Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Henry Olsen: American Pollster on Donald Trump's naval blockade of Iranian ports, ceasefire negotiations

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Henry Olsen: American Pollster on Donald Trump's naval blockade of Iranian ports, ceasefire negotiations · Early Edition with Ryan Bridge

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: So the US blockade of Iran's ports underway in the
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: Straight of horn Moves, although the US Navy won't enter
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: This is according to a former defense official, won't enter
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: the Straight of hor Moves because they might get lobbed
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: with grenades and all sorts of mines from speedboats. But
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: they are going to blockade the ports in Iran, and
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: any Iranian fast attack ship caught trying to approach the
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: blockade will be immediately eliminated. That's the latest from Trump.
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: Henry Els, an American polster in Washington Post columnist, joins
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: us this morning, Henry good a good day. It's a
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: bit of It's a bit of a whack a mole job,
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: isn't it. When you've got all those speedboats, sixty percent
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: of the fast boat capability of Iran still in play.
• 0:44
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, but then you've got the question of
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: the American aircraft carrier that the You know, you've got
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: forty eight planes and a lot of helicopters that can
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: help do that over time. If they really do try
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: and challenge the Americans with that, they'll find that the
• 0:59
  Speaker 2: knee that's in the area can sink those ships pretty quickly.
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: What do you think the chances are of these piece
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: talks getting back on track.
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: Not very high. The fact is, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: CORP is in charge of Iran, and there's a reason
• 1:18
  Speaker 2: the word revolutionary is in their title. These are people
• 1:21
  Speaker 2: who are committed to the expansionary goals of the regime,
• 1:24
  Speaker 2: and if they were going to satisfy Trump's bottom line
• 1:29
  Speaker 2: condition for no nuclear program removal of the enriched uranium,
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: they probably would already have done it. I think Trump's
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: going to have to rely on the continued pressure on
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: around both military and economically through the blockade, to force
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: some sort of reduction in power by the IRGC before
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: he gets anywhere with the negotiations.
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: What a voters in the US thinking, well, we know
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: what they're thinking about the war and how they're feeling
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: about it. Does that restrict Trump's military options? Does he
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: go back to bombing?
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: I think Trump may eventually have to go back to bombing.
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: The fact is that while gas prices, Trump has already
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: committed orkin prestige and his personal prestige to the ending
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: of the nuclear program. You know, He's been very clear
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: about this in this campaign years before. You can find
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: tapes of him going back forty years. Donald Trump always
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: signals what he wants out of a negotiation, and if
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: you accept that then there's always good terms. But what
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: he wants is an end to the nuclear program permanently,
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: and he gets it. He's going to continue what's at
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: his disposal, and that does include bomb and potentially a
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: lands invasion.
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: How comprehensive was all Bonds Allband's loss, I should say
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: in Hungary you've been the covering it.
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: It was massive, I mean, and it is from having
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: two thirds control to having under third of the parliament.
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: They've lost virtually every constituency in the country, places that
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: they never thought they would lose. You know, it's hard
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: for me to think of a New Zealand parallel. It
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: would be akin to I suppose Judas Collins being wiped
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: out in twenty twenty, the Red power being able to
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: change the constitution. Yeah, on this case, it was a
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: It was a green and red tsunami. Those are the
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: colors of peace at the opposition party.
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: Good to have you on as always, Henry Elson, who
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: is an American columnist in Pulsta For more Familiarly edition
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: with Ryan Bridge, listen live to news talks it'd be
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: from five am weekdays.
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: Well, follow the podcast on iHeartRadio