Latest / What the Flux / KFC has a chicken problem | Amazon overcharged 1 million Aussies according to ACCC| Ticketek's backstage bloodbath plus a special guest
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: This is what the Flux.
- 0:06Speaker 2: I'm justin and I'm Larissa, and it's Wednesday, the first
- 0:09Speaker 2: of July.
- 0:10Speaker 1: Happy new financial and Larissa's new financially Will you celebrate I.
- 0:13Speaker 2: Went to bed very early and watch Netflins.
- 0:16Speaker 1: Take it away for us.
- 0:17Speaker 2: Well, if you're filling up your petrol tank this morning,
- 0:20Speaker 2: you'll probably notice the price stinging a little more than usual.
- 0:23Speaker 2: That's because the fuel excised tax cut that had been
- 0:26Speaker 2: in place because of the war in Iran has been
- 0:28Speaker 2: halved overnight from thirty two since to sixteen since per liter. Yeah,
- 0:32Speaker 2: the government isn't adding a new tax, it's just taking
- 0:35Speaker 2: away part of the discount.
- 0:36Speaker 1: Really really hurts. Fluxam New month means new academy in
- 0:40Speaker 1: the Flux app this month, we're very excited if you're
- 0:42Speaker 1: launching what even is an et? So if you're looking
- 0:44Speaker 1: to start investing but have no idea what to do,
- 0:46Speaker 1: we have got you. Make sure to download the Flex
- 0:48Speaker 1: app and check out the academy. This month, We've got
- 0:50Speaker 1: three finger licking stories today. Let's do it for our first.
- 0:54Speaker 1: The company behind KFC stores in Australia has posted record
- 0:58Speaker 1: sales for the last fiscal year, but the Folk is
- 1:00Speaker 1: unpreventing bird flu from hitting their supply chain.
- 1:03Speaker 2: No cause for celebration yet for Colin's Food. What's going
- 1:06Speaker 2: on here?
- 1:07Speaker 1: Okay? So Colin's Food is Australia's largest KFC operator.
- 1:11Speaker 2: Yeah, it's A six listed and runs over two hundred
- 1:14Speaker 2: and ninety five stores locally and eighty across Germany and Netherlands.
- 1:18Speaker 1: And there are some. Until recently, it also held the
- 1:20Speaker 1: license to Taco Bell stores in Australia too, which were
- 1:23Speaker 1: bleeding cash.
- 1:24Speaker 2: Yeap, and the Colin's Food crew were celebrating a record
- 1:27Speaker 2: group sales for the fiscal year of twenty twenty six.
- 1:29Speaker 1: Yeah, their sales for the year were up nearly nine
- 1:31Speaker 1: percent to close to one point six billion dollars.
- 1:34Speaker 2: But it was their net profit that got Vista's licking
- 1:36Speaker 2: their chickensisted fingers, with knit profits soaring nearly two hundred
- 1:40Speaker 2: and eighty one percent to forty seven million.
- 1:43Speaker 1: And what will the big drivers of this grow?
- 1:45Speaker 2: It was the liquid Gold sauce apparently, plus the Zinger
- 1:48Speaker 2: barn Me and Zinger nachos.
- 1:51Speaker 1: Larisa, Colin's Food isn't quite celebrating yet.
- 1:53Speaker 2: And why is that?
- 1:54Speaker 1: Because bird flu has arrived on Australian shores, and Colin's
- 1:57Speaker 1: Food is watching it very closely.
- 2:00Speaker 2: Yeah, given its hit Europe already, they know what could
- 2:03Speaker 2: happen if their chicken is also hit.
- 2:05Speaker 1: So what is the key learning here?
- 2:06Speaker 2: Often the biggest players in an industry are still at
- 2:09Speaker 2: the mercy of forces way outside their control.
- 2:11Speaker 1: For a company like Colin's Food, chicken is pretty much
- 2:14Speaker 1: the entire business.
- 2:15Speaker 2: So when the supply chain gets sick, so does the
- 2:18Speaker 2: bottom line.
- 2:18Speaker 1: You see, there is the problem is when bird flu
- 2:20Speaker 1: reaches poultry flocks, governments often order mass culls to stop
- 2:24Speaker 1: the spread.
- 2:25Speaker 2: According to the USDA, the twenty twenty two to twenty
- 2:28Speaker 2: twenty four US bird flu outbreak led to the culling
- 2:31Speaker 2: of over ninety million birds.
- 2:33Speaker 1: Oh and there's let's supply for this same demand in
- 2:35Speaker 1: these higher prices for anyone buying chicken in bulk.
- 2:39Speaker 2: Like say the world's largest fried chicken chains.
- 2:41Speaker 1: And we've already seen bird flu hit the profit margins
- 2:44Speaker 1: of Colin's Foods in its European stores.
- 2:46Speaker 2: Yeah, Colin's Foods confirmed bird flu already cut up to
- 2:49Speaker 2: one hundred basis points from its profit margins. But it
- 2:52Speaker 2: just goes to show that even with record profits in
- 2:55Speaker 2: the bank, the biggest risk is often something you can't
- 2:57Speaker 2: see coming flock am.
- 2:59Speaker 1: Today we're joined by Andrew Knobi, Director of Australia Fixed
- 3:02Speaker 1: Income at Franklin Templeton, a man who'll spent over two
- 3:05Speaker 1: decades thinking about bonds, so you don't have to. Today
- 3:08Speaker 1: we're going to dive into fixed income. What it is,
- 3:10Speaker 1: white matters and why right now might actually be the
- 3:13Speaker 1: most interesting time in years to pay attention to it. Andrew,
- 3:16Speaker 1: Welcome to What the Flux. Thanks for having me, guys, Andrew.
- 3:18Speaker 1: Most of our listeners probably own shares but have never
- 3:21Speaker 1: knowingly actually owned a bond. So in plain terms, can
- 3:24Speaker 1: you explain what a bond actually is and wider governments
- 3:27Speaker 1: and companies use them? Yeah?
- 3:28Speaker 3: Yeah, sure, So, I mean basically, own's encompass a very
- 3:32Speaker 3: broad range of instruments, but when you break it down,
- 3:35Speaker 3: it's effectively alone. So it's a contract between two parties.
- 3:38Speaker 3: Want to lender, want to borrow with an interest rate,
- 3:41Speaker 3: typically a maturity of some form, and basically companies, governments,
- 3:45Speaker 3: other issuers if you like, we'll basically use a bond.
- 3:48Speaker 3: Market has raised a lot of money.
- 3:49Speaker 4: Now we've been through one of the most aggressive rate
- 3:53Speaker 4: hiking periods in a very long time. So, Andrew, can
- 3:56Speaker 4: you explain the relationship between interest rates and bond prices.
- 4:00Speaker 3: Yeah, this is often something that's not as well understood
- 4:03Speaker 3: because bonds are also known as fixed income, and so
- 4:05Speaker 3: when bond prices move around, people say, hang on, why
- 4:07Speaker 3: is it no longer fixed? But the fixed typically relates
- 4:10Speaker 3: to the coupon or the interest rate that's agreed between
- 4:13Speaker 3: the parties. So, for example, Brett and Justin former company,
- 4:16Speaker 3: they want to raise money for ten years. I'm a lender,
- 4:19Speaker 3: and I say, well, I'll give you that money at
- 4:21Speaker 3: a four percent interest rate or coupon. You agree to
- 4:24Speaker 3: pay four percent to me each year for the next
- 4:26Speaker 3: ten years, and then ten years you give me my
- 4:28Speaker 3: one hundred dollars back. Fast forward three months. The market
- 4:31Speaker 3: has decided that the interest rate to lend to Justin
- 4:35Speaker 3: and Brett for ten years is actually four and a
- 4:37Speaker 3: half percent, and I want to sell that security in
- 4:40Speaker 3: the market. Well, hang on, something has to give. The
- 4:42Speaker 3: coupon or the interest rate is fixed at for but
- 4:44Speaker 3: the market is only willing to lend it four and
- 4:46Speaker 3: a half. So prices will adjust to quilibrate that transaction
- 4:51Speaker 3: such that the return will be four and a half percent.
- 4:54Speaker 4: That's a great example. It's in taking on a ten
- 4:56Speaker 4: year bond for our podcast, Here we go.
- 4:58Speaker 1: Four percent sounds pretty good. Actually, you notice how I
- 5:02Speaker 1: quickly moved it high and Andrew May. The last couple
- 5:05Speaker 1: of years, markets have been pretty much all over the place.
- 5:08Speaker 1: We've had tariffs last year, rate uncertainty wars. So when
- 5:12Speaker 1: equities are volatile, what is fixed income typically doing for
- 5:15Speaker 1: a portfolio and does it hold up in a way
- 5:17Speaker 1: to reduce risk as a bit of a safe haven.
- 5:19Speaker 1: How does it work?
- 5:20Speaker 3: Yeah, Look, historically, and I'm talking over many, many decades
- 5:24Speaker 3: of investing, conventional wisdom would have said, do you have
- 5:27Speaker 3: a diversified or balanced portfolio. You need to have some
- 5:30Speaker 3: equities or some growth assets, and you need to have
- 5:32Speaker 3: some defensive assets, which historically would have been sovereign or
- 5:35Speaker 3: government bonds or defensive low response and so you had
- 5:38Speaker 3: seventy percent in equities thirty percent in bonds. That would
- 5:41Speaker 3: be a very traditional balanced portfolio. We have argued, and
- 5:44Speaker 3: I think we are observing and have observed over now
- 5:47Speaker 3: many years, that that relationship doesn't work too well. When
- 5:50Speaker 3: you want it to. So if you think about March
- 5:53Speaker 3: this year, we had a conflict in the Middle East,
- 5:55Speaker 3: all of a sudden, equity prices came under pressure. On
- 5:58Speaker 3: prices came under pressure. Hang on, my portfolio isn't as
- 6:01Speaker 3: diversified as I thought it was. You know, go back
- 6:03Speaker 3: to twenty twenty one, similar sort of circumstances. I can
- 6:06Speaker 3: show you any number of examples over the last ten
- 6:08Speaker 3: years where this relationship, this idea of hey, prices will
- 6:12Speaker 3: go up when equity prices are falling and therefore offset
- 6:15Speaker 3: the other is actually not working so well. So you know,
- 6:17Speaker 3: you need to rethink the way defensives and bonds are structured,
- 6:22Speaker 3: if you like, or approach to make sure you do
- 6:24Speaker 3: have that sort of defensive characteristic.
- 6:26Speaker 4: So, how do you actually access fixed income investments if
- 6:30Speaker 4: you're not a sophisticated investor.
- 6:32Speaker 3: Yeah, so I think this is where you know. I'm
- 6:34Speaker 3: a fund manager. So I'm not going to shy away
- 6:37Speaker 3: from the fact that I think part of the role
- 6:39Speaker 3: of fund managers in its asset class is to solve
- 6:41Speaker 3: a problem that exists or individual investors, and that problem
- 6:45Speaker 3: is how to actually build a portfolio that's well diversified
- 6:48Speaker 3: and gives the investor access to something that they can't
- 6:51Speaker 3: access directly themselves. And to be honest, if you could
- 6:53Speaker 3: access directly that yourself by buying a whole bunch of
- 6:56Speaker 3: individual securities, then go for it. But you can't do that.
- 6:59Speaker 3: So most fixed income instruments in the Australian market, and
- 7:03Speaker 3: certainly the ones we look at globally, you just can't
- 7:05Speaker 3: buy in an exchange, so you need to have an
- 7:07Speaker 3: intermediary to solve that problem for you. That can be
- 7:09Speaker 3: through a managed fund, it can be through an ETF
- 7:12Speaker 3: which is an exchange traded version of that fund, so
- 7:14Speaker 3: still something listed and so there's a number of different
- 7:17Speaker 3: avenues you can take and you know, I think that
- 7:19Speaker 3: gives you. It gives you good choice in terms of,
- 7:22Speaker 3: you know, solving for how you get access to the market.
- 7:24Speaker 1: Andrew, thanks so much for joining us on What the
- 7:25Speaker 1: Flux Today. Looking forward to you coming back next time.
- 7:28Speaker 3: Yeah, thanks guys awesome.
- 7:30Speaker 1: For our second story. Amazon Australia is being sued by
- 7:33Speaker 1: the ah Trible c for allegedly sneaking ads onto its
- 7:36Speaker 1: streaming platform and then charging customers to remove them as well.
- 7:40Speaker 2: You were busy binging off campus. Amazon was busy, really
- 7:43Speaker 2: love tell me more?
- 7:44Speaker 1: Okay, so we know Amazon the tech drive.
- 7:46Speaker 2: Amazon was founded by Jiff Bezos in nineteen ninety four
- 7:49Speaker 2: and has grown into a music platform, cloud computing company,
- 7:52Speaker 2: and streaming surface Amazon Prime.
- 7:55Speaker 1: Amazon Prime Australia has around five million subscribers and he's
- 7:58Speaker 1: one of the most used streaming platform in the country,
- 8:00Speaker 1: second to just Netflix.
- 8:02Speaker 2: But now Amazon's being sued by the A Triple C
- 8:04Speaker 2: for allegedly charging one million of those annual Prime subscribers
- 8:08Speaker 2: a sneaky fee just to remove ads.
- 8:11Speaker 1: The A triable Ce reckons Amazon used unfair contract terms
- 8:14Speaker 1: to sneak in extra charges for existing customers mid contract
- 8:18Speaker 1: go on. Okay, Between November twenty twenty three and August
- 8:20Speaker 1: twenty twenty five, Amazon introduced ads to Prime Video and
- 8:23Speaker 1: then charge two ninety nine a month to customers wanting
- 8:26Speaker 1: to remove them.
- 8:26Speaker 2: So suddenly you're sitting through two minutes of ads at
- 8:29Speaker 2: peak of off campus drama.
- 8:31Speaker 1: Yeah. So now the ariple Ce is taking Amazon to
- 8:33Speaker 1: court after getting a bunch of complaints from customers who
- 8:35Speaker 1: said they had absolutely no choice but debate more after
- 8:38Speaker 1: already paying almost eighty bucks up front for their prime subscription.
- 8:41Speaker 2: But just because it was in the contract doesn't mean
- 8:43Speaker 2: it'll hold.
- 8:44Speaker 1: Up in court. So what's the key learning here?
- 8:46Speaker 2: Businesses can write a contract, but they don't write the rules.
- 8:49Speaker 1: Yeah, there are rules stop companies from ripping off their
- 8:51Speaker 1: customers in the contracts.
- 8:53Speaker 2: Break those rules and the a triple C will be
- 8:55Speaker 2: on your case for unfair contract terms.
- 8:57Speaker 1: For example, if you've signed up to a gym membership
- 8:59Speaker 1: with fit as classes but the classes get taken away
- 9:01Speaker 1: but you've already paid a full year, that could be
- 9:04Speaker 1: considered an unfair contractep.
- 9:05Speaker 2: And rules around unfair contract terms in Australia were actually
- 9:09Speaker 2: tightened in twenty twenty three to help protect consumers from
- 9:12Speaker 2: this power and balance.
- 9:13Speaker 1: Which means contracts now face more scrutiny than ever from
- 9:16Speaker 1: the ATRIA will see.
- 9:16Speaker 2: For example, PayPal Australia got dragged to court in twenty
- 9:20Speaker 2: twenty four over a clause they buried in small business contracts.
- 9:23Speaker 1: So Amazon could face a similar ruling because the fine
- 9:26Speaker 1: print isn't always enough to cover a business in court.
- 9:29Speaker 2: For our third and final story, the owner of Ticketik
- 9:32Speaker 2: has started a major restructure and job cut after it
- 9:36Speaker 2: scrambles to win back the events it's been losing left,
- 9:38Speaker 2: right and center.
- 9:39Speaker 1: TG's new bosses barely a month into the job. He's
- 9:41Speaker 1: already swinging the acts, so tell me more. So.
- 9:44Speaker 2: TEG owns Tickeertic Australia's biggest ticketing platform.
- 9:47Speaker 1: And there's that. You may remember that private equity giant
- 9:49Speaker 1: Silverlake bought TG back in twenty twenty for one point
- 9:52Speaker 1: eight billion dollars.
- 9:54Speaker 2: But the last six months have not been pretty for ticketick.
- 9:57Speaker 1: No, No No. In October last year, TICTEK lost the
- 9:59Speaker 1: venues U South Wales deal, which was worth one hundred
- 10:01Speaker 1: million dollars over seven years.
- 10:03Speaker 2: That covered the ISCG Aliam Stadium, a core stadium, all
- 10:07Speaker 2: gone to rival ticket Master.
- 10:08Speaker 1: Then in April they lost Melbourne Park two that's Rod
- 10:11Speaker 1: Labor Arena, Amy Park the lot to a us ferm Axs.
- 10:14Speaker 2: And to make matters worse, TEG lost one hundred and
- 10:17Speaker 2: sixty million last financial year.
- 10:19Speaker 1: So now with a new CEO, TG's announced a major restructure,
- 10:22Speaker 1: cutting over five percent of their staff.
- 10:24Speaker 2: And it's got people whispering that silver Lake might be
- 10:27Speaker 2: looking for an exit or a rescue.
- 10:29Speaker 1: Because losing these big contracts are really weighing down the business.
- 10:32Speaker 2: So what's the key learning here.
- 10:34Speaker 1: Losing a contract doesn't just cost you the revenue from
- 10:36Speaker 1: that contract, it costs you years of momentum you'll never
- 10:39Speaker 1: get back.
- 10:40Speaker 2: Ticketing deals aren't like subscription you can win back the
- 10:42Speaker 2: next quarter.
- 10:43Speaker 1: Now they're locked in for years.
- 10:45Speaker 2: For example, judds the venues New South Wales deal alone
- 10:48Speaker 2: runs for seven years.
- 10:49Speaker 1: So that is seven years of bookings, of fees, of
- 10:52Speaker 1: data the ticket TEK just handed to its competitor.
- 10:54Speaker 2: It's why TG's owners are under so much pressure.
- 10:57Speaker 1: Yeah, private equity like silver Lake typically by companies so
- 11:00Speaker 1: it can fix them up and sell them in five
- 11:02Speaker 1: to seven years. Maths.
- 11:03Speaker 2: That's exactly what they tried to do in twenty twenty three,
- 11:06Speaker 2: shopping teg around for two point five billion.
- 11:09Speaker 1: With no style going through that time, and now two
- 11:11Speaker 1: major contracts gone, TG's value has likely dropped, not risen
- 11:16Speaker 1: flox Am. From next week, we're shaking things up a
- 11:18Speaker 1: little for the next two months. Brett, Larissa and I
- 11:20Speaker 1: will be dropping two episodes a week Wednesdays and Fridays,
- 11:23Speaker 1: and instead of our usual news rundowns, we're going deep
- 11:25Speaker 1: think full industry deep dies and sit down in interviews
- 11:28Speaker 1: with some seriously impressive Australian business leaders, and do worry,
- 11:31Speaker 1: We'll still be kicking off each episode with your business
- 11:33Speaker 1: use Fix so you won't miss a beat. It's basically
- 11:36Speaker 1: the good stuff, with even more of it. We cannot
- 11:38Speaker 1: wait to share it with you, so stay tuned
- 11:40Speaker 2: Thanks for listening, and we'll see you on Friday