Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 392 - 11/10/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
- 0:13Hello and welcome. To episode 392 of the All
- 0:18systems go sports betting. Podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 0:22I am your host. Josh Applebaum.
- 0:29What's going on, everyone? Happy Monday, a new week begins.
- 0:32And we got a. Lot to talk about on today's
- 0:34podcast it's. Going to be all NFL, all
- 0:38college. Basketball, because of course we
- 0:39got to wrap. Up NFL Week 10.
- 0:42Can you believe it? Week 10 already.
- 0:43Here. And my patriots?
- 0:45Unbelievable. Drake may now the favorite.
- 0:48To win the MVP. Just absolutely incredible.
- 0:50More on the Pats in a second, because.
- 0:52They did cash their over 7 1/2. Win total for those of you who.
- 0:56Followed in the the Juice Trail app I put.
- 0:59That in, I think it was all the way back in like, was it like?
- 1:01May or June. Over 7 1/2 wins.
- 1:04Again, shop around because there's some 88 and a halfs but.
- 1:06Don't have to sweat that one any.
- 1:08Further, I want. To make a comment on.
- 1:10Just futures real quick because I have a lot of people.
- 1:13Who ask me, you know, Hey. How do you?
- 1:15Weight your your, you know your daily.
- 1:16Plays. All the games individual.
- 1:19Games for that day and and upcoming versus How do you play?
- 1:22Futures. And.
- 1:24But what I do is I put a little bit more in the future, so.
- 1:26I'm a flat better of course, by nature, I think if.
- 1:28You're grinding. In the arena, every.
- 1:30Single day. Again, when you're hot, you
- 1:33wish. You bet.
- 1:33More but when you. Lost.
- 1:34You probably wish you bet less. So I think the important thing
- 1:36of flat betting is always. Risking one unit 3.
- 1:39Percent of your bankroll per play taking a very, very long.
- 1:42Term approach. That means if you start with 100
- 1:44bucks, you're only risking $3 a game.
- 1:46Again, you're not going to become a millionaire overnight,
- 1:48but. It's going to protect.
- 1:49You from the bad times, the cold streaks and also you will kind
- 1:52of generate a positive ROI. When you when you do.
- 1:54Well, with futures. Though I bet a.
- 1:57Little bit more so. I'll go up to 5 units on the
- 1:59future. So think of that.
- 2:01You know if you're betting 3 bucks a game with $100. 15 bucks
- 2:05at the. Most I really don't go beyond
- 2:06that. In terms of, in terms of
- 2:08breaking on your. Units.
- 2:09But the other thing is I don't go nuts with, you know, pre, you
- 2:13know, pre season bets or futures, you know, kind of.
- 2:15Early numbers here. I pick up, you know.
- 2:18Or pick out. Two or three, you know, per
- 2:19sport. So I.
- 2:20Have a couple win totals in the NFL.
- 2:22I'm still rooting for. The the under 5 1/2 of the
- 2:25Saints all. They won this weekend, which I
- 2:27was hoping that they would lose that one.
- 2:29They. Can still win three more and we
- 2:30can get. That under 5 1/2.
- 2:32But I do put a little bit more in futures and the reason being?
- 2:34One, I don't play a ton of them. So you're limited.
- 2:37In the ones you. Play 2.
- 2:39It gives you a rooting interest throughout the year 3.
- 2:41You can cash a bet. You know, obviously week. 10 is.
- 2:44Cashing, which is great. But it gives you something to
- 2:47build your bankroll with. Overtime.
- 2:49And also you put a lot of research into it.
- 2:51So if you feel like you have an. Edge I don't.
- 2:53Want it to be just like 1 unit. Like any other bet.
- 2:55I feel like I. Have a good edge on a season.
- 2:57Long play. I'm going to put a little more
- 2:58on it, so Patriots over. 7F wins coming through, that was a nice
- 3:02hit for those of us on the. Over and maybe you got 8/8 and
- 3:051/2. You need one more win.
- 3:06Well. They're playing The Jets this
- 3:08this Thursday night and the spreads like 10 1/2.
- 3:10So maybe you'll get it there or you should get it there as well.
- 3:13But anyway, guys for tonight. We do have the Monday.
- 3:16Night Football game, Packers. And the Eagles this one is.
- 3:19Very interesting because there's a line move.
- 3:21Going one way. But it's very popular and maybe.
- 3:24We should buy LO. And go the other way.
- 3:25So I'll give you my breakdown. On this one.
- 3:27And then two. Plays in college basketball.
- 3:30Decent slate here tonight. And I'm going.
- 3:32To kind of look back toward. On Friday, if you remember North
- 3:35Carolina at home against Kansas, Little bit of line.
- 3:38Movement in their favor. Money lining a short.
- 3:40Favorite that came? Through SO I got a couple.
- 3:42Money line. Short favorites for tonight and
- 3:45also going to talk through an added game extra game.
- 3:47What does that mean? How do you?
- 3:48Attack that differently from just any other play on the
- 3:50board. So 2 college hoops plays.
- 3:52One NFL for tonight. You guys know the drill.
- 3:54Let's try to get 2 out of 3. Eek out a winning day.
- 3:57Now over the weekend Saturday. Two and three I.
- 4:01Added a couple plays. We did get our Kentucky play
- 4:04which was plus 3 1/2 you. Love.
- 4:06Seeing that they rolled. Against Florida, so that was a
- 4:08great hit there and shout out to.
- 4:10Rhythm because rhythm, actually. Had Kentucky favored by.
- 4:12Three in that game, so nice little.
- 4:14Rhythm edge with a. Conference primetime dog That's
- 4:18contrarian. I added Iowa.
- 4:20Plus 6 1/2. They end up closing around six
- 4:22they probably. Should have won that game, but
- 4:24they did cover. You know they lost at the very
- 4:26end, so Iowa was a late addition on the juicer lap in a decent
- 4:29sharp report. Play Mizzou. +7 I added them as
- 4:32well. They're super sharp.
- 4:33A lot of people, I respected Ron, them, they got their doors.
- 4:36Blown off and that quarterback was just pathetic.
- 4:39Nevada Plus. 9 1/2 another sharp play.
- 4:42Rhythm had it closer to six. They get blown out.
- 4:44So that wasn't fun. And Arkansas State, this one was
- 4:48frustrating because there's a really sharp.
- 4:50Move on, Arkansas State Plus 6 1/2 all the way down to 4 1/2.
- 4:53But on game day, you saw a huge steam.
- 4:55Bring that line back up to. 6 1/2.
- 4:57And then end up. Losing by 6 so.
- 5:00Again. You lose a 4 1/2.
- 5:02If you got a 6 1/2 and a better number you would have covered
- 5:05that. Game, so that's the importance
- 5:06of getting the best price. And then two and two.
- 5:08Yesterday in the NFL. Start off the day nicely with
- 5:11the Atlanta Falcons +6. And 1/2.
- 5:14Thank God for the hook. They lose by 6 in overtime.
- 5:17And I was, I was like, hey, they don't kick the extra point in
- 5:19overtime, do they? Because I'm thinking.
- 5:21Here we go. Again, Jonathan Taylor scores.
- 5:23To get up by 6 extra. Point we lose. 6 1/2 because
- 5:26they lost by 7 but thank the Lord they do not kick the extra.
- 5:30Point in overtime, so Falcons covered by the.
- 5:32Hook also added the Ravens. That was a play my buddy Kate
- 5:35Harper really liked on the rhythm or the yeah, the rhythm
- 5:39rundown. On Thursday, he had a closer to
- 5:41a six. Point game.
- 5:42They end up covering that number.
- 5:44Will they win by 7? But that was -3 1/2 up to. 4
- 5:471/2. And you have some good splits
- 5:49and system matches on the Ravens.
- 5:50That was nice to see. Browns were gross.
- 5:53They got off to A7, nothing lead and then they gave up a kick
- 5:56return, touchdown and a punt. Return touchdown and.
- 5:59They made it interesting. But couldn't come through.
- 6:00So Brown's dog to fave let us down.
- 6:02And then how bad was Aaron Rodgers last night?
- 6:06I mean. Geez, they just couldn't get
- 6:08anything going. There was a.
- 6:09Comedy of errors, fumbles left and right.
- 6:12Can't make a play? So Pittsburgh plus three, pour
- 6:15one out for the homies. Couldn't get that one so.
- 6:17We're grinding guys with that patriots future end up.
- 6:20Being a winning weekend, we'll see if we can start a win streak
- 6:23here for tonight now. I want to talk about this Monday
- 6:27night game because. It's very interesting.
- 6:29Because I've had a lot of people say.
- 6:30You're going. You're going.
- 6:31Eagles, right? Because.
- 6:31Of the line move then. I have a lot of people saying
- 6:33you're going Green Bay, right, because you're fading the trendy
- 6:35dog. So only is a perfect play
- 6:37because there are some reasons. To like both sides.
- 6:40Based on what the? Market is telling us, but I got
- 6:42a clear play here for me for tonight, so let's set the stage.
- 6:458:15 PM. Eastern Time tonight.
- 6:47Eagles at Packers. Eagles come in six.
- 6:50And two just took. Down the G Men 38 to 20 last
- 6:53game. Easily covered as a 7 and. 1/2
- 6:55point home favorite on. The other hand, the pack. 5 Two
- 6:57and one. Just lost a really.
- 6:59Bad. Game to the Panthers. 16 to 13.
- 7:02They were favored by. 12 1/2 at home.
- 7:04And lost out right. Now, what do we see across the
- 7:06market? Well, this game open Green Bay.
- 7:08Listed as a three-point home favorite and the public says.
- 7:12The wrong team is favored. So.
- 7:14Everybody and their mother is. Pounding the Philadelphia Eagles
- 7:17tonight. Eagles across the market.
- 7:19Are getting 70. 4% of spread bets at.
- 7:22DraftKings and again, DraftKings.
- 7:23Big public book National. Book so you can.
- 7:26Be pretty confident that. Everyone's playing the Eagles
- 7:28tonight. Now what complicates this?
- 7:31Is the line did drop to the Eagles, so maybe there's some of
- 7:34the. Injuries.
- 7:35They are coming off a buy. Did see this line move toward
- 7:38Philly now Philly was plus. Three now Philly's plus 1 1/2 or
- 7:42+1. So the line has moved toward the
- 7:44Eagles. I got to give you that.
- 7:46But here's the thing, guys, I think there's an.
- 7:47Opportunity right now to buy low on Green Bay at a reduced price
- 7:51in a really contrarian play opportunity.
- 7:54So number one, we have. Seen a little sneaky buyback
- 7:58here. Like some shops at one point got
- 8:00down to a pick. Em or -1?
- 8:03Creeping back up toward minus. 1 1/2.
- 8:05The other angle here is it's, it's a, it's a fade the trendy
- 8:07dog play again, you get to a prime.
- 8:09Time game, You know three out of four bets are hammering 1.
- 8:12Side especially a trendy dog I want.
- 8:14To go the other. Way so Packers.
- 8:17Only getting 26. Percent of spread bets.
- 8:19Great fade the trendy dog. Opportunity and a heavily bet
- 8:21prime time game. But they're.
- 8:23Getting nearly 50. Percent of spread dollars.
- 8:26At DraftKings so they do have a low.
- 8:27Bets higher dollar split. In favor of green.
- 8:29Bay now let's add. In a few more.
- 8:31Factors here for Green Bay. Because again, you tell me like
- 8:34Philly, you tell me you got a + 3, two and a half.
- 8:37You're. Beating the closing.
- 8:37Line you're. You're feeling pretty good.
- 8:39Right now, but. If you haven't played it yet.
- 8:41Again, buying low on Green Bay. Looks to be the.
- 8:42Play for me, aside from Faye the trendy dog, aside from super
- 8:45contrarian unpopular prime time. Favorite at home?
- 8:48Which is a pretty rare thing because public usually loves
- 8:51favorites. And they usually love home
- 8:52teams, so. They're on neither night.
- 8:54They're on the. The road dog so it creates an.
- 8:57Opportunity for us to play this this contrarian favorite.
- 9:00But anyway, it's kind of the. Ultimate buy low, sell high.
- 9:02Packers are a favorite. Who's unpopular?
- 9:05Coming off a non. Cover and a straight.
- 9:06Up loss again minus. 12 1/2 you. Lose by three out right at home
- 9:10to the Panthers. Meanwhile, we can kind of sell
- 9:12high in Philly. They've won a couple in a row.
- 9:14They just blow out the Giants. They're coming off a.
- 9:16Buy everyone's playing them. We can kind of buy low, sell
- 9:19high and go green. Bay.
- 9:21Now here's some system matches. Favorites off a loss.
- 9:24Very simple system. Here but patch patch Havel said
- 9:28the Patrick. 'S the Packers match favorites
- 9:31off a loss this year are 30. 3 and 18 against the spread 60. 5.
- 9:34Percent, 23%. ROI if the favorite.
- 9:37Off a loss is also at home. They improved to 22 and 11
- 9:40against the spread 60. 7%. With a 20. 7% ROI.
- 9:45Favorites Awful loss. Playing an opponent off a win.
- 9:47Green Bay. Awful loss.
- 9:48Philly off a win. Play Green Bay.
- 9:51That's just a match. Kind of the ultimate Buy low,
- 9:52sell high. Is 15 and six against the spread
- 9:5571%? With a 36.
- 9:58Percent ROI. Now I went money line here.
- 10:01On Green Bay, I bet it a little too early I got. -125 you can
- 10:05get around -110 at this point. But listen to this that home
- 10:09favorites off a loss. Outright.
- 10:11Just to win the game. They're 24 and 973%.
- 10:15Straight up this year 12% ROI. Jordan Love in his career 10 and
- 10:19four straight up 71. Percent, 5% ROI at home now.
- 10:24To add a little fuel to the fire here, I popped open Rhythm and I
- 10:28I noticed this I talked about on Friday's pod.
- 10:30Because I I noticed man, Green Bay is super.
- 10:32Contrarian low number. Everyone's playing Eagles and.
- 10:35Then when I look at my rhythm recommendations.
- 10:38I find under the money line tab. For the Green Bay.
- 10:40Game and check out Rhythm because they revamped their
- 10:42layout. It's a lot.
- 10:43Clearer. It's really interesting.
- 10:44It looks pretty good, but. I have a smart signal.
- 10:47On Green Bay now. Smart signals are the best of
- 10:49the best. Green Star Recommendations.
- 10:51Telling me. To play Green Bay on the money
- 10:53line. So Rhythm and their AI model
- 10:55say, play Packers. Money line tonight and.
- 10:57That's right up my. Alley with fading HND dog.
- 11:00So if you tell me you like Philly.
- 11:02Again the line. Moved in your.
- 11:03Favor like if Green Bay was minus.
- 11:06One up to minus. Three and everyone's playing
- 11:08Philly then, man. That's like the perfect play.
- 11:11I'm not going to call. Green Bay a perfect.
- 11:12Play. Because it did move toward
- 11:14Philly. I would call it a Bilo
- 11:15contrarian value play. On Green Bay tonight.
- 11:18So again I. Got Green Bay money line -120?
- 11:215:00 on Friday because I thought this might tick up closer to,
- 11:24you know, back up to two or three, but.
- 11:26You can now get -110 money line so I'm going to root.
- 11:28For this rhythm, green. Star smart signal Recommended
- 11:31play Packers. Money line now.
- 11:34I was. Talking to to my buddy who is 1.
- 11:37Of the sharpest guys I know and. He lives the dream he.
- 11:40Goes to all the Packers. Games lives in Wisconsin.
- 11:43My buddy Willie. Willie.
- 11:45Tomlinson. So he's going to the game
- 11:46tonight. And I was asking about the
- 11:48weather. And it's going to be cold, it's
- 11:51going to be windy. There's a chance for snow,
- 11:54although it may not. Be crazy or anything but it's
- 11:56going to be like 30 degrees 27°. Of course.
- 12:00Frozen tundra of Lambeau Field. Green Bays used to it.
- 12:03But I think. There's an opportunity to.
- 12:04I lean pretty hard under 45 1/2. Now the total.
- 12:07Open 44 1/2. Got up to 40. 5 1/2.
- 12:10Public is absolutely hammering the over here.
- 12:13You're looking right now at. DraftKings 74% of bets on the
- 12:16over Circa. 80. 5% of bets on the over.
- 12:19Now we have seen overs. Do well this year.
- 12:21They're 79 and 60. 854. Percent non division.
- 12:24Overs have been pretty. Good 60 and 4756% but.
- 12:29This reminds me. Of kind of a.
- 12:30A sell high like we were buying low on Green Bay, now you.
- 12:33Might want to sell high on the. Total you can get.
- 12:35Under 40. 5 1/2 It's now starting to fall back down to
- 12:3845. So might be your.
- 12:40Kind of last call. Train leaving the station.
- 12:42To get the hook there. But.
- 12:44Unders in prime time. Games this year 18 and 1550. 5%.
- 12:48You saw the Under come through last night and the Packers in
- 12:51the Chargers game. And if you look at.
- 12:55Prime time unders. Since 2019 there two O 8 and one
- 12:595150. 8% if. In here you add this whole
- 13:02cherry on top. Prime time total of 45 or more.
- 13:06The under is 60. Percent since. 2019 and again.
- 13:10Freezing cold temperatures. 7 to 10 mile per hour wins.
- 13:14Maybe that's a little benefit there to the under.
- 13:16So I lean pretty hard under 45. And a half again.
- 13:19If you tell me, like Philly, the line moved in their favor.
- 13:21I'm not going to argue with you, but I think it's a good.
- 13:23Opportunity to fade a very, very, very, very.
- 13:26Very trendy dog in Philly getting three out of four bets
- 13:29and play Packers. Money line.
- 13:31With that rhythm. Smart signal and again, you're
- 13:33buying low on a team that. Lost outright versus.
- 13:35A team that everyone loves. So I.
- 13:37Got Green Bay to win the damn game, my guy.
- 13:39Willie. Bring us some some good luck.
- 13:41I think. Willie's head into the tailgate
- 13:43as we speak, getting some brats and cheese.
- 13:45And all the. Stuff you Wisconsinites enjoy.
- 13:49Now let's go over to some college basketball because there
- 13:51are a couple games tonight that. Jumped out to me.
- 13:54So I'm going to add a couple. Here to the to the card.
- 13:57Now first one. Is a. 7:00 game.
- 14:00North Carolina Wilmington against.
- 14:02Kent State. And I want to.
- 14:03Start giving you the ID. Numbers.
- 14:05Because like football. You know it's easy.
- 14:07To find the games. But ID numbers, Vegas rotation
- 14:10numbers, whatever you want to. Call them.
- 14:12They're going to be a three digit number.
- 14:14Usually to the left of the game, so.
- 14:15This is game 7277. 28 But I'm going to take Kent.
- 14:19State on the money. Line to win this game here
- 14:21tonight now. Kent State comes in one in one.
- 14:24They lost their first game to Troy. 103 to 97 in overtime.
- 14:27Then they beat Cornell, 110 to 102.
- 14:30They're playing UNC Wilmington, who won.
- 14:32Their first game. 106 to 77. Against mount.
- 14:36Olive. I have.
- 14:37Never heard of that school before so you probably should
- 14:39have beaten them up. But anyway, it's a low game, low
- 14:42back game. But the lines moving toward Kent
- 14:44State, Kent. Stay open this game.
- 14:46Very low -1 1/2 now Kent State. Is up to minus. 2 1/2.
- 14:51So low back game. Not that.
- 14:53Popular, but the. Lines moving toward Kent.
- 14:55State that tells me we got respected pro guys.
- 14:58And gals hitting Kent State here now.
- 15:01On the spread at. Circa Out in Vegas.
- 15:03Sharp Book. Only 33.
- 15:04Percent of spread bets. But 60?
- 15:06Percent of spread dollars. Are going Kent State.
- 15:09So it tells me you got the pros out in Vegas also.
- 15:11Going Kent State here now I'm going to money line Kent State
- 15:15I. Got them at minus. 140 at
- 15:17Caesar's. Some books are closer to -145 -
- 15:201. 50. But once again, money lining,
- 15:23short favorites. Again, I never want to go above.
- 15:25-2. 100 I don't I really don't want to go above like minus. 175
- 15:28S. Money lining, short favorites.
- 15:30There's a couple others today. That I kind of leaned toward,
- 15:32but they're like minus. 180 -, 190.
- 15:34That's a little high. Because again, you got.
- 15:36To win at a higher rate to. Obviously turn a profit here.
- 15:40But my angle here. Is don't get clipped.
- 15:41If Kent State happens. To win by one or two.
- 15:44You lay a 2 1/2 because you want to save the juice.
- 15:46You lose the bet. So -140 to protect yourself,
- 15:49that's what I did. Now Ken Palm has Kent.
- 15:52State winning by 1. Rhythm as Kent State -1.9, but.
- 15:56What I really like is that when I.
- 15:58Popped open the juice. Reel app.
- 16:00I noticed a big 50. Percent sharp mush edge.
- 16:04On the Kent State money line. So wise guys like you and wise
- 16:08gals out there listening to the pod who've downloaded.
- 16:10Juice Reel and synced up your books.
- 16:12The big, sharp winning players are also.
- 16:14Going Kent State. Money line I'm.
- 16:16Also going to add 2. Two small factors here.
- 16:18This is Kent State's. 3rd game. And this is their.
- 16:23I believe let me just. Double check is their.
- 16:25Third straight home game. So friendly, confines at home,
- 16:29no travel. UNC Wilmington, this is.
- 16:31Only their second. Game and.
- 16:32It's their first Rd. Game, so maybe get some home
- 16:35cooking here. Hopefully with Kent State.
- 16:37The other angle is. UNC Wilmington has been.
- 16:40Off since the third. Of November, so they've been off
- 16:44for. A full week here.
- 16:46Kent State last played in one on the. 7th and again college.
- 16:49Unless it's like a tournament or back-to-back.
- 16:53You know these kids are 18/19/20 years old when I was 18/19/20
- 16:57rest. Was not a problem.
- 16:58Let. Me tell you that.
- 17:00Now you're now. I'm 38, you know, I get tired at
- 17:029:00. So that's, that's just life, I
- 17:04guess. But anyway.
- 17:05It's not REST. Maybe it's Rust?
- 17:08That's the point here with. Kent State's third.
- 17:11Straight home game what? You want to Wilmington's first
- 17:13game on the. Road.
- 17:15It's also a true true. Homecourt, you know, this is not
- 17:17like a, you know, a neutral cider.
- 17:19One of those tournament games, the Maui Invitational.
- 17:21Or something like that. So I'm going.
- 17:23Kent State to win the damn game. On the money line.
- 17:27At -140. Next one for you.
- 17:30If you're looking for a gross obscure.
- 17:32Low back game I. Got one for you?
- 17:34It's another 7:00. Game South Carolina State
- 17:37against North Carolina A. And T now.
- 17:40This is an added game, extra game so.
- 17:42Instead of a three digit. Vegas rotation ID number It is a
- 17:45six. Digit number.
- 17:47So it's game three O 663-530-6636.
- 17:51And if you have to, when you go bet this game on your app if you
- 17:54don't see it initially. There's probably another tab
- 17:56that says extra. Game or added games or extras?
- 17:59If you need to find it. But anyway.
- 18:01This is one of the most you know least.
- 18:04Popular games public wants nothing.
- 18:05To do it, it's got an incredibly low ticket count public.
- 18:07Can't even find this game on. Their app.
- 18:09But pros? They've taken a position here.
- 18:12They've hit north. Carolina A&T on the money line.
- 18:15North Carolina A&T opened as low.
- 18:17As -1 -, 1 1/2 N Carolina, A and.
- 18:20T is up. Now up to -3 -, 3 1/2.
- 18:23So that is a. Big blind move on a low bed?
- 18:25Obscure. Game if you look.
- 18:27Also at another factor which I like.
- 18:30Again, money lining short. Favorite I did get.
- 18:33North Carolina A&T on the money line at -1. 50 at ESPN.
- 18:36Bet shop around because some others are minus. 155 -, 160.
- 18:41But the DraftKings money line split only 58%, bets 82%.
- 18:45Of the dollars going. Here with North Carolina A&T.
- 18:49Now, Ken Palma is North Carolina A.
- 18:51And T winning by one rhythm has North Carolina A and T -, 1.3.
- 18:56But what I kind of like about this one is.
- 18:58You know, you look at South Carolina State, they're O and
- 19:00two and this is their third straight Rd. game.
- 19:04You look at NCA and T, you know. This is their.
- 19:07Second home game. But they've also been much
- 19:09better offensively. Like both teams are bad
- 19:10defensively. They're.
- 19:11Giving up on average here looks like actually I guess.
- 19:16Is their first home. Game NCA and T, but both teams
- 19:19are giving up like 90 points a game.
- 19:21But North Carolina A&T their offense.
- 19:23They're averaging 70. 2 versus South Carolina State or Yeah
- 19:28South. Carolina State averaging 58.
- 19:30Points per game. So it's a pretty high total,
- 19:32like 1. 59160. But better offense, little bit
- 19:36obscure game line move rhythm and Ken pom both.
- 19:39Say they should win the game. So I money lined North Carolina
- 19:42A. And T at ESPN.
- 19:44Bet -150. So Kent State, North Carolina
- 19:48A&T both on the money line along with Packers money line.
- 19:52So that about does it for episode. 390.
- 19:54Two of the all. Systems go sports betting.
- 19:56Podcast powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod
- 19:59where we wrap things up. I start first by.
- 20:01Saying thank you, thank you for listening, thank you for tuning
- 20:04in, thank you for grinding with me.
- 20:06Again, through the UPS and the downs.
- 20:07That's life. That's sports betting.
- 20:09So we always keep our head up and keep grinding.
- 20:11Never get too cocky when we're doing well.
- 20:13Don't get down on yourself. Don't get.
- 20:15Depressed when you're not doing well because betting.
- 20:17It's hard if you. Haven't realized yet.
- 20:19But anyway guys, if you do enjoy the pod, you want to help me
- 20:21grow the pod? Please.
- 20:22Would you give this podcast a five star review on Spotify or
- 20:26iTunes? Also, if you wanted to you.
- 20:29Know leave a. Comment.
- 20:31Or recommend it to a. Friend or click the follow.
- 20:33Button that would. Also be fantastic next.
- 20:36Have you bought any of my books yet?
- 20:38Well, if you enjoy data-driven. Betting I think.
- 20:40You're going to enjoy these books.
- 20:41Also, you know Thanksgivings coming up before you know it.
- 20:43It's the holiday season if you need a Hanukkah gift.
- 20:47Or a stocking stuffer. You know what you should do?
- 20:49Go to. Amazon.com Type in the.
- 20:51NFL sharp betting playbook as well as the everything guide to
- 20:54sports betting. My two books that I've written,
- 20:56Very proud of both. I have a life goal.
- 20:58To write a new. Book every five years.
- 21:00So I've done the 1st 2:00. I'm thinking the next one's.
- 21:03Either going to be. College basketball.
- 21:04Or Major League Baseball. But anyway, if you would like to
- 21:08pick. Up one or.
- 21:09Both of the books you would make my day.
- 21:11You'd learn more about. Betting you can.
- 21:12Give it as a. Gift to someone.
- 21:13Who's looking? For some tips and.
- 21:15Strategies about sports betting. And if you'd like to give it a
- 21:185. Star Review.
- 21:19And a nice comment on Amazon. I would love that because that
- 21:22helps us keep the ratings up there.
- 21:25Also, have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice?
- 21:27Reel yet my two favorite. Sports betting apps rhythm.
- 21:30As you know. Great AI backed.
- 21:32Models and predictions. For game bets.
- 21:33And player props as well as Juice Reel where you can tip
- 21:36your podcast host, support the pod. $4.99 a week.
- 21:40Yep, 5 bucks, basically a cup of coffee.
- 21:44If you're like my wife, it's like half a cup of a Starbucks
- 21:46coffee, even though it's a little tiny little thing.
- 21:48But that's what women love, I guess.
- 21:51But anyway if. You would like to.
- 21:53Get those plays, support the pod you.
- 21:55Can get them on. Juice Reel you also get the Robo
- 21:57Jackson best bet picks the sharp mush indicators the arbitrage
- 22:00plays. The shop for the best.
- 22:01Line features all inside. Of the Juice Reel app.
- 22:05So download Rhythm, download Juice Reel, give them a five
- 22:07star review in the app. Store next.
- 22:09Do you have a live odds page? If you don't, you need.
- 22:12One I honestly don't. Know how you bet on sports
- 22:13without a live? Odds page.
- 22:15To me it's a piece of data that. You got to have because without
- 22:17it you're flying blind. So there's a lot of live odds
- 22:20pages out there again. Updates in real time.
- 22:22Shows you the opening. Number all the current prices.
- 22:24Shop for the best line. Pull up all the.
- 22:26Line history as well as again get the best price and identify
- 22:30steam. There's a lot of them out there,
- 22:32but the best 1 is. Odds logic and I.
- 22:34Tweeted this yesterday, but odds logic.
- 22:36They added a. Dark mode.
- 22:38So instead of a. Like a white backdrop, it's
- 22:40black and looks, Looks. Pretty darn sharp.
- 22:42So if you want to give odds Logic a shot, especially with
- 22:44college hoops returning and all these sports.
- 22:46Going on at once. Here is a link odds
- 22:49logic.com/josh 123. That'll give.
- 22:52You a 7 day free trial. And 50% off your first month of?
- 22:55Service Lastly have you? Given a shot to Novig yet?
- 22:59Well, Novig is a betting exchange, not a.
- 23:01Sports book so. You're going to get.
- 23:02Way better juice prices. Instead of -1. 15 - 1. 20 you're
- 23:06almost. Always going to get -110 or less
- 23:08minus one O 7 - 1 O 2. Plus one O 3 because the books
- 23:13aren't. Gouging you.
- 23:14You are in an. Exchange going up against.
- 23:16Other betters not the house so. If you want to download Novig.
- 23:19To fund your account, there should be a little promo code
- 23:22there. You're going to put our promo
- 23:24field little. Box you're.
- 23:25Going to put in Josh 123 for 100% deposit match up to 25
- 23:29bucks. So that about does it for
- 23:31episode. 392 of the all systems go sports betting.
- 23:34Podcast powered by rhythm as always, guys 2.
- 23:36Final thoughts one. Whether I see you at the Borgata
- 23:40in Atlantic City Twin. River in Rhode Island, Brooklyn,
- 23:42New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan.
- 23:43Sundown in Connecticut. The Encore in Boston Plain Ridge
- 23:46Park. Casino MGM Springfield.
- 23:48The Nash and my neck of the woods on the.
- 23:49Border of. Mass.
- 23:50In New Hampshire. Or out in the desert, where the
- 23:52true grinders get down. Or Billy Walter sends his number
- 23:55runners. Where the lowest juice.
- 23:56Possible is found at the South. Point where?
- 23:58Sweat and sharp contrarian plays.
- 23:59Jumping in the stadium. Swimming pool when you catch a
- 24:01big ticket at Circa Whatever. It may be you're going to walk
- 24:04up to me. You can show me.
- 24:06Iowa, Kentucky Falcons. Ravens.
- 24:08But you know what? I want you to show me Patriots
- 24:11over. 7 1/2 wins What's better than cash?
- 24:14In a win total in week. 10 I mean seriously, that's about as
- 24:17good as it gets, I bet. An ESPN bet and they already
- 24:20paid me out so. If you bet it.
- 24:21I hope you got paid out. As well.
- 24:23Check your house rules, sometimes they'll make you wait
- 24:25a little longer. But anyway guys, first one's on
- 24:27me next. One's on.
- 24:28You will reinvest it tonight into.
- 24:30The Packers, Kent State and NCANT.
- 24:32So as always, guys coming off a. Winning weekend, Losing weekend.
- 24:36Great day, terrible day. Grinding.
- 24:38Somewhere in the middle. Never get too high or too low,
- 24:40remember? We're always playing the.
- 24:41Long game, there's going to be ups and downs.
- 24:43That's why we have discipline, bankroll management.
- 24:45But if we can find. Games that fit our model against
- 24:48the. Public with the house with the
- 24:50pros Flat bet avoid. Parlays and get that CLV.
- 24:52If we can do that, we're. Going to be successful sports
- 24:55bettors. So have a great money on
- 24:57everybody. We'll be right back at it
- 24:58tomorrow for Episode 3. 90. Three of the all.
- 25:02Systems go sports betting. Podcast powered by Rhythm.
- 25:05Good luck everybody and go. Pack go.