Latest / The Mark Belling Podcast / Mark Belling Podcast #110: It's the weekend Big One as Mark somehow uses a messed up horse race to explain the inevitability of the war with Iran. Lots more including: Are E-bikes really bikes?
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: The Mark Belling Podcast is presented by you Line for
- 0:08Speaker 1: quality shipping and industrial supplies. You Line has everything in stock.
- 0:12Speaker 1: Visit you line dot com. The Markbelling Podcast is a
- 0:16Speaker 1: production of iHeartRadio Podcasts.
- 0:22Speaker 2: All Right, I have to explain how the beginning of
- 0:25Speaker 2: today's program came about. I woke up at three forty
- 0:29Speaker 2: five this morning. I don't know why. I usually, like
- 0:32Speaker 2: when you wake up at that time, you're having a
- 0:34Speaker 2: dream or something, or you have to go to the can.
- 0:37Speaker 2: I don't know why I woke up. I just woke up.
- 0:41Speaker 2: My stomach was bothering me a little bit. And then
- 0:43Speaker 2: or you wake up in the middle of the night,
- 0:45Speaker 2: your stomach's bothering you. You're my age. All right? Is
- 0:47Speaker 2: this a heart attack? I determined in fifteen seconds it's
- 0:49Speaker 2: not a heart attack. And now I'm here. And when
- 0:55Speaker 2: I woke up, I woke up like awake, awake, not
- 0:57Speaker 2: the normal three forty five in the morning. We wake
- 0:59Speaker 2: up and you glance at the clock and fall right
- 1:01Speaker 2: back asleep. Within about two minutes, this idea occurs to
- 1:07Speaker 2: me about a topic for the show. Now, this is
- 1:14Speaker 2: my first test of this, because in all of my years,
- 1:16Speaker 2: I'm not sure that I ever actually did a topic
- 1:18Speaker 2: to open a program that occurred to me at three
- 1:22Speaker 2: forty five in the morning when I woke up. So
- 1:24Speaker 2: if it doesn't work, I'll learn in the future that
- 1:26Speaker 2: if I wake up at three forty five in the
- 1:28Speaker 2: morning and a topic occurs to me, not to do it.
- 1:31Speaker 2: But I like this idea, so here we go. Now.
- 1:35Speaker 2: One of the things that I talk about all the
- 1:37Speaker 2: time is the soul called perfect story. The perfect story
- 1:42Speaker 2: is and I even explained it already this week and
- 1:46Speaker 2: one of the earlier two podcasts of season two. Perfect
- 1:50Speaker 2: story is one of those stories that in and of
- 1:52Speaker 2: itself is interesting. You can think about it, analyze, it
- 1:57Speaker 2: makes sense. But more important than that, it raises larger
- 2:04Speaker 2: issues that apply to other things. It becomes a teaching moment.
- 2:11Speaker 2: Now you're thinking, Okay, you're gonna do one of those. No,
- 2:14Speaker 2: it's not exactly that, but it's close. This story is.
- 2:21Speaker 2: I'll describe it as it's true story. It's true news
- 2:24Speaker 2: story that I'm gonna be discussing for a few moments
- 2:26Speaker 2: and then get into something that I think is far
- 2:28Speaker 2: more important. But I need to use the first one
- 2:32Speaker 2: in order to make my point. It's a metaphor. Both
- 2:37Speaker 2: stories are true and you're going to hear my opinions
- 2:39Speaker 2: on them. But in thinking about the first one, I
- 2:44Speaker 2: realize that it totally explains the second. Now that you're
- 2:50Speaker 2: thoroughly confused, I'll straighten out your minds by telling you
- 2:53Speaker 2: about you Line. When it comes to shipping packaging, industrial
- 2:56Speaker 2: supplies and equipment, many suppliers offer endless isles of par
- 3:00Speaker 2: You line knows what you can't do with nlessiles of product.
- 3:04Speaker 2: Test the quality of each product and sure everything is
- 3:06Speaker 2: in stock and ready to ship the same day, and
- 3:09Speaker 2: have a team available twenty four to seven to answer
- 3:11Speaker 2: your product questions. You Line only carries supplies and equipment
- 3:15Speaker 2: they have tested, pried, and often used in their own
- 3:19Speaker 2: business experience The you Line difference today visit you line
- 3:25Speaker 2: dot com. Now here's the story. And if you're like
- 3:33Speaker 2: kind of bored by the story, stick with me, because
- 3:36Speaker 2: the takeaway from it it's critical to I mean, the
- 3:41Speaker 2: biggest point that I want to make it today's program story.
- 3:46Speaker 2: The horse racing Triple Crown consists of three races, the
- 3:50Speaker 2: Kentucky Derby, the Preakness, and the Belmont Stakes. The Kentucky
- 3:55Speaker 2: Derby is by far the one that is paid the
- 3:59Speaker 2: most attention to. It's an American institution. People who know
- 4:02Speaker 2: nothing about horse racing. Of derby parties, people who don't
- 4:05Speaker 2: know nothing about horse racing, check out my picks on
- 4:08Speaker 2: and on it. The Belmont Stakes, which is the last one,
- 4:13Speaker 2: is a big deal if a horse has won the
- 4:17Speaker 2: first two legs, the Derby and the Preakness, because then
- 4:20Speaker 2: they're going for the triple Crown, which is very, very
- 4:22Speaker 2: hard to do. It was won twice in the last
- 4:27Speaker 2: decade after not having been done since the nineteen seventies.
- 4:32Speaker 2: Very hard to do. It's always been hard to do.
- 4:36Speaker 2: The Preakness is the one in the middle. The Preakness
- 4:41Speaker 2: has become a debacle. For the second year in a row,
- 4:48Speaker 2: the Kentucky Derby winner is not going to run in
- 4:51Speaker 2: the Preakness. If you don't run on the Preaknice it
- 4:54Speaker 2: means you can't win a triple Crown. So you not
- 4:57Speaker 2: only have a Preakness that loses its appeal, the Belmont
- 5:01Speaker 2: Steaks won't have that big bump that you get when
- 5:03Speaker 2: you have a horse running for a chance to win
- 5:05Speaker 2: the triple Crown. Because if the Derby winner doesn't run
- 5:07Speaker 2: in the Preakness, nobody can win the Triple Crown. Why
- 5:14Speaker 2: wouldn't the Derby winner run in the Preakness? Again, For
- 5:18Speaker 2: those of you who don't care about this issue, just
- 5:20Speaker 2: bear with me on this because there's an important point
- 5:23Speaker 2: that's going to be my takeaway that's going to apply
- 5:24Speaker 2: to a much bigger story. Like almost everything else, horse
- 5:31Speaker 2: racing has changed. It used to be that horses raced
- 5:36Speaker 2: all the time. You could have horses and the Kentucky Derby,
- 5:42Speaker 2: Prictice and Belmont Stakes are restricted to three year olds.
- 5:45Speaker 2: Horses start racing when they're two. You used to have
- 5:49Speaker 2: horses running in the Derby who had run fifteen or
- 5:51Speaker 2: twenty times already. Now it's common this year there was
- 5:55Speaker 2: a horse that had run only two times. Three four
- 5:59Speaker 2: and five are very common, and often some of those
- 6:03Speaker 2: three four or five occur last year when they're two
- 6:05Speaker 2: year olds. Top elite race horses and those are the
- 6:11Speaker 2: ones that run in these big stakes. I don't mean
- 6:13Speaker 2: the average horse that's running on a Thursday afternoon. It's
- 6:16Speaker 2: some track you know on Ohio. Top Elite horses have
- 6:22Speaker 2: their races now spaced way out. Most trainers, not all
- 6:28Speaker 2: but most trainers believe that the less you race a
- 6:33Speaker 2: top horse, the likelier you will you are to get
- 6:37Speaker 2: a top performance when the horse does race, and when
- 6:43Speaker 2: you win a horse race you get sixty percent of
- 6:45Speaker 2: the purse. It just makes more sense in their mind
- 6:48Speaker 2: to try to get a top performance but running the
- 6:50Speaker 2: horse infrequently, to run it all the time and get
- 6:54Speaker 2: a bunch of second, third, fourth, fifth, ninth places and
- 6:56Speaker 2: so on. There are a million theories as to why
- 7:01Speaker 2: this is changed. Some believe the breed is more frail.
- 7:07Speaker 2: Some believe that horses are now trained way too hard,
- 7:14Speaker 2: that in the old days they just had them gallop
- 7:16Speaker 2: a lot and the races therefore wouldn't take as much
- 7:19Speaker 2: out of them. But why it's happening doesn't matter. The
- 7:23Speaker 2: fact of the matter is is that it has changed,
- 7:25Speaker 2: and the trend has continued year after year after year
- 7:29Speaker 2: for the last number of years. The Preakness, which comes
- 7:32Speaker 2: two weeks that's the key. After the Kentucky Derby, you
- 7:38Speaker 2: would normally the Preakness became a really weak race. Because
- 7:41Speaker 2: you had the Derby. You can up to twenty horses run,
- 7:44Speaker 2: and everybody wants to run on the Derby if they
- 7:45Speaker 2: have a horse that's eligible because the Derby is so prestigious.
- 7:48Speaker 2: You know, when the Derby, what incentive do you have
- 7:51Speaker 2: to come back in two weeks with a horse that
- 7:54Speaker 2: just ran to this incredibly difficult race and throw them
- 7:57Speaker 2: into the stupid Preakness. So the only horse that came
- 7:59Speaker 2: out of the Derby that would run would often be
- 8:01Speaker 2: the derby winner, maybe one or two others from the Derby,
- 8:06Speaker 2: and that's it, and then just a bunch of other
- 8:09Speaker 2: horses that didn't make the Derby would oppose it. The
- 8:13Speaker 2: reason the Derby winner would run was the only way
- 8:16Speaker 2: you can win the Triple Crown is you have to
- 8:18Speaker 2: win the Preakness after winning the Derby. And that became
- 8:21Speaker 2: such an incentive because every horse owner and trainer and
- 8:24Speaker 2: jack every dream of winning the Triple Crown because it's
- 8:27Speaker 2: so hard, it's so rare to do. Last year's trainer
- 8:33Speaker 2: and owner, big time trainer, big time owner, had a
- 8:36Speaker 2: horse named Sovereign to running the Derby and they made
- 8:40Speaker 2: a decision shortly after the Derby. This horse just went
- 8:44Speaker 2: through a brutal for not going to run him in
- 8:46Speaker 2: two weeks, we have a horse for the long term. Yeah,
- 8:50Speaker 2: he's gonna race again this year and maybe next and
- 8:52Speaker 2: maybe the year after that. Why wreck him. Plus, we
- 8:57Speaker 2: don't think you can win if he runs back in
- 8:59Speaker 2: two weeks, so they didn't run them. The same thing
- 9:03Speaker 2: has happened this year. We had a surprise winner of
- 9:05Speaker 2: the Kentucky Derby. Horse that came from way way way
- 9:08Speaker 2: back and an oddly run race, won the race. His
- 9:13Speaker 2: trainer announced yesterday we're not going to run in the
- 9:15Speaker 2: previous For years now, this is where I'm getting to
- 9:20Speaker 2: my point. For years this has been discussed within the
- 9:24Speaker 2: horse racing community. There's been a problem with not enough
- 9:28Speaker 2: horses wanting to run on the Preakness for years, but
- 9:32Speaker 2: now it's reached critical mass for even the Derby winner
- 9:35Speaker 2: doesn't want to run the Preakness. The likeliest scenario, based
- 9:39Speaker 2: on the news that we have right now is of
- 9:41Speaker 2: the nineteen horses that ran in the Kentucky Derby, only
- 9:44Speaker 2: one is pointed to the practice, a horse named o'celly,
- 9:47Speaker 2: a long shot that finished third in the Derby. Nobody
- 9:50Speaker 2: else the Derby winner isn't going to be the second
- 9:55Speaker 2: place horse that's going to be there, and none of
- 9:57Speaker 2: the other horses from the Derby are going to be there,
- 10:00Speaker 2: probably have this horse named Nocelli, and then a bunch
- 10:03Speaker 2: of other horses. It's now a second tier race. It's
- 10:08Speaker 2: part of the Triple Crown, but not really. Many of
- 10:11Speaker 2: the Derby horses will come back and run in the
- 10:15Speaker 2: Belmont Stakes. That's the race in New York. It's three
- 10:18Speaker 2: weeks after the Breakdous meeting. There's a five week separation
- 10:21Speaker 2: between the Derby and the Belmont Stakes, and five weeks
- 10:24Speaker 2: is what horse trainers are much more comfortable with than two.
- 10:28Speaker 2: So this is this has been developing for years, and
- 10:33Speaker 2: it's been talked about for years that you need to
- 10:36Speaker 2: change the schedule to reflect the reality of how horses
- 10:40Speaker 2: are now trained and how they run. I mean, I'm
- 10:43Speaker 2: telling you it's been talked about for years, and whenever
- 10:46Speaker 2: it's talked about other people will you know they're traditional
- 10:49Speaker 2: as well. But this is the way it's been. Actually
- 10:51Speaker 2: it's not the way it's always been. These races are
- 10:54Speaker 2: all over one hundred and fifty years old. If you
- 10:57Speaker 2: go back to the one hundred and fifty years of this,
- 10:58Speaker 2: there's nothing sacred about Preakness two weeks later in the
- 11:01Speaker 2: Belmont three weeks later, there was a year way back
- 11:04Speaker 2: in the old days in which the Prectice has run
- 11:06Speaker 2: like four days after the Derby. It's been changed around
- 11:09Speaker 2: a lot. It's just been this way for about forty
- 11:11Speaker 2: or fifty years. But there's no reason it can't be changed.
- 11:15Speaker 2: There's changes and dates of everything. Every other sport makes
- 11:18Speaker 2: changes all the time. The NFL once had twelve games,
- 11:21Speaker 2: and it was fourteen. Now they would have got to eighteen.
- 11:24Speaker 2: Look at college football, they didn't have a playoff, they
- 11:26Speaker 2: didn't never tournament. You can change something if it makes
- 11:29Speaker 2: sense to change it, and I think most people knew
- 11:33Speaker 2: that it had to be changed, but they just didn't
- 11:36Speaker 2: do it. Well, it'll be okay. It'll be okay. It'll
- 11:40Speaker 2: be okay, it'll be can't You'll be okay. I believe
- 11:43Speaker 2: this will be the final straw. I believe by next
- 11:47Speaker 2: year the date of the Preakness will be pushed back.
- 11:49Speaker 2: I predict that it'll be at least one week later,
- 11:52Speaker 2: meaning three weeks after the Derby, which means you'd run
- 11:54Speaker 2: the Belmont Stakes three weeks after that. I think even
- 12:00Speaker 2: that isn't enough. The Derby is always run on the
- 12:02Speaker 2: first Saturday and May My solution is run the Preakness
- 12:06Speaker 2: on the first Saturday in June and the Belmont Steaks
- 12:08Speaker 2: on the first Saturday in July. It would be very
- 12:11Speaker 2: easy for everyone to remember, create better spacing between the
- 12:14Speaker 2: races and increase the likelihood of more of the top
- 12:21Speaker 2: horses running in two or all three of the races.
- 12:24Speaker 2: Some people say that that would make winning the Triple
- 12:26Speaker 2: Crown easier. Actually I think it would make it harder.
- 12:29Speaker 2: Here's why. When you do have a Derby winner that
- 12:32Speaker 2: comes back and runs in the Preakness, they often face
- 12:35Speaker 2: a really weak field because, as I say, nobody else runs.
- 12:40Speaker 2: So now you go into the Belmont Steaks having knocked
- 12:43Speaker 2: off the first two. Bob Baffert, who won the Triple Crown,
- 12:48Speaker 2: controversial trainer back in the twenty teens twice the Preakness
- 12:53Speaker 2: is the easiest race for his horses to run, win
- 12:56Speaker 2: both times. So he then went into the If you
- 12:58Speaker 2: have a loaded Preakness, that a loaded Belmont, they become
- 13:01Speaker 2: harder for those races to win than the current Anyway,
- 13:05Speaker 2: without regard to whether it's a good idea or not,
- 13:07Speaker 2: my point is this, now they're going to finally change
- 13:10Speaker 2: because they have to because the Preakness this year is
- 13:12Speaker 2: a disaster. In fact, everything about it is a disaster.
- 13:16Speaker 2: The Preakness is normally run in Baltimore. It's not going
- 13:19Speaker 2: to be run at the track that it's running in Baltimore, Piblical,
- 13:22Speaker 2: It's going to be run outside of Washington, DC. Why
- 13:25Speaker 2: they're ripping down the track in Baltimore and rebuilding it.
- 13:29Speaker 2: In fact, the Belmont Stakes isn't at Belmont Park in
- 13:32Speaker 2: New York this year. They rip down Belmont Park and
- 13:35Speaker 2: they're rebuilding it. That'll be ready for next year, and
- 13:39Speaker 2: the Preakness will be back in Baltimore next year. So
- 13:41Speaker 2: the practice at this track outside of Washington, d C.
- 13:44Speaker 2: Is going to have attendance limited to three thousand people
- 13:46Speaker 2: because that's all I can handle. It's going to have
- 13:48Speaker 2: a nothing field of races. It's just a mass. So
- 13:54Speaker 2: here's where we're going with this. It is one more
- 13:58Speaker 2: example of putting off what you've known you should have
- 14:06Speaker 2: dealt with. We all do this on lots of things.
- 14:11Speaker 2: There are any number of things that are personal lives
- 14:15Speaker 2: in corporate lives. You see it in American business all
- 14:18Speaker 2: the time. We're companies because they're concerned about the performance
- 14:22Speaker 2: for the next quarter, don't make a long term decision
- 14:26Speaker 2: that may affect say, your profitability in the short term,
- 14:28Speaker 2: but in the long terms and the best interests of
- 14:30Speaker 2: the company. People do it all the time. People who
- 14:35Speaker 2: have addictions know that they don't need to go in
- 14:37Speaker 2: for treatment or help, but they put it off and
- 14:39Speaker 2: put it off until they wreck their lives. People that
- 14:43Speaker 2: are in bad relationships, people that are looking the other
- 14:46Speaker 2: way with the kids of a drug problem. You could
- 14:48Speaker 2: go on and on and on with this. Horse Racing
- 14:57Speaker 2: is very predictable in not making changes until after it's
- 15:01Speaker 2: too late, when they now have to because horse racing
- 15:04Speaker 2: doesn't have a single leader, there's not a commissioner. It's
- 15:07Speaker 2: a slot like sport at which change never happens fast enough.
- 15:13Speaker 2: But let's face it, reality is we procrastinate on things.
- 15:18Speaker 2: We don't address things until it's too late. Remember the
- 15:22Speaker 2: Y two K thing. For everybody was terrified when nineteen
- 15:26Speaker 2: ninety nine became two thousand that all the computers were
- 15:28Speaker 2: going to screw up and the world was going to
- 15:30Speaker 2: come to an end. No one knows if we didn't
- 15:32Speaker 2: do anything about it, whether that would have happened or not.
- 15:35Speaker 2: But what happened in the year to two years prior
- 15:38Speaker 2: to the year two thousand, companies spent fortunes upgrading their
- 15:42Speaker 2: computer systems to make sure that they could handle the
- 15:45Speaker 2: four the change in the fourth digit of the year,
- 15:48Speaker 2: which they originally were not set up to do. And
- 15:51Speaker 2: nothing really happened. But there were billions that were spent
- 15:54Speaker 2: on this all at the last minute. And you could say,
- 15:57Speaker 2: why this is. You've got some corporate CEO in the
- 15:59Speaker 2: state in the you're nineteen ninety two, all right, two
- 16:01Speaker 2: thousand's coming up, eight years and now we ought to
- 16:03Speaker 2: get to work on this. But that means they'd be
- 16:05Speaker 2: spending money now. They're all judged on how their numbers
- 16:08Speaker 2: are in this quarter, in this quarter, Why spend the
- 16:10Speaker 2: money now? I have set up the following topic. How
- 16:20Speaker 2: long have I been going on and on and on
- 16:21Speaker 2: about this? If I've been on for like nine minutes,
- 16:23Speaker 2: now ten minutes a little over ten, only I can
- 16:29Speaker 2: take more time setting up a point than the actual
- 16:32Speaker 2: point that it's made. Here's what we am. I don't
- 16:36Speaker 2: remember when I first sat on my old radio program.
- 16:41Speaker 2: It seems to me that it was at least fifteen
- 16:44Speaker 2: years ago. I think it was the beginning of Obama,
- 16:47Speaker 2: which should have been oh nine somewhere around there. It
- 16:52Speaker 2: might have been a little bit later than the beginning
- 16:54Speaker 2: of his administration. But I said, and people who are
- 16:57Speaker 2: longtime listeners of the old radio show have probably heard
- 17:00Speaker 2: me say this fifty or sixty times, I said, it's
- 17:07Speaker 2: inevitable that the United States is going to go to
- 17:09Speaker 2: war with Iran. You go back to two thousand and nine,
- 17:14Speaker 2: it was inevitable. The question was simply going to be
- 17:21Speaker 2: when are we going to do it? And are we
- 17:25Speaker 2: going to wait so long that it will be helly?
- 17:30Speaker 2: Shall we do it? And the longer you wait, the
- 17:34Speaker 2: worse it's going to be. And my theory on this
- 17:38Speaker 2: was everyone knew that Iran way back then was working
- 17:43Speaker 2: on nuclear weapons, and everyone knew that Iran was the
- 17:49Speaker 2: bankroller of most terror organizations in the Middle East. If
- 17:57Speaker 2: Iran became nuclear and Iran, can you to be the
- 18:00Speaker 2: backer of terrorist groups? My conclusion was simply, Iran will
- 18:05Speaker 2: give their nukes to terrorist groups and you're going to
- 18:08Speaker 2: have mass slaughter all over the planet, and at some
- 18:14Speaker 2: point we're going to have to make sure that that
- 18:16Speaker 2: doesn't happen. Then Obama came up with his idea. Obama,
- 18:22Speaker 2: who I think wasn't a sympathizer for Iran, I think
- 18:24Speaker 2: he was simply pro radiant. Obama cut he is so
- 18:27Speaker 2: called nuclear deal that never stopped Iran from developing nuclear weapons,
- 18:33Speaker 2: just said we're going to pretend to slow the whole
- 18:35Speaker 2: thing down, and exchange sent a plane load a jet,
- 18:40Speaker 2: big cargo jet filled with palettes of cash in order
- 18:46Speaker 2: to seal the deal. They got all that money, and
- 18:52Speaker 2: as we know, they continue to develop their nuclear program.
- 18:57Speaker 2: Trump tried to address this threat last year when he
- 19:02Speaker 2: bombed their nuclear facilities. So far as we can tell,
- 19:05Speaker 2: he set them back, but didn't wipe it out. And secondly,
- 19:12Speaker 2: he didn't wipe out the knowledge base of all of
- 19:14Speaker 2: the people that were developing the program, meaning they were
- 19:17Speaker 2: going to start over or pick up with whatever was
- 19:23Speaker 2: left over. In other words, the need was still there.
- 19:33Speaker 2: People are debating whether or not this war with Iran
- 19:37Speaker 2: is in the best interests of the United States or not,
- 19:40Speaker 2: and my answer is that it is in inevitability. You
- 19:48Speaker 2: can't have the war after they get nukes, because if
- 19:53Speaker 2: you have the war after they get nukes and they
- 19:56Speaker 2: feel as though they're going to lose undeniably, they will
- 20:00Speaker 2: fire off their nukes. Once the nuclear weapon is available
- 20:09Speaker 2: to Iran, the entire world changes, and the long term
- 20:13Speaker 2: survivability of every man, woman, child, animal on the planet
- 20:17Speaker 2: is in doubt. Every president since Jimmy Carter has been
- 20:35Speaker 2: staring at this inevitability. The old government of Iran, the Shah,
- 20:41Speaker 2: fell in the nineteen seventies. Carter was the president. Right
- 20:46Speaker 2: after it fell, they started making trouble with the United States.
- 20:51Speaker 2: They rated our embassy, took about fifty Americans hostage, and
- 20:59Speaker 2: held them until Ronald Reagan became president. I think they
- 21:02Speaker 2: released them when Reagan became president because I think they
- 21:05Speaker 2: feared that Reagan would attack them. They released the hostages
- 21:11Speaker 2: so Reagan didn't attack. Eight years went along, Iran continued
- 21:14Speaker 2: to make trouble, supporting terror here, attacking an American ship here,
- 21:20Speaker 2: and there. Continued past Reagan into Bush. Got worse during Clinton,
- 21:27Speaker 2: but they didn't have nukes, so there was always something
- 21:31Speaker 2: more important to do. And well, they don't have nukes, now,
- 21:37Speaker 2: what's the big deal. Then w Bush came in nine
- 21:40Speaker 2: to eleven, occurred somebody else in the Middle East appeared
- 21:44Speaker 2: to be even more troublesome than Iran. Iran doesn't appear
- 21:47Speaker 2: to have had any links of this. Al Qaeda was
- 21:51Speaker 2: backed by the children of rich people from Saudi Arabia.
- 21:55Speaker 2: There may have been some linkage in retrospect, probably stretch
- 22:00Speaker 2: to Iraq. So we attacked Afghanistan where El Kaita was,
- 22:05Speaker 2: We attacked Iraq and did the whole thing again some
- 22:13Speaker 2: years later. In the meantime, this thing just kept churning
- 22:18Speaker 2: and churning and churning. Now Obama comes in uses Iran's
- 22:22Speaker 2: nuclear threat as cover for doing what he's wanted to do,
- 22:28Speaker 2: which is send Iran a fortune in money. And then
- 22:34Speaker 2: he said it because I have this deal to make
- 22:36Speaker 2: them back off their nuclear obligation. Except that's not what
- 22:39Speaker 2: the deal did. He just said that that's what it did,
- 22:43Speaker 2: knowing full well that Iran wasn't going to back off,
- 22:45Speaker 2: and they got all this cash. Time goes along. It's
- 22:51Speaker 2: Trump's first term. When Trump ran at sixteen, he said,
- 22:56Speaker 2: I'll never let Iran have a nuclear weapon. Well, they
- 23:00Speaker 2: didn't come that close during Trump's first term, so he
- 23:03Speaker 2: didn't do anything about it. Then decrepit old Joe Biden
- 23:09Speaker 2: got thrown in there with his radicals running the administration,
- 23:13Speaker 2: all right, now our end's getting closer. They're enriching uranium.
- 23:16Speaker 2: They have all these facilities. They didn't do anything about it.
- 23:26Speaker 2: Trump comes in, The intelligence is pretty strong that their
- 23:31Speaker 2: facilities that we hit last year were getting really close
- 23:35Speaker 2: to having nuclear weapons. Trump hit those facilities, got very
- 23:39Speaker 2: little criticism. All these people on the right that are
- 23:44Speaker 2: attacking him now, the Megan Kelly crowd, they didn't say anything.
- 23:49Speaker 2: I watched Megan Kelly then before she lost at least
- 23:53Speaker 2: half her marbles. She said she used the word balls,
- 23:56Speaker 2: Trump and the balls to do it. Everybody else threatened
- 23:59Speaker 2: to do any of the ball city too. It. Well, unfortunately,
- 24:03Speaker 2: it didn't solve the problem. In the meantime, we noticed
- 24:10Speaker 2: that there was insurrection going on in Iran. People were
- 24:15Speaker 2: starting to protest openly in the streets, defying this government.
- 24:20Speaker 2: Extremely rare because this government is known to slaughter civilians
- 24:24Speaker 2: who say the wrong thing, kill people for no reason.
- 24:27Speaker 2: Yet they were openly doing it. Very reminiscent in my
- 24:31Speaker 2: mind of Tianaman Square, China nineteen eighty nine. How did
- 24:35Speaker 2: Tianaman Square end? The Chinese killed everybody. Through the American
- 24:40Speaker 2: news meeting, the cameras out and they slaughtered everyone. There
- 24:44Speaker 2: aren't really any many cameras in Iran now. The strong
- 24:49Speaker 2: belief is that Iran killed the ball. The thought is
- 24:53Speaker 2: about forty thousand people were killed, which means, of course
- 24:57Speaker 2: the people in Iran who are protesting are angrier than
- 25:00Speaker 2: ever now, but they're terrified. They don't know what to do.
- 25:04Speaker 2: Trump made the decision that this now is the time
- 25:08Speaker 2: to strike, and he gave Iran every opportunity. Remember there
- 25:13Speaker 2: were negotiations before this war began. Give up your nukes.
- 25:20Speaker 2: Iran didn't do it. As I said, I believe that
- 25:29Speaker 2: this war is inevitable. The nightmare is if the war
- 25:36Speaker 2: occurs after it's too late. Iran gets a nuke, nukes,
- 25:42Speaker 2: Israel nukes, Saudi Arabia nukes, the Emirates maybe gets a
- 25:51Speaker 2: nuke long enough that they can fire it into Europe,
- 25:55Speaker 2: nukes out. Egypt makes itself the king of the Middle
- 25:58Speaker 2: East by killing everybody, or worse, they give the soul
- 26:03Speaker 2: called pocket sized nukes, the nukes and a suitcase to
- 26:08Speaker 2: Hamas and Hesbela and they start roaming the world detonating
- 26:15Speaker 2: short range nuclear weapons. All right, now we have to
- 26:18Speaker 2: go to war to try to end this end, we
- 26:21Speaker 2: might have to use our nukes to stop and that's
- 26:23Speaker 2: the nightmare scenario. So at some point this had to happen.
- 26:31Speaker 2: I think it would have been better if it had
- 26:32Speaker 2: happened last year, and better if it would have happened
- 26:34Speaker 2: during Biden, and better if it would have happened in
- 26:36Speaker 2: Drum's first term, and so on, because the farther a
- 26:38Speaker 2: lawing it gets, the more problematic. It is. Almost anything
- 26:44Speaker 2: that you can think of in life fits into this category,
- 26:47Speaker 2: and the people who oppose it are always the same
- 26:49Speaker 2: ones that three years ago say we don't need to
- 26:54Speaker 2: move the praanknice back, or I don't have a drug problem,
- 27:01Speaker 2: or or right, I have fifty and I don't have
- 27:04Speaker 2: a dollar to my name. I don't need to start
- 27:06Speaker 2: saving for my retirement. Any other thing in which you
- 27:09Speaker 2: can say I don't need to do it, because in fact,
- 27:11Speaker 2: you don't need to do it now. It's not affecting
- 27:14Speaker 2: you now, except at some point you have to do it.
- 27:22Speaker 2: Anybody who saved money for that return, that's you know,
- 27:25Speaker 2: that's all money that you didn't get to spend on
- 27:27Speaker 2: all the things that you might want to do. You
- 27:30Speaker 2: didn't get to go on this trip. You didn't get
- 27:32Speaker 2: to go on this cruise. You didn't get to buy
- 27:33Speaker 2: this cabin up north. You didn't get to buy I
- 27:41Speaker 2: wanted to bring up one of those. I know they
- 27:45Speaker 2: haven't changed in dimensions, but doesn't the Ford f one
- 27:47Speaker 2: fifty seem to you that it's gotten bigger. I mean,
- 27:50Speaker 2: I was just next to one of these things on
- 27:51Speaker 2: the road. I swear it was only a one to fifty.
- 27:53Speaker 2: It wasn't the two fifty or the three. I know
- 27:55Speaker 2: they have different sides of it. It's probably one of
- 27:57Speaker 2: the extended cab things. They're monstrous. They also not cost
- 28:01Speaker 2: a fortune. You can buy a four F series truck
- 28:04Speaker 2: now for seventy seventy five thousand dollars. Well, maybe I
- 28:07Speaker 2: didn't buy that because you're saving money for your future,
- 28:11Speaker 2: and no, did you need that money now? No, you didn't,
- 28:13Speaker 2: because the future isn't now, the future is way ahead.
- 28:15Speaker 2: You're thirty seventy, you're saving money for when you're seventy seven. However,
- 28:21Speaker 2: when you're seventy seven, you're going to be damn glad
- 28:23Speaker 2: you did it. And if we can end this Arranian
- 28:30Speaker 2: problem now, we're going to be damn glad that we get.
- 28:39Speaker 2: I support this war. Not everybody does. Some people raise
- 28:48Speaker 2: I think valid points, some people I think raise invalid points.
- 28:55Speaker 2: I don't take any input from anybody on the left
- 28:57Speaker 2: on this. Their opposition to the war has no credibility
- 29:01Speaker 2: because they oppose every single thing Trump does, So how
- 29:06Speaker 2: do you even know if they're sincere in their opposition
- 29:08Speaker 2: to that? For people on the right who have supported
- 29:14Speaker 2: Trump in many other areas, I'll at least consider their points.
- 29:22Speaker 2: Some people, as I say, I think, have been making
- 29:25Speaker 2: points that are reasonable. I disagree with them, but they're reasonable.
- 29:28Speaker 2: There are other people that are posing this that I
- 29:31Speaker 2: think are making no sense whatsoever. For me, this judgment
- 29:39Speaker 2: is simple. Are we better off if Iran is either overthrown,
- 29:47Speaker 2: which I think is doubtful, or at the very least
- 29:52Speaker 2: dealt such a setback that it will set back their
- 29:57Speaker 2: nuclear operations and their ability to fun terror by decades.
- 30:03Speaker 2: We know this right now. Iran has essentially no military.
- 30:08Speaker 2: The Iranian Revolutionary Guard doesn't have any planes, that don't
- 30:12Speaker 2: have any boats, have any tanks. All they have are
- 30:17Speaker 2: the ability to launch a few short range missiles into
- 30:21Speaker 2: the Gulf and launch a few missiles and throw a
- 30:23Speaker 2: few bombs over at the Gulf States and so on.
- 30:29Speaker 2: We have deeply debilitated it, we haven't knocked it out.
- 30:35Speaker 2: There's still that and the people who have succeeded all
- 30:38Speaker 2: the ones that we have killed appear to be even
- 30:41Speaker 2: more radical. And Iran still has its economic lifeline, which
- 30:48Speaker 2: is oil. Trump has not knocked out the Iranian refineries,
- 30:56Speaker 2: and he has not knocked out the Iranian oil drilling sites.
- 31:02Speaker 2: He hasn't done that because that would probably mean a
- 31:06Speaker 2: long term increase in the price of oil, because you've
- 31:08Speaker 2: knocked out a portrait of the world's capacity. But that
- 31:12Speaker 2: also means that if we stop the war now, Iran
- 31:16Speaker 2: can get the money tree and going again by having
- 31:18Speaker 2: all of this oil that they can once again sell
- 31:20Speaker 2: and begin the gradual process of rebuilding. I think where
- 31:25Speaker 2: we are right now, and there's all this back and forth,
- 31:28Speaker 2: and I've talked forever about how Trump plays good cop
- 31:31Speaker 2: bad copies. Come up with this thing. We've sent them
- 31:33Speaker 2: a one page deal, and I think there's a very
- 31:35Speaker 2: good chance that they're accepted. I actually don't think that
- 31:37Speaker 2: that'll happen. Maybe it will, maybe it won't. But Trump
- 31:42Speaker 2: always keeps you guessing. My own belief is is that
- 31:46Speaker 2: Trump is doing everything in his power to suggest that
- 31:49Speaker 2: Iran takes this deal which makes them turn over all
- 31:52Speaker 2: of the uranium to the United States and forces them
- 31:56Speaker 2: to behave themselves at least for the intermediate term, knowing
- 32:01Speaker 2: that if they don't do it now, their oil is
- 32:03Speaker 2: going to be gone along with everything else. And when
- 32:05Speaker 2: they don't take the deal, he's going to be able
- 32:07Speaker 2: to say I did everything in my power, but this
- 32:09Speaker 2: threat had to be addressed. Again. Everybody has their opinions
- 32:16Speaker 2: on this. That's mine. It's very easy in life to
- 32:25Speaker 2: be the person who says, I'm not going to do this.
- 32:27Speaker 2: I'm not going to do that. There's a downside. There's
- 32:28Speaker 2: a downside, of course, there's a downside. Right now, gas
- 32:32Speaker 2: is eighty nine dollars a gallon or something, and there's
- 32:37Speaker 2: risk involved in a war, and some on the right
- 32:44Speaker 2: are breaking ranks to the point that there's probably there
- 32:46Speaker 2: could well be a debacle in the midterm congressional elections.
- 32:50Speaker 2: Those are the downsides, and if you didn't do that,
- 32:52Speaker 2: those downsides would have occurred. But down the road there
- 32:55Speaker 2: would have been worse downsides. If we don't do something
- 33:03Speaker 2: or we better put. We didn't do something, Iran would
- 33:07Speaker 2: have no clare weapons. That's awful, so you stop the
- 33:13Speaker 2: awful thing from occurring. The thing about presidents is we
- 33:18Speaker 2: have term limits. That's a good thing that we have
- 33:22Speaker 2: term limits. We brought in term limits when fder kept
- 33:27Speaker 2: running for president. Finally he died in the middle of
- 33:29Speaker 2: his fourth term, and they changed the law. You can
- 33:31Speaker 2: only beat the president for two terms. So we have
- 33:33Speaker 2: term limits. It's a good thing. But the downside of
- 33:36Speaker 2: it is every president can kick the can down the road,
- 33:40Speaker 2: sweep it under the rug, and let the next guy
- 33:42Speaker 2: deal with the mess underneath the rug. And this Iranian
- 33:46Speaker 2: mess has been under the United States rug for about
- 33:49Speaker 2: thirty years. Finally, there's so much crap under the rug.
- 33:56Speaker 2: If the rug starts to degrade, I need a better
- 33:58Speaker 2: analogy than this, but you know where that's at some
- 34:00Speaker 2: point you have to address the stuff that's under the
- 34:02Speaker 2: rug because he's out of control. It's now at the
- 34:05Speaker 2: point in which you're very very close to disaster occurring.
- 34:11Speaker 2: No motivations of all the arguments that I've heard about
- 34:25Speaker 2: the reasons that this war shouldn't be going on, to me,
- 34:28Speaker 2: the dumbest is we're doing it because the Israel's making us.
- 34:34Speaker 2: I frankly, other than maybe Milania, I don't think anybody
- 34:38Speaker 2: can make Donald Trump do anything. Secondly, Trump is already
- 34:42Speaker 2: a lame duck. He's two and a half years from
- 34:47Speaker 2: the end of his presidency. He didn't have to do anything.
- 34:54Speaker 2: He could sweep this under the rug for jd. Vance
- 34:58Speaker 2: or Gavin Newsom or whoever the president is to have
- 35:01Speaker 2: to worry about that. Furthermore, Trump is obsessed with his popularity,
- 35:08Speaker 2: and he knew dog gone well that this war would
- 35:10Speaker 2: mean a huge hit to his popularity. Therefore, the only
- 35:17Speaker 2: explanation to me that makes any sense is that Trump
- 35:20Speaker 2: believes this is the thing that he not only is
- 35:23Speaker 2: the right thing to do, but as the leader of
- 35:26Speaker 2: the United States of America, has an obligation to do.
- 35:32Speaker 1: Now.
- 35:32Speaker 2: Again, that also means that he could end the war
- 35:38Speaker 2: prematurely or continue the war excessively. I do not support
- 35:43Speaker 2: a ground invasion of Iran. I do not believe that
- 35:47Speaker 2: it is the role of the United States to affect
- 35:49Speaker 2: regime change, and the only way you can affect regime
- 35:53Speaker 2: change is to have a ground invasion go to Tehran,
- 35:56Speaker 2: overthrow the government plant the American flag there and install
- 35:59Speaker 2: your own government. You can, however, try to weaken the
- 36:06Speaker 2: government enough that regime change comes within, that the military
- 36:10Speaker 2: stage is a coup and overthrows the religious zealots, or
- 36:14Speaker 2: that the people in the street rise up again and
- 36:17Speaker 2: they now have enough power and support and the military
- 36:19Speaker 2: is so beaten down that they can take over the
- 36:24Speaker 2: Cholchesco scenario. See no, I have a new producer this year, Jason.
- 36:30Speaker 2: There's no way Paul would know what the Chochesco scenario is.
- 36:35Speaker 2: Do you want to take a shot editor as it
- 36:36Speaker 2: before your time? I say, you kind of have it.
- 36:41Speaker 2: You know who Chouchesco was dictator of who, of where
- 36:46Speaker 2: or media? Yes, you got it. Yes. See, anytime they'd
- 36:51Speaker 2: rise up, he'd just kill everybody, and then they're rising
- 36:54Speaker 2: up again. Anyway, I'll go kill everybody until everybody rose
- 37:00Speaker 2: up in the military stopped killing anybody, and instead, you
- 37:04Speaker 2: know what they did. They killed him and his wife.
- 37:07Speaker 2: They hanged him in public. Is it hanging or a
- 37:09Speaker 2: firing squad? I think it was. Now. I've got to
- 37:14Speaker 2: think there's like video, but they edited I think that
- 37:18Speaker 2: I don't think that they've actually released the actual death
- 37:20Speaker 2: of there. You might have been a firing squad. I
- 37:24Speaker 2: don't remember. Anyway, There's always that possibility that eventually, and
- 37:30Speaker 2: I think the masses of the Iranian people have not
- 37:33Speaker 2: wanted this government forever. Iran was a modern country in
- 37:36Speaker 2: the nineteen seventies. I mean the women wear skirts there.
- 37:39Speaker 2: You know, there were a rather secular nation. There was
- 37:42Speaker 2: a Muslim population that was fed up with that, and
- 37:44Speaker 2: they did stage their revolution then, and that revolution has
- 37:48Speaker 2: led to this, the countries being bombed to hell. There
- 37:52Speaker 2: are probably still lots of educated, open minded Iranians that
- 37:56Speaker 2: want to have a life of freedom rather than to
- 37:58Speaker 2: live under this kind of brutal dictatorship. We know from
- 38:00Speaker 2: the Iranians who have left Iran and have come to
- 38:02Speaker 2: the United States that that's what the sentiment there is.
- 38:05Speaker 2: Maybe they rise up, but that's something that's only going
- 38:08Speaker 2: to be done as a byproduct of me, of us
- 38:10Speaker 2: having weakened their government. We can't do it. So I
- 38:12Speaker 2: don't believe there should be a grand division, and I
- 38:14Speaker 2: don't believe that it should be the state of goal
- 38:16Speaker 2: of the United States to bring regime Jeames. That would
- 38:18Speaker 2: be going too far. Likewise, the fear that some have
- 38:23Speaker 2: is that Trump will end this thing prematurely and with
- 38:26Speaker 2: a sham agreement. Iran promises, okay, no more nukes, will
- 38:30Speaker 2: turn over the uranium, and then laughs at us in
- 38:34Speaker 2: the same way that they laughed at us after Obama
- 38:36Speaker 2: sent the planeload of cash over there. Trump he's the
- 38:46Speaker 2: guy that's opposed to nation building, and he's been opposed
- 38:49Speaker 2: to these moign wars. This is the only one he's done.
- 38:55Speaker 2: And of all the positions that Donald Trump has gone
- 38:58Speaker 2: back and forth out over the years, I'm just telling
- 39:00Speaker 2: you I think that this is the only one that
- 39:03Speaker 2: I can say going back to I mean, there's interviews
- 39:05Speaker 2: of him in the eighties in which he has said
- 39:09Speaker 2: Iran can't have a nuclear weapon. He's been consistent on
- 39:13Speaker 2: this forever. He knows it's going to be his legacy.
- 39:17Speaker 2: Short term, the legacy is trash because you've got people
- 39:20Speaker 2: out all the Democrats are opposed to it, and a
- 39:22Speaker 2: lot of Republicans are criticizing it as well. Coming up
- 39:25Speaker 2: with all that, you know, their anti Semitism sees into
- 39:28Speaker 2: the point in which they try to come up with
- 39:29Speaker 2: this craft thing that we're doing. It becauset Israel wants
- 39:32Speaker 2: it done. Well, yes, Israel does want it done. Iran's
- 39:36Speaker 2: been hell bent on wiping Israel off the map. Of
- 39:39Speaker 2: course they want it done. So does Saudi Arabia want
- 39:43Speaker 2: it done. Do you think the Saudis want Iran to
- 39:45Speaker 2: still be there and have their nukes? The first one
- 39:49Speaker 2: that they knew could be Saudi Arabia a country that
- 39:51Speaker 2: they hate, go get there, They're loyal. Do you think
- 39:55Speaker 2: Eastern Europe, which would be in the range of a
- 39:57Speaker 2: short to intermediate range missiled, you think that they want this.
- 40:02Speaker 2: Do you think India wants it? I don't think Pakistan
- 40:06Speaker 2: wants it. Pakistan is nuclear. Do you think they want
- 40:08Speaker 2: to get into a nuclear war with Iran? They'll never
- 40:11Speaker 2: admit it. I don't think Russia wants this Iranian government
- 40:14Speaker 2: in there. We don't have a single nation in the
- 40:19Speaker 2: world right now that is totally irrational. The war between
- 40:25Speaker 2: Russia and Ukraine seems to me to be an irrational war,
- 40:28Speaker 2: but it doesn't seem to be existential to both nations.
- 40:33Speaker 2: So I don't think we have an a completely irrational
- 40:36Speaker 2: nation on the planet where okay, fine, we have a war,
- 40:40Speaker 2: we have a nuclear war. It's all the greater We're
- 40:43Speaker 2: just going to go to heaven anyway and get our virgins.
- 40:45Speaker 2: That's what they believe in Iran, and that's what the
- 40:46Speaker 2: people who push for jihad believe Iran is for that.
- 40:52Speaker 2: You can say that North Korea might be in that realm.
- 40:57Speaker 2: They haven't caused much trouble for the last number of years.
- 41:00Speaker 2: I think that China, more than anything, has put their
- 41:03Speaker 2: thumb on that man is gotten them to back down.
- 41:08Speaker 2: But the Iranian problem exists because of the dangerous zelotry
- 41:14Speaker 2: and beliefs of all of the people who run around.
- 41:20Speaker 2: Changing who those people are, as I said, is not
- 41:24Speaker 2: within our ability unless we have a groundwear which I'm against,
- 41:28Speaker 2: and maybe not even within our business. But not letting
- 41:32Speaker 2: that country continue to make our lives miserable and worse,
- 41:40Speaker 2: threaten humanity's existence is the right thing to do, and
- 41:47Speaker 2: it had to be done at some point. I support
- 41:59Speaker 2: what Trump is doing. That doesn't mean that I'm going
- 42:03Speaker 2: to support necessarily his next movie, either aggressively escalating too
- 42:08Speaker 2: far or ending it on a bad deal. I'm saying
- 42:14Speaker 2: that as of this point, I have supported what he's done.
- 42:18Speaker 2: That my final point of this before we move on.
- 42:22Speaker 2: Anytime you do anything. There's going to be downsides, but
- 42:27Speaker 2: the reality is right now for the United States of America,
- 42:30Speaker 2: the downside has been limited. There's been American loss of life,
- 42:37Speaker 2: but given the kind of military that Iran had, a
- 42:43Speaker 2: pretty strong one, it has been lower than it could
- 42:48Speaker 2: have been. We knocked out enough of their capabilities that
- 42:54Speaker 2: they weren't able to launch zillions of bombs. They weren't
- 42:57Speaker 2: expecting our attack, and the attack hit some many of
- 43:00Speaker 2: their bases and so many of the facilities so quickly
- 43:03Speaker 2: that it restricted their ability to do any kind of
- 43:06Speaker 2: striking bag. The rise in the price of oil, which
- 43:13Speaker 2: results in a rise in the price of gasoline, has
- 43:15Speaker 2: clearly been a downside. The key question is how long
- 43:20Speaker 2: does it last. If the war ends in three weeks
- 43:24Speaker 2: and the strait has reopened, I think oil prices and
- 43:28Speaker 2: gas prices will crash. If this thing ends with the
- 43:32Speaker 2: Strait of Hormouse still kind of in a holding pattern,
- 43:39Speaker 2: oil prices will likely remain high. Fortunately for the United States,
- 43:45Speaker 2: while the rise in the price of oil is terrible
- 43:47Speaker 2: for American consumers in many businesses, it's great for a
- 43:51Speaker 2: portion of our economy. Because America is the largest oil
- 43:54Speaker 2: exporter in the world. So for the American companies involved
- 43:58Speaker 2: in oil and oil drilling and so on, they're getting
- 44:01Speaker 2: a windfall. Used to be that we didn't get any
- 44:03Speaker 2: upside on that because we weren't drilling for enough of
- 44:05Speaker 2: our oil. It at least mitigates the debacle of how
- 44:09Speaker 2: expensive gasoline prices are. I'm just somebody who spent my
- 44:14Speaker 2: whole life and trying to make decisions by weighing the
- 44:16Speaker 2: positives and the negatives, and knowing full well that there's
- 44:19Speaker 2: never an you know, get into horse racing like I am.
- 44:22Speaker 2: There's never an obvious answer, and there's always more things
- 44:25Speaker 2: that can go wrong that can go right. Gas prices
- 44:29Speaker 2: up for a while, Tucker Carlson having a Charlie Sykes
- 44:33Speaker 2: hissy fit. I weigh that against these Iatola crackpots firing
- 44:39Speaker 2: nukes off into Europe or giving some nukes to terrorists
- 44:44Speaker 2: who now come get into the United States and launch
- 44:47Speaker 2: them or fire them from some offshore boat that they commission.
- 44:51Speaker 2: I'll take the other thing if we can stop this.
- 44:56Speaker 2: And I don't apologize for saying I applaud Trump for
- 44:58Speaker 2: having the guts to do it. It is not the
- 45:04Speaker 2: politically smart thing to do, because the way politics works
- 45:08Speaker 2: is everybody just focuses on the next election and just
- 45:11Speaker 2: shove everything down the road. Social Security and medicare are
- 45:15Speaker 2: facing long term cont crises given the fact that there
- 45:19Speaker 2: are zillions of baby boomers that are gonna be living
- 45:21Speaker 2: forever and ever and ever, and the birth rate behind
- 45:24Speaker 2: it is simply so low that you're gonna have to
- 45:27Speaker 2: be taxing to death. And again, people have known this forever,
- 45:30Speaker 2: the Actuarial Tables on Social Security of twenty thirty eight,
- 45:33Speaker 2: twenty forty one. Whenever it starts to get to the
- 45:35Speaker 2: point where you're gonna have to slash benefits, all of
- 45:38Speaker 2: this is known. Almost every problem that we have has
- 45:40Speaker 2: been known about forever, and we try not to address
- 45:44Speaker 2: it until we have to. You can't, with regard to
- 45:51Speaker 2: nuclear weapons, wait until have to, because half to then
- 45:59Speaker 2: it's too late. I believe I am the only person
- 46:08Speaker 2: on the planet who is linked the Derby winner not
- 46:13Speaker 2: running in the Preakness, with the war in a red
- 46:16Speaker 2: you're listening to the Mark Belling podcast. This is the
- 46:22Speaker 2: Mark Belling Podcast. I teed up a topic earlier in
- 46:25Speaker 2: the week. I'm fascinated by it and it's one that
- 46:33Speaker 2: I have not figured out. I'm always more curious about
- 46:37Speaker 2: things that I don't understand than the ones that I do.
- 46:41Speaker 2: The ones that I do. I like to share the
- 46:43Speaker 2: information and try to help you become as smart as
- 46:47Speaker 2: I am. But in terms of my own intellectual curiosity,
- 46:52Speaker 2: when I don't know the answer to something and I
- 46:54Speaker 2: think it's really fascinating and important, I'd like to understand it.
- 47:00Speaker 2: I have heard anecdotally that over the past number of
- 47:04Speaker 2: months there has been a tremendous surge in church attendance
- 47:09Speaker 2: Christian churches and in particular Roman Catholic churches, and the
- 47:13Speaker 2: surge has been almost entirely young people. There have been
- 47:18Speaker 2: kind of stories about this, and it's been mentioned kind
- 47:20Speaker 2: of on the side for months now. It kind of
- 47:24Speaker 2: started in the wake of the Charlie There was a
- 47:27Speaker 2: people noted that after Charlie Kirk was assassinated, there was
- 47:30Speaker 2: an increase in church attendance among young people, not just
- 47:32Speaker 2: Catholic attendants. Charlie was not Catholic, but people going to church,
- 47:37Speaker 2: and you wondered if that was a short term thing.
- 47:39Speaker 2: But since that period this has been noticed again and
- 47:43Speaker 2: again and again and again that Christian churches and in
- 47:47Speaker 2: particular Catholic churches have seen a surge and attendance. And again,
- 47:51Speaker 2: as I said when I mentioned this earlier, the week
- 47:53Speaker 2: this has come. In my opinion, from nowhere, I saw
- 47:57Speaker 2: no sign church attendancy in general, other than say, some
- 48:01Speaker 2: of the megachurches has been on a decline for sixty years,
- 48:11Speaker 2: and each generation seems to be less religious than the
- 48:14Speaker 2: one before. The millennial generation has yet rock bottom in
- 48:19Speaker 2: terms of church attendance. All of a sudden gen zs
- 48:25Speaker 2: not most of them, just a higher percentage of them
- 48:29Speaker 2: than all of the other generations alive are suddenly going
- 48:33Speaker 2: to church. Anyway, The Wall Street Shittle did a massive
- 48:36Speaker 2: story on this, and I mentioned it on either the
- 48:39Speaker 2: podcast he put out on Wednesday or Monday, I remember
- 48:41Speaker 2: which of the two. And I mentioned it in a brief
- 48:44Speaker 2: and I said I could do an entire segment on
- 48:45Speaker 2: it because it's so fascinating. The reason I can't do
- 48:49Speaker 2: the entire segment is I don't really understand it. So
- 48:53Speaker 2: I teed it up and I threw it out there,
- 48:54Speaker 2: and we've gotten some reaction to this. I want to
- 48:58Speaker 2: share one email from one listener and we may get
- 49:06Speaker 2: more of these in the future. Mark. After listening to
- 49:10Speaker 2: your segment on increased church attendance, I wanted to share
- 49:14Speaker 2: my recent impression. I was visiting UW Madison for a
- 49:18Speaker 2: conference during the week of Easter, and as a devout Catholic,
- 49:23Speaker 2: wanted to attend daily Mass during that festive week Tuesday
- 49:28Speaker 2: evening at Saint Paul's, the Catholic ministry to UW Madison,
- 49:34Speaker 2: there were like thirty students at the daily Mass. I
- 49:37Speaker 2: should mention Catholics are not required to go to daily Mass.
- 49:41Speaker 2: Not many people do. Way more people go on Sunday
- 49:45Speaker 2: then go to daily Mass. Most churches offer one Mass
- 49:50Speaker 2: per day somewhere in the region and so on. I
- 49:52Speaker 2: don't know about this church at UW Madison. I don't
- 49:54Speaker 2: know if they have a daily Mass or not. But
- 49:56Speaker 2: this guy went on a Tuesday. You said there were
- 50:00Speaker 2: thirty students there. Then he said, but I noticed a
- 50:05Speaker 2: huge line for confession, so huge mass even started late
- 50:13Speaker 2: for non Catholics. Confession is something you're required to do
- 50:18Speaker 2: if you have a mortal sin on your soul. But
- 50:20Speaker 2: the reality is the overwhelming majority of Catholics, I think,
- 50:23Speaker 2: don't go to confession. I don't know what the number
- 50:28Speaker 2: would be, but I would say less than thirty percent
- 50:32Speaker 2: of practicing Catholics have gone to confession in the last year.
- 50:36Speaker 2: So these young people, they're going in such number that
- 50:41Speaker 2: they started the mass late, according to this person, So
- 50:45Speaker 2: they're not only going to church, they're embracing the full thing,
- 50:49Speaker 2: including the hardest part of being a Catholic. From many
- 50:51Speaker 2: people actually would have to go into the confessional and
- 50:54Speaker 2: tell the priests the miserable things that you've done. It's
- 50:58Speaker 2: daunting for a lot of people. Anyway, continuing with the
- 51:01Speaker 2: guy's story, I thought it was impressive to see young
- 51:05Speaker 2: people taking a sacrament like that, so seriously I saw
- 51:09Speaker 2: that they had a Wednesday evening cadillight mass. I remember
- 51:12Speaker 2: this guy went initially on the Tuesday, and apparently he's
- 51:15Speaker 2: very devot He goes every day he's in Madison. So
- 51:17Speaker 2: now he notices that Wednesday they have an evening candlelight mass.
- 51:22Speaker 2: That sounded pretty so I went as well. It was
- 51:25Speaker 2: eighty minutes long. Let me interject, other than like a funeral,
- 51:31Speaker 2: I've never heard of a week day Catholic mass being
- 51:34Speaker 2: eighty minutes long. Most of them are real fast. They
- 51:36Speaker 2: take out some of the elements, and you just have
- 51:39Speaker 2: the gospel readings and the consecration and the communion and
- 51:42Speaker 2: so on. Often there's not even a sermon eighty minutes long.
- 51:46Speaker 2: I would think, if anything, that would be a distancentive
- 51:49Speaker 2: for some student. And again, this is Madison now admitted
- 51:52Speaker 2: like it's a large campus, so the numbers have to
- 51:54Speaker 2: be put in context, but it's also a campus that
- 51:57Speaker 2: is very liberal. The service was eighty minutes long, had
- 52:02Speaker 2: beautiful chants in Latin, and probably six to eight students
- 52:08Speaker 2: fully dressed as servers. I mean, there are many Catholic
- 52:12Speaker 2: passes in which there are no mass servers or alter
- 52:14Speaker 2: boys because you can't find anybody to do it. This
- 52:18Speaker 2: one there were six to eight servers. And again this
- 52:20Speaker 2: is not a Sunday Mass, it's a weak night Mass.
- 52:23Speaker 2: He continues servers fully dressed as servers, carrying candles during
- 52:31Speaker 2: several parts of the mass, in full ceremony. I was
- 52:34Speaker 2: at the front of the church in the dark and
- 52:36Speaker 2: figured this must be those thirty to forty students who
- 52:40Speaker 2: are really devout. As revelry could be heard outside. I thought,
- 52:46Speaker 2: how beautiful to hear the Latin chant and beautiful music
- 52:50Speaker 2: of these devout few. I wasn't able to see how
- 52:53Speaker 2: many students were actually there at communion. I realized there
- 52:58Speaker 2: were between two high hundred and three hundred students in
- 53:02Speaker 2: this church space at nine pm at night on State Street. No. Yeah,
- 53:06Speaker 2: he's on the front of the church. And the reason
- 53:08Speaker 2: you notice during communion is they just keep coming and
- 53:10Speaker 2: coming and coming and coming. The church is off and really,
- 53:12Speaker 2: you know, it can be dark. You turn around, you'd
- 53:14Speaker 2: have to look. He didn't. He just assumed that it
- 53:16Speaker 2: wasn't that crowded because he's sitting there. He said, two
- 53:18Speaker 2: to three hundred people we're in that mass. Again, it's
- 53:22Speaker 2: during Easter Week, but it wasn't Easter Sunday at nine
- 53:27Speaker 2: o'clock on a Wednesday night in Madison. Again, I don't
- 53:32Speaker 2: have an explanation as to what's going on with gen
- 53:35Speaker 2: Z and the numbers of them that suddenly having a
- 53:39Speaker 2: desire to go to church, and in particular Catholic Church,
- 53:45Speaker 2: which has just seen a shriveling of attendance by young people.
- 53:52Speaker 2: I think though, that undeniably something big is happening here.
- 53:59Speaker 2: I admit I don't know what, and I'm hoping that
- 54:04Speaker 2: we get more feedback on this story, and I'll continue
- 54:07Speaker 2: to share it. Way back when the millennials were coming
- 54:11Speaker 2: of age on the radio show, I did a number
- 54:14Speaker 2: of programs just on the uniqueness of the millennial generation.
- 54:18Speaker 2: We ended up doing it was I Guess a podcast.
- 54:21Speaker 2: We didn't know that it was a podcast, and we
- 54:23Speaker 2: packed together a number of those programs Paul created and
- 54:26Speaker 2: them put them online in which we pulled segments from
- 54:29Speaker 2: all of these different shows and put them back to
- 54:31Speaker 2: back to back to back and slapped it up there.
- 54:33Speaker 2: I think that that might have even been before the
- 54:35Speaker 2: term podcast was out there, but it was a way
- 54:37Speaker 2: for people to go back and listen to all of
- 54:38Speaker 2: those segments. They are really, really quite interesting as we
- 54:41Speaker 2: learned all of these unique characteristics about twenty years ago
- 54:46Speaker 2: that turned out to personify that generation. This story. They
- 54:53Speaker 2: held the primary elections this week Tuesday in Indiana. Indiana
- 55:00Speaker 2: is a state in which the state legislature is controlled
- 55:02Speaker 2: by the Republicans. Like many Republican controlled states, Trump wanted
- 55:07Speaker 2: them to redraw their congressional district lines. This is happening
- 55:11Speaker 2: all over the country. Democratic states are jurymandering their districts
- 55:17Speaker 2: to make more democratic districts in their state, and Trump
- 55:21Speaker 2: has encouraged the Republicans to do the same thing famously
- 55:25Speaker 2: in Texas. Gavin Newsom probably started it all in California.
- 55:30Speaker 2: California is a state that has some fairly significant pockets
- 55:34Speaker 2: of Republicans, but overwhelmingly the state is democratic. To just
- 55:37Speaker 2: carve up the Republican districts and takes say a fifty
- 55:40Speaker 2: six percent Republican district and throw a little bit of
- 55:42Speaker 2: anto this district, a little bit of that district, add
- 55:44Speaker 2: some democratic areas in there. You can do it. In Wisconsin,
- 55:50Speaker 2: the state legislative lines have been redrawn when the leftist
- 55:54Speaker 2: got control of the state Supreme Court. It may be
- 55:57Speaker 2: likely the not that the Democrats are going to take
- 55:59Speaker 2: control the state legislature in this election, all because of
- 56:04Speaker 2: the change in the districts. So Trump's wanted the Republicans
- 56:09Speaker 2: to do this at the same level that the Democrats
- 56:10Speaker 2: are doing it. And there's been a number of states
- 56:12Speaker 2: controlled by Democrats from which they have indeed changed the
- 56:15Speaker 2: district lives. And in Indiana they didn't want to do
- 56:19Speaker 2: Oh no, no, no, no, that's wrong. Well, jerrymandering districts
- 56:24Speaker 2: is wrong, but guess what if the other side does
- 56:27Speaker 2: it and you don't, you can't win. So the Republican
- 56:36Speaker 2: legislature refused to draw the district lives. Almost every one
- 56:41Speaker 2: of these Republican members of the State Senate who refused
- 56:47Speaker 2: to do what got a primary challenge challenge, and the
- 56:51Speaker 2: challenger came out and accused the incumbent of not being
- 56:54Speaker 2: sufficiently Republican and not trying to win and not caring
- 56:57Speaker 2: about their country. Trump endorsed all the challengers. All of
- 57:02Speaker 2: them won. It was an absolute wipeout. There is carnage
- 57:09Speaker 2: among incumbent Republican members of the Indiana State Senate. I've
- 57:14Speaker 2: got the list here. There's one race that's still too
- 57:19Speaker 2: close to call. Might be going to recon otherwise, Senat
- 57:22Speaker 2: District nineteen thirty nine, one, sixty eleven, and twenty one,
- 57:25Speaker 2: we're all contested races in which somebody challenged the incumbent
- 57:29Speaker 2: Republican member of the Indiana State Senate of the challenger,
- 57:31Speaker 2: and all of those races, District twenty three is said
- 57:38Speaker 2: to be a toss up. What does this tell me?
- 57:43Speaker 2: It tells me something I've been preaching forever and ever
- 57:45Speaker 2: and ever, and I've been trying to preach it to Republicans.
- 57:47Speaker 2: Here in Wisconsin, the overwhelming majority of Republican voters want
- 57:52Speaker 2: to support Republicans who play to win. Also, for all
- 57:59Speaker 2: of this talk that Trump has lost the support of
- 58:01Speaker 2: the GOP rank and file, all of these candidates in
- 58:04Speaker 2: Indiana were endorsed by Trump and they all won. With
- 58:11Speaker 2: one of the races. As of the story that I
- 58:13Speaker 2: read it came from yesterday, maybe that race is resolved,
- 58:16Speaker 2: which was called a toss up. So to say that
- 58:20Speaker 2: Trump's grip on the Republicans has waned because of the
- 58:23Speaker 2: I just think that that's overstated. Clearly there's been slippage,
- 58:27Speaker 2: and some of the slippage has been more from prominent people,
- 58:31Speaker 2: the Meghan Kelly's and Tucker Carlson's and not even putting
- 58:35Speaker 2: Candis Owans into that category because she's in a category
- 58:40Speaker 2: under herself. I don't know what the term for that
- 58:43Speaker 2: category would be. I mean, some people would say nuts.
- 58:48Speaker 2: I don't think she's nuts. But it's something else. It's
- 58:52Speaker 2: another thing that I haven't fully fully been able to
- 58:55Speaker 2: figure out. No, No, it's this story, this one in
- 59:00Speaker 2: the Waukeshaw Freeman e bikes surge and popularity and concern.
- 59:08Speaker 2: All right, I've been slow to pick up on this.
- 59:11Speaker 2: Usually I always pride myself on spotting trends before they happen.
- 59:15Speaker 2: I'm late. Everybody's bitching about the e bikes. Now. I
- 59:21Speaker 2: want to share two experiences. I spend four months of
- 59:25Speaker 2: the year in Florida. The street that I live on
- 59:30Speaker 2: is I'm going to claim the busiest street in North America.
- 59:34Speaker 2: I'm sure that's not true. It just seems to me
- 59:37Speaker 2: like it is. The problem is, you know, in all
- 59:41Speaker 2: these cities in Florida, there's a bay they call them
- 59:46Speaker 2: usually intracoastals, that separate the mainland from the strip of
- 59:50Speaker 2: land along the ocean and Miami Beach, and the communities
- 59:54Speaker 2: north of that they have Biscayne Bay, and the north
- 59:56Speaker 2: of Biscayne Bay is it in a coastal. So when
- 1:00:00Speaker 2: you're on the strip of land nearest to the ocean,
- 1:00:03Speaker 2: there's only one road that goes north and south because
- 1:00:06Speaker 2: the strip of land is usually not even a mile wide.
- 1:00:11Speaker 2: And no matter where you are to be at the
- 1:00:14Speaker 2: main drag in Palm Beach are the main Dragon Fort Laudaer.
- 1:00:16Speaker 2: The main drag arrive in Miami Dade County. This one's
- 1:00:19Speaker 2: called A one A. What a great name for a
- 1:00:21Speaker 2: highway A one A US. What is the federal highway there?
- 1:00:25Speaker 2: I think that there's some history about it. I think
- 1:00:27Speaker 2: the numbering system actually did start east to west when
- 1:00:31Speaker 2: this is not the United State system, the federal highway
- 1:00:33Speaker 2: system anyway. A one A is the name of the road.
- 1:00:36Speaker 2: Collins Avenue is the street name that they put on.
- 1:00:38Speaker 2: It's just always clog and there's nothing you could do
- 1:00:42Speaker 2: about it because everything's built up right to It's like
- 1:00:44Speaker 2: the Las Vegas Strip. There's no way to clear out
- 1:00:46Speaker 2: any land because everything's built to the edge of the
- 1:00:48Speaker 2: street and there's no other place of the traffic to go,
- 1:00:50Speaker 2: and people get moving out of Florida and so on.
- 1:00:54Speaker 2: There's three or when there's a turn lane, four lanes
- 1:00:57Speaker 2: in each direction, and of the daytime it's just not enough. However,
- 1:01:03Speaker 2: there's always a little bit of room between the two lanes.
- 1:01:07Speaker 2: We don't have, thankfully, they don't have the things that
- 1:01:09Speaker 2: they've done in the City of Milwaukee, but putting in
- 1:01:10Speaker 2: all these bike lanes, but there's always, you know, two
- 1:01:13Speaker 2: feet between your car and the curb and so on.
- 1:01:17Speaker 2: You should see these e bikes. You'll see some of
- 1:01:20Speaker 2: the people that have like these scooters, the same scooters
- 1:01:22Speaker 2: that we have in Milwaukee, and they're rolling around on them.
- 1:01:24Speaker 2: But I don't see many of the scooters on the
- 1:01:27Speaker 2: road down there. It's just too dangerous. There are too
- 1:01:30Speaker 2: many cars. Now. My car, like most is one of
- 1:01:36Speaker 2: those little little flicker things that go on when there's
- 1:01:40Speaker 2: a car to your left or a car to your rights,
- 1:01:42Speaker 2: that kind of a blind spot indicator. I think that
- 1:01:45Speaker 2: that's what they call it, and like most people, I
- 1:01:47Speaker 2: tend to over rely on that. I still always try
- 1:01:51Speaker 2: to look over my shoulder because in fear that the
- 1:01:53Speaker 2: blind spot indicator is not working. The blind spot indicator
- 1:01:58Speaker 2: does not pick up the e bikes I have been
- 1:02:00Speaker 2: down there. You know, when you're puddling around going two
- 1:02:03Speaker 2: miles an hour, just inching forward, inching forward, inching forward,
- 1:02:06Speaker 2: and all of a sudden, to you're right, whosh, is
- 1:02:08Speaker 2: one of these e bikes. Now Milwaukee, very close to
- 1:02:14Speaker 2: where I live here. This week I met a red light. Now,
- 1:02:22Speaker 2: we all know that bicyclists do not believe that traffic
- 1:02:27Speaker 2: lights apply to them. I mean, you get fourteen cars
- 1:02:30Speaker 2: backed up at a red light, a bike is always
- 1:02:32Speaker 2: going to go through. The only time the bike doesn't
- 1:02:34Speaker 2: go through is if there is an actual car coming.
- 1:02:37Speaker 2: But if there's not anybody there, they go forward. And
- 1:02:40Speaker 2: part of me understands why that is okay. All the
- 1:02:42Speaker 2: cars are sitting here, there's nobody coming, and it's against
- 1:02:44Speaker 2: the law to go ahead the bicycles saying screw this,
- 1:02:47Speaker 2: I'm just gonna go. I kind of get why they
- 1:02:49Speaker 2: do it. Nonetheless, it's what they do. I'm sitting at
- 1:02:52Speaker 2: the red light is again very close to where I live,
- 1:02:59Speaker 2: downtown Milwaukee. This is not one of the streets that
- 1:03:03Speaker 2: has the separated out bike lane where thankful you know
- 1:03:05Speaker 2: where they've got the concrete media and dividing the bike lanes.
- 1:03:08Speaker 2: The bike is red on the street. It's a four
- 1:03:14Speaker 2: lane road meeting two lanes in each direction, and I'm
- 1:03:16Speaker 2: on the right of the two lanes. I am not exaggerating.
- 1:03:21Speaker 2: There's an e bike that came flying past me through
- 1:03:24Speaker 2: the red light. I'm going to do my best to
- 1:03:28Speaker 2: be accurate. It's hard to tell. I think it was
- 1:03:31Speaker 2: going at least thirty miles an hour. It was there
- 1:03:36Speaker 2: and gone so fast. I was stunned, startled. I certainly
- 1:03:43Speaker 2: never saw it. If the light had turned green and
- 1:03:45Speaker 2: I would have started up driving, hopefully I would have
- 1:03:48Speaker 2: started off exactly straight and not wobbled a bit. But
- 1:03:54Speaker 2: if I was one of those goofs that was going
- 1:03:56Speaker 2: to turn right at the stop light and didn't have
- 1:03:58Speaker 2: my indicator on the bicycles and't have seen it. So
- 1:04:02Speaker 2: here's whe I'm going with this. We have to stop
- 1:04:05Speaker 2: classifying these things as bikes. These are scooters. E bikes
- 1:04:13Speaker 2: are still defined under the law as bicycles, and they're
- 1:04:17Speaker 2: treated as bicycles if they're electric. However, it means that
- 1:04:23Speaker 2: they have motorized power on them. I don't know how
- 1:04:26Speaker 2: fast the most of them. Do you know anything about this?
- 1:04:30Speaker 2: What do you know about e bikes? Anything they annoy?
- 1:04:34Speaker 2: You don't know anything about them. You don't have one.
- 1:04:36Speaker 2: I actually when they first come out a few years
- 1:04:38Speaker 2: I was, you know, I remember the last time I
- 1:04:42Speaker 2: rode my bike. It was the day before I got
- 1:04:45Speaker 2: my first car. When I got a car, I inherited
- 1:04:49Speaker 2: my grandfather's Pinto. Had the Pinto for one year before
- 1:04:52Speaker 2: it fell apart, and then I graduated the greatest car
- 1:04:55Speaker 2: in the history of my life of sixty eight Camero convertile. Anyway,
- 1:04:59Speaker 2: when I started trying the pintle, that was the end
- 1:05:02Speaker 2: of my And I know I never wrote it since
- 1:05:05Speaker 2: I think that that bike do. I don't even know
- 1:05:07Speaker 2: that I was riding my bike anymore. It was probably
- 1:05:09Speaker 2: like one of the bikes that was just in the house,
- 1:05:11Speaker 2: all right. That was the end of my bike riding.
- 1:05:13Speaker 2: I have not ridden a bicycle since the e bikes.
- 1:05:20Speaker 2: And you know, I'm thinking, oh my god, the seats.
- 1:05:23Speaker 2: I look at these bikes now and the seats just
- 1:05:24Speaker 2: seem unbelievably uncomfortable. I just think my rear end would
- 1:05:28Speaker 2: be so sore. These things. They're like these hard flastic
- 1:05:30Speaker 2: and it looks like it's just driving right up into
- 1:05:33Speaker 2: your keyster. And do I want to ride the bike
- 1:05:37Speaker 2: up the hill?
- 1:05:37Speaker 1: No?
- 1:05:38Speaker 2: But then, I mean, I see these e bikes and
- 1:05:40Speaker 2: I'd be seeing somebody going not fast, like ten miles
- 1:05:43Speaker 2: an hour and barely peddling, and the electricity is doing
- 1:05:47Speaker 2: all of the work. And you know, I live near
- 1:05:51Speaker 2: the lake. I think I kind of thought about this
- 1:05:53Speaker 2: for a while. I didn't do it, you know, when
- 1:05:57Speaker 2: I stopped thinking about it, when I've rid how much
- 1:06:00Speaker 2: they can cost. We're talking on the on the pidecasts
- 1:06:06Speaker 2: yesterday about Harley's Some of these things costs more than
- 1:06:09Speaker 2: a Harley, I exaggerate, but not much. Anyway, we have
- 1:06:16Speaker 2: laws for motorized scooters. They're required. I believe a motorized scooter.
- 1:06:21Speaker 2: I don't mean the scooters that like the Lime scooters
- 1:06:23Speaker 2: and so on, the ones of this put the one
- 1:06:25Speaker 2: foot on what I mean by the scooters. Here are
- 1:06:27Speaker 2: the ones that actually have the two wheels and have
- 1:06:29Speaker 2: a motor on them. There are laws with regard to them,
- 1:06:32Speaker 2: and they have to get a license plate, just like vehicles.
- 1:06:36Speaker 2: And I believe, I'm not sure, I believe to drive
- 1:06:38Speaker 2: a motorized scooter you're supposed to have a driver's licenis
- 1:06:41Speaker 2: I think the e bikes have to be put into
- 1:06:43Speaker 2: that category. Now, again, I'm not a big guy for
- 1:06:46Speaker 2: government regulation, and I know that some of these people
- 1:06:48Speaker 2: who have the e bikes are just using the e
- 1:06:51Speaker 2: portion of the e bike as a little bit of
- 1:06:52Speaker 2: an assist. Say you're going up a hill, and a
- 1:06:54Speaker 2: lot of hills in Milwaukee, say you go to Flaffayette Hill.
- 1:06:57Speaker 2: Are all these lakes the hills that feed from the lake,
- 1:07:00Speaker 2: and you know, some of these old farts, they have
- 1:07:02Speaker 2: to get off the bike and walk all the way
- 1:07:03Speaker 2: up the hill. Some of them are just using it
- 1:07:06Speaker 2: for that, and they're still using the bike for biking
- 1:07:09Speaker 2: because it's the purposes. They're still trying to get exercise.
- 1:07:11Speaker 2: The electricity part just helps them out a bit. But
- 1:07:14Speaker 2: there are others of them. I'd love to know what
- 1:07:16Speaker 2: the horsepower and some of these things are. I was
- 1:07:19Speaker 2: just taken aback at how fast this thing was going
- 1:07:22Speaker 2: when it shot just passed me. I tell you if
- 1:07:27Speaker 2: the guy who is riding the bike, and I'm assuming
- 1:07:29Speaker 2: it's a guy, had a helmet on or not. It
- 1:07:31Speaker 2: happened so fast and he was around the court. I
- 1:07:33Speaker 2: never found out, and after the light went green, but
- 1:07:35Speaker 2: the time I went forward, nowhere to be found. I
- 1:07:38Speaker 2: don't know if he turned or whatever it was that
- 1:07:39Speaker 2: he did. I'm assuming he had a helmet on, and
- 1:07:42Speaker 2: I'm assuming that there's that there's knee pads. But I suspect,
- 1:07:49Speaker 2: going back to the first topic of today's program, that
- 1:07:53Speaker 2: this will be dealt with after a bunch of e
- 1:07:57Speaker 2: bikers get killed, and then will we decide that we're
- 1:08:01Speaker 2: going to change the laws with regard to them, and again,
- 1:08:04Speaker 2: I don't know exactly how we should change it, because
- 1:08:06Speaker 2: I think for most people the e bike is more
- 1:08:09Speaker 2: like a bike, but the capability that they have it's
- 1:08:14Speaker 2: much more akin to a scooter or even small motorcycle.
- 1:08:20Speaker 2: I actually ought I asked the people at wheel and
- 1:08:24Speaker 2: spocket or Kegels are one of them, how fast some
- 1:08:26Speaker 2: of these go? I actually don't even know the answer
- 1:08:28Speaker 2: to that. I come somewhat ill prepared, and I think
- 1:08:31Speaker 2: Jason's is ill prepared as I am. Your only response
- 1:08:33Speaker 2: is you you're just annoyed by them. I don't have
- 1:08:36Speaker 2: any real problem with them. I just think that they
- 1:08:39Speaker 2: pose they need to be. You know, I don't have
- 1:08:42Speaker 2: a problem with motorcycles, which are loud and obnoxious and
- 1:08:45Speaker 2: just destroy a lot of people's quality of life in
- 1:08:48Speaker 2: the summer. It's part of my in my mind, of
- 1:08:50Speaker 2: living in Milwaukee. It's part of living in the city.
- 1:08:52Speaker 2: You're gonna hear that kind of a noise. I think
- 1:08:54Speaker 2: that these things and they present the same kind of
- 1:08:56Speaker 2: problem in terms of traffic and so on as the
- 1:09:00Speaker 2: I just think that there's a problem here. I normally
- 1:09:06Speaker 2: have solutions to my problems. I have no solution to
- 1:09:09Speaker 2: this one. In a moment, some thoughts what beard company
- 1:09:14Speaker 2: was it that had that thing? The most interesting man
- 1:09:17Speaker 2: in the world was that dos ECUs it was. They've
- 1:09:21Speaker 2: stopped running those, haven't they in a while? You know
- 1:09:25Speaker 2: what struck me about those commercials? That guy did not
- 1:09:28Speaker 2: seem me interesting at all. So I use to skydive,
- 1:09:32Speaker 2: so what or there's like five young women hanging around him.
- 1:09:36Speaker 2: I'm in Florida. Do you know how many old farts
- 1:09:38Speaker 2: with beards have five young women hanging around you? He
- 1:09:40Speaker 2: never said one thing in any of those commercials that
- 1:09:42Speaker 2: struck me as the slightest bit interesting. I do think
- 1:09:48Speaker 2: one of the top ten most interesting people in the
- 1:09:50Speaker 2: world was Ted Turner, and some thoughts about his passing
- 1:09:54Speaker 2: in a moment on the Markdelling podcast This is the
- 1:10:00Speaker 2: Gulling Podcast. Here's another thing, by the way, that I
- 1:10:02Speaker 2: don't know anything about. I don't know anything about the
- 1:10:05Speaker 2: differences in these Mexican beers. I don't know if Corona
- 1:10:09Speaker 2: is better than dos Ekis. I just know that a
- 1:10:11Speaker 2: lot of people drink them. I'm pretty sure I've had
- 1:10:14Speaker 2: one or two, but wasn't paying any attention to whether
- 1:10:16Speaker 2: or not I liked it, and I don't know. I'm
- 1:10:18Speaker 2: guessing that it's the same as American beers, as the
- 1:10:21Speaker 2: brand loyalties to them. I don't know if the people
- 1:10:23Speaker 2: that are drinking them are people that switch from mainstream
- 1:10:26Speaker 2: American beers, or are these the ones that are being
- 1:10:28Speaker 2: consumed by people who like craft beers. I don't know
- 1:10:31Speaker 2: any of Do you know anything about that? You don't
- 1:10:34Speaker 2: drink Mexican beer? Do you drink beer? Yeah, Miller, that's
- 1:10:38Speaker 2: what I drink. I drink Miller Light at a baseball game,
- 1:10:42Speaker 2: That's it. And I don't drink cors Light because when
- 1:10:44Speaker 2: I first tasted the cors Light thirty years ago, I
- 1:10:46Speaker 2: thought it was the worst take tasting liquid I've ever
- 1:10:49Speaker 2: put it in my mouth ever. I know lots of
- 1:10:51Speaker 2: people who drink it, and I've never even given it
- 1:10:53Speaker 2: a second chance. It just tasted to be like somebody
- 1:10:56Speaker 2: put like an ounce of beer in a glass. I
- 1:11:00Speaker 2: poured seven ounces of water edit and mixed it up.
- 1:11:02Speaker 2: That's what car is like. Taste the leg to me
- 1:11:04Speaker 2: and Miller like to me, tastes like slightly watered, dumb beer.
- 1:11:07Speaker 2: But it has a decent enough taste all right now,
- 1:11:13Speaker 2: to an issue in which I have an opinion. Ted Turner.
- 1:11:17Speaker 2: I mean, this is an interesting guy for those of
- 1:11:20Speaker 2: you that are younger that don't know the background. He
- 1:11:23Speaker 2: made a lot of money early on. I first heard him.
- 1:11:27Speaker 2: I remember when I first read about Ted Turner. I
- 1:11:30Speaker 2: read about him in Sports Illustrated. I've got Jason, how
- 1:11:36Speaker 2: old are you? Oh, you're you're older than I thought.
- 1:11:41Speaker 2: You're still quite a bit younger than me, but you're
- 1:11:43Speaker 2: not that young. Do you know what Ted Turner would
- 1:11:46Speaker 2: have been in Sports Illustrated? Yeah, I mean this is long, long,
- 1:11:52Speaker 2: long ago. The braves, you own the braves, and so on.
- 1:11:58Speaker 2: Ted Turner was one of the leading yacht skippers in
- 1:12:04Speaker 2: the world. He competed in America's Cup. He was the
- 1:12:08Speaker 2: American representative. In fact, in my head somewhere, the name
- 1:12:13Speaker 2: of his boat was Courageous. I might be wrong about that,
- 1:12:16Speaker 2: but that's where I first heard of him. He was
- 1:12:20Speaker 2: competing in the America's Cup. He was a yacht he
- 1:12:23Speaker 2: was a yachtsman, you know, a skipper of those yachts
- 1:12:25Speaker 2: that race in those global boat races. And the only
- 1:12:30Speaker 2: people that are big into that are people that have
- 1:12:32Speaker 2: a fortune because those are really really expensive things to
- 1:12:35Speaker 2: be able to pursue. He went on to create a
- 1:12:41Speaker 2: media empire. I think as much as anyone, Ted Turner
- 1:12:47Speaker 2: invented cable TV. The technology of cable TV was always around.
- 1:12:55Speaker 2: When first I had cable TV was when I was
- 1:12:57Speaker 2: going to college and Lacrosse. We didn't have it where
- 1:13:00Speaker 2: I grew up in the Fox Valley yet, it hadn't
- 1:13:02Speaker 2: been wired yet for cable. We added in Lacrosse, and
- 1:13:05Speaker 2: they needed in Lacrosse because the TV stations weren't all
- 1:13:08Speaker 2: on Lacrosse. The NBC affiliate was way up in Oaclaire
- 1:13:12Speaker 2: and you really couldn't get a good signal of it
- 1:13:14Speaker 2: off of an antenna, so you needed to have cable
- 1:13:16Speaker 2: in order to get those channels. And the channels on
- 1:13:19Speaker 2: the TV were simply just the over the year channels.
- 1:13:21Speaker 2: All cable TV was back in the late seventies was
- 1:13:26Speaker 2: a better version of the antenna that you either had,
- 1:13:29Speaker 2: you know, the old rabbit ears off the back of
- 1:13:31Speaker 2: it or an antenna on your roof. That's all cable was.
- 1:13:34Speaker 2: It was just the way of getting it. Ted Turner
- 1:13:37Speaker 2: created the first superstation you know WTVS now, that was it.
- 1:13:44Speaker 2: It had different call letters. Then it was a TV
- 1:13:46Speaker 2: station in Atlanta, an independent station, remember the old till
- 1:13:50Speaker 2: around Channel eighteen of Milwaukee that kind of showed syndicated
- 1:13:53Speaker 2: shows on a lot of sports. Ted Turner bought the
- 1:13:55Speaker 2: station in Atlanta that had that and he got it
- 1:13:59Speaker 2: on cable, meaning anybody in the United States could watch
- 1:14:03Speaker 2: this station in Atlanta, and it was the only one.
- 1:14:07Speaker 2: It made the Atlanta Braves a big thing because he
- 1:14:09Speaker 2: carried Braves games. And after he did this, a few
- 1:14:13Speaker 2: others came in. Pay cables started coming in shortly after that. HBO,
- 1:14:17Speaker 2: I think was the first one, and then all sorts
- 1:14:20Speaker 2: of other cable channels came around, and eventually he invented ESPN,
- 1:14:24Speaker 2: thirded he invented CNN CNN, which is now a joke.
- 1:14:35Speaker 2: It was once very good and very important. You're talking
- 1:14:43Speaker 2: about the wars in Iraq, the first war in Iraq,
- 1:14:46Speaker 2: the one that occurred in the first Bush. CNN had
- 1:14:50Speaker 2: three reporters that were over there when the war started.
- 1:14:56Speaker 2: Bernard Shaw was one of them. I think Hallman was
- 1:15:00Speaker 2: was a second, and I don't remember the third. And
- 1:15:04Speaker 2: you know, we were watching that war and you were
- 1:15:06Speaker 2: getting live coverage from Iraq during the bombing from CNN.
- 1:15:12Speaker 2: While CNN's news coverage was always biased to the left,
- 1:15:15Speaker 2: it was only biased to the left because all media
- 1:15:17Speaker 2: was biased to the left. In fact, I think in
- 1:15:19Speaker 2: the early days of CNN it was less biased than
- 1:15:22Speaker 2: say CBS or NBC. Famous moment in the presidential debate
- 1:15:28Speaker 2: in nineteen eighty eight, many people believe the reason that
- 1:15:33Speaker 2: George H. W. Bush beat Michael Ducaccus was the question
- 1:15:37Speaker 2: that Bernard Shaw threw at Ducaccus in the debate that
- 1:15:40Speaker 2: he totally butchered. Bernard Show off CNN. You know, we
- 1:15:43Speaker 2: were talking. They were talking about the death penalty and
- 1:15:49Speaker 2: Ducoccus as opposed to it, and Shaw through to him,
- 1:15:51Speaker 2: if your wife kitty was raped and attacked by someone,
- 1:15:54Speaker 2: are you saying you wouldn't want the death penalty for him?
- 1:15:57Speaker 2: A lot of people that is inappropriate question. But cockies.
- 1:16:00Speaker 2: Instead of saying, how dare you know? Do what Trump
- 1:16:02Speaker 2: would have done and throw it back and assays that
- 1:16:04Speaker 2: it's a repulsive and inappropriate question, he muddled something, well,
- 1:16:08Speaker 2: of course I'd be a little u s out of
- 1:16:09Speaker 2: my wife, but I've done man. He gave some terrible emotion,
- 1:16:13Speaker 2: passionless answer, and it changed people's views of him anyway.
- 1:16:16Speaker 2: CNN Turner was a conservative. Turner testified before Congress back
- 1:16:25Speaker 2: in that era, criticizing the broadcast networks for being way
- 1:16:29Speaker 2: too liberal. Then with all the money that he had,
- 1:16:34Speaker 2: he was carrying the Atlanta Braves baseball game. So he
- 1:16:37Speaker 2: bought the team, bought into sports teams. When did he
- 1:16:40Speaker 2: become this lefty? I'll tell you when he became this lefty.
- 1:16:43Speaker 2: He married Jane Fonda, and all of a sudden, And
- 1:16:47Speaker 2: when I said all of a sudden, Ted Turner came
- 1:16:49Speaker 2: from being a Southern cracker who was a right winger
- 1:16:53Speaker 2: on about everything. I mean, he was a big buyer
- 1:16:55Speaker 2: of land and a land developer, and he started CNN
- 1:16:59Speaker 2: by ripping bias in the TV networks. Suddenly he marries
- 1:17:03Speaker 2: Jane Fonda, and he's missed the environment and the you know,
- 1:17:07Speaker 2: he directs CNN and moves it all to the left.
- 1:17:10Speaker 2: I know why this happened. It's so simple to understand.
- 1:17:15Speaker 2: Do you know how many American men, especially old fires,
- 1:17:18Speaker 2: have made total asses of themselves over a woman. He
- 1:17:22Speaker 2: moved himself to the left, keep Jane Fonda happy. It
- 1:17:25Speaker 2: was his path of least resistance. By the way, who's
- 1:17:30Speaker 2: the guy that did the man show a Jimmy Kimmel.
- 1:17:34Speaker 2: Adam Corolla. That's it Ata Corolla. I saw him on
- 1:17:37Speaker 2: an interview. He said he's still close to Jimmy Kimmel,
- 1:17:39Speaker 2: even though Corolla is a very outspoken conservative and Kimmel's
- 1:17:43Speaker 2: become this left wing idiot. Adam Corolla, he said he's
- 1:17:47Speaker 2: still a friend of Kimmel. He says his belief is
- 1:17:50Speaker 2: the reason Kimmel's become such a lefty pain in the
- 1:17:53Speaker 2: butt is he married a lefty woman and she's filled
- 1:17:57Speaker 2: his head and rather than fight it, he's just gone
- 1:18:00Speaker 2: along with it. I could do a listen. It would
- 1:18:03Speaker 2: take up nineteen podcasts of guys that have made fools
- 1:18:05Speaker 2: on themselves over women. Bill Belichick, I mean he comes
- 1:18:13Speaker 2: to mind, because that one's really bad. How about the
- 1:18:16Speaker 2: coaching New England Vrabel with this old Diana? Ever see anything?
- 1:18:20Speaker 2: Terry Sandford was the governor of South Carolina. The governor
- 1:18:23Speaker 2: he disappeared from his job as the governor and when
- 1:18:26Speaker 2: hiking in South America like Argentina for weeks while he
- 1:18:29Speaker 2: was the governor with a woman who wasn't his wife,
- 1:18:33Speaker 2: So I'm head. Turner was married to Jane Fond of Froe,
- 1:18:36Speaker 2: and that's what he became liberal. I still remember, you know,
- 1:18:41Speaker 2: it was during this period of time that the assault
- 1:18:44Speaker 2: on Native American sports names began. By the way, the
- 1:18:48Speaker 2: Braves are about the only one that have held in there.
- 1:18:53Speaker 2: But one of the things that Brave fans have done
- 1:18:55Speaker 2: forever and still do is, I mean, in this world
- 1:18:59Speaker 2: at which we've done had so much political correctness, jam
- 1:19:02Speaker 2: down our throats. It's amazing to me that this still
- 1:19:04Speaker 2: hangs on the team doesn't encourage it, but whenever the
- 1:19:06Speaker 2: Braves are rally going, they'll do this war chant kind
- 1:19:09Speaker 2: of thing and they raise their hands up and down
- 1:19:11Speaker 2: like a tomahawk chant. Florida State does that too. They're
- 1:19:15Speaker 2: the Seminoles. That's the one case of a tribe that
- 1:19:18Speaker 2: wants the name to continue. Now, the Braves is a
- 1:19:21Speaker 2: generic name, but there was a playoff game. It's probably
- 1:19:25Speaker 2: back in the Greg Maddox herowin. Bobby Cox is their
- 1:19:28Speaker 2: manager in the Braves are in the playoffs, and Turner
- 1:19:31Speaker 2: on the team, and he's married to Jane Fonda. And
- 1:19:34Speaker 2: this is after now all of this stuff was considered
- 1:19:37Speaker 2: to be racist and you're not supposed to do it,
- 1:19:38Speaker 2: And the tomahawk chant is going on to the stadium,
- 1:19:40Speaker 2: and not only there is Ted Turner doing the thing,
- 1:19:43Speaker 2: Jane Fonda was doing the tomahawk chant. So people tend,
- 1:19:48Speaker 2: I think, to have a final impression of Ted Turner
- 1:19:52Speaker 2: as this big lefty icon kind of pain in the butt.
- 1:20:01Speaker 2: But the reality is he was an incredible pioneer, visionary
- 1:20:07Speaker 2: and he ended up. I think he died of Louis's
- 1:20:10Speaker 2: body dementia. It just a terrible disease, and apparently his
- 1:20:14Speaker 2: mind and his body have been shot for some number
- 1:20:16Speaker 2: of years. But he was a credibly significant person, and
- 1:20:21Speaker 2: particularly before his whole ideology, and had his ideology not changed,
- 1:20:25Speaker 2: maybe CNN wouldn't have gone to hell. You know, the
- 1:20:28Speaker 2: company was all sold, there was the merger with AOL,
- 1:20:30Speaker 2: and numerous takeovers and so on, and it was no
- 1:20:33Speaker 2: longer under his control. But had Ted Turner not turned
- 1:20:37Speaker 2: to the left, and he had continued and not sold
- 1:20:40Speaker 2: his media entities that he had, it's very possible that
- 1:20:46Speaker 2: CNN would have remained a middle ground news source. And
- 1:20:50Speaker 2: I still contend there is a major market niche for
- 1:20:56Speaker 2: a news service that is not conservative like Fox, liberal
- 1:21:00Speaker 2: like everybody else, but act I mean CBS says they're
- 1:21:03Speaker 2: trying to do this. They just think it's really hard
- 1:21:04Speaker 2: to do with the same people that you've had all along.
- 1:21:06Speaker 2: But if CNN would have simply stuck it out for
- 1:21:10Speaker 2: the last forty years, playing it down the middle, I
- 1:21:13Speaker 2: contend they'd still be strong rather than be the marginalized
- 1:21:17Speaker 2: operation that they are now. You remember that first rack
- 1:21:22Speaker 2: war night, I mean, the bombs are dropping and Bernard
- 1:21:25Speaker 2: Shaw was there. John Holman, you do you have any
- 1:21:28Speaker 2: recollection of this? Yeah, I mean you remember that night
- 1:21:33Speaker 2: though it was the first night of the war, and
- 1:21:37Speaker 2: trying to I can't come up with the third reporter
- 1:21:39Speaker 2: is but they had a three star I think I
- 1:21:41Speaker 2: think the one guy they're all who Yeah, I think
- 1:21:48Speaker 2: Arthur Kent was there for NBC. You have somebody that
- 1:21:51Speaker 2: was interact during the war, but he wasn't with that network.
- 1:21:52Speaker 2: The thing with CNN, though, was that they were the
- 1:21:55Speaker 2: only news operation to be wall the wall because Fox
- 1:21:58Speaker 2: wasn't around yet, MSNBC was and around it. They were
- 1:22:01Speaker 2: the only one, you know, and the regular TV networks
- 1:22:04Speaker 2: might have broken into their coverage. But again, this is
- 1:22:07Speaker 2: the first war in Iraq, not the second one, the
- 1:22:09Speaker 2: first one. That was a groundbreaking period for me. It
- 1:22:13Speaker 2: was first or second or third year that I was
- 1:22:16Speaker 2: doing talk radio here in Milwaukee, actually first year nineteen ninety,
- 1:22:20Speaker 2: and that's what put us on the map. It was
- 1:22:24Speaker 2: a year into the thing, the first year which we
- 1:22:26Speaker 2: grew very very slowly. When the war started, there were
- 1:22:30Speaker 2: all of these people. Again, remember this is before there
- 1:22:33Speaker 2: was any cable other than you know, CNN on a
- 1:22:34Speaker 2: little bit, there was no Internet. People were interested in
- 1:22:38Speaker 2: getting war coverage and they turned to AM radio, knowing all,
- 1:22:40Speaker 2: there's some news stations there. They stumbled not only onto US,
- 1:22:44Speaker 2: any other station that carried Rush or any of these
- 1:22:47Speaker 2: other programs, and they heard, rather than hearing everything you
- 1:22:50Speaker 2: were getting from the media attacking the war, kind of
- 1:22:53Speaker 2: like now, there were people that were actually supporting it
- 1:22:57Speaker 2: and the people that were interested in a conservative point
- 1:23:01Speaker 2: of view. That's how they initially found us, and it
- 1:23:04Speaker 2: grew from there. But that was the turning point, not
- 1:23:06Speaker 2: only for me, for Russian, almost every other of the
- 1:23:09Speaker 2: pioneering talk radio stations in America. We've covered everything under
- 1:23:13Speaker 2: the sun. There's a reason that we call the Last
- 1:23:15Speaker 2: show of the week, The Big One. This concludes The
- 1:23:18Speaker 2: Big One again, back for week number two of season two.
- 1:23:21Speaker 2: We'll release a new podcast Monday of next week.
- 1:23:31Speaker 1: The Mark Belling Podcast is a production of iHeartRadio Podcasts.
- 1:23:35Speaker 2: Production and engineering.
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