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The Favorites - NFL Week 5 Betting Preview · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: It's the Favorites presented by FanDuel. Football season is here
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• 1:00
  Speaker 1: redline is one eight eight nine called one eight five
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  Speaker 1: to two four seven zero zero in Wyoming or visit www.
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: Dot one gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome to
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: The Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. I
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: am Chad Mollman, chief Content Officer of the Action Network,
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: and I am joined as I am in every single
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: episode by my companion, my bff, Michael Padre, professional better
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: fellow winner Simon Hunter, dad buddy. Speaking of winners, what
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: a weekend. I don't know about you if you have
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: a favorite baseball team, Chad, but as a long suffering
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: Phillies fan, just an absolute dream of weekend. Not only
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: is my favorite football team the Eagles for now, but
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: the Phillies, the fighting Phillies. A little history about them.
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: They haven't made the playoffs I think eleven years or
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: twelve years. Not only did they make the playoffs? And
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: Mariners favorite Mariners fans, what are they? Twenty five years?
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: Chat our long suffering friends, maybe twenty one years we
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: both made the playoffs. And again I hate the Cowboys.
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: There's no lie about that, as he was gonna hate
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: the Cowboys, but not as much as I hate the Mets.
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: I hate the Mets. Of all sports teams, I hate.
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: I never talked about it because we don't talk baseball
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: here but hate the Mets, hit their fans. You're the
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: worst if you're listening to alienate a couple of our
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: fans right now. I hate you. I hate the mutual
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: You guys hate us, we hate you. I knew they're
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: gonna collapse. I knew, I knew all the seasons that
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: are gonna collapse because it's the Mets and my favorites.
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: Stat people keep posting is days leading the n L East,
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: hundred seventy two days for the Mets, and then there's
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: a two next to the Braves. Two days for the Braves,
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: and the Brands are gonna win our division. So just
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: a fun weekend. Me and Chad went three and to
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: the contest, lost some money. Eagles one four. Now Philly
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: has made the playoffs. Thats suck. It was just a
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: great weekend and a miserable weekend weatherwise, but life can't
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: get much better. It was definitely a stay in the
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: stay in the house, said on the couch watch TV
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: for fourteen straight hours on Sunday. If you live in
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: the Northeast, it's entered that awful weather. You're own showing
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: mid forties damp, rainy, windy, cold weather, and later on
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: in the show, we're bringing back our favorite views that
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell has chosen. Matt Mitchell, by the way, Seattle
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: Mariners fan, what a magical, magical time to be alive
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: as a Bills fan, a Missouri graduate, and a Mariners fan.
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: It was a real roller coaster of emotions. It really
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: was a huge, huge sports weekend for you. Every weekend
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: in the fall was a huge sports weekend for everybody.
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: Let's break it down. As Simon said, we went three
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: and two in the contest through week four. I believe
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: we're fourteen and six. Yeah that right, one out of
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: the money, sadly, Oh no, yeah, one out now. So
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: you gotta be fifteen and five being the money. Oh
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: my god, God to be doing as well as we
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: are and be out of the money, man, that sucks.
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: We got right, um, the Ravens plus three and a half,
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: Seahawks plus four and a half, the Vikings minus two
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: and a half, We lost the Jags plus six and
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: a half, and we lost the Bucks plus one and
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: a half. We got throttled in our various other branded
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: pix Foxhole was Ravens plus three and a half, Simon
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: says with Steelers minus three, exact decision was Jack's plus
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: six and a half survivor. We eked out with Green
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  Speaker 1: Bay and in screw Roulette we both lost. I had
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: the Jags, you had the Bucks and our big balls
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: better the week was the Texans. So we really didn't
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: do anybody any favors last week. No, sorry about that. Guys,
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: also don't have the bounces. I feel like the Bucks game,
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: what was the two fumbles in the first like ten minutes,
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: so that game was over and the the Jaguars, I don't
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: know if Trevor Lawrence had four fumbles or just four turnovers.
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: I knew you threw that pick, but one of those
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: games where it's like, damn, they almost covered that and
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: he had all those turnovers and he still almoscovered it,
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: so that that was brutal. And then our other bets. Yeah,
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: that's that's the worst recap because we didn't even have
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh or Houston and our contest because not that we're
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: saying the writing was on the wall, but a little
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: bit those lines kind of stunk. We definitely debated Houston
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: and I just I just didn't like it. Um it
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: was the same thing with the Commanders. It was just
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: there's something about that number that was just like, I
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: don't know, it feels like this is what they're trying
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: to get me to like, and I just see through
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: their picks. So I lost a little on Houston, luckily
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: stayed away from Commanders. But well we'll get it back
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: to the people. Meaning again, we had three straight winning weeks,
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: so one down week, it's okay, three and one. Four
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: straight winning weeks. I mean, well, you're talking about contest,
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: but contest wise, we haven't lost yet. It's been two
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: good Jim word. I'm just again, my whole goal here
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: is this is your four. Never had a known five week,
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: and that's why we're always in the mix to make
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: the money, to be the show. It's we're just really
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: good avoiding really ship weeks. But Jack can attest to it.
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: We were pissed we didn't go for in one, like
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: the Bengals were sitting there. We knew it, we didn't
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: play it, and then we were kind of behind the
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: eight ball there. So just the three and two, I'm
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: happy with it because I really did think we're street stuff.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: You had to bring up the fucking Bengals, didn't you.
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: It's like you're it's like you're trying. It's like you're trying.
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: You said it in a graceful way, but I know
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: what you fucking mean. I know, I know you wanted
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: to put the Bengals in. I didn't really care that much,
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: and I didn't want to put the Bengals in. I
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: didn't in service to our listeners. I felt it would
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: be unfair here we go to be putting the Bengals
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: in for a show that most people were not going
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: to be hearing until the Bengals game was over. So
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: it turns out in the end it didn't matter because
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: we put the Vikings in. We decided it about nine
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: twenty on Sunday morning while I was walking the dog
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: to put the Vikings in, So we couldn't even give
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: people that much of a warning that we were putting
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: the Vikings in the contest anyways, but whatever, you know
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: what we do, we move the funk on. Wow, you
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: know I didn't sleep. I basically woke up midday Saturday
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: at four pm. I passed out in midday sound a
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: four pm, but I was up aoth of the night,
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: so I already had the Vikings in there, and I
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: remembered the last minute the text you we had the Vikings.
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: I was literally at that point already kind of lose
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: my mind. I was up being through the entire night
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: just betting and working. I think I did good and
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: convinced me too. It's just one of those days where
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: it's such a long day because football started whatever. That
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: was nine in the morning. I was I was KOed
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: by four pm. So yeah, I woke up the heartbreak
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: when I saw the Bucks number and I had to
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: watch that game over again. Just such good football. Again.
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: We can touch on the Bills game too, because I
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: know Matt Mitchell is probably static. That was playoff football,
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: like I love, like even the Jags Eagles. I just
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: felt like playoff football. Gross weather, cold as ship. Both
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: teams are just battling just to get a yard um.
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: Just a really fun weekend of football. Again. We're just lucky.
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: We love the best sport in the world. We are
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: We are lucky. And you mentioned our show Convinced Me
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: that we do on Sunday mornings at eleven am. We
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: went seven one and one this week on our Convinced
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: Me picks. The only one that lost was the Jags
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: plus six and a half. We had three sides, three
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: player props, three totals. We pushed on the Ravens of
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: plus three, which as yeah, it's because the sponsor. Though
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: we got three and a half, I hope, so we
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: want every we want everything. It was great. The only
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: thing we didn't win was all the picks we made
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: on this show on Tuesday and Thursday. So let's get
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: after a brother, let's after it. It's week five. We
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: got a Thursday night tilt. We got the under performing
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: Colts against the mysterious hated Broncos. The Broncos are three
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: point favorites at home, all things being equal right now,
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: I don't know how we don't bet the favorites and
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: we don't bet the under forty three and a half.
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: And I was definitely that was my first instinct to honestly,
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: but there's just no chance to Eachell had this one
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: in here like last week I had. I kind of
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: had a good feeling. But this team both I don't
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: really know their identities yet. I don't really think both
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: these coaches will be back with these teams next year.
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: It just feels like it's both teams are just train
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: Rex right now and for various different reasons. Um, again,
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: I would love to say Matt Ryan can maybe turn around.
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: This season goes along and once they get healthy and
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: he kind of gets more comfortable, but he just looks bad.
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: Like just watching him, he just does not look good.
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: He looks like an old quarterback that's way past his prime.
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: So yeah, the fact that Jonathan Taylor hasn't been doing
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: what we're expecting to do for this Colts team, that's
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: why I just couldn't take them. Because again I don't
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: like Denver either. I think Denver sucks, but I could
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: be walking into it because it's such a nice number.
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: But I'll take the minus three Denver at home in
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: altitude with they just lost Javonte Williams, but so I
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: got Melvin Gordon and they're still healthy. Jonathan Taylor is
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: banged up, Shack now Shack Wlawson's out or Shack Leonard, Uh,
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: what the hell happened? Either either broke his I was
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: got a concussion, or he just broke his nose concussion concussion, right,
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: so a short week he's not going to be there. Uh,
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: just it's just been it's just been a nightmare for
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: this close team. So my only the only reason I
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: wouldn't have me chat throw it is because I just
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: I don't want to bet Denver for a million dollars,
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: Like we just don't. We just don't trust this team
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: enough to put in this contest right now, so I'll pass.
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: I do like Denver in this spot. Um yeah, but
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: like it's like last night, I didn't really have a
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: great feeling about the Rams or the Niners, so I passed.
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: I kind of feel like I'll probably pass on this game,
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: right Like, I don't I like Denver. I don't love Denver.
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: They're two inkings system for me. Uh. Nathaniel Hackett feels
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: like a one and done coach. You're right, Frank Reich
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: feels like he's trying to make decisions to get fired.
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: Um it just it just you know, it's one of
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: those classic Thursday night games that used to be that
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: used to be. All those games were shitty. Uh, they're
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: giving us a shitty game. And again, Denver fans, I
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: have a couple of them in my life like this
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: one probably really respect loves them, talks about them constantly,
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: and he said that they sold their soul for that
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: ring with Peyton and l Way was just driving this
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: ship and he's not doing the right things. He's hiring
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: the wrong coaches. He paid for Russ russat two years
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: left on his deal, give him all that money before
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: this season? Why, I mean, can you imagine paying like
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: now that we've all seen Russ at this point, you
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: just see the running abilities not there anymore. He paid
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: for a guy that just isn't who he expected. So
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: funck man, that would it would suck to be a
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: Denver fan right now because it's just in that division
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: with Mahomes and Herbert. It just feels like lost hope,
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: lost decade. You've lost a decade. It truly feels that way.
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: So tough, alright, Giants on the road at the Packers. Uh,
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: the Giants are pretty decent sized underdogs. Here're looking at
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: about eight and a half. Look at this point, Daniel
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: Jones is pretty bad too. Rod Taylor came in last
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: week when Jones was injured. The Packers don't look very
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: good either. This is a really big number. I just
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: and I would automatically play the Giants here, but I'm
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: worried about the health of their quarterback. YEP. So that's
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: why we probably haven't taking Green Bed. And it's also
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: a lending game. I mean, we talked about it last week.
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: I tend to like to go with the favorites on
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: the money line and the overs in these positions. I
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: think both came through. I think the Saints covered, but
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: Minnesota obviously one of the money line green Bay. It's
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: wild to me that Lampboat lost the holding game to England.
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: UM pretty crazy times we're living in. They took a
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: home game from green Bay. But this is just a
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: nice spot for green Bed. It looked like it last week.
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: They probably should have lost, got a little lucky. Carrying
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: into the next week, they're gonna be fired up Giants
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: going off a big win at home three and one,
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: now going to England with a bang up quarterback. Yeah.
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: I wanted to be on the Giants because such a
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: big number against the fraudulent green Bay team. Just a
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: nice spot for green Bay. So I won't touch this
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: one again. I ain't gonna be texting chat at nine
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: the morn. I promise you that think I get an
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: eight point favorite in this in our contest. So it's
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: a good number for green Bay because it's blow ten.
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: I just wouldn't put it in because it's I don't know.
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: I don't trust Green Bay is big favorites anymore. I
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: was literally picking up dogshit when you texted me, and
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: uh and the and I was more excited to bet
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: on Kirk. Look last week, the Vikings and the Bengals.
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: Um was it the Bengals. Yeah, the Vikings and the
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: Bengals were the first two bets that I made last week,
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: and I loved it. I was very happy about it.
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: Lions and I wanna talk a little bit about today
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: Lions visiting the Patriots. Uh, there's a plus three out
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: there for the Lions. Very interesting game. I feel like
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: you can get two and a half you take the Patriots.
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: UM bets are on the Lions right now. Money is
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: on the Patriots, easy bet, professional bet pros are gonna
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: take Patriots, and they're gonna take younger here. I know
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: Detroit's four oh to the over. What's the key to
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: those four o overs? Indoors? I mean, this is this
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: is the time of year we just talked about. The
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: Northeast is cold as ship and wet. Like Jared Goff,
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: he's a callie boy, he's been indoors they've looked great
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: at their offense, but I don't know Patriots defense. I
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: feel like this is kind of a position that belichicks
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: they need this win bad, they really do, because again,
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: they lose this one of four, that's curtains for them
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: in that division because the Bills clearly the class D
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: f C and in Miami even what Teddy covers, they
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: look good. So oh, they can't afford to go one
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: and four in that division. Again, it's crazy say Jets
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: two and two. It's looking that way for New England
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: right now. So they need this one. So I'm with
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: chat it's I it's two and a half. You automatically
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: grab it and might start thinking lines at three and
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: a half because again we've seen it with this line's
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: team and try to talk about it all the time.
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: We don't like him as favorites really, but as dogs
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: we love them. They find a way to get those
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: backdoor covers. They just never stopped fighting. So three and
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: a half I changed my tune a little bit. Two
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: and a half, no brain or take Patriots. They stick around. Yeah,
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: and my my biggest fear right now is that they're
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: going to a little bit of a tailspin. And you know,
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: they could have beaten the Vikings, They could have won
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: this past week against Seattle, and instead of being a
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: team that is three and one, two and two at best,
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: there one and three go into a tailspoon tailspin and
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: they don't bring back Dan Campbell and I love Dan Campbell. Yeah,
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: that was of this summer. One of my predictions was
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: like they're over and taking them in the division. That's
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: probably what my worst call is Detroit. They've had a
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: couple of games they've been in it, like the Eagles,
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: the Vikings, those are season flippers. Like again, if they
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: they'd won those games, like Chad's talking about, they'd be
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: one of the most talked about teams. They just clear
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: they don't have the defense. They're the first team in
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: NFL history to average thirty five points per week through
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: four weeks and give up over thirty five points per week.
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: It's never happened before in the NFL history. So it's
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: it's great for Detroit. They know exactly what they gotta
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: do right in the next offseason. Me and Chad, we're
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: gonna be telling you next year to bet Detroit because
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: we've seen it. Their offense, the offensive line, the weapons,
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: they have. It's good, just no defense, like they need
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: defensive stars. So that that's clearly the biggest weakness for
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: this Detroit team. Steelers on the road to touchdown underdogs
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: at Matt Mitchell's Buffalo Bills. That is a very very
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: very big number, very big number. I know why it's fourteen.
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: You've got Kenny Pickett on the road in Buffalo for
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: his first NFL start. You got the Bills getting healthy,
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: getting back home after a couple of weeks of really
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: difficult road tests, clearing the hurdle in Baltimore. They've got
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: got to be feeling much more confident right now having
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: gone through Miami and Baltimore. But fuck, fourteen points, I mean,
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: that's in the NFL. That's a big number. I wonder
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: what Mike Tomlin is going to say about that. Last
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: week was last week, This week was this week, Next
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: week will be next week. Legendary stuff by Josh Allen
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: Last week Down twenty three and a a half time on
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: the road and ship weather, Josh, I guess I got
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: all the negative on. He did bitch a lot. He
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: was he was crying. Everyone saw the videos of him
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: getting touched by guys and looking at the refs and
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: the ref game, the flag. But you know, Josh made
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: the plays. Man, Like we talked all the time, there's
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: a reason this kid is the MVP favorite right now.
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: There's a reason people are hyping in the Buffalo Bills.
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: So to me, usually I'd be all over this Pittsburgh
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: in their history, right, So whatever it is. Since the
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: nineteen seventies, Whember, we started tracking numbers from the books.
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: They've never been a fourteen point dog Pittsburgh and there
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: and they're literally the franchise's history. So you're gonna historical
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: number if you want to take Pittsburgh. I look at
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: trends and look at this Bills team that they usually
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: dominate bad teams and double digit favorites. Josh Allen five
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: and one e t s against the spread, throwing Kenny
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: Pickett again his first start on the road in Buffalo
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: Bills Mafia. Kenny, what's up? Hey, We're about to make
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: you a Pittsburgh Steeler. Brother. Congratulations to you and your family. Bro.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: We're excited to have you. Man, but this is awesome.
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: Come on, can't do it. I just the number isn't
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: big enough for me. You can get it to closer
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: to seventeen, I start really thinking about it. But at
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: first glance I made this number a lot lower cause
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: I thought was in the Michigan. The fact that it's not,
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: I just again, Kenny look better than Mitch, I'll be honest.
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: But at the same time, he's a rookie. Bills at
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: home in this position usually just dominate, So I know
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: we won't probably have this one in because Chad Hate's
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: big favorites. If it's thirteen and a half, I feel
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: like I might be able to talk him into it.
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: But at fourteen, I don't kind of stale number. I
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: just can't see it's putting them done. I'm less supposed
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: to this. And you think because the Bills have the
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: feel of historically like those Patriots teams, where when they
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: played well at home and came off tough tests on
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: the road, they just dominated, right, and they don't play
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: down to the level of their opponent. Usually they us
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: this year they have at least right. Usually they just
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: crushed people. Matt Mitchell, I want to bring you in
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: for a second, as a member of Bill's mafia, what
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: is your take when you see this? It's a huge number,
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: and I am grateful that it took twenty five years,
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: but we finally have a quarterback who can do that
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: whinding and get those calls. I love it. I hope
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: it doesn't all the time. I had to watch fucking
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: guys like JP Lart do that to us in the
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: in the nineties. Anyway, Yeah, they win this game, feels
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: like they're gonna win it. Going away at home after
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: that victory spirits of an all time high. The weather,
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: the worst of the injury storm. There's nothing this Buffalo
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: regime loves doing more than a little grave dancing. I
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: think is Former Miami Hurricanes coach Jimmy Johnson used to
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: scream with his players poured on him, poured on him,
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: don't let him up. That's when you have fun, when
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: you're kicking somebody's ass and they're sucking from when it's funny.
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: You mentioned Josh Allen. He looked like a little baby
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: when he was sitting on the ground after one of
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: the hits and he's just pounding the turf with both
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: of his hands, and like his whole body was almost
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: coming off the ground. Like that's honestly what a tantrum
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: looks like. I'm very familiar with tantrums these days in
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: my home, I could certainly said that is accurate and
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: God blest. Some fifteen yards is a lot. There's a
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: lot of yards. Chad Alright. One of the first bets
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: I made this week, and it rocked my world to
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: be thinking about it like this. Dolphins road favorites against
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: the New York Jets. Everybody knows who listen to this podcast.
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: The first thing I look for is a home underdog.
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: That's a historically great spot. It's a contrarian spot, it's
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: a spot I left the bet. So on Monday morning,
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: I'm walking the dog again. I'm listening to the Action
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: Network podcast. It's the week four wrap up early preview
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: for Week five with Brendan glas Sheen and Joe Gallant
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: and Brandon Anderson. It's a great show. It's like when
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: I get up on Monday mornings, I just want to
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: recap some things and this is the perfect show to
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: go through, like quick hit what happened for the weekend,
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: what happened in the game, how did how did it
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: play out? Betting wise? And then a couple of games
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: that are both leaning towards plus a preview of the
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: Monday night came and Brandon had this take on the
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: Dolphins game when the Dolphins minus three and about sort
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: of the comparison of this line versus what it was
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: even a week before. And then I remembered watching Teddy
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: Bridgewater and thinking about how bad the Jets are and
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: that they would be a little bit overvalued because they
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: beat the Steelers on the road, and it made sense
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: to me. So I hit the Dolphins minus three and
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: I love it. Yeah, I don't care if me and
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: tenire stepping, I'll be on it too. Like I grabbed
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: the three and it came out. Now it's three and
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: a half, which next total sense. Um, I still don't
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: hate it. At three and a half, Teddy clearly is
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: not as good as to do and make some throws
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: that you're just like wow, like this this kid has
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: special ability. That's why he was a top pick. But
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: Teddy covers, like we joke all the time, that's not
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: just some nickname thrown out there. He was like eighteen
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: and four at one point a ts um. I don't
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: know how much better it is since then, because he
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: he appreciated to play for Denver there for a couple
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: of years, and uh, it didn't work. Out for him.
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: But and this offensive scheme where all you gotta do
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: is hit open guys, which is what why don't Tyrek
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: kill would be because again it's a Shanahan scheme. It's
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: all predicated off the run. So to me, he came in,
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: I think he threw four. Man, I have to look.
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: I feel like he put up over one passing. Again,
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: he had a long he had a long bond to
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: tire Hill, which was the longest of his career. But
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: we kind of seedy here at Tyreek Hill, Like guy
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: broke a bunch of different records from Miami and he
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: just got there. He truly is this really special talent.
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: So when I look at this matchup, I'm with Chad.
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: Usually'd always be on the home dog, especially at home
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: and divisional dog. But I just I feel like they
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: have adjusted too much on this line for Teddy coming in.
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: For this line, to me, should just still be closer
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: to five and a half maybe six. Um, I'll take
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: the three points. Again. I would love to make this
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: a guarantee to be in our pickpool, but I just
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: don't know where it's gonna be in a couple of days,
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: like right now, if you're listening to this, Yeah, grabbed
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: the three and a half. I need to see this
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: going up. I just feel like people will be more
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: comfortable betting Teddy where they see the stats of how
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: off to heat covers when he's in this position. I
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: was gonna say, so far, we don't have any games
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: that we feel collectively, collaboratively confident about putting in our
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: final five. Also, we have not picked a foxhol not
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: picked a Sigmon says, not picked an exact decision, not
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: picked a survivor so far yet, just saying survivor is
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: a no brainer. This week, we're getting there. Well you're
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: you did. We already went through a bills, right, we'll
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: talk about it as we're gone. I feel like every
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: every it's like Green Bay last week. Everyone's gonna be
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: on it. We'll die together. All right, Well, I'm putting
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: it in, but we'll talk about it a little more.
• 24:39
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• 26:29
  Speaker 1: game another one Sunday night. I'm sitting on my couch.
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: I'm watching the Bucks, I'm watching the Chiefs. I'm thinking
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: of myself. This Atlanta Falcons team. We might have been
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: a year ahead on being in Atlanta Falcons podcast because
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: we have loved them this year. They're now four oh
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: against the spread. I'm not cowed by that in any way,
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: because their offense is really good. They have a great
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: running scheme. It's becoming a conversation topic of NFL analysts, insiders,
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: and wise guys. I got the Falcons at eight and
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: a half on Sunday night. I'm a little surprised. I'm
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: seeing plus nine out there, but I'm also seeing an eight.
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: So uh, Simon roll with me on the Falcons chatted
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: robposite sides, but I feel like I'm I keep getting
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: burned by the Bucks here. I'm trying hard to stay
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: on the boat. Um because again, I just we talked
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: about earlier coming of the year. I just I just
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: have this vision of the Bucks when the NFC, and
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: again we've all heard the Brady drama coming out. Nothing
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: against New York Post, it's just are they the source
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: of real news? Like are they to go to of
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: this is real news? So they put out today that
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: Brady and his Giselle have divorced lawyers, right, So that
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: means this man is going through a divorce for real. Now,
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: I can't build that into my system what's going on
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: in this guy's head. All I can do is the numbers.
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: So a lot of people that are like reaching out
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: last week when we took the Bucks and they're like, oh,
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: this is such a bad spot, Like don't you get
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: this guy's going through a lot. I don't know how
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: him be going through a divorce affected that game. I
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: thought he played great. They just the balances didn't go
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: their way against the Chiefs last week. The Chiefs are
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: just this dominant wave. You give them too easy turnovers,
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: They're they're gonna beat the crap at you. So I
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: don't want to really do with the books here, but
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: I can tell you this, I'm not take in Atlanta
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: this week. Like, thank you, Atlanta. You made me a
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: ton of money. You should be three and one to
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: lead in this division. You guys are amazing. I'm gonna
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna skip this week because it just feels like
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: they're about to get caught again. Four O E t
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: s their due resion, So it's regression spot. I will
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: say it's a prose Joe's game. The money on the Falcon,
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: the of the bets on the box completely agree with you.
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: I might be pressing my luck on this, which I'm
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: fine with. I'm fine pressing my luck. Uh. I thought
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: it was I just thought this is a big number,
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: and it's a big number in which a team like
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: the Falcons is not getting the credit from the public
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: because they haven't caught up to the fact that they're
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: not a bad team. So that's why I did it. Uh,
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: Like we saw a big number when then when they
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: went on the road against the Rams, they came back
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: and they covered that number. Like that's why I've been
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: on Atlanta. I just think they have a way better offense.
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: Some people realize the fact that they're coming off a
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: big one at home, a close win, and then the
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: Bucks got embarrassed in a primetime game again. I saw
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: the video of braiding the locker room afterwards, like all
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: these young kids gotta be in there being like all right,
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: we don't want to piss dad off, like this is
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: this is scary. So this just seems like a bad
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: spot for this Atlanta team coming off what they've been in.
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: I'm with you, though, like it just feels like everyone's
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: gonna come in on this Atlanta team after they hear
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: all week therefore, no like you're gonna hear people just
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: claiming now they're all in on Atlanta, this is the
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: time to kind of get off. Yeah. No, it's true.
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: It's totally true. That's why I'm not making it my
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: exact decision. Have an idea for my exact decision. This
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: is not it. We haven't done a foxhol we haven't
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: done a Simon says, we haven't even put one on
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: the board yet. Seahawks at the Saints five and a
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: half points. I made four bets Sunday to Monday. We've
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: talked about two of them. The the Dolphins and the Falcons.
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: The third one Seattle plus five and a half, which
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: right now is getting the bets and eight of the money. Yeah,
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: I bet it too. I don't care. We're walking in
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: it together, brother, who cares? Are we in a foxholl? Yeah? Sure,
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: we're in the foxholl. Let's clide down into the foxhole.
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: This is just a classic. Me and Chat are probably
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: or overvaluing the Seahawks and not give enough credit to
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: New Orleans. I don't see anything out of New Orleans
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: that deserves them to be this big of a favorite
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: against an offense like you know Smith, I can't be
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: I'm saying this. Do you know? Smith said that DK Metcalf, Tyler,
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: Lockett and Penny in the back for they move it.
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: They moved the ball like it's it's crazy. Um, I know.
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: The fourty nine is really embarrassing. Re other team they
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: played that, I haven't had a top five defense, They've
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: moved the ball on them. So the Seahawks, as as
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: as much as I love to get off the train now,
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: because again, that was peak Sehawks last week, like forty
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: eight points. That was usually when I usually fade. I
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: usually fade those teams. Right, they won four eight points
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: on the road. Now they're on the road again against
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: New Orleans. But man, I just orlengs to me. It's
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: just got major problems. I'm hoping it's Winston too. Like
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: Andy Dalton actually looks like he can move the hall
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: compared to Winston. Um. That's the only reason I think
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: this spread hasn't moved because I think pros are banking
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: on it being uh Andy Dalton. So the pros are
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: coming on the Saints, But I'm cool going to the
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: public here on Seattle. I also just feel like it
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: should be three points to say, haven't proven it. You know,
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: they've got a good defense, but they haven't proven it
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: in any way. Next game up, Texans, who burned us
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: last week. We overvalued the Texans, We undervalued the Chargers.
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: I overplayed Rashawn Slater being out, Joey Bosa being out,
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: justin Herbert Herding, the Texans being competitive and being back
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: at home. All that said, they had a shot. Like
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: the Jaguars against the Eagles. Both of these teams we loved.
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: They both had shots, and their quarterbacks, their young quarterbacks,
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: just gave it up. Right. So now the Texans are
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: seven and a half point underdogs on the road at
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville Divisional game. Jacksonville, to me, all of a sudden,
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: is getting more love than they probably should. Yeah. Also,
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: I can't believe how good they are, Like again, they
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: had all those turnovers and they were in it to
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: that final drive against the Eagles. They're just they're damn good.
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: Man Like watching their tape again today, it's a lot
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: of things they could One defense is crazy annoying, and
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: they just have all these little weapons on offense between
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: two different running backs and the just the wide receiving
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: corps is good. It's Trevor Lawrence clearly looks horrible on
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: the weather, like those fumbles he had. Dude, two hands
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: on the ball is like one of the first things
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: you learned, let alone in the rain. Like he's running
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: around one handed in the rain. He'll grow, he'll learn
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: from that. Uh, we're not expecting rain here in Jacksonville,
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: so I guess people are gonna assume that. Yeah, I
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: would build over to Houston. I do like it, but
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: it's more like Chad just seve. This just feels an
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: inflated number, Like if this is six, I can't lie
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: probably on Jacksonville. The fact that it's seven in a
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: divisional game. Houston can move the ball. We've like even
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: against the charges, they were moving the ball. They just
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: weren't finishing those drives. They might have the best brook
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: your running back in football right now, Damian Pierce. So yeah,
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: I honestly would take Houston here with each olt, I
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: could see us put this one into because it's it's
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: gonna be. It's at seven right now. The public and
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: everyone's pounding Jacksonville. They're gonna be teasing them too. Books.
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: Give us seven and a half, give us, give us
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: a little seven a half. So I'll wait. That's why
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: I'm not making my Simon says, but I do think
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: we're better to get a seven and a half year
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: um as the public keeps betting this one up. By
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: the way, I'm seeing seven a half. Yeah, so again,
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: if you if you could grab that would huh just
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: a nice number. And in this kind of matchup, would
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: you make it your Simon says, at seven and a half,
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: you just said if it was seven and a half,
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: you would make it that I would, But I got
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: it at seven right now? Are you looking at Fandel?
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: That's how I go off of I'm a company company man. Listen,
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: you're a company guy, and that's totally cool. I you
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: know what I like to do. I like to certain
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: the people. I'm a man of the people, and I'm
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: saying you can find this line at plus seven and
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: a half. You might not find it a FanDuel. I'm
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: not going to go out and say where you could
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: find it, but I would say that if you are
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: betting legally, there are places to find the Texans plus
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: seven and a half. Well, let that be a personal
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: tast already got Simon says, circle it's already one you
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: love too, so I know it's I'm hoping you're not
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: gonna try to steal for your executive play Um Titans
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: on the road at the Commanders. I mean the Commanders
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: do not deserve our respect as three point home underdogs,
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: and the Titans do not deserve our respect is two
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: and a half point road favorites. This is a corner
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: TV game. I'm off I'm just gonna bet the Titans
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: in the simple fact that everything I read is the
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: team has quit arm Rivera in Washington, and like, let
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: me make some money off that. Because I stayed away.
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: I think I lost money on against the Eagles. Stayed
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: away last week because it was just like again I
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: just didn't trust their old line against defense, the Dallas
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: defensive line. And then this week it's just kind of
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: the same feeling of weird number Tennessee is just good,
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: like they're not great, They're not like this team that's
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: gonna I still I still think Jacks Will are the
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: class of the South. They're gonna win that division, the
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: Tennessee at end of the year being nine and eight
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: making the playoffs, just because it's a rebel and it's
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: just that kind of grit of a team. No one
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: will be shocked. Like that game last week. Members the
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: culture just classic Titans team. It's like they get a
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: big lead and they just grind out, holding a team
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: off the entire rest of the game. So I'm kind
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: of with you, chat. I wouldn't put this one in
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: our contest. I thought about it at two and a
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: half with Titans um because Washington Nassi is a true
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: train wreck. But at three I wouldn't put it in.
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: But again, this is when I bet right when it
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: came out, because I just I had to start buying
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: in onto all the rumors I'm hearing right now in
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: Washington that they've truly quit on their coach. Maybe they
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: quit on the coach because of the quarterback is a
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: fucking train wreck. That's that's also a high possibility. I
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: was watching that game and I don't know who the
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: broadcaster was, but Carson Wentz made one nice throw to
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: the back pylon that Johan Dotson caught. The announcer is like,
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: that's why you get Carson Wentz to be your quarterback?
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: Are you kidding me? Dude? Have we been watching the
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: same guy for the past couple of years That he
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: makes one throw that every quarterback practices a thousand times
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: a day. That is a smart touch bass to a
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: spot in the back of the end zone. And you're
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: fucking losing yourself over that past and all of a
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: sudden he's a Hall of Famer. Come on, man, you
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: can't have any credibility when you're talking like that. Um,
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: did you want to put Houston on our list of
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: five because right now we only have Seattle plus five
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: and a half? Yeah in Miami, but again in Miami one.
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: We're kind of gonna wait and see what that ends up.
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: That I would put my Ami at three and a
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: half two. Okay, all right, well you know how I
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: feel about the Dolphins two thousand, two thousand, a twenty
• 37:49
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• 38:33
  Speaker 1: dot com slash favorites. Bears at the Vikings, Bears plus seven.
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: Let's say this team is dreadful, and if it wasn't
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: for the Vikings, who just don't know how to close
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: out a game, this would be an automatic take the
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: favorite for me. That's why that's other way for me.
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: Automatic take the bears here. Yeah, like I'm not taking that.
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: I don't have an opinion on this game. I don't
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: feel strongly about it. I bet it just because I
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: thought that seven was gonna disappear quick. But luckily it's
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: still out there in case anyone wants it. But grabbed
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: the seven, or you can just wait and hope he
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: gets seven and a half. Um, Bears are awful. They
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: drafted awful. We thought they're gonna be the worst teams
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: coming to the season. Now they are, and everyone's big way.
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: I think it goes Houston and then the Bears probably
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: or or I guess Seattle. But again I think Seattle
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: people gonna start giving them more respect um because that
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: officers them feel that flukey. But the Bears, they just
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: I know, man, I'm I'm with you. It's like, I
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: want to put this one in, but I know comes Sundayn.
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: I'm just not gonna like, I'm gonna love other games
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: more than this one. But this is such a pro bet.
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: Every time you kind of make this one of the
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: Bears here a divisional game more than seven points. With
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: Kirk in this position, he usually screws up and it's
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: usually a close game at the end, and he's either
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: win or they give up. Some jump touchdown just because
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: the Likings defense isn't that good. So that's that's a
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: lot of points for a Bears team that I just yeah,
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: I want to I don't want to shoot on them
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: too hard, but they just I just have no hope
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: for them going forward. I don't I don't know what
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: they're building off of going forward. Where justin fields, I
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: don't is it him Chad, Like when you watch him play,
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: do you think it's him? You think it's coaching, because
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: I don't. I don't know what to do with him.
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: They're not really doing anything on offense that's any kind
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: of creat like creative imaginary football. Well, look, I think
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: number one, they still aren't protecting him at all. So
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: I think he's he's at that tipping point of shell
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: shot and I think he's not getting protection. He doesn't
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: have playmakers to help him on the outside, he doesn't
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: have great running backs, the play calling is really uncreative,
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: so he's kind of jammed. And I worry that he's
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: a kid who is getting thrown into the wild and
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: it's just gonna lose his mojo for lack of a
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: better term, like the euphoria when the Bears drafted justin
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: fields because of how good he was at Ohio State,
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: the jumping, the hugging, the joy that we felt in
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: my house that I know every other Bears fan felt.
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: That's dissipating. You're seeing him get a little bit snoopy
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: with reporters now who are not asking stupid questions. He's
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: super frustrated. It's a bad offense and he's in a
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: bad spot. I'm worried about him. Yeah, it's just too
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: bad that these Bears fans didn't listen to one of
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: the smartest shows out there and the favorites where I
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: came here and told them, in Ohio State's entire history,
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: they don't produce good quarterbacks, and the Bears entire history,
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: they don't draft good quarterbacks. So as much as I
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: say we didn't see this coming, it's honestly it was
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: never gonna work. I just the Bears are cursed. You
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: guys cannot draft quarterbacks, and when you do, you're right.
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: You didn't build. You didn't put the team there for
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: him to succeed. So he's got two years left to
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: really do something. But if they don't give him an
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: offensive line and some weapons, he's got no hope. So
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: it's just I just feel bad for Bears fans. It
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: doesn't feel like this is a water two year fixed.
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: This feels like a three or four or five year
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: tear it all down, building back up kind of fixed. Meanwhile,
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: you're taking the Bears plus seven. Yep, yep, yea the numbers.
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: I'm not feeling it, but we can talk about it
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: for the contest for sure. Let's let's leave it on
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: the side for now. Like to me, Seattle, Miami, for sure,
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: Houston is a possibility. Bears to me is on the
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: outside looking in. This next game, Chargers visiting the Browns,
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: Browns three point underdogs at home. Executive decision, the choice
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: between the unthinkable and the impossible, ex executive decision. Yeah,
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: that was gonna be my seven says. That's why I
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: said it first, because I had a feelings. Come on,
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: it's a no brainer. It's a no brainer. It's a
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: no brainer. Literally, the very first bet I made on
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: Sunday night, Browns plus three put it on the board.
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: In the contest, I barely touched it because I'm hoping
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: to get the three and a half. Public is gonna
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: be all over the charges. They think all is right.
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: Big win for the Chargers last week against the divisional
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: team Cleveland. Every one of their grandma was on them
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: last week. That's why we talked about we loved Atlanta.
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: Cleveland's down Miles Garrett Clowney then another d Linement down.
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: How was allow for them to overcome this bad They
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: just had bad luck in the Red Show. They just
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: for some reason couldn't get it right. The best running
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: back on football right now is Nick cho There's just
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: no other way to go about it. This guy is
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: on another level this season. And a Chargers team that
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: can't stop the run going on the road outdoors, and
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: you know Cleveland, Chad. Chad made theseiest bet of the
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: week like this. This was a no brainer first one
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: I bet probably gonna be my biggest bet of the week.
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: I can't wait to lose a ton of Myron Burssett
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: against Herbert. I got to do it. Just play the
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: number here. It's a great matchup for Cleveland coming off
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: a loss, and I'll eat some crow. I I thought
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: Cleveland was not gonna be that good this year again.
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: I was all about it next year with Watson. If
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: Watson comes back, like I hate to admit, it this team,
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: if they make it in at nine and eight, ten
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: and seven, I would not want to be playing them
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs. Like they got a good defense and
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: the best running back on football and then Watson back.
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: That's that's a good team. They are built there in
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: the Browns. Uh. It's interesting in that division. Again, I
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: don't want to give them out, but I'm not gonna lie.
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: I've been thinking about it. I'm just gonna keep waiting
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: and see that. I hope they drop a couple more
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: games to get a better number. But Brett Browns are good.
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: I'll give them credit. They are a good team this year.
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: Really fundamentally sound I like him at every level. Yeah,
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: other than their souls, they're they're bad people. But other
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: than that. Yeah, But isn't it interesting how that doesn't
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: get discussed anymore once the season starts. That's how it is, man.
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: I mean that. So again, I don't want to put
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: down the whole concussion thing. And I'm glad they're all
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: over on to h That's because it was a primetime game, right,
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: we just talked about there's a bunch of other players
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: we've got concussions this past week. But it's different when
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: it's the one game and it's that horrible image of
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: him doing that crap with his fingers. It's just we
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: all hated as fans, and it's great they're trying to
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: make it safer. Well, that's that's part of the game.
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: It's like they just these guys are using their heads
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: as weapons. That's kind of how it goes. I was
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: talking to a buddy of mine last night. He was
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: asking me why I thought the two of stuff was
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: sort of bringing this to the four more than concussions
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: of the past, and I said, it's because it was
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: a prime time game and it was video people could see.
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: And it's not dissimilar to what happened with Ray Rice,
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: you know, about a decade ago or so, when you
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: could see him hit his wife in a video. And
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: there have been plenty of cases of domestic violence and
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: assault by football players over the years. But when you
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: see it like that, it's really hard not to feel
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: personally aggrieved, to understand the impact and to have an opinion,
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: and to feel disgusted by it. UH forty Niners winners
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: last night against the Rams. On Monday night at the Panthers,
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: Niners four and a half point favorites in theory. This
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: is when you bet the Panthers. What's that, yeah, in theory? Right,
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: every time you bet the Panthers in theory. But we
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: know we're not betting the Panthers. Nope, nope, nope, nope,
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: no skip, thank you again. I'll end up probably end
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: up having for niners a couple of teasers because Shanahan
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: always lets down in this spot and like wins, we
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: just doesn't cover in these positions. But man, talking about
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: to just two defensive battles, like, I would be all
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: over the I'll be all over the under. If Baker
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: wasn't so turnover happy, Baker could give the other team
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: twenty one points in five minutes. That's that's the fear
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: of betting under yours in Carolina matchups. But I'm gonna
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: take this under. I think both these defenses are really good. Um,
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: but for sides can't do it. Like Chad said, it's
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: just every ounce of our bodies yelling at us to
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: take Caroline here. The only reason we're not taking the
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: four nine. But forget that, like that team, they got nothing.
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: Cowboys visiting the aforementioned Rams four and a half point
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: underdogs at Los Angeles. Will it be Cooper Rush? Will
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: it be Dak Prescott? Probably gonna be Cooper Rush. Should
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: Cooper Rush be the quarterback from here on out? What
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: would the line be if it's Dak Prescott? Would it
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: be lower? Are you getting a better price if it's
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: being listed as Cooper Rush? Doesn't matter? Simon? How are
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: you stacking at these quarterbacks? How do you power rate?
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: This game? Ought to play for me on the Rams here,
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: Like there's just a no brainer bet where cowboys? That's fun?
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: They beat the Bengals in the last second win, which
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: was like more about the Bengals, right, they kind of
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: stunk that whole game up. Then what do they go
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: do they go beat the Giants? Who do we really
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: think the Giants are that good? Yea? Then they come
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: home they beat the Commanders. Come on, So now they're
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: on the road, getting all the public love, all the
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: public bets, all the public money against a Rams team
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: that just looked like absolutely donkey ship last night. It's
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: sometimes I don't even have to do the work. Like
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: I knew I was gonna have a big number on
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: this and it was minus six for me. Sure enough,
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: they hung a four or four and a half and
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: it was just a no brainer bet for me. Taking
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: the Rams here not fun, right because Stafford did get
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: pressure last night and you got going up against this
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: incredible d line of the Cowboys. But come on, this
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: is just two. There's two different worlds here. It's like
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: the top class of the NFC and the Rams playing
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: against a team that I just think they're overachieving right now,
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: and this is kind of where they come back to earth.
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: So Cowboys, I won't be shocked to see this number drops.
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: You could wait if you wanted to hope to get
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: a four here, but I'm gonna take it. Just got
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: I know other pros you have the numbers two and
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: just just defensively, this is a nice matchup scheme wise
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: for the Rams, and then offensively you just expect them
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: to actually dominate this Dallas defense that again, they just
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: haven't played against good offenses this year, really like they've
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: kind of gone away with playing teams out again. We're
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: sure the Bengals are that good, like they're they're kind
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: of one of these teams. I don't really know I
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: feel about the Bengals yet here. I do know, I
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: feel like I know exactly what I'm getting this RAMS
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: team that people are comparing the numbers of him and
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: Golf over the years. I hear you, like, golf has
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: looked really good this year. Come on, man, we're really
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: gonna just show on destroy Stafford after four weeks, Like
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: the guy just want to ring. He's had a couple
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: of tough matchups. He just hasn't played well. I kind
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: of threw that forty Niners game out, like, what is
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: the O and seven now McVeigh against Shanahan in the
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: regular season something crazy like that. It's can we just
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: throw that one out? I feel like the public is
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: taking too much away from this weekend instead of just
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: looking at both these teams. YEP, completely agree. I actually
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: wouldn't be uncomfortable putting this in the contest. Love it
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: all right, We'll put it in. Then it's on the board.
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: We got five games we like right now. I texted
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: you on Sunday night and said, it's gross that we
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: have to talk about the Cardinals at plus six when
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: they posted the line to host the Philadelphia Eagles. That
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: line is now five and a half moving in the
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: Cardinal's direction. Yeah, I guess that's pro money. I'm gonna
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: go against the pros this week, though I don't. I
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: do not see you with Arizona every anyway. Like they're
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: just they are bad, like they're just they're the coaching
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: is bad, they're they're bad. I can't get over how
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: bad their scheme is. And I watched these games and
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: it's just Kyler Murray's so good like whever, whenever they
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: get rid of Cliff and they if they bring in
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: some offensive mind, they're gonna be so lucky. Because again
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: I'm with people like I have no idea if this
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: kid studies, if he's lazy, if all he cares about
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: his fame and having the money, but his talent levels
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: out of this world Kyler Murray. So if you're betting
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: on that, you're betting on the Eagles have a letdown spot.
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: I get it, but I feel like that was that
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: letdown spot against the Jaguars. They just got lucky with
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: all the turnover and they kind of got out there
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: with a win. Arizona last seven home games, oh and
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: seven straight up and seven against the spread. It's something's
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: going on down there. They have some reason. They're good
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: on the road. You fade him at home? Um, I
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: just if the Eagles are getting ninety eight percent of
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: the money, ninety percent of the bets. I could probably
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: be swayed a little bit in this, being like, Okay,
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: I'm walking to a trap here the fact I'm getting
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: under a touchdown. What again? I think Cardinals are a
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: bottom five team the NFC, and the Eagles are a
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: top two, top three team. I'll take this number every time.
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: The Eagles are just more complete offensively and we're complete defensively. Um,
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: if you're scared, just take Eagles first half. Eagles four.
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: No first half bet I've been doing all year. That's
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: been really fun. Is Eagles money aligned with the Ravens
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: money line first half? Because again, our guys stuck. He
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: talked about it was what is the thirty seven now
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: and fourteen ye Um, Eagles were literally down fourteen nothing
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: and they came all the way back and won the
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: first half last week. So it's for some reason Nick
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: seriality can scheme it up first half. Again, we've seen
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: their question mark in the second half. So Chad's thinking
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: here probably is the back door, which a lot of
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: people are thinking of Arizona because this Egos team just
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: doesn't seem to put teams away, But man, I can't
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: I can't get on board underneath the touchdown with this
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: Arizona team. Bengals plus three at the Ravens. Look, it's
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: a divisional matchup, the two best teams in the division
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: in theory, until the Browns get get full complemented players
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: kind of a pass right like there's no there's no hook,
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: there's no there's nothing to play here. Simon says, the
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: Ravens love the number, love it. I would take it
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: up to four and a half. But you don't even
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: have to because the publics and just keep bending. The
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: Bengals last ship, the bang was absolutely whooped on the Ravens.
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: They dominated. I think they beat on both times, like
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: forty to seventeen, forty to ten or something like that.
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: The Ravens talked about it multiple times. Is Ball saw
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: multiple clips with them talking about it. How the Bengals
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: thought there hot? How do they think they're the new
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: runners of this division? That's personal. And a guy I
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: really respected last week said he didn't like the Raves.
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: He thought they'd be looking ahead of this Bengals matchup.
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: They didn't seem to be looking ahead, right. They played
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: the bill stuff that was just more they lady stinker
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: in that second half. And that's kind of been an
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: issue with this Ravens team. In a prime time game
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: at home after what we just saw against the Bills,
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: this is like a dream scenario for them against this
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: Bengals team that I think they're fraudulent, Like they just
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: have a lot of weaknesses. Take away the one or
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: two big plays that they made against Miami. They're probably
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: gonna lose that game to Teddy covers like Teddy was
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: in that game. Me each id we're a little worried
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: coming down there about not covering like they were. They
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: were in until they threw that pick at the very
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: end of the game. Teddy so Lamar still to me
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: the best quarterback of football right now. I like this
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: bounce back spot. I like this matchup, and in fact,
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: that's a primetime game at home, and people are just
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: questioning this Ravens team right now when they should be
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: four and oh they're sitting here too. And two what
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: they spread me a four and out? Chat? Would you
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: make this spread five or six? So I just feel
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: like I'm getting a discount on a team that's had again,
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: let even talked about we have a whole luck metric.
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: Now at the Action Network, they've just been unlucky. This uh,
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: this Ravens team, and this is a good spot to
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: take a team against a Bengals team that seems like
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: they're getting kind of lucky these last couple of weeks. Here,
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: you totally just convinced me. Yeah, it's just just playing
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: the spot here. It's just again, if this was three
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: and a half chat, i'd probably with you where it's like,
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: you know what, I don't know if I feel comfortable
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: taking this in the contest. The fact you're sitting on
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: the three, it's like a worst case you gotta push here.
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: I love that number for this, this Ravens team. I
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: am about to unload on the Ravens. His favorites, the Rams,
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: his favorites, the Bills, his favorites, the Patriots, is favorites.
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: I can't fucking wait. The last thing I know we're
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: gonna talk about is that seven point favorites at the Raiders,
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: and I guarantee we're talking about taking the Chiefs. I
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: wish now it's all hold your nose, take the take
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: the Raiders. They always keep these games close for some reason.
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: You They've even pull the upside off a couple of times,
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: so money lyne around Robin, this was gonna be in
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: there for us. The Raiders they always always play Kansas
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: City tough in this spot. So what I do blindly
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: is to take the Raiders and I'll take the over
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: and just you can go through. You can in the
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: action app right now scroll down to this matchup, go
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: to head ahead, and you can see, like the last
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: five times they played, it's always over. They just play
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: for a ton of points. So um again, you never
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: know the weather, right, we can wait until we get
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: closer to the game. But to me, prime time over
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: rare for your frame, for your boy. This will be
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: one of them on this year this week. I just
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: I like, I like the Raiders had and how they
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: play against the Chiefs. And again we know what the
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: Chiefs are gonna do. They're gonna score, They're gonna put
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: up numbers. I just sevens a lot for a divisional
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: on it that plays you tough every time. So to me,
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: I me cha don't love waiting for the money that
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: we did it once already with the Eagles. We might
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: have to wait and have this in in this contest
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: just because it's such a good number total on this
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: game is fifty one right now, all right, I take
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: up the fifth and two and a half. All right,
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: So right now our foxhil with Seattle five and a half.
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: Simon says, take the Ravens minus three. Exact decision from
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: Chad Browns plus three survivor we're taking the bills. I
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: don't think we need to really discuss it. It's the
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: game on the board that you take this week, and
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: they got a division. I don't know one else to
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: be going to take them again. Yeah, right now the
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: games that we're sort of loving Seattle five and a half,
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: Houston plus seven and a half, Miami minus three and
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: a half, Browns plus three, Rams minus four and a half,
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: Ravens minus three. But we'll have a conversation on Thursday
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: and see do we add some in based on based
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: online moves, injury updates, sharp calls, all the things that
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: we ended up talking about on Thursday. As we get
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: closer to making the final five for a contest in
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: which we have yet to have a losing week. Heading
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: into week five, we're bringing back our favorite reviews that
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell has chosen. Matt tell Us, who won this week. Hi,
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: Thanks Chad. Wanted to give a special shout out to
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: reviewer Corey Como who gave us a great five star review. Corey,
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: you can go ahead and email me at podcasts at
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: action network dot com to claim your prize, and if
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: anybody has any feedback good or bad or they just
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: want to attack me or Chat or Simon personally, you
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: can also just email me anytime at podcasts at action
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: network dot com and speak to your piece. And speaking
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: of that, I do want to call out a one
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: star review we received claiming our show is making up
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: our own lines for the Phase five and begging us
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: first some honesty. Once again, as a reminder to all
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: our listeners, this show is presented by FanDuel, our beloved sponsor.
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: Each year, Chat and Simon participate in one of the
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: popular million dollar NFL picking pools. Because FanDuel doesn't run
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: a pool like that, we don't mention it by name,
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: but there are only about three pools like that out there,
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: So about thirty seconds of Google and can get you
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: your answer about what pool they're participating in. Chenn Simon's
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: official pool picks are logged about a half hour before
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: kickoff each week. Under the Phase five account on the
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: Action Network app. The lines in the contest are locked,
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: so while they may not be available at your sports
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: book on Sunday, they're not made up. They're just the
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: contest lines. But I get it. If they're not available,
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: you may not care about them, and that's fine because
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: we also give out about a half dozen other picks
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: every single week using the current available lines from fan duel.
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: These include the Foxhole, Simon Says, Executive Decision, Big Balls,
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: and Scooch Roulett. I logged these personally in full transparency
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: on the Action Network app under the Favorites podcast account,
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: but they are just the picks that are given out
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: verbatim on the podcast. Chen and Simon care about their
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: contest picks because there's a million dollars on the line,
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: but some listeners don't care, and that's totally fine. That's
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: what we give out and track these six other picks
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: every single week, so again, hope that clears things up.
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: Any questions just email me at podcasts at Action network
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: dot com and type in all caps if you want.
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: Thanks for the feedback and thanks for listening. This has
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: been the Favorites folks from the Volume podcast Network I
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: am Chad Melman. He is Simon Hunter for Matt Mitchell.
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: Download the podcast from Apple, podcast, from Spotify, wherever you
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: get your podcast. Please rate, review, and subscribe, leave us
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: five stars, say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift.
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: Until next time, I love you,