Latest / Agentic Conversations (formally mlops.community) / From Rules to Reasoning Engines // George Mathew // #297
Transcript
- 0:00Hello there. I'm George Matthew.
- 0:02I'm a managing director at Inside Partners and I take my
- 0:07coffee as a hot or cold been a latte with at least 1% milk.
- 0:18Welcome to Round 2 of this conversation that I'm having
- 0:21with George Matthew. This is the Envelopes Community
- 0:25Podcast, and I'm your host, Demetrios.
- 0:28In the 1st edition. When I spoke with George so many
- 0:31years ago, we reminisced about what he did before he became one
- 0:38of the most predominant VCs in the AI and ML industry.
- 0:42And in this edition, we talk all about what he's been seeing on
- 0:47the market and his theories for the next couple years.
- 0:51Let's. Dive right in.
- 0:59It's been 2 years since we chatted.
- 1:01I remember when we chatted last, I was in Greece enjoying the sun
- 1:05and I was totally oblivious to what was about to happen, which
- 1:09I think we talked even before the ChatGPT moment ate up the
- 1:14Internet. Now, what else has changed those
- 1:18for those last two years? What have you been focusing on
- 1:21and thinking about? Oh my God, like nothing happened
- 1:25in the last two years, right? It was so quiet and such such
- 1:28peaceful moments and everything related to data.
- 1:31AIML Dimitri as well, wonderful to see you again.
- 1:34It has been too long. Thank you again for having me
- 1:37back on the ML OPS podcast. It's a pleasure what you've been
- 1:41able to do with this community for the last several years.
- 1:44Thanks, man. Coming back to a podcast a
- 1:46second time around, particularly after, you know, having some
- 1:49perspectives even before that, everything got crazy.
- 1:52Yeah. We last talked, so yeah, I.
- 1:55I remember distinctly that you talked about, I was asking how
- 2:00do you look at companies and what are things that get you
- 2:02excited in companies? And there was something you
- 2:05said, and I'm paraphrasing here, but it was along the lines of
- 2:08you're looking for companies that are going to really be able
- 2:13to build generational organizations or?
- 2:17Something generational outcomes. Yeah, I think it's a.
- 2:19Generational. Outcomes.
- 2:20Which was the first time that I had thought in such long terms.
- 2:25And I was just like, wow, how do you even?
- 2:29Wow? That blew my mind.
- 2:31And so maybe we can talk a bit about generational outcomes and
- 2:34what you think are the next wave of generational outcomes.
- 2:39Sure. Yeah, happy to do that.
- 2:41And I think it's a time and moment for me to have that
- 2:43conversation because I am entering my fifth year as a
- 2:48venture capitalist and certainly had had quite a long career as a
- 2:53builder that has been able to scale up companies, particularly
- 2:57in the data AIML space prior to of course being a venture
- 3:01capitalist. That Insight for four years and
- 3:04going on my 5th year, I mentioned that because Insight
- 3:07just celebrated our 30th anniversary and we just raised
- 3:11our 13th fund, which is a $12.5 billion fund 13.
- 3:16And if you look at the arc of software for 30 years and
- 3:21Insight has been very focused as investors in software from 1995
- 3:26to now. I graduated College in 1995.
- 3:30And so for me to, you know, almost think about what I did in
- 3:36my career as a builder for as long as I was.
- 3:38And now being AVC, it is a dramatic shift to go from the
- 3:44moment in time where we start to see the introduction of client
- 3:47server in 1995 and the advent of the web, the emergence of mobile
- 3:54at scale, the cloud infrastructure that ended up
- 3:58defining a good decade plus of software.
- 4:01And now we're, we're again at this precipice and we're all
- 4:04past it in terms of how AI systems are being built as we
- 4:08speak. So I, I, I can't be more excited
- 4:11by, you know, not only what we've been through for almost 30
- 4:15plus years, if not longer, in terms of how software has become
- 4:19the most important substrate for how humanity continues to
- 4:24express itself in driving productivity around the world,
- 4:28but also what we can do for the next 30-40, fifty years.
- 4:34And it's very clear to me that everything, particularly in
- 4:38software from this moment on is an AI driven feature.
- 4:42And what does it look like yet? Because there's some things that
- 4:48I know we were talking about where it's like AI systems are
- 4:52taking more than software and it's really thinking about how
- 4:58do we go beyond the screen. And it's, I think probably the
- 5:03first step is going beyond the chat box and then we can go
- 5:08beyond the screen maybe. And so how are you looking at
- 5:10that? And what are some things that
- 5:11you're seeing that excite you? Yeah, I want to set that up as
- 5:15well. In terms of the March towards
- 5:18this current generation of AI systems that are being built.
- 5:22It goes without saying, we should really highlight that we
- 5:25couldn't be building these modern AI systems without the
- 5:28emergence of the modern data stack itself, right?
- 5:31Because it's very clear now that you need high quality data to be
- 5:37able to build your AI systems at scale.
- 5:40And certainly that proved itself out with the Transformer
- 5:42architecture that really got to the GPT 4 models, the O1 models,
- 5:46certainly the things that Metropic has released and what
- 5:49many of the foundation model builders have been able to
- 5:51capably ascribe in terms of both knowledge and reasoning.
- 5:55And that had been to, or let's say more precisely imbedded to
- 5:58the models themselves. And so you see the March from
- 6:01the modern data stack to now taking those models and defining
- 6:06the machine learning operations surrounding how you build and
- 6:10scale a bottle. And so more recently around LMS
- 6:14and the operations are LM OPS and now the agent based systems
- 6:20that are now possible, right? It's not just about what you can
- 6:23do in the foundation models themselves, but how do you
- 6:27orchestrate those effectively so that you have a agentic approach
- 6:31to being able to have multiple reasoning systems, multiple
- 6:36knowledge systems converge together to have a new AI system
- 6:41being delivered for an existing or a new problem.
- 6:45And so that's where I'm starting to get pretty excited right now
- 6:49because I realize that most of software up to this point has
- 6:53been based on rules and building, you know, highly
- 6:58capable rules engines. But over time, rules get very
- 7:01brittle because you have to continue to encode what your
- 7:05business processes are into those rules.
- 7:07But what if you didn't? What if you had almost a
- 7:10reasoning system that can continuously reason what's
- 7:14happening? And that reasoning could be
- 7:16human like, perhaps even superhuman, like in terms of the
- 7:19reasoning that you're coming out of an AI system today.
- 7:24And that's exciting, right? Because it starts to change a
- 7:26lot of where you can see the value proposition and generally
- 7:32how software itself is consumed, right?
- 7:34Because at some point up to this moment, you had to buy your
- 7:38software, you had to enable someone from a services
- 7:43standpoint to get that software working inside the enterprise.
- 7:47And you had some people that were operating the software as
- 7:52the personas that cared about that particular piece of
- 7:55software. If you use the CRM software,
- 7:57then salespeople, sales manager, sales operations cared about
- 8:00that software. If you were an ERP software
- 8:04provider, then you had a number of folks that were in finance
- 8:07and operations that cared about that software.
- 8:09Now this feature that we're barreling towards incredibly
- 8:13quickly is 1, where the AI systems are encompassing the
- 8:19software value proposition with the services in terms of
- 8:23enabling that software in the enterprise.
- 8:25And the first advent of digital workers synthetics like things
- 8:31that we haven't seen before where there's a full autonomous
- 8:36experience of how that software is now functioning inside the
- 8:40enterprise without necessarily as much of the cost involved
- 8:45with services in terms of putting that software in to
- 8:48work. And certainly now even synthetic
- 8:52SDRS, synthetic PDRS, synthetic developers, synthetic process
- 8:58automation folks that can now, you know, instead of manually
- 9:03processing that information, you have a full reasoning system
- 9:06that's processing. That's very similar to what the
- 9:08investment we made with Crew AI was in terms of just being able
- 9:11to automate all the what would be historically manual robotic
- 9:16processing with very little smart exception handling.
- 9:20And now you have a high reasoning function involved with
- 9:22how you do a lot of your back office automation and
- 9:25processing. So that arc like software now
- 9:30transforming all the way to the emergency of these AI first
- 9:33systems and these AI first systems are encompassing
- 9:37software and the services and labor.
- 9:41I got something we haven't really fully seen yet.
- 9:44It's just starting to emerge in some of these key markets and
- 9:48I'm pretty excited with what that opportunity looks like.
- 9:52Let's talk for a second about a few different papers.
- 9:55I know that you pulled up what you really liked about Dario's
- 9:58paper. And then there's these different
- 10:03almost views of where we could go with the future and and it's
- 10:08almost like 1 is hugging machines and the other is being
- 10:13strangled by machines in a way. Yeah, that's funny.
- 10:17Looks like set the context right.
- 10:18So I think it starts certainly with Leopold Aschenbrenner's
- 10:21paper in June the 2024, which is situational awareness, right.
- 10:25He was outlining the next decade of her pad in terms of what was
- 10:31necessary to build this future. And we'll talk about both the
- 10:35papers in a moment, but what I think I saw in that paper was a
- 10:41very mechanistic view of the future.
- 10:43What would it take to scale out these clusters?
- 10:47What would it be necessary to go from AGI to super intelligence
- 10:51and what the time frame was to do that?
- 10:52What does it mean to build a trillion dollar cluster itself?
- 10:57Like how much we have to lock the labs down, which is really
- 11:00funny that we talked about locking labs and security of AGI
- 11:03would particularly the deep sea situation that's even six months
- 11:06or whatever. Seven months.
- 11:08It's like a profoundly different way.
- 11:10At least the rest of the world has reacted to it.
- 11:12Then at least of the paper coming came about it.
- 11:14What does alignment look like? What does it mean to Dr.
- 11:18Democracy in a free world while all this is happening?
- 11:21It's just a brilliantly thoughtful paper.
- 11:24I think it was also just a little heavy-handed in terms of
- 11:27how it thought about the timing of AGI, like what would
- 11:29happened. I thought one of the most
- 11:31interesting thing was which whether and when it happened or
- 11:34not didn't matter. That was really exciting was
- 11:38this idea that if you could build a super intelligence, it
- 11:43could automate the research output that's necessary to
- 11:48create all the possible futures that you would want as humanity.
- 11:51And I think that that was my, my, yes, that does make sense.
- 11:56What no matter when it happens, that is incredible view of
- 12:01unlocking cognitive labor, unlocking additional
- 12:06opportunities for science and technology, unlocking robotics,
- 12:09unlocking the military edge and more broadly just GDP.
- 12:15But it does reflect a very mechanistic view of all this.
- 12:18If you do these things, these outcomes will emerge.
- 12:21And it is pretty almost brutalistic in terms of how I
- 12:24thought about it. Wildly important paper though.
- 12:28But then Rio comes out with, to your point to be just like
- 12:32machines of loving grace. And it talks about, you know,
- 12:35not a completely different future, but it talks about like
- 12:39why these machines can actually help us as humans.
- 12:43Like, how do we enable a better humanity because the machines
- 12:49are helping us get there. It, it actually reminded me of
- 12:52the I don't know if you came across the science fiction
- 12:54series called the Culture series, right?
- 12:58In Culture, it's the the systems, the IAS systems in
- 13:02particular are just like infused into how we live, right?
- 13:06And it's like a very post economic society that there's an
- 13:10infinite amount of resources and how the machines have helped us
- 13:14progress beyond our current constraints as humans and what
- 13:18is like humanity look like in the future.
- 13:21It's a beautiful view of what we think about the coexistence of
- 13:24the convergence, the singularity of of humans and machines
- 13:27together. And both are are definitely
- 13:30possible. But I do find something
- 13:33beautiful about Daria's thinking because we have this this
- 13:38tremendous angst about the future of AI and its impact on
- 13:41humanity. And I think there is a lot to be
- 13:45worried about. I have note about about that,
- 13:47particularly if we are the stage where we're building systems
- 13:50that are not aligned to human values, certainly at scale, but
- 13:54there is a possibility of reaching a future where humanity
- 14:00itself progresses in an exponential way for the benefit
- 14:05of humanity, because our AI systems are here to enable that
- 14:09to happen. And I think I would highly
- 14:11recommend anyone who hasn't read The Machines of Our Grace to
- 14:15spend some time with that paper, in particular, both papers, but
- 14:18certainly that one, if you want to believe in a more positive
- 14:23future for AI, will transform humanity.
- 14:27And, and one thing I wonder about as we think about that
- 14:31shift, is it going to be a layer on top of legacy or is it going
- 14:39to be built from the ground up? And the reason I ask is because
- 14:43the I I was with some friends two weeks ago and they were
- 14:47talking about how they tried to create a JIRA agent and it
- 14:51worked great in their hackathon. And then when they plugged it
- 14:55into their real JIRA instance, it fell flat on its face.
- 14:58Because humans in Jira are doing the least amount possible to get
- 15:03across what they need to get across.
- 15:06And another human can see it and understand it because they have
- 15:09all the context around it. But the agent was seeing it and
- 15:13it had no idea what was going on.
- 15:15And so I asked, would you then go and rebuild it with some kind
- 15:20of a graph knowledge base around it so that it could have the
- 15:23context? And he said something funny.
- 15:25He said, no, I would go and I would just think about it
- 15:29differently. Like instead of trying to
- 15:30shoehorn an agent into JIRA, I would just think like how can I
- 15:34make a better JIRA? Yeah, I think both things are
- 15:37going to happen, right. I think there's going to be a
- 15:39number of situations where you are going to be able to take
- 15:43your existing systems, put that into an agentic workflow where
- 15:50you are combining it with some of the reasoning and knowledge
- 15:53that's imbued into a foundation model.
- 15:56That might be fine-tuned or you might have a which you log into
- 15:59generated view of just giving contextualization for how that
- 16:04model is going to behave with that data that's provided from
- 16:08that existing system. And you can get some tremendous
- 16:10benefits for how a compound AI system emerges there.
- 16:14And then to make sure to your point, like there's going to be
- 16:17like a number of key new systems that are going to emerge that
- 16:23you're just not going to want to take out existing process.
- 16:27You, you're just going to come up with something completely new
- 16:32that you don't even need to wrap your, you know, complexity of
- 16:37the existing function towards and like just build something
- 16:41like radically different from what you've done before.
- 16:43And that that's a, that's an interesting idea.
- 16:45Is there a different way of thinking about Jira and
- 16:50ticketing and software development that we've been very
- 16:55used to a process that could be radically re imagined.
- 16:58All right. Yeah.
- 16:59And I think it's a fairpoint. There could be quite a few of
- 17:02those things that we're just used to doing in a certain way
- 17:05and we no longer have to use AI to automate what we're doing,
- 17:10but just completely create a new way of doing it.
- 17:12Yeah, I'm for me, I feel like the, every time I see an update
- 17:18from the cursor folks, I think, man, they're going to eat up
- 17:23everything that a developer does.
- 17:25And so it feels like there's a world, a future where everything
- 17:30that a developer has to touch is in some way, shape or form
- 17:37connected with. It doesn't necessarily have to
- 17:39be cursor because cursor may not perform if we see another UIUX
- 17:45change or shift, as we saw with with Copilot, like losing the
- 17:51lead. And so you think about it that
- 17:54way. If something is aware of what
- 17:56you're doing and what you're trying to do, then wouldn't it
- 17:59be able to update tickets for you too?
- 18:02That's right. Yeah, yeah.
- 18:04Go further downstream in terms of what the responsibility of
- 18:08that user, that persona is and what they're doing versus just
- 18:12the task at hand, right. Yeah, Yeah, this is where I
- 18:15look. I've shifted my thinking on this
- 18:17quite a bit even this past year, because I, I think about a year
- 18:21and a half ago, a lot of my thought process was that most of
- 18:25what this AI based emergence in software is going to look like.
- 18:29It's like a bunch of call it Co pilots, right?
- 18:32You have work and this thing is going to just help you do that
- 18:34work better. And that's generally the the
- 18:38mindset that that a lot of folks have had on Co pilots.
- 18:41Now I've really embraced the idea that you can see full
- 18:47autonomous autopilots, and this full autonomous autopilots don't
- 18:51have to even do the work the same way you've been doing it as
- 18:54a human. Wait click into that a little
- 18:58bit more because it makes me think about how when they let 2
- 19:02chat bots loose they created their own language.
- 19:04Yeah, that's. The beauty of.
- 19:06Some of the probabilistic capabilities of the models that
- 19:12we can now see these emergent behaviors that we were not
- 19:17expecting just because of the constraints of like how we think
- 19:21about it as humans. But these probabilistic models
- 19:23can interface with each other in ways that we probably haven't
- 19:28even thought of. And so I, I do think there is
- 19:31this value in we, we worry about confabulations and
- 19:36hallucinations, but I actually think there is some significant
- 19:39value in the systems that are emerging here, the probabilistic
- 19:45systems that are emerging here to have different conversations
- 19:50with each other than the ones that they would typically have
- 19:54with existing business processes and existing people that are
- 19:57interfacing with. So I, I think there is a lot to
- 20:00be said there. Now look there, there's a lot
- 20:02more to go because it does feel like the, the vector of
- 20:08reasoning. There's certainly quite a bit of
- 20:11advancements have been made with the emergence of one model.
- 20:14Certainly we can talk a lot about where DeepSeek is.
- 20:17But you can sense that the reasoning vector has been really
- 20:22kicked off this past year. Even as the knowledge vector,
- 20:26the accumulation of knowledge, we're probably slowing down
- 20:28because there's less and less data that is pristine to consume
- 20:34from the public Internet. And therefore, we're not using
- 20:38private data sources, etcetera, to be able to train this next
- 20:41generation of models that are coming to market.
- 20:44Yeah, there's that vector. Do you feel like there's other
- 20:46vectors that we are going to pull on too?
- 20:49Because I look at the idea just how humans now are OK with
- 20:55waiting 20 minutes for an answer.
- 20:58And when Chad GBT first came out, that was unthinkable.
- 21:04We wouldn't wait around for 20 minutes.
- 21:06But now I use deep research all the time and I'm like, yeah,
- 21:10just go and do it, whatever. And so that's another vector of
- 21:13the patience of a human. And then you have the actual
- 21:19like tech vectors that you're looking at.
- 21:20Like you're saying, there's the reasoning or maybe there is some
- 21:24kind of there's other things that you've been thinking about
- 21:26that we could augment? Keep in mind a lot of ways the
- 21:29reasoning vector encompasses some of the things that you just
- 21:33mentioned, right? Because if you talk about the
- 21:35notion of the chat itself, reasoning inside the chat is
- 21:39instantaneous, right? It's synchronous.
- 21:42It's immediate. You want that answer right away.
- 21:45But you can also think of as you advance into more complicated
- 21:50longer form thinking, the short and long form thinking.
- 21:53And so you get into some of the longer form thinking, then the
- 21:56reasoning can take longer, right?
- 21:58You can think about it and come back with an answer that doesn't
- 22:01have to be synchronous to the chat.
- 22:04It can be quite asynchronous to go to your point, do the
- 22:07research and come back. And we're patient about research
- 22:10being done as long as their thinking is higher quality at
- 22:13that point with a longer form response time.
- 22:16So I do think that it's been proven now that they're, just
- 22:21like humans, have short form and long form thinking.
- 22:25There's no reason why our AI systems shouldn't also have more
- 22:30immediate short form as well as longer form reasoning and
- 22:34thinking. It's funny to think about the
- 22:39idea of hallucinations as a feature and allowing those to
- 22:45happen in a way or almost like you're giving the space for
- 22:50models to go and get creative. And they can do that over here,
- 22:55maybe in a little sandbox and then they can come back with
- 22:58some wild ideas. And you have the almost like the
- 23:02judge that is going to say, does this work or not?
- 23:06And then reason with that idea and might be total trash, might
- 23:11not work at all. But in a way like giving it be
- 23:16directive to think outside the box and almost like hallucinate
- 23:21on this is a funny way of looking at it.
- 23:24Yeah. And when you think about the
- 23:25type of work we're either augmenting or fully embracing as
- 23:32a autonomous system, you can see vast quantities of, of creative
- 23:37work where you do want, you know, a highly call it diverse
- 23:43output that you can iterate through and just have the
- 23:46models, you know, to lesser or greater degree genuinely
- 23:51hallucinate and come back with output that you wouldn't have
- 23:54thought of and leverage that quite effectively, particularly
- 23:57in, in many of these creative domains, right?
- 23:59You do want that constraint to be relaxed to, to get more, more
- 24:03possible creative things out of the, the model that you might be
- 24:07working with. And then in the other cases, if
- 24:09you're doing a trade settlement processor or shred through
- 24:12process in a back office, that's the last thing you need.
- 24:15You just need a very tightly wound model that doesn't go off
- 24:20its guardrails. It has the human like reasoning
- 24:23to handle and understand like when exception occurs, like how
- 24:26to process that. But then everything else, it
- 24:29literally does what it needs to complete that process.
- 24:33And I think that's where I'm really excited honestly, with
- 24:38where the recent developments run, like something like
- 24:43DeepSeek has has really opened everyone's eyes.
- 24:46There's a lot of things that we could talk about or with
- 24:49DeepSeek, which happy to do it. But one of the things that
- 24:52really caught my eye was like you can take a very large model
- 24:58and drive model distillation to a point and using some really
- 25:02compelling techniques to just be able to hyper optimize the
- 25:07efficiency of how a model is not fully trained.
- 25:10But also inference. Using reinforced learning,
- 25:14transfer learning techniques, you can build very interesting
- 25:18domain specific models that really stay on the rails, do
- 25:22exactly what they need to go do, have high quality human like
- 25:27reasoning involved in it and doesn't you know, go off and
- 25:32think about 14th century British history.
- 25:34So I think that is a, a, a tremendously valuable element of
- 25:40what we are going to likely see that it's not just this idea
- 25:44that you need a go from a trillion parameter GBT 4 style
- 25:50of like large language model to whatever 10 or 20 trillion
- 25:55parameter model or maybe even bigger.
- 25:59There's a lot of questions about how that's going to emerge.
- 26:01And see, I'm sure the, the researchers are, are working
- 26:04through that. But there's something to be said
- 26:07that these elegant compact domain specific models, and I
- 26:12said this years ago, I just never saw a manifestation of it
- 26:15like we see with Deep Sea, are going to be just as important,
- 26:19if not more important for how the proliferation of AI systems
- 26:23function in that elite, the enterprise, but probably most of
- 26:27humanity. Yeah.
- 26:29Let's keep pulling on the thread of DeepSeek right now because it
- 26:32is so fascinating. It's captivated the world.
- 26:35And one thing that I am wondering about is your thoughts
- 26:40on the other model providers and what that's done to their
- 26:46positions? It's got to raise a bunch of
- 26:49questions like I'm not inside of any one of the model providers.
- 26:54And just to stated it out loud, Insight never invested it to any
- 26:59of the foundation model builders, which not because we
- 27:02didn't love what the foundation model builders were doing.
- 27:06We didn't have deep faith in what was coming out of the model
- 27:12builders, factories and research shops.
- 27:15We were profound believers in a lot of ways. 1 was just the
- 27:19valuations. We never felt right at any
- 27:22moment of time and hindsight P20 there was there was probably a
- 27:25few that we should have been in right at certain valuations like
- 27:28a pretty sure like the $1 billion valuation route that Pat
- 27:31Anthropic was a good one and we we had a chance to be in that
- 27:34one. So you, you think about that
- 27:36these anti portfolios that you build over time, that's another
- 27:39one in my anti portfolio for sure.
- 27:41But we just had a very strong belief that the data was the
- 27:47most important substrate. And I'll talk about some of the
- 27:50sort of thematic investments that we've made, particularly on
- 27:53the the idea that the data was the the most important substrate
- 27:56for building these AI systems. And we also just knew that with
- 28:02how much was continuing to popularize in terms of open
- 28:04source models was we're we're seeing and hugging face like
- 28:08there was always a moment where the best model in the world from
- 28:14a knowledge and or reasoning standpoint continuously had to
- 28:18call it the near equivalent emerge within 6 to 9 months
- 28:21afterwards. The open source community and
- 28:25DeepSeek is probably one of the best examples of that, at least
- 28:28for the reasoning vector. Like this is equivalent to what
- 28:31the O1 models, if not as good or better than what the O1 models
- 28:34can do and done with hypothetically a lot less
- 28:39resources. So if you're a big model
- 28:42builder, you got some were cut out for you at this moment,
- 28:45right? Because you got to show this
- 28:46vastly incremental traversal of either the reasoning vector or
- 28:53the knowledge vector, which again, the the model builders
- 28:56are, are are really thinking about as they're training these
- 28:59next foundation models, frontier models that that they've been
- 29:02working on. But when you do that, you're
- 29:05spending hundreds of billions of dollars across the network, the
- 29:11GP, US, the power required, the resources required to make it
- 29:16happen. Up to this point, every time a
- 29:20significant model evolution has occurred, it does seem there is
- 29:24a more elegant, efficient way to catch up.
- 29:27And and certainly that's what we should worry any of the model
- 29:30builders, right, Particularly in the large scale research shops
- 29:33that are building these Frontier Foundation models, like when do
- 29:38they actually have a true Moat that is sustainable for more
- 29:41than six to nine months? And that that should worry
- 29:44everybody. I heard, I remember that even
- 29:47one of the more efficient model builders that were open sourcing
- 29:52like Meta and the lava models, like I think there was a moment
- 29:56where Zuckerberg was probably yelling at his teeth about, OK,
- 30:01how is it possible that you're asking for why amount of dollars
- 30:05to go build this next generation of llama for and beyond models?
- 30:10And this is out here doing it at a fraction of the cost with some
- 30:15very clever methodologies and distillation techniques.
- 30:20So yeah, it's everyone's got to be thinking about this, right?
- 30:24But it's everyone who has spent hundreds of billions of dollars
- 30:28up to this point have to be thinking probably important,
- 30:31right? Important like the, I used to
- 30:34talk about this as you needed the space program to build the
- 30:38aerospace industry. And yes, we do need to put the
- 30:43fundamental dollars into the space program.
- 30:45But now we're at a point where it does feel like we should be
- 30:49able to build the aerospace industry.
- 30:52And so at least in the analogy, what I'd look at is like the AI
- 30:55research versus the industry that's forming around AI
- 30:59systems. So when we're doing that, should
- 31:01we be spending the dollars that we had to spend on the research
- 31:05to get there and how much more is really necessary?
- 31:08So there's got to be a lot of questions going on and the the
- 31:11big research about this exact topic.
- 31:14That's a great analogy, bringing the aerospace industry to the
- 31:192025 basically and making sure that we're building on top of
- 31:25what has already been established in a way.
- 31:29And now it's just time to take off.
- 31:31And so there there is another thing that is interesting when
- 31:37it comes to these models being built.
- 31:40In my eyes that is it's a bit of a crapshoot and you don't really
- 31:45know what you're going to come out with after you spend all
- 31:47that money. And it could be good, it could
- 31:51just be mediocre. And I think we've seen a lot of
- 31:56models that come out, they don't really make a splash because
- 32:00there it's cool, Yeah, there's another foundational model
- 32:03that's out and we're and almost like this base model that you
- 32:06can then go and fine tune, but you quickly see them fade away
- 32:13into history because they're not that good.
- 32:18Yeah, compared to what's out there.
- 32:20Yeah, yeah. Now I think the long tail of
- 32:25models littered on hugging faces as much in indicator of some
- 32:33incredible things clearly in the leaderboard.
- 32:35But also there is a as you quite a bit of a long tailor.
- 32:40And I think it's just shows that there is a, there is definitely
- 32:47room to continue to create these, these beyond expected
- 32:53outcomes like we just saw with DeepSeek.
- 32:56But to get there, there's a lot of failure that you need to
- 32:59iterate through. And sometimes that's happening
- 33:01inside of a specific research shop in their work.
- 33:05Sometimes it's happening across research shops.
- 33:07And certainly it shows in long tail of what we see on Hugging
- 33:10Face today. Yeah, the the interesting thing
- 33:14too from my side, I guess not as interesting, but I don't know if
- 33:19you saw that Mistral dropped a new model a few days ago and I
- 33:26didn't mean it was like bad timing, man.
- 33:29It's. Like just a complete, yeah,
- 33:31tough, tough choice to to have to put a new model out there
- 33:34this week, yeah. Yeah, but Mistral was that in
- 33:37the past, like Mistral had their moment of they put out an open
- 33:42source model. It was all the rage.
- 33:44Everyone was talking about it and I think they got a little
- 33:48confused that oh, we could do it again and we'll put it out.
- 33:51But it wasn't. Again, going back to the quality
- 33:54of the model, it's not this groundbreaking thing.
- 33:57It doesn't have this whole narrative around it.
- 33:59It's not capturing and captivating everyone's eyes.
- 34:03And in my eyes, it's like you do have the Mistrels of the world
- 34:08that are in a bit of a tough spot right now because of how
- 34:12they're trying to do things. And somebody sent me a article
- 34:17that said that Mistrell's trying to go public, and it was out of
- 34:21all of the model builders, I was not expecting Mistral to be the
- 34:26first one that goes public. I couldn't be honest.
- 34:28That wasn't on my Dingo card. Yeah, yeah, the, the, the race
- 34:34is continuing across the existing model providers.
- 34:39And yeah, I would agree that, you know, you'd expect a little
- 34:45bit more scale, right? For the few that would end up
- 34:49going public, you you certainly would expect a bit more scale in
- 34:51terms of where they are at their perspective journeys.
- 34:54We tend to see a little bit of this bit from the view of
- 34:58weights and biases being a a an investment that my first
- 35:02investment, the fact that I've made that insight and being the
- 35:06experiment tracking parameters, tuning version control, de facto
- 35:11solution. It turns out that open AI,
- 35:15anthropic Cohere, Mistral, Meta, NVIDIA are all customers using
- 35:22always biases for building high quality models.
- 35:26And because of that, you get a pretty interesting sensibility,
- 35:30even just in terms of the amount of users there are in these
- 35:33respective organizations and how much the leverage they're
- 35:35getting from A2 like WB to conversion build their models.
- 35:40It is, it is fascinating to see that, you know, there's
- 35:43definitely like this, we call it core of fiber 10 research shops
- 35:48that are doing the work that's leading the market.
- 35:51But then there's these moments where everything gets disrupted
- 35:55or reinterpreted when something like Deep Sea comes along and
- 35:59then you have to think about what just happened.
- 36:02But just seems like there's still great work coming out of
- 36:04open AI and Anthropic and coherent with Shell and Meta and
- 36:10NVIDIA for sure. Yeah, yeah.
- 36:12And you need these moments to raise the bar and keep people on
- 36:15their toes. And also it it changes the
- 36:18landscape. It makes things a little bit
- 36:21more. Oh, cool.
- 36:23I can go use DeepSeek now. I'm going to think twice about a
- 36:27different model if I can host it on my own.
- 36:29But it's not like you just grab the model and then you're good
- 36:36and you can be all right with it.
- 36:37I think the other pieces our we just had this thread in the
- 36:42community that was fascinating to me because there was someone
- 36:47asking about the cost differences that people have
- 36:51seen between using Sagemaker and not using Sagemaker.
- 36:55And somebody chimed in on the thread and said yeah we saved 5
- 37:01grand a month from switching from Sage maker AI to just
- 37:07regular. I think they were using what is
- 37:10it ECS and EC2. Yeah.
- 37:13EC2. That was the EC2 instances.
- 37:16Oh, so they they didn't have a, call it manage Sage maker
- 37:22experience. They just rolled their own tools
- 37:24into AW Sempra. And they saw that wow, OK, now
- 37:28we're saving 5 grand a month. But what you don't see?
- 37:32And they were very transparent about this in the thread was how
- 37:36much is the cost of having engineers that know how to do
- 37:41this? What are you really trying to
- 37:43optimize for here? How big is your team?
- 37:46How mature is your team? All of that stuff comes into
- 37:48play and it's that classic build verse buy decision.
- 37:52And so you can't just think, all right, I'm going to just grab
- 37:55DeepSeek now and I'm good. I don't have to worry about
- 37:57anything because as another friend told me, he said whenever
- 38:01possible at my job as AML platform engineer, I am trying
- 38:07to outsource the ML platform to one of the big model providers
- 38:11because I don't want to have to deal with that.
- 38:12It's such. A headache, Yeah, No, it it
- 38:15mean, it certainly makes sense, right?
- 38:18Because if you're one of those ML teams, your job is to
- 38:27introduce the highest quality AI system that incorporates that
- 38:31model, that brings in the data that's necessary to train a
- 38:37domain specific model for your needs and get that into a
- 38:42production workload that is actually benefiting that
- 38:47organization. And yeah, the more you can get
- 38:50platforms and tools that help you support that.
- 38:52It just, it makes sense. If anything, that was for lack
- 38:55of better expression the picks and shovels thesis that we added
- 38:59insight for everything in the space.
- 39:01We just definitely bleed in on most of the picks and shovels in
- 39:04this area. Yeah, and he's even in a
- 39:07regulated space and he was saying unless you have data
- 39:11issues and regulations, just outsource it, picks and shovels
- 39:15it and get rid of it. And then you can spend your time
- 39:18on higher priority issues. And so it's fascinating to think
- 39:23about that the. Yeah, By the way, I've come
- 39:25across certain enterprises where I've seen, Oh yeah, we filled in
- 39:28with a lot of pride. Like we built very custom
- 39:33bespoke ML OPS pipelines and, and I was like, oh, you, you
- 39:39poor things. Like why would you put all that?
- 39:43Energy into that. When you could and some of it
- 39:46decisions were made a certain time.
- 39:48There's like a belief that you couldn't take everything from
- 39:51what's available in the market and coerce it and harness it
- 39:55together to make it make sense. But yeah, I got to imagine like
- 39:59that's not got to be a great use of resources, particularly in an
- 40:03organization. It's and you're always having
- 40:07the conversations every quarter I imagine or every year you're
- 40:11having a conversation like do we continue to support this or do
- 40:15we try and migrate to something newer?
- 40:18Because in, in a way when you choose your stack, it's a
- 40:24snapshot in time of what the best capabilities are at that
- 40:28moment in time. And in if you're really going
- 40:31all in on it. I remember we had a guy from
- 40:33Pinterest on here and a lot of the stuff that they are using
- 40:38for their ads platform was chosen in 2018 or 2017.
- 40:46And there's been so much advancement and they have to
- 40:51decide, do we you manually or maybe you take a piece off here
- 40:57and then upgrade it here, but maybe it doesn't fit.
- 40:59And so you can't add that new shiny thing, which can be good,
- 41:04it can be bad. You don't always necessarily
- 41:06need the new shiny things. But but really thinking about
- 41:09like how if you decide to go down that route, you're deciding
- 41:16to take what is out their best right now and have that snapshot
- 41:23be what you're using. And then forgo all the future
- 41:26innovation that could come A. Little bit, huh?
- 41:29That's the the things that are outside your 4 walls.
- 41:32Yeah, that's the thing. You got to be careful about
- 41:34these build versus buy decisions.
- 41:36And this is not just in your ass and fit in just general.
- 41:40If you're going to lock down something now you're going to
- 41:44get likely something that is very highly specific to your
- 41:49needs, but then eventually just just going to be this external
- 41:52innovation that's going to just keep moving ahead.
- 41:55One of the things that are fascinating to see, by the way,
- 41:57since we did talk, we're talking about building buy is also this
- 42:01wave in AI based software systems or AI systems that are
- 42:07empowering and enabling this texture and software to be more
- 42:10precise is how much more you can now do custom software
- 42:16development better. And the, the reason I just
- 42:18mentioned this is that before you had to almost rely on your
- 42:21package software provider to do the things that you needed them
- 42:25to do in the product and you're waiting for those releases to
- 42:28happen. And then you were implementing
- 42:30that package software. But we're at a world where you
- 42:34can build taking some of the componentry that we're talking
- 42:38about and the componentry, the data, the pipelines, the
- 42:45building blocks can continue to evolve.
- 42:47But then how you harness that can be very much highly
- 42:50customized software experiences that are for all intensive
- 42:55purposes custom software with a number of really upgradable
- 42:59underpinnings like the life cycle management of it becomes
- 43:01much more straightforward. So I do think there is a moment
- 43:04here that you can just deliver highly specified custom
- 43:09software, but the advancement of all the underlying componentry
- 43:14to do it continues to have its own upgradeability life cycle.
- 43:18That's not where you have to build bespoke stuff.
- 43:22It's actually in the layer, the abstraction layer above where
- 43:25you can continue to iterate that faster because you have these
- 43:29building box you're working from.
- 43:31And it's it is really fascinating to see how much you
- 43:33can get done today from a custom software development than ever
- 43:36before. Is this because you're thinking
- 43:40about it as I can prompt my software or my software, I'm not
- 43:47interacting it always or I'm not interacting with it always
- 43:52through a GUI, It's also just through language there's.
- 43:57That or just the way that the the UI falls out in this
- 44:00experience, but it's also just a when you have to now take your
- 44:06existing software packages and almost bolt on the AI
- 44:10capabilities for versus like natively building it up from the
- 44:15bottom up. And then natively having a very
- 44:20enterprise specific functional experience with your software
- 44:25that you're not waiting for someone to develop a feature
- 44:28that you need versus you're capable of building those higher
- 44:32level features yourself. I think you're getting much more
- 44:35specific curated software built for your business, right?
- 44:39And that, that and, and by the way, like there's moments you
- 44:42don't want to do that, right? When everything's settled and
- 44:44there isn't a lot of innovation that's going on and you can just
- 44:48take something off the shelf and it's as good or better than
- 44:50anything else that you can build.
- 44:51But we're at a moment where you can build stuff better than you
- 44:55can take anything off the shelf. And so that's why I think this
- 44:58would be compelling moment for custom software development in
- 45:02the middle of all this. Yeah.
- 45:04And it is looking at that abstraction layer and saying
- 45:07that we're going to benefit from things as it continuously moves
- 45:12underneath us, but we can have what is needed above for the the
- 45:18users. And yeah, it is interesting to
- 45:22think about because it does feel like it is more Lego blocks now.
- 45:28And since it is so new and there isn't really much settled and
- 45:34every day you get something new, you are more inclined to build
- 45:44quicker or build on your own. And I imagine, I'm just thinking
- 45:49back to the Pinterest story and how I bet in those days there,
- 45:53they went out and they were like, look, there's not really
- 45:56anything out there that's good enough.
- 45:58We can create the abstraction layer we need and then we'll
- 46:01have our custom stuff underneath.
- 46:04And that is getting us to where we want to go.
- 46:09But inevitably, like you said, it changes.
- 46:14There's that. Right now we're in that phase of
- 46:18it's easier to build for this type of stuff and create our own
- 46:22custom software. And then you probably will get
- 46:25over the hump and you'll start to realize, all right now
- 46:28there's offerings that are pretty nifty and we're going to
- 46:31want to go with those instead. Yep.
- 46:33And there's another nuance to add in since you mentioned
- 46:37Pinterest. When you look at some of the
- 46:40more compelling open source that has actually emerged this past
- 46:44decade, it actually started as custom functional work that was
- 46:49needed inside a civic organization like, oh, other
- 46:52people might actually need. Airflow came from Airbnb, yeah,
- 46:55right. Kafka came from LinkedIn.
- 46:59And so you look at these like now modern OSS components, they
- 47:04actually emerge from a very domain specific need that
- 47:08happened to be in a very specific domain and then
- 47:12generalized into the rest of the world by just releasing it as
- 47:16open source. So that there is some
- 47:17interesting benefit to even building these things in a way
- 47:21that you're getting what you need out of it through that
- 47:24customer experience. And then when you realize there
- 47:27is some things that other people will also need that are is
- 47:30reusable and there's a benefit to then open sourcing it.
- 47:34And we certainly saw that with the number of open source
- 47:37capabilities, particularly this last second.
- 47:39Yeah. What a great example.
- 47:42Speaking of open source, there's a little open source project
- 47:47called Spark. Oh, that one.
- 47:49Is that still around? Is that still doing anything out
- 47:51there? People are.
- 47:51Trying to kill it, yeah, but it's still.
- 47:55Around yeah, I got a fun story about that by the way, about
- 47:59Spark yeah I was at Spark Summit 2015 and my team at Altrix
- 48:08including myself worked on shipping Spark R and our Co
- 48:14developers on it was a very clever VP of engineering at data
- 48:22bricks name Oligarchy and his team and that's how we got Spark
- 48:27R into the market. No way yeah.
- 48:30So you were working. With him back in the day and now
- 48:32you're working with him again because I saw recently you
- 48:36posted you were part of their. Series J Yeah, one would not
- 48:43have imagined that data bricks back then would have arrived at
- 48:46its Series J, but here we are a decade later.
- 48:51Yeah, how is it even possible that a series J exists?
- 48:55That's one thing. And then why now?
- 48:59What is it about you? And you've obviously been in the
- 49:06data break slash Spark ecosystem for a decade plus.
- 49:13Why all of a sudden you do you want to become a shareholder?
- 49:18Yeah. Sometimes it is OK to be late to
- 49:19a party, right? Yeah.
- 49:21But in this case, it's a little bit more methodical than just
- 49:25being late to the party. We were investors about two
- 49:27rounds ago with a much smaller position and we're continuously
- 49:33excited by how much the evolution from Spark to
- 49:38Databricks to really what Databricks stands for today as a
- 49:43unified data management platform using the lake house as the, you
- 49:50know, construct for all the preprocessing, all the data prep
- 49:56at petabyte scale. And then this little capability
- 50:01that they've introduced called data warehousing inside of
- 50:04Databricks, which is now the data warehouse product is a $600
- 50:08million business for data bricks, which is incredible,
- 50:11right? When you think about it, as you
- 50:13sum all of these things up, the Mosaic acquisition, the in house
- 50:19built capability around data warehousing, the Unity catalogue
- 50:23itself, that's how it becomes a very unifying layer for the
- 50:27enterprise, the tabular acquisition and now owning the
- 50:31iceberg format. And that's just like the product
- 50:34strategy. We're not even talking about how
- 50:35much to go to market and industry strategies have really
- 50:40evolved from even even its early inception.
- 50:43It it just feels is a generational company.
- 50:46I don't think I'm saying anything out of turn by by
- 50:49saying that out loud. And it does feel like there's
- 50:52many more miles to go. And so that was our thought
- 50:55process there. The opportunity came out to be
- 50:58part of a very large $10 billion Series J, which is I think the
- 51:05largest venture capital deal ever.
- 51:08Our friends at Thrive and Josh Kirschner LED it.
- 51:11We Co LED it with a pretty sizable check that you know was
- 51:15really helping data bricks continue its journey.
- 51:20And for them, it was just making sure that there was tremendous
- 51:23amount of just liquidity for everyone who had been on this
- 51:28journey for a long period of time to consider their needs as
- 51:34they continue to grow and scale the company all the way to the
- 51:37next levels of stages of growth. Yeah, we couldn't have been more
- 51:41excited. And it certainly was a was a big
- 51:44investment for Insight. It was a very large round for
- 51:48everyone that was involved and it does appear like there's many
- 51:53more miles for data books to go in the market and we're just
- 51:56delighted to be a part of that journey.
- 51:59And I guess one would say it's never too late to come to a
- 52:03company like that and just help them along their journey.
- 52:07Yeah, you say like generational and it really does feel like
- 52:14that. And I instantly thought, do you
- 52:18feel like there are any other generational companies in this
- 52:21space as you look around in the data AI space?
- 52:28Because for me, it's like Databricks is just performing
- 52:36top notch right now. But I don't know, maybe you're
- 52:40looking at other companies and thinking, yeah, they're
- 52:45generational companies too. And or maybe it's if some things
- 52:49go right, there's going to be another one of those.
- 52:53Yeah. Look, there, there should be, by
- 52:56definition, the next generation of companies that emerge.
- 53:00And so they're coming. And I just want to be clear
- 53:03about that. But it does feel like there's
- 53:05something special this moment, certainly with data bricks, you
- 53:08know, we shouldn't, you know, not mention what Snowflake has
- 53:11been able to accomplish as a company in that same cohort and
- 53:15period. If you look at Palantir as
- 53:18another great example of a company that has in a very
- 53:22different way, build something generational in nature.
- 53:27Yeah, it's it is exciting to see those folks who started 1015
- 53:31years ago build the companies that are now the sort of the
- 53:36heme. It's the foundations of how at
- 53:38least the data AIML space continues to to progress.
- 53:42I think there is a clearview of what's next, right?
- 53:45Without stretching too much, you can certainly say that the
- 53:48foundation model builders and the growth and scale that
- 53:50they've respectively had have been quite impressive.
- 53:53The enablers of that growth and scale like a company like Scale
- 53:57AI for instance, is pretty impressive as well.
- 54:00And just being able to initially provide a lot of the necessary
- 54:06efforts to be able to enrich data that's necessary to build a
- 54:10model and now providing things like our LHF for the model
- 54:14providers themselves as they're coming to to market.
- 54:17So it does feel like there is something surrounding, you know,
- 54:21these current model builders and the you know, capabilities
- 54:25underlying the model builders that have gotten pretty big.
- 54:29It is a little trickier, right? Because when you look at
- 54:33something like data bricks, it hugely is benefited by DeepSeek,
- 54:38right? And the reason I mentioned that
- 54:41is if you think about what DeepSeek is a manifestation of
- 54:45is, and I think everyone's been talking about this past week,
- 54:47it's like this idea of, of Jevin's paradox, right?
- 54:50As the cost of a resource comes down, you consume that resource
- 54:54more and it takes up all the capacity that's available to you
- 54:57at that moment. So I think that should be the
- 55:00case for everything related to the GP, US, the computer
- 55:03infrastructure that we're talking about over time.
- 55:06But we have a moment here where no matter what happens, you just
- 55:12need high quality data to be able to build this next
- 55:16generation of models, whether they are hyper efficient domain
- 55:21specific ones that you can see emerge from like the likes of
- 55:25DeepSeek and it's cousins that will literally come out within
- 55:28the next weeks and months, as well as some of the largest
- 55:31foundation models in the world. So we feel pretty good that
- 55:34we're sitting in a good place with the data bricks investment.
- 55:36It feels like it's going to be a bit of a roller coaster for a
- 55:41little while for the foundation models themselves.
- 55:44And look, the next generation of companies are coming about and
- 55:49getting to to scale. I mentioned the weights of
- 55:51biases example, right? There's 900,000 machine learning
- 55:54practitioners that are now standardized some weights of
- 55:56biases. There's a lot more miles to go
- 56:00for a company like weights of biases now.
- 56:02So I do think it comes in these waves, right?
- 56:05And so the wave of like full scale and maturity is out there
- 56:08and we see them as public and private companies.
- 56:10Now this next wave of particularly around the
- 56:14foundation models and the support infrastructure around
- 56:17those foundation models have come to fruition as we speak.
- 56:21And then you're now starting to see this next, you know much
- 56:25smaller companies, incredible founders starting to build that
- 56:29will get to the next level of scale in the 510 year time
- 56:34frame. Yeah, that is one thing that you
- 56:38have a nice position of being in is the almost like round
- 56:43agnostic ability that I know you don't do super early precede,
- 56:48but you still see really early companies and you get to see and
- 56:51participate in the later companies too.
- 56:54We've been very specific and inside about this.
- 56:56So we've even said this out loud.
- 56:58We don't think that stage is a strategy.
- 57:02So we don't believe that this idea as investor stage is a
- 57:05strategy. We should be able to find the
- 57:09generational growth opportunities at whatever stage
- 57:12that they might exist. And we tend to be a little bit
- 57:15more focused on that middle stage of growth and certainly
- 57:19have done quite a bit of work, particularly in our teams that,
- 57:22that, that do a lot of the scale that work in, in terms of
- 57:25buyouts and some of the larger checks that we, we've written.
- 57:28But that's not a strategy. It is that we look for growth
- 57:31everywhere. And one of the, one of the
- 57:33wonderful things I had a chance to do working with my partners
- 57:36for the last four years is really build out our early stage
- 57:39right where we are now very capable at not only the series
- 57:45age check, but occasionally even the seat checks, right.
- 57:47Because we see these opportunities and we see that
- 57:50profound growth happening with a founder that just really has a
- 57:57maniacal view of what they want to deliver and build in the
- 58:00future and automatically want to be part of those conversations.
- 58:04So that certainly has been part of our our strategy.
- 58:06So work with founders whenever and wherever that growth is
- 58:11existing, independent of Sage. How are you thinking about when
- 58:18it comes to the way that we are interacting with computers right
- 58:21now? We have very compartmentalized
- 58:24applications, but it almost feels like some of the stuff
- 58:28that you're insinuating at it would be better to just have the
- 58:32one AI application that can know and be with us, right.
- 58:38And you mentioned it about the sci-fi series, how it's called
- 58:45culture. And in order to enable something
- 58:51like that, we need this. What I, I think Microsoft is
- 58:55trying to do it right now with recall where it's like this
- 58:59always on AI that can come and it can help you and be there
- 59:03with you when you need it and then just be in the background
- 59:06when you don't. And for me, and the way that I'm
- 59:09trying to wrap my head around it is, yeah, it's much better if
- 59:16you have all of the context to give to the language model.
- 59:21And then it can reason about it and it can understand when we go
- 59:25back to that Jira example, if it doesn't have the context, then
- 59:28it gets lost. And so in striving to get to
- 59:33that point where you want to give all of the context, I think
- 59:37what you end up doing is just saying, come with me everywhere,
- 59:40be with, be like my shadow in a way.
- 59:43And so have you thought about that and how that could
- 59:47potentially play out in the future?
- 59:49I have a little bit, Yeah, I have.
- 59:51And by the way, interestingly, that description of a almost
- 59:57ever present in how how do a moment say it like just like
- 1:00:03completely in the moment available AI system that's doing
- 1:00:09things that it needs you to you needed to do.
- 1:00:12It doesn't have to be single and monolithic either when you think
- 1:00:15about it, right? There could be a view that it's
- 1:00:18like just hundreds of agents that are just continuing to
- 1:00:22Marshall out to do many things and then converge into your
- 1:00:26needs. So I don't know if I necessarily
- 1:00:29see this sort of a singular thing that just is always
- 1:00:33constantly doing the bidding of what you want it or other folks
- 1:00:40would want it to do. I, I actually see a lot more, at
- 1:00:44least in the near term, this emergence of massive amounts of
- 1:00:50personal enterprise and almost hybrid agents that are
- 1:00:58continuously doing little things, medium sized things, big
- 1:01:02things on our behalf. While we're talking here,
- 1:01:06wouldn't have been nice for an agent to go figure out how to
- 1:01:10book that trip that I need to make to the Middle East and give
- 1:01:15me all the optimum answers to do that and book the ticket.
- 1:01:21Like that's the kind of things that we're starting to see with
- 1:01:25these automations that are embedded into the foundation
- 1:01:27models, but also just in generalized sort of agentic
- 1:01:31systems that are coming about. So I do think that we're going
- 1:01:35to end up in a world, at least in the near future that it's
- 1:01:40about these really well meaning agents that are doing smaller
- 1:01:48things, tasks that are wrote repeatable that should not have
- 1:01:54to be done by any other human on our behalf.
- 1:01:57And I think that should be how at least the near term futures
- 1:02:00and then we'll see where that or science fictiony future of a
- 1:02:04complete system that's always with you, which is part of your
- 1:02:09being it. It seems like it's a little
- 1:02:12further out, but certainly that is a possibility that could
- 1:02:15emerge when we're all set and done.
- 1:02:18Yeah. And I've thought about it as the
- 1:02:22what you're talking about there is like where is it going to
- 1:02:25live? Is it going to be in on the web
- 1:02:31and or is it going to be something that you're starting
- 1:02:34to see more is these ways that the products are being created
- 1:02:38is directly in Slack, like a Devon, for example.
- 1:02:42And then you just deal with these agents in Slack.
- 1:02:45And I think it would be pretty funny if all of a sudden Slack
- 1:02:49becomes your Control Center too and you just send out agents
- 1:02:52from Slack to go do different things that you needed to do.
- 1:02:55Yeah. It's actually I was searching
- 1:02:56for the word because it was escaping me.
- 1:02:58But it's the nature of how AI systems are gonna be ambient or
- 1:03:03not, right? I think a lot about that, like
- 1:03:06the ambience of our AI systems of now in the future and how
- 1:03:12could they be so embedded, so ambient, so just an extension of
- 1:03:17how our minds work that like it's just like we think about it
- 1:03:22and things get done that that does feel like not a science
- 1:03:26fictiony future. I think actually that that
- 1:03:28we're, we're not that far away from getting to more of these
- 1:03:31sort of ambient AI systems that are doing important work at home
- 1:03:37and at in the enterprise and everywhere in between.
- 1:03:41Yeah, because how many times, I don't know if it's happened to
- 1:03:44you, you might have more willpower and focus than me, but
- 1:03:48I have something in my mind that needs to get done.
- 1:03:52And then I pick up my phone with the intention to do that thing
- 1:03:56in the moment. And some kind of a notification
- 1:04:00distracts me, of course. And 30 minutes later I'm like,
- 1:04:04oh, what was I? What did I pick up my phone for?
- 1:04:06I can't even remember anymore. And that task that I wanted to
- 1:04:10do is in the ether. And maybe it comes back to me,
- 1:04:14maybe it doesn't. But what if he had an ambient
- 1:04:17agent that the moment that task came up, fires off and goes and
- 1:04:22does that task in a highly reasoning long form way 20-30
- 1:04:26minutes later, or even longer if needed?
- 1:04:28Yeah, I'm just excited for a Siri that actually works and
- 1:04:32then I can give like tasks to because right now the Siri that
- 1:04:38I use, it's very hit or miss. And so you do see the world
- 1:04:43where, yeah, typing into a Slack chat is great, but I also have a
- 1:04:50million notifications on Slack, so it would just be cool if I
- 1:04:54could talk to the phone directly or.
- 1:04:56It does seem like a a more obvious opportunity for Apple
- 1:05:01intelligence, right, just to be that conversational layer, but
- 1:05:06doesn't seem like it's emerged out.
- 1:05:09We'll see. Something's going on there.
- 1:05:10I don't know what it is, but something, yeah.