Latest / Energy Empire / The Cheapest Grid Is the One We Already Paid For
Transcript
- 0:00When something's comfortable, you're going to stick with it.
- 0:02But we are in a very uncomfortable moment.
- 0:05You know, in, in Northern California, it's pretty normal
- 0:08to have an $800 utility bill or a $1300 utility bill.
- 0:13We are trying to be like, hey, here's an effective way that
- 0:16might be a little uncomfortable, that's going to allow you to
- 0:19continue to run your business and do your thing, but it's
- 0:21going to save everyone a lot of money.
- 0:29Hello, my name is Jigar Shaw and I'm a clean energy entrepreneur.
- 0:33And I'm Jamie Nolan, a clean energy communications
- 0:35consultant. And this is Energy Empire.
- 0:38Welcome to the show. Hi, Jigar.
- 0:41Hey, we had a fantastic launch. Like I, I thought it was it.
- 0:47It was so great. I got tons of positive comments
- 0:50and I think people are hungry for the personal story behind
- 0:54the story. Yeah, I think it went great.
- 0:58I was very nervous, but my friends were so supportive
- 1:02lifted me up. I we really appreciate all the
- 1:04LinkedIn posts and all the love. So keep it coming.
- 1:08Keep the reviews coming, rate review and subscribe as they
- 1:12say. Thank you so much for the
- 1:14support and stay tuned because we are we have a lot of very
- 1:19exciting guest planned. Well, I, I got a lot of feedback
- 1:22that the only reason they're listening is you.
- 1:24So I appreciate you being on this journey with me.
- 1:28Thank you. Well, I have to balance out, you
- 1:31know, all these podcasts feel these energy podcasts are so bro
- 1:34Y, So it's nice to have some female energy in the
- 1:38conversation. It's good.
- 1:40Well, you know, we're bringing on one of our good friends today
- 1:45are not Paul. As you know, we worked with him
- 1:48at the loan programs office. But more importantly, I think
- 1:51he's just a fantastic friend and collaborator.
- 1:54And he has always had way better political instincts than me.
- 1:59And so he's kept me a lot out of a lot of messes that I otherwise
- 2:03would have gotten myself into. That's definitely true.
- 2:07And yeah, I think between the two of us, he on the political
- 2:10front and myself and the media front, we were definitely very
- 2:14focused on trying to keep you from putting your foot in your
- 2:19mouth. Stepping in it, I think that's
- 2:22what they the technical term is stepping in it, I think we.
- 2:25Were mostly effective at that. But yeah, so another friend of
- 2:29the POD and our knob founded a clean energy advocacy group
- 2:34called Deploy Action that is really doing something very
- 2:37different from any other group in the space.
- 2:40Well, I mean, the thing that I love about it is, I mean, we're
- 2:43clearly in a very crowded space, right?
- 2:45Lots of organizations, etcetera. But I do think that, you know,
- 2:49he has a dispassionate perspective, which I find really
- 2:55endearing, where the work matters to him, don't get me
- 2:58wrong. But what he really cares about
- 3:00is making these governors look good, right?
- 3:04Like, and that's kind of what they want, right?
- 3:06Like, like there's a lot of trade associations and others
- 3:09who want what they want, and they don't care what the
- 3:11governors want. But I think he comes at it
- 3:14going, how do I make sure the politician looks good out of
- 3:18this? And so they're enthusiastic
- 3:20about helping me. And that is a completely
- 3:23different point of view, I think, than most other, you
- 3:26know, folks have who are in the advocacy space.
- 3:29So I know that you have been involved in deploy action from
- 3:32the very beginning Jigger. So what's your role there and
- 3:35kind of what do you what do you do with Arnab and how do you
- 3:39support their work? Well, when Arnab came out with,
- 3:42you know, his plan here, you know, I helped fundraise Ford
- 3:46and some aboard chair at deploy action.
- 3:49But also, you know, like every once in a while he needs me to
- 3:52show up and, you know, and and press the flesh with, you know,
- 3:57the legislators in California or other places to get people
- 4:01enthusiastic about the work, right.
- 4:03And I'm happy to be helpful. Yeah, I'm excited for our
- 4:06audience to get to know our knob and deploy action and learn more
- 4:10about what they're trying to do and why.
- 4:19This episode is supported by S2G Investments.
- 4:23If you've been listening to me, you know that I'm done talking
- 4:26about R&D. We have the technology.
- 4:29The real question is can we deploy it at scale?
- 4:33When I joined Sanjeev Krishnan on the S2G podcast, we skipped
- 4:38the hype and talked about what actually matters.
- 4:41Affordability, fit for purpose, capital, and getting real
- 4:45infrastructure built. S2G Investments is one of the
- 4:49only firms who brings that same deployment first mindset to
- 4:54energy, agriculture and the oceans, connecting the dots
- 4:59across the real economy. Listen to the S2G podcast on
- 5:04your favorite podcast app now and start with my episode on
- 5:09energy affordability Are not Paul.
- 5:17Welcome to the podcast. I think our second friend of the
- 5:21pod. Thanks.
- 5:23For having me. Well, you didn't have a choice.
- 5:26I mean, we were going to draft you onto the pod regardless, so.
- 5:30I I I barely have a choice with you jitter so.
- 5:35Arnab, you're the Executive director of the clean energy
- 5:37advocacy group Deploy Action. And of course, before that we
- 5:40were all colleagues at the Department of Energy's Loan
- 5:43Programs office and you and I were senior advisors, well,
- 5:46senior consultants as they say, advising Jigger on political and
- 5:51media strategy. But tell us a little more about
- 5:54how you may got your start in energy.
- 5:57Yeah, so, you know, I, I, it all started kind of at that KPMG job
- 6:03where I, you know, I think we've all been through this in, in
- 6:06lives when we're, we're young, we take a job for the money.
- 6:09And a lot of us like me, like while we love the people we
- 6:12worked with, we absolutely hated what we did.
- 6:14And we, you know, I was like 23 years old wondering like, am I
- 6:18just going to do this the rest of my life?
- 6:20Show up at 8:00 AM, leave at 8:00 PM.
- 6:22Eat some CPK on the way out the door in downtown LA.
- 6:25You really weren't California through and through.
- 6:27That's like California Pizza Kitchen.
- 6:29Yeah, exactly. It's right across the KPMG
- 6:31tower. It's where, here's where I
- 6:33realized not to be a lawyer because like, I would go home at
- 6:358:00 PM and take my CPK to go and all the lawyers at Latham
- 6:39and Watkins would go take their CPK and go back to the office.
- 6:42So I was like, yeah, no, I'm not doing that for a living.
- 6:46So I, I basically was like, hey, I want to do something that I
- 6:49like doing. I I became an AmeriCorps
- 6:51volunteer for a year to mostly figure out my life.
- 6:55I worked for Goodwill Industries.
- 6:57Then I went back. I went to grad school for the
- 6:59first time. I went to grad school twice.
- 7:01Anyone listening to this podcast?
- 7:03You don't need to grad school twice.
- 7:06It's. Really not.
- 7:07Wait, wait. I need to understand, did you
- 7:09like, did you get anything from Goodwill that you still own
- 7:12today? Oh yeah, tons of stuff.
- 7:14They have these like, so they have these like really nice
- 7:17Goodwills like in Palo Alto in San Francisco where they have
- 7:21like really nice clothing for for cheap and like they the
- 7:24people never wear of and it's like brand new essentially and
- 7:27it's like 90% off. So yeah, I'd buy some stuff from
- 7:29there. I think I still own a coat from
- 7:31from Goodwill so all. Right.
- 7:33I mean, you know, like it's good to be a value shopper.
- 7:36Yeah, always. I mean, you know, like it's,
- 7:38it's why we're friends. You know, you like to you like
- 7:41to eat at Panera Bread and I like to buy cheap clothes
- 7:47drifting. Is very on trend right now, you
- 7:49guys, so way to be, way to be with the times.
- 7:52Thanks, Jamie. I appreciate that.
- 7:54So when and how did you get to DC?
- 7:58You know, that's a great question.
- 8:00So I, I, I, it was all done by Zoom, right?
- 8:04Because. So it was during COVID.
- 8:06It was during COVID, so I think, you know, at the time I've been
- 8:09watching Homeland like every episode, like every night.
- 8:13And I really wanted to go work for the CIA, which is what you
- 8:17do during COVID, because you don't know what's going on and
- 8:20you're bored. And so I applied it to being the
- 8:23Ciai got through like the first round.
- 8:25And, you know, I don't think I got any further than that.
- 8:27And if I did, I don't think I'm allowed to say so.
- 8:29Your charisma wasn't enough to get into the.
- 8:32CIA it was not it. Was enough for KPMG, but not
- 8:36enough for the CIA. Not enough ribs for that.
- 8:40Yeah, I was very disappointed. But I also got a, a call from,
- 8:44you know, I interned in DC in college from an old mentor of
- 8:49mine who said, you know, the congressman I worked for at the
- 8:51time, Ed Markey, who's now senator, needed a new energy
- 8:55advisor. His last one went to, went to
- 8:59the administration. So I interviewed on Zoom, you
- 9:02know, basically gave the pitch as to why, you know, I thought I
- 9:06could help them pass a climate bill.
- 9:08They bought it, which is great. So, you know, I went from Zoom
- 9:14in California to DC in 2021 and I spent the next two years,
- 9:20which, you know, trigger you were a part of unofficially or
- 9:23officially in some ways and working on what became the
- 9:26Inflation Reduction Act. So, and, you know, I think a lot
- 9:30of what we do today also is shaped by the fact that we were
- 9:33able to get something really big done and keep some of it from,
- 9:38from, you know, even the repeal in 2025.
- 9:40So look, that was a, you know, a great life experience.
- 9:43It's, you know, it's how we met early on in the process.
- 9:47And, you know, I think the two things I sort of learned from it
- 9:50was one, nobody really knows what they're doing and nobody
- 9:53has any projections on what's going to happen.
- 9:56So the key, the key is to just always stay ready because, you
- 9:59know, anyone who worked in there with me knew that there was a
- 10:02very slim shot we're ever going to get anything done.
- 10:05And somehow in the end, it all worked out.
- 10:06And and, you know, I played a small part in that.
- 10:09But, you know, there were so many people that were naysayers
- 10:12in that process. And, you know, you have to stay
- 10:14ready with with with the legislation and the ideas and
- 10:18coalitions because at any moment you could have a chance.
- 10:21When President Biden got elected, a lot of promises were
- 10:24made. And everyone was afraid to break
- 10:28those promises. So we were all pretending like
- 10:32we could pass a bill for $6 trillion.
- 10:35And deep down, everybody knew that wasn't even close to
- 10:38possible. And the reason why it took so
- 10:41long to get there is because it took us 18 months to come to
- 10:44terms with reality. And I think when we look at this
- 10:48next time around, we should come to terms with reality a lot
- 10:52quicker because we could probably get a lot more done.
- 10:55And what happened in that first year is we danced around and
- 10:58made everyone feel good. And eventually we realized we
- 11:00weren't going to get there. We jeopardize the chance to do
- 11:03anything in the in the end, we we got a little lucky with a lot
- 11:07of skill in the background from a lot of really smart senators
- 11:11and congressmen and women, and we were able to to salvage
- 11:15something which became the Inflation Reduction Act.
- 11:18All right. So like, so we were really
- 11:21close, it sounds like, to not having an inflation reduction
- 11:24act. Yeah, absolutely.
- 11:28That was like the likely scenario.
- 11:29We snatched victory from the jaws of defeat.
- 11:33Yeah, I, I mean, if they had calci markets like I think and
- 11:37if, you know, staffers were allowed to bet in those markets,
- 11:40I think everyone would have bet against us.
- 11:43So after you served in the US Senate, you left and joined us
- 11:48at the loan programs office. We had gotten this incentive
- 11:53program called the State Energy Financing Incentive, SAFI and I
- 11:58guess the State Energy Financing Initiative.
- 12:01So many acronyms, so little time.
- 12:03In any case, we were not getting enough loan volume from
- 12:07California, weirdly, even though we were getting accused of
- 12:10sending all the money to blue states.
- 12:12And so, like, I sent you to California and said, like,
- 12:15figure out what the Hell's going on in California, right?
- 12:17Like, and I wonder what you think of that experience, right?
- 12:24Because we didn't in the end, give a lot of loans to
- 12:27California. But I I do want to understand
- 12:30like, why and you know, what is the challenge with the
- 12:34coordination between the States and the federal government?
- 12:38Yeah. And to be fair, it it wasn't
- 12:41just California. I think I mean California's
- 12:43where I worked. But I think the interesting
- 12:45thing we found out was in a lot of the places where we expected
- 12:50there to be interest in our programs, there weren't the kind
- 12:53of uptake we thought there would be.
- 12:55So New York, California, Massachusetts, whereas there was
- 12:59tons of money being put out in, you know, Georgia, Michigan,
- 13:04Tennessee. And part of it is, you know, a
- 13:07lot of what we did was tax credit and loan based.
- 13:10And you need to be willing to build projects, and people are
- 13:14less likely to want to build big projects in California and New
- 13:18York than in those other states. So that led you in some ways to
- 13:25start deploy action, right? Like so after we left office,
- 13:29you were like, I want to, you know, contribute, I want to give
- 13:34back. I want to understand, you know,
- 13:37like why these dynamics are what they are and like tell us the
- 13:43origin story of deploy action. Yeah.
- 13:46So look, I think we, we started thinking about deploy action and
- 13:53I used the proverbial we because there's so many people involved
- 13:56really like last in the fall of 2024.
- 13:59And the idea was like, hey, if there's going to be 4 more years
- 14:02of the inflation reduction act, like we should work in these
- 14:06States and get them ready to really bring the the money in.
- 14:10But when I say bring the money, and I don't mean like the grant
- 14:13dollars, right? There's always like cities and
- 14:15counties and groups set up to bring in the grant money.
- 14:18It's like, but who's going to help the project developers want
- 14:20to build those projects so we can bring in all the tax credit
- 14:24dollars and all the loan dollars, which are really like
- 14:26were the big pieces of it. I think along the way, you know,
- 14:31even after the election occurred the way it did, we realized
- 14:35like, hey, these states still need help.
- 14:37And, you know, I think there's a a different way, a different
- 14:40paradigm. It's like if you're going to be
- 14:42a, a state that's a clean energy champion, I think you need to
- 14:46actually champion the building of those projects and make sure
- 14:50you don't have one set of constituents who want to protect
- 14:53the environment, but also want to stop these projects from
- 14:56getting developed. And another set of constituents
- 14:58who are trying to develop these projects and are getting blocked
- 15:01in their process all the while while these states have these
- 15:03goals to like build up so much clean energy.
- 15:06So that's the like the policy rationale behind all this.
- 15:11And you know, there's obviously like spiritual and
- 15:13communications pieces to it as well.
- 15:16What is deploy action? So Deploy Action is A5O1C4 with
- 15:23A5O1C3 sister organization, Deploy Action Fund organization
- 15:27that is dedicated to building out clean energy affordably in
- 15:34in the states. And we start with the states
- 15:37that that have always wanted this, that have built the
- 15:39policies for this and are now having some trouble actually
- 15:43getting across the finish line on these bold and audacious
- 15:46goals they put out there. I mean, there's a lot of clean
- 15:51energy organizations out there, right?
- 15:53Trade associations, environmental nonprofits,
- 15:55advocacy groups. I mean, why does deploy action
- 16:00need to exist? So what does it add to the fray?
- 16:03Yeah, that's a, that's a great question.
- 16:05It's a very existential one, right?
- 16:07Look. We should take this, I'm taking
- 16:10take this conversation a little bit in a different direction.
- 16:13I think that the policy rationale is what I just
- 16:16explained to you all. And I think what the other piece
- 16:21of this is really like looking back in time.
- 16:23So I go back to 2017 when Trump was first elected.
- 16:27The environmental movement was extremely successful over the
- 16:30next four years to a point where they made climate change and
- 16:35addressing climate change the number one issue for a new
- 16:39Democratic president and a Democratic Congress, which just
- 16:42wasn't the case in the the previous administrations, both
- 16:45Republican or Democrat. And, you know, going back to the
- 16:49IRA, you know, days as we started to move towards chopping
- 16:55off parts of the Build Back Better or whatever it was, the
- 16:59last thing that remains standing was the clean energy tax credits
- 17:03and the climate mitigation pieces.
- 17:06And that was because of the narrative that was developed by
- 17:09a lot of great, you know, green groups in the process that that
- 17:14said like, hey, this is our existential crisis, we must
- 17:17address it. And I think it was successful.
- 17:20And when I thought about, well, do we just run that playbook
- 17:23again? I also thought about the things
- 17:25we didn't accomplish, the things we failed in that while climate
- 17:28and energy and, and, and, and the Environmental Protection is
- 17:32a very popular issue, it's not a strong issue and that it's never
- 17:37people's top 1-2 or three issue. So when I look at how we rebuild
- 17:41in 2025, I didn't want this to just be a climate or
- 17:45environmental group. I wanted to address an issue
- 17:48that people cared about every day, which is their pocketbook,
- 17:51right? It would just always been a top
- 17:54three issue. And my thinking is if we can
- 17:56build an organization that addresses, you know, clean
- 18:00energy deployment, but really through the lens of
- 18:02affordability, we can not only be popular like, you know,
- 18:06climate environment was, but we can also be a forceful issue
- 18:10that people actually vote on. And and that's the real thinking
- 18:13behind this. I mean, there's some nuance to
- 18:17this, though, right? Which is that the environmental
- 18:20groups had their own political rails, right?
- 18:22They like, elected people to office.
- 18:24They had all sorts of other things that they did.
- 18:27But often times they couldn't get to the finish line with just
- 18:30those rails, right? They needed labor.
- 18:32They needed, you know, other groups, right?
- 18:35I mean, part of, I think what you recognized in California,
- 18:38which I think has been super impressive, but also in some of
- 18:41the other work that you've been working on in Virginia and other
- 18:43places, is that each state has their own mix of reasons why
- 18:48things pass, why they don't pass.
- 18:50And I think you've been more scientific about studying it,
- 18:53right? Sometimes the environmental
- 18:55groups are the right way to pass something.
- 18:57And sometimes it's, you know, other issues that I think come
- 19:00to the foreground, right? Yeah.
- 19:03And and look, this is like sort of inside baseball versus
- 19:06outside baseball. So I, I think what a lot of us
- 19:09realized is, you know, when it comes to inside baseball, the
- 19:14environmental groups have been around for a long time.
- 19:17I think they're trusted as advisors.
- 19:19I think they're technically very sound, but ultimately they don't
- 19:24deliver votes in some of these capitals the way, you know, a
- 19:28healthcare organization would or a woman's organization would or
- 19:31a labor organization would. So I think it's going to take
- 19:35some time for those groups to build up that kind of capacity
- 19:37if they want to. But in the meantime, you know,
- 19:39they, they really need to partner with the people who can
- 19:42bring those votes both, you know, internally in the halls of
- 19:47Albany and Sacramento and, and, and these state capitals, but
- 19:51also like on the ground, right? Like so when someone runs first
- 19:55state office in California, especially on the Democratic
- 19:59side, which is almost 3/4 of the legislature, like they generally
- 20:02run their campaign out of the IDW office, right?
- 20:05They're not running it out of the NRDC office.
- 20:08Right. And also the natural, so the
- 20:10natural follow up to that question that is like is a lot
- 20:13of people actually, particularly in the clean energy area, you
- 20:17know, try to claim that they're going to stay above the fray,
- 20:20right? They're not going to get
- 20:21political, they're bipartisan, whatever.
- 20:23But like, I don't think you're staying away from the fray.
- 20:27You're right in the middle of the fray.
- 20:29Yeah. And, and to be clear, we're
- 20:31we're nonpartisan like we will, you know, we'll work with what
- 20:34We'll work with anyone. You know, we have bills that
- 20:37we've championed that have gotten unanimous support from
- 20:40Republicans and Democrats. I think when you're thinking
- 20:43about California and New York or some of these, you know, more
- 20:45Democratic states, it's you tend to be with one side of the aisle
- 20:48because that's where the action is.
- 20:50Yeah, No, you have to. And, and look, I think a lot of
- 20:52this is like people don't realize, like when you're a
- 20:56state legislator, especially in a consensus state with one
- 21:00party, you, you have a lot of power with the pet, you can do a
- 21:04lot of good things and making sure the right people are
- 21:08elected and the right people are in the right committee chairs.
- 21:12Like that's how good policy happens, right?
- 21:15A lot of the early climate policy that California did was
- 21:17because they were right people in the right places, you know,
- 21:20and it's not just writing bills and just, you know, posting on
- 21:25social media is like, that's great, but it's not enough.
- 21:27You have to champion the people who champion you all.
- 21:31Right. So can you give me an example
- 21:34of, you know, your impact, like where you've helped to move
- 21:37policy or drive, you know, driven measurable results?
- 21:41Yeah. So one of the things that we're
- 21:43really focused on here is the the utilization of the grid,
- 21:47which I think we'll talk about more.
- 21:49But, you know, to really address affordability, you need to be
- 21:53able to control the cost of building infrastructure.
- 21:56So, you know, we have this concept that we've worked on
- 21:59with, you know, so many other partners in the business
- 22:01community and in the environmental community that
- 22:04utility should use more of their existing infrastructure.
- 22:07And, and we've already seen that legislation pop up in multiple
- 22:10states. There's a bill in Virginia that
- 22:13the governor has championed that is, you know, that is still not
- 22:17all the way through but has made tremendous progress.
- 22:21So we're already seeing our impact here in less than a year.
- 22:24That's awesome. So if you if you zoom out five
- 22:28years, what does winning look like for deploy and what happens
- 22:32if we don't get this right? Yeah.
- 22:34So, so again, I go back to the template of what I saw between
- 22:382017 and 2021. I I really think winning is
- 22:42everyone acknowledging that the the next generation of the clean
- 22:47energy and climate fight is not so much about getting people to
- 22:52buy into the existential crisis, which obviously is true and
- 22:55occurring. But for these folks to realize
- 22:58that like what this industry does benefits their lives
- 23:01everyday, not just humanity, you know, over the course of the
- 23:05next fifty 100,000 years. And success is taking that and
- 23:10putting in the frameworks that are, you know, that that states
- 23:14can push. But success is also like
- 23:17building a national platform. And that's not just going to be
- 23:20deploy action. It's got to be a whole host of
- 23:22groups working together so that the next time there's an
- 23:26opportunity to address the grid and clean energy, that there is
- 23:31an affordability plan that every consumer in America is going to
- 23:34benefit from. So our knob you and Jigger are
- 23:37co-authors of a new white paper dropping today called Grid
- 23:41Growth, Utilization and Affordability.
- 23:44And I know it's meant to be kind of a playbook for states,
- 23:47governors, regulators, other state officials on energy
- 23:51affordability. So let's start there.
- 23:53Are governors about to get blindsided by a grid
- 23:56affordability crisis? Well, I don't know if they're
- 24:00going to get blindsided, but they're about to deal with a
- 24:02grid affordability crisis. So and I think they're well
- 24:06aware of it. And, and that's really why the
- 24:08motivation behind putting the time into this paper and, and
- 24:12thought and getting people together to really put our
- 24:15thoughts down. Yeah.
- 24:16I mean, look, I think when you think about, you know, there's
- 24:19sort of a tale of 2 governors here, right?
- 24:21I mean, Governor Spamberger and Governor Cheryl both got elected
- 24:25at the same time. I think, you know, Governor
- 24:27Spamberger has really pushed this great utilization concept
- 24:30and frankly, I think has gotten a tremendous amount of people
- 24:34enthusiastic about this, right, Folks in the grid utilization
- 24:37category, folks who focus on distributed energy resources,
- 24:41folks who are interested in battery storage, folks who are
- 24:44interested in reforming the way in which the electric utility
- 24:47deploys innovation, right. So I think that there's really a
- 24:51big tent of enthusiasm, not just of entrepreneurs, but also of
- 24:56like capital that wants to, you know, run into helping to solve
- 25:00this problem, which I think has to be part of a solution that,
- 25:04you know, the governors are pursuing.
- 25:05Like we need a lot of investment, you know, frankly,
- 25:08to drive this affordability into innovation, right?
- 25:12So I'm, I'm pretty excited about the approach that that was
- 25:17outlined to the white paper. But you know, what do you think,
- 25:20Arnab? Yeah.
- 25:22So look, I, I think these are like common sense ideas for the
- 25:26most part as in like use more of the existing grid.
- 25:31Let's see how we can incorporate, you know,
- 25:33distributed resources to, to address reliability, great
- 25:39enhancing technologies, rate design.
- 25:42So I, I think the issue, and this goes back to almost, you
- 25:45know, the, the climate opinion issue is if you ask someone, oh,
- 25:50should we use more the existing grid to save money?
- 25:52Everyone's like, yes, but it's not really top of mind to anyone
- 25:56anywhere, right? Like there's always like, hey,
- 25:58we're going to do this grant program or we want to do this EV
- 26:02program or there's always something, or we want to, you
- 26:05know, in California, like take, you know, take, take all the
- 26:09poles and wires away from PG&E and start a new utility, right?
- 26:13There's, there's always stuff that's just way shinier than
- 26:16this. But if the shiniest thing out
- 26:19there is to bring down costs for people, then this is the object
- 26:23we should all be looking at. I mean, there are certain things
- 26:26that I think people just don't know, right I mean, when you
- 26:28people think about electricity, they really think about
- 26:30electricity generation. They don't really think about
- 26:33the poles and wires that serve them.
- 26:35And it happens to be that, you know, since the global financial
- 26:38crisis in 2008, right, the the cost of generation has actually
- 26:42come down from the perspective of a inflation adjusted level,
- 26:46right? So the fact that we have really
- 26:48expensive bills right now are really driven by the fact that
- 26:51we've had a lot of increases in cost in the transmission and
- 26:55distribution grid that serve us, right?
- 26:57And we frankly had a lot of innovation in that space, right?
- 27:01What? So when you think about like
- 27:02grid enhancing technologies, a lot of what it does is realize
- 27:05that we measure the capacity of our transmission grid using a
- 27:09slide roll, right? Like if you use modern sensors
- 27:13like you can actually unlock 3040% more capacity out of that
- 27:17grid than than people thought was there, right?
- 27:20I think the same thing is true with, you know, like batteries,
- 27:24right? When you think about we have a
- 27:26lot of generation that goes underutilized, right, because
- 27:29the transmission grid is clogged, If you put batteries on
- 27:32both sides of the transmission grid, you can use that existing
- 27:36transmission grid more efficiently.
- 27:37So when it's not fully utilized, you use it to charge batteries
- 27:41on the other side, closer to customers, right?
- 27:43So think like batteries at Walmart stores, battery at
- 27:46community centers, battery at churches, right?
- 27:49Battery at government facilities, batteries in
- 27:51people's homes, right? I mean, and this then alleviates
- 27:55the, you know, like sort of stress in the traffic jam on the
- 27:59grid for the several 100 hours a year where there's congestion,
- 28:03right? And that's way cheaper, like 90%
- 28:06cheaper than doing things the old way, which is like building
- 28:09new generation, upgrading transmission, upgrading
- 28:12distribution. And what you find is, is that
- 28:14that's the old familiar playbook that the utilities like to do.
- 28:18That's what they've known how to do for 50 plus years.
- 28:22And a lot of the technologies we're talking about, we've been
- 28:24piloting for 20 years. So it's not like it's new
- 28:27technology, it's just, you know, hasn't been scaled up.
- 28:32Yeah. And, and look, it's human
- 28:34nature. When something's comfortable,
- 28:36you're going to stick with it. But we are in a very
- 28:39uncomfortable moment, right where where prices are going up.
- 28:43Everyone is seeing, you know, in in Northern California, it's
- 28:47pretty normal to have an $800 utility bill or a $1300 utility
- 28:52bill, as is the case in many parts of the East Coast.
- 28:55Like that's not comfortable anymore.
- 28:57So part of what we're trying to do is in the nicest way possible
- 29:01and sometimes not in the nicest way possible, we are trying to
- 29:05be like, hey, here's an effective way that might be a
- 29:07little uncomfortable that's going to allow you to continue
- 29:10to run your business and do your thing, but it's going to save
- 29:12everyone a lot of money. And after we explain it, people
- 29:16get it, but you got to explain it like 10 more times.
- 29:19That's kind of how this works. Absolutely.
- 29:22So in the paper, you all make a pretty bold claim that virtual
- 29:25power plants are the fastest megawatts we can build.
- 29:28And I know we've talked about them in a couple of episodes
- 29:30now. But are VP, PS really that
- 29:33impactful? And can you help me draw a line
- 29:35to how they help lower costs or reduce upward pressure on rates?
- 29:41It, it really is a sea change, right?
- 29:43And so the way that the utility works today, is it you as a
- 29:47residential customer or commercial customer for that
- 29:49matter, can do whatever you want with your house.
- 29:53Like you can turn every single thing on in your house at the
- 29:56exact same time. And the utility has an
- 29:59obligation to serve you, right? And so as a result, they keep
- 30:04over building the distribution system.
- 30:06So like if five of your neighbors get an electric
- 30:08vehicle, they're like, well, just in case they all plug it in
- 30:11at the same time, we're going to have to upgrade the substation
- 30:13for another $50 million, right? And what you find is all of this
- 30:18stuff is digital. You can control it on an app on
- 30:22your phone, right? And so if you say, hey, I'm
- 30:26willing to subscribe to a virtual power plant because I
- 30:28don't care when my electric vehicle charges as long as it's
- 30:32full by the morning, right? I'm, I'm plugged in for 13 hours
- 30:35a day. And you know, it only takes 2
- 30:381/2 hours to fully charge it, right?
- 30:40And so as long as it's charged, I'm good.
- 30:43Then you can have a computer program actually make sure that
- 30:46not all 5 cars are charging at the exact same time.
- 30:49Same with electric water heaters.
- 30:52Same with a heat pump. I mean, it's gotten to the point
- 30:54where Carrier now has a battery that they install in their next
- 30:59generation heat pumps so that they can avoid some of these
- 31:02peak demand issues, right? And so these are all features
- 31:05that you get when you buy an appliance.
- 31:07So it's not like you have to go out and buy something custom
- 31:11just to be subscribed into a virtual power plant.
- 31:14All of these new appliances come with an app on your phone,
- 31:17right? And so once you have an app on
- 31:19your phone, you can coordinate them and that coordination saves
- 31:23a ridiculous amount of money, right?
- 31:25And so part of the challenge right now is that consumers are
- 31:28like, yeah, I'll take a 20% discount on my bill to subscribe
- 31:32to a virtual power plant. But then the utility also has to
- 31:35have a computer program on their side to be able to use the
- 31:39virtual power plant to actually make sure that they're using the
- 31:44grid that we've already paid for more efficiently, right?
- 31:47And so we're headed in that direction.
- 31:49There's over 433 utility virtual power plant programs in effect
- 31:54now across the country across 2000 plus utilities, right?
- 31:58So like almost 20% of all utilities in the country have
- 32:01one of these programs and more adding them every month because
- 32:05they don't have any other choice.
- 32:07As Arnab is suggesting they can't keep raising rates 9% a
- 32:10year. So if you look at like someone
- 32:11like Duke Energy, you know, they had a very robust plan to invest
- 32:16in their grid to meet load growth and they just increase
- 32:19that plan by another 18% because they wanted to do things the
- 32:23most expensive way possible, build new central natural gas
- 32:27generation, upgrade transmission, upgrade
- 32:29distribution. They separately have 7200
- 32:33megawatts worth of utility scale solar in the state of North
- 32:37Carolina that they already have contracts with, right?
- 32:41None of those projects have batteries.
- 32:44The hyperscalers have already offered to install batteries at
- 32:47all of those locations, which would dramatically reduce rates
- 32:52for everyone in the state of North Carolina.
- 32:55Duke finds that weird. I get it.
- 32:58It might be weird, you haven't done that before, but Lord
- 33:01almighty, they're asking for a 15% rate increase right now to
- 33:06implement their current plan. That's a lot of money, right?
- 33:10That's a lot of money. And Jamie, if I can just add one
- 33:14point to this. You know, I think Jigger uses
- 33:16virtual power plants as like the ultimate utilization tools, but
- 33:20there's many ways to do this, right?
- 33:22It's a broad term. So like one of the things that
- 33:24we've been looking at is like is there a program to sort of
- 33:29procure front of the meter distributed batteries, which you
- 33:33know, used to be community storage in a way and
- 33:35corresponding community solar? Like can we do that to ease, you
- 33:40know, burden on the distribution system and bring down costs and
- 33:43the utilities can either rate base procure own be a part of
- 33:48that? Like what we're talking about is
- 33:50not like a violation of the utility business model.
- 33:53Like we're not telling that that they have to stop, you know,
- 33:56existing and doing what they're doing.
- 33:58We're just telling them that they have to fundamentally
- 34:00change what they're doing and it will work for them in the long
- 34:03term. So how's this being received by
- 34:06utilities? And I know the the playbook is
- 34:09about to be released, so they maybe haven't seen that yet, but
- 34:12just kind of the concept of grid utilization, VP, PS this entire
- 34:17kind of paradigm shift that you all are proposing, how's that
- 34:20being received, you know, in the private conversations that
- 34:23you're having? Yeah.
- 34:25So I look, nobody disagrees with the problem.
- 34:29Everybody agrees that this is a potential solution.
- 34:33I, I think that, you know, there's the, the push back is,
- 34:38oh, well, you know, there's a reason why we don't utilize the
- 34:42grid more. It's because we have to account
- 34:44for reliability and, you know, the equipment could go bad if we
- 34:48use it to a certain a point. And you know, I think they're
- 34:51sometimes missing the point because they have these set of
- 34:54arguments that they always like to use no matter what.
- 34:57Anytime tries to post something different.
- 34:59And what we're trying to say is like, hey, look, if you're
- 35:01utilizing 50% of your grade, you could utilize it at 65%, maybe
- 35:07even 70% and still hit all your reliability targets.
- 35:11This is more about a culture shift, right?
- 35:14The culture has been our number one priority is to keep the
- 35:17lights on. Now your number one priority is
- 35:20to keep the lights on and bring costs down.
- 35:22And there are very smart people that work in the distribution
- 35:25and transmission planning groups in these utilities.
- 35:28They can do it. They can do both these things.
- 35:30I have all the faith in the world in them and and we need to
- 35:34short a shift that culture and be like now you have multiple
- 35:37problems to deal with and solve for.
- 35:39Part of that is having to make changes regulatory and
- 35:42legislatively, but part of it is just is acknowledging that, hey,
- 35:46we're in a unique moment and, and, and we need to change the
- 35:50way we. Operate.
- 35:52I mean, digging just a little bit deeper into the culture
- 35:54change piece, I'd say that the CEO and CF OS of all the
- 35:59utilities are sort of required to be In Sync with the governor,
- 36:03right, Because the governor of the state actually regulates
- 36:06their utility. They get it, right?
- 36:09They can't keep raising rates this fast.
- 36:12And their Wall Street analysts get it right.
- 36:14Like the Wall Street analysts are like, wait, what?
- 36:17You want to raise more equity over the next five years then
- 36:20you've raised in the entire history of your utility company?
- 36:24That seems cuckoo, right? And so they get it right.
- 36:28But like they are sort of secretly or not so secretly
- 36:31saying we like this criticalization stuff because
- 36:34this now like allows us to blame the state legislature and the
- 36:37governor for forcing us to do this stuff.
- 36:40And it allows us to force the regulators to do this stuff who
- 36:44don't think that they currently have within their mandate the
- 36:47ability to regulate grid utilization from the utilities.
- 36:50So that the regulators are like, this gives me another tool by
- 36:53which to keep rates down. And the CEO and CF OS like,
- 36:57thanks. Because now I don't have to say
- 36:59this is my idea. I can blame the state
- 37:00legislature and the governor for forcing us to do this, right?
- 37:05And, you know, like, it's it is what it is.
- 37:07Look, do I want everyone to just be all knowing and just do the
- 37:11right thing at every single time?
- 37:13Yeah. But right now, the utilities
- 37:16make more money by spending more money.
- 37:18It's not like odd to me that they want to make more money by
- 37:22spending more money. So what do you want governors or
- 37:27regulators to take away from this report?
- 37:29Like if you could just sum it up in one sentence, what would you
- 37:32like to see them take away? When they go to
- 37:36deploy-action.org and download the playbook, what should they
- 37:41take away? I'll let Jigger answer after me
- 37:46so but I'll go first. But my take away is the pathway
- 37:50to both controlling and reducing rates for your customers is to
- 37:56get utilities to smartly use more of their existing
- 38:00infrastructure. Yeah.
- 38:02The only thing I'd add is just that load growth is your friend,
- 38:05right? If we accommodate load growth in
- 38:08a way that uses all these modern technologies, then rates might
- 38:12go down. Like, I think everyone is like
- 38:15weirdly obsessed with making sure that rates don't go up as
- 38:18fast. I don't think what they realize
- 38:20is that if you follow this report, rates could go down,
- 38:25right? I think that's pretty.
- 38:27Awesome. But Jigger and, and let's
- 38:30clarify that 'cause I think this is something that comes up a
- 38:32lot. These two things that you and I
- 38:34said are so related, right? They they are tied at the hip
- 38:39because there are a bunch of people going around saying, Oh,
- 38:41well, if we have more customers and we divide the amount of
- 38:44money we have to spend by more customers, rates will go down.
- 38:47It's simple math. That's true.
- 38:49What has historically happened is when we bring in more
- 38:52customers, the cost it takes to build infrastructure to bring
- 38:56those customers in exceeds the benefit of having more
- 39:00customers, right. So rates go up.
- 39:02If you mandate or suggest or whatever you want to call it,
- 39:06grid utilization, then you can do exactly what Jigger said,
- 39:10which is, hey, we have a bunch more customers, but we're using
- 39:13less of our infrastructure incrementally for each one of
- 39:16those customers. No, I think that's exactly
- 39:19right. Using modern technology to take
- 39:21great utilization from roughly 40 to 50%, which is where it is
- 39:25today for most utilities, up to 70%, which is where it was 30-40
- 39:29years ago, right, is possible, right?
- 39:32That doesn't mean that we don't have to build new generation.
- 39:35It doesn't mean that we don't have to build really hard to
- 39:38build long transmission projects.
- 39:40We should do all of that stuff, right?
- 39:42But right now, in this moment where everyone feels like we're
- 39:45in a crisis, we have the tools, we've piloted them.
- 39:49It's ready to, it's ready to be deployed.
- 39:52And if we do it correctly, we can reduce rates for everybody.
- 39:55Well, Arnab, like you were sort of our political guru, like
- 39:59going back aways here and like still are.
- 40:03There was a little fight that was started recently by Matt
- 40:06Iglesias's New York Times op-ed that basically seemed to say
- 40:12that we all need to be like pro oil and gas.
- 40:16And you know, our friend Representative Sean Caston went
- 40:20to town on Twitter on on that. Like, can you break that down
- 40:26for us a little bit? Because I do think it matters
- 40:29how, you know, folks are positioning themselves going
- 40:33into the, you know, 2026 midterms and 2028.
- 40:38Yeah, so I I think there's, there's two camps and you're
- 40:41using, and I don't know if they're actually 2 camps, but
- 40:43there's two different thoughts here, 1 represented by Matt
- 40:46Iglesias and the other one represented by Representative
- 40:49Caston. And what Matt Iglesias is
- 40:51basically saying is like, hey, when we were all of the above,
- 40:54like Barack Obama was, you know, we used to win elections and now
- 40:59we don't win elections. And it's because we're a bunch
- 41:02of climate sell. It's and I'm I'm over
- 41:04overstating this. And John Cass's responses like,
- 41:08yeah, the world is on fire. Like, and, you know, leading
- 41:12isn't it's you know, it goes back to the old the old
- 41:15statement. It's like there's those who read
- 41:17polls and there are those who move polls and leadership is
- 41:20about moving polls, right. And, you know, I think it's a
- 41:24little bit of a false choice, this argument because, you know,
- 41:28I, I think the reason why we won elections 15 years ago had
- 41:32nothing to do with, you know, us supporting oil and gas and being
- 41:36all of the above. I think it, there was a lot of
- 41:38other reasons for it. I think the bigger thing here is
- 41:41that we need to be more open minded and we need a new North
- 41:45Star, right? And, and all of the above in
- 41:482026 doesn't necessarily mean cheaper, right?
- 41:53And our North Star to help people every day is like, how do
- 41:56we bring down their costs? So in 2012, that might have been
- 41:59the case, but but trigger, we now know that the way to bring
- 42:03down people's costs isn't necessarily opening up a new
- 42:05natural gas plant. So, so my answer to the debate
- 42:09is, you know, yeah, we we shouldn't, we should not
- 42:12hideaway from climate because I think people still care about
- 42:15climate. It's still popular.
- 42:16It's not a forceful issue, but it's a popular issue.
- 42:19But we need to address people's problems, not be like, oh, we're
- 42:23for gas and oil versus we're for solar and wind.
- 42:26That's not how people look at it.
- 42:27They look at it as like, how much money did I spend on my
- 42:29utility bill this month? Yeah.
- 42:32I mean, when we were serving in office, I don't remember ever
- 42:36vilifying the oil and gas industry.
- 42:38So I don't think like there's any need to.
- 42:40There are hundreds of thousands of extraordinary people who work
- 42:44in that industry, who bring their whole selves to work
- 42:47everyday. And frankly, some of them do
- 42:49really dangerous jobs so that we can fly on airplanes and do all
- 42:53the things that we want to do. That being said, what I
- 42:56highlighted for them was that their stock price sucked, right?
- 42:59That, like their stock price is a reflection of stock analysts
- 43:04saying they're going to dividend out all of their profits for the
- 43:07rest of time, and they just discount that back.
- 43:10That's like Warren Buffett 101, like how you like measure stock
- 43:14prices, right? They're not trading it like 50
- 43:16times earnings. They're trading it like 12 times
- 43:19earnings, right? Because people don't believe
- 43:21that they're part of the future. They believe that their best
- 43:24days are behind them. I don't know why they would want
- 43:27people to believe that. And so I think that they should
- 43:30use their extraordinary skills to unlock geothermal power,
- 43:33figure out how to do carbon sequestration and storage,
- 43:36figure out how to get nuclear power off the sidelines.
- 43:40There's all sorts of things that they do that like, you know,
- 43:43that they have the smartest applied engineers in our country
- 43:47that they should be bringing to the table.
- 43:50So their stock price goes up. I think in general like this
- 43:54like 1 dimensional way of looking at energy bugs the crap
- 43:58out of me right? Like I just think that our
- 44:01country has the best technology in the world and the Department
- 44:05of Energy has funded it all and it is sitting on shelves
- 44:09gathering dust. It should be deployed at scale
- 44:13as fast as possible to what you said, Arnab, to help people
- 44:17reduce their energy bills and to help maintain energy abundance
- 44:21for our country. Yeah, and look.
- 44:24I think that that, you know, we, when we look at the oil and gas
- 44:30industry and we see historically how they've tried to get
- 44:33involved in more emerging energy technologies, the track records
- 44:37not that great. I mean, I see right now they're
- 44:40really leaning in the direction of petrochemicals and that's
- 44:43really a lot of how they're making their money is plastics
- 44:47essentially. So, you know, what would you say
- 44:50to oil and gas executives at this moment looking back on, you
- 44:55know, their foray into, for example, at solar?
- 44:57You worked at BP solar jiggers. So maybe you have a perspective
- 45:00on this. I know they have a a tremendous
- 45:03workforce, very highly trained specialists.
- 45:07You know, they could be putting their expertise to good use with
- 45:11critical minerals, geothermal, nuclear, as you suggested.
- 45:15Why not? Why are they leaning in the
- 45:17direction of plastics? Well, plastics are profitable,
- 45:21right? So that's why they're leaning
- 45:23into plastics. And you know, like people are,
- 45:26are addicted to a throwaway culture.
- 45:28And I think we're going to have to work hard to figure out
- 45:30figure that out. But but I do think that they are
- 45:33also leaning into innovation. I mean, Devon Energy is an
- 45:37investor in Fervo and I think continues to want to do that.
- 45:40Darren Woods has stood up, I think to President Trump and
- 45:42said we're going to still do our carbon sequestration projects.
- 45:45We're still active in a lot of the other projects that we want
- 45:48to do. And so I think and, you know,
- 45:51he's the CEO of ExxonMobil. And so like, I think that
- 45:54there's a lot of interest from the oil and gas sector to do
- 45:56this. But I think that I think that
- 45:58all of these arguments, and I think Third Way leaned in on
- 46:02this as well, like are on the wrong playing field.
- 46:05Like we should not be saying that these technologies are blue
- 46:08and these technologies are red. To me, energy abundance and you
- 46:13know, prosperity like are all like kitchen table issues.
- 46:16Everybody wants this stuff to go away from the top two and three
- 46:20issues and they want it to be a number 22 issue.
- 46:22Again. They want to not think about
- 46:24their electricity bill. They don't want to think about
- 46:26their heating bill. They don't want to think about
- 46:28these things, right? And we have the technologies to
- 46:30do that. So I think the playing field we
- 46:33should be on is why is it so damn hard to do big things in
- 46:36our country, right? Like when you think about the
- 46:39fact that we only have 5% / 6% of our rooftops with solar on
- 46:43it, why don't we have 40% like Australia has, right?
- 46:46When you think about just how hard it is to figure out how we
- 46:51actually have sufficient housing in our country, like we can make
- 46:55manufactured houses now in a factory and we can drop ship
- 46:59them places, beautiful houses for like $300,000 all in
- 47:03delivered. Why don't we have those things?
- 47:05Because things are regulated at the local level and they don't
- 47:08want you to do that and the local home builders are against
- 47:11it. Like I think we've got to figure
- 47:13out why it's so hard to do things.
- 47:16And I think that if we actually had a good reason for why we can
- 47:21actually solve that problem, I think everyone would be super
- 47:25excited. And look, I actually do think
- 47:30there are people that are trying to figure that out.
- 47:32I think a lot of our problem is the discourse, which sort of
- 47:35goes back to the question that, you know, we had about Matt
- 47:38Iglesias versus Sean Caston. It's it, you know, I think on
- 47:42one end, Matt Iglesias is right and that like we shouldn't
- 47:45demonize other sectors that provide value to society.
- 47:49And, and whether you are a climate activists or not, like
- 47:52the oil and gas industry has provided a lot of value to
- 47:55society. Like, if we go back to that 2012
- 47:58era, you know, one of the reasons why we were successful
- 48:01in the Obama years is because, you know, natural gas kept
- 48:05energy prices down, which kept inflation low, and we were able
- 48:08to build a very strong economy, right?
- 48:11I think what's changed, and I think where I disagree with
- 48:13that, is that he now says, like, oh, well, we need to be all the
- 48:16above in support oil and gas. Like it may not make the same
- 48:18economic sense it did 15 years ago.
- 48:21It most certainly doesn't. I mean, just to be clear, if we
- 48:23build all of these natural gas power plants that everyone wants
- 48:26to build, we'll use 10 billion cubic feet of gas a day to power
- 48:32those gas plants. That will most certainly raise
- 48:35the price of making stuff in our country.
- 48:38Like we should be using the cheap natural gas that we have
- 48:42to out compete Saudi Arabia and Europe and all these other
- 48:46places for manufacturing, right? Whether you're manufacturing
- 48:49solar panels or you're manufacturing batteries or
- 48:51you're manufacturing other things, you often times use
- 48:54natural gas to like, you know, help provide process heat to
- 48:58provide other services, right? The fact that we can get that
- 49:02for the equivalent of a penny a kWh, right?
- 49:05The our cost of natural gas is roughly a penny a kWh
- 49:08equivalent, right? That's awesome.
- 49:11I'd like to keep it that way. I'd like to make sure that we
- 49:15benefit from all the cheap natural gas that we have in our
- 49:17country. I don't know why there's a bunch
- 49:19of people out there that are like, hey Jigger, let's double
- 49:22the price of natural gas in our country.
- 49:24Really, I don't think we should double the price of natural gas
- 49:27in our country. I get the fact that a lot of oil
- 49:29and gas people would like that because they'd be a lot more
- 49:31profitable, but I don't see how that's good for affordability.
- 49:35So recently, the Climate and Community Institute argued that
- 49:39when voters were asked to rank abstract issues, climate seems
- 49:43to lose to cost of living. No surprise there.
- 49:46But the real question is whether voters want policies that tackle
- 49:50climate change while delivering material benefits.
- 49:52They say that the evidence is yes, and they implicitly push
- 49:57back on messaging that hides the word climate.
- 50:00I know this has been a conversation with a lot of folks
- 50:03in my industry. Do we talk about, do we bury
- 50:07that messaging? Do we lean on other benefits
- 50:10right now? You know, what's your viewpoint
- 50:13on this? Our knob at this political
- 50:14moment in time? Yeah, So I'm going to start by
- 50:18going back in time on some some research I did as a grad student
- 50:22with a with a man by the name of Tony.
- 50:24Lisarez for which graduate degree?
- 50:28For for the forestry school or now the environment school,
- 50:32School of environment. But good question.
- 50:34That's you don't do research in Business School Jigger.
- 50:36You know that. But so, so Tony Lacerowitz is a
- 50:40climate communications expert and him and I looked at one
- 50:44question in the General Social Survey, which is how are you
- 50:48willing to pay more to protect the environment?
- 50:51Yes, no, you know, maybe it's a, it's a pretty standard question.
- 50:55They've asked it for like 70 years.
- 50:57And it, this is important because it's this, it's not the
- 51:00aggregate numbers. Anytime there's a Democratic
- 51:03president and we found statistical significance from
- 51:05controlling for variables, etcetera on all this.
- 51:07Anytime there's a Democratic president, that that willingness
- 51:10to pay, that the answer to that goes down over the course of the
- 51:13presidency because the thinking is that there's actually a lot
- 51:16of environmental work being done.
- 51:19And people are like, we may not need as much of this.
- 51:21And then as soon as there's a Republican president, that that
- 51:25willingness to pay goes up and people are willing to do more.
- 51:29And I think we're going to be in the moment over the next two or
- 51:33three years where people are going to be mad about, you know,
- 51:36not having Environmental Protection.
- 51:38And to completely eliminate that from our discourse as we talk
- 51:42about this is foolish. Yeah, I mean, didn't they just
- 51:45roll back like the mercury rule for coal?
- 51:48Like, as if pregnant women want to not be able to eat fish
- 51:51anymore because we have all these thermometers getting
- 51:54broken and, you know, putting our mercury in into our water.
- 51:57Streaming, it's wild, it's wild. And overturning the endangerment
- 52:01finding very bad couple of weeks for climate policy.
- 52:05Just absolutely gutting. I mean, I would push back on you
- 52:09a little bit or not, because my viewpoint on whether we talk
- 52:12about climate is that you always, you always customize the
- 52:16message to the audience. And there are some rooms where
- 52:19climate works as a message and a lot of rooms where it doesn't.
- 52:22I have to say that most of my family's Republicans, I grew up
- 52:26in a very red rural area of Maryland.
- 52:29And talking about Environmental Protection and reducing
- 52:33pollution and conservation opens open lands, like all of that
- 52:39plays so much better than talking about climate because in
- 52:44certain rooms it is so politicized that you just lose
- 52:47people. And so for me, I'm like, do you
- 52:50want to be right or do you want to be effective?
- 52:52And so I guess, you know, our good friends at Third Way pushed
- 52:56back on on kind of this message from the Climate and Community
- 53:01Institute. And they actually tweeted and
- 53:05said if climate and community wants to talk more about climate
- 53:08change, that's their prerogative but will be over at the winner's
- 53:11table. Yeah, that.
- 53:14And. I think that is narrow minded
- 53:18and, and, and here's why I, I agree with you, Jamie, I think
- 53:22affordability is the number one issue.
- 53:25And you know, that's where the focus should be.
- 53:28But there are people who care about different things in this
- 53:31country. And you're going to need all the
- 53:33people who care about affordability and how clean
- 53:36energy addresses affordability, plus all the people who care
- 53:40about climate change. And you need them to vote for
- 53:42the same things. So to exclude one of those
- 53:45groups, that's subtraction. And that's not how politics
- 53:48works. I think Third Way should know
- 53:50better. So, you know, I'm not
- 53:53disagreeing with what you're saying, but the way you win is
- 53:56by bringing everyone into a big tent.
- 53:59And sometimes you talk about climate, sometimes you talk
- 54:02about affordability. You probably talk about
- 54:04affordability with more people, but you shy away from one of
- 54:08the, you know, most, the biggest, one of the biggest
- 54:11issues facing humanity where there is a small but powerful
- 54:15consent constituency behind it. You basically lose the passion
- 54:20of those of those voters and those constituents and, and
- 54:22that's not smart either. So.
- 54:25Don't you think those voters in those constituents get it,
- 54:27though, and that they're like this?
- 54:30We're not talking about it this way right now, but we know
- 54:33what's actually behind all of this.
- 54:36I mean, I do think that, like, I mean, at least from all of the
- 54:40speeches I've given, I mean, I really lean in on the economic
- 54:44message just because I think that's my natural state.
- 54:48But I don't lean back from the emotion behind my views on
- 54:53climate, right? I mean, I do think we're two
- 54:55storms away from Florida being fully uninsurable.
- 54:59We're already close to Florida being uninsurable.
- 55:02I think we're two storms away from every single company,
- 55:05including the backstop insurance provider from the state being
- 55:09fully bankrupt, right? I think people who live in
- 55:13Florida want to live in Florida. I think they like Florida, but
- 55:16like they will be unable to live in Florida soon, right?
- 55:19And I think that is a climate change issue, right?
- 55:21I just think that in general, when you think about just how
- 55:26emotional this can get really quickly, like people's lives
- 55:30will be turned upside down very soon because of climate, right?
- 55:35And I think they. Are turned upside down.
- 55:37They're already turned upside down for sure.
- 55:39Yeah. I mean, and I just think that
- 55:41like, so I don't lead with that argument almost ever, but I
- 55:45certainly am fluent in the argument and believe very
- 55:48strongly in the emotional purchase of the argument.
- 55:51I mean, Jamie, I'll give you an example of a different topic,
- 55:54but I think has a similar arc. So if you go back to the
- 55:58Affordable Care Act, generally the most popular provision was
- 56:01that people under 26 could be under their parents insurance.
- 56:05And one way to talk about it would be like, we're only going
- 56:08to talk about that, right? And and that's got like 70%
- 56:12approval. But I think the folks that did
- 56:15that work and knew that this is something that people are going
- 56:17to remember for generations. And for people to remember that
- 56:21you need to talk about the moral benefit of what's going on.
- 56:25And new look, the Affordable Care Act, not that popular.
- 56:28When it was passed, we talked about how people who wouldn't
- 56:31have insurance would get insurance.
- 56:33And over time, it's become very popular.
- 56:36Part of that's because we won the moral argument.
- 56:38So I think you can lead with the most popular thing, and in this
- 56:42case I think it's affordability. And I think everyone's going to
- 56:44benefit from from clean energy bringing down people's costs
- 56:48over time. But I think if you want this to
- 56:51be a generationally changing issue, you also have to include
- 56:54the moral argument. And call it Obamacare.
- 57:00I mean, I think it depends if if we're are we talking about
- 57:04national messaging splashed on every front page and in a
- 57:07national ad campaign, that's one thing.
- 57:09But I mean, this is a tale as old as time.
- 57:12It's not new. When I was at the solar energy
- 57:15technologies office and we were all shocked the day that Donald
- 57:19Trump won in 2016 and we thought we we were preparing for a
- 57:23Clinton administration. We were like having meetings
- 57:26talking about how we would execute on her solar rooftop
- 57:31bowl. So we were shocked.
- 57:32And then I spent the next three months rewriting every single
- 57:37piece of communication, like completely redesigning the
- 57:41identity deck, the might, the top line talking points for the
- 57:44office, the website to be Republican friendly.
- 57:48And I mean, the messaging hasn't changed.
- 57:50Jobs, economic competitiveness, national security, like you do
- 57:54not lead with climate. And so I guess I've been in this
- 57:58work and you know, I worked, I worked under the Trump
- 58:02administration for a couple of months before I left.
- 58:05But I don't really care. I just want to win.
- 58:08So I, I think I'm on I'm, I'm taking a page out of third ways
- 58:11book here. And I think that our
- 58:14technologies are superior and we are winning.
- 58:18And it's inevitable. It's going to take time, but
- 58:21it's inevitable. And I don't need to talk about
- 58:24climate for this technology to, to win on on, you know, an even
- 58:28playing field. And so as long as we get where
- 58:31we're going, I don't really care what we call it.
- 58:34Well, Arnab, like I think that like you are going to be able to
- 58:37keep coming back on to this podcast to continue this
- 58:40conversation. So like as the second friend of
- 58:44the pod, you will be back. But you know, look, I it it,
- 58:47it's obviously not settled, right?
- 58:50You know, the Matic Lasis versus Sean Caston, the third way
- 58:53talking points. People are going to keep talking
- 58:56about this. But either way, I feel like
- 58:58deploy action has cemented its role in, you know, moving the
- 59:01ball forward, which I think is fantastic.
- 59:03So thanks very much for joining us, Arnab.
- 59:06Thank you guys for having me. Well, we ended pretty spicy
- 59:15there, Jamie, and you know, like, I like it.
- 59:18We did. I think I had some of my first
- 59:21hot takes. So I'm proud of myself.
- 59:23I I'm a baby podcaster so I'm I'm growing.
- 59:27I'm looking forward to a lot more hot takes, I mean, but I
- 59:30will say that I was consumed in the last couple weeks by the
- 59:34Olympics, watched all of the like events and all the gold
- 59:37medal races. The the hockey performance was
- 59:41extraordinary. I love the fact that at the very
- 59:43end the guy was like missing 2 teeth and you know, like
- 59:47bleeding out of his mouth, which is like totally prototypical
- 59:50hockey. So amazing.
- 59:53The Olympics have been on constant rotation at my house,
- 59:57and I have to admit my daughter was homesick with strep last
- 1:00:01week on the best day because it was the day of the women's
- 1:00:04figure skating final. I don't know if you know this
- 1:00:06about me, but I very briefly was a figure skater.
- 1:00:10I did that for a couple of years.
- 1:00:12So I've. Got I didn't know about this.
- 1:00:14Can you do a triple Axel? No, I, I actually participated
- 1:00:22in a related sport. They call it synchro now, but
- 1:00:24it's basically synchronized ice skating and a team kind of like
- 1:00:28synchronized swimming. And there is a campaign to make
- 1:00:32it an Olympic sport and it's so cool.
- 1:00:34So I really do hope that it comes to the Olympics.
- 1:00:36But I have to tell you that Alyssa Lou has got me picking my
- 1:00:39ice skates back up. I've been going ice skating.
- 1:00:41So thank you to the Olympics for the inspo.
- 1:00:46I mean, I have to say that like I was fascinated by the fact
- 1:00:51that she has like teeth jewelry. She does.
- 1:00:55She did her own piercing and she obviously has that very unusual
- 1:01:01hair, hair color situation. I mean, I just think she's very
- 1:01:06cool. She's in, there's not a lot, a
- 1:01:08ton of opportunity to really express yourself very
- 1:01:11differently. But she really leaned into it.
- 1:01:13And yeah, I think she's a great role model.
- 1:01:16So I've really enjoyed watching that with my daughter, as well
- 1:01:19as all the other just badass women on the on the US team.
- 1:01:22And of course, I've been very closely monitoring Lindsey
- 1:01:26Vonn's injury recovery. I don't know, have you have you
- 1:01:29been paying attention to that? I'm a big Lindsey Vonn Stan.
- 1:01:33I'm not like, I like Lindsey Vonn, but Lord Almighty, like, I
- 1:01:37mean, I mean, I'm all for geriatric skiing, but come on.
- 1:01:43Like, I mean, like, that seems like a sport for young people.
- 1:01:46Like, I'm not going out there like 40 something years old.
- 1:01:51Absolutely. I definitely, the last time I
- 1:01:54went skiing a few years ago, I think my husband threw out his
- 1:01:56back the next day and we were done.
- 1:01:59That being said, Lindsey Vonn and I are the same age, so she's
- 1:02:03like a major inspiration. I love seeing people in their
- 1:02:0740's the top of their game because not that I'm about to do
- 1:02:10that, but still like knowing that it's possible is very
- 1:02:14comforting. I have a rule that I use with
- 1:02:18all my friends which is that like at my age which I am very
- 1:02:22active, you have to give a solid 85% right?
- 1:02:27You cannot be giving 100% at this age, right?
- 1:02:30That's how you create all of these injuries, right?
- 1:02:33Like, so like, I'm not saying you shouldn't be active.
- 1:02:35And I love Lindsey Vonn to be clear, like she's an
- 1:02:37inspiration. But like, I'm just saying give
- 1:02:4085%, right? Like do yourself a favor and
- 1:02:43don't like RIP a muscle or like tear a tendon or all the things
- 1:02:49that people do when they give 100%, you know, like I'm happy
- 1:02:52to lose. I just want to sweat.
- 1:02:54I want to like, you know, enjoy the sport.
- 1:02:56I don't want to like, you know, like be in a hospital bed for
- 1:03:01like 2 weeks. Sure.
- 1:03:02I think that's very good advice for like the pickleball court.
- 1:03:06I don't know if it works as well for the Olympics, but I I hear
- 1:03:10you. Well, thank you so much.
- 1:03:13It was so great to see our knob. And this is another edition of
- 1:03:19Energy Empire. You can find us wherever you
- 1:03:22find your favorite podcasts on Apple Podcasts, on Spotify,
- 1:03:28absolutely. On YouTube you got to smash that
- 1:03:30subscribe button as my son likes to say, and we will be back with
- 1:03:35you next week.