Latest / The President's Daily Brief / November 10th, 2026: American Forces Strike Iran Near Strait of Hormuz & Gangs Rule Over Millions
Transcript
- 0:12It's Tuesday,
- 0:13the 10th of November.
- 0:15Welcome to the President's Daily Brief.
- 0:17I'm Mike Baker.
- 0:18Your eyes and ears on the world stage.
- 0:20All right,
- 0:21let's get briefed.
- 0:23First up,
- 0:23new US military strikes are reported in the Strait of Hormuz,
- 0:27even as President Trump meets with Qatar's Prime Minister
- 0:30in a renewed bid to end the war.
- 0:33I'll have the details
- 0:35later in the show.
- 0:35A new investigation reveals how the criminal gangs and armed insurgents.
- 0:40Have seized control of territory that
- 0:42is home to more than 200 million people worldwide.
- 0:46Plus
- 0:47a massive banking collapse triggers political chaos in Paraguay,
- 0:51toppling the president and prompting investigators to raid his home.
- 0:55And in today's back of the brief,
- 0:57we might be getting some answers
- 0:59in Europe's cyber hack attacks on refrigerator systems,
- 1:02with French officials now blaming Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps,
- 1:06the IRGC,
- 1:07for the attacks.
- 1:09But first,
- 1:10today's PDB spotlight.
- 1:12New American military strikes are being reported
- 1:14against Iran even as the Trump administration
- 1:18considers a diplomatic proposal that could bring an end to the war.
- 1:21Iranian officials say US forces carried out
- 1:24another round of attacks near Keshem Island
- 1:27overnight Sunday,
- 1:28just hours
- 1:29before President Trump met with Qatar's Prime Minister at the White House.
- 1:33According to IranWire,
- 1:35Ahmad Nafisi,
- 1:36a senior Iranian security official,
- 1:38confirmed that American forces struck areas surrounding Keshem Island,
- 1:42which
- 1:42sits near the strategically important Strait of Hormuz.
- 1:45Nafisi claimed the attacks caused no damage to residential,
- 1:48commercial,
- 1:49or military infrastructure,
- 1:51and that essential services on the island continued
- 1:53operating normally.
- 1:55Iranian authorities say emergency and security
- 1:57personnel were placed on heightened alert
- 1:59following the strikes.
- 2:01Now the US has not publicly confirmed this latest operation,
- 2:05and the precise targets remain unclear,
- 2:07but the reports follow other American strikes against
- 2:10Iranian military installations on the island.
- 2:13On Friday,
- 2:14President Trump acknowledged that US forces had targeted
- 2:17an Iranian air defense system near Keshem.
- 2:20American officials have characterized all
- 2:22those earlier attacks as defensive measures
- 2:25intended to protect US forces operating in the region.
- 2:28But while American forces continue sporadic military operations against Iran
- 2:32and Iran continues sporadically to fire missiles and drones,
- 2:36diplomatic efforts are also reportedly intensifying.
- 2:39Yesterday afternoon,
- 2:40President Trump met with Qatar's Prime Minister
- 2:42Sheikh Mohammad Al Thani.
- 2:44He's emerged as one of the
- 2:45principal intermediaries between Washington and Tehran.
- 2:48The meeting reportedly lasted approximately 45 minutes and
- 2:51was conducted behind closed doors without the usual opportunity
- 2:55for reporters to question the president.
- 2:57The Qatari leader also met separately with Vice President JD Vance,
- 3:01who's
- 3:01been heavily involved in in direct negotiations with Iran.
- 3:05According to Axios,
- 3:06Vance has spoken with the Qatari Prime Minister
- 3:08almost daily over the past two weeks,
- 3:11and Qatar has been working with several other regional governments,
- 3:14including Saudi Arabia,
- 3:15Egypt,
- 3:15Turkey,
- 3:16and Pakistan,
- 3:17to develop a proposal that could restart negotiations and
- 3:21bring the fighting to an end.
- 3:23Now the latest plan involves a series of steps that could emphasize the word,
- 3:27could be implemented
- 3:29over just 2 days.
- 3:31Under the proposal,
- 3:32the US would begin
- 3:33by lifting its naval blockade against Iran
- 3:36and releasing some frozen Iranian funds.
- 3:39In exchange,
- 3:40Tehran would formally invite inspectors
- 3:42from the International Atomic Energy Agency
- 3:45to visit nuclear facilities damaged during American strikes.
- 3:49On the 2nd day,
- 3:50supposedly,
- 3:50Iran would reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping.
- 3:55Now that would then be followed by
- 3:56renewed negotiations supposedly over Iran's nuclear program,
- 4:00including its stockpile of highly enriched uranium.
- 4:04Those are proposed steps,
- 4:06of course,
- 4:07suggestions,
- 4:08not commitments that either side has agreed to carry out.
- 4:11The Iranian regime wants Washington to lift sanctions,
- 4:14end the blockade,
- 4:15and halt military operations
- 4:17before they'd be willing to move into talk of broader negotiations.
- 4:21The Trump administration meanwhile has
- 4:23resisted making those concessions without
- 4:26stronger assurances about Iran's nuclear activities and regional behavior.
- 4:31The Secretary of State Marco Rubio made Washington's position clear on Sunday.
- 4:35Speaking before departing for a meeting of G7 foreign ministers in Paris,
- 4:39Rubio said he did not believe that the two sides were close to an agreement.
- 4:43He described some of Iran's demands as outrageous and ridiculous.
- 4:48And really not realistic,
- 4:49end quote.
- 4:50Iran's government pushed back on Monday.
- 4:52A Foreign Ministry spokesman defended Tehran's proposal,
- 4:55arguing that lifting the American blockade and sanctions
- 4:59was a reasonable condition for restarting negotiations,
- 5:02and Iranian officials have continued insisting
- 5:04that they will not negotiate under military pressure.
- 5:07Still,
- 5:08President Trump has recently suggested he would
- 5:10prefer to avoid another major escalation.
- 5:13His on-again,
- 5:14off-again threats of renewed military strikes are currently,
- 5:17apparently
- 5:19in the off-again stage.
- 5:20During an interview with CBS's 60 Minutes that aired on Sunday,
- 5:24the president was asked whether he intended to intensify the war.
- 5:28He replied,
- 5:28quote,
- 5:29Well,
- 5:29I'm not looking to.
- 5:30I don't think there's any reason to,
- 5:32end quote.
- 5:33But Trump has also kept the possibility of
- 5:36additional military action on the table
- 5:38if diplomatic efforts fail.
- 5:40And the political circumstances have certainly changed following
- 5:43last week's midterm elections in the US,
- 5:46which saw Republicans suffer significant losses,
- 5:48that's putting it mildly,
- 5:49amid public frustration over the war
- 5:52and its economic consequences.
- 5:54That adds another consideration for an administration
- 5:56already facing difficult choices over Iran.
- 6:00For now,
- 6:00there's been no
- 6:01announced breakthrough following Trump's meeting
- 6:03with the Qatari Prime Minister.
- 6:05The central disagreement remains whether Washington is prepared
- 6:09to ease its blockade and make other economic concessions
- 6:13before Tehran makes their own concessions.
- 6:16It's essentially a standoff,
- 6:18an old fashioned staring contest
- 6:20with neither side wanting the appearance
- 6:22of giving in to the other.
- 6:24All right,
- 6:25coming up next,
- 6:26a new study reveals that some 200 million people worldwide
- 6:30are living in areas controlled or influenced by criminal gangs and insurgents.
- 6:35And a banking collapse topples Paraguay's president.
- 6:39I'll be right back.
- 6:42Hey,
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- 7:44Welcome back to the PDB.
- 7:46Around the world,
- 7:47criminal gangs,
- 7:48drug cartels,
- 7:48and armed insurgents
- 7:50are doing more than just engaging in criminal cartel or insurgent activity.
- 7:55They're taking control of territory,
- 7:58collecting taxes,
- 7:59running local economies,
- 8:00and
- 8:00assuming powers that are normally reserved for governments.
- 8:04And according to a new investigation by the Wall Street Journal,
- 8:06the scale of this problem is enormous.
- 8:08The journal examined the growing influence of
- 8:11these organizations across more than 60 countries
- 8:14where an estimated 204 million people
- 8:17now live in areas controlled or contested by armed groups of various sorts.
- 8:22That figure comes from the International Committee of the Red Cross,
- 8:25which
- 8:26has identified 383 armed organizations
- 8:29that are of humanitarian concern worldwide.
- 8:33Of those 204 million people,
- 8:34approximately 74 million
- 8:36live in territories fully controlled by armed groups.
- 8:40Another 130 million
- 8:42live in areas where government forces and
- 8:44rival organizations are competing for control.
- 8:47Now that's an increase of roughly 30 million people since the year 2021.
- 8:52And what makes this particularly concerning is that many
- 8:54of these organizations are now functioning as alternative governments.
- 8:58They collect money from local businesses,
- 9:00regulate commerce,
- 9:01enforce their own rules,
- 9:02and sometimes even provide public services.
- 9:05And of course
- 9:06much of their authority
- 9:07rests on intimidation,
- 9:09extortion,
- 9:10and violence,
- 9:11and their ability to establish control over
- 9:13communities makes them considerably harder to dislodge.
- 9:17The journal highlights several examples.
- 9:20First up,
- 9:20Ecuador.
- 9:21Once considered one of South America's safer countries,
- 9:24Ecuador has experienced an explosion in organized crime and violence
- 9:28as rival gangs compete for control of cocaine trafficking routes.
- 9:32Organizations like Los Chros and Los Lobos have
- 9:35battled for access to ports and transportation corridors.
- 9:38That connects South American cocaine producers with international markets.
- 9:42Their influence extends into prisons,
- 9:44businesses,
- 9:45and local communities
- 9:46where violence and extortion have undermined government authority
- 9:50in neighboring Colombia and across parts of Mexico,
- 9:52of course,
- 9:53cartels exercise enormous influence over local economies.
- 9:57Some organizations extort farmers and business
- 9:59owners while others control roads,
- 10:01transportation routes,
- 10:02and entire communities.
- 10:04In certain areas,
- 10:05residents must answer to criminal organizations
- 10:08as well as their own governments.
- 10:10Now,
- 10:10if you cross the Atlantic to Africa,
- 10:12across the Sahel,
- 10:13particularly in Mali and Burkina Faso,
- 10:15jihadist organizations and ethnic militias have driven
- 10:18government forces out of large areas.
- 10:21Now one of the most powerful is Jaim,
- 10:23an al Qaeda affiliate that controls or contests substantial territory.
- 10:27The group generates revenue through activities
- 10:29including the exploitation of natural resources.
- 10:32While using violence and intimidation to enforce its authority,
- 10:36and in parts of the region,
- 10:37national governments have struggled
- 10:39to regain control despite years of military operations.
- 10:43Then there's Southeast Asia.
- 10:45In Myanmar,
- 10:46formerly known as Burma,
- 10:47years of civil war have allowed armed militias and
- 10:50criminal syndicates to establish themselves along remote border regions.
- 10:55Some operate extensive drug trafficking networks,
- 10:57and others run industrial scale cyber fraud operations.
- 11:01These include sprawling scam compounds where trafficked workers are forced to
- 11:06participate in online fraud schemes targeting victims around the world.
- 11:11Similar criminal operations have emerged in neighboring Cambodia.
- 11:15According to the reporting from the Wall Street Journal.
- 11:17The reach of these groups is expanding
- 11:19with technology.
- 11:20Inexpensive drones provide capabilities that
- 11:23once required sophisticated military equipment.
- 11:26Encrypted communications help coordinate international operations,
- 11:29while cryptocurrency offers additional ways to move money across borders
- 11:34for the US,
- 11:35the implications extend well beyond the
- 11:36countries where these organizations operate.
- 11:39Drug cartels supply American markets,
- 11:41of course.
- 11:42Cyber criminals steal from American victims,
- 11:44and armed insurgent groups can destabilize governments in
- 11:47strategically important regions.
- 11:50But the journal's investigation points to an even larger challenge.
- 11:54These organizations aren't just exploiting weak governments.
- 11:57In some cases
- 11:58they're replacing government authority altogether,
- 12:01making their growing influence
- 12:03a significant feature of the international security landscape.
- 12:07Turning now to South America,
- 12:09where the collapse of a major bank has led to a
- 12:11political crisis that's reached the highest levels of the government.
- 12:15What began with frozen accounts and angry customers
- 12:18has brought down the president and sent thousands protesting into the streets.
- 12:22To understand how Paraguay reached this point,
- 12:25we'll start with the bank
- 12:26itself.
- 12:27Now that would be
- 12:28the bank called Wano,
- 12:30launched as a financial tech business in 2021,
- 12:33it became a licensed bank in 2023.
- 12:36Its appeal is similar to the way that others use PayPal,
- 12:40manage your money from your phone,
- 12:41make everyday payments,
- 12:43get discounts.
- 12:44For Paraguaayans underserved by traditional banks,
- 12:47that offered a convenient way into the banking system.
- 12:50With heavy marketing,
- 12:51Wao reported nearly 3 million customers,
- 12:54or around 60% of the country's adult population,
- 12:57and that gives you a sense of
- 12:58what was at stake when its services
- 13:00suddenly stopped working early last Tuesday morning.
- 13:03Customers were left scrambling to access savings,
- 13:06wages,
- 13:06and pension payments.
- 13:08Demonstrators gathered outside Congress in the capital Asuncion,
- 13:11demanding their money back.
- 13:13Protests spread to other cities,
- 13:14with some turning violent as demonstrators clashed with police.
- 13:18Behind the shutdown was a serious problem.
- 13:21Bno did not have enough of its own capital
- 13:24to cover potential losses if borrowers failed to repay their loans.
- 13:27Yeah,
- 13:28that's a serious problem.
- 13:29The crisis reached President Santiago Pena,
- 13:32who had owned shares in the bank's parent company.
- 13:36Prosecutors allege he used his office
- 13:38to influence government agencies and state-owned entities
- 13:41to keep public money,
- 13:42government money at Wano,
- 13:44despite that connection and despite concerns about its financial health.
- 13:48That allegation turned a banking crisis into a direct threat to his presidency.
- 13:53On Thursday,
- 13:54Pena attempted to resign amid the scandal.
- 13:57However,
- 13:57Congress rejected that route
- 13:59and pressed ahead with his removal.
- 14:01On Friday,
- 14:02the Paraguayan Senate voted unanimously to oust him.
- 14:05He was then arrested
- 14:06and charged Saturday with breach of trust and administration for personal gain.
- 14:11Each offense
- 14:12could carry a prison sentence of up to 10 years.
- 14:15A judge ordered him held at a military facility,
- 14:17and by Sunday,
- 14:18police were searching his mansion outside Asuncion.
- 14:21Now Pena has pleaded not guilty and maintains
- 14:25that the bank's difficulties were a regulatory matter.
- 14:28His former vice president Pedro Ayana has been sworn in as president
- 14:32and will serve the remainder of Pena's term,
- 14:34which ends in August of 2028.
- 14:37To better understand the case against the former president,
- 14:40we do need to look more closely at the public money entrusted to Wayno
- 14:44and his personal dealings with that bank.
- 14:47Back in June,
- 14:48Wayo reportedly held approximately $850 million in public funds.
- 14:53That included
- 14:54$355 million
- 14:56from Paraguay's Social Security Institute,
- 14:59which manages pensions and healthcare funds,
- 15:01representing roughly 9% of its investment portfolio.
- 15:05Alongside those public deposits were Pena's own financial ties.
- 15:09When he took office in 2023,
- 15:11his asset declaration listed approximately $845,000 in shares
- 15:16in the bank's parent company.
- 15:18He retained them until March of 2025.
- 15:21His dealings with Bno also included borrowing from the bank.
- 15:25The indictment says Pena obtained two loans
- 15:27totaling approximately half a million dollars in 2024
- 15:30to help build his mansion.
- 15:32Well,
- 15:32you know,
- 15:32the mansion's not gonna build itself.
- 15:35His reported monthly mortgage payment was $38,000
- 15:38which was roughly six times his salary.
- 15:41There's a clue,
- 15:42and the lending under scrutiny goes far beyond the former president.
- 15:46Bno had extended approximately $146 million
- 15:50to just three companies
- 15:51that were connected to its controlling owners.
- 15:54There's another clue.
- 15:55The country's former finance minister described loan documents that appeared to
- 15:58have the same people signing on both sides of some transactions.
- 16:02Yes,
- 16:02that's a problem as well.
- 16:04In 2023,
- 16:06Pena appointed Carlos Carvoya
- 16:08to lead the central bank,
- 16:10the institution supervising Paraguay's banks.
- 16:12Carvalho had previously headed BO.
- 16:15He too has since been arrested
- 16:17and charged with breach of trust,
- 16:19administration for personal gain,
- 16:20and producing false public documents.
- 16:23Eight bueno executives,
- 16:24including the chief executive,
- 16:26have also been arrested and charged.
- 16:28An opposition senator
- 16:29called the scandal the biggest corruption scandal
- 16:32in our democratic history.
- 16:35So for the new president,
- 16:36the immediate task is getting money back to the customers.
- 16:39Ayana's government is making reimbursements through a fund
- 16:43designed to protect bank deposits.
- 16:45Ayana said Sunday that
- 16:46approximately 158 million
- 16:49had been distributed,
- 16:50with more expected this week.
- 16:53All right.
- 16:53Coming up in the back of the brief,
- 16:55those mysterious refrigerator cyber hacks across Europe
- 16:59now have a suspected culprit,
- 17:00with France accusing Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps,
- 17:03the IRGC.
- 17:05More on that
- 17:07when we come back.
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- 19:42In today's back of the brief,
- 19:43the French officials are accusing Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps,
- 19:46the IRGC,
- 19:48of targeting and attacking refrigeration systems in France and elsewhere.
- 19:52Now
- 19:53Paris is vowing retaliation against the Iranian regime.
- 19:57We've been tracking these attacks as they spread through European supermarkets,
- 20:01leaving stores with spoiled food supplies,
- 20:03and just last week,
- 20:04French blood storage facilities were attacked,
- 20:07although staff were able to intervene to protect medical supplies.
- 20:11On Monday,
- 20:11France's foreign minister said Iran's ambassador had been summoned.
- 20:14Well,
- 20:15they're gonna hate that,
- 20:15aren't they?
- 20:16That should solve the problem.
- 20:17Let's summon the ambassador.
- 20:19He also threatened further European Union sanctions against Iran.
- 20:22Paris prosecutors have also requested international
- 20:25arrest warrants targeting the alleged perpetrators.
- 20:28The French announcement came just minutes after Reuters
- 20:31exclusively reported that investigators privately suspected Iran,
- 20:35but French officials are doing more than just naming a suspect.
- 20:38Their intelligence and cybersecurity agencies
- 20:41have released a joint report explaining how they traced the campaign.
- 20:46It identifies Shahid Gauvay,
- 20:48described as a cyber offensive unit tied to the IRGC.
- 20:51And names three alleged associates.
- 20:54French officials say the unit hid behind numerous front groups,
- 20:58including Cyber Avengers as a catchy name,
- 21:01and the Cyber Is nod Front,
- 21:03not quite as catchy.
- 21:04They presented themselves as independent vigilante hackers.
- 21:07France says
- 21:08they were just cover for an operation tied to the Iranian regime.
- 21:12Investigators point to several connections digital
- 21:15infrastructure used by Shahid Khavey.
- 21:18Intrusion patterns matching its previous operations and traces of Farsi
- 21:23recovered from the attack infrastructure.
- 21:24Yeah,
- 21:24those are all pretty decent clues.
- 21:27That's the case that French authorities are laying out.
- 21:29The damage they documented shows what this operation meant
- 21:32for the businesses on the receiving end.
- 21:34The October 11th cyber attack struck hundreds
- 21:37of French supermarkets across the country.
- 21:39Authorities say a total of 700 commercial sites were targeted.
- 21:43Some refrigeration units had their temperatures raised
- 21:45so high that they caught fire.
- 21:47French authorities record at least 15 such fires.
- 21:51Nationwide losses
- 21:53could reach tens of millions of euros.
- 21:55The October attacks were followed this month by a second
- 21:57wave that hit more than 100 establishments across Europe.
- 22:01That wave also attacked refrigerators used by French blood banks,
- 22:05forcing employees
- 22:06to move some of the blood supplies to other cold storage units.
- 22:09The blood service said no blood products or biological samples were lost.
- 22:13Collection and distribution continued
- 22:15without interruption.
- 22:16Those supplies were protected because staff intervened.
- 22:20The French supermarket sabotage stands out as one of
- 22:22the most disruptive cyber attacks of the Iran conflict,
- 22:26which has otherwise seen scattered incidents of alleged digital disruption.
- 22:30Reuters reports that Iranian hackers have previously
- 22:34struggled to cause disruption on this scale.
- 22:37The freezer attacks
- 22:38show what happens when they succeed,
- 22:40and this week US officials warned
- 22:43that more could be coming.
- 22:45And that my friends,
- 22:46is the president's Daily Brief for Tuesday,
- 22:48the 10th of November.
- 22:49Now,
- 22:49if you have any questions or comments,
- 22:51just reach out to me at PDB@hefirstv.com.
- 22:54And of course don't forget to check out our YouTube channel.
- 22:57It's really everything you could want in a YouTube channel and more.
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- 23:10I'm Mike Baker and I'll be back later today with the PDB afternoon bulletin.
- 23:14Until then.
- 23:15Stay informed,
- 23:16stay safe,
- 23:18stay cool.