Latest / College Football Addiction: A Show About All Things College Football / MASSIVE Updates Before HUGE COLLEGE FOOTBALL Games | UGA BAMA | TEXAS OKLAHOMA | INDIANA NEBRASKA

Transcript

MASSIVE Updates Before HUGE COLLEGE FOOTBALL Games | UGA BAMA | TEXAS OKLAHOMA | INDIANA NEBRASKA · College Football Addiction: A Show About All Things College Football

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 0:00
  Speaker 2: Welcome back. This is our complete matchup guide for Georgia
• 0:03
  Speaker 2: and Alabama. We are presented by prize picks. This is
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: the college football addiction, TJ Pittenger, Graham coffee of dog
• 0:09
  Speaker 2: central and Graham. We are back here again. The, uh, the,
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: the rivalry that never seems to get old. Uh, the
• 0:16
  Speaker 2: Southeast takes a, takes a break and pauses to watch
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: Georgia and Alabama. Once again, well, it was in Athens
• 0:23
  Speaker 2: last year, so I'll maybe rephrase that. But no shock,
• 0:27
  Speaker 2: we're going back to Tuscaloosa. We're Kirby Smart's second home
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: at this point.
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: First home, too.
• 0:34
  Speaker 2: Yeah, get after it. Let's talk about this game. I
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: think it is really, really interesting because I think there
• 0:44
  Speaker 2: are tests that Alabama and Georgia have both had but
• 0:48
  Speaker 2: neither one of them has had a test quite like this.
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: When you look at the other side, uh, Georgia has
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: certainly seen a better, a really good defense. Uh, Alabama
• 0:56
  Speaker 2: saw an offense in, in Florida state that, that found
• 0:59
  Speaker 2: some life. So we have seen some different tests, but
• 1:01
  Speaker 2: what we'll get Saturday, if it is played, uh, we'll,
• 1:04
  Speaker 2: we'll be a ton of fun and I'd love to
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: know some thoughts on, uh, on how you think this
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: thing goes.
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, uh, To echo you, welcome back, my friends,
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: to the show that never ends. It's Georgia and Alabama
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: for the third time in 12 months. Really? This game
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: was played on the last week of September, the first
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: time last year. These teams know each other well, but
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: certainly Georgia looks a lot more familiar to how they
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: looked last season than Alabama does. I do think that
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: favors Alabama a little bit just when it comes to
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: personnel familiarity and what worked and what didn't work in
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: those last two matchups. I think this is a really
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: interesting spot from a Georgia perspective. Obviously I cover Georgia. So,
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: you know, people are, Bama fans might think I'm a
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: hater or anything like that. I'm not trying to be,
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: but I just think from UGA's spot, they have not
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: been an underdog in a game since the 2024 Texas
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: game that they played on the road in Austin when
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: Texas was number one. And then they've not been an
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: underdog against Bamba since the 2022 national championship game in Indy.
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: So I just look at it. It's a nice spot
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: for UGA. They're number one in SP plus right now.
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: They're number one in FEI, the advanced metrics and power
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: ratings from a Vegas standpoint, not like resume metrics, but
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: just success rate explosiveness. Some of those five factors that
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: we look at on how football games get won and
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: lost Georgia, Georgia, is the best team in the country
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: in the eyes of those metrics right now. And they
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: get to be an underdog to a team that they
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: held a negative three rushing yards last December. I think
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: there's probably a disrespect card that you can play there
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: a little bit. If you're Kirby smart and all of
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: the hype in this matchup is around Keelan Russell deservedly.
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: So that kid's phenomenal. I love watching him play football,
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: like getting to do the preview content for this game
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: for our website has been a joy. Just watching the
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: Bama offensive tape and, seeing some of the throws he makes,
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: you're not going to defend them. There's, there's not a
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: good offense is always going to be good defense. And
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: you see him make some throws where you're just like, yeah,
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: you're something you can do about that. But sorry, dogs.
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: Is that a human? Is that an actual dog?
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: That is a dog. That's okay. Yeah.
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: I didn't know if the dogs were already barking for
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: this matchup.
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: That's that's, that's Luna, the dog Luna. Can you please,
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: please settle down. But, I will say, Georgia is undefeated
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: in the history of Graham Coffee Productions whenever a dog
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: barks during a preview show. But this team, from a
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: Georgia standpoint, I think Gunnar Stockton is probably getting a
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: little bit overlooked in this matchup because of the excitement
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: around Keelan Russell. Again, deservedly so for Keelan, but Stockton
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: has been really, really good. 13 touchdowns, one interceptions. Those
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: 13 touchdowns have gone to 12 different players. Georgia's been
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: extremely balanced in terms of how they've distributed targets. There's
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: not like a Zachariah branch in this offense that you
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: can say, if we can limit this or take it away,
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: we got a good chance of shutting them down. And
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: they look likely to get Nate Frazier back in some
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: capacity for this game, which will help their running game.
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: So I think the story of this football game, We're
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: all talking about the Alabama offense, and deservedly so, but
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: I think Georgia's got a really good offense, too. These
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: are going to be two pretty elite offenses on the
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: field on Saturday night, in my opinion, so who can
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: get stops? Who can force a turnover, and who can
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: get a stop here or there? I can see this
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: game turning into a shootout by Georgia-Alabama standards.
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: Yeah, so that's my maybe follow-up there is I have
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: a lot of faith in these offenses. I think I
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: have more faith in Georgia's defense, but the offenses they
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: faced are Arkansas and Vandy and Oklahoma. So I don't
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: mean to discredit Georgia at all. They're certainly seeing a
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: very different offense than they've seen all year when you
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: think about what Bama's going to throw out there on
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: the field. Same thing from the other side. I think
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: about The defense that Alabama has played has not been
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: as impressive. I don't think anybody had Ashton Daniels going
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: in there and throwing for 377 yards and Florida State
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: putting up 36 points. And they've been better, right? But
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: I wonder when they see an offense that's better than,
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: you know, South Carolina and Florida State and Kentucky, what...
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: And Mississippi State did a good job against Mississippi State.
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: I will say that. They, you know, fluff went out
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: and they... they did a good job there, but they're
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: going to see an offense that I think is better
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: than they've seen. So what does that end up looking like?
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: What are they able to do? And again, that's kind
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: of goes back to my, my first point of this
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: is going to be a different test for both of
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: these teams that neither one of them have seen just yet.
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: And I think we learn a ton in this matchup
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: because I don't know how much you can take away from,
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: I don't know how much you can take away from
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: Georgia's defense against its opponents. I don't know how much
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: you can take away. The concerns I have for Bama's
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: defense are real, and they're about to face a better
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: offense than they've seen all year. So I don't know.
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: I don't know where you lean on that.
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: I think that Georgia defensively, we've kind of saw them
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: bring some exotic stuff out of the bag of tricks
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: in the first quarter and a half of that Oklahoma game,
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: and then they got up by three touchdowns and they've
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: been pretty vanilla. They were very vanilla last week against Vanderbilt.
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: I think, you know, not that Alabama has had to
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: be stressed too much. I mean, the Florida State game
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: was interesting in that FSU was able to do some
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: things to them. I think Georgia's got the better defense
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: in this game, but that doesn't mean they match up
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: better necessarily, right? Like, I think that Alabama's defense has
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: some really good athletes. Xavier Griffin, can do a lot
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: from that linebacker position to limit some of the things
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: that Georgia has been able to do with the running
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: backs in the passing game. Uh, I thought coming into
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: the season, like across the board, Bama probably has the
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: best secondary in the league. Uh, they've been a little
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: bit shakier than I expected them to be at times,
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: but that's still a really good unit with a lot
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: of good players in the backend and a lot of
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: experience in games like this. So I think that, uh,
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: can Georgia run the football is really like the million
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: dollar question a little bit in this game. I know
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: that Alabama will run the football better than they did
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: in the last matchup between these two teams. Like they've
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: revamped that offensive line. I think their running back room
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: is obviously healthier, but also just better than it was
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: a year ago. But Georgia's run defense is something that I,
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: I kind of just trust maybe more than anything in
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: this game. I trust Georgia's run defense. Uh, They were
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: fourth nationally in run defense last year. They lost C.J.
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: Allen and replaced him with– I mean, they're too deep.
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: That inside linebacker is four former five-stars that all play
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: like former five-stars. And then up front, they returned seven
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: of the top nine defensive linemen off of the fourth-ranked
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: rushing defense in college football last year. So, like, I
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: think that they're pretty good. in that capacity. It doesn't
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: mean that Alabama can't run the ball effectively enough to
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: keep them honest, but I think that would be the
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: pressure point, the thing that you're maybe scared of a
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: little bit if you're an Alabama fan, is does Georgia
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: have a shot to make you one-dimensional and get you
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: into a lot of third and longs? Because Georgia so
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: far this season They haven't faced an offense anything like
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: this Alabama offense, but they have been a team that
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: I would kind of characterize defensively as they've given up
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: some explosives at times, but not really as many of
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: those back-breaking touchdown-level explosives. But they've been really hard to
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: just sustain drives against. And they're fifth nationally in average
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: third down distance. Their average third down distance faced as
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: a defense is 8.79 yards so far this year in
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: Alabama's offense. is 70th in average third down distance at
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: a little over seven yards on average on third. So
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: there is something there potentially where you're asking Keylon to
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: do a high wire act. And we saw him do
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: some of these high wire acts against Mississippi State last week.
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: I think I saw him convert like a third and
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: 19 with a absolute seed of a ball on a
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: deep crossing route. So he's capable of bailing them out
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: of those situations. But I don't think against Kirby Smart
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: and Glenn Schumann with some of the athletes that Georgia
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: has on defense, like you ever want to find yourself
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: teetering into the world of being one-dimensional. Bama has got
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: to be able to run the football well enough to
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: keep Georgia honest defensively in this game. Because if Georgia
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: is not biting down on play action and they're able
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: to pin their ears back, I think that that is
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: how you put too much pressure on this really, really
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: talented young court.
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: Typically stay on the analytic side of this thing, but
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: as of now, 65 to 90% chance of steady heavy
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: rainfall with potential flash flooding, sustained winds of 15 to
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: 21 miles an hour and a 30 to 40 mile
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: an hour gusts. I'm not asking you to be a
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: weatherman on this because I actually like that. You're correct
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: on a lot of your takes. Um, so I won't
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: put you in the position of being wrong, uh, like
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: the guy on my local channel, but yeah, they're not
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: going to play this thing in a tropical storm. Are
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: they like, if the forecast stays the same, what are
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: we doing here? And if you, I wouldn't ask like, yeah,
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: but I know you are connected with some things, not
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: that Greg's think he's got you on speed dial, but like,
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: what have you heard? Some, some potential options are here.
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, what I've heard to this point, what certainly
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: the company line from the sec in both these schools
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: is we're planning on playing this matchup at the time
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: that we're scheduled to play it. And if they're able
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: to do that, then I certainly think they will. But,
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: I do think that there's a world where this game
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: could happen at 11 o'clock local time on Saturday. If
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: they feel like that's what they need to do to
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: get it in, in front of the storm. I also
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: think there's a world where this game could happen on Sunday.
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: As odd as that sounds. I do not think there's
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: a world where this game moves out of Tuscaloosa, barring
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: something really crazy. I don't know that Alabama would even
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: let that happen really like this is their home game.
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure they would, they will let go of it, but, uh,
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: I think it would take a really consequential set of
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: circumstances for this game to be moved or to move
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: off of this weekend. I think they're going to play
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: this game this weekend in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. It's just a
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: question of what time, probably, in my estimation at this moment.
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: Does a weather filled game benefit anybody? I would, I
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: would lean Georgia, right. Running the ball. Bama's is better.
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: I mean, how could it not be better than last year,
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: but it is better, but I still think I have
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: more confidence in Georgia's side to run the ball in
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: this kind of way in a, in a weather type game.
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, I think that's, that's certainly like maybe
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: a game that, that fits Georgia a little bit more
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: just with like all the tight ends and the, the
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: heavy personnel that they run as, as pretty much their
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: base offense at this point, I could see a world
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: where they, they like that type of football game, but
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: I will say Georgia's running back room, you know, Frazier
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: has not been able to, to really play much since
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: the first half of that Arkansas game in the third
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: week of the season. We saw Chauncey Bowen's, His backup
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: went off kind of before halftime last week. He did
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: come back into that game. But, you know, and then
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: they lost Kentucky transfer Dante Dowdell, who had like a
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: really tragic off-field accident back in the summer. But, like,
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: there's not a ton of depth and experience behind those
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: two guys. Dwight Phillips has been very good for Georgia
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: so far the last couple weeks with Frazier out. but
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: he is certainly more of a scat-back, receiving-back type player.
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: He's gained weight in his time in Athens, but this
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: is a different type. Georgia-Alabama games, I think of big
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: physical collisions and just a lot of rock-em-sock-em stuff going
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: on in the trenches. I think that it would be
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: probably favorable to Georgia in the sense that I think
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: Georgia's run defense is really good, but I Also, kind
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: of to go back to where we started this conversation,
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: I think Gunnar Stockton is playing quarterback at an elite
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: level right now. I think people have this image of
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: Gunnar Stockton as another all-Shucks kind of kid from the
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: mountains of North Georgia who isn't that talented, is a
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: game manager, is just there to not screw it up,
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: is kind of a representation, I think, in some people's
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: minds to Kirby Smart wanting to to maybe be a
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: little more risk averse offensively. And maybe in some ways,
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: I think he might represent in the eyes of some folks,
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: like what Georgia doesn't have, which is a key line Russell.
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: Like they don't have that, that super, super physically talented
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: player that just so obviously projects the NFL. But if
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: you look at the tape that Gunnar Stockton has put
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: together in the last few weeks, he's anticipating throws the
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: things that everyone said that he couldn't do. Like, Throw
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: layered balls over the middle. Fit balls between safeties and
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: corners and cover two. Throw an accurate deep ball in
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: stride with enough velocity and arm strength to really put
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: it out there. He's doing all of those things. He's
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: doing them at a very high level. And he's also very,
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: very good at getting Georgia into the right plays and
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: into the right protections and has, I think, kind of
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: mastered this offense on some level. in terms of recognizing, hey,
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: this is what's coming, so this is what's going to
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: be open on this play. And I think that Georgia's
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: going to want to throw the football in this game.
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: I don't think that– I think if you go down
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: the list of everything in this football game, the biggest
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: delta so far this year may be Georgia's pass offense
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: versus Alabama's pass defense. This Alabama pass defense has not
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: been great. So I do think Georgia would like to
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: play this game in good enough conditions to take advantage
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: of their offense.
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: I have not been very successful in life when I
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: bet against Kirby smart, man, I've got the opportunity to
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: go the opposite way and get plus money on this thing. But, uh,
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: give me a, give me a pick in this one.
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: Oh man. I mean, I, I do think the weather
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: factor is, makes this game even harder to handicap even
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: good weather. I, I feel like this probably comes down
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: to a turnover or a special teams play. This will
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: be a close game, if I had to guess. I
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: do favor... I favor Gunner's experience. This game a year
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: ago when Georgia and Alabama played in late September, that
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: sort of felt like Gunner's baptism by fire. And... He
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: became a different quarterback after that, and he kind of
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: got into that shootout with Trinidad Chambliss and came out
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: on top a few weeks later. Maybe Keelan– I mean,
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: Keelan has been in some pressure moments, obviously, in that
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: MSU game. They got pressed. But I think that Georgia's
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: defense is a different animal than what we've seen Alabama
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: play so far. Alabama's defense is also really, really good.
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: but we saw Georgia be productive against that Oklahoma defense.
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: And I do think that defense is pretty damn good.
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: So I favor Georgia, but this, you know, one turnover,
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: one fumble in the rain, one drop snap on a,
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: on a punt, that type of thing is fully capable
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: of swinging this football game.
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: Yeah. I think I like Georgia here, but with, just
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: the least amount of confidence of, of any of the
• 18:16
  Speaker 2: games that we'll do. I kind of just like the
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: idea of the plus money. And I, again, I think
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: I have more confidence in Georgia's defense than I do
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: in Bama's. If you, I don't know that they are,
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: but if you call the offense as a wash, I
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: think Georgia's defense is better than Bama's. I don't know
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: that it's incredibly tested at which I admitted. And that's
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: what makes it tough to know. They have not seen
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: a quarterback or an offense like Keenan Russell and now
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: in Bama. So if I'm wrong on this and, and
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: they're able to, I'm certainly given some historical credit to
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: Kirby smart too. I think I like Georgia with the,
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: you know, just to pull the upset because it's less
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: than three, wherever you can get the line, but a
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: slight upset there. I like the plus money on the
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: money line. So I think there's a value there.
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: I do think that Georgia's interior defensive line has a
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: chance to, to be impactful and, in this game. I,
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: you know, the, the center position for Alabama so far
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: this year, it's not been bad by any stretch, but
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: not maybe elite. And I think that Georgia's defensive tackles have,
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: have been very disruptive so far this year and have
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: been very good at eating up double teams and demanding
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: double teams. And if you can do that against a
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: young quarterback, then that starts to open up a lot
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: of options for those super talented inside linebackers to come
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: on delayed blitz and disguise different things. And that might
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: be where they're able to create a stop or two.
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: And that, that, feels like it could be the edge
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: of this game.
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: Let's just very quickly look at some picks in this game.
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: I am going to pull up an image here. Thanks
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: to prize picks and, And reminder, all new users on
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: the price picks app play $ 5, get 150 instantly if
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: you use code HMA. I think Gunner's passing total here
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: is significantly too low. 209.5, more or less. We're not
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: going to do all six of these, but I'm jumping
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: on the more on that. I feel like that line
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: is disrespectful. And so I'm jumping on it. I'll take
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: the more.
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, to your point on that, Alabama from
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: just a pass success rate allowed standpoint and a pass
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: explosiveness standpoint, not, you know, a lot of them at
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: the country or anything like that, but not elite either.
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: And I think Gunner's been playing really well, like we
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: were just talking about. I would go with him in
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: this matchup, especially because of some of those injuries we
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: just discussed in Georgia's running back room. I could see
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: Georgia doing some things. screen game wise, throwing out of the,
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: to the backside of the backfield that, that pad his
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: stats a little bit that are really just extensions of
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: the run game.
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: Keelan Russell's got a much bigger number, two 48 and
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: a half. I kind of like the less here, especially
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: if though, Oh, you like the more, I kind of
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: like the less just because that number is so high,
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: but I, I, the weather factors in, I, I kind
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: of like the less there, but like really close, like
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: probably one I would avoid, but I'm going to go
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: the other direction on Keelan.
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I wouldn't want to bet my own money on
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: it in this instance, but I'm going to go over
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: just because I do think that there is a universe
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: where Georgia is able to kind of limit that Alabama
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: run game and see those pass attempts go up for Russell.
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: And maybe there's a world where Georgia gets ahead at
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: some point and Alabama kind of gears up the offense
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: into tempo and a little more pass heavy.
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: Uh, last one. I like, I like the more on
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: Keelan's touchdowns 1.5. So I'm, I'm not buying as much yardage,
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: but I do think that once they get down there
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: into the red zone, I wonder how effective they will
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: be with that run game. Like I think Bama scores some,
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: and I don't think this is super high, like 60
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: points or anything like that. But I, I, I like
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: the more on his 1.5 passing touchdowns. I do like
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: them to get that. I, I like that.
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, I, I think that it's, it's more likely that,
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: you see Alabama scoring through the air than on the ground.
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: And I also think it's likely against the Georgia defense
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: that Alabama will try to score from outside the red zone.
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: They'll try to score from the 20 to the 40,
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: and that usually happens through the air.
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: Appreciate the prize picks for their support. Let's talk a
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: little Oklahoma and Texas. Red River shootout happening in the
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: Cotton Bowl this weekend. We are presented by prize picks.
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: I want to get thoughts here. Oklahoma's defense feels like
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: they're going to get leaned on quite a bit. Not
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: necessarily by Texas, maybe at some point later in the game,
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: but by Brett Venables and the staff, because their offense
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: has been anything but good here to start the year.
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: Now they did get the benefit of the bye week.
• 23:11
  Speaker 2: So did Texas to, to try and figure out their
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: clunky offense, but over under on this thing is like 39,
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: like certainly expecting low scoring here. And, and that even
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: kind of feels a little high unless things break out
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: in a special team's way, which, you know, Texas did
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: have happening in them in Knoxville. So, certainly possible with
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: the tanga and some of the playmakers that Oklahoma has.
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: But man, I'll tell you for a struggling offense, I
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: don't know if there's a worse defense to see in
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: the country than, than Texas is coming to play in,
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: in a rivalry game, which does get weird. Things do
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: happen strange in this game, but I really don't have
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: a lot of hope for Oklahoma's offense heading into this thing.
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: Man, I hear that their run game has been really bad.
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: I would say a bye week can heal a lot
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: in college football. We see teams in college football often
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: kind of hit a bye week around this time of
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: year and create a new identity for themselves. I don't
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: know if this Oklahoma offensive line is healthy enough to
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: do that or has the talent to do that. That's
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: going to be a huge thing to watch for me
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: in this game is what's on that Wednesday night SEC
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: availability report when it comes out, because we haven't really
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: gotten real injury updates on Oklahoma since the week of
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: that Georgia game. But if they could get some OL
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: pieces back, particularly their big tackle, his name starts with
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: an F, and I can never pronounce it totally correctly,
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: so I'm not going to try to. But that kid
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: is Fogey, I think. F-O-D-J-E is his last name. Really,
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: really good player. I think their best offensive lineman, and
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: Without him out there, they've had to shift a lot
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: of things around, and it's just not really worked out
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: super well. So I think that they might be able
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: to at least stop some of the bleeding we saw
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: against Georgia. I have like a really audacious take for you,
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: but I watched John Mateer two weeks ago in person.
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: I think his confidence is definitely not where you would
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: like for it to be. But he does make some
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: throws that you're like, okay, I see it. Like, if
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: he could just not turn the ball over, they have
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: a shot in this game. Now, that's a big if.
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, you know, if Heidi Klum wanted to go
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: on a date with me, then I would be the man.
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: But she doesn't. So, I mean, like, I would just say, though,
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: I see a path where I think Oklahoma can be
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: this game because I would– argue that Texas' offense has
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: not really been that great either. And I think Oklahoma's
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: defense is the unit in this game that I know
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: the most about. I think that they are very, very good.
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: I think Texas' defense is also very, very good. But
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: it's not like Tennessee's lit up the scoreboard against any
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: other respectable, powerful opponent so far this year. I mean,
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: they only scored 24 against Auburn. as well last week.
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: And it, and it took them some late points to
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: get there. I, I'm just kind of pumping the brakes
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: a little bit. And I know they had a special
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: team touchdown against Texas. Texas defense is really good. Love
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: Will Muschamp, respect it all, but Oklahoma's defense can keep
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: them in this game. If Arch Manning continues to play
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: as inconsistently as he has played to this point. Yeah.
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: Another big question. I, you know, because that game did
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: get very, very, um, out of hand fast, the game
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: you referenced that you saw material live, but it really
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: wasn't so much on the defense. Georgia had to pick
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: six or Georgia had a touchdown on defense. They had
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: an 11 yard drive that results in a touchdown. One
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: of their longer drives was a 54 yard drive, you know?
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: So like even that somewhat assisted and that's not taking
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: anything away from Georgia. They capitalize on the mistakes that
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: were made, but once they had four touchdowns in the
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: first half and they earned, one and three quarters of them,
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: you know, like they didn't need to do anything else offensively,
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: but the Oklahoma defense was not playing poorly in that
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: first half. They just were put in bad spot after
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: bad spot after bad spot. And George's defense scored more
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: than Oklahoma's offense did. So what, what the hell do
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: you do? So that's where I, I, you know, Oklahoma's
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: defense is going to have to show up because everything
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: you mentioned about, you know, the bi-week and the get
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: right for Oklahoma's offense that, same possibility exists for arch
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: and the talented playmakers that they have. Um, so Oklahoma's
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: defense has to show up. It is so cliche to
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: say that turnovers will make a big impact, but I
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: saw stats and I, and I should have saved the
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: tweet of what Oklahoma's results are when they have zero turnovers,
• 27:59
  Speaker 2: one turnover and two, when they don't have a turnover,
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: they average winning by 14. When they have one turnover,
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: they average winning by about a touchdown. I think when
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: they have two turnovers, they average losing by multiple scores.
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: Um, yeah.
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: Mateer protecting the ball. A lot of people have talked about, Oh, well,
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: if Oklahoma King forces a couple of turnovers, yes, I agree.
• 28:19
  Speaker 2: That would be great. The most important thing for me
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: is that Oklahoma doesn't turn the ball over. Cause that'll,
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: that'll make this a fourth quarter game. If they turn
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: it over, man, it could be just like that Georgia game.
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: You give Arch Manning 11 yards to go score. They're
• 28:33
  Speaker 2: going to score, you know? So that's where I think
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: that that's really what it comes down to. It's the
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: material factor of, can he protect the ball? If he can,
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: I have enough faith in Oklahoma's defense, which is really good,
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: to limit a Texas offense that hasn't been very impressive either.
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: Certainly more impressive than Oklahoma's, but you're comparing different things there.
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: What's interesting, if you go to GameOnPaper.com, which is a
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: website that I like to look at, they do a
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: really good job of putting together a lot of these
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: advanced stats that I like to reference and that I
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: find informative. There's no substitute for watching tape. I'll always
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: say that, but I've watched a lot of both these
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: teams this year, and I do think that if you
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: look at GameOnPaper.com, they have these radar charts that show
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: things like pass success rate, yards per drop back, rush explosiveness,
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: offensive explosiveness, defensive, how do you limit explosiveness? And so
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: the Texas offense versus the Oklahoma defense, you see the
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma defense radar chart really swallow the Texas offenses. radar chart.
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: The Texas... The Oklahoma defense is like hundreds percentile in
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: yards per drop back allowed, pass EPA per play, late
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: down success rate, early down EPA. Lots of great stuff
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: for them. And they... swallow the Texas offense to about
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: the same kind of quantity that the Texas defense swallows
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: the Oklahoma offense. Yeah. So my point in saying all
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: that is, A, I agree that both these defenses can
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: kind of hold each other down and the turnovers probably
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: are the difference in a game like that. But also
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: to say, when you look at Georgia in that Oklahoma game,
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: they were able to do some things in the first
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: couple of drives that were schemed up well and, and that,
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: you know, they, they clearly had, had planned for and
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: get up on them. And then mature kind of did
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: the rest for them. But I looked at looking back
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: at what they did with their tight ends and sort
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: of how they attacked Oklahoma's defense. I'm not sure that
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: it totally translates to how Texas plays offense. And that's
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: interesting to me because I, I do think that there's
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: a shot if Texas doesn't come out, with good answers
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: on the opening script. I am of the opinion, just
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: to say the quiet part out loud here. I think
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: Brent Venables is one of the best sign stealers in
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: college football. I'm not saying he's doing, he's not doing
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: anything illegal or anything like that. Right. Like, but like,
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: he's really good at that aspect of the game. And
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: he's really a brilliant defensive mind who like, once he
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: sees a formation or sees something, he remembers it and
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: kind of knows what's coming and, if you don't come
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: out with those plays that he hasn't seen before and
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: have some success, Texas can be in trouble in this game.
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: Like if they're not able to put a touchdown or
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: 10 points on the board in the first quarter, I
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: think that they're going to be in a nail biter
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: all the way to the finish.
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: Texas is seven and a half point favorite right now.
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: Minus three 25 to win. Give me a score on
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: this one and who covers. I guess your score will
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: tell me who covers. But, yeah, so give me a score.
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: I got Oklahoma covered in this game. Yeah, man, this
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: is one of those weird series. I think that Oklahoma's
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: a better football team than they've kind of shown through
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: their results so far this year. I think that they
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: figure it out. I think Mateer, the kind of local kid,
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: makes good here. I am going to say Tate Sandell,
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: the Groza Award-winning kicker, is the difference. Give me Oklahoma 19,
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: Texas 17.
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: Ooh, calling the upset. I'm going to go the other way.
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: I'll say Oklahoma does cover. Give me 20 to 16.
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: I like some field goals. I like some weirdness. Ugly
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: football game. Yeah, I don't like the scores being pretty
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: in this one. And, you know, the total certainly won't
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: be pretty. Down to 38.5, at least on hard rock. So, yeah,
• 33:07
  Speaker 2: give me Texas a win, but I'll take Oklahoma to
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: cover the spread. Last up today, Indiana and Nebraska. Surprisingly,
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: this is a 7.5-point spread, 7-point spread based on where
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: you find it. A little closer than.
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: A little closer than people might expect for the defending
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: national champion, who I do think a lot of people
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: had doubts on after Northwestern, and then we saw the
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: Northwestern game against Penn State. Not that, again, Penn State,
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: you're playing a lot of transitive property at this point here, TJ,
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: but not that Penn State's great, but still, what Northwestern
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: did was incredibly impressive in that opener there at their
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: new field. This is presented by PrizePix. Let's talk a
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: little Big Ten for a few minutes. With this game,
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: I certainly think Nebraska... has benefited from a very soft
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: schedule to open things up. What feels different is that
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: they always do that. They always benefit from a soft
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: schedule to open up and they've handled business for the
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: first time in God knows how, you know, 2005 was
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: maybe the last time they were five. And like, it's
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: been a while since they were sitting here at five
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: and oh, and I, you know, I'm not a Nebraska
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: fan by, by any means. I'm not an Indiana fan
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: by any means. I'm really glad, like as a college
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: football fan, I'm really glad that they've handled business because
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: I wanted this to be like, They had no business
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: losing to Michigan State. They had certainly no business losing
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: out of conference with their out-of-conference schedule. And then really
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: against Maryland, too, where the drain is being circled there.
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: I'm glad they've taken care of business and found a
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: way to beat a 5-0. And same thing with Indiana.
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: If Northwestern had pulled off that upset, they'd lose a
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: little bit of luster on this game. It is big
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: noon kickoff. I would love if this was a night game,
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: but again, that's just not how Fox does things.
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: Big noon kickoff, baby. But.
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: Thoughts here. Can Calandria and the boys potentially get it
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: done at home?
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, look, I could not love a player more
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: than I already love Anthony Calandria ever since he hit that,
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: that a two point conversion in that game at UVA
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: a couple of years ago and like stood after his
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: helmet fell, fell off with his hands on his hips
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: and like posed like he was like a Spartan King
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: or something. and got the 15 yard flag that ended
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: up losing them the game. I love them so much.
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: Some of these are worth it. Yeah. Yeah. Just do
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: it and be, let's just do it and be legends
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: in the words of the guys who, uh, organized fire
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: fest all those years back. But I, I am intrigued
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: by Nebraska. I am Nebraska curious at this point. I'm
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: not necessarily like ready to convert to a diet of
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: corn and and only red clothing, although I do have
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: a red shirt on today. But I look at this
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: Nebraska team, I thought they responded very well after getting
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: down a little early to Maryland. Obviously kicked it into
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: high gear. And when you look at some of those
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: SP plus rankings, like some of those efficiency rankings that
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: we talk about, power rankings that are not based on resume,
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: but Rankings that do not change and fluctuate a lot.
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: I'm talking rankings that are based on metrics and how
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: you perform, not necessarily even whether you win or lose.
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: Nebraska's sitting 12th in SB Plus right now. They're doing
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: that with the 14th best offense and the 19th best defense.
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: Is that predictive? No. Indiana's third in SB Plus. Indiana's
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: a great football team. But I do think it speaks
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: to this Nebraska team being a little bit of a
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: different animal. I think this team is a little more
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: serious than certainly any of the Matt Rule teams that
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: we've seen so far. And I love what Calandria has
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: been able to do for them. 13 touchdowns, two interceptions.
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: He's protected the football in ways that I'm not sure–
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: I ever expected he would in his career, right? Like he's,
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: he's really only put the football in danger a couple
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: of times this year. And I think he's done a
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: very good job of, of turning them into an explosive
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: offense in a lot of ways. You know, they're not
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: like a juggernaut in that area, but they are much
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: more explosive than they've been at any other point in time.
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: And they've, man should be efficient enough to, to stay
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: out on the field until those explosive plays pop and they,
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: they're able to score. So, uh, I think they can
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: give Indiana something, right? Like I don't expect Indiana to
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: just walk all over.
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: On the other side, I think Hoover looks really good
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: on Saturday. He hasn't turned the ball over yet as
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: much of a question as that was with him coming
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: into this season. Um, turbo Richard back in this game,
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: their offense, when going, I think they have two elite
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: wide receivers. And I think that word elite gets thrown
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: around too much, but I think they have really good
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: weapons that has made it somewhat comfortable. I think they've
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: got a good offensive coordinator that has made Hoover's life
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: a little bit easier. What I wonder about for them.
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: And I, and this goes both ways. What I wonder
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: about for them is I don't think they'll see a team.
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: They haven't seen a team is the better way to
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: say it. That's this physical. that they've gone up against.
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: Their schedule has been absolute. Northwestern, I will give some
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: more credit to. Northwestern, probably the best opponent that either
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: of these two teams have played. I don't know that
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: they've seen a team this physical or played in an
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: atmosphere that's quite like this. This is one of the
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: bigger games to happen in Lincoln in quite some time,
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: especially when you can consider where Nebraska is too. not
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: that they're ranked, but at five and Oh, so I
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: do wonder on that side too, like just what Hoover
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: looks like against this defense. And a lot of the
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: things I think we say about Calandria, you know, Josh
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: Hoover looks really good and they probably have more weapons than,
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: than Nebraska does at this moment. And so how Nebraska
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: plays them defensively, what, you know, what Indiana's offense is
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: able to do certainly is an intriguing factor here.
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure. I think that, that's kind of the
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: big question. I don't know what Nebraska's defense is at all.
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: I know that they made Maryland look a little more
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: competent at times than a lot of teams have so
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: far this year. So that's a little bit concerning. I
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: think that there's a chance that's where this game kind
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: of breaks down for them in the run game in particular.
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: Looking at all those things that I just said about
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: Calandria and how fond I am of him and how
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: good of a job I think he's doing, the spot
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: that scares me for Nebraska in this game is the
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: left side of the offensive line. Pritchett, their tackle, 57,
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: and then Mbinga, the guard, 65. Higher pressure rates, particularly
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: with Mbinga. Indiana, I don't know that I would say
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: that they've been super, super dominant in pass rush, but
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: I've come away from the Northwestern game thinking, hey, they're
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: coming on pretty strong on Childs on a lot of
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: the obvious passing downs. And Obviously, Northwestern went and Blue
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: Pin stayed out the next week and ran all over them,
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: run blocking, pass blocking, two different things. But I do
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: think Indiana's experience with the interior of the defensive line
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: and just some of the games that those guys have
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: played in, this is not– I'm not saying this isn't
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: a big game because it is a big game. It's
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: two undefeated teams in October. But this will not feel
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: like a big game to these guys that have been
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: around the block a lot and that were very disruptive
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: against Alabama and the Rose Bowl and against Miami and
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: against a lot of good teams. For sure. So that
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: would be the area that I'd be concerned about as
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: a Nebraska fan is their ability to keep Calandria upright
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: because I think they're going to struggle on that left
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: side in particular.
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: We talk all the time about, you know, the way
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: matchups work and now that we're getting more data because
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: we've gotten into conference play analytics and deep dives into
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: pressure rates and things that you're talking about here. But
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: I do think you bring up something within that is
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: just the moment, the moment that this is for Nebraska,
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: because I don't really worry about a look ahead for
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: Although both these teams do have huge games next week. Uh,
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: I think Nebraska goes to Oregon and Indiana welcomes Ohio
• 42:05
  Speaker 2: state in the, maybe the biggest game in Bloomington ever. Um,
• 42:09
  Speaker 2: so there is that potential. I don't really worry about that. Well,
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: I don't worry about it at all from the Nebraska
• 42:15
  Speaker 2: side because your attention is on the defending national champions.
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: I don't really worry about it from the Indiana side
• 42:21
  Speaker 2: either because you know, Kirsten, he just doesn't seem like
• 42:25
  Speaker 2: the kind of guy that will let you do that.
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: Right.
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: And so it's not so much the look ahead. It's
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: more so. And this is not something you can quantify
• 42:35
  Speaker 2: with any kind of data. So I'm going off off
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: kilter here from, you know, but that's my role on
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: the show. But the the idea of like, yeah, when
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: Calandra is out there and you've got you're going to
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: get punched in this game like you haven't gotten punched before.
• 42:48
  Speaker 2: How do you respond to it, man? At home against
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: the defending national champs, a really good team that I
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: think we would both agree is one of a handful
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: or so of teams that can win a national championship
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: this year. There's no doubt that Indiana is a more
• 43:05
  Speaker 2: talented team. And Nebraska is going to get punched in
• 43:08
  Speaker 2: this game like they have not yet. They responded to
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: getting punched against Maryland. Getting punched against Maryland and getting
• 43:14
  Speaker 2: punched against Indiana is two certainly different animals. But maybe
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: that Maryland game was a good experience to at least
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: know how to respond. Um, But when that happens, what
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: is Calandra able to do? I'll tell you, I like
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: his Moxie and I know it cost them the game
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: when he was at Virginia, but I do like a
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: guy with that kind of Moxie, you know, that just
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: gets back up and goes. And it didn't work out super,
• 43:36
  Speaker 2: super well for him, but I was glad phase on
• 43:39
  Speaker 2: Brandon came back in the game against Texas and, and
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: was like, no, I'm, I'm going back to play. Like,
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: I mean, I like that from a starting quarterback now effectiveness,
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: but yeah, give me that mindset all day. because something's
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: going to happen in this game where Nebraska goes, it
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: goes down or, you know, he gets hit a third
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: time on a drive or, or just whatever the situation is.
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: And you're going to have to respond. And that's something that, again,
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: I don't think we can quantify, but that will be
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: really interesting to me because I'll say this. If Nebraska
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: just comes out and covers the spread and I, none
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: of their fans want to hear silver lining stuff, but
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: I think this is a Nebraska has looked different to
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: me this year under rule. And I know the quality
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: of competition, but, they have looked different. They've looked tougher.
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: They've looked more physical. They're certainly more explosive. They've got
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: a quarterback who can actually lead them. And that divorce
• 44:27
  Speaker 2: worked out great. I think for both sides of, of
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: rail and in Oregon too. Yeah. Yeah. I, I think
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: that this is a different Nebraska team, but I can
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: think that against Michigan state and Maryland, and it doesn't
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: really matter. I really need to see it this weekend
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: when or loss, this needs to be a good showing
• 44:44
  Speaker 2: by Nebraska. And I think, Even in a loss, you
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: could believe in them a little bit more right now
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: than you have at any point in the rule era.
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: Yeah. No, I think all of that is legitimate. I
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: agree with everything you said. I agree that Nebraska feels different,
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: looks different this season. I think there are some guys
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: on this team that are noticeably just better head and
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: shoulders better athletes than some of the pieces that Nebraska
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: has fielded in recent years. Like, William Zanieri was the
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: top recruit in a lot of people's eyes in his
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: class a couple years ago. Yeah, transferred from Missouri. Georgia
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: wanted that kid bad, right? And now he's at Nebraska,
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: and he's got three sacks and 11 quarterback pressures this year.
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: And they've been able to pair him up with Whittington
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: on the interior of the defensive line, who's also creating–
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: a lot of havoc. They've got pieces up front on
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: the line of scrimmage defensively. They've always played hard under rule.
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: In a lot of ways, I think that their defensive
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: line maybe played above their talent level at times the
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: past couple of years, particularly against the run. Now, they
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: can play with good technique, but also be really talented.
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: That's how you That's how you win games against the
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: Indianas of the world, man. It is. These games are
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: won up front more often than not. I think that
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: Josh Hoover has done a good job protecting the football
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: this year. But we also haven't really seen him be
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: the guy that has won games for Indiana. That Northwestern game,
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: the run game really kind of had to bail them out.
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: And it was able to. But there was a long
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: stretch of that second half where they got themselves into
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: danger because Hoover wasn't able to take them on drives
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: and maintain possession. I think especially in this game, when
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: you look at what Nebraska has up front, there's a
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: world where, hey, I can see them stopping the run
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: and getting Indiana into some third and longs. And then
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: once they've got them there, I can see them getting
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: some pressure onto Hoover and if you speed Hoover up,
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: what does the decision-making start to look like? Right. And
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: then you look outside and you're like, okay, uh, you know, they've,
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: they've got Becker on the outside. We know that that's
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: the go-to guy, Becker and Marsh, two really, really good
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: outside receivers. But I like Indiana's or I'm sorry. I
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: like Nebraska's corners. Like I like Marshall a lot. I
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: think he's been pretty good. Uh, so I'm interested to
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: see how it plays out, but, uh, This line, I think,
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: is appropriate is the thing I'm driving at. And I
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: think that if you look at what Matt Rule's doing,
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: you know, look, man, I don't get to talk Nebraska
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: football on air much. So, in case we don't talk
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: about them again for a little while, like, I like
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: what Matt Rule's doing a lot. You look at the
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: way he's recruiting Georgia, where I'm sitting right now. Man, like,
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: he's up in here and he's creating relationships and he's
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: activating NIL. and getting money to kids that would normally
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: sign with the SEC, and he's getting them to come
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: to Nebraska. I think that this is what we're going
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: to see from Nebraska football for a little while moving
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: forward in terms of just the bodies on the line
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: of scrimmage are starting to look different. I don't think
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: that they're quite there yet. I think they've got pieces.
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: I don't think Over the course of four quarters, they've
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: got maybe enough pieces to pull this off. But I
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: do think they can cover the spread. I think Indiana
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: wins a four-point game or something like a 28-24 kind
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: of game in the end. But when you talk about
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: a game that feels that close, you and I both
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: know one turnover, one play that goes your way, create
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: a possession somewhere, a special teams break, maybe they can
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: steal it.
• 49:09
  Speaker 2: Yeah. I think I'm going to lean Indiana here, but
• 49:14
  Speaker 2: I think it's close. um close to the spread sorry
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: not not super close like i think indiana by like
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: 10 i think this is like a 27 17 or
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: a 31 21 game where maybe indiana just gets up
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: and and nebraska responds well and just keeps chipping away
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: but isn't able to overcome the mountain or They've kept
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: it close, and Indiana kind of salts it away late
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: and gets a 10-point win. I hope I'm wrong on
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: this because I do think Indiana's really, really good, and
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: I would like to see Nebraska be really good. So
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: I hope I'm wrong. I hope you're right. Typically how
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: it works.
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: That's not true.
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: That is not true.
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: But we should tally up our spread records before we
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: get too deep, and we keep talking about doing that. Yeah, yeah.
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: I would say one thing that's interesting to me about
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: this game, like, Indiana, I know that they got pushed
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: and tested a little bit by Northwestern. Good. That's great.
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: They need that. But that was a home game. And
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: one thing that I've learned from sitting in front of
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: Kirby Smart for a lot of press conferences is it's
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: really hard the first time you take a team out
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: on the road in conference play. And it's doubly hard
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: if you're going to play a good football team in
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: a good environment. And this could be a spot where
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: Indiana's out-of-conference scheduling kind of comes back and bites them
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: a little bit, just in the sense of if they
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: looked overwhelmed in the first half of this game, I
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: won't be surprised because this will be a new environment
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: for this team, and there's just a different level of
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: anxiety that comes with playing on the road for 18-
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: to 22-year-old kids normally. Signetti's really good at limiting those
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: types of variables. and having his team prepared. But I
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: do think that that will be a factor in this game,
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: and I could see a game where Indiana kind of
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: has to settle in and come from behind, and that's
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: why I'm taking Nebraska in the points. But I still
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: think Indiana gets it in the end.
• 51:26
  Speaker 2: I am going the other way. I do have them
• 51:29
  Speaker 2: all listed here. I'm going to tell Claude to do
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: this later, but just as a quick recap here, The
• 51:34
  Speaker 2: hook killed both of us on the UGA Vandy game.
• 51:37
  Speaker 2: So thank you very much for Vegas for knowing what
• 51:40
  Speaker 2: you were doing there. I hate you. You had Clemson.
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: I had Miami, but you had Missouri. I had Florida.
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: So we split. We pushed the week. You had first
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: half UGA. I don't know what that line ended up being.
• 51:54
  Speaker 2: I don't know what.
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: They didn't cover it. They didn't cover it. It was 21-14. Yeah.
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: That touchdown right before half.
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: So.
• 52:03
  Speaker 2: But, yeah, we split the week last week. You took
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: an extra one.
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: And you can thank Kirby Smart for kneeling out.
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: That's the worst.
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: Oh, yes.
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: I saw the bad beats.
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: I saw it.
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: Vanderbilt was on, like, the Vanderbilt eight-yard line. Bo Walker,
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: Georgia's second-year running back, their backup running back, kid breaks
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: off like a 59-yarder. You can tell Kirby likes Clark Lee, man,
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: because he might not have kneeled it out for some guys. jerk.
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: Could have taken the field goal. Could have taken the
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: field goal for us.
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: Didn't have to.
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah. This was your complete matchup guide. Georgia, Bama, Indiana, Nebraska,
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: Red River, Oklahoma, Texas as well. Graham Coffey, Dog Central.
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: Go check him out. Doing a lot of great things there. Again,
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: takes place on College Football Addiction. We appreciate you guys
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: for tuning in. We will be back next week with
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: more games. I will finally total up our tallies and
• 52:59
  Speaker 2: we'll get that for you just to see where we're at.
• 53:02
  Speaker 2: But Graham, thanks for hanging out, bud.