Latest / Simply Bitcoin / $550 Billion Vanishes in Minutes! (Bitcoin Already Knows Why) | Simply Originals
Transcript
- 0:00So last night, the president of the United States walked into
- 0:04the cross all of the White House, which if you haven't seen
- 0:08it, is very fancy, big columns, very presidential.
- 0:12And he gave what the White House billed as a major address to the
- 0:16nation. The speech was supposed to call
- 0:19markets, supposed to reassure America's allies, supposed to
- 0:24signal that the war with Iran was winding down and things were
- 0:28going to be OK. Instead, he told Iran they were
- 0:32going to be sent. And I'm quoting back to the
- 0:35stone ages where they belong. And the market went off the
- 0:40rails, $550 billion in market cap gone in 25 minutes today.
- 0:47We're going to cover a lot of ground because a lot happened
- 0:50last night and a lot of it is stuff that directly impacts your
- 0:54money, your purchasing power, and your future.
- 0:58We're going to talk about what Trump actually said in that
- 1:01speech and why the markets responded like someone lit the
- 1:05building on fire. We're going to talk about an oil
- 1:08clock that is ticking right now and when it hits zero, all bets
- 1:12are off. We're going to talk about a
- 1:13Ponzi scheme that has been running for 50 years and is
- 1:16starting to come apart at the seams.
- 1:19We're going to pull Warren Buffett's lookout below warning
- 1:22from this week, which, by the way, came from a man who has
- 1:26$373 billion in cash. So when he talks, you maybe want
- 1:32to listen. And then we're going to answer
- 1:35the biggest question of the moment in World War Three, who
- 1:39wins gold for Bitcoin? Now, I want to be real clear up
- 1:44front. I'm not here to root for war.
- 1:46I'm from the school of Ron Paul. I'm not here to be a doomer.
- 1:49Millions of lives are at stake in what's happening right now.
- 1:53This is genuinely serious. But here on Simply Bitcoin
- 1:57Originals, we deal in cold, hard facts and the facts right now,
- 2:02or pointing in a very specific direction.
- 2:05Fiat is deception. Fiat is debt, Fiat is war.
- 2:13And we know where wars really come from, don't we?
- 2:17Nearly every war that has started in the past 50 years has
- 2:21been a result of media lies. And the media could have stopped
- 2:25it if they had searched deep enough.
- 2:27If they hadn't reprinted government propaganda, they
- 2:29could have stopped it. But what does that mean?
- 2:33Well, that means basically populations don't like wars and
- 2:37populations have to be fooled into wars.
- 2:40Populations don't willingly and with open eyes go into a war.
- 2:44So if we have a good media environment, then we'll also
- 2:48have a peaceful environment. You're watching all three live
- 2:51in real time. Deception, debt, and war.
- 2:55What is this? This is a horseman of the
- 2:57apocalypse. And by the end of this show, I'm
- 2:59thinking you're going to understand on a level you maybe
- 3:03haven't before, exactly why Bitcoin exists and exactly what
- 3:09it's for. Oh, yeah, send it.
- 3:16Let me set the scene. February 28th, 2026, the United
- 3:20States and Israel go to war with Iran.
- 3:23The Strait of Hormuz, which is about 100 miles of water that
- 3:26handles roughly 20% of the entire world's seaborne oil
- 3:30supply, basically closes ship. Stop moving through it.
- 3:35Tanker traffic flatlines. Now we're one month in.
- 3:38And for the past two days before the speech, there was actually
- 3:41hope in the air. Trump had been saying that the
- 3:44war could end in two to three weeks.
- 3:46Markets were pricing in peace. There was a 2 day rally.
- 3:50The S&P was up. Bitcoin was holding.
- 3:52Oil was dipping on peace expectations.
- 3:55The NASDAQ had its best single day since May, up 795 points in
- 4:01one session. The Dow soared 11125 points.
- 4:05People were feeling cautiously optimistic.
- 4:08And then 9:00 PM. Trump walks to the podium.
- 4:12And instead of giving the world the we're winding this down
- 4:16speech they were hoping for, he gave a speech that included both
- 4:20were almost done. And, quote, we're going to hit
- 4:24them extremely hard over the next two to three weeks.
- 4:27Those two things, by the way, are not compatible statements.
- 4:33But we're getting ahead of ourselves.
- 4:35Let's hear the clip. We're going to hit them
- 4:38extremely hard over the next two to three weeks.
- 4:41We're going to bring them back to the stone ages where they
- 4:45belong. In the meantime, discussions are
- 4:47ongoing. Regime change was not our goal.
- 4:51We never said regime change, but regime change has occurred
- 4:55because of all of their original leaders death.
- 5:00They're all dead. The new group is less radical
- 5:04and much more reasonable. Yet if during this period of
- 5:07time no deal is made, we have our eyes on key targets.
- 5:11If there is no deal, we are going to hit each and every one
- 5:14of their electric generating plants very hard and probably
- 5:18simultaneously. We have not hit their oil, even
- 5:22though that's the easiest target of all, because it would not
- 5:26give them even a small chance of survival or rebuilding.
- 5:31But we could hit it and it would be gone.
- 5:34And there's not a thing they could do about it.
- 5:37They have no anti aircraft equipment.
- 5:39Their radar is 100% annihilated. We are unstoppable as a military
- 5:45force. The nuclear sites that we
- 5:48obliterated with the B2 bombers have been hit so hard that it
- 5:52would take months to get near the nuclear dust, and we have it
- 5:57under intense satellite surveillance and control.
- 6:01If we see them make a move, even a move for it will hit them with
- 6:06missiles very hard. Again, we have all the cards,
- 6:09they have none. It's very important that we keep
- 6:12this conflict in perspective. Back to the stone ages, where
- 6:16they belong. That's your president, the man
- 6:19whose speech the entire global market was waiting for.
- 6:23The man who was supposed to say, hey, guys, Hormuz is reopening,
- 6:27oil is coming back down. Everybody take a deep breath.
- 6:30Instead, he went full Old Testament prophet at the podium.
- 6:34The fire and brimstone are raining down.
- 6:36And look, I'm not here to debate Trump's Iran strategy.
- 6:40That's a whole different show. What I can tell you is exactly
- 6:43how the market responded to that line in real time.
- 6:46The numbers $550 billion in S&P 500 futures market cap erased in
- 6:5225 minutes. That two day rally gone in 19
- 6:56minutes. All of it like it never
- 6:57happened. Bitcoin, which had been holding
- 7:00relatively steady, got pushed back down to 6566, 1000.
- 7:04Asian markets absolutely cratered overnight.
- 7:07Japan down 1.4%, South Korea down 2.6.
- 7:11Oil which had briefly dipped on peace hopes.
- 7:14Remember, the market was hoping for peace and then hours later
- 7:17surged back above $112 a barrel as of this recording, on track
- 7:22for the highest close since June 2022.
- 7:26That's the thing about financial markets, they don't process
- 7:31nuance very well. What the market heard in that
- 7:33speech wasn't we're almost done. What the market heard was more
- 7:38bombing and it priced accordingly.
- 7:40Now I want to be honest with you about something.
- 7:42The S&P is still down 4.63% year to date.
- 7:46The NASDAQ, the Dow, all of them.
- 7:48And before you think, well, it recovered a bit this morning,
- 7:51Fortune's headline put it perfectly.
- 7:53Markets are pricing in an end for the conflict.
- 7:57They're assuming Trump delivers on that two to three-week
- 8:00timeline. If he doesn't, these prices come
- 8:03right back where they were by morning or worse.
- 8:07One oil analyst, Jim Wicklund, managing director of PPHB, 30
- 8:12year veteran of the energy markets, told Fortune.
- 8:15And I'm quoting directly, if this goes on for another two
- 8:18months, we're in a global recession.
- 8:20There's no way around it. There's no way around it.
- 8:23That's not a perma bear on Twitter.
- 8:25That's a 30, your oil industry veteran with clients who pump
- 8:29the stuff out of the ground. So let's talk about what's
- 8:32actually happening with the oil because this is the part that's
- 8:35getting lost in the coverage of Trump's speech.
- 8:39Here's what most people don't understand about the current oil
- 8:42situation. And I want to walk you through
- 8:44this slowly because it matters a lot.
- 8:47When the war started on February 28th, tanker traffic through the
- 8:50Strait of Hormuz didn't slow down.
- 8:52It didn't taper. It basically stopped.
- 8:56The Strait of Hormuz handles roughly 20% of the entire
- 8:59world's seaborne oil trade. That's not a small number.
- 9:02That's a fifth of the global supply.
- 9:04To plug that gap, the International Energy Agency,
- 9:08that's 32 countries, the big developed economy block
- 9:12coordinated the largest emergency strategic petroleum
- 9:15reserve release in their fifty year history, 400 million
- 9:19barrels eventually raised to 426,000,000 as more countries
- 9:26pitched in. And that has been barely keeping
- 9:29the lights on, keeping oil prices from going to the moon,
- 9:33keeping the global economy from seizing up completely.
- 9:37But here's the thing about emergency reserves, they're not
- 9:40infinite. Those reserves are expected to
- 9:42run out in the next couple of weeks.
- 9:44We're talking about mid-april. That's the Cliff.
- 9:47That's the moment when this managed oil disruption becomes
- 9:51an unmanaged one. Right now, the global oil
- 9:54deficit from the Hormuz closure is running at about 4 1/2 to 5
- 9:58million barrels per day. That's already enormous, but
- 10:01when the emergency reserves are exhausted, that deficit could
- 10:04double to 10/11/12 million barrels per day.
- 10:09The world. Economy cannot survive A7 to 11%
- 10:14loss of oil supply. It will not survive.
- 10:16We can debate is Europe going to go 1st and collapse?
- 10:20Is Southeast Asia going to go 1st and collapse?
- 10:22Will America collapse first? But the global economy is it is
- 10:27a certainty it will collapse if we keep oil supplies down.
- 10:33What's the likelihood? We go, we go there and we stay
- 10:35there. What's the timeline like?
- 10:36If we go to 711%, for how long? Well, we've.
- 10:39Been there for six weeks and I think if we get to mid-april
- 10:43like you're already seeing flights.
- 10:44I just woke up this morning a discount airline and out of
- 10:47London Gatwick cancelled all flights.
- 10:49Can't get fuel. So now you're going to start
- 10:51having tourism fall? You agree with the fly chains.
- 10:54That's very true. It was announced in the UK that
- 10:59the last shipment of kerosene was just made this week and
- 11:04there's no further known shipment arriving in the UK,
- 11:08which is pretty crazy. But it also tells you that this
- 11:11is a policy outcome because nobody seems to care.
- 11:14There's there's no countermeasures, there's
- 11:16alternative ways, there's things you could do if you wanted to.
- 11:19They don't. Why?
- 11:20Because this feeds into this other agenda that's ongoing and
- 11:24that we mustn't forget, we mustn't take our eyes off that.
- 11:27And that is, you know, I've just explained sort of the background
- 11:30with the European Union is actually central planners
- 11:33wanting to centrally plan more and more.
- 11:36And it looks like they're going to use this opportunity to
- 11:40impose digital controls and the types of restrictions of
- 11:45individual freedoms that will be at least as bad as during this
- 11:49COVID psyop or worse. Of course, now under the excuse
- 11:53of, oh, there's no energy, you have to stay at home, you can't
- 11:56use your car. You think that kind of stuff is
- 11:58possibility. It looks like that's what they
- 12:00want because there were so many policy decisions actually ahead
- 12:04of this, you know, you know, closer closure of the the Strait
- 12:07of Hormuz that already indicated that actually they want to
- 12:11restrict energy usage. This is who this is, this is
- 12:14European, this is the European administrators.
- 12:16I wouldn't say leaders because they're not really the decision
- 12:19makers, but who's arguing with them and disagreeing with them.
- 12:22Nobody's arguing with them because you know it's a
- 12:25dictatorship when the European they can do anything.
- 12:27They can put somebody in prison without legal due course, they
- 12:31can sanction people without legal due cause.
- 12:35And that's what's happening the. House of Saud and when Saudi
- 12:38Arabia is warning about something, you better listen.
- 12:41Describe this as quote, a shock of unprecedented scale with no
- 12:45obvious buffer left to absorb it.
- 12:47No obvious buffer left to absorb it.
- 12:50The world's largest oil producers are telling you we
- 12:53have nothing left in the tank to cushion this.
- 12:56If Hormuz doesn't reopen by mid-april, we're all finding out
- 12:59what comes next. And here's the tell because I
- 13:02know some of you are going to say Trump said it'll be over in
- 13:042-3 weeks so it's fine. I want to give you the actual
- 13:07market signal to watch. Not Trump's words, not a White
- 13:11House press release, not a Truth Social post Ship insurance.
- 13:15Hear me out. Before the war, ensuring a ship
- 13:18to transit the Strait of Hormuz cost less than 1% of the vessels
- 13:22value per trip. Today, 7.5% on $100 million
- 13:27ship, that's 2 to $3,000,000 for one trip through 100 miles of
- 13:32water. Before the war it was $250,000.
- 13:36That's a 10X increase. You cannot fake ship insurance
- 13:41premiums. Insurance companies don't do
- 13:43geopolitics, they do actual tables and risk assessments.
- 13:47When those premiums drop below 2%, that is your signal that the
- 13:51route is genuinely safer. That's when you can actually
- 13:55believe the things are finding down.
- 13:57Until those premiums come down, every statement from a podium is
- 14:01just sound. And in the meantime, gas just
- 14:04crossed $4.00 a gallon, first time since Russia invaded
- 14:08Ukraine. Diesel at $5.50.
- 14:11Oil futures posted their largest monthly dollar gain in history
- 14:16in March of 51%. And oil executives are warning
- 14:20that physical crude is even more expensive than futures suggest.
- 14:24You know what? This isn't transitory.
- 14:27We all remember transitory, right?
- 14:29Don't worry, inflation is transitory.
- 14:31Janet Yellen, Jerome Powell, every financial headline for 18
- 14:34months and then, shockingly, it wasn't.
- 14:37Well, here we go again. Except this time it's not just
- 14:41supply chain issues or pandemic spending.
- 14:45This time it's oil, the thing that powers everything.
- 14:47Food, transportation, fertilizer, manufacturing,
- 14:50semiconductors. Everything is downstream of
- 14:53energy and energy just got hit with a 51% monthly price
- 14:57increase. That's before the SPR runs out
- 15:01mid-april. The Cliff.
- 15:03How dumb. Do you think I am?
- 15:06Rubio says. Iran war to last weeks, not
- 15:10months, with no US ground troops needed.
- 15:13OK well then what the fuck is this?
- 15:16What's the letter to the Marine saying prepare your family we're
- 15:20going to war? the US sent troops to the Middle
- 15:25East to be deployed. So these are all like in our
- 15:29face lies. I'm a young guy in America.
- 15:33I got pulled out of second grade during 911, so mind you, my
- 15:37entire experience is just full of being lied to somehow.
- 15:43No matter who's the president, we're in conflict.
- 15:45Bush conflict, Obama conflict, Biden conflict, Trump conflict,
- 15:52Spend, spend, spend. Debt, debt, debt.
- 15:55Lie, lie, lie. War, war, war.
- 15:59This isn't a blue thing. This isn't a red thing.
- 16:01This isn't a left thing. This isn't a right thing.
- 16:03This is governments gotten too big.
- 16:05They have a monopoly on printing money.
- 16:07They can finance these things. They can steal our wealth
- 16:10through dilution, through inflation.
- 16:12And so if you want to revolt against this, you got to just
- 16:16pack your bags and get out. The whole system is ridiculous.
- 16:20The whole system is a fraud. The whole system is pathetic.
- 16:23And we're better off building something else, building
- 16:26something new, saving and something else, saving and
- 16:28something new that's. It right there.
- 16:30That's the whole thing. In a minute, 30 lies debt,
- 16:33death, war, famine, poverty. And look, I know Jack can be a
- 16:37little polarizing. I get it.
- 16:39He's got a lot of energy. He makes bold statements.
- 16:42People have opinions about him fine, but what he's saying there
- 16:46isn't controversial if you actually understand money.
- 16:50Bitcoin is not a number go up investment play.
- 16:53It's not a get rich quick scheme.
- 16:55It is a monetary system running on math that no president, no
- 17:00central bank, and no speech from the cross.
- 17:03All of the White House very fancy can change.
- 17:06Trump can say whatever he wants about Iran.
- 17:08Jerome Powell can debate rate cuts.
- 17:11Warren Buffett can sit on 373 billion in cash.
- 17:15The Bitcoin protocol doesn't care.
- 17:17Block time is 10 minutes. Hard cap is 21 million.
- 17:21That does not change. And in a world where every Fiat
- 17:27currency in every major conflict in human history has been
- 17:30debased, every single one without exception, that
- 17:34mathematical certainty starts to look less like a novelty and
- 17:38more like, well, possibly the most important financial
- 17:41instrument ever created. But I want to go deeper on the
- 17:44structural problem, because the oil shock and the war are
- 17:48symptoms. I want to talk to you about the
- 17:50disease. And for that, I want to bring in
- 17:53Simon Dixon. But before we do, look at our
- 17:57likes. 3 or 4. Times Maybe I'll pump those
- 17:59numbers up. Those are rookie numbers in this
- 18:01racket. I need to tell you about the
- 18:03tools that can actually help you navigate everything we're
- 18:06talking about. Secure your future today with
- 18:08our friends over at The Bitcoin Way, Ready to truly master
- 18:12Bitcoin? Storing it safely sending it
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- 18:18planning. Most people get stuck in myths,
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- 18:24The Bitcoin Way changes that. Their expert team teaches you
- 18:28everything secure storage, smooth transactions, long term
- 18:31wealth protection and passing it on seamlessly.
- 18:34Head to the bitcoinway.com now and secure your future the
- 18:38Bitcoin way. You can schedule a free 30
- 18:40minute consultation a day using that link in the show notes.
- 18:44OK, Simon Dixon has been in the space for a long time.
- 18:47And before we watch the clip, I want to give you the framework.
- 18:50Because once you understand the framework, everything you're
- 18:53seeing in the news today makes perfect sense. the United States
- 18:57currently has approximately $40 trillion in debt.
- 19:01The average interest rate on that debt right now is 3.3%.
- 19:05Write that number down 3.3%. Here's the brutal math.
- 19:09For the system to stay alive, the US economy has to grow at a
- 19:12rate above 3.3% per year. If growth falls below the
- 19:16average cost of the debt, you can't service the debt.
- 19:20You're not making the vig. And when you can't make the vig,
- 19:23you have exactly 2 options. Default or print.
- 19:28They will not default. They never default because
- 19:31defaulting means admitting the whole thing was a fraud.
- 19:34So they print. They always print.
- 19:37They find some new crisis, a pandemic award of financial
- 19:40emergency that justifies emergency money creation.
- 19:44They flood the system with liquidity.
- 19:46Keep the Ponzi rolling. And the average American is left
- 19:48holding the bag. And here's the part that should
- 19:51genuinely make you angry. War is not a bug.
- 19:56War in this system is a feature. War funds the military
- 20:01industrial complex. War justifies extraordinary
- 20:04money printing. War creates the kind of crisis
- 20:08that gives the government cover to do what they're going to do
- 20:10anyways. And who ends up with the
- 20:12profits? The defense contractors, the
- 20:14energy companies, the financial industrial complex.
- 20:18And who ends up with the debt? You.
- 20:20Your kids and their kids. The average American doesn't get
- 20:24the profits. They get the inflation.
- 20:27They get the debt. They get the bill.
- 20:29Simon Dixon explains this a lot better than I just did.
- 20:33Let's watch it the way. This actually works is currently
- 20:37the average interest on the US debt right now approximately 40
- 20:41trillion, approaching 40 trillion is 3.3%.
- 20:45In order to keep the Ponzi scheme alive you have to America
- 20:49has to have a growth rate above 3.3%.
- 20:55If you don't have a growth rate above the average cost on the
- 20:58debt, then you enter into the unwinding of the cycle, which
- 21:02would be a a recession and a depression.
- 21:05Every time that happens, they need to find a new way of
- 21:09printing money in order to try and stimulate growth.
- 21:12One of those is fund the military industrial complex,
- 21:15create war. But the problem is with that is
- 21:19it extracts wealth from the average American person because
- 21:22they end up with the debt and the company ends up with all the
- 21:25profits. And so in order to keep the
- 21:27Ponzi alive, you have to extract all the assets from the average
- 21:32person. Excuse me?
- 21:34And the economy becomes a mechanism for rolling over.
- 21:38Now you have to have growth above the average cost of the
- 21:40debt. What's happening right now in
- 21:44this global reset where all energy and 50 different supply
- 21:47chains are being renegotiated, The projected growth rate for
- 21:52America is approximately 2% this year and 1.7% next year.
- 21:57At the same time, the 10 year Treasury and the 30 year
- 22:01Treasury is spiking, not as much as the rest of the world, but
- 22:05it's spiking up to dangerous levels, 4 1/2% and 5%.
- 22:11But now you need to roll over $7 trillion of debt at either 4 1/2
- 22:17percent or 5%. The only solution to that was
- 22:20what Trump tried to do. He tried to regime change the
- 22:23Federal Reserve and enforce low yield bonds on the short term by
- 22:30effectively dumping them on Americans.
- 22:32So the largest foreign lender to the UK to the US government
- 22:36right now is Cayman Islands, which is the hedge funds.
- 22:40So what he tried to do is he tried to force interest rates
- 22:43down artificially low, you know, by regime changing the Fed and
- 22:49then they could be dumped on American people and American
- 22:51pensions and you could subsidized the demonetization.
- 22:55What's going to happen of this program?
- 22:56What's going to? Happen because of this action.
- 22:59Or attempted action well. Effectively, that's all gone
- 23:03wrong. So now you we enter into an
- 23:06inflationary cycle because this wall was meant to be short.
- 23:10It looks like the IRGC put up a bigger resistance than anyone
- 23:13imagined was possible. We're going to cover that.
- 23:15So now you won't get the short term rates down, the long term
- 23:18rates are rising, oil prices are going up.
- 23:21So you've created the supply shock and inflation so you can't
- 23:24get those rates down and growth is going to go down at the same
- 23:28time as unemployment. And that is an absolute
- 23:32disaster. I do not want to reiterate how
- 23:35bad things are going to get from here.
- 23:38I'm not one to say dumorism. I've always believed they could
- 23:41keep this Ponzi scheme going for quite some time, but the growth
- 23:45rate is going to be significantly below the average
- 23:47interest rate. Which means that the only
- 23:50solution here is to print more money than COVID, more money
- 23:54than long term Capital Management, more money than the
- 23:57global financial crisis, and experience the same economy of
- 24:01the 1973. Here's my here's my issue.
- 24:05The economy becomes a mechanism for rolling over.
- 24:09Sit with that. The economy, the thing you go to
- 24:11work for every single day, the thing you're supposed to be able
- 24:14to save and build in, plan your retirement in, leave something
- 24:18for your kids in, is a mechanism for rolling over debt.
- 24:23That is its primary function in this system.
- 24:26And the way you keep the Ponzi alive, as Simon laid out, the
- 24:29way you keep the math from collapsing in on itself, is by
- 24:32extracting wealth from the average person continuously,
- 24:36methodically, officially, endlessly.
- 24:39And you know what this looks like in practice?
- 24:41It doesn't look like a government agent knocking on
- 24:44your door and taking your stuff. That would be too obvious, too
- 24:47honest. Too honest.
- 24:49It actually looks like your grocery receipt.
- 24:52You're going to love this, but real quick, if you need
- 24:54liquidity to afford groceries or whatever reason, you don't have
- 24:59to sell your Bitcoin. So why did you sell your future?
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- 25:22The official CPI, the consumer price index, the government's
- 25:26inflation report tells you that cumulative inflation since 2019
- 25:31is about 25% and right now, 2.4% annual inflation.
- 25:38The Fed's practically declaring victory.
- 25:40And then you go to the grocery store.
- 25:43Let me read you some actual numbers since 2019, six years
- 25:47ago. Here is what actually happened
- 25:49to the things you buy every single week.
- 25:52Eggs Up 79%. Ground beef?
- 25:56Up 77%. Coffee up 68%.
- 26:00Car insurance? The coverage you are legally
- 26:03required to carry? You cannot opt out of it.
- 26:06Up 55%. Electricity Up 43%.
- 26:10Bacon of 26%, Bread up 24% The government says 25% cumulative
- 26:17inflation since 2019. Five out of those seven items
- 26:21are running at two to three times the official number, the
- 26:25only two that tracked anywhere near CPI.
- 26:28Bacon and bread, the absolute cheapest, lowest margin items in
- 26:34your cart, the things that actually drain a household
- 26:36budget, the protein, the energy bill, the car insurance, those
- 26:40are the ones the number keeps getting wrong.
- 26:42And here's what I need you to understand.
- 26:45This is not an accident. This is not a measurement error.
- 26:48The CPI was literally retooled in the 1990s to reduce reported
- 26:53inflation. They added what they call
- 26:55substitution adjustments. The idea being, if steak gets
- 26:58too expensive, you'll just switch to hamburger, if
- 27:01hamburger gets too expensive, you'll switch to chicken.
- 27:04And if chicken gets too expensive, well, I guess we all
- 27:07eat Zebucks. They changed how they waive
- 27:10housing costs. They smoothed out the price
- 27:12spikes. Every methodology change, All of
- 27:14them documented, all of them published in the Bureau of Labor
- 27:18Statistics reports, all of them happen to result in lower
- 27:21reported inflation numbers. Food overall is up 30% since the
- 27:26end of 2019. Car insurance premiums are up
- 27:2954% since 2020. Electricity just hit all time
- 27:33high record prices, but the official line is 2.4% inflation
- 27:38and the Federal Reserve is debating whether to cut interest
- 27:41rates. Your grocery receipt is the only
- 27:44honest inflation report left in America.
- 27:46And the oil shock you're about to experience at the pump?
- 27:49The $112 oil, the $4.00 gas, the 550 diesel that's just getting
- 27:54started that hasn't worked its way through the food system yet.
- 27:58Give it 60 days, then look at your grocery receipt again.
- 28:02All right, now let's talk about Warren Buffett because Buffett
- 28:05was on CNBC Squawk Box this week.
- 28:08And before I play you what he said, let me remind you of a
- 28:12couple things. Warren Buffett is 95 years old.
- 28:16He stepped down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway.
- 28:20He has right now $373 billion in cash.
- 28:25That's the largest cash reserve Berkshire Hathaway has ever held
- 28:29in their entire history, which goes back to 1965.
- 28:34So when the Oracle of Omaha says something about the dollar or
- 28:37the economy or the Federal Reserve, this is not just some
- 28:41pundit, this is not an influencer.
- 28:44This is a man who put his money and buy money.
- 28:46I mean literally hundreds of billions of dollars where his
- 28:49mouth is by going to maximum cash in the current environment.
- 28:55Here's what Buffett had to say. Well, let's.
- 28:57Talk about that. The market has come down
- 28:59substantially. You've not.
- 29:00Substantially, well you. You've got both the Dow and the
- 29:03NASDAQ in correction territory. It's the worst performance on a
- 29:07quarterly basis for stocks in about four years.
- 29:10Do things look cheaper to you? No, three times since I've taken
- 29:18over Berkshire, it's gone down more than 50%.
- 29:24I mean if you look at the markets of oh, the worst
- 29:28probably was the 2007 eight period, although there was that
- 29:33one Monday when you had 21% in a day.
- 29:36I mean this is nothing. I mean, it did.
- 29:42This is nothing to make you get excited and think there's huge
- 29:44valuation if. They're 5 or 6% cheaper.
- 29:48That doesn't we, we aren't in it to make 5 or 6%, I mean, but the
- 29:59world's greatest. Investor is sitting on 373
- 30:03billion in cash, warning about the dollar, warning about the
- 30:06banking system, warning about what 2% inflation does to
- 30:10ordinary people over time. And he still hasn't bought
- 30:13Bitcoin. I know the world he's describing
- 30:17is exactly the world Bitcoin was built for.
- 30:21All right, the big one, the question I promised you at the
- 30:23top of the show. Gold and Bitcoin both supposed
- 30:26to be hard money, both supposed to protect you in a crisis, both
- 30:30supposed to hold value when Fiat doesn't.
- 30:33So after a month of war, after oil at 112, after markets
- 30:37crashing, after the speech last night, who's winning?
- 30:41Gold crashed. I know you were told gold was
- 30:44the ultimate safe haven. It had a massive run, went all
- 30:47the way above 4600 bucks. A trillion dollars in market cap
- 30:51added to gold and all the chaos. Trump stood at the podium and
- 30:55said two to three weeks and gold sold off hard, crashed back
- 30:59below 4600 / a trillion dollars wiped out from its market in a
- 31:04day. Here's how gold actually works,
- 31:06and I want you to really hear this because it's fundamental.
- 31:09Gold spikes on fear and uncertainty.
- 31:12The moment markets believe a crisis is ending, Even if it's
- 31:16just words, even if it's just a speech, even if nothing is
- 31:20actually changed on the ground, gold craters.
- 31:23Gold is a hedge against fear, not a store of value.
- 31:26Those are two very different things.
- 31:28A store of value holds its purchasing power regardless of
- 31:32what some politician says at the podium.
- 31:35A hedge against fear goes up when people are scared and down
- 31:39when they're not. That's not the same thing.
- 31:41Now, Bitcoin got sold off in the short term too.
- 31:44I'm not going to pretend it didn't.
- 31:45That's market mechanics. Traders treat Bitcoin like a
- 31:48risk asset in the short term. They're uneducated when they're
- 31:51scared, they sell things. That includes Bitcoin.
- 31:55That's the reality. But here is the fundamental
- 31:57difference and this is the thing I need you to take away from
- 32:00today's show. Bitcoins monetary policy does
- 32:03not change based on what happens at the Strait of Hormuz.
- 32:07Bitcoin supply does not get inflated when the government
- 32:09needs to print money to fund a war.
- 32:12Bitcoin cannot be seized on mass to fund a military operation.
- 32:16Bitcoin can cross any border at the speed of light.
- 32:19You can store it in your head. You can send it to someone on
- 32:22the side of the planet who has no bank account, no government
- 32:25ID, and no permission slip from any institution on Earth.
- 32:29Every Fiat currency in every major war in human history has
- 32:33been debased. I want you to sit with that.
- 32:35Everyone from Rome clipping coins to fund allegiance to the
- 32:40Weimar Republic printing marks by the wheelbarrow to the United
- 32:44States monetizing the debt from World War 2.
- 32:47They always print because war is expensive and the math always
- 32:52breaks. Gold has been the traditional
- 32:54refuge from that. But you cannot send gold at the
- 32:56speed of light. You cannot divide gold into
- 32:59satoshis and send $10 across the planet for a fraction of a cent.
- 33:04You cannot verify gold's authenticity with math, and you
- 33:08certainly can't store your gold in your brain if a government
- 33:11decides they want it. That the US.
- 33:13Exactly. They did this in 1933 with
- 33:17Executive Order 61-O2. Bitcoin is what you use when the
- 33:21old system, the euro dollar, the Petro dollar, the Japan carry
- 33:24trade. All of which, by the way, are
- 33:26breaking right now. Simultaneously, when that whole
- 33:29structure starts to fracture, Bitcoin is the exit ramp.
- 33:33The yield on Bitcoin is freedom. And I know that sounds like a
- 33:36stupid bumper sticker, but when you're watching oil at $112, gas
- 33:41at 4 bucks, diesel at 550, eggs up 79% of Ponzi scheme
- 33:46government printing to fund a war, while Warren Buffett sits
- 33:49on 370 some billion in cash and is warning about the dollar.
- 33:55When you see all of that, all of it at once, the yield on Bitcoin
- 33:59is freedom stops being a bumper sticker and starts being the
- 34:02most accurate description of what's happening.
- 34:05Fiat is deception. Fiat is debt is war.
- 34:09Bitcoin is the opt out. Here's the hard truth.
- 34:12World War 3 is upon us. Bitcoin protects your wealth,
- 34:15but it won't keep you connected when the grid goes down.
- 34:18SAT 123 fixes that. Satellite phone, Starlink kits,
- 34:22Faraday bags built for people who take sovereignty seriously.
- 34:26Use code simply@sat123.com for 15% off.
- 34:30That's SAT 123.com. Use code simply.
- 34:35Here's what I want to leave you with.
- 34:36You found Bitcoin. You're here.
- 34:38You know what this is. You understand what Fiat money
- 34:41actually does over time. You have an option that most
- 34:44people on this planet don't even know exists yet.
- 34:47The opt out is real. Self custody is real.
- 34:50The hard cap is real. And every oil shock, every money
- 34:53printing event, every deep debased currency, every crashing
- 34:57gold price, every Federal Reserve warning, every Warren
- 35:00Buffett cash pile, all of it makes the Bitcoin case more and
- 35:05more clear, not less. So stay humble, stack set self
- 35:09custody your coins because the peaceful Bitcoin revolution does
- 35:12not stop for wars. It doesn't stop for speeches
- 35:15from on the cross hall. It very fancy.
- 35:18It does not stop for the fake inflation numbers or Ponzi
- 35:21scheme math. Nothing stops this train.
- 35:24Hey I'm Ruston, this is simply Bitcoin originals.
- 35:26If you got value from today's show, please smash that like
- 35:30subscribe give us a pant by sharing the video because we got
- 35:34to get this information to the people who are watching their
- 35:36grocery receipts go up and wondering why nobody's telling
- 35:39them the truth and leave me a comment.
- 35:42I want to know what you think gold or Bitcoin wins World War
- 35:45three and don't forget to set those notifications for the best
- 35:48in Bitcoin news delivered to you daily.
- 35:51I hope you all have an incredible weekend.
- 35:52I love you guys, see you next time.
- 35:54Stay free peace if you prefer to.
- 35:58Go down with the ship.