Latest / The Competent Investor

Kevin Muir: Will the SpaceX IPO Mark the Top of Markets for Decades?
Kevin Muir expresses deep skepticism about the looming SpaceX IPO, suggesting its astronomical valuation could mark a peak in market enthusiasm, reminiscent of the AOL-Time Warner deal. Beyond sentiment, the sheer supply of new stock from major IPOs like SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI will require capital that must come from selling other assets. This comes as institutional cash levels are near record lows and corporate buybacks, historically a key source of stock demand, are shrinking because tech giants are redirecting cash flow into AI infrastructure.
Muir believes stock market weakness…
The skinny
The skinny isn't ready yet — notes appear once the transcript is processed.