Who exactly is betting on prediction markets?
Prediction Markets: Inside Polymarket, Kalshi, Bots & User Behaviour
Today we're joined by James Dye, full node researcher at Surf AI, to dive deep into prediction markets and the data behind Polymarket and Kalshi.
We discuss:
Polymarket vs Kalshi
Crypto markets driving volume
Polymarket US growth
Prediction market turnover
Sports and crypto fee engines
Polymarket user growth and churn
Which markets onboard users?
Geopolitics and user retention
Cross-category user behaviour
Bots vs retail traders
Who actually makes money?
Prediction markets’ future
And much more—enjoy!
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Timestamps:
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The skinny
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