Latest / Yaron Brook Show / Consequences; Affordability (Cochrane); Ukraine; War?; Achievements | Yaron Brook Show
Transcript
- 0:12Speaker 1: The Radical Fundamental Principles of Freedom Rational Self-Interest and Individual
- 0:20Speaker 1: Rights This is The Yaron Brook Show Alright everybody, welcome
- 0:31Speaker 1: to the Ron Brooks Show on this October 15th. It's
- 0:35Speaker 1: a Thursday. And it's a big day. It's a major event.
- 0:42Speaker 1: Some of you might know this already. I see there's
- 0:45Speaker 1: one person who knows about this. I am streaming on Twitch.
- 0:51Speaker 1: I'm looking right now at my Twitch feed. And there
- 0:54Speaker 1: I am, streaming on Twitch. So those of you who
- 0:58Speaker 1: are Twitch lovers or whatever the hell it's called, jump
- 1:03Speaker 1: on over to Twitch just to see that this is
- 1:05Speaker 1: actually happening. It is some kind of, I don't know,
- 1:13Speaker 1: some kind of milestone. And yeah, you know, check it out. Again,
- 1:26Speaker 1: you can chat. I guess the chat room is open.
- 1:29Speaker 1: You can let other people know on Twitch that I'm
- 1:31Speaker 1: on Twitch. And I don't know. I don't know if
- 1:35Speaker 1: any of you are Twitch-friendly on Twitch, Twitch, Twitch. Oh,
- 1:41Speaker 1: there's somebody. First comment on YBS Twitch was by Cook Emenia.
- 1:48Speaker 1: I don't know who Cook Emenia is. Maybe it's our Cook.
- 1:50Speaker 1: Maybe it's, you know, who knows.
- 1:52Speaker 2: All right.
- 1:54Speaker 1: Cool.
- 1:55Speaker 2: Uh, now we need to build an audience. So, uh,
- 1:59Speaker 2: this is why I need your help.
- 2:00Speaker 1: I need, I need the help of, uh, uh, of
- 2:03Speaker 1: the people who, uh, uh, who are actually on Twitch. Uh,
- 2:09Speaker 1: is this super chat on Twitch? So, um, anybody, you know,
- 2:14Speaker 1: so if you know anything about Twitch, uh, let me know. And, um, uh, Yeah.
- 2:24Speaker 1: You know, Restream made it super easy, super easy.
- 2:30Speaker 2: To stream on Twitch now. So yeah, every show, every show.
- 2:36Speaker 1: I'm not promising an eight-hour show yet, but every show
- 2:39Speaker 1: is going to be streamed now on Twitch in addition
- 2:43Speaker 1: to Facebook and X and everywhere else. I'm curious if
- 2:47Speaker 1: there's a Super Chat on Twitch so I can kind
- 2:49Speaker 1: of integrate it into Into Super Chat? I don't think
- 2:53Speaker 1: there is because it didn't ask me for like, how
- 2:56Speaker 1: do we connect bank accounts and stuff like that. So
- 3:03Speaker 1: I don't see that feature. Maybe it's available and I
- 3:06Speaker 1: just don't know.
- 3:07Speaker 2: Anyway, more to explore.
- 3:10Speaker 1: Those of you who are watching on Twitch, if you'd
- 3:12Speaker 1: follow me, that would be cool. So start following me
- 3:16Speaker 1: on Twitch. That way we'll get the follower numbers up.
- 3:20Speaker 1: and that will have some effect. At least people will
- 3:24Speaker 1: know when I go live. Finn Harper says, not really,
- 3:29Speaker 1: but you can post your PayPal things and people can
- 3:33Speaker 1: use that. All right, we'll do that. I also mentioned
- 3:35Speaker 1: PayPal and Patreon online on a regular basis. I don't
- 3:41Speaker 1: want that. All right, and already hit follow. All right,
- 3:45Speaker 1: Cook is already a follower. It doesn't show up. I
- 3:47Speaker 1: still show zero followers, so It doesn't show, but it will,
- 3:51Speaker 1: I assume, update at some point. Six people are watching
- 3:55Speaker 1: on Twitch. We already picked up six people. Probably you
- 3:57Speaker 1: guys watching on another screen on Twitch as well. So, yeah,
- 4:03Speaker 1: you know, for what it's worth, we are there and streaming,
- 4:09Speaker 1: and we'll continue to be there, and we'll see if
- 4:12Speaker 1: we can pick up a younger audience, a younger audience.
- 4:16Speaker 1: By also streaming on Twitch now. Well, all I need now,
- 4:19Speaker 1: because I looked a little bit at other people streaming
- 4:22Speaker 1: on Twitch and what they do is we need like
- 4:25Speaker 1: we need like a game surrounding me with lots of
- 4:28Speaker 1: colors and lots of spacecraft going all over the place
- 4:31Speaker 1: and some shooting going on and stuff to distract you
- 4:34Speaker 1: completely from what I'm actually saying. And then I think
- 4:40Speaker 1: I'll have the real.
- 4:44Speaker 2: Twitch experience, which I'm not sure I want.
- 4:52Speaker 1: But you want. You're the customer. Customer always knows. Anyway,
- 4:55Speaker 1: Cook has confirmed that Cook is Cook, that it's the
- 4:58Speaker 1: same Cook. So thank you, Cook, for following me now
- 5:01Speaker 1: on Twitch. I don't know what you can do on
- 5:04Speaker 1: Twitch to get more people. and to do that. Andrew says,
- 5:11Speaker 1: capture the ADD crowd.
- 5:13Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely. Why not?
- 5:14Speaker 1: I mean, a lot of the most creative people out
- 5:16Speaker 1: there are ADD and we need them.
- 5:18Speaker 2: We need everybody, right?
- 5:19Speaker 1: We need to be everywhere and go everywhere.
- 5:22Speaker 2: All right.
- 5:26Speaker 1: I will have, I reviewed today this amazing proposal to
- 5:31Speaker 1: create a Euron AI Pro and a Capitalism AI.
- 5:37Speaker 2: This is going to be super exciting if we can
- 5:42Speaker 2: make it happen.
- 5:43Speaker 1: Capitalism AI would basically have me, but also be trained
- 5:47Speaker 1: on all the advocates, objectivists, but also all the free
- 5:51Speaker 1: market economists would be trained on all that content. People
- 5:56Speaker 1: who had access to it could write research papers, could
- 6:01Speaker 1: ask questions about how capitalism would deal with issue X
- 6:06Speaker 1: or issue Y, and get amazing answers from the AI
- 6:12Speaker 1: that was trained just on the good stuff. This would
- 6:18Speaker 1: also be a powerful tool for researchers because you could
- 6:23Speaker 1: use it to write papers and devise lectures and do
- 6:28Speaker 1: stuff like that. So I'm super, super excited about that.
- 6:35Speaker 1: And I'm super excited about that. I will provide more information.
- 6:42Speaker 1: I'm getting a deck to pitch because we're going to
- 6:44Speaker 1: have to raise a lot of money for this. So
- 6:46Speaker 1: this is going to be a six-figure investment in order
- 6:50Speaker 1: to create this, program as time and compute resources. So
- 6:57Speaker 1: it'll be a six-figure investment. But anybody who contributes over
- 7:01Speaker 1: a certain amount will get his own version of his
- 7:05Speaker 1: own access to, uh, you're on AI pro, uh, and
- 7:09Speaker 1: to a capitalism AI. So, uh, I'm looking forward to that.
- 7:14Speaker 1: Somebody said there's a Twitch prime where people can subscribe
- 7:18Speaker 1: to you with the Amazon account. If they have Amazon prime, um,
- 7:23Speaker 1: I mean, how about, how about we, how about we
- 7:26Speaker 1: take this one step at a time? Uh, if somebody
- 7:30Speaker 1: wants to tell me how I can sign up for
- 7:31Speaker 1: Twitch prime, uh, Send me an email. I'll try to
- 7:35Speaker 1: do that. I have an Amazon account. If people want
- 7:38Speaker 1: to send me money to the Amazon account, that's good.
- 7:41Speaker 1: Or maybe they can just send money to other stuff.
- 7:43Speaker 1: I don't know. But that is cool. Twitch is nothing
- 7:47Speaker 1: as compared to the AI stuff, which I am super
- 7:51Speaker 1: excited about. And we will see. We will see whether
- 7:55Speaker 1: we can actually make it happen. But I think it
- 8:00Speaker 1: will be an amazing tool. And the world out there
- 8:06Speaker 1: is going to be AI.
- 8:07Speaker 2: I mean, AI is the future.
- 8:11Speaker 1: It's the present, and it's definitely, definitely the future. So
- 8:18Speaker 1: very much excited about that. All right.
- 8:22Speaker 2: Let's see. What else are we doing?
- 8:24Speaker 1: What are all these dates? I have no idea what
- 8:30Speaker 1: the dates are. All right. Somebody's posting dates. All right.
- 8:36Speaker 2: I'm going to ignore the chat.
- 8:40Speaker 1: And find stuff to show you. I've used the term
- 8:58Speaker 1: twice in the last year. I lead my words. If
- 9:02Speaker 1: someone AI shows you've used it twice in the last year,
- 9:06Speaker 1: I lead my words. The term is central purpose. I mean,
- 9:12Speaker 1: it's simple. All I have to do is ask you
- 9:15Speaker 1: on AI. What was you on AI?
- 9:18Speaker 2: It's right there.
- 9:22Speaker 3: How often have I used the term Central purpose over
- 9:35Speaker 3: the last.
- 9:37Speaker 1: It doesn't have all my shows from the last year
- 9:40Speaker 1: because I don't think we fed it all the shows.
- 9:43Speaker 1: But let's see what it comes up with. All right.
- 9:52Speaker 1: I'll let you know the answer in a minute in
- 9:56Speaker 1: terms of. In terms of. in terms of, I'll get
- 10:08Speaker 1: Andrew a limit. All right. All right. So here's your answer.
- 10:22Speaker 1: about how many times Yaron has used the term central
- 10:24Speaker 1: purpose over the last year. I can't give you a
- 10:26Speaker 1: precise talent. I want to be straight about that. The
- 10:28Speaker 1: tool I search with finds passages by meaning, not by
- 10:33Speaker 1: counting every literal occurrence of a phrase. It's a relevant search,
- 10:36Speaker 1: not a word frequency counter. So any number I threw
- 10:40Speaker 1: out there would be invented. I wouldn't do that. What
- 10:43Speaker 1: I can tell you is where the term actually clusters.
- 10:46Speaker 1: Central purpose is a concept I lean on, I meaning Yaron.
- 10:50Speaker 1: Lean on most have a Lean Rules for Life series.
- 10:52Speaker 1: Episodes like Discover and Pursue Your Dreams, Values Personal and Universal,
- 10:57Speaker 1: where I use it in specific objective sense, the integrating
- 11:00Speaker 1: productive goal that organizes all other values into a hierarchy.
- 11:04Speaker 1: So you're not just drifting. That's the phrase doing real work.
- 11:08Speaker 1: Over the last year specifically, October 25 to October 26,
- 11:12Speaker 1: the exact phrase shows up less than in those early
- 11:15Speaker 1: Rules of Life shows. The recent episodes where the idea
- 11:19Speaker 1: lives like June 2026 show on productiveness and AI tend
- 11:24Speaker 1: to use productiveness, productive purpose, or the integrating activity rather
- 11:28Speaker 1: than the exact word central purpose. If you want an
- 11:31Speaker 1: actual count, a reliable way is a plain text search
- 11:35Speaker 1: across the transcripts for the literal string. My search tool
- 11:38Speaker 1: can't substitute for that. Want me to pull the specific
- 11:41Speaker 1: passages from last year where I discussed that concept? exact
- 11:45Speaker 1: phrase or not. So you see, right? So I could do,
- 11:49Speaker 1: I could do a text search to get the $ 100.
- 11:53Speaker 1: I'm just telling you what your on AI is telling me.
- 11:56Speaker 1: So this is, this is how, this is how, this
- 12:01Speaker 1: is how your on AI works. The beauty of it
- 12:03Speaker 1: is you're getting, you're getting a sense, right? This is
- 12:07Speaker 1: in first person as if me answering the question. This
- 12:10Speaker 1: is what your on AI will do. This is the plain,
- 12:15Speaker 1: version of you on AI, right? And that as part
- 12:27Speaker 1: of this project would be made public. That is, everybody
- 12:30Speaker 1: would have access to it. And you could ask you
- 12:33Speaker 1: on AI anything you wanted. What is central purpose? How
- 12:36Speaker 1: do I apply it to my life? And it would
- 12:37Speaker 1: give you an answer from me, having been trained on uh,
- 12:43Speaker 1: on my shows, many of my shows, all my, a
- 12:47Speaker 1: lot of my lectures and all of my books. So, um, uh,
- 12:52Speaker 1: all right. So it's, it's saying, uh, that Andrew is right. Right. So, uh, the,
- 13:04Speaker 1: I ran a, I ran a tech search, uh, uh,
- 13:10Speaker 1: And it's saying, yeah, not one hit with the literal phrase.
- 13:15Speaker 1: It says the real clusters are older, the 2022 Discover
- 13:19Speaker 1: and Pursue Your Dream episode, your central purpose, the integrating purpose,
- 13:23Speaker 1: the 2024 Values, Personal, and Universal episode. Several times I
- 13:28Speaker 1: use it in that one episode. I don't know if
- 13:30Speaker 1: that counts. And, of course, in Free Market Revolution, where
- 13:35Speaker 1: it's phrased as central activity. let's see, the recent episodes
- 13:40Speaker 1: where the ideas live is the June 2026 on productivity,
- 13:44Speaker 1: but those are the ideas, not the exact phrase. If
- 13:48Speaker 1: you need a hard verified count, the only reliable method
- 13:51Speaker 1: is running a plain text string search over the world
- 13:53Speaker 1: transit files. My tool can point you to, okay, so
- 13:56Speaker 1: it can't, it can't certify a number, but it doesn't
- 13:59Speaker 1: seem to, it suggests there is no one.
- 14:03Speaker 2: All right, Andrew won that one. I don't get a
- 14:05Speaker 2: hundred bucks.
- 14:06Speaker 1: Sucks. I was hoping he was wrong.
- 14:09Speaker 2: Okay. We'll have to talk more about central purpose.
- 14:12Speaker 1: Um, but for that, we'll have to do more shows on, uh,
- 14:16Speaker 1: we'll have to do more shows on, uh, uh, on
- 14:20Speaker 1: your own rules and, and applying the morality and applying
- 14:23Speaker 1: stuff like that. All right.
- 14:26Speaker 2: Um, Andrew's point taken.
- 14:31Speaker 1: All right.
- 14:32Speaker 2: Let's turn to the news. Cause this is a new
- 14:34Speaker 2: show after all.
- 14:35Speaker 1: And, uh, I like numbers says he found three examples
- 14:40Speaker 1: of the exact text. You got to send Andrew the
- 14:45Speaker 1: exact text because he doesn't believe he doesn't believe just dates.
- 14:52Speaker 1: All right. OK, so Andrew, I like numbers claims that
- 15:00Speaker 1: that he has three three examples in the last in
- 15:05Speaker 1: the last 12 months. So I'll have him provide you
- 15:10Speaker 1: with the evidence, unless you can't see his stuff. He
- 15:16Speaker 1: gave you the dates and timestamps. I don't know how
- 15:18Speaker 1: he did it so quickly.
- 15:21Speaker 4: All right.
- 15:22Speaker 1: Let us turn to the news. Today, we got the
- 15:29Speaker 1: PPI number, the producer price index. This is the price
- 15:33Speaker 1: inflation number for China. businesses, kind of in the intermediary
- 15:40Speaker 1: steps of businesses. And it was up 1.3% in September.
- 15:47Speaker 1: That is a one-month level. That is the most since
- 15:53Speaker 1: March of 2022 at the peak of Biden inflation.
- 16:01Speaker 2: It's 6.3% year over year.
- 16:07Speaker 1: The core was 0.7%, which is also massively high, 5%
- 16:12Speaker 1: year over year. So again, significantly more readings relating to
- 16:21Speaker 1: prices increasing.
- 16:22Speaker 2: Prices are going up. So why?
- 16:35Speaker 1: What's going on? Well, what's driving this is energy, plus 11%, basically. And,
- 16:47Speaker 1: you know, trade margins, pretty much every category is hot.
- 16:54Speaker 1: Everything that involves imports is going up. Everything, but anything
- 17:01Speaker 1: that traditionally, traditionally, has had domestic competition, the domestic competitors
- 17:10Speaker 1: of race prices.
- 17:12Speaker 2: So everything is up.
- 17:13Speaker 1: And look, this is the consequence. It's the consequence of
- 17:18Speaker 1: Trump policies over the last year and a half. You know,
- 17:21Speaker 1: Trump mouthpieces can go on Fox News and say, this
- 17:29Speaker 1: is Biden's inflation, this is Biden's inflation. Give me a
- 17:32Speaker 1: freaking break. It's two years on or a year and
- 17:36Speaker 1: three quarters on. And this is a direct consequence of
- 17:40Speaker 1: two actions of Donald Trump. One is tariffs. One is tariffs.
- 17:47Speaker 1: And now the Fed has come out with a paper
- 17:50Speaker 1: showing that prices of American manufactured goods, of American.
- 17:58Speaker 2: Products, have gone up because of tariffs. They don't face tariffs.
- 18:04Speaker 1: From abroad.
- 18:05Speaker 2: So it goes up.
- 18:12Speaker 1: And.
- 18:13Speaker 2: And of course.
- 18:19Speaker 1: The war. So two decisions.
- 18:23Speaker 2: Trump has made.
- 18:24Speaker 4: One.
- 18:27Speaker 2: To raise tariffs. Which is just dumb.
- 18:30Speaker 1: That has.
- 18:30Speaker 2: There's no excuse.
- 18:32Speaker 1: Just. Just. bad economics, lack of thinking, lack of strategy,
- 18:39Speaker 1: lack of long-term thinking, lack of knowledgeable people around him,
- 18:45Speaker 1: just dumb economic policy. I mean, really dumb. And a
- 18:55Speaker 1: war which lacks the strategy to actually win. So if
- 19:01Speaker 1: you go to war, you got to win and you
- 19:03Speaker 1: got to win fast. And lack the strategy, by the way,
- 19:06Speaker 1: to actually make sure the Strait of Hormuz stays open
- 19:12Speaker 1: and therefore oil keeps coming in and therefore prices don't
- 19:15Speaker 1: go up. So Trump policies are driving up costs across
- 19:24Speaker 1: the board. By the way, there's somebody on here who
- 19:28Speaker 1: has the handle of Yaron Brook 1234.
- 19:30Speaker 2: Is that me? Who is this guy?
- 19:36Speaker 1: And now they're saying, I don't really like that there
- 19:38Speaker 1: are two different chats. God, I mean, I can't please
- 19:42Speaker 1: you people. There's actually four different chats because there are
- 19:44Speaker 1: two chats going on on Facebook as well.
- 19:49Speaker 2: So therefore, chats.
- 19:50Speaker 1: I mean, I do have a way to combine them
- 19:52Speaker 1: all in Restream, but you can't see that. I guess
- 19:56Speaker 1: I could put it up on the screen, but then
- 19:58Speaker 1: it becomes distracting. I think I tried that once and
- 20:00Speaker 1: you guys didn't like it.
- 20:02Speaker 4: All right.
- 20:03Speaker 1: Anyway, the consequences of bad economic policies. stupid trade policy
- 20:11Speaker 1: and and the only thing i think of is stupid
- 20:12Speaker 1: because it's it's it's irrational i mean irrational trade policy
- 20:19Speaker 1: and uh a war we refuse to win and went
- 20:26Speaker 1: into without a strategy that you know um The consequence
- 20:38Speaker 1: of that is high prices. Now, if we go beyond that,
- 20:42Speaker 1: if we go beyond the high prices, we've talked about
- 20:46Speaker 1: this many times, bond market, 10 years. Despite the 5.33,
- 20:52Speaker 1: it's now gone down a lot today to close to 5, 5.08,
- 20:57Speaker 1: which is a big drop. I think that is because
- 21:01Speaker 1: the market is now fearing recession.
- 21:06Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 21:07Speaker 1: I mean, I saw speculation somewhere, which is kind of
- 21:09Speaker 1: funny because I don't think this is true, but it
- 21:11Speaker 1: is kind of funny that people are selling AI stocks,
- 21:18Speaker 1: artificial intelligence stocks and buying bonds. And that's driving bond
- 21:21Speaker 1: prices up, yields down.
- 21:24Speaker 2: Who knows?
- 21:25Speaker 1: Day to day movements cannot be explained. You look at
- 21:27Speaker 1: the long term trends. So we're looking at high bond prices.
- 21:32Speaker 1: We're looking at a hike from the Fed and probably
- 21:35Speaker 1: more hikes to come. We're looking at the dollar at
- 21:38Speaker 1: a 17-month high as a consequence of high interest rates.
- 21:43Speaker 1: We're looking at IMF and a number of economists warning U.S.
- 21:49Speaker 1: debt is out of control and something has to be
- 21:53Speaker 1: done about it. And it's all bad.
- 22:01Speaker 2: Trump policy. It is what it is.
- 22:07Speaker 1: Yeah, Iran1234 is not answering when people ask him who
- 22:11Speaker 1: he is because there's only one Iran Brook in the
- 22:14Speaker 1: entire world. Literally, there's only one person in the entire
- 22:17Speaker 1: world with that name and that's me. So somebody's impersonating
- 22:20Speaker 1: me by adding 1234 at the end. I actually tried
- 22:24Speaker 1: to get the username Iran Brook and it was not available.
- 22:27Speaker 1: So on Twitch, there's somebody using the Iran Brook handle.
- 22:33Speaker 1: I'm using you on book show because I couldn't get
- 22:35Speaker 1: you on book. So there you go. Um, the AI,
- 22:43Speaker 1: AI stocks, uh, NASDAQ was down 2% yesterday.
- 22:48Speaker 2: And, uh, we get a number of stocks we've talked about.
- 22:51Speaker 1: Uh, we've talked about, uh, uh, chip stocks, particularly memory
- 22:56Speaker 1: chip stocks are down a lot. Uh, We've got CoreWeave,
- 23:04Speaker 1: which is like a, what do they call them? A
- 23:06Speaker 1: neocloud firm. A neocloud firm. So this is a cloud
- 23:10Speaker 1: company for AI. It was down 17%. And its 2032
- 23:16Speaker 1: bonds are under 78 cents. So they've been discounted significantly.
- 23:24Speaker 1: Supposedly an analyst has come out and said, this is
- 23:27Speaker 1: a company that's borrowing money at 9%. and investing it
- 23:31Speaker 1: in something that earns it 5%. It's not good.
- 23:36Speaker 2: It's not what you're supposed to do.
- 23:37Speaker 1: You're supposed to borrow 9% and invest it in something
- 23:40Speaker 1: that's going to earn you more than 9%. Quite a
- 23:44Speaker 1: bit more than 9%, hopefully. Anyway, on the positive side
- 23:55Speaker 1: of the AI, TSMC... the Taiwanese chip manufacturer, the one
- 24:00Speaker 1: that actually manufactures the chips, not designs them, just manufactures them.
- 24:05Speaker 1: They had, you know, they had sales that were up
- 24:12Speaker 1: to $ 54. 3 billion in a quarter, the December quarter. $ 54. 3 billion.
- 24:19Speaker 1: Capital expenditure is at a record of $ 64 billion. They're
- 24:25Speaker 1: looking to build a fab in Texas, and they're looking
- 24:31Speaker 1: to do a tie-up with Musk. With Musk, you know,
- 24:36Speaker 1: he's also building a fab in Texas. Yeah, Anthropic's revenue,
- 24:48Speaker 1: while growing, are growing much faster than it was, than
- 24:53Speaker 1: they were. So, anthropics' income is growing a lot slower
- 25:01Speaker 1: than what they expected and how they were growing earlier
- 25:05Speaker 1: in the year. That is putting a big question mark
- 25:08Speaker 1: over their IPO.
- 25:15Speaker 2: So, you know, badly.
- 25:18Speaker 1: Executed war, a just war, a correct war, a good war,
- 25:23Speaker 1: if you're going to engage in it, if you're going
- 25:25Speaker 1: to win it, wars are always bad.
- 25:28Speaker 2: Always bad.
- 25:30Speaker 1: Wars are always bad if you can't win it. So,
- 25:46Speaker 1: Homo's 26th ship was struck this month. That's the worst since.
- 25:51Speaker 2: The war began.
- 25:52Speaker 1: We're talking about transport ships, cargo ships, containers. A container
- 25:58Speaker 1: ship sank on Wednesday. Tankers under U.S. Navy escorts still
- 26:02Speaker 1: move about 10 to 12 billion barrels per day. It
- 26:07Speaker 1: was about 17 before the war. The freight to the Gulf,
- 26:18Speaker 1: from the Gulf to Asia, is $ 30 more expensive now
- 26:25Speaker 1: per barrel than it was before the war. Oil, as
- 26:29Speaker 1: we know, is super high. That's driving these price inflation numbers.
- 26:36Speaker 2: According to a poll.
- 26:39Speaker 1: Of independent voters, 65% of them say the economy is
- 26:44Speaker 1: getting worse. It was 48 in September 2024 before Trump
- 26:48Speaker 1: took office. 28% of Republicans say better.
- 26:52Speaker 4: 28%.
- 26:52Speaker 1: 61% think we're in a recession. 61% overall think we're
- 26:58Speaker 1: in a recession. So yeah, voters seemingly from the polls
- 27:05Speaker 1: overwhelmingly want change. They're not going to get real change,
- 27:10Speaker 1: not that it affects any of this, because they're not
- 27:13Speaker 1: voting for president. So war with Iran started in February.
- 27:20Speaker 1: not finished, and not executed well, even when it was
- 27:23Speaker 1: going on, means a straight that is still contested in October.
- 27:30Speaker 1: It means $ 30 a barrel to ship oil that used
- 27:34Speaker 1: to cost $ 3 a barrel to ship. Energy is at
- 27:38Speaker 1: 11% more expensive in producer prices in one month. Core
- 27:44Speaker 1: inflation for producers is up 5%. Well, to a large extent,
- 27:49Speaker 1: that's because energy is in the numbers. Although the core,
- 27:55Speaker 1: I think, excludes energy. Real wages, wages adjusted for inflation
- 27:59Speaker 1: are actually down. Ten years at 5.3, mortgages 7.5. And
- 28:11Speaker 1: every single one of these things, every single one of
- 28:13Speaker 1: these things is a consequence of government behavior.
- 28:16Speaker 2: A consequence of government decisions.
- 28:20Speaker 1: Fight, stop, spend, spend, spend, spend, spend more, print money,
- 28:27Speaker 1: and of course, to put a tax on importing goods.
- 28:34Speaker 1: And the public, correctly, says prices are the problem. Prices
- 28:39Speaker 1: are the problem. We'll get to that in a minute. So,
- 28:45Speaker 1: you know, We will see where we go from here.
- 28:49Speaker 1: We've got elections soon. We'll see how the elections, if
- 28:52Speaker 1: the elections solve anything, make things worse. All right, so
- 29:01Speaker 1: the next segment I want to talk about is related
- 29:04Speaker 1: to all this. It's related to this affordability crisis that
- 29:09Speaker 1: everybody talks about, which is, you know, we'll talk about
- 29:14Speaker 1: what that even means. I'm building, you know, the segment
- 29:18Speaker 1: is based on three grumpy economist posts. Grumpy economist is
- 29:23Speaker 1: John Cochran, one of my favorite economists. I don't agree
- 29:27Speaker 1: with him on a bunch of stuff, but he's still
- 29:30Speaker 1: one of my favorite economists. He writes well and he's smart,
- 29:34Speaker 1: off-the-chart smart. And on most stuff, we agree. Maybe on
- 29:39Speaker 1: a few things, we don't. Anyway, so this is based
- 29:42Speaker 1: on three posts, October 11th, 13th, and 14th, built on
- 29:47Speaker 1: a Wall Street Journal poll, which we will discuss. So
- 29:53Speaker 1: John Cochran is at Hoover Institute at Stanford University. I
- 29:56Speaker 1: think one of the best monetary economists alive. Although, again,
- 30:00Speaker 1: even in monetary economy, I don't know I agree with
- 30:03Speaker 1: him on everything, but he's a real thoughtful guy. He's
- 30:07Speaker 1: a thinker, which is, you know, rare, right? His blog
- 30:16Speaker 1: is called The Umpire Economist, Substack. I encourage you to
- 30:18Speaker 1: sign up for it. He's always interesting. You know, so
- 30:23Speaker 1: let's look at this poll that was done, all right?
- 30:28Speaker 1: So a bunch of questions about economic policy and what
- 30:32Speaker 1: they would support in terms of economic policy. This is weird.
- 30:40Speaker 1: All right, that's better.
- 30:43Speaker 2: And so here's some stuff.
- 30:44Speaker 1: Now, would you support a cap on credit card interest
- 30:51Speaker 1: rates at 10%? Interest rates on credit cards cannot go
- 30:54Speaker 1: above 10%, right?
- 30:58Speaker 2: Anybody here? You guys, you guys support this? Don't support this?
- 31:03Speaker 1: Yep.
- 31:04Speaker 2: Anyway, here we go.
- 31:06Speaker 1: 78% of Democrats support this. Ooh, that's terrible. You know,
- 31:11Speaker 1: those expected, right? Those Democrats are all socialists. 83, yeah, 83,
- 31:18Speaker 1: five percentage points more of Republicans support a cap on
- 31:23Speaker 1: credit cards, which just proves something. Maybe Republicans are just
- 31:27Speaker 1: as socialist as Democrats these days. And 76% of independents. Basically,
- 31:36Speaker 1: somewhere around 80% of all Americans. 80. 8-0.
- 31:40Speaker 3: 8-0.
- 31:44Speaker 2: Support a cap on credit card interest rates.
- 31:48Speaker 1: All right. Who doesn't like a cap on interest rates?
- 31:53Speaker 1: So what about limits on rents? Like, let's limit rent
- 31:58Speaker 1: increases to 5% above inflation. That's still a generous increase, right?
- 32:02Speaker 1: Inflation plus 5%. Cap that.
- 32:08Speaker 2: 65% of Americans.
- 32:11Speaker 1: How about a 20% at $ 20? Sorry, $ 20 minimum wage.
- 32:14Speaker 1: $ 20 minimum wage.
- 32:16Speaker 2: Increase everybody's wages. That sounds good, right?
- 32:19Speaker 1: 57%.
- 32:27Speaker 2: How about force insurers.
- 32:28Speaker 1: To cover whatever a doctor prescribes? Like, insurers should just
- 32:35Speaker 1: sign off on anything the doctor says when it comes
- 32:38Speaker 1: to prescription drugs. You want a GOP1? Here's the most
- 32:41Speaker 1: expensive one. You want a PKS, whatever, to lower your cholesterol?
- 32:47Speaker 1: Even though it's, I don't know, hundreds of dollars a month,
- 32:49Speaker 1: the insurer should just cover whatever a doctor prescribes. Here
- 32:54Speaker 1: are the numbers, guys. 96% of Democrats. All right. 82%
- 33:02Speaker 1: of Republicans. 86% of independents. How about borrowing institutions, institutional
- 33:10Speaker 1: investors from buying single family homes? 77% Democrats, 77% Republicans,
- 33:15Speaker 1: 69% independents. How about capping child care costs? Oh, here
- 33:25Speaker 1: there's a bit of a difference. 90% Democrats, still a
- 33:29Speaker 1: majority of Republicans. 61% of Republicans want to cap child
- 33:33Speaker 1: care costs. And 67% of independents. How about, here's a
- 33:39Speaker 1: good one.
- 33:39Speaker 2: I love this one.
- 33:40Speaker 1: A government website that sold discounted prescription drugs. In other words,
- 33:47Speaker 1: the government getting into the business of selling drugs. I mean,
- 33:50Speaker 1: we're not talking about heroin and those, although that would
- 33:52Speaker 1: be interesting too. 76% of Democrats, 75% of Republicans, 63%
- 33:59Speaker 1: of independents. The only thing that a majority of Americans
- 34:06Speaker 1: do not want is government-run grocery stores, only supported by 37%,
- 34:13Speaker 1: and the $ 5, 000 checks if Republicans keep Congress, only 23%.
- 34:20Speaker 1: By the way, in my view and in John Cochran's view,
- 34:24Speaker 1: A $ 5, 000 check, if Republicans keep Congress, is better than
- 34:33Speaker 1: the price controls and the caps and the minimum wages
- 34:36Speaker 1: and the forcing insurance and the borrowing and all that stuff.
- 34:41Speaker 1: Just my view. Not good.
- 34:42Speaker 2: It's not good.
- 34:44Speaker 1: No, no, no. Not good. But better. Better. Less distortive.
- 34:49Speaker 1: Less destructive. Now look at the Republican column. This is
- 34:57Speaker 1: not Mamdani's base. This is not Democrat Socialist of America.
- 35:01Speaker 4: This is the party of Donald Trump that calls itself,
- 35:07Speaker 4: still I think, the party of free markets.
- 35:12Speaker 1: 83% of it wants price controls on credit. This isn't
- 35:18Speaker 1: about left or right, Democrats or Republicans. This is what
- 35:25Speaker 1: Americans across the board believe about prices and about markets.
- 35:33Speaker 1: And the question to ask ourselves, and the question everybody
- 35:36Speaker 1: should ask themselves, is why?
- 35:39Speaker 2: Why do they believe this crap?
- 35:44Speaker 1: And then if you look at today's Harris Poll, 65%
- 35:47Speaker 1: of independents say the economy is getting worse. 61% think
- 35:51Speaker 1: we're in a recession. Gas and groceries are the top issue.
- 35:54Speaker 1: There's real grievances. But they're completely screwing up the diagnosis.
- 36:10Speaker 1: So let's look at this. Let's look at John Calkin's
- 36:15Speaker 1: analysis of some of this stuff. Here's really the bottom line.
- 36:22Speaker 1: from Cochrane. The government cannot make anything more affordable overall.
- 36:31Speaker 2: By taxing, by spending, by borrowing, or by regulating.
- 36:43Speaker 1: So price controls, the kind of controls, the kind of borrowing,
- 36:47Speaker 1: the kind of restrictions will not make things more, quote, affordable.
- 36:55Speaker 1: whatever the hell that means, and for whomever that might mean.
- 37:00Speaker 1: All the government can do, all the government can do
- 37:03Speaker 1: is move the bill around. If you force, you know,
- 37:08Speaker 1: as we'll see if we, well, we'll see in a minute,
- 37:11Speaker 1: you know, what that happens, how that works, right?
- 37:13Speaker 2: They can move it around.
- 37:16Speaker 1: And at the same time, while they move the money around,
- 37:19Speaker 1: you'll lose a chunk of the money in transit and
- 37:22Speaker 1: you'll create inefficiencies. and you'll create disincentives, and you'll create
- 37:27Speaker 1: things that are destructive to the economy overall.
- 37:31Speaker 2: I mean, just think about it.
- 37:33Speaker 1: Prices, wages, and rent controls. What does that result in?
- 37:37Speaker 1: Somebody has to pay. Well, you pay by rationing, with lines,
- 37:45Speaker 1: with black markets, with corruption, with shortages. That's the rationing.
- 37:52Speaker 1: And that happens every Literally, every single time it's tried,
- 37:57Speaker 1: no matter where, no matter when. I mean, Mamdani can
- 38:00Speaker 1: pretend they can make up. But the reality is rent
- 38:04Speaker 1: control reduces the availability of apartments to rent, which ultimately
- 38:10Speaker 1: results in rents going up. So all the socialists on
- 38:13Speaker 1: Twitch can live in a fantasy world that doesn't exist.
- 38:21Speaker 1: Every price control. Every price control, and I include minimum
- 38:24Speaker 1: wage here. Every price control, every wage control, every rent control,
- 38:30Speaker 1: all price controls really, result in the same thing always. Rationing, lines,
- 38:40Speaker 1: black markets, corruption, distorted distortions, lower quality markets.
- 38:48Speaker 2: You know, you name it.
- 38:49Speaker 1: Bad stuff.
- 38:49Speaker 2: Lots of lots of bad stuff.
- 38:51Speaker 1: Bad stuff that even a socialist would recognize. Oh, no, no.
- 38:54Speaker 1: This is good. This is good. I mean, unless they
- 38:57Speaker 1: were like a real nihilist socialist. Cook says there are
- 39:02Speaker 1: no socialists in my Twitch chat. I'm crushed and disappointed.
- 39:06Speaker 1: We're trying to peel people off of Hassan Paika's Twitch. Right.
- 39:14Speaker 2: We want to read Hassan.
- 39:15Speaker 1: Yeah, that's right. We want to read Hasan Piker's list.
- 39:20Speaker 1: Go over there.
- 39:22Speaker 2: He must be twitching now. And bring people over.
- 39:26Speaker 1: What happened? if you mandate that insurance cover everything? There's
- 39:35Speaker 1: no magic here. Well, prices have to go up. In
- 39:39Speaker 1: other words, premiums go up. Premiums go up. I don't
- 39:51Speaker 1: know what that means. Somebody says you need to get
- 39:54Speaker 1: on Just Chatting category on Twitch. Somebody email me what
- 39:58Speaker 1: the hell that means. I have no idea. What happens
- 40:00Speaker 1: if you ban institutional homebuyers? Well, why don't we ban
- 40:06Speaker 1: used car dealers? Maybe we can ban eBay, ban middlemen.
- 40:10Speaker 1: All institutional homebuyers are. They buy homes. They rent them out.
- 40:13Speaker 1: They don't sit there empty. You just reduce the supply
- 40:17Speaker 1: of homes. What if you cap child care costs? Who
- 40:23Speaker 1: caps it? How do you cap it? And then how
- 40:28Speaker 1: do you get the workers whose wages are now capped,
- 40:31Speaker 1: the workers who work in child care, how do you
- 40:33Speaker 1: get them to show up?
- 40:36Speaker 2: How do you get them to show up?
- 40:46Speaker 1: All right. And if you have a government drug website,
- 40:52Speaker 1: this one's funny. Remember, this is John Cochran reminds us.
- 40:56Speaker 1: He reminds us of, you remember the Obamacare site that
- 41:00Speaker 1: kept crashing, couldn't survive?
- 41:04Speaker 2: Remember what happened when we cut out the middleman with
- 41:07Speaker 2: student loans? We're still suffering from that.
- 41:10Speaker 1: The government gives willy-nilly student loans to everybody. Prices go
- 41:14Speaker 1: through the roof and you get a student loan quote
- 41:19Speaker 1: quote crisis here's how Cochran summarizes it subsidies against fixed
- 41:28Speaker 1: supply like energy and housing just drive prices up more
- 41:35Speaker 1: not less more now he says if you give everybody
- 41:41Speaker 1: a $ 5, 000 check right he says it's a terrible idea
- 41:45Speaker 1: but And he says it's still better than anything else
- 41:48Speaker 1: on the list. Because at least Americans can see the
- 41:52Speaker 1: money has to come from somewhere. Cash always beats price controls.
- 41:58Speaker 1: And then they can spend it on their priorities. You
- 42:01Speaker 1: don't get to dictate priorities for them. Cash beats price controls.
- 42:05Speaker 1: It beats subsidies. And both being beats paying nonprofits to
- 42:12Speaker 1: provide services. Now, again, $ 5, 000 check is a terrible idea,
- 42:23Speaker 1: but as compared to the others, not as terrible. Now,
- 42:27Speaker 1: here's what John Cochran suggests if we want to actually
- 42:31Speaker 1: lower prices.
- 42:32Speaker 2: Here's what government can do to lower prices.
- 42:36Speaker 1: And I completely agree with this list, and you could
- 42:40Speaker 1: add a lot to it, but this is a great, great,
- 42:42Speaker 1: great beginning.
- 42:46Speaker 2: Zoning and permit reform.
- 42:47Speaker 1: There's permit reform right now going through the House. It
- 42:49Speaker 1: would improve things. It's not good enough, but it's better
- 42:53Speaker 1: than nothing. Zoning and permit reform. Portable mortgages. Abolish rent
- 42:58Speaker 1: control permanently. Yeah, on a nationwide scale. Let people rent
- 43:07Speaker 1: rooms from their houses. Instead of banning Airbnb, expand Airbnb.
- 43:15Speaker 1: Kill the ethanol mandate. That would lower diesel prices immediately.
- 43:21Speaker 1: Repeal the Jones Act. Yeah, we've talked about that many, many,
- 43:25Speaker 1: many times. End all tariffs. That's an easy one. Lower
- 43:33Speaker 1: all tariffs to zero. Make it better than it was pre-Trump.
- 43:37Speaker 1: I mean, that would, I mean, Trump still has time
- 43:40Speaker 1: to save his presidency. Lower tariffs unilaterally to zero.
- 43:45Speaker 2: Cross the board. Let Americans, here's a controversial one.
- 43:49Speaker 1: You might not like this. Let Americans buy Chinese cars
- 43:54Speaker 1: at half the price. Not because you're subsidizing, because Chinese
- 43:58Speaker 1: cars are half price. Let Americans buy Chinese cars. It
- 44:04Speaker 1: turns out at half the price. Automate the ports. Environmental
- 44:11Speaker 1: permit reform. Again, I think this is what's going through Congress.
- 44:14Speaker 1: End farm price supports, i.e. all farm subsidies, zero.
- 44:21Speaker 2: I would generally zero.
- 44:24Speaker 1: Out all subsidies. Cut occupational licensing. Maybe eliminate completely. That's
- 44:29Speaker 1: pretty radical. At least cut it. Stop the free student loans.
- 44:36Speaker 1: Make student loans a transaction between an individual and a
- 44:40Speaker 1: bank and somebody lending you money.
- 44:42Speaker 2: Government should get out of the business.
- 44:44Speaker 1: Completely thoroughly zero no guarantees no student loans coming from
- 44:51Speaker 1: government and no guaranteeing of student loans and no guaranteeing
- 44:53Speaker 1: of mortgages get the government out of guaranteeing all that
- 44:57Speaker 1: stuff open health care to competition now that's pretty that's
- 45:05Speaker 1: pretty good because and the reality is right now if
- 45:11Speaker 1: you look at you know uh If you remember my
- 45:14Speaker 1: shtick about Trump going back to 2015, he would say,
- 45:18Speaker 1: everything is horrible out there. And the reason is the
- 45:21Speaker 1: Mexicans and the Chinese and, you know, the others. But
- 45:26Speaker 1: the reality is that the enemy, the enemy of freedom,
- 45:31Speaker 1: the enemy of free markets, the enemy of prosperity in
- 45:34Speaker 1: America is Americans. The 80% of Americans who want 80, 80, no, yeah,
- 45:42Speaker 1: the 80 plus percent of Americans.
- 45:44Speaker 2: Who want to cap credit card debt.
- 45:48Speaker 1: The 90 plus percent of Americans who want to force
- 45:51Speaker 1: insurance to cover the cost of every prescription deducted rates.
- 45:56Speaker 2: That is the enemy. So Cochran's list is right on.
- 46:06Speaker 1: Every item is something the government is currently doing and
- 46:09Speaker 1: should stop and could stop immediately. We're not even talking
- 46:13Speaker 1: about entitlement reform. We're not talking about Medicare or security,
- 46:17Speaker 1: which would need to be phased out. All these things
- 46:20Speaker 1: that we're talking about could be done tomorrow. Tomorrow. And
- 46:26Speaker 1: if people cared about, quote, and I'm saying quote because
- 46:29Speaker 1: affordability is an anti-concept, it doesn't mean anything. But anything
- 46:34Speaker 1: to be done about The cost of things, yeah, that
- 46:37Speaker 1: would lower costs and not hurt wages.
- 46:42Speaker 2: So standard of living goes up.
- 46:48Speaker 1: The three sectors with the highest price increases over the
- 46:52Speaker 1: last 50 years, education, health, housing, are the three where
- 46:59Speaker 1: the government is most involved.
- 47:02Speaker 2: That's not a coincidence. That's the way it works.
- 47:08Speaker 1: So, yeah. Not a bad list from John Cochran. I mean,
- 47:14Speaker 1: not a bad list, an excellent list from John Cochran.
- 47:17Speaker 1: We could do it quickly and we could feed off
- 47:19Speaker 1: of that. That would be a great beginning. How about
- 47:23Speaker 1: a president from either party running on that? Man, I'd
- 47:28Speaker 1: finally be excited to vote for somebody running on that.
- 47:38Speaker 2: And here's the thing.
- 47:41Speaker 1: Americans today earn on average about 40% more than Europeans,
- 47:46Speaker 1: more than Brits, more than Japanese, more than Canadians. Poverty
- 47:50Speaker 1: in America is an all-time low. Health indicators, American health,
- 47:55Speaker 1: even obesity, are at all-time highs. Inequality, if that's a
- 48:01Speaker 1: problem at all, is actually falling as much as they
- 48:03Speaker 1: complain about it. Real wages are were rising until recently.
- 48:11Speaker 1: Is a big new house in a hot suburb expensive? Yeah. Yeah.
- 48:20Speaker 2: But you should ask what it's like to live in.
- 48:22Speaker 1: A 600 square foot flat in Europe and how much
- 48:26Speaker 1: that costs in London or Amsterdam or Paris or Madrid.
- 48:34Speaker 2: Now, It is true, though.
- 48:37Speaker 1: And here's the legit side of affordability. Affordability also has income,
- 48:43Speaker 1: but it also has prices. Income is high, relatively. But
- 48:47Speaker 1: what about prices? Well, price level is 27% higher than
- 48:52Speaker 1: in January 2021. And that's 14% higher than it would
- 48:57Speaker 1: have been if the Fed reached its, quote, inflation target,
- 49:01Speaker 1: which is 2%. Now, average real wages have kept up.
- 49:07Speaker 1: But of course, average hides a churn. Job switches got raises.
- 49:13Speaker 1: People who stayed didn't. Anyone on a fixed nominal income,
- 49:17Speaker 1: anyone saving for a house, anyone who held government bonds,
- 49:21Speaker 1: which are down 14% over that period in real terms,
- 49:24Speaker 1: has lost. So there's a massive redistribution going on here
- 49:30Speaker 1: that the average hides. So even though we can all
- 49:36Speaker 1: lecture on People about real wages and inflation is transitory
- 49:41Speaker 1: and stuff like that.
- 49:43Speaker 2: People hate. I'll say it again. People hate higher prices.
- 49:51Speaker 4: They do.
- 49:52Speaker 1: And they're not wrong to do so. In the 19th century,
- 49:57Speaker 1: prices went down. People like consistency, stability. People hated inflation
- 50:08Speaker 1: in the 70s, and they hate inflation in the 20-teens, 20-20s.
- 50:12Speaker 1: All right, so, you know, but this is the world
- 50:24Speaker 1: we live in, right? Congress gave the Fed a mandate
- 50:27Speaker 1: of price stability. Price stability. Well, why aren't prices stable?
- 50:33Speaker 1: Because the Fed decided the price stability means 2% a
- 50:37Speaker 1: year forever. That means even if the Fed does its
- 50:41Speaker 1: job the best that it has defined it, prices double
- 50:45Speaker 1: every 35 years.
- 50:49Speaker 2: And that's only forward-looking. What does that mean?
- 50:53Speaker 1: It means that if you miss, there's no correction. So
- 50:57Speaker 1: let's say in 2022, inflation was 10%.
- 50:59Speaker 4: It was.
- 51:03Speaker 2: So-called transitory inflation. Then what does the Fed do then?
- 51:13Speaker 2: Does it then.
- 51:13Speaker 1: Strive for prices to come down by 10% the next year?
- 51:16Speaker 4: No.
- 51:17Speaker 2: Next year is again 2%.
- 51:20Speaker 1: So the 10% is now baked in and you don't
- 51:23Speaker 1: get price stability over the long run. Cochran suggests Congress
- 51:30Speaker 1: should rewrite all this and make it a stable price level.
- 51:36Speaker 2: Like it was under the gold standard.
- 51:41Speaker 1: Or a 2% long run average. So that every time
- 51:47Speaker 1: you miss, you have to correct and hold the Fed
- 51:50Speaker 1: to it.
- 51:53Speaker 2: So he says that would be good. That would be,
- 51:57Speaker 2: you know.
- 51:58Speaker 1: Now, I think you just abandon the Fed and you
- 52:01Speaker 1: replace it with free banking system and you get a
- 52:04Speaker 1: much better result all the way around. So, yeah.
- 52:15Speaker 2: So when people say everything costs more, that's a fact.
- 52:19Speaker 1: That's a fact.
- 52:21Speaker 2: The question is, what do you do about it?
- 52:24Speaker 1: And, you know, as long as there's a Fed and
- 52:28Speaker 1: as long as the government feels responsible for the price level,
- 52:34Speaker 1: change won't happen. Change will not happen. Now, Cochran then
- 52:47Speaker 1: asks the question, which, of course, we should all be asking,
- 52:49Speaker 1: and I ask regularly and try to answer, why is
- 52:53Speaker 1: the free market so unpopular? Why is the free market
- 52:57Speaker 1: so unpopular? Well, he has six answers, right? He says
- 53:06Speaker 1: prices look like transfers. In other words, they don't look
- 53:10Speaker 1: like win-wins. This relates to the second part of his
- 53:14Speaker 1: second item. He says when you negotiate your rent, the
- 53:17Speaker 1: price is a transfer between you and the landlord. You're
- 53:21Speaker 1: giving something to the landlord. If you force all landlords down,
- 53:27Speaker 1: everyone wins. They don't see the prices across the system allocate.
- 53:35Speaker 2: From a purely.
- 53:35Speaker 1: Economic perspective, they determine how many buildings get built, how
- 53:38Speaker 1: many new landlords get created.
- 53:41Speaker 2: All they experience is the price that they pay.
- 53:46Speaker 1: Who gets what? And this is combined with a zero-sum instinct.
- 53:54Speaker 1: Instinct is not the right word, but mentality. Indeed, for
- 53:58Speaker 1: most of human history, If someone got rich, he took it.
- 54:02Speaker 1: He took it from someone else. That was the only
- 54:03Speaker 1: way to get rich. That our billionaires got rich by
- 54:07Speaker 1: inventing things that made everyone richer is outside of most
- 54:11Speaker 1: people's ordinary experience.
- 54:13Speaker 2: They don't get it.
- 54:16Speaker 1: They don't get it. So they want to go after
- 54:20Speaker 1: the billionaires because they assume if they have it, they
- 54:23Speaker 1: took it. But this is where conceptual knowledge is important.
- 54:32Speaker 1: The third point he makes is tribal moralizing. Good tribe
- 54:36Speaker 1: versus evil tribe. Crush the greedy and all is well.
- 54:41Speaker 1: And the idea that he attributes to Smith, Adam Smith,
- 54:45Speaker 1: that self-interest serves the public good, he says is unnatural.
- 54:49Speaker 2: He's right.
- 54:50Speaker 1: It's unnatural if altruism is taken as the only system
- 54:57Speaker 1: of ethics possible. He's absolutely right. Smith's idea doesn't stick.
- 55:04Speaker 1: This is why it needs to be abandoned. And the
- 55:07Speaker 1: whole idea of serving the public good needs to be trashed.
- 55:12Speaker 1: And we need to defend self-interest on the basis of
- 55:14Speaker 1: self-interest as morality, as the morality.
- 55:23Speaker 2: He also thinks we suffer from stereotypes.
- 55:26Speaker 1: The big landlord can afford it. In reality... Some landlords
- 55:31Speaker 1: are immigrants who saved a lifetime for one building. Some
- 55:34Speaker 1: rent-controlled tenants are trust funders who moved in in 1985.
- 55:41Speaker 1: Treat these things as individuals, not as collective stereotypes. He
- 55:49Speaker 1: talks about the unseen. This is, of course, Hazlitt's point
- 55:53Speaker 1: in Economics in One Lesson. You see the family that
- 55:57Speaker 1: got their rent break. You don't see the family with
- 56:01Speaker 1: kids or pet or thin credit who can't get an
- 56:05Speaker 1: apartment at all. Or the buildings that never got built.
- 56:10Speaker 1: That's what you don't see. And then people have this
- 56:16Speaker 1: ridiculous nostalgia. Populism wants to reverse the recent change. Nobody's outraged, right,
- 56:26Speaker 1: at the price of Caviar, everybody's outraged that $ 6 is gas.
- 56:32Speaker 2: And they think, oh, in the past.
- 56:35Speaker 1: $ 6 wasn't gas. So the past, I mean, gas costs
- 56:38Speaker 1: a lot less than $ 6. The past must be better
- 56:40Speaker 1: than the present. So let's have the government fix it,
- 56:47Speaker 1: forgetting that the government is DMV. The more we remind
- 56:50Speaker 1: people that government is DMV, the more they get it,
- 56:53Speaker 1: because they all have experience with DMVs. Cochran says, he
- 57:02Speaker 1: calls it a paradox. It's not really a paradox. He says,
- 57:05Speaker 1: the reality is that the market works even if nobody
- 57:08Speaker 1: understands it. Democracy requires voters to understand cause and effect.
- 57:15Speaker 2: Markets don't. Markets don't need economics. They just work.
- 57:23Speaker 1: Voting needs economic knowledge.
- 57:26Speaker 2: So what do you do?
- 57:27Speaker 1: Well, he says economic education is an obvious call. But
- 57:32Speaker 1: the left controls the educational institutions. So here's his answer,
- 57:39Speaker 1: which is actually really good, but it's not really an
- 57:42Speaker 1: answer because how do we get it? He can't explain.
- 57:46Speaker 1: He says we have to put the economy beyond the
- 57:49Speaker 1: reach of your neighbor. In other words, we have to
- 57:52Speaker 1: put the economy beyond the reach of government. In other words,
- 57:57Speaker 1: we have to revitalize the institutions of limited government. By
- 58:03Speaker 1: the way, one of the reasons I think Donald Trump
- 58:07Speaker 1: is as destructive as he is, and he's turned out
- 58:11Speaker 1: to be as destructive as I predicted, is that he
- 58:15Speaker 1: is destroying the institutions of limited government. Destroying them at
- 58:20Speaker 1: a pace we haven't seen since FDR. Much more destructive
- 58:27Speaker 1: than anything Carmelo would have done. In terms of destroying
- 58:31Speaker 1: the institutions of limited government, he is at a record pace.
- 58:43Speaker 1: And we need to get the economy beyond the reach
- 58:48Speaker 1: of 51% of the voters.
- 58:51Speaker 2: That is absolutely right. Absolutely right. So he's right about
- 58:57Speaker 2: these things.
- 58:58Speaker 1: I don't think they're all essential, but they're all things
- 59:01Speaker 1: that they're all boiled down to people not seeing the unseen,
- 59:05Speaker 1: I think. But all of these are absolutely right. But
- 59:12Speaker 1: the thing that really is at the core of all this,
- 59:15Speaker 1: that explains everything really at the end, is that people
- 59:21Speaker 1: perceive self-interest as wrong.
- 59:27Speaker 2: And yet self-interest drives.
- 59:30Speaker 1: Markets.
- 59:31Speaker 2: It is markets.
- 59:33Speaker 1: There are no markets without self-interest. Self-interest is at the heart,
- 59:37Speaker 1: at the core of markets. And people know that. I
- 59:40Speaker 1: say this in my moral defense of capitalism all the time.
- 59:43Speaker 1: People know that capitalism is about self-interest. They hate self-interest. Therefore, ergo,
- 59:50Speaker 1: if it's a deduction... Self-interest, I mean, capitalism must be bad.
- 59:53Speaker 1: Self-interest is bad. Capitalism is all about self-interest. Ego, capitalism
- 59:59Speaker 1: is bad. That's it.
- 1:00:01Speaker 2: That's everything.
- 1:00:03Speaker 1: That's not hardwired. That's what prevents people from digging deeper,
- 1:00:10Speaker 1: from searching for the unseen, from overcoming the zero-sum bias.
- 1:00:19Speaker 1: When every church, every school, every movie teaches these voters
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: that morality means sacrifice, that morality means being selfless, you
- 1:00:32Speaker 1: get socialism. You get the abandonment of capitalism. You get
- 1:00:38Speaker 1: price controls. You get wage controls. You get bigger and
- 1:00:41Speaker 1: bigger and bigger and more and more intrusive government. I mean,
- 1:00:48Speaker 1: If you tell people sacrifice is noble and then you
- 1:00:51Speaker 1: ask them should the landlord sacrifice, I'm surprised it's only
- 1:00:56Speaker 1: 65% think that's the case. In other words, until the
- 1:01:01Speaker 1: views of morality and specifically of self-interest change, good luck
- 1:01:08Speaker 1: changing anything else. And You know, billionaires have a lot
- 1:01:19Speaker 1: and they're not sacrificing. So let's take it. Let's force
- 1:01:22Speaker 1: them to sacrifice. Now, affordability is an anti-concept. What does
- 1:01:32Speaker 1: it mean?
- 1:01:34Speaker 2: Affordable for whom?
- 1:01:37Speaker 1: When?
- 1:01:40Speaker 2: It doesn't mean anything. If you mean prices are going up, okay.
- 1:01:43Speaker 4: Okay.
- 1:01:47Speaker 2: And what is driving the price?
- 1:01:50Speaker 1: You're lumping together, you know, prices that might go up
- 1:01:54Speaker 1: temporarily because of increased demand, and you're talking about prices
- 1:01:58Speaker 1: that go up systematically because of price inflation, and you're
- 1:02:02Speaker 1: lumping in prices going up because of tariffs, which is
- 1:02:05Speaker 1: a tax. When you increase taxes on goods, their price
- 1:02:08Speaker 1: goes up. I mean, there are lots of reasons why
- 1:02:10Speaker 1: prices might go up. And ultimately, the question has to be,
- 1:02:16Speaker 1: what's driving it? Housing, we know what drives it. Rent control, zoning, regulations.
- 1:02:26Speaker 1: I mean, Tokyo never freezes rents. It lets people build
- 1:02:31Speaker 1: and rents have been stable. Basically no inflation in rents,
- 1:02:35Speaker 1: no upward trend in rents. New York freezes rents and
- 1:02:41Speaker 1: makes it very difficult to build. And I'm shocked.
- 1:02:45Speaker 2: All of you should be shocked.
- 1:02:47Speaker 1: So surprising that prices are going up. When Millet abolished
- 1:02:54Speaker 1: rent control in Buenos Aires, rents fell more than 40%, 4-0%.
- 1:02:58Speaker 1: That's pretty amazing. Medicare is projected to cost $ 12.
- 1:03:14Speaker 2: Billion by 1990.
- 1:03:15Speaker 1: That doesn't sound right. Was projected. Got it. Medicare was
- 1:03:21Speaker 1: projected to cost $ 12 billion by 1990. It actually cost
- 1:03:25Speaker 1: $ 98 billion in 1990. Medicaid projected under $ 1 billion by 1992.
- 1:03:31Speaker 1: It hit $ 17 billion.
- 1:03:36Speaker 2: Why is anybody surprised?
- 1:03:39Speaker 1: Government runs half the health care system in the United States.
- 1:03:43Speaker 2: This is what you get. You get price increases.
- 1:03:50Speaker 1: Grocers and goods, yeah, if you tariff them, and if
- 1:03:54Speaker 1: you print money, prices go up. It's all government. All government.
- 1:04:02Speaker 1: Affordability sounds like it's somebody else's fault. No, it's the
- 1:04:05Speaker 1: government's fault.
- 1:04:06Speaker 2: And we need to be.
- 1:04:07Speaker 1: Very clear about that. So Cochrane is right. one answer
- 1:04:15Speaker 1: is institutional.
- 1:04:17Speaker 2: It's your property.
- 1:04:17Speaker 1: 51% of people can't take it away from you.
- 1:04:21Speaker 2: We don't live in an absolute democracy.
- 1:04:30Speaker 1: But if we can actually reinstate that, if we can
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: bring back constitutional protections and property rights, but the question is,
- 1:04:41Speaker 1: why have they failed, those protections? Why is it the
- 1:04:45Speaker 1: case that the Supreme Court is ruled against these protections? Well,
- 1:04:52Speaker 1: at the end of the day, it's about that comment
- 1:04:56Speaker 1: that he made about self-interest. If we're going to revitalize
- 1:05:01Speaker 1: the institutions of limited government, you know, we have to
- 1:05:07Speaker 1: talk about individual rights. In order to talk about individual rights,
- 1:05:12Speaker 1: we have to talk about the individual. and his moral purpose.
- 1:05:19Speaker 1: It ultimately all boils down to morality. The landlord has
- 1:05:25Speaker 1: a right to his building. The lender has a right
- 1:05:29Speaker 1: to charge whatever rate he wants. The producer has a
- 1:05:33Speaker 1: right to his price. And your need is not a
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: mortgage on any of them.
- 1:05:42Speaker 2: That's morality.
- 1:05:47Speaker 1: So, yeah, what we need is a separation of government
- 1:05:53Speaker 1: from economics. But to get a separation of government from economics,
- 1:05:58Speaker 1: we're going to need to change people's attitudes, attitudes about morality.
- 1:06:12Speaker 1: So prices, prices are not something done to you. They're
- 1:06:18Speaker 1: facts about reality. And the only way to change a
- 1:06:22Speaker 1: fact about reality is to figure out what's causing it.
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: And for prices generally to come down, you need to
- 1:06:30Speaker 1: produce more of that thing. And then you have to
- 1:06:33Speaker 1: think about why production is not happening. Anyway, I encourage
- 1:06:42Speaker 1: you to read John Cochran. Always good, always stimulating. I mean, again,
- 1:06:47Speaker 1: we don't agree with everything. I don't agree with everything.
- 1:06:49Speaker 1: You won't agree with everything. Always thought-provoking and always interesting, right?
- 1:06:56Speaker 1: Prices are not the problem. The ideas are the problem.
- 1:06:59Speaker 1: The ideas, that you have a claim on somebody else's time,
- 1:07:02Speaker 1: somebody else's effort, somebody else's money. All right. I mean,
- 1:07:17Speaker 1: there's a bunch of stuff that Cochran has written on
- 1:07:19Speaker 1: these kind of issues and price controls and the effect
- 1:07:21Speaker 1: they have on health care and how prices can come
- 1:07:25Speaker 1: down with more free markets. I highly encourage you to
- 1:07:28Speaker 1: subscribe to his Substack and read him on a regular basis.
- 1:07:31Speaker 1: Sometimes he's very mathematical and very economic and difficult, but
- 1:07:37Speaker 1: a lot of times he writes very clearly. And in
- 1:07:42Speaker 1: a way that I think will increase your understanding of
- 1:07:45Speaker 1: economics and the principles behind it.
- 1:07:47Speaker 4: All right.
- 1:07:53Speaker 1: Let us turn to Ukraine. Ukraine. Oh, it's already late.
- 1:08:00Speaker 1: All right. You know, there are quite a few questions,
- 1:08:03Speaker 1: a few, but we're still below where we need to
- 1:08:06Speaker 1: be for the first hour. And we're already on the
- 1:08:08Speaker 1: second hour. So we need to ramp it up a
- 1:08:10Speaker 1: little bit. Maybe some stickers can help us catch up
- 1:08:13Speaker 1: here at least with the $ 32 needed to get to
- 1:08:16Speaker 1: the first hour goal. And then we've got $ 282 to
- 1:08:20Speaker 1: go for the second hour goal.
- 1:08:24Speaker 2: More questions would be great. Yeah, I mean, if I'd
- 1:08:27Speaker 2: won the bet with.
- 1:08:28Speaker 1: Andrew, we'd have $ 100 extra and we'd be much closer
- 1:08:31Speaker 1: to the goal. But Andrew has to check the citations
- 1:08:35Speaker 1: and I wouldn't expect anything less. So we'll have to
- 1:08:39Speaker 1: wait until Andrew decides one way or the other. But
- 1:08:44Speaker 1: his point is well taken. Need to talk more about
- 1:08:47Speaker 1: central purpose. But not while I'm talking about Ukraine.
- 1:08:51Speaker 2: That's a problem.
- 1:08:52Speaker 1: All my shows are about the news lately. So Zelensky
- 1:08:58Speaker 1: yesterday to the Financial Times. says, Ukraine is ending its
- 1:09:03Speaker 1: three-day pause on refinery strikes. The block is out.
- 1:09:07Speaker 2: We're done. Overnight, there was a mass drone.
- 1:09:11Speaker 1: Attack set the Ryazan refinery on fire. The Ukrainian Navy
- 1:09:20Speaker 1: says it used Neptune cruise missiles or ballistic missiles, cruise missiles,
- 1:09:26Speaker 1: I think, to strike at an Air Force base of
- 1:09:29Speaker 1: the Russians, and it destroyed six Su-34s.
- 1:09:32Speaker 2: That's a Ukrainian claim.
- 1:09:36Speaker 1: Russia, 350-plus Shahads.
- 1:09:40Speaker 2: Towards Ukraine overnight.
- 1:09:44Speaker 1: One drone hit a supermarket in the Odessa region. and
- 1:09:51Speaker 1: a tanker was set ablaze in Romania, off of the
- 1:09:57Speaker 1: Romanian coast, with up to eight crew members missing. This
- 1:10:01Speaker 1: is the third merchant ship hit in the Black Sea
- 1:10:04Speaker 1: this week. Romania and Bulgaria, it was off their shores
- 1:10:11Speaker 1: that these ships had been hit, are considering invoking Article
- 1:10:15Speaker 1: 4 and blaming Russia. for these attacks.
- 1:10:25Speaker 2: Now, in terms of, we talked about the.
- 1:10:29Speaker 1: Throttling of Starlink for military use by the Ukrainians. Well,
- 1:10:34Speaker 1: Musk today answered that Star Shield, which is what is
- 1:10:40Speaker 1: used for offensive attacks by the Ukrainian military, is, quote,
- 1:10:45Speaker 1: owned and controlled by the U.S.
- 1:10:47Speaker 4: Government.
- 1:10:49Speaker 1: That limits on it are decided, quote, by the U.S.
- 1:10:52Speaker 1: military and ultimately by the president. So Musk is shifting
- 1:10:56Speaker 1: the blame to Trump, where it belongs. Starling proper is commercial,
- 1:11:03Speaker 1: limited to civilian or defensive use. Now, suppose the Ukraine
- 1:11:09Speaker 1: has full use of Star Shield now. It has come back, and... Hopefully,
- 1:11:19Speaker 1: it'll stay back. Who knows what the Americans are planning
- 1:11:22Speaker 1: for all of this, right? The government has neither confirmed
- 1:11:25Speaker 1: nor denied that it did anything, right?
- 1:11:30Speaker 2: Nobody in the U.S.
- 1:11:31Speaker 1: Government will own the decision. They all refuse to. Zelensky
- 1:11:37Speaker 1: was angry yesterday. I mean, he was pissed off. And
- 1:11:41Speaker 1: he went all out on Trump, which... The Europeans are
- 1:11:46Speaker 1: like freaking out and they're saying, no, no, no, you
- 1:11:48Speaker 1: can't do that. You can't talk like that about Trump.
- 1:11:50Speaker 1: You got to be nice to Trump. Zelensky said he
- 1:11:53Speaker 1: was betrayed by Trump. That Trump is, quote, engrossed with
- 1:11:57Speaker 1: autocrats and the ultra-rich, unquote.
- 1:12:02Speaker 2: The intelligence pullback, he said, is dangerous.
- 1:12:08Speaker 1: The EU diplomats, EU leaders are not happy, not happy.
- 1:12:13Speaker 1: The French, the Germans, the Brits even, they're telling him,
- 1:12:17Speaker 1: you know, slow down the rhetoric. You don't want to
- 1:12:19Speaker 1: attack Trump. Trump did a whole post, you know, attacking Zelensky,
- 1:12:24Speaker 1: talking about him being a comedian, making fun of him
- 1:12:28Speaker 1: and diminishing him.
- 1:12:30Speaker 2: It's pretty amazing. Pretty amazing.
- 1:12:43Speaker 1: I congratulate Zelensky for standing up for Trump. If everybody
- 1:12:47Speaker 1: stood up for Trump, if all of Europe just stood
- 1:12:49Speaker 1: up and said, this guy's nuts, he's destroying the NATO,
- 1:12:56Speaker 1: and he is completely irrational, and he doesn't understand foreign policy,
- 1:13:01Speaker 1: he doesn't understand geopolitics, and he's nuts.
- 1:13:05Speaker 2: That would go a long way.
- 1:13:07Speaker 1: That would go a long way to helping all of this.
- 1:13:09Speaker 1: That would be good. That would be good. Now, in addition,
- 1:13:14Speaker 1: Ukraine is running out of Patriot interceptors. We've known that
- 1:13:17Speaker 1: for a while. Zelensky is asking Brussels, asking NATO for
- 1:13:25Speaker 1: more interceptors.
- 1:13:27Speaker 2: Lives are at stake.
- 1:13:32Speaker 1: You know, so we will see. We will see. Supposedly,
- 1:13:38Speaker 1: the diesel deal is still on between the United States
- 1:13:41Speaker 1: and Russia. And Trump has not made any demands of
- 1:13:45Speaker 1: Russia to stop bombing anything. So the only demands have
- 1:13:49Speaker 1: always been for Zelensky. As we've said for years now,
- 1:13:57Speaker 1: really since his first term, Trump is putty in the
- 1:14:01Speaker 1: hands of Putin.
- 1:14:03Speaker 2: Putin runs the show.
- 1:14:08Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, What Ukraine should do, it should focus
- 1:14:18Speaker 1: all its efforts right now, all its offensive weapons at destroying.
- 1:14:23Speaker 2: Every refinery, every.
- 1:14:28Speaker 1: Oil storage facility, every facility that helps load oil and
- 1:14:35Speaker 1: diesel and oil products onto ships.
- 1:14:39Speaker 2: They should destroy everything.
- 1:14:42Speaker 1: Russian oil should burn, and it should burn bright. I mean,
- 1:14:51Speaker 1: screw Trump. Ukraine needs to defend itself and needs to
- 1:14:59Speaker 1: do what is necessary to defend itself. I mean, Ukraine has,
- 1:15:04Speaker 1: America is not an ally of Ukraine. An ally doesn't
- 1:15:08Speaker 1: negotiate behind your back with the invaders to your country.
- 1:15:13Speaker 1: and throttle your own weapons. I'm glad, you know, Zelensky
- 1:15:22Speaker 1: talked back, but he needs to be even more aggressive,
- 1:15:25Speaker 1: and they need to do it now.
- 1:15:26Speaker 2: They need to do it.
- 1:15:26Speaker 1: They need to focus their bombing on every single one
- 1:15:31Speaker 1: of these refineries. Shut down the money machine that is
- 1:15:37Speaker 1: export of all products by Russia. And, you know, America
- 1:15:48Speaker 1: should support that. Not Trump. Trump wouldn't do it. And then,
- 1:15:53Speaker 1: you know, Russia's just getting more aggressive. Bombing ships off
- 1:15:57Speaker 1: the coast of Bulgaria and Romania. Three motion ships in
- 1:16:02Speaker 1: one week. Right? Crew members killed. Russia's attacking commerce and
- 1:16:10Speaker 1: NATO waters. It's time to invoke Article 4. It's time
- 1:16:17Speaker 1: to give Russia some ultimatums. It's time maybe for NATO
- 1:16:24Speaker 1: to escort some ships. It's time to do their job. Anyway,
- 1:16:33Speaker 1: I mean, all we get from this president is appeasing evil.
- 1:16:37Speaker 1: Appeasing evil. In the meantime, Saudi Arabia's troubles with the
- 1:16:46Speaker 1: Houthis continue. And what's astounding about it, we've talked about
- 1:16:50Speaker 1: this a little bit in the past, but what's really
- 1:16:52Speaker 1: astounding about it is that Saudi Arabia spends $ 82 billion
- 1:16:57Speaker 1: a year on its military. That's significantly more than Israel does.
- 1:17:02Speaker 1: And it can't stop Houthi drones. It can't stop cruise missiles.
- 1:17:07Speaker 1: Where is their air force? Where is their tank corps?
- 1:17:12Speaker 2: Where is this?
- 1:17:13Speaker 1: Where are the $ 82 billion? Where are the $ 82 billion?
- 1:17:21Speaker 1: I mean, the Houthis have hit Riyadh airport. They've hit
- 1:17:25Speaker 1: Armacos headquarters. They've hit airports in Jazan, Najran, Abha, and Daman.
- 1:17:35Speaker 1: A missile at Medina.
- 1:17:37Speaker 2: Medina.
- 1:17:38Speaker 1: That's one of the holy The Muslim holy sites. The
- 1:17:43Speaker 1: Houthis say they're blocking Saudi oil to Asia. How can
- 1:17:46Speaker 1: that be tolerated? How could the Saudis tolerate that? I mean,
- 1:17:51Speaker 1: the Saudis invoked its French pact with Turkey and Pakistan. Okay,
- 1:17:56Speaker 1: but you've got an $ 82 billion military. That's a year.
- 1:18:03Speaker 2: Trump, of course, is refusing to help them. Until the election,
- 1:18:06Speaker 2: at least.
- 1:18:09Speaker 1: According to analysts, the money that is being spent was
- 1:18:14Speaker 1: spent on prestige hardware. The army and National Guard deliberately
- 1:18:19Speaker 1: kept apart so the princess can't be overthrown. So don't
- 1:18:23Speaker 1: make any particular unit strong. Maintenance is outsourced to Western contractors.
- 1:18:34Speaker 1: And then, of course, every Patriot missile costs $ 3 million.
- 1:18:37Speaker 1: $ 3 million. And they're using them against $ 15, 000 to $ 25, 000 drones. Again,
- 1:18:45Speaker 1: why aren't they using Israeli or American laser technology? Why
- 1:18:49Speaker 1: aren't they using ukrainian anti-drone tech which doesn't use patriots
- 1:18:57Speaker 1: but yes it's saudi military is for show it's not
- 1:19:02Speaker 1: for fighting it's for show In the meantime, CNN and
- 1:19:08Speaker 1: other U.S. outlets are reporting that the military has drafted
- 1:19:13Speaker 1: Iran strike options, again, more of those strike options, we've
- 1:19:18Speaker 1: talked about this before, that cover energy infrastructure and nuclear sites,
- 1:19:23Speaker 1: including Pickaxe Mountain, where they have the deep, deep stuff,
- 1:19:31Speaker 1: and that these strikes include the Moab. the massive ordnance
- 1:19:38Speaker 1: air blast, or mother of all bombs, however you want
- 1:19:42Speaker 1: to call it. Again, no orders being given.
- 1:19:48Speaker 2: These are just, you know, this is just, these are
- 1:19:54Speaker 2: just plans.
- 1:19:57Speaker 1: White House is, of course, not commenting on whether these
- 1:19:59Speaker 1: plans exist or not. In the meantime, Germany has jailed
- 1:20:05Speaker 1: two men, one Danish and one Afghan, for an Iranian
- 1:20:09Speaker 1: plot to kill Jewish leaders and to attack a Jewish congregation. Hizballah,
- 1:20:22Speaker 1: in the meantime, admits that 780 kilograms, that's big, of
- 1:20:25Speaker 1: explosives seized by the Lebanese government last week were indeed
- 1:20:30Speaker 1: its own.
- 1:20:31Speaker 2: And then they're demanding them back.
- 1:20:33Speaker 1: We'll see what the Lebanese government does. We'll see what
- 1:20:37Speaker 1: the Lebanese government does. Anyway, I mean, a lot of
- 1:20:45Speaker 1: people are bewildered by the Saudis and what have they
- 1:20:48Speaker 1: done with all the money, but it shouldn't bewilder anybody, right?
- 1:20:52Speaker 1: I mean, it's not a real army. It's a plaything
- 1:20:55Speaker 1: of the princes. Plaything of the princes. And now that
- 1:21:00Speaker 1: they're actually facing an enemy, they're actually facing I'll have
- 1:21:05Speaker 1: to maybe think about maybe we should do something more serious.
- 1:21:13Speaker 2: All right, let's see.
- 1:21:18Speaker 1: You know, let's do a few short stories and a
- 1:21:27Speaker 1: few quick ones. All right, Trump canceled the execution live stream.
- 1:21:31Speaker 1: Not the execution, just the live stream. you know, he
- 1:21:36Speaker 1: said on True Social today that the live stream might
- 1:21:41Speaker 1: have been a strong deterrent for the world to witness
- 1:21:44Speaker 1: how America deals with terrorists and scum. But, quote, many
- 1:21:50Speaker 1: very good and well-meaning people would rather not watch him die. Well,
- 1:21:54Speaker 1: I mean, if you really believed in that, you could
- 1:21:56Speaker 1: tell them to turn it off. They don't have to
- 1:21:58Speaker 1: go watch him live. Um, Victims' families may view it.
- 1:22:06Speaker 1: December 3, firing squad stands. Remember, Hexeth announced the live
- 1:22:10Speaker 1: stream on October 8. Vance said, I don't know that
- 1:22:14Speaker 1: that's exactly going to happen. Johnson, Speaker of the House,
- 1:22:18Speaker 1: said he wouldn't watch. Representative Austin Scott, live streaming executions
- 1:22:23Speaker 1: is what jihadis do.
- 1:22:24Speaker 2: I think he's right.
- 1:22:26Speaker 1: Curtis said, quote, a civilization erodes when it cultivates an
- 1:22:31Speaker 1: appetite for executions. as a form of entertainment. Senator Tillis
- 1:22:36Speaker 1: said it's beyond disgusting. That's a Republican senator. ABC, Washington Post, Ipsos,
- 1:22:41Speaker 1: 80% of Americans oppose, including 64 Republicans. CNN, Trump reconsidered
- 1:22:48Speaker 1: after learning Hassan is paralyzed. So you would have seen
- 1:22:52Speaker 1: somebody paralyzed being executed on live stream.
- 1:22:57Speaker 2: I mean, look, it's fascinating.
- 1:23:00Speaker 1: Trump doesn't want to piss off 64% of Republicans right now.
- 1:23:04Speaker 1: He's got a midterm to win.
- 1:23:10Speaker 2: It's the right outcome. Of course, wrong reasons.
- 1:23:16Speaker 1: The argument against the broadcast should have never been that
- 1:23:18Speaker 1: people would rather not watch.
- 1:23:19Speaker 2: They don't have to watch if they don't want to.
- 1:23:23Speaker 1: It's enough that the state punishes people under the law
- 1:23:28Speaker 1: with killing. it's something quite different to make it into entertainment,
- 1:23:32Speaker 1: to put on a show, to, to, to, to make
- 1:23:35Speaker 1: it a public event that is uncivilized. And a lot
- 1:23:41Speaker 1: of the, a lot of the pushback came from the
- 1:23:43Speaker 1: Republican party. So I give them credit for the senators
- 1:23:46Speaker 1: and the congressmen that stood up and, and argued against this, that, that,
- 1:23:50Speaker 1: that's good.
- 1:23:53Speaker 2: Um, on the Omar, um, Immigration issues, Ilian Omar.
- 1:24:01Speaker 1: Chrissy Noem said to Benny Johnson, Omar, quote, will finally
- 1:24:07Speaker 1: be held accountable for her crimes. What crimes?
- 1:24:09Speaker 2: We don't know.
- 1:24:10Speaker 1: I mean, his ideas are pretty nasty, but I don't
- 1:24:13Speaker 1: know that they're criminal. Asked what crimes?
- 1:24:16Speaker 2: She didn't name any, of course. She said anything, quote.
- 1:24:21Speaker 1: You know, misrepresented in an application voids a cancel out citizenship.
- 1:24:26Speaker 2: 20 something years later.
- 1:24:29Speaker 1: It's scary stuff.
- 1:24:30Speaker 2: It's scary stuff when they can go.
- 1:24:31Speaker 1: Back and take away your citizenship because something is misrepresented
- 1:24:39Speaker 1: in an application you did decades ago. It's not exactly right.
- 1:24:42Speaker 1: It's scary. It's just damn scary. In Israel, if you
- 1:24:49Speaker 1: remember yesterday, we talked about the lawsuit filed against Netanyahu.
- 1:24:54Speaker 1: One of the things that a lot of the outlets
- 1:24:56Speaker 1: were listing in terms of the warnings Netanyahu got was
- 1:24:59Speaker 1: that an Egyptian private jet landed in Ben Gurion Airport
- 1:25:03Speaker 1: on September 26, 2023. It was carrying the chief of
- 1:25:07Speaker 1: intelligence of the Egyptians who went on to warn about
- 1:25:12Speaker 1: October 7. Netanyahu then confirmed that he had been in Israel,
- 1:25:17Speaker 1: but he said he never met with him, Netanyahu, and
- 1:25:20Speaker 1: Netanyahu never got the thing. Now, Channel 12 is contradicting
- 1:25:26Speaker 1: all of that and saying that according to unnamed senior sources,
- 1:25:30Speaker 1: the Egyptian private plane that landed was carrying two businessmen,
- 1:25:35Speaker 1: not the intelligence chief.
- 1:25:37Speaker 2: Again, who knows?
- 1:25:40Speaker 1: Who knows?
- 1:25:41Speaker 4: Right?
- 1:25:42Speaker 1: I don't think anybody knows. And until we have an independent,
- 1:25:46Speaker 1: real independent, in-depth inquiry over what exactly happened, we're not
- 1:25:55Speaker 1: going to know. All right, what's happened to my super
- 1:25:59Speaker 1: chat tracker? It's going on strike on me.
- 1:26:03Speaker 2: All right, working again. Cool.
- 1:26:10Speaker 1: All right, anything else? We'll skip that. We're going to
- 1:26:13Speaker 1: skip that. We're going to skip that. We're going to skip. Well,
- 1:26:16Speaker 1: just this quick one. You know, job reports was published.
- 1:26:23Speaker 2: Only 29,000 jobs in September.
- 1:26:27Speaker 1: Way below expectations. Also, jobs in the previous two months
- 1:26:30Speaker 1: were reduced by 60,000. It just shows you that these
- 1:26:35Speaker 1: job numbers are nonpartisan. They actually try to get you
- 1:26:38Speaker 1: the best numbers they can. And when they adjust and
- 1:26:40Speaker 1: when they change, they're doing that because the numbers suggest it.
- 1:26:45Speaker 1: Here's Trump's people, people he put there, I guess, giving
- 1:26:50Speaker 1: us numbers that are not good for Trump, particularly not
- 1:26:52Speaker 1: a few days, a few weeks before the election. But
- 1:26:55Speaker 1: it turns out the 29,000 jobs in September, 11,000 of
- 1:26:57Speaker 1: them are in construction.
- 1:27:00Speaker 2: And almost all of that is in the data centers.
- 1:27:04Speaker 1: Given interest rates, given the economy, you'd expect construction to
- 1:27:08Speaker 1: be down, construction to be a drag on the economy.
- 1:27:15Speaker 1: But construction is a boost to the economy. It's a
- 1:27:17Speaker 1: boost to jobs because of only one thing, and that
- 1:27:21Speaker 1: is data centers. Construction wages, by the way, are up.
- 1:27:29Speaker 1: A private building, including housing, shrinking. But data centers are
- 1:27:37Speaker 1: being built and that is driving wages up and is
- 1:27:41Speaker 1: driving employment up. Imagine, imagine what we'd have if we
- 1:27:47Speaker 1: eliminated regulation on housing and we got rid of the
- 1:27:50Speaker 1: tariffs that are causing the prices of metals to be very,
- 1:27:53Speaker 1: very high, and therefore housing to be more expensive and
- 1:27:56Speaker 1: lumber to be more expensive. So, yeah. Housing is primarily
- 1:28:02Speaker 1: lagging because of interest rates, tariffs on metals, and permitting regulation.
- 1:28:16Speaker 1: All right. Uh....
- 1:28:26Speaker 2: Okay, a few on the achievement side.
- 1:28:32Speaker 1: Revolution Medicine has a pancreatic cancer drug that nearly doubles survival.
- 1:28:41Speaker 1: It's been approved by the FDA. It was approved to
- 1:28:42Speaker 1: some by the FDA. Finally, this is going to be
- 1:28:46Speaker 1: approved by Europeans as well. It will take a few
- 1:28:50Speaker 1: months for the EU to negotiate with with the drug
- 1:28:59Speaker 1: companies about reimbursements and stuff like that. The US list
- 1:29:03Speaker 1: price is $ 475, 000 a year.
- 1:29:07Speaker 2: Will the EU approve this for Europeans? That's expensive.
- 1:29:13Speaker 1: To extend somebody's life, that's expensive. So, hard to tell.
- 1:29:19Speaker 1: Hard to tell if that gets passed.
- 1:29:24Speaker 3: Right?
- 1:29:26Speaker 1: America, at least, is ahead of the EU because In
- 1:29:29Speaker 1: the U.S., you don't need those kind of approvals. All right,
- 1:29:35Speaker 1: not that, not that. Yeah, 22 Ukrainian drone makers are
- 1:29:40Speaker 1: building cheap AI-guided interceptors that can work against Russia's jet-powered Shahids, 3,000
- 1:29:49Speaker 1: of which will launch in September alone.
- 1:29:52Speaker 2: Eight firms have combat-tested designs.
- 1:29:55Speaker 1: F-drones, F-jet 80, it costs $ 7, 000 versus a million for
- 1:30:05Speaker 1: an F-16 shooting down the drone with a missile. The
- 1:30:09Speaker 1: F-16 costs a million. These drones cost $ 7, 000. They're hoping
- 1:30:16Speaker 1: for significant wide use by December. And this, of course,
- 1:30:22Speaker 1: is the answer for the Saudis. buy a bunch of these.
- 1:30:26Speaker 1: But of course, for that, you know, we want Ukraine
- 1:30:30Speaker 1: to be successful, partially because it's developing the tech that's
- 1:30:34Speaker 1: going to protect us in a future war against the
- 1:30:38Speaker 1: kind of weapons the Russians are building and we know
- 1:30:41Speaker 1: will sell and provide the bad guys at the earliest opportunity.
- 1:30:49Speaker 1: And finally, one of the legends of Silicon Valley has
- 1:30:51Speaker 1: passed away recently. William Draper passed away in, I guess,
- 1:30:58Speaker 1: earlier when he died in September, but at the age
- 1:31:02Speaker 1: of 98. That's a good age. 98. Wow. William Draper
- 1:31:10Speaker 1: left Inland Steel at the age of 31 in 1959 to.
- 1:31:15Speaker 2: Try venture capital.
- 1:31:16Speaker 1: He was one of the originators of venture capital. The
- 1:31:20Speaker 1: model he used originally was not particularly effective. It was
- 1:31:27Speaker 1: part of the small business administration kind of loans. Ultimately
- 1:31:32Speaker 1: morphed into real venture capital. Ultimately, his venture capital firms
- 1:31:38Speaker 1: became one of the largest. It's called Sutter Hill. They
- 1:31:43Speaker 1: backed companies like LSI Logic, Activision, Quantum, Skype. Here's a
- 1:31:50Speaker 1: guy who knew very little about electronics. But he put
- 1:31:56Speaker 1: the emphasis on people, on people, on management, on management skill,
- 1:32:03Speaker 1: on management teams. He also spent 12 years in government,
- 1:32:08Speaker 1: not particularly in good positions, but in government. But he
- 1:32:11Speaker 1: was one of the real pioneers, one of the people
- 1:32:13Speaker 1: when you look at the history of Silicon Valley, the
- 1:32:15Speaker 1: birth of Silicon Valley, he was right there at the beginning.
- 1:32:19Speaker 1: And I don't know if– I think it's his children,
- 1:32:20Speaker 1: but I think the Draper name– The Draper name continues
- 1:32:24Speaker 1: in Silicon Valley with.
- 1:32:29Speaker 2: Several people with the Draper name working in.
- 1:32:36Speaker 1: The Valley. And look, the venture capitalists of Silicon Valley
- 1:32:42Speaker 1: helped create the modern world, helped create the technological revolution
- 1:32:47Speaker 1: that we've experienced over the last 50 years. And for that,
- 1:32:52Speaker 1: I salute William Draper, somebody who, you know, in that sense,
- 1:32:57Speaker 1: has improved my life significantly. All right.
- 1:33:04Speaker 2: That is it.
- 1:33:05Speaker 1: That is the news for this Thursday, October 15th. It
- 1:33:09Speaker 1: is October 15th. And I should note that today is
- 1:33:12Speaker 1: Leonard Peikoff's birthday. He is, what year is it now?
- 1:33:17Speaker 1: He is 93 years old. 93 years old. The That's
- 1:33:22Speaker 1: another good age, 93. So happy birthday, Leonard Peikoff, wherever
- 1:33:27Speaker 1: you are. Well, I assume you're home. Happy birthday and
- 1:33:31Speaker 1: many more years. So, yeah, last I saw Leonard was
- 1:33:36Speaker 1: in April, I think. April or May, April, when Alex
- 1:33:44Speaker 1: Epstein had his conference. So, yes.
- 1:33:48Speaker 2: All right, guys, that is it.
- 1:33:51Speaker 1: We will now move to your Super Chat questions. And
- 1:33:58Speaker 1: if you guys, if anybody on Twitch would like to
- 1:34:01Speaker 1: ask a Super Chat question, you can come on over
- 1:34:03Speaker 1: to YouTube, just your own book on YouTube, and here
- 1:34:07Speaker 1: you can ask questions. I can't actually read the chat
- 1:34:11Speaker 1: well enough to be able to answer questions. your questions.
- 1:34:19Speaker 1: And the nice thing about Super Chat is dollars attached
- 1:34:21Speaker 1: to them. It significantly increases the incentive to actually read
- 1:34:24Speaker 1: them and respond to them. All right, we're doing okay with.
- 1:34:28Speaker 2: The Super Chat.
- 1:34:29Speaker 1: We're still about $ 200 short of our two-hour goal, a
- 1:34:35Speaker 1: little bit less than $ 200 because Fred Hopper put in
- 1:34:39Speaker 1: $ 10 saying happy birthday to Leonard Peikoff. That would be
- 1:34:41Speaker 1: a nice thing if everybody just did a little happy
- 1:34:44Speaker 1: birthday to Leonard on the Super Chat here. I might
- 1:34:49Speaker 1: as well benefit from the fact that Leonard has a birthday.
- 1:34:53Speaker 1: I'm not sure what Leonard would think of that. But
- 1:34:55Speaker 1: let me thank some of the stick-up people, friend Harper
- 1:34:58Speaker 1: and Christos and John and Nature Observer and Mary, Roland.
- 1:35:08Speaker 2: And Marylene and.
- 1:35:11Speaker 1: Matthew and.
- 1:35:19Speaker 2: That's it.
- 1:35:20Speaker 1: Thank you guys.
- 1:35:21Speaker 2: Really appreciate it.
- 1:35:23Speaker 1: Uh, $ 185 short. So, um, please consider doing a stick
- 1:35:26Speaker 1: out or asking a question, which is even better. Questions
- 1:35:29Speaker 1: are fantastic. Uh, all right. Uh, remind you, the Unran
- 1:35:33Speaker 1: Institute is, um, has an app, the Unran Institute app.
- 1:35:37Speaker 1: You can find it on the app store for Google
- 1:35:38Speaker 1: or for, uh, for Apple. It has Leonard Peikoff. We
- 1:35:42Speaker 1: talked about Leonard Peikoff. I mean, one of the, One
- 1:35:45Speaker 1: of the great things Leonard Peikoff did in his life
- 1:35:50Speaker 1: is all those courses on objectivism.
- 1:35:51Speaker 2: They are unbelievably valuable.
- 1:35:56Speaker 1: You will learn more from those courses other than reading
- 1:35:59Speaker 1: Ayn Rand and OPA, which is his book, Objectivism and
- 1:36:02Speaker 1: the Philosophy of Ayn Rand. You will learn more from
- 1:36:04Speaker 1: those courses than anything else on objectivism and how to
- 1:36:10Speaker 1: apply it and how to think about it. It's just
- 1:36:13Speaker 1: a goldmine of resources, this app. It also has Ayn
- 1:36:17Speaker 1: Rand's lectures. It also has a course, a capitalism course,
- 1:36:21Speaker 1: a new one that we're releasing on the app.
- 1:36:25Speaker 2: Not available, I don't think, anywhere else.
- 1:36:26Speaker 1: 12 hours, me and Don talking about capitalism. So check
- 1:36:30Speaker 1: it out. And let me know what you think about
- 1:36:31Speaker 1: the capitalism course. If you like it, how valuable it
- 1:36:36Speaker 1: is for you. All right, what else? Alex Epstein, of course,
- 1:36:41Speaker 1: is the number one expert in the world on all
- 1:36:45Speaker 1: things energy-related, all things electricity-related, all things environmental regulations-related, permit-related, and,
- 1:36:55Speaker 1: of course, now data center. Data center is a big
- 1:36:57Speaker 1: issue for Alex, and he's doing amazing work, and you
- 1:37:01Speaker 1: should check it out.
- 1:37:03Speaker 2: Alexepstein.substack.com.
- 1:37:06Speaker 1: Defendersofcapitalism.com is a website and a program, really, dedicated to
- 1:37:10Speaker 1: defending capitalism in every respect, philosophical, economic, political.
- 1:37:16Speaker 2: I've worked on this program. I speak for the program.
- 1:37:20Speaker 1: And Michael Williams, who runs the thing, is a friend.
- 1:37:24Speaker 2: Check it out.
- 1:37:31Speaker 1: Defendersofcapitalism.com. Defendersofcapitalism.com.
- 1:37:35Speaker 2: And sign up for the newsletter.
- 1:37:38Speaker 1: All right.
- 1:37:39Speaker 2: And I'll also remind.
- 1:37:40Speaker 1: You that one of the best ways to support the
- 1:37:44Speaker 1: Iran Book Show, and the Iran Book Show is only possible,
- 1:37:48Speaker 1: only possible, because of the support it gets from you.
- 1:37:51Speaker 1: One of the best ways to support the show is
- 1:37:56Speaker 1: through Patreon and PayPal. Become a monthly supporter. Just make
- 1:38:01Speaker 1: it a regular monthly thing. automatic.
- 1:38:04Speaker 2: You don't have to think about it.
- 1:38:05Speaker 1: And that is a phenomenal way to support the show
- 1:38:09Speaker 1: and helps me a lot. Can't underestimate how much, how
- 1:38:14Speaker 1: helpful it is in terms of, I know exactly how
- 1:38:17Speaker 1: much money is coming in the future. All right, Andrew.
- 1:38:24Speaker 1: Andrew has a $ 50 question. Actually, it's a two-part question.
- 1:38:27Speaker 1: So it's actually a $ 70 question. So Andrew, says, for
- 1:38:30Speaker 1: a moment watching a James Teleriso town hall, I felt
- 1:38:35Speaker 1: a bit overwhelmed. He talked deeply, earnestly of getting a
- 1:38:39Speaker 1: huge bill for insulin after learning he had diabetes. Proudly
- 1:38:45Speaker 1: hailing a bill he helped pass in capping insulin costs
- 1:38:49Speaker 1: at $ 50 to enthusiastic applause. He sternly pledged to take
- 1:38:56Speaker 1: on pharma to force caps on more vital drugs. It
- 1:39:01Speaker 1: came off innocent, yet grossly wrong, emblematic of the culture's
- 1:39:05Speaker 1: entrenched moral inversion. A lot of work still to do. Yes,
- 1:39:11Speaker 1: a lot of work. And it has to start with
- 1:39:17Speaker 1: the idea. That the fact that he has diabetes, as
- 1:39:20Speaker 1: sad as that is, is not a claim against my life.
- 1:39:24Speaker 1: It does not negate my property rights over my product,
- 1:39:29Speaker 1: my money, my life. Right. So. All right. Yeah, I mean,
- 1:39:45Speaker 1: it has to start there. I mean, it also needs
- 1:39:48Speaker 1: an elaboration on.
- 1:39:50Speaker 2: Why these caps.
- 1:39:54Speaker 1: Reduce drug discovery, therefore reduce the person who has a
- 1:39:58Speaker 1: disease in the future who won't have the drug that
- 1:40:02Speaker 1: he has. You know, it has to explain why drugs
- 1:40:08Speaker 1: are so expensive, why insurance doesn't cover them, why we
- 1:40:13Speaker 1: have so many difficulties. But it first has to start
- 1:40:16Speaker 1: with the fact that he just doesn't have a claim.
- 1:40:20Speaker 1: He doesn't have a moral claim. He doesn't have a
- 1:40:22Speaker 1: political claim against my stuff. And until we can convince
- 1:40:27Speaker 1: people of that, and I would say, if nobody will
- 1:40:32Speaker 1: give him the insurance and he can't afford it, then
- 1:40:34Speaker 1: he'll die. And that's a reality. And the fact that
- 1:40:39Speaker 1: he will die still doesn't provide him a claim against
- 1:40:42Speaker 1: my life. Now, I don't think he will. I don't
- 1:40:46Speaker 1: think there's any way he would. But somebody dies because
- 1:40:49Speaker 1: they can't afford the treatment. That is going to happen.
- 1:40:55Speaker 1: And that's life. Somebody has to pay for it. And
- 1:41:00Speaker 1: you don't have any right to force me to pay
- 1:41:02Speaker 1: for it. So the moral issue, the rights issue, is
- 1:41:10Speaker 1: going to be tough. It's going to be very difficult.
- 1:41:12Speaker 1: But that is the core of the battle. That is
- 1:41:14Speaker 1: the core of the battle. Ryan says, my central purpose
- 1:41:21Speaker 1: is my life. What else is there? No, I mean,
- 1:41:23Speaker 1: your central purpose is your career. Everything is around your life,
- 1:41:28Speaker 1: of course. But then the question is, how do you
- 1:41:30Speaker 1: live your life? What purposes do you choose and how
- 1:41:35Speaker 1: do you allocate time between them and how do you
- 1:41:37Speaker 1: integrate your purposes around what?
- 1:41:40Speaker 2: And life is too abstract. It's too up in the air.
- 1:41:45Speaker 2: And you have to act in the world in.
- 1:41:47Speaker 1: Order to produce stuff. Your central purpose will almost always,
- 1:41:52Speaker 1: not always, because some people have enough money, they don't
- 1:41:54Speaker 1: need the, you know, and they might have other central purposes.
- 1:42:00Speaker 1: But for most people, almost everybody, your central purpose is
- 1:42:04Speaker 1: your career. And it is the productive, your productive purpose
- 1:42:12Speaker 1: is And that is the integrating way. To just say
- 1:42:16Speaker 1: my life doesn't give guidance, doesn't help at all. That's, yeah,
- 1:42:22Speaker 1: step one. But then how do I live? Well, in
- 1:42:27Speaker 1: order to live, you have to do these things. And
- 1:42:29Speaker 1: number one is to find a career and pursue it.
- 1:42:34Speaker 1: And then integrate the rest of your life around that career.
- 1:42:45Speaker 1: So I think that's important. We could do a segment
- 1:42:52Speaker 1: on a show about this, pull out OPA and read
- 1:42:57Speaker 1: some sections out of there about central purpose. Maybe that'll be.
- 1:43:04Speaker 2: Interesting and revealing.
- 1:43:09Speaker 1: Shazbat.
- 1:43:11Speaker 2: This is from Terminator 1.
- 1:43:15Speaker 1: Or Terminator 2. This must be Terminator 2. This must
- 1:43:19Speaker 1: be Terminator 2.
- 1:43:20Speaker 2: One of my favorite movies.
- 1:43:22Speaker 1: It's a great movie. If a Terminator, a machine, can
- 1:43:26Speaker 1: learn the value of human life, maybe we can too.
- 1:43:31Speaker 1: It's a good line, but lots of good lines in
- 1:43:33Speaker 1: Terminator 2. It really is. Those two movies are really,
- 1:43:38Speaker 1: really good. Not much good after that in the franchise,
- 1:43:43Speaker 1: but those two both done by the same director who
- 1:43:47Speaker 1: then betrays all the ideas that he's articulating in that movie.
- 1:43:54Speaker 1: But anyway. All right. James, are you going to go
- 1:44:05Speaker 1: back on Destiny's show after the midterms? We'll get you
- 1:44:09Speaker 1: more viewership than Twitch streams. I hope so. I hope so.
- 1:44:14Speaker 1: I'll definitely try. I need to get over this, you know,
- 1:44:17Speaker 1: the previous bout of travel and the next bout of travel.
- 1:44:20Speaker 1: And then hopefully we can start planning for things like that. Ryan,
- 1:44:26Speaker 1: affordability crisis is hilarious. Gen X is so rich that
- 1:44:30Speaker 1: the kids think they should be as rich at 20.
- 1:44:34Speaker 1: Someone needs to slap these kids to remind them that
- 1:44:37Speaker 1: feeling poor is part of growing up. And the solution
- 1:44:41Speaker 1: is to work hard. Yeah, I mean, I think that's right.
- 1:44:44Speaker 1: But we also have inflation. Prices are going up. And unjustifiably.
- 1:44:50Speaker 1: And prices are going up in some areas, like the
- 1:44:55Speaker 1: Bay Area and New York City, for completely unjustifiable reasons.
- 1:44:59Speaker 1: And in those places, people truly can't afford or very
- 1:45:02Speaker 1: difficult for them to afford homes.
- 1:45:04Speaker 2: And, yeah, but you're right. There are also sport bats.
- 1:45:10Speaker 1: And they... They expect to be rich instantaneously, I guess,
- 1:45:15Speaker 1: and they expect it to be just handed to them
- 1:45:16Speaker 1: on a silver platter. And they need to go out there,
- 1:45:19Speaker 1: just like their parents and grandparents did, and work for it.
- 1:45:23Speaker 1: And there are plenty of jobs, and the income on
- 1:45:25Speaker 1: those jobs is good, and with the exception of the
- 1:45:28Speaker 1: last few months, has been rising, rising faster than prices
- 1:45:32Speaker 1: have been going up, again, with the exception of the
- 1:45:34Speaker 1: last few months. So, yes, a lot of it is that,
- 1:45:38Speaker 1: but let's accept the fact that that, yeah, government is
- 1:45:44Speaker 1: screwing them over by doing things that cause prices to
- 1:45:49Speaker 1: go up. Prices to go up. All right. Ryan, I
- 1:46:03Speaker 1: understand that the capacity to form concept is in our.
- 1:46:07Speaker 2: Biology, but the skill has to be taught and we
- 1:46:10Speaker 2: have to choose to deploy it.
- 1:46:13Speaker 1: Why hasn't this idea, which is true, been a solid
- 1:46:17Speaker 1: case for the existence of free will? Well, because people
- 1:46:23Speaker 1: say that, look, everybody forms concepts, right? You look at children,
- 1:46:28Speaker 1: they all have the basic concepts. They seem to form
- 1:46:31Speaker 1: them automatically. They all talk the same language. They all communicate.
- 1:46:37Speaker 1: They've got the basic grasp of concepts. And how do
- 1:46:41Speaker 1: we know that it requires a choice? Maybe we just
- 1:46:46Speaker 1: do it automatically. And maybe some of us have screwy
- 1:46:50Speaker 1: genes and we don't do it as automatically as others
- 1:46:53Speaker 1: or as well as other people. So that our genes
- 1:46:56Speaker 1: are really dictating our ability to conceive of concepts or
- 1:47:03Speaker 1: to integrate concepts. and therefore we don't need free will.
- 1:47:09Speaker 1: So you still have to make an argument about free
- 1:47:12Speaker 1: will and its connection to concept formation, its connection to
- 1:47:15Speaker 1: reasoning more broadly. And you have to show the empirical data,
- 1:47:20Speaker 1: in a sense, the point to the people and how
- 1:47:23Speaker 1: it's done, how it happens. I think Ayn Rand has
- 1:47:27Speaker 1: shown that. I think the way, you know, her proof
- 1:47:32Speaker 1: of concept formation, which is revolutionary, world-changing, requires free will,
- 1:47:38Speaker 1: but most people don't see it that way, right? I mean,
- 1:47:42Speaker 1: most theories of concept formation are concepts just get implanted
- 1:47:46Speaker 1: in our brain, like the chair just implants itself in
- 1:47:49Speaker 1: our brain, or we're connecting with some higher form, or
- 1:47:56Speaker 1: we're born with the knowledge, and what happens during childhood,
- 1:48:01Speaker 1: it's just revealed, the concepts are just revealed.
- 1:48:04Speaker 2: None of those require free will.
- 1:48:06Speaker 1: So, yeah, the problem of universals, the problem of concept formation,
- 1:48:10Speaker 1: how do we universalize things? That's a big problem in epistemology,
- 1:48:16Speaker 1: which Ayn Rand solved, but almost nobody in philosophy... recognizes that. So,
- 1:48:24Speaker 1: you know, free will is part of the things that
- 1:48:27Speaker 1: get trashed when they trash Ayn Rand's, or they don't
- 1:48:31Speaker 1: even engage in Ayn Rand's theory of concepts.
- 1:48:34Speaker 2: I think that'll change over time.
- 1:48:35Speaker 1: I think slowly your ideas will enter academia and slowly
- 1:48:40Speaker 1: be adopted. But it's going to take a long time.
- 1:48:44Speaker 1: And it'll probably start with something like concept formation, because
- 1:48:50Speaker 1: if academics start dealing with Ayn Rand's ideas about concept formation,
- 1:48:54Speaker 1: they don't have to deal with politics.
- 1:48:57Speaker 2: They can still stay.
- 1:48:58Speaker 1: Leftist or whatever and just think about concept formation and
- 1:49:02Speaker 1: compartmentalize it. So you might get a breakthrough in objectivism
- 1:49:06Speaker 1: in some of the epistemological issues before you get a
- 1:49:09Speaker 1: breakthrough in economics or even in morality.
- 1:49:15Speaker 2: Now, Travis, I'll go with them.
- 1:49:16Speaker 1: For your next show, will you be responding to Sam
- 1:49:18Speaker 1: Harris's ridiculous nonsense? I will at some point. I need
- 1:49:23Speaker 1: to write that down. I'd be meaning to, and I
- 1:49:26Speaker 1: keep forgetting. But next show is tomorrow evening. It'll be
- 1:49:31Speaker 1: a show that is sponsored. We'll be talking about mineral rights,
- 1:49:37Speaker 1: energy rights, the issue of how governments deal with it.
- 1:49:43Speaker 2: Is it collective? Is it individual? How do you argue
- 1:49:47Speaker 2: for that?
- 1:49:48Speaker 1: What are the economic distortions created by collectivizing minerals? And
- 1:49:55Speaker 1: so there's a bunch of things that we'll talk about
- 1:49:59Speaker 1: with relating to mineral rights that was sponsored by An
- 1:50:04Speaker 1: Australian who, I guess the Australian government right now, is
- 1:50:09Speaker 1: dealing with a lot of these issues. And that will
- 1:50:17Speaker 1: be at 7 p.m. tomorrow. I might do another show
- 1:50:19Speaker 1: tomorrow and maybe on that show I'll discuss Sam Harris'
- 1:50:23Speaker 1: view of billionaires. Maybe if not, then some other time.
- 1:50:30Speaker 1: We'll see if I have time tomorrow to do two shows.
- 1:50:34Speaker 1: Andrews says, for a bit of laugh, a Republican strategist, quote,
- 1:50:38Speaker 1: Republicans should state their accomplishments, but also should remind the
- 1:50:42Speaker 1: public of the Dems' dark side. Goes on to list
- 1:50:46Speaker 1: a weaponized Department of Justice now returned to the blind
- 1:50:50Speaker 1: rule of justice.
- 1:50:51Speaker 2: What a, you know, talk about making stuff up.
- 1:50:56Speaker 1: And inventing stuff. It's pretty astounding how delusional these Republicans are.
- 1:51:05Speaker 1: how delusional politicians are and Republicans just, Trump blinds them,
- 1:51:10Speaker 1: as he does to so many people, become zombies as
- 1:51:14Speaker 1: a result of Trump. All right, Ryan. Hi, Iran. I
- 1:51:27Speaker 1: was wondering what are your thoughts on this quote? A
- 1:51:32Speaker 1: friend is a gift you give to yourself. I mean, yeah,
- 1:51:36Speaker 1: I mean, that's true in a sense.
- 1:51:38Speaker 2: I don't know. I would never describe a friend as
- 1:51:41Speaker 2: a gift.
- 1:51:43Speaker 1: So I like the fact that you have to give
- 1:51:46Speaker 1: it to yourself. That is, you have to engage in
- 1:51:48Speaker 1: activity to establish friendship. Friendship is not automatic. Friendship doesn't
- 1:51:53Speaker 1: just happen. The fact that somebody was a friend of
- 1:51:55Speaker 1: yours in high school doesn't make him a friend of
- 1:51:58Speaker 1: yours today or shouldn't automatically happen. that it's something to
- 1:52:01Speaker 1: be engaged in, to be active, and to be pursued.
- 1:52:06Speaker 1: I like that. I just don't think of it as
- 1:52:08Speaker 1: a gift. It's a value. A friend is a value
- 1:52:13Speaker 1: you should pursue. Friendship is a value you should pursue.
- 1:52:18Speaker 1: I think that would be right. Coke says, welcome to Twitch.
- 1:52:22Speaker 2: Thank you, Coke.
- 1:52:25Speaker 1: Rajiv says, thank you, Dr. Brooke, for everything that you do,
- 1:52:28Speaker 1: and happy birthday, Dr. Leonard Peikoff. Yes, happy birthday, Leonard. Cook,
- 1:52:33Speaker 1: maybe we.
- 1:52:33Speaker 2: Should put caps on your Ron Super Chats.
- 1:52:36Speaker 1: It is really fair that someone else's questions gets priority
- 1:52:41Speaker 1: over mine.
- 1:52:42Speaker 2: Because they spend more money.
- 1:52:43Speaker 1: Hmm. We'll have to think about that. Let's consider that.
- 1:52:48Speaker 1: I'll give it a sleep. Anonymous, the U.S. has stopped
- 1:52:56Speaker 1: producing the penny. It is studying eliminating the nickel. These
- 1:53:01Speaker 1: units of currency still exist. Does it make sense to
- 1:53:04Speaker 1: get rid of physical representation of these units?
- 1:53:07Speaker 4: Sure.
- 1:53:07Speaker 1: I mean, it's a waste of money. I don't think
- 1:53:11Speaker 1: we should use them in pricing things. It doesn't make
- 1:53:14Speaker 1: any sense. Now, most transactions are electronics.
- 1:53:17Speaker 2: It What's the point of having pennies?
- 1:53:21Speaker 1: I mean, I don't carry loose change around anymore. I
- 1:53:25Speaker 1: just don't. You know, whenever I get loose change, I
- 1:53:27Speaker 1: get rid of it in one way or another. I
- 1:53:30Speaker 1: barely carry any cash anymore. Now I pay everything off
- 1:53:33Speaker 1: of my phone. So it's very difficult to justify loose
- 1:53:41Speaker 1: pennies or dimes or quarters for that matter. It's a
- 1:53:47Speaker 1: weight on your pocket. Why even bother? James, will housing
- 1:53:54Speaker 1: prices increase if property taxes are eliminated on these midterm
- 1:53:59Speaker 1: ballot measures? Why would housing increase if property taxes are eliminated?
- 1:54:07Speaker 1: Housing prices will go down if property taxes are eliminated.
- 1:54:11Speaker 1: Or there's the potential for them to go down. I
- 1:54:16Speaker 1: don't see what the dynamics would be to.
- 1:54:17Speaker 2: You're eliminating....
- 1:54:22Speaker 1: A tax. And that tax is priced. So I'd expect
- 1:54:29Speaker 1: prices to go down. Anonymous, why did the U.S. survive
- 1:54:36Speaker 1: the red decade of the 30s or did it? Well,
- 1:54:39Speaker 1: it did and it didn't, right? It did in a
- 1:54:41Speaker 1: sense and it never turned communist. And that's because the
- 1:54:43Speaker 1: American sense of life was still alive and well. And
- 1:54:46Speaker 1: it rejected communism. It didn't. in a sense that it
- 1:54:49Speaker 1: embraced the New Deal, and it's never really recovered from
- 1:54:52Speaker 1: the New Deal. The New Deal is still with us,
- 1:54:54Speaker 1: and nobody will challenge it. Nobody will challenge it. So
- 1:55:01Speaker 1: it both did and didn't, depending on how you mean it. Ryan,
- 1:55:07Speaker 1: it's mine. Keep your hands off my pie. Go make
- 1:55:10Speaker 1: your own pie. That's a quote from me, I guess.
- 1:55:14Speaker 2: Thank you, Ryan. Lone dissenter. Send you an email showing how.
- 1:55:19Speaker 1: To choose your Twitch category and restream and make 10 seconds.
- 1:55:24Speaker 1: It takes 10 seconds. If you don't choose a category,
- 1:55:28Speaker 1: you'll be undiscoverable. Any recommendations on what category I should choose? Ryan,
- 1:55:36Speaker 1: Zelensky is heroic, but the real villain is not Trump,
- 1:55:40Speaker 1: in my opinion. It is the Europeans who are to
- 1:55:42Speaker 1: blame for this war not ending sooner. The blood of
- 1:55:45Speaker 1: Ukrainians is in their hands. I don't see why Trump
- 1:55:50Speaker 1: is any better than the Europeans. In my view, he's worse.
- 1:55:54Speaker 1: America's in much better positions to help Ukraine, and it
- 1:55:58Speaker 1: has the resources to help Ukraine. The Europeans don't have
- 1:56:02Speaker 1: the weapon systems, don't have the capacity to produce the weapons.
- 1:56:05Speaker 2: I mean, you could blame them for that.
- 1:56:07Speaker 1: That's fine. But all of Europe depends on the United States,
- 1:56:10Speaker 1: and the U.S. has turned its back on Ukraine. So
- 1:56:14Speaker 1: I still think the biggest villain here was originally Biden
- 1:56:19Speaker 1: by not supplying enough weapons fast enough and not the
- 1:56:22Speaker 1: right weapons, and then Trump by turning his back on
- 1:56:25Speaker 1: Zelensky and on Ukraine. And, yeah, you can throw in
- 1:56:29Speaker 1: Europeans as well. Fenn Hopper says, isn't it crazy that
- 1:56:34Speaker 1: everyone has a birthday this year? Like, what are the odds?
- 1:56:38Speaker 2: I smell a conspiracy, a loof, a foot, a foot.
- 1:56:41Speaker 1: Yes, I think it's a conspiracy. I think we can
- 1:56:46Speaker 1: honestly say conspiracy time. Ryan asks, what are your thoughts
- 1:56:51Speaker 1: on Kemi Bradnok? And is she familiar with Ayn Rand's work,
- 1:56:59Speaker 1: to your knowledge?
- 1:57:00Speaker 2: So, yes, I met Kemi before COVID, 2018 or I
- 1:57:04Speaker 2: think 2019. And I liked her a lot.
- 1:57:11Speaker 1: And we were on the same side of a debate,
- 1:57:17Speaker 1: capitalism versus socialism. It was me and her defending capitalism.
- 1:57:22Speaker 1: From what I remember from that conversation, she's read Atlas Shrugged,
- 1:57:25Speaker 1: familiar with Ayn Rand.
- 1:57:27Speaker 2: I don't know what depth, but familiar with it. And
- 1:57:30Speaker 2: I like her.
- 1:57:31Speaker 1: She is leading the conservative party, which means that she
- 1:57:36Speaker 1: will unfortunately compromise and not sound as good as she
- 1:57:40Speaker 1: sounded in the debate. But she's better than anybody else
- 1:57:44Speaker 1: I can think of in British politics right now.
- 1:57:47Speaker 2: And, yeah, I look forward to a.
- 1:57:50Speaker 1: Day when Kemi is prime minister of the UK. And, yeah,
- 1:57:57Speaker 1: maybe I'll offer my services as an advisor if she'll
- 1:58:00Speaker 1: take me. Andrew, regarding the Telerico drug cap issue, while
- 1:58:09Speaker 1: I fully agree that we must argue that a need
- 1:58:13Speaker 1: is not a claim, it is more important the positive
- 1:58:16Speaker 1: argument of the rights and actual heroism of the drug producer. Yeah,
- 1:58:24Speaker 1: I mean, it's the flip side of the same argument,
- 1:58:26Speaker 1: I think, but But, yeah, but what if we said, okay,
- 1:58:32Speaker 1: the drug producer will get his money, it's just the
- 1:58:34Speaker 1: government will subsidize it, which is what they'll come back with, right,
- 1:58:38Speaker 1: which is what they always do. So you still have to,
- 1:58:42Speaker 1: at the end of the day, say that, you know,
- 1:58:47Speaker 1: you have a claim against somebody, against the producer, or
- 1:58:50Speaker 1: against me, who is going to have to fund it.
- 1:58:52Speaker 1: One way or another, here's something. is a claim over
- 1:58:58Speaker 1: somebody else's life, the producer's life, or my life, the taxpayer.
- 1:59:04Speaker 1: One way or another, it's somebody else's life. But yes,
- 1:59:07Speaker 1: I agree with you. We also have to make the case,
- 1:59:10Speaker 1: as importantly, of the great achievement that the producer has
- 1:59:16Speaker 1: achieved and why they have a right to fully exploit
- 1:59:22Speaker 1: that achievement. Indeed, that achievement will go away And there
- 1:59:26Speaker 1: won't be any more achievements like it if we don't
- 1:59:28Speaker 1: let him exploit it. Thank you, Andrew.
- 1:59:34Speaker 2: Okay.
- 1:59:36Speaker 1: Last, last, uh, last one. I think Mary Eileen says,
- 1:59:42Speaker 1: can a friend be a gift? You must earn friendship
- 1:59:45Speaker 1: and it's a two-sided transaction. Both parties benefit. Yeah, absolutely.
- 1:59:49Speaker 1: That's why I don't. Yeah. You captured why gift sounded
- 1:59:53Speaker 1: wrong to me. Um, It's not a gift that you
- 1:59:56Speaker 1: give to yourself. It's a value you pursue. And to
- 2:00:00Speaker 1: achieve that value, to achieve that value, you have to
- 2:00:06Speaker 1: make it a two-way street. You have to make it
- 2:00:08Speaker 1: a win-win. You have to make it a worthwhile thing
- 2:00:11Speaker 1: for the other party. It's definitely a two-party transaction. All right,
- 2:00:20Speaker 1: I'm told that the category I should use is just chatting.
- 2:00:24Speaker 1: Or talk shows and podcasts. I think talk shows and
- 2:00:27Speaker 1: podcasts would probably work. Just chatting sounds not like exactly
- 2:00:31Speaker 1: what I do. Like we could do a show that's
- 2:00:34Speaker 1: just chatting, which I think a lot of these streamers do.
- 2:00:39Speaker 1: But I think it's more like talk shows and podcasts.
- 2:00:42Speaker 1: So yes, I now have instructions on how to do it.
- 2:00:47Speaker 1: I will set myself up in.
- 2:00:51Speaker 2: Twitch. and figure all that out.
- 2:00:55Speaker 1: And yeah, if you guys who are following me on
- 2:00:59Speaker 1: Twitch now can figure out how to increase viewership, not
- 2:01:04Speaker 1: just the people who watch me anyway on YouTube, that
- 2:01:06Speaker 1: would be amazing. That would be amazing.
- 2:01:09Speaker 2: Oh, I can do both?
- 2:01:11Speaker 1: I can do both just chatting and talk show and podcast? Okay,
- 2:01:14Speaker 1: I'll do both. All right, tomorrow, as I said, there's
- 2:01:20Speaker 1: going to be a show at 7 p.m. Eastern Time,
- 2:01:24Speaker 1: which is going to focus on natural resources with a
- 2:01:27Speaker 1: specific example coming out of Australia.
- 2:01:30Speaker 2: I might do a show earlier in the day.
- 2:01:33Speaker 1: We will see, maybe at 3, maybe at 4, depending
- 2:01:37Speaker 1: on what's going on, what the news is, and... Yeah,
- 2:01:45Speaker 1: and how much time I have. I might do a
- 2:01:48Speaker 1: show at 3, so we might do two shows tomorrow.
- 2:01:50Speaker 2: I'm still.
- 2:01:53Speaker 1: We'll probably do a show on Saturday. If we do
- 2:01:58Speaker 1: a show on Saturday, that will be a Capitalism Critics show.
- 2:02:04Speaker 1: And then we're definitely on with Nikos.
- 2:02:05Speaker 2: Remember Nikos?
- 2:02:07Speaker 1: We're doing Fauda. Remember Fauda? We're doing a show on Fauda.
- 2:02:13Speaker 1: If you haven't watched, watch even a little bit of it.
- 2:02:17Speaker 1: We'll be talking about all five seasons of Fauda. And,
- 2:02:21Speaker 1: you know, so we'll cover that. that should be a
- 2:02:25Speaker 1: lot of fun and super interesting. I think there's a
- 2:02:28Speaker 1: lot of stuff that will come out of that. And
- 2:02:30Speaker 1: then we'll start next week, and next week I'm traveling,
- 2:02:31Speaker 1: so it'll be kind of on and off next week
- 2:02:34Speaker 1: in terms of shows. We'll see. We'll see what we
- 2:02:38Speaker 1: can get done. Yeah, next week might be light on shows, sadly.
- 2:02:45Speaker 2: Monday, Tuesday, definitely. Monday, Tuesday, definitely. I'm not sure if
- 2:02:49Speaker 2: much beyond that.
- 2:02:52Speaker 1: All right, everybody, I.
- 2:02:53Speaker 2: Will see you tomorrow. When's the next AMA?
- 2:03:00Speaker 1: Next AMA, as far as I can tell, is November 21st.
- 2:03:09Speaker 1: November 21st. I'm just not in town before that. So
- 2:03:15Speaker 1: that is the next AMA.
- 2:03:17Speaker 2: So, yeah, next, rest of October.
- 2:03:20Speaker 1: And early November are going to be short on shows, sadly.
- 2:03:27Speaker 1: All right, everybody. See you tomorrow. Bye.