Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 466 - 3/3/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

Transcript

Episode 466 - 3/3/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:00
  Hello and welcome to. Episode 466 of the All Systems
• 0:05
  Go sports Betting podcast powered by.
• 0:08
  Rhythm, I am your. Host Josh.
• 0:11
  Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
• 0:18
  Happy Tuesday, another day here in the arena, guys.
• 0:21
  And of course, we've turned the page from February.
• 0:24
  To March so college. Hoops are heating up.
• 0:26
  And you know what guys? I have a.
• 0:28
  Quick little teaser announcement and then of.
• 0:30
  Course, it'll become official here in a bit.
• 0:33
  But I am starting up another. Survivor pool so I actually.
• 0:36
  Emailed my buddy Daniel. Childs who?
• 0:38
  Helps run Splash Sports. If you've done any.
• 0:42
  Survivors with me throughout the year, whether it was the NFL
• 0:45
  regular. Season or the NFL postseason?
• 0:49
  Had a lot of fun. Had a couple podcast ASG pod.
• 0:52
  Listeners win some money. So that was nice to see.
• 0:55
  But I fired up. A new bracket pool for you, so
• 0:58
  it's. Going to.
• 0:59
  Be a little different. You don't fill out a bracket
• 1:01
  specifically, but you just. Pick one team each.
• 1:05
  Day of the. Tournament and of.
• 1:06
  Course as a survivor. You know.
• 1:08
  Once you pick them. You can't use them again.
• 1:09
  So, you know, I don't know if you want to use, you know,
• 1:12
  Michigan -25 against Kennesaw State or.
• 1:15
  Whatever, bum. Team, they're going to play in
• 1:17
  the first round. You probably don't want to do
• 1:18
  that. You want to be a little
• 1:20
  strategic about it, maybe save one of your better teams for
• 1:22
  later in the tournament. But I just want to get everyone
• 1:24
  excited because I already have my my buddy who we've been doing
• 1:28
  this since I don't even know since college if not earlier.
• 1:31
  But. We always do a $20 bracket.
• 1:34
  Me and all my friends. That we do through Yahoo.
• 1:36
  We've been doing it forever so got me excited and once.
• 1:39
  I got that e-mail from my buddy. We call them Lars.
• 1:42
  Once I got. The e-mail from.
• 1:43
  Lars, I said. Let's.
• 1:44
  Go I better reach out to my friends at Splash Sports and get
• 1:47
  that thing fired up so more. Details on that coming.
• 1:50
  Soon, but once I get that up and running.
• 1:52
  I will put out. The link.
• 1:53
  On Twitter at Josh. Under score Insights.
• 1:56
  I'm pretty sure it'll be 25. Bucks just like any.
• 1:59
  All the other pools. Or.
• 2:00
  Contests that we've done. For NFL regular season and
• 2:03
  postseason. And of course I want everyone to
• 2:05
  join. Let's have some.
• 2:06
  Fun. Let's win some games along the
• 2:07
  way, but of course I'm rooting for someone.
• 2:10
  Who listens to the? Pod.
• 2:11
  To get some money like a few 1000 bucks which would not be
• 2:14
  too bad or too shabby at all. So stay tuned.
• 2:17
  I want everyone to join and I'll give you more details soon.
• 2:20
  With the it'll be. Officially, I think the.
• 2:22
  Applebaum. What is it?
• 2:25
  March Madness Survivor contest? That'll be the official name,
• 2:29
  but I hope to see. Everyone in the contest.
• 2:31
  And I'll. Give you more details soon, but
• 2:33
  just something to look. Forward to with.
• 2:36
  That being said, on the topic of college, oops, going to get.
• 2:38
  Right, back to it today, guys. I have a three pack of plays for
• 2:41
  you. And ironically enough, you know.
• 2:43
  They are not tiny little matchups.
• 2:45
  They're all three big schools or three matchups.
• 2:48
  Between 3 big. Schools here or 6 I guess total.
• 2:51
  We're going to see if we can. Try to go 2 and one.
• 2:53
  Eke out a winning day. But a few of.
• 2:54
  These are really interesting. We have.
• 2:56
  A fade the trendy. Dog, we have a. 5050 line move.
• 2:59
  We have an epic unranked first ranked sharp.
• 3:03
  Play as well. So as of course, as always, 3
• 3:05
  plays, let's try to get 2 out of 3 eke.
• 3:07
  Out a winning day. Speaking.
• 3:09
  Of two and ones eking out winning.
• 3:10
  Days. Nice little start.
• 3:11
  To the week last night, guys. 2 and 1 + 0. .82 units.
• 3:16
  Had a couple. Great hits with Cleveland State.
• 3:18
  Rolling one O 1 to 93. Again, they were down.
• 3:21
  Early. And.
• 3:22
  They were just getting if anyone watched that game they were
• 3:24
  getting destroyed I think. Ooey pooey.
• 3:27
  I don't know, they were off to like a. 10 nothing lead and I'm
• 3:29
  like this ain't good and then. It got.
• 3:30
  Dicey at the end. Because Ooey Pooey kept
• 3:32
  pressuring and I don't know how many turnovers.
• 3:34
  Cleveland State had but if you. Watch this game, you know what
• 3:36
  I'm talking about. They.
• 3:38
  Must have turned it over, I don't know, 20 times and they.
• 3:40
  Could not inbound the. Ball.
• 3:42
  And the coach give him credit, he's in a nice.
• 3:44
  Suit but he's very calm, so it's good to be a calm coach.
• 3:48
  But I'm like call a timeout. You know, sub out this guy, what
• 3:51
  are you going to do? They kept failing to inbound it.
• 3:53
  Luckily, they're able to. Hit some shots late Cleveland
• 3:56
  State Vikings hung on one O 1 to. 90.
• 3:58
  Three and nice little 29% sharp. Mush Edge from our friends at
• 4:02
  Juice Trail. So good one.
• 4:03
  In there with the Vikes. And then late night Sacramento
• 4:06
  State. 83 to 60. Five massive.
• 4:08
  Winner there for us, that was a rhythm Green star smart signal,
• 4:12
  so it's nice to see a couple. A couple good victories there
• 4:14
  with. Cleveland State and Sacramento
• 4:16
  State. Only loser was Eastern
• 4:18
  Washington. 85 to 81. Just could not stop.
• 4:21
  The vandals, man, they. Just kept hitting.
• 4:22
  Threes and Eastern Washington. Made a little push late but came
• 4:26
  up. Short they had.
• 4:27
  A chance to. Tie it with a three in the
• 4:28
  corner and and couldn't get it done.
• 4:30
  But as always, guys, you're making three bets you're trying
• 4:32
  to get. 2. Of them so we accomplished our
• 4:34
  goal last night 2. And 1 + 0. .82 units.
• 4:37
  Going to put it back into the bankroll.
• 4:39
  Today and then get. Down on three more plays and try
• 4:41
  to try to keep this this. Good start to the.
• 4:44
  Week going so. Without any further ado, let's
• 4:46
  waste no more time talk about our.
• 4:48
  Plays for tonight now. What I like about these?
• 4:51
  Games I didn't intentionally, you know, want this to happen or
• 4:53
  anything, but there's a 7. O'clock a 9:00.
• 4:56
  And an 11:00. So I always like it when.
• 4:59
  I can focus on. Each game and devote.
• 5:01
  All my attention. Yes, I.
• 5:03
  You know, I'm not quite like Robert De Niro and Silver
• 5:06
  Linings Playbook, but I am superstitious.
• 5:08
  I'm a little stitious. So I don't know, maybe put all
• 5:11
  our energy into each one one by one and try to get 2 out of 3?
• 5:14
  So that being said. 1st but on the board, let's talk.
• 5:17
  A 7:00 PM tip. Between Kentucky and Texas A&M.
• 5:21
  Set the stage. Splits line moves.
• 5:23
  You guys know the deal. So First off, we got.
• 5:25
  Kentucky coming in 19 and 10 on the season, They've won two
• 5:28
  straight, just beat Vandy 91 to 77.
• 5:31
  Easily. Covered as a 1 1/2.
• 5:33
  Point home favorite. Meanwhile, Texas A&M also. 19
• 5:36
  and 10. Same record.
• 5:37
  But they've gone the other way. They've lost 2.
• 5:39
  In a row just lost to Texas. 76 to 70.
• 5:42
  Losing outright as a. 2 1/2 point home favorite.
• 5:45
  So what we've seen across the board here.
• 5:47
  Well, this game opened with Texas A&M.
• 5:49
  Listed as a very short 1 1/2 point home favorite.
• 5:52
  And the public is saying. The wrong team is favored.
• 5:55
  You got to go with the Wildcats. So right now, 65.
• 5:58
  Percent of spread bats at DK. Are back in Kentucky.
• 6:02
  Plus the points. However, here's the interesting
• 6:04
  thing Publix all over Kentucky. This line is not down to a pick.
• 6:07
  It hasn't hopped the fence and gone to Kentucky.
• 6:10
  Dog to fave. Nope, it stayed right where it's
• 6:12
  at, minus. 1 1/2 Texas A&M. But also.
• 6:16
  Paying attention. To the juice.
• 6:17
  The juice isn't just of. Course, obviously what we have
• 6:19
  to pay the. Tax the $0.10.
• 6:22
  Specifically. Or normally, but again.
• 6:24
  We know it can be. Juiced up, juiced down.
• 6:26
  But the juice isn't just what you got to pay the book.
• 6:28
  It lets you know which way the wind is blowing.
• 6:30
  So what I like? About this one is that even
• 6:32
  though? 2/3 of bets are on Kentucky.
• 6:35
  We got a line freeze on Texas A&M.
• 6:37
  The line has not gotten down to one or a pick.
• 6:39
  It stayed right at 1 1/2 and. If you pull.
• 6:41
  Up that line history if you. Look at the juice.
• 6:44
  All the juice is on the Aggies. Minus. 1 1/2. -115.
• 6:48
  So that tells. Me, we have a.
• 6:49
  Fade. The trendy dog opportunity?
• 6:52
  Fade. The trendy dog Wildcats or maybe
• 6:54
  fade. The trendy cat here I guess, if
• 6:56
  you want to be specific. But again, Publix all over
• 6:58
  Kentucky, yet the line has stayed the same or been juiced
• 7:01
  up. Toward A&M looks like it might
• 7:02
  be going to -2. So that tells me we got a sharp
• 7:05
  play here to back. Texas A.
• 7:07
  And M now. If you take.
• 7:08
  Away the sharp line. Freeze and juiced up liability
• 7:11
  toward the Aggies. It's just a straight.
• 7:12
  Up contrarian play. With a lot of value because
• 7:14
  Texas. A&M is only getting.
• 7:17
  Around 35% of spread. Bets at DraftKings and.
• 7:19
  One of the most heavily bet nationally televised games of
• 7:22
  the night on ESPN 2. Ken Palm does have.
• 7:25
  A&M winning, but only by 1.79 to 70. 8.
• 7:29
  So you guys know? What I'm doing here?
• 7:30
  I'm money line Texas. A&M.
• 7:33
  Do not want to have A and M win by 1 and I lose a. 1 1/2.
• 7:36
  You guys, you know me by now, I will not put myself through that
• 7:39
  torture, so I'll. Pay a few extra cents here.
• 7:42
  I did get Texas A&M at Bally Bet.
• 7:44
  On the money line at -121. Now shop around because I'm
• 7:49
  seeing some other books closer to minus. 125 minus. 1:30 But.
• 7:52
  One thing I like. About the Aggies is just a
• 7:54
  classic fishy by low spot because they're an.
• 7:57
  Unpopular favorite on a losing streak against the sell High
• 7:59
  trendy dog. On a winning streak?
• 8:02
  A&M does have a few. Advantages here the better
• 8:04
  effective field goal percentage. 52nd in the.
• 8:06
  Country versus 76th for Kentucky.
• 8:10
  They shoot. The three better 46th.
• 8:12
  Versus 118th and they also. Have the better.
• 8:14
  Free throw shooting, which could be huge in a tight.
• 8:16
  Game one O. 9th in the country versus 185th for Kentucky.
• 8:20
  Lastly, little. Home Rd.
• 8:22
  A. And M 13 and 4 at home.
• 8:24
  This year they've been really good on their homecourt.
• 8:26
  Kentucky's just. Four and five on the road.
• 8:28
  So kind of fishy. Public says Kentucky's the
• 8:30
  better team but but all liability line freeze, fade the
• 8:34
  trendy dog. Action is on A and M we.
• 8:36
  Got good, splits good. System matches and oh by the
• 8:39
  way, our friends at Rhythm. Who, by the way?
• 8:41
  Rhythm. Did release their bracket.
• 8:43
  Generator today so. Log into the Rhythm app.
• 8:45
  It'll generate your bracket and it'll spit out to you I think in
• 8:47
  like 24 hours. But rhythm has A and M minus.
• 8:50
  2.1 so again little value if you want to lay the. 1 1/2.
• 8:53
  But. I'm going money line.
• 8:55
  Here guys. Let's fade A trendy dog.
• 8:57
  Let's go, Aggies. I'm on A&M.
• 8:59
  From Bally Bet. Money line. -121.
• 9:03
  Next one. For you, let's talk a 9:00.
• 9:05
  Game we got BYU. Visiting Cincinnati now, BYU
• 9:10
  comes in 20. And nine on the year.
• 9:12
  Just a side note, interesting betting market on who will.
• 9:14
  Be the number one pick right now.
• 9:15
  AJ Dibonza who? Actually is from Massachusetts,
• 9:19
  not too far from me in Boston. But then also you have Darren
• 9:23
  Peterson. Who's amazing but.
• 9:24
  The guy's always hurt. So it used to be Peterson A big.
• 9:27
  Favorite like -2? 100, I think that's getting
• 9:29
  closer to 50. 50 so that's a market to to keep an eye out
• 9:32
  for, but anyway. BYU is 20 and 9 they.
• 9:35
  Have dropped three of their last four.
• 9:36
  Just lost to West Virginia. 7970.
• 9:39
  One Take Me Home. Country roads lost out rate as a
• 9:42
  2 1/2. Point Rd.
• 9:43
  Favorite, meanwhile. Since he 16 and. 13 on the air.
• 9:46
  But they're playing pretty well. They won five of their last six.
• 9:48
  Just beat up Oklahoma State 91 to 68 easily.
• 9:52
  Covered as a nine. And 1/2.
• 9:53
  Point home favorite. So what have you seen across the
• 9:56
  market here? List game opened with Cincinnati
• 9:58
  listed as a. 1 1/2 point home favorite and what's interesting
• 10:02
  about this? One is that the.
• 10:02
  Public doesn't know what. To do BYU.
• 10:05
  Is the better team better record?
• 10:06
  They have Daibonta, which I'm probably not.
• 10:08
  Pronouncing his name correctly. But then also.
• 10:11
  Cincinnati is at. Home It's a short number and
• 10:13
  they're playing better as of late.
• 10:14
  So 5050 at. DraftKings.
• 10:16
  Public doesn't know what. To do.
• 10:18
  What do we always talk about with A?
• 10:19
  5050 split guys. 5050 theoretically.
• 10:22
  In a vacuum, a line should not move.
• 10:23
  At all if the. Bets are even.
• 10:25
  There's no incentive or reason. For the odds makers to.
• 10:27
  Bring the line up or down, however 50. 50 And yet you see a
• 10:31
  line move. That's meaningful to me because.
• 10:33
  It tells me even though the public doesn't know what.
• 10:35
  To do, wise guys. Have taken a position and move
• 10:37
  that number. And it's pretty clear they've
• 10:39
  taken a. Position on the Bearcats.
• 10:41
  Here, give me Cincinnati guys. I like Cincinnati here. 5050
• 10:45
  ticket. Split, but they went from -1
• 10:46
  1/2. Now up to -2 or minus. 2 1/2.
• 10:50
  So this line is moving towards. Cincinnati even though.
• 10:52
  Tickets are pretty much. Down the middle now.
• 10:54
  If you look specifically. Technically since the DraftKings
• 10:58
  47% of spread. Bets so I guess by technical.
• 11:01
  Definition this. Is a contrarian play, but.
• 11:03
  It's. Mostly just 5050.
• 11:05
  But 83? Percent of spread dollars are on
• 11:08
  Cincinnati. So only half.
• 11:09
  The tickets, but big. Big money here at DK in.
• 11:13
  Favor of the Bearcats. Another indicator of smart money
• 11:15
  on Cincinnati once. Again, I'm going to money line a
• 11:18
  short. Favorite here.
• 11:19
  I don't want to lay a 2 or 2 1/2 win by one or two and lose my
• 11:22
  bet, so I got Cincy. On the money line.
• 11:26
  I boosted them and. I talked about this.
• 11:28
  Yesterday I want to do a, you know, more a.
• 11:30
  Better job about this I always talk about and always stress the
• 11:33
  importance. Of having multiple outs, being
• 11:35
  able to shop around and find the best price.
• 11:37
  The other angle of shopping? Around.
• 11:38
  Is that some? Books give you boosted.
• 11:40
  Odds. They want your action.
• 11:41
  They want you to bet. At their book also other books
• 11:44
  will give you like. Coin.
• 11:46
  Cash or? What I've noticed with.
• 11:47
  Fanatics is you keep. Betting through them to give
• 11:50
  you. This like coin, cash or
• 11:52
  something? I'm not totally sure what the.
• 11:54
  You know, specifically call it, but you can use some of your
• 11:57
  coin cash. To knock the number down a
• 11:59
  little bit. So I found at.
• 12:02
  At Fanatics, since he was -140 I got them boosted.
• 12:06
  Down. To -113 Now if you don't have a
• 12:09
  fanatics boost account you can get them -130.
• 12:12
  Five at Caesar's, DraftKings or The Score but Shop.
• 12:15
  Around because. I'm seeing a.
• 12:17
  Few other books like -1. 40 -, 145.
• 12:20
  But the whole. Point being is when you go to
• 12:21
  bet. Your game.
• 12:23
  You put in the. The bet slip in the amount you
• 12:25
  want to bet. There might be a like, just
• 12:27
  double check there. Might be a little.
• 12:29
  Little thing you can press or activate right below it.
• 12:32
  To boost your odds and if. If I don't have to pay for it,
• 12:34
  if they're just, you know, if I've accrued these these coins
• 12:37
  or whatever or they're giving me the boost, hell, I'll take it.
• 12:40
  So if you see like within, if you follow the juicer lap, you
• 12:44
  see a. Way better number than you know
• 12:45
  what the. Regular number is.
• 12:46
  It's because it's. Boosted.
• 12:47
  So I just wanted to mention that and you guys should take
• 12:49
  advantage of that too. So anyway we can?
• 12:52
  Basically call it around -135. On the money line.
• 12:54
  For Cincy, I look. I like the.
• 12:56
  Money line. Splits, especially at at
• 13:00
  Actually both books here at. DraftKings since he's getting
• 13:03
  50. Percent money line bets 80%
• 13:05
  money line dollars. At circa 67.
• 13:08
  Percent money line bets over 90% of money line dollars, so.
• 13:12
  Not only do both. Books have a good.
• 13:14
  Split on sensi money line but. Also, in particular Circa out in
• 13:18
  Vegas. Good Sharp.
• 13:18
  Split tells me. A lot of wise guys in the
• 13:21
  desert. Are also playing since he to win
• 13:22
  this game. Since he has the better.
• 13:24
  Defensive efficiency 13th. In the Country verse 51st.
• 13:28
  For BYU, they hold their. Opponents to a better effective
• 13:30
  field goal percentage, 43rd versus a. 127th.
• 13:34
  And they force. More turnovers on defense. 68th
• 13:37
  versus 200. And 32nd.
• 13:39
  Oh, by the way, Cincy. 14 and three at home, BYU three and
• 13:43
  five on the road. So we have a. 5050 line move,
• 13:46
  good splits. Bunch of system matches.
• 13:48
  Here we also have to put a. Cherry on top, a rhythm green
• 13:53
  star recommended play on. Cincinnati, in which rhythm has
• 13:56
  Cincy closer to -2.7. So again.
• 14:00
  That Green Star smart signal helped us with Sacramento.
• 14:03
  State last night. Same 1 here.
• 14:05
  On Cincinnati. So, second bed of the night for
• 14:07
  me. Cincinnati money line again.
• 14:10
  We'll call it around -130. 5 Because that's a.
• 14:12
  Widely available. Number Let's go Bearcats.
• 14:16
  Last one for you. Let's look toward a 11:00 game
• 14:19
  tonight. Nebraska visiting UCLA.
• 14:23
  Now going into this one, we got Nebraska 25 and four on the year
• 14:26
  ranked 9th in the country. They've won three straight.
• 14:29
  Just took down USC 80. 2 to 67 easily covered as a 5.
• 14:34
  And a half point. Road favorite.
• 14:35
  Meanwhile, UCLA, 19 and 10 on the on the year.
• 14:38
  But they. Did see their?
• 14:39
  Two game win streak come. To an end.
• 14:40
  They lost to Minnesota. 70. 8 to 73.
• 14:44
  Lost out. Right as a 1 1/2.
• 14:45
  Point Rd. Favorite so.
• 14:46
  What we've seen across. The market here.
• 14:48
  Well, this game opened. With Nebraska listed around a. 1
• 14:52
  1/2. Point Rd.
• 14:53
  Favorite. And the public is saying this is
• 14:55
  the easiest. Bet in the.
• 14:56
  World take. Nebraska super short number.
• 14:59
  They're ranked. They.
• 15:00
  Have a great record, so hey, the odds makers are crazy.
• 15:03
  For setting such a low number. However, even though 70. 9% of
• 15:07
  spread. Bets at DK are rushing as fast.
• 15:09
  As they can to the window to lay the. 1 1/2 We've seen this line
• 15:12
  completely flip toward. UCLA, The sign has.
• 15:15
  Gotten down to a pick some shops even as high as -1 -, 1 1/2.
• 15:19
  For UCLA. So let's take a step back if
• 15:22
  Publix. Hammering Nebraska Why isn't?
• 15:24
  Nebraska up -1. And a half to -2 -, 3.
• 15:27
  Nope, it's. Tumbled toward a pick.
• 15:29
  And hopped the. Fence even toward.
• 15:31
  UCLA being slightly favored. So that tells me we have a
• 15:33
  Really. Sharp reverse line move.
• 15:35
  On the UCLA Bruins here now. If you take away the dog to
• 15:40
  fave. RLM here.
• 15:41
  Or dog to pick. And again, we.
• 15:43
  Get to the prices you can get. Here because it's.
• 15:45
  A pretty easy number. Not easy.
• 15:47
  But a pretty low number. Cheap price I should say.
• 15:49
  But UCLA take away the sharp movement.
• 15:51
  Just a great contrarian play tonight.
• 15:53
  It's your. 11:00 game. Which will end up being.
• 15:56
  The most heavily backed? Game of the Night and we are.
• 15:59
  Playing a team. Only getting 21% of spread bets.
• 16:02
  On a heavily bet. Game on Fox.
• 16:04
  Sports 1 so. This is a good spot to just fade
• 16:07
  the public, but also what we look for on the pod is, you
• 16:11
  know, contrarian gets you halfway.
• 16:12
  It's only a foundational. Starting point, you really want
• 16:15
  to incorporate some. Smart.
• 16:16
  Money so that not. Only can you be.
• 16:17
  Against the the drunk. Guys at the Boss and Nebraska
• 16:21
  all day. Yeah, go corn Huskers.
• 16:23
  I want another Bud Light. That's my impression of the
• 16:25
  drunk guy at the bar. But you can also incorporate the
• 16:28
  smart money. Now you have some options.
• 16:31
  Here when it comes to the money line.
• 16:34
  Some some books are out of pick. Some books are -1 some books
• 16:37
  even got to -1 1/2 now I. Once again took advantage of a
• 16:42
  boost here. So at the time, UCLA was -1. 15.
• 16:47
  On the money line. I am now seeing.
• 16:49
  Or they got. Boosted actually at Fanatics.
• 16:51
  To. Plus one O 8 so not a bad price.
• 16:54
  But you can get as low. As -110 -, 115 I actually see
• 16:57
  minus one O 8. At Bally Bet.
• 16:59
  Just for UCLA to. Win this game.
• 17:02
  UCLA is getting. 24% money line bets but almost half the money
• 17:07
  so low bets, higher dollar split.
• 17:09
  UCLA has that classic buy low value.
• 17:12
  Unranked team off a loss. Against a sell high.
• 17:15
  Ranked. Team off a winning.
• 17:16
  Streak UCLA. Has some advantages here.
• 17:19
  Better offensive efficiency 30. First verse 49th.
• 17:22
  For Nebraska, but they shoot the three better 23rd in the country
• 17:25
  versus 83rd for Nebraska, and they commit fewer.
• 17:29
  Turnovers on offense 13th versus 24th.
• 17:32
  Oh, by the way, UCLA 16 and one at.
• 17:34
  Home this year. They've been a really good home
• 17:36
  team. And then also I believe Nebraska
• 17:39
  is playing their second straight Rd.
• 17:40
  Game, yeah, they just played USC, so kind of a tough spot
• 17:43
  there. Oh, by the.
• 17:44
  Way add that all up and then also.
• 17:46
  Get a load of this popped open Juice reel.
• 17:49
  Noticed an 11% sharp mush edge. On the UCLA money.
• 17:53
  Line so 11%. More of the sharper winning
• 17:55
  batters are also going with the Bruins, so.
• 17:58
  Everyone and their mother. Is is shucking corn tonight with
• 18:00
  the Cornhuskers yet? Sharp contrarian RLM is.
• 18:03
  Toward. UCLA.
• 18:04
  So I played UCLA. On the money line.
• 18:07
  Let's call it minus one O 8 -, 1. 15 but you you could have
• 18:10
  gotten it. Boosted.
• 18:11
  Plus one O 8 F fanatics. So Texas A&M, Cincinnati.
• 18:15
  UCLA let's try to get 2 out of 3.
• 18:18
  Eek out a winning night. So that about does it for
• 18:21
  episode 466 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
• 18:25
  powered by. Rhythm.
• 18:26
  This is the part of the pod. Where we wrap things up and I
• 18:29
  always start first by saying thank you.
• 18:31
  Thank you for listening. Thank you for.
• 18:33
  Tuning in, thank. You for taking the time out of
• 18:35
  your. Day out of your busy lives and
• 18:36
  we got. A lot going on.
• 18:38
  With the fact that we show up every day.
• 18:40
  And talk. Sharp, sharp breakdowns
• 18:42
  together. Data-driven approach.
• 18:44
  It means a lot to me. So thank you for that.
• 18:46
  Now if you. Want to help me grow this pod?
• 18:48
  You can do some very easy simple.
• 18:49
  Things just give this. Podcast a five star review on
• 18:53
  Spotify or iTunes under the review tab if you want.
• 18:56
  To leave a nice comment or click the follow button or you want to
• 18:59
  recommend the pod. To a friend or.
• 19:00
  Retweet the pod when I put it. Out on Twitter each.
• 19:03
  Afternoon at Josh under score. Insights I would appreciate.
• 19:06
  All of that. Next, if you enjoy this.
• 19:09
  Style of betting breakdown. Data-driven, sharp, contrarian
• 19:12
  bedding. Focusing on.
• 19:14
  You guys know by now the numbers?
• 19:16
  The lines, the percentages, not what our.
• 19:18
  Gut and our instinct. And our bias is.
• 19:20
  Telling us, because usually that's wrong.
• 19:22
  But if this. Style of betting has.
• 19:23
  Provided you a blueprint. To attack, not just.
• 19:26
  College hoops, but every sport. And you found the value and
• 19:29
  focusing on the numbers, not your, not your bias, maybe you.
• 19:32
  Want to learn more about data-driven betting?
• 19:34
  Or maybe you? Have a friend, colleague, family
• 19:36
  member, Co worker, someone who wants to.
• 19:38
  Get into sports betting but has no clue how to do it.
• 19:41
  Or maybe someone who bets a lot but loses a lot and has no
• 19:43
  strategy whatsoever. They're just throwing darts
• 19:46
  well. If you'd like to go to.
• 19:46
  Amazon.com. And type in the Everything Guide
• 19:50
  to Sports. Betting or the?
• 19:51
  NFL sharp betting. Playbook, my newest book if.
• 19:54
  You want to grab. One or both you'd make my day.
• 19:56
  And then what I'll ask of you is bring it to the sports book.
• 19:58
  I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a beer.
• 20:00
  Or ginger ale. We'll sweat some college hoops
• 20:02
  again tonight. Next, have you downloaded?
• 20:05
  Rhythm and juice reel yet my two favorite sports.
• 20:07
  Betting apps, they help me win. I'm.
• 20:09
  Confident they're going to help you win, so rhythm is great for
• 20:12
  their. AI backed models and predictions
• 20:14
  for game bets and. Player props always love it.
• 20:16
  When there's a green star smart signal on a.
• 20:18
  Play that we like because it gives me more confidence.
• 20:20
  That the AI model. Also likes it.
• 20:22
  I mentioned it. Before but.
• 20:24
  If you log into the Rhythm app, you'll now see at the very.
• 20:26
  Top that the brackets are available to to get started.
• 20:30
  So definitely do that and then also Juice Reel.
• 20:32
  Juice Reel has so many great features Juice Reel gives.
• 20:35
  You the. ASG Pod best bets if you'd like
• 20:38
  to tail fade or what I like to do is call it tipping your
• 20:41
  podcast host. It costs $4.
• 20:43
  And 99. Cents a week.
• 20:45
  So 7 days worth of plays. Less than a dollar a day.
• 20:48
  And again. You go out to dinner, the
• 20:50
  bartender the the the server takes care of you.
• 20:52
  You give him a good tip. The pods free.
• 20:54
  If you enjoy the pod, it's helped you catch some tickets.
• 20:57
  Go sign up for those ASG Best Bet picks on Juice.
• 21:00
  Rail we're also going to get the Robo Jackson best bet picks the
• 21:02
  sharp mush indicators. The arbitrage plays the shop for
• 21:05
  the best line. Futures all available when you
• 21:07
  download. Juice rail.
• 21:09
  So download rhythm, download juice rail.
• 21:11
  Give them a 5 star. Review in the App Store while
• 21:13
  you're at it. Next, do you have a live odds
• 21:16
  page? Well, if you don't.
• 21:17
  Have one. You need one.
• 21:18
  You don't know what you're missing if you don't.
• 21:20
  Have it but. I can tell you it is going to.
• 21:22
  Be such a critical tool. That you're going to.
• 21:24
  Use every single. Day betting on.
• 21:25
  Sports because you got to know some.
• 21:27
  Basic things What? Sports are in action today.
• 21:29
  What are all the games that I can bet on?
• 21:31
  I need all. The games listed with the start.
• 21:34
  Times the live scoring, The live in game wagering odds.
• 21:37
  But most of all, you got to be able to track the market what
• 21:39
  did the. Line open at your.
• 21:41
  Opening column will be. Static never changed and then
• 21:43
  all. The current odds to the right,
• 21:44
  so you can quickly see which direction.
• 21:45
  The line is moved. You can identify.
• 21:47
  The juice you. Can pull up the line history and
• 21:49
  you can find the best price. And as soon as any odds.
• 21:52
  Change they get. Lit up in red.
• 21:53
  Then yellow, then green. So you know that the.
• 21:55
  Numbers are moving and if you want to play it.
• 21:57
  You better jump on it now. But odds logic is the best live
• 22:00
  odds. Page around.
• 22:02
  Even if you just want to try it out for March Madness.
• 22:04
  Or the conference tournaments. I mean, we're going to baseball
• 22:06
  here soon. We're going to have. 15 games a
• 22:08
  day. If you want to try out odds
• 22:10
  logic, I have a special link for youoddslogic.com.
• 22:14
  Slash Josh, 12. Three, that'll give you a 7 day
• 22:17
  free trial. And 50% off.
• 22:19
  Your first month of service. So that about does it for
• 22:22
  episode 466. Of the.
• 22:24
  ASG pod as. Always two final thoughts.
• 22:26
  One. Whether I see you at the
• 22:27
  Borgata? In Atlantic City Twin.
• 22:29
  River in Rhode Island, the Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or
• 22:32
  Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston, Plain
• 22:35
  Ridge park casino MGM Springfield or the Nash.
• 22:38
  My local sports book. On the border of Massachusetts
• 22:41
  and Nashville, New Hampshire. Route in the desert where the
• 22:43
  true grinders get down Where? Billy Walter sends his number
• 22:46
  runners. Where the lowest trueest
• 22:47
  possible is found. At the South point or sweat and
• 22:49
  sharp contrarian plays. Jumping in the stadium.
• 22:51
  Swim pool when? He cashed a big.
• 22:53
  Ticket at Circa, whatever it may be.
• 22:54
  You're going to walk up to me? Show me a beautiful.
• 22:58
  Cleveland State. Ticket Sacramento State ticket.
• 23:01
  Guess what? First one's on me next.
• 23:02
  One's on you post about the book.
• 23:04
  Get some, get some. Drinks.
• 23:06
  Get some nachos. And sweat some more college
• 23:08
  hoops together tonight. Sounds good to me.
• 23:10
  So as always, guys coming. Off a two and one or A1.
• 23:12
  And two A3 and O or an O and three.
• 23:15
  A great night, a terrible night, a hot.
• 23:16
  Streak. A cold streak we just got to.
• 23:18
  Keep. Grinding never get too high
• 23:20
  when? Things are going well.
• 23:21
  Never get too. Low and we're struggling.
• 23:23
  Whenever as good as we think. When?
• 23:24
  We're hot whenever as bad as we. Think when we're cold.
• 23:26
  We're somewhere in the middle. We just got to stick to the
• 23:28
  model, stick to the blueprint. Disciplined with our bankroll
• 23:31
  management. If we can do.
• 23:32
  That and find the system matches.
• 23:34
  Teams that are against the public.
• 23:35
  With the house with the pros flat bet Avoid parlays.
• 23:38
  And get that CLV. If we can.
• 23:40
  Do that. We're going to be.
• 23:41
  Successful sports bettors so hope everyone has a great.
• 23:45
  Tuesday night. And of course, we'll be right
• 23:47
  back at it tomorrow. That will be episode 467 of the
• 23:51
  All Systems Go. Sports betting podcast.
• 23:53
  Powered by rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
• 23:56
  great. Tuesday night.