Latest / Trumponomics / The Taxing Problem of Global Tech Giants
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Wrong, wrong thing to do. They should not have done it.
- 0:02Speaker 1: I told him, I said, don't do it, because if
- 0:04Speaker 1: you do what, I'm going to tax your wine. Hello
- 0:15Speaker 1: and welcome to Stephanomics, the podcast that brings the global
- 0:18Speaker 1: economy to you. In his four years as president, I've
- 0:22Speaker 1: found I haven't agreed with Donald Trump on everything, but
- 0:25Speaker 1: when he laid into the French tax on the revenues
- 0:27Speaker 1: of digital companies a while back, he had a point.
- 0:31Speaker 1: The international tax system wasn't built for a world of
- 0:34Speaker 1: online shopping and complex global supply chains. But one country
- 0:38Speaker 1: acting alone isn't going to fix it. Everyone, including the French,
- 0:42Speaker 1: agrees we really need a global solution. But for that,
- 0:46Speaker 1: you need the US and the rest of the world
- 0:48Speaker 1: to agree on the best way to divide up the
- 0:50Speaker 1: profits of those big tech giants, and that is proving
- 0:54Speaker 1: very difficult. Indeed, in a minute, I'll be talking to
- 0:58Speaker 1: the frenchman stuck in the middle of this, the official
- 1:00Speaker 1: who has to find a way through or risk another
- 1:03Speaker 1: round of nasty US europe trade wars. Will also be
- 1:07Speaker 1: going to Abidjan in the Ivory Coast to hear about
- 1:11Speaker 1: the global chocolate war what it means for the price
- 1:14Speaker 1: of Hershey's kisses this Christmas. But first, a short introduction
- 1:19Speaker 1: to the battle over the future of tax from our
- 1:22Speaker 1: French economy reporter William Horrobin Mercy m. It's one a
- 1:39Speaker 1: M in the French Senate on Tuesday May two, in
- 1:45Speaker 1: the nine century Chamber, the President of the Session, Tanni Mohammed,
- 1:50Speaker 1: is submitting to a vote the world's first tax and
- 1:53Speaker 1: the digital revenues of multinational tech giants. Something to do
- 2:00Speaker 1: on some detexts, continue doing some delgation depends Senator. The
- 2:08Speaker 1: calm passing of the bill with only four votes against,
- 2:11Speaker 1: reflected an unquestioning support in France making tech giants pay
- 2:16Speaker 1: more tax. Then this happened. France put on a U
- 2:23Speaker 1: attacks on our companies, you know that, and wrong, wrong
- 2:29Speaker 1: thing to do. They should not have done it. They
- 2:31Speaker 1: didn't do the right thing when they start taxing our companies.
- 2:36Speaker 1: We tax our companies. They don't tax our companies. So
- 2:39Speaker 1: France did that. I told him, I said, don't do it,
- 2:41Speaker 1: because if you do it, I'm going to tax your wine.
- 2:43Speaker 1: Weing tariff or tax or whatever you want. So yeah,
- 2:47Speaker 1: we're working on that right now. Transcend anti clash is
- 2:51Speaker 1: in fact just the tip of an iceberg. Both surface,
- 2:56Speaker 1: there is a far broader battle over the future of taxation, trade,
- 3:00Speaker 1: and the authority of nations. As the global economy turns digital,
- 3:07Speaker 1: governments see sovereignty slipping away as they struggled to tax
- 3:10Speaker 1: globe trotting firms with market capitalizations that dwarf the GDP
- 3:14Speaker 1: of most nations. Traditional firms that face the costs and
- 3:18Speaker 1: tax bills of having a physical presence are crying foul
- 3:21Speaker 1: as their custom goes elsewhere, and even the global tech
- 3:26Speaker 1: giants are voicing concern about navigating a growing thicket of
- 3:29Speaker 1: unilateral measures and punitive levees. The US has started investigations
- 3:34Speaker 1: into taxes like frances in at least ten other countries,
- 3:38Speaker 1: from the UK to Italy, India and Indonesia. The COVID
- 3:42Speaker 1: crisis has done nothing to unwind the tension. On the contrary,
- 3:47Speaker 1: locked down in their homes, consumers have moved online like
- 3:50Speaker 1: never before to work, shop, eat and entertain themselves. Meanwhile,
- 3:55Speaker 1: governments are clocking up vast debts as they bail out
- 3:57Speaker 1: bricks and mortar firms on the verge of collap Any
- 4:01Speaker 1: hope for a solution to taxation in the digital age
- 4:04Speaker 1: rides on negotiations at the o e c D, the
- 4:07Speaker 1: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. But there's a problem.
- 4:13Speaker 1: The talks on the rules of tax involved nearly one
- 4:15Speaker 1: hundred and forty countries and have been tracking on for years.
- 4:19Speaker 1: Among the many issues still to resolve, the most divisive
- 4:22Speaker 1: is the scope of new tax rules, with the Europeans
- 4:26Speaker 1: wanting to single out digital companies and the US demanding
- 4:29Speaker 1: no such ring fencing of firms that are in the
- 4:32Speaker 1: most part American. With no swift deal in sight, a
- 4:35Speaker 1: truce in the battle between France and the Trump administration
- 4:38Speaker 1: is about to break. The French government is resuming the
- 4:43Speaker 1: collection of its tax on digital revenues this month, and
- 4:46Speaker 1: the US is set to retaliate in early January with
- 4:48Speaker 1: taxes on one point three billion dollars of emblematic French goods,
- 4:52Speaker 1: including handbags and cosmetics. If that happens, France says the
- 4:56Speaker 1: EU must immediately retaliate all. Let's put digital tax at
- 5:01Speaker 1: the top of Joe Biden's list of problems when he
- 5:03Speaker 1: takes office to solve it and lead the bridge a
- 5:07Speaker 1: Transatlantic divide. Here's the French finance minister Bruno Lamaire, the UK, Spain,
- 5:13Speaker 1: Italy Austria have accepted to launch their own digital taxation
- 5:18Speaker 1: because we are all aware that this is a question
- 5:21Speaker 1: of fairness. You cannot have the digital giants being less
- 5:26Speaker 1: taxes than SAMESE and than the smallest private companies euro
- 5:32Speaker 1: I really hope that this new Biden's administration will mean
- 5:37Speaker 1: a new start in the relationship between job and the
- 5:42Speaker 1: United States. Well, if we're going to get nearly a
- 5:50Speaker 1: hundred and forty countries to agree something in the next
- 5:53Speaker 1: twelve months, it's only going to be after herculean efforts
- 5:56Speaker 1: by the individual we're going to talk to now. Pascal
- 5:59Speaker 1: Saint them are, director of the Center of Attack Policy
- 6:01Speaker 1: at the a e c D in Paris. Pascal, thank
- 6:05Speaker 1: you so much for coming on Stephanomics. We had a
- 6:08Speaker 1: little we had a little bit from William Horrobin there,
- 6:11Speaker 1: But as far as your concerned, what's at stake in
- 6:13Speaker 1: these negotiations, Well, what is at stake is some form
- 6:18Speaker 1: of economic peace, in particular between the US and Europe.
- 6:23Speaker 1: The dispute is about how countries could better share the
- 6:29Speaker 1: taxation of digital companies. That's where the Europeans and not
- 6:33Speaker 1: only the Europeans the rest of the world have been
- 6:35Speaker 1: very frustrated for the past ten years, seeing these companies
- 6:39Speaker 1: are deriving a lot of profits from our markets and
- 6:42Speaker 1: we cannot tax them. And we cannot tax them because
- 6:45Speaker 1: we're stuck with rules which were designed one century ago
- 6:49Speaker 1: which prevent us from taxing companies because they are not
- 6:53Speaker 1: physically present on our market. Therefore we cannot collect anything.
- 6:56Speaker 1: These companies are making billions, and these billions were untacked
- 7:00Speaker 1: until recently. Now they may be taxed in the US,
- 7:03Speaker 1: but we want our fair share and the US in
- 7:07Speaker 1: response to that set but this profit belongs to me.
- 7:09Speaker 1: It's it's profit by American companies, and there is no
- 7:13Speaker 1: reason for me to let you tax them. And by
- 7:15Speaker 1: the way, if we find a solution, it shouldn't be
- 7:18Speaker 1: ring fans to digital companies because the problem we're facing
- 7:22Speaker 1: is a global problem for all companies. So we've been
- 7:25Speaker 1: struggling with that for the past three years. And we
- 7:28Speaker 1: have an extension, unfortunately not until the end of twenty one,
- 7:32Speaker 1: but the end of the first semester of twenty one.
- 7:35Speaker 1: So the challenge is even bigger because we need to
- 7:37Speaker 1: find consensus in the next six months basically, it just
- 7:41Speaker 1: seems like it's gonna be really difficult. Um. I mean,
- 7:45Speaker 1: I guess one question is we we've we've started to
- 7:47Speaker 1: think that tech giants, these enormous companies are sort of
- 7:51Speaker 1: bigger than any one government. I mean, can governments actually
- 7:55Speaker 1: prevail against these companies. Well, that's a good question, and
- 7:59Speaker 1: indeed there is a challenge that. Maybe The first thing
- 8:03Speaker 1: to say is that until we did a big G
- 8:06Speaker 1: twenty O city initiative known under the Depth acronym. That
- 8:11Speaker 1: was a big effort by the G twenty to try
- 8:14Speaker 1: to bring some form of tax regulation to globalization and
- 8:17Speaker 1: say multinational companies can locate their profits serious link tax
- 8:21Speaker 1: s events in a complete legal manner. And we did
- 8:25Speaker 1: change that in two thousand and fifteen. We came up
- 8:28Speaker 1: with the new set of rules, and these rules have
- 8:31Speaker 1: translated in the US tax reform and due to thousands
- 8:34Speaker 1: sixteen seventeen, the tech companies, among others it's not omitted
- 8:39Speaker 1: to tech could have an effective tax rate on their
- 8:43Speaker 1: foreign source income plus to zero. Now they are taxed
- 8:47Speaker 1: in the US at least at ten percent. So you
- 8:49Speaker 1: can see that governments can act when they want to act.
- 8:53Speaker 1: But the question which is left is how do you
- 8:55Speaker 1: share these profits? Is it taxable only in the US
- 8:59Speaker 1: or elsewhere? How you share profits of multinational companies depend
- 9:03Speaker 1: on what we call tax treaties, which are international tax instruments.
- 9:07Speaker 1: There are three thousand, five hundred instruments, and today these
- 9:11Speaker 1: instruments provide for a country to tax the foreign company
- 9:14Speaker 1: when this foreign company has a physical presence in the country.
- 9:18Speaker 1: This dates back to ninety eight brick and mortar economy.
- 9:23Speaker 1: That's what we need to change. But again, if we
- 9:26Speaker 1: change it, it shouldn't be only on tech companies. But
- 9:30Speaker 1: you may raise the same question for uton the French,
- 9:34Speaker 1: you know, luxury company, the manufacture bag, the design, the
- 9:38Speaker 1: good French taste, right, so French good taste, So they
- 9:41Speaker 1: say it belongs to us. But the Chinese who buy
- 9:44Speaker 1: the bags may say, well, sorry, part of the value
- 9:47Speaker 1: creation belongs to us. So the question of how you
- 9:50Speaker 1: share the profit is not omitted to tech companies and governments.
- 9:55Speaker 1: I think if they act together, can change the rules.
- 9:59Speaker 1: So companies are not in a position to block but
- 10:03Speaker 1: it's more for governments to make the effort to try
- 10:06Speaker 1: to reach consensus, and that's not easy, especially as you
- 10:10Speaker 1: said it. We have one hundred and forty countries around
- 10:12Speaker 1: the table. If we don't get these countries agreeing on something,
- 10:16Speaker 1: the risk we face is trade tensions, trade wars, and
- 10:21Speaker 1: then you know, the French are trying to move on
- 10:24Speaker 1: their own and the US is retaliating, and Europe may
- 10:27Speaker 1: retaliate to the retaliation, and that's where you end up
- 10:30Speaker 1: with the trade war, which would harm growth further. And
- 10:34Speaker 1: after COVID, we we don't need any other hurdle on
- 10:37Speaker 1: on growth. So you know, the counter factual is the
- 10:41Speaker 1: best reason to try to find an agreement. We've been
- 10:44Speaker 1: talking on this podcast about the new players and the
- 10:47Speaker 1: Biden administration. How do you think the Biden administration can
- 10:50Speaker 1: change this or even break the log jam. It's a
- 10:54Speaker 1: very good question, and like very good questions, there is
- 10:57Speaker 1: no answer yet. We do not know. What has happened is, however,
- 11:01Speaker 1: quite interesting and much more complex than people think. First,
- 11:06Speaker 1: when we did the Best Project back in two thousand, thirteen,
- 11:10Speaker 1: fourteen and fifteen, the Obama administration at that time said
- 11:14Speaker 1: there is no problem with digital, let's not talk about that.
- 11:17Speaker 1: We revisit that in twenty after all these measures are implemented,
- 11:21Speaker 1: So the US was very negative Obama administration. Very Paradoxically,
- 11:26Speaker 1: the Trump administration, which was not known for being multilateralists,
- 11:30Speaker 1: right said well, let's have a conversation. The US changed
- 11:35Speaker 1: its approach and kind of told the French, you want
- 11:38Speaker 1: to tax Google. You're right, you're the market, but we
- 11:41Speaker 1: want to tax your companies because we are their market.
- 11:45Speaker 1: And that's where the conversation started in two thousand and seventeen. Paradoxically,
- 11:49Speaker 1: the door being opened by the Trump administration. Now it
- 11:52Speaker 1: is true that in two thousand twenty this year, the
- 11:57Speaker 1: Trump administration has got cold feeds because the election was approaching,
- 12:02Speaker 1: because companies were not sure whether they wanted to change
- 12:06Speaker 1: or not. And at the end of the day, I
- 12:08Speaker 1: mean progress like behind and and we didn't deliver the
- 12:12Speaker 1: solution by here and as planned. So what will the
- 12:15Speaker 1: Biden administration do. We hope that they will continue the negotiation,
- 12:20Speaker 1: that they will say we want a solution, and that
- 12:23Speaker 1: they will take some leadership to indicate what is the
- 12:27Speaker 1: solution they want. I think all the other countries are
- 12:30Speaker 1: ready to take what the US would tell them if
- 12:32Speaker 1: it's fair enough, and that's will But that's what we
- 12:36Speaker 1: will see. We shall see I hope soon, and we
- 12:40Speaker 1: must see it soon because we have only six months,
- 12:44Speaker 1: and after six months, countries will move unilaterally. Because it's
- 12:47Speaker 1: been yes, they've been waiting, So the Biden administration will
- 12:51Speaker 1: probably have to disclose quite soon what their position is.
- 13:03Speaker 1: This negotiation has actually got bigger and bigger, in part
- 13:05Speaker 1: because of the Trump administration's approach. Um, is it the
- 13:11Speaker 1: case that you have to agree this whole new system
- 13:14Speaker 1: for taxing companies globally in order to resolve the digital question?
- 13:18Speaker 1: Or are you hopeful that maybe there's a halfway house.
- 13:22Speaker 1: There is a menu of options. One option would be
- 13:26Speaker 1: to say, what is the dispute. The dispute is on
- 13:29Speaker 1: a few highly digitalized companies, and one could say, let's
- 13:35Speaker 1: sort this out first and then take more time to
- 13:39Speaker 1: sort out the more fundamental problems of the international tax framework.
- 13:43Speaker 1: But these crosses the red line fixed by the US
- 13:47Speaker 1: so far in a bipartisan manner, which is not ring fencing.
- 13:51Speaker 1: So you have here a contradition. You could do an
- 13:54Speaker 1: easy fix, a quick fix, but these crosses redline, because
- 13:58Speaker 1: that would be just too much one way try effect
- 14:00Speaker 1: for the US. It's a one way traffic. The US
- 14:03Speaker 1: pays a check to the rest of the world. Right,
- 14:05Speaker 1: I mean you you have a free lunch on American
- 14:07Speaker 1: companies and we give a tax credit, which means that
- 14:10Speaker 1: we transfer taxing rights to you. So you can understand
- 14:13Speaker 1: why they would say that. Well, absolutely, and the US
- 14:15Speaker 1: as a fair point to say, one, why would we
- 14:18Speaker 1: be interested in paying the check to the rest of
- 14:20Speaker 1: the world when they unfairly attacked American business Because that's
- 14:24Speaker 1: the US perception. And too, we cannot really bring fens
- 14:28Speaker 1: so that's a way to do a quick fix. May
- 14:31Speaker 1: not work. Then what we could do and it wouldn't
- 14:35Speaker 1: take years, is to have a broader scope. But that's
- 14:38Speaker 1: for the US to say what they want in that scope.
- 14:41Speaker 1: Digital companies, consumer facing businesses, which was the latest position
- 14:46Speaker 1: of the US administration, whether it's the sustained engagement of
- 14:49Speaker 1: a company with the customers, with the consumers, the final
- 14:53Speaker 1: consumers on the market. That that that that would be
- 14:56Speaker 1: the area where you would you would create the new
- 14:59Speaker 1: taxing right where you would gives to the markets a
- 15:02Speaker 1: new taxing right. And that we can do, and that
- 15:04Speaker 1: we can do in the next six months because we're ready. Technically,
- 15:08Speaker 1: we're ready almost we are very well advanced and just
- 15:12Speaker 1: waiting for political equipment to press the button and get
- 15:15Speaker 1: it at and ready. We should probably we should pause
- 15:20Speaker 1: for a second to paint the scene a little bit
- 15:22Speaker 1: because people listeners who are not so familiar with the
- 15:24Speaker 1: with the O E c D. When you talk about
- 15:26Speaker 1: technical work, that is what the O E c D
- 15:29Speaker 1: is famous for. And you sit in the wonderful office.
- 15:32Speaker 1: Wonderful office is in a in a very nice part
- 15:34Speaker 1: of Paris, UH, and have tended to be very good
- 15:38Speaker 1: at technical work, not always so good at reaching fast
- 15:40Speaker 1: agreements UH and having dynamic progress on. I think you
- 15:48Speaker 1: keep the recent years it was twenty years ago. I
- 15:51Speaker 1: hope we get the the expertise and the technical point
- 15:56Speaker 1: and you've kept the nice buildings that should be said
- 15:57Speaker 1: and we get the nice building as well. Your point all, yeah,
- 16:01Speaker 1: that's so good at providing political breakthrough, it's no longer true.
- 16:06Speaker 1: Let me give you two examples. Two thousand eight, Global
- 16:09Speaker 1: French Ship Crisis two thousand eight. For the first time
- 16:13Speaker 1: the G twenty meets at the leaders level when they
- 16:16Speaker 1: say we need to put an end to bank secrecy.
- 16:19Speaker 1: The obesity delivered the end of bank secrecy in two
- 16:23Speaker 1: years time. We listed countries, we provided a standard, we
- 16:27Speaker 1: provided a multilateral convention to implement that standard. Ten years later,
- 16:32Speaker 1: where we are not a single country in the world
- 16:35Speaker 1: has bank secrecy left. Last September, eighty four million bank
- 16:39Speaker 1: accounts were exchanged Switzerland, I mean the temple of bank
- 16:45Speaker 1: secrecy exchanged more than three million bank accounts with the
- 16:49Speaker 1: countries where the people live having bank accounts in Switzerland
- 16:53Speaker 1: for a total value of ten trillion US dollars ten trillion.
- 16:59Speaker 1: That a concrete example. Second one and due to thousand twelve,
- 17:04Speaker 1: multinational companies could locate their profits wherever they wanted tax avoidance.
- 17:10Speaker 1: It was an easy game to play. We came up
- 17:12Speaker 1: with an action plan and we told the g twenty
- 17:15Speaker 1: we're going to change international tax woos. It's used to
- 17:18Speaker 1: take twenty years to change COMMA and DOT in ob
- 17:22Speaker 1: City guidelines. We did all these changes fifteen changes in
- 17:27Speaker 1: two years time. And as a result, you have hundreds
- 17:30Speaker 1: of billions of taxes which are being collected on multinational
- 17:34Speaker 1: companies which were not in the past. It is true
- 17:37Speaker 1: that on the digital project it takes more time because
- 17:41Speaker 1: it's more complex because big countries are modivided, but we're there.
- 17:45Speaker 1: We have all these people coming together, exchanging information, sharing
- 17:49Speaker 1: the same goal, which is to strengthen the attacks sovereignty
- 17:53Speaker 1: by corporation. But we'll also have I think a high
- 17:56Speaker 1: level of gorenment. The question is more of the timing.
- 17:59Speaker 1: So I think we've we've been more than just happy
- 18:03Speaker 1: technocrats in Paris. So there you have it. For for years,
- 18:07Speaker 1: I think people some people would have said, what's the
- 18:09Speaker 1: O E c D for? But but quite seriously, it
- 18:12Speaker 1: turns out this is what it can be for trying
- 18:14Speaker 1: to fix these really incredibly difficult problems that we face
- 18:17Speaker 1: with a move to a to a digital economy. So Pascal,
- 18:22Speaker 1: where does this go from here? You've talked about the
- 18:25Speaker 1: Biden administration, You've talked about the timing. I can't help
- 18:30Speaker 1: noticing that there's been some talk about the middle of
- 18:33Speaker 1: next year and then maybe the end of next year. Realistically,
- 18:38Speaker 1: how likely is it that this is going to get
- 18:40Speaker 1: resolved in the next six or twelve months. I don't know.
- 18:46Speaker 1: There is a real level of unset and you which
- 18:48Speaker 1: makes it exciting right for observers, a bit stressing when
- 18:52Speaker 1: you're an insider. Um we we need to wait for
- 18:57Speaker 1: Biden administration to give indications, and I think they are
- 19:01Speaker 1: reflecting on that they need to make up their minds
- 19:03Speaker 1: and send a message to the rest of the world.
- 19:06Speaker 1: And it will largely depend on on their message whether
- 19:10Speaker 1: they want to play ball or not what they will
- 19:14Speaker 1: do on the on the trade front. Given that before leaving,
- 19:18Speaker 1: the Trump administration will inflict sanctions on the French. Because
- 19:23Speaker 1: the French are moving unilaterally with their digital service tax um,
- 19:28Speaker 1: we we we have a fair chance of reaching an agreement.
- 19:31Speaker 1: And at the leaders level there is the sense that
- 19:34Speaker 1: not only it is possible, but it is wishable that
- 19:37Speaker 1: we reach an agreement. And against that background we can
- 19:40Speaker 1: be optimistic that that something positive will happen, even though
- 19:44Speaker 1: we don't know yet. And and it's up for the
- 19:46Speaker 1: Biden administration to decide which direction they will they will
- 19:50Speaker 1: want to go. Countries would rather avoid the trade attensions,
- 19:56Speaker 1: especially in the post COVID environment. I mean this is
- 20:00Speaker 1: if you take some distance, this is a tiny issue
- 20:02Speaker 1: in the grand schemes of things, so we should not
- 20:05Speaker 1: have we should not harm growth for these and the
- 20:10Speaker 1: tax technicalities can be fixed, even though it's politically sensitive,
- 20:16Speaker 1: they must be fixed. So we are confident that we'll
- 20:19Speaker 1: move ahead and that will will have a path towards
- 20:23Speaker 1: further corporation, some form of tax regulation of globalization, which
- 20:28Speaker 1: I think is what we need. Meanwhile, it could be
- 20:33Speaker 1: handbags at dawn. I mean, we are literally having a
- 20:35Speaker 1: bare neck or fight between the US and France on
- 20:39Speaker 1: this with with the US imposing the tariffs on on handbags.
- 20:43Speaker 1: So we come we come full circle from the heights
- 20:47Speaker 1: of the digital economy to sort of basic taxes on
- 20:50Speaker 1: key products like handbags and lipsticks cosmetics, which is the
- 20:55Speaker 1: US vision of the French right bags and dipsticks. Past
- 21:00Speaker 1: canaandam Or, director of the Center for Text Policy at
- 21:03Speaker 1: oc D, thank you very much. Thank you. In a
- 21:13Speaker 1: global chocolate war, it's Hers against West Africa. That was
- 21:17Speaker 1: a headline on bloom Bog but jumped out at me
- 21:19Speaker 1: this week. We can't have a global chocolate war two
- 21:22Speaker 1: weeks before Christmas. Then I read the story and found
- 21:26Speaker 1: out there was a lot more resting on this than
- 21:28Speaker 1: your holiday bowl of hers. She's kisses or chocolate orange.
- 21:32Speaker 1: Leander Basson Pierre is our Ivory Coast reporter and she's
- 21:36Speaker 1: been covering this story and she's joining me now from
- 21:39Speaker 1: Abidjan in the Ivory Coast leanne It is quite complicated
- 21:43Speaker 1: this story. We should just start with the basics. Where
- 21:46Speaker 1: you're sitting. Ivory Coast in West Africa is where a
- 21:50Speaker 1: lot of the world's coco is produced and the gharner
- 21:54Speaker 1: produces most of the rest. Tell me first how these
- 21:57Speaker 1: two countries have tried to use the hour they have
- 22:00Speaker 1: in this particular crucial bit of the global economy. And
- 22:04Speaker 1: while we've ended up talking about war, well, they've tried
- 22:08Speaker 1: many times before to try to keep the price in
- 22:13Speaker 1: their favor, but it hasn't really worked until last year
- 22:17Speaker 1: when they decided to add a four hundred dollar premium
- 22:22Speaker 1: on top of the price of the on on top
- 22:24Speaker 1: of the futures price, that is, and that came into
- 22:27Speaker 1: effect from the first of October, which was the start
- 22:31Speaker 1: of the main crop harvest in both these two countries.
- 22:34Speaker 1: And as you rightly said, these two countries supply nearly
- 22:38Speaker 1: seventy percent of the world's cocoast. So they saying, while
- 22:42Speaker 1: all these multinationals are benefiting from this one hundred billion
- 22:46Speaker 1: dollar industry, poor farmers in Ivory Coast and Ghana are
- 22:51Speaker 1: barely seeing or barely able to make ends meet, and
- 22:55Speaker 1: they're not seeing the fruits of their labor. They don't
- 22:58Speaker 1: even know what the in product actually tastes like. I
- 23:02Speaker 1: guess it's it's fair to say that the Hersheys and
- 23:04Speaker 1: all these big chocolate producers didn't didn't like this very much.
- 23:07Speaker 1: But what's actually happened, Why is it why are we
- 23:09Speaker 1: now talking about war? Well, what happened was that when
- 23:13Speaker 1: they initially announced this, which was in the middle of
- 23:16Speaker 1: the last year UM, there was obviously some some discussions
- 23:21Speaker 1: that took place with chocolate companies, with big exporters as well.
- 23:25Speaker 1: All of them actually came and board saying yes they
- 23:28Speaker 1: World by Coco at that price when it comes in
- 23:32Speaker 1: from the first of October to Everyone was on board.
- 23:35Speaker 1: They were on board with the fact that that needs
- 23:37Speaker 1: to happen. But nobody really thought that COVID nineteen was
- 23:41Speaker 1: going to happen and that they would be people where
- 23:44Speaker 1: people would be eating less chocolates and sales would would slump,
- 23:48Speaker 1: and so nobody really took that into the equation. And
- 23:52Speaker 1: then what happened was that they needed to I guess,
- 23:54Speaker 1: try to find a way to UM to basically keep
- 23:59Speaker 1: their price is in check. Given that they had lost
- 24:02Speaker 1: quite a lot in sales, and that happened. And so
- 24:06Speaker 1: what happened is that they revisited this premium that they
- 24:10Speaker 1: had promised to pay from the start of the season,
- 24:13Speaker 1: which was on the first of October, and tried to
- 24:15Speaker 1: inverge his case. They went and actually brought some some
- 24:20Speaker 1: beings directly from the exchange in New York and not
- 24:25Speaker 1: in the physical market. And many companies were surprised by
- 24:29Speaker 1: this move. The governments of Ivory Coast and Gharner, they said,
- 24:33Speaker 1: you know, what they did means that they against the
- 24:36Speaker 1: four hundred dollar premium, which is called the Living Income
- 24:39Speaker 1: differential or l I d UM. They said it was
- 24:42Speaker 1: a sign in the in the wrong direction that they
- 24:45Speaker 1: had agreed to it, that they had spoken about it significantly.
- 24:49Speaker 1: So Ivory Coast and Ghana have suspended the sustainability programs,
- 24:54Speaker 1: which obviously is going to hurt the farmers that are
- 24:56Speaker 1: involved in those and the workers who are involved in
- 24:59Speaker 1: those pro graund So is that someone say that's a
- 25:02Speaker 1: bit counterproductive, that you're hurting hurting people on the ground
- 25:05Speaker 1: to to punish her. She's while things have been moving
- 25:09Speaker 1: quite swiftly, the story is very dynamic, and so we
- 25:12Speaker 1: had on the November we had the governments of Ivory
- 25:17Speaker 1: Coast and Gharner saying that they have suspended her she
- 25:21Speaker 1: sustainability programs in any other company that's involved with any
- 25:26Speaker 1: sustainability programs that her she is involved in as well.
- 25:30Speaker 1: So that implicated quite a number of different companies, and
- 25:34Speaker 1: by the end of that week on December four, they've
- 25:37Speaker 1: been came to an agreement her she been recommitted to
- 25:42Speaker 1: paying the premium FO premium for the season. There is
- 25:47Speaker 1: obviously a bit of history here, and it's the sustainability
- 25:51Speaker 1: programs I guess are important for her she and I
- 25:55Speaker 1: should say there's some other big companies who are involved
- 25:59Speaker 1: in this because there's been this tradition where they've been
- 26:01Speaker 1: accused of being involved with child labor and deforestation everything.
- 26:06Speaker 1: So there's there's quite a lot on the line for
- 26:08Speaker 1: these companies in terms of their reputation. Absolutely, and so
- 26:12Speaker 1: I think that many of them have been very quick
- 26:15Speaker 1: to to respond to UH in the statement that the
- 26:18Speaker 1: Iborian regulator had put out on December fourth saying they
- 26:22Speaker 1: had old for the suspension or suspended their sustainability programs.
- 26:27Speaker 1: So they reacted very quickly, as you said earlier, is
- 26:30Speaker 1: a couple of weeks before Christmas will have other holidays
- 26:34Speaker 1: were chocolate is essential coming up next year, and so
- 26:39Speaker 1: it is something that they want to try to find
- 26:42Speaker 1: a solution too, very quickly. And you know it's they
- 26:46Speaker 1: need each other ivre coasts, they need buy Ivery Coast
- 26:48Speaker 1: and Gardner, they need buias for their coco beans, and
- 26:51Speaker 1: these chocolate companies need coco. It's not that they could
- 26:54Speaker 1: suddenly go and source all their coco needs from elsewhere
- 26:57Speaker 1: in the world. These two governments, or these two countries
- 27:00Speaker 1: at least do make up in the least of global
- 27:03Speaker 1: coco production. And chocolate is not just for Christmas, I
- 27:06Speaker 1: would argue it's essential most of the time, not just
- 27:08Speaker 1: on holidays. I guess if you think of the end
- 27:12Speaker 1: results of this in trying to put a premium on
- 27:15Speaker 1: the price trying to sustain the incomes of farmers, if
- 27:18Speaker 1: we end up with less cocoa being bought and god forbid,
- 27:24Speaker 1: people actually eating less chocolate, aren't the farmers going to
- 27:27Speaker 1: end up poorer as a result of this. That is
- 27:31Speaker 1: a fine balance that's both countries and the chocolate companies
- 27:35Speaker 1: need to try to strike and in fact, there was
- 27:39Speaker 1: a there was a huge concern that with this increase
- 27:42Speaker 1: in the price that it would incentivize more farmers to
- 27:45Speaker 1: go out and plant cocoa, that they would go out
- 27:49Speaker 1: and do that in protected forest areas um And so
- 27:53Speaker 1: that is an essential element of the story that they
- 27:56Speaker 1: these two countries managed to keep their production in check,
- 28:00Speaker 1: that they let their farmers know that, you know, it's
- 28:03Speaker 1: not going to benefit anybody if there's going to be
- 28:06Speaker 1: too much coco in the markets, that they need to
- 28:10Speaker 1: cap it at a certain amount so that they can
- 28:12Speaker 1: keep the prices where they need them to be. So
- 28:15Speaker 1: it is a fine balance that they need to strike.
- 28:17Speaker 1: And at all starts worth actually the farmer and educating
- 28:21Speaker 1: them on what needs to be done. Getting down to
- 28:24Speaker 1: that small farmer that has you know, half a hectary,
- 28:27Speaker 1: one or two hectares, to explain to him you cannot
- 28:30Speaker 1: go into predicted bus because the price is high, that
- 28:33Speaker 1: if there is the surplus of cocoa, it could indeed
- 28:36Speaker 1: bring the price down. Well, Leanne, thank you so much.
- 28:40Speaker 1: Where do you think this is going? I mean, do
- 28:42Speaker 1: we actually have to worry about chocolate shortages this Christmas?
- 28:45Speaker 1: Next Christmas? Anytime soon. Um, I've just been out into
- 28:50Speaker 1: the field and there is a lot of cocoa beans.
- 28:53Speaker 1: At least it doesn't seem like there's going to be
- 28:55Speaker 1: much of a shortage in Ivory coast at least. Whether
- 28:59Speaker 1: they will be able to maintain the price and good
- 29:01Speaker 1: relations with these chocolate tears and and keep the momentum
- 29:06Speaker 1: going with this project with with Ghana, we just had
- 29:09Speaker 1: an elections this week, so they will continue the conversation
- 29:13Speaker 1: around getting the best prices for their farmers and you know,
- 29:17Speaker 1: keeping this joint effort up. I think that they standard
- 29:20Speaker 1: a bit of chance of getting the best value for
- 29:22Speaker 1: their products for their farmers. When we talk about grassroots
- 29:26Speaker 1: reporting on this program, we are not kidding. We are
- 29:28Speaker 1: actually going out looking at the roots of the coco
- 29:32Speaker 1: and it looks okay at least from Ivory case right now.
- 29:36Speaker 1: Leander Bassam Pierre sitting in ather Jam, thank you so much, pleasure,
- 29:44Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to Stephonomics. We'll be back next week
- 29:47Speaker 1: with more on all things economic. And remember you can
- 29:50Speaker 1: always find us on the Bloomberg Terminal website, app or
- 29:53Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts, and you can get a
- 29:56Speaker 1: lot more news and analysis from Bloomberg Economics by follow
- 30:00Speaker 1: at Economics on Twitter. This episode was produced by Magnus Hendrickson,
- 30:05Speaker 1: with special thanks to William Horrabin, Bascal Saint dement leand
- 30:09Speaker 1: de Basson. Pierre and her colleagues Isis Almeida and Baudela Mieux,
- 30:14Speaker 1: Lucy Meekin as the executive producer of Stephanomics and the
- 30:17Speaker 1: head of Bloomberg Podcast is Francesco Levi.