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NHL + NBA + NCAAF + NFL Best Bets Thursday 10/30/25 · Toadstool Sports

0:01
Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
0:07
Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
0:09
Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
0:13
Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
0:16
Speaker 1: even know what to tell you above that. I just
0:18
Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
0:21
Speaker 1: anything like this, Man, the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
0:26
Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Oh in four that
0:30
Speaker 1: have not had a good season. Man with wookends the
0:34
Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've reached
0:38
Speaker 1: into pink. Actually, I'm gonna burn my Broins hat. Man,
0:43
Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins.
0:45
Speaker 1: March Hape, is that what it is? I don't even
0:48
Speaker 1: know it's it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
0:52
Speaker 1: I don't know what day it is anymore. I don't
0:54
Speaker 1: even know what day it is anymore. Man, back with
0:56
Speaker 1: you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
1:00
Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die,
1:03
Speaker 1: at least ohe and two yesterday and yesterday it did
1:07
Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five the worst month
1:11
Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
1:14
Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
1:16
Speaker 1: To the slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody
1:21
Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
1:25
Speaker 1: should do at this point, other than potentially end it all.
1:34
Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you better off dead? Thursday,
1:40
Speaker 1: October thirtieth, the day before Friday Halloween. Man, I feel
1:45
Speaker 1: like my game is still too high. Hang on, hold on,
1:50
Speaker 1: Actually I don't know. Hold on. I got to check
1:52
Speaker 1: my audio. Great content here obviously right off the bat,
1:55
Speaker 1: but dude, I listened back to like just parts of
2:00
Speaker 1: these episodes just to see what my audio sounds like.
2:02
Speaker 1: And I'm like, man, like, I know people talk about
2:05
Speaker 1: my mike not being high enough, but I'm like listening
2:08
Speaker 1: to it, and it sounds like the game is too
2:10
Speaker 1: high to me. So I don't know, I don't know.
2:15
Speaker 1: I guess this is okay, but whatever, All right, let
2:21
Speaker 1: me just make sure my audio settings are actually correct,
2:23
Speaker 1: because there's something I don't know. I guess. I guess
2:26
Speaker 1: I'm all right, there's just something strange about it. Man,
2:28
Speaker 1: I don't know. You guys can let me know, Jeffrey
2:31
Speaker 1: only you probably, Yeah, let me know what you think
2:35
Speaker 1: about the mic audio here. Yeah. But we're gonna have
2:41
Speaker 1: college football, NFL, hockey, and NBA tonight. I'm gonna have
2:46
Speaker 1: three plays here, two in hockey, which I'm not sure
2:50
Speaker 1: if I love them, to be honest, I just feel
2:53
Speaker 1: like I have to like do something with this hockey board.
2:56
Speaker 1: And then college football. I'm gonna have a play on
2:59
Speaker 1: one of those two games as well, and I'm gonna
3:01
Speaker 1: skip the small NBA, and I don't think I want
3:04
Speaker 1: to give out a play in the NFL game. We're
3:07
Speaker 1: three and one on the show yesterday the Bulls, which
3:10
Speaker 1: I did say the Bulls were the best of those
3:12
Speaker 1: plays that I gave out yesterday. That was an easy win.
3:15
Speaker 1: The Bulls win and cover no issue there. Pacers were
3:20
Speaker 1: able to get there as well. They actually came close
3:23
Speaker 1: to being able to maybe even pull off an outright win.
3:26
Speaker 1: They were down ten late in the game. Like I
3:28
Speaker 1: didn't see how the game flowed really, although I saw
3:31
Speaker 1: Indy was winning. I think at the end of the
3:34
Speaker 1: first quarter they were in that game at halftime for sure,
3:37
Speaker 1: and then they had a bad third quarter and then
3:39
Speaker 1: it looked like they weren't even gonna cover and they
3:40
Speaker 1: were down ten I think in the fourth quarter maybe,
3:43
Speaker 1: but I mean that's still only a three pointer away
3:47
Speaker 1: from being right back in that within that number the seven.
3:50
Speaker 1: So or if you guys got six and a half,
3:52
Speaker 1: they covered that too. I mentioned I would still probably
3:54
Speaker 1: do it at six and a half. They wound up
3:56
Speaker 1: only losing by two, so they got back into that game.
3:58
Speaker 1: They covered, no money line hit on that one, but
4:01
Speaker 1: still a winner. And then the Utah Jazz that looked
4:04
Speaker 1: like it was dead. I mean, they were getting smoked
4:07
Speaker 1: late in that game after they were actually really good
4:09
Speaker 1: in the first quarter of that game as well. They were, yeah,
4:13
Speaker 1: and then they had I think two really really bad
4:15
Speaker 1: quarters after that. That one I wrote off as a loss.
4:18
Speaker 1: I'm like, well, the market beat me on that one.
4:20
Speaker 1: And then nope, bet the Jazz were able to do it.
4:23
Speaker 1: They were able to get in the back door on
4:25
Speaker 1: that one and lose by two. I was like, all right, hell, yeah,
4:29
Speaker 1: I don't even know what happened at the end of
4:30
Speaker 1: that game exactly, because I thought they were down three
4:34
Speaker 1: and they got the ball back. They were down three
4:37
Speaker 1: with like five seconds left and they got possession again
4:39
Speaker 1: after a they were actually within one point I think
4:42
Speaker 1: prior to that, with like several seconds to go, they
4:45
Speaker 1: were within one point. They intentionally fouled. They went back
4:48
Speaker 1: down three, so they had the ball back again. So
4:51
Speaker 1: they must have gotten fouled and hit one free throw
4:54
Speaker 1: or something to make a two instead of three. But
4:56
Speaker 1: either way, they hit on the three and a half,
4:58
Speaker 1: didn't hit on the money line. But I wasn't even
5:01
Speaker 1: expecting them to cover, so Utah gives us the back door. Though.
5:05
Speaker 1: I was looking at the statistics in that game, and
5:07
Speaker 1: it looked like there was no way they should have
5:09
Speaker 1: been losing by that much. Like it was just I think,
5:12
Speaker 1: just some real, real outlier percentages in that game. I'll
5:15
Speaker 1: have to go back and look again just to analyze
5:19
Speaker 1: it for myself. But yeah, and then of course I
5:22
Speaker 1: was wrong on Major League Baseball. Jeffrey, you were correct.
5:25
Speaker 1: The Blue Jays are gonna win. Dude. You covered two
5:30
Speaker 1: games by two total points. Yeah, well that's what happened
5:33
Speaker 1: in well, the the Utah one was one of them.
5:37
Speaker 1: The Indiana covered by five though, or whatever, four I
5:41
Speaker 1: guess if you had the six six and a half
5:44
Speaker 1: whatever it was, it was kind of close. I'll take
5:47
Speaker 1: a three and zero NBA day, though, which I'm now
5:49
Speaker 1: eleven and five in the NBA or eleven four and one,
5:52
Speaker 1: depending on how you want to track this hot start
5:55
Speaker 1: in the NBA. We'll keep it going, hopefully I can.
5:58
Speaker 1: Hockey has been good as well. And then yeah, I
6:01
Speaker 1: was wrong about the baseball game for sure. You Savage
6:06
Speaker 1: was really really fucking good. Twelve strikeouts, he went seven innings.
6:10
Speaker 1: I think he only allowed what one run and three
6:12
Speaker 1: hits or something like that. He was Savage. I got
6:15
Speaker 1: that one completely wrong, dude. The professional like I listened
6:19
Speaker 1: to professional betters, the guys that I listened to, like
6:22
Speaker 1: all of them have been on the Dodgers to win
6:25
Speaker 1: the series. They've been on the Dodgers the last like
6:27
Speaker 1: three games in a row, especially the last two. The money,
6:30
Speaker 1: as I showed you, I showed you the market read
6:32
Speaker 1: on that the money was on the Dodgers. You can
6:34
Speaker 1: watch my Instagram video that I put up for the
6:36
Speaker 1: analysis on that video too, and I had even more
6:39
Speaker 1: numbers that were in favor of the Dodgers in that
6:42
Speaker 1: game with Toronto actually stinks on the road against left
6:45
Speaker 1: handed starters, and Snell hadn't given up a run in
6:49
Speaker 1: his last five home starts coming off of a game
6:53
Speaker 1: in which he allowed three or more runs, so he
6:55
Speaker 1: had bounced back in a huge way the last five
6:58
Speaker 1: times that that was the case. I expected it again.
7:01
Speaker 1: I expected experience to matter in that game. It's insane, dude.
7:05
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not sad that the Dodgers are gonna lose,
7:07
Speaker 1: because I don't fucking like the Dodgers, so whatever, but
7:10
Speaker 1: I I just don't like to be wrong. It pisses
7:13
Speaker 1: me off when I'm wrong because I try to I
7:17
Speaker 1: try to do this. Man. Sob has the J's to win,
7:20
Speaker 1: it's seventeen to one, I would probably still hedge a
7:24
Speaker 1: little bit on that, to be honest. Like, I'm pretty
7:28
Speaker 1: sure that the Blue Jays are gonna win at this point,
7:30
Speaker 1: but I don't know, man. I mean, definitely gonna be
7:32
Speaker 1: some hedging opportunity there and just hedge some of it
7:35
Speaker 1: back playing the Dodgers, depending on what the matchups look like.
7:38
Speaker 1: I don't know what the matchups are gonna look like
7:40
Speaker 1: in these last two games, but like, I mean, if
7:42
Speaker 1: Shures are just pitching one of these games, I don't
7:44
Speaker 1: think that looks very good for for the Toronto to
7:49
Speaker 1: be honest, mister Pinsey, what's up man? Thanks thanks for
7:52
Speaker 1: hanging out. Oh hell yeah, hell yeah, man, I love
7:55
Speaker 1: to hear it. Yeah, thanks for commenting. I'm trying, man,
7:58
Speaker 1: This is a yeah. I mean, I've been doing this
8:00
Speaker 1: for eighteen years. It's gonna be nineteen years at some point.
8:04
Speaker 1: I like to think that I'm good at it because
8:06
Speaker 1: I've been doing it up until recently, until I had to,
8:09
Speaker 1: you know, stop risking as much money I was. I
8:12
Speaker 1: was putting hundreds of dollars on all these plays every
8:16
Speaker 1: day too, So I'm gonna continue to give out the
8:18
Speaker 1: same plays that I would be playing if I was
8:21
Speaker 1: so uh yeah, I appreciate it, man. I had a
8:24
Speaker 1: really really bad year up until these last couple of months,
8:27
Speaker 1: though I'm up on the year now though. For sure.
8:31
Speaker 1: FanDuel you got a FanDuel account. Yeah. You want to
8:33
Speaker 1: have as many have as many outs as possible. Man.
8:36
Speaker 1: You want to have an account on every book that's
8:38
Speaker 1: available to you so you can find better numbers. Some
8:41
Speaker 1: books might like limit you if you're winning, so that's
8:44
Speaker 1: what you gotta do. But hell yeah, man, last year
8:47
Speaker 1: was a bad one. The last year was a losing year.
8:49
Speaker 1: When I first started the show. The year before that,
8:51
Speaker 1: I was in the middle of an amazing year. Twenty
8:54
Speaker 1: twenty two was even better than twenty twenty three. I
8:57
Speaker 1: think twenty twenty two was insane. Actually, I forget. One
9:00
Speaker 1: of those years was like really really good and then
9:02
Speaker 1: the other one was good as well. Last year was
9:04
Speaker 1: my first losing year since twenty fifteen. So there is that.
9:10
Speaker 1: Oh no, you're in New Hampshire. You have the DraftKings
9:13
Speaker 1: monopoly there. They gotta do something about that too. Come on,
9:16
Speaker 1: with all the liberty Republicans that are in Congress or whatever,
9:20
Speaker 1: how about they start moving to break DraftKings monopoly there
9:24
Speaker 1: and get some more books there. I mean, come on, man,
9:26
Speaker 1: it's the libertarian state, DraftKings, the free state. How could
9:30
Speaker 1: they only have one online sports book? Whereas, dude, you
9:34
Speaker 1: have other states that are like fairly conservative states that
9:37
Speaker 1: have like eight sports books, like Tennessee I'm pretty sure
9:41
Speaker 1: is one of them. And I want to say, Ohio,
9:44
Speaker 1: like a couple of those states like that have that.
9:46
Speaker 1: So no excuse for New Hampshire. All right, let's get
9:50
Speaker 1: into today. Like I said, I'm gonna give out two
9:54
Speaker 1: hockey plays here, and then I'm gonna give a I
9:57
Speaker 1: like one of the college football games. I looked at
10:00
Speaker 1: it this morning and I was like, yeah, all right,
10:02
Speaker 1: I'm gonna do it. All right, I gotta get my
10:06
Speaker 1: windows in order here, I had too many windows open.
10:09
Speaker 1: We'll start with hockey. I mean, hockey is the biggest
10:13
Speaker 1: part of the board today, so you'd figure I would
10:15
Speaker 1: have something on hockey. Although I'm I don't know how
10:19
Speaker 1: strong I feel about the two plays, and I'm gonna
10:21
Speaker 1: gonna give out here, man, I mean, I think they're
10:24
Speaker 1: they're geeseing enough. I guess that I'm gonna give out
10:26
Speaker 1: some plays shouldn't force anything, but I don't know. I
10:30
Speaker 1: don't know if I feel like I'm forcing it. Buffalo
10:33
Speaker 1: is playing my Boston Bruins here, the Bruins coming off
10:36
Speaker 1: a nice five to two win over the Island. There's
10:38
Speaker 1: the Bruins five and seven. Now, hey, they're I told
10:42
Speaker 1: you they weren't gonna be the last the last place
10:44
Speaker 1: team in the division, and I don't. I don't think
10:46
Speaker 1: they will be at this point. They're finally starting to
10:48
Speaker 1: get it together and that looks even better. I guess
10:50
Speaker 1: because that wind was with Corpas Salo in Net. They're
10:54
Speaker 1: just staying at home here, so they will have swaming
10:56
Speaker 1: back in Net for this one, I'm imagining. But they
10:58
Speaker 1: do have Carolina next, so it could be a little
11:00
Speaker 1: bit of a look ahead possible. They don't take Buffalo seriously,
11:04
Speaker 1: especially because the Bruins already did beat Buffalo back on
11:07
Speaker 1: October eleventh, so I don't really love the setup here
11:11
Speaker 1: for the Bruins. Buffalo has been decently competitive so far.
11:15
Speaker 1: I mean you could definitely pick some spots with Buffalo.
11:18
Speaker 1: They're coming off two overtime losses though, but now they're
11:21
Speaker 1: going out on the road, and though it's only a
11:23
Speaker 1: single game road trip to Boston, they do have Washington
11:25
Speaker 1: up next. I don't think they're going to overlook the Bruins, though,
11:29
Speaker 1: because they're returning to where they lost the last time.
11:31
Speaker 1: Like I said, not too long ago, so I think
11:33
Speaker 1: they will remember that. I think part of the reason
11:37
Speaker 1: why they lost to Columbus was because they were coming
11:39
Speaker 1: off a tough overtime game against Toronto. They played Toronto
11:42
Speaker 1: in a home and home series, and it's pretty much
11:45
Speaker 1: always big when you play Toronto. Buffalo and Toronto kind
11:48
Speaker 1: of have like a thing too, because they're geographically close,
11:52
Speaker 1: so I can kind of see why they slipped up
11:54
Speaker 1: and they didn't beat Columbus, So I would slightly lean
11:58
Speaker 1: to Buffalo in this one. In the mark is agreeing
12:00
Speaker 1: with that one. Sixty percent of the tickets are on
12:03
Speaker 1: the Bruins, seventy nine percent of the cash on Buffalo
12:06
Speaker 1: at least right now. But again, it's gonna it's a
12:09
Speaker 1: little bit tricky to try to read these markets early
12:11
Speaker 1: in the day though, where the plays that I'm gonna
12:15
Speaker 1: give out look like they're both like bad with the
12:18
Speaker 1: markets they look like they're both public right now. But
12:20
Speaker 1: I'm like, I'm gonna do it anyway. I don't know
12:23
Speaker 1: what can I say. I'm a glutton for punishment, I guess.
12:26
Speaker 1: But the market read does seem to line up with
12:28
Speaker 1: Buffalo in this one, and I don't disagree with that.
12:32
Speaker 1: All right, Dallas, Tampa and Nashville Philly, those are gonna
12:35
Speaker 1: be both in my place, so I'm gonna hold off
12:37
Speaker 1: on that for a minute. Islanders in Carolina, I'll talk
12:42
Speaker 1: about this because this is actually a pretty decent game here.
12:44
Speaker 1: Carolina I think is actually in a pretty good spot though,
12:47
Speaker 1: and they are the better team. Carolina just returned from
12:49
Speaker 1: a long road trip and they couldn't get their revenge
12:52
Speaker 1: on Vegas, who they lost to during that long road trip.
12:56
Speaker 1: Returning home. A lot of times it's a bad spot, man.
12:59
Speaker 1: I talk about this a lot, like you can have
13:01
Speaker 1: distractions coming into play when you come back home, even
13:04
Speaker 1: though you think they would get up for a game
13:05
Speaker 1: against Vegas because Vegas is good and they had just
13:08
Speaker 1: lost to Vegas. But sometimes you still fall into that
13:11
Speaker 1: distraction spot. You don't have a good game, you got
13:13
Speaker 1: stuff to do back at home. When that happens that
13:17
Speaker 1: second game back home, you got all your stuff like
13:20
Speaker 1: taken care of, and a lot of times you're gonna
13:22
Speaker 1: show up with a better effort that next game. So
13:25
Speaker 1: I think it's a positive spot for Carolina in this one.
13:29
Speaker 1: Typically the Islanders, I think they're gonna want to show
13:33
Speaker 1: up as well. I mean, they did just have that
13:34
Speaker 1: ugly loss to the Bruins. Like I said, they've lost
13:36
Speaker 1: two in a row to Filling in Boston, so they're
13:39
Speaker 1: gonna try to salvage something on this road trip and
13:42
Speaker 1: they have back to back tough opponents Carolina and Washington here,
13:46
Speaker 1: so I expect them to show up as well, both
13:48
Speaker 1: teams showing up. I kind of would tend to lean
13:50
Speaker 1: towards the better team though, which is Carolina obviously, but
13:54
Speaker 1: they're down a little bit on the money line for
13:55
Speaker 1: minus two eighteen to minus two fifteen eighty five percent
13:59
Speaker 1: of the tickets and only eight the cash on them,
14:01
Speaker 1: so the money doesn't really totally seem to be in
14:04
Speaker 1: alignment with that. But I would probably have a slight
14:08
Speaker 1: opinion on Carolina in that one. So again, I'm like,
14:13
Speaker 1: I feel like I'm disagreeing with the market a lot
14:14
Speaker 1: this morning. I don't love that, but that is what
14:17
Speaker 1: it is. Vancouver and Saint Louis a nice battle here
14:20
Speaker 1: of mediocre teams. I guess Saint Louis has lost three
14:23
Speaker 1: in a row. They couldn't get their revenge on Detroit.
14:25
Speaker 1: Or excuse me, they lost five in a row. What
14:27
Speaker 1: am I saying they couldn't get their revenge on Detroit
14:30
Speaker 1: last time out. They're playing a third game in four days,
14:33
Speaker 1: but they are back home. They're probably gonna want to
14:36
Speaker 1: try to win and split this home stand if they can,
14:38
Speaker 1: So I don't really think that Saint Louis isn't going
14:40
Speaker 1: to show up for this one. I'm assuming Bennington is
14:45
Speaker 1: going to be back in net for them as well.
14:46
Speaker 1: He played their last game as well, Vancouver coming off
14:51
Speaker 1: a home loss to the Rangers, So I actually think
14:53
Speaker 1: this is a positive spot as well. That was the
14:55
Speaker 1: game I gave out the Rangers in that one because
14:57
Speaker 1: I thought it was a letdown spot for Vancouver coming
15:00
Speaker 1: up beating Edmonton that was a big win for them.
15:02
Speaker 1: They had a bad game, they got shut out at
15:04
Speaker 1: home against other Rangers, so I think a good thing
15:07
Speaker 1: for them is to just get out of there and
15:08
Speaker 1: go on the road. So I think it's a positive
15:10
Speaker 1: spot for Vancouver here as well, maybe even a better
15:14
Speaker 1: spot for them than it is for Saint Louis, because
15:16
Speaker 1: I think you're gonna see kind of an embarrassed Vancouver
15:19
Speaker 1: team here. Saint Louis has sixty seven percent of tickets
15:21
Speaker 1: eighty six percent of the cash on them. They're up
15:24
Speaker 1: from minus one forty one forty five on the money line.
15:27
Speaker 1: Of though, I think I would actually slightly lead to
15:29
Speaker 1: Vancouver as the underdog in this one, but it's not
15:32
Speaker 1: strong by any means, And you could also argue that well,
15:36
Speaker 1: Saint Louis has this bad record, so why are they favored?
15:39
Speaker 1: So it almost looks easy to take Vancouver as an underdog,
15:42
Speaker 1: So I don't like that aspect of it. Saint Louis
15:44
Speaker 1: has been pretty bad at home though, They're one four
15:47
Speaker 1: and one at home so far, so they have not
15:49
Speaker 1: been very good there. Pittsburgh at Minnesota, Pittsburgh, I do
15:54
Speaker 1: think they're not as good as their record looks as
15:57
Speaker 1: I keep saying. That was part of what I said
15:58
Speaker 1: about that game against Philadelphia. They did lose in a
16:02
Speaker 1: shootout to Philadelphia. They might consider that to be a
16:05
Speaker 1: big game because it is an in state rivalry between
16:08
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh and Philadelphia. Now they gotta go up to Minnesota,
16:11
Speaker 1: and they do have Winnipeg, Toronto, Washington, New Jersey all
16:14
Speaker 1: coming up after this, so those are all I think opponents.
16:17
Speaker 1: They would consider it to be bigger games than Minnesota is,
16:21
Speaker 1: so I could see Pittsburgh maybe being in a bit
16:23
Speaker 1: of a hangover spot here, to be honest. Minnesota. I
16:28
Speaker 1: worry about their spot though, because they're coming off a
16:30
Speaker 1: big overtime game as well against Winnipeg, where I thought
16:33
Speaker 1: they were gonna bounce back and get that win after
16:35
Speaker 1: they had an embarrassing overtime loss to San Jose. They
16:39
Speaker 1: couldn't quite get it done, although they are staying at home,
16:42
Speaker 1: so I think both teams are kind of in bad
16:44
Speaker 1: spots here in Minnesota, probably a little bit hungover off
16:48
Speaker 1: that overtime game against Winnipeg. The money is coming in
16:51
Speaker 1: on Minnesota in this one. It looks like even though
16:53
Speaker 1: they dropped from minus one seventy five to minus one
16:55
Speaker 1: sixty three on the money line, if you look at
16:57
Speaker 1: the percentages at least here, Pittsburgh is a public side,
17:02
Speaker 1: and the oddsmakers are telling you that Pittsburgh is not
17:05
Speaker 1: even the better team. So this is definitely something you
17:07
Speaker 1: want to keep in mind here when you see records
17:10
Speaker 1: that don't match what the oddsmakers are telling you. Sixty
17:13
Speaker 1: four percent of the tickets are on Pittsburgh and only
17:15
Speaker 1: fifty one percent of the cash, so the money looks
17:18
Speaker 1: like it is actually kind of reflecting on the Minnesota
17:21
Speaker 1: side now and again, when you see Minnesota as a
17:23
Speaker 1: heavy favorite like this, even though they're a below five
17:26
Speaker 1: hundred team three five and three up against a seven
17:28
Speaker 1: to two and two team, something's got to give, right, Like,
17:31
Speaker 1: how could you possibly get Pittsburgh as that big of
17:33
Speaker 1: an underdog. I think the public, if they're coming in
17:36
Speaker 1: playing hockey today, they're gonna probably be looking at a
17:38
Speaker 1: game like this and wanting to take the underdog. So
17:41
Speaker 1: I would disagree with the Pittsburgh side for that reason
17:44
Speaker 1: as well. Lean to Minnesota there, but it's difficult to
17:47
Speaker 1: play that at that big of a price. So maybe
17:50
Speaker 1: you could look Minnesota to win in regulation, maybe something
17:53
Speaker 1: like that, if you want to play that one. That
17:56
Speaker 1: one is uh, I don't know that one. I don't
17:59
Speaker 1: think it's that bad of a play. Rangers at Edmonton.
18:04
Speaker 1: I know I'm gonna skip Chicago. I'll just tell you
18:06
Speaker 1: I don't think Chicago is as good as the record
18:08
Speaker 1: looks right now. And then the odds do reflect that
18:11
Speaker 1: because Winnipeg is just a huge favorite against all of
18:14
Speaker 1: the money is actually coming in towards Chicago and that one.
18:17
Speaker 1: So do what you want to do with that information,
18:19
Speaker 1: I guess, but I still think Chicago's not as good
18:23
Speaker 1: as the record is right now. Maybe we'll be wrong
18:25
Speaker 1: and maybe they'll actually maybe they are actually having a resurgence,
18:29
Speaker 1: but I'm not sure about that yet. Edmonton, they're coming
18:32
Speaker 1: up beating Utah. I mean that's actually a pretty big
18:34
Speaker 1: win because Utah has been hot to start the season.
18:37
Speaker 1: Is Edmonton gonna be in line for a bit of
18:40
Speaker 1: a let down here against an East Eastern Conference team
18:43
Speaker 1: in the Rangers? Maybe? I mean the Rangers are trying
18:46
Speaker 1: to get to five hundred. I don't think the Rangers
18:47
Speaker 1: are as bad as the record looks. They're coming up
18:50
Speaker 1: that shut out of Vancouver. But Quick was in net
18:52
Speaker 1: in that one. Quick was actually good for us in
18:55
Speaker 1: that one. I mentioned that was part of the handicap.
18:57
Speaker 1: I didn't mind the Quick was in net in that one.
18:59
Speaker 1: It will he'll be just starking back in net. So
19:01
Speaker 1: the top goalie that the Rangers have will be back
19:04
Speaker 1: for this one after being rested for that previous game.
19:08
Speaker 1: I kind of actually like the way it sets up
19:10
Speaker 1: for the Rangers because they broke a three game loss streak,
19:12
Speaker 1: and sometimes when you do that, you'll carry that momentum
19:14
Speaker 1: in to the next game. They're not gonna overlook Edmonton
19:17
Speaker 1: because Edmonton's been so good recently. So I lean to
19:21
Speaker 1: the Rangers in this one. And the money's agreeing with that.
19:23
Speaker 1: Seventy percent of the cash on them sixty nine percent
19:25
Speaker 1: of the tickets on Edmonton. Edmonton tends to be the
19:28
Speaker 1: public side, especially against a below five hundred team. Edmonton
19:32
Speaker 1: down for minus one sixty five to one fifty six
19:35
Speaker 1: on the money line, So it looks like there's some
19:37
Speaker 1: reverse live movement on that one. New Jersey and San Jose.
19:43
Speaker 1: I kind of think San Jose, I mean, they're coming
19:47
Speaker 1: on a weird game. Let me just put it that way.
19:49
Speaker 1: They returned from a road trip, they got a couple
19:51
Speaker 1: of wins on that road trip where they had been
19:53
Speaker 1: winless on the season prior to that. They came back
19:56
Speaker 1: home and they lost a game to the Kings, which
19:59
Speaker 1: I think they were going to overlook the Kings. There's
20:01
Speaker 1: not as good as the Kings. The Kings got the
20:03
Speaker 1: job done, only four to three. But if you look
20:06
Speaker 1: at how this game played out, it was very weird.
20:09
Speaker 1: San Jose lost four to three, but they outshot LA
20:12
Speaker 1: forty to fourteen, and they had more hits and they
20:16
Speaker 1: slightly lost the face off battle. LA did have a
20:20
Speaker 1: lot of penalties in the game too, So it's like,
20:21
Speaker 1: how did San Jose lose this game? Like it was
20:24
Speaker 1: just terrible goaltending from Askarov you can ask around about
20:29
Speaker 1: that guy. People are not fans of that guy right now.
20:32
Speaker 1: He's young though, Like I don't know, man, I think
20:34
Speaker 1: he will approve. But just a weird game. Also, LA
20:37
Speaker 1: was winning this game three to nothing, so that's part
20:39
Speaker 1: of the reason why I think San Jose just started
20:41
Speaker 1: flinging up like shots and then they actually tied the game.
20:45
Speaker 1: Very very crazy game. So on the one hand, you
20:47
Speaker 1: could say, well, San Jose played better in that game
20:51
Speaker 1: than the loss makes it look. I would agree with that,
20:55
Speaker 1: but also they might be in a little bit of
20:59
Speaker 1: a hangover because I think that was a big game
21:01
Speaker 1: for them. Yes, it was also a return home spot,
21:03
Speaker 1: so sometimes when you don't play well in the return home,
21:06
Speaker 1: you bounce back and you play better in the next game.
21:08
Speaker 1: But I don't know, because they took they tied the
21:10
Speaker 1: game against the Kings, so San Jose had to put
21:12
Speaker 1: in a lot of effort there. As far as New Jersey,
21:15
Speaker 1: I don't like the spot for them either though, a
21:17
Speaker 1: New Jersey just lost an eight game win streak and
21:20
Speaker 1: a lost in Colorado two days ago. Now they have
21:23
Speaker 1: to go play this Shark team that's probably gonna be
21:26
Speaker 1: overlooked by most opponents, and they do have the Kings
21:29
Speaker 1: up next, which is a bigger game than the Sharks,
21:32
Speaker 1: and a lot of times when you lose a win
21:33
Speaker 1: streak like that, you will be hung over in the
21:35
Speaker 1: next game. So I don't like the spot for the Devils.
21:39
Speaker 1: Don't love the spot for either team. We don't see
21:41
Speaker 1: any percentages on this yet. Really, in the Devils or
21:43
Speaker 1: a minus two to twenty five road favorite here, I
21:46
Speaker 1: would lean to San Jose. Still, I think the spot
21:49
Speaker 1: sets up worse for New Jersey, so you could maybe
21:52
Speaker 1: take a plus one nab puck line with San Jose
21:55
Speaker 1: on that one. I don't know if I really want
21:57
Speaker 1: to do that though, but that's an opinion on that one.
22:01
Speaker 1: And then Detroit is facing the Kings. The Kings are
22:05
Speaker 1: coming off that winning against the Sharks, or they had
22:07
Speaker 1: to break the tie laid after they I think probably
22:10
Speaker 1: just packed it in at that point. Technically, la is
22:14
Speaker 1: returning home from a road trip now, even though that
22:15
Speaker 1: San Jose game was then returning to the Pacific Coast,
22:19
Speaker 1: and they did have kind of an iffy game in
22:21
Speaker 1: that one, But now this is their technical return home
22:24
Speaker 1: spot and they've been a way since October twenty first,
22:28
Speaker 1: So you could argue it's kind of a bad spot
22:29
Speaker 1: for the Kings because it's a return home. Could be
22:32
Speaker 1: a little bit distracted. They do have New Jersey, Winnipeg,
22:35
Speaker 1: Florida all up next, and they're gonna overlook Detroit, though
22:38
Speaker 1: I don't know, because Detroit seven and three, I mean,
22:40
Speaker 1: they're off to a good start, so I don't know
22:41
Speaker 1: that they're really a team that is gonna get overlooked.
22:45
Speaker 1: Detroit's coming in from Saint Louis, so they're having to
22:47
Speaker 1: travel out to the Pacific coast for a late night game,
22:50
Speaker 1: which could maybe impact their biological clocks a little bit.
22:53
Speaker 1: So I don't really love it for Detroit either. Here,
22:56
Speaker 1: although the money's coming in on Detroit, I'm not gonna
22:59
Speaker 1: disagree with Detroit. Sixty percent of tickets, eighty percent of
23:02
Speaker 1: the cash on Detroit Kings are down for minus one
23:05
Speaker 1: fifty five to minus one thirty eight in the money line,
23:07
Speaker 1: so you see the money seemingly like the indicators are
23:11
Speaker 1: all on the Detroit side. I won't disagree with it.
23:14
Speaker 1: That would be the way that I would lean as well.
23:17
Speaker 1: And then I'm gonna give out my two players, which
23:18
Speaker 1: are both on public sides. I don't really or no
23:21
Speaker 1: way one of them is. One of them isn't excuse me.
23:25
Speaker 1: One of them is on what looks like a public
23:26
Speaker 1: side right now, but I don't understand why it is,
23:29
Speaker 1: and the other one is actually opposing, like a very
23:32
Speaker 1: big opposing a side that has a lot of public action.
23:37
Speaker 1: Let's say, so, let's get into it. Oh, this is
23:39
Speaker 1: the best bets already. I'm gonna have a college football
23:43
Speaker 1: one as well, but I don't I don't know if
23:45
Speaker 1: you guys are gonna like these. The first one is
23:48
Speaker 1: probably easier to stomach. I am gonna go with Tampa
23:51
Speaker 1: Bay the Lightning on the money line. We're gonna go
23:53
Speaker 1: back to this Tampa Bay team that I still think
23:55
Speaker 1: is better than the record looks, and they're good enough
23:57
Speaker 1: that the oddsmakers are actually lining them. Is more than
24:00
Speaker 1: just a home ice favorite. Because I think Hoole ice
24:03
Speaker 1: gives you about minus one twenty in hockey, it's not
24:06
Speaker 1: really worth that much. And Tampa Bay is already up
24:08
Speaker 1: from minus one thirty to minus one forty four on
24:11
Speaker 1: the money line here, so I think that's telling you
24:13
Speaker 1: something interesting. So that's kind of where I start the handicap,
24:16
Speaker 1: which this has been kind of an angle with Tampa
24:19
Speaker 1: Bay this whole time, early in the season because Tampa
24:22
Speaker 1: Bay just doesn't have a good record right now. Dallas
24:25
Speaker 1: is six six' three and. One they're good on the,
24:27
Speaker 1: ROAD i, know so we're gonna have to fade that.
24:28
Speaker 1: Here but there's a reason Why tampa's favorite even though
24:31
Speaker 1: they have the worst. Record, man the oddsmakers are actually
24:33
Speaker 1: telling you they're the slightly better, team which is kind
24:37
Speaker 1: of crazy Because. DALLAS i still Think dallas is one
24:39
Speaker 1: of the, top like maybe five teams in THE, nhl
24:42
Speaker 1: AND i don't really Think tampa is quite as good as.
24:45
Speaker 1: That but, STILL i, Mean i'm gonna listen to the
24:47
Speaker 1: odds bakers of this, one AND i don't have like
24:50
Speaker 1: great Like Hockey power ratings, necessarily So i'm gonna respect
24:54
Speaker 1: what the oddsmakers as saying in this. ONE i, know
24:56
Speaker 1: the money seems to kind of be disagreeing with this right.
24:58
Speaker 1: Now even though the initial money my move was On
25:01
Speaker 1: Tampa bay sixty percent of the, tickets only fifty four
25:05
Speaker 1: percent of the cash On Tampa so that does worry
25:08
Speaker 1: me a little, bit But i'm gonna do this. ANYWAY
25:11
Speaker 1: i Think dallas is in a bad. Spot dallas is
25:13
Speaker 1: coming off a nice win Over washington in The Frozen
25:16
Speaker 1: frenzy On, tuesday one to nothing win With ottinger and net.
25:21
Speaker 1: Uh so it's gonna Be otinger second game in a
25:23
Speaker 1: row after he got rest the game before. That, sure
25:26
Speaker 1: he's the better goalie For. Dallas we're gonna get both
25:29
Speaker 1: better goalies. Here it's gonna be A ottinger Against vassilevsky
25:32
Speaker 1: unless something really weird. HAPPENS i look at, it this
25:35
Speaker 1: game was a one nothing win For. DALLAS i actually
25:38
Speaker 1: thought this spot was better For. Washington dallas was the
25:41
Speaker 1: more physical, Team they won the face, Offs washington did
25:43
Speaker 1: actually outshoot, them and it wasn't a situation where it,
25:47
Speaker 1: was you, Know washington be blown out in the game
25:49
Speaker 1: and they have to fire desperation shots really because they're
25:52
Speaker 1: only losing one to. Nothing so, YEAH i mean it's
25:56
Speaker 1: not really a misleading, final but there are some indicators
25:59
Speaker 1: That washington and played a little bit better than what
26:01
Speaker 1: it looked like. There Now dallas has this five Hundred
26:05
Speaker 1: Tampa bay team and up next they got to Face,
26:07
Speaker 1: florida so this is their you, know they have a
26:11
Speaker 1: two game trip here To, florida AND i still think
26:13
Speaker 1: if you pay more attention to one of these two,
26:15
Speaker 1: games it's gonna be The Florida panthers because they're the
26:18
Speaker 1: back to back returning, champs and then after that they
26:20
Speaker 1: have to face the back to back runners up In.
26:23
Speaker 1: Edmonton SO i actually think this is kind of a
26:26
Speaker 1: sandwich spot where they might actually Overlook Tampa bay just
26:29
Speaker 1: because it's surrounded by bigger. Games washington, won, like had
26:32
Speaker 1: the best record in The east last, year so, YEAH
26:36
Speaker 1: i don't love the spot For dallas. Here Man Tampa.
26:39
Speaker 1: Bay they're coming in off a pretty easy win Over,
26:41
Speaker 1: nashville SO i think it's an easier spot for. Them
26:44
Speaker 1: they're returning, home but it was only a single game road,
26:47
Speaker 1: trip so it's not really a road. TRIP i, mean
26:49
Speaker 1: they were already home like prior to that On, sunday so.
26:52
Speaker 1: WHATEVER i thought that was a bad spot when they
26:54
Speaker 1: went To nashville, though Because Tampa bay had won an
26:59
Speaker 1: overtime Against vegas and THEN i thought they were gonna
27:01
Speaker 1: be looking ahead to This dallas, game but it didn't even.
27:03
Speaker 1: Matter so that shows me something That Tampa bay went
27:06
Speaker 1: Into nashville and what was really a negative spot For
27:09
Speaker 1: Tampa bay and they still got the, win so that
27:11
Speaker 1: shows me. Something. Man At Tampa, bay they're still playing pretty.
27:15
Speaker 1: Well vasilevsky did play both those, games so we'll see
27:18
Speaker 1: if he is back in net here or. Not they
27:20
Speaker 1: do have one day of rest between each of those,
27:22
Speaker 1: games so that's not really that much of a. Concern but,
27:24
Speaker 1: YEAH i Like Tampa bay in that. One so that's
27:26
Speaker 1: gonna be the first Play Tampa bay money line on that.
27:30
Speaker 1: ONE i, mean if you want to get the price
27:31
Speaker 1: down a little, bit you could. GO i, mean if
27:33
Speaker 1: you want to try to Go Tampa bay in regulation
27:35
Speaker 1: or something like that and get the price way, down
27:37
Speaker 1: that's probably an underdog. Price, brad what's up, Man thanks
27:41
Speaker 1: for hanging, out. Man hell, Yeah let's let's get some
27:44
Speaker 1: wins here. Man Hopefully i'm gonna be continuing to be hot, here.
27:48
Speaker 1: Man but we can't have wins every, day. Man AND
27:51
Speaker 1: i Know i've been insanely good in the last like
27:53
Speaker 1: five weeks or. SO i THINK i only have like
27:55
Speaker 1: four or five losing, days which is. Insane BUT i,
27:59
Speaker 1: Mean i'd love to keep it. Up i'm gonna try
28:01
Speaker 1: to keep it. Up i'm gonna be Betting viagra. Hopefully
28:05
Speaker 1: and then my other hockey play is gonna be on
28:07
Speaker 1: That nashville team THAT i just. Mentioned we get them
28:09
Speaker 1: as an anti public underdog. Here so depending on how
28:12
Speaker 1: you look at these, games you either think this is
28:14
Speaker 1: like vomit inducingly ugly or you actually like this better
28:17
Speaker 1: than the other. One eighty eight percent of the tickets
28:20
Speaker 1: and eighty seven percent of the cash are on The.
28:22
Speaker 1: Flyers in this, Game flyers are up for minus one
28:24
Speaker 1: thirty four on the money. LINE i don't know what
28:27
Speaker 1: spurred that, move, really BECAUSE i do Think philadelphia is
28:30
Speaker 1: just a very public. SIDE i don't think they're in
28:32
Speaker 1: a good. SPOT i Like nashville in this. ONE i
28:35
Speaker 1: Think nashville has the better goalie as well, here which
28:37
Speaker 1: Is i'm pretty sure gonna be sorrows. Here but also
28:41
Speaker 1: you're looking at these teams, records and Again philadelphia five
28:44
Speaker 1: three and, One and, YES i know we're fading their
28:46
Speaker 1: really really good home. Record if five to one and
28:48
Speaker 1: zero at, home seems a little bit iffy to fade,
28:51
Speaker 1: That BUT i don't like the spot For philadelphia, here,
28:53
Speaker 1: Man and it looks pretty easy to Play philadelphia at
28:58
Speaker 1: a fairly small money line price here With nashville being
29:02
Speaker 1: below five. Hundred BUT i don't Think philadelphia is as
29:04
Speaker 1: good as their record. Looks i've been saying That. NASHVILLE i,
29:08
Speaker 1: mean they were a TEAM i had issues with last
29:10
Speaker 1: year because they seemed to be in good spots a
29:12
Speaker 1: lot and they just didn't come. Through and again they
29:15
Speaker 1: may have done that in their last two. GAMES i
29:18
Speaker 1: think they just were in spots THAT i think were
29:21
Speaker 1: bad spots for Both dallas And Tampa, bay And nashville
29:24
Speaker 1: did not come through in either. Game although part of
29:27
Speaker 1: the reason WHY i didn't want them in That Tampa
29:28
Speaker 1: bay game AND i didn't give them out as a
29:30
Speaker 1: play even though the spot was bad For tampa was
29:32
Speaker 1: BECAUSE i didn't Like nashville coming off of That dallas.
29:35
Speaker 1: GAME i thought it might be a little bit of
29:37
Speaker 1: a hangover effect. There they took the. Loss we're gonna
29:40
Speaker 1: have sorrows back In net For nashville because he's only
29:42
Speaker 1: played the last one game Against Tampa bay and, yeah
29:46
Speaker 1: he wasn't that great in the, game but Still nashville's
29:49
Speaker 1: coming off a bad. Loss they get to get out
29:51
Speaker 1: of town for a second fly To, philadelphia try to
29:54
Speaker 1: win a. GAME i think they're gonna be focused on this,
29:56
Speaker 1: man because they're coming off multiple, losses and one of
29:58
Speaker 1: the best things that you could do you're losing at
30:00
Speaker 1: home is to just forget about it and go on
30:02
Speaker 1: the road and just focus on hockey eliminate. Distractions SO
30:06
Speaker 1: i think that's actually. GOOD i think this spot sets
30:08
Speaker 1: up better For nashville for that. Reason if you dig
30:12
Speaker 1: into that game Against Tampa, Bay Tampa bay did outshoot,
30:16
Speaker 1: them while The nashville dominated the, Faceoffs they had almost
30:19
Speaker 1: two thirds of the faceoff wins and they had more,
30:22
Speaker 1: hits So nashville was the more physical team in the.
30:25
Speaker 1: GAME i just don't know what happened with the shooting
30:28
Speaker 1: in this. Game although the game was, Close nashville was
30:31
Speaker 1: only losing three to. Two late in the third, period
30:34
Speaker 1: they gave up an empty net goal and then another
30:36
Speaker 1: one after that when the game just was kind of
30:39
Speaker 1: over at that, Point so the game was closer than it.
30:41
Speaker 1: Looked though you could argue what that Means national is
30:43
Speaker 1: gonna still be in a hangover, spot BUT i don't
30:46
Speaker 1: really think. SO i mean that Was Tampa. BAY i, mean,
30:48
Speaker 1: yeah they're a good. Team they were a little bit
30:50
Speaker 1: under the radar right, now but there are definitely some
30:53
Speaker 1: arguments to be made That nashville played better in that
30:55
Speaker 1: game than it looked and that the game was closer
30:57
Speaker 1: than it. Looked So i'm gonna go with, that And
30:59
Speaker 1: i'm gonna go With philadelphia being in a worse spot
31:01
Speaker 1: here because they just Beat, pittsburgh AND i, KNOW i
31:04
Speaker 1: Think pittsburgh's overrated right. NOW i Think philadelphia also. Is
31:07
Speaker 1: that was a huge win, though in a shootout For
31:10
Speaker 1: philadelphia to win on Frozen Frenzy day against their in
31:14
Speaker 1: state Rival, pittsburgh who's off to a really hot. Start
31:17
Speaker 1: that's a big, game, Man so coming off of, THAT
31:19
Speaker 1: i do think it's a letdown spot For. PHILLY i
31:21
Speaker 1: don't think they're really gonna have full focus on this
31:23
Speaker 1: national team that just hasn't been any good the last
31:25
Speaker 1: couple of. Years and they Got toronto, next which that's
31:29
Speaker 1: a bigger deal. TOO i, Mean toronto always has a
31:31
Speaker 1: lot of like weight behind their name and they're off
31:32
Speaker 1: to a decent start as. Well SO i think it
31:34
Speaker 1: looks like a sandwich spot For philadelphia. Here i'm guessing
31:38
Speaker 1: it's gonna be Of ladar back in net for. Them
31:40
Speaker 1: he's probably better Than, erson BUT i STILL i don't
31:44
Speaker 1: love either, goalie, Man so, LIKE i still Think sorrow's
31:47
Speaker 1: is good For, Nashville So i'm still gonna go With
31:50
Speaker 1: sorrow's being better than either one of Those philadelphia. Goalies
31:53
Speaker 1: SO i think that is also a little bit of
31:55
Speaker 1: an edge For nashville there as. WELL i. Would, Yeah
31:59
Speaker 1: i'm gonna give Out nashville on the money line in that.
32:02
Speaker 1: One so that's the other play. There Adrian peterson fell
32:06
Speaker 1: asleep at a gas pump at nine in the morning
32:09
Speaker 1: and got a duy for. That well can they can
32:12
Speaker 1: they prove that he was? Driving he could just be, like, no,
32:15
Speaker 1: man LIKE i. WAS i was driven here in my
32:18
Speaker 1: own vehicle and my driver fled the. Scene what are
32:20
Speaker 1: you talking, About i'm just pumping. Gas SO i don't, know,
32:24
Speaker 1: MAN i don't know. What what can they do about?
32:26
Speaker 1: That or, well couldn't you also argue, that, HEY i drove,
32:30
Speaker 1: here THEN i started drinking and got, drunk SO i
32:34
Speaker 1: wasn't actually driving while. Drunk he could try to argue, That,
32:37
Speaker 1: LIKE i think that's gonna Be it's gonna be difficult
32:39
Speaker 1: to prove that in a court of. Law Man vladora
32:44
Speaker 1: three and zero at. Home, YEAH i MEAN i think
32:47
Speaker 1: he Is philly's best. Goalie i'm not sure that he's great.
32:50
Speaker 1: THOUGH i, mean there's probably a reason Why CALGARY i
32:53
Speaker 1: felt like they could uh let him. Go SO i
32:56
Speaker 1: don't Know, philly the town Of, philly, like, YEAH i
33:00
Speaker 1: just think this is a bad spot For philly. Though
33:03
Speaker 1: he's two and zero at. Home, Yeah philly has been
33:05
Speaker 1: really good at, home SO i know we're bucking that trend. THERE,
33:10
Speaker 1: NBA i don't love THIS nba board. Man i'm not
33:13
Speaker 1: gonna have a play in THE nba. Here it is
33:17
Speaker 1: somewhat interesting That orlando's only a three and a half
33:19
Speaker 1: point favorite At. Charlotte This charlotte team might actually not
33:22
Speaker 1: be as bad this year as as they have been
33:26
Speaker 1: in recent. Years charlotte also just got smoked By miami
33:29
Speaker 1: On tuesday one hundred and forty four or one hundred and.
33:31
Speaker 1: Seventeen sometimes when you lose that embarrassing you will bounce
33:36
Speaker 1: back from that and have a better. Game but they
33:38
Speaker 1: are returning over from a road. Trip they've only been
33:40
Speaker 1: away Since, saturday and they stayed on The east, coast
33:43
Speaker 1: so it's not really the worst road trip return. Spot
33:46
Speaker 1: so are they going to fall into that road trip
33:48
Speaker 1: like return distraction spot? Here maybe not because it Is,
33:53
Speaker 1: Orlando but will they be totally focused On? ORLANDO i don't,
33:56
Speaker 1: know Because orlando's off to a really bad. Start one
33:59
Speaker 1: and four not as bad as this record, LOOKS i Mean,
34:01
Speaker 1: ORLANDO i think maybe they're kind of going through some
34:04
Speaker 1: like like they have to go through some growing pains
34:08
Speaker 1: again because like all their best players were hurt once
34:10
Speaker 1: they reached the playoffs last, year so they have to
34:12
Speaker 1: get used to having all these stars like playing with
34:16
Speaker 1: each other. Again like This orlando team is definitely not
34:18
Speaker 1: as bad as this one to four record, looks but
34:20
Speaker 1: they're not playing well at the start of the season
34:22
Speaker 1: and they're kind of in a difficult spot here because
34:24
Speaker 1: they're playing a fourth game in six, days all in different.
34:27
Speaker 1: Cities this is a third straight road, game and they
34:30
Speaker 1: did get blown out in their last game as well Against,
34:32
Speaker 1: detroit but that was last, night so they're also on
34:35
Speaker 1: a back to. Back but, yeah they had a terrible.
34:37
Speaker 1: Game they lost by nineteen At detroit to give up
34:40
Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty. Five This orlando, team, YEAH i,
34:44
Speaker 1: MEAN i don't, know, MAN i, mean they haven't been
34:47
Speaker 1: playing good defense over the last couple of. Games what
34:49
Speaker 1: else CAN i? SAY i don't think they're gonna overlook
34:52
Speaker 1: anybody at that, point, Though so sometimes the better when
34:54
Speaker 1: you have two teams like this that both might be,
34:57
Speaker 1: focused sometimes you want to look to the better. Team
34:58
Speaker 1: but the money's coming in on the Whole hornets in this,
35:00
Speaker 1: One magic down from four to three here on the,
35:04
Speaker 1: line fifty four percent of the tickets are On, orlando
35:06
Speaker 1: sixty five percent of the cash coming in on The,
35:08
Speaker 1: hornets though the public is still not buying The hornets
35:11
Speaker 1: two and two start versus The magic one and four.
35:14
Speaker 1: START i, mean obviously there's a reason why The magic are.
35:16
Speaker 1: Favored they're still the better, team as the oddsmakers are telling.
35:20
Speaker 1: You the spot isn't, Great SO i think that's part
35:22
Speaker 1: of the reason why the cash is coming in on
35:24
Speaker 1: The hornets, here because it's the back to, back the
35:27
Speaker 1: third game in four, days all with travel for The.
35:29
Speaker 1: Magic so the spot is worse for The magic for that.
35:33
Speaker 1: Reason So i'm not really gonna disagree with the market
35:35
Speaker 1: in that, one BUT i certainly don't want to give
35:37
Speaker 1: out a play on that. Game no, Way orlando they're
35:41
Speaker 1: still figuring it. Out, YEAH i mean they did have
35:42
Speaker 1: those guys playing for most of that, time so they're
35:45
Speaker 1: gonna gel again at some point With bonchero And wagner.
35:52
Speaker 1: There so like those guys are back so AND i
35:54
Speaker 1: think do they still Have? Sugs is he back? Too
35:56
Speaker 1: because all three of those guys got hurt during their
35:59
Speaker 1: like playoff or before or during their playoff run last.
36:02
Speaker 1: Year you can't get there with ANY nba, underdogs neither CAN.
36:07
Speaker 1: I i actually kind of like the favorite in The
36:10
Speaker 1: Warriors bucks, game which is The. Warriors The warriors are laying,
36:13
Speaker 1: three it's up to three with. Juice bucks are starting
36:16
Speaker 1: to look like a little bit of a public home underdog.
36:19
Speaker 1: Here fifty eight percent of the, tickets sixty two percent
36:21
Speaker 1: of the cash on The bucks for, now so a
36:23
Speaker 1: little bit more of the. CASH i don't know if
36:25
Speaker 1: that's gonna turn out to be the case or. Not
36:27
Speaker 1: you got a three and One buck team against a
36:29
Speaker 1: four and One Golden state, team but The osergers are
36:31
Speaker 1: telling you that The warriors are actually the better team
36:34
Speaker 1: as their favorite on the. ROAD i think people are
36:37
Speaker 1: just not gonna Give Golden state a ton of credit
36:39
Speaker 1: for really ugly win over The clippers On. Tuesday BUT
36:44
Speaker 1: i think that's that's like good like that that gives
36:47
Speaker 1: you a little bit of value potentially on the. Team
36:48
Speaker 1: was when a team wins ugly like, that even THOUGH
36:50
Speaker 1: i know they won by, nineteen but they didn't score a.
36:53
Speaker 1: Lot so when a team wins in an, ugly low
36:55
Speaker 1: scoring game like, that WHICH i, Think, jeffrey you had
36:57
Speaker 1: the under in that, one IF i remember, correctly did?
36:59
Speaker 1: YOU i forget that was like an easy under in that.
37:03
Speaker 1: One when a team wins like, THAT i think it's
37:06
Speaker 1: actually good for them because they won't get, overconfident the
37:08
Speaker 1: public won't really love them that, much and they're gonna
37:11
Speaker 1: have a little bit of momentum coming off of that
37:13
Speaker 1: going out on the road to start a road, trip
37:15
Speaker 1: and teams usually tend to be focused to start a road.
37:18
Speaker 1: Trip so there are definitely some positives here For Golden.
37:21
Speaker 1: STATE i don't know if there are any injuries factoring
37:23
Speaker 1: into this number. Here it looks Like yannis is day to,
37:26
Speaker 1: day so is the fact That Golden state is a
37:28
Speaker 1: three point favorite to some of that After doo With
37:30
Speaker 1: yannis potentially not, PLAYING i don't, know maybe and when's
37:34
Speaker 1: the last time he? PLAYED i don't even. Know sometimes
37:36
Speaker 1: you gotta, like you gotta watch all this shit, man
37:39
Speaker 1: and See yannis has not played since is twenty? Oh,
37:42
Speaker 1: no he played on the twenty. Eighth one AM i, saying, so,
37:44
Speaker 1: yeah he played their last. Game he's, probable so he. Is,
37:48
Speaker 1: yeah That's. Thursday, yeah So yannis is, Playing so, YEAH
37:52
Speaker 1: i thought that was the. Case So Golden, state even
37:54
Speaker 1: With yannis, playing the oddsbagers are still Lying Golden state
37:57
Speaker 1: as a favorite like, that which is somewhat. TELLING i
38:00
Speaker 1: think the spot is a little bit worse For milwaukee
38:02
Speaker 1: because they're coming off games THAT i think matter a
38:05
Speaker 1: little bit more to them than The warriors. Do they're
38:07
Speaker 1: coming off that close call Against cleveland Where milwaukee just
38:10
Speaker 1: Battled cleveland didn't go. Away by the, way My Boston
38:14
Speaker 1: celtics Beating cleveland by twenty points last, night how about
38:17
Speaker 1: that Baby cleveland looking very depressed on the sidelines at
38:23
Speaker 1: the end of. That you hate to see. IT i
38:26
Speaker 1: don't hate to see, it but, yeah that Injured celtic
38:29
Speaker 1: team getting a nice blowout win over The calves In
38:33
Speaker 1: boston last. NIGHT i saw some people go into that
38:35
Speaker 1: game BECAUSE i was In boston last night Seeing Herbie,
38:38
Speaker 1: hancock the jazz legend himself eighty five years old and
38:42
Speaker 1: still out there doing. That BUT i saw a bunch
38:44
Speaker 1: of people headed to The celtics game as. Well, yeah
38:49
Speaker 1: huge win for The. Celtics But celtics aren't playing, today
38:52
Speaker 1: So i'll talk about them the next time they. Play But,
38:54
Speaker 1: milwaukee they're coming off a close call Against cleveland where
38:57
Speaker 1: they covered the number and they fought to get back
39:00
Speaker 1: in that, game played pretty well Against, cleveland and then
39:04
Speaker 1: they beat The knicks in their last, game WHICH i
39:06
Speaker 1: thought was a bad spot For milwaukee out of That cleveland,
39:08
Speaker 1: game and they still showed up and beat The knicks
39:11
Speaker 1: and overcame a deficit in that game too to beat.
39:13
Speaker 1: ME i gave out The knicks play in that. Game
39:17
Speaker 1: SO i think the spot is actually worse for The bucks.
39:19
Speaker 1: HERE i think it could be a little bit maybe
39:20
Speaker 1: EVEN i don't want to say a letdown spot when
39:23
Speaker 1: you're facing a team like The, warriors like you're gonna
39:25
Speaker 1: try to get up for. It but three big games
39:28
Speaker 1: in a row For, milwaukee, MAN i think the spot
39:30
Speaker 1: does set up better for The warriors in this. One
39:33
Speaker 1: SO i would slightly lean to them in that. ONE
39:36
Speaker 1: i don't have much to say About Wizards. THUNDER i
39:38
Speaker 1: mean The thunder or fifteen point, favorite WHICH i, MEAN
39:43
Speaker 1: i thought it would be higher than, that because you're
39:45
Speaker 1: talking about like the best team in THE nba against
39:47
Speaker 1: one of the worst in The. WIZARDS i thought The
39:50
Speaker 1: lion is gonna be like eighteen or maybe even more than,
39:54
Speaker 1: That SO i don't, know fifteen seems a little bit.
39:56
Speaker 1: Strange public is still playing The thunder sixty percent of the,
39:59
Speaker 1: tickets only fifty five percent of the cash on The.
40:01
Speaker 1: THUNDER i don't have a whole lot to say about this,
40:03
Speaker 1: OTHERWISE i, mean The public of course will be on
40:05
Speaker 1: the undefeated five and zero returning Champ Thunder thunderer coming
40:10
Speaker 1: off some close ish games though Against dallas And. Sacramento
40:15
Speaker 1: but The sacramento one was a return home, spot so
40:18
Speaker 1: maybe you could, argue, well they weren't just weren't paying,
40:20
Speaker 1: attention and maybe they'll pay more attention. HERE i don't
40:23
Speaker 1: know if they, will because do you really pay attention
40:25
Speaker 1: when The wizards are coming? In probably. Not, SO i
40:29
Speaker 1: mean it's a game WHERE i, think, okay see could
40:31
Speaker 1: kind of just sleep walk through this, game to be, Honest,
40:34
Speaker 1: SO i, MEAN i wouldn't lay the. Points do you
40:37
Speaker 1: want to really take them With washington And washington blew
40:40
Speaker 1: that game for. Us they had a really good. Game
40:42
Speaker 1: they were dominating The sixers in that. Game we should
40:45
Speaker 1: have had a win in that. Game washington was up
40:46
Speaker 1: like twenty POINTS i think maybe even in the fourth
40:49
Speaker 1: quarter of that. Game they're still up somewhere close to
40:52
Speaker 1: twenty in the fourth, quarter and they wind up losing
40:54
Speaker 1: in overtime and only pushing on the best number that
40:57
Speaker 1: was out there on the. Five so if you got
41:00
Speaker 1: the four to four and a, half you actually lost that.
41:03
Speaker 1: ONE i don't Know washington coming off that, performance if
41:06
Speaker 1: they're gonna like really be ready for this have to
41:09
Speaker 1: go out To Oklahoma. CITY i actually think the spot
41:11
Speaker 1: is a little bit better of For Oklahoma city in that,
41:13
Speaker 1: game to be. Honest SO i don't want to lay
41:16
Speaker 1: that many. Points it actually number actually to me looks
41:18
Speaker 1: a little bit short, Though BUT i wouldn't take the points. Either,
41:22
Speaker 1: YEAH i MEAN i might actually even slightly lean towards
41:24
Speaker 1: laying the points of the, thunder but the thunder just
41:27
Speaker 1: might not show up with a ton of effort there
41:29
Speaker 1: anyway because the opponent is just not, good so that's
41:32
Speaker 1: difficult to figure. Out and then Heats. Spurs spurs getting
41:37
Speaker 1: a decent amount of respect, here, man With wemba there
41:40
Speaker 1: six point, favorite although they're public seventy two percent of
41:43
Speaker 1: tickets only fifty six percent of the. Cash public's gonna
41:45
Speaker 1: start coming in on The spurs team to some extent,
41:48
Speaker 1: too Because, WEMBA i, mean he's gonna be a public,
41:52
Speaker 1: darling you know WHAT i. Mean because he's a tall
41:54
Speaker 1: dude who can basically do. Everything so everybody loves the.
41:58
Speaker 1: GUY i, MEAN i love him. Too should have A
42:00
Speaker 1: wemba shirt on right. NOW i have A wemba. Jersey
42:03
Speaker 1: i'm SAYING i should wear it right. Now miami's on
42:06
Speaker 1: a three game win streak and they just clob Or
42:08
Speaker 1: charlotte in their last. Game BUT i think that just
42:11
Speaker 1: kind of gives the, momentum like they're starting a road.
42:13
Speaker 1: TRIP i think with momentum, here will they Overlook San
42:16
Speaker 1: antonio because they have The lakers. NEXT i don't, know,
42:18
Speaker 1: MAN i mean TEAMS i think are starting to take
42:20
Speaker 1: notice Of San antonio and actually show up to play.
42:23
Speaker 1: THEM i don't Think miami is gonna be like overconfident
42:26
Speaker 1: even though they did just Annihilate. CHARLOTTE i think they'll
42:29
Speaker 1: still probably show up with a little bit of momentum.
42:31
Speaker 1: Here San antonio is undefeated right now four and, zero
42:36
Speaker 1: haven't played a very difficult schedule so. FAR i think
42:39
Speaker 1: the best team they played WAS i, mean Either dallas
42:42
Speaker 1: Or New, orleans whichever one you think is the better
42:44
Speaker 1: of those two teams right. NOW i Guess dallas technically still.
42:47
Speaker 1: IS i, mean the number indicated That dallas is the better,
42:50
Speaker 1: team But dallas is just off to a slow start
42:53
Speaker 1: with their new pieces. There San antonio does have multiple days, off,
42:56
Speaker 1: though and they are staying at home of a nice Winover.
43:00
Speaker 1: TORONTO i don't really know that they're gonna necessarily overlook
43:03
Speaker 1: the heat either, though so it's not really a spot
43:05
Speaker 1: Where i'm really looking to fade San antonio. HERE i
43:08
Speaker 1: Guess i'll agree with the market and agree with taking
43:10
Speaker 1: the points with the, heat BUT i don't love. It,
43:12
Speaker 1: SO i, MEAN i have nothing on this basketball. Board,
43:15
Speaker 1: Man yahoo's showing money on the. Heat, yeah SO yeaho
43:19
Speaker 1: is basically agreeing with The spurs here with the excuse,
43:22
Speaker 1: me with the pregame screen here is WHAT i mean with.
43:26
Speaker 1: Yeah as you can see, here more of the tickets
43:27
Speaker 1: than the cash on the, spurs which indicates to me
43:30
Speaker 1: that the bigger bets are on the side of the.
43:32
Speaker 1: Heat let's go to college, football WHERE i will have
43:35
Speaker 1: one playing college. Football these games are actually pretty. Interesting
43:40
Speaker 1: they're both in The American. Conference of the first, game or,
43:43
Speaker 1: well actually they're both at seven thirty Pm, eastern but
43:45
Speaker 1: the first game on the board Is marshall And Coastal
43:48
Speaker 1: carolina and it's the first listen on ESPN's schedule two
43:51
Speaker 1: ON espn. Two first of, ALL i will say That
43:54
Speaker 1: Coastal carolina is not as good as their record, looks
43:57
Speaker 1: so that's why you see these. Teams they're both four and,
43:59
Speaker 1: three And Coastal carolina actually has an additional win in The, oh,
44:03
Speaker 1: sorry this is Sun. Belt the other game Is. American
44:06
Speaker 1: this one's Sun. Belt my, mistake but, yeah you see
44:10
Speaker 1: The Coastal caroline actually is the better conference, record but
44:13
Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are telling you. Not marshall's actually the better.
44:16
Speaker 1: Team even THOUGH i Thought marshall would suck this year
44:19
Speaker 1: because AGAIN i always point out that their entire team
44:21
Speaker 1: left and went over To Southern, Miss But marshall has
44:24
Speaker 1: actually done surprisingly well so far this. Year they're headed
44:28
Speaker 1: towards maybe making a, bowl which is crazy to think
44:31
Speaker 1: about because they're the. Team if you remember last, year
44:33
Speaker 1: they got into a bowl and the entire team left
44:36
Speaker 1: and then they had to like they backed out of
44:39
Speaker 1: the bowl because they didn't even have players. Anymore if
44:41
Speaker 1: you remember, That marshall's up from a three and a
44:44
Speaker 1: half point favorite to a six and a half point favorite.
44:47
Speaker 1: HERE i don't know if there's some like injury issue
44:49
Speaker 1: that moved the line like. THAT i don't see why
44:50
Speaker 1: the line moved to that. Extent fifty five percent of
44:54
Speaker 1: the cash On marshall sixty two percent tickets Around Coastal
44:57
Speaker 1: so the public seems like they think that there's value
45:00
Speaker 1: taking the team with the slightly better, record the better
45:02
Speaker 1: conference record at home as an. Underdog So i'll tell you, that,
45:06
Speaker 1: Yeah marshall is the better, team and it's a little bit,
45:09
Speaker 1: misleading like Mostly Coastal carolina is way worse than the record.
45:12
Speaker 1: Indicates so that's really WHERE i kind of, fall like
45:16
Speaker 1: to start this, Handicap i'm, like, Yeah Coastal carolina is
45:18
Speaker 1: nowhere near as good as the record looks they had
45:21
Speaker 1: this one win Against South alabama that was like their
45:24
Speaker 1: biggest conference win on the. Road they were double digit
45:27
Speaker 1: underdogs in that, game And South alabama was in a terrible,
45:30
Speaker 1: SPOT i think after playing Like auburn really close or
45:33
Speaker 1: something like. That SO i pointed that out on my.
45:35
Speaker 1: Show so that kind of explains That Coastal carolina. Win
45:38
Speaker 1: it's pretty, misleading to be. Honest and Then Coastal carolina
45:42
Speaker 1: Beat Uel. MONROE i, mean they're a bad. Team and
45:45
Speaker 1: then they did win at App state last, time which
45:47
Speaker 1: is another upset win for. Them But App state they're
45:50
Speaker 1: kind of down this. Year, man they only have one conference,
45:52
Speaker 1: win SO i don't know how much you can really
45:55
Speaker 1: put into that win over App. State they're not as
45:57
Speaker 1: good as they have been in recent. Years it looks
46:01
Speaker 1: like they either lost their quarterback or switched. Quarterbacks BUT
46:04
Speaker 1: i don't even think it really. MATTERS i, mean neither
46:06
Speaker 1: of their quarterbacks have been good this. Year, actually they've
46:09
Speaker 1: had three different quarterbacks this, year SO i think they
46:11
Speaker 1: really just don't have a good. Quarterback so This coastal
46:14
Speaker 1: offense actually really really. Sucks SO i don't really see
46:17
Speaker 1: how their record is this, good AND i don't think
46:19
Speaker 1: their defense is necessarily particularly good, Either BUT i, MEAN
46:24
Speaker 1: i think their offense is really the worst part of their.
46:27
Speaker 1: Game though they're coming out of a. Bye they went
46:29
Speaker 1: into a bye with two straight wins, Though AND i
46:31
Speaker 1: talk about, This when a team goes into a buy
46:33
Speaker 1: on multiple wins in a, row it's not a very
46:36
Speaker 1: good spot because what are you gonna do in that,
46:38
Speaker 1: Buy like you don't have anything to, Fix like you've
46:40
Speaker 1: been really good going into the, buy so you don't
46:42
Speaker 1: really use that buy necessarily to your. Advantage they went
46:46
Speaker 1: into the buy in a really good note because it
46:48
Speaker 1: was that upset Overapp, state WHERE i think they were
46:50
Speaker 1: double digit underdogs in that, one and they pulled off the.
46:52
Speaker 1: Upset and Again Coastal carolina having pulled off two double
46:57
Speaker 1: digit road upsets Since, Saturday september, twenty that makes them
47:01
Speaker 1: look better than they actually, are so take, that you,
47:05
Speaker 1: know take that into account. HERE i think it's a
47:08
Speaker 1: bad spot For, coastal BUT i actually think the spot
47:10
Speaker 1: is maybe even worse For. Marshall marshall is also coming
47:15
Speaker 1: out of a, bye and they went into the buy
47:17
Speaker 1: on a good note as. Well they went in on
47:18
Speaker 1: two straight, wins and one of them was Against Old.
47:20
Speaker 1: Dominion that's a good. Win Old dominion has been one
47:24
Speaker 1: of the better teams of this. Conference and then they
47:26
Speaker 1: Beat Texas state in double overtime as an underdog. Here
47:30
Speaker 1: Texas state was yeah, too and a half point road
47:33
Speaker 1: favorite in that. One double. Overtime big win For marshall
47:36
Speaker 1: and that one, Too so they went into the buy
47:37
Speaker 1: in a really good. Note now they're coming out of
47:39
Speaker 1: the bye and they Play, coastal Which coastal is not
47:42
Speaker 1: really a good. TEAM i, mean the only hesitation THAT
47:45
Speaker 1: i would have with saying That marshall might Overlook coastal
47:48
Speaker 1: here is that it's a primetime game and That coastal
47:50
Speaker 1: has a decent record in the conference. Here, OTHERWISE i
47:54
Speaker 1: would think that If coastal lost those two games where
47:56
Speaker 1: they were a big, UNDERDOG i THINK i might be
48:00
Speaker 1: actually giving out a play On coastal here BECAUSE i
48:01
Speaker 1: Think marshall would look right past. Them marshall has a
48:04
Speaker 1: big game up next Against James, madison who is like
48:07
Speaker 1: the best team in this, conference the class of the.
48:09
Speaker 1: Conference so it looks like a pretty bad spot to
48:12
Speaker 1: me For. Marshall, again they had that buy also that
48:14
Speaker 1: could be a little bit of a momentum stop. Er
48:17
Speaker 1: so both teams are coming out of a disadvantageous, BY
48:20
Speaker 1: i would, say which makes it a bad spot for both.
48:23
Speaker 1: Teams BUT i think the LOOK i had From marshall
48:25
Speaker 1: here To James madison makes it actually slightly worse For,
48:28
Speaker 1: Marshall SO i would hesitate to actually agree with the
48:31
Speaker 1: market in this one and want to lean To marshall
48:33
Speaker 1: laying the points. Here marshall also not a good, offense,
48:36
Speaker 1: Dude just to keep that in. Mind they have very
48:39
Speaker 1: little rushing. ATTACK i mean they're leading rusher the last
48:42
Speaker 1: two games was their, quarterback SO i mean he's a
48:45
Speaker 1: dual threat. Quarterback but you're looking at two pretty lousy.
48:48
Speaker 1: Offenses SO i think the under actually maybe is worth
48:52
Speaker 1: a look in this. Game the totals up a little
48:55
Speaker 1: bit from fifty five to fifty five and a half
48:58
Speaker 1: seventy two percent of tickets on the, over but only
49:00
Speaker 1: decemb percent of the cash on the. OVER i, mean
49:02
Speaker 1: these offenses kind of, stink LIKE i, said SO i
49:05
Speaker 1: could see this maybe being a lower scoring game than
49:08
Speaker 1: what the odds makers have thrown that total out there.
49:10
Speaker 1: At so just things to keep in, mind and, yeah
49:14
Speaker 1: the spot is so bad For marshall THAT i might
49:16
Speaker 1: actually slightly lean to taking the extra wits With, coastal
49:19
Speaker 1: BUT i certainly don't want to do. It Michael vick
49:25
Speaker 1: Versus DeShawn jackson in What Delaware state? Game is? There
49:29
Speaker 1: there's An, oh there's an fcs ya A norfolk Against Delaware? State? Yeah? Correct,
49:35
Speaker 1: Wait Michael Michael, Vick, yeah he's uh is he coaching
49:38
Speaker 1: there now At Norfolk? State he might, BE i guess
49:41
Speaker 1: apparently he. IS i didn't Know DeShawn. Jackson So DeShawn
49:44
Speaker 1: jackson's Coaching Delaware? State is that? Right that's? Interesting so
49:47
Speaker 1: if that game's ON, tv isn't ON? TV i don't.
49:50
Speaker 1: Know ESPN's not showing it, here but maybe you might
49:54
Speaker 1: be able to find it ON Espn plus or whatever
49:57
Speaker 1: it is, now WHICH i do. Have but, yeah that's
49:59
Speaker 1: that a bizarre coaching, matchup if that is what it.
50:03
Speaker 1: Is by the, Way Michael vick And DeShawn, jackson that's
50:06
Speaker 1: like that's The madden speed. Matchup they both had like
50:09
Speaker 1: ninety nine speed, ratings right if you remember that they
50:12
Speaker 1: were they were the Fastest madden players and when they
50:15
Speaker 1: were both in their. Prime that's it's The Madden Speed. Game,
50:22
Speaker 1: yeah that's. Crazy, Yeah Michael. Vick there was a documentary ABOUT.
50:27
Speaker 1: VIC i don't know if it was one of The
50:28
Speaker 1: untold ones or something. ELSE i think it was On.
50:30
Speaker 1: NETFLIX i. Watched it was actually pretty. GOOD i, mean
50:34
Speaker 1: it makes you sympathize WITH vic a little, bit even
50:37
Speaker 1: THOUGH i, hate you, know the fucking the dog fighting.
50:41
Speaker 1: SHIT i hate. IT i, MEAN i know there were
50:42
Speaker 1: a lot of pit bull haters out. There i'm not
50:44
Speaker 1: a pit bull. HATER i think pit bulls get a
50:46
Speaker 1: bad rap because their owners suck and a lot of
50:49
Speaker 1: people own them who shouldn't own. Them Uh, So, Yeah
50:53
Speaker 1: i'm a big fan of. Dogs SO i Hated Michael
50:55
Speaker 1: vick for for doing, That but that documentary does make
50:59
Speaker 1: him a bit of ampathetic, character AND i think he's
51:01
Speaker 1: kind of atoned for that to some, extent which, is you,
51:06
Speaker 1: know it's WHY i, MEAN i think he came back
51:08
Speaker 1: to THE nfl for a little, bit and it's why
51:09
Speaker 1: he's able to be in football. Somewhere maybe we'll See
51:13
Speaker 1: Michael vick coaching in THE. Nfl how about that the
51:17
Speaker 1: game we're gonna give out a play on? Here we're
51:19
Speaker 1: gonna take the points With Texas San ANTONIO utsa plus
51:22
Speaker 1: the six here right, now it looks Like tulane has
51:26
Speaker 1: more of the cash on, them BUT i don't know
51:27
Speaker 1: IF i buy that throw up from three and a
51:29
Speaker 1: half through the five and a. Half, BASICALLY i think
51:31
Speaker 1: you can find six out. THERE i don't think it's
51:33
Speaker 1: gonna get to, seven, though but it's basically no man's
51:36
Speaker 1: land there five and a. Half six six is obviously slightly,
51:39
Speaker 1: better and it was easy to find a six out
51:41
Speaker 1: there this. Morning fifty three percent of the tickets fifty
51:44
Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash On. TULANE i LIKE, utsa.
51:48
Speaker 1: Though the money's coming in on the under for what it's,
51:50
Speaker 1: Worth so sometimes when the money is indicating on the,
51:52
Speaker 1: under it makes more sense to take the. Underdog the
51:55
Speaker 1: totals down a little bit from a kind of mid,
51:59
Speaker 1: total down for fifty six to fifty four and a.
52:01
Speaker 1: Half that's like a mid range college. Total seventy two
52:05
Speaker 1: percent of tickets on the, over seventy nine percent of
52:07
Speaker 1: the cash on the, under money coming into the. UNDER
52:10
Speaker 1: i don't like the spot For. Tulane this is gonna
52:11
Speaker 1: be AN Espn. Tulane they're six and one right now
52:17
Speaker 1: they Had they do have two wins AGAINST fbs, team so,
52:20
Speaker 1: yeah they're fairly battle. Tested they Beat, northwestern they Beat. Duke.
52:24
Speaker 1: Uh duke was a big game, though because that Was
52:27
Speaker 1: tulane facing their former Quarterback mensa and they were able
52:31
Speaker 1: to beat. HIM i think it was a little bit
52:32
Speaker 1: of a misleading result in that game. Too. Uh if
52:35
Speaker 1: you look at this game Against, Duke duke actually outgained,
52:38
Speaker 1: them AND i think there was kind of a crucial
52:40
Speaker 1: turnover to The duke had in that. GAME i Think
52:42
Speaker 1: duke definitely had their chances to win that. One of,
52:46
Speaker 1: Course tulane is now going With Jake, rhetzlaf the guy
52:49
Speaker 1: Who fox literally, uh which is why B yu kicked
52:53
Speaker 1: him off the, team and now he's At tulane where
52:57
Speaker 1: they're less stringent about. It but Then tulane lost To
53:00
Speaker 1: Ole miss and since then they played a really weak. Schedule.
53:02
Speaker 1: Man they've Played, Tulsa East, carolina An army and they
53:06
Speaker 1: beat all of. Them But East carolina is the best
53:09
Speaker 1: conference opponent they face so. Far so the three and
53:11
Speaker 1: zero conference record is slightly. Misleading tulane's not a bad.
53:15
Speaker 1: Team i'm not saying that but they face a really
53:18
Speaker 1: easy conference, schedule so they've had a week schedule the
53:21
Speaker 1: last few weeks only be an army by seven of The.
53:25
Speaker 1: Army you, know they throw that triple option at, you
53:27
Speaker 1: so sometimes you're not ready for. It But tulane then
53:29
Speaker 1: went into a, bye so they went into a buy
53:32
Speaker 1: in a three game conference winning. Streak and Again i'm gonna,
53:35
Speaker 1: say you go into a buy and a win streak like,
53:37
Speaker 1: that it's a bad. Spot it can hurt your momentum
53:40
Speaker 1: a little bit and it's, like, well what are you gonna, Do,
53:41
Speaker 1: like you don't have anything to really. Fix now they're
53:44
Speaker 1: coming out of that by they have to play this
53:45
Speaker 1: utsa team WHO i think is actually pretty decent and
53:48
Speaker 1: actually under the radar right. Now and up next they Got. Memphis,
53:51
Speaker 1: man that's gonna be a huge game because if you
53:54
Speaker 1: look at the way the conference is playing out right
53:57
Speaker 1: now in The american you got two undefeated, Teams navy
54:00
Speaker 1: In tulane and The. Memphis South, Florida North texas And
54:03
Speaker 1: temple are all at three and one right behind, them
54:05
Speaker 1: And memphis is they're ranked as. WELL i, mean that's
54:07
Speaker 1: a huge game For tulane Facing memphis next SO i
54:10
Speaker 1: think they might get caught by THIS utsa team that's
54:13
Speaker 1: only one and two in conference at three and four.
54:15
Speaker 1: Overall BUT, UTSA i mean they have not played the
54:18
Speaker 1: easiest of schedules. Either who clicked on the wrong thing?
54:21
Speaker 1: THERE i want to SEE utsa SCHEDULE, Utsa and they
54:24
Speaker 1: had a lost To TEXAS a AND m where they
54:26
Speaker 1: were actually somewhat competitive in the. Game they actually covered the.
54:29
Speaker 1: Number all that was a garbage time touch down the covered.
54:32
Speaker 1: It and, YEAH i know they haven't played a difficult
54:34
Speaker 1: schedule since. Then they Played Texas. State we don't want
54:37
Speaker 1: to bring up again after the other. Day BUT i
54:39
Speaker 1: still Think Texas state is not as bad as people
54:41
Speaker 1: think they, are so that's not really a horrible loss FOR. Utsa,
54:46
Speaker 1: YES i know they haven't really beaten anybody. GOOD i
54:48
Speaker 1: mean their wins are AGAINST fcs incarnate, word they Beat
54:52
Speaker 1: Colorado state or they beat them on the. Road it's
54:54
Speaker 1: still not really easy to go in, there it's a
54:56
Speaker 1: high elevation and Beat colorado stateium The Colorado state's down this.
54:59
Speaker 1: Year they played really competitively against a pretty Solid temple
55:03
Speaker 1: team on the, road so that was a pretty good
55:04
Speaker 1: performance FROM. Utsa and then they Beat, rice but they Annihilated.
55:08
Speaker 1: RICE i, Mean rice is not a very good, team
55:11
Speaker 1: but they do try to throw the triple option at.
55:13
Speaker 1: You AND utsa absolutely drilled that. Team and then they
55:17
Speaker 1: Faced North texas and they got, obliterated and that's how
55:20
Speaker 1: they went into the buy In North. Texas as we,
55:22
Speaker 1: know they're one of the most prolific offenses in college
55:25
Speaker 1: football with mess To maker, there who set a single
55:29
Speaker 1: game RECORD i think for all levels of football IN us,
55:34
Speaker 1: history with like six hundred and ten pass yards or
55:36
Speaker 1: whatever it, was six oh eight. Whatever it was just
55:39
Speaker 1: really crazy there in that. Game SO, utsa they're just
55:42
Speaker 1: not built to come, back, Man BUT i don't think
55:44
Speaker 1: they're gonna need to be in this. Game the thing
55:46
Speaker 1: THAT utsa does well is you can see, here is
55:49
Speaker 1: they run the. Football they have multiple guys that can
55:51
Speaker 1: run the hell out of the. FOOTBALL i like underdogs like, that,
55:55
Speaker 1: man underdogs that can run the, football you. KNOW i like,
55:58
Speaker 1: That AND, UTSA i, MEAN i think they be a
56:00
Speaker 1: little bit underrated defensively, too even THOUGH i Know North
56:02
Speaker 1: texas were able to run away with. It BUT i
56:05
Speaker 1: also don't mind that BECAUSE utsa also went into a
56:08
Speaker 1: buy but they went into a buy and a bad.
56:10
Speaker 1: Note they got blown out By North texas going into the.
56:13
Speaker 1: Buy so you go into a buy and a bad,
56:14
Speaker 1: NOTE i think you're gonna use that buy to fix
56:16
Speaker 1: some things come out of that. Buy NOW utsa gets
56:19
Speaker 1: to host this game ON. ESPN i know they've done it,
56:21
Speaker 1: before BUT i THINK utsa has actually been fairly good
56:24
Speaker 1: in these primetime games they've been able to host, recently
56:27
Speaker 1: which they still don't get to do it that, often
56:29
Speaker 1: so this is the first time doing. It this, year
56:32
Speaker 1: they get to host the game ON. ESPN i think
56:35
Speaker 1: they're gonna be pumped for, it. MAN i think the
56:36
Speaker 1: crowd is gonna show up for. It it's gonna be
56:38
Speaker 1: in The Alamo. Dome it's gonna be Rocking. TULANE i,
56:43
Speaker 1: mean they've already played A thursday night. Game they're a
56:45
Speaker 1: little bit more used to it, already they got to
56:46
Speaker 1: host one. Already they're on the road this, time SO
56:49
Speaker 1: i think the game does mean more TO utsa for
56:51
Speaker 1: a lot of. Reasons THINK utsa a little bit under the.
56:53
Speaker 1: Radar and AGAIN utsa they're one and two in, conference
56:56
Speaker 1: but again their conference losses were To temple And North.
56:59
Speaker 1: Texas those are both good teams in the. Conference SO
57:02
Speaker 1: utsa has faced a much more difficult conference schedule so
57:05
Speaker 1: far Than chulane. Has and then, yeah they Annihilated, rice
57:09
Speaker 1: who's not, good but still they obviously took care of
57:12
Speaker 1: their business and that went and crushed. Them. YEAH i LIKE, utsa,
57:15
Speaker 1: man and they profile is a good underdog as long
57:18
Speaker 1: as they can stay in the. Game teams that run
57:21
Speaker 1: the football like that they can slow the game, down
57:23
Speaker 1: but they can that also can help their offense like
57:25
Speaker 1: actually gain yardage and move the football as long as
57:28
Speaker 1: the game doesn't get totally out of. HAND i think
57:30
Speaker 1: they're gonna be in this game from start to. FINISH
57:32
Speaker 1: i think it's gonna be. CLOSE i LIKE, utsa, man
57:37
Speaker 1: and especially BECAUSE i think the scheduling spot is. Better
57:39
Speaker 1: we have one of THOSE i call it the inverted by.
57:42
Speaker 1: Situation we Have tulane coming in off a bye that
57:45
Speaker 1: came at a bad time AND i think will stop their.
57:47
Speaker 1: Momentum AND utsa is coming out of a bye THAT
57:49
Speaker 1: i think came at a really good time where they
57:51
Speaker 1: can fix whatever went. Wrong SO i LIKE. Utsa it'll
57:55
Speaker 1: be a play for, me. Man we'll go with a
57:57
Speaker 1: primetime college football game? Here how about? That and then
58:00
Speaker 1: we'll go TO nfl. Here i'm not gonna give out
58:02
Speaker 1: a play on THIS nfl. GAME i don't love THE
58:04
Speaker 1: nfl card this week at. ALL i have one game
58:06
Speaker 1: that's surely gonna be a play, already WHICH i don't
58:09
Speaker 1: know if you guys want me to tell you what
58:10
Speaker 1: it is, now BUT i don't THINK i have, to
58:12
Speaker 1: BECAUSE i think you're gonna get a pretty fine number on. It,
58:15
Speaker 1: regardless it's gonna be a big time public. Fade dirty.
58:20
Speaker 1: Sock what's up? Man thanks for hanging. OUT. Nfl we
58:24
Speaker 1: Have Ravens dolphins. Here this is an interesting, one. MAN
58:27
Speaker 1: i don't really want to touch this. Game The ravens
58:31
Speaker 1: are down from an eight point favorite to a seven
58:32
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. Here i'm pretty sure that
58:35
Speaker 1: what this number is telling us is That Lamar jackson
58:38
Speaker 1: is actually going to play. HERE i don't know if
58:41
Speaker 1: they've completely announced that, yet SO i guess you still
58:43
Speaker 1: have to kind of wait and. See But Lamar JACKSON
58:46
Speaker 1: i think will come back in this. One The ravens
58:49
Speaker 1: sixty nine percent of, ticket seventy five percent of the
58:51
Speaker 1: casual on The. Ravens The ravens still a public side here.
58:55
Speaker 1: Though The ravens have a bad record right, now but
58:57
Speaker 1: OBVIOUSLY i keep telling you week after week The ravens
59:00
Speaker 1: are still one of the best teams in THE. Nfl
59:03
Speaker 1: they just they've had a, really really difficult. Schedule they
59:06
Speaker 1: had some bad. Breaks they Lost lamart for multiple. Games you,
59:10
Speaker 1: KNOW i, think AND i could still do this WHEN
59:15
Speaker 1: i mentioned, this when The ravens went to one and
59:17
Speaker 1: five Before pittsburgh lost their next, game you could have
59:20
Speaker 1: gotten a really nice price on The ravens to win
59:23
Speaker 1: THE Afc. North you could have gotten them as a slight.
59:25
Speaker 1: Underdog you could still get them at about minus one
59:27
Speaker 1: thirty to win the. DIVISION i think it's gonna. Happen.
59:30
Speaker 1: Man so this is just an, Aside LIKE i, think
59:33
Speaker 1: if you want to do something with The ravens right,
59:35
Speaker 1: NOW i think The ravens are gonna win this. DIVISION i, Mean,
59:38
Speaker 1: pittsburgh their defense has been. Bad they're not as good
59:41
Speaker 1: as they. Look this raven. TEAM i, mean look at
59:43
Speaker 1: their upcoming. Schedule they Got, Miami, minnesota who doesn't even
59:46
Speaker 1: have a quarterback basically right, Now, cleveland WHICH i think
59:49
Speaker 1: that's gonna be actually the most difficult of these games
59:51
Speaker 1: because it's a revenge spot For, cleveland it's on the.
59:54
Speaker 1: Road it will be a third straight game For, baltimore
59:56
Speaker 1: but it's Still, cleveland and then they have The jets
59:59
Speaker 1: so CLEAN i, mean excuse, Me baltimore probably at, worst
1:00:03
Speaker 1: they're gonna come out of that stretch winning three of
1:00:05
Speaker 1: those four, games and then they're gonna Face cincinnati And
1:00:08
Speaker 1: pittsburgh twice, still so they're gonna be able to overtake
1:00:13
Speaker 1: their you, know their divisional opponents who have a chance
1:00:15
Speaker 1: to win the division Because cleveland does. Not the division
1:00:18
Speaker 1: winner is obviously gonna be one of the Non cleveland.
1:00:22
Speaker 1: Teams so the fact That baltimore does all their games
1:00:24
Speaker 1: left Against cincinnati And pittsburgh and they'll be able to
1:00:27
Speaker 1: do that, theoretically at least with a healthy team at that,
1:00:30
Speaker 1: point With lamar back and, WHATEVER i Think baltimore is
1:00:33
Speaker 1: gonna win this. Division, nate what's up? Man thanks for hanging, OUT.
1:00:38
Speaker 1: Nfl i'm not gonna give out a play on. THIS
1:00:40
Speaker 1: i MEAN i have to give out an opinion on
1:00:43
Speaker 1: the side, though BECAUSE i always do and its, tradition
1:00:46
Speaker 1: And i'm Misster thursday night Because i'm now eight to
1:00:48
Speaker 1: oh in The thursday night games two to zero in
1:00:51
Speaker 1: my play is On Thursday. Night we had a nice
1:00:53
Speaker 1: easy win last week on The. Chargers this GAME i
1:00:58
Speaker 1: don't like, though So i'm not giving it out as a,
1:00:59
Speaker 1: play BUT i will have a slight opinion on. It but,
1:01:02
Speaker 1: yeah The. RAVENS i gave them out as a play last.
1:01:05
Speaker 1: Week they came out of the, bye so, anyway, YEAH
1:01:08
Speaker 1: i would if you want to play The ravens in some,
1:01:09
Speaker 1: way you could play them to win THE nf THE.
1:01:11
Speaker 1: Afc NO i keep SAYING nfc THE Afc. NORTH i
1:01:14
Speaker 1: THINK i think they're gonna win that win that, division
1:01:18
Speaker 1: but they're coming on a nice bounce back. WIN i
1:01:20
Speaker 1: gave out The ravens as a play last week for that,
1:01:22
Speaker 1: reason and LUCKILY i do my show late because although
1:01:26
Speaker 1: it didn't matter because they covered the larger number, two
1:01:29
Speaker 1: but they were like a seven point favorite With lamar
1:01:31
Speaker 1: scheduled to come back and then he didn't come. Back
1:01:33
Speaker 1: BUT i liked that better Because Tyler huntley played like
1:01:38
Speaker 1: this year a little, bit and he was really familiar
1:01:40
Speaker 1: with The baltimore system because he used to be On.
1:01:42
Speaker 1: Baltimore SO i actually liked how that set. Up they
1:01:44
Speaker 1: came out of the, bye they got the job done Against,
1:01:46
Speaker 1: chicago But baltimore's offense wasn't that great in this. Game Just.
1:01:51
Speaker 1: Chicago they got. Problems, Man i'm not A Caleb williams. Believer. Baltimore,
1:01:57
Speaker 1: yeah they got, that they got the job done for,
1:01:59
Speaker 1: us they, won but they actually got outgained by The
1:02:01
Speaker 1: bears in this. Game SO i have some hesitations About
1:02:04
Speaker 1: baltimore right now for that. Reason that game was a
1:02:06
Speaker 1: little bit better than it. Looked and now this is
1:02:09
Speaker 1: gonna be their second game out of the by and,
1:02:12
Speaker 1: yeah they're hosting. It it's a primetime. Game they got
1:02:14
Speaker 1: to keep, winning, obviously because they can't really afford to
1:02:16
Speaker 1: lose very many more games here or not that they're
1:02:20
Speaker 1: not hosting, it they're on the, road my. Mistake but
1:02:22
Speaker 1: still they're gonna try to win all these. Games BUT
1:02:25
Speaker 1: i don't know the spot is as good for. Them
1:02:27
Speaker 1: and If Lamar jackson is coming, back you know WHAT
1:02:29
Speaker 1: i say about. THIS i keep telling you that when
1:02:35
Speaker 1: the injured player comes, back it's the reverse injured player.
1:02:37
Speaker 1: Spot and what will happen is the line will, move
1:02:40
Speaker 1: WHICH i think it. HAS i think this line is
1:02:41
Speaker 1: indicating That Lamar jackson is playing because The ravens are
1:02:44
Speaker 1: seven and a half point road favorite, here and when that,
1:02:49
Speaker 1: happens you, know he's got to still get back up to,
1:02:51
Speaker 1: speed like he hasn't played a game, yet so he's
1:02:53
Speaker 1: got to work his way. Back the team has to
1:02:54
Speaker 1: get used to him being. Back after winning last, week
1:02:57
Speaker 1: the team can like kind of take their foot off
1:02:58
Speaker 1: the gas maybe a little. BIT i think maybe it'll
1:03:01
Speaker 1: be a little bit easier to Beat miami here At.
1:03:03
Speaker 1: BALTIMORE i, believe If i'm not, mistaken they actually completely
1:03:06
Speaker 1: Throttled miami last, year. RIGHT i THINK i lost a
1:03:09
Speaker 1: play on that one. Too was that last year or
1:03:11
Speaker 1: was that two years? Ago? Now, FUCK i Think i'm misremembering.
1:03:15
Speaker 1: THAT i think it was two years. AGO i think
1:03:17
Speaker 1: they didn't even Play miami last year, though so maybe
1:03:19
Speaker 1: it is still a revenge. SPOT i don't know WHY
1:03:21
Speaker 1: i remember that game BECAUSE i gave it a play on,
1:03:23
Speaker 1: It BUT i don't know If miami is gonna remember
1:03:25
Speaker 1: that not. Yet this was the Game baltimore. Hosted miami
1:03:28
Speaker 1: beat them fifty six to, nineteen AND i thought it
1:03:30
Speaker 1: was a bad spot Because baltimore was coming up that
1:03:33
Speaker 1: really Big christmas game Against San francisco and they Had
1:03:36
Speaker 1: pittsburgh up. Next seemed like a big time sandwich spot
1:03:39
Speaker 1: AND i didn't get it right in that. One is
1:03:41
Speaker 1: that gonna mean it's revenge two years? LATER i don't,
1:03:44
Speaker 1: know but a lot of these players are still, there
1:03:47
Speaker 1: so Maybe miami remembers. That BUT i wouldn't take that
1:03:50
Speaker 1: into account that. MUCH i just have that in my.
1:03:52
Speaker 1: Mind maybe there's like an additional motivational angle here From.
1:03:56
Speaker 1: Miami what else are they gonna say about? THIS i
1:03:59
Speaker 1: don't even, remember but, Yeah, baltimore it is possible they
1:04:04
Speaker 1: kind of Take miami a little bit lightly, though is
1:04:05
Speaker 1: WHAT i was, saying especially With lamar coming. Back so
1:04:08
Speaker 1: you're Asking baltimore to cover a big number on the road.
1:04:10
Speaker 1: Here not sure THAT i totally love. It and, Yes
1:04:13
Speaker 1: miami's coming off a win that made them look too
1:04:16
Speaker 1: good Against, atlanta And Kirk cousins was just horrific in this.
1:04:20
Speaker 1: GAME i couldn't believe how bad he was in this.
1:04:22
Speaker 1: Game it ended my survivor just absolutely. TERRIBLE i wasn't
1:04:26
Speaker 1: really a misleading final. THOUGH i, Mean miami did just dominate.
1:04:30
Speaker 1: Them atlanta just did not move the ball in this.
1:04:33
Speaker 1: Game there weren't really many turnovers, here only one. Turnover
1:04:36
Speaker 1: miami just had the upper hand in this, game so
1:04:38
Speaker 1: it wasn't really. Misleading, normally when a team like just
1:04:41
Speaker 1: destroys an opponent like that as an underdog Like miami
1:04:44
Speaker 1: did a seven and a half point road, underdog, Normally
1:04:46
Speaker 1: i'm gonna be looking to go against, Them But i'm
1:04:48
Speaker 1: not gonna be looking to do that. HERE i, MEAN
1:04:50
Speaker 1: i think they're gonna consider this to be a big
1:04:51
Speaker 1: game Against. Baltimore McDaniel his coaching tenures on the line. Here,
1:04:57
Speaker 1: STILL i think that win could also kind of help
1:04:59
Speaker 1: them because they had lost three games in a row
1:05:02
Speaker 1: and getting a win can maybe give them a little
1:05:04
Speaker 1: bit of momentum moving forward. Here SO i Actually i'm
1:05:08
Speaker 1: gonna lead To miami plus the points in this, one.
1:05:11
Speaker 1: MAN i think that's if you have to play this
1:05:13
Speaker 1: game on the, side that's the WAY i would do.
1:05:14
Speaker 1: It there's no Way i'm actually gonna do. It but
1:05:16
Speaker 1: you got the reverse in your player spot coming into
1:05:18
Speaker 1: play at least on the side of The ravens, There
1:05:21
Speaker 1: SO i would lean to taking the points Of. Miami
1:05:23
Speaker 1: the total's gone way up from forty eight and a
1:05:25
Speaker 1: half to fifty. ONE i think part of that is
1:05:27
Speaker 1: also Because Lamar jackson is coming. BACK i would actually
1:05:30
Speaker 1: probably lean to an under in this, game though it's
1:05:32
Speaker 1: A thursday night, game and you, know, WELL i also
1:05:35
Speaker 1: talk about These thursday night, games and the road team
1:05:38
Speaker 1: actually is worse off On thursday, nights especially when they're
1:05:42
Speaker 1: going to an opponent where they don't usually play, there
1:05:44
Speaker 1: which is the case. Here baltimore is not very familiar
1:05:47
Speaker 1: with going To. Miami so the home team they have
1:05:50
Speaker 1: like the quicker turnaround, time right because they're playing at
1:05:53
Speaker 1: their own, home, Right so THE i mean in the
1:05:56
Speaker 1: quick turnaround, time they can deal with the quicker turnaround
1:05:58
Speaker 1: time better and prepare more easily because they're just used
1:06:02
Speaker 1: to playing, there whereas the road team isn't really used
1:06:04
Speaker 1: to playing. There and AS i just, SHOWED i don't
1:06:06
Speaker 1: think The ravens have played In miami for, years so
1:06:09
Speaker 1: that's a little bit of a concern as well for
1:06:11
Speaker 1: The ravens. Here so the quick turnaround time actually does
1:06:14
Speaker 1: help the home team as. Well But i'm also gonna
1:06:18
Speaker 1: lead to the under of this game a little. Bit
1:06:20
Speaker 1: unders do happen quite often On. THURSDAY i know they
1:06:24
Speaker 1: have been more AND i think like divisional matchups because
1:06:27
Speaker 1: the divisional teams they know how to defend each other
1:06:29
Speaker 1: because they know each. Other BUT i think this line
1:06:31
Speaker 1: has overreacted a little bit To Lamar jackson coming. Back
1:06:34
Speaker 1: seventy four percent of tickets on the, over seventy one
1:06:36
Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the, over so the money
1:06:39
Speaker 1: is indicating on the under a little. Bit thinking this
1:06:41
Speaker 1: is an. Overreaction the public's gonna come in want to
1:06:44
Speaker 1: take the, over especially because actually both of these defenses
1:06:47
Speaker 1: have been pretty bad this. YEAR i think The ravens
1:06:50
Speaker 1: defense is actually, improving though they were bad to start the,
1:06:53
Speaker 1: season just kind of inexplicably. Bad they're usually not that bad.
1:06:56
Speaker 1: Defensively obviously they're more of an offensive team. Now Though,
1:07:00
Speaker 1: DOLPHINS i, mean their defense. Sucks we know. That SO
1:07:03
Speaker 1: i don't really know IF i necessarily want to have
1:07:04
Speaker 1: my money on the under in this, game BUT i
1:07:06
Speaker 1: do think it's maybe it's worthy of. Consideration at LEAST
1:07:10
Speaker 1: i would not want to play the, over though in this,
1:07:12
Speaker 1: ONE i think there is maybe a little bit of
1:07:14
Speaker 1: value on the, under but seems a little bit iffy
1:07:17
Speaker 1: AND i don't do a whole lot with, totals so
1:07:19
Speaker 1: slightlying there in the under and also a little bit
1:07:22
Speaker 1: of a lean on The dolphins plus the points in that,
1:07:24
Speaker 1: one putting My Thursday night record at steak yet. Again
1:07:30
Speaker 1: although not gonna give out a play on that one
1:07:35
Speaker 1: under For Broncos. Texans my first reaction and that was
1:07:41
Speaker 1: towards the under in that game seventy percent of the cash,
1:07:45
Speaker 1: off seventy percent of, tickets fifty seven percent of the
1:07:47
Speaker 1: cash on the. Under the total actually went up from
1:07:49
Speaker 1: thirty eight and a half to. FORTY i would kind
1:07:52
Speaker 1: of wait on that and see if you get forty,
1:07:54
Speaker 1: one because forty one is a key. NUMBER i agree
1:07:58
Speaker 1: with the under, THOUGH i, mean you have two solid,
1:08:01
Speaker 1: Defenses Broncos. TEXAS i, Mean i'll talk about it more
1:08:03
Speaker 1: on THE Nfl, show but, yeah those are two good.
1:08:05
Speaker 1: DEFENSES i don't trust either offense, really SO i think
1:08:09
Speaker 1: the under is certainly worthy of consideration in that. ONE
1:08:12
Speaker 1: i think it's gonna be a pretty ugly game just.
1:08:15
Speaker 1: Generally so, YEAH i don't disagree with, that And i'm
1:08:18
Speaker 1: probably gonna be leaning to The houston side and that one,
1:08:20
Speaker 1: too but we'll see what maybe gets sober, health, YEAH
1:08:28
Speaker 1: i mean just mental and physical mental and physical health not. Great,
1:08:33
Speaker 1: YEAH i MEAN i was just drinking way too, much
1:08:35
Speaker 1: drinking to. Excess you, know didn't like WHO i was
1:08:39
Speaker 1: WHEN i was. DRUNK i, was you, know kind of
1:08:40
Speaker 1: a dick and. Whatever BUT i ALSO i Didn't Adrian
1:08:43
Speaker 1: peterson it really BUT i did crash my vehicle on
1:08:48
Speaker 1: the the day that mask mandates. LIFTED i wasn't like
1:08:54
Speaker 1: it certainly was not my drunkest. State but it was
1:08:57
Speaker 1: like a you, know a hunch of things came into
1:09:01
Speaker 1: play at. Once it was like, dusk it was bad,
1:09:03
Speaker 1: weather it was this really bad turn off of the.
1:09:05
Speaker 1: HIGHWAY a few beers and all of that coalesce into
1:09:09
Speaker 1: one AND i hit uh telephone, bowl totaled my. Car
1:09:13
Speaker 1: i'd had that car for like eleven, years so it
1:09:15
Speaker 1: was about time for me to get a new. Car,
1:09:17
Speaker 1: Anyway but there was no nothing legal. Happened the town
1:09:23
Speaker 1: town police were really nice to. ME i was injured
1:09:25
Speaker 1: and then the LIKE i, HAD i was like bleeding
1:09:29
Speaker 1: from the face and. WHATEVER i had temple, laceration broken, nose.
1:09:32
Speaker 1: Whatever the e mts showed up and they were, like get,
1:09:35
Speaker 1: in get in the. Ambulance i'm, like, No i'm, fine
1:09:37
Speaker 1: but they were, like, no get, in BECAUSE i think
1:09:39
Speaker 1: what they were doing is get, in we're gonna take
1:09:41
Speaker 1: you to the. Er don't be here when the uh
1:09:44
Speaker 1: when the state police show up because it happened on
1:09:47
Speaker 1: a on a state, route so the state police are
1:09:50
Speaker 1: gonna show up. Town the town police were really. Nice
1:09:52
Speaker 1: they weren't gonna do anything to. Me THE EMTs were
1:09:55
Speaker 1: really nice as, well AND i didn't realize that that's
1:09:56
Speaker 1: what they were, doing like trying to get me away
1:09:59
Speaker 1: from the like make SURE i was gone before state
1:10:02
Speaker 1: police showed. Up but that is what. HAPPENED i went
1:10:04
Speaker 1: with THE. EMTs i got in the. Ambulance might have
1:10:08
Speaker 1: been the. Er the er for five fucking. Hours that was.
1:10:13
Speaker 1: Dude the day the mask mandates lived. In everybody was out. Drinking,
1:10:16
Speaker 1: man there were so many people in the. ER i
1:10:18
Speaker 1: had to wait five hours for A ct scan just
1:10:21
Speaker 1: so they could release me and just be sure THAT
1:10:23
Speaker 1: i didn't have a head. Injury it was. Ridiculous it
1:10:28
Speaker 1: was a twenty ten Blue Ford Focus Ford Focus sees or,
1:10:35
Speaker 1: whatever the slightly higher end model Of i've totaled Too
1:10:39
Speaker 1: Ford folk. Guy the first one THAT i told. IT
1:10:43
Speaker 1: i only had it for like a year or, so
1:10:45
Speaker 1: AND i swerved to avoid a. SQUIRREL i was totally
1:10:48
Speaker 1: sober and it was just an idiotic. SITUATION i crashed
1:10:52
Speaker 1: my car then as. Well But i'm driving A bronco, now,
1:10:57
Speaker 1: baby not a Day. Bronco, hey every everything is a, simulation,
1:11:02
Speaker 1: man The Denver. BRONCOS i am driving a Non Denver.
1:11:05
Speaker 1: Bronco it's only A broncos sport, though because those came
1:11:08
Speaker 1: out before the new full Sized. Broncos BUT i like
1:11:12
Speaker 1: The broncos sport. Though it's tough and. Maneuverable you you
1:11:18
Speaker 1: total the focus in a dy as, well you're incriminating. Yourself,
1:11:21
Speaker 1: man don't do, that ALTHOUGH i guess MAYBE i. DID
1:11:24
Speaker 1: i don't. Know let's satinal limitations is over what's not
1:11:29
Speaker 1: a good car? Fantasy bonnicks Or Jordan? Love who are
1:11:33
Speaker 1: The Oh Jordan. LOVE i don't even think that's a.
1:11:37
Speaker 1: Question bonnick sucks and he's he's playing a good. Defense
1:11:41
Speaker 1: Jordan love is playing a ship deepfense in The. Panthers,
1:11:44
Speaker 1: YEAH i don't think there's any. QUESTION i don't even
1:11:45
Speaker 1: have to look at the. NUMBERS i don't think there's
1:11:47
Speaker 1: any question about, That Jordan Love all, Right, OH i
1:11:53
Speaker 1: was gonna. Answer, uh that's the, play by the. Way
1:11:56
Speaker 1: oh my, god another. Segue we're in a simulation that
1:11:59
Speaker 1: is fade the public Play Carolina panther's plus the. Points
1:12:02
Speaker 1: it's a horrific spot for The. PACKERS i identified it
1:12:05
Speaker 1: almost right. AWAY i think you can actually wait on
1:12:08
Speaker 1: that and see if you can actually get the number
1:12:10
Speaker 1: to get up to. FOURTEEN i don't know think there's
1:12:12
Speaker 1: any rush on playing that right. Now if you get,
1:12:14
Speaker 1: thirteen thirteen and a, half, whatever it doesn't really. Matter
1:12:17
Speaker 1: if it gets to, fourteen that'll be even. Greater i'll
1:12:21
Speaker 1: talk about it on MY nfl. Show but, YEAH i
1:12:23
Speaker 1: think it's it's the best play of the week in my.
1:12:26
Speaker 1: Opinion you played. Him hell. Yeah i'm not much of
1:12:30
Speaker 1: a fantasy guy, really Though i'm seven to one of
1:12:32
Speaker 1: my main. League this, Year i've been good in. Fantasy
1:12:34
Speaker 1: BUT i don't. Know you paid your. Fine there you, go,
1:12:38
Speaker 1: man all, right that's gonna do. It thanks guys for hanging.
1:12:40
Speaker 1: OUT i appreciate. IT i appreciate the new faces here as.
1:12:43
Speaker 1: WELL i appreciate the the. REGULARS i appreciate it all
1:12:47
Speaker 1: man in the banter, HERE i gotta get this show.
1:12:50
Speaker 1: UP i gotta get some food, here eat. LUNCH i,
1:12:53
Speaker 1: mean once, again the. PLAYS i don't know IF i love,
1:12:55
Speaker 1: these but, hockey we got The lightning money line and
1:12:58
Speaker 1: we got The. PREDATORS i don't, know maybe that would
1:13:03
Speaker 1: be a better name For israel if they had a
1:13:05
Speaker 1: pro hockey, team The, Predators predator's money. Line and Then
1:13:08
Speaker 1: i'm gonna go with the college Football Texas San antonio
1:13:11
Speaker 1: plus the. Six don't think you're gonna get to the
1:13:13
Speaker 1: seven on. THAT i, mean you don't really have to
1:13:15
Speaker 1: play it. NOW i wouldn't, say But i'm pretty sure
1:13:18
Speaker 1: it's not gonna hit. Seven so whatever you want to
1:13:20
Speaker 1: do with that. ONE i like the spot for, them,
1:13:23
Speaker 1: though that's gonna do. It learn it tone On, twitter
1:13:26
Speaker 1: learn it tone On. Instagram we'll see IF i change
1:13:28
Speaker 1: the name of the. Show jeffrey has Suggested Toadstool. SPORTS
1:13:32
Speaker 1: i don't know IF i want to do that or.
1:13:33
Speaker 1: Not Mister, pinsey thanks for hanging out, man sticking around
1:13:36
Speaker 1: for my long. Ramblings dallas is missing three centers according To,
1:13:41
Speaker 1: Nate i'm not even looking at the personnel man that
1:13:43
Speaker 1: factors into the line a little bit though maybe maybe
1:13:47
Speaker 1: not enough. THOUGH i, MEAN i don't know hockey. INJURIES
1:13:49
Speaker 1: i just don't think factor to the line that. Much
1:13:51
Speaker 1: but that's like a cluster injury, situation so it matters
1:13:55
Speaker 1: a little bit. More that's gonna do. It learn it
1:13:57
Speaker 1: tone On, twitter learn it tone On. Instagram don't know
1:13:59
Speaker 1: If i'm changing this to Toadstool sports or. NOT i
1:14:02
Speaker 1: kind of like. It i'm mulling it over BECAUSE i
1:14:05
Speaker 1: don't have good seo right, now even THOUGH i like
1:14:07
Speaker 1: the pun in my. Name here learn it Toad, Yeah, Twitter,
1:14:11
Speaker 1: instagram like and subscribe to the show. Here, man it
1:14:13
Speaker 1: helps me out on, YouTube give me a good review
1:14:17
Speaker 1: On spotify And apple as. Well people complaining about the
1:14:20
Speaker 1: ads On spotify and whatever and On. Apple that's HOW
1:14:24
Speaker 1: i monetize, it, MAN i, mean that's that's that is
1:14:27
Speaker 1: the way that it. GOES i don't know if there's
1:14:29
Speaker 1: some way that you can somehow skip ads in some podcast,
1:14:34
Speaker 1: PLAYERS i don't. KNOW i don't know exactly how it,
1:14:35
Speaker 1: works but that the way if you want to get it,
1:14:38
Speaker 1: monetized you got to put ads on. It so that's
1:14:40
Speaker 1: What i'm. DOING i Know i'm selling out, yeah. Totally
1:14:43
Speaker 1: i've only made like four bucks off at so, far
1:14:46
Speaker 1: so AND i haven't Even you don't see any of
1:14:48
Speaker 1: the money until you make at least ten dollars. Zoo
1:14:51
Speaker 1: i'm really rolling in it, now, MAN i should be
1:14:53
Speaker 1: betting these. Games i've been so hot right. Now but,
1:14:56
Speaker 1: yeah give me a. Review listening that all helps me
1:14:59
Speaker 1: out On, spotify An, apple and then covered In yuke
1:15:02
Speaker 1: is My yuke channel on YouTube. Up probably try to
1:15:04
Speaker 1: get one More halloween cover and if my voice holds,
1:15:07
Speaker 1: UP i gotta get the feed up for the Patreons
1:15:11
Speaker 1: patreon dot com slash Learned. Tone i'm gonna just barrage
1:15:14
Speaker 1: them with all the rest of The halloween ones THAT
1:15:15
Speaker 1: i haven't put up yet That i've done so. FAR
1:15:17
Speaker 1: i gotta do that probably, today HOPEFULLY i can get that.
1:15:19
Speaker 1: Done it's it's a, process, MAN i gotta like download the.
1:15:22
Speaker 1: VIDEO i gotta convert it to. Audio it's a whole. Thing,
1:15:25
Speaker 1: Uh it's, yeah it takes a little. WHILE i gotta
1:15:28
Speaker 1: get it done. Though patreon dot com slash Learned tone
1:15:30
Speaker 1: if you want to help me out, there we got
1:15:32
Speaker 1: it's all yuke content right. Now The Yuke spotify feed
1:15:35
Speaker 1: and then a highest level you get prioritized, requests WHICH
1:15:39
Speaker 1: i did one for our Man charles already with the,
1:15:42
Speaker 1: mash The Monster. Mash all, right that's gonna do. It
1:15:49
Speaker 1: roop and and Du. Shane, yeah Or roopie And. DUSHANE
1:15:53
Speaker 1: i thought, that Said, Rope i'm, like oh, god you like.
1:15:55
Speaker 1: Toadstool everybody likes Toad, still all, right Maybe i'll do.
1:15:58
Speaker 1: It i'm probably gonna just HAVE ai generate a logo for,
1:16:02
Speaker 1: it though HOPEFULLY i don't get sued By Dave portnoy
1:16:06
Speaker 1: or By. Nintendo that's gonna do, it, MAN i appreciate.
1:16:09
Speaker 1: It thanks for hanging out this. Morning Happy. Thursday i'll
1:16:12
Speaker 1: be Back. Tomorrow is gonna be two shows because we're
1:16:14
Speaker 1: gonna do all the morning show as, usual and then
1:16:17
Speaker 1: of course the college football show THAT i do On
1:16:19
Speaker 1: friday night that really like just completely takes. Me it
1:16:23
Speaker 1: takes me out of it and makes me sick every
1:16:27
Speaker 1: like early every. Week so, Yeah i'll be back with.
1:16:31
Speaker 1: Those thanks, GUYS i appreciate. It peace for, now