Latest / Stuff You Should Know / The Gold Standard: When Money Meant Something
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Welcome to Stuff you should know, a production of iHeartRadio.
- 0:11Speaker 2: Hey, and welcome to the podcast. I'm Josh and there's
- 0:13Speaker 2: Chuck and it's just us here today to explain something
- 0:18Speaker 2: that every person in the world should know about, the
- 0:22Speaker 2: gold stand. I have an intro. I have an intro
- 0:26Speaker 2: hold on oh goud, Chuck. Yes, have you ever gone
- 0:32Speaker 2: to a bank and traded a dollar in for actual gold?
- 0:40Speaker 1: No, I've never even seen gold in person. That wasn't like,
- 0:44Speaker 1: you know, on whatever, a ring or something.
- 0:47Speaker 2: Sure, and that is a huge use for gold.
- 0:50Speaker 1: I've never seen nuggets or bars ingots.
- 0:54Speaker 2: I haven't either. I have never even seen a gold coin.
- 0:57Speaker 2: Now that I think.
- 0:58Speaker 1: About it, I don't think I have either.
- 1:00Speaker 2: But there was a point in time where you could
- 1:02Speaker 2: see gold anytime you wanted, if you went to your
- 1:05Speaker 2: bank and you took a certain amount of dollars or
- 1:07Speaker 2: pounds or francs or pesos, because countries all over the
- 1:12Speaker 2: world were on what's known as the gold standard. And
- 1:16Speaker 2: just a quick broad stroke explanation I guess is that
- 1:22Speaker 2: on a gold standard, every single one of your dollars
- 1:26Speaker 2: or pesos or francs or Deutsche marks are redeemable for gold,
- 1:31Speaker 2: which means that you have to have an equal amount
- 1:34Speaker 2: of gold in your country in safes and vaults to
- 1:39Speaker 2: cover every single dollar or paso or Deutsche mark or
- 1:44Speaker 2: frank out there. You can't just keep printing money. You
- 1:47Speaker 2: can only print as much money as can cover the
- 1:49Speaker 2: amount of gold that you have.
- 1:52Speaker 1: Yeah, which is you know, it's sort of a public
- 1:56Speaker 1: safeguard to say, hey, your dollar, your pay paper money,
- 2:00Speaker 1: or your coins are worth something because it's worth this
- 2:04Speaker 1: much of this other thing that we've also agreed is
- 2:07Speaker 1: worth money exactly.
- 2:10Speaker 2: And so for you, if you're walking around in a
- 2:13Speaker 2: country that's on the gold standard, you can go trade
- 2:16Speaker 2: your dollars in for gold, your paper currency in for gold. Right.
- 2:20Speaker 2: It also gives you a lot of stability and understanding
- 2:24Speaker 2: that when you wake up in the morning, what you
- 2:26Speaker 2: bought for one dollar yesterday, you're going to be able
- 2:29Speaker 2: to buy for one dollar today. Prices don't fluctuate very
- 2:32Speaker 2: much on the gold standard, and then on more of
- 2:34Speaker 2: a macro level, if you're a country and you're importing
- 2:39Speaker 2: tons of stuff, that means your currency is going out.
- 2:42Speaker 2: You're using your currency to buy these imports, and when
- 2:45Speaker 2: a bunch of your currency is out there, you need
- 2:48Speaker 2: it back home, so you have to use some of
- 2:50Speaker 2: that gold to buy your currency back. So the upshot
- 2:55Speaker 2: of all of this is the gold Standard is very
- 2:57Speaker 2: different from the type of currency that we have today,
- 3:01Speaker 2: and I feel like we should maybe explain a little
- 3:03Speaker 2: more eventually about how they're different.
- 3:06Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure. I mean we've been back and forth
- 3:09Speaker 1: between the gold Standard and the other, which we call
- 3:12Speaker 1: fiat currency, which is a Latin term, and that you know,
- 3:16Speaker 1: fiat currency basically is what we're working with now because
- 3:19Speaker 1: the gold Standard is basically dead. But that's where you can,
- 3:23Speaker 1: you know, where you have more you know, monetary policy
- 3:27Speaker 1: guiding the markets and stuff like that, rather than like, no,
- 3:30Speaker 1: it's like it's tied to gold like kind of end
- 3:33Speaker 1: of story. Yeah, there are people that love and you know,
- 3:36Speaker 1: we're going to talk about sort of the benefits and
- 3:38Speaker 1: the arguments for and against. But people that are into
- 3:42Speaker 1: the gold Standard as an idea, they're kind of out
- 3:45Speaker 1: of luck, but they're still around. They're called gold bugs.
- 3:48Speaker 1: They've been called that since Edgar alland Post's story that's
- 3:52Speaker 1: where it came from, about the search for buried treasure.
- 3:55Speaker 1: But you know, it's still a fight in some circles
- 3:58Speaker 1: from people who are like way into the gold standard.
- 4:00Speaker 2: Yeah, and there's I mean, they have a lot of
- 4:03Speaker 2: good points. But the problem is is that that train
- 4:05Speaker 2: has left the station in it and it's coming back,
- 4:08Speaker 2: not coming back. So why gold? Right? There's alsort. You
- 4:12Speaker 2: could pay your currency to wheat, right, and you could
- 4:16Speaker 2: take your dollar bill and go into the bank and
- 4:18Speaker 2: they'll give you like a bushel of wheat in return. Right,
- 4:21Speaker 2: why gold in particular?
- 4:24Speaker 1: Well, yeah, I said that, you know, that's something that
- 4:26Speaker 1: they all agreed was worth something, And that's kind of
- 4:28Speaker 1: the deal. Like something's only worth something if everyone agrees
- 4:32Speaker 1: that it's worth something, right, But you can't, you know,
- 4:36Speaker 1: you've got to pick something that makes sense. And gold
- 4:38Speaker 1: has always made a lot of sense for a lot
- 4:40Speaker 1: of reasons. It is, it's scarce, but not like rare rare.
- 4:46Speaker 1: It's rare enough to be precious, but not so rare
- 4:49Speaker 1: that like you know, it's impossible to find. So you've
- 4:52Speaker 1: got to have enough of it, but not too much
- 4:53Speaker 1: of the thing. It's also you can divide it up
- 4:57Speaker 1: into small things, you can melt it down, you can
- 5:00Speaker 1: make it into stuff, making it into coins, you know,
- 5:04Speaker 1: is certainly valuable. It's valuable, it's resistant to being corroded
- 5:09Speaker 1: and like rusted, it's durable. So all that stuff makes
- 5:13Speaker 1: it just sort of a valuable thing to trade.
- 5:16Speaker 2: Yeah, and you said it's durable. Like most of the
- 5:19Speaker 2: gold that's ever been mined in the history of humanity
- 5:23Speaker 2: is still around because you can change it from one
- 5:26Speaker 2: form to another, say like from a necklace into a
- 5:28Speaker 2: gold coin. But there's still that same amount of gold
- 5:31Speaker 2: on earth. And I guess as of twenty twenty five,
- 5:35Speaker 2: I think the World Gold Council says that two hundred
- 5:38Speaker 2: and nineteen thousand, eight hundred and ninety tons of gold
- 5:42Speaker 2: have been mined throughout history, and about two thirds of
- 5:45Speaker 2: those have been mined since nineteen fifty alone.
- 5:49Speaker 1: Right, And most of that is still around, Like you said,
- 5:52Speaker 1: it's still out there, which kind of proves that gold
- 5:56Speaker 1: was a pretty good pick that and silver, I mean,
- 5:58Speaker 1: silver was we'll talk about the fact that gold and
- 6:02Speaker 1: silver kind of went back and forth over the years.
- 6:04Speaker 1: There's just a lot more silver, so silver has just
- 6:07Speaker 1: been worthless, right.
- 6:08Speaker 2: But it's still worthwhile. And in fact, if we're going
- 6:11Speaker 2: to start to go back a little bit in history,
- 6:15Speaker 2: the very first, I guess currency that the United States
- 6:19Speaker 2: came up with, and the history for Great Britain tracks
- 6:24Speaker 2: very similarly. But in the US they said, we're going
- 6:28Speaker 2: to use gold and silver for coinage, and they had
- 6:32Speaker 2: to set an amount how much silver do you need
- 6:36Speaker 2: to buy you know, one unit of gold because they
- 6:39Speaker 2: are related to one another, you're using both for currency.
- 6:42Speaker 2: So they said, you know what, fifteen pieces of silver
- 6:46Speaker 2: grains I think is equal to one grain of gold.
- 6:51Speaker 1: Yeah, so like a fifteen to one ratio. But they
- 6:54Speaker 1: realized right away that like if they're going to start
- 6:57Speaker 1: setting this like thesetios in these sort of units as
- 7:02Speaker 1: being you know, kind of blocked in, it's just going
- 7:05Speaker 1: to create a lot of trouble over time, like especially
- 7:09Speaker 1: when the amount of gold and silver increases in deep well,
- 7:11Speaker 1: I guess not so much decrease, but you know, like
- 7:14Speaker 1: when there's a gold rush or when like they find
- 7:17Speaker 1: a new vein of silver somewhere that changes the amount
- 7:21Speaker 1: of gold and silver in the world. But they still
- 7:23Speaker 1: had locked into that fifteen to one ratio. It's not
- 7:25Speaker 1: like they kept changing it over and over. So I
- 7:28Speaker 1: think kind of right away people were like, oh wait
- 7:30Speaker 1: a minute, this is all a little bit artificial in
- 7:33Speaker 1: a way.
- 7:34Speaker 2: Yeah, And that's something that goldbugs have trouble with is that,
- 7:37Speaker 2: you know, it doesn't really matter how you know, honest
- 7:43Speaker 2: a gold standard keeps the government, it's still all artificial.
- 7:47Speaker 2: There's still manipulation that can happen. And yeah, when a
- 7:50Speaker 2: bunch of gold comes on the market, gold becomes less valuable.
- 7:54Speaker 2: If a bunch of silver comes on the market, relative
- 7:56Speaker 2: to gold, silver becomes less valuable. And one of the
- 7:59Speaker 2: problems with using a commodity to back your currency is
- 8:03Speaker 2: that sometimes the value of the commodity can rise beyond
- 8:07Speaker 2: the face value of the currency. So if you have
- 8:10Speaker 2: a ten dollars gold piece and the price of gold
- 8:13Speaker 2: actually puts that one ounce at twenty dollars, you're not
- 8:18Speaker 2: going to go spend that ten bucks. You're going to
- 8:20Speaker 2: melt that thing down or sell it to somebody for
- 8:22Speaker 2: twenty dollars. Yeah, So that's a there's problems here with
- 8:27Speaker 2: money that actually means something in the world.
- 8:31Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure. And that happened. And when that happened
- 8:33Speaker 1: kind of the first time, I guess for the United States,
- 8:37Speaker 1: people started doing that. They started melting gold coins or
- 8:41Speaker 1: keeping them in hoarding gold coins and they started trading
- 8:44Speaker 1: and using silver as currency. So all of a sudden
- 8:47Speaker 1: we were like, wait a minute. We thought we were
- 8:49Speaker 1: on a gold sale or we're heading toward a gold standard,
- 8:52Speaker 1: and now we're kind of on a de facto silver
- 8:54Speaker 1: standard because that's what people are using.
- 8:56Speaker 2: Yeah, so the government was like, well, let's just make
- 8:59Speaker 2: the sixteen to one, and it brought everything a little
- 9:01Speaker 2: bit more into parody. Then there was the Minor forty
- 9:04Speaker 2: nine or gold rush in California, and then there was
- 9:07Speaker 2: also another gold rush in Australia about the same time.
- 9:10Speaker 2: So the market price for gold went down again because
- 9:14Speaker 2: the supply increased, which basically made the US government throw
- 9:18Speaker 2: their hands up in the air and say, we give up.
- 9:20Speaker 2: We're going to go watch football.
- 9:23Speaker 1: Yeah, they're kind of football, I guess. Over across the pond.
- 9:28Speaker 1: Isaac Newton finished out his long, storied career as the
- 9:33Speaker 1: Master of the Mint.
- 9:34Speaker 2: Mm hm.
- 9:35Speaker 1: He did a lot of other stuff obviously before that,
- 9:37Speaker 1: but he worked as the Master of the Mint at
- 9:39Speaker 1: the end of his life until his death, and he
- 9:43Speaker 1: was all about gold. Was like he encouraged overvaluing it
- 9:46Speaker 1: and said we should really just set gold as the
- 9:49Speaker 1: gold standard for England and they adopted that in what
- 9:52Speaker 1: like eighteen nineteen.
- 9:54Speaker 2: Yeah, so I think they were the first country on
- 9:57Speaker 2: an actual gold standard, and then it kind of spread
- 10:00Speaker 2: around Europe from there because they're like, this is actually
- 10:02Speaker 2: pretty good, pretty good idea because you don't need necessarily
- 10:06Speaker 2: a central bank, you don't have to have somebody figuring
- 10:08Speaker 2: out what lever to pole or whatever. The gold actually
- 10:11Speaker 2: kind of naturally flows from one place to another to
- 10:15Speaker 2: basically keep this homeostasis, this balance throughout the world among
- 10:19Speaker 2: all the countries that are on the gold standard, right. Yeah,
- 10:23Speaker 2: So the thing is is humans are humans. You can
- 10:27Speaker 2: mess up anything that is, even something that naturally flows
- 10:30Speaker 2: from one place to another. We can basically put our
- 10:33Speaker 2: foot in it and screw it up. And that was
- 10:37Speaker 2: the case usually, as we'll see throughout history, that's usually
- 10:41Speaker 2: the case when war comes along, and that happened in
- 10:44Speaker 2: the United States with the Civil War. And we've talked
- 10:47Speaker 2: many times about this about how before the Civil War
- 10:50Speaker 2: there was like eight thousand different types of currency in
- 10:53Speaker 2: use in the United States, like your general store intel
- 10:56Speaker 2: might have its own currency that you could use. And
- 11:00Speaker 2: as the Civil War came along, that all changed very quickly.
- 11:04Speaker 1: Yeah, that was I remember we took that feels like
- 11:07Speaker 1: very many years ago. We were talking about that in
- 11:11Speaker 1: a few episodes. It was kind of the hot topic
- 11:13Speaker 1: for us for a while.
- 11:14Speaker 2: It was so hot.
- 11:15Speaker 1: We were talking about all those different currencies, like one
- 11:17Speaker 1: town might have a currency and then two miles down
- 11:20Speaker 1: the road, the next town might have their own currency,
- 11:23Speaker 1: which you know within that town as long as everyone again,
- 11:25Speaker 1: if everyone agrees what something is worth, it's working out, okay.
- 11:29Speaker 1: But that's a mess if you're trying to be a country,
- 11:32Speaker 1: which we despite the Civil War, we were trying to
- 11:35Speaker 1: be a country. And so the Civil War starts and
- 11:41Speaker 1: the federal government was like hey, like you know, Josh
- 11:44Speaker 1: Clark will say one day, wars are expensive, and so
- 11:47Speaker 1: they issued war bonds. I think about half a five
- 11:50Speaker 1: hundred billion dollars in war bonds. War bonds are what
- 11:54Speaker 1: you buy to basically, you know, or you sell as
- 11:56Speaker 1: a government and people buy to kind of finance the
- 11:58Speaker 1: world and saying, a loan you money to go fight
- 12:01Speaker 1: this war. Because that bond is ensured, I know for
- 12:06Speaker 1: a fact that eventually I'm going to get repaid with
- 12:09Speaker 1: interest for lending you that money to fight this war. Right,
- 12:13Speaker 1: So it's like it's super safe on the investor side,
- 12:15Speaker 1: but it's just a long term payout.
- 12:17Speaker 2: Yeah. The thing is is when they issued those as
- 12:20Speaker 2: far as I know, they weren't backed with gold, and
- 12:22Speaker 2: then they weren't even further. They just started issuing straight
- 12:25Speaker 2: up paper currency that had it wasn't pegged to gold
- 12:28Speaker 2: or silver backed up by any of it. It was
- 12:30Speaker 2: the first fiat currency in the United States, and like
- 12:34Speaker 2: you said, is just basically the government saying this has value.
- 12:38Speaker 2: Because we say it has value. You can use this
- 12:41Speaker 2: to buy stuff, you can use this to pay your taxes.
- 12:44Speaker 2: It is currency even though it's not backed by anything.
- 12:48Speaker 2: And the reason they did that is because it was
- 12:50Speaker 2: so expensive. They literally had to print money say it
- 12:53Speaker 2: was it had worth and instead of using it to
- 12:56Speaker 2: pay their debts, to basically fight this war. And so
- 13:01Speaker 2: the market the United States, well the United States just
- 13:06Speaker 2: became flooded with all this paper currency. So the paper
- 13:10Speaker 2: currency plus all the goldback currency just became less and
- 13:14Speaker 2: less valuable. And I think the inflation that came about
- 13:19Speaker 2: after the Civil War, because inflation happens when the value
- 13:23Speaker 2: of your currency is weak because there's too much of
- 13:25Speaker 2: it like out there. Yeah, it was like twenty five
- 13:29Speaker 2: percent during the Civil War. And just for a reference,
- 13:33Speaker 2: in twenty twenty two, at the peak of the most
- 13:36Speaker 2: recent inflation in June, it was at nine percent and
- 13:41Speaker 2: that was pretty uncomfortable. I can't imagine twenty five percent.
- 13:45Speaker 1: No, we were in a pretty bad way. And this
- 13:47Speaker 1: was also a time when the country started dabbling in
- 13:51Speaker 1: national debt and saying like, hey, like, as a country,
- 13:53Speaker 1: we can go into deep debt. Yeah, and like, let's
- 13:56Speaker 1: see if anybody really cares it. Went this is these
- 13:59Speaker 1: are pretty staggering numbers. The national debt in eighteen sixty
- 14:03Speaker 1: was sixty five million. Six years later it was two
- 14:06Speaker 1: point seven six billion dollars. And this is when gold
- 14:10Speaker 1: standard or what are they called gold bugs started saying, hey,
- 14:15Speaker 1: I think you've just proved our point, Like you printed
- 14:17Speaker 1: all this money the Fiat currency, and we're in real
- 14:21Speaker 1: trouble now.
- 14:22Speaker 2: Yeah, And so Lincoln says, hold on, hold on, and
- 14:25Speaker 2: he rolls up his sleeves a little bit and gets
- 14:27Speaker 2: to work, spits in his hand, rubs them together, picks
- 14:31Speaker 2: up an ax for no reason, just to kind of
- 14:33Speaker 2: look tough.
- 14:34Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 14:34Speaker 2: Sure, there works, and he says, we're going to take
- 14:36Speaker 2: all of those, all of the bills out there, all
- 14:39Speaker 2: the dollars on the market, and just take them back
- 14:43Speaker 2: and start destroying them. Yeah, and by doing that, we're
- 14:47Speaker 2: going to actually lower the supply of dollars, which increases
- 14:52Speaker 2: their value. Right, And so problem solved. That's going to
- 14:55Speaker 2: fight inflation because the dollar is stronger again because there's
- 14:58Speaker 2: less dollars on there. And on just a basic economic
- 15:03Speaker 2: basis of supply and demand, it makes sense. But what
- 15:08Speaker 2: the government didn't realize all the way back in the
- 15:10Speaker 2: eighteen sixties is that it takes a little more finesse
- 15:13Speaker 2: than that to not just screw up the economy like
- 15:16Speaker 2: a pendulum from one problem to the opposite problem.
- 15:19Speaker 1: Yeah, Like, can you imagine being a citizen in the
- 15:23Speaker 1: United States back then, in those early days when they're
- 15:26Speaker 1: just trying to figure this stuff out, and you know,
- 15:29Speaker 1: I bet a lot of people didn't have a real
- 15:31Speaker 1: understanding of this, But if you did, could you imagine
- 15:33Speaker 1: just seeing your country be like, hey, let's print a
- 15:36Speaker 1: bunch of paper and say it's really valuable, right, and
- 15:39Speaker 1: then when they got in trouble, be like, hey, let's
- 15:41Speaker 1: burn all that stuff that we printed and said was valuable.
- 15:44Speaker 2: Yeah, Like they would just come up behind, like congressmen
- 15:48Speaker 2: would come up behind people counting their money and just
- 15:50Speaker 2: yank it out of their hands and run off and
- 15:52Speaker 2: you couldn't do anything about it.
- 15:55Speaker 1: Yeah, paper football, So that was a real hot item
- 15:57Speaker 1: at the time.
- 15:58Speaker 2: So, okay, a bunch of bills, a bunch of money
- 16:02Speaker 2: just gets taken back, burned, destroyed, taken off of the market.
- 16:07Speaker 2: It's just not there anymore, and the value of the
- 16:10Speaker 2: dollar strengthens. The problem is because the dollar is more
- 16:16Speaker 2: is worth more than it was before, and seems like
- 16:18Speaker 2: it's just going to keep going up in value. People
- 16:20Speaker 2: are like, well, I'm going to hang on to my
- 16:21Speaker 2: dollar because it's going to increase in value, so I'll
- 16:25Speaker 2: be able to buy more later. The problem is in
- 16:28Speaker 2: the current term that means that people aren't out buying stuff.
- 16:32Speaker 2: And if you're making say pre industrial televisions, which were
- 16:37Speaker 2: just boxes that you know, like somebody with a puppet
- 16:40Speaker 2: could get in and make a little show, but they
- 16:43Speaker 2: call them TVs back then, if you're making those and
- 16:46Speaker 2: people are not spending money on the pre industrial televisions,
- 16:50Speaker 2: your profits are going to start to go down, you
- 16:53Speaker 2: have less reason to produce more and more of those,
- 16:56Speaker 2: which means you need less workers, which means you start
- 16:59Speaker 2: laying people off, which means those workers have less wages
- 17:02Speaker 2: to spend money on. And the whole thing becomes this
- 17:05Speaker 2: self feeding cycle that just gets worse and worse and worse.
- 17:09Speaker 2: And we call them recessions, and when they're really bad,
- 17:11Speaker 2: we call them depressions. And that happened from the government
- 17:15Speaker 2: soaking up all of those bills after the Civil War,
- 17:18Speaker 2: and it caused what's called the Long Depression from eighteen
- 17:21Speaker 2: seventy three to eighteen seventy nine.
- 17:24Speaker 1: Yeah, and some say it almost went to like nineteen hundred,
- 17:28Speaker 1: like eighteen ninety seven before we were fully out of that.
- 17:31Speaker 1: And it was a real, like I think it was
- 17:33Speaker 1: a real wake up call early on to the United
- 17:35Speaker 1: States of like, hey, you can't There's got to be
- 17:40Speaker 1: a better way than just printing a bunch of money
- 17:42Speaker 1: when you think you need it, like kind of artificially
- 17:44Speaker 1: manipulating the value of the dollar like that is only
- 17:48Speaker 1: going to lead to trouble. So, boy, that's a great
- 17:51Speaker 1: first act, I think I think so too. Back in
- 17:55Speaker 1: form after vacation yeah.
- 17:58Speaker 2: Yeah, I feel pretty good.
- 18:00Speaker 1: Okay, you're feeling good.
- 18:01Speaker 2: Yeah, and you're doing great. You're looking sharp.
- 18:03Speaker 1: Man, I appreciate it. So let's take a break. We'll
- 18:06Speaker 1: come back and we'll talk about the Golden Age. We
- 18:08Speaker 1: love our golden ages. The golden age of the gold
- 18:10Speaker 1: standard right after.
- 18:11Speaker 2: This, so the United States just basically just stepping in
- 18:44Speaker 2: it and then stepping out of it and stepping in
- 18:46Speaker 2: another pile of it. Yeah, in the eighteen seventies, this is.
- 18:50Speaker 1: Not talking about gold either, right, No, no.
- 18:52Speaker 2: No, I couldn't come up with something that wasn't just
- 18:57Speaker 2: absolutely gross. So yeah, I'll keep moving on. But this
- 19:00Speaker 2: was the time when the world was globalizing for kind
- 19:03Speaker 2: of the first time, and so other countries are taking
- 19:05Speaker 2: note of this and they're like, yeah, this gold standard
- 19:08Speaker 2: might be a good thing. And like you said, it
- 19:11Speaker 2: kicked off a golden age from eighteen seventy one to
- 19:14Speaker 2: basically through war about to World War One. It was
- 19:18Speaker 2: a golden age for gold. There's no other way to
- 19:22Speaker 2: put it. I didn't want to say that, but there's
- 19:23Speaker 2: no other way to put it.
- 19:25Speaker 1: Yeah, It's like what forty something years where everyone was
- 19:29Speaker 1: sort of agreeing that the gold standard was the place
- 19:32Speaker 1: to be because there was debate like after the mess,
- 19:36Speaker 1: you know, post Civil War, of like what we're even
- 19:39Speaker 1: allowed to do as a country, and like can the
- 19:41Speaker 1: government even print money? Like that? The Supreme Court came
- 19:45Speaker 1: along in eighteen seventy one. They said, yes, they can
- 19:48Speaker 1: print money. Maybe they need to, you know, we need
- 19:51Speaker 1: to rethink our process, but the government printing money is okay.
- 19:57Speaker 2: Yeah, it's kind of it's legal. Yeah. Yeah, So that
- 20:00Speaker 2: I was settled, but that still didn't mean like that
- 20:02Speaker 2: the government should do that. There was still this question
- 20:05Speaker 2: should we keep going this way as supported by the
- 20:08Speaker 2: Greenback Party, who were like, yes, this actually makes a
- 20:11Speaker 2: lot of sense. Or there are other groups like the
- 20:13Speaker 2: silver movement, the gold bugs were out there who were like, no,
- 20:16Speaker 2: we need a commodity backed currency, right. Apparently the Wizard
- 20:22Speaker 2: of Oz and I'm sure we've mentioned this before, but
- 20:24Speaker 2: it was supposed to be an allegory for this debate
- 20:27Speaker 2: over whether to go with the Greenbacks and World City,
- 20:32Speaker 2: go with the gold standard, the yellow brick road, or
- 20:38Speaker 2: to go with the Ruby standard. Which were the slippers.
- 20:44Speaker 1: Right or the were wheat like you suggested that would
- 20:46Speaker 1: be the scarecrow exactly.
- 20:50Speaker 2: Yeah, So all of those scarecrow rubies, gold, the greenbacks,
- 20:57Speaker 2: all of those were part of this national bait. And
- 21:00Speaker 2: finally it was settled in nineteen hundred when William McKinley
- 21:03Speaker 2: was made president. He said, it's gold. We're just going
- 21:07Speaker 2: with gold. And even more than that, you cannot print
- 21:11Speaker 2: a dollar beyond the amount of gold. We have to
- 21:14Speaker 2: back it up.
- 21:16Speaker 1: Yeah, that was that was key to that whole declaration.
- 21:19Speaker 1: He was a pro gold candidate, pro gold standard, and
- 21:23Speaker 1: like you said, in nineteen hundred twenty one, he was like,
- 21:26Speaker 1: we got to have some real teeth behind this. I
- 21:29Speaker 1: can't just say it as president and make it so.
- 21:31Speaker 1: So they passed the Gold Standard Act of nineteen hundred,
- 21:35Speaker 1: and that had some language in there that said exactly
- 21:38Speaker 1: that is, hey, that circulation, it's got to be tied
- 21:42Speaker 1: to gold. We can't print one dollar more than we
- 21:44Speaker 1: have in equal amounts of gold. And that was it.
- 21:49Speaker 1: You know, that was the classic gold standard period. It
- 21:52Speaker 1: meant that nations were trading with one another on equal
- 21:56Speaker 1: ground and it was dependent on sending like physical gold
- 22:00Speaker 1: one another. If you were producing more and exporting more,
- 22:05Speaker 1: then you had a lot of gold, you know, stockpiled
- 22:07Speaker 1: in your country. If you had a trade deficit, you
- 22:10Speaker 1: had a lot less gold, and it was everyone kind
- 22:12Speaker 1: of knew what that meant, and it worked for a
- 22:15Speaker 1: long time.
- 22:16Speaker 2: It did work. I mean, there were dozens of nations
- 22:18Speaker 2: all on the gold standard at the same time, so
- 22:20Speaker 2: you knew how much you were going to get paid
- 22:23Speaker 2: for your shipmen of pre industrial televisions overseas, right, because
- 22:29Speaker 2: there were bonkers for them in Portugal. But the reason
- 22:34Speaker 2: why you knew is because there was such stability among
- 22:37Speaker 2: your currency and international currency pegged to gold, that when
- 22:44Speaker 2: you ship that shipment out, by the time it arrived
- 22:47Speaker 2: it was the same price. Yes, with fiat currency, the
- 22:51Speaker 2: price of stuff can fluctuate so much over a day
- 22:54Speaker 2: or a week that when you sent a shipment out,
- 22:57Speaker 2: if you hadn't already settled the contract, which you proba
- 23:00Speaker 2: probably did, but by the time it arrived, you might
- 23:02Speaker 2: be making way less than you were going to when
- 23:05Speaker 2: you shipped it out. That's not really what happened during
- 23:08Speaker 2: the classic Golden age of the gold standard. It was
- 23:11Speaker 2: all much more stable than that.
- 23:13Speaker 1: That's right. But like you said, we pegged the end
- 23:16Speaker 1: of that to basically World War One, because, as you
- 23:19Speaker 1: mentioned earlier, wars are really expensive. They're going to spike
- 23:22Speaker 1: your national debt if you get involved in one. And
- 23:26Speaker 1: in Europe and World War One, they were like, this
- 23:28Speaker 1: war's really really expensive, and our supply of gold is
- 23:32Speaker 1: being constrained, so we have to we have to leave it.
- 23:37Speaker 1: So the international gold standard dissolved basically mostly worldwide except
- 23:43Speaker 1: for the US and UK. We stayed on that gold standard.
- 23:46Speaker 1: And because of that, for a while, the British pound
- 23:50Speaker 1: and the US dollar were basically the global reserve currencies
- 23:55Speaker 1: because you know, they had gold to back them, so
- 23:57Speaker 1: they were the gold standard, the dollar in the pound.
- 24:01Speaker 2: Yeah, because it's not I mean, it's not figurative when
- 24:04Speaker 2: you're saying like you had to use your gold to
- 24:06Speaker 2: buy back your currency if you were in a trade deficit, right,
- 24:10Speaker 2: you actually had to ship gold to the country you
- 24:13Speaker 2: were buying your dollars or your pounds back from.
- 24:15Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 24:16Speaker 2: So with the US and the UK having currencies pegged
- 24:20Speaker 2: to gold and then be being the global reserve currency,
- 24:23Speaker 2: you could just ship currency overseas, which is so much
- 24:26Speaker 2: easier than shipping gold, right, So that was each lighter,
- 24:30Speaker 2: it is super light. So the US and England both
- 24:33Speaker 2: ended up with like the vast majority of the world's gold,
- 24:37Speaker 2: because you know, you could take a dollar, you could
- 24:40Speaker 2: take a pound to the US of the UK and
- 24:42Speaker 2: say give me some gold for this, and those those notes,
- 24:45Speaker 2: those the paper dollars were good as gold essentially, which
- 24:49Speaker 2: is I'm pretty sure where that came from.
- 24:52Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that's funny. The gold standard and good
- 24:55Speaker 1: as gold, like a lot of these terms like literally
- 24:57Speaker 1: come from these weird monetary policies.
- 24:59Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, William McKinley.
- 25:03Speaker 1: Yeah, old gold back. So things were going along okay
- 25:10Speaker 1: after that, and then the nineteen twenty nine stock market
- 25:14Speaker 1: crash came and banks started failing all over the world
- 25:19Speaker 1: and everyone you know those you know, when stuff like
- 25:21Speaker 1: this happens, there's it seems like it used to happen more,
- 25:25Speaker 1: but there can be a real panic, and people start
- 25:27Speaker 1: converting their dollars and their pounds to gold because they
- 25:30Speaker 1: were like, we know, gold is worth something I don't
- 25:33Speaker 1: want to have like this this paper currency on hand.
- 25:36Speaker 1: That's like clearly losing value very quickly.
- 25:39Speaker 2: Right, if I weigh a day, I might get less
- 25:41Speaker 2: gold than I will if I cash my bank account
- 25:44Speaker 2: into today. And remember earlier, I said, like, how this
- 25:49Speaker 2: is all. It all kind of self regulates, it all
- 25:51Speaker 2: moves naturally from one place to another. But still humans
- 25:55Speaker 2: can screw things up just because we're human. This is
- 25:57Speaker 2: how we screwed it up. There were a banking can
- 26:00Speaker 2: after banking panics, where people just made runs on banks
- 26:03Speaker 2: and said give me all my money and the bank
- 26:05Speaker 2: would be like, we don't have it. They would shell
- 26:07Speaker 2: out all their money and end up closing. And there
- 26:09Speaker 2: were like ten thousand bank closures in the early nineteen
- 26:13Speaker 2: thirties in the United States alone between nineteen thirty and
- 26:16Speaker 2: nineteen thirty two because people would run in and like
- 26:20Speaker 2: just take all their money out, and so banks were failing.
- 26:23Speaker 2: This was before the FDIIC. So if you had a
- 26:25Speaker 2: bunch of money and the bank like closed forever before
- 26:30Speaker 2: you could cash it in, you were broke. Like that
- 26:32Speaker 2: money was worthless, right, And that caused even more people
- 26:37Speaker 2: to make runs on banks, which created this huge, terrible
- 26:41Speaker 2: ripple effect. And so the UK and the US were
- 26:43Speaker 2: both faced with this challenge like what do you do.
- 26:46Speaker 2: Do you stay on the gold standard or do you
- 26:48Speaker 2: go off the gold standard? And the UK was.
- 26:51Speaker 1: Up first, Yeah, they abandoned the gold standard in nineteen
- 26:55Speaker 1: thirty one. Apparently there's a story that their central banker
- 27:00Speaker 1: named Monte Hugh Norman at the time, suffered a nervous
- 27:03Speaker 1: breakdown because he was you know, it's kind of up
- 27:06Speaker 1: to him to make that final call. And can you
- 27:09Speaker 1: imagine the pressure to be in charge of like a
- 27:13Speaker 1: kind of a worldwide economy, almost right, and how important
- 27:16Speaker 1: these decisions are.
- 27:18Speaker 2: So ask your question, no, no, I cannot imagine that
- 27:22Speaker 2: kind of.
- 27:23Speaker 1: Pressure it either. So the pounds value, of course, immediately
- 27:26Speaker 1: drops even further than it already was. So people that
- 27:30Speaker 1: were had lost faith in the paper money were saying, like,
- 27:33Speaker 1: see there, like good thing. We traded in our pounds
- 27:37Speaker 1: for gold and America and of course everywhere around the
- 27:40Speaker 1: world is seeing this happen, so everyone else is losing confidence.
- 27:43Speaker 1: And this is when you know, further runs on banks happened.
- 27:47Speaker 1: And we had a president, a lame duck named Herbert Hoover,
- 27:50Speaker 1: who was leaving office in nineteen thirty three and told
- 27:53Speaker 1: incoming FDR he was like, hey, you know, we're in
- 27:57Speaker 1: real trouble here. The reason we have gold is because
- 28:00Speaker 1: can't trust governments. And FDR was like you know what,
- 28:04Speaker 1: I think I've got this. So he went in office
- 28:07Speaker 1: and he said, I'm going to I'm going to fix
- 28:10Speaker 1: this crisis for good.
- 28:12Speaker 2: One of Yeah, one of the first things he did was,
- 28:14Speaker 2: I think the day after he was inaugurated, he declared
- 28:17Speaker 2: a four day banking holiday, so all the banks closed
- 28:21Speaker 2: right for four days so there couldn't be any runs
- 28:24Speaker 2: on banks. And I was watching this. There's this dude
- 28:28Speaker 2: who's a YouTuber named the Casual Historian, and he bills
- 28:33Speaker 2: himself as a Conservatorian, which I take to be in
- 28:38Speaker 2: a combination of a conservative and a vegetarian right probably,
- 28:43Speaker 2: But he was explaining that this actually didn't do much
- 28:46Speaker 2: in real terms, like the banks that were about to
- 28:49Speaker 2: fail before the banking holiday still failed afterwards. But as
- 28:52Speaker 2: far as the public was concerned, it was a huge
- 28:55Speaker 2: signal for essentially the first time that the government was
- 28:58Speaker 2: going to step in. Because there's one thing that you
- 29:01Speaker 2: cannot argue against with the gold standard is because you're constrained,
- 29:06Speaker 2: you cannot print more money than you have gold to
- 29:09Speaker 2: back it. There is nothing you can do in an
- 29:12Speaker 2: economic crisis except sit there and watch it happen. You
- 29:16Speaker 2: can't do anything there's no leverage for you to pull
- 29:18Speaker 2: the pull the country out of it. The only way
- 29:21Speaker 2: that you can pull your country out of a recession
- 29:24Speaker 2: or a depression is by printing more money and actually
- 29:28Speaker 2: devaluing the money that people are hoarding. So it's you're
- 29:33Speaker 2: basically saying, you got all this money that you're stashed
- 29:36Speaker 2: away because it's so valuable. Well, guess what, It's not
- 29:38Speaker 2: so valuable anymore, so you might as well get out
- 29:40Speaker 2: there and spend it.
- 29:42Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure. And you know, we were in big
- 29:45Speaker 1: trouble obviously in the nineteen thirties, you know, you mentioned
- 29:47Speaker 1: earlier sort of that cycle that happens when companies are
- 29:52Speaker 1: producing less and fewer customers and not hiring people or
- 29:57Speaker 1: firing people. And in nineteen thirty three, the unemployment of
- 30:00Speaker 1: the United States was twenty five percent.
- 30:02Speaker 2: That's so crazy.
- 30:04Speaker 1: I know, it's staggering. And I think worldwide, almost one
- 30:07Speaker 1: in three people were out of work in nineteen thirty two,
- 30:09Speaker 1: So it wasn't just the United States like that many
- 30:12Speaker 1: people being out at work at once, And that's the
- 30:15Speaker 1: thing that I always you know, thankfully it hasn't happened yet,
- 30:19Speaker 1: but with the AI conversations and people. I've had conversations
- 30:22Speaker 1: with people in my sphere.
- 30:25Speaker 2: Are you sure? They were people and not box.
- 30:28Speaker 1: They think it's such a great thing. And I was like,
- 30:29Speaker 1: you know, I'm not even arguing the merits of arts
- 30:32Speaker 1: or not and things like that, But I said, I
- 30:34Speaker 1: just worry about what would happen if like twenty percent
- 30:37Speaker 1: of the workforce was laid off in the span of
- 30:39Speaker 1: like a year or so because of AI. It's like,
- 30:41Speaker 1: that's what I worry about. And we haven't seen that yet, thankfully,
- 30:45Speaker 1: but I guess we'll see.
- 30:46Speaker 2: Yeah, you, me and I were talking about the same thing,
- 30:49Speaker 2: and she brought up a really great question, which is
- 30:51Speaker 2: like one of the things that a lot of the
- 30:53Speaker 2: AI proponents say is like, eventually you were going to
- 30:56Speaker 2: create this utopia where like no one has to work
- 30:58Speaker 2: and everybody's right. And her question is like, if that's
- 31:02Speaker 2: your goal, why don't we take some of that wealth
- 31:04Speaker 2: and just start now before I act? Right, do we
- 31:07Speaker 2: have to wait for AI to do that? We can
- 31:09Speaker 2: do it now? I thought, yes, rather clever. I stood
- 31:12Speaker 2: up and clapped right.
- 31:15Speaker 1: She's like, that's weird. Here, we're in our living room.
- 31:17Speaker 1: She left the room, all right, So things are bad.
- 31:22Speaker 1: They had that banking holiday. Congress passes what's called the
- 31:27Speaker 1: Emergency Banking Act at the time, which basically, like you said,
- 31:32Speaker 1: allowed them to, in an emergency issue, just start printing money. Basically,
- 31:36Speaker 1: that's not back to the gold standard, but we had
- 31:39Speaker 1: that gold standard because the gold Standard Act of nineteen hundred,
- 31:42Speaker 1: so they had to create this Banking Act, I guess
- 31:46Speaker 1: to work around that.
- 31:47Speaker 2: Right, Yeah, They basically said, Okay, this is just emergency measures,
- 31:51Speaker 2: and we're just printing this money to give to banks
- 31:54Speaker 2: to keep them from going under. So the government is
- 31:57Speaker 2: signaling all over the place, we're stepping in. We're going
- 32:00Speaker 2: to make sure that this that like, we're going to
- 32:04Speaker 2: do something about this for the first time. I think
- 32:07Speaker 2: that was my point before I got off on the
- 32:09Speaker 2: tangent for a little while a minute ago. But the
- 32:12Speaker 2: government is signaling all over the place that they're going
- 32:14Speaker 2: to back up banks so you don't have to run
- 32:16Speaker 2: and get all of your money out and just keep
- 32:18Speaker 2: making this whole thing worse. So that was like a
- 32:22Speaker 2: first step. But the problem is is there was still
- 32:25Speaker 2: plenty of gold out there that people were hoarding. They
- 32:27Speaker 2: were like, yeah, that's great, thanks a lot, but I'm
- 32:29Speaker 2: not taking this goal back to the bank right now
- 32:31Speaker 2: because I don't have any confidence in the banking system.
- 32:35Speaker 2: So the government figured out how to deal with this.
- 32:38Speaker 2: They said, well, you know what, we will put you
- 32:41Speaker 2: in jail for ten years and find you the modern
- 32:45Speaker 2: equivalent of two hundred and fifty thousand dollars. If you
- 32:48Speaker 2: don't give us your gold, we'll give you the equal
- 32:51Speaker 2: amount of paper dollars back, but you can't legally own
- 32:56Speaker 2: gold anymore.
- 32:58Speaker 1: Yeah, and that was it. That was I mean, I
- 33:00Speaker 1: think it was about a month after they sort of
- 33:04Speaker 1: restored that public confidence with the Emergency Banking Act, like
- 33:07Speaker 1: FDR was moving very quickly and said all right, we're
- 33:11Speaker 1: suspending the gold standard officially. And then the next year
- 33:15Speaker 1: was that Gold Reserve Act of nineteen thirty four that
- 33:17Speaker 1: you were talking about, where they were like, yeah, you can't.
- 33:19Speaker 1: I mean, you can keep your rings and if you
- 33:21Speaker 1: got like collectible coins and stuff, we're not coming after those. Yeah,
- 33:24Speaker 1: but you can't have bars of gold and a safe
- 33:27Speaker 1: in your house anymore.
- 33:28Speaker 2: Yeah. And Jimmy the Greek was like, whow right close.
- 33:33Speaker 2: So yeah, so now you had to have you had
- 33:37Speaker 2: to use paper currency, so this was the shift in
- 33:40Speaker 2: the United States, and this had already happened in other countries,
- 33:43Speaker 2: like you said, especially in Europe after World War One,
- 33:47Speaker 2: and the gold standard was dead. And one of the
- 33:52Speaker 2: things that demonstrated the death of the gold standard was
- 33:56Speaker 2: economists generally today say that the US being able to
- 33:59Speaker 2: print money and basically kickstar inflation to pull us out
- 34:05Speaker 2: of the deflationary spiral aka the depression. That's basically ninety
- 34:11Speaker 2: percent of the reason that the US got out of
- 34:13Speaker 2: the Great Depression. It was leaving the gold standard being
- 34:16Speaker 2: able to print money. Because if you can just print
- 34:19Speaker 2: money and take money off the market and put more
- 34:21Speaker 2: money on the market when you need it, you can
- 34:24Speaker 2: adjust the economy enough to get it out of crises
- 34:28Speaker 2: one way or the other. And that that's actually the
- 34:32Speaker 2: better way of doing it. And so the gold standard
- 34:35Speaker 2: never came back again.
- 34:37Speaker 1: That's right. And so that could be the end of
- 34:39Speaker 1: our show, but that would be weird because we haven't
- 34:42Speaker 1: had our second ad break yet. So we're gonna do that,
- 34:46Speaker 1: and we're going to come back and just say see
- 34:48Speaker 1: you later and read a listener mail, right, because the
- 34:50Speaker 1: gold standard's gone forever, gone forever, all right, we'll be
- 34:53Speaker 1: right back. Okay, we're back here for Act three, which
- 35:25Speaker 1: means this time for listener mail. Because a gold standard
- 35:27Speaker 1: is dead.
- 35:28Speaker 2: This is where the golden gun goes off.
- 35:30Speaker 1: That's right, because no, the gold standard is not dead.
- 35:34Speaker 1: It actually had another sort of brief not even stint,
- 35:38Speaker 1: like it kind of had a maybe not a Golden Age,
- 35:40Speaker 1: but maybe a heyday when the Bretton Woods Agreement came around,
- 35:45Speaker 1: which was a U in a United Nations agreement that
- 35:48Speaker 1: came around in nineteen forty four in Brettonwood's New Hampshire
- 35:52Speaker 1: that had a whole brand new system that was really
- 35:56Speaker 1: kind of like that original gold standard, with forty four
- 35:59Speaker 1: country signed on along with the US that said, all right,
- 36:03Speaker 1: the US dollar now is pegged to gold at thirty
- 36:06Speaker 1: five dollars an ounce, and everybody else that's signing on
- 36:10Speaker 1: is tying their currency to our dollar.
- 36:13Speaker 2: Right, so there's a fixed rate, like there's fifteen pesos
- 36:17Speaker 2: for one dollar and one dollar equals this much gold.
- 36:20Speaker 2: So it's essentially the world going back on a gold standard.
- 36:24Speaker 2: They just figured out a good way around it to
- 36:27Speaker 2: make it much easier, right. Yeah, and again, just like
- 36:31Speaker 2: the first time, if everybody's playing by the rules. Then
- 36:34Speaker 2: this keeps you from monkeying with interest rates to make
- 36:36Speaker 2: your exports more attractive. It prevents trade wars, it does
- 36:40Speaker 2: all sorts of calm, peaceful stuff. But the problem is
- 36:45Speaker 2: there's just and this is the same problem today. There
- 36:48Speaker 2: just wasn't enough gold in the world to cover the
- 36:51Speaker 2: increasing expense of modern life.
- 36:55Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure. And they had put things in place
- 36:57Speaker 1: because you know, they were a little smarter than time around.
- 37:00Speaker 1: They were like, all right, we'll create the International Monetary Fund,
- 37:03Speaker 1: We'll create the World Bank. So that means that there's
- 37:06Speaker 1: their official worldwide bodies kind of coordinating this monetary policy
- 37:11Speaker 1: between all the countries to make sure that no one's
- 37:13Speaker 1: doing hinky stuff. And it took a long time. This
- 37:16Speaker 1: wasn't like, you know, they reached this agreement in nineteen
- 37:18Speaker 1: forty four and by nineteen forty five it was all
- 37:21Speaker 1: set in stone. I think it didn't actually take effective
- 37:24Speaker 1: fourteen years later in nineteen fifty eight. By the nineteen sixties,
- 37:28Speaker 1: like shortly thereafter, the US was was spending like a
- 37:33Speaker 1: like a drunk ten year old military spending was in
- 37:37Speaker 1: foreign aid. We're all just like ramping up spending on imports,
- 37:42Speaker 1: foreign investment. There are a lot of dollars from the
- 37:45Speaker 1: United States and worldwide circulation. And even though we held
- 37:48Speaker 1: a lot of the world's gold reserves, like seventy five
- 37:51Speaker 1: percent at the time, like you said, we still didn't
- 37:53Speaker 1: have enough gold to cover all that kind of money.
- 37:55Speaker 2: No, and this is the I mean, this is what
- 37:58Speaker 2: keeps governments honest. There is a possibility of a worst
- 38:01Speaker 2: case scenario where all of the people holding those dollars
- 38:04Speaker 2: can all come back at once and say, hey, we
- 38:07Speaker 2: want this, we want our goal. We're turning in our currency,
- 38:11Speaker 2: give us our gold. And you know it's bad enough
- 38:13Speaker 2: when you're talking about citizens making runs on banks. If
- 38:17Speaker 2: you're talking about entire foreign governments bringing all of their
- 38:21Speaker 2: cash reserves to you and saying we want gold, you
- 38:24Speaker 2: got a really big problem. And finally, in nineteen seventy one,
- 38:28Speaker 2: Nixon admitted, like, we don't have enough gold to cover
- 38:31Speaker 2: the currency out there. Sorry, guys, you can't turn that
- 38:35Speaker 2: in for gold anymore. Sorry, and just kind of backed
- 38:39Speaker 2: out of the room.
- 38:40Speaker 1: Yeah, he backed out of the room. And it was
- 38:44Speaker 1: it was a big deal because this isn't the kind
- 38:47Speaker 1: of thing that we could we had pegged our dollar
- 38:50Speaker 1: to like worldwide value, so we couldn't just say that
- 38:53Speaker 1: by ourselves. In nineteen seventy three, the Monetary Fund they
- 38:59Speaker 1: went off the gold standard. They basically kind of came
- 39:02Speaker 1: along for the ride, yeah, and said, all right, everybody
- 39:05Speaker 1: should kind of go to this fiat currency system, and
- 39:08Speaker 1: like that was the true real end of the gold standard,
- 39:11Speaker 1: and like there's this that ship is so far out
- 39:14Speaker 1: of the harbor now, there's no way they could go back.
- 39:16Speaker 2: To it now. And it eventually kind of became a
- 39:19Speaker 2: fringe right wing position for some reason. They just kind
- 39:24Speaker 2: of adopted it. But that doesn't mean all of the
- 39:26Speaker 2: right wing agrees with it. In fact, Milton Friedman, who's
- 39:29Speaker 2: a right wing conservative economist hero, he was even like,
- 39:34Speaker 2: that's a terrible idea to go back on it. He
- 39:37Speaker 2: wrote a paper, and I think nineteen ninety or co
- 39:39Speaker 2: wrote one that basically demonstrated just how bad of an
- 39:42Speaker 2: idea it would be. But there's still plenty of people
- 39:45Speaker 2: who are like, no, gold is where I want to
- 39:48Speaker 2: put my faith in. One of the reasons why it's
- 39:52Speaker 2: still around is because people believe that if there's a
- 39:57Speaker 2: social collapse right afterward, people will still accept gold. They
- 40:02Speaker 2: won't accept dollars or pounds or euros, but they'll take
- 40:06Speaker 2: gold in return. So that's one reason a lot of
- 40:09Speaker 2: people still have faith in goals and investment. There's other
- 40:12Speaker 2: people who are like, gold's always going to become more
- 40:14Speaker 2: and more valuable because there's a finite amount of it, right,
- 40:18Speaker 2: And that actually is the same thing for bitcoin. There's
- 40:24Speaker 2: a finite amount of bitcoins, which means that over time
- 40:27Speaker 2: it's going to become more and more valuable. It's going
- 40:30Speaker 2: to buy more and more stuff, which makes it a
- 40:32Speaker 2: deflationary currency, which actually makes it dangerous because that means
- 40:36Speaker 2: people are more likely to buy in HORD bitcoins or
- 40:39Speaker 2: buy in HORD gold because eventually it's going to become
- 40:43Speaker 2: more valuable, and that's how you go into a recession.
- 40:46Speaker 1: Yeah. I've never I'm just you know, me and economics
- 40:50Speaker 1: and money. I'm just a big dummy with all that.
- 40:53Speaker 1: So cryptocurrency is something that even though we've podcasted on it,
- 40:57Speaker 1: I just it's not like I'm saying like I don't
- 40:59Speaker 1: try cryptocurrency. I just I don't understand it and I
- 41:02Speaker 1: have no interest in understanding it.
- 41:04Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, although it does seem to have gained a
- 41:07Speaker 2: lot of legitimacy, especially Yeah coin sure, but I mean
- 41:11Speaker 2: it's a wild ride, like it was at like sixteen
- 41:15Speaker 2: thousand earlier this year, early like last year, and now
- 41:18Speaker 2: it's at like sixty one, and sixty one is down
- 41:21Speaker 2: from ninety something a month or two ago. Like maybe
- 41:25Speaker 2: it's a long term thing, but that's not something you
- 41:27Speaker 2: want to I mean, you would have to be so
- 41:29Speaker 2: insane to trade that stuff on a daily basis.
- 41:33Speaker 1: I don't have the stomach for I'm just that's not
- 41:35Speaker 1: who I am either. You know, I want to I
- 41:37Speaker 1: want to sit around and you and I want to
- 41:39Speaker 1: sit around listen to elevator music, not track the currency cryptocurrency.
- 41:44Speaker 2: No, but for some people that is quite thrilling.
- 41:47Speaker 1: Oh I bet it is. Have fun with that if
- 41:49Speaker 1: that's your thing for Larry David. Right, So, like we said,
- 41:55Speaker 1: I think an act one that you know, there are
- 41:57Speaker 1: still people that argue for the gold standard and people
- 41:59Speaker 1: that aregue against it, even though that ship is sailed,
- 42:02Speaker 1: and there are you know, some pretty good arguments each way.
- 42:05Speaker 1: If you're for the gold Standard, you know you can say,
- 42:10Speaker 1: like hey, that's going to definitely put a lid on
- 42:14Speaker 1: this crazy government spending that we have had going on,
- 42:17Speaker 1: and it'll stabilize the money supply. We've seen it do
- 42:20Speaker 1: that literally, so you know, that's a pretty decent like
- 42:25Speaker 1: they got a lot of data to back those claims
- 42:27Speaker 1: up for sure.
- 42:28Speaker 2: Yeah, one of them is it's just basically throwing shade
- 42:32Speaker 2: at how out of control government spending gets when the
- 42:35Speaker 2: government is allowed to literally just print money when it
- 42:38Speaker 2: wants to. One of those things that you'll see a
- 42:42Speaker 2: lot is that the purchasing power of the dollar has
- 42:46Speaker 2: declined by more than eighty five percent since the US
- 42:50Speaker 2: left the gold standard in nineteen seventy one. And the
- 42:53Speaker 2: reason why is because the government just keeps printing money
- 42:56Speaker 2: anytime it likes, which causes inflation. Well, that's purposeful, like
- 43:01Speaker 2: a fiat currency is an inflationary currency as opposed to
- 43:05Speaker 2: a deflationary currency like gold. They want inflation to happen
- 43:09Speaker 2: because inflation you can keep on top of. It's deflation
- 43:12Speaker 2: that's really hard to come out of. So yeah, it's
- 43:15Speaker 2: not really a problem if you can buy less with
- 43:19Speaker 2: a dollar than you did before because you're adjusting for inflation.
- 43:23Speaker 2: It's not a problem as long as your wages are
- 43:25Speaker 2: keeping up with it. The problem is is wages haven't
- 43:28Speaker 2: kept up with it, and so people are being paid
- 43:30Speaker 2: the same amount as before and are able to buy
- 43:32Speaker 2: less because they have less money. Even though the cost
- 43:35Speaker 2: of living has increased their wages are wages haven't gone
- 43:39Speaker 2: up commensurate to it.
- 43:41Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure. And if you want to talk about
- 43:42Speaker 1: like you know, we're talking about printing money and a
- 43:44Speaker 1: spike in the cash supply, here's a pretty staggering statistic.
- 43:49Speaker 1: The supply of money in nineteen seventy, this is what
- 43:53Speaker 1: they call the M two money supply, which is all
- 43:55Speaker 1: the cash, all the money and checking accounts, all the
- 43:58Speaker 1: travelers checks, was about six hundred billion dollars in nineteen seventy,
- 44:02Speaker 1: the year before I was born. In August of last year,
- 44:07Speaker 1: it was twenty two trillion dollars, which is an increase
- 44:12Speaker 1: of three thousand, five hundred and sixty six percent over
- 44:16Speaker 1: whatever fifty four years, and twenty percent of that was
- 44:21Speaker 1: created in twenty twenty.
- 44:23Speaker 2: Yeah, just that year.
- 44:25Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 44:26Speaker 2: Yeah, So there's this, I mean, there's clear evidence that
- 44:30Speaker 2: like the government will just print money as much as
- 44:32Speaker 2: it can whenever it wants to. Part of the problem
- 44:35Speaker 2: is is that also increases the national debt because for
- 44:39Speaker 2: money out there, if you can print money, make new money,
- 44:41Speaker 2: you can spend that new money if you're the organization
- 44:45Speaker 2: that is creating the money. So the national debt increased
- 44:48Speaker 2: tremendously too over that same time period from nineteen seventy
- 44:52Speaker 2: to twenty twenty five.
- 44:55Speaker 1: Yeah, it could increase nine thousand percent. It was three
- 44:59Speaker 1: hund undred ninety eight billion back then and now it
- 45:02Speaker 1: is over thirty six trillion dollars, and it's a number
- 45:06Speaker 1: that is just hard to even comprehend. That seemingly nobody,
- 45:11Speaker 1: well not nobody, but the right people aren't concerned enough.
- 45:14Speaker 2: About So gold bugs are like, see, if you let
- 45:17Speaker 2: the government print money, they're going to print money and
- 45:19Speaker 2: they're going to spend more money. The gold standard keeps
- 45:22Speaker 2: them from being able to do that.
- 45:24Speaker 1: And of story, that's right. But there are anti goldbugs.
- 45:29Speaker 1: There are people who prefer fiat currency and the ability
- 45:31Speaker 1: for the government to step in and throw levers and
- 45:34Speaker 1: control monetary policy through debate and decision making. And that's
- 45:41Speaker 1: one of the big arguments. It's like, hey, we need
- 45:43Speaker 1: to be able to make these decisions sort of on
- 45:47Speaker 1: the fly and move quickly to save ourselves in times
- 45:51Speaker 1: of doubt and in times of economic stress, and they
- 45:54Speaker 1: can also combat a lot of those a lot of
- 45:56Speaker 1: that data too. They can also say, well, yeah, but
- 45:59Speaker 1: you really should look at these numbers instead.
- 46:02Speaker 2: Yeah. So goldbugs always say that that there's stability in
- 46:08Speaker 2: gold currency, right, But the problem is is that if
- 46:11Speaker 2: you look at the gold markets, they fluctuate tremendously, so
- 46:15Speaker 2: that's actually kind of out the window. Another one, this
- 46:18Speaker 2: one I couldn't find an answer to that. I can't
- 46:20Speaker 2: wrap my head around those. And the total value of
- 46:24Speaker 2: all the gold in the world is thirty six trillion dollars,
- 46:28Speaker 2: which is eye popping, but.
- 46:29Speaker 1: That's the debt. But yeah, exactly ironically.
- 46:33Speaker 2: But if you took the entire global economy and valued that,
- 46:37Speaker 2: that's more like one hundred and twenty six trillion dollars.
- 46:41Speaker 2: So if the world went on a gold standard again,
- 46:44Speaker 2: how would you shrink one hundred and twenty six trillion
- 46:47Speaker 2: dollars into thirty six trillion? That right there, that's what
- 46:50Speaker 2: we've been saying. The ship has left the harbor, that
- 46:52Speaker 2: train has left the station. It's just there's again, there's
- 46:56Speaker 2: not enough gold to cover the value of everything in
- 46:58Speaker 2: the world.
- 47:00Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure. Another big sort of argument that people
- 47:04Speaker 1: against the gold standard point too, is like, hey, look
- 47:06Speaker 1: at our stock market. People aren't putting their money in
- 47:09Speaker 1: their mattress anymore and making runs on banks. They're shifting
- 47:12Speaker 1: that money. They're cash dollars into the stock market, and
- 47:16Speaker 1: those dollars have grown and grown and grown. I mean,
- 47:19Speaker 1: there are always dips in the stock markets, and even
- 47:23Speaker 1: you know, there have been some very bad days in
- 47:26Speaker 1: a row with the stock market, and you know, the
- 47:30Speaker 1: crash of two thousand and eight and the dot com
- 47:31Speaker 1: bubble and all that stuff always affects the stock market,
- 47:34Speaker 1: but it's proven to be a pretty stable thing over time.
- 47:39Speaker 2: It has. And in fact, if you there's this comparison
- 47:43Speaker 2: I found I can't remember where I found it, but
- 47:45Speaker 2: if you took five thousand dollars in nineteen seventy one
- 47:49Speaker 2: to celebrate the birth of Chuck, Yeah, and you said,
- 47:54Speaker 2: I'm going to go buy five thousand dollars worth of gold,
- 47:56Speaker 2: It's going to be a great present for Chuck. I'm
- 47:58Speaker 2: also going to bring a little I'm a little frank incense.
- 48:01Speaker 2: It is going to get biblical in the year. The
- 48:05Speaker 2: gold actually would have increased about seventy five hundred percent.
- 48:09Speaker 2: And this is gold prices are so all over the place.
- 48:12Speaker 2: This is probably already out of date. But I think
- 48:15Speaker 2: in the end of twenty twenty five, you would have
- 48:19Speaker 2: had three hundred and seventy nine thousand, five hundred dollars
- 48:22Speaker 2: worth of gold from that five thousand dollars worth of
- 48:25Speaker 2: gold you bought in nineteen seventy one. So that makes
- 48:28Speaker 2: it seem like, okay, great, gold's a good investment. What
- 48:31Speaker 2: happens if you invested it in the stock.
- 48:32Speaker 1: Market, Well, if you had had that same five grand
- 48:36Speaker 1: after my birth and put it in the S and
- 48:38Speaker 1: P five hundred, you would have made two hundred and
- 48:41Speaker 1: seventy one thousand, five hundred dollars. So the gold standard
- 48:45Speaker 1: wins in that case. But that is if you were
- 48:48Speaker 1: just taking those dividends, if you're taking the money that
- 48:50Speaker 1: you're making from the stocks and saying like, all right,
- 48:52Speaker 1: that's that's my income or whatever. If you had kept
- 48:55Speaker 1: reinvesting all that from the five grand, it would be
- 48:59Speaker 1: one point one eight five million plus what five hundred bucks. Yeah,
- 49:06Speaker 1: So that's a return of almost twenty four thousand percent
- 49:09Speaker 1: rather than seventy five hundred percent.
- 49:11Speaker 2: Right, And even if you're like, okay, we'll wait a minute,
- 49:13Speaker 2: adjusting for inflation, how much is that? So I looked
- 49:16Speaker 2: it up. I went on our beloved west Egg, and
- 49:19Speaker 2: something that costs five thousand dollars in nineteen seventy one
- 49:22Speaker 2: would cost you forty thousand dollars today. So even after
- 49:27Speaker 2: you bought that five thousand dollars thing, you'd still have
- 49:29Speaker 2: one point one million and change left over. So it
- 49:33Speaker 2: would be much better to invest it in the market.
- 49:36Speaker 2: As volatile as it is, as unpredictable as it is,
- 49:39Speaker 2: as as easy as it is to lose your shirt
- 49:41Speaker 2: over the course of time, the ability to unleash the
- 49:45Speaker 2: stock market that having a fiat currency and being able
- 49:48Speaker 2: to print money creates is a it's a better return
- 49:52Speaker 2: on investment.
- 49:53Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm surprised I got through this one.
- 49:56Speaker 2: You did great.
- 49:58Speaker 1: Well, you did great.
- 49:58Speaker 2: You did great.
- 50:00Speaker 1: Who wrote the original article here? Who is this?
- 50:02Speaker 2: That was Olivia Joint She did great.
- 50:03Speaker 1: Yeah, she did great too. And you did a lot
- 50:06Speaker 1: of great supplemental research. Everyone's doing great, everybody.
- 50:08Speaker 2: It was just great up in here. We should also
- 50:11Speaker 2: say we probably got a lot of stuff frong. We
- 50:13Speaker 2: probably walked past a lot of stuff. This is such
- 50:15Speaker 2: a detailed nuance discussion that people who are like monetary
- 50:20Speaker 2: policy walks this is one of their favorite things to do,
- 50:23Speaker 2: is to point out all of these nitpicky little things
- 50:26Speaker 2: based on mind boggling economics that are really hard to describe.
- 50:30Speaker 2: We just glanced over the surface of this, but I think, yeah,
- 50:34Speaker 2: probably we got more right than you'd think.
- 50:37Speaker 1: Yeah, it's tough to tackle something like this because there
- 50:39Speaker 1: are people that know a gazillion times and more about
- 50:42Speaker 1: this kind of thing than we do.
- 50:43Speaker 2: Yep, and Chuck just said tackle, so he unlocked listener mail.
- 50:49Speaker 1: I'm going to call this this was from our crowd's episode,
- 50:53Speaker 1: and this is a classroom hack, a question hack from
- 50:56Speaker 1: a I think a teacher. Hey, guys, love the episode
- 50:59Speaker 1: about Yeah, I'm a middle school teacher and crowds are
- 51:02Speaker 1: my standard environment. Your comments about being afraid to ask
- 51:05Speaker 1: a question in class really spoke to me because a
- 51:07Speaker 1: big part of my job is navigating the power of
- 51:10Speaker 1: language with crowds in my students. There's a simple teacher
- 51:13Speaker 1: hack that is most effective and easiest, the easiest change
- 51:16Speaker 1: I've ever made to my communication with students and Aaron
- 51:20Speaker 1: from New Brunswick, Canada. I will go ahead and say that,
- 51:22Speaker 1: like anyone speaking in front of a crowd where you
- 51:25Speaker 1: like source questions, I think this is a pretty good
- 51:28Speaker 1: way to go. And here it is. Instead of saying
- 51:31Speaker 1: does anyone have any questions? What I say instead is
- 51:35Speaker 1: what questions do you have? There must be questions. It
- 51:38Speaker 1: really works a completely different response from the students. Guys.
- 51:43Speaker 1: The assumption that questions are expected always prompts at least
- 51:47Speaker 1: one kid to get the courage, which opens up the
- 51:49Speaker 1: gates for everyone else who is too apprehensive. Thanks for
- 51:52Speaker 1: being my first podcast in twenty twelve and for continuing
- 51:55Speaker 1: to bring joy and relaxation to a tire but satisfied teacher.
- 51:58Speaker 1: Peace and love and again that is from Aaron with
- 52:01Speaker 1: an E from New Brunswick, Canada.
- 52:03Speaker 2: Thanks Aaron, Peace and love back to you too, and
- 52:05Speaker 2: thanks for teaching.
- 52:07Speaker 1: It's a good hack.
- 52:08Speaker 2: It's a great hack. Questions who's got them? I know
- 52:11Speaker 2: there's some? Don't lie right, and then just get more
- 52:15Speaker 2: aggressive right huh huh, give me a question?
- 52:19Speaker 1: Yeah that works.
- 52:20Speaker 2: If you want to be like Aaron and send us
- 52:22Speaker 2: a great email and say peace and love that's awesome.
- 52:24Speaker 2: You can send it off again via email to the
- 52:27Speaker 2: email address stuff podcast at iHeartRadio dot com.
- 52:35Speaker 1: Stuff you Should Know is a production of iHeartRadio. For
- 52:38Speaker 1: more podcasts my heart Radio, visit the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts,
- 52:42Speaker 1: or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.