Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MMA DFS - FIGHT NIGHT | May 31, 2025 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

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MMA DFS - FIGHT NIGHT | May 31, 2025 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:04
  Speaker 1: All systems going clear, left up?
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: What's going on? Everybody happy? Thursday nights. I said I
• 0:39
  Speaker 2: was going to do a new intro. I did, I
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: think two weeks ago, but week off as me all
• 0:44
  Speaker 2: messed up. We're ready for some fights, but man, this
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: is not the card I wanted to come back to
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: for some fights. N K up top always going to
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: see for DFS, but my magic number twelve.
• 0:55
  Speaker 3: We're at eleven.
• 0:56
  Speaker 2: Very tough in the GPP streets to not hold hands
• 0:59
  Speaker 2: with a bunch of people. However, if you're asking there,
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: if you're looking for a little bit of good news,
• 1:05
  Speaker 2: no favorite above minus four hundred, I think a plenty
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: of live dogs. I think you can leave one thousand
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: plus if you want, especially in the larger field stuff
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: to try and get different on this tough i'llven fight card.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: But APEX six point thirty Eastern, it looks like how
• 1:18
  Speaker 2: we doing big Marlin.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Yeah good.
• 1:20
  Speaker 4: It'd be better if the Pacers get a win here tonight, but.
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: Not the best card to come back to.
• 1:26
  Speaker 4: If we can make it a winner, though, I'll be
• 1:27
  Speaker 4: happy about it, But yeah, I don't know how I
• 1:32
  Speaker 4: feel about it for DFS, Actually, I don't know I'm
• 1:35
  Speaker 4: planning on playing a little bit lighter, but I'm not
• 1:38
  Speaker 4: sure I'm gonna go in make some lineup, So try
• 1:40
  Speaker 4: and fade as many people as I possibly can, and
• 1:42
  Speaker 4: try and narrow down my player pool to narrow down
• 1:46
  Speaker 4: the possible lineups I can really make, and hopefully I
• 1:48
  Speaker 4: end up with you know, twenty to fifty range, but
• 1:51
  Speaker 4: ideally closer to that twenty.
• 1:53
  Speaker 3: Yeah, it's definitely very tough.
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: And then when again, whenever you do have a second
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: I just saw your Vieira Chiason, you want to individually
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: put the stars on there again, no rush, but before
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: you forgets all right, yeah, broad slate overview again.
• 2:07
  Speaker 3: Eleven fights tough you can.
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: If I was playing one hundred teams, which I probably
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: will not be, I would include all twenty two fighters
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: in my pool. There's absolutely no doubt about that. Because
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: it's a game theory card. So even the fighters, if
• 2:20
  Speaker 2: we don't like them, they're going to be low owned.
• 2:22
  Speaker 3: It's MMA.
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: It's high variants, high volatility. If they are on the
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: winner at eight percent, that's how you see less than
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: five dupes, less than ten, etc. So I wrote it
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: right away in the Sleigh plan, this is eighty percent
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: game theory for me twenty percent. I know fights on
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: a type of week like this, so we'll go bottom
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: to the top like usual.
• 2:41
  Speaker 3: Hope you can find some spots to attack again.
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: Roster construction the biggest thing on this card though again
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: light bun subscribe button also helps us out a ton.
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: And again, if you do want to join the nation,
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: DJEN seventy five, shout out Djen alrightp dgen seventy five
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: is the code. Usually ninety nine dollars. Use that code
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: Djen seventy five. Take seven five dollars off your first month,
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: only twenty four dollars for your first month less than
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: a dollar a day gets you all of our content.
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: Also gets you saber sim also gets you the best
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: discord around. We would love to have you, by far
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: the best deal. All right, bottom the top again, this
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: is gonna be not a great card, especially these first
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: couple fights. But the first one, Ryan Dosantos taking on
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: at least Artilline minus two sixty five Dosantos plus two
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: to twenty five is Artilene second most likely fight to
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: go the distance on the card at minus three seventy five,
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: and it is actually the greatest I apologize the other
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: woman's fight. Kaitlyn Beerra Macy chass On is the second
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: most likely. This fight the most likely to go the
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: distance minus three seventy five Dosantos plus three twenty five
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: inside the distance Artilene plus nine hundred. Yeah, you have
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: it a one star twenty teams or least. I am
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: not touching this fight. But again, it's gonna be super
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: super low on if one of these two were to
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: be on the winner, there's a lot better chance at
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: fifteen less sub fifteen dupes than if this fight isn't
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: on the winner, the Viera Fight's not on the winner,
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: et cetera. So by no means I think you fade
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: every twenty teams the last make stands one hundred teams
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: play everyone hope to get the right optimal in a vacuum.
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: This is the least worst fight on the card. Looks
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: like you agree, Big Marley, you're only one star. What
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: are you doing with this one?
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: Yeah?
• 4:27
  Speaker 4: Most likely just trying to hit X on both sides
• 4:30
  Speaker 4: for sure, gonna xcel Dosantos, but maybe all ass Artoline
• 4:35
  Speaker 4: makes it into my lineups just because she's sixty nine
• 4:39
  Speaker 4: hundred dollars. There's only eleven fights on the card. Maybe
• 4:42
  Speaker 4: she ends up on the optimal lineup with a loss.
• 4:44
  Speaker 4: Oh and she's even live to win, you know, like
• 4:46
  Speaker 4: a sixty point win here. I think that Dosanto's is
• 4:49
  Speaker 4: kind of better everywhere, but she's not a high volume
• 4:53
  Speaker 4: striker to really put a stamp on rounds when it's
• 4:56
  Speaker 4: a striking match, and I do think this will mainly
• 4:58
  Speaker 4: play out on the feet. If that's the case, Arlene
• 5:01
  Speaker 4: can keep it close just based on volume alone. I
• 5:05
  Speaker 4: think she's more sloppy, but judges don't know what they're
• 5:08
  Speaker 4: watching anyways. Ardolene could mix in a takedown or two,
• 5:11
  Speaker 4: but I really think that Dosantos is a much better
• 5:13
  Speaker 4: grappler than her, so it'd.
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: Probably be a bad idea for her to do that.
• 5:17
  Speaker 4: And if Dosantos has any chance to be on the
• 5:19
  Speaker 4: optical lineup, she should be looking to wrestle early, maybe
• 5:22
  Speaker 4: getting early submission, and she could make it at low ownership.
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: But I'm just not gonna take my chances there.
• 5:28
  Speaker 4: I'll x her out, leave ardline in the pool, just
• 5:31
  Speaker 4: have her projected really low so that she only makes
• 5:35
  Speaker 4: lineups that aren't gonna leave much salary on the table.
• 5:38
  Speaker 4: But I think that Dosantos wins probably two or three
• 5:41
  Speaker 4: rounds on the cards, and she gets like sixty five
• 5:44
  Speaker 4: seventy points in the process. So I'm just gonna x
• 5:47
  Speaker 4: this one out. But all asked, Ardoline will be my
• 5:49
  Speaker 4: preferred play of the two.
• 5:52
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't even know.
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: My preferred play probably her because of the salary relief.
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: Like I think if anyone were to wrestle, I think
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: it'd be Dosanto, but she'd have to really wrestle like you.
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: She can have a dominant win score ninety and that
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: not even be close at ninety three hundred, so artily
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: In probably might prefer play. The reason I don't like
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: this fight, even the Artilyinge side, is I think we
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: see dogs win like I'm not. I would be surprised,
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: Like if you told me Artilyne scored sixty, of course
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: I would want some at sixty nine hundred. It does
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: a lot for your team, But I I don't even
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: know if I would say it's above fifty percent chance
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: to be optimal.
• 6:27
  Speaker 3: Maybe I don't know.
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: I like a lot of dogs on this card, I guess,
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: is what I'm trying to say, and a lot more dogs.
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: Almost every single dog has a lot more upside than
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: artilying on this one. So yeah, I think I'm gonna
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: just fade it in twenty entrying below. Again, it's a
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: low owned fight, but fourteen percent fifteen percent combined ownership.
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: If it busts, that always adds up a long way.
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: So yeah, really bad fight to start the card. Next
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: fight on the card blagi Oki taking on Michael as Well.
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: So as you see right here, the pricing eighty nine
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: hundred usually aligns with seventy three hundred, so Michael Aswell
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: took this fight yesterday. On Wednesday, it was supposed to
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: be Markel Maderos. Blagioki out is Maderos in his ass well,
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: so day's notice. He's taking this fight, making his UFC debut.
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: He's ten and two, only twenty four years old. Five
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: wins by KO, five by decision, both losses by decision.
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: He seems like a guy that'll fight for your dollar.
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: I'm curious to hear your takes on this. I won't
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: be playing as well. And twenty and below. I think
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: he's I mean, Blagioki's actually good. He's a solid striker.
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: Then to fight him on just day's notice, I think
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: it's a tall, tall task for as well.
• 7:37
  Speaker 3: Oki. He looks good, but I do prefer Reese. I
• 7:40
  Speaker 3: do prefer.
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: Blanchefield in a vacuum, but they're going to be higher owned.
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: You could easily save three hundred two hundred as a
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: direct pivot, like imagine fading the main event or building
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: a Blanchfield team doing it.
• 7:53
  Speaker 3: Dropping Blanchefield to Oki. That's the way I'll be looking
• 7:56
  Speaker 3: to get different on a card like this.
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: So Oki takes a solid play. How much do you
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: like him compare to all those in the upper tier?
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: Are you in agreement?
• 8:03
  Speaker 3: You are not playing as well? You're on mute.
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: I'm not positive. I'm not gonna play ass well.
• 8:12
  Speaker 4: I'm gonna try not to play ass well though, and
• 8:15
  Speaker 4: Okie is gonna be one of my favorite plays on
• 8:17
  Speaker 4: the slate. I didn't see enough Aswell film yet to
• 8:21
  Speaker 4: be sure that I'm gonna fade him. He was in
• 8:23
  Speaker 4: that one Dana White's Contender series fight close to a
• 8:27
  Speaker 4: year ago.
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: Yeah, wild fight.
• 8:28
  Speaker 4: He landed a ton of strikes in that one, and
• 8:30
  Speaker 4: I think that if he's gonna win this fight, it
• 8:32
  Speaker 4: has to be a similar type of fight where he
• 8:34
  Speaker 4: just turns it into a brawl. Wins based on volume alone,
• 8:39
  Speaker 4: because that's really the only shot I give him. I
• 8:42
  Speaker 4: think that Okie's more dangerous, a lot more powerful with
• 8:44
  Speaker 4: his strikes, and if he wants to wrestle here, I
• 8:47
  Speaker 4: think that'd be really smart of him take aswell out
• 8:49
  Speaker 4: of his out of his game, and Okie's the better wrestler,
• 8:52
  Speaker 4: and he could be able to just dominate minutes on
• 8:54
  Speaker 4: the ground, possibly land two to eight takedowns in this fight.
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: So I'll get a lot of ok.
• 9:01
  Speaker 4: Most likely fading as well, but that could change after
• 9:04
  Speaker 4: I watch another fighter too, and if it does, I'll
• 9:06
  Speaker 4: put it in my notes over a ship in nation.
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: Yeah, makes some sense again, MMA right here, MMA fight rankings,
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: all Big Marley stuff, tier rankings, I do Slave plan,
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: I do core report both Big Marley and if you
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: want to see it, also more education MMA, Big Marley
• 9:24
  Speaker 2: and I talk to hour and a half. Everything you
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: need to know about MMA set if you're going for qualifiers,
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: large field, small field, cash games. Everything you need to know,
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: More education, hour and a half talk at some MMA
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: if you want to join hopefully Big There you go.
• 9:38
  Speaker 3: There's Big Marley. He's bad.
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: All right, we'll take it to the next fights. This
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: one should be pretty solid. Expected to finish minus one
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: sixty Andreas Gustuson is making his UFC debut taking down
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: Trevin Giles. Plus one one is Giles minus one seventy
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: for this fight to finish, Gustason plus one hundred inside
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: the distance Giles plus three seventy five.
• 9:58
  Speaker 3: Take it away. What are you doing in this one?
• 10:01
  Speaker 4: I'm okay with both sides of this fight. I think
• 10:04
  Speaker 4: that this is one where Giles is a live dog,
• 10:09
  Speaker 4: but he's playing for probably like a ten X type
• 10:12
  Speaker 4: of range. And then Gustavson is he's kind of like
• 10:17
  Speaker 4: the wild guy. He's the one I expect to go
• 10:18
  Speaker 4: out there, be the one pushing forward, landing volume, set
• 10:21
  Speaker 4: in the pace early and just trying to take Giles
• 10:23
  Speaker 4: head off. And he's the one that has the ceiling
• 10:27
  Speaker 4: because of that. If he can't take Giles head off
• 10:29
  Speaker 4: in the first round, he can score one hundred to
• 10:32
  Speaker 4: one hundred and twenty something points. I think Giles doesn't
• 10:35
  Speaker 4: have that in his game, but if he cannot get
• 10:38
  Speaker 4: his head knocked off in the first round, I think
• 10:40
  Speaker 4: he's live to win this fight. I think the longer
• 10:43
  Speaker 4: it goes, the more Gustafson's likely to slow down. Giles
• 10:46
  Speaker 4: could just turn it into a technical striking match on
• 10:49
  Speaker 4: the feet. Volume would probably be fairly close, especially over
• 10:54
  Speaker 4: the last half of the fight with Giles catching up.
• 10:56
  Speaker 4: And I also think that Giles is the better wrestler
• 10:58
  Speaker 4: and this one more likely to takedowns, So I'm not
• 11:01
  Speaker 4: against either side here. I'm guessing I'll have more on
• 11:06
  Speaker 4: the ceiling side of up with Gustafson. I'll take Kim
• 11:08
  Speaker 4: to get the knockout. I feel like this would be
• 11:10
  Speaker 4: a fight that the UFC.
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: Wants him to win.
• 11:13
  Speaker 4: Giles hasn't looked good in like four years or something
• 11:17
  Speaker 4: at this point, and Gustavson's a fun guy who is
• 11:21
  Speaker 4: out there looking to be violent, So I think the
• 11:24
  Speaker 4: UFC likes that wants to get him a win here,
• 11:26
  Speaker 4: and if he can, it'll be a nice highlight reel
• 11:28
  Speaker 4: TKO most likely, and then we can come out and
• 11:30
  Speaker 4: fight him in the next fight as a favorite hopefully.
• 11:33
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I think Gustilson's going to be in a lot
• 11:35
  Speaker 3: of fun fights.
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: He looks like a killer be killed fighter, a lot
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: of marching forward power in his hands, and usually Trevin
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: Giles fights, I don't love targeting because he can be
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: low volume as you see, three point one seven significant
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: strikes per minute, a little over one takedown per fifteen.
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: Just he just doesn't really do much. But I think
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: Gustilson's going to force him to do something, which makes
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: me like Giles's upside. I also think he's going to
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: be low owned. Were going to get to Billy ray
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: Goff another mispricing eighty three hundred. He was supposed to
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: fight someone else, so he's going to be extremely popular
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: in the mid tier. Then I do think Gustison it's
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: easy to play him and jam the mid tier plus
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: one hundred to finish. I think he's higher own than Giles.
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: So this is the game theory part I'm talking about.
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: I can build any Gustison team drop down play Giles
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: leave six hundred plus and that could take you from
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: a seventy dup team to a seven dupe team something
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: like that. Like I'm totally plus one forty one very
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: solid money line plus three seventy five inside of the
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: distance very solid. Again, I think Gustison's gonna make Giles fight,
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: so he does have upside in my opinion. Also, Trevon
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: Giles been really bad for him his last five losses. Though,
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: listen to this, Mike Molot, Carlos Prontess, Gabriel bomb Fime,
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: Michael Morales DDP. I mean, come on, how many do
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: like Gustison's losing to all those dudes?
• 12:55
  Speaker 3: Right?
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: Like ninety nine percent of people are losing all those
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: dudes the worst guy on that list. I guess you
• 13:01
  Speaker 2: can argue Mike malatter bomb theme. They're both killers, like
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: they're big favorites against Gususen here, so I don't know. Also,
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: seeing Giles definitely like he's making his fifteenth walk to
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: the UFC octagon thirty two years old, only he's the
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: younger fighter in this one with Gustison making his debut,
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: is that good?
• 13:17
  Speaker 3: Is that bad? I don't know.
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: You can take it how you want, but yeah, for
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: being able to leave six hundred and do nothing with
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: my lineup, that just makes me prefer Trevin Giles my
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: preferred point. And I'm gonna say that about multiple dogs
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: on this card again, it's eighty percent game theory, twenty
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: percent I know fights in this one. I do like
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: Gustisen too. When you play him, it is easy to
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: leave money. He has one hundred and twenty point upside,
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: like Big Marley was saying, so you can plug in
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: a okie drop Oki down to gustuson.
• 13:46
  Speaker 3: I wouldn't be surprised if he outscores him in a vacuum.
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: There's five hundred savings right there, So little things like
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: that I'd be looking to do on this card.
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: Yeah, what's up?
• 13:54
  Speaker 3: Mark? What's up Grant? Yeah? I don't know.
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: I don't know what determines the times for the APEX
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: six thirty Eastern. I've not seen anything about this. I
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: don't know if Big Marley has Trevin Jilds or time.
• 14:06
  Speaker 4: I was just searching Twitter to see if I could
• 14:08
  Speaker 4: find anything on that. If I did see that, I
• 14:11
  Speaker 4: would like him less.
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: Me too, I was searching too. I haven't seen anything
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: about that, though. I think he was just like man,
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: he's lost so many times as he's any time. What's on, Grants?
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: Hope you're doing well? Ready for some fights? All right,
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: let's keep it going again. Like bun subscribe button helps
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: us out a ton. Next fight on the car Jordan
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: Levitt minus two forty taking on Kurt Holliba plus two
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: h five plus one twenty for this fight to finish
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: Levitt plus two forty inside the distance hul about plus
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: three twenty five. A lot of line movement in this one,
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: so big, Marley. I put these up on Tuesday, these odds.
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: Jordan Levet was minus one eighty, so now he's minus
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: two forty. Jordan Levitt opened this fight on minus one
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: at minus one twenty, so minus one twenty. He's taking
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: money ever since Tuesday. He was minus one eighty. Now
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: Thursday we're talking, he's minus two forty. I was already
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: on the Levit train, and I think why. It's pretty
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: clear Kurt Holliball just doesn't that takedown defense thirty nine percent.
• 15:07
  Speaker 2: It's sitting at Jordan Levitt wants to wrestle. Jordan Levitt
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: secures takedowns, he stays safe on top, he wins the fight.
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: That's how I see it. I think that's how the
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: betters are seeing it. How does that truck do you
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: see it like that? And if so, or even if not,
• 15:21
  Speaker 2: how does that translate for dfs and upside at eighty
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: seven hundred.
• 15:25
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean Haliball's big weakness is being taken down,
• 15:29
  Speaker 4: just being put on his back and not having anything
• 15:31
  Speaker 4: to do once he's there, and that's what Levitt has
• 15:34
  Speaker 4: to do here because he's not a good striker. If
• 15:37
  Speaker 4: this is a striking match, Holliball is gonna win and
• 15:40
  Speaker 4: he could knock Levit out, but Levitt has to go
• 15:44
  Speaker 4: for takedowns. If the first four fail, he's got to
• 15:46
  Speaker 4: keep going for him, and once he lands one, he
• 15:48
  Speaker 4: could probably keep the fight on the ground for the
• 15:51
  Speaker 4: rest of the round and just grind out minutes. I
• 15:53
  Speaker 4: don't know that that's great for him. I think where
• 15:56
  Speaker 4: we would prefer a submission. I don't even know if
• 15:59
  Speaker 4: Hallibam's been submitted, but just him being in bad positions
• 16:03
  Speaker 4: on the ground, I feel like he's live to be
• 16:05
  Speaker 4: subbed in any round by Levitt here on the ground.
• 16:10
  Speaker 4: If Levitt gets one takedown per round, not gonna be enough.
• 16:12
  Speaker 4: If Halliball can work his way back to the feet
• 16:15
  Speaker 4: and then Levit can start racking up some more takedowns,
• 16:18
  Speaker 4: I think he can get there. But at eighty seven
• 16:20
  Speaker 4: hundred dollars, I'm not in love with it. I'll probably
• 16:23
  Speaker 4: be around the field, not get too high, too low,
• 16:26
  Speaker 4: and then Hallabah, I do think, is a live dog
• 16:29
  Speaker 4: who could score around ten x in a decision win
• 16:33
  Speaker 4: more if it's a if he just stuffs all the
• 16:37
  Speaker 4: takedowns and it's a three round striking match decision. But
• 16:40
  Speaker 4: I think he's live for a knockout here to score
• 16:42
  Speaker 4: one hundred hundred plus points. So I'll get over the
• 16:47
  Speaker 4: field on Hallabah and dfs. But I'm picking Levitt to win.
• 16:50
  Speaker 4: I just I feel like my most unimpressiveness it's it's
• 16:54
  Speaker 4: either Hollaba off his back or Levitt's striking. But Hallaba
• 16:58
  Speaker 4: off his back has been so bad lately that I
• 16:59
  Speaker 4: pay Plevitt to win two rounds just based on that alone.
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: So Levitt's the pick to win.
• 17:04
  Speaker 4: Halliball's my preferred play if I had to play just
• 17:06
  Speaker 4: one of them.
• 17:07
  Speaker 3: That's fair. I love it, still my prefer play. I
• 17:10
  Speaker 3: love the line movement.
• 17:10
  Speaker 2: I really think, and I do think Holliball gets some ownership,
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: like he will be popular.
• 17:15
  Speaker 3: There's enough dogs.
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: I think people we're gonna get to this next Haffel
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: feel seventy eight hundred like people are gonna or seventy
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: six hundred excuse me, way better money line. So just
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: for one hundred more, you're getting, like, what is it?
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: He's my plus one twenty nine plus two. You're getting
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: like eighty cents of juwe seventy five cents just paying
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: one hundred more on the money line. So I think
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: Halliball's ownership should stay in check. I wouldn't worry about
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: that too much. I think both these guys ownership will
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: stay in check. Levitt my preferred play Hollibah big Marley's.
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: But like Big Marley was saying, who's more likely for
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: knockout Hullibah, he's plus five to twenty five by ko
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: Levit plus twelve hundred.
• 17:52
  Speaker 3: Who's more likely to win by sub?
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: Levitt plus two to seventy five by sub while his
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: money or while it's inside the distance is plus two forty,
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: which shows almost all of his finish equity.
• 18:02
  Speaker 3: My submission.
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: I mean the dude throws absolute pillows for punches with
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: no surprise. There haul about plus eight hundred by sub.
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: All right, we'll keep it going. Next fight on the card,
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: just talked about it. Same price range, so very easy.
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: Segue all in Nacimento minus one forty nine hafel Philo
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: plus one twenty nine plus one oh five for this
• 18:21
  Speaker 2: fight to finish. Now Cimento plus two to seventy five
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: inside the distance. The small dog Filo better inside the
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: distance prop by a little bit at plus two point fifty.
• 18:31
  Speaker 3: Talk about line movement plenty in this one.
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: Cemento on May ninth open minus two seventy five. Later
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: that day on May ninth, he was minus one twenty five.
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: It's a lot of line movement. The book got wrong
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: to start. The line stayed around the minus one twenty
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: five mark for a while, got down to minus one
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: seventy five again. That was last week, and then slowly
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: but surely money as came in on the Filo side.
• 18:55
  Speaker 3: I look at it, it should be great for dfs one.
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: Point five to five takedowns per fifteen one point seven
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: to seven for Filo. I just I don't see how
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: this fight stays on the feet for more than three
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: minutes at a time, which I guess is a lot
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: of time when I think about it. But how much
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: do you think this fight plays out on the mats?
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: Are you gonna jam it a lot? You both have
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: this fight and the last fight is three stars, So
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: which one do you prefer?
• 19:19
  Speaker 4: Man? See, that's this is the one. I was like,
• 19:22
  Speaker 4: I'm not sure what I want to do. With this fight,
• 19:24
  Speaker 4: because if it's a striking match, it's gonna suck. Yeah,
• 19:28
  Speaker 4: And if it's a grappling match, it's got good potential.
• 19:31
  Speaker 4: But it could also just be so back and forth
• 19:33
  Speaker 4: that the winner ends up not scoring well scram yeah
• 19:36
  Speaker 4: for days.
• 19:36
  Speaker 3: If it's back and forth, the reversals that up on DraftKings.
• 19:40
  Speaker 4: So yeah, it would be a four star if you
• 19:42
  Speaker 4: told me that this is gonna play out on the feet.
• 19:45
  Speaker 4: It's a one star on the mat. On the I'm sorry.
• 19:48
  Speaker 4: On the match, Yeah, it's a one star that plays
• 19:49
  Speaker 4: out on the feet. But I just don't really have
• 19:53
  Speaker 4: any real lean in this fight. I think if it's
• 19:56
  Speaker 4: a striking match, it's gonna be close. I don't well,
• 20:00
  Speaker 4: I don't really have any edge in this one. Maybe
• 20:03
  Speaker 4: Nasamento just based on aggressiveness. And then neither one of
• 20:07
  Speaker 4: them are great wrestlers either, but they're both great grapplers,
• 20:11
  Speaker 4: so I don't know if that the danger of the
• 20:14
  Speaker 4: other's grappling is going to cancel out the wrestling. I
• 20:16
  Speaker 4: just don't know how this one's gonna play out. So
• 20:19
  Speaker 4: it's between a two star and a four star for me,
• 20:22
  Speaker 4: and the way I think I'm gonna go about it
• 20:24
  Speaker 4: is just I'll be heavier on the underdog side, since
• 20:26
  Speaker 4: I do think it's closer to a fifty to fifty fight,
• 20:28
  Speaker 4: I'd rather save that thousand dollars. I'll be heavy, somewhat
• 20:32
  Speaker 4: heavy on Phil Ho and then uh not Sementto.
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: I'll just toss into some lineups.
• 20:38
  Speaker 4: I would guess I am underweight to the field on him, though,
• 20:41
  Speaker 4: because there are other favorites I would rather get up to.
• 20:43
  Speaker 4: But I do think this could be a really fun
• 20:45
  Speaker 4: fight if it does play out on the map.
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: For sure, there's no doubt Nacimento is gonna be like
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: a pivot in that range.
• 20:53
  Speaker 3: I'm looking at ownership right now.
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: Gamrock's definitely higher own, Gussilsin's higher own, Billy Ray's definitely
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: gonna be higher owned.
• 21:01
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I think him.
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: And Levitt will probably be similar. People probably gonna prefer
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: Levit for the money line value though. Now Cemento's a
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: pivot for me. I like this fight a lot, probably
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: one of my favorite fights. Talking DFS, the reason for that,
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: Filo actually, let me start with this. You're saying the
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: who has the advantage on the feet, who has the
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: advantage on the mat, just looking numbers, it would seem
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: that Philo has the advantage on the feet. He's plus
• 21:24
  Speaker 2: four hundred to win by let me get there right,
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: plus four to fifty to win by KO, whereas not
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: Cimento's plus thirteen hundred, so three times more likely to
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: get a KO. Is feel Hoo than Nasimento. You go
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: to the submission, not semental plus three to fifty, feel
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: hope plus seven hundred. Both of them have taken money,
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: so it looks like books thing, not Simental. The better grappler,
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: feel Hol the better striker. Both are known as primary grapplers.
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: I mean, what Feelo when he had that knee bar
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: on Makaiov, how he somehow didn't tap Like both these
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: grapplers are absolutely legit. So if it plays out on
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: the mat a ton reversals top control domination on one
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: side for fifteen minutes, like I'm gonna I like this
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: fight more than the last fight, just hoping it plays
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: out on the mataton. The case for Filo easy to
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: build a Nacemento team. Drop Noasimento to Filo, leave the thousand,
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: easy work. You're hardly giving up anything. The reason to
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: play Nacimento is He's a pivot in that upper tier
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: with the solid inside the distance prop with grappling and
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: takedown upside. He has as much upside as anyone too,
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: at very very fair ownership.
• 22:26
  Speaker 3: So yeah, I think more.
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: I'm talking about it looking at ownership, how this fight
• 22:30
  Speaker 2: can play out plus one oh five to finish. I'm
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: gonna have a lot of this fight very well, might
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: be at overweight on both sides. I like this one,
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: all right, We'll keep it rolling. Next fight on the card,
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: by far, the most likely fight to finish on the card.
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: Zachary Reese minus two thirty five taken on DUSCO to
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: Dorovich plus two hundred, minus six hundred for this fight
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: to finish, minus two hundred for Reese inside the distance
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: to Dorovich plus two ninety inside the distance recent round
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: one plus one to Doorvich in round one plus five hundred.
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: Both of those have taken money. Reese of open or
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: opening recent round one plus two to fifteen now plus
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: one forty. That's a lot of line movement. Todorvich in
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: round one open plus seven hundred now plus five hundred.
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: That's a lot of line movements. How do you not
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: jam this fight a bunch? You have it a five star,
• 23:21
  Speaker 2: so I take it you will be doing so.
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 23:24
  Speaker 4: I think it's a one of the best fights, if
• 23:27
  Speaker 4: not the best fight on the card.
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: To target. Tadorvitch not looked great lately.
• 23:32
  Speaker 4: Reese looks like one round killer at times. He also
• 23:36
  Speaker 4: looked decent in that three round fight a couple fights back,
• 23:40
  Speaker 4: but that was against a complete scrub. I think Desco's
• 23:42
  Speaker 4: a tougher matchup than that, but Desco's chin might might
• 23:47
  Speaker 4: not be there, and Reese does have power, so I
• 23:48
  Speaker 4: think Reese is a very live to score one hundred
• 23:51
  Speaker 4: and fifteen hundred and twenty points on this on this
• 23:53
  Speaker 4: card with a first round knockout.
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: I do think he's more skilled, more dangerous.
• 23:58
  Speaker 4: But after round one, and I think it could end
• 24:01
  Speaker 4: up getting close if the danger's not there on the reside,
• 24:04
  Speaker 4: I think minutes a minute, this could be close on
• 24:06
  Speaker 4: the feet, or either one of them could look to
• 24:08
  Speaker 4: mix in takedowns after round one, So I'm fine mixing
• 24:12
  Speaker 4: in t Doorvic exposure just kind of a shot out
• 24:15
  Speaker 4: there thinking Reese is maybe not all he's cracked up
• 24:19
  Speaker 4: to be, and we haven't seen him go long into
• 24:22
  Speaker 4: fights other than once, so I'll be super heavy on
• 24:26
  Speaker 4: this fight. I don't know that I'm gonna say all in,
• 24:28
  Speaker 4: But if I was making ten lineups, I'm all in.
• 24:31
  Speaker 4: If I'm making twenty lineups, I'm probably close to all
• 24:35
  Speaker 4: in eighteen nineteen twenty lineups U and I would guess,
• 24:38
  Speaker 4: you know, if I had one hundred and fifty and
• 24:42
  Speaker 4: I was all in, I would probably be around seventy
• 24:46
  Speaker 4: five twenty five something like that.
• 24:48
  Speaker 3: On reside being fifty to fifty. Oh wow, Norvich is
• 24:51
  Speaker 3: my preferred side.
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: If I have to pick what I say right at
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: the beginning, it's a game theory card. Eighty percent for me,
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: it's a I know fights twenty percent. You can do
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: a lot when to Dorovic wins, you can leave a thousand. No,
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: you're not giving up any upside. Like if he wins,
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: he can easily win in the first round, this ego
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: win whatever, like he upside the same. If he wins,
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: seven thousand opens up the whole world. If Zachary Reese
• 25:15
  Speaker 2: puts up one twenty five, I think it's gonna be
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: a lot less likely you're gonna see ten or less
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: dupes on the winner. He's ninety two hundred. That just
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: bleeds you into the same roster construction. Okay, then Blansfield
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: Barber's probably optimal. Reese with one of those two chalk
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: you get people. Oh now, Billy ray Goff eighty three
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: hundred is the biggest favorites optimal. Now you're holding hands
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: with one hundred people. So if Tadorovic wins, it's so
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: much easier for me to think I can win with
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: five less ten less.
• 25:43
  Speaker 3: And give up no upside.
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: So that's the only reason the salary difference money line's
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: very fair. Plus two hundred, Like, how many times do
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: we see a plus two hundred underdog win all the time?
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: Tadorovic is one of my favorite plays on the slate.
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: Now I like Reese too, Like on a normal thirteen
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: fight card, he might be one of the best player
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: on the slate. He still is. It just ownership means
• 26:03
  Speaker 2: so much more, and he's so high owned. You get
• 26:05
  Speaker 2: the leverage of Tadorovitch, you get the upside, you get
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: the cheapie, you just get the whole world. When you
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: play this guy more times than not, you're probably gonna
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: get four DK points and be pissed.
• 26:14
  Speaker 3: But when you get one hundred four, that's when you win.
• 26:17
  Speaker 3: How much you win.
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: I think it's a lot easier to win a lot
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: playing Dusco this week. So that's how I got it.
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: I like it, Yeah, I don't.
• 26:23
  Speaker 4: I don't think I could go fifty to fifty, but
• 26:25
  Speaker 4: I could definitely be talk I think you probably talked
• 26:27
  Speaker 4: me into like a sixty forty Reese favor, and.
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: You'd be way overweight to Dorovitch. There's no doubt about
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: that in forty percent. All right, we'll keep it moving.
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: Next fight on the card, second woman's fights, and again
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: I mentioned the most likely to go the distance this
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: first one, Vierira Chase on the second most likely fight
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: to go the distance on the card, Chase on minus
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: one twenty five Vieria plus one oh five minus three
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: hundred for this fight to go the distance, Vieira plus
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: four to fifteen inside the distance, Chase on plus four fifty.
• 26:57
  Speaker 3: So as you can.
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: Notice, eighty two under via Ak Chason. But Jason's the
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: favor for two hundred less this fight open minus one
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: twenty five Viera plus one zho five Chason. It's been
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: back and forth all over, Chase on the biggest favorite
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: now that she's been at minus won twenty five. I
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: do not like this fight again, if I played one
• 27:17
  Speaker 2: hundred teams, every single person's in the pool, both girls,
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: I guess I'm gonna throw it to you. Like, can
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: Jason get a takedown? Vera has very good takedown defense?
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: Can Viera get takedowns? I Jason seventy percent? Not bad
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: takedown defense either. That's what I need in this fight.
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: We need wrestling, We need a finish. Do you see
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: it getting finished?
• 27:38
  Speaker 3: Do you see either side having a lot of success wrestling? Nah?
• 27:41
  Speaker 4: I definitely don't think we get a finish here, and
• 27:44
  Speaker 4: the wrestling is what I'm not sure about. Either side
• 27:47
  Speaker 4: could have success wrestling, And that's why I have it
• 27:50
  Speaker 4: as a two stars because I wouldn't be shocked if
• 27:52
  Speaker 4: the winner scored ninety points in this fight, But I
• 27:56
  Speaker 4: want to play as if it was a one star,
• 27:59
  Speaker 4: like I just don't have any interest because I don't
• 28:01
  Speaker 4: know who the winner is gonna be. It could also
• 28:03
  Speaker 4: stay stuck on the feet, either striking or pushed against
• 28:06
  Speaker 4: the cage for too long where it's not gonna score well.
• 28:09
  Speaker 4: And then with the wrestling, neither one of them are
• 28:13
  Speaker 4: great rapplers, but it's just more whoever gets.
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: On top is gonna win that round.
• 28:17
  Speaker 4: The one on bottom is not gonna have anything to offer,
• 28:20
  Speaker 4: So whoever gets that takedown is gonna grind out minutes
• 28:23
  Speaker 4: for however long that round last, most likely, and I
• 28:25
  Speaker 4: just don't know who that's gonna be.
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: On the feet.
• 28:28
  Speaker 4: I would say Chason's gonna be the higher volume striker,
• 28:31
  Speaker 4: Viea's hitting harder, but yeah, I have no idea who's
• 28:35
  Speaker 4: gonna win this fight, so I just don't want to
• 28:36
  Speaker 4: play it. And I would say my preferred play is
• 28:39
  Speaker 4: just gonna be Viera because I have her as lower
• 28:42
  Speaker 4: owned right now. She's two hundred dollars more, harder to
• 28:44
  Speaker 4: get to. But I'll try to get away from this
• 28:46
  Speaker 4: fight as much as I possibly can, but I'm not
• 28:49
  Speaker 4: gonna exit out of my player pool, and it could
• 28:51
  Speaker 4: be just one of my lower owned fights that ends
• 28:53
  Speaker 4: up making it into the optimal on one of my
• 28:56
  Speaker 4: weirder looking lineups.
• 28:58
  Speaker 3: I think twenty teams are less. I always tried to
• 29:01
  Speaker 3: have four fades.
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: If I were to have four, I think both these
• 29:04
  Speaker 2: girls would be a fade like you're parlaying getting the
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: winner right in a very close fight and it being
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: optimal and the second most likely to go the distance
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: on the card. Again, with all that being said, there's
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: only eleven fights, it's pretty concentrated. If one of these
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: two are on the winner, there's a lot better chance
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: at a lot less dupes than one hundred plus something
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: like that. It's a clear, clear pivot in the mid tier.
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: There's not many pivots on this card. Easy pivot in
• 29:30
  Speaker 2: the mid tier. Billy Ray Gooff will be one of
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: the highest owed on the slate, but Tayo Scamro gonna
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: get plenty of ownership. And then of course we just
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: talked about Gusts and Giles definitely will get more ownership
• 29:40
  Speaker 2: than this fight. So if this fight were to be optimal, yeah,
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: you're looking real, real good. If you have them at
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: low ownership again, twenty teams or less, though I'd leave.
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: I'd rather play Toadrovich and leave twelve hundred bucks on
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: this card, then I would play a Chiason or a Vieira.
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: So leaving money that is how I'll be getting different
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: more so than playing this fight, playing the first fight,
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: which will be low owned. But I think for a reason, wow, okay,
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: liver kick finish, I will definitely remember that mark.
• 30:10
  Speaker 3: If that is what happens the liver kick finish? All right,
• 30:13
  Speaker 3: four fights left.
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: Next fight Dustin Jacoby minus two hundred Bruno Lopez plus
• 30:18
  Speaker 2: one seventy minus one fifty for this fight to finish
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: Jacoby plus one fifty inside the distance Lopez plus two
• 30:25
  Speaker 2: seventy five. So Jacoby former kickboxer, definitely think he has
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: the advantage on the feet. Throws solid volume, but probably
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: needs a knockout in the first two rounds.
• 30:36
  Speaker 3: If I had to guess.
• 30:37
  Speaker 2: Bruno Lopez, he throws hard, but he If anyone's going
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: to mix in takedowns, we saw it against Godzi Zula
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: last fight, Lopez is the one to do.
• 30:45
  Speaker 3: So.
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: Do you think Lopez can have success getting takedowns? Can
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: he control Jacoby if he gets on top? How live
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: is he on the feet? What are you doing for DFS?
• 30:56
  Speaker 4: I am going to be more so on the Lopez
• 30:59
  Speaker 4: side for DFS. I think Jacoby is just a better,
• 31:03
  Speaker 4: more technical striker. If this does stay on the feet,
• 31:06
  Speaker 4: he probably wins all three rounds. Gonna be higher volume, landing,
• 31:11
  Speaker 4: better Chrisper shots and you he is live for a
• 31:15
  Speaker 4: TKO and it could even be one where he's got
• 31:18
  Speaker 4: seventy strikes along the way and then gets a TKO.
• 31:20
  Speaker 4: So not a bad play on the Jacoby side, but
• 31:23
  Speaker 4: just not somebody I'm really loving to click on Lopez
• 31:26
  Speaker 4: on the other side, if it's a striking match, they're
• 31:29
  Speaker 4: big boys. He could get a knockout if his stays standing.
• 31:32
  Speaker 4: But he should be looking to wrestle here. If you
• 31:34
  Speaker 4: can land you know, two to four takedowns in this fight,
• 31:37
  Speaker 4: then you're live to win a decision in this one.
• 31:39
  Speaker 4: I think he could do that, So I don't feel
• 31:43
  Speaker 4: good about picking him to win, But at seventy four
• 31:45
  Speaker 4: hundred dollars, I would just much rather save that fourteen
• 31:48
  Speaker 4: hundred dollars and pick Lopez my preferred play. I'll go
• 31:51
  Speaker 4: overweight to him, underweight to Jacoby, but I'll get exposure
• 31:54
  Speaker 4: to both sides.
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: Talk about another pivot, kind of like I mentioned with
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: Nasamento Us and Jacoby.
• 32:00
  Speaker 3: There's no doubt he's a pivot. In the upper tier,
• 32:02
  Speaker 3: you're gonna see.
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: Reese higher own, Blanchefield higher owned, Oki higher own all
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: for more expensive, you're gonna see Levitt higher own, gam
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: Raut higher owned, Gusson higher own, Billy ray goff All
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: higher owned for cheaper so plus one forty five or
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: plus one fifty to finish plus three point fifty three.
• 32:23
  Speaker 3: Seventy five in round one, what do we got?
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: What's plus three seventy five about twenty five percent?
• 32:27
  Speaker 3: Roughly boom, boom, boom, twenty one percent.
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: That's right now we have slight pretty much the same
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: ownership as we have projected for Jacoby is round one prop.
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: Anytime I see that, I will probably be at least
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: with the field, if not overweight Jacoby on a way
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: to get difference. Love what you said, though Lopez probably
• 32:48
  Speaker 2: might preferred play because you can again build a Jacoby lineup,
• 32:51
  Speaker 2: go down to Lopez.
• 32:53
  Speaker 3: It's scary one hundred percent.
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: This is flagship stuff when you're trying to win a
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: solo hundred or something like that. He's only plus one
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: seventy inside the distance, great inside the distance, or he's
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: only plus one seventy on the money line and it's
• 33:07
  Speaker 2: inside the distance is good at plus two to seventy five,
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: it opened plus two eighty five. So if he's twenty
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: six percent chance to win this fight, his ownership will
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: be something like that, or he's twenty six percent to
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: win inside the distance. If he we know that and
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: his ownership's about that. You can leave a thousand so easily.
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: That's why I talked about beginning of this card, we'll
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: gonna get to brahimanje I.
• 33:30
  Speaker 3: Think you can leave money with him.
• 33:31
  Speaker 2: You can leave money with Lopez he has upside, can
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: leave money with Tadorovich, can leave money with Filho. You
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: can leave money with Halliba if you like him, he
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: has upside. You can leave money with Trevin Giles. I
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: don't love these two, but so many people you can.
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: You can leave money with Macy Barber when we get
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: there at seventy one hundred. So the dogs I think
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: are live that have upside, which is all those people
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: I listed easily can leave six hundred plus. And again
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: I would not hate in the big eighteen dollars whatever
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: it is. This week, well, the team dropped on to Lopez.
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: If Lopez wins, Yeah, you can solo ship on a.
• 34:05
  Speaker 3: Slight like this. So that's how I see it.
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: I think Jacoby's a fine pivot up top, Lopez a
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: good play.
• 34:10
  Speaker 3: Down low force him upside.
• 34:14
  Speaker 2: Three fights left Billy ray Goff minus three sixty ticket
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: on Remiz Brahimage plus two eighty five minus two to
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: fifteen for this fight to finish, Golf minus one fifteen
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: inside the distance Brahimage plus three thirty five.
• 34:27
  Speaker 3: It's only two fighters favored to finish.
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: The FI To finish this week, we have Billy ray
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: Goff this one eighty three hundred, Zachary Reese minus two
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: hundred in the other fight at ninety two. Yeah, ninety
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: two hundred, he's minus two hundred to finish Billy ray Goff.
• 34:43
  Speaker 3: Why is he eighty three hundred? Why is Brahimage.
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: Sixty seven hundred? This fight was supposed to be two
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: individual different fights. Billy ray Goff was supposed to fight
• 34:56
  Speaker 2: Broh Golf was supposed to fight.
• 34:59
  Speaker 3: Told on who was he supposed to fight? Was it? No?
• 35:02
  Speaker 3: Who's supposed to fight?
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: Jeremiah Wells Oban Elliot was supposed to fight Oben Elliott
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: was supposed to fight Brahimage.
• 35:10
  Speaker 3: Let me get this one right.
• 35:12
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I didn't know Golf was supposed to fight.
• 35:15
  Speaker 3: Both of these.
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: Yeah, both of these uh Sung Seco kong Co some
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: Japanese guy or Koreem excuse me, Coo Hong Ko.
• 35:25
  Speaker 3: He was supposed to fight.
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: So both of them were on the cart originally fighting
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: different people That's why it was. They were already in
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: the pool with no UFC last week. They put out
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: the people earlier, So Golf eighty three hundred. His opponent
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: was seventy nine hundred. Oban Elliott was the biggest favorite
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: on the card at ninety five hundred. Brian Madge is
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: the biggest dog at sixty seven hundred. Brahim still the
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: biggest dog. His price doesn't move. Golf now the biggest
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: favorite or tied for the biggest favorite.
• 35:51
  Speaker 3: His price didn't move.
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: That is going to lead to Billy ray Goff being
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: the chalkiest first second, something like that.
• 35:57
  Speaker 3: On the slate. He's minus won fifteen to finish. He's
• 36:00
  Speaker 3: probably the.
• 36:00
  Speaker 2: Highest zone at only eighty three hundred. He makes everything work.
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: It's really easy if you're playing Billy ray Golf, really
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: think about what you do with the other spots of
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: your team. I think Brahimage is an elite play this week,
• 36:12
  Speaker 2: just like Tadorovich, leverage off of the chalkiest fighter on
• 36:15
  Speaker 2: the slate. You get that Brai Image when he wins.
• 36:18
  Speaker 2: It's almost always in the first round. It's usually by submission.
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: If we're looking at the props, Brahimage inside the distance
• 36:24
  Speaker 2: plus three thirty five really good Brahimage.
• 36:28
  Speaker 3: By sub it goes.
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: From plus three thirty five there four fifty by sub.
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: Most of the Finnish equity by sub go to round
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: one plus six hundred for Brahimage. All of that almost
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: is more than his ownership will be and fifty percent
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: plus of Billy Ray teams would be dead if Brahimaje wins,
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: it's one of the best fights to target preferred play
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: game theory. I'm gonna say Brahimage because if he wins,
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: you have a lot better to solo ship or win
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: a lot more cheese than a Billy Ray wins.
• 36:57
  Speaker 3: So what about you? What are you doing in this one?
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: Yeah?
• 37:01
  Speaker 4: Maybe playing a little more Brian Madge than I thought
• 37:03
  Speaker 4: I would. I do think Brian Madge has one of
• 37:05
  Speaker 4: the highest ceilings on the card for an underdog, well
• 37:09
  Speaker 4: really for anybody, because his best path to victory is
• 37:13
  Speaker 4: going to be be aggressive early, go for a takedown,
• 37:17
  Speaker 4: get Billy ready to give up his back, and then
• 37:19
  Speaker 4: you choke him out. And Brian Idge is really good
• 37:23
  Speaker 4: at doing that on the regional seed. Sometimes when he
• 37:25
  Speaker 4: wants to come out aggressive, the problem is he doesn't
• 37:27
  Speaker 4: always want to come out aggressive, and he when he
• 37:30
  Speaker 4: doesn't come out and start aggressive, he doesn't just turn
• 37:33
  Speaker 4: into an aggressive fighter in the second or third round.
• 37:35
  Speaker 4: He just stays at a slow paced striking match, which
• 37:39
  Speaker 4: isn't gonna be good enough. Golf is going to be
• 37:41
  Speaker 4: the better striker here. He's the better wrestler too, so
• 37:44
  Speaker 4: if he can stuff all the takedowns, I just think
• 37:46
  Speaker 4: Brihy Madge is in trouble and probably gets knocked out
• 37:50
  Speaker 4: at some point in this fight, but it could be
• 37:53
  Speaker 4: a sweaty first, you know, one to three minutes if
• 37:55
  Speaker 4: Briy Madge is looking to get a takedown right out
• 37:58
  Speaker 4: of the gates, So I'm cool play and some Brahei mush.
• 38:00
  Speaker 4: He could come out and score one hundred and ten
• 38:03
  Speaker 4: points at sixty seven hundred dollars and then it's no
• 38:06
  Speaker 4: Brahi Image, no cash type of week, and you kill
• 38:10
  Speaker 4: off all those golf lineups.
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: But at the same.
• 38:12
  Speaker 4: Time, I just I don't trust Brahimage. I feel like
• 38:16
  Speaker 4: he's not gonna even get a single takedown and Golf
• 38:18
  Speaker 4: probably pieces him up en route to a TKO and
• 38:23
  Speaker 4: scores great in the process. So I'm gonna have a
• 38:25
  Speaker 4: lot of golf and then I guess Brii Mage will
• 38:27
  Speaker 4: be more of an edge than I thought he was.
• 38:30
  Speaker 4: I think he did sell me on a little bit
• 38:31
  Speaker 4: more of him, and I'm cool with that ceiling. I
• 38:35
  Speaker 4: just don't think that it's very likely. I agree with
• 38:37
  Speaker 4: the line in this one, so heavy golf, a little
• 38:39
  Speaker 4: bit of Brahimash Again.
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: If this was a fourteen fight card, my breakdown would
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: have been a lot different than it being eleven fight card.
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: It's an eighty percent game theory, twenty percent, maybe it's
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: even ninety ten. Like I, I don't like holding hands
• 38:52
  Speaker 2: with a million people. Uh, and that's the likely outcome
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: on a card like this with a lot of chalk
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: and only eleven fights. Yeah, like we just talked about it.
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: He'll be a free square for many. It's definitely a
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: free square in cash. I would argue that there's definitely
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: no such thing as a free square for tournaments. In MMA,
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: he will be the highest one on the slate though
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: everything checks out for his price. It's just if he loses,
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: you can get rewarded greatly. And if he loses, if
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: I knew he wasn't optimal, like I just give me
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: the guy who's you can.
• 39:23
  Speaker 3: Have fight fades for sure.
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: I think some fight fades are fine, but I'd rather
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: play Brahimage than fade the fight because I want more
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: direct leverage. I think at Billy wins, a lot of
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: those wins are scoring well because Brahima slows down. Two
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: fights left, definitely a great one here. Big fight in
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: the lightweight division, Big step down in competition for Matteas Gamrock,
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: big stept up at competition for Ludavit Klein minus one
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: fifty Game plus one thirty Cline plus two hundred for
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: this fight to finish Climb Underdog plus three hundred inside
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: the distance gam Rack plus five point fifty Gamera. He wrestle, wrestle,
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: wrestle five point twenty five takedowns per fifteen minutes clin.
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: He can wrestle solid takedown defense. He's a good striker though.
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: That's what he's known for. Us are particularly the high kick.
• 40:12
  Speaker 2: What's gonna win out the wrestling and Gamrat the striking
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: and clin What are you doing in DFS.
• 40:20
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna side with the wrestling side because for
• 40:24
  Speaker 4: DFS that that's better. That's gonna be our higher ceiling
• 40:27
  Speaker 4: for Klein to just completely break the slate, it's got
• 40:29
  Speaker 4: to be a knockout. I think he's also alive to
• 40:32
  Speaker 4: win this fight based on it being a striking match,
• 40:34
  Speaker 4: but he gets taken down six seven times on the
• 40:37
  Speaker 4: process and just can't score enough because of that. So
• 40:41
  Speaker 4: I'm not gonna get too much client. I do think
• 40:42
  Speaker 4: he's live, though, but Gamra is the guy who needs
• 40:45
  Speaker 4: to be going for takedowns. I expect him to land
• 40:47
  Speaker 4: five or more takedowns on this fight, and it could
• 40:49
  Speaker 4: be ten plus. So if that's the case at eighty
• 40:52
  Speaker 4: five hundred dollars, I think he's gonna be one of
• 40:54
  Speaker 4: the better plays on the slate. Great pivot away from
• 40:58
  Speaker 4: golf as well. But I'll be heavy on gam roight
• 41:02
  Speaker 4: here just because his path to victory leads to a
• 41:05
  Speaker 4: high score where clients may not.
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: I'll get I'll get exposure to both sides. As you know.
• 41:11
  Speaker 4: I'll be overweight on gamrot and I think he does
• 41:13
  Speaker 4: win two to three rounds with takedown and control time.
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: I don't have a strong lean by any means in
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: terms of who wins this fight. I think the line's
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: very fair. I think Klein it will be dangerous early.
• 41:24
  Speaker 2: It's only three rounds. Which favors Klein. The small cage
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: definitely favors Gamrod, easier to grab Klin, who likes using
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: his distance and not want to be grabbed. The what
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: I do have a strong lean on is just my
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: preferred play for the FS though kind of like you said,
• 41:38
  Speaker 2: I definitely Gamrock. I do not want much clin Again,
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: I think he's very, very very alive to win this fight.
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: He can win this fight and still be taken down
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: five times. Gamrock a control guy without doing much damage.
• 41:50
  Speaker 2: Like go look at the Jalen Turner Gamroz fight. Go
• 41:53
  Speaker 2: look at UFC stats. So many people calling robbery that
• 41:57
  Speaker 2: Jalen Turner won. He hardly landed anything. Gamrack hardly landed
• 42:01
  Speaker 2: anything either, but he did get takedowns and a lot
• 42:03
  Speaker 2: of top control. But even if Jalen Turner won that fight,
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: he would have scored almost nothing. Like Ludovic Klein. Legit
• 42:09
  Speaker 2: could win a decision and score fifty points. Fifty five points.
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: It's not likely, no, but he's probably gonna get taken down.
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: He's gonna have to work his way back up, even
• 42:18
  Speaker 2: when it's on the feet. He's gonna be worried about takedowns. Constantly,
• 42:21
  Speaker 2: and that limits your offense and makes it harder to
• 42:24
  Speaker 2: get to the optimal. So even at seventy seven hundred,
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: I almost think he's Ko or Bust in this one.
• 42:29
  Speaker 2: I prefer cheaper dogs. I prefer Brahimage, I prefer Lopez,
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: I prefer Dusco, I prefer Feelo, probably prefer Kurt hulliby do.
• 42:38
  Speaker 2: I prefer Trevin Giles. So I don't like Klein at
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: the end of the day much. I think he's super
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: live to win. I think he's probably more likely than
• 42:44
  Speaker 2: every single person I'd listed, But I want upside in DFS.
• 42:48
  Speaker 3: And I guess Gamrock will be owned. There's no doubt
• 42:52
  Speaker 3: about that. He'll be pretty high owned.
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: I think with Golf being only two hundred let or
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: with Goff being two hundred less as a way bigger
• 42:58
  Speaker 2: favorite and inside the distance, that it keeps Gamrot's ownership
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: more in check.
• 43:02
  Speaker 3: But you get some leverage and.
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: You play client. I still prefer gam Rock. He can
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: get there in the decision land a million takedowns. Client
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: will be trying to stuff them all fight even when
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: it's on the feet at distance. I think his volume
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: will be a little less because he doesn't want to
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: overextend and get taken down that way, So gamrot m
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: my preferred play most definitely Main event time. Appreciate everyone
• 43:26
  Speaker 2: hanging with us this whole time. Hope everybody out there
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: has fun weekend planned. Hey, just watching fights, even though
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: it's not the greatest car and I'll be doing that,
• 43:35
  Speaker 2: will be a good time. Hopefully a little more cheese
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: in the pocket. Main event time, pretty good fight. Aaron
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: Blansfield nine is two to fifty. May see Barber plus
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: two to ten plus one sixty for this fight to finish,
• 43:47
  Speaker 2: Blansfield plus two to thirty inside the distance Barber plus
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: five thirty. This is the game theory one for me,
• 43:52
  Speaker 2: Big Marley normal card. I'm picking Blanchfield to win. I
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: think she eventually does get Barber down when she's on time.
• 44:00
  Speaker 3: Blanch Fiel's a huge problem.
• 44:01
  Speaker 2: She flows very nicely, could take the bag threaten with submissions,
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: just really really fundamentally skilled. Barber's by far the physical advantage,
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: the way stronger fighter. My preferred play though, is Barber.
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: Why is that it's a game theory card.
• 44:18
  Speaker 3: Same thing I said about Dusco's, same thing I said
• 44:20
  Speaker 3: about Brie image.
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: If Barber wins, you can leave a thousand very easily.
• 44:25
  Speaker 2: She has as much upside as anyone, even at seventy
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: one hundred plus two to ten inside the distance isn't
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: crazy bad. If Blanchfield wins, I think it'll be much
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: harder to have ten sub ten dupes then I think
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: if Barber wins. So that's the only reason I'm saying that.
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: I still think Blanchill's a phenomenal play. I'm gonna throw
• 44:44
  Speaker 2: it to you on this. Can you make any cases
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: with this fight isn't optimal? And I'm not saying IPOKE
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: or d Q or whatever always in the realm of possibilities,
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: but can you see this fight not being optimal?
• 44:55
  Speaker 3: And can we fade this fight? Because if neither is optimal,
• 44:58
  Speaker 3: then you could see a solo shit.
• 45:01
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I would think a striking match where Blanchfield wins
• 45:07
  Speaker 4: could not be optimal, and I'll have lineups that don't
• 45:10
  Speaker 4: have this fight in case that happens. I do think
• 45:13
  Speaker 4: that is live where there's only one or two takedowns
• 45:16
  Speaker 4: on this entire fight and it plays out on the
• 45:18
  Speaker 4: feet and it's nothing special if that's the case, So
• 45:23
  Speaker 4: I'll probably have this in like eighty five ninety percent
• 45:25
  Speaker 4: of my lineups, but I'm not definitely not making a
• 45:28
  Speaker 4: rule to be all in. I could see it playing
• 45:31
  Speaker 4: out very close really anywhere it goes. I do give
• 45:35
  Speaker 4: Blanchfield just a slight edge everywhere. I think she is
• 45:39
  Speaker 4: a little bit higher on volume. I think she's more
• 45:42
  Speaker 4: dangerous with her kicks. I think she's the better wrestler
• 45:46
  Speaker 4: and grappler, But all of it's just by a little bit,
• 45:49
  Speaker 4: and Barbara could improve each time out.
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: They're both young.
• 45:52
  Speaker 4: Barbara could end up having a slight volume edge at
• 45:56
  Speaker 4: the end of this fight. She could land one more
• 45:58
  Speaker 4: takedown than Blanchefield. I don't really see her putting on
• 46:01
  Speaker 4: a grappling clinic, but you don't need to seventy one
• 46:04
  Speaker 4: hundred dollars. Any win from Barber should be on the
• 46:06
  Speaker 4: optimal lineup. So this is one where I would say
• 46:10
  Speaker 4: that my preferred play is probably Blanchefield. But if I
• 46:14
  Speaker 4: go in and Sabersim gives me sixty forty in favor
• 46:18
  Speaker 4: of Barber, then then I'm fine with it. Maybe even
• 46:21
  Speaker 4: sixty five thirty five in favor of Barber, I'd probably
• 46:25
  Speaker 4: be fine with that. I don't have a big time
• 46:28
  Speaker 4: dfs play in this one. But I do somewhat agree
• 46:33
  Speaker 4: with the line where Blanchfield should win this fight a
• 46:37
  Speaker 4: seven out of ten times or so, and if she
• 46:39
  Speaker 4: does win, she has a good chance to score on
• 46:41
  Speaker 4: very well too.
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I got nothing on a fourteen fight card. I
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: guarantee you Blanchfield is my preferred play. It's just MMA
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: is a completely different ballgame. Eleven fights versus fourteen is
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: night and day. Blanchfield's gonna be probably the second highest
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: owned on the slate. Barber gonna be punny owned two.
• 46:59
  Speaker 2: I'm not saying that just it's a lot easier to
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: leave chunks of money on the table with Barber than
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: it is Blanchfield, and that's something I'll be looking to
• 47:05
  Speaker 2: do on this week's card for sure.
• 47:08
  Speaker 3: That's all I got.
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I appreciate everyone watching live, watching on playback thumbs up.
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: Always like checking the comments section two if you got
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: any hot takes, anything you want to say by Marley,
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure your Pacers are doing, but I'll let
• 47:21
  Speaker 2: you get out of here and watch it end of
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: that game. Any final thoughts though before we get on out.
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: Go Pacers.
• 47:28
  Speaker 4: I mean, I saw our boy Hebrew Cheetos at the
• 47:31
  Speaker 4: top of the list, like two pacer games Ago. I
• 47:34
  Speaker 4: want to say, for like twenty two grand or something
• 47:36
  Speaker 4: like that.
• 47:36
  Speaker 3: He should have won yesterday too.
• 47:38
  Speaker 4: I was about to say I saw him up there,
• 47:39
  Speaker 4: like twenty four grand with like a couple of seconds.
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: Last Isaiah Joe Isaiah god is as so yeah, Rio
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: is absolutely crushing.
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: Uh yeah, he's a beast.
• 47:50
  Speaker 4: But yeah, good luck to you title, good luck to
• 47:52
  Speaker 4: everybody listening. Hopefully it's a fun card. Hopefully we could
• 47:56
  Speaker 4: profit and roll this money into the next one.
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: But good luck, guys. We's ship it.
• 48:00
  Speaker 2: Absolutely Yeah, They're not a great card to come back
• 48:02
  Speaker 2: on after week off Real Life or DFS BO. Hey,
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: this is this ain't even an appetizer. We're gonna have
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: plenty of great fights. Some are always big boy fights.
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: I mean, I can't wait to watch Tamaya DDP. We
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: got the rematch Morov Suga. Yeah, I mean it's whatever.
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: Not the most excited for that, Ilia definitely excited to
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: see that. I mean, so many phenomenal fights coming up.
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: So even though this week's not great, we get fights
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: on our screen. Violence on Saturday. NHL Stanley Cup coming up,
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: NBA Finals It's a good time to be alive, good
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: time to be a sportsman. Of course, PGA is still going, NBA, MLB, MMA,
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: NHL and NASCAR. We would really love to have you
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: at ship a nation and by far no better deal
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: out there. Usually ninety nine dollars for all of our content.
• 48:48
  Speaker 2: Sabersim the best optimizer out there and the discord use
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: the cod DJN seventy five. Get you seventy five dollars
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: off your first month less than a dollar a day,
• 48:57
  Speaker 2: get you all of that four big mon I'm titled Town.
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: Good luck on this eleven. Fight slights, joy your weekend,
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: Be safe,