- 23:31But the real question is why is it eating it
- 23:34now? Why is this happening now when you'd
- 23:36expect the system to have had plenty of time
- 23:38to calm down? What
- 23:40it suggests to me, and it suggests in the
- 23:43paper, it suggests in the articles about this
- 23:45as well, is that the only way you can get
- 23:48something eating this late, after 3 billion
- 23:50years have passed, is if you've still got a
- 23:53number of planet mass objects in the system
- 23:56serving things up, which is what we've got
- 23:59in the solar system. If we look at the inner
- 24:00solar system, fragments of comets and
- 24:03asteroids are falling onto the sun all the
- 24:04time. We've got near Earth asteroids, short
- 24:07period comets and long period comets whizzing
- 24:09around. And, they're being bounced around by
- 24:11the planets. Jupiter's throwing a lot of
- 24:13stuff away. Their orbits are constantly
- 24:15getting tweaked. And so therefore the sun
- 24:18is still getting this rain of solid material
- 24:21falling on it as a result of the planets
- 24:23stirring things up. Even though the solar
- 24:26system mostly quietened down, the planets are
- 24:28still injecting material to the inner solar
- 24:31system, which is why we're getting meteorites
- 24:33and it's why the sun occasionally gets to
- 24:35numb some stuff. The idea here is
- 24:38that this star reached the end of its life.
- 24:40Puff dots with its outer layers. You have
- 24:43this really chaotic period where everything
- 24:45had got stirred up, then it settled down. But
- 24:47because you still got planet mass objects
- 24:49there, they're still bouncing around what
- 24:51debris is left. And we're just catching this
- 24:54white dwarf just at the right time, when
- 24:57another asteroid has been flung inwards close
- 24:59enough to be torn apart by the star's gravity
- 25:02and to give it a snack. So in other words,
- 25:05seeing this snack happening this late in the
- 25:07life of this white dwarf is fairly strong
- 25:09evidence that planets survived the death of
- 25:12its star, have lived there for 3 billion
- 25:15years, which a is really cool in of itself.
- 25:17But it also means that here is a star that we
- 25:20should look at when the Gaia data release
- 25:22comes next year. Gaia Dr. AH4,
- 25:25which will have been measuring this star's
- 25:27position on the sky. And if there Are planets
- 25:29there, we'll be able to detect the wobble and
- 25:31confirm them. So it's also holding up a flag
- 25:33to exoplanet people saying,
- 25:36hey, folks, here's a target for you to look
- 25:39at when the data release comes out where you
- 25:41might be able to find some planets, because
- 25:42we think there's a smoking gun here that the
- 25:45planets are feeding the white dwarf, giving
- 25:47it little snacks every now and again.
- 25:50Andrew Dunkley: Okay, wow. All right.
- 25:51so are there many white dwarf
- 25:54stars out there? What, do they, sort of,
- 25:58percentage wise, inhabit the star field?
- 26:01Jonti Horner: There would be a fair few of them. So the
- 26:04more massive a star is, the shorter its life
- 26:06is. And, that's a really rapid function.
- 26:09Where that works is, if your star's more
- 26:11massive, its gravitational pull is stronger,
- 26:14so its ability to pull material into
- 26:17the middle of the star is higher, which means
- 26:20that that star's got to give off a lot more
- 26:22energy to balance that gravitational pull.
- 26:24And so stars in the main sequence part of
- 26:27their life are in equilibrium. The radiation
- 26:29coming out from the nuclear fusion in the
- 26:31middle balances gravity pulling in. The
- 26:34more massive you are, the hotter and denser
- 26:36you get in the middle, so the more energy you
- 26:38give off. And the result of that is that it
- 26:41roughly, it varies a little bit by star's
- 26:43mass, but roughly the brightness of a star,
- 26:45the luminosity of a star is proportional to
- 26:48the mass of the star to the power
- 26:504.3.54. Which means if you
- 26:52double the mass of a star, it'll get between
- 26:5510 and 16 times brighter.
- 26:58So twice the mass, Call it a factor of 10
- 27:01just to keep it easy. If it's 10 times
- 27:02brighter, that means it's burning its fuel 10
- 27:05times quicker to produce 10 times as much
- 27:07energy. But it's only twice the mass, so it's
- 27:10only got twice as much fuel, so its
- 27:12life will be a factor of five times shorter.
- 27:15And the more massive you get, the shorter the
- 27:16life gets. Now, stars of different masses
- 27:19have different. A star like Proxima
- 27:22Centauri will never swell up to become a red
- 27:24giant. It'll just be a dull, glowing ember
- 27:26and eventually go out. But even the
- 27:29oldest stars like Proxima Centauri are still
- 27:31really in their youth because they're burning
- 27:33their fuel so slowly. Stars that are more
- 27:36massive eventually get stars like the sun,
- 27:38which are what form like dwarfs. And, they
- 27:40eventually swell up to become a red giant,
- 27:42puff off their outer layers. And for a star
- 27:44of the Sun's mass, that process from
- 27:47forming to the end of its life is thought to
- 27:49be about 12 billion years. It used to be 10
- 27:51billion models seem to have refined. So
- 27:54people nowadays seem to say it's about 12
- 27:55billion years. So a star of
- 27:58the mass of the sun that formed when our,
- 28:01Milky Way was very young will have lived and
- 28:03died and become a white dwarf more than a
- 28:05billion years ago. But stars more massive
- 28:08than the sun can form white dwarfs as well,
- 28:11up to maybe two or even three times the mass
- 28:13of the sun, depending how effective it is at
- 28:15shedding mass at the end. Yeah, the maximum
- 28:17mass for white dwarf, you can get about 1.4
- 28:20times the mass of the Sun. If stars lose half
- 28:22their mass, that gives you something about
- 28:23three times the mass of the sun before you
- 28:25start it. Three times the mass of the sun.
- 28:29Three to the power four is three times three
- 28:31times three times three. That's 81 if my
- 28:33mental arithmetic is correct. So three times
- 28:36the mass of the sun burns its fuel 81 times
- 28:38as quickly, which means it would live a 27th
- 28:41as long. Which means instead of 12 billion
- 28:43years, you get down to, 1.2 billion years,
- 28:46you get down to or like, 600 million years,
- 28:48500 million years. So there will have been a
- 28:51lot of stars that were more m massive than
- 28:53the sun that have lived and died and created
- 28:55white dwarfs. And so there's going to be a
- 28:58lot of white dwarfs out there. I saw
- 29:00someone talking a while back about how old
- 29:03the oldest white dwarf will be in how dim it
- 29:05will be, because white dwarfs just cool and
- 29:07gradually go from being blue to white to
- 29:10yellow to red. You know, gradually dim down.
- 29:12Yeah. but what that all means is that there
- 29:15are probably a really large population of
- 29:17white dwarfs out there. We know quite a large
- 29:19number, but we won't know anywhere near
- 29:22as many of them as we do stars that are
- 29:24actually the mass of the sun, that are in the
- 29:25prime of their life because they're much
- 29:28fainter and harder to spot because they've
- 29:30got a much smaller surface area. So even
- 29:31though they're hot, they're tiny and,
- 29:33therefore they're faint. and the best example
- 29:35of that, of course, is a white dwarf that is
- 29:37a companion to Sirius. Sirius is the
- 29:39brightest star in the night sky. It's more
- 29:41massive than the Sun. It's also nearby. Its
- 29:44white dwarf companion is something
- 29:47like a factor of a million times fainter than
- 29:50Sirius is. So even though the white dwarf is
- 29:52comparable in Master Sirius A,
- 29:55it is like a million times dimmer because
- 29:58it's so tiny. And that's why they're Hard to
- 30:00find.
- 30:01Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, even though there's probably a hell of
- 30:03a lot of them out there. Okay, if you would
- 30:06like to read more about this particular white
- 30:08dwarf star that is, you know, got a case of
- 30:11the munchies, probably spent too much time
- 30:13smoking the juju. you can read all about it
- 30:17in the Astronomical Journal. This is Space
- 30:20Nuts with Andrew Dunkley and Jonti Horner.
- 30:23Jonti Horner: Okay, we checked all four systems and being
- 30:25with the jerk space nets,
- 30:28Andrew Dunkley: Don'T know why we went down that road.
- 30:29Let's go to our next story. And this
- 30:32one is, this one's close to home.
- 30:35a, an object that is rapidly developing
- 30:38a ring system and it's it's in
- 30:41the outer solar system.
- 30:43Jonti Horner: It is, this is an object called Chiron,
- 30:47which was the first of the centaurs to be
- 30:49discovered. And I always like to talk about
- 30:50the centaurs because they're what I studied
- 30:52for my PhD, so, so I was at one
- 30:54point, 20 odd years ago, one of the world's
- 30:57experts in how these things move around the
- 30:59solar system. And then science has moved on
- 31:00and I haven't, so I probably can no longer
- 31:03claim that. But Chiron is
- 31:06an interesting object. It's an icy object,
- 31:08bit more than 200km across. It was
- 31:11one of, if not the first object to get both a
- 31:14classification as an asteroid and as a comet.
- 31:16So it was initially discovered as a tiny
- 31:19speck of light moving around. It's discovered
- 31:20by Cowell I think in 1970,
- 31:23moving on an orbit that spends nearly all its
- 31:25time between the orbits of Saturn and Uranus.
- 31:27At the minute. Long term it's an unstable
- 31:29orbit. There's about a, ah, one in three
- 31:31chance that this will eventually end up in
- 31:33the inner solar system at some point in the
- 31:34next few million years. And that's part of
- 31:37the work I did during my PhD was running
- 31:39simulations of where this thing's going to
- 31:40go. That in itself is interesting because
- 31:43it's about a bit more than 200km across.
- 31:46So if this thing got trapped in the inner
- 31:48solar system, it will be, be a comet like
- 31:49nothing we've seen in recorded history. Hale
- 31:52Bopp, which was ridiculous, had a 50
- 31:54kilometer nucleus. If this thing's 250
- 31:57kilometers across, that's five times the
- 31:59radius, which means it's something like 25
- 32:02times the surface area, which means it will
- 32:05be a lot more impressive. So it's obviously
- 32:07an interesting object. Back in
- 32:102011, team of scientists
- 32:13traveled across the world to gather to
- 32:16watch Chiron block out the light from a
- 32:18background star. So as this thing's moving
- 32:21through space, it just happened to pass in
- 32:23front of a star, from a subset of locations
- 32:26across the Earth. Now the distant stars are
- 32:29effectively so far away, we can consider the
- 32:31light coming in perfectly parallel. And
- 32:33so a 200 kilometer
- 32:36centaur will cast a shadow on the earth
- 32:38that's 200 kilometers across. And that shadow
- 32:40will whip across our planet. As the object
- 32:43and the Earth move around the sun, the shadow
- 32:44moves, the Earth moves through it. And so you
- 32:47get a 200 kilometer roughly scale band on the
- 32:50Earth where that star will disappear, then
- 32:52reappear. We know how fast everything's
- 32:55moving. So if you can get in that location,
- 32:57have a lot of telescopes spread out in a
- 32:59line, you can observe that
- 33:02occultation event and, by how long the star
- 33:04vanishes from different locations, you can
- 33:06actually figure out the shape and the size of
- 33:09the centaur because you can essentially map
- 33:11that shadow. And if you're near the edge, the
- 33:14star will disappear and reappear really
- 33:16quickly. If you're near the middle, you'll
- 33:17get a longer period where it vanishes. So
- 33:20these kind of, ah, occultation observations
- 33:22are really valuable to scientists. What
- 33:24happened in 2011 was they set their
- 33:26telescopes up and started watching a bit
- 33:28early to make sure they were looking at the
- 33:30star. And they noticed the star flickered on
- 33:32and off a couple of times before it properly
- 33:34disappeared for the main occultation. Then
- 33:36after it reappeared, it flickered on and off
- 33:38again a couple of times. And that's really
- 33:40weird. Now there was a kind of
- 33:43precedent for this with observations that
- 33:45were made in 1977, I believe,
- 33:48of Uranus, which was being observed from, I
- 33:51think it was the Kuiper Airborne Observatory
- 33:52doing one of these occultations. And they'd
- 33:55observed Uranus for this occultation because
- 33:58they wanted to understand the atmosphere of
- 34:00Uranus. And they figured as a stalwart behind
- 34:02Uranus, you'd see it not just disappear, but
- 34:05actually fade out as the light passed through
- 34:07the atmosphere. So you could measure the
- 34:09atmosphere and with that occultation of
- 34:11Uranus, occultation by Uranus, sorry, they
- 34:14got this flickering on and off thing. And
- 34:16that was the discovery of Uranus, of ring
- 34:18system. So basically the star vanished behind
- 34:21the rings, then reappeared, then vanished
- 34:22again, then reappeared, then went behind the
- 34:24planet. Right. So with this
- 34:272011 event, the same kind of thing applied.
- 34:30It was the discovery of a ring system around
- 34:32this icy object. So this is a tiny thing,
- 34:35smaller than even Mimas, that we talked about
- 34:37last week with the subsurface ocean,
- 34:39something so small that its gravity is
- 34:41probably not strong enough to make it
- 34:43spherical. It's probably peanut shaped or
- 34:45rugby ball shaped or something like this.
- 34:47It's probably not spherical. Around this
- 34:49object, it seems that there is a system of
- 34:52rings where there are three or four narrow
- 34:53rings at various distances. I think the
- 34:55distances are something like 273, 325, 438
- 34:58and 1400 kilometers from the
- 35:01center of Chiron. Got this ring
- 35:04system and it's been observed again since
- 35:07they did observations in 2018, 2022 and
- 35:102023, where they again figured
- 35:12out that the shadow of Chiron was going to
- 35:14scan across the planet, got a load of
- 35:17telescopes, went on a road trip and observed
- 35:19it happen to get more information about the
- 35:22rings. Because having a ring system around an
- 35:24object that isn't a planet is really cool.
- 35:27Andrew Dunkley: Yeah.
- 35:27Jonti Horner: And how did it form? How long has it been
- 35:29there? What's going on? How common are ring
- 35:31systems like this? Incidentally, a former PhD
- 35:34student of mine, Jeremy Wood, did some really
- 35:37cool dynamical studies that basically showed
- 35:39that the ring system could be
- 35:41primordial. It could be as old as the solar
- 35:44system. From the point of view of Chiron has
- 35:46never been close enough to one of the planets
- 35:48to disrupt the rings. So that
- 35:51doesn't put an edge limit on it, but it was
- 35:52still quite cool. What the new observations
- 35:55have shown though, is that, the ring system
- 35:57now seems to be different to how it was in
- 35:592011. In other words, the ring
- 36:02system is evolving before our very
- 36:05eyes and it actually seems to be a denser,
- 36:07stronger ring system now than it was 10 or 15
- 36:10years ago. So it's possible that we're
- 36:12actually witnessing this ring system as it is
- 36:14forming or as it's changing over time.
- 36:17Now I know Chiron has been quite active,
- 36:20it's been outgassing because it's been closer
- 36:22to the sun, hence the cometary type
- 36:25classification it got. Maybe some
- 36:28of the material it's ejecting in that
- 36:29outgassing is being ejected gently enough
- 36:31that it doesn't escape from Chiron and,
- 36:34that's repopulating the rings. We just don't
- 36:37know. But the only way we'll find
- 36:40out is by doing more of these observations.
- 36:41But I think it's just really exciting and
- 36:44it's a really good reminder again that we
- 36:47always kind of imagine the solar system as a
- 36:49very sad and boring, placid place where not
- 36:51much changing anymore because it's four and a
- 36:54half billion years old. And as you get older,
- 36:55you Get a bit more sedentary and not much
- 36:57happens. But in fact it's a reminder that
- 37:00the solar system's a really dynamic place and
- 37:02things are constantly influenced, constantly
- 37:04changing. We talked about it last week. The
- 37:06ocean on Mimas that is possibly
- 37:09only 15 million years old. Now, 50 million
- 37:11years sounds like a really long time, but in
- 37:14a system that's four and a half thousand
- 37:16million years old, that's like something
- 37:19that has happened to me in the last couple of
- 37:21weeks. That's a new feature, not something
- 37:23I've had since birth. And this is yet another
- 37:25example of the fact that the solar system
- 37:27just seems to be continually rapidly changing
- 37:30and evolving.
- 37:31Andrew Dunkley: Yeah, yeah, it's a really interesting
- 37:33situation. how far out is
- 37:35chiron?
- 37:37Jonti Horner: It varies. So it's closest to the sun, It's a
- 37:39little bit closer to the sun than the orbit
- 37:41of Saturn. at its furthest, it's a bit
- 37:43further away than the orbit of Uranus. And
- 37:44that's an unstable orbit. So it bounces
- 37:46around over time, it will have encounters
- 37:49with them that fling it around. But at the
- 37:51minute it's in the outer solar system
- 37:54between the orbits of Saturn and Uranus most
- 37:56of the time. Unstable solution. It probably
- 37:59originated out beyond the orbit of Neptune.
- 38:01And it's one of this population called the
- 38:03Centaurs that are, the future parents of the
- 38:06next generation of short period comets.
- 38:08Effectively in the same way that the near
- 38:09Earth asteroids have their origin in the
- 38:11asteroid belt, short period comets have their
- 38:14origin in the Transeptunian region. But to
- 38:17get here from there, they've got to pass
- 38:18through the outer solar system. And that's
- 38:19what the Centaurs are.
- 38:21Andrew Dunkley: Okay. Fascinating. Yeah, it's really
- 38:23interesting and probably not one that,
- 38:26too many people would be aware of. I remember
- 38:29when it was making the news some
- 38:32years ago, and that's why the name stuck when
- 38:34you, when you sent the story to me. But, you
- 38:37don't really hear much about it. But now
- 38:39we've got a very good reason to look at it.
- 38:41if you would like to look into that
- 38:43particular paper, it's been published in
- 38:46the Astrophysical Journal Letters.
- 38:55Our final story, Jonti, is,
- 38:58an exoplanet that the popular press are going
- 39:01to say has got, some kind of life on it. it's
- 39:03a, it's a maybe life candidate, story,
- 39:06this one. And Yeah, but they're still
- 39:09using the term super Earth.
- 39:11Jonti Horner: Yeah, I'll keep this one a little bit short
- 39:13and try not to get too grumpy. But one of my
- 39:16big bug bears all the way through my career
- 39:19is a good way for people to get media
- 39:22coverage of their new planet discovery is say
- 39:24it could be habitable. It's in the Goldilocks
- 39:26zone. Hooray.
- 39:27Andrew Dunkley: Using the L word.
- 39:29Jonti Horner: Rumble, rumble, grumble, grumble.
- 39:30Andrew Dunkley: It's a four letter word too, that one.
- 39:32Jonti Horner: It is, and it's one of the terrible four
- 39:34letter words. Part of the problem here is
- 39:37there's this concept of the Goldilocks zone,
- 39:39of the habitable zone, which has become
- 39:40really entrenched in the popular
- 39:42consciousness. And it's always viewed as
- 39:45being this sweet spot for life. And the idea
- 39:47is that if you have a planet in the habitable
- 39:49zone, it will have liquid water on its
- 39:50surface and all sorts of happy life things
- 39:52will happen and everything will be good.
- 39:56What it actually means is that if you took
- 39:58the Earth, as it is today and put it where
- 40:00that planet is, the Earth would still
- 40:03maintain its liquid water because planets are
- 40:05really diverse. If you took Venus and put
- 40:08Venus where the Earth is, With Venus's
- 40:10current atmosphere, Venus will be too hot to
- 40:11have liquid water. But if you observe the
- 40:14solar system from a long long way away and
- 40:16you discovered Venus on the Earth's
- 40:18orbit, it wouldn't look any different to the
- 40:21Earth. it's a planet about the size of the
- 40:23Earth, sat in the habitable sun. We, it's
- 40:25habitable. Hooray. Whereas Venus is actually
- 40:27so hot that on the surface it had melt lead.
- 40:29And I certainly wouldn't want to visit there.
- 40:31It's even hotter than my room was the other
- 40:34night when the power cut had happened. And
- 40:36that was bad enough and brutal enough.
- 40:39so what this means is that ah, people
- 40:42have become very fond of
- 40:45find a planet around a star, you can work out
- 40:48where the boundaries of the habitable zone
- 40:50will be based on a few assumptions. And this
- 40:52is work going back about a decade of the
- 40:55definitions we use now. And you've got the
- 40:57conservative and the optimistic habitable
- 40:59zone, which are basically loosely based
- 41:01around the fact that if you're as close to
- 41:03the star that you get an amount of radiation
- 41:06coming in comparable to Venus, you'll be too
- 41:08hot. If you're about where Mars is, you'll be
- 41:10too cold, but in the middle you'll be just
- 41:11right m. and that's about it.
- 41:14Now that definition doesn't really take any
- 41:16account of the mass of the planet or its
- 41:18atmosphere. What that
- 41:21means is that ah, when you find a planet that
- 41:24is a super Earth that Is four times the mass
- 41:26of the Earth. That is almost certainly
- 41:29nothing like our planet at all.
- 41:32You'll do a calculation and say it sits in
- 41:34the optimistic habitable zone. So there is a
- 41:36potential it could have liquid water on its
- 41:38surface. That's full of a whole heap
- 41:41of assumptions. But to me it's a really long
- 41:43stretch from saying it could have life.
- 41:45Andrew Dunkley: A.
- 41:46Jonti Horner: You're assuming it's got the right kind of
- 41:47atmosphere to have liquid water where it's
- 41:49four times the mass of the Earth. So its
- 41:51atmosphere is almost certainly much, much m
- 41:52thicker, Therefore
- 41:55likely has a much stronger greenhouse effect,
- 41:58Therefore probably runaway greenhouse. Not
- 42:00good.
- 42:00The other thing with this particular planet,
- 42:02GJ 251C is it's a super
- 42:05Earth orbiting a red dwarf star, ah,
- 42:08nearby, less than 20 light years away. And
- 42:10that's part of why people are excited. It's
- 42:12near enough that we'll learn a lot more about
- 42:14it in the future. However,
- 42:16planet orbiting a red dwarf star means that
- 42:19to be in the habitable zone, it's got to be
- 42:20close in. This thing goes around its star
- 42:23every 54 days, which means that it is
- 42:25closer to its star than Mercury is to the
- 42:27sun. And given the difference in the masses,
- 42:29it's actually much closer in than that. That
- 42:32means it's up close and personal with a red
- 42:34dwarf star, which are notorious for being
- 42:37active and flary and noisy, Particularly when
- 42:39they're young. They're tempestuous teenagers
- 42:41in their early days with mega stellar flares
- 42:44and stuff like this. So it seems to be
- 42:47fairly widely accepted that planets around
- 42:49red dwarf stars that are close enough to be
- 42:51warm enough to have liquid water will have a
- 42:54hard time holding onto their atmospheres,
- 42:56Particularly when the stars are young,
- 42:57because it'll be having all sorts of
- 42:59bonkers fun. And that's kind of borne out
- 43:02with the planets around Trappist 1, which for
- 43:04years have been people saying these are the
- 43:07most Earth like planets ever and we'll find
- 43:08life on them and hooray. And then when they
- 43:11finally got to use the James Webb space
- 43:12telescope and look at those planets, none of
- 43:15them have an atmosphere. Now I don't know
- 43:17about you, but I kind of like to breathe.
- 43:19It's a fairly important part of living. And a
- 43:22planet without an atmosphere is not going to
- 43:24have liquid water on the surface because if
- 43:25you take the atmosphere away, there's no
- 43:27pressure, the oceans boil and then are blown
- 43:30away by the red dwarfs, which makes that
- 43:32planet a desiccated husk, which not
- 43:34particularly habitable. The reason I Get
- 43:37energized and activated about this. It's a
- 43:40lovely discovery. It's a really interesting
- 43:42planet. We'll, learn a lot more about planets
- 43:43elsewhere. If there is an atmosphere, it's
- 43:46around us now that's near enough to us that
- 43:47with James Webb, we'll be able to study it,
- 43:49learn more about the atmosphere. We'll learn
- 43:50a whole heap from it. But I get really
- 43:53energized about this because there's only so
- 43:54many times that people can hear a story that
- 43:56says we found the most Earth like planet ever
- 43:59before they think we found the Earth before
- 44:01they think we found life elsewhere. And that
- 44:04then really devalues it. When we finally do
- 44:06find planets that are, ah, properly like the
- 44:09Earth, when we do find signs of life
- 44:11elsewhere, scientists will be getting really
- 44:14excited because we've finally done it. And
- 44:15everybody will be like, well, why bother?
- 44:17You've done this a million times before. The
- 44:19whole boy who cried wolf thing
- 44:22again, a big bugbear. And something that's
- 44:25really critically important these days is
- 44:27trust in science and trust in scientists. We,
- 44:30we've got all the controversies about topics
- 44:32that, are much more controversial than we're
- 44:33talking about with astronomy, with vaccine
- 44:35denial, with climate change denial, with
- 44:38people refusing to evacuate in the path of a
- 44:40hurricane that's coming because they don't
- 44:42believe the scientists. Anything that
- 44:45makes people less trusting of scientists
- 44:48because they're overblowing stories is
- 44:51damaging now far more than it has been in
- 44:54decades past. It's part of why I get so
- 44:55frustrated with Avi Loeb and Three Eye Atlas.
- 44:58It's why get frustrated with the media
- 45:01coverage of stories like this and the
- 45:02scientists pushing, I think, somewhat
- 45:05unethically an argument that this could be a
- 45:07habitable planet because it makes
- 45:10the rest of us look like fools. And it makes
- 45:12people, it gives them ammunition to say,
- 45:14well, scientists lie to us when they're not.
- 45:17They're saying that this meets the criteria
- 45:19for the Habitable Zone paper that was
- 45:21published 10 years ago. But
- 45:23it weakens that trust in science, which is so
- 45:26important now more than it ever has done. And
- 45:28I said I wouldn't go on a run and I'm now
- 45:30waving the flag and banging the table and all
- 45:32the rest of it. But it's a frustration that's
- 45:34wider than this story. And this story is
- 45:36lovely. It's an awesome discovery. They found
- 45:39a planet going around a star. That's very
- 45:40cool. We'll learn a lot more about it. It's a
- 45:42brilliant result. You don't need to tag every
- 45:45result like this and say that this planet
- 45:47could have life.
- 45:49Andrew Dunkley: And yet that's what, that's what happens.
- 45:52it's sort of like, what artificial
- 45:53intelligence is doing to social media. You
- 45:55don't know. You don't know what you're
- 45:58looking at anymore. And my
- 46:01trust levels have dropped significantly in
- 46:03recent months.
- 46:06Jonti Horner: My dad is, 80, and
- 46:09he's still on Facebook. And he doesn't like
- 46:10it, but he's on it because it's a way to
- 46:12communicate with people back in the uk. Moved
- 46:14over here a few years ago and he's constantly
- 46:17saying to me, he's getting so frustrated with
- 46:18these AI stories and fake news things that he
- 46:21doesn't know what to trust on there anymore
- 46:23because he'll see a story that some famous
- 46:25actors died and then he'll look up on
- 46:28Wikipedia and they're still alive and kicking
- 46:29and they've got a film coming out. But
- 46:31there's this thing of, you'd never believe
- 46:32the tragic photos. And it's
- 46:35bizarre. And at a time when we need fidelity
- 46:38and trust in our news and trust in our
- 46:40science, we've got to be careful about how
- 46:43much hyperbole we put into stories. I think.
- 46:45Andrew Dunkley: I totally agree. Yes. If you'd like to read
- 46:48about that, particular exoplanet, you can,
- 46:51pick up that yarn through the Astronomical
- 46:54Journal where they publish the paper. Or you
- 46:55can read up on all the stories we've talked
- 46:57about
- 46:58today@space.com
- 47:01and I'm sure a few other, platforms have
- 47:03published them as well.
- 47:05and that brings us to the end of, this
- 47:07program. Jonti, thank you so much.
- 47:10Jonti Horner: It's a pleasure. It's lovely to chat. Thanks
- 47:12for bearing with me, being a bit flighty and
- 47:14flirty thanks to the power cuts and the
- 47:15weather.
- 47:16Andrew Dunkley: You've done well. You've done well. We'll,
- 47:19catch you on the next program, a Q and A
- 47:21program. Johnty, Horn, a professor of
- 47:23astrophysics at the University University of
- 47:26Southern Queens. And thanks to Huw in the
- 47:28studio, who couldn't be with us today
- 47:31because he never tells me. I
- 47:34have no idea. I just make up the reasons he's
- 47:37not here. I honestly don't know why he didn't
- 47:39turn up this week. Probably because we didn't
- 47:41tell him when we were recording.
- 47:42Jonti Horner: That might have been it.
- 47:44Andrew Dunkley: and from me, Andrew Dunkley, thanks for your
- 47:46company. Catch you on the very next episode
- 47:49of Space Nuts. Bye.
- 47:50Jonti Horner: Bye.
- 47:52You've been listening to the Space Nuts
- 47:54podcast, available at
- 47:57Apple Podcasts, Spotify,
- 47:59iHeartRadio or your favorite podcast
- 48:02player. You can also stream on demand at
- 48:04bytes. Com.
- 48:06Andrew Dunkley: This has been another quality podcast
- 48:08production from Bytes. Com.