Latest / What the Flux / Atlassian tanks on freebie talk | McDonald's Golden Arches lose their shine | Amazon has Prime profits but tariff tantrums
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: This is what the Flux and I'm justin and it's Monday.
- 0:08Speaker 1: It's the Bay.
- 0:10Speaker 2: PwC, the global professional services firm, has unveiled its first
- 0:13Speaker 2: global brand update in over a decade. If you don't mind,
- 0:16Speaker 2: it did take eighteen months to land on the new
- 0:18Speaker 2: logo and branding after an extensive global survey end quote.
- 0:22Speaker 2: But this new logo uses exactly the same lettering as
- 0:25Speaker 2: the old one. Then the difference it switched out a
- 0:27Speaker 2: butterfly crest for two orange parallelograms. Tough word to say.
- 0:32Speaker 2: And now everyone's just plain old confused because this looks
- 0:35Speaker 2: like it could have been done in four minutes.
- 0:37Speaker 1: I believe they're calling it a momentum mark rather than
- 0:40Speaker 1: a logo as well. Be man, get it right, huge Potsdam.
- 0:42Speaker 1: We have done a very deep dive into the Flux
- 0:45Speaker 1: community across gen Z, Millennials, gen Y to understand different
- 0:50Speaker 1: money mindsets across different generations. We uncover it all in
- 0:53Speaker 1: the Flux app with our three part series on unpacking spending,
- 0:58Speaker 1: saving and investing mindsets. You want to learn more, make
- 1:00Speaker 1: sure to check it out in the Flux app.
- 1:02Speaker 2: Three critical stories today. Juzzy Boy, let's do it for
- 1:05Speaker 2: our first, at Lassian saw its market cap fall by
- 1:09Speaker 2: fifteen billion bucks late last week, despite seeing a boost
- 1:12Speaker 2: in revenue.
- 1:13Speaker 1: Something's really ticked off investors. Here be man, and it
- 1:16Speaker 1: is not another Jura ticket, So tell me all well.
- 1:18Speaker 2: At Lasian is the Ouzsi founded software company that builds
- 1:21Speaker 2: workplace digital tools.
- 1:23Speaker 1: All your household tech names like your jars, your confluences,
- 1:26Speaker 1: your trollos.
- 1:27Speaker 2: And late last week, at Lassian announced its third quarter
- 1:30Speaker 2: earnings and its revenue was up fourteen percent to one
- 1:32Speaker 2: point four billion US dollars.
- 1:34Speaker 1: That's good.
- 1:35Speaker 2: But then came the guidance for next quarter and its
- 1:38Speaker 2: seriously underwhelmed investors.
- 1:40Speaker 1: That's bad.
- 1:40Speaker 2: And then it announced its plans to make its AI
- 1:43Speaker 2: tool Rovo, a free feature. That's good for customers, but
- 1:47Speaker 2: it's bad for investors because this used to be twenty bucks.
- 1:49Speaker 1: A month, and at Lassian claims it by making Rovo free,
- 1:52Speaker 1: it will accelerate its customer migration to the cloud.
- 1:55Speaker 2: The idea is to lure more users onto the cloud
- 1:58Speaker 2: and then make bank later.
- 2:00Speaker 1: The problem is, b man investors wanted the bank now,
- 2:03Speaker 1: and at lassians shares dropped more than seventeen percent. So
- 2:06Speaker 1: what is the key learning here.
- 2:07Speaker 2: Markets trade on future expectations, not past results.
- 2:11Speaker 1: Despite the fact that it Lassian saw revenue up in
- 2:13Speaker 1: the previous quarter, next quarter's guidance was well below investor expectation.
- 2:18Speaker 2: That's because markets don't just reward strong results, they trade
- 2:21Speaker 2: on future vibes. But Joseiboy, Wall Street doesn't always have
- 2:24Speaker 2: patients for the long term plays, particularly in the current environment.
- 2:28Speaker 1: This has happened to many companies previously as well, who
- 2:30Speaker 1: disappointed investors with their guidance.
- 2:32Speaker 2: Yeah. Remember Snap's first quarter results in twenty twenty five
- 2:35Speaker 2: much better than expected. Revenue was up fourteen percent.
- 2:38Speaker 1: But share price fell fourteen percent because Snap couldn't provide
- 2:41Speaker 1: a guidance for the next quarter.
- 2:43Speaker 2: So jazieboy, when you're a public company, even strong quarterly
- 2:46Speaker 2: performances can be overshadowed by concerning forward guidances.
- 2:51Speaker 1: For our second story, McDonald's has served up another drop
- 2:54Speaker 1: in sales after low and middle income diners have been
- 2:58Speaker 1: squeezing every penny.
- 2:59Speaker 2: Even the minecraft happy meal could save them this day,
- 3:03Speaker 2: jussy boy, So tell me more.
- 3:04Speaker 1: Okay, Well, we'll know Mackide's as the world's largest fast
- 3:07Speaker 1: food chain with its delicious Nuggies, Mcflurries, and of course,
- 3:11Speaker 1: the regretful late night cheeseburger run.
- 3:12Speaker 2: Yep, they've been Flippenberger since nineteen forty and operating in
- 3:16Speaker 2: over one hundred countries.
- 3:17Speaker 1: But be man, Lately the golden archers have been looking
- 3:20Speaker 1: a little more tarnish. Yep.
- 3:21Speaker 2: Macis has reported a three point six percent drop in
- 3:24Speaker 2: same store sales.
- 3:25Speaker 1: This ain't just one off. This is the second quarter
- 3:27Speaker 1: in a row they've suffered a dip.
- 3:29Speaker 2: In fact, this was its worst sales dropped since the
- 3:32Speaker 2: twenty twenty lockdowns, when even Ronald McDonald himself was working
- 3:35Speaker 2: from home.
- 3:36Speaker 1: And the man in the last quarter. Macis blamed the
- 3:38Speaker 1: dip on lower income groups cutting.
- 3:40Speaker 2: Down, but the real kicker is that even middle income
- 3:43Speaker 2: consumers are cutting back as well.
- 3:44Speaker 1: And be man, this is a sign that there is
- 3:46Speaker 1: even more economic pressure.
- 3:48Speaker 2: Not even their new value menu or the Minecraft movie
- 3:52Speaker 2: promo could stop the.
- 3:53Speaker 1: Fall, and this once recession proof stock might be losing
- 3:56Speaker 1: its title.
- 3:57Speaker 2: So what is the key learning here?
- 3:58Speaker 1: In tough times, brands that are typically recession proof are
- 4:01Speaker 1: suddenly under pressure.
- 4:03Speaker 2: McDonald's has always been known as a pretty defensive stock.
- 4:07Speaker 1: Yeah, the idea is that when budgets tightened, people still
- 4:09Speaker 1: grab a cheap meal from Mackide's.
- 4:11Speaker 2: Other defensive stocks the companies in the utility space, or
- 4:14Speaker 2: the consumer staples industries.
- 4:16Speaker 1: Like Coca Cola, which is Warren Buffet's favorite.
- 4:19Speaker 2: Because people have got to eat and people have got
- 4:21Speaker 2: to use electricity.
- 4:21Speaker 1: But this quarter shows that even McDonald's isn't immune from
- 4:24Speaker 1: the cost of living pain.
- 4:26Speaker 2: So juz boy, it's a pretty big wake up call.
- 4:28Speaker 2: That's so called recession proof stocks aren't exactly a bulletproof
- 4:32Speaker 2: right now.
- 4:33Speaker 1: And when consumers starts skipping on those golden salty fries,
- 4:37Speaker 1: you know that discretionary spending is seriously under fire.
- 4:40Speaker 2: For our third and final story, Amazon has beaten its
- 4:43Speaker 2: earnings expectations, but tariffs and trade drama were the unwanted
- 4:47Speaker 2: guests crashing the investor update.
- 4:49Speaker 1: Trade drama is the plot twist. Amazon did not need banan,
- 4:52Speaker 1: so tell me more.
- 4:53Speaker 2: Well, we all know Amazon, the e commerce behemoth, started
- 4:55Speaker 2: in around nineteen ninety four.
- 4:57Speaker 1: Grew from books online to pretty much everything.
- 5:00Speaker 2: Yeah, we're talking cloud infrastructure, to kindle book readers, to
- 5:04Speaker 2: an AI helper in Alexa, and so much more.
- 5:07Speaker 1: Yeah, and be man late last week, investors were waiting
- 5:09Speaker 1: with baited breath to hear about how the tariffs had
- 5:11Speaker 1: impacted Amazon's last quarter, and the answer not much at all.
- 5:14Speaker 1: In fact, Amazon's ad business grew nineteen percent this quarter,
- 5:17Speaker 1: which made it one of the fastest growing arms of
- 5:19Speaker 1: the company.
- 5:20Speaker 2: Amazon reported quarterly revenue of more than one hundred and
- 5:23Speaker 2: fifty five billion US dollars, which did yes, beat investor expectations.
- 5:27Speaker 1: Then it's share price dropped.
- 5:28Speaker 2: Why you ask, tariffs and taxes.
- 5:31Speaker 1: Yeah, but Amazon is trying to keep its prices stable
- 5:34Speaker 1: for as long as possible by forward buying.
- 5:36Speaker 2: Interesting, what is the key learning here?
- 5:38Speaker 1: Forward buying is when companies purchased large volumes of stock
- 5:41Speaker 1: in advance.
- 5:42Speaker 2: It's a bit like panic buying, but for big companies.
- 5:44Speaker 1: Yeah, they do it to glock in current prices and
- 5:46Speaker 1: ensure there's enough supply at that price because Jazu boy,
- 5:49Speaker 1: we know right now there is a genuine risk of
- 5:52Speaker 1: one hundred and forty five percent cost increases for Amazon
- 5:55Speaker 1: thanks to tariffs and be man Typically, forward buying is
- 5:58Speaker 1: a tactic used by infantry managers to reduce volatility.
- 6:01Speaker 2: Maybe currency changes.
- 6:03Speaker 1: Or concerns around the supply of good, but.
- 6:05Speaker 2: In twenty twenty five, it's also a trade war survival strategy.
- 6:08Speaker 1: Get this, Approximately fifty percent of Amazon's products are likely
- 6:12Speaker 1: to be affected by these whopper tariffs according to UBS.
- 6:15Speaker 2: So Amazon is forward buying from tariff hit countries like
- 6:18Speaker 2: China so it can hedge it spets.
- 6:20Speaker 1: And this allows them to sell goods at pre tariff
- 6:22Speaker 1: prices for longer.
- 6:23Speaker 2: But it's a double edged sword because if Amazon stockpiles
- 6:26Speaker 2: too much stock, it can tie up cash and its warehouses.
- 6:30Speaker 1: Fluxlamm, gen Z, millennials and gen X. They all have
- 6:34Speaker 1: very different money mindsets, very different saving and spending habit
- 6:37Speaker 1: and of course investing mindsets as well, so we cover
- 6:40Speaker 1: it all in the Flux app with feedback from the
- 6:42Speaker 1: whole Flux community. Do you want to learn more about
- 6:44Speaker 1: the different mindsets of all the different generations and make
- 6:47Speaker 1: sure to check it out.
- 6:47Speaker 2: Thanks for listening and we'll see you on Wednesday.