Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA Quick Hit | April 3, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:00Yah, all systems going clear. We lift up. M hmm, what
- 0:37is going on? Everyone rio here going to be talking about this? Uh?
- 0:41Eight games slate Wednesday, Yeah, pretty gross slate, But this is
- 0:49what the NBA has given us at this point. The season, got a
- 0:51bunch of a bunch of injury news, a lot of teams tanking. So
- 0:55do my best with the information that we have right now. But I expect
- 0:59a lot of stuff to change throughout the day as we get more news close
- 1:03to the locks, so we definitely got to be around then and be able
- 1:06to dissect that news a little bit better. I just want to say thank
- 1:10you to everybody that reached out last night for the you know, obviously took
- 1:15down the big fade away last night for fifty K, so appreciate everybody reaching
- 1:19out. Definitely been you know, grind the season, been close a couple
- 1:23of times. It was nice to finally get that under my belt, especially
- 1:25after the big weekend over in Arizona, finishing fourteenth at the Live Final.
- 1:30But yeah, I just want to say thank you everybody. Really appreciate you
- 1:33guys sticking around with us for the first season of NBA. Hopefully we could
- 1:38provide you guys with some good information for the rest of the season. Only
- 1:40got a couple more weeks left, but let's get right into it. First
- 1:44game on the slate got the Lakers taken on the Wizards, Lakers favored by
- 1:49thirteen points. Right now, should expect a pretty full, healthy team from
- 1:55the Lakers. Tonight, Darwin Ham said, these guys are gonna be good
- 1:57to go, referring to Lebron James, Anthony Davis, the wizard side of
- 2:01things a little bit bigger of an injury report got Kuzma questionable, Rashaun Holmes
- 2:07questionable as well. I'm gonna be out with without Tys Jones and without Marvin
- 2:13Bagley Tonight, Johnny Davis, I believe he was listening questionables. Well,
- 2:16it doesn't really change too much, but that's, you know, another rotation
- 2:19piece that could be out. But I mean, if Holmes misses here,
- 2:22we saw saw Anthony Gill get the start last night for Kuzma, but if
- 2:27Holmes misses, could be Gill again or even this Atrician Vukevich guy. I
- 2:30don't know too much about him, but I do know that he played really
- 2:35well last game filling in for Bagley when he got rolled out put up almost
- 2:38thirty Draftings points in thirty one minutes. I think he got the start in
- 2:42the second half as well. But it looks to be a pretty talented guy.
- 2:46Looks like he got some some shot making ability to him. Definitely gonna
- 2:49be a tougher matchup going against Anthony Davis, who you know is a pretty
- 2:52good at drawing fouls, but he's min price. So if he's starting,
- 2:55I think that he's probably one of the best values on the slate. But
- 3:00the spin up options on the Wizard side, I mean, pretty tough to
- 3:04go there tonight. The Lakers been pretty solid defensively in the second half of
- 3:07the season, a little bit better in the last month or so, but
- 3:09they still have their issues. You know, they're one of the worst teams
- 3:12against point guards. So I think that Jordan Poole very firmly in play,
- 3:15even at seven point three game. He's playing really well right now. And
- 3:17Paul Henley Roll has been really good. Assist numbers have been good, got
- 3:21double digit assist twice in the last six games, thirteen last game, you
- 3:25know, but in the forties pretty consistently, So I think that he's a
- 3:28really strong option going against this Lakers team that we love to attack with opposing
- 3:31guards. Danny's price tag is getting up there. He's been really good this
- 3:36season, but yeah, I mean almost a K. Pretty tough for me
- 3:40to get there with just small ford eligibility. Especially Kuzma's back definitely would take
- 3:46some upside off of him. I think Corey Kisberg is a pretty solid option.
- 3:50I really like to attack Kisbert or fire him up against teams that you
- 3:53know, give him a lot of three point three pointers, a lot of
- 3:57catching shoots up, which is definitely an area of weakness for the Lakers,
- 4:00so he'd be really strong at five point nine K. With the scene looking
- 4:02pretty thin. That's pretty much it, though, on the Washington side things.
- 4:06On the Lakers side of things, it's really just Lebron or a d
- 4:10I'm gonna be a Max one of those guys. I think that the matchups
- 4:12really good for both them. Obviously the Wizard's terrible with they're interior defense.
- 4:16But I probably just be a Max one because I don't really want to invest
- 4:18too much into this game knowing that it's probably very likely to blow out.
- 4:24But I think that both Ad and Lebron are very strong options tonight next game
- 4:29versus Charlotte. I think this is probably the most important game on the slate.
- 4:31I'm gonna have a ton of value on both sides of things. On
- 4:35both sides of this game. The Charlotte Hornets will be without Miles Bridges,
- 4:40without Nick Richards. Let me suddenly pull up the injury report real quick so
- 4:46I have more accurate news. Yeah, Charlotte will be without obviously LaMelo Ball,
- 4:56all the guys that have been missing, Seth Curry, Cody Martin.
- 4:59But yeah, rich is out, Miles Bridge is doubtful, but he's most
- 5:01likely to be out, Mark Williams obviously out, Nick Richards is out,
- 5:04and then Grant Williams was questionable but got upgraded to probable, so expect him
- 5:09to be back tonight. Yeah. I mean, this is a really tough
- 5:12situation to get away from. I think that Brandon Miller don't really have a
- 5:15large sample size to go off of, but I think we can expect a
- 5:17very very large ballhanding role, very large usage rate, a lot of shot
- 5:21attempts from him tonight. Really good matchup Blazers are terrible defensively. I think
- 5:26that he's really really a strong play at six point eight K. He's got
- 5:29a ton of upside. I do prefer the sped downs, though, just
- 5:31because I think that they've got maybe not similar upsides, but probably better point
- 5:38per dollar production when you think about it. I mean, Trey Man's only
- 5:40five point five K. He's been been really good the season with Charlotte.
- 5:45I mean, hasn't really done much lately, but that's because Metis has taken
- 5:47away a lot of ball handling from him, but he's shown multi stat or
- 5:51multi category upside at times, been kind of flirting with a triple double a
- 5:56couple times since coming over to Charlotte. I think he's got gonna have a
- 6:00really strong role tonight and really good matchup. Grant Williams probably the one I'm
- 6:03the least excited about at the current price tag, but the rebounding race should
- 6:09be pretty good, taking a lot double digit shot attempts in the last four
- 6:12games. Probably gonna play around, you know, mid thirties minutes something like
- 6:15that. He's probably my least favorite value on that team, though. I
- 6:19prefer Poku at three point nine K, who has been a very consistent Fantasy
- 6:25pork minute producer when he's given the minutes dating back to his time with OKC.
- 6:29I think he's a you know, he has got a chance to start
- 6:30tonight, and I think that he'd be probably the best vie in the slate
- 6:32in my opinion at three point nine k Burton's I mean, yeah, he's
- 6:38probably gonna play a good bit. I don't really like Burtons and these types
- 6:42of matchups. The Blazers as best. They are defensively one of the better
- 6:46teams against three point shooters, which I mean, he's getting pretty much all
- 6:49of his shot attempts from three If you look in his last four games,
- 6:55six shot attempts against Boston too, five of those are from deep five,
- 7:00five and nine against the Clippers. Nine of those shots were from deep.
- 7:03Seven shots against the Warriors or eight shots against the Warriors, seven from deep.
- 7:09Six against Cleveland, all were from three point rangs. So he's gonna
- 7:11be shooting the ball just you know, just running around three point line trying
- 7:14to get open. So I don't really love him. I would much rather.
- 7:17I think the Poku, Trey Mann, and Miller are the three top
- 7:21options for me on Portland side of things. Yeah, they're gonna be thin
- 7:27again, obviously, you know Jeremy Grant, no Anthony Simon, so we'll
- 7:30see, you know, big roles from Band and Scoot Henderson. Definitely prefer
- 7:33Banton at six point nine K. I don't really care if he's coming off
- 7:36the bench. I don't care that the price size up there. He's just
- 7:41been crushing lately, three games out of his last four over fifty DraftKings points,
- 7:45so I think that he's definitely a guy I'm looking to mostly on the
- 7:48blaser side of things, and I'm probably gonna be a Maxwell's scooting band at
- 7:51these price tags. And then Ayden, if he does play, I think
- 7:56there's a chance that he could sit just because this team is trying to tank
- 7:59right now. But if he plays, this is one of the best matchups
- 8:01against the Hornets, who are bottom five and DVP for a center, so
- 8:05he'd be a great option. Same goes for Jabari Walker four point nine K.
- 8:09He's playing a ton of minutes. I've been always been a solid fantasy
- 8:11pork mine guy when he's given the minutes, and he got to forty last
- 8:15game against Orlando. I think we see something similar tonight and he's a very
- 8:18strong value. So yeah, this is a great game to attack definitely one.
- 8:22You're gonna want to have pieces from from both sides. Next game,
- 8:26okay, see versus Boston. Okay, see gonna be without Sga and Jalen
- 8:30Williams tonight, so we'll see very similar thing to uh last night, what
- 8:35we saw with Jaylen Williams get the start. I'm not sure they will go
- 8:37there again here, just because I think that they're you know, they were
- 8:41mirroring his minutes pretty much exactly with Joel Embiid, so I don't think that
- 8:46they really need to do that tonight with Boston not really having those types of
- 8:50centers they got, you know, Porzingis and Horford, which you only need
- 8:54a guy like jay and Williams shadowing shouting those guys. I think that there's
- 8:56a chance it's probably Gordon Hayward or Aaron Wigans starting, or even Isaiah Joe.
- 9:03One of these guys could probably sneak in there. But yeah, I
- 9:05mean, Chet and Giddy, even at these price tags, I think they're
- 9:09totally fine to go to again here. These guys have really strong roles,
- 9:11really good usage rates. With Jaylen Williams and as she off the court,
- 9:16Chet is averaging just under fifty DK points per six per thirty six minutes with
- 9:20those guys off the court of the season, and Giddy's around forty five DK
- 9:24points per thirty six with a twenty six percent usage rate got triple double upside.
- 9:28I mean, I still think that he has upside this price tag,
- 9:31but more so a large field GVP play than anything. I don't think this
- 9:37is the same situations last night where you're locking them in in single electry tournaments
- 9:41just because the matchups a little bit tougher. And then, yeah, I
- 9:43would I'm gonna be a max two of Wallace, Joe, Hayward Wiggins tonight,
- 9:48maybe even throw Jaylen Williams and Cambridge Williams in there, but yeah,
- 9:52I prefer Isaiah, Joe and Aaron Wiggins. I think at these price tags,
- 9:56I think they have better upside. The Celtics been a little bit worse
- 10:00against three point shooters at times this season, so those guys are the ones
- 10:03I'm looking to on the Boston side of things. Yeah, I mean,
- 10:07I'm not gonna make any of these guys a priority. I think that Tatum
- 10:09in nine point eight K is a very fine spin up option, but with
- 10:15the team being fully healthy, don't think that he's gonna be needed out there
- 10:18for you know, upper forty or upper thirties minutes. Don't think he's going
- 10:20to need to be pushed as much from a ball handling role, from usage
- 10:26role. So I think that he's just fine, and I probably would look
- 10:28elsewhere to spend my money. Next game Detroit versus Atlanta, we could definitely
- 10:35see some funky injury stuff with the Detroit side of things. You know,
- 10:37Detroit is gonna want to tank for better draft positioning, so wouldn't be surprised
- 10:41to see K get shut down at some point the season. But if he
- 10:45does play, I think that he's a very good option. Eight point six.
- 10:46K been playing really good lately, fifty seven and fifty eight and a
- 10:50half DK points in his last two games, taking twenty two, thirty three
- 10:54and twenty three shot attempts in his last three games. Match was pretty good.
- 10:58Don't worry about it too much. Again to Johnson Murray, who has
- 11:01not been the same the same defender of seasons prior. But I mean this
- 11:05Atlanta team kind of gone back to being a very shitty defense. They're giving
- 11:09it up all over the court, given up threes, giving up in tiers
- 11:11scoring, pick and roll scoring, so K it looks like a really really
- 11:15good option eight point six K with a ton of upside outside that. I'm
- 11:18not really considering these secondary guys unless we get more injury news. But like
- 11:22during its seven point two K is fine. Matchup is okay, but I
- 11:26think there's better options on the Atlanta side things. I think Dejhonte is probably
- 11:30my top spin up on the slate tonight. Pisson's been one of the worst
- 11:33teams against point guards the season, their bottom four pick and roll defensive season,
- 11:37bottom ten DVP versus point guards. They're dead last in pick and roll
- 11:41rollman situations. So de Jontay's got that triple double upside here. I think
- 11:46Hawks still looking to improve their playoff positioning, if you will, but I
- 11:52think they're pretty locked into like that nine to ten seed, so maybe maybe
- 11:54if they just want to get to like the ninth spot. But yeah,
- 11:58I think that the john SE's really slid up at ten K or nine point
- 12:01nine K, so yeah, he looks really good tonight. And then the
- 12:03only one I'm really considering on the Hawks is Clint Capella at six point three
- 12:09K, one of the best spots for opposing centers, pistons being bottom four
- 12:16in DVP versus centers and dead last and pick and a roller rollman situation,
- 12:20so he looks like a really strong option six point three K. Next game
- 12:24Indy versus Brooklyn. This is a rematch of a game earlier this week we
- 12:28saw Tarres Halliburn torch this team for fifty seven DK points in twenty seven minutes.
- 12:33He kind of looks like he's getting back into that early in season tournament
- 12:37form, so he, you know, might be a little enterprise and overlooked
- 12:43in this range at nine point two K is only you know, I'm seeing
- 12:46like sub five percent ownership on him. Games projected to stay pretty close to
- 12:50with Indy favored by eight and a half. So yeah, I mean,
- 12:54I really like Tyresea has spin up again tonight, especially if nobody's going to
- 12:56go there. I think Siakam is just fine. That's been a little bit
- 13:00worse with their interior defense over the past month or so, but eight point
- 13:03four K would much better. Just find the money get to Tyrese. The
- 13:09net side things not too exciting. I think that Cam Thomas is still in
- 13:11play at seven point seven K. This is one of the better spots for
- 13:15opposing guards, as the Pacers are dead last in points for game allowed to
- 13:18pick and roll ball handlers. We've seen camp Thomas lead the team in usage
- 13:22since he's returned from injury, so he looks like a fine option that still
- 13:26got some upset at this price tag. Not getting there on McHale, I'm
- 13:28not really getting there on Claxon, I think that Watford is still in play
- 13:33as a value at four point four K. They look like they just want
- 13:35to continue to give this guy run. He's seen twenty one, nineteen,
- 13:39twenty four, twenty nine, and thirty four minutes in his last five games,
- 13:41So yeah, I think that he's definitely still in play as a value
- 13:46option. Next game, Orlando versus New Orleans. This is a game I'm
- 13:50not too excited about. Pretty much a full X out on the Orlando side
- 13:54of things. I think that the only one you're really considering is Pollow at
- 13:56eight point five K. But man, I mean, this team's fully healthy,
- 14:01doesn't really have the same ball haying role usage coming down a little bit.
- 14:05I think he's still got upside at eight point five K, but I
- 14:07don't think I'm going to go there in a tougher matchup against the Pelicans,
- 14:11who are very sound defensively, and then on the Pelican side of things,
- 14:15it's really just Zion for me at eight point nine K. The role has
- 14:18been really strong for him. He's playing a ton of minutes right now.
- 14:20Don't worry too much about this matchup because the Magic, who you know,
- 14:26we thought of as a very strong interior defense earlier this season, they've kind
- 14:28of slipped a little bit in the second half. So I'm not too worried
- 14:31about the scoring for him. Just he's been super aggressively. He's got double
- 14:37digit free throw attempts in three of his last six game, sorry, in
- 14:41every game in his last five games, and the assist numbers look good.
- 14:46Minutes are up, So yeah, he looks like a really strong option.
- 14:48Probably one of the better spend ups behind dejount Murray. I think he's he's
- 14:52second on the list for me. Next game, we got Toronto taking on
- 14:56the Timberwolves. Toronto just came out more injury news. We've got Kelly Linok
- 15:01out. We already know the Archie Barrett's gonna be out. Bruce Brown is
- 15:05doubtful but expecting to be out as well, So this team is gonna be
- 15:07pretty thin. I don't think that the value on the Toronto side of things
- 15:11is nearly as good as the Charlotte or Portland side, or even Washington if
- 15:16we get if we get that news, yeah, I mean they there.
- 15:20They have enough bodies to throw out there quickly. Still back, so it
- 15:24takes away a lot of usage. Expect great Trent Junior to be back as
- 15:26well, so he you know, it takes away a lot of shot at
- 15:30him. So I don't think that you're really running to play any of these
- 15:31guys. But I mean with a Linik out, it's probably gonna be Mohammed
- 15:35gay guy, and he's mint priced, so you're definitely considering him. I
- 15:41think that if if Holmes is out, I would prefer Vucevic, but yeah,
- 15:46I mean it might be. It might be a double spin down center
- 15:48option tonight. The thing is, we still only have a ton of spend
- 15:50ups tonight. It's not like last night where we had Giannis, we had
- 15:52Jokic, we had Wemby. It's really just Giannis as a spend up and
- 15:56then a couple of guys in the in the nine k's. I guess if
- 16:00you want to consider Lebron and ad but they're pretty cheap and we have enough
- 16:03value to get to those guys pretty easily, So I don't think that you're
- 16:07really going out of your way to get to this Guia guy who's going to
- 16:11be going against Timberwolves, who I think are the best defense in the league.
- 16:15So yeah, that's kind of my thoughts on the Toronto side of things.
- 16:18On the Minnesota side, they're gonna be without Mike Conley tonight, obviously,
- 16:22still without car Anthony Towns. Really these everybody from Alexander Walker up is
- 16:27in play tonight. Obviously, Aunt been playing pretty bad lately, hasn't made
- 16:32a three point attempt in three straight games. But I mean, I think
- 16:36that there's pretty much no better matchup tonight or in the in the league right
- 16:41now than one against Toronto. They've just been terrible in the second half of
- 16:45the season defensively after getting rid of all their guys, So I think this
- 16:49could be a get right spot for Aunt. I don't think that he's gonna
- 16:52be needed for his full rotation with this Minnesota favored by double digits here,
- 16:56but he should be able to have a success for the minutes that he is
- 17:00out there, so I like him at nine point four K Gobert looks like
- 17:04a really good option to night as well. This this Raptors team really getting
- 17:07killed on the board, so I could definitely see like a you know,
- 17:11fifteen to fifteen or twenty twenty game from him, So he looks a good
- 17:15option. Seven point seven k Nas has been really good as a starter for
- 17:19the Wolves the season, averaging right around thirty seven DK points. Yeah,
- 17:23he's got a ton of upside. Nothing to say there. I think Carly
- 17:26Anderson looks like a really good option five point K and then Alexander Walker,
- 17:30I think that he'll get the start. He's just normally low usage guy,
- 17:34so I don't know if I want to get there, but I think that
- 17:37he could have success in this one. Obviously against Toronto, who's just terrible
- 17:40everywhere, but he could be one of those games we see him get you
- 17:44know, a couple of steels, a couple of blocks for the team that's
- 17:45pretty turnover prone. But I don't think that he is much better than some
- 17:49of the other value slates or some of the other values on the slate.
- 17:53Next game and last game on the slate, Memphis versus Milwaukee another game.
- 17:57Don't only want to invest too much too mainly on the Memphis side of things.
- 18:02I think that the guys you're considering or Jaron Jackson junior, probably Luke
- 18:04Canard and Brandon Clark. Jaren has had a really good role this season with
- 18:11the team being thin and desnt Banin's gonna miss this game again. I think
- 18:15he posted like a forty one percent usage right last game without Baine, So
- 18:18the role is gonna be there for him. If you think they can keep
- 18:22it close, then Jaren is definitely the guy that you want because he put
- 18:26up sixty two last game against Detroit. Obviously much easier matchup, but he
- 18:30definitely has the forty point scoring upside, and I would say pretty much every
- 18:36matchup just with the role that he's got. Yeah, I don't really think
- 18:41that these other guys aren't play though. I think Canard is fine, got
- 18:44the three point ability with Milwaukee kind of given it up there as of late.
- 18:48And then yeah, Clark is just okay, you know, he's playing
- 18:52around twenty minutes a game. Always been really really good fantasy guy. Yeah,
- 18:57so That's where I'm going at this. And then on the Molcca side
- 19:00things. Definitely Giannis or Bust with no Middleton, with no Dame likely.
- 19:04I mean, he's gonna have all the usage in the world and is probably
- 19:07the top spin up on the slate top definitely the most upside in the slate,
- 19:12but wouldn't be surprised if he gets downgraded throughout the day. Just this
- 19:17is a game they should have pretty easily. But yeah, I think you
- 19:19can consider all these secondary guys as well with Portis, Brook Lopez, Beasley,
- 19:23connatan Ja Crowder, all those guys are in play. I think Portis
- 19:26is definitely the one that has the most upside from the secondary guys, that's
- 19:32gonna do it. I think you guys for sticking around. I'll see you
- 19:34guys on Friday later. A man stap Hanns s