Latest / A New Angle / Part two: Crissie McMullan & Jason Wiener are AI Realists
Transcript
- 0:00[music]
- 0:07SPEAKER_02: This is A New Angle, conversations about how we're doing and where we're going.
- 0:13SPEAKER_02: I'm your host, Justin Angle.
- 0:15SPEAKER_02: This show is supported by the Headwaters Foundation,
- 0:18SPEAKER_02: First Security Bank, and the University of Montana College of Business.
- 0:22[music]
- 0:30SPEAKER_02: Hey, folks, welcome back, and thanks for tuning in.
- 0:32SPEAKER_02: Today, we bring you part two of my conversation with Chrissy McMullen and Jason Weiner.
- 0:37SPEAKER_02: Together,
- 0:38SPEAKER_02: these two created AI Realists,
- 0:40SPEAKER_02: a nonprofit organization aimed at helping communities shape AI policies.
- 0:45SPEAKER_00: One of the things that I am actually enjoying the most about working on AI issues is
- 0:50SPEAKER_00: that it really makes you go deep about everything.
- 0:56SPEAKER_02: Let's pick it up with a discussion about their policy ideas.
- 1:00SPEAKER_02: Chrissy, another thing you're working on is this idea of citizens' assemblies.
- 1:03SPEAKER_02: What are those and how are you making them come to life?
- 1:06SPEAKER_00: So citizens assemblies are a new-ish idea that have been gaining traction in places
- 1:14SPEAKER_00: as far reaching as Paris to Kentucky.
- 1:18SPEAKER_00: And what they are is a different way for us to have citizens involved in legislation.
- 1:26SPEAKER_00: So in theory, our state legislature is a citizen legislature.
- 1:29SPEAKER_00: We elect them and they are regular people who live among us and then they go
- 1:34SPEAKER_00: to Helena Every other year and make decisions on our behalf.
- 1:38SPEAKER_00: Another way to also have a decision or,
- 1:43SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 1:43SPEAKER_00: a recommending body that thinks about how we want to govern AI,
- 1:49SPEAKER_00: for example, would be citizens assemblies that are drawn by lot.
- 1:54SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 2:09SPEAKER_00: Think specifically and deeply about that issue.
- 2:11SPEAKER_00: They bring in different experts.
- 2:13SPEAKER_00: They read different materials.
- 2:14SPEAKER_00: They can request different types of information and evidence.
- 2:18SPEAKER_00: They have legal expertise on hand to help them think about what would actually be
- 2:23SPEAKER_00: a legal solution that would be viable or not.
- 2:27SPEAKER_00: And what's really exciting about the ones that have been tried out so far is
- 2:33SPEAKER_00: that they often come up with really nuanced policy solutions.
- 2:37SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 2:38SPEAKER_00: Because they don't have anything else.
- 2:40SPEAKER_00: They're not trying to win any other kind of game.
- 2:42SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 2:42SPEAKER_02: They're not trying to win elections either.
- 2:44SPEAKER_00: They're not worried about what... Yeah, exactly.
- 2:47SPEAKER_00: They're not worried about the election that's coming up or they're not worried about
- 2:51SPEAKER_00: the lobbyists who's got their ear.
- 2:53SPEAKER_00: They're not worried about...
- 2:55SPEAKER_00: They're just trying to do the best they can with the information they have and
- 2:58SPEAKER_00: to support their families and communities.
- 3:01SPEAKER_00: So it can also have this other indirect outcome of depolarizing issues
- 3:10SPEAKER_00: because people aren't there to represent a party.
- 3:12SPEAKER_00: They don't have party politics.
- 3:14SPEAKER_00: They are just there to, again, come up with the best solutions they can for a thorny issue.
- 3:20SPEAKER_02: In the places you've seen this done, how is it then interfacing with the policymaking process?
- 3:28SPEAKER_00: Yeah, so I just read a book called Politics Without Politicians
- 3:31SPEAKER_00: that really gives two examples from France.
- 3:35SPEAKER_00: One of those was around climate change issues, and the other was around end-of-life issues.
- 3:42SPEAKER_00: And they were both called into being by the president of France,
- 3:49SPEAKER_00: who in the climate change one,
- 3:51SPEAKER_00: he initially said, Okay, well, whatever you guys come up with, we will enact.
- 3:57SPEAKER_00: He dialed that back a little bit over time, as politicians tend to do.
- 4:01SPEAKER_00: But they did still have a direct,
- 4:03SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 4:03SPEAKER_00: basically,
- 4:04SPEAKER_00: they came up with,
- 4:04SPEAKER_00: I think,
- 4:05SPEAKER_00: 140 policies that they gave to the French Parliament,
- 4:08SPEAKER_00: and the French Parliament adopted a version of Almost all of them.
- 4:12SPEAKER_00: Wow.
- 4:14SPEAKER_00: And then in the end of life issues when they did something kind of similar,
- 4:18SPEAKER_00: but they started off with a little less carte blanche.
- 4:22SPEAKER_00: A few more constraints.
- 4:24SPEAKER_00: Yeah, they had learned from that.
- 4:25SPEAKER_00: And I think that's an important part of the Citizens Assembly idea is
- 4:30SPEAKER_00: that it will be an experiment.
- 4:32SPEAKER_00: We will have to...
- 4:33SPEAKER_00: Figure things out as we go,
- 4:35SPEAKER_00: but there is a really strong precedent that we can get stronger policies
- 4:40SPEAKER_00: that are better reflective of what the people actually want.
- 4:44SPEAKER_02: Speaking of what the people want, Jason,
- 4:46SPEAKER_02: on your site,
- 4:47SPEAKER_02: you have this polling exercise where people are expressing opinions,
- 4:52SPEAKER_02: people are voting on those opinions and expressing new opinions.
- 4:55SPEAKER_02: Talk about that and what are you learning?
- 4:56SPEAKER_01: Yeah, this is an instance of a platform called Polis.
- 4:59SPEAKER_01: Been around for over a decade,
- 5:01SPEAKER_01: and it uses not the latest generation of AI,
- 5:05SPEAKER_01: but some algorithms in order to identify clusters of opinion.
- 5:11SPEAKER_01: And the way it works is you give people a series of statements across the range
- 5:16SPEAKER_01: of opinions on an issue,
- 5:18SPEAKER_01: and they say, agree, disagree, unsure, pass, kind of a thing.
- 5:22SPEAKER_01: And then you can,
- 5:23SPEAKER_01: over time,
- 5:24SPEAKER_01: begin to see where people clump together, What people tend to agree with each other.
- 5:30SPEAKER_01: What statements tend to identify agreement from people who otherwise disagree with each other.
- 5:36SPEAKER_01: And you can sort of like map the public opinion landscape in
- 5:40SPEAKER_01: a way that's like relatively easy to comprehend.
- 5:43SPEAKER_01: People can contribute their own opinions for others to vote on
- 5:46SPEAKER_01: if they don't feel like they're being well served.
- 5:49SPEAKER_01: It's been used,
- 5:50SPEAKER_01: Taiwan used it to good effect in deciding how to handle Uh,
- 5:55SPEAKER_01: rideshare and regulate that industry alongside taxis and things like that.
- 6:00SPEAKER_02: Anything in the data that you can tell a story about yet?
- 6:03SPEAKER_01: I think what we're seeing so far is like a, a large degree of agreement around, uh,
- 6:11SPEAKER_01: A concern about where this is headed.
- 6:14SPEAKER_01: The most universally supported statements tend
- 6:17SPEAKER_01: to be things around people should be compensated for the way
- 6:22SPEAKER_01: that their work is training these models.
- 6:27SPEAKER_01: And that kids should be protected from manipulation by chatbots and things like this.
- 6:33SPEAKER_01: I would say it's a self-selecting group that's going to the website that's filling these out.
- 6:39SPEAKER_01: I'd love to drive traffic from across the ideological spectrum, such as there is one on this.
- 6:47SPEAKER_01: Because I think there's really no one who wants us to go extinct because of this.
- 6:52SPEAKER_01: So this is just sort of like Version 0.1 of engaging with people.
- 6:58SPEAKER_01: But just, again,
- 6:59SPEAKER_01: trying to solicit more than,
- 7:00SPEAKER_01: like, I identify with this group or identify with that group.
- 7:04SPEAKER_01: But, you know, this is what I believe.
- 7:06SPEAKER_01: And where can I find commonality around that?
- 7:09SPEAKER_01: You know,
- 7:09SPEAKER_01: our hope is to take some of these issues that really fall out with
- 7:13SPEAKER_01: the greatest support and then put that back to the people who have engaged with us
- 7:16SPEAKER_01: and the poll and say, you know, like, form an affinity group.
- 7:20SPEAKER_01: Start to articulate this, like, You know, what do you want and who are you going to ask for it?
- 7:25SPEAKER_01: Christy,
- 7:26SPEAKER_01: are you learning anything
- 7:26SPEAKER_02: about Montana's views on some of the infrastructure,
- 7:31SPEAKER_02: like data centers and other things that sort of building up of the sector of
- 7:37SPEAKER_02: the economy will have big effects on?
- 7:40SPEAKER_00: Well, data centers are a hot topic right now, of course, across the state.
- 7:46SPEAKER_00: Jason and I keep laughing because it's such a hot topic and there are
- 7:50SPEAKER_00: so many really strong organizations,
- 7:52SPEAKER_00: especially a lot of the environmental organizations,
- 7:54SPEAKER_00: public interest groups,
- 7:55SPEAKER_00: who are taking a lead on figuring out You know,
- 7:59SPEAKER_00: what we need to do around data centers that Jason and I have kind of been like,
- 8:02SPEAKER_00: okay, I think actually this is an area we don't need to step in.
- 8:05SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 8:05SPEAKER_00: Other people are working on that.
- 8:07SPEAKER_00: Yes.
- 8:07SPEAKER_00: And it is interesting because even when we,
- 8:09SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 8:09SPEAKER_00: brought this up at the town hall and kind of explained our position on it,
- 8:13SPEAKER_00: it was still one of the most popular, you know, topics.
- 8:17SPEAKER_00: People really want to talk about data centers.
- 8:18SPEAKER_00: Sure.
- 8:19SPEAKER_02: The use of AI has a much larger resource footprint than the use of a Google search,
- 8:24SPEAKER_02: for example.
- 8:24SPEAKER_02: I don't know if that's still necessarily true, but for a time, it was quite a big difference.
- 8:30SPEAKER_02: Yet when you're just typing a question into ChatGPT,
- 8:34SPEAKER_02: the salience of that consumption effect isn't so high.
- 8:40SPEAKER_02: Or if you see a data center,
- 8:42SPEAKER_02: that is a pretty visceral representation of the resources
- 8:46SPEAKER_02: that these systems are demanding.
- 8:49SPEAKER_02: So I think it is an easy thing for people to hold onto,
- 8:52SPEAKER_02: but I think there's some merit in that as well.
- 8:55SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 8:55SPEAKER_01: I mean, I think we should be smarter about how we generate electricity and
- 9:00SPEAKER_01: then would be less concerned about its consumption.
- 9:02SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 9:02SPEAKER_02: And that is one argument that the AI proponents trot out there.
- 9:06SPEAKER_02: It's like,
- 9:06SPEAKER_02: this will force us,
- 9:07SPEAKER_02: the energy demands are so great that this will force us
- 9:09SPEAKER_02: to innovate our energy systems.
- 9:13SPEAKER_02: It's a hard thing to review.
- 9:13SPEAKER_02: Is that how it's worked out so far?
- 9:15SPEAKER_02: Exactly.
- 9:15SPEAKER_01: I mean, ask the people of Memphis who have like one gas turbine after another going in next
- 9:20SPEAKER_01: to them.
- 9:20SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 9:21SPEAKER_00: I mean, and I think another issue around data centers that is
- 9:25SPEAKER_00: a super incredibly important point is just the lack of transparency.
- 9:30SPEAKER_00: Just the way that the corporations are going about citing these,
- 9:35SPEAKER_00: placing these, trying to move these permits forward without any input into...
- 9:40SPEAKER_00: How it's happening is it is kind of a great metaphor for the for AI in general.
- 9:45SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 9:45SPEAKER_00: It's just hard to it's impenetrable, as we talked about earlier.
- 9:50SPEAKER_00: And so understandably, people are mad.
- 9:53SPEAKER_00: They're like, I should know what's coming in my backyard.
- 9:57SPEAKER_00: Especially if it's going to be emitting noise 24-7,
- 10:00SPEAKER_00: if it's going to be taking my water,
- 10:02SPEAKER_00: if it's going to be,
- 10:04SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 10:05SPEAKER_00: sending,
- 10:05SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 10:06SPEAKER_00: increasing the temperature of the groundwater that I rely on,
- 10:09SPEAKER_00: you know, there's lots of reasons to be mad about it.
- 10:12SPEAKER_00: So we're not saying that people shouldn't be mad at it.
- 10:14SPEAKER_00: Basically, we're just like, this issue seems to be covered by a lot of really
- 10:17SPEAKER_02: smart people.
- 10:19SPEAKER_02: In our remaining time,
- 10:20SPEAKER_02: I'd love to just sort of pull the lens out a little bit and just talk
- 10:24SPEAKER_02: about some broader issues that are implicated in this conversation.
- 10:29SPEAKER_02: Things like trust in a society, things like learning and education, social skills.
- 10:37SPEAKER_02: Some of this might inspire your work with AI Realists,
- 10:40SPEAKER_02: but how are you thinking about You mentioned your daughter at the head
- 10:44SPEAKER_02: of this conversation, Chrissy.
- 10:46SPEAKER_02: I think about this with my kids.
- 10:48SPEAKER_02: My daughter expressed a ton of fear about AI getting in the way
- 10:54SPEAKER_02: of her learning what she needed to learn.
- 10:55SPEAKER_02: And this was in the context of a math class.
- 10:58SPEAKER_02: And then she sort of figured out a way to get AI to coach her through a series
- 11:03SPEAKER_02: of steps with some algebra problems, et cetera.
- 11:07SPEAKER_02: And it seemed to be an effective use of the technology to foster learning.
- 11:12SPEAKER_02: Yet I see it with my students and they're choosing a wide variety of ways to bypass thinking.
- 11:19SPEAKER_02: How are you thinking about this with your own daughter?
- 11:21SPEAKER_00: One of the things that I am actually enjoying the most about working on AI issues is
- 11:27SPEAKER_00: that It really makes you go deep about everything.
- 11:33SPEAKER_00: What is education?
- 11:35SPEAKER_00: How do we learn?
- 11:36SPEAKER_00: Why do we learn?
- 11:37SPEAKER_00: What is important to learn?
- 11:41SPEAKER_00: What is the kind of ultimate outcome you're trying to go for?
- 11:44SPEAKER_00: And then it kind of keeps being this thread because you're like,
- 11:47SPEAKER_00: well, if you're learning to get a job, what is the job?
- 11:52SPEAKER_00: What jobs are going to be available?
- 11:53SPEAKER_00: And so if you're not learning to get a job, what are you learning for?
- 11:57SPEAKER_00: And it goes really deep.
- 11:58SPEAKER_00: And, you know,
- 11:59SPEAKER_00: in some ways,
- 11:59SPEAKER_00: I think it's really interesting because it's like,
- 12:03SPEAKER_00: oh, what is kind of the value of life itself, you know, and it's scary to realize.
- 12:12SPEAKER_00: Revisit what's the point of life and what's the meaning of life for sometimes.
- 12:17SPEAKER_00: But at the same time, it can be really exciting and interesting.
- 12:20SPEAKER_00: And I think it's for me,
- 12:22SPEAKER_00: it's been really rewarding because we as a society are starting
- 12:26SPEAKER_00: to have these conversations.
- 12:27SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 12:28SPEAKER_02: Jason, I certainly don't know many folks that have sort of such a deep training
- 12:33SPEAKER_02: in philosophy but also are so fluent in the technology itself.
- 12:39SPEAKER_02: As you've kind of been a student of both and a practitioner of both,
- 12:42SPEAKER_02: how are you thinking about the future of thinking and writing and our ability to ask
- 12:48SPEAKER_02: and answer the questions that Chrissy was talking about a moment ago?
- 12:51SPEAKER_01: There's something about interacting with a thing that is so fluent in language
- 12:56SPEAKER_01: that makes you wonder about subjectivity,
- 12:59SPEAKER_01: like the internal life that we all have,
- 13:02SPEAKER_01: what it is to be, you know, a sentient thing in the world.
- 13:05SPEAKER_01: Does this thing have an inner life?
- 13:08SPEAKER_01: You know,
- 13:08SPEAKER_01: there's like widely ranging opinions about that among people who,
- 13:12SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 13:12SPEAKER_01: my opinion should know better about like what the state of
- 13:14SPEAKER_01: the current technology is.
- 13:16SPEAKER_01: And so.
- 13:19SPEAKER_01: Given this, it is an opportunity for us to reflect on what we want our own inner life to be.
- 13:28SPEAKER_02: I think about human interaction and social skills,
- 13:32SPEAKER_02: and we have so many off-ramps to having face-to-face conversations.
- 13:36SPEAKER_02: Yet I juxtapose that against the massive rise in the popularity of podcasts.
- 13:43SPEAKER_02: Somehow people love listening and or watching people talk.
- 13:48SPEAKER_02: And the only way I can think of explaining that is it's gotta be some facsimile
- 13:52SPEAKER_02: of social interaction that people are hungry for.
- 13:55SPEAKER_02: If AI podcasts were gonna replace us all,
- 14:00SPEAKER_02: you'd probably already see that happening,
- 14:03SPEAKER_02: but people aren't tuning in to AI podcasts.
- 14:06SPEAKER_02: And the ones that I've seen attempted,
- 14:08SPEAKER_02: I think they have like a party trick attraction to them,
- 14:12SPEAKER_02: but they're not,
- 14:14SPEAKER_02: maybe the technology gets there,
- 14:15SPEAKER_02: but people don't seem that interested
- 14:17SPEAKER_01: Models are not good at generalizing out
- 14:19SPEAKER_01: of distribution.
- 14:20SPEAKER_01: You train them on a corpus of text and what they will do is more or less pick out
- 14:25SPEAKER_01: the most probable bits of that text in order to regurgitate.
- 14:30SPEAKER_01: A podcast should confront you with something new,
- 14:34SPEAKER_01: interesting, something that you haven't thought of before.
- 14:38SPEAKER_01: That's not what these models are great at.
- 14:42SPEAKER_01: They're good at a lot of things.
- 14:44SPEAKER_01: They're good at summarizing what's already out there.
- 14:47SPEAKER_01: They're good at it.
- 14:48SPEAKER_01: Crawling a huge corpus of data in order to distill some insight or maybe a plan
- 14:54SPEAKER_01: of action,
- 14:55SPEAKER_01: but they don't have the rich inner life that we have by almost any standard.
- 15:01SPEAKER_01: And so we should seek to preserve our rich inner life in the face of this technology
- 15:07SPEAKER_01: that has the potential to sort of make us more objects in the world,
- 15:11SPEAKER_01: like things with descriptors that can be acted upon by forces,
- 15:14SPEAKER_01: rather than cultivating the rich inner life that is Mm-hmm.
- 15:35SPEAKER_02: I could probably create some sort of a bot in Claude to go to some fake gym
- 15:44SPEAKER_02: and work out and then log the workouts so that they appear on Strava and
- 15:49SPEAKER_02: that all my friends can see how I did whatever, but I didn't really do it.
- 15:54SPEAKER_02: And nobody ever really wants to do that.
- 15:56SPEAKER_02: I mean, people fake stuff for social presentation,
- 15:59SPEAKER_02: but I'm never going to fake that I did a workout.
- 16:03SPEAKER_02: Because it's more efficient to do that.
- 16:05SPEAKER_02: Even if I could take a pill to simulate the effects,
- 16:08SPEAKER_02: still there's something in the struggle of using my body.
- 16:12SPEAKER_02: And whether you're using your body,
- 16:14SPEAKER_02: your brain,
- 16:14SPEAKER_02: or whatever faculty you have,
- 16:16SPEAKER_02: I think there is something in that that is distinctly human that I can't imagine
- 16:20SPEAKER_02: an AI taking that away from me.
- 16:22SPEAKER_01: Albert Borgman,
- 16:23SPEAKER_01: professor at the University of Montana,
- 16:25SPEAKER_01: my teacher, he called this goods internal to a practice.
- 16:29SPEAKER_01: And this is engagement.
- 16:31SPEAKER_01: And AI can inform goods internal to a practice.
- 16:34SPEAKER_01: I took a wordworking class.
- 16:36SPEAKER_01: The project that I came up with And so these can definitely become scaffoldings
- 16:39SPEAKER_01: to improve our lives and help us achieve our ends.
- 16:42SPEAKER_01: But that is something that will require intention on our part as users.
- 16:59SPEAKER_01: The engagement of our social support system and our political economy to make sure
- 17:04SPEAKER_01: that what we're doing is cultivating humanity and not just sort of farming people.
- 17:10SPEAKER_02: We'll be back to my conversation with Chrissy McMullen and Jason Weiner after this short break.
- 17:18SPEAKER_02: A New Angle would not be possible without the generous support of
- 17:21SPEAKER_02: the Headwaters Foundation,
- 17:23SPEAKER_02: working side by side with Western Montanans to improve the health
- 17:26SPEAKER_02: of our communities.
- 17:28SPEAKER_02: And you can't do that sort of work without access to capital and education.
- 17:33SPEAKER_02: Two critical catalysts offered by First Security Bank and the University
- 17:36SPEAKER_02: of Montana College of Business.
- 17:39SPEAKER_02: Hey, this is Mark Moss from Tell us Something, and you're listening to A New Angle.
- 17:46SPEAKER_02: Welcome back to A New Angle.
- 17:48SPEAKER_02: I'm speaking with Chrissy McMullin and Jason Weiner about AI realists.
- 17:53SPEAKER_00: I definitely have wondered in the past,
- 17:54SPEAKER_00: like, oh, are we going to have to go to mental gyms in the future?
- 17:57SPEAKER_00: Are we going to have to, like,
- 17:58SPEAKER_00: create an intentional, like,
- 18:00SPEAKER_00: I'm going to think for at least an hour every day because,
- 18:03SPEAKER_00: you know, we don't automatically have to think very much anymore.
- 18:07SPEAKER_00: And even in white collar jobs,
- 18:08SPEAKER_00: if our jobs are most,
- 18:10SPEAKER_00: if our thinking is outsourced,
- 18:12SPEAKER_00: we may still at some point realize, like, oh, wait, my brain is not healthy anymore.
- 18:16SPEAKER_00: I need to go to the gym and it will feel better and I'll be able to think better
- 18:20SPEAKER_00: and there'll be benefits.
- 18:22SPEAKER_00: And we, you can kind of see an analogy to that in the world of physical fitness
- 18:27SPEAKER_00: that there was,
- 18:29SPEAKER_00: many of us used to have to work with our bodies and you wouldn't want to go to a gym
- 18:32SPEAKER_00: because you already worked with your body for, you know, all day.
- 18:35SPEAKER_00: Yeah, the idea of going to a gym is sort of absurd in and of itself.
- 18:38SPEAKER_00: Yeah, you're right.
- 18:38SPEAKER_00: Right, exactly.
- 18:39SPEAKER_00: And then we had an obesity epidemic.
- 18:42SPEAKER_00: And, you know,
- 18:42SPEAKER_00: because it was no longer the default for people to work during the day,
- 18:47SPEAKER_00: kids weren't, you know, playing outside during the day anymore.
- 18:50SPEAKER_00: We weren't by default eating a more healthy diet.
- 18:56SPEAKER_00: We were eating by default food that was not making us well.
- 19:00SPEAKER_00: So I think it's a both and situation.
- 19:02SPEAKER_00: And when you look at what are the defaults?
- 19:04SPEAKER_00: So if the defaults with AI become that we outsource our intelligence,
- 19:10SPEAKER_00: if we outsource thinking,
- 19:11SPEAKER_00: if we outsource any little source of friction,
- 19:14SPEAKER_00: we will probably see some kind of, at least statistically speaking, bad results.
- 19:20SPEAKER_00: And some people will more quickly than others,
- 19:23SPEAKER_00: because of advantages they have or education they already have,
- 19:27SPEAKER_00: they'll start to realize, oh, wait, I have to keep engaging in the real world.
- 19:30SPEAKER_00: I have to choose to have real relationships, even if they're harder.
- 19:33SPEAKER_00: I have to choose to think.
- 19:36SPEAKER_00: I have to read books, even if it's harder and less fun than just chatting with my chatbot.
- 19:41SPEAKER_00: But I think the default may not be that way.
- 19:43SPEAKER_00: And I think that that can bring down our society.
- 19:47SPEAKER_00: Like at one point I was working on childhood obesity issues and like 30%
- 19:51SPEAKER_00: of children were predicted to have type 2 diabetes by
- 19:54SPEAKER_00: the time they graduated high school.
- 19:57SPEAKER_00: So if you're like, oh,
- 19:58SPEAKER_00: if 30% of our population is part of this default and experiencing the negative sides
- 20:04SPEAKER_00: of a default of outsourcing our thinking, we're going to need to change that.
- 20:09SPEAKER_02: I think that surfaces the,
- 20:11SPEAKER_02: at least from my vantage point as a professor here in front of students,
- 20:15SPEAKER_02: trying to prepare them for the world that they'll enter,
- 20:19SPEAKER_02: hopefully as some form of a worker, maybe, or citizen, let's put it that way.
- 20:26SPEAKER_02: It's this concept of discernment.
- 20:29SPEAKER_02: So these AIs can be tremendously powerful to help them solve problems,
- 20:34SPEAKER_02: to get work done, to be more efficient, to be more productive, whatever it is.
- 20:40SPEAKER_02: Yet they can also bypass thinking,
- 20:42SPEAKER_02: bypass socialization,
- 20:43SPEAKER_02: bypass writing,
- 20:46SPEAKER_02: all kinds of, there's off ramps to effort available wherever you look.
- 20:52SPEAKER_02: And some of those are useful, some of those are dangerous.
- 20:56SPEAKER_02: That notion of discernment is what I'm struggling with how to teach.
- 21:01SPEAKER_02: And I wonder how you think about that.
- 21:04SPEAKER_02: How do we preserve some sense of, okay,
- 21:09SPEAKER_02: here are the things I have to do to advance as a human being,
- 21:13SPEAKER_02: to contribute to society that AI can't do for me?
- 21:17SPEAKER_01: Well, I'm just thinking about how as someone who writes software for a living,
- 21:22SPEAKER_01: if I want this thing to like really do what I'm asking it to do,
- 21:25SPEAKER_01: then I have to be like reading that and understanding what it's attempting to do.
- 21:31SPEAKER_01: And before I ever get it started, I have to have a very clear idea of the outcome that I want.
- 21:37SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 21:59SPEAKER_01: The amount of text that these can generate is so overwhelming.
- 22:04SPEAKER_01: And if you just let it go, you will be washed under by their output.
- 22:09SPEAKER_02: Yeah, and tempted to just accept it for what it is because it is so overwhelming.
- 22:14SPEAKER_02: But you will wind up with something that is far from what you wanted.
- 22:17SPEAKER_01: And maybe the technology will change that and it will get very good
- 22:20SPEAKER_01: at discerning what we want from very minimal input.
- 22:23SPEAKER_01: And I don't know that that would be desirable in terms of our humanity.
- 22:28SPEAKER_01: It's certainly, you know, it's the goal.
- 22:31SPEAKER_01: But along the way,
- 22:32SPEAKER_01: at every point,
- 22:33SPEAKER_01: no matter what,
- 22:34SPEAKER_01: if you have something that's just going to do its best
- 22:37SPEAKER_01: to provide you whatever you want,
- 22:39SPEAKER_01: you better know what you're going to ask for and how to recognize it
- 22:43SPEAKER_01: when you see it.
- 22:44SPEAKER_02: I think that speaks to one of the asymmetries as well that AI
- 22:48SPEAKER_02: at this point seems best suited to folks that sort of understand how to deal
- 22:52SPEAKER_02: with its output.
- 22:54SPEAKER_02: And that's one thing that I find concerning
- 22:56SPEAKER_02: for young people is they don't have this body of knowledge experience and
- 23:01SPEAKER_02: the opportunities for apprenticeship appear to be the sorts of jobs
- 23:06SPEAKER_02: that AI may be disrupting the most.
- 23:09SPEAKER_02: Chrissy, we've opened a lot of doors here.
- 23:11SPEAKER_02: You want to touch on any of these in our closing moments?
- 23:14SPEAKER_00: I have been thinking a lot about how do we learn discernment if you don't get
- 23:19SPEAKER_00: to learn it on the job.
- 23:21SPEAKER_00: Actually,
- 23:22SPEAKER_00: I think Hank Green has some funny videos about where he's like,
- 23:25SPEAKER_00: I got paid to do a job badly at first.
- 23:30SPEAKER_00: We all probably did, right?
- 23:32SPEAKER_00: Somebody paid us a low wage, we did a job badly, and then we learned how to do it better.
- 23:36SPEAKER_00: So now no one's going to pay you to do a job badly anymore because AI can do that.
- 23:42SPEAKER_00: It can even probably do it pretty good at an entry level situation.
- 23:47SPEAKER_00: And so that gap is real and we're going to have to grapple with that as a society.
- 23:56SPEAKER_00: Kind of in the like individual level,
- 23:59SPEAKER_00: I am interested in like,
- 24:01SPEAKER_00: okay, we need to go back to basics learning, outdoor learning.
- 24:05SPEAKER_00: We need to do hands-on learning.
- 24:07SPEAKER_00: We need to do group learning.
- 24:08SPEAKER_00: We need to like do projects from start to finish that have nothing to do
- 24:14SPEAKER_00: with anything on a screen, you know, to really get those projects.
- 24:19SPEAKER_00: Kind of really basic like brain neural connections,
- 24:23SPEAKER_00: problem solving connections going that can then apply
- 24:26SPEAKER_00: to different professional situations and settings.
- 24:30SPEAKER_00: And I know that can be unpopular because I think there's a general tendency
- 24:34SPEAKER_00: to be like, okay, well, let's learn how to use the AI in the best possible way.
- 24:38SPEAKER_00: I think that's actually pretty easy.
- 24:40SPEAKER_00: That's the easy part.
- 24:41SPEAKER_00: Is this discernment that you're talking about?
- 24:43SPEAKER_00: That's the hard part.
- 24:43SPEAKER_00: And I think...
- 24:45SPEAKER_00: And starting with AI as a tool for learning discernment will be the opposite of
- 24:50SPEAKER_00: the most effective way to learn that.
- 24:52SPEAKER_02: It's going to say use me all the time in every possible instance and never get off
- 24:57SPEAKER_02: the platform.
- 24:57SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 24:58SPEAKER_00: And it just honestly,
- 24:59SPEAKER_00: even for me, sometimes I'll run, I'll have it like run a report on something.
- 25:02SPEAKER_00: And when I first,
- 25:03SPEAKER_00: even with all of my experience,
- 25:05SPEAKER_00: even if it's something about,
- 25:06SPEAKER_00: if it's about something I know, my first glance, I'm like, oh, this is good.
- 25:09SPEAKER_00: This all makes sense.
- 25:10SPEAKER_00: Yeah, this is great.
- 25:11SPEAKER_00: And then it's only later when I start working with it that I'm like, oh, wait,
- 25:14SPEAKER_00: this doesn't actually make sense or this is completely off or this is just
- 25:18SPEAKER_00: a hallucination.
- 25:19SPEAKER_00: And so if I'm even like fooled at first glance by because it sounds so good,
- 25:25SPEAKER_00: the sentences are so well put together.
- 25:28SPEAKER_00: So I think asking young people to start at that,
- 25:30SPEAKER_00: trying to build their discernment with that level of convincing text,
- 25:35SPEAKER_00: that's too hard.
- 25:36SPEAKER_00: Don't start there.
- 25:37SPEAKER_00: Let's start with, you know, Doing things in the real world with real people and go from there.
- 25:44SPEAKER_02: Let's bring it back to AI Realists in our remaining moments here.
- 25:48SPEAKER_02: You're producing events, you're engaging in the community, you're doing lots of stuff.
- 25:51SPEAKER_02: What are you most excited about in the coming months and how can people get involved?
- 25:55SPEAKER_01: I think the thing that's been most exciting to me is watching the bulb go on for people.
- 26:01SPEAKER_01: I don't have to be...
- 26:03SPEAKER_01: Excellent.
- 26:26SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 26:27SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 26:27SPEAKER_00: We would love for people to find us at AI Realists, as in the plural, realists.org.
- 26:36SPEAKER_00: You can even suggest a new name for us.
- 26:37SPEAKER_00: We're open.
- 26:39SPEAKER_00: And we are at a really, I think, fun and exciting stage because we are still open to new ideas.
- 26:50SPEAKER_00: We're still...
- 26:51SPEAKER_00: We're not planning to do all of the ideas ourselves.
- 26:54SPEAKER_00: We're pushing things back out to other people.
- 26:56SPEAKER_00: It's a chance to get involved.
- 26:57SPEAKER_00: It's a chance to engage.
- 26:59SPEAKER_00: And honestly, it's a lot more interesting and fun and hopeful than like building a bunker.
- 27:05SPEAKER_00: So, you know, come to AI.
- 27:06SPEAKER_00: If you're feeling despair, come to AIrealist.org and, you know, we'll have coffee.
- 27:10SPEAKER_00: We'll brainstorm.
- 27:12SPEAKER_00: We'll do stuff.
- 27:13SPEAKER_02: Thanks to you both for kind of going along on this meandering ride today.
- 27:18SPEAKER_02: And just thank you for the work you're doing to try to push back against that sense
- 27:24SPEAKER_02: of inevitability and helplessness and try to actually do something
- 27:29SPEAKER_02: as Rasa implored you to do.
- 27:32SPEAKER_02: Yeah, best of luck and we hope to revisit down the road.
- 27:38SPEAKER_02: Thanks for listening to A New Angle.
- 27:40SPEAKER_02: If you like what we do and want to support us directly,
- 27:42SPEAKER_02: please consider a subscription at anewanglepodcast.com.
- 27:49SPEAKER_02: A New Angle is recorded at Studio 49, a generous gift from UM alums Michelle and Lauren Hanson.
- 27:55SPEAKER_02: Our presenting sponsor is the Headwaters Foundation,
- 27:58SPEAKER_02: working side-by-side with Western Montanans to improve the health
- 28:01SPEAKER_02: of our communities.
- 28:04SPEAKER_02: We are also supported by First Security Bank and the University of Montana College
- 28:08SPEAKER_02: of Business, with additional help from CED, Drum Coffee, and Montana Public Radio.
- 28:15SPEAKER_02: Keely Larson is our producer.
- 28:17SPEAKER_02: John Brownell, Jeff Ament, and John Wicks made our music.
- 28:22SPEAKER_02: Thanks a lot, and we'll see you next time.