Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 536 - 6/22/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 all systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
- 0:14welcome to. Episode 530.
- 0:17Six of the all Systems go sports betting podcast.
- 0:21Powered by rhythm. I'm your host, Josh Applebaum.
- 0:30What's going on, everyone? Happy Monday.
- 0:32Another day here in the arena. Guys as we kick.
- 0:34Off the final full week in the month of June, got this week, a
- 0:38little bit of next week and then believe it or not. 4th of July.
- 0:41A week from this? Saturday, so already.
- 0:43Thinking about. 4th of July plans, cookouts where we're
- 0:46going to watch the fireworks, and of course if you've ever
- 0:49done the 4th of July with me. Before you know that I am glued
- 0:52to the Nathan's hot dog eating. Contest so every year it's a
- 0:56rite of passage. I always with the hot dog eating
- 0:58contest. I was actually looking at the
- 1:00odds a little bit earlier today guys and just.
- 1:02Again, you might be. Rolling your eyes.
- 1:03Like seriously, the hot dog eating contest.
- 1:06But don't. Laugh at it, we've catch some
- 1:07tickets. Throughout the years and of
- 1:09course you always want to think. About the one and only Mr. Joey
- 1:13Chestnut, because he's about. As good as it.
- 1:16Gets and. There's really never any.
- 1:18Value to bet Joey Chestnut to win it.
- 1:20He's now -2000 right now, but I'm looking at the over under.
- 1:25Total hot dogs eaten. Because that's where.
- 1:28We can, we can make some money and I believe we played the
- 1:30under last year in the under one.
- 1:31But I'm looking right now 72 1/2 the overs -155 at DraftKings.
- 1:37The under is plus 120. You also have.
- 1:40Over under Joey. Chestnut and Mickey pseudo 110
- 1:441/2 where the over is -180 so probably go over that number and
- 1:48then you have. These other guys, Patrick
- 1:49Bertoletti. These are all names that you
- 1:51know if you bet the hot dog eating contest Nick Weary James.
- 1:54Webb, Jeffrey. Esper.
- 1:55Over under, you know, 5644 1/2. 50 yada yada but.
- 2:00I will be staying glued. To really the total.
- 2:03Hot dogs eating eaten by Joey Chestnut.
- 2:05So one thing I like to do is look at juice movement.
- 2:08Like right now the over 72 1/2 is -150. 5 So there's a.
- 2:12Liability to go 73 or more, but then do we?
- 2:16See it flip where? You know it.
- 2:18Flips and goes under. 72 1/2 + 120 down to even money or -120
- 2:23or -150 like the juice movement to me is very important because
- 2:27you know, red, white and blue. You know is going.
- 2:29To play the over no matter what and parlay it with Joey
- 2:32Chestnut. But sometimes that juice can be
- 2:34very meaningful and also looking at circa so you.
- 2:36Remember last year, circa. I want to say it was like maybe
- 2:39it was 71 1/2. I forget the number.
- 2:42But they're always a little bit lower.
- 2:43Than the market and that was a sharp book that told me hey,
- 2:45they're good at setting numbers and.
- 2:47If like you know. Circa 61 1/2 you're 71 1/2 under
- 2:51-120 and the other books are 62 1/2.
- 2:54You know, again, that kind of leads it to go under there a
- 2:57little. Bit so.
- 2:58We got some time. Here.
- 2:59But yeah, kicking off the pod on a Monday, talking some hot dog
- 3:03eating contest odds and it's always nice when you know 11 AM
- 3:06you can win the. Hot dog eating contest and then
- 3:08it's. Just like.
- 3:08OK, let's go party, let's go to a backyard BBQ.
- 3:11Let's go out. Let's go celebrate America.
- 3:12The big 250, which should be a lot of fun.
- 3:16So that being said, guys, it's a Monday.
- 3:18We're getting back into the swing of things.
- 3:19I do have a. 3 pack of MLB. Plays for you.
- 3:23Bigger Favorite 2 Smaller. Favorites one has a.
- 3:26Bunch of rhythm. Recommendations.
- 3:28One's got a good sharp mush edge and we also have line moves and
- 3:31splits on all three so. As always, a three pack.
- 3:34Let's try to go 2 and 1, eke out a winning day to start our week.
- 3:37Now couple little updates here just in terms of the pod some.
- 3:41Housekeeping one, I hope everyone had a great.
- 3:44Father's Day I had a great Father's Day.
- 3:46It was my first Father's Day as a father.
- 3:48I've I've been a dog dad. My my yellow lab Meadow she's.
- 3:52Four years old, so. I've been a proud.
- 3:53Dog dad for a few years at this point, but it was obviously a
- 3:56special. Day for me because I am now.
- 3:58The proud father. Of a beautiful, amazing.
- 4:01Perfect baby girl. Who just so happened to have
- 4:04turned 3 months old, ironically enough.
- 4:07Yesterday on Father's Day, so. Meant a lot to me, and I tell
- 4:10you what if you're. Like a new father or Father's
- 4:12Day, it almost feels like your birthday.
- 4:14Just like people text. You and.
- 4:16Wish you happy Father's Day. And I don't know, it's pretty
- 4:18pretty. Special I had.
- 4:18A really good time went up to the in laws and.
- 4:21Grilled and hung out. And had a lot of fun so hope
- 4:24everyone had a great. Father's.
- 4:26Day and it was even better because.
- 4:28Wrote the Sharp report. Put the plays in.
- 4:30At the Juice Reel app, left to go up to.
- 4:32New Hampshire. To the in laws house.
- 4:34And did not check any scores until we got home at like 10:00
- 4:37at night. Notice a little 3 and O Father's
- 4:40Day sweep so the Cardinals the. Brewers, The Reds.
- 4:42All came through. What's better than that?
- 4:44Guys, you know Wake. Coming home and.
- 4:46Not knowing if you're O and three or three and O or two and
- 4:48one. Or 1:00 and 2:00 and then seeing
- 4:50you went three and O so. Nice little Father's Day gift.
- 4:53But I did want to mention one other small thing.
- 4:56We're going to take a little hiatus with the pod.
- 4:58Nothing crazy. But tomorrow, my wife.
- 5:02Myself and my 3 month old baby daughter.
- 5:05We are going to Block Island. For a few days.
- 5:08So we are leaving tomorrow, we're coming back.
- 5:10Late Thursday, if you. Don't know a Block Island if
- 5:13you're. Not a New Englander, That's OK,
- 5:14but. It is a tiny little island off.
- 5:16The coast of Rhode. Island, so we are going to.
- 5:19Catch the ferry. At Point Judith, take the ferry
- 5:22to Block Island. We got a little.
- 5:23Hotel. For a few nights and it's going
- 5:25to be our first, you know, family getaway, myself, my wife
- 5:29and the baby. So very much looking forward to
- 5:31that. I heard there's a farm there
- 5:33that we're going to show. Margo all the all the animals.
- 5:35She's a big fan of the animals already within some beaches.
- 5:38Of course, some lobster rolls. Some bees and hopefully some
- 5:43good clam chowder and seafood. But because of that, there's
- 5:46going to be no. Pod on Tuesday.
- 5:48No pod on Wednesday, No pod on. Thursday but I.
- 5:52Will be back on Friday. So next few days, no pod.
- 5:56I'll be living it up on Block Island.
- 5:58And you know, it's funny. We were thinking, OK, we want to
- 6:00have a little, you know, getaway.
- 6:01My wife is getting she's getting nervous because her her
- 6:04maternity leave ends on August. 1st SO.
- 6:07It's like the final month and you know, we're trying to jam in
- 6:09every fun thing we can think of before she.
- 6:11Goes back to work. And we were thinking of, OK,
- 6:13maybe like our, our number one was Martha's Vineyard.
- 6:16We wanted to go to Martha's Vineyard.
- 6:18For a few days, but it was so freaking.
- 6:19Expensive. And like Nantucket, obviously
- 6:22I've been there before, it's great, but that was too
- 6:23expensive too. Then we looked at the coast of
- 6:25Maine. Should we go to a Gun Quit or
- 6:27Kennebunkport? Or Bar Harbor.
- 6:29Somewhere that didn't really work out and funny enough, my
- 6:33wife is into the trash TV and so am I, I must admit.
- 6:36And you're watching Real Housewives of Rhode.
- 6:38Island and on that. Episode they took the ferry out
- 6:41of point. Judith they went to Block Island
- 6:43and it just looked really cool and really fun.
- 6:46I looked at. Some hotels, they weren't that.
- 6:48Expensive. I used some of my points and
- 6:50said boom, let's go to Block Island, give it a shot.
- 6:53So I guess the Real Housewives. Influence us there.
- 6:56But long winded. Way of me saying no pod for the
- 6:58next few days, but we will be back on Friday.
- 7:01But I'm not going to leave you totally, you know, in the.
- 7:03Lurch here because. I will still have my vsin.com
- 7:07daily betting article for MLB over the next three.
- 7:09Days I'm still. Going to write that on Block
- 7:11Island and then of. Course luckily, Rhode.
- 7:14Island has legalized betting. But we will also.
- 7:17I will also be. Posting all of the ASG best bet
- 7:19pics on the Juice Reel app. So if you wanted to get the
- 7:23plays, even if we don't have a pod, you just want the bets you
- 7:26want to support the pod. I mentioned it every pod.
- 7:27Hey, you know, fill, you know, toss in A5.
- 7:30Dollar bill $10.00 Bill into the.
- 7:31Tip jar, well you can get those juice.
- 7:33Reel best bet picks. That we make every ASG.
- 7:36Podcast best bet pick. For 10 bucks a week or 25 bucks
- 7:40a month and you can again sign up through the juice.
- 7:42Reel app so. All the bets even though no pod.
- 7:44Next one will be Friday. Three days are off.
- 7:46Next three days. You can still get.
- 7:48The best bets there? On on Juice Reel.
- 7:51But with that being said. Let's get right.
- 7:52Back to do what we love to do, and that's betting Major League
- 7:56Baseball in the summer. What's better than that?
- 7:59So 3 bets overall. Let's see if we can.
- 8:00Get a couple of them here, go 2 and 1 and eke out a winning
- 8:03night. So first one on the board, these
- 8:06are all. Early, relatively early games,
- 8:08and they're all around. 640 so I'm.
- 8:10Gonna have to have the, you know, the TV.
- 8:12The laptop, The tablet. Everything fired up and sweating
- 8:143 games simultaneously. So strap up, strap in.
- 8:18The first one on the board 6. 40 PM Eastern Time.
- 8:20Let's talk about the Kansas City Royals visiting the Tampa.
- 8:23Bay Rays. Now talking line moves.
- 8:26That split system matches. I'll give you my play here for
- 8:28this one. The Royals come in 32 and 46 on
- 8:31the year. Did just take two or three
- 8:33against the Cardinals but couldn't get the sweep.
- 8:36Lost yesterday's series finale 12 to 10 as a plus one O 5 home
- 8:39dog. Meanwhile, the Rays 43 and 31 on
- 8:42the year. They just took two or three
- 8:43against the Nats. They won yesterday's series
- 8:46finale 4 to 3 as a -135 home. Favorite.
- 8:50So pitching match up here for tonight, we got the Royals.
- 8:53Handing the ball to the righty Michael Waka, he is four and
- 8:56five with a 3.64 ER a Rays meanwhile, going with the righty
- 9:00Drew Rasmussen, he is 6 and three with a 2.59 ER a so.
- 9:04What we've seen across the board.
- 9:06Will this game open with Tampa Bay listed as a -. 170 home
- 9:09favorite Kansas City around a + 150 road dog.
- 9:13And even though it's kind of a big number.
- 9:14Sharps aren't scared by the. Chalk.
- 9:16I'm going Tampa. Guys, because the sharps are as
- 9:18well. We've seen Tampa get steamed up
- 9:20-170 up to now -185 -, 190 so even though.
- 9:24It's a bigger number. It's only gotten more expensive.
- 9:27It's kind of annoying in one way because you're paying more.
- 9:29Juice, but also. Hey, at least you're paying more
- 9:31juice because that. Looks like it's the sharp side.
- 9:33Keeps getting hit even though the numbers a little bit
- 9:35expensive. DK the Rays are getting 88% of
- 9:39money line bets 91% of money line.
- 9:42Dollars at Circa. Rays are getting 67% of money
- 9:46line bets, 93% of money line dollars.
- 9:49So we got. The line move toward the Rays
- 9:51and we got a pro and Joe Low bets, high dollar.
- 9:53Split at both DK and Circa on the Rays.
- 9:56Now, if you were wondering how do Monday Hefty favorites do
- 10:00well, Monday favorites priced -175 or more Rays match here.
- 10:04They're 16 and 576%, 12% ROI this year, so it's been a
- 10:09winning angle in particular. Another system match on the Race
- 10:12Monday. Home teams with line movement in
- 10:14their favor who missed the playoffs.
- 10:16The previous year. Facing an opponent who also
- 10:18missed the. Playoffs the previous year.
- 10:20That system is 58 and 3662 percent, 8% ROI since 2024.
- 10:27Tampa Bay has non division favorite.
- 10:29Value as well as correlative. Betting favorite value because
- 10:32Tampa Bay within the AL East KC and the AL Central lack of
- 10:36familiarity benefits quote UN quote the better team, but then
- 10:39also a low total of 7 1/2 and it's kind of juiced under like
- 10:42-120 so fair amount of expected run scored.
- 10:45More likely. To come from again, quote UN
- 10:47quote that better team I. Want to back Rasmussen?
- 10:51He has a 0. .43 Knock on wood 0.43 ERA In three June starts
- 10:56he's been great, only giving up one earned run, 21 innings
- 10:59pitched. Meanwhile, Waka 5.3 O ERA in
- 11:03three June starts, he's given up 11 earned runs in 18.2 innings
- 11:07pitched and get a load of this Kansas City O and seven, excuse
- 11:11me, in his last seven starts. So hopefully we make that O and
- 11:15eight here tonight. Rays, meanwhile, 26 and 10 at
- 11:18home. That is a 72% win rate.
- 11:20That's the best home record in baseball.
- 11:22Royals are just. 13 and 24 on the road.
- 11:25That's the third worst Rd. record in baseball, so it's a
- 11:28bigger. Number, but the line keeps
- 11:30going. Up to the rays.
- 11:31Again, you can get them sub 200 -, 200 I got Tampa -184 at
- 11:36FanDuel. Definitely shop around.
- 11:38A lot of books hovering around -190.
- 11:41It doesn't hurt that we also have a 5.
- 11:42Percent. Nothing crazy, but a 5% sharp
- 11:45mush edge also in favor. Of the raise, so first, but on
- 11:48the board. Let's go raise -184 at FanDuel.
- 11:53I know by the way bet Tris first bet to win.
- 11:55Always want to mention this, but if.
- 11:56You're new to the pod. You're not risking 1.8 units or
- 11:591.9 units to win one unit. You're just risking your one
- 12:02unit trying to get a little. More than 1/2.
- 12:04Unit back because we don't want Tampa to lose.
- 12:06But if they do. It's baseball, anything can
- 12:08happen. You don't want to lose 1.84
- 12:10units, you just want to lose. We don't want to use any, but
- 12:13you only want to lose 1 unit, so.
- 12:15Remember, always bet to rest. Not bet to win, but let's go
- 12:18raise. Next one up.
- 12:19Let's go to Miami State in the state of Florida and look at the
- 12:24Miami Marlins hosting the Texas Rangers another 6:40 PM Eastern
- 12:28Time first pitch. So the Rangers.
- 12:30Come in 37 and 40 on the. Year just took 2.
- 12:33Or three against the Padres. They won yesterday's series
- 12:36finale 4 to 3 as a -165 home. Favorite.
- 12:39Meanwhile, the Marlins, 40 and 38, they just swept the Giants.
- 12:43They won yesterday's series finale 2 to one as a + 120 home
- 12:47dog. So pitching matchup.
- 12:49For tonight's interleague series opener, we got the Rangers going
- 12:52with the lefty Tyler Alexander one and one 2.97 ERA.
- 12:56He'll be opposed by the Marlins righty Tyler.
- 12:58Phillips, who is? One and two with a 3.1 O ERA
- 13:02now. What have we seen across the
- 13:03market? Will this game open Miami around
- 13:05a short -120 Home favorite? Texas around a + 100 Rd.
- 13:09Dog and sharps jumping on Miami here.
- 13:12Short number at home again. Just played a home series and
- 13:16got a good sweep. Let's see if they can keep it
- 13:18rolling because you've seen Miami go up from -120 up to -130
- 13:23now. We've also seen some good splits
- 13:25at DraftKings. 72% bets but 96% dollars on Miami so good low.
- 13:30Bets higher dollar split. Tells us the big money,
- 13:33respected money is coming in on Miami, which coincides with a
- 13:36line move on Miami. Good system match.
- 13:38If you're an above 500 home favorite off a win priced -155
- 13:43or less Marlins. Match here of course.
- 13:45Those teams are 78 and 52. 60. Percent with A6.
- 13:50Percent ROI this year. I actually have 7 systems.
- 13:53Lighting up on Miami, so a couple more good ones.
- 13:55Home favorites -140 or less facing an opponent who missed
- 13:58the playoffs. The previous year. 139 and 9859%
- 14:03Six. Percent ROI this year.
- 14:04Interleague home favorites off a win priced -150 or less
- 14:08receiving line movement in their.
- 14:09Favor. 80 and 4365 percent 15% ROI since the start of 2025
- 14:16another one here when both teams are coming off a win, take the
- 14:19home favorite if they're -150 or less that system is one O 4 and
- 14:237259 percent 6% ROI since 2024 lastly, look at these.
- 14:30Pictures here. Phillips.
- 14:31He's been good at home One and O 0.83.
- 14:34ERA on the road. He's O and two 6.86 ERA and home
- 14:39road again. We got Miami pretty good at
- 14:41home. 26 and 16. Knock on wood, let's make that
- 14:4427 and 16. Texas 18 and 22 on the.
- 14:47Road so. Short number to Miami lines
- 14:49gone. Further toward Miami, we had
- 14:51good splits. Line move system matches home
- 14:54Rd. And then also, by the way,
- 14:56popped. Open Rhythm and noticed 1 green
- 14:59smart signal recommendation on Miami.
- 15:02So the AI model at Rhythm is also leaning toward Miami.
- 15:06So second bet on the board. Guys took the Marlins -120.
- 15:09Five at Bally Bet. Again, shop around.
- 15:11Most books now -130 even -135. Now, last bit of the night,
- 15:16let's. Go to the nation's capital,
- 15:18Washington Nationals hosting the Philadelphia Phillies at 6:45 PM
- 15:23Eastern Time tonight. So the Phills come in 42 and 30.
- 15:265 just took 2. Or three.
- 15:28Against the Mets, they won last night's series finale 6 to 2 as
- 15:32a -185 home favorite. You know the Nats 40 and 38
- 15:36mentioned a second ago they lost two or three to the Rays.
- 15:39Lost that series finale 4 to 3 yesterday as a + 100 Rd. dog
- 15:43now. What do we see across the board
- 15:45here? Well, let's start with the.
- 15:47Pitching match up. Initially it was thought to be
- 15:49Philly's going with Alan Rangel, but I'm seeing now that could be
- 15:54Meza or Misa. Looks like an opener, but either
- 15:58way. We do know the Nationals are
- 16:00going with the lefty Foster Griffin.
- 16:02He's seven and two with a 3.32 ERA.
- 16:05Now what do we see across the board?
- 16:07Will this game open Washington around a -. 115 Home favorite
- 16:11Philly a short -1 O. Five Rd.
- 16:13Dog and the public says. The wrong team is favored.
- 16:17Philly's the better team, even though the record, you know,
- 16:20looks slightly better. But Philly's better.
- 16:22They should be favored, right? 59% of money line bats are
- 16:25taking the Phillies. But here's the interesting
- 16:27thing. Even though Phillies are.
- 16:29Getting the majority of tickets. Little less than 2/3.
- 16:31Of tickets this line. Hasn't flipped and gone dog to
- 16:34fave toward Philly. It's gone further up toward
- 16:37Washington. So we've now seen Washington get
- 16:40steamed up -115 to around -125 tells us we have a sharp reverse
- 16:46line move. Betting line goes away from the
- 16:48popular side Philly. Toward the unpopular side.
- 16:50Washington. Then you get to the bet splits.
- 16:53They look really sharp. On the Nationals 41% money line
- 16:56bets 87% money line dollars at DK and over at Circa in Vegas,
- 17:0267% money line bets, 89% money line dollars.
- 17:06So both books. Showing that good sharp.
- 17:08Low bets, higher dollar bet. Split and line movement on
- 17:11Washington now. Couple system matches here.
- 17:14Both teams above 500, which is the case in this matchup take
- 17:18the team receiving line movement that system match again two good
- 17:22teams just go where the lines going that system is one O 1 and
- 17:256262% with a 12% ROI this year nationals in particular they're.
- 17:32The third most profitable. Team off a loss when they lose
- 17:35they come back and go 20 and 1754% with a 23% ROI this year.
- 17:41So in this spot, same spot Nats lost yesterday again, bounce
- 17:45back played today. Washington is also.
- 17:47A rest versus tired play might say, Josh, they're both, you
- 17:51know, they both played yesterday.
- 17:51How was it? Rest first Tired.
- 17:53Well, Washington played a day game and Philly played the
- 17:56Sunday Night baseball game, and if you've been with me long
- 17:58enough, you know that one system that we love is fading the team.
- 18:02On a Monday. Who played on Sunday night
- 18:04baseball because it's a late game, you know just you know
- 18:06your. Body clock is off.
- 18:07Everyone else played a day game, you get more rest, more sleep,
- 18:10all that kind of stuff. Philly also has to travel.
- 18:13But historically, you've seen sharps.
- 18:15Typically like to fade. Whoever played on Sunday Night
- 18:17Baseball. Nats have the better bats.
- 18:19Let's. Hope they can get.
- 18:20To I guess. It's Misa now.
- 18:22I just saw that. Change on my live odds page my.
- 18:25Odds logic. Live odds.
- 18:26Page that is, who's been doing some great, great additions.
- 18:30If you haven't seen my tweets about odds logic, more on them
- 18:32later. But anyway, Nats.
- 18:34Have the better bats. Hitting two 46421 slug, 416 runs
- 18:38scored. Phillies Hitting two, 33396
- 18:42slug, only 329 runs scored. I want to back.
- 18:45Griffin, knock on Wood, he's been really good in June. 1.59
- 18:49ERA and three starts, only giving up three earned runs and
- 18:5217 innings pitched. Washington mean meanwhile, 11
- 18:55and four in his fifteen starts. This year.
- 18:58And he is 6 and O with a 2.97 ERA and night games pitch wall
- 19:02at night. Philly's meanwhile facing the
- 19:04lefty Griffin. They're only hitting 224 against
- 19:07lefties. That's 26th and Major League
- 19:09Baseball. So again, questionable with
- 19:12who's going to be pitching here for Philly.
- 19:14It's there, but they're a fade playoff a Sunday.
- 19:16Night baseball game, we got the line moving toward Washington
- 19:19even though Publix on Philly. And oh, by the way, all.
- 19:22Three rhythm recommendations lighting up on the Nationals, so
- 19:26I'm going gnats. Here guys, look like a sharp
- 19:27fade. The trendy dog play.
- 19:29I got gnats -120 at FanDuel, can shop around most books now -125
- 19:34even -130 so Ray's Marlins gnats.
- 19:39Let's even get 2 out of 3. Eek out a winning night.
- 19:43So that about does it for episode 536 of the All Systems
- 19:46Go Sports Betting podcast powered by.
- 19:49Rhythm, and this is. Of course, is the part of the
- 19:51pod where we wrap. Things up and I always.
- 19:53Start first by saying. Thank you.
- 19:55Thank you for listening, thank you for tuning in, thanks for
- 19:57supporting the pod, thank you for grinding in the arena with
- 20:01me every single day through the. Wins.
- 20:03The losses, the UPS and the downs.
- 20:04The hot. Streaks, the cold streaks.
- 20:06That's life, that's betting, but we're.
- 20:07Always trying to make sharp data-driven plays with our head
- 20:10and not our heart. I'm very proud and honored to
- 20:12host this pod. So thanks for listening and now.
- 20:15I butter you up just so I can ask a favor of you if.
- 20:18You haven't done it. Could you do me a solid?
- 20:20I'm looking for a Father's Day gift.
- 20:21You know what I want? I want you to give this podcast.
- 20:23A five star review. If you're listening.
- 20:25On Spotify or. ITunes if you haven't done it
- 20:27yet. Give it five stars, it would
- 20:29mean a lot. Help us to continue to rise up.
- 20:31The charts if. You want to click the follow
- 20:32button, recommend the pod to a friend, leave a comment, retweet
- 20:36the pod. When I put out on Twitter each.
- 20:37Day. Any or all those things, we very
- 20:39much appreciate it. Next, if you enjoy the.
- 20:42Style of sports. Betting data-driven, sharp,
- 20:45contrarian betting not focusing on you know what what our heart
- 20:48and our gut and what we think it or.
- 20:50Want or hope will? Happen, but betting based on
- 20:53what the market is telling us. The market gives us clues.
- 20:55The market won't get it right every time, but trying to piece
- 20:58together that data-driven puzzle If that appeals to you and you
- 21:01want to learn more? About data-driven betting.
- 21:03Or you know someone who could use some data-driven tips.
- 21:06Or someone's got a birthday coming up.
- 21:08Or again, thank you to everyone who might have gotten.
- 21:11One of my books for Father's Day, if you.
- 21:13Know what you should do? Go to Amazon.com.
- 21:15Type in the NFL Sharp betting playbook or the Everything guide
- 21:19to sports betting. Pick up a copy of one of my.
- 21:21Books or both if you want to be a hero.
- 21:23Bring the sports book, I'll sign them for you.
- 21:25I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale.
- 21:27We'll sweat some games together next.
- 21:29Have you downloaded? Rhythm and juice, real yet well.
- 21:31If you haven't, what are you waiting?
- 21:32For my two favorite. Sports betting apps.
- 21:34There's one more. Box to check off.
- 21:35When you're running through. Your checklist to.
- 21:37See whether you should. Get down on a game rhythm.
- 21:39Great for their AI. Backed models and predictions
- 21:42for game bets. And player props.
- 21:43And then juice real. So many great features you can
- 21:45sync up your sports. Books.
- 21:47We've got a running report card of your action you can get.
- 21:49The Robo Jackson best bet picks. The sharp mush indicators.
- 21:52The arbitrage plays the shop for the.
- 21:54Best line futures and if you like to.
- 21:56Really support the pod sign up. For a week or more of the ASG.
- 22:00Best bet picks. On juice reel all you got.
- 22:03To do is click download juice reel, click buy sell bottom
- 22:06right. Corner of the app type in ASG.
- 22:09Into the search bar. You'll find the ASG podcast page
- 22:12and you can do a week. Of best bet picks as.
- 22:15Soon as I bet them they go right to the app for $9.99 or a full
- 22:19month for $24.99 and you'll get. All those places as.
- 22:23Soon as I make them and again the pods free I consider.
- 22:25That a tip jar. But thank you to those of you.
- 22:28Out there who have. Purchased a week or more.
- 22:30Of the best bet picks or thinking about it.
- 22:32It means a lot to me and just know that they are going toward
- 22:35my daughter's upcoming childcare payments, which are not, not
- 22:40like not cheap as you may know. But thank you all who might
- 22:43have. The best?
- 22:43Bet picks on juice rail and of course, regardless, download
- 22:46rhythm download juice rail they're 2 great sports betting
- 22:49apps give them five star reviews in the App Store.
- 22:51Next do. You have a live odds page if you
- 22:54don't. Have one, you need one and the.
- 22:56Best live odds page. Around is odds logic.
- 22:59I've been tweeting out last couple.
- 23:00Days these great features I feel like odds logic they're.
- 23:02Putting out a new. Feature every day.
- 23:04They had the best line just immediately gives you the best
- 23:06number. They also have the ability to
- 23:09get the. Sharp alerts the arbitrage
- 23:12alerts. And then the new one that came
- 23:13out yesterday was creating your own consensus line.
- 23:16So if you bet at DraftKings, FanDuel and bet MGM.
- 23:20You could pick those three books and make.
- 23:22That a consensus line. On the live odds.
- 23:24Page or maybe you do you know Pinnacle which is primary market
- 23:28and Chris and circa and even though you may not bet at those
- 23:31books, you want that to be your consensus line because that
- 23:34those. Are the sharpest.
- 23:35Books on the market with BET online or whoever, but you can
- 23:38now customize and create your own consensus line, so it's
- 23:41really cool. But give Odds logic a shot.
- 23:44It's the best live odds page. Around getting real time odds
- 23:47again. Live in game wagering odds
- 23:48Shopping for the best number? You got to give.
- 23:51Odds Logic a shot so I have a special link for you to use Odds
- 23:54logic.com/josh. 123. Make sure you do.
- 23:58Slash Josh one 2-3 at the end because that will give you a 7
- 24:02day free trial, make sure you like it and then also give you
- 24:0550% off your first month of service.
- 24:07Again, oddslogic.com/josh 123. So that about does it for
- 24:11episode 536 of the ASG. Pod on a big Monday, as always.
- 24:16Guys, two final thoughts. One whether I see you at the
- 24:18Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River.
- 24:20In Rhode Island, the. Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
- 24:22Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut.
- 24:24At the Encore in Boston. Plainridge Park Casino MGM.
- 24:27Springfield or the Nash? And my neck of the woods on the
- 24:30border of Massachusetts and New Hampshire.
- 24:32We're out in the desert where the.
- 24:33True grinders get down where Billy Walters sends his number
- 24:36runners. With lowest juice possible.
- 24:38Is found the South. Point or.
- 24:39Sweat and sharp contrarian plays.
- 24:41Jumping in the stadium swimming pool when you catch.
- 24:43A big ticket at Circa. You're going to show me a
- 24:46Father's Day sweep? The Cardinals?
- 24:48The Brewers. The Reds.
- 24:50Maybe had 1-2 or all three of them, but nice to see those
- 24:53those teams come through on dad day.
- 24:56So as always guys, flash be one of those winners.
- 24:58First one. 'S on me, next one's on you'll
- 25:00post about the book. So that's some more sharp plays
- 25:02here for tonight. So as always.
- 25:04Coming off of a three and O Father's Day or an O and 3A.
- 25:07Two and one, A1 and 2A winning weekend, a losing weekend, a
- 25:10hot. Streak a cold streak.
- 25:11Whether everything's going our way or nothing's going our way,
- 25:14we just got to stay even keeled, guys, I know it's.
- 25:16Cliche, but it's true because you're going.
- 25:18To drive yourself nuts if you. Expect sweeps every day.
- 25:21Or go nuts and. Freak out if you have a losing
- 25:23day, it's all part of it. We're always grinding long term
- 25:26and we're looking for games that fit our model against the.
- 25:29Public with the house with the pros.
- 25:31Flat bet. Avoid parlays and get that CLV.
- 25:34If we can do that, in the end we're going to be successful
- 25:36sports bettors. So hope everyone has a great.
- 25:39Next few days again. No pod for me.
- 25:41Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday I'll be back.
- 25:43On Friday I'll be. Living it up on Block Island and
- 25:47again reminder you can get the. ASG best bet picks.
- 25:50Over the next few days. Even though there's no POD, the
- 25:52best bets will still be. Posted on the Juice Reel page
- 25:55ASG under score podcast. So if you want to support the
- 25:58team, you. Can get the plays there.
- 25:59Over the next few days. I'll see you guys upcoming here
- 26:02on Friday. Hope everyone has a great.
- 26:04Monday night, have an even better next few days and see if
- 26:07we can cash some tickets along the way.
- 26:09Guys. Next time I see you on Friday
- 26:11though. That'll be episode 530.
- 26:13Seven of the all. Systems go.
- 26:15Sports betting podcast. Powered by rhythm.
- 26:18Good luck everybody. And have a great.
- 26:19Monday night.