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NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NFL Best Bets Thursday 12/4/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man with Wickens,
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins haack, Man,
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: arch hape? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die, at
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: go well for me. Own five. The worst month that
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slump, the slump discontinues, the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: should do at this point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody's sewed? Back with you with Toadstool Sports Thursday,
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: December fourth. We had a winning day on the show
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: yesterday four and three. You know, Uh, basically that was
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: the minimum that I require to not be totally angry
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: about it. Jeffrey, what's up? Thanks for hanging out? Started
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: out well, Uh, Minnesota got the outright win, so it
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: didn't even matter what number you're going to Minnesota in
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: college basketball if you played at Minnesota, nice outright win
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: there as a big underdog there. Central Connecticut just got
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: within that number. I'm assuming everybody got sixteen and a
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: half or better. The number was seventeen and a half
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: later in the days, so they I believe they lost
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: by sixteen, so they covered those numbers. Hopefully people got
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: the right number on that. I don't know if it
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: was ever lower than that though, but they were just
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: hanging around in that game and got within that number,
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: and maybe I shouldn't have added these two extra plays.
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: You know, I got to stop doing that because obviously
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: when I do that, they're a little bit weaker. Saint
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: Thomas did not get there. I mean they were, They
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: had chances to do that. I mean they were in
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: that game. They were winning the game outright pretty late
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: in the game, at probably multiple points, and then they
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: mound up losing. There might have been some intentional free
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: throws happening at the end. I don't know what that was.
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: They lost, I don't know by several points. Probably Denver
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: did get there. Denver was winning the majority of their game,
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: but they couldn't really get a ton of mone margin there.
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: And then that might have come down to some intentional
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: fouls at the end as well, because they retook the
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: lead again. They were losing slightly later in the game,
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: but they got there. LA Clippers dominant win when when?
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: When would you ever say that? But yeah, the Clippers
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: got there. Charlotte Hornets, I'm gonna say that was somewhat bullshit.
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: And hold on, I'm gonna bring up the box scores here.
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: Maybe not in the browser, well I could if you want. Whatever,
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: I'm still kind of pissed about both these losses because
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: I don't really think that either of them should have
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: been losses. I mean, Charlotte was in this game for
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: a while. Chances to at least cover this thing. Uh No,
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: it wasn't as crazy as I thought. But actually, hang on,
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: I thought that the amount of field goal attempts was
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: like way disparate though in this game. Let me see,
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: Charlotte had ninety No Charlotte had Yeah, Charlotte had more
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: free more field goal attempts only by two though, but still,
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: if you have more field goal attempts at all, like
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: that's a pretty good sign that you're gonna cover as
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: an underdog. And they didn't. They got outshot from the
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: free throw line, of course, because you know the Knicks
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: are gonna get some of the some of the favorable calls.
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know. That game wasn't that extreme, I guess,
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: but statistically the game looks like it should have been
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: closer than that Vinyl was. But really, I'm pissed about
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: the Miami Dallas one because this game, this game was
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: not what it looked like on the scoreboard at all.
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, you had Dallas shooting fifty one percent from
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: the field and fifty percent from three. Give me a break, dude,
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: I mean that doesn't just come down to bad defense whatever,
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: Like this is an outlier. This should not have happened.
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: I'm still pissed about it. And I'm pretty sure that
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: Miami had a ton more field goal attempts in this
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: game too. They had one hundred and one. Dallas only
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: had ninety one. So you're telling me that the team
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: with ten more field goal attempts lost the game by
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: double digits. I mean that never happens. So I don't
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: I really think I was wrong in my assessment of
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: this game. Really, I don't know. I'm just really pissed
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: about this one. Those field goal percentages are definitely outliers.
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: I'm angry. And then, yeah, that was it. I guess yesterday,
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: so that was the four and three. I didn't have it.
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: I haven't had hockey for multiple days, and I don't
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: love the hockey board tonight either. I'm gonna give about
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: one play, but I don't even know if I should,
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: to be honest, because this hockey. I don't like what
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: I'm seeing in hockey recently at all. I'm just not
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: seeing any spots that I want to jump in on.
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have two college basketball plays, one NBA play,
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: and I am gonna have a play on the NFL
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: game as well, hopefully getting back to being mister Thursday
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: night after I actually took a loss in one because
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: on Thursday night I'm ten two and one, but the
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: plays that I've given out are three and one, so
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know, it could be better, sob ran up
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: the square. Yeah, the Mammoth are an easy win. Yees
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: seven and nine. I'm sure there was something misleading about that,
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: but obviously they were the right side. Nine steals and
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: six blocks. Yeah, I mean the Knicks are. I mean,
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: they're a good defensive team, but defense is not exactly
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: the only thing that it takes to cover as a
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: huge favorite like them, which is why I like to
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: fade teams with good defense in some spots when they're
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: laying a bunch of points. All Right, college basketball, there's
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: a small board here, not a whole lot to talk about.
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: The Utah State South Florida is actually the best, probably
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: the best game on the on the slate here, which
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: is not saying much for what's going on here, but
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: I like it because this is easier to handicap Utah State.
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: I talked about this game yesterday in my Montana State
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: handicap Utah State played pretty poorly in that game is
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: a huge favorite. They almost lost the game outright, So
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: first reaction would be, well, they're going to bounce back
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: from that, because when a good team has a bad
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: performance like that and they basically get are they usually
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: come with focus. But this is going to be their
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: first true road game of the season, and they're having
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: to go to the Tampa area, I guess is where
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: South Florida is. So I don't love that, you know me,
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: I don't love teams playing in weird environments and on
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: their first true road game, So I don't love that
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: South Florida. They were just involved in some tournament here.
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: They were in the Bahamas. I guess that's not much
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: of a trip back to Florida. They didn't do that
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: well in that tournament. But I mean you can kind
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: of excuse losses to VCU in Colorado State. I mean
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: those are not terrible teams. Obviously. Utah State, however, is
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: a step up. So the only team at South Florida's
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: played this year that's as good as Utah State or
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: better I would say, is VCU and they did lose
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: that game by double digits. So what do we do
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: with this game? Well, I mean it's a stay away,
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: but it's an interesting one in Utah State's not favored
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: by that much. They're down from two to one and
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: a half, fifty three percent of tickets on them, sixty
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on sell. Florida's to the
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: market read at least right now is definitely saying South Florida.
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: But with Utah State being what should be a focused spot,
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: I don't really want to go that way. But obviously
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: the fact that it's the first true road game in
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: an unfamiliar venue is is definitely a concern for Utah State.
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: Let's just put it that way, all right, best bets.
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: Hopefully I'm gonna get these right, man, because some of
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: these plays today are ugly, but I mean that's a
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: lot of a lot of times. That's the case with me.
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: We're gonna be on this. Hold on a minute, dude,
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: I I can't stand this stream yard thing now where
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: all the banners default to having a timer on them. Now,
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: like why did they do this? And there's no setting
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: you can't like there's no setting where you can change
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: the default on it, and I don't think unless I
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: just haven't found it yet. I mean, this is a
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: BS dude, all right, we're gonna be on ride or
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: plus nine. I mean, yeah, this is I know, this
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: is ridiculously ugly. Although their opponent is all so ugly here,
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: Ryder is the worst team. Ryder is terrible. I get
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: all that, but we're gonna do it anyway. Ryder's coming
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: off maybe the worst game they possibly could have had
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: against Coppin State. Ryder I think was probably about an
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: eight and a half nine point favorite in that game.
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: Coppon State is one of the absolute worst teams in
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: all Division one. I mean, I know Ryder is like
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: a bottom thirty team as well, but Coppin State is
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: real bad. And Ryder lost this game outright at home.
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: And this is a terrible, terrible performance from Ryder here.
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: They were awful shooting in the game thirty percent from
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: the field, twenty eight percent from three Coppin State forty
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: five percent from three some outliers there. I think Ryder
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: shows up with a better performance after that, and if
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: you look at their schedule, they were coming off of
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: playing Texas and Houston, even though they didn't play them close,
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: but still, I think maybe those games just kind of
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: took a lot out of them, so maybe it was
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: kind of a bad spot for that reason. So I
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: kind of think they bounce back here man and for Ryder,
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: the least you could say about them is that they're
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: extremely battle tested because they've roaded games already against Virginia, Rutgers, Texas,
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: and Houston. So I know Ryders is not good, but
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: they've played a lot of good opponents. So Merrimack is
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: going to be the second worst D one opponent that
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: they faced so far this year. Merrimack is better than
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: copp and State, Yeah, but Merrimack is also not in
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: a good spot here. If you look at Merrimack here, Yeah,
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: they're reasonably battle tested as well, not as battle tested,
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: but they did play Auburn and Florida. They got smoked
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: in both of those games on the road. Merrimack is
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: coming off of playing in this Pennsylvania Philadelphia tournament thing
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: and they pulled off a mild upset of LaSalle in
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: the last game. So I don't know. I think this
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: is more about Ryder being focused here but I think
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: Merrimack might kind of be in a bad spot after
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: that too, even though that did break a low streak
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: for them. I don't know if I love it, man,
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: And they do have Fairfield coming up after this, and
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: maybe they consider that to be just because that's a
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: new England game there, So I don't know, man, they
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: might not take Riders seriously. Plus, Merrimack is a team
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: it's not exactly equipped to cover a large number like this.
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: You really want to lay points with Merrimack when they
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: have a terrible offense. They're two hundred and eighty eighth
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: offensively out of three hundred and sixty five teams, and
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: they play really slow to eighty nine tempo wise, not
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: really a good recipe for covering a number, man. So
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: that's what we're gonna do. We We're gonna fade them.
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: Ken Bumb also has them seventy seventh in lock. He
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: has rider fourth strongest strength of schedule face so far
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: two hundred fortieth and luck, so he has them in
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: the bottom almost bottom third of luck basically. And they
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: also play slow, So Merrimack is not gonna be frustrating
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: them by playing slow because they also do that. So
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: I don't know. This looks like a recipe for a game.
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: It's just gonna be monstrously ugly, and potentially either team
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: could win the game. Money is coming in and ride
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: or it looks like for now Merrimack seventy the tickets
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: on them seventy eight percent of the cash on rider.
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: The number looks like it's actually eight eight and a
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: half now, but hopefully there shouldn't be too much of
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: a difference between that and nine. So we're gonna take
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: the points here. Also a very low total as expected
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: of one hundred and thirty five and a half, so
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: the points worth a little bit more in a game
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: like this. I'm thinking it's gonna be just a horrendously
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: ugly game. I mean, I don't think you should really
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: ever be laying this many points with Merrimac. So that's
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: what we're gonna do in this one ride or plus
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: the points, all right? And I don't know. Maybe I
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: don't know if it's because I'm focused more on some
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: of these games because there are so few, or if
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: I actually like these games as much as I would otherwise,
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: Like if this is a full Saturday, would I give
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: that out as a play? I don't know. If the
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: answer is not yes, maybe I shouldn't give that out
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: as a play, but I am all right. Robert Morris
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: a Green Bay, just pointing it out because we're starting
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: conference play here, man, so it's kind of interesting. This
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: is a Horizon League matchup here. Robert Morris won the
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: Horizon last year Green Bay on a little bit of
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: a a three game run. They actually did not suffer
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: the letdown after they played well at the end of
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: that Caribbean tournament. They were in whatever it was the
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: Virgin Islands where they beat UMass and I own a
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: couple of upsets there that they pulled off. They didn't
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: suffer the letdown, and I think they will be focused
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: because Robert Morris, again, they won this conference last year,
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: so I think they'll have a little bit of a
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: target on their back coming into conference play. Robert Morris
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: is also coming into this with momentum, though they've already
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: played multiple road games, so they're not gonna be intimidated either.
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: Interesting that Robert Morris is only a one and a
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: half point favorite, though, Like if the public remembers them
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: getting into the tournament last year and whatever, they might
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: be all over Robert Morris in this one. Man, if
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: they're looking to play basketball, Robert Morris also has the
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: better record, but oddsmakers are telling you that there's not
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: that much of a disparity between these two teams. Yeah,
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: Robert Morris is the better team, but the home advantage
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: just kind of knocking that line almost down to a
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: pick them eighty three percent of tickets on Robert Morris,
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: fifty seven percent of the cash on green Bay. I'm
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: not gonna disagree with green Bay in that game, but
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna play it either. And then we got
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: a bunch of Big West games. The rest of the
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: slate is all Big West. All these teams starting their
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: conference play tonight. Uh So if you like Big West
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: games and late night games on the East Coast, then
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: you'll be able to watch some of these games on
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: ESPN Plus. And we do have one play here, and
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: then I'll go to the rest of the sports. Here.
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: We're gonna be on Cal State Northridge minus the points here.
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: North Ridge through up to five. Already it was four
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: like a little while ago. Out you could probably get
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: four and a half on this. At least we're at
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: I assume, yeah, four to four and a half is
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: probably still out there right now, seventy five percent of tickets,
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: ninety five percent of the cash on north Ridge. I
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: think the money is indeed coming in on north Ridge.
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: This is one of these spots where I kind of
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: like both sides of the spot here because cal State
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: Bakersfield is there opponent, and they just played two big
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: games in a row. This is gonna be their third
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: straight road game. They played in Florida State and they
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: got obliterated in Tallahassee, so the travel is kind of insane.
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: That was back on November twenty fifth, though, so it
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: was kind of a while ago now, and then presumably
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: they went and did Thanksgiving stuff, then they went to Fresno.
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: I once they were back out in California on November thirtieth,
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: they pulled off the upset of Fresno. I think Fresno
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: is about a ten and a half point favorite in
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: this game. They're a Mountain West team, They're I think
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: considered to be one of the bigger brothers in kind
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: of this area of California. Huge win for Bakersfield here.
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: If you look at this box score, Fresno shot themselves
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: in the foot in a bunch of ways in this game.
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: Fresno dominated the rebound battle in this game, which should
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: indicate that they were the better team and should have
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: won the game. But they only shot thirty seven percent
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: from the field sixteen turnovers. I mean they again, it
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: looks like they had a lot of mental lapses in
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: that game. They were not the worst team in the game, really,
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: so misleading final result there. So now we have Bakersfield
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: looking better than they actually were in that game and
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: coming off a pretty big upset facing cal State and Northridge.
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: And Northridge in the last game got basically as embarrassed
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: as they possibly could have in a game where I
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: think they might have been like a one point favorite
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: in this game against Idaho State. Idaho State's actually not
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: terrible right now, but cal State and Northridge got absolutely
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: wrecked in this game eighty two to fifty. I mean,
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: when you come off a game like that, I think
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: you're gonna be really, really angry men. And this is
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: the last game at home before they have to go
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: out and face you see Irvine, And I know normally
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: I would say maybe that's a look ahead, but when
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: you just lost by thirty two points on your home floor,
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: I don't think you're gonna overlook anybody right now, man.
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: And they lost to Idaho at home the day before that,
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: so they got the Idaho sweep. The Idaho sweep happened
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: to them. They were on the wrong side of it
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: at home. So I think north Ridge is gonna come
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: out with a lot of fire here. They are actually
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: the better team as well, slightly, even though both teams
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: are terrible, and I know both teams are actually kind
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: of high and ken Bump's luck index that I think
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: kind of balances itself out. Northridge plays ridiculously fast, which
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: may kind of be what not what Bakersfield wants. Bakersfield
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: plays in the faster like half of Tempo's but they're
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: not like that fast, so I don't know if Northridge
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: speeding it way up might throw them off a little bit. Otherwise,
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: these teams are kind of similar. I mean, they both
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: are actually better defensively than offensively, according to ken Baum,
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: which is weird to see that with teams that like
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: to go a little bit faster. But the spot dictates this.
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go with Northridge minus the points in that one.
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: All right, mister Pinsey, what's up? Man? Thanks for hanging
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: out Bruins, Islanders, and Rangers. All right, let's get into
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: a hockey here. First game up in hockey is the
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: Bruins and the Blues. Yeah, we're gonna we're gonna lay
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: the money line with the Saint Louis Blues in this game. Sorry,
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: but I told you the Bruins. I told you the
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: Bruins are gonna lose to Detroit man and hopefully I
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: have a gauge on the Brunce. This is gonna be
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: the Massachusetts fade day for me, because they're already fading Merrimack.
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: We're gonna fade the Boston Bruins here as well. I mean,
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: first of all, look at this line, Like, how could
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: this Saint Louis team that's below five hundred be laying
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: a price a money line favorite on the road against
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: the Bruins team it's above five hundred, right, Like, it
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: looks like the line is way off. It doesn't make
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: any sense. So it's a fishy line here. Well why
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: is that? Well because the odds makers, Yeah, they're continuing
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: to disrespect the Bruins. Or there might be a reason
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: for that, because maybe the Bruins just aren't as good
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: as the record looks, and maybe the Blues are actually
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: a little bit better than the record looks. That might
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: be the case here as far as Saint Louis, I
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: think you're gonna get a focused effort out of them
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: because they just lost four to one at home. They've
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: had multiple days off, they've been off since Monday, and
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: now they're on the road. And I talk about this
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: when you start a road trip, especially if you're breaking
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: some losing momentum like this, just to get out on
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: the road, it's a good thing. It's a positive. I
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: expect them to show up. I know there's still this
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: thing with the Blues having Montgomery as their coach now
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: after the Bruins fired him. Blues still might want to
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: come in and like prove something. Even though I think
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: the Blues did beat the Bruins last year after the
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: trade happened too Bruins, I don't think they're in a
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: good spot, dude, even though they do have a little
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: bit of rest here because they didn't play between Saturday
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: and Tuesday, but they were involved in that zigzag home
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: and home between Detroit against Detroit. I should say the
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: Bruins beat them in a shootout at home and then
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: put it in another big effort to come back in
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: the game against Detroit in the second game and fell
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: just short. So I don't like the spot for the
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: Bruins here man after two big efforts against Detroit, coming
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: back home again from that road trip to Detroit facing
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: an out of conference team, it's below five hundred. And
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: then on Saturday they got to play New Jersey, which
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: is a much bigger opponents. So this is basically a
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot. The line looks very misleading. Yeah, this is
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis. I know the price again. This is one
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: of those situations where you gotta have accounts that every
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: book that you can, because most of the prices were
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: around minus one forty, so some one forty or so
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: something like that. I did see a minus one thirty
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: four out there. I would still probably lay it if
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: it's anything below minus one fifty though, I'd probably still
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: go Saint Louis money line on this. Now, one other
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: thing I was gonna look at is for the starting
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: goalies here it is there is the chance that it's
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: gonna be Corpora Salo in this one too. It looks
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: like it's projected to be Hoffer against Swaymen, which would
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: be the second string goalie for the Blues against the
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: first string goalie for the Bruins. But I'm not so
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: sure that's really gonna be the case. I would not
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: be shocked if it's Corpus Solo in this one, because
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: to me, this game looks like it's the flat spot
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: in the in the schedule here you want to save
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: Swaymen for Saturday against New Jersey. I don't know, man,
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: So we'll see if that's the case. And I don't
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: understand why it wouldn't be Bennington for Saint Louis either,
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: so that I don't know if that site has this
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: one right, man, because Bennington's only played once since Saturday,
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. I mean, it seems like it
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: would be him again a net to me, unless they're
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: trying to save him for Ottawa on Saturday. I mean,
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: I have no idea, but I don't know if that
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: they would. They just beat Ottawa as well at home,
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. Uh, but yeah, to me, this
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: spot is definitely uh, it's Saint Louis in this game. Uh, Bruins,
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: They're gonna wind up being a public side, I mean
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: public home underdog is maybe the worst thing that you
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: could possibly have market reading wise ninety two as ninety
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash right now. The public is
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: only gonna play the Bruins in this one. I mean,
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: at least to the extent that the public even plays hockey.
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: But maybe they'll be a little bit more involved in
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: hockey when there's not a whole lot else going on today.
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: So yeah, that's the only hockey play it's the Blues.
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: They have a rematch, then well it depends it'll be
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: a zig zag spot. So basically, whichever team if this
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: game is a blowout tonight or something, the team that's
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: on the wrong end of the blowout would probably be
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: the right side in the next game. So I can't
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: say which team is gonna be the better side in
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: that next game yet because I don't know what's gonna
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: happen between now and then Rangers are at Ottawa. We
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: know that the Rangers are good on the road, but
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: the Rangers are also coming off beating Dallas. I mean
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: that was a huge win. Now they're going on the
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: road to Ottawa and they got Colorado on Saturday and
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: then Vegas. I know, Ottawa is the only conference team
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: out of all those teams. But I don't know, man,
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: I don't love the spot for the Rangers. And it's
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: one of these weird one off, single game road trips
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: after a big overtime win. Robably you're gonna see quicking
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: net in this one, I would imagine, because Shawstarkin has
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: played five straight games now. So I don't know, I
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: don't love this one. It sets up for the Rangers,
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: even though they're typically a good road team Ottawa to
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: just smoke Montreal though, and they're in a really bad
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: spot as well, returning home from a long road trip
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: that was that started on November twentieth. I was gonna
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: say it went through Thanksgiving, but not for Canadians it didn't.
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: But this is a long road trip, man, seven games
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: on the road, well over a week on the road.
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: So yeah, it is definitely a bad spot for Ottawa.
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: Returning home from a long road trip like that, you
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: might be distracted, man, having to get back to home life,
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: all the things that you missed at home between then,
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: you know, between when you started the road trip and now.
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: Rangers look like a very public side here. Though eighty
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the tickets, only eighty three percent of
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: the cash. Oddsmaker's still telling you that even in this
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: bad spot, Ottawa is still favored by more than what
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: home Ice is. So Ottawa is the better team according
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: to the odds makers, down for minus one fifty miles
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: one forty eight. I want no part of this game
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: at all, though, unless maybe if you're considering an over again.
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: It was one of those games to me that looks
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: like it might be an overlean in that one. As
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: far as the side, I do not want to touch
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: it at all. The market read says Ottawa pretty strongly
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: the way that it looks right now, but I don't
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: want that either. Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay. Pittsburgh coming off
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: that win that we had on the show here against
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia and they've been off since then. Maybe they'll be
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Do you think there'll be in a
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: letdown spot for being Philadelphia. I don't know. It's a
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: big win, but like you're not gonna be unfocused against
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay Lightning. We're really hot right now. Yeah,
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: I expect Pittsburgh will show up here, although maybe the
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: spot is well, I don't know. I don't know which
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: spot is worse actually, Tampa Bay is returning on from
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: a road trouble, though they were only on the road
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: for three games for less than a week, but they
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: went up to Detroit and then two games in New York,
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: and at the end of the road trip they lost
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: their win streak. So sometimes when a team loses win streak,
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: they will get hung over into the next game. And
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: the thing about that is the team that just ended
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: their win streak, the Islanders, Tampa Bay, actually plays them
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: next on Saturday. So yeah, I guess looking at that,
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: the spot is worse for Tampa Bay in this one,
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: so lean Pittsburgh in this one. If you want Pittsburgh,
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is one where you could jump in
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: on the puck line because Tampa is a huge favorite.
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: One of the issues that I do have with Pittsburgh
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: is that they're not as good as their record looks.
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: Although I know based on the spot I took them
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: in their last game, this one I'm gonna stay away from,
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: but I guess if I was gonna play it, I
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: would take Pittsburgh on the puck line. Nine tickets eighty
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash on Tampa bus. So they're
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: definitely public, at least as as public you know. I mean,
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: as far as public goes in these hockey plays, I
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: don't really think that a lot of public betters are
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: coming in and laying a minus two hundred money line
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: in hockey at all though, So, you know, just things
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: to keep in mind there. Nashville is at Florida. Nashville
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: finally appears to be able to win games, as have
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: won three of their last four games. They just lost
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: to Florida. Prior to that three to one run eight
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: to three, Florida beat them at home. So this is
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: gonna be maybe a little bit of revenge for Nashville.
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: Though again, the reason why revenge is like a thing
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: like quick revenge is really more about the adjustments. It's
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: not that a team is like necessarily really angry about it,
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: although they might be, but it's more about the team
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: that lost horribly has all the adjustments to make, and
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: the team that won he easily doesn't have any adjustments
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: to make, so they might not expect what the other
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: team is gonna do, you know what I mean. So
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: the zigzag component here, the quick revenge spot, whatever you
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: want to call it, does seem to be in favor
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: of Nashville. Here, Nashville is starting a road trip off
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: of a win against Calgary, so I expect focus out
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: of them at least here. Though as far as focus
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: has gone, it hasn't been that, you know, spots where
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: Nashville should be focused. It seems like they'll wind up
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: being focused still a lot of the time. Florida. They're
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: on a three game losing streak and staying at home
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: and it's been pretty ugly for them, So I don't
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna be unfocused either here though, Man, So
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know, it looks like a spot where both
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: teams are gonna show up. Maybe you slightly tilt the
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: scales in favor of Nashville because of the like quick
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: revenge spot. For lack of a better term, money looks
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: like it's on the Florida side, But the money line
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: did drop on them for minus two twenty five to
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: minus one ninety five. I don't know if maybe that's
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: because of a goaltending switch or whatever, but fifty six
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets ninety five percent of the cash
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: on Florida. I'm not gonna touch this game, but I
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: might have a slight opinion towards the Nashville side there.
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: But I don't love that at all. What's going on?
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: You took it off the ventilator. Does that mean it's dead?
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: What's going on with your bank roll? Or does that
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: mean or does that mean you gave it new life?
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: Is it breathing again? I don't know what's going on.
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: The Avs are at the Islanders. This is a crazy line, dude,
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: Like the Avs are so good that they're a minus
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: two h six road favorite at the Islanders. This is crazy, dude.
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: I mean the Islanders, they're not a horrible team, they're
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: a mediocre team. And Colorado is this good man. I mean,
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: if Colorado doesn't win the Stanley Cup this year, it's
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: gonna be a major disappointment, and they very well might
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: not because you know, the President's Trophy curse is real
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: and Colorado is headed in that direction. Fifty five percent tickets,
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: fifty nine percent of the cash on the Islanders, So
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: probably more of a value play here if the professional
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: money's coming in on the Islanders. Basically saying, you know, like,
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: no hockey team should really be this heavy of a
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: favorite on the road. Maybe if it was Colorado at Like,
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: I don't know who's the worst team in hockey right now.
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: I don't even know. Like Calgary, I don't know, but
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: something like that maybe it would be justified. But Colorado,
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: they are starting road trip, and I do talk about
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: how when you start a road trip you tend to
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: be focus. Colorado did already crush the Islanders at home
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: four to one, though in the middle of November, but
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: they are starting a road trip with momentum, so it
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: doesn't look like a terrible spot at least eve though
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: they are having to go to the Eastern time zone here.
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: The Islanders just busted a lost streak, but they beat
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, so they're gonna have to maintain a big
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: effort like that multiple games in a row. So the
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: spot actually to me looks a little bit worse for
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: the Islanders in this one. But there's no way I
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: would lay a price like that on the road in
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: any situation in hockey, I don't think. So that's a
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: stay away from me. I mean, maybe a potential move
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: could be to go Colorado over their team total there,
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: but I don't want to touch anything in that game.
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: Your bankroll survived, you have fauci. The Aves are playing
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: the Islanders tonight, but they're playing the Rangers in the
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: next game. Yeah, I mean, it's that New York like
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: two game situation. I think the second game kind of
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: depends on how the first game went as far as
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: like how you handicap it Toronto at Carolina. Toronto probably
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: at this point they're undervalued, like based on how bad
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: their record looks. But remember they were without their best player, Matthews.
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: Whatever this spot though, they're getting towards the end of
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: the of a road trip in Toronto just upset Florida
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: on the road, big win for Toronto and that one
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: beating the returning champs. Now they're coming off of that.
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna be unfocused because Carolina might
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: be the best team in the Eastern Conference, but they're
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: gonna it's gonna be one of those spots where they
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: have to maintain a huge effort two games in a
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: row and maybe they just won't be able to do it.
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: They do it Montreal next two, and that's the thing.
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: Toronto and Montreal they don't like each other, and Toronto
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: just lost pretty badly at Montreal on November twenty second.
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't want to say they're gonna overlook
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: Carolina though, because that would be kind of ridiculous to
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: assume that they would. Carolina coming into this off a
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: pretty ugly overtime win one nothing at home over Calgary.
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: It looks like Carolina just barely showed up in that game.
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: Bussy was a net for them in that game. I
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: don't know what's going on with their goaltending situation where
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: Anderson is. I mean, they seem to be resting him
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: a lot, just because of old age or something. I
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: don't really know. Carolina's had a bunch of days off.
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: They haven't played since Sunday, and normally I would say
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: that would break your winning momentum by having that many
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: days off because of that game was so bad against Calgary.
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: I don't know. To me, it looks like it is
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: a spot where Carolina will show up. The money is
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: kind of all over Carolina. Hear up for minus one
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: ninety five to minus two point fifteen, eighty two percent
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: of the cash and them sixty percent of tickets on Toronto.
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: Kind of surprised that the public would be on Toronto.
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: I don't know, you know. I mean again, it's hard
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: to say that any NHL side is really a public side,
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: like because this is not the NFL, you know what
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: I mean. But you can still kind of gauge that
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: disparity between like the small tickets and the big tickets,
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, And you kind of want
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: to be where the big tickets are because that is
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: indicative of where the professional money is pretty much Carolina.
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, I wouldn't want to touch them at a
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: price like this. I think they might be the right
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: side there, maybe, I mean, if you do want them,
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: I guess the puck line would have to be the
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: play there. But I'm not touching this. Obviously. Detroit is
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: at Columbus. Detroit coming off getting the zigzag win over
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: Boston my Bruins, and they broke a four game lost
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: streak after that. So on the one hand, you could say, well,
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: maybe it'll be a letdown after the win over the Bruins,
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: but I don't know, because the Bruins aren't really that great.
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: So on the other hand, I think this is maybe
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: more of a new momentum starter by getting that win
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: over the Bruins, breaking the lost streak, and now they
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: get to start a road trip with some momentum. They
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: did beat Columbus at home on November twenty second, but
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: it was four to three, So I don't know, I'm
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: not really seeing Detroit like overlooking this spot, you know
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: what I mean. I think they will show up with
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: focus here would be the way I look at this game. Columbus,
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: they also just broke a law Street, but they did
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: it by upsetting New Jersey on the road. Now they're
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: coming back home. Yes, they're playing a Detroit team that
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: they just lost to on the road. They do have
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: the returning champs Florida up next to You know, I'm
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: not gonna say they're gonna overlook Detroit, but Detroit does
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: have kind of a mediocre record here, so to me,
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: I think Detroit is the right side here. Based on
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: the scheduling setup, I think it looks worse for Columbus
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: to me, I think the market's gonna disagree with me
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: on this one, though Columbus is down for minus one
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: twenty five to minutes one fifteen, seventy one percent of
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: tickets on Detroit fifty six percent of the cash on Columbus. Yeah,
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, markets seemingly disagree with me on this one.
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: For now, my lead would be to Detroit, although I
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: guess in a way it almost looks too easy to
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: be getting Detroit as an underdog, but based on the
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: scheduling setup, I kind of think that's the way to
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: look there. Not a play though, obviously, Minnesota at Calgary, Minnesota,
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: they're coming off beating Edmonton on the road one to nothing.
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: That's a huge win, man, So they did not suffer
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: any sort of hangover after losing their win streak to Buffalo,
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: which was a win right here on the show with Buffalo.
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: Minnesota could be in a letdown after that Edmonton game, though. Man,
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: they're doing the double game in alberta thing here where
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: Edmonton is the game you show up for, man, I
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: mean that's just the way that it is. Calgary their crap.
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: Minnesota did already shut them out in Minnesota on November ninth,
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: two to nothing. I could easily see them overlooking this
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: game could be a letdown spot after beating Edmonton. It
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: moves a shockingly low scoring game. By the way, when
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: does Edmonton ever play one nothing game? On the other hand,
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: Calgary is returning over from a road trip though, So
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: I just can't come in and take Calgary here either, man,
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: because I just, if anything, I'm just gonna avoid I mean,
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: usually I'm gonna fade a team are turning over from
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: a road trip, but if the other team's also in
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: a bad spot, you know how I do things, I'm
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: just gonna avoid the spot completely. Calgary has been on
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: roads is Saturday Sunday, November twenty third. They had to
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: go all the way out to the southeast US and
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: now they're back home. So it looks like a bad
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: spot to me for Calgary as well. On the return
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: home spot, you can get a little bit distracted, man,
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: especially bad teams usually don't handle it well either. The
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: market indicators look like they're indicating towards Calgary, with Minnesota
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: having eighty percent of tickets, fifty one percent of the cash,
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: and being down for minus twenty five to minus one twenty. Yeah,
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: I mean take that for what it is. I guess
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: the market read is saying Calgary. I think you can't
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: really play them in a return home spot like this, though.
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: It could be another game even though the money looks
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: like it's coming in against the over as well, it
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: could be another game of maybe playing over. But I
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: don't know, because Calgary is certainly not a prolific offensive
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: team there, So yeah, I mean that's that's a stay
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: away as well. Seattle at Edmonton. Seattle, they're in a
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: rut right now. They've lost three games in a row.
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: They just get shut out by this exact same Edmonton team,
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: and they've had a lot of days off, man, So
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: this looks like a better spot for Seattle. Basically, it's
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: the zigzag type of spot here where they lost on
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: Saturday four to nothing at home to Edmonton, and now
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: they haven't played since since they get to use all
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: this time off to focus on some things. Yeah, they
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: got to travel up there, but I think they're gonna
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: be the team that makes the adjustments here, man, and
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: they have all week to do it. This game also
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: wasn't really exactly what it looked like on the scoreboard.
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: If you look at the stats, Seattle had one more
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: shot than Edmonton did. They won the face off battle.
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: The hits were close, although of course Seattle had to
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: throw up more shots later in the game because they
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: were losing. But the game wasn't really quite what it
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: looked like. And again, in hockey, when teams lose by
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: four or more goals, usually they are a play on
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: team in their next game, just kind of as a
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: general rule that has to be like a positive. It's
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: like a a net positive ev play I think when
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: you play on a team in hockey, just historically off
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: of an ugly loss like that. However, Edmonton, even though
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: they did play one game in between these two games,
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: they got shut out at home by Minnesota, so I
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: could see them being pretty angry as well and coming
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: into this game with some focus. So I don't love
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: that either. I would lean to Seattle still, and you're
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: getting a huge underdog price on them. If you do
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: like them, you can easily grab like a plus one
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: and a half puck line on this. That would be
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: what I would do if I was gonna play this.
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: Ninety one percent of tickets, eighty four percent of the
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: cash on Edmonton down for minus two forty to minus
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: two twenty two. Yeah, I would grab Seattle on the
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: puck line in that one. And then we have Chicago
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: at the Kings. As I keep pointing out, the Kings
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: are basically the Rangers of the West, as they're not
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: good at home, although now they're three five and three
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: at home, because I think they won their last home game,
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: so maybe that's kind of going away now. They won
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: two games ago they won at home. They won two
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: of their last three though at home Rangers. They're now
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: coming in off a home loss. What else is new
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: to Washington? Maybe they will be focused coming off of that. Chicago,
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: they're a team whose record makes them look better than
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: they actually are. Let's just put it that way. They
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: have taken a lot of games into overtime. But Chicago
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: has been on a bad run as of late, and
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: they've played two big games recently, beating Anaheim at home
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: and then going out on the road and taking Vegas
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: into a shootout. So now coming off of those two games,
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: to me, it looks like a bad spot for Chicago,
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: Like I don't know how they're gonna put it in
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: another effort like that again after those two games. So
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: my opinion would be towards LA in this one. But
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: they are laying a big price down for minus two
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: twenty five to minus two twenty sixty four percent of
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, only fifty three percent of the cash.
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: So the market Reid is saying Chicago. Some of that
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: might just have to do with well, LA just shouldn't
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: be favored, like this is actually where they're not really
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: good at home. I mean, I'm certainly not gonna give
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: out a play on the Kings. I slightly lean that way,
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: although if you play the Kings, you basically have to
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: lay a puck line on it, which I'm not really
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: interested in doing. So laying these favorites is a puck
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: line in hockey. Is is a dangerous idea, man, So
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: we're staying away, all right, That's that's hockey. Let's go
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: to NBA here where we are gonna have another best
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: bet in the NBA. Golden State is at Philly. Golden
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: State coming in off of a pretty good performance man
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: against Oklahoma City. I know I lean towards Oklahoma City
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: in this one, and they did cover the closing number
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: of eleven and a half. But this game was really, really,
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: actually close. Golden State was winning the game I think
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: with like six minutes after the game. So without Steph Curry,
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: Golden State put in a huge effort in that game.
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: Now they're starting a road trip, and usually I'm gonna
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: say when you start a road trip, you're gonna be focused.
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: But for this spot, I don't love it. For Golden
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: s coming off a game where they were really close
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: late in the game against OKAC and they got Cleveland
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: up next and in between here and now they have
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: this Philly team. It's just they just still haven't been healthy.
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. It doesn't look like a good
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: spot for Golden State. Curry is still out, just you know,
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: to point that out. We haven't heard anything about Curry yet.
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia is coming up an easy win over Washington, just
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: staying at home, so the spot for them looks a
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: lot better to me. So Philly would be the lean
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: in this one. I haven't made it a play, although
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: it is kind of tempting, But I don't know what's
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: going on with the market here. Sixers at fifty eight
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, Warriors ninety one percent of the cash,
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: Sixers down from three and a half to two and
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: a half. I don't understand what's going on in the
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: market here. I would lean towards the Sixers. It's one
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: of those games where you got to figure out what
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: the personnel is gonna be. Though it looks like Oubra
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: is out again for the Sixers, George is listed day
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: to day. He's questionable. I mean, I think if he
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: can go, they'll probably get him out there because it
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: is a game against the war Embiid. I don't even
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: know when to Bed last played. He's doubtful, he's not
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: gonna play. He did actually play on November thirtieth, so
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: he came back and played one game. In that game
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: where I gave out Philadelphia in that game, it is
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: not just great. They wound up being in a reverse
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: injured player spot. This Philadelphia team. You can never really dude, NBA.
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: It's really difficult to gauge who's going to be in
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: and out of the lineups. Man, But I just go
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: based on scheduling spots and it does tend to work
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: out for me. Although I know we're on a little
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: bit of a bad run in the NBA here, but
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: I think we might still be up on the NBA
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: this season, though hopefully so. I don't know what's going
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: on with with that, but my opinion would be the
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: Sixers in that game based on the spot. Kings and
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: Blackhawks are playing two in a row. I don't know
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: what makes that tricky about it. I mean, I think
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: the second game is usually just you want to fade
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: what you saw in the first game. Basically zig zagat
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: like the first game at his handicap, like the way
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: that I normally would a game. Yeah, the Utah Mammoth.
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: That was a pretty easy win on that one bad
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: injury news. Yeah, the Sixers are being Bill Belichick. Basically
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: Bill bellis Sixer. They're lying on the injury report. I
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: guess next up. I told you this is gonna be ugly, man,
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: And you know me, I know the Boston Celtics, and
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: I think I've done pretty well with my plays involving
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: the Boston Celtics, and I think my opinions, with my
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: leans on the Celtics games typically tend to be right
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: to maybe I should play the more, maybe by saying
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: that that's gonna jinx me now. But we're fading Boston
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: all day, man. Today we're gonna fade the Celtics. We're
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: gonna take the Washington Wizards plus the points. This is
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: the only play that I have in the NBA here.
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: This is a terrible spot for the Celtics. I know
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: how ugly this looks. Obviously the Washington Wizards what well.
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: First of all, the Celtics already crushed the win as
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: there's one thirty six to one oh seven in Boston
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: early in November, so I don't really see them taking
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: Washington very seriously here and again, I know how the
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: Celtics operate, and they drop some games against some really
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: bad teams, like they dropped the game against Brooklyn at
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: home in the zig zag spot. I mean, this is
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: not unprecedented at all for the Celtics to lose to
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: bad teams. They only have a couple this year, but
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: they did have a loss to Utah in there as well,
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: so they have two bad losses this year so far.
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: But look at the spot for the Celtics. I mean,
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: look at this run of games they had. They beat
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: Orlando for the second of three times, pretty big win.
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: Then they beat Detroit, ending Detroit's almost franchise record win streak.
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: Then they had to go out on the road and
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: they played Minnesota to the wire, basically losing a lead
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: in that game. Then they turned around the very next
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: night and they upset Cleveland on the road. Then they
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: came back home and they beat the Knicks, getting playoff
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: revenge at least to some extent by beating the Knicks
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: team that knocked the Celtics out of the playoffs last year.
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: Celtics had not beaten them since then. So they're coming
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: off that run of a bunch of huge games, and
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: now they have to go on the road for one
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: game against Washington, and tomorrow they have to be back
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: in Boston to play the hated LA Lakers. Celtics Lakers.
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: They hate each other. It's a historic rivalry, much much
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: bigger game there. This is a horrible spot, dude. I mean,
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: there's no other way to put it. I don't know
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: what else to say about this, but this is one
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: of the worst spots that I've seen the Celtics in
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: all year, seen any team in all year. A Washington
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: coming off an ugly loss at the Sixers, They've had
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: a day off, now they're back home. I know they're
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: playing a third game in four days, but I mean
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: they're basically staying in the area. The first of the
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: of those games was at home, and then their one
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: road game was just a short trip to Philadelphia. So
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: it's the Boston Celtics. You know they're gonna be focused
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: on the Celtics, and the Celtics embarrassed them once this
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: year already, this spot absolutely screams Washington Celtics. They're gonna
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: be public. You might be able to get ten on
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: this now. Not a huge difference in basketball, but get
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: the best number that you can seventy three percent of
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: tickets and cash on the Celtics. Yeah, I love the
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: spot Washington plus the points, man, I like that one
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: better than the other plays that I've given out so far. Yeah,
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: all right, Utah at Brooklyn this is a fairly ugly Hey,
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: the two ugly teams that beat the Celtics. There you go,
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: they're playing each other, Utah. I mean they're not in
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: a good spot here, man. They just pulled off an
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: upset against Houston and the Zigzag spot. That's a huge win, dude,
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: double digit underdogs beat Houston. Utah made the adjustments. I
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: think Houston just overlooked them in the second of two
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: games after blowing them out in the first game. Utah
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: got the win. Now they're starting a road trip. I
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: know I usually talk about how you're focused when you
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: start a road trip, but this is the Brooklyn Nets, dude.
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, come on, and tomorrow Utah has to face
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: the Knicks, and then on they got Oklahoma City back
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: at home. Yeah, this looks like a complete flat spot
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: here on the schedule. I think they're gonna overlook the Nets.
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: The hesitation that I have is on the net side
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: of things, the fact that they they pulled off an
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: upset yesterday against Chicago, so they're coming off back to
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: back upsets where we have the one against Charlotte here
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: on the show. We got to win on that on
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: a Monday, they turned around to the upset Chicago, which
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: is a more monumental upset on the road. I think
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: Chicago probably was about eight eight and a half point
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: favorite in that game. Brooklyn got the win. That was yesterday.
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: So now on the back to back, they're traveling back
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: home off of that playing a third game of four days.
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: I just can't get there with it. I think the
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: spot is worse for Utah. I would lean towards the nets,
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: but I can't quite do it. Jazz are five point
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: road favorite, which I don't know. I mean, should the
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: Jazz really be laying five against anybody on the road,
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: especially in a spot like this, Probably not eighty one
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets ninety two percent of the cash
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: on them for now. But they're gonna be a public side.
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, as much as the public is gonna get
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: involved in this game at all, public is not gonna
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: They're still not gonna want anything to do with the
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: Nets here, man. But the Jazz have also been really
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: bad on the road. I mean, we've we've played the
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: Jazz a few times at home. They're very avoidable on
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: the road. They're one and seven on the road, although
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn is terrible at home at one and nine and
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: the one win we had on the show, so I
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: think we did right. I forget, but there we go,
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: all right. Lakers are at Toronto. Of course, as I
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: already mentioned, the Lakers may have a little bit of
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: a look ahead here to Boston, just because that's such
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: a big rivalry. And that's tomorrow on Amazon Prime, so
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: maybe they'll be looking ahead to that. The Lakers also
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: just lost a long wind streak losing to Phoenix, and
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: you know I talk about this. When a team loses
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: along wind streak, sometimes they're hungover. Yeah, they're starting a
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: road trip. They're facing a pretty hot Toronto team. But again,
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: the Celtics game might mean more to them tomorrow. Man.
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: I think that that's that what the Lakers are doing here.
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: I think actually bears that out that the Lakers don't
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: care about this game, because the Raptors have flipped from
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: a three point dog to a two and a half
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: point favorite, although that gives me some pause with looking
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: for towards the Raptors here though, even though it looks
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: like the Lakers are gonna be not putting their full
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: focus on this game and they're gonna be getting ready
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: for the Celtics, the problem is the line adjusted to it.
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: So like, did the line over adjust is the question.
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: I don't really know. If it did, maybe us take
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: a seventy two percent couch on the Lakers. Of course,
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: the public is gonna see the Lakers as an underdog
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: and probably gonna want to jump in on the Lakers.
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: But what I'm talking about as far as the Lakers
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: not focusing on this game, they're resting Luca and Marcus
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: Smart in this game. They're both Luca's out for personal reasons. Okay,
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: but I'm pretty sure that this is just these NBA
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: teams just lying to get, you know, to be able
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: to rest guys, because this is the Popovich thing, right.
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: The NBA doesn't want you know, you know how it
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: is Popovich started resting his players in certain spots, and
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: now every team does this. It's the NBA, you know,
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: load management. But the NBA doesn't want teams to do it,
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: so the teams basically have to lie, No, he's hurt, No,
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: he's out for personal reasons. You know. This is again,
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: this is the spot where the Lakers are just resting
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: guys because they want to get ready for the Celtics.
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: So Smart is out with a back injury, even though
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: if you look at these these guys both played in
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: the last game, I'm pretty sure right, No, no, Smart didn't.
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: Actually Smart doesn't played since the twenty fifth, so never mind.
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: But still, as far as the Luca thing is concerned,
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: and Lebron, I think might still be out. By the way,
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to look, Luca's not playing in this game,
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: but this is for personal reasons. This is clearly a
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: load management thing for Luca, so he's not playing, which
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: is the main reason why the line is moved like that.
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: And I don't know what's going on with Lebron either.
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, again, in the NBA, you gotta figure out
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: what the hell is going on with all these players. Man, Actually,
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: maybe Lebron is back. Is he playing because I know
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: he missed some games in here. Yeah, he played in
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: their last game against Phoenix, so I guess he is
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: playing in this game. I don't know, very very difficult
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: game to read, because on the one end, if the
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: Lakers are signaling that they're not gonna show up with
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: a full effort in this game, then you really don't
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: want any part of the Lakers here and in the
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: spot I really kind of don't Based on the scheduling spot,
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: I would kind of lean towards the Raptors, But laying
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: two and a half when you could have been getting
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: three could be a little bit of an over adjustment
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: to the Luca not playing. So I'm staying away from
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: that game. A lot of moving parts in that game. Yeah,
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: it feels good to win easily, for sure. Wait which
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: game is the Is the Cup Final? I don't even know.
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: I don't pay attention to the NBA Cup at all.
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: Which game is the NBA Cup Final? Is it? I
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: don't even know who's even in it. I have no idea.
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: I don't know when. When is this game? I don't know?
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: Did you honest fake and injury? I don't know. But
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: they're talking about trading. I mean, I have no idea
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: what's going on. He better not wind up on the
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: Lakers do and I'll be fucking pissed if the Lakers
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: have that stacked of a team. I hate the Lakers
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: so much. Lakers are gonna eliminate the Thunder in the NBA.
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: Cop You mean, yeah, the Thunder don't really care about that.
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: The Thunder are trying to win back to back titles.
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: The Thunder are unbelievably dominant, dude, Like the Thunder, they
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: haven't really had a full roster at any point this year,
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: Like there's always somebody injured for the Thunder or whatever,
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: and they're still just completely dominating. Like that team is
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: unbelievably deep. It's crazy. Toronto will beat the Knicks, you think, Yeah,
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: I mean the Knicks probably more focused on trying to
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: win a championship as well. Uh, Minnesota at New Orleans. Yeah,
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: great game to finish off the basketball slate here, Minnesota.
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: This is a zigs Well. Minnesota just beat New Orleans
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: in a crazy high scoring game in New Orleans in overtime,
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: So now they're replaying the same game again. But because
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: New Orleans put in a big effort as a double
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: digit underdog and almost won that game, I think Minnesota
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: comes into this one with a better effort. That would
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: be the way that I would kind of zigzag this,
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: if you will. I think Minnesota comes in with adjustments
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: after almost losing the game, and New Orleans might be
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: a little bit taxed after that. New Orleans is just
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: looking awful, dude. Zion Williamson hasn't been very good. Things
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: are not going well for New Orleans here, man, and
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: I think they put in all their effort into that one,
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: into that first game out of these two against Minnesota.
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: So to me, it looks like they're gonna be flat here.
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: Although the money's all coming into the Pelicans, I would
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: kind of lean the other way. I think the line
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: is about where it was in the first game too.
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: Tuls down from twelve to eleven and a half, sixty
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: nine percent of tickets on them, ninety percent of the
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: cash on the Pelicans. Yeah, I disagree with the market
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: in that one. I would probably lay it with the
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: Tea Wolves. But yeah, I mean t Wolves have been
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: kind of a weird team, but they one thing they
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: have done this year is they've been pretty good against
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: the bad teams in the NBA. So so there is
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: that Knicks Raptors. Look, you're already on the Raptors. I
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: don't know. I don't know how you decide that early, man,
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: sob is like playing chess here or something. I don't know.
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: I can't gauge these games that far in advance because
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: I want to see, like, what did the team do last?
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: Tomorrow we're gonna have a college football by the way,
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: championship weekend begins. But for now, we're gonna be on
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: the NFL. We're gonna be on this game in the NFL.
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: Cowboys Lions. If you know what I do, you know
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: what we're doing here, Man, We're gonna this is gonna
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: be a play for me. I don't love the NFL
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: board this week, Reyby, this is one of my This
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: is one of the games I actually like. We're gonna
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: lay the points of the Lions minus three. I think
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: at this point the mark it has gotten like to
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: the to like the bottom for the Lions here, man, Like,
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: this is the cheapest you're gonna get the Lions, I
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: think this season. I mean the Lions, there's still one
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: of the better teams in the NFL. Dude, Like this
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: has just gone too far. Everybody now hyping the Cowboys. Oh,
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: the Cowboys are on this huge run now because of
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: what they've done recently. They look great coming out of
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: the by I know, I get it, but one of
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: those wins was against the Raiders, so let's, you know,
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: dial it back a little bit. I still don't trust
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: the Cowboys defense, so I think with the Lions, we're
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: dealing with the better defense here with the Lions. And
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: the Lions obviously have a capable offense too, not quite
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: as good as Dallas is, but it's not bad. The
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: Lions run the ball a lot better than the Cowboys do,
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: so there is that. But this is really about perception
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: based off a recency bias. Man, where everybody saw on
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: Thursday on Thanksgiving, both teams playing on Thanksgiving, one team
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: looked good and one team looked bad. So when that happens,
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: and you know it's Thanksgiving, every nobody's watching football and
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: things giving, everybody saw those. Those are the two big games, man,
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: the Detroit game in the Dallas game, and people saw
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: Detroit lose yet again. Detroit hasn't looked good in weeks,
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: and they saw the Cowboys beat the Kansas City Chiefs.
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: So the public is gonna be all over the Cowboys
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: in this game. And you know I warn against public
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: public road underdogs. I mean, you do not want to
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: be on that team at all, and that means you're
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: getting a fade of the public by playing the team
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: that's probably the better team at home like that. That
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: is definitely something you want to look for in a
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: lot of cases, and that's what we're doing here. Man. Again,
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: one team has looked like better than they actually are recently,
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: and the other team has looked worse than they actually are.
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: Like people are talking about, Oh, the Lions are gonna
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: miss the playoffs. Now I don't really see that happening.
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: I don't think so. I think the Lions are gonna
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: get it together. They're gonna make a run towards the
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: end of the season. They'll get into the playoffs. They should.
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're one of the better teams here. They're
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: the better team over the Cowboys as well. Cowboys I
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: predicted prior to the season, if you watched my Bald
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: episode with Clint, I did say the Cowboys would be
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: the last team in the NFC to get into the playoffs.
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: And maybe they will. I mean, they seem to be
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: trending in that direction, so I want to be right
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: about that. But for this game, I want to be
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: right about the game and this line at three. Let
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: me tell you how ridiculous this line is at three.
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: First of all, we could see that the opener, which
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: was actually the look ahead, was five and a half,
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: so prior to last week's games, the Lions are going
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: to be a five and a half point favorite here
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: and then just because the Cowboys beat Kansas City and
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: the Lions lost to Green Bay, which by the way,
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: green Bay is a really good team, just because of
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: what we saw on Thursday, Now this line is three.
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's ridiculous. The Lions are the better team
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: and they probably get about two I would say for
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: home field maybe here. So you're telling me that the
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: Lions would only be favored by one against the Cowboys
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: on a neutral I don't think so. I think they
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: would be favored by probably about three. Just realistically. They're
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: about three points BA better I think than the Cowboys
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: if you look at like the power ratings guys. So
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: this is definitely a short line for all these reasons.
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: And the other really hilarious thing is the Lions were
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: the same favorite. Actually, I think the line closed above
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: three on Thanksgiving against Green Bay, So the Lions were
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: a heavier favorite against green Bay, and that same green
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: Bay team was almost a touchdown favorite when they played
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: at Dallas earlier this year. And I know things have
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: changed since then, like green Bay probably shouldn't have been
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: that big of a favorite at Dallas. But how ridiculous
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: is that the odds makers at that point, like five
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: six weeks into the season, the odds makers were telling
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: you green Bay was like nine points better than the Cowboys.
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: And now the Lions are laying a cheaper price against
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: the Cowboys than they were against green Bay last week. No,
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: I mean, no, green Bay is still better than the Cowboys.
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: The Cowboys don't play defense, green Bay does. Yeah, I mean,
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: this line has gotten so ridiculous, Like I don't know
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: if I could explain it more than I already have,
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: but it's just ridiculous how short this line is. Dallas again,
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: they've looked really good, man, and I think there's gonna
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: be a letdown here somewhere. You're gonna be saying, well,
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: how could it be? You know, Thursday night, a primetime game,
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: right like against a good Detroit team. Well, Detroit, I
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: think they might be at the point where they're getting
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: overlooked because they just haven't looked good recently. It's a
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: Thursday night game, so again, well I would say it's
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: a short week, but it isn't really because both teams
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: played on Thursday on Thanksgiving, so it's not really a
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: short week. But still Dallas is having to travel to
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: a place where they don't usually go. If you look
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: at Dallas's recent run, when they came out of the bye,
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: they beat the Raiders. That was a game I gave
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: out on the show here, so they were expected to
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: do that. I mean, they got up for that game
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: the Raiders. I mean, they just have no home field advantage.
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: Cowboys fans travel. Raiders sucked. That was an easy win
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: for Dallas, and Dallas, you know, had the extra motivation
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: for their player dying as well. Then you know Dallas
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: absolutely got up for the game against the Eagles too.
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: It was a huge I mean that's a rivalry, a
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: huge divisional game. Cowboys had a huge win there in
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: that game. But we saw Philadelphia and not look very
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: good on Black Friday either. So Philadelphia, I mean, they
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: do have some problems, like they don't win by margin
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: right now, at the very least, that Philadelphia team is
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: not as good as they were last year. So Dallas
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: got that win and they were I mean, that was
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: a game that I put in my like pick five
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: entry that was close to being a play for me,
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: so you could explain that I did not think Dallas
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: was gonna beat Kansas City. But Kansas City, I mean
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: it was kind of a weird spot, a short week,
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: a road out of conference game. I don't know, I
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: don't know what else we can say about that, but
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: Dallas beat Kansas City. So now we're looking at the
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: Dallas team that has has won three in a row,
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: but their last two games they beat both of the
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: last two Super Bowl champions, well the last three Super
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: Bowl champions, because Kansas City won the prior to and
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: both teams that were in the Super Bowl last year.
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: So Dallas in back to back weeks, in a span
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: of five days, beat both of those teams, Philadelphia and
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: Kansas City. Again, I think we're gonna be at peak,
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: the peak of the market value if you want to
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: call it. That are the peak of Dallas being overvalued
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: in the market after they did that. Man, and both
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: of those games are at home as well, so now
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: they're going back out on the road. Yeah, I mean Dallas.
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: If you look at what else they've done on the
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: road this year, it has not been good. Okay, their
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: only road wins this year or against the Jets and
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: the Raiders. So that's how bad they've been on the road,
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: all right. So yeah, they're playing Detroit here, Okay, and
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: again I think Detroit. Yeah, I know they're coming up
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: a big game against Green Bay, but that was an
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: ugly game, and I think Dan Campbell's gonna be pissed.
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: I mean, they played two ugly games in a row
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: at home, three ugly games in a row. Everybody's been
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: watching this Detroit team kind of just plummet man because
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: Detroit only put up nine points against the Eagles on
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: primetime and everybody saw that. Although you know, the Eagles
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: are still the Eagles, I mean they're not a bad
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: team obviously, even though they're not as good as last year.
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: That was a game. I mean, that was just a
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: horrible offensive performance. We know, Dan Campbell went for on
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: five first downs and like didn't get any of them. Yeah,
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: I thought they would be like in a better spot
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: coming off of that, Like, I thought they would be
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: a little bit more angry. But I think I misjudge
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: how much of a look ahead that was to Green Bay.
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: So that basically wound up being a sandwich spot that
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: the Lions were in, and they almost lost to the
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: Giant to the Giants for that reason. I mean, they
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: were still sandwiched in there between the Eagles and the Packers.
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: Man and Detroit had that look ahead to Thanksgiving, huge
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: game against the Packers, and it was an attempt at
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: revenge for losing to green Bay row this year. So yeah,
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: I think they really did get caught in that massive
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: look ahead to Green Bay, but the Lions did. I mean,
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: the Lions could have lost that game to the Giants,
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: and they did still turn it around and still beat
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: the Giants, so you know, they didn't completely fall apart
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: in that game. They were able to win. But this
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: spot now sets up much better for them. They've had
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: a week off, they're staying at home for the third
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: straight week, and that's usually pretty good for a team.
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: They're just you know, they're basically ready to go. They
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: don't have to travel, They're gonna be prepared for this. Yeah.
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: I like it. We're gonna be on Detroit for all
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: those reasons. Hopefully that was enough reasoning for that Lions
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: will be the play there in the Thursday night game. Yes,
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: check out the chat here quickly for d chess. Yeah,
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: if you're trying to do what Trump does, that means
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: you're probably gonna be losing. Toronto wants to cut more,
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: they probably do. Yeah, mister Thursday Night, hopefully I return
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: after last week taking an ugly loss. But again, that
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: basically had everything to do with turnovers. It's gonna be
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: in the knicks favor by two in that game. I
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: mean the Cowboys, they're a really good offense. Like I
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: think they are probably deserving of being a playoff team.
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I don't like them in this bought that
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: Wait seven and a half. I thought Green Bay was
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: below seven. I thought they were six and a half
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: in that game. Yeah, the Bears are gonna get smoked
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: in that game, dude. I know I keep saying that.
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: But the Bears, again, they continue to be the most
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: overrated team in the history of the league. Dude, I'm
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: not even overstating that. It's ridiculous. Yeah, magical last two
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: games America's team. Yeah, well, I mean America doesn't really
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: love the Cowboys right now, except right now the Cowboys
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: are hot, so it's all recency bias. I will say
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: you will, you will, you will be not going to
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: another break. I do not think the Eagles are gonna
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl. Let's put it that way. Most
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: of their wins are like very close wins. The Eagles
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: six of their defensive starters they had last year gone.
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: Their offense looks pretty weak right now. So this this
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: Eagles team, they're not gonna do it again. Last year
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: it's set up really nicely for them to be able
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: to do it as well. They were playing a lot
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: better as well. So yeah, I don't see that happening.
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it though. The plays one more time today.
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: College basketball we have Rider plus the points, Northridge minus
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: the points. Hockey we're on the Blues money line, NBA
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: Washington plus the points, fading Boston and Massachusetts, all over
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: the places here, and then Lions in Thursday Night football
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: minus the three. I think the three is out there
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: right now, so I think you can get the three. Obviously,
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: you want to get the best of the key number.
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna get to two and a half,
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: but you should at least be able to get the
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: straight up three and not have to lay a hook
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: or anything like that. Plus the public is gonna come
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: in on the Dallas side, So I don't expect the
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: two and a half, but I think the three you'll
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: be able to get it. And I still think that's
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 1: a very reasonable number. On that one, I think it's
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: too low. Yeah, these Philly fans climbing light poles, they're like,
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I don't like the way they do that. Confident.
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: I'm mostly confident in the line in the Wizards. Those
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: are my favorite two out of this board here. But
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: we're gonna try to win obviously, I mean that is
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: the goal here, so hopefully we get it done. Thanks
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: everybody for hanging out. Learn it Tone on Instagram, Learn
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: it Tone on Twitter, like subscribe, give me good comments
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: on the channel here, listen on audio. We're on Apple Spotify.
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: You can check it out over there. I should be
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: in one of your top podcasts on Spotify covered in
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: you because my yuke channel on YouTube, Paedreon, dot com,
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: slash learn to Tone. You can get bonus stuff with
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: Spotify yuke feed out there and you get requests, which
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to keep it up to date. Man, I
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: got a bunch of them up on the feed yesterday.
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: I saw I'm almost up to date there. I need
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: to start doing some Christmas stuff too. And my voice
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: is really just I tried to do some last night
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: and my voice is just not holding up. Dude, I
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: don't know what to tell you. It's bad. Like my
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: heat is like drying me out to not the Miami heat.
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: I don't know that too. And you can check out
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: loser Casts, which is on the Outlawed Thoughts channel. The
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: first episode is still out there. We probably got some
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: things to work on there, but the format seems decent
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: to me. It was somewhat I think it was funny.
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: It was fun h So you can go check that out.
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: To me, Layton, Tyler, Yankee, a couple other guys Brosa Smith,
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: and then I don't even remember the other guy's name.
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: Layton's gay lover. I have no idea who they are,
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: but yeah, uh, so you can go check that out.
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: You will be on the loser cast YouTube channel I
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: think next week, so hopefully we keep that rolling. Uh.
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: You guys should vote for my loser pick every week.
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: By the way, there's gonna be a poll on Twitter.
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: I think Layton probably posted it, so you can go
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: look at that. My loser pick was Guido, that chick
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: who said that you should not use the r slur ever,
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: and she happens to me an OnlyFans prostitute, so yeah,
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: like like she has the moral high ground or whatever. Yeah,
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: that's gonna do it for now. I'll be back tomorrow.
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: By the way, there are odds out on the college volleyball.
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: Women's college volleyball starts today. The only odds that I saw,
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: though there were no futures, but I only saw odds
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: on DraftKings, and they were only on the matches for
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: the for the first round. I think I pretty much
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: got it all right in my bracket, like that or
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: that website that I had with the probabilities, they're like
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: really close, very close to what the odds are. So
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: there was nothing really incorrect about what that site was
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: telling me there as far as I could tell. So
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: the betting odds seem to be pretty in line with them,
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: So that's a good sign whatever. I mean, it's just
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: a bracket doing it for fun just because I love brackets.
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: So but if you want to watch women's volleyball that's
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: starting today though, so you get to see, you get
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: to go watch some of those women. Would be better
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: if it was on the beach, although it isn't. That's
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. I'll be back tomorrow morning, and then
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: we're gonna have the college football Championship. I guess I'll
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: do a Friday night video for the Saturday championship games
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: around that many though, unless do you think I should
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: do it tonight and just cover Friday and Saturday. I'll
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: think about that because I don't know. At some point
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: I gotta start Saturday college basketball videos, so I don't know.
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: And then I don't know what I'm gonna do midweek
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: for college basketball because Loser cast is gonna be on Tuesdays,
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. But Tuesday itself is usually the
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: biggest college basketball board, so that would be like a
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: Monday night video potentially, if I was gonna do that,
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I gotta figure that out, but we
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: will say. I don't know if the Lions are gonna
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: get to three and a half. I don't think so.
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: It's the only football game ons and I think the
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: public is gonna keep that line in check enough. I
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: don't think so. I don't think it's gonna hit three
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: and a half. I mean, maybe maybe three with Juice.
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know. The book seemed pretty hesitant to put
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: that hook out there, although maybe because maybe they just
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: kind of don't care if the public is coming in
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: and taking the hook. But I mean, so far it
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: hasn't hit that hook. I saw three with Juice, but
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: I haven't seen a hook, so I don't know that's
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. Yeah. I may be back tonight to
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: talk the college football championships, though we will see. I
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: have a couple of games that I do like there
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: and some weird ones in the in the mix there,
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: so we'll talk about it. I mean, it's a it's
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: a spot where you really have to try to gauge
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: what these teams motivation is, even though these are conference
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: championship games. Yeah, there are teams that might not be
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: as motivated as other teams to win them. So we'll see.
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: I'll be back at some point. Subscribe to the channel
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: and you'll see when I go live next. That's gonna
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: do it. For now, Peace,