Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Did $1M BITCOIN Just Become INEVITABLE? | Simply Originals
Transcript
- 0:00Are you tired of winning? Because I've got some bad news
- 0:04for you. Bitcoin just broke 86,000, which
- 0:07obviously means it's going to zero.
- 0:10Yeah, pack it up, sell everything.
- 0:12Jeep house chart says so. Worst bull market ever.
- 0:16I mean look at this thing sideways, choppy, boring.
- 0:20I was promised an Omega candle and all I got was a stinky finky
- 0:26and then you got people saying stop worrying about the bear
- 0:29market, go outside, relax, touch some grass.
- 0:33So you go outside and it looks like this.
- 0:48Oh jeez. That's not peace.
- 0:50That's a horror movie. But listen, I keep hearing about
- 0:54these bears. Watch out for the bears.
- 0:57The bears are coming. The bears are back.
- 1:00Yeah, I see them. They're big.
- 1:02They've got teeth. But let's be honest, they're
- 1:04kind of soft. One God candle and they scatter
- 1:07like the roaches that they are. So no, we're not retreating.
- 1:11It's time to stand our ground and fight the bears.
- 1:14And the bears, they better cherish this moment because big
- 1:18things are happening. Coinbase institutional volume
- 1:21has gone vertical, not up, not trending vertical.
- 1:26And every single time volume goes vertical, Bitcoin goes
- 1:30parabolic. This is the biggest
- 1:33institutional volume spike we've ever seen.
- 1:35Glass. No, just casually dropped this
- 1:38Bitcoin whales. But $23 billion worth of Bitcoin
- 1:43in just the last 30 days. And just so you know, that is
- 1:47the largest whale accumulation in 13 years.
- 1:51That's right, Christmas is coming.
- 1:54You're not ready for today's show.
- 1:56And spoiler alert, $1,000,000 Bitcoin is still on the table.
- 2:05All right, let's reset the board.
- 2:07Over the past year, Bitcoin has not been in a bull market, and
- 2:11it hasn't been in a bear market either.
- 2:13What we've been in is something far more important, an
- 2:16accumulation and distribution phase.
- 2:19That's where markets go quiet, sideways, boring prices move in
- 2:22a range, all while ownership quietly changes hands.
- 2:27And here's what actually happened.
- 2:29New larger holders were accumulating.
- 2:31Long term holders were selling into strength.
- 2:34Thousands of coins rotated, billions of dollars changed
- 2:37hands. And historically, every single
- 2:40time Bitcoin completes one of these phases, the next move is
- 2:44violent and up. Now before we go any further, we
- 2:47need to talk about something important because all this isn't
- 2:50just about Bitcoins price. This is about principles,
- 2:53freedom, liberty. Just in, President Donald J
- 2:56Trump says he will consider a pardon for the CEO of Samurai
- 3:01Wallet. Mr. President, this week a man
- 3:04named Keoni Rodriguez is going to federal prison for creating
- 3:07crypto privacy software. The case was started under the
- 3:10Biden administration, but your DOGDOJ kept it going and secured
- 3:15the conviction. A lot of people in crypto are
- 3:17saying that this man should be pardoned.
- 3:20Are you familiar with the case at all, or would you be
- 3:22interested? I've heard about it, I'll look
- 3:23at it. Why you think you should be
- 3:24pardoned? Sounds like it sounds like based
- 3:28on your question. Many people.
- 3:29On the Rodriguez, we'll look at that, Pam.
- 3:31OK, let's take a look at it. You know, you'll have to tell
- 3:34me. I don't know anything about it,
- 3:35but we'll take a look. That matters because samurai
- 3:39didn't steal, they didn't scam, and they didn't defraud.
- 3:43They built open source, non custodial Bitcoin software that
- 3:47lets everyday people protect their financial privacy.
- 3:50That's it. And you know what?
- 3:52If you actually care about America being strong, about
- 3:56innovation, about freedom, you pardon Samurai, full stop.
- 4:00And while we're talking about freedom, let's not memory hold
- 4:03this one. Trump talked about affordability
- 4:06to get elected. Now affordability is suddenly a
- 4:09scam and a hoax. Starting on day one, we will end
- 4:12inflation and make America affordable again.
- 4:16But the word affordability is a Democrat scam.
- 4:20One of my top priorities will be to quickly defeat inflation and
- 4:24make America affordable again. I don't want to hear about the
- 4:27affordability. We will make America affordable
- 4:31again. We're going to make it
- 4:32affordable again. You know, there's this fake
- 4:35narrative that the Democrats talk about affordability.
- 4:38Affordability is a con job. We will target everything from
- 4:41car affordability to housing affordability.
- 4:44You know, this whole thing is they use the word affordability.
- 4:48It's a Democrat hoax. Tell that to people who worked
- 4:5080 hours this week and still can't afford Christmas gifts for
- 4:54their family and loved ones. Tell that to families who can't
- 4:57afford groceries, can't afford rent, and have lost all hope in
- 5:02the future in the quote UN quote American dream.
- 5:05And then they have to read shit like this. 650 million more of
- 5:10your tax dollars approved not to help Americans, but to help
- 5:14corrupt foreign regimes. I am rooting for you, you orange
- 5:18man, but get your shit together because if this is the golden
- 5:22age, it's starting to look a lot like a technocratic dystopia.
- 5:26And that's why Bitcoin exists. Here's the beautiful part.
- 5:30Whether they fix it or not, Bitcoin wins.
- 5:32Their incompetence is bull fuel. Stemi's are coming dead is
- 5:38exploding. The Fiat monster that destroyed
- 5:41this country, it's reign of terror is coming to an end.
- 5:44It's giving me a lot of hope for the future.
- 5:46I mean, I, to be honest with you, being a gold guy and
- 5:49fighting the war, you know, you get rundown.
- 5:52I mean, I, you know, you get really, really rundown.
- 5:55And here we were fighting these gold wars and, you know, we got
- 5:58these reinforcements. I mean, these Bitcoin guys are
- 6:00charging up the hill with a sharper spear and we're going to
- 6:04kill this Fiat monster. And you know, the gold guys were
- 6:07trying to kill the Fiat monster too.
- 6:08But to be honest with you, we weren't doing that good a job.
- 6:12We're getting our asses kicked. And a sailor points out there's
- 6:16no point in being a martyr. I mean, you know, we want to
- 6:19win. You know, we want to win.
- 6:20We want to, you know, the system's broken.
- 6:22The wrong people are winning. You know, let's crush these
- 6:24assholes. And, yeah.
- 6:26And so Bitcoin has given me great hope and conviction that
- 6:30we will, you know, in a reasonable time frame in my
- 6:33lifetime. Whereas pre Bitcoin with gold,
- 6:37you know, I was always a little, you know, I was always a little
- 6:39dubious. I mean it primarily just
- 6:42because, you know, we were getting punched in the face for
- 6:44a long time. So.
- 6:45So yeah, Bitcoin has definitely changed me in a very good way.
- 6:48We're charging up the hill with sharper Spears.
- 6:51We're not surrendering. We carry the white flag of a
- 6:53peaceful revolution and we're not putting it down.
- 6:56Jack Mahler said it perfectly. Bitcoin is a technology way
- 7:00bigger than me. It's going to last longer than
- 7:02any of our lives. Quote.
- 7:04I'm trying to rebuild society on sound money that nobody can
- 7:07control or manipulate. That's the mission.
- 7:10That's the North Star and are now.
- 7:13Nursing some pretty. Serious losses, What would you
- 7:15say to them? I'd say the same thing for
- 7:17people that bought Bitcoin at 126,000 is that, you know, we
- 7:21are building for the long term, right?
- 7:23This is a business that I plan to be the CEO of forever.
- 7:27Bitcoin is a technology that's way bigger than just me or just
- 7:31this company. It's going to last way longer
- 7:33than any of our lives. And so this is a long term
- 7:37mission to fix the money and fix the world.
- 7:39And I don't really have any advice or tips for day traders
- 7:44or, you know, Robin Hood option punters.
- 7:48You know that those people are way smarter than I am at picking
- 7:52the right stocks and picking the right times.
- 7:54I build for the long term. I'm looking to rebuild society
- 7:58and recapitalize society on sound money that nobody can
- 8:01control and manipulate. And that's what I would say is
- 8:05that this is a long term business.
- 8:07I'm building for decades. We have no problem with the
- 8:09volatility and nothing about who we are, our mission and what
- 8:12we're building has changed. Now cue the fudge cycle.
- 8:15Quantum computing will break Bitcoin.
- 8:18Michael Saylor's response? Why don't you grow a pair of
- 8:21nuts? Quantum computing doesn't kill
- 8:24Bitcoin, it hardens it. Coins by great lost coins stay
- 8:27frozen. Security improves, supply
- 8:30effectively shrinks, and Bitcoin gets stronger.
- 8:33And Saylor isn't whispering anymore.
- 8:35He expects Bitcoin to appreciate 40% a year for the next 5 years,
- 8:40outperforming stocks, real estate and shiny rocks.
- 8:43You should buy the Bitcoin because it's about 30% a year
- 8:46for the next 20 years. And I think what you do. 30%.
- 8:51That's what I expect. Wow, right so So what is what is
- 8:54the number? What's your outlook for Bitcoin
- 8:57over the course of five years? Give me a number though I.
- 9:01I can't give you the math in my head what I would.
- 9:04You need to. You need to.
- 9:05You just mentioned the 30% number.
- 9:07I think it's definitely going up at a rapid rate more than I'm,
- 9:11I'm thinking right now it's 40. It'll probably appreciate about
- 9:1440% a year, 30% a year in that range over the next five years.
- 9:18Every year, 40% increase. Yes, yeah, it's going to.
- 9:23It's going to outperform the S&P because it doesn't have the risk
- 9:27factors of the S&P. It's going to outperform real
- 9:30estate because you can't teleport real estate, you can't
- 9:32program real estate on a mobile phone, and as you can outperform
- 9:36gold because you can't make any more Bitcoin.
- 9:38And so it has none of the liabilities of conventional
- 9:42capital asset classes. It has all the benefits of a
- 9:46digital monopoly like a Google or an Apple.
- 9:49And it also has all the benefits of a commodity because it's an
- 9:53asset without an issue or so. It doesn't have the risks of an
- 9:55equity. And that's why it's a very
- 9:57compelling asset to build a new credit market on.
- 10:01And that's why every company and every investor ought to be
- 10:04thinking about do they want to buy digital capital?
- 10:07Do they want to buy digital credit?
- 10:08Do they want to buy digital equity?
- 10:10It it's something you should be considering.
- 10:13And rumors are swirling major U.S. banks strategy, partnership
- 10:18talks. What the hell is going on?
- 10:20I don't know, but we all saw Sailor at JP Morgan and
- 10:24apparently today was at Morgan Stanley.
- 10:26Something is a cooking. So why don't we just ask the man
- 10:30himself? Is $1,000,000 Bitcoin still
- 10:33possible now? Let's do this fast.
- 10:36I please. First answer that comes to mind.
- 10:39All right, Bitcoin at $1 million.
- 10:43Inevitable or impossible? Inevitable.
- 10:46When? Probably within a decade.
- 10:49Within a decade, So in 10 years gold, in 20 years, relic or
- 10:53still relevant? I think it will be.
- 10:56It'll be relevant but marginalized.
- 10:58It will be. It won't grow as fast as Bitcoin
- 11:00will grow. Bitcoin will grow faster.
- 11:02Who's going to be the next safe haven?
- 11:05Bitcoin or gold? Because Bitcoin was was once
- 11:09seen as safe haven. I expect Bitcoin to emerge as
- 11:14the dominant digital monitoring network in the world and it is
- 11:18that the world's reserve capital.
- 11:20So I think it'll grow from the 2 trillion to 20 trillion to $200
- 11:24trillion over the next 20 to 30 years.
- 11:27I don't think gold will do that. I think that I think that
- 11:30Bitcoin will be 10X bigger than gold.
- 11:32Digit chance is not possible. Inevitable, probably within a
- 11:35decade, probably sooner, but a decades fine too.
- 11:38More time to accumulate. And just in case you were
- 11:41wondering how we get there, I smell something that's not hope.
- 11:45That's the money printer. Unemployment just hit its
- 11:48highest level in four years. the Fed made a mistake, they know it
- 11:52now they're boxed in. Inflation still above 3%.
- 11:55Jobs are weakening. That is stagflation, and it's
- 11:58the Fed's worst nightmare. Today's jobs data in this week's
- 12:01CPI. Decide 2026's policy and look at
- 12:05this chart. The Fed's emergency window just
- 12:08woke up repo usage spiking. Reverse repo drained.
- 12:11Bank reserves at four year lows. Limits removed.
- 12:14Treasury purchases restarted. They are not reacting.
- 12:18They're pre positioning. Unlimited backstop, no buffer
- 12:22clock started going to print so much money it'll make your eyes
- 12:26bleed. And right on cue, Fidelity drops
- 12:29their 10 year Bitcoin Supercycle report, a decade long move.
- 12:34Institutional capital macro tailwind supply shop.
- 12:37Now we get a massive statement from the SEC to show you.
- 12:41Prepare yourselves because it's possible the world's most
- 12:45advanced financial system is about to become the backbone of
- 12:48the whole thing. We're about to bring it home.
- 12:51But before we do, look at our likes every four times.
- 12:54Maybe I'll pump those numbers up.
- 12:55Those are rookie numbers in this racket.
- 12:57Let's take a quick second for our sponsors who keep this show
- 12:59on the air over at the Bitcoin way.
- 13:01If your wealth lives in their system, it's not yours, it's
- 13:04theirs. That's why we scream Bitcoin.
- 13:06That's why you self custody and that's why you call our friends
- 13:10over at the Bitcoin way. They'll walk you through multi
- 13:12sig self custody, privacy, how to run a node and the tools that
- 13:15keep you sovereign when the Fiat system pulls the plug.
- 13:18Don't wait till it's too late. Book a free 30 minute console
- 13:21today using that link in the show notes.
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- 13:43get 25 basis points off your first.
- 13:45Loan especially important public block chains are more
- 13:49transparent than any legacy financial system ever built.
- 13:54Every movement of value was recorded on a Ledger that anyone
- 13:58can inspect. Chain analytics firms are
- 14:02already exceptional at assisting law enforcement with linking on
- 14:07chain activity to off chain identities.
- 14:11In other words, pushed in the wrong direction, crypto could
- 14:14become the most powerful financial surveillance
- 14:18architecture ever invented. Indeed, if the instinct of the
- 14:23government is to treat every wallet like a broker, every
- 14:28piece of software as an exchange, every transaction as a
- 14:32reportable event, and every protocol as a convenient
- 14:36surveillance node, then the government will transform this
- 14:40ecosystem into a financial Panicopticon.
- 14:45At the same time, this technology allows for privacy
- 14:51preserving tools that the analogue world could not
- 14:54provide, such as zero knowledge proofs, selective disclosure,
- 15:00and wallet designs that allow allow users to prove compliance
- 15:05without handing over their entire financial history or
- 15:09personal details to intermediaries or to the
- 15:12government. One can imagine systems where a
- 15:16regulated platform can demonstrate that its users have
- 15:20been screened without the ability to retain a permanent
- 15:25person by person map of every payment, trade or donation.
- 15:31These tools will also help our markets to continue to function
- 15:36smoothly as they move on chain. Complete financial transparency
- 15:40inherent to public block chains can disincentivize important
- 15:45financial markets activity. For example, many institutions
- 15:50depend on the ability to build positions, test strategies, and
- 15:55provide liquidity without instantly telegraphing that
- 15:59activity to competitors and to predatory traders.
- 16:05If every order, hedge and portfolio adjustment was
- 16:09suddenly visible in real time, we could invite front running
- 16:13copycat behavior and pile on dynamics that make it harder,
- 16:19not easier, for firms to manage risk.
- 16:23Market making and underwriting become far less attractive if
- 16:27every inventory balance or client flow is immediately
- 16:31exposed to the marketplace. This technology makes it
- 16:36possible to balance the government's interest in
- 16:39deterring threats to our national security and the
- 16:42American public's interest in privacy.
- 16:46But to best strike this balance, we must make certain that
- 16:50Americans can use these tools without immediately falling
- 16:55under suspicion. Shielding the lawful activity of
- 16:59our citizens from bulk surveillance while still
- 17:02ensuring that our government can perform these essential
- 17:06functions is the best way to protect both national security
- 17:11and our basic civil liberties while also giving room for
- 17:15innovation to flourish. So the stakes are here are high,
- 17:20and the questions before us carry profound and enduring
- 17:25implications. As we begin this round table, I
- 17:29am eager to hear more from our panelists about how we as a
- 17:32Commission can protect America's Americans privacy, as well as
- 17:37how cryptos privacy tools can lessen rather than increase the
- 17:42need for mass financial surveillance.
- 17:47Together, I am confident that we can shape a framework that
- 17:51ensures that neither technological nor financial
- 17:54advancements will come at the expense of personal freedoms.
- 18:00Unfortunately, other obligations are going to prevent me from
- 18:03attending the entire conference. But I'm thrilled to have been
- 18:07here to see you all today. And anyway, I thank you for your
- 18:12time and attendance, and I look forward to a robust discussion
- 18:15ahead and to reading what you all have to say.
- 18:19Thank you very much. So let me ask you again, is
- 18:22$1,000,000 Bitcoin still possible with whale
- 18:25accumulation, institutional volume exploding, the Fed
- 18:29corner, QE loading banks bending the knee, a decade long super
- 18:34cycle is forming. This is an opium, this is math,
- 18:37this is history, it's inevitability.
- 18:41Hey Giga, Chad said it. Let us know what you think
- 18:43below. And don't forget to like,
- 18:45subscribe and give us a patch, share it, set those
- 18:47notifications because we're just getting started.
- 18:50Love you guys, catch you tomorrow.