Latest / What the Flux / Nvidia invests in Aussie startup | Oracle surges 36% after four-year guidance | Klarna booms on IPO
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: This is what the Flux.
- 0:06Speaker 2: I'm brand justin and it's Friday, the twelfth of September.
- 0:09Speaker 1: Jolly boy. We spoke about an ZID cutting thousands and
- 0:12Speaker 1: thousands of jobs earlier this week, and now NAB has
- 0:14Speaker 1: also gone banged. They've announced plans to come more than
- 0:17Speaker 1: four hundred jobs in its technology and enterprise operations departments,
- 0:21Speaker 1: and NAB also plans to move some positions to India
- 0:23Speaker 1: and Vietnam.
- 0:24Speaker 2: Ouch same. We've spoken a lot about the company set
- 0:27Speaker 2: Hire on the Pod in the last couple of years,
- 0:29Speaker 2: and we have a deep dive video in the Flux
- 0:32Speaker 2: app talking about the ups and the downfall of set Hire.
- 0:35Speaker 2: It is very juicy. Make sure to download the Flex
- 0:37Speaker 2: app and check out the deep die.
- 0:39Speaker 1: Three roller coaster stories today. Juzi boy, let's do it
- 0:41Speaker 1: for our first. Psi Quantum, the Aussie quantum computing startup,
- 0:45Speaker 1: has raised one billion US dollars and boosted its valuation
- 0:48Speaker 1: in the process.
- 0:49Speaker 2: So this is the reason for the spike in Brisbane
- 0:51Speaker 2: housing prices they've had tell me more so.
- 0:53Speaker 1: Psi Quantum is the quantum computing startup that was founded
- 0:56Speaker 1: in twenty sixteen by two Australians but had been based
- 0:59Speaker 1: in Silicon Valley. Yep Si Quantum has a pretty hairy
- 1:02Speaker 1: goal to build the world's first quantum computer, which means
- 1:05Speaker 1: exactly what it means.
- 1:07Speaker 2: That basically, it would allow humans to solve complex problems
- 1:10Speaker 2: exponentially faster than your traditional computer.
- 1:13Speaker 1: And this could be used for helpful applications like cracking codes,
- 1:16Speaker 1: discovering new drugs, even modeling climate and weather. If you
- 1:19Speaker 1: don't mind and.
- 1:19Speaker 2: Be man, you may remember that Australia's federal government and
- 1:22Speaker 2: Queensland governments became investors in side Quantum last year.
- 1:26Speaker 1: Yep Albo turned into a venture capital investor and the
- 1:29Speaker 1: two forms of government invested nine hundred and forty million
- 1:32Speaker 1: bucks collectively and as.
- 1:33Speaker 2: Part of the deal, side Quantum relocated its HDU to Brisbane.
- 1:36Speaker 1: But now Si Quantum is back at the table, raising
- 1:39Speaker 1: a one billion US dollar round from some heavy hitters.
- 1:42Speaker 2: We're talking black Rock, Temasek, Blackbird Benches and the big
- 1:45Speaker 2: dog in Nvidia.
- 1:46Speaker 1: The new valuation for sy Quantum seven billion US dollary, Doodas.
- 1:49Speaker 2: And then Man. Although it's early days, the investment is
- 1:52Speaker 2: looking to be a winner for the federal and Queensland governments.
- 1:55Speaker 1: So what is the key learning here?
- 1:56Speaker 2: World changing tech is often invented in one place, but
- 1:59Speaker 2: cash in somewhere else.
- 2:00Speaker 1: Does it?
- 2:01Speaker 2: Boy?
- 2:01Speaker 1: Australia has a track record of letting frontier technology slip
- 2:05Speaker 1: off shore.
- 2:05Speaker 2: And why is that?
- 2:06Speaker 1: Well, partially because local investors or governments haven't been willing
- 2:10Speaker 1: to back it early enough.
- 2:11Speaker 2: Yeah, the Australian government wanted to avoid a repeat of
- 2:13Speaker 2: what happened with photovoltaic cells.
- 2:15Speaker 1: Ooh, yes, that's the technology that converts light like solar
- 2:19Speaker 1: into electricity.
- 2:20Speaker 2: Yeah. And while this tech was invented at the University
- 2:22Speaker 2: of New South Wales, it was exported and commercialized in China.
- 2:25Speaker 1: China poured in subsidies for R and D, low interest loans,
- 2:28Speaker 1: tax breaks and cheap land for factory.
- 2:30Speaker 2: And China's believed to own more than eighty percent of
- 2:32Speaker 2: the global solar panel market now.
- 2:34Speaker 1: Which is expected to grow to a lazy two hundred
- 2:36Speaker 1: and eighty seven billion US dollars just by twenty thirty.
- 2:39Speaker 2: So clearly Australia's try to change that pattern with quantum computing.
- 2:42Speaker 1: And so far, so good. The government's invested an evaluation
- 2:46Speaker 1: of just over three billion US dollars and now it's
- 2:48Speaker 1: double Albo equals venture capitalists. For our second story, Oracle
- 2:53Speaker 1: shares had its best day since nineteen ninety two early
- 2:56Speaker 1: this week after a thirty six percent spike thanks to
- 2:59Speaker 1: the growth in its AI partnership. Interesting stuff surge, so
- 3:02Speaker 1: tell me more so.
- 3:03Speaker 2: Oracle is the US tech giant that was co founded
- 3:06Speaker 2: in nineteen seventy seven by Larry Ellison, and it's best
- 3:09Speaker 2: known for its database software. But not just that, Jaseyboy,
- 3:12Speaker 2: Oracle has been a major player in the cloud computing space,
- 3:15Speaker 2: also the enterprise software space and IT infrastructure.
- 3:18Speaker 1: Yeah. Earlier this week, Oracle announced revenue for the quarter
- 3:21Speaker 1: was slightly below what analysts were expecting, but.
- 3:24Speaker 2: Its share price still surged up to forty two percent
- 3:27Speaker 2: during the day.
- 3:28Speaker 1: And the reason for that surge is because of Oracle's
- 3:31Speaker 1: future guidance.
- 3:32Speaker 2: During the quarter, Oracle signed new deals with the who's
- 3:35Speaker 2: who of AI.
- 3:36Speaker 1: I'm talking open Ai, Xai, Meta, Invidia, AMD and many others,
- 3:40Speaker 1: and as.
- 3:41Speaker 2: A result, Oracle expects its cloud revenue to grow from
- 3:43Speaker 2: eighteen billion US dollars this year to thirty two bill
- 3:46Speaker 2: next year, and then seventy three billion US dollars the
- 3:49Speaker 2: following year. And a lazy one hundred and fourteen bill
- 3:52Speaker 2: the following and finally, by twenty thirty it expects to
- 3:55Speaker 2: hit one hundred and forty four billion US dollars in revenue.
- 3:57Speaker 1: That is very long term guidance. Juzzy boy, We can
- 4:00Speaker 1: hardly get Australian public listed companies to give six months guidances.
- 4:03Speaker 2: And be Man. Clearly, investors lapped it up because Oracle
- 4:06Speaker 2: share price had its best day in thirty two.
- 4:08Speaker 1: Years when you were in Nappy, So what's the key
- 4:10Speaker 1: learning here?
- 4:10Speaker 2: Guidance can be a double edged sword for companies.
- 4:13Speaker 1: YEP. Investors love the fact that Oracle is willing to
- 4:15Speaker 1: give four years of precise forecast, but it also.
- 4:18Speaker 2: Sets a very high bar for the company to meet.
- 4:20Speaker 1: Because investors have now purchased the stock on the basis
- 4:23Speaker 1: of this lofty guidance.
- 4:24Speaker 2: Yep and be Man. For example, if growth was to
- 4:27Speaker 2: slow or the AI boom calls off, the disappointment for
- 4:30Speaker 2: Racle investors could really sting.
- 4:32Speaker 1: YEP over promising create short term excitement but also long
- 4:35Speaker 1: term risk.
- 4:35Speaker 2: Might I remind you, be Man that big contracts don't
- 4:38Speaker 2: always mean guaranteed cash.
- 4:39Speaker 1: Yep. Oracle has announced fo one hundred and fifty five
- 4:41Speaker 1: billion dollars in revenue for quote remaining performance obligations.
- 4:45Speaker 2: And this sounds massive, But these are future commitments and
- 4:49Speaker 2: not exactly dollars in the bank just yet. So be
- 4:52Speaker 2: man guidances should be treated as a long range of
- 4:54Speaker 2: forecast rather than a long term certainty.
- 4:57Speaker 1: But it seems like Oracle investors missed that memo.
- 5:00Speaker 2: Our third and final story, Klana, the Swedish bye now
- 5:03Speaker 2: pay Later, has seen it shares rise fifteen percent in
- 5:05Speaker 2: their first day of trading on the New York Stock Exchange.
- 5:08Speaker 1: Looks like banpl isn't just dead yet, Jazzy Boy, far
- 5:11Speaker 1: from it. What's happening here?
- 5:12Speaker 2: So Klana is one of the og buy now, pay
- 5:14Speaker 2: latter companies. It was founded in Sweden.
- 5:16Speaker 1: In fact, it actually launched in two thousand and five,
- 5:18Speaker 1: around nine years before After Pay, and came.
- 5:21Speaker 2: To Australia in only twenty twenty. A man at Klana's
- 5:23Speaker 2: business and its valuation has had more ups and downs
- 5:26Speaker 2: than a Disney World rollercoaster. Well.
- 5:28Speaker 1: In twenty nineteen, Klana's valuation was around five and a
- 5:30Speaker 1: half billion US dollars, and then it rocketed to forty
- 5:33Speaker 1: five and a half billion US dollars. In twenty twenty.
- 5:36Speaker 2: One, Trusty Old SoftBank came in with the overpriced valuation.
- 5:39Speaker 1: Good yeah, But by twenty twenty two it raised again
- 5:41Speaker 1: at just six point seven billion US dollars, or.
- 5:44Speaker 2: An eighty five percent haircut on its previous valuation. And
- 5:46Speaker 2: now Klana's finally listed on the New York Stock Exchange
- 5:49Speaker 2: at a fifteen billion US dollar valuation.
- 5:51Speaker 1: Next Minute shares up fifteen percent, and.
- 5:53Speaker 2: Its IPO is a sign of renewed investor confidence in
- 5:56Speaker 2: the buy now, pay later sector.
- 5:58Speaker 1: YEP, especially after rising interest rates previously threatened its existence.
- 6:02Speaker 2: So what is the key learning here?
- 6:03Speaker 1: When interest rates rise, free credit isn't really free for
- 6:07Speaker 1: buying our paylata companies. The model works by borrowing money
- 6:10Speaker 1: from large lenders at wholesale rates and then offering shoppers
- 6:13Speaker 1: interest free installments.
- 6:14Speaker 2: And then retailers cover the costs through a fee on
- 6:17Speaker 2: each transaction.
- 6:18Speaker 1: In fact, Bain and Co. Found the average BNPL fee
- 6:21Speaker 1: charged was four point eighty four percent.
- 6:23Speaker 2: But ben Man this model only works if the margin
- 6:25Speaker 2: between the cost of borrowing and the retailer fee stays healthy.
- 6:29Speaker 1: But when cash rates climb, that margin gets a little
- 6:31Speaker 1: squeeze and that's why rising rates in twenty twenty two
- 6:34Speaker 1: and twenty twenty three, pushed by now pay lad out
- 6:36Speaker 1: to the brink of collapse bet Dozy boy Klan as
- 6:39Speaker 1: strong IPO, shows that confidence has returned to this buying
- 6:41Speaker 1: our pay later sector.
- 6:43Speaker 2: Fluxam. We've done a deep dive in the Flux app
- 6:45Speaker 2: of satire, taking through all the different stages and it
- 6:48Speaker 2: is very juicious. If you want to learn more, make
- 6:50Speaker 2: sure you download the Flux app and check it out.
- 6:52Speaker 1: Thanks for listening and we'll see you on Monday