Latest / Best Betting Show Ever / Thursday MLB Slate, CFB & NFL Futures, Bitcoin, Predictive Markets & More!
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome everybody, the best betting a show ever. It is
- 0:03Speaker 1: Thursday on Lawrence, President Art, this Caesar joining us, No
- 0:06Speaker 1: Joe Ron every today. That's okay, lots of betting information
- 0:10Speaker 1: coming your way. Art and I won the parlay yesterday.
- 0:13Speaker 1: We're gonna do it again today. We got a jam
- 0:16Speaker 1: packed show. We're going to go through how the books
- 0:18Speaker 1: did yesterday, some sharp bets for tonight's card, lots of
- 0:23Speaker 1: sports in play, we got our predictive market segment, our
- 0:27Speaker 1: MLB rundown, NFL futures, and college football futures. Let's get
- 0:32Speaker 1: to it. Art, nice to see you, Nice to have you.
- 0:35Speaker 1: Let's start with how did the books do?
- 0:38Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it was probably not a good day
- 0:40Speaker 2: for the books. Yankees win, Dodgers win usually not a
- 0:45Speaker 2: good scenario for the sports books. But you know, as
- 0:48Speaker 2: I mentioned yesterday, you start to see it. It gets
- 0:51Speaker 2: a little sleepy midweek until the football. You got a
- 0:54Speaker 2: couple of the games tonight, so you got a lot
- 0:56Speaker 2: of action on these two, you know, a couple of
- 0:58Speaker 2: preseason games, and then you know you obviously go into
- 1:01Speaker 2: the weekend with all that.
- 1:02Speaker 3: So that's what we're really gearing up for.
- 1:05Speaker 1: Yeah, well, we're I mean, it's right there in front
- 1:08Speaker 1: of US college football NFL. Let's get into some sharp
- 1:13Speaker 1: bets for today. What are you seeing and hearing out there?
- 1:15Speaker 1: There's some WNBA games, there's some a lot of day
- 1:20Speaker 1: baseball today.
- 1:21Speaker 2: Yeah, a lot of early baseball. We'll start in the WNBA.
- 1:25Speaker 2: We didn't have any sharp stuff yesterday, but we do
- 1:27Speaker 2: have one to report today. They took under one to
- 1:30Speaker 2: eighty one and a half in the Atlanta Dream Game
- 1:34Speaker 2: two mlbs there on. They're on the Brewers' money line
- 1:37Speaker 2: and they're on the Royals a's over eating.
- 1:40Speaker 1: Half Royals A's over. How about the Tampa Bay Toronto
- 1:45Speaker 1: game yesterday? I told you I didn't like Toronto, and
- 1:49Speaker 1: I said take the over and that went well. I
- 1:51Speaker 1: won my bet for my clients as well. To continue
- 1:54Speaker 1: my dude, I am killing it in baseball right now.
- 1:58Speaker 1: So I'm excited about that bunch of day games today.
- 2:01Speaker 1: I got one playoff with my clients, but it is
- 2:03Speaker 1: a two o'clock game. Okay, Parlay of the day art
- 2:08Speaker 1: the Caesar, Where are you going?
- 2:11Speaker 2: Well, we've talked the last couple of days about you know,
- 2:13Speaker 2: a good team being on a short price and even
- 2:15Speaker 2: though they're on the road.
- 2:16Speaker 3: The Yankees again fit that Bill short price.
- 2:19Speaker 1: Give me the Yankees, and I'm gonna take Texas the Rangers.
- 2:23Speaker 1: They're minus one seventy. I know that's a juicy number,
- 2:27Speaker 1: but we are doing a parlay here, and I got
- 2:30Speaker 1: no problems with juicy numbers and parlays. So we got
- 2:33Speaker 1: the Yankees minus one twenty against Baltimore, Texas minus well,
- 2:38Speaker 1: you get there's one sixties out there against Washington. Join us,
- 2:43Speaker 1: everybody for our parlay of the day. Also, guys, remember
- 2:46Speaker 1: to subscribe to our channel, hit the like button and
- 2:49Speaker 1: make sure to comment. Lots of content over at wager
- 2:53Speaker 1: Talk TV our YouTube channel. And for the people asking
- 2:57Speaker 1: about the NFL presidential address this year, I will doing
- 3:00Speaker 1: it again. We'll be taping every Tuesday. It'll be me.
- 3:04Speaker 1: I'll be running down the entire card, So stay tuned
- 3:07Speaker 1: for that as well. Okay, Art the predictive markets worst
- 3:16Speaker 1: bit going today, Art to Caesar.
- 3:17Speaker 3: Hmm, keeps going up. I'm going to.
- 3:21Speaker 1: Assume with that, you know, you think someone would have
- 3:26Speaker 1: said maybe in March, in April, in May, in June,
- 3:31Speaker 1: in July, that there would be a run in mid
- 3:35Speaker 1: August did I say mid.
- 3:37Speaker 2: August, Yes, and I believe we were in mid August.
- 3:41Speaker 1: Did I say the beginning of August?
- 3:44Speaker 3: No, you did not.
- 3:45Speaker 1: Did I say the end of August? No? Did I
- 3:48Speaker 1: say July? Nope? Uh, seventy one six for bitcoin an
- 3:55Speaker 1: absolute massive a jump. I think the momentum continues in bitcoin.
- 4:02Speaker 1: And but with that said, tread carefully now, because although
- 4:06Speaker 1: I do think we're gonna see a nice run, we
- 4:10Speaker 1: are gonna see dips along the way, and there might
- 4:14Speaker 1: be a small one coming given I mean art the
- 4:17Speaker 1: last five days we've seen a nine thousand dollars run
- 4:23Speaker 1: in bitcoin. So I would suggest everyone sort of wait
- 4:29Speaker 1: a couple of days. If you're going to take a
- 4:31Speaker 1: big position in bitcoin, maybe just see how it works
- 4:34Speaker 1: itself out. But as far as todave in Eastern, I
- 4:37Speaker 1: think we're gonna get over the total. I don't know
- 4:42Speaker 1: what it is because Joe's not here, but it's likely
- 4:47Speaker 1: it's likely difficulties move on. Yeah, there he is there,
- 4:51Speaker 1: He is in the background. He is actually here, but
- 4:54Speaker 1: he's having is Yeah, he's having lighting and camera and problems.
- 4:59Speaker 1: I don't no whatever, you know what, he's a big star,
- 5:04Speaker 1: you know now, that he's got to show on out kick.
- 5:07Speaker 1: You know, Clay Travis and square Jewel. Tell me in
- 5:11Speaker 1: old seriousness, does Joe and Aary not remind you of
- 5:13Speaker 1: Clay Travis or vice versa rather from a different mother.
- 5:19Speaker 1: What are you talking about? They're both I guess as
- 5:21Speaker 1: an American you don't notice it. They are both as
- 5:25Speaker 1: American as you can get. They both have the good hair,
- 5:29Speaker 1: the square jewel. Yeah, they are just oh I get Yeah,
- 5:36Speaker 1: they're just your typical handsome American, square jaw, Marlborough smoking,
- 5:43Speaker 1: whinny ring and meat eating. You know. Their their names
- 5:48Speaker 1: should have been Chip and Skip, Clay and Joe, Clay
- 5:53Speaker 1: and Joe, Chip and Skip. Okay, uh so, uh we
- 5:58Speaker 1: got nothing else in the market segment. That's okay. NFL
- 6:03Speaker 1: Futures Art to Caesar, what do you you've been giving
- 6:08Speaker 1: us player props along the way.
- 6:11Speaker 3: I've been trying to do that. Yeah.
- 6:12Speaker 2: I think it's fun to do some you know, be
- 6:14Speaker 2: a little different, do some player prop season long stuff.
- 6:18Speaker 3: I'm gonna go to Nicocollins.
- 6:20Speaker 2: I know that's a guy you like. But they had
- 6:23Speaker 2: a big injury yesterday. Their second wide receiver goes down
- 6:26Speaker 2: with an acl Jaden Higgins. So now Nico Collins is
- 6:30Speaker 2: all out there on an island by hisself. I'm taking
- 6:33Speaker 2: under his touchdown six and a half. You can get
- 6:35Speaker 2: plus one zero five at FanDuel. You know, he's pretty
- 6:38Speaker 2: much trended down year after year. Twenty twenty three he
- 6:41Speaker 2: was eight, then he went to seven, then he went
- 6:44Speaker 2: to six. Last year he always missed his games. They
- 6:47Speaker 2: signed David Montgomery. This team wants to run the ball
- 6:50Speaker 2: and play defense, especially with that head coach signing a
- 6:53Speaker 2: big back like that. They want to win game seventeen fourteen.
- 6:56Speaker 2: And I think with basically every team being able to
- 7:00Speaker 2: zero win on Nico Collins double teeny him, you know,
- 7:03Speaker 2: having safeties over the top, I like him to go
- 7:05Speaker 2: under his touchdowns.
- 7:06Speaker 3: So under six and a half.
- 7:09Speaker 1: Art, who do you think is the worst team in
- 7:11Speaker 1: the NFL coming into the season. Cardinals plus one thirty
- 7:20Speaker 1: under half a win inside of their division. And this
- 7:23Speaker 1: is the bet that I'm going with. Art. Now, you look,
- 7:27Speaker 1: I understand they only need one. I get it. They
- 7:29Speaker 1: have six tries. Six they got home and away against
- 7:34Speaker 1: the Rams, home and away against San Francisco, and home
- 7:38Speaker 1: and away against Seattle. Six tries under a half plus
- 7:43Speaker 1: one thirty. I don't see how they win any of them. Art,
- 7:46Speaker 1: I'll tell you right off the bat. You know the
- 7:50Speaker 1: Rams are gonna be in them both times. Are they
- 7:52Speaker 1: going to get one at home against Sant Bran and Seattle.
- 7:58Speaker 1: That's a tough ask for this Arizona team that is
- 8:01Speaker 1: clearly gonna struggle to put up three or or wins overall.
- 8:05Speaker 1: I really like the under half h in it or
- 8:09Speaker 1: Arizona division wise. Do you think it's too low? Do
- 8:12Speaker 1: you think they squeak one out?
- 8:16Speaker 2: Well, you look at a team like that real Like
- 8:18Speaker 2: if you were gonna go look at the Dolphins, they
- 8:20Speaker 2: at least have the Jets twice.
- 8:21Speaker 1: So that's what I was gonna go to next.
- 8:23Speaker 3: Yeah, Like Arizona's got no gimmes.
- 8:26Speaker 2: You basically have the defending Super Bowl champs, the team
- 8:29Speaker 2: everyone thinks gonna win the Super Bowl, and a team in.
- 8:32Speaker 3: San Francisco that we talked about yesterday that we thought
- 8:34Speaker 3: there was some value on winning the division.
- 8:36Speaker 2: So that's basically three playoff teams and you know, three
- 8:40Speaker 2: teams who could maybe win the super Bowl. That's a
- 8:42Speaker 2: tough sled for Arizona. I mean and you're getting plus money.
- 8:46Speaker 3: I get it, they only have to win one, but
- 8:47Speaker 3: I think that's worth rolling the dice.
- 8:50Speaker 1: Yeah, so let's talk Miami and Vegas, both of them
- 8:53Speaker 1: in divisions with some strong teams. You got New England
- 8:58Speaker 1: and the Patriots and one division, and then obviously the
- 9:01Speaker 1: Vegas has got three really strong teams in their division.
- 9:05Speaker 1: Both are under one and a half. Miami is under
- 9:08Speaker 1: one and a half plus one hundred. Vegas is under
- 9:11Speaker 1: one and a half minus one thirty five. Are you
- 9:16Speaker 1: interested in either of those? I mean, they we have
- 9:19Speaker 1: that one to spare, but can either Vegas or Miami
- 9:22Speaker 1: give us two inside of division?
- 9:26Speaker 3: I can't see Miami doing it, so even at you know,
- 9:29Speaker 3: even money, I don't mind that.
- 9:30Speaker 2: You know, them going one in five in the division.
- 9:33Speaker 2: Vegas is interesting because how long do they go with
- 9:36Speaker 2: Kirk Cousins. How good can Mendoza be early when they
- 9:39Speaker 2: go to them or when they go to him.
- 9:43Speaker 1: The Raiders are.
- 9:43Speaker 2: Frisky against some of those teams in the division that
- 9:46Speaker 2: you know they beat the Chiefs a couple of years
- 9:48Speaker 2: ago on the road.
- 9:48Speaker 3: Now, yeah, I.
- 9:50Speaker 2: Listen, every year is different, but I don't know I
- 9:53Speaker 2: would feel more confident the Raiders winning too than Miami
- 9:57Speaker 2: winning too.
- 9:59Speaker 1: Yeah, I said. With that said art to Caesar, Miami
- 10:03Speaker 1: has won as two against the Jets. Okay, so if
- 10:07Speaker 1: they win one and for some reason, it makes no difference.
- 10:12Speaker 1: If Jim Kelly is playing, it makes no difference. If
- 10:16Speaker 1: Ryan Tannehill is in Miami seems to get one off
- 10:22Speaker 1: of Buffalo every year. It doesn't worry me. I prefer
- 10:28Speaker 1: the Raiders under one half. Tell me what you guys
- 10:32Speaker 1: think out there, Miami Dolphins or the Las Vegas Raiders
- 10:37Speaker 1: under one and a half wins in division? Which do
- 10:41Speaker 1: you like better? Uh Art, Caesar, Let's keep the show moving.
- 10:46Speaker 1: College football future bets you go first, So.
- 10:50Speaker 2: I'm gonna stay in town. I'm gonna go to the
- 10:51Speaker 2: un LV win total. The UNLV win total said eight
- 10:54Speaker 2: and a half. There's a lot of seven and a
- 10:56Speaker 2: half's out there, but you know you gotta pay like
- 10:57Speaker 2: minus one eighty minus two hundred.
- 10:59Speaker 3: So I get it now.
- 11:00Speaker 2: I gotta win nine games, but I get plus money
- 11:03Speaker 2: on UNLV over listen, they've been incredible under Dan Mullen
- 11:07Speaker 2: and that's why I like it. They got to figure
- 11:09Speaker 2: out the quarterback situation. It's either gonna be Alex Orgi
- 11:12Speaker 2: who was there last year and got hurt. Or they're
- 11:15Speaker 2: bringing Jackson Arnold, the transfer from Oklahoma Auburn, so if
- 11:20Speaker 2: Dan Mullen can get anything out of Jackson Arnold, I
- 11:22Speaker 2: feel like the conference is weaker with Boise and a
- 11:25Speaker 2: couple of teams leaving. They might have the best running
- 11:28Speaker 2: back in the conference. They really have to fix the defense,
- 11:31Speaker 2: which was ranked in the one hundreds last year, but
- 11:33Speaker 2: they got a lot of Power five transfers coming in,
- 11:36Speaker 2: so the defense should get better. The offense was in
- 11:39Speaker 2: the top twenty last year. I think it will still
- 11:41Speaker 2: be in that range. Schedule is difficult. There's really no
- 11:44Speaker 2: give mes on the schedule. But I feel like they
- 11:47Speaker 2: can get to nine wins. So give me UNLV over
- 11:51Speaker 2: eight and a half.
- 11:52Speaker 1: Well, it's funny you're talking UNLV art because I'm gonna
- 11:55Speaker 1: give you the Mountain West winner, and I don't with you.
- 12:01Speaker 1: I don't think UNLV is going to be it. North
- 12:03Speaker 1: Dakota State I think is the most dangerous team. They
- 12:06Speaker 1: have the shortest price. They also have the highest win
- 12:11Speaker 1: total on the board in the Mountain West coming into
- 12:13Speaker 1: the season at nine and a half. With that said,
- 12:17Speaker 1: I'm going to look at last year's four and eight
- 12:20Speaker 1: air Force as my bet at plus five fifty. And
- 12:24Speaker 1: let me tell you right off the bat, no Boise State,
- 12:28Speaker 1: big deal. Their air Force has a whole new quarterback.
- 12:33Speaker 1: Well he's not a whole new quarterback. He's returning. But
- 12:36Speaker 1: this is a quarterback that I think is going to
- 12:38Speaker 1: be very effective coming into the year. Their schedule is outstanding.
- 12:42Speaker 1: They have the easiest schedule in the entire Mountain West.
- 12:46Speaker 1: And you've got to remember they lost a bunch of
- 12:49Speaker 1: games last year by three by one score. We spoke
- 12:53Speaker 1: about that yesterday. A lot of that sort of works
- 12:56Speaker 1: itself out in the long run. With the Chicago Bears
- 12:59Speaker 1: want a whole bunch of games last year by one score,
- 13:01Speaker 1: I think they regress. Air Force lost a bunch of
- 13:05Speaker 1: games by one score last year. I think they turn
- 13:08Speaker 1: it around. I think air Force is the best bet
- 13:12Speaker 1: UNLV at plus two seventy five. Art, I think there's
- 13:16Speaker 1: no value there.
- 13:19Speaker 3: I don't disagree.
- 13:21Speaker 1: Okay, so there we go our college football rundown art
- 13:26Speaker 1: the Caesar, let's race through the baseball card for Thursday,
- 13:32Speaker 1: August twentieth. I'll throw them out at you games are
- 13:35Speaker 1: going off. Let's skip the twelve forty game, goes straight
- 13:38Speaker 1: to the San frand Cleveland game. Cleveland minus two oh eight.
- 13:44Speaker 1: I'm not paying any type of juice to bet on Cleveland.
- 13:48Speaker 1: That's outrageous.
- 13:50Speaker 2: I wouldn't lay one fifty with Cleveland, let alone two dollars.
- 13:53Speaker 2: So to me, it would be the Giants or nothing,
- 13:56Speaker 2: even maybe the one and a.
- 13:57Speaker 1: Half uh Art Toronto Tampa Bay. I'm gonna continue with
- 14:02Speaker 1: the over here yesterday. You know, yesterday was a massive score,
- 14:08Speaker 1: and now it's only seven, and it's not like Shane
- 14:12Speaker 1: Bieber is Shane Bieber of old. It's a little bit
- 14:15Speaker 1: of a strange number to me.
- 14:18Speaker 3: No, I don't I don't mind the over there.
- 14:19Speaker 2: Tampa will be very popular in the moneyline parlays today,
- 14:22Speaker 2: so books will need Toronto as they pretty much needed
- 14:25Speaker 2: them this all series.
- 14:26Speaker 1: Yeah, Tampa Bay minus one sixty. The White Sox pick
- 14:29Speaker 1: them at Atlanta over and under eight and a half
- 14:32Speaker 1: two o'clock game.
- 14:33Speaker 3: What you doing, Helenta is not playing good baseball right now?
- 14:36Speaker 1: Now?
- 14:36Speaker 3: They got to go to Chicago, who is playing yeah baseball?
- 14:39Speaker 2: Even though they just played the Cobs and that was
- 14:41Speaker 2: a hard fought series hard to back Atlanta right now,
- 14:44Speaker 2: I would lean White Sox.
- 14:45Speaker 1: Here Kansas City against the A's Minus one thirty eight
- 14:52Speaker 1: is the total. What do you like? Yeah?
- 14:55Speaker 2: Like I said, the shrups are on the over here.
- 14:58Speaker 2: I could you can pay me to bet either with
- 15:00Speaker 2: these two bad teams, I would just play.
- 15:02Speaker 1: The tonal value on Milwaukee. I think art Seattle has
- 15:06Speaker 1: really struggled on the road this year, and minus one
- 15:10Speaker 1: thirty or a Milwaukee team at home, I like it. Yeah.
- 15:16Speaker 2: I mentioned the sharps around them, and you know, after
- 15:18Speaker 2: losing twenty two to nothing, you figured you would get
- 15:22Speaker 2: Seattle's best performance yesterday and actually win a game and
- 15:25Speaker 2: show some pride.
- 15:26Speaker 3: Now they'll go back to being bad. I'm with you
- 15:28Speaker 3: all the values on Milwaukee.
- 15:31Speaker 1: Rather forty and twenty eight. That's the Yankees on the road.
- 15:35Speaker 1: That's where I'm going. They're playing Baltimore, who's falling apart.
- 15:40Speaker 3: One hundred percent. That was my picking the part of
- 15:42Speaker 3: the day.
- 15:42Speaker 2: Anytime you can get the Yankees cheap minus one twenty
- 15:45Speaker 2: or less, which they've kind of been a couple of
- 15:47Speaker 2: times in this series, I like taking the Yankees here.
- 15:50Speaker 1: Yeah. And although Texas has struggled at home, well, not struggled,
- 15:54Speaker 1: but I basically break even. This is a team that
- 15:56Speaker 1: I think is heading in the right direction. They were
- 15:59Speaker 1: my Harley pick. What do you like in that game? Yeah?
- 16:03Speaker 2: Listen, we've talked about Texas here in the last couple
- 16:05Speaker 2: of days. They are fighting tooth and nail with Houston.
- 16:08Speaker 2: I believe their game back in the division this late
- 16:11Speaker 2: in the year, and I know Washington's been frisky.
- 16:13Speaker 3: Is a young team. You got to win these games
- 16:14Speaker 3: at home if you're Texas.
- 16:17Speaker 1: Yes, you do. And speaking of Houston, a big favorite
- 16:21Speaker 1: at home today, what do you like?
- 16:26Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean Houston will will probably continue to roll
- 16:28Speaker 2: even maybe a Houston team total over.
- 16:31Speaker 1: Oh I like that? Bet Okay, my brother. That's it
- 16:36Speaker 1: for our show for today. We're gonna be back tomorrow.
- 16:41Speaker 1: No mailbag segment today, But thank you guys so much
- 16:44Speaker 1: for commenting, subscribing, hitting the like button, etc. Joe, Rnarian,
- 16:49Speaker 1: Art Caesar tomorrow. I will be back on Monday. Thanks
- 16:53Speaker 1: for watching the best betting show ever. We'll see you tomorrow.