Latest / Politix / Resist Trump, Don't Cower
Transcript
- 0:00SPEAKER_00: So then Trump rambling a little bit says, and you know, you go back through history.
- 0:04SPEAKER_00: This is just like before the Holocaust.
- 0:06SPEAKER_00: I swear, if you look, it's the same thing.
- 0:08SPEAKER_00: You had a weak president or head of the country and it just built and built.
- 0:12SPEAKER_00: And then all of a sudden you ended up with Hitler.
- 0:15SPEAKER_00: So this is Trump is constructing an analogy in which Joe Biden is the Weimar Republican.
- 0:20SPEAKER_00: He's Hitler, right?
- 0:28SPEAKER_01: Hey, everyone, you're listening to a free preview of The Politics Podcast.
- 0:32SPEAKER_01: In this episode,
- 0:33SPEAKER_01: we discuss the increasing menace of Donald Trump and what the political
- 0:38SPEAKER_01: implications of it are.
- 0:40SPEAKER_01: Have his threats to the American system become more literal and less figurative?
- 0:45SPEAKER_01: Should the Trump resistance adopt a posture of defensiveness or one of defiance?
- 0:51SPEAKER_01: And how have the people in America and abroad,
- 0:54SPEAKER_01: with the most on the line,
- 0:56SPEAKER_01: responded to the likelihood of a second Trump term?
- 0:59SPEAKER_01: I hope you enjoyed the conversation.
- 1:01SPEAKER_01: And if you want to hear the whole thing, you can upgrade your subscription to paid at politics.fm.
- 1:11SPEAKER_01: Hey everyone, welcome to the Politics Podcast.
- 1:12SPEAKER_01: I'm Brian Boitler.
- 1:13SPEAKER_01: I'm Matthew Iglesias.
- 1:15SPEAKER_01: So first, a quick housekeeping note to kick things off.
- 1:18SPEAKER_01: As we record this,
- 1:20SPEAKER_01: New York jurors are hearing closing arguments in Donald Trump's criminal hush money trial.
- 1:26SPEAKER_01: So that means they'll enter deliberation soon and we anticipate getting a verdict
- 1:32SPEAKER_01: sometime soon thereafter, a day, a few days.
- 1:35SPEAKER_01: But anyway,
- 1:36SPEAKER_01: our plan is to record a quick bonus episode whenever we know what the verdict is,
- 1:40SPEAKER_01: unless I guess it lands on Monday afternoon,
- 1:43SPEAKER_01: in which case we'll just make that the focus of next week's episode.
- 1:45SPEAKER_01: Is that a fair?
- 1:48SPEAKER_00: Yeah, that sounds like a plan.
- 1:49SPEAKER_01: Okay.
- 1:51SPEAKER_01: This week, we wanted to pick up where last episode left off.
- 1:54SPEAKER_01: So we ended last week on this idea that the liberal instinct to kind of stipulate
- 2:01SPEAKER_01: that Donald Trump is this existential threat to democracy,
- 2:05SPEAKER_01: which is a true stipulation,
- 2:07SPEAKER_01: but then to sort of cower at the threat
- 2:12SPEAKER_01: is a bit politically self-defeating, right?
- 2:14SPEAKER_01: Like it makes Trump seem like this resolute figure and Democrats seem like these fearful opponents.
- 2:21SPEAKER_01: And that strikes,
- 2:22SPEAKER_01: I think,
- 2:23SPEAKER_01: both of us as a recipe to demoralize Democratic voters as much as to galvanize them.
- 2:30SPEAKER_01: And, you know, with a similar impact on swing voters.
- 2:34SPEAKER_01: So we want to take a step back and think about what Trumpism in 2024 really is, right?
- 2:39SPEAKER_01: There was this conservative trope during his first term that we should take Trump,
- 2:45SPEAKER_01: quote unquote,
- 2:45SPEAKER_01: seriously,
- 2:47SPEAKER_01: not literally.
- 2:48SPEAKER_01: which meant that a lot of the most menacing things he said and did were blustery
- 2:54SPEAKER_01: and untrue as a textual matter,
- 2:57SPEAKER_01: but were kind of directionally correct.
- 3:01SPEAKER_01: Immigrants aren't all rapists,
- 3:02SPEAKER_01: and he doesn't want to expel all of them,
- 3:04SPEAKER_01: but all of that rhetoric did imply a serious restrictionist bent in his administration.
- 3:11SPEAKER_01: So, Matt.
- 3:13SPEAKER_01: To kick us off, is that still true?
- 3:16SPEAKER_01: Is Trump someone we should take seriously, not literally?
- 3:19SPEAKER_01: Or is he more literally menacing now?
- 3:21SPEAKER_01: Or was the whole conceit just kind of bullshit to begin with?
- 3:24SPEAKER_00: You know, I mean, it's a complicated question, I think, that has different layers to it.
- 3:30SPEAKER_00: I mean, one thing that I think is aggravating
- 3:33SPEAKER_00: about Trump as somebody who, you know, covers him as an opinion journalist, right?
- 3:38SPEAKER_00: I mean, so I have to write about him in a way that's informative.
- 3:42SPEAKER_00: I care about outcomes.
- 3:43SPEAKER_00: Is that, you know, Trump has a reputation for being a liar.
- 3:48SPEAKER_00: That reputation is well-deserved.
- 3:51SPEAKER_00: And I think that it reflects poorly on him as a person, that he is so dishonest.
- 3:57SPEAKER_00: But he is often able to wield that well-deserved reputation for dishonesty to his
- 4:04SPEAKER_00: political advantage so that he's very old,
- 4:11SPEAKER_00: much older than traditional presidential candidates have been.
- 4:14SPEAKER_00: You may have heard this in Joe Biden's context.
- 4:17SPEAKER_00: But if Trump goes on a speech and he says something that's ridiculous –
- 4:21SPEAKER_00: Most people,
- 4:22SPEAKER_00: like authentically,
- 4:23SPEAKER_00: it's not just pro-Trump spin,
- 4:25SPEAKER_00: but like most people's head immediately goes to,
- 4:28SPEAKER_00: oh,
- 4:28SPEAKER_00: there he goes again.
- 4:29SPEAKER_00: Not this guy's lost it, right?
- 4:31SPEAKER_00: Like the presumption is that Trump is a clever, shrewd liar who lies to people for personal advancement.
- 4:39SPEAKER_00: So if he's saying something that's not true,
- 4:42SPEAKER_00: that does not reflect confusion or mental incapacity,
- 4:46SPEAKER_00: but it's all part of a plan.
- 4:48SPEAKER_00: Similarly,
- 4:50SPEAKER_00: if you start trying to talk to somebody,
- 4:53SPEAKER_00: I was talking to somebody in the business world who is warming to Trump,
- 4:59SPEAKER_00: as many people in that landscape are.
- 5:02SPEAKER_00: And I was saying to him,
- 5:03SPEAKER_00: look,
- 5:04SPEAKER_00: if you establish vast open-air detention camps in order to greatly increase
- 5:11SPEAKER_00: America's deportation throughput capacity,
- 5:15SPEAKER_00: Because there's always been a thing, right?
- 5:16SPEAKER_00: A stumbling block for interior immigration enforcement in the past has been that
- 5:22SPEAKER_00: arresting undocumented immigrants,
- 5:24SPEAKER_00: holding them in detention,
- 5:26SPEAKER_00: proving that the person who you've arrested is in fact an undocumented immigrant,
- 5:31SPEAKER_00: and then getting them sent out someplace is very resource-intensive.
- 5:35SPEAKER_00: And in a practical sense,
- 5:37SPEAKER_00: ICE's ability to do that has been very,
- 5:39SPEAKER_00: very limited,
- 5:40SPEAKER_00: which is how you got the old bipartisan idea that we needed to create a kind of a
- 5:44SPEAKER_00: limited amnesty to reduce the deportable population.
- 5:50SPEAKER_00: Anyway, Stephen Miller has cooked up this idea.
- 5:55SPEAKER_00: probably maybe illegal,
- 5:57SPEAKER_00: but maybe the Supreme Court will greenlight it,
- 5:59SPEAKER_00: idea for how to greatly increase detention capacity and deportation throughput.
- 6:04SPEAKER_00: And Trump says that's what he's going to do.
- 6:07SPEAKER_00: So I was saying the impact of this on the American economy would be really strongly negative,
- 6:13SPEAKER_00: in a way that should influence your rich guy business interest view of the world.
- 6:19SPEAKER_00: And his response to me was like, well, yeah, I mean, of course, like that would be terrible.
- 6:25SPEAKER_00: So he's not going to do that.
- 6:27SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 6:28SPEAKER_00: Because like Trump is this smart,
- 6:29SPEAKER_00: shrewd businessman,
- 6:30SPEAKER_00: and he's just kind of saying that stuff,
- 6:34SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 6:34SPEAKER_00: to play to the people in the cheap seats.
- 6:36SPEAKER_00: But he really knows better.
- 6:38SPEAKER_00: And it's hard to argue with that kind of thing because it's not like I can come
- 6:44SPEAKER_00: back and say like,
- 6:46SPEAKER_00: no,
- 6:46SPEAKER_00: Mr.
- 6:47SPEAKER_00: Rich guy who wants tax cuts,
- 6:49SPEAKER_00: you're dead wrong.
- 6:50SPEAKER_00: Donald Trump is a man of his word.
- 6:53SPEAKER_00: Any pledge he makes on the campaign trail, he's going to deliver it.
- 6:56SPEAKER_00: You know what I mean?
- 6:56SPEAKER_00: Because it's like, what am I going to say, right?
- 6:59SPEAKER_00: Like he said a ton of shit in 2016.
- 7:02SPEAKER_00: He did some of the stuff he said.
- 7:04SPEAKER_00: Some of the stuff he said he tried and failed for whatever reason.
- 7:08SPEAKER_00: Other stuff was just 100% nonsense.
- 7:11SPEAKER_00: He said he was going to negotiate down the price of prescription drugs.
- 7:15SPEAKER_00: He said it time and again,
- 7:17SPEAKER_00: like weird Hillary-hating leftists kept talking about Trump's finally taking on big pharma.
- 7:23SPEAKER_00: And then he just didn't do that at all.
- 7:25SPEAKER_00: And then Joe Biden did.
- 7:26SPEAKER_00: And now nobody cares.
- 7:28SPEAKER_00: I certainly know weird Democratic Party-hating leftists care.
- 7:33SPEAKER_00: And so it's like,
- 7:35SPEAKER_00: perfectly plausible to me that some main plank of Trump's campaign is total bullshit.
- 7:42SPEAKER_00: Uh, to me, that's like, um,
- 7:45SPEAKER_00: part of the second-order dangerousness of Donald Trump,
- 7:48SPEAKER_00: that he's a man without any principle or integrity or sense of personal honor who
- 7:54SPEAKER_00: would be willing to do very extreme things for self-interest in a way that is
- 8:00SPEAKER_00: uniquely destabilizing.
- 8:02SPEAKER_00: But once you have people in this kind of normalized mindset...
- 8:07SPEAKER_00: It's just like, ah, so he's bullshitting.
- 8:09SPEAKER_00: Who cares?
- 8:10SPEAKER_00: Whereas this same guy is like,
- 8:12SPEAKER_00: his hair is on fire about this Treasury Department white paper on taxing unrealized
- 8:18SPEAKER_00: capital gains,
- 8:19SPEAKER_00: which I agree is a moderately bad idea.
- 8:23SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 8:24SPEAKER_00: And I'm quite sure it's not going to happen in a second Joe Biden administration.
- 8:29SPEAKER_00: The odds of Democrats controlling both houses of Congress are really, really low.
- 8:34SPEAKER_00: And even if they did, the Blue Dog Caucus or some moderate Senate Democrats would block this idea.
- 8:42SPEAKER_00: But because Biden has a reputation of being a serious person who means what he says,
- 8:53SPEAKER_00: this kind of out there policy aspiration is really alarming people.
- 8:59SPEAKER_00: Whereas things close to the center of Trump's
- 9:01SPEAKER_00: politics, right?
- 9:03SPEAKER_00: I'm going to pardon insurrectionists.
- 9:05SPEAKER_00: I'm going to use the Justice Department to selectively prosecute my political enemies.
- 9:10SPEAKER_00: I'm going to eliminate 20% of the agricultural workforce.
- 9:18SPEAKER_00: It doesn't impress certain people.
- 9:21SPEAKER_00: And then to your point, I feel like it's pathetic to
- 9:24SPEAKER_00: for us to be sitting here being like, please take him seriously.
- 9:28SPEAKER_00: He's so dangerous.
- 9:29SPEAKER_00: You know?
- 9:30SPEAKER_00: Cause like he said what he said.
- 9:32SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 9:33SPEAKER_00: And it's like, Oh, it's scary.
- 9:35SPEAKER_00: But like,
- 9:37SPEAKER_00: That to me is just weak.
- 9:40SPEAKER_00: After Dunkirk,
- 9:42SPEAKER_00: Winston Churchill doesn't go like,
- 9:44SPEAKER_00: man,
- 9:44SPEAKER_00: it's going to be fucking awful if the Nazis conquer us.
- 9:47SPEAKER_00: He's like, we're going to fight them on the beaches.
- 9:49SPEAKER_00: We're going to fight them in the towns.
- 9:51SPEAKER_00: And if we should submit, we'll retreat and we'll fight from beyond the seas.
- 9:56SPEAKER_00: And that's how you do politics.
- 9:59SPEAKER_00: You don't complain about how terrible the guy on the other side is.
- 10:03SPEAKER_00: You talk about how you're going to beat him.
- 10:05SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 10:06SPEAKER_01: You know,
- 10:07SPEAKER_01: I haven't talked to rich business assholes about Trump,
- 10:10SPEAKER_01: but I've talked to...
- 10:11SPEAKER_01: Have you talked to Winston Churchill?
- 10:14SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 10:14SPEAKER_01: Good takes.
- 10:15SPEAKER_01: Ouija boarded with him.
- 10:19SPEAKER_01: He's still a total drunk.
- 10:25SPEAKER_01: I've talked to people who I've known for 35 years who...
- 10:30SPEAKER_01: aren't political junkies.
- 10:33SPEAKER_01: And, you know, I don't know that any of them are going to vote for Donald Trump.
- 10:37SPEAKER_01: Some of them might,
- 10:38SPEAKER_01: none of them,
- 10:38SPEAKER_01: I think are like in the tank for MAGA,
- 10:42SPEAKER_01: but they all seem to think along the lines of this,
- 10:45SPEAKER_01: this business asshole you talk to that,
- 10:48SPEAKER_01: that,
- 10:49SPEAKER_01: that,
- 10:51SPEAKER_01: things did not go so badly in the first term that we should all,
- 10:55SPEAKER_01: that like the freak out about Donald Trump makes any sense.
- 10:58SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 10:59SPEAKER_01: And I've tried to like remind them that January 6th happened on television and they
- 11:02SPEAKER_01: can just go watch it,
- 11:03SPEAKER_01: right?
- 11:04SPEAKER_01: And that the,
- 11:05SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 11:06SPEAKER_01: the part of the reason why they might feel like that doesn't count for some reason
- 11:11SPEAKER_01: is that it happened at the very end of the presidency and it didn't succeed at the objective.
- 11:18SPEAKER_01: And then Donald Trump was like,
- 11:21SPEAKER_01: grounded,
- 11:22SPEAKER_01: essentially,
- 11:23SPEAKER_01: put on probation for the last two weeks of his presidency,
- 11:26SPEAKER_01: and then he disappeared for a while.
- 11:28SPEAKER_01: And then Joe Biden took over, and it's like, okay, so democracy prevailed.
- 11:31SPEAKER_01: How imperiled can it actually be?
- 11:34SPEAKER_01: And I feel like if I were going to talk to people like the business asshole, I would want to...
- 11:45SPEAKER_01: push them on a couple points.
- 11:46SPEAKER_01: One is, do you think Donald Trump will be more adept
- 11:54SPEAKER_01: at putting these kinds of schemes into motion in a second term after he's had been
- 11:59SPEAKER_01: president for four years already,
- 12:00SPEAKER_01: learned some things about where the skeleton keys and hidden tools of the
- 12:05SPEAKER_01: government are,
- 12:06SPEAKER_01: and he's going to have a much more loyalist-filled administration in round two.
- 12:10SPEAKER_01: And what do you make of that?
- 12:11SPEAKER_01: If a lot of the things that he talked about in 2016 on the campaign trail
- 12:17SPEAKER_01: didn't come to pass because of incompetence, do you think that that's still true?
- 12:21SPEAKER_01: And then the second thing is just to imagine,
- 12:23SPEAKER_01: like,
- 12:24SPEAKER_01: what would the business climate in the United States be like today if January 6th
- 12:28SPEAKER_01: had succeeded?
- 12:29SPEAKER_01: If Donald Trump
- 12:31SPEAKER_01: If the rioters found Mike Pence and hanged him,
- 12:35SPEAKER_01: and then so Congress fled,
- 12:37SPEAKER_01: and so there was no certification of the election,
- 12:40SPEAKER_01: and for at least a period of time,
- 12:43SPEAKER_01: Donald Trump was president past January 23rd,
- 12:45SPEAKER_01: at least inhabiting the office and trying to wield its powers.
- 12:49SPEAKER_01: How would American business be doing today?
- 12:54SPEAKER_01: And I mean,
- 12:54SPEAKER_01: it's like that could have ended in a horrible civil war that destroyed everything,
- 12:58SPEAKER_01: or it could have ended in a dictatorship,
- 13:00SPEAKER_01: or he could have slinked away after trying to hold down the fort for a few days or
- 13:06SPEAKER_01: something like that.
- 13:07SPEAKER_01: And so I feel like the range of possibilities is pretty wide, but none of them is good, right?
- 13:12SPEAKER_01: I think that there would have been a huge crisis of confidence in the rule of law
- 13:17SPEAKER_01: in the United States and in American political stability that would have been
- 13:20SPEAKER_01: really economically harmful.
- 13:22SPEAKER_01: And-
- 13:24SPEAKER_01: If Trump is becoming more adept,
- 13:27SPEAKER_01: and thus something like what happened on January 6th is more likely to succeed,
- 13:32SPEAKER_01: at some point along the lines of a second Trump term,
- 13:35SPEAKER_01: then what basis do informed people actually have to think that that would be better
- 13:44SPEAKER_01: than a Joe Biden presidency where maybe corporate taxes go up a tiny bit?
- 13:47SPEAKER_01: I just... Like, to me, it doesn't make... It doesn't compute.
- 13:50SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 13:51SPEAKER_00: Well, I mean... So, I mean, I think there's like a few different things here, right?
- 13:54SPEAKER_00: I mean, one is kind of like tail risks, right?
- 13:57SPEAKER_00: So, you know, like...
- 14:01SPEAKER_00: January 6th,
- 14:03SPEAKER_00: nothing that occurred on January 6th at the end of the day had particularly dire consequences.
- 14:12SPEAKER_00: But it pushed us up to the edge of like some crazy shit, right?
- 14:16SPEAKER_00: And like probably even if they had like
- 14:19SPEAKER_00: busted into the Speaker's chamber and physically harmed Nancy Pelosi,
- 14:25SPEAKER_00: that still wouldn't have actually ended American democracy or caused Donald Trump
- 14:31SPEAKER_00: to have an extra term.
- 14:32SPEAKER_00: But you would be that much more into the loopy zone, where we don't know what's going to happen.
- 14:39SPEAKER_00: You're pushing into these real outlier areas.
- 14:43SPEAKER_00: Trump, by his nature, is an incredible envelope pusher, right?
- 14:47SPEAKER_00: And always has been,
- 14:48SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 14:49SPEAKER_00: and will kind of like just like spin out these election conspiracy theories and like,
- 14:54SPEAKER_00: let's see where it goes.
- 14:55SPEAKER_00: And people will be like, that's really irresponsible.
- 14:57SPEAKER_00: And he doesn't care, right?
- 15:00SPEAKER_00: On policy, I mean, one point I want to make to people always is that like the Senate map
- 15:07SPEAKER_00: is very skewed toward Republicans.
- 15:09SPEAKER_00: Doesn't mean Democrats can't have a Senate majority.
- 15:11SPEAKER_00: They have a Senate majority right now.
- 15:13SPEAKER_00: Their odds of keeping it, even if Biden wins, are low.
- 15:16SPEAKER_00: But just inherently,
- 15:19SPEAKER_00: the odds of an off-the-rails executive branch being a Republican executive branch
- 15:26SPEAKER_00: are a lot higher because of the way the Senate map is drawn,
- 15:29SPEAKER_00: right?
- 15:30SPEAKER_00: Whether that's on policy,
- 15:31SPEAKER_00: personal misconduct,
- 15:32SPEAKER_00: anything else,
- 15:33SPEAKER_00: a Republican is naturally going to have longer strength.
- 15:36SPEAKER_00: Then you add to that the Supreme Court, right, which is we've been talking about.
- 15:39SPEAKER_00: It's now got a 6-3 majority, right?
- 15:41SPEAKER_00: So,
- 15:42SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 15:44SPEAKER_00: what,
- 15:44SPEAKER_00: quote unquote,
- 15:45SPEAKER_00: can the president do is like very up for debate and people are always disagreeing.
- 15:51SPEAKER_00: But when,
- 15:52SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 15:53SPEAKER_00: some smart leftist attorneys are like,
- 15:55SPEAKER_00: oh,
- 15:55SPEAKER_00: hey,
- 15:56SPEAKER_00: Joe Biden can cancel every student loan in America,
- 15:58SPEAKER_00: according to this old provision of the Heroes Act,
- 16:01SPEAKER_00: like Biden does that.
- 16:03SPEAKER_00: And then the Supreme Court says, no, actually, you can't.
- 16:06SPEAKER_00: So that's not a symmetrical dynamic, right?
- 16:09SPEAKER_00: There are many fewer judicial constraints on what a Republican president is going
- 16:14SPEAKER_00: to be able to do just kind of inherently to how these things are stacked.
- 16:21SPEAKER_00: So if you feel that there are like irresponsible promises on both sides,
- 16:25SPEAKER_00: right,
- 16:25SPEAKER_00: Trump is much,
- 16:26SPEAKER_00: much,
- 16:26SPEAKER_00: much more constrained.
- 16:29SPEAKER_00: I also do think,
- 16:30SPEAKER_00: though,
- 16:30SPEAKER_00: there is this question of serious versus literal,
- 16:35SPEAKER_00: right,
- 16:35SPEAKER_00: that is always out there.
- 16:38SPEAKER_00: And I think there is something to it, right?
- 16:41SPEAKER_00: Like,
- 16:42SPEAKER_00: I remember I wrote some article,
- 16:45SPEAKER_00: I think,
- 16:46SPEAKER_00: in the 2016 cycle that was,
- 16:48SPEAKER_00: like,
- 16:48SPEAKER_00: about the construction logistics of a border wall,
- 16:52SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 16:52SPEAKER_00: which is,
- 16:52SPEAKER_00: like,
- 16:52SPEAKER_00: taking Trump literally seriously.
- 16:54SPEAKER_00: And as it turns out, that article was completely correct.
- 16:57SPEAKER_00: The construction logistics of the border wall are quite complicated.
- 17:02SPEAKER_00: Trump was not able to complete a border wall during his term in office.
- 17:06SPEAKER_00: He was also not able to make Mexico pay for the border wall.
- 17:09SPEAKER_00: And also,
- 17:10SPEAKER_00: also,
- 17:10SPEAKER_00: also,
- 17:11SPEAKER_00: the existence of walled segments has a fairly minimal impact on asylum seeker flows.
- 17:19SPEAKER_00: All that being said,
- 17:20SPEAKER_00: taking Trump seriously is to say that Donald Trump has a very strong and
- 17:26SPEAKER_00: emotionally authentic antipathy to refugees and asylum seekers.
- 17:32SPEAKER_00: And he is trying hard.
- 17:34SPEAKER_00: to keep those people out of the country, right?
- 17:37SPEAKER_00: With a lack of mixed feelings about it.
- 17:40SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 17:41SPEAKER_00: Now, his efficacy in doing that, right?
- 17:44SPEAKER_00: Like whether he can think of the right ideas,
- 17:46SPEAKER_00: these construction logistics,
- 17:47SPEAKER_00: like all of that matters in life and that's part of journalism.
- 17:51SPEAKER_00: At the same time,
- 17:52SPEAKER_00: there are human beings in the United States of America who have a like gut level
- 17:56SPEAKER_00: repulsion to refugees and asylum seekers.
- 18:00SPEAKER_00: And they correctly perceive that like Trump shares their view of this.
- 18:04SPEAKER_00: And Biden, even as he's moved to crack down on refugees and stuff like that, sort of does it, right?
- 18:10SPEAKER_00: That he's got humanitarian concerns,
- 18:15SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 18:15SPEAKER_00: and he has people in his ear who are like,
- 18:17SPEAKER_00: we have commitments under international law,
- 18:18SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 18:19SPEAKER_00: so feelings are more mixed.
- 18:21SPEAKER_00: So,
- 18:22SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 18:22SPEAKER_00: I agree on that level that we should focus a little bit more on like what Trump
- 18:28SPEAKER_00: means than on like the text of what he's saying.
- 18:33SPEAKER_00: But also what he means is that he doesn't believe that friends and allies of his
- 18:41SPEAKER_00: should be constrained in any way by the law.
- 18:44SPEAKER_00: That's the meaning of pardoning Rod Blagojevich,
- 18:48SPEAKER_00: of campaigning,
- 18:48SPEAKER_00: of courting Black voters,
- 18:50SPEAKER_00: Black and Latino voters,
- 18:51SPEAKER_00: with Kwame Kilpatrick and Ruben Diaz Sr.
- 18:54SPEAKER_00: These are politicians...
- 18:56SPEAKER_00: who have been convicted of corruption charges.
- 19:01SPEAKER_00: And he's rallying this rainbow coalition of corrupt Pauls while talking about pardons.
- 19:09SPEAKER_00: And it's like, what literally is he going to do in office exactly is very hard to say.
- 19:17SPEAKER_00: But directionally, what he's saying is that if you're on Team Trump...
- 19:23SPEAKER_00: you will be able to break the law and there will be no recourse.
- 19:27SPEAKER_00: And that's incredibly dangerous,
- 19:30SPEAKER_00: so much more dangerous to the stability of the business climate or whatever else
- 19:36SPEAKER_00: than any kind of...
- 19:39SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 19:39SPEAKER_00: rulemaking done through the Administrative Procedural Act that then ends up on the
- 19:43SPEAKER_00: Supreme Court.
- 19:44SPEAKER_00: And,
- 19:45SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 19:45SPEAKER_00: I think it's not unique in the history of global politics that a certain number of
- 19:51SPEAKER_00: business people would decide to throw in with dictators or aspiring dictators who
- 19:57SPEAKER_00: trash the rule of law to prevent them from needing to deal with a government that's
- 20:03SPEAKER_00: friendly to labor unions.
- 20:04SPEAKER_00: But it's really bad.
- 20:05SPEAKER_00: Like, and I think...
- 20:08SPEAKER_00: And I think something that has changed a little bit.
- 20:11SPEAKER_00: I mean,
- 20:11SPEAKER_00: I feel like during Trump's first term,
- 20:13SPEAKER_00: like most of corporate America was a little bit intimidated by the executive's
- 20:19SPEAKER_00: wives and the senior ranks of middle management who like all really hated Trump.
- 20:24SPEAKER_00: And they were like, eh, we're just going to get regular Republicans back.
- 20:28SPEAKER_00: Whereas now it's like Trump is what it is.
- 20:31SPEAKER_00: And people with money and influence are going to try to throw in with him to...
- 20:36SPEAKER_00: crush their own enemies.
- 20:37SPEAKER_00: And like, it might work.
- 20:39SPEAKER_01: So I feel like did this like tease of the question of like, what's the right bent?
- 20:44SPEAKER_01: If you oppose this kind of ambiguous, like,
- 20:53SPEAKER_01: performance of menace that actually does have some undefined menace behind it.
- 20:57SPEAKER_01: We're not really certain what it's going to look like,
- 20:59SPEAKER_01: but it's going to entail a bunch of hardship for people and maybe be very
- 21:06SPEAKER_01: destabilizing to the country.
- 21:07SPEAKER_01: It's like,
- 21:08SPEAKER_01: So I feel like there's two tracks on which the response can work.
- 21:13SPEAKER_01: One is the substantive track,
- 21:15SPEAKER_01: like what should Joe Biden and Democrats and maybe skeptical Republicans in
- 21:21SPEAKER_01: Congress be doing now to try to both reduce the chances that Trump wins or reduce
- 21:29SPEAKER_01: the damage he can do if he happens to win?
- 21:32SPEAKER_01: And I feel like you can kind of slot –
- 21:34SPEAKER_01: the immigration bill that they tried to pass onto that track.
- 21:41SPEAKER_01: And I kind of think that if Joe Biden loses the election,
- 21:46SPEAKER_01: you will see some effort during the lame duck to do things kind of along the lines
- 21:50SPEAKER_01: of – they amended the Electoral Count Act after the insurrection to try to reduce
- 21:56SPEAKER_01: the procedural –
- 22:00SPEAKER_01: tools Trump had available to him to try to overturn the election.
- 22:03SPEAKER_01: Then you'll see stuff like that in the November to January lame duck to try to
- 22:10SPEAKER_01: retrofit the US government so that Trump can't abuse its powers so much.
- 22:15SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 22:15SPEAKER_01: And so there's that stuff.
- 22:18SPEAKER_01: And I feel like we can talk a little bit about it if you want.
- 22:21SPEAKER_01: But then there's just the like,
- 22:25SPEAKER_01: What do you say about it and how do you act about it?
- 22:27SPEAKER_01: And in the past week, week and a half, there's been a lot of conversation about the, you know,
- 22:37SPEAKER_01: repeatedly throughout Trump's life cycle as a politician,
- 22:40SPEAKER_01: and then more and more on other Republican campaigns,
- 22:43SPEAKER_01: you see that these,
- 22:45SPEAKER_01: like the junior staffers,
- 22:47SPEAKER_01: maybe more senior staffers are like inserting basically like Nazi iconography into
- 22:54SPEAKER_01: campaign literature,
- 22:55SPEAKER_01: campaign advertisements,
- 22:57SPEAKER_01: and people then notice and then they respond.
- 22:59SPEAKER_01: But the response to me does not feel like
- 23:05SPEAKER_01: the response Joe Biden had to Charlottesville,
- 23:08SPEAKER_01: which was sort of like,
- 23:11SPEAKER_01: Donald Trump praised Nazis,
- 23:13SPEAKER_01: and so my job is to crush Donald Trump,
- 23:16SPEAKER_01: which I think is inspiring.
- 23:19SPEAKER_01: It gels with this sort of American World War II fascist fighting mythos.
- 23:27SPEAKER_01: Like a lot of people across the political spectrum,
- 23:30SPEAKER_01: I think,
- 23:32SPEAKER_01: find that kind of thing appealing,
- 23:34SPEAKER_01: invigorating.
- 23:36SPEAKER_01: Donald Trump puts, what was it, unified Reich, like that there will be a unified Reich in a second term.
- 23:44SPEAKER_01: And the response is not,
- 23:46SPEAKER_01: and like,
- 23:47SPEAKER_01: this is why we stopped him before and why we're going to stop him again.
- 23:50SPEAKER_01: It's like,
- 23:52SPEAKER_01: I wish I had the Kamala Harris quote in front of me right now,
- 23:54SPEAKER_01: but she just basically was like,
- 23:56SPEAKER_01: he echoed the language of Nazi Germany,
- 24:00SPEAKER_01: which to me is just like,
- 24:02SPEAKER_01: you should be more scared of this man and therefore vote against him.
- 24:07SPEAKER_01: And I just don't feel like it works as a political appeal because yes,
- 24:12SPEAKER_01: some people I think are scared of Trump.
- 24:14SPEAKER_01: They've been scared of Trump all along.
- 24:16SPEAKER_01: They thus have intended to vote against him since it was clear he was going to become the nominee again.
- 24:23SPEAKER_01: But how do you enlist people to join that cause if they're not
- 24:29SPEAKER_01: Just repeating that he's scary, I don't think works.
- 24:32SPEAKER_01: But creating this idea that we are going to join a fight to stop evil, I think is very appealing.
- 24:42SPEAKER_00: You know, it's tricky.
- 24:43SPEAKER_00: I mean, something that I am struck by in life is that when Democrats win elections...
- 24:52SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 24:52SPEAKER_00: Like when Joe Biden won in 2020 or when John Fetterman and Raphael Warnock won in
- 24:58SPEAKER_00: 2022 and Democrats held the Senate.
- 25:02SPEAKER_00: My observation is that progressive minded people like people who are more
- 25:06SPEAKER_00: progressive than I am and people who don't like me,
- 25:08SPEAKER_00: they seem pretty happy.
- 25:12SPEAKER_00: Like in a practical sense, you know, and like at least relieved.
- 25:17SPEAKER_00: But like, honestly happy.
- 25:18SPEAKER_00: Like they, they think like they don't like Republicans and they like to see them lose.
- 25:24SPEAKER_00: They like to see them humiliated.
- 25:26SPEAKER_00: Uh, they think that that's, um, entertaining and amusing.
- 25:29SPEAKER_00: Um, and they just like, you know, on an emotional level, like they're, they're thrilled.
- 25:33SPEAKER_00: Um, then oftentimes though, when we're discussing it just hypothetically, those exact same people, um,
- 25:44SPEAKER_00: articulate different emotions about that.
- 25:47SPEAKER_00: You know what I mean?
- 25:48SPEAKER_00: In advance of elections, they'll be like, oh no, I'm really concerned about these issues.
- 25:56SPEAKER_00: I mean,
- 25:57SPEAKER_00: what good will it do for Biden to win if it doesn't fundamentally transform energy
- 26:04SPEAKER_00: or liberate Palestine or whatever else?
- 26:07SPEAKER_00: And of course, it's true that
- 26:09SPEAKER_00: Like,
- 26:10SPEAKER_00: if your only emotional investment in American politics is that you want fundamental
- 26:16SPEAKER_00: transformation of the economy,
- 26:18SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 26:19SPEAKER_00: to like end capitalism and avert global eco dystopia.
- 26:26SPEAKER_00: Biden versus Trump is just like not that big of a deal in the grand scheme of things.
- 26:31SPEAKER_00: But I don't think that the people who say that stuff,
- 26:33SPEAKER_00: like they don't actually act like it's true when they're like there in the moment,
- 26:38SPEAKER_00: you know?
- 26:39SPEAKER_00: And so I do think that like,
- 26:42SPEAKER_00: not complaining exactly about how bad these guys are, but emphasizing it is important.
- 26:51SPEAKER_00: But then it also kind of has to come from... So here's something that just flashed past my screen, right?
- 26:56SPEAKER_00: So there's a report of Trump talking to Jewish donors.
- 27:01SPEAKER_00: And the lead news from the story is that Trump promised them that he will deport
- 27:06SPEAKER_00: immigrant students who participate in pro-Palestine protests.
- 27:12SPEAKER_00: And that's like a concrete,
- 27:14SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 27:14SPEAKER_00: campaign pledge to conservative and moderate Jewish donors who are like really
- 27:19SPEAKER_00: upset about these protesters and who are finding some purchase with the
- 27:24SPEAKER_00: anti-immigration arguments around it.
- 27:27SPEAKER_00: But so then Trump rambling a little bit says, and you know, you go back through history.
- 27:31SPEAKER_00: This is just like before the Holocaust.
- 27:33SPEAKER_00: I swear, if you look, it's the same thing.
- 27:35SPEAKER_00: You had a weak president or head of the country, and it just built and built.
- 27:39SPEAKER_00: And then all of a sudden, you ended up with Hitler.
- 27:42SPEAKER_00: You ended up with a problem like nobody knew.
- 27:46SPEAKER_00: So this is, Trump is constructing an analogy in which Joe Biden is the Weimar Republican.
- 27:51SPEAKER_00: He's Hitler, right?
- 27:55SPEAKER_00: Now-
- 27:57SPEAKER_00: I don't want to go around to every surly leftist in America and be like, you have to vote for Joe Biden.
- 28:05SPEAKER_00: Trump is literally saying that he will be a new Hitler.
- 28:09SPEAKER_00: But that is what he's saying, right?
- 28:11SPEAKER_00: It's really bad.
- 28:13SPEAKER_00: This is a guy who on some level is so eyeball deep in far right dipshittery that he
- 28:25SPEAKER_00: keeps posting shit about Reichs,
- 28:29SPEAKER_00: posting Star of Davids on Hillary Clinton,
- 28:32SPEAKER_00: analogizing himself to Hitler,
- 28:34SPEAKER_00: right?
- 28:34SPEAKER_00: He's like,
- 28:37SPEAKER_00: And it's like, you want to say, okay, this is like a Brian Boitler critique of Joe Biden, right?
- 28:45SPEAKER_00: That he's being too weak and it's going to lead to a Nazi takeover.
- 28:49SPEAKER_00: But you can't say that if you're the Nazis trying to do the takeover, right?
- 28:55SPEAKER_00: And I don't...
- 28:58SPEAKER_00: But it's mostly funny, I think.
- 29:01SPEAKER_00: I think you want to take it neither literally nor seriously.
- 29:07SPEAKER_00: It's like he's not a serious person.
- 29:10SPEAKER_00: He's not a serious leader.
- 29:12SPEAKER_00: He's not somebody who should be entrusted with power.
- 29:15SPEAKER_00: And he's somebody whose electoral victories cast a positive halo on all kinds of nonsense.
- 29:22SPEAKER_00: You know what I mean?
- 29:23SPEAKER_00: You look at like the people whose profiles get elevated if Trump wins, right?
- 29:28SPEAKER_00: And it's like the worst people in America, right?
- 29:31SPEAKER_00: ranging from,
- 29:33SPEAKER_00: like,
- 29:33SPEAKER_00: Groypers and Reddit Nazis to,
- 29:36SPEAKER_00: like,
- 29:37SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 29:37SPEAKER_00: Stephen Miller and Stephen Schwarzman,
- 29:39SPEAKER_00: right,
- 29:39SPEAKER_00: who said that taxing capital,
- 29:45SPEAKER_00: sorry,
- 29:45SPEAKER_00: that closing the private equity tax break
- 29:48SPEAKER_00: when Obama proposed that,
- 29:49SPEAKER_00: that that reminded him of Nazi Germany,
- 29:51SPEAKER_00: but now he's voting for Trump because he wants to,
- 29:55SPEAKER_00: he's concerned about anti-Semitism,
- 29:56SPEAKER_00: right?
- 29:57SPEAKER_00: Like that guy is a clown and a dipshit.
- 30:00SPEAKER_00: And like, we should want Stephen Schwartzman to feel bad and to feel humiliated.
- 30:04SPEAKER_00: And Trump to feel humiliated by beating them,
- 30:08SPEAKER_00: not by being terrorized by them,
- 30:12SPEAKER_00: but by having a sincere emotional orientation toward the idea that they are bad and
- 30:18SPEAKER_00: we would like to see them lose.
- 30:20SPEAKER_01: I feel like Schwarzman is just the worst in that like he is tilling the path for
- 30:26SPEAKER_01: Nazism by following like the worst stereotypes about Jews is just like I am so
- 30:32SPEAKER_01: greedy that I can be bought into supporting the return of Nazism to the United States.
- 30:39SPEAKER_01: But like,
- 30:39SPEAKER_01: I was going to like take this closer to home is I have Jewish family members who
- 30:43SPEAKER_01: are either Trump curious or actually just Trump supporters.
- 30:45SPEAKER_01: And like the way I talk to them about it is to be like,
- 30:49SPEAKER_01: kind of like,
- 30:50SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 30:51SPEAKER_01: I love you,
- 30:51SPEAKER_01: we're family,
- 30:51SPEAKER_01: but shame on you.
- 30:53SPEAKER_01: Like, don't be scared of this man.
- 30:55SPEAKER_01: Don't you think that the relatives we lost in the Holocaust would find it pretty
- 30:59SPEAKER_01: upsetting that you,
- 30:59SPEAKER_01: their offspring,
- 31:00SPEAKER_01: are just kind of like shrugging this stuff off and willing to let it back into your life?
- 31:06SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 31:06SPEAKER_01: Allow for a resurgence of it in the United States because you dislike protesters or
- 31:11SPEAKER_01: because you want your taxes to be lower.
- 31:13SPEAKER_01: I feel like it's a much better approach to be a bit disdainful of it as opposed to
- 31:20SPEAKER_01: try to persuade them that really you're going to be first up against the wall.
- 31:24SPEAKER_01: You should be scared rather than tempted.
- 31:26SPEAKER_01: I don't know that I've had much success with it.
- 31:28SPEAKER_01: So maybe like this is all just like a figment of my imagination or just how I wish people responded.
- 31:34SPEAKER_01: But I just like I think that the general tenor of resistance politics has been more of the latter.
- 31:41SPEAKER_01: The kind of like try to make people think they might end up hurt or dead.
- 31:46SPEAKER_01: as a result of donald trump and thus to be scared and thus to set aside whatever
- 31:50SPEAKER_01: misgivings they have about democrats and liberals and joe biden and do the right
- 31:54SPEAKER_01: thing i guess i just don't think it's a
- 31:59SPEAKER_01: I don't think it's like a good method.
- 32:01SPEAKER_01: And I don't think that it's like proven effective.
- 32:03SPEAKER_00: Something I think about a lot is my former podcasting partner,
- 32:08SPEAKER_00: Daryl Lind,
- 32:09SPEAKER_00: who I potted with a lot during Trump's presidency.
- 32:13SPEAKER_00: And, you know, she often talked about the slightly...
- 32:18SPEAKER_00: odd reality that the kind of emotional center of anti-Trump politics tended to be
- 32:26SPEAKER_00: people sort of like demographically similar to her,
- 32:30SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 32:31SPEAKER_00: like college-educated professional women who felt kind of very horrified by what
- 32:41SPEAKER_00: Trump signified.
- 32:44SPEAKER_00: And it wasn't like Medicaid recipients,
- 32:49SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 32:49SPEAKER_00: who were like out in the street leading marches and doing tweets,
- 32:54SPEAKER_00: right?
- 32:55SPEAKER_00: Or necessarily even like dual status immigrant families.
- 32:58SPEAKER_00: And some of that is because Trump was like very kind of like micro-targeting at
- 33:04SPEAKER_00: some of the most vulnerable people in society,
- 33:06SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 33:07SPEAKER_00: who don't always do a good job of organizing and things like that.
- 33:12SPEAKER_00: But I thought that the peak of resistance,
- 33:15SPEAKER_00: right,
- 33:16SPEAKER_00: during the healthcare sort of fight did a much better job of like elevating like
- 33:24SPEAKER_00: non-hypothetical harms.
- 33:28SPEAKER_00: You know, like people who were, you know, Jimmy Kimmel had his whole bit, right?
- 33:33SPEAKER_00: And so it's like when people are making policy or putting policy proposals on the
- 33:38SPEAKER_01: table- It was a Jimmy Kimmel bit.
- 33:40SPEAKER_00: about preexisting conditions and like his son or,
- 33:44SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 33:44SPEAKER_00: but I mean,
- 33:45SPEAKER_00: it was just like,
- 33:45SPEAKER_00: you find,
- 33:46SPEAKER_00: you can find the people who are personally impacted by these things and put them up
- 33:50SPEAKER_00: to not,
- 33:51SPEAKER_00: not like whine and plead and look weak,
- 33:54SPEAKER_00: but to talk frankly about what's at stake.
- 33:58SPEAKER_00: Um, you know, as you've said before, it's just challenging to do that in a hypothetical.
- 34:04SPEAKER_00: Um,
- 34:04SPEAKER_00: People are much more focused on the sort of,
- 34:08SPEAKER_00: like,
- 34:08SPEAKER_00: symbolic meaning of Trump versus Biden and his kind of,
- 34:12SPEAKER_00: like,
- 34:13SPEAKER_00: position-taking,
- 34:14SPEAKER_00: right,
- 34:15SPEAKER_00: as,
- 34:15SPEAKER_00: like,
- 34:15SPEAKER_00: someone who...
- 34:18SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 34:18SPEAKER_00: will be tough and strong and let you not care about the environment or whatever it is,
- 34:26SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 34:27SPEAKER_00: he's out there doing.
- 34:29SPEAKER_00: But I do think that like Biden might lose the election.
- 34:33SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 34:34SPEAKER_00: And if Biden does lose the election,
- 34:35SPEAKER_00: I don't think like progressive America is going to be fleeing for refugee camps in
- 34:43SPEAKER_00: northern Mexico or just like giving up.
- 34:47SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 34:47SPEAKER_01: So I think there might be a lot of resignation, but that might be like a good topic for another episode.
- 34:53SPEAKER_00: That would be bad.
- 34:54SPEAKER_00: Like,
- 34:54SPEAKER_00: I don't think you want to like preconceived that Trump winning is like lights out
- 34:58SPEAKER_00: for American democracy.
- 35:00SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 35:00SPEAKER_00: Not to say that you're downplaying the threat, but that like we are determined to.
- 35:06SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 35:07SPEAKER_00: Right?
- 35:08SPEAKER_00: Like,
- 35:08SPEAKER_00: as long as it takes in every forum available against,
- 35:14SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 35:14SPEAKER_00: these efforts to subvert elections,
- 35:16SPEAKER_00: to take away people's healthcare,
- 35:18SPEAKER_00: to ban abortion,
- 35:19SPEAKER_00: et cetera,
- 35:20SPEAKER_00: et cetera,
- 35:20SPEAKER_00: et cetera.
- 35:21SPEAKER_00: And that, like, we are going to fight on election day.
- 35:23SPEAKER_00: We are going to try to win.
- 35:25SPEAKER_00: But, you know, like, if we lose, like, the struggle will continue.
- 35:31SPEAKER_00: That's the thing that sort of bugs me the most about
- 35:37SPEAKER_00: Some of the like apocalypticism, because like you might hit the tipping point.
- 35:41SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 35:41SPEAKER_00: It's not this is not some like totally nut job scenario.
- 35:44SPEAKER_00: Like Trump could win the election and then you've got to organize for the day after.
- 35:47SPEAKER_01: Yes.
- 35:48SPEAKER_01: OK, look like and there's a there's a definite dilemma there for the politicians.
- 35:52SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 35:52SPEAKER_01: Because they don't politicians don't like even,
- 35:55SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 35:56SPEAKER_01: answering questions from the press premised on the idea that they might lose.
- 35:59SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 36:00SPEAKER_01: Like if you ask Joe Biden, like, will America survive if Trump gets a second term?
- 36:06SPEAKER_01: I think his inclination,
- 36:07SPEAKER_01: like most politicians' inclination,
- 36:08SPEAKER_01: would be like,
- 36:09SPEAKER_01: we're never going to find out because I'm going to win,
- 36:10SPEAKER_01: right?
- 36:11SPEAKER_01: It's not going to be like, of course, America will endure.
- 36:13SPEAKER_01: We beat bigger challenges before,
- 36:16SPEAKER_01: blah,
- 36:16SPEAKER_01: blah,
- 36:16SPEAKER_01: blah,
- 36:16SPEAKER_01: because then you're kind of conceding that defeat is a real possibility.
- 36:21SPEAKER_01: And there is a – like I guess here's an analogy that just kind of popped into my head.
- 36:27SPEAKER_01: It's like Republicans galvanize voters by whipping up what,
- 36:31SPEAKER_01: if it was happening on the left,
- 36:32SPEAKER_01: would be a bunch of fear,
- 36:33SPEAKER_01: right?
- 36:34SPEAKER_01: They try to get Republicans spun up on the idea that –
- 36:39SPEAKER_01: democrats are letting all these immigrants in to change the the blood of america
- 36:44SPEAKER_01: essentially and also that democrats are going to come for your guns right and you
- 36:49SPEAKER_01: know maybe there are some like conservative um people out in america who find those
- 36:56SPEAKER_01: ideas to be scary or that they're scared of democrats being in charge because they
- 37:00SPEAKER_01: worry that those things will come to pass but like the the
- 37:03SPEAKER_01: The tagline for the NRA is not, oh, vote for Republicans or else they're going to take our guns.
- 37:08SPEAKER_01: No, it's from our cold, dead hands, right?
- 37:10SPEAKER_01: There is a threat aimed at us, but we are going to fight it.
- 37:15SPEAKER_01: And the only way they're going to win is if they kill us.
- 37:19SPEAKER_01: Now, I think that that's overheated and destructive, especially as it pertains to
- 37:27SPEAKER_01: people carrying guns around.
- 37:29SPEAKER_01: But I think that the spirit of it is correct, right?
- 37:32SPEAKER_01: Like,
- 37:33SPEAKER_01: I think it's totally reasonable for somebody like Joe Biden to,
- 37:37SPEAKER_01: when confronted with this idea that Trump might bring fascism to America,
- 37:40SPEAKER_01: to say,
- 37:41SPEAKER_01: over my dead body.
- 37:42SPEAKER_01: Yeah, I agree.
- 37:43SPEAKER_01: I will not allow it.
- 37:45SPEAKER_01: It makes me want to fight alongside him.
- 37:47SPEAKER_01: Whereas like,
- 37:47SPEAKER_01: you better vote for me or else your life is going to descend into fascist hell,
- 37:51SPEAKER_01: makes me want to feel like,
- 37:53SPEAKER_01: I don't know if we collectively have what it takes to defeat that threat.
- 37:58SPEAKER_01: And it's purely psychological, but I think there is something to the From My Cold Dead Hands appeal.
- 38:06SPEAKER_01: It enlists people who...
- 38:09SPEAKER_01: want to stop the threat into a large cause and one that they feel confident trying to bring others into.
- 38:17SPEAKER_00: Yeah,
- 38:17SPEAKER_00: but it does require,
- 38:19SPEAKER_00: right,
- 38:20SPEAKER_00: part of what you're talking about with like the Democrats are going to take your
- 38:22SPEAKER_00: guns away,
- 38:22SPEAKER_00: right,
- 38:23SPEAKER_00: is conservatives,
- 38:25SPEAKER_00: and I think this is like probably like a deep psychological attribute,
- 38:30SPEAKER_00: have this very risk-averse,
- 38:32SPEAKER_00: like loss-averse attitude.
- 38:34SPEAKER_00: approach to politics.
- 38:36SPEAKER_00: So their whole thinking is dominated by, like, I might lose my guns to Joe Biden, right?
- 38:48SPEAKER_00: Various other things, like he's going to do a socialism, right?
- 38:51SPEAKER_00: And that's going to be bad.
- 38:52SPEAKER_00: And that's like a conservative way of thinking about politics, right?
- 38:55SPEAKER_00: Whereas the progressive way of thinking about politics is more to characterize the
- 39:00SPEAKER_00: status quo as an emergency,
- 39:02SPEAKER_00: right?
- 39:04SPEAKER_00: Right?
- 39:04SPEAKER_00: Like, the world is burning.
- 39:06SPEAKER_00: We're the only country in the universe where we haven't taken your guns away.
- 39:12SPEAKER_00: Right?
- 39:12SPEAKER_00: And so it's like everything has to be affirmation.
- 39:16SPEAKER_00: Right?
- 39:17SPEAKER_00: Or else people don't have that same kind of engagement.
- 39:20SPEAKER_00: Now, you're calling on Biden to campaign more like a Republican.
- 39:26SPEAKER_00: But I'm just not sure if his...
- 39:30SPEAKER_00: voters would respond in that same kind of way you know because like if we're living
- 39:39SPEAKER_00: in a late capitalist dystopia under joe biden i don't think a lot of his voters
- 39:43SPEAKER_01: think that i don't think a lot of his voters think that i mean i i think like they
- 39:47SPEAKER_00: probably don't but i i think that this involves a little bit more of a sort of like
- 39:52SPEAKER_00: conceptual um uh burning of the bridges um than you may be
- 40:01SPEAKER_00: give it then you may be seeing right because like republicans really do conceive of
- 40:08SPEAKER_00: themselves as this kind of like lib crushing force counter-revolutionary now you
- 40:14SPEAKER_00: can see in the uk right like care starmer has just like he's just sold out of
- 40:18SPEAKER_00: fucking everything as far as i can tell um like in in wild ways that go beyond what
- 40:23SPEAKER_00: i would support um and he has this like
- 40:26SPEAKER_00: gobsmacking lead over Rishi Sunak.
- 40:29SPEAKER_00: And even though a lot of people are complaining about it on Twitter,
- 40:32SPEAKER_00: like he's not facing third party challenges or anything like that.
- 40:36SPEAKER_00: But that's because labor lost so many elections in a row that people up there
- 40:41SPEAKER_00: really did just get into like,
- 40:43SPEAKER_00: fuck these guys kind of mode.
- 40:45SPEAKER_00: The problem with Trump, the difficulty with Trump is that like, you want to get them.
- 40:50SPEAKER_00: We both want to get people in fuck these guys mode.
- 40:54SPEAKER_00: But like,
- 40:57SPEAKER_00: without Democrats having gotten their asses kicked first.
- 41:03SPEAKER_00: You know what I mean?
- 41:03SPEAKER_00: Like,
- 41:03SPEAKER_00: the feeling is,
- 41:04SPEAKER_00: like,
- 41:05SPEAKER_00: Trump kind of,
- 41:05SPEAKER_00: like,
- 41:06SPEAKER_00: cheated in 2016,
- 41:08SPEAKER_00: and,
- 41:08SPEAKER_00: like,
- 41:08SPEAKER_00: Biden,
- 41:08SPEAKER_00: like,
- 41:08SPEAKER_00: we didn't even like Biden that much.
- 41:10SPEAKER_00: So, you know, I think it's a little...
- 41:14SPEAKER_00: It's hard.
- 41:16SPEAKER_00: Do we need to break before you solve this?
- 41:17SPEAKER_01: We should.
- 41:18SPEAKER_01: We should.
- 41:18SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 41:18SPEAKER_01: OK,
- 41:19SPEAKER_01: because I look like like I will concede that the affect I have in mind is not one
- 41:25SPEAKER_01: that comes naturally to your median Democratic,
- 41:29SPEAKER_01: like lots of normal Democratic voters are attitudinally conservative.
- 41:33SPEAKER_01: Like they fall into the like, oh, I'm very scared of Donald Trump.
- 41:36SPEAKER_01: And so they might not respond the way I imagine to over my dead body kind of appeal.
- 41:43SPEAKER_01: But they're going to vote for Joe Biden no matter what.
- 41:45SPEAKER_00: And like,
- 41:46SPEAKER_01: I do think that like on the both on the left where he has critics who are like,
- 41:50SPEAKER_01: well,
- 41:50SPEAKER_01: what about the climate crisis or what about the Palestinian self-determination?
- 41:54SPEAKER_01: are like galvanized by stronger rhetoric and that there are like,
- 41:59SPEAKER_01: if you have this sort of unified front against something as dark as fascism,
- 42:04SPEAKER_01: that that can also capture the imaginations of people in like swing voter territory.
- 42:10SPEAKER_01: But I do think it's a good place for us to like stop and step back from the sort of
- 42:17SPEAKER_01: position taking that Republicans and Democrats do to appeal to various publics and
- 42:23SPEAKER_01: talk about what we've witnessed as far as like,
- 42:27SPEAKER_01: People making preparations for the possibility of Donald Trump returning.
- 42:32SPEAKER_01: How are they actually acting?
- 42:33SPEAKER_01: Are they acting like cowering scaredy cats or are they like gearing up for a fight?
- 42:40SPEAKER_01: So we'll put a paywall here.
- 42:43SPEAKER_01: And if you want to hear the rest of the conversation,
- 42:45SPEAKER_01: you can go to politics.fm and upgrade your subscription.